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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey paid, Joe p Zapia. The

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Speaker 1: NFL Draft is behind us, which means the future is

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Speaker 1: in front of us. And the NFL Draft being done

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Speaker 1: allows us to now look at the board in a

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Speaker 1: fresh way of what those NFL futures look like, in

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Speaker 1: terms of the teams, in terms of some player awards.

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Speaker 1: And to help me break it all down, of course,

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Speaker 1: is my boy, the Undertaker, Andrew Anderson, Andrew Erickson, his

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Speaker 1: back ready to go. He was studying abroad not that

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Speaker 1: long ago, and now he's brought all of that culture

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Speaker 1: here to the program. Ericson, I know you had your

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Speaker 1: bachelor party. You've been kind of running wild these last

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Speaker 1: few weeks.

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Speaker 2: This is an.

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Speaker 1: Important time for you. You better make some extra money

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Speaker 1: to pay for that wedding that's coming up.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, thank god I was able to hit

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Speaker 3: on like the Michael Pennix to the Atlanta Falcons. That

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Speaker 3: you can say not because this is basically my tracker

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Speaker 3: with the NFL drive, he's basically been two years ago.

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Speaker 3: I hit on the Jamier Gibbs to the Detroit Lions

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Speaker 3: this past year, right, Michael PENNOCKX of the Falcons, and

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Speaker 3: it's saved my bacon both. So I'm excited to talk

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Speaker 3: about the NFL futures.

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Speaker 1: Though you are the all or nothing of the NFL

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Speaker 1: draft wagering.

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Speaker 2: I love it.

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Speaker 1: If you're looking for the long shots, please follow Ericson

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Speaker 1: on Betting Pros like he You've absolutely crushed that, not

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Speaker 1: last year, two years in a row.

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Speaker 2: Now, it's been so fun.

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Speaker 1: Now the little tiny bets, we can have some conversations

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Speaker 1: about that, but the big ones, it's all Ericson right here,

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Speaker 1: and I absolutely love it. So be like Ericson, use

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros tools sink your sports books today. Again

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Speaker 1: it's free to do that, and of course use the

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Speaker 1: tools starpeting smart and not harder around the betting Pros places,

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Speaker 1: because we're gonna take some of these odds we're finding

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Speaker 1: from the best houses, the best odds over on Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros and talk about him today. And we're gonna start

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Speaker 1: here with our favorite division odds and win totals. So again,

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Speaker 1: we've seen now what these rosters are more gonna look like.

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Speaker 1: We've seen the free agency.

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Speaker 2: Come and go. Now the NFL Draft is coming gone.

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Speaker 1: Yes, there will be injuries and changes, but there's always

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Speaker 1: value at the beginning of the board in the NFL season,

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Speaker 1: and this is a time where I love to make

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Speaker 1: some wagers. This is where I made myf Justin Jefferson

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Speaker 1: AP Player of the Year your wager on the show

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Speaker 1: here a couple of years ago. This is where we've

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Speaker 1: had some big draft capital go into some big players.

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Speaker 1: We've made some good decisions on them in terms of

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Speaker 1: win totals for certain teams. So I want to start

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Speaker 1: with one here. My favorite division odds on the board

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Speaker 1: right now are the Colts at plus three fifty. I

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Speaker 1: think the AFC South is open for business. I'm a

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Speaker 1: huge fan of Shane Stike and I think he is

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Speaker 1: one of the best offensive mines in the game. I

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Speaker 1: think it was astounding what he was able to do

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Speaker 1: without Richardson last year. With Gardner Minshew, they got d

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Speaker 1: Ni Mitchell, who is not a perfect wide receiver.

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Speaker 2: But I think the role that they have him for

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Speaker 2: is perfect.

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Speaker 1: He's that guy that's gonna stretch the field, give another

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Speaker 1: dynamic to this offense that we know, with the healthy

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Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor is gonna be really good so ericson the

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Speaker 1: Cults to me jump out right away, and I think

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Speaker 1: that you have the same feeling I do that they

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Speaker 1: are a really good wager at more than three to

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Speaker 1: one right now on the board.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that.

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Speaker 3: This was when I was looking at the division odds

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Speaker 3: on the betting Pros website. Basically I'm looking for OK

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Speaker 3: because I love the long shots, like who could I

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Speaker 3: actually see winning their division without catastrophic injuries like hitting

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Speaker 3: all the other teams? And for me, I agree with you,

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Speaker 3: it's the Colts playing in the AFC South. Yes, the

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Speaker 3: Houston Texans are everybody's favorite, but now they're facing the

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Speaker 3: toughest schedule in that division, so they're going to be

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Speaker 3: tested now. Like last year they were facing a worst

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Speaker 3: team schedule. This year it's going to be a little

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Speaker 3: bit different. So the Texans are now the hunted, right.

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Speaker 3: You know, last year they were ever in his favorite story,

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Speaker 3: exceeding above expectations.

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Speaker 4: You know, how do they now play with expectations?

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Speaker 5: Oh?

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Speaker 3: Now, you guys have to win the division? So the Colts,

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Speaker 3: you know, finishing still underneath. The Jaguars have longer odds,

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Speaker 3: and the Jaguars, I think that the Titans are still

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Speaker 3: a little bit away, so I agree with you with

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Speaker 3: the Colts again. They won nine games last year in

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Speaker 3: Shane stikens first year as the head coach, after losing

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Speaker 3: their starting quarterback, who looked amazing in the four games

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Speaker 3: that he did play in. So I think that offensively

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Speaker 3: they were there last year with Stakan tenth in points

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Speaker 3: for tenth in points per game scored, and they smashed

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Speaker 3: their preseason in win total.

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Speaker 4: Was this six and a half wins? They have won

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Speaker 4: nine games.

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Speaker 3: And Anthony Ridgarson played four it did even played four

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Speaker 3: complete games. So I really like this this Colts one.

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Speaker 3: Here they improve. They drafted late to Latu, you know,

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Speaker 3: to kind of solve that edge. You don't really big

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Speaker 3: rosterhole I see is a cornerback, and I know that

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Speaker 3: ballot has come out and so they have confidence some

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Speaker 3: of their younger cornerbacks.

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Speaker 4: So we'll see if they can step up.

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Speaker 3: But even if their defense goes from they were at

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Speaker 3: twenty eight points allot last year, if they can go

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Speaker 3: to an average defense, I think they can make some

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Speaker 3: noise for sure and win this division.

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Speaker 2: The deficit.

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Speaker 1: A corner could come up though against the Texans of

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Speaker 1: all teams too, So that's going to be really interesting.

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Speaker 1: Now the digs is there, you already have to do

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Speaker 1: a Nego Collins. You have to deal with Tank Dell.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully he's healthy enough to come back and play at

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Speaker 1: the best of his abilities this year in twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: But that'll be interesting to see. Those are gonna be

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Speaker 1: some marquee matchups. But even if they split with them,

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Speaker 1: I'm telling you right now, I think the Colts are

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Speaker 1: very dangerous for that division. All right, let's get to

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Speaker 1: another team here that you are high on when it

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Speaker 1: comes to division odds right now, that you think there's

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Speaker 1: a good value on the board, and maybe that value

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Speaker 1: might change as the months continue to get closer and

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Speaker 1: closer to training camp opening.

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Speaker 3: Well, every year, it's funny because we always see a

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Speaker 3: team finish in the last place in their division, and

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Speaker 3: then the next year they finish in first, and it's

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Speaker 3: crazy to take that team. This year is gonna be

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Speaker 3: the Bengals, Like they finished in last place last year

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Speaker 3: because of the Joe bo injury. They had an awful schedule.

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Speaker 3: They had one of the toughest schedules in the NFL,

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Speaker 3: and they play in the AFC North, where the Browns

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Speaker 3: are winning games they probably shouldn't be winning. The Steelers

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Speaker 3: are winning games they shouldn't be winning, and that is

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Speaker 3: to the benefit of the twenty twenty four Cincinnati Bengals.

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Speaker 3: They're like, fine Steelers, Browns win all these games that

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Speaker 3: don't really matter and make it easier for us to

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Speaker 3: get back into contention. And I think that them looking

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Speaker 3: at their schedule this year, they have the sixth easiest

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Speaker 3: schedule overall, and that's compared to the thirty second rank

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Speaker 3: schedule that they faced last year. So this isn't just

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Speaker 3: projecting the wins and losses from each of the teams

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Speaker 3: they face. This is projecting the forecast the win totals

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Speaker 3: of their opponents. So yet we don't know exactly when

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Speaker 3: they're playing everybody, but we know who they are playing.

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Speaker 3: And despite playing in the AFC North, which is one

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Speaker 3: of the more competitive divisions of the NFL, the Bengals

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Speaker 3: have a really easy schedule.

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Speaker 4: So they're getting Joe Burrow back healthy.

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Speaker 3: They still have to Higgins on the roster like they

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Speaker 3: didn't trot trade him, So I think that they're all

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Speaker 3: in on this year and conversing with the Ravens. The

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Speaker 3: Ravens had it last year like last year, was to

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Speaker 3: be on the Ravens, and they didn't come through. They

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Speaker 3: did not deliver in the AFC Championship game. It fell

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Speaker 3: up just shorts against the Kansas City Chiefs. And I

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Speaker 3: don't think their rosters as good as it was last year.

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Speaker 3: The lot a lot of pieces. They still have question

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Speaker 3: marks at tackle. And all the Bengals did was address

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Speaker 3: all their needs. They got two right tackles after they

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Speaker 3: lost Jona Williams, they drafted two defensive tackles. They added

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Speaker 3: Sheldon Rankens to replace one of their guys that they

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Speaker 3: lost in free agencies.

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Speaker 4: So I think it plugged up all their holes.

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Speaker 3: And most importantly, they have Joe Burrow and the Hedgemar

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Speaker 3: Chase and they have no running back that they need

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Speaker 3: to give the ball to. So if that means more

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Speaker 3: passive tempts per Joe Burrow and Jamar Chase, I think

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Speaker 3: that just mean this office is going to cook. And

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Speaker 3: I think the defense can improve after just kind of

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Speaker 3: getting hurt by the injuries last year.

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Speaker 1: Well, look they did bring in Zach mas Zack moss is,

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Speaker 1: you know, coming off a good season. I think of

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Speaker 1: a surprising one for all of us for sure, But

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Speaker 1: I agree wholeheartedly with you. To me again, we are

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Speaker 1: in lockstep. We came here today with our own ideas

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Speaker 1: and it turned out a lot of them were the same,

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Speaker 1: which means you should be paying attention to them, because

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Speaker 1: that means we're onto something here. You made a great

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Speaker 1: point about every year that's a team that goes from

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Speaker 1: last to first. Again, who better than the Bengals With

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Speaker 1: Joe Burrow healthy, Now I gotta protect him obviously, that

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Speaker 1: goes a long way.

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Speaker 2: But even if T Higgs gets traded.

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Speaker 1: They did also make a splash air wide receiver which

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Speaker 1: Romaine Burton too, who is a hell of a player,

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Speaker 1: So that gives you a little bit more of a

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Speaker 1: cushion if there is an injury to Jamar tes Chi again,

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Speaker 1: or if there is an injury to some of these

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Speaker 1: other wide receivers. If T Higgin should go down, like

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Speaker 1: somebody else can step into that void here. And I

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Speaker 1: think it's really interesting to look at the path of

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Speaker 1: the Bengals, which is very clear. When Joe Burrow is

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Speaker 1: healthy and playing, the Bengals are an elite team in

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Speaker 1: the ANFC. When he is not we know the difference

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Speaker 1: and we see what it is. So I would rather

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Speaker 1: invest and put my money in Joe Burrow being healthy

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Speaker 1: and the Bengals being good than not, and you're getting

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Speaker 1: plus money on it right now. To me, it makes

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Speaker 1: a lot of sense. And I don't know how afraid

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Speaker 1: I am of the Ravens.

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Speaker 2: I'm with you.

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Speaker 1: I think the Ravens last year had a really great opportunity.

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Speaker 1: They let it slip through their fingers, and I think

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Speaker 1: it's going to take a toll on them a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Not to mention again, I look at this wide receiver corps.

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Speaker 1: It's Zay Flowers and everybody else again, Andrews hurt two

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Speaker 1: years in a row. It's gonna be a very predictable offense. Yes,

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Speaker 1: Dereck Henry's there, and that's gonna be a big difference maker.

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Speaker 1: But if we're talking about in these big spots, can

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Speaker 1: you put up points, can you push the ball downfield?

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Speaker 1: I have questions if the Ravens can do that in

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Speaker 1: those big competitive spots against the Bengals in those games,

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh still work.

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Speaker 2: In progress in the Browns or the Browns.

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Speaker 1: So at the end of the day, this division's wide

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Speaker 1: open for the Bengals to get back to the top

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Speaker 1: of it.

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Speaker 2: I want to go back to some win totals here, Ericsson.

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Speaker 2: As I said.

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Speaker 1: Before, if I am writing a script here for twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty four, I'm thinking about certain teams that I'm investing in.

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Speaker 1: I already talked about investing in the Colts for certain reasons.

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Speaker 1: So I'm investing in them to win this division, and

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Speaker 1: they're probably going to go over that win total, and

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Speaker 1: right now that win total on betting pros is an

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Speaker 1: eight and a half, So I'm going the over here.

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Speaker 2: I think they can easily get denied. They got denied

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Speaker 2: last year.

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Speaker 1: As you're pointed out, I think this is a double

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Speaker 1: digit win team potentially right in front of us. And

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Speaker 1: you're getting plus money on the Colts at plus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five. So for me, I look at that Colt

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Speaker 1: seam right now. Is Anthony Richardson is going to be

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Speaker 1: in the Ward conversation. He is a transformative, transcendent talent

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Speaker 1: in this league. And if the work ethic, which it

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Speaker 1: seems like matches the talent shows itself in twenty twenty four,

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Speaker 1: it's going to be a special season for the Indianapolis

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Speaker 1: Colts ericson when you're starting to look at win totals,

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Speaker 1: who pops out to you.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going to the Los Angeles Chargers. Who.

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Speaker 3: I mean, We've had so many shows talking about the

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Speaker 3: Chargers and it's like, Hey, you want to lose money

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Speaker 3: bet on the Chargers.

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Speaker 4: That's basically it.

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Speaker 3: Whether it's like season long, whether it doesn't matter, true,

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Speaker 3: there's one of these teams that you don't ever want

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Speaker 3: to bet on. And historically the last four years they've

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Speaker 3: gone under their win total projection four straight years for

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Speaker 3: the Los Angeles Charges just underneath their win total, and

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Speaker 3: I think it's going to be progression to the mean.

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Speaker 3: Here you have Jim Harbaugh coming in from Michigan and

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Speaker 3: he's had success at the NFL level seventy percent win rate,

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Speaker 3: which is equivalent to an eighteen game season, that's twelve

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Speaker 3: and a half wins.

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Speaker 4: So I think under the.

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Speaker 3: Leadership of Harbaugh, who's establishing a culture, a winning culture

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Speaker 3: which Los Angeles has never had since the team basically

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Speaker 3: moved from San Diego, which I still don't know if

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Speaker 3: they had a winning culture there. But I just think

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Speaker 3: that this team has that stigma on them where oh no,

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Speaker 3: not again. I can't bet it at the Charge I can't.

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Speaker 3: I can't do it.

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Speaker 1: But it's been a culture of being soft a little

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Speaker 1: bit too, which I think Harbaugh is going to bring

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Speaker 1: a little bit back of that, Hey we're gonna run

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Speaker 1: the football, be nasty, play a little bit more defense.

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Speaker 1: Like the cap issues were really a difficult thing for

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Speaker 1: them to get under. But to your point, they've had

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Speaker 1: winning teams with the Tomlinson years. You know, back in

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Speaker 1: the day there was some really good Charger teams. They

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Speaker 1: just could never get over that hump. But they also

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Speaker 1: were sometimes thought of in those big spots as sometimes

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Speaker 1: a little mentally soft, And I think that that's maybe

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Speaker 1: where Harball can change the culture the most.

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Speaker 2: Do you agree, Yeah?

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Speaker 4: I do.

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Speaker 3: I mean the Chargers were the kings of losing games

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Speaker 3: that they should have won, like like every single time,

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Speaker 3: like blown in the fourth quarter, like never delivering. And

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Speaker 3: they always had talent, right that was the thing, was

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Speaker 3: it never getting the most out of the talent. And

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Speaker 3: where does that matter the most the coaching, Like, I

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Speaker 3: think that's what you're gonna see with Harbag is he's

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Speaker 3: going to take a roster that Okay, maybe they've been

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Speaker 3: over that a little bit when it comes to talent,

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Speaker 3: but there's still a lot of talented guys. And you're

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Speaker 3: starting with the quarterback Justin Herbert, like you have the

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Speaker 3: quarterback position fixed, like you don't have to worry about that.

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Speaker 3: So with Harbaugh, with Justin Herbert, I think this is

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Speaker 3: a team that you can bet the over on in

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Speaker 3: terms of eight and a half wins.

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Speaker 4: You look at Harbball.

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Speaker 3: He won at least eight games in three of his

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Speaker 3: four seasons as the forty nine ers head coach, and

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Speaker 3: he won eleven in his first three seasons. It was

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Speaker 3: until his last year where they went eight to eight.

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Speaker 3: So I'm gonna put my belief in Harbaugh in this

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Speaker 3: team and he's gonna get the most out of this roster,

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Speaker 3: and the Chargers are going to aggrest to the mean

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Speaker 3: and finally hit a win on their or hit the

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Speaker 3: over on their wins total.

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Speaker 1: I love this and I agree with you because if

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Speaker 1: you're talking about team's post draft, the Chargers had a

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Speaker 1: great draft, Joe Walt coming in to play tackle. Right,

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Speaker 1: you have Lad McConkie, who I know Thor is very

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Speaker 1: high on. I'm very high on you like the player

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Speaker 1: two he's going to be a target hog in this offense.

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Speaker 1: You also brought in on the defensive side a guy

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Speaker 1: that you know very well, Junior Colson, who has leadership

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Speaker 1: ability in the middle of le field as a linebacker,

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Speaker 1: like you're gonna have now all of a sudden, more

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Speaker 1: Harbaugh style guys already, and solidifying the offensive line, solidifying

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Speaker 1: the middle of that defense a little bit more, starting

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Speaker 1: to bring in quote unquote your type of people. I

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Speaker 1: think it's going to go a long way to maybe

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Speaker 1: holding on to some of those leads that they had

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Speaker 1: that they continue to squander. One other team, Erickson, that

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Speaker 1: I'm high on, who I thought also had a very

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Speaker 1: good draft, and I think I don't necessarily want to

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Speaker 1: talk about them winning divisions yet, but I do want

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Speaker 1: to talk about the win total. And that team right

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Speaker 1: now is, believe it or not, folks, the Arizona Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: It's not very often we leave an NFL draft where

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Speaker 1: we think really highly of the Arizona Cardinals at what

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Speaker 1: they've done. But with a healthy Kyler Murray, all of

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Speaker 1: a sudden, you draft Marvin Harrison junior. You look at

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Speaker 1: what they did bringing in Benson here, you look at

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Speaker 1: some of the defensive pieces as well. The Cardinals made

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Speaker 1: out here and they have a very low win total.

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Speaker 1: It's only six and a half. Now there is some

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Speaker 1: juice on it at minus one thirty. But Erickson, I

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Speaker 1: look at the Cardinals as an opportunity for them to

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Speaker 1: take a step forward. And I know this is an

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Speaker 1: unpopular opinion. Yeah, the forty nine ers is still going

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Speaker 1: to be great. But if you historically track teams that

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Speaker 1: lose in the Super Bowl, especially heartbreak losses, as you

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Speaker 1: would equate last year's lost to b they do not

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Speaker 1: bounce back into Super Bowl form. It does not happen.

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Speaker 1: They rarely get back to the super Bowl, let alone win.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not saying they're going to catch the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers, but I am saying they're going to be

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Speaker 1: a really tougher out. I think that they've been the

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Speaker 1: last couple of years. What do you think about the

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Speaker 1: Cardinals win total at six and a half.

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Speaker 3: The Cardinals were one of the more plucky teams that

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Speaker 3: I remember betting on last year, a lot of overs

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Speaker 3: in the desert, and that's because they're a team that

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Speaker 3: likes to fight.

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Speaker 4: And I couldn't believe that this is still six and

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Speaker 4: a half.

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Speaker 3: Kyler Murray is a good quarterback, like and he was

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Speaker 3: coming up a towurd ACL. I remember betting on the

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Speaker 3: Cardinals a lot right when Kyler Murray came back, and

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Speaker 3: thinking like, do these Liones know that he is the quarterback?

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Speaker 3: Like they don't have Joshua Dobbs, they don't have Clayton Tune,

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Speaker 3: they don't have insert quarterback here that's going to start

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Speaker 3: this week for the Arizona Cardinals.

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Speaker 5: No.

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Speaker 3: I think that this is buying the dip on a

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Speaker 3: market that's just not considering enough how Kyler Murray, how

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Speaker 3: effective he can be now a full year removed from

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Speaker 3: this torn ACL with a wide receiver one in Marvin

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Speaker 3: Harrison Junior, with a defense that's good. It's pieces together

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Speaker 3: under Jonathan Gann in his second year. Like last year,

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Speaker 3: of course, there was no expectations for them. They didn't

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Speaker 3: have their starting quarterback. It was a brand new head coach,

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Speaker 3: they didn't have a lot of talent. But now they've

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Speaker 3: put in back to back drafts that I've liked a

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Speaker 3: lot from Monty Allison board formally the Titans and the Patriots.

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Speaker 3: He's done a really good job of putting this roster together,

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Speaker 3: collecting talent, collecting draft picks, and I think you're going

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Speaker 3: to see the rewards of all those draft picks the

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Speaker 3: last two years, and I think they're going to get

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Speaker 3: more wins. And I think, like you said, if we

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Speaker 3: see a step back from the forty nine ers, potentially,

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Speaker 3: what are we expecting from the Rams? A team that's

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Speaker 3: kind of up and down. Obviously they made the playoffs

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Speaker 3: kind of surprise. So yeah, I think that Arizona and

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Speaker 3: then Seattle. You know, Seattle's another wildcard team. You know,

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Speaker 3: I was really high in Seattle lastyear, but then Gino

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Speaker 3: Smith took a step back. So I think Arizona you

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Speaker 3: just looking at Kyler Murray like and.

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Speaker 1: A transitioning coach too this year, EXAs teams when they

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Speaker 1: transition a head coaches and Peak Coal's been there a

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Speaker 1: long time. Yeah, that sometimes takes a while for everything

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Speaker 1: to get on the same page.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's take a look now ahead to some

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Speaker 1: of the conference numbers here that we like on the

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Speaker 1: early NFL board, and also maybe some Super Bowl odds here.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go a little chalk here because I do

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Speaker 1: think the Kansasity Chiefs are on a mission. They know

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Speaker 1: what's out there. They want this three peat. Travis Kelsey

399
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Speaker 1: signed his two year extension. They drafted Xavier Worthy, they

400
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Speaker 1: brought in Hollywood Brown. They have some more reputable talent

401
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Speaker 1: and a lot of speed now as well. On that

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Speaker 1: wide receiver corp, Russian Rice is probably gonna face some

403
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Speaker 1: sort of suspension. My guess is somewhere between two and

404
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Speaker 1: six games it'll land in there. I don't think it's

405
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Speaker 1: going to be more than six. We shall see how

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Speaker 1: it works out. But still I think you're going into

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Speaker 1: things with a little bit more certainty than you went

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Speaker 1: into last year. That wide receiver group was just straight

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Speaker 1: up bad last year for Patrick Mahomes, and he still

410
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Speaker 1: was able to get blood from a stone, get this

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Speaker 1: team into the playoffs, get him to.

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Speaker 2: The Super Bowl, and then a Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Win to who of all people, mi Cole Hartman catching

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Speaker 1: a ball at the end of the game to win.

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Speaker 1: I mean, that's how crazy to start.

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Speaker 2: They brought him back, he didn't even catch him ball

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Speaker 2: for them.

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Speaker 3: I feel like, you know, one imagine fans at the

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Speaker 3: beginning of year, Michole Harton is going to catch the

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Speaker 3: Super Bowl winning touchdown, right but oh my god, it's

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Speaker 3: gonna be great now.

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Speaker 2: One caveat, it's for the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: Sorry, you know, oops, But right now the Chiefs are

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Speaker 1: still plus three seventy on the board, Ericson, that's a

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Speaker 1: lot of money you could win right there.

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Speaker 2: That is a terrific grouping of odds. There.

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Speaker 1: You know that the continuity is there, and that to

428
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Speaker 1: me is so important. Ericson, continuent in the NFL is huge.

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Speaker 1: Personnel is huge, coaching is huge. Continuity with both of

430
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Speaker 1: those things, and an elite level is very investible. So

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Speaker 1: I am very comfortable investing in the Chiefs right now.

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Speaker 1: Plus three seventy. Again, it's a little chalky, doesn't mean

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Speaker 1: it's wrong, and right now is a really good number.

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Speaker 1: And what's that number going to look like if the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs get off to a six and o start, And

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Speaker 1: that's not outside the realm of possibilities. But that's no fun.

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Speaker 1: So let's go to Ericson with something it's a little

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00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:56,200
Speaker 1: bit more entertaining in terms of maybe the winner of

439
00:16:56,240 --> 00:16:56,680
Speaker 1: the AFC.

440
00:16:56,840 --> 00:16:59,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna continue to ride the Cincinnati Bengals. I'm

441
00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:02,000
Speaker 3: drinking in all of the tiger kool aid here with

442
00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:05,160
Speaker 3: the Cincinnati Bengals. So I look just to point out

443
00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:07,320
Speaker 3: again the strength of schedule thing, which I think is

444
00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:10,240
Speaker 3: massive for Cincinnati because they came in last place in

445
00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:13,320
Speaker 3: the division last year. So they're going from the thirty

446
00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:16,000
Speaker 3: second rank schedule they faced last season again amid all

447
00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,280
Speaker 3: the injuries, they also have the toughest schedule of any team.

448
00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:21,199
Speaker 3: Now they're going to the sixth easiest schedule. And when

449
00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:23,640
Speaker 3: you look at teams that are projected for at least

450
00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:25,520
Speaker 3: ten and a half wins, so you're looking at their

451
00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:27,760
Speaker 3: win totals at ten and a half, it's only the

452
00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:31,400
Speaker 3: Bengals and the Eagles that actually have a top ten

453
00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:33,960
Speaker 3: favorable schedule but also are projected to win ten and

454
00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:35,800
Speaker 3: a half games. So they're just kind of checking off

455
00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:38,119
Speaker 3: all the boxes of a team that's like, why can't

456
00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:39,919
Speaker 3: this team make a run. And when you look at

457
00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:42,840
Speaker 3: the Bengals in the the Chiefs when they've played each other,

458
00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:45,000
Speaker 3: like these teams have gone toe to toe multiple times.

459
00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:47,280
Speaker 3: Two of the last three AFC Championship games the Chiefs

460
00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:49,679
Speaker 3: have played. This isn't any Bengals in Like, I'm not

461
00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:52,480
Speaker 3: afraid of the Ravens. I'm not afraid of the Buffalo

462
00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:54,520
Speaker 3: Bills teams that I think are turning over a lot

463
00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:56,960
Speaker 3: of pieces. Whereas the Bengals, I feel like they're looking

464
00:17:56,960 --> 00:17:59,080
Speaker 3: at this year more as like hey, like this is

465
00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,240
Speaker 3: a window for us, and I think last year they

466
00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:03,439
Speaker 3: just it just didn't work out because of the injuries

467
00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:04,879
Speaker 3: like that, they just got hit by the injuries. And

468
00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:07,760
Speaker 3: I just don't think your over year usually get better

469
00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:09,719
Speaker 3: injury luck. So when you get hit by injuries really

470
00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:11,280
Speaker 3: bad and the next year usually a little bit healthier

471
00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:13,800
Speaker 3: and vice versa. So I just I just continue to

472
00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:15,479
Speaker 3: want to ride the Cincinnati Bengals, and I know that

473
00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:17,440
Speaker 3: you know, going in if it's AFEC Championship game between

474
00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,480
Speaker 3: the Bengals and Chiefs, at least I have a chance.

475
00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:22,080
Speaker 3: Like I got a chance. I don't feel like can't

476
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:23,080
Speaker 3: beat Mahomes.

477
00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:25,000
Speaker 4: He can't. Like he's done it Befourse.

478
00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:27,720
Speaker 2: Again, so he's done it multiple times. You know.

479
00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:29,960
Speaker 1: What I think was most impressive though, despite it was

480
00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:33,119
Speaker 1: being a disappointing season for the Bengals, Erickson, what I

481
00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:36,159
Speaker 1: took away was that team did not quit on Zach Taylor,

482
00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:39,080
Speaker 1: and I think a lot of teams in that situation

483
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:43,919
Speaker 1: would quit. You Sam be very hyper competitive with backup

484
00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:47,080
Speaker 1: quarterback play. With a ton of injuries all over the place,

485
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:49,679
Speaker 1: they did not fold up the tents. There was effort

486
00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:52,560
Speaker 1: every single week out of the Cincinnati Bengals, And to me,

487
00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:55,040
Speaker 1: that means you're building something special there. That means that

488
00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:57,320
Speaker 1: these players believe in the system, believe in the coach,

489
00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:00,680
Speaker 1: believe in the culture. And when you get healthy Jamar

490
00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:02,639
Speaker 1: Chase and you get a healthy Joe Burrow back, then

491
00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,000
Speaker 1: all of a sudden things look really really good for

492
00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,160
Speaker 1: you potentially, And I'm with you, like, to me, that's

493
00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:09,720
Speaker 1: the long shot that makes the most sense. I'm gonna

494
00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:11,760
Speaker 1: go again, maybe a little bit chalk in the NFC.

495
00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:13,640
Speaker 1: Maybe not a lot of people love the forty nine ERDs.

496
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:16,040
Speaker 1: I don't already laid out the reason why, And you

497
00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:19,920
Speaker 1: want to go historical data matters, and I think Kyle

498
00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:23,440
Speaker 1: Shanahan's window might have been a little bit tighter now

499
00:19:23,760 --> 00:19:25,080
Speaker 1: that we look at the rest of the NFC and

500
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,480
Speaker 1: how they've caught up, and the Lions at plus six

501
00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:30,040
Speaker 1: hundred to me, continue to be the most intriguing team

502
00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:33,879
Speaker 1: on the board. I'm thinking about also places where if

503
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,240
Speaker 1: the Lions handle their business and somehow end up with

504
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:39,160
Speaker 1: home field advantage throughout the playoffs. There's not a lot

505
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:40,880
Speaker 1: of places where I still go, oh, that's a really

506
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:42,399
Speaker 1: gonna be a really tough place to play. That crowd's

507
00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:45,200
Speaker 1: gonna be insane. The Lions crowd is gonna be insane.

508
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,760
Speaker 1: That building, we know is going to be nuts. If

509
00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:49,479
Speaker 1: they are on the precipice of a Super Bowl, an

510
00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:52,560
Speaker 1: AFC champion, an NFC excuse me, championship game, they are

511
00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:55,640
Speaker 1: going to be absolutely in a spot with a home

512
00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,880
Speaker 1: field advantage, and to me, that is huge. So I'm

513
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:02,080
Speaker 1: looking at the Lions coming out of the NFC. They

514
00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:06,040
Speaker 1: have the offensive pieces, they have the defensive pieces. Again,

515
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,560
Speaker 1: I think Dan Campbell unfortunately had to learn some hard

516
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:11,680
Speaker 1: lessons last year in the playoffs where sometimes you just

517
00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:13,520
Speaker 1: got to be a little bit more conservative and sometimes

518
00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:15,560
Speaker 1: you got to take control. Stuff you do in the

519
00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:17,440
Speaker 1: regular season is not stuff you do in the playoffs,

520
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,359
Speaker 1: and a little bit more discipline and sometimes hard lessons

521
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:23,000
Speaker 1: go a long way. I think Dan Campbell learned that.

522
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:24,920
Speaker 1: We'll see if I'm right or wrong, but at plus

523
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:27,159
Speaker 1: six hundred in the NFC, I think the Lions are

524
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 1: a really good investment when you're looking at the NFC,

525
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 1: where do you want to invest for the NFC champion?

526
00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:34,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I mentioned when I was talking about the Bengals.

527
00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,240
Speaker 3: I like the Eagles because of their easy schedule, top

528
00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:39,119
Speaker 3: ten schedule, and they have a win total set at

529
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:40,760
Speaker 3: ten and a half wins. So the expectation is this

530
00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:42,919
Speaker 3: team should win double digit games and they have an

531
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,760
Speaker 3: easy schedule. So again looking for Okay, what's the easiest

532
00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:47,840
Speaker 3: path for a team to get the number one seed? Right?

533
00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:50,040
Speaker 3: You mentioned the Lions. I think the Eagles also have

534
00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 3: a easy path. Like I'm I afraid of Dallas and

535
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,280
Speaker 3: all the additions they've made signing Ezekie ALVII, and am

536
00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:57,480
Speaker 3: I afraid that they're going to take a step forward? No,

537
00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,400
Speaker 3: if anything, I believe more in the Eagles bouncing back again.

538
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:03,399
Speaker 3: They start out the season hot, they kept winning a

539
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:04,800
Speaker 3: lot of games, but we all kind of knew, like,

540
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,600
Speaker 3: all right, these are kind of like smelly wins, like

541
00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:09,439
Speaker 3: what's going on here? And then they obviously crumbled down

542
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:10,480
Speaker 3: the second half of the season like a lot of

543
00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 3: us projected, because like, this team is overrated. This team's

544
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:15,560
Speaker 3: not winning games, they're not winning the right way. So again,

545
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,240
Speaker 3: but the talent is still there. They have elite playmakers

546
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,480
Speaker 3: at wide receiver. They have an elite offensive line that

547
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:22,920
Speaker 3: they continue to reinvest in every single year. They get

548
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:24,760
Speaker 3: ahead of it. Oh, Travis Kelsey retired, or excuse me,

549
00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 3: Jason Kelcey retired. They already have the next center like

550
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 3: lined up and ready to go. They signed Saquon Barkley

551
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,399
Speaker 3: to do a massive deal because hey, we want to

552
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 3: upgrade a the running back position. We want another playmaker

553
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:35,639
Speaker 3: for Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts was banged up at the

554
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,480
Speaker 3: end of last year. Defensively, their secondary was getting cooked.

555
00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:40,119
Speaker 3: What do they do in the draft? They draft two

556
00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:42,560
Speaker 3: of the top three cornerbacks in the NFL draft. So

557
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:46,320
Speaker 3: I just think that this roster is just loaded up.

558
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,000
Speaker 3: And the things last year when they tried to replace

559
00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 3: the offensive decent defensive coordinators, they lost Shane Stike and

560
00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:54,320
Speaker 3: they lost Jonathan Again, two guys that are both head coaches. Like,

561
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:57,200
Speaker 3: that's a lot of coaching that they lost and who

562
00:21:57,200 --> 00:21:57,960
Speaker 3: they replaced them with.

563
00:21:58,040 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 4: It didn't work out.

564
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,119
Speaker 3: So this year they added new two new guys, Vic

565
00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:04,600
Speaker 3: Fangio coming in and you also have Kellen Moore coming in.

566
00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:07,120
Speaker 3: So I really think that they have. They're a better

567
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:10,520
Speaker 3: opposition both offensively defensively with the coaches and staff that

568
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,760
Speaker 3: are in place now upgrades from last year or just

569
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:15,720
Speaker 3: changes from last year because last year just did not

570
00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:18,520
Speaker 3: work and they didn't try to go back to it.

571
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:19,959
Speaker 3: They're like, no, this isn't gonna work. We have too

572
00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:22,920
Speaker 3: much talent to put what the product on the field

573
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:24,120
Speaker 3: that they did at the end of the last year.

574
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 3: I think anyone that watched the Eagles was like, the

575
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 3: team's that giving up. Like they went into Tampa Bay

576
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:30,359
Speaker 3: and just looked like nothing. They're like, this team's.

577
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:32,240
Speaker 4: Gonna lose to Maga Bayfield, like they had just kind

578
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 4: of fallen.

579
00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 1: Up all they did and I made money on it

580
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,400
Speaker 1: and that was very happy because you could see the

581
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:41,120
Speaker 1: toll of the season really came crushing down upon them.

582
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:43,840
Speaker 1: And you know ericson trying to remember, oh, right, the

583
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:46,760
Speaker 1: Eagles lost in heartbreaking fashion the Super Bowl the year before,

584
00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 1: didn't they? And they fell apart, didn't they.

585
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:51,040
Speaker 2: This is a real thing.

586
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:53,120
Speaker 1: Go back and look over the last twenty five years.

587
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:54,720
Speaker 1: There's two teams that got back in and the after

588
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,240
Speaker 1: lose it. One's the Patriots and Tom Brady so you

589
00:22:57,240 --> 00:22:59,200
Speaker 1: can throw that one out the window and the other

590
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:01,280
Speaker 1: one is an anomaly. The rest of the time it

591
00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:04,560
Speaker 1: does not happen. So I agree with you. The only

592
00:23:04,600 --> 00:23:06,479
Speaker 1: thing was holding me up is still a little bit

593
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:09,720
Speaker 1: youth on that defense. I love getting Quinia Mitchell. I

594
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,159
Speaker 1: love them getting Cooper Degen. Like those that was our

595
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,439
Speaker 1: big need, right, corners are big need they addressed in

596
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,400
Speaker 1: the draft. I really struggled, and I was going back

597
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:20,159
Speaker 1: and forth between the Eagles and the Lions. But I

598
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:22,399
Speaker 1: love the Eagles equally a plus eight hundred if you

599
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,040
Speaker 1: want to go put a small note on both of them.

600
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 1: It makes a lot of sense there because I think

601
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:29,040
Speaker 1: one of those two are probably gonna be where it goes.

602
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: The only other thing that held me back at the

603
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:32,560
Speaker 1: end of the day was that Jalen Hurts had a

604
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,800
Speaker 1: different offensive coordinator every year of his college and NFL career.

605
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:40,440
Speaker 1: At some point, continuity matters, at some point, one voice matters,

606
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:42,919
Speaker 1: and I just worry about that a little bit. The

607
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,360
Speaker 1: Eagles got a really tough schedule. They ran the gauntlet.

608
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:47,240
Speaker 1: It took its toll. They fell apart in that game

609
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,480
Speaker 1: against the forty nine ers, and frankly, they never recovered

610
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 1: after that, So I'm not going to kill the Eagles

611
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:53,879
Speaker 1: for a tough schedule and a tough year where there

612
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,720
Speaker 1: were injuries and other issues with the coaching staff. You

613
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,720
Speaker 1: mentioned the two coordinators. They bring in, two guys that

614
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:00,840
Speaker 1: have a lot of experience in the NFL. Hope things are better,

615
00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,280
Speaker 1: but again there's still a little bit for me the

616
00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 1: Eagles to prove. But I love the number eight hundred.

617
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,680
Speaker 1: I think you're right, So that means, obviously we're looking

618
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 1: for a Super Bowl winner among these four teams that

619
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 1: we're talking about. I'm sticking with the three peat story

620
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 1: plus six fifty with the Chiefs. I'm gonna stay there.

621
00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 1: Something tells me, though, if indeed Andrew Erickson is the ericson,

622
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,240
Speaker 1: I know that he is going to snuff that out

623
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:25,000
Speaker 1: with Joe Burrow.

624
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:25,960
Speaker 2: Is that correct? Yep?

625
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, fourteen to one plus fourteen hundred Cincinnati Bengals to

626
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 3: win the Super Bowl. I do think though, that we

627
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:33,600
Speaker 3: should point out that we both picked AFC teams because ultimately,

628
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 3: when the Super Bowl comes around, the AFC T team

629
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:37,920
Speaker 3: is probably gonna be favored because they're gonna have the

630
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 3: better quarterback. Because that's just how these conferences are set up, right,

631
00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 3: if it's Jared goff orsh Patrick Mahomes, who do you

632
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 3: want Patch Mahomes? Like, if it's Joe Burrow ver Jaleen Hurts,

633
00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:47,720
Speaker 3: who do you want Joe Burrow?

634
00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 2: Like?

635
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:49,720
Speaker 4: That's just kind of how things are gonna shake out.

636
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,199
Speaker 3: So, yes, the AFC is harder to get to the

637
00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:54,720
Speaker 3: super Bowl because of how many good quarterbacks there are.

638
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:57,040
Speaker 3: But once you get to the big game, like, you

639
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 3: want to have the guy, you want to have the

640
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 3: team excuse me, with the best quarterback.

641
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:04,080
Speaker 1: Agreed, Let's take a look right now at the player

642
00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 1: futures right now.

643
00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 2: In terms of awards post draft.

644
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:10,960
Speaker 1: I keep saying after free agency bringing in Hollywood Brown

645
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:13,200
Speaker 1: that that he's the greatest wide receiver. But Worthy Brown,

646
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:14,840
Speaker 1: those are two guys with a lot of speed that

647
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:17,199
Speaker 1: brings that dynamic back to this Chiefs offense that they

648
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 1: really were lacking last year. Also, you hope people can

649
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:23,640
Speaker 1: catch the football this year, and I think people don't

650
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:26,880
Speaker 1: take into account enough that Travis Kelsey was basically hurt

651
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:29,439
Speaker 1: the entire year and played through the injuries. Now, I'm

652
00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 1: not saying that this age is not going to happen again,

653
00:25:32,080 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 1: but if he is healthier all of a sudden again,

654
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:37,120
Speaker 1: at some point you're gonna have Rushie Rice playing too.

655
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:40,960
Speaker 1: The Chiefs are really tough, and if they can with

656
00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,080
Speaker 1: Stan Joe Burrow and the Bengals, I'm with ericson. I

657
00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,720
Speaker 1: think the biggest challenger is not the Buffalo Bills. To me,

658
00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 1: it's going it's not within.

659
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:48,639
Speaker 2: Their own division for sure.

660
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:50,800
Speaker 1: I think it's definitely the Bengals. So if they can

661
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:52,680
Speaker 1: get past that hump, I think they're in a good

662
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:55,600
Speaker 1: spot here. So Mahomes at plus six point fifty for

663
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:58,280
Speaker 1: the MVP. Again, every year I invested it, and every

664
00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 1: year I make money because every year it goes down

665
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:02,840
Speaker 1: and every year I can at least cash out if

666
00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:04,080
Speaker 1: I don't want to see it all the way through.

667
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 1: And that to me is one of those things where

668
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,960
Speaker 1: mahomes every year for this award. Let's not forget last

669
00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:10,879
Speaker 1: year's stats were underwhelming. If you go back and look

670
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 1: at their career, Mahomes, he's much closer to a guy

671
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:14,719
Speaker 1: throwing for five thousand yards, And we start throwing from

672
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 1: the forty eight to five thousand yards and you're winning

673
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,639
Speaker 1: twelve thirteen games. Guess what you're gonna be in the

674
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:24,240
Speaker 1: MVP conversation, ericson once again, I think you're going to's

675
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:25,359
Speaker 1: stick the Bengals in my face.

676
00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:25,879
Speaker 2: Is that correct?

677
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:29,120
Speaker 3: Yes, Joe Burrow for me at plus one thousand, ten

678
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:31,520
Speaker 3: to one odds for Burrow to I just yeah, I

679
00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:32,879
Speaker 3: just really like the Bengals lot. I do have a

680
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,720
Speaker 3: question fall for you though, with the Chiefs and Mahomes.

681
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:37,440
Speaker 3: So the odds that you, at least looking at the

682
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 3: sheet both plus six fifty. So the same odds for

683
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 3: Homes of an MVP for the Chiefs to win the

684
00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:45,159
Speaker 3: Super Bowl. If you had to tell a person to

685
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:47,639
Speaker 3: put their money in one Chief's investment, whether it be

686
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:50,159
Speaker 3: Mahomes or the Super Bowl, which one would you go with?

687
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:53,120
Speaker 2: Hmmm? That's interesting.

688
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:56,280
Speaker 1: Well, I think the easier one is Mahomes because I

689
00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:58,040
Speaker 1: do think they're a team that's built for the regular

690
00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:00,520
Speaker 1: season and anything can happen in the playoffs. Yeah, but

691
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 1: what's already so interesting, you're gonnad bet the Super Bowl MVP.

692
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:06,720
Speaker 1: So if you want to get better odds on all

693
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:09,879
Speaker 1: of these things, just go there, because at the end

694
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 1: of the day, that's where you can really get the

695
00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,600
Speaker 1: big payoff. If you're writing that script that the Chiefs

696
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 1: have their three peat, make history. They are locked in.

697
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:20,119
Speaker 1: History is not lost on them. They get it, and

698
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,640
Speaker 1: they're they're starting to embrace the fact that they've gone

699
00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 1: from Oh, everybody loves the Chiefs to when you win

700
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 1: too much, everyone doesn't like you so much. You and

701
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,199
Speaker 1: I are Patriot fans. We know a thing or two

702
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:32,160
Speaker 1: about that, and the Chiefs are learning it the hard way.

703
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:34,120
Speaker 1: But the thing is just like Tom Brady was built

704
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 1: for it, and Gronk was bill for it, and Edelman

705
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:38,320
Speaker 1: was built for it. These guys are built for it.

706
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,919
Speaker 1: Mahmes doesn't care. He knows exactly what he's chasing. He's

707
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:44,959
Speaker 1: chasing history. Now, if you are taking Joe Burrow for MVP,

708
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: does that mean you're connecting my boy Jamar Chase, who

709
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:51,520
Speaker 1: was my Offensive Player of the Year prediction last year

710
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,240
Speaker 1: but fell short. Is that your guy this year?

711
00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:54,520
Speaker 3: Or then?

712
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:57,920
Speaker 2: If Burrow's going to have an MVP season, Joe, we were.

713
00:27:57,800 --> 00:27:59,560
Speaker 4: Just a year early, I'm convinced.

714
00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:01,200
Speaker 3: I was like, I really like the Bengals a lot

715
00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:03,000
Speaker 3: last year too, is like Bengals super Bowl, and then

716
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 3: and Burrow got hurt. I was like, oh no, this

717
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:07,480
Speaker 3: is gonna be absolutely disastrous and that actually hurt me

718
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 3: a lot in fantasy too, Like I liked a lot

719
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:11,040
Speaker 3: of the Bengals guys in fantasy, and that obviously did

720
00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,320
Speaker 3: not work out because of all the injuries. But yeah,

721
00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 3: I just I love Jamar Chase like to be this

722
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,439
Speaker 3: offensive juggernaut when you look at what he did last

723
00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:22,160
Speaker 3: year basically when we were looking at when Joe Burrow

724
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:25,359
Speaker 3: was mostly healthy. So Chase last seven games play with

725
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 3: Burrow in twenty twenty three, Chase was on pace for

726
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,080
Speaker 3: one hundred and forty three catches over eighteen hundred yards

727
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 3: in twelve touchdowns. And and something that I keep connecting

728
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:35,560
Speaker 3: the dots back to is looking at the running back

729
00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:37,720
Speaker 3: position with the Bengals. Right, they brought in Zach Moss,

730
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 3: they brought in Chase Brown. Okay, Like these guys are whatever,

731
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,000
Speaker 3: they can fill a role, but are they gonna be

732
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 3: really featured pieces of this offense when it's like when

733
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 3: they get near the goal line. Are they just gonna

734
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:50,440
Speaker 3: be dialing up rushing attempts for Jamar Chase? Is it

735
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:51,880
Speaker 3: just gonna be fad to Jamar Chase? It gonna be

736
00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:53,440
Speaker 3: slants that Jamar Chase like it reminds you of what

737
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:55,840
Speaker 3: happened in Dallas last year. Tony Pollard struggled mightily in

738
00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 3: the red zone, So what do they do. Where's Ceedee Lamb.

739
00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 3: Let's get Cee Lamb the ball? And seem led the

740
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 3: NFL red zone targets and he had a monster season.

741
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:05,320
Speaker 3: If it wasn't for Christian McCaffrey and Tyree Kill, like

742
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:07,280
Speaker 3: Ceedee Lamb would have been one of those guys that hey,

743
00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 3: this guy's gonna going off as a Player of the Year.

744
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,560
Speaker 3: So I think without that running back presence there, Joe

745
00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:13,640
Speaker 3: Mixon is gone. They have no need to feed a

746
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 3: running back in the red zone. It's like, where's Jamar Chase,

747
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,600
Speaker 3: Let's get him another touchdown. So I'm just so all

748
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,000
Speaker 3: in on this Borough Chase connection. I want as many

749
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:22,800
Speaker 3: pieces and bets as that I can get toward.

750
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:27,120
Speaker 1: It's funny you should mention Ceedee Lamb because that's my selection.

751
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,960
Speaker 1: Correct me if I'm wrong. Ericson did anything about the

752
00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 1: Cowboys run game get better year over year?

753
00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:35,600
Speaker 3: I mean, you gotta ask Jerry Jones what he thinks

754
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 3: about Zeke at twenty eight years old.

755
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:41,600
Speaker 2: Well, I'll have my people call his people. But no.

756
00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:44,600
Speaker 1: And you also forget that in the first what month

757
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 1: of the season, people were losing their mind about ce

758
00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:49,320
Speaker 1: Lam because they weren't getting in the football enough. Right

759
00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 1: you remember that, look at the rest of the year. Now,

760
00:29:52,120 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 1: let's start writing the script week one the right way.

761
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb right now has that opportunity plus eight to

762
00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: fifty right now for ap Offensive Player of the Year.

763
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 2: I love this one.

764
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:03,680
Speaker 1: All the reasons where Ericson kinda he kind of walked

765
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:05,240
Speaker 1: in and made my argument for me. So I don't

766
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 1: want to believor the point, but everything Andrews said is correct.

767
00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 1: He is that offense right now, They're gonna throw the

768
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 1: football aton They're going to be in some high scoring games.

769
00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:14,360
Speaker 2: Ceedee Lamb.

770
00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 1: Finally, after all these years that we've been waiting, took

771
00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 1: his game to that next Level's got to get him

772
00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:21,040
Speaker 1: the damn football and they did last year. And to me,

773
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:24,360
Speaker 1: that's the only path the Cowboys have to be competitive.

774
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,000
Speaker 1: Now NFL Draft is done, which means we've got to

775
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,680
Speaker 1: look at the rookies. So it's ironic neither of us

776
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,560
Speaker 1: have picked Caleb Williams to win Rookie of the Year,

777
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 1: which I think is hilarious. Maybe we're wrong, maybe we're right.

778
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:37,520
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Marvin Harrison Junior. I think this

779
00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:39,600
Speaker 1: guy's gonna step into that alpha role. He is plus

780
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 1: seven hundred on the board right now. Arizona Cardinals got

781
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,719
Speaker 1: their go to guy, and as Andrews said earlier in

782
00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 1: this show, Kyler Murray's a pretty darn good quarterback when

783
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 1: you give him a weapon. How far are we removed

784
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 1: from DeAndre Hopkins and him having some really good fantasy seasons?

785
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:55,480
Speaker 1: So why can't Harrison step right into that role and

786
00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 1: be good right away? I don't have an answer for it.

787
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 1: And if I'm looking at the win totals where some

788
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:04,160
Speaker 1: of the other big time quarterbacks landed, they might be underwhelming.

789
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:08,040
Speaker 1: Where if the Cardinals possibly surprise and delight us with

790
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:11,720
Speaker 1: as we went over the win total seven eight, who knows,

791
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:15,440
Speaker 1: maybe even nine wins? Crazier things have happened all of

792
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:17,160
Speaker 1: a sudden, The Arizona Cardinals are going to be a

793
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 1: little bit more getting the attention I think of the

794
00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 1: national media. And that's a good thing for Marvin Harrison Junior,

795
00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 1: who already has our attention. He's got the Hall of

796
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:26,000
Speaker 1: Fame blood lines, he has got everything you are looking

797
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:28,440
Speaker 1: for in a prototypical alpha wide receiver. And the best

798
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:30,880
Speaker 1: part about Rickson, all the targets are his to be

799
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:33,720
Speaker 1: had because there ain't no competition for him. So who

800
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 1: do you like for Offensive Player of the Year on

801
00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 1: the rookie side?

802
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:39,760
Speaker 3: So I had to go with the quarterback position, because

803
00:31:39,840 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 3: as good as Marvin Harrison you can be in year one,

804
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:45,120
Speaker 3: and as good as you probably will be, it's for me.

805
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 3: I just couldn't wrap my mind around a receiver winning

806
00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:53,120
Speaker 3: because we've had so many good receivers still lose to quarterbacks.

807
00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 3: Like last year Week Hua broke all these records, you

808
00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 3: got two votes because CJ.

809
00:31:58,560 --> 00:31:59,400
Speaker 4: Stroud was just that.

810
00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:02,600
Speaker 1: Good, was so great, and the team went to the playoffs.

811
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:05,200
Speaker 1: So if the Bears are the Commanders, make the playoffs,

812
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:05,600
Speaker 1: let me know.

813
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,120
Speaker 3: Okay, okay, that's another bet that we can make. We have,

814
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:11,120
Speaker 3: we got plenty of time. It's only May. But what

815
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 3: I will say too to that is so Kyler Murray's

816
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:16,040
Speaker 3: rookie year, right, So he won Offensive Rookie of the

817
00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 3: Year and in that season, AJ Brown had over one

818
00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:21,640
Speaker 3: thousand receiving yards and he didn't win the award, and

819
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:24,800
Speaker 3: then even before that, Justin Herbert his rookie year, Justin

820
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:28,080
Speaker 3: Jefferson had fourteen hundred receiving yards, didn't matter because he

821
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 3: doesn't hurber place quarterback. So that's why I'm going in

822
00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 3: the quarterback direction here. I'm gonna go with Jayden and Daniels.

823
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 3: So same odds as Marvin Harrison Junior at seven to one,

824
00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:38,400
Speaker 3: and I just think that the dynamism he brings is

825
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:41,280
Speaker 3: a dual threat. The fact that we've seen Cliff Kingsbury

826
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:43,880
Speaker 3: work with the rookie quarterback to lead him to an

827
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 3: offensive Rookie of the Year award before with Kyler Murray

828
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 3: back in twenty nineteen. I think Jayden Daniels does enough

829
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:52,520
Speaker 3: and can dazzle as the engine of that offense. Like

830
00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:55,560
Speaker 3: if the Commanders do anything, it's because of Jayden and Daniels,

831
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:58,960
Speaker 3: Like we all can make that happen. Whereas I don't

832
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:00,680
Speaker 3: want to say that the Bear support guess hurts KYLEB.

833
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 3: Williams in essence, but it's like he has much more

834
00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:04,760
Speaker 3: to work with, so the expectations are that he should

835
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 3: be better. But Jane Daniels to me also, I mean

836
00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 3: if Kile Williams wasn't in his draft class, like Jane

837
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 3: Daniels has the tool set to be a number one

838
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 3: overall pick, and you're getting a discount on him just

839
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:17,400
Speaker 3: because he was in the same draft or just so

840
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 3: happened to be in the same draft as Kayler Williams.

841
00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:21,080
Speaker 3: So for me, I like the seven to one odds.

842
00:33:21,080 --> 00:33:23,520
Speaker 3: Seven to one was the same odds Anthony Richardson had

843
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:25,480
Speaker 3: last year. I felt really good about that for the

844
00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:26,760
Speaker 3: first couple of weeks of the year. I was like,

845
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:29,200
Speaker 3: let's go. And then he got hurt, and then he

846
00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 3: got hurt. So, I mean, Daniel's obviously the concern with

847
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 3: him does he stay upright all year, But we've seen

848
00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:37,920
Speaker 3: even rookie quarterbacks with shortened seasons on a per game

849
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:40,440
Speaker 3: bas if, if he's really effective, he's rushing for touchdowns

850
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:43,160
Speaker 3: left and right, he's throwing dimes down the field of

851
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 3: Terry McLaurin.

852
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:46,520
Speaker 4: I do like Jane Yale's at seven to one.

853
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:50,480
Speaker 1: I liked the Daniels call because, just like Stroud last year,

854
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:53,600
Speaker 1: the expectations are so low, So when you surprise and

855
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:54,720
Speaker 1: delight people love that.

856
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:57,120
Speaker 2: I go if everyone's like, oh, the Commanders.

857
00:33:56,680 --> 00:33:58,400
Speaker 1: Are a work in progress, Oh my goodness, look at

858
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:00,920
Speaker 1: the Commanders go same thing loud year with the Texans. Ah,

859
00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:02,680
Speaker 1: the Texas are a hot master, You're gonna win three games.

860
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 1: Oh my god, they're a playoff team. When you obliterate

861
00:34:05,840 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 1: expectations like that, you're gonna get publicity. The hard part,

862
00:34:08,719 --> 00:34:10,399
Speaker 1: Caleb Williams in the spot, As you said, it's kind

863
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 1: of got expectations. So if it's not great, if it's

864
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:16,880
Speaker 1: just good or even very good, there's an opportunity for

865
00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:18,600
Speaker 1: other guys to win these awards. Let's talk about the

866
00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:20,920
Speaker 1: defensive Player of the Year. Who do you have that

867
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:23,520
Speaker 1: the early favorite after the draft dust is settled.

868
00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:25,279
Speaker 4: So this was one of my favorite ones.

869
00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:27,759
Speaker 3: I think I wrote up I think when bets came

870
00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:29,960
Speaker 3: out like in February, right after the Super Bowl Defensive

871
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 3: Player of the Year, and I was like locked in

872
00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:34,520
Speaker 3: on Aiden Hutchinson, and the odds have gotten longer at

873
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,759
Speaker 3: sixteen to one, and I can't believe it, Like I

874
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 3: never would feel this confident about a defensive player to win,

875
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:43,279
Speaker 3: but Aiden Hudginson checks off all the boxes of a

876
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 3: guy that is going to be in the running for

877
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:48,480
Speaker 3: this particular award because we know it comes down to

878
00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:50,440
Speaker 3: sack production. Right, we know at the end of the day,

879
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:53,000
Speaker 3: it's most likely the guy with the most sacks. We

880
00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:55,080
Speaker 3: saw a guy get five pick sixes last year and

881
00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:58,879
Speaker 3: he got one vote. Like quarterbacks, it's very very rare

882
00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 3: that any of them win the war. That you have

883
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:03,120
Speaker 3: to have like a Revius Stefan Gilmore season, and usually

884
00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 3: that only happens when the edge rushers just don't put

885
00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:06,880
Speaker 3: up a lot of sack numbers. So you're looking for

886
00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:09,719
Speaker 3: a player that can get double digit sacks, and what's

887
00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 3: the east way to find that player is to find

888
00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:13,799
Speaker 3: a defensive player that had a lot of pressures that

889
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 3: didn't get a lot of sacks, again looking for regression

890
00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:19,279
Speaker 3: to the mean, and that was Aiden Hutchinson. We're looking

891
00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 3: at what he did last year, second in total pressures

892
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:25,200
Speaker 3: at one hundred and one, but eighteenth in sack production.

893
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:27,920
Speaker 3: He had eight sacks in his last five games played.

894
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 3: So we're talking about who can be Who's the fans

895
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 3: team this year? It's the Lions. Everybody loves everyone loves

896
00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,239
Speaker 3: a good story. People are gonna want the Lions to

897
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:39,759
Speaker 3: succeed because they've constantly exceeded expectations every single year to

898
00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:42,880
Speaker 3: get closer and closer and closer, and Aiden Hutchinson is

899
00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:45,279
Speaker 3: the face of that defense. Like they didn't draft another

900
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 3: pass pressure. If they get sacks, it's gonna be Hudchets.

901
00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 3: So that's getting the guy, the quarterback on the ground.

902
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:51,520
Speaker 3: So it would not surprise me. Off he leads the

903
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 3: NFL in sacks and if he's not the best team

904
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:55,080
Speaker 3: in the NFC, he's gonna win this award.

905
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:59,800
Speaker 1: It's a great stat to the pressures. Conversion into sacks

906
00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense there. Like career heads that there,

907
00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:05,040
Speaker 1: young man plus sixteen hundreds, a hell of a number two.

908
00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:07,319
Speaker 2: I can't believe it's that big guy. I thought ten

909
00:36:07,360 --> 00:36:07,680
Speaker 2: to one of them.

910
00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:07,799
Speaker 5: More.

911
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:09,359
Speaker 4: Well, he's not even the top five. He's not even

912
00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:09,959
Speaker 4: in the top five.

913
00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:12,560
Speaker 1: No, I know, well, you it's the usual suspect is

914
00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 1: Michael Parsons or Miles Garrett's and you know your your TJ. Watts,

915
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:18,480
Speaker 1: And you know Tj' said some problems with his health last.

916
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:18,879
Speaker 2: Couple of years.

917
00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 1: We know that comeback Player of the Year is a

918
00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:22,800
Speaker 1: fun one. I know everyone's going to talk about cousins,

919
00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 1: They're gonna talk about Aaron Rodgers. I want to talk

920
00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:27,680
Speaker 1: about Anthony Richardson, because again I started the show with

921
00:36:27,719 --> 00:36:30,319
Speaker 1: the Colts, I want to end with the Colts. There

922
00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:33,240
Speaker 1: was a tease there where we saw what life looks

923
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:37,080
Speaker 1: like when the beast that is Anthony Richardson gets unleashed

924
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:39,560
Speaker 1: upon the NFL, and there will be peaks and valleys

925
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:42,680
Speaker 1: that will be learning curves. However, I think it is

926
00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:46,279
Speaker 1: very exciting to look at what this roster looks like,

927
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,080
Speaker 1: look at the guy who's running this offense in Shane Styken,

928
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:53,880
Speaker 1: and think that somewhere, somehow, Anthony Richardson is going to

929
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:57,359
Speaker 1: be awarded something could be Offensive Player of the Year.

930
00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:00,000
Speaker 1: You can look at that number two, a comeback Player

931
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:02,359
Speaker 1: of the Year plus seven hundreds are really intriguing one at.

932
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:02,839
Speaker 2: The same time.

933
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:05,239
Speaker 1: So again we're talking about investing in the Colts, We're

934
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:07,080
Speaker 1: talking about the Chiefs, We're talking about the Bengals. Those

935
00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:10,160
Speaker 1: are kind of our main investments. Some individual players within

936
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:12,200
Speaker 1: those teams too, but some really good stuff. But we

937
00:37:12,200 --> 00:37:14,880
Speaker 1: want to hear from you. Drop your comments below, subscribe

938
00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:16,680
Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and ring that bell

939
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:18,839
Speaker 1: to Lick Coast Ding so you could say, on top

940
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:21,640
Speaker 1: of all the latest NFL wagerings all season long. Just

941
00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:23,680
Speaker 1: in a few months, ericson, We're gonna be back to

942
00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:25,960
Speaker 1: the grind again. I cannot wait to get back to

943
00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:28,399
Speaker 1: the NFL season, but we do have a few months

944
00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:29,759
Speaker 1: to go. In the meantime, we're gonna have a lot

945
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:32,360
Speaker 1: of preview shows and a lot of fun conversations about

946
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,160
Speaker 1: these future boards, about these win totals, and about how

947
00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 1: to make you some money early in the NFL. So

948
00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:38,839
Speaker 1: make sure you hang with us, subscribe wherever you get

949
00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 1: your podcasts, and of course hang out and use the tools. Remember,

950
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app right now, sink your sports

951
00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:50,279
Speaker 1: books and start betting smarter, not harder. That'll do it

952
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:51,719
Speaker 1: for us, But the story of the game goes on.

953
00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:55,400
Speaker 1: For Andrew Erickson, I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids.

954
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

955
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:00,960
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956
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957
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:07,440
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958
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959
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:19,640
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