WEBVTT - Businessweek Talks- Kayak CEO Steve Hafner

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. All right, Well, we've been

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<v Speaker 1>looking forward to this conversation in part because this next

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<v Speaker 1>guest is going to tell us what we need to

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<v Speaker 1>know about two things we love, food and travel, to

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<v Speaker 1>industries that, unfortunately you have been incredibly hard hit, uh

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<v Speaker 1>in this crisis. Steve Hafner joins this, co founder, CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of Kayak and the CEO of Open Table. He's on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone from Bridge Hampton, New York. Steve, really nice

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<v Speaker 1>to have you with Carolin, myself, Jason Carroll, thanks for

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<v Speaker 1>having me on, Steve. Al right, so let's start with

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<v Speaker 1>travel if we can. Uh. You know, we've all been grounded.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Carol and I both are used to sort

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<v Speaker 1>of being out there doing reporting, doing remotes and all

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<v Speaker 1>those different things. We've been grounded since February. How does

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<v Speaker 1>how and when does travel come back? Here? Sure? So

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<v Speaker 1>yesterday we published data on Kayak from about a billion

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<v Speaker 1>consumer queries, and it's actually showing you that there is

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<v Speaker 1>some recovery in travel interest. So the bottom period for

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<v Speaker 1>for what we've seen the query volume was happened in

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<v Speaker 1>April seven when queries fell eight year of a year,

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<v Speaker 1>and since then they've been gradually recovering. So yesterday, if

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<v Speaker 1>you look at the data, query volume was only down

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<v Speaker 1>versus the previous year. So there there is a long

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<v Speaker 1>way to go to be sure, but consumers at least

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<v Speaker 1>are thinking about flying again and they're looking for trips.

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<v Speaker 1>So tell us about you know, okay, so some I

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<v Speaker 1>mean percentage wise, can you give us an idea because

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<v Speaker 1>I know, you know, we keep talking about these numbers

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<v Speaker 1>and they're coming off of such significant loads. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>it's still way down, correct, It's still way down. So yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>last year there was twice as many people looking for

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<v Speaker 1>flights on kayak and there are uh this year as

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<v Speaker 1>of yesterday. But that's that's come up from down the

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<v Speaker 1>first week of April, so it is a recovery. And

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<v Speaker 1>remember this is search data, this isn't actually booking data.

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<v Speaker 1>So this just means that people are thinking about traveling again, right,

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<v Speaker 1>And I know that that is largely based on consumers.

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<v Speaker 1>Talk to us about corporate travel because I think we're

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<v Speaker 1>all trying to figure that out, not just again from

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<v Speaker 1>a personal perspective, from our own work, but you know,

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<v Speaker 1>knowing and talking to a lot of other CEOs about

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<v Speaker 1>the decisions they're making in terms of, you know, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>we should video con maybe we don't need to take

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<v Speaker 1>quite as many trips. What's your read on that? Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I share those sentiments. You know you're talking

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<v Speaker 1>to somebody used to travel on a plane almost every day.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's been amazing boon to productivity not to have

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<v Speaker 1>to do that. And I think, um, you know this

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<v Speaker 1>this pandemics, you know, one of the few bright spots

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<v Speaker 1>is it's taught people how to conduct their affairs uh

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<v Speaker 1>somewhat efficiently online. So typically, in past recessions and we're

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<v Speaker 1>in one right now, business travel is one of the

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<v Speaker 1>last things to return because companies are are really suffering, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So consumers still want to travel, but consumers, but consumers

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<v Speaker 1>may have may be able to afford that in a

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<v Speaker 1>way that the business um can't. So typically business is

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<v Speaker 1>the last thing recover. I think it's gonna we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>see more the same now, and it may never fully

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<v Speaker 1>recover back to the levels that it once was because

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<v Speaker 1>people have learned to adapt. Wow, so we may never

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<v Speaker 1>see twenty nineteen levels again. That's right, And that and

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<v Speaker 1>that has UM. I mean, we're preparing to see levels

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<v Speaker 1>back in terms of total travel demand by about three

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<v Speaker 1>that's kind of how we've structured our cost in our

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<v Speaker 1>balance sheet. UM. But I think how people are traveling

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<v Speaker 1>and what they're thinking about and how often they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to travel are different and as a big implications for

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<v Speaker 1>how airlines do their schedules, because you've got to remember

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<v Speaker 1>that the business traveler usually is paying half the revenue

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<v Speaker 1>on one of those flights. So I think they will

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<v Speaker 1>see the frequency of trips go down, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>you'll see average fairs go up to as business travels

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<v Speaker 1>no longer subsidize you know, the consumers of leisure travel. Wow,

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<v Speaker 1>that's fascinating and that's pretty significant. So what about on

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<v Speaker 1>the open table side, what are you seeing in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of restaurants. We're seeing recovery and restaurants as well. So

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<v Speaker 1>people want to travel and they also want to dine out,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're seeing a stronger recovery on on the restaurant

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<v Speaker 1>side of the business half of you know, we've got

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<v Speaker 1>about sixty thou restaurants UM on the Open table platform,

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<v Speaker 1>about half of them have reopened, which is great and

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of seated diners. Um, we we capture that

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<v Speaker 1>data and we make it publicly available as well. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>that was down only about seventy yesterday, So so people

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<v Speaker 1>are going out and seventy percent sounds like a big reduction,

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<v Speaker 1>but you have to remember that because of COVID nineteam restrictions,

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<v Speaker 1>most restaurants aren't operating at full capacity. A lot of

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<v Speaker 1>them are only outdoor only where they have set up

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<v Speaker 1>tents outside or that even that they have to have

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<v Speaker 1>their tables space six ft apart. So a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>them are you know, fifteen to twenty percent capacity, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know they're they're they're selling every seat they can

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<v Speaker 1>and every table they can, which is great news. It's

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<v Speaker 1>not enough to keep them in business, find you. But

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<v Speaker 1>but it does show that consumers want to get out

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<v Speaker 1>of their houses well. And and to that point, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I believe you guys had forecast and I think others

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<v Speaker 1>have followed you in this regard that we could see

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<v Speaker 1>a quarter of restaurants across the country go out of business.

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<v Speaker 1>Does that still feel about right or what are you

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<v Speaker 1>guys thinking? Now? That's that's still our best guests? You know,

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<v Speaker 1>restaurants are tough business. They go out of business all

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<v Speaker 1>the time, as as you well know. But usually what

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<v Speaker 1>location goes under it's because the concept was bad, what

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<v Speaker 1>the management was bad, and a new restaurant takes his place.

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<v Speaker 1>That's not what we're expecting now. So when we talk

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<v Speaker 1>about restaurants going out of business, that means the location

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<v Speaker 1>shutters permanently and becomes something else. And you know, it

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<v Speaker 1>all depends on what happens with COVID nineteen and the restrictions, right,

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<v Speaker 1>so can we safely dine out again indoors? Will employees

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<v Speaker 1>come back and start working in restaurants again versus collecting

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<v Speaker 1>benefits were doing other types of work. So you know, well,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see what happens. But that's that's our prediction. Hey, Steve,

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<v Speaker 1>thirty seconds and then we're gonna do some news and

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<v Speaker 1>come back. But I just do when do you just

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<v Speaker 1>talked about workers? Are some restaurants Are they having any

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<v Speaker 1>trouble finding staff and getting workers to come back? Absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>they are, and and a lot of restaurant tours have

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<v Speaker 1>been very vocal about that. So you know, the benefit

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<v Speaker 1>package that was passed by the government was very generous,

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<v Speaker 1>and I applaud the government for doing that, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>unwanted by product of that is some people are making

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<v Speaker 1>more money by staying home than than by working to

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<v Speaker 1>clean the restaurant business. So you know, I'm friends with

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of restaurant tours here in Bridge Hampon and

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<v Speaker 1>they're having a tough time even with being really able

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<v Speaker 1>to reopen and actually finding staff to work. Still with

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<v Speaker 1>us as Kayak an Open Table CEO Steve half Now.

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<v Speaker 1>Steve is also co founder of Kayak, and he joins

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<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from Bridge Hampton, New York. So, Steve,

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<v Speaker 1>what are the things that we've loved talking with about

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<v Speaker 1>leaders at companies right now? Is how the pandemic ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>has changed any of your long term strategic planning for

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<v Speaker 1>your businesses, um, So talk to us about that, sure,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think besides the immediate business impact and

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<v Speaker 1>having to scramble to make sure that we are a

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<v Speaker 1>viable entity and to get our users home and take

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<v Speaker 1>care of our customers, we actually double down on a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of our products initiatives. So you know, having business

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<v Speaker 1>be where it is, which is dramatically decrease, has actually

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<v Speaker 1>freed our development team to accelerate a lot of projects

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<v Speaker 1>and you know. One of the things we've also seen

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<v Speaker 1>is with fear of the virus comes changing consumer and

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<v Speaker 1>business habits, so people are much more interested in, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>on the restaurant side, for example, how to see your

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<v Speaker 1>menu from your app, how to order from your app,

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<v Speaker 1>how to pay from your app, um you know, how

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<v Speaker 1>to bypass a hostess stand and pick your own table

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<v Speaker 1>to sit at, so we actually see you know. One

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<v Speaker 1>of the silver linings of the of the pandemic is

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of innovation on both the dining and travel

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<v Speaker 1>side of the business. So you know, Kayak soon it's

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<v Speaker 1>going to launch a road trip components so people can

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<v Speaker 1>see cool places go to nearby. And our rental card

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<v Speaker 1>business and I never thought i'd say that, So our

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<v Speaker 1>rel card business is actually bigger than our flight business today. Wow.

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<v Speaker 1>So there's a lot of changes going on in in

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<v Speaker 1>consumer habits and in business habits. So Open Table, for example,

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<v Speaker 1>historically we've only been a table management system for restaurants,

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<v Speaker 1>but now we've modified the software so grocery stores can

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<v Speaker 1>actually accept reservations and use our our software. Soil can bars,

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<v Speaker 1>soil convineyards, and soon soil can university dining halls. So

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<v Speaker 1>really cool stuff happening. Yeah, so as you look across

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<v Speaker 1>the country, you know, Steve, and this is something we

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<v Speaker 1>are wrestling with literally every day, and and every time

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<v Speaker 1>we talked to somebody who's not in the Tri State

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<v Speaker 1>area physically, we're asking them, what's it like in Dallas,

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<v Speaker 1>what's it like in Chicago, what's it like in Iowa. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you have the data that really gives you that those insights.

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<v Speaker 1>As you look across the country, how does the US

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<v Speaker 1>economy feel? You know, it's it's almost directly correlated with

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<v Speaker 1>the amount of COVID impact. And you look ation and

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<v Speaker 1>the resulting restrictions. So as researchers loosen up, business activity

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<v Speaker 1>rapidly recovers. And on the travel side, people go to

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<v Speaker 1>those places. So you know, if if you look at

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<v Speaker 1>our travel satistics, UM, the top five places people are

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<v Speaker 1>going to are in traditional destinations like New York, Paris,

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<v Speaker 1>and London. There are actually places you can go to

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<v Speaker 1>that our outdoors and you can do things like go

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<v Speaker 1>to restaurants. So three of our top five cities right

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<v Speaker 1>now are in Florida. The other two are in Puerto

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<v Speaker 1>Rico and Dominican Republic, which just opened back up so

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<v Speaker 1>you know, people want to travel, and when they do

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<v Speaker 1>travel shorter flights nearby and places where they can actually

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<v Speaker 1>go out to do stuff. Yeah, the outdoor venues that

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<v Speaker 1>it seems like are really going to benefit, certainly for

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<v Speaker 1>the next few months, certainly are a comfort level I

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<v Speaker 1>know on on our side. UM, you know it's interesting too.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm curious as you've gone through this process, what's the

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<v Speaker 1>best advice you've gotten from someone during the pandemic, personal

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<v Speaker 1>or professional? Well, first of those sides to stay home,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think that served everyone pretty well. You know.

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<v Speaker 1>On the professional side, you know, we've we've always operated

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<v Speaker 1>Kayak and Open Table for sustainable, long term growth and um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we haven't gotten over our skis on spending

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<v Speaker 1>or anything like that, and we've played close attention to

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<v Speaker 1>our users and our team members and that served us

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<v Speaker 1>very well. So unlike a lot of other companies that

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<v Speaker 1>were losing money going into this, we were making money. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>and we trimmed our expenses to ensure that, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>when travel rebounds were prepared. But you know, I love

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that we didn't have to scramble, we didn't

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<v Speaker 1>have to take um big changes to our operating models.

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<v Speaker 1>We were able to cut our fees and waive them

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<v Speaker 1>for restaurants to help, you know, them struggle with their businesses.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think the the best of us I got

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<v Speaker 1>professionally would be prepared, even in the good day, good times,

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<v Speaker 1>for bad times ahead, and that served us very well. So, Steve,

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<v Speaker 1>you mentioned earlier in the conversation that you know, you

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<v Speaker 1>were on a plane practically every day in normal times.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure you've been some incredible places. What do you

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<v Speaker 1>sort of what what's the sort of place that's kind

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<v Speaker 1>of out there in your mind of when everything is

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<v Speaker 1>normal enough you want to go back to. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>typically I spend a month a year in Sweden and

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<v Speaker 1>my mom, who's any one lives there. I can't wait

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<v Speaker 1>to go back to to Stockholm. It's one of the

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<v Speaker 1>world's best places. And I really want to see my

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<v Speaker 1>mom right right now. She doesn't even want to see

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<v Speaker 1>me because she's afraid I'm gonna her um. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>that's that's where I really like to be. And by

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<v Speaker 1>the way, I was just in Miami on on Saturday,

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<v Speaker 1>so I do know would like to travel right now,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's it's a plane trip is totally different now

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<v Speaker 1>than it was before the pandemic. You know, the tone

0:11:46.160 --> 0:11:49.400
<v Speaker 1>in the airport, at the traffic levels, the safety protocols

0:11:49.440 --> 0:11:50.920
<v Speaker 1>as you bore the plane and as you're on the

0:11:50.920 --> 0:11:53.680
<v Speaker 1>plane are very different with the mass and and you know,

0:11:53.800 --> 0:11:56.120
<v Speaker 1>just goodie bags, no no meal service or drink service.

0:11:56.400 --> 0:11:58.280
<v Speaker 1>But I'll tell you once you get to that defination,

0:11:58.280 --> 0:12:01.800
<v Speaker 1>you're really happier there. Yeah. Interesting. Alright, Well, we look

0:12:01.840 --> 0:12:05.240
<v Speaker 1>forward to catching up with you as we get more

0:12:05.280 --> 0:12:08.640
<v Speaker 1>into whatever the next normal looks like. Steve Hafn really

0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:12.240
<v Speaker 1>appreciate your candid insights. And you know at Bloomberg we

0:12:12.320 --> 0:12:14.439
<v Speaker 1>love data and so to talk to someone else to

0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:18.160
<v Speaker 1>data is really great. Steve Hafner is the co founder,

0:12:18.280 --> 0:12:20.800
<v Speaker 1>CEO of Kayak and the CEO of Open Table. He

0:12:20.880 --> 0:12:23.560
<v Speaker 1>joined us on the phone from Bridge Hampton, New York.

0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:26.440
<v Speaker 1>Here's hoping for his sake and his mom's sake that

0:12:26.840 --> 0:12:28.760
<v Speaker 1>he gets to Sweden before too long. That was very

0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:30.800
<v Speaker 1>sweet and interesting to hear. You know, he was on

0:12:30.840 --> 0:12:33.400
<v Speaker 1>a plane. It's different, but you know, people are going

0:12:33.440 --> 0:12:36.240
<v Speaker 1>to make their way back ultimately, so we'll see more

0:12:36.280 --> 0:12:36.480
<v Speaker 1>of that.