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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 2: And it is good without further ado.

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Speaker 3: That's what the game's all about.

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Speaker 2: As you feel like you can't miss, I'm gonna leave

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Speaker 2: it up.

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Speaker 4: If you couldn't make that, If you try that again, absolutely,

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, NBA Playoff Edition. I'm

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Speaker 4: Matt Moore, Senior NBA writer, joined as always by Brandon

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Speaker 4: Anderson and Raheem Palmer. As we are gonna bring you

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Speaker 4: a I'm just gonna go ahead and drop this f

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Speaker 4: bomb right off the top. Producer Matt Mitchell. A great

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Speaker 4: fucking weekend in the NBA Playoffs. It was awesome. Not

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Speaker 4: only was it great basketball, I went six and two

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Speaker 4: on the bets. If I hadn't live bet, it would

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Speaker 4: have been a much better weekend. But in general, I

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Speaker 4: did really well on the first game bets. I look,

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Speaker 4: I feel good about my series bets. The games have

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Speaker 4: been way better, Like the series look way better than

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Speaker 4: they did I think when we got them early last week.

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Speaker 4: I'm just I'm really excited about the NBA Playoffs right now.

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Speaker 4: It was an awesome weekend. Brandon Anderson, you who was

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Speaker 4: very very eoi on this podcast and in our slack

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Speaker 4: about the playoffs in general and about and you dismissed

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Speaker 4: basically every major, like every big dog. You were like,

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Speaker 4: this is gonna be I tried to say. I was like, look,

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Speaker 4: there's always surprises you get. You gotta really dig to

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Speaker 4: try and find what's gonna happen. It's never chock. We

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Speaker 4: we have some surprises. We have some real twists and turns.

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Speaker 4: There were some series that were that look like they're

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Speaker 4: gonna go what we think in the Eastern Conference. But

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Speaker 4: in general, Brandon, a really great weekend of basketball.

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Speaker 3: An awesome, awesome weekend. You said on Twitter, this is

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Speaker 3: one of the best opening weekends of games that I remember.

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Speaker 3: I mean they're outside of I guess a couple of

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Speaker 3: the top Eastern series. Like there was something in every game,

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Speaker 3: and even those games were still pretty good, Like it

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Speaker 3: was just fun basketball. It was wire to wire and

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Speaker 3: almost all of them. It was great to see crowds,

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Speaker 3: like actual crowds, real crowd games. MSG was awesome. And

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Speaker 3: also that was like like that game was ramping up

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Speaker 3: right after the Phil Mickelson walking through the mob onto

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Speaker 3: the green thing like that just it made me feel

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Speaker 3: alive again. Playoffs basketball are back. Fans, are back. It's awesome.

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Speaker 5: I was wrong.

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Speaker 3: We've got an awesome first round. We had great games

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Speaker 3: and good looking series, and I'm excited to talk about them.

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Speaker 4: People were spilling beer on each other while screaming curse

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Speaker 4: words at a player who did nothing but make a

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Speaker 4: big shot in New York. Nature is healing, Rahem Walmer.

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Speaker 4: How is your weekend of betting?

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Speaker 6: Oh my god, this weekend was great. I think about

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Speaker 6: buying a Ferrari testa verosa. I mean, I've showed you

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Speaker 6: guys some of the bet tickets. I mean, it was

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Speaker 6: it's really it's it's it's really been a great weekend.

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Speaker 6: And you know the games that I hammered, you know,

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Speaker 6: did really well. So I can't complain the playoffs that

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Speaker 6: I mean, we had some of the most exciting games.

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Speaker 6: Like honestly, I hate them. If this is a Philly guy,

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Speaker 6: But the NBA is really better when the Knicks are good.

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Speaker 2: So I'm just excited about what we have right now.

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Speaker 4: The Knicks are better than the I'll say this, the

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Speaker 4: league is better when the Knicks are good and they

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Speaker 4: have a villain. And they have a villain. We'll get

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Speaker 4: to that game here in a little bit. Here's where

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Speaker 4: I want to start. We're gonna go through the series today.

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Speaker 4: We'll talk about them as briefly as we can, as

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Speaker 4: we try and keep this podcast under five hours. We're

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Speaker 4: gonna go over where the series value is. We'll go

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Speaker 4: look at a little bit at game two. We're gonna

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Speaker 4: go for most compelling and most actionable to least compelling

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Speaker 4: and least actionable. We'll go in that direction, which let's

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Speaker 4: just kind of speed through at the end. Let's start

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Speaker 4: at the top of the first game of the weekend.

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Speaker 7: The Miami Heat at the Milwaukee Bucks.

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Speaker 4: If you had told me that the Bucks won in

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Speaker 4: overtime in game one before the series, what my position

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Speaker 4: would be. I would have told you that I would

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Speaker 4: be looking to bet the Heat in the series. At

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Speaker 4: this point, I bet MGM, the official odds provider of

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Speaker 4: the Action Network podcast, the Bucks are minus four hundred,

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Speaker 4: the Heat are plus three twenty. At plus three twenty,

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Speaker 4: that's only an implied odds of twenty three point eight percent. Obviously,

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Speaker 4: I think that there's you have to say that there's

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Speaker 4: objective value on Miami. But I'll tell you this, guys.

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Speaker 4: I wrote about this in my breakdown off of Saturday's games.

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Speaker 4: I'm working on Sundays today. They'll be up sometime on Monday.

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Speaker 4: I actually go the other way here. I think that

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Speaker 4: win was huge for the Bucks. I think that the

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Speaker 4: way it played out, the Bucks had that game where

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Speaker 4: they didn't shoot well, they shot five to thirty one

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Speaker 4: from three, They could not hit anything. Butler was largely quiet,

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Speaker 4: but Duncan Robinson had a massive game. All of these

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Speaker 4: things I think went wrong for Milwaukee. And this really

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Speaker 4: comes down to what were the preceps coming into the

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Speaker 4: series that we talked about last week. The difference between

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Speaker 4: last year and this year is Bucks us Drew Holliday,

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Speaker 4: he minus j Crowder, and that was massive. Not having

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Speaker 4: that other shooter, even with Duncan Robinson having a big game,

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Speaker 4: allowed the Bucks to play the defense that contained Bam

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Speaker 4: out of Bio, it contained Jimmy Butler. Both those guys

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Speaker 4: have bad games, but it allowed them to do that

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Speaker 4: and put them in a position to get this win. Rahim,

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Speaker 4: I like where I'm sitting on Bucks with a minus

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Speaker 4: one and a half series series price right now.

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Speaker 6: I absolutely love it. And then I love the Bucks tonight.

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Speaker 6: I mean for I mean, for whatever reason, Home teams

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Speaker 6: just aren't shooting well in the playoffs this year. I mean,

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Speaker 6: home teams are just seventy six of two seventy eight

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Speaker 6: shooting twenty seven percent. The Heat outscored the Bucks by

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Speaker 6: forty five points from three point range, and the Bucks

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Speaker 6: were still within a defensive rebound and overtime away from

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Speaker 6: covering this game. I mean, Drew Hollidy has been big.

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Speaker 6: Like sometimes you see him get a rebound and he

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Speaker 6: pushes it in transition and you know they're getting easy

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Speaker 6: points there. They really, I mean, this Bucks defense can

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Speaker 6: really hold this Heat team down. Other than the three

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Speaker 6: point shooting, I mean, the Heat were just I think

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Speaker 6: they shot just thirty two percent from two like, So

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Speaker 6: I just I really like the Bucks here.

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Speaker 2: I think you're you're you're sitting pretty if you have.

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Speaker 6: The Bucks minus one and a half, which I think

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Speaker 6: we both gave out, and then if you have the

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Speaker 6: Bucks for the series, I love it. I think the

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Speaker 6: Bucks are gonna win tonight. I think they get a

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Speaker 6: normal shooting percentage and then they're fine. So I see

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Speaker 6: nothing from the Heat that makes me think they can

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Speaker 6: win this series. And then not only are they missing

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Speaker 6: Jay Crowder on the offensive, end. They're missing him on

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Speaker 6: the defensive end as well, like he was one of

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Speaker 6: the key pieces in guarding Giannis. So you know, I

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Speaker 6: really loved the Bucks here.

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Speaker 4: The Heat got a bad Yiannis game. They did a

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Speaker 4: really good job. They're gonna do a very good job

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Speaker 4: on him, but they got a bad Yannis game on

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Speaker 4: top of it. Right, the free throws are an issue.

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Speaker 4: I think that's that's the thing. But they had so

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Speaker 4: many things go right Brandon, and they still came out

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Speaker 4: with a loss. Rahim kind of mentioned all these factors.

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Speaker 4: I'm on the over tonight in Heat Bucks game two.

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Speaker 2: Uh.

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Speaker 4: It dropped from two twenty seven in game one to

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Speaker 4: two twenty. It's at two twenty two and a half

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Speaker 4: at most books, and I'm basically factoring on I don't

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Speaker 4: expect the Bucks to shoot five of thirty one from three. Again,

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Speaker 4: I don't think the Bucks had they got away with

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Speaker 4: playing Brook Lopez in a drop position enough to where

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Speaker 4: they're not gonna want to be like, all right, we

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Speaker 4: got to change this up and put PJ. Tucker in

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Speaker 4: and switch everything. So the Heat is still going to

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Speaker 4: get three point in attempts. But I think Giannis probably

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Speaker 4: has a slightly better game. I think that the Bucks

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Speaker 4: shoot a little bit better from deep, and I think

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Speaker 4: that the pace of the series was actually this game

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Speaker 4: was actually surprisingly fast. Like I think this is. I

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Speaker 4: think there has been an overreaction the money's coming in

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Speaker 4: on the under, so I gotta mention that, like if

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Speaker 4: I'm wrong, you know, if you want to go with

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Speaker 4: where the money's coming in, the money's coming in on

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Speaker 4: the under. This has already moved down actually a point

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Speaker 4: from two twenty three and a half at open. But

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Speaker 4: I do think this is going to get back to

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Speaker 4: it more regulated. But I do think that that game,

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Speaker 4: also Brandon, gives the Bucks confidence that they can win

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Speaker 4: this series. They are not shook like they were after

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Speaker 4: that game won last year.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree that I agree with everything you both

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Speaker 3: just said. Like this is the game that we all

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Speaker 3: have been waiting to see the Bucks play since a

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Speaker 3: year ago. This is the game they've been waiting to

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Speaker 3: see themselves play since they were ago. Like this is

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Speaker 3: why you get Drew Holiday. It was very very clear

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Speaker 3: in this game Drew Holiday is not Eric Bledsell.

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Speaker 5: This is why you make the trade.

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Speaker 3: This is why you get him on both ends of

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Speaker 3: the court and yeah, We've said all year on the podcast,

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Speaker 3: everything went wrong in the bubble last year for the

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Speaker 3: Box against the Heat, and then it didn't happen for them,

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Speaker 3: and then you come out in Game one and our

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Speaker 3: whole thing was, well, everything can't go wrong again, and

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Speaker 3: then everything went wrong again. You know, Like Giannis was

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Speaker 3: ten of twenty four on twos. He never shoots that

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Speaker 3: badly on twos, and the Bucks shoot sixteen percent on threes.

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Speaker 3: They literally get out shot by Duncan Robinson on threes.

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Speaker 3: Like Rahim said, forty five point difference on three pointers

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Speaker 3: is massive, Like you don't overcome that huge to a difference.

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Speaker 3: I think there's a Miami franchise record for three pointers.

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Speaker 3: The Bucks missed twelve free throws and Duncan and Droggage

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Speaker 3: have forty nine points between them, and to still win anyways,

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Speaker 3: to spend all that, like that's that's everything we're looking

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Speaker 3: for from this team, and not just in the series.

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Speaker 3: Like that, this game made me feel even better about

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Speaker 3: my Bucks position in the series, but also made me

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Speaker 3: feel like, Okay, this is a team that like, really

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Speaker 3: we had to take seriously now the way that we

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Speaker 3: have been able to you know, maybe to not believe

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Speaker 3: in them because what we've seen in past years, we

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Speaker 3: started to see some answers to those things too. Even

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Speaker 3: another thing un noted. And granted they were overtime here,

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Speaker 3: but look at the minutes for those Bucks players. Johanna's

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Speaker 3: played forty five, Middleton, forty four, Holiday forty two. Even

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Speaker 3: take away the five minutes of overtime, that's still more

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Speaker 3: minutes than these guys were getting last year. We keep

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Speaker 3: yelling like, stop playing them thirty minutes. It's the playoffs,

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Speaker 3: and we saw the urgency. We saw the minutes, and

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Speaker 3: and even with all the misses and everything else. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: I wrote the preview for the game tonight, and I

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Speaker 3: agree with what you guys both said.

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Speaker 5: I'm in on the Bucks.

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Speaker 3: I looked at the over as well, Matt, and I

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Speaker 3: could see like I could see taking both Union to

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Speaker 3: play at some books.

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Speaker 5: The Bucks to cover and the over.

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Speaker 3: I preferred just the Bucks to cover because I just

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Speaker 3: feel very good about them tonight and in the series.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, Miami is not like, look, I'm not saying

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Speaker 3: this is gonna be a sweep. Miami is not gonna

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Speaker 3: roll over. You know, this is gonna still be a

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Speaker 3: dog fight and they're gonna have to really earn it.

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Speaker 3: But I think they're going to earn it.

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Speaker 4: I think, you know, we should have I should have

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Speaker 4: prefaced this before we got into it. It's always very

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Speaker 4: tempting to look at game ones and go like that's

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Speaker 4: how the series is gonna go like this, we do

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Speaker 4: this every year, which is so like through the rest

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Speaker 4: of this podcast, I'm gonna be looking for other positions,

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Speaker 4: like I'm looking for opposite spots. The reason this one

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Speaker 4: is is because this one felt like it could have

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Speaker 4: been a loss like that that if they had lost

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Speaker 4: this one, even in overtime, a close game, coin flip, whatever,

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Speaker 4: if they had lost this one, I'm like, all right,

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Speaker 4: Like they're back to where like like they have the

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Speaker 4: same problems. The heat response is gonna be like, look,

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Speaker 4: Bam had a horrible game, Like Bam was terrible. Now

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Speaker 4: I will admit this. I think Bam Outebayo is a

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Speaker 4: really good player. He's very versatile. He does a lot

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Speaker 4: When people talk about him as like a star. Is

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Speaker 4: where I start to be like, okay, let's but nah,

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Speaker 4: let's settle down a little bit here, because like he's

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Speaker 4: not a guy that you can go to and just

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Speaker 4: be like, hey, we need you to carry us for

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Speaker 4: five minutes offensively, Like you know, Dragish is resting, Jimmy

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Speaker 4: is resting. You're out there with the reserves. Can you

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Speaker 4: carry us for just like can he gets through four

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Speaker 4: minutes offensively? That's that's not a thing Bam can do.

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Speaker 4: Bam did have an objectively bad game, Butler had just

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Speaker 4: as bad as one. Now, Butler's gonna have a massive

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Speaker 4: game in the series. He might have two, right, I

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Speaker 4: think that that's that's that's likely. Butler shot four of

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Speaker 4: twenty two. Like if you're the Heat, if you're a

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Speaker 4: Heat fan, you're scream at this podcast right now, going

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Speaker 4: like Jimmy Butler shop four twenty two and we almost

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Speaker 4: won in overtime. So I think that that's fair. I

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Speaker 4: think that you have to look at the personnel that

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Speaker 4: My that Milwaukee has, and like, here's the big thing.

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Speaker 4: The Bucks are designing their in their system to be

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Speaker 4: like we want to shut down Bam, we want to

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Speaker 4: shut down Jimmy. And then like, honestly, I was surprised

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Speaker 4: they let Duncan Robinson get as open as they did,

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Speaker 4: like that first that first quarter, I was losing my mind.

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Speaker 4: I was like, you're dropping versus Duncan Robinson, They're running

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Speaker 4: Dho's what are you doing? Uh? And I still think

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Speaker 4: that's gonna be a problem. They switched him in the

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Speaker 4: second and third a lot more. They showed different looks,

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Speaker 4: which was really interesting because I felt like late in

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Speaker 4: the game, even though Robinson hit a big shot, it

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Speaker 4: did mess with the Heat because the Heat were like,

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Speaker 4: we don't know what to expect coming off of this.

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Speaker 4: This is the biggest thing I have with drop. If

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Speaker 4: you play it all the time, whether in dribble, handoff

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Speaker 4: or pick and roll action, those guys, if they know

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Speaker 4: it's coming, they're just gonna fire. Like you tell a

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Speaker 4: shooter you come off the screen, you're gonna have a look.

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Speaker 2: Be ready.

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Speaker 4: They're they're good, they're confident, they're in rhythm. But if

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Speaker 4: they're like you get, you're gonna have to read it.

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Speaker 4: They might switch it. They might be up on you.

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Speaker 4: You might have to reset. They did enough of that

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Speaker 4: in order to really mess them up. If let me

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Speaker 4: ask you this, right hem, if we're wrong and the

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Speaker 4: Heat win Game two, how much did that change where

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Speaker 4: we're at right now?

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Speaker 6: I think that I think it depends on how they

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Speaker 6: win it. I think, I mean, that's that's the biggest thing.

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Speaker 6: But I do think, see, I don't think. I don't

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Speaker 6: think the Bucks are scared of this team this year.

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Speaker 6: Like I think if they would have lost this game

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Speaker 6: last year, you know, maybe it you know, swings things

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Speaker 6: with the Heat going home.

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Speaker 2: But I really don't think we're gonna be wrong.

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Speaker 6: Actually, I looked into the bet lads database because I

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Speaker 6: wrote my best bet on this game. Top three seeds

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Speaker 6: that don't cover game one or forty six thirty four

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Speaker 6: and four. That's nearly fifty eight percent. The Bucks, the Nuggets,

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Speaker 6: the Sixers, in the Jets, they all fit this trend.

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Speaker 2: When I look at the Bucks are the best team on.

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Speaker 4: Here, that is I just sure game two.

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Speaker 2: That's in game two.

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Speaker 6: So I when I look at the Bucks are the

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Speaker 6: best team on here, I think. The one thing is

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Speaker 6: that Heat aren't a great rebounding team either, So I

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Speaker 6: think the Bucks are going to have more possessions. I

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Speaker 6: think in this first game, they I mean they dominated.

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Speaker 2: What do they have?

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Speaker 6: They have fifteen offensive rebounds, They have offensive reround rate

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Speaker 6: of nearly thirty percent. So it's just like in any

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Speaker 6: games they're played. They're gonna always have more possessions, more

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Speaker 6: cracks at it. As long as they get a normal

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Speaker 6: shooting percentage. I don't see them losing this game.

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Speaker 4: I'm looking it up. I pulled this yesterday looking at

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Speaker 4: how teams do if they win and don't cover for

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Speaker 4: the series. Since two thousand and one, top four seeds

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Speaker 4: to win game one but not cover are twenty three

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Speaker 4: and one to win this on the series win. So now,

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Speaker 4: if you're looking at that and you're like, what, like,

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Speaker 4: what does that matter? Okay, here's the concept. The reason

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Speaker 4: I wanted to look at it was this, you took

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Speaker 4: their best shot and you still got the win. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: Like that's the formula is like they threw the kitchen

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Speaker 4: sink at you, you struggled, you won, You didn't cover

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Speaker 4: as a favorite, Like the Heat were right there in

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Speaker 4: overtime and didn't get it. Now, this Heat team is

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Speaker 4: tough as nails. I still think that this is very doable. Again,

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Speaker 4: I think that when you look at the series price

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Speaker 4: on BETMGM, the official ots provider of the Action Network

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Speaker 4: podcasts at plus three twenty, I can't deny it. Like

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Speaker 4: this is one of those things where yes, there's value there,

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Speaker 4: I still don't want to bet it, right Like I

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Speaker 4: don't want to bet Heat plus three twenty to win

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Speaker 4: the series. I also don't want to pay, Like right

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Speaker 4: now the Bucks line has moved to Bucks minus one

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Speaker 4: and a half is minus two twenty five on the

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Speaker 4: series spread, Like that's too much juice for me to

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Speaker 4: lay right now, even with the idea of what because like,

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Speaker 4: I could see the Heat definitely getting this to seven.

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Speaker 4: I can absolutely see Milwaukee winning Game two and then

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Speaker 4: the Heat taking two back and this going seven. I

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Speaker 4: can also see Milwaukee losing Game two, coming back and

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Speaker 4: winning Game three and this, Like, there's a lot of

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Speaker 4: ways I can see this going seven. I don't think

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Speaker 4: the series is settled, but I do think that if

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Speaker 4: you're looking for what the trend is, where the momentum is,

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Speaker 4: this was a more important game one than some of

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Speaker 4: the other ones, which is why I want to talk

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Speaker 4: about it first.

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Speaker 3: I ran, Yeah, I came into this series just very

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Speaker 3: worried that the Heat we're not going to be able

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Speaker 3: to score enough. And what I saw in Game one

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Speaker 3: feels like that reinforced that to me. Like it it

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Speaker 3: took the Heat hitting twenty three pointers and Duncan Robinson

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Speaker 3: having what will likely be his biggest game of the series, dragic,

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Speaker 3: maybe his biggest game of the series.

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Speaker 5: And like you said, Matt.

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Speaker 3: You know he found going to say, okay, but Bam

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Speaker 3: and Butler aren't going to shoot that poorly again. So

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Speaker 3: first of all, Butler shot two of nine on threes.

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Speaker 3: That nine is a problem. You don't want Jimmy Butler

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Speaker 3: shooting nine threes. Milwaukee wants Jimmy Butler shooting nine threes.

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Speaker 3: He shot one hundred and two threes the entire season.

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Speaker 3: That's a win for Milwaukee if he's taken nine threes,

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Speaker 3: because that means we're searching Francwers. I'm not getting my looks.

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Speaker 3: I'm just gonna get a three up here. That's not

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Speaker 3: Jimmy Butler basketball. And also, the Bucks were the number

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Speaker 3: two defense in the season against on two percent two

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Speaker 3: point percentage, So the Heat are probably not gonna shoot

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Speaker 3: thirty three percent every game. They're very good at twos,

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Speaker 3: but they're like it's a problem that that's what they

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Speaker 3: want to do, and that's what the Bucks defend so well.

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Speaker 3: And I thought I thought that Bam looked a little

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Speaker 3: bit passive out there, at times the way that they're

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Speaker 3: defending him, like he didn't have the right answers offensively,

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Speaker 3: And yeah, I just I think, to me, what's interesting

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Speaker 3: is we can, you know, we can say, well, how

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Speaker 3: will we feel if the Heat win this game? To me,

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Speaker 3: more interesting is how would I have felt if the

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Speaker 3: Heat had won Game one, which they very well could have,

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Speaker 3: you know, any number of bounces they could have won.

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Speaker 3: It was right there, and I think I would be

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Speaker 3: sitting here today saying, Okay, double down in the box,

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Speaker 3: like I still saw all the things that I saw.

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Speaker 5: The Milwaukee had it right.

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Speaker 3: There, they should have got it, but there are a

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Speaker 3: lot of good things to believe in here. That mental

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Speaker 3: edge wouldn't still be the same that was really big

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Speaker 3: to get the win, but the things we saw for

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Speaker 3: for fifty three minutes still would have been there.

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Speaker 4: So I just mean shape, I mean, I think for me,

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Speaker 4: I'm not with you on that. And the reason is

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Speaker 4: I think that you can get too far down the

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Speaker 4: process hole and ignore the narrative impact that it has

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Speaker 4: on player performance, Like if you came out close and

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Speaker 4: you still couldn't get it done. The Heat the Bucks

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Speaker 4: are walking out being like they just got a number man,

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Speaker 4: we just get like, no matter why, we just can't

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Speaker 4: get past him. But I will say this, the Heat

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Speaker 4: hit twenty three. If you told me the Heat hit

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Speaker 4: two twenty three pointers and told me guess the give

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Speaker 4: me the over under on the Heat offensive rating over

398
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Speaker 4: under one O nine, I've been like, over they hit

399
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Speaker 4: twenty threes. What are we talking about here? The Heat

400
00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:14,080
Speaker 4: had a ninety seven point three offensive rating in this game.

401
00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:20,600
Speaker 4: Like that's berserk, that's wild that they hit twenty threes

402
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Speaker 4: and finished with a ninety seven point three offensive ratings.

403
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Speaker 4: So that's where we're at on Heat Bucks. Let's go

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Speaker 4: to the second most interesting game of the weekend.

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Speaker 7: The Dallas Mavericks at the LA Clippers.

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Speaker 4: I was so nervous with the fact that I kept

407
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Speaker 4: being like, I just think the Mavericks. I just like

408
00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:44,280
Speaker 4: the Mavericks in this spot, Like I just I can't

409
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Speaker 4: tell you why. It just it felt my gut was

410
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Speaker 4: telling me that. And then when I dug in everything

411
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Speaker 4: reinforced it. The Mavericks get the win in Game one

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Speaker 4: over the Los Angeles Clippers. Luka Doncic absolutely just burns

413
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Speaker 4: Staples to the round in Game one. Absolutely incredible performance.

414
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Speaker 4: By him not only not only scoring he was five

415
00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:10,159
Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter, but made the passes that he

416
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:13,399
Speaker 4: needed to make and that was absolutely he huge. So

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Speaker 4: series price a bet MGM, the official LTS provider of

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Speaker 4: the Action Network podcast, Clippers minus one forty five Mavericks

419
00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:26,280
Speaker 4: plus one twenty to win the series series spread Clippers

420
00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:31,720
Speaker 4: minus one and a half is plus one eighty Mavericks

421
00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 4: plus two and a half is minus eight hundred. MAVs

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00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:37,159
Speaker 4: plus one and a half. Basically, go to seven or

423
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Speaker 4: or win is minus two twenty five. So Brandon, let's

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Speaker 4: start with you. Where are you at on Clips Mavericks

425
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 4: going forward?

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Speaker 3: So of all eight series this weekend, this is the

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Speaker 3: one that I am most rethinking where I'm at and

428
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:59,520
Speaker 3: most on the edge of switching. And I said, Clippers,

429
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Speaker 3: before this series, I didn't feel I didn't feel like

430
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Speaker 3: Dallas was good enough. I said that Doncic was going

431
00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:09,240
Speaker 3: to have to be the best player in the series,

432
00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:11,159
Speaker 3: and probably by a decent margin.

433
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:12,760
Speaker 5: And then he was in Game one.

434
00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:15,440
Speaker 3: He was the best player on the court, and he dominated,

435
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:18,520
Speaker 3: and you know, and they suddenly got you know, four

436
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:22,680
Speaker 3: threes from from Finney Smith and Tim Hardaway Junior hitting threes,

437
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:25,400
Speaker 3: but like that's what Dallas does. They suddenly make all

438
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:30,359
Speaker 3: these threes. And a weird thing for me is I

439
00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 3: came away feeling like okay, Like I don't necessarily come

440
00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:38,400
Speaker 3: away thinking, Okay, Dallas maybe can do this now, because

441
00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:40,200
Speaker 3: here's what I saw in Game one.

442
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:41,920
Speaker 5: As much as.

443
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 3: Dallas can maybe do this, they're up won nothing and

444
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:47,840
Speaker 3: they had a chance to do it anyway, is now

445
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:49,880
Speaker 3: they only have to win three out of the next six,

446
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:52,080
Speaker 3: and they get three of them at home. Like that's

447
00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 3: just the math has swung a little bit in their favor,

448
00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:58,639
Speaker 3: and I guess mostly what I saw in this game

449
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:02,480
Speaker 3: is I I feel like I saw the Clippers team

450
00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 3: that I have feared putting my faith in all year,

451
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:09,520
Speaker 3: which is it's a high variance team and if the

452
00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:12,679
Speaker 3: shots don't fall, I just don't know what I'm getting

453
00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:14,960
Speaker 3: from them. And the shots didn't fall in Game one.

454
00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 3: The Mavericks are that also, so that's the problem here.

455
00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:22,760
Speaker 3: The Mavericks shot did fall. So I like, in looking

456
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,359
Speaker 3: at this series going in, I remember looking at their

457
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,280
Speaker 3: the three times they played in the season, just throwing

458
00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:29,159
Speaker 3: them all out because it was like, ah, just shooting

459
00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 3: variants like you know one team what the first game

460
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:34,320
Speaker 3: Wasn't it that the game where Dallas was up like

461
00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:36,720
Speaker 3: seventy seven to twenty five at halftime early in the

462
00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,959
Speaker 3: year and the Clippers made like four of thirty somethingter

463
00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:43,000
Speaker 3: threes and was like, ah, shooting variants. The problem is

464
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 3: that's what both of these teams are is shooting variants.

465
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 3: And that's my fear with the Clippers is like, you're

466
00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 3: just gonna keep playing with fire, and what happens when

467
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:55,680
Speaker 3: the shooting variance doesn't go enough and now you're down

468
00:22:55,760 --> 00:23:00,199
Speaker 3: zero one? So from a betting standpoint, my biggest take

469
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 3: away from this game actually was the pace. The pace

470
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,919
Speaker 3: was eighty five point six in this game, so the

471
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,680
Speaker 3: game ended at one to thirteen to one oh three,

472
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,560
Speaker 3: but only because the Mavericks made so many of their threes.

473
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:16,600
Speaker 3: The problem so the pace being that low makes me

474
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:18,840
Speaker 3: think I'm looking for an under and the total has

475
00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:21,679
Speaker 3: dropped a little bit from game one. The problem is

476
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:23,760
Speaker 3: you got the shooting variant, So what happens if the

477
00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 3: Clippers only make all their threes or whatever, But with

478
00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:29,280
Speaker 3: a pace that low, you're gonna have to really make

479
00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:31,520
Speaker 3: a lot of shots to get the over. That's dangerous

480
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:34,240
Speaker 3: with these teams. But I think that's the angle I'm

481
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:39,639
Speaker 3: taking away. But Dallas feels not far off from the Clippers,

482
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,639
Speaker 3: and they're up a game and they're plus odds. I

483
00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:44,360
Speaker 3: have to take a look a.

484
00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 4: Couple of things here. So one one thing that kind

485
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:49,359
Speaker 4: of clicked for me, and I didn't really come. I

486
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 4: went because I'm like rethinking everything, right, Like I'm like, okay,

487
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:54,560
Speaker 4: I'm in, Like I went ahead and I bet Mavericks

488
00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:56,359
Speaker 4: plus two and a half. I went ahead and went in.

489
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,920
Speaker 4: I was like, okay, like this is what the analysis says.

490
00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:01,800
Speaker 4: On Friday night, I'm like rethinking everything, and I'm like

491
00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:03,280
Speaker 4: I gonna am I gonna regret this? Like do I

492
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 4: need to cash this out? Like like what am I doing?

493
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 4: And then this this stock came across my heads, Like

494
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 4: all year long, we've been un impressed with the Mavericks personnel.

495
00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 4: What if this Mavericks personnel is better suited for playoff environment?

496
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:18,160
Speaker 4: What if these guys are better suited for sixteen games.

497
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 4: Josh Richardson looked a lot better in a playoff environment.

498
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:26,760
Speaker 4: Slithery one on one basketball, tight sequences, chasing over screens.

499
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 4: Kleeber looked really good in the playoff environment. Dorian Finney

500
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:32,840
Speaker 4: Smith hit the biggest shot of the game, and he's

501
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:34,800
Speaker 4: been a good shooter this year and he's a big

502
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:38,159
Speaker 4: wing that can guard versus Like I'll say this, like

503
00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 4: this is the biggest problem everyone wants to like, Okay,

504
00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:43,399
Speaker 4: so here's a narrative. Coming out of game one. They

505
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:45,359
Speaker 4: ask Kawhi about, like, do you feel like you need

506
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:47,680
Speaker 4: to guard Luka Doncis. He's like, I think you're gonna

507
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:49,240
Speaker 4: see a lot more of what you're talking about in

508
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:54,160
Speaker 4: game two. Okay, that's great, Kawhi. Here's the problem. It's

509
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:58,600
Speaker 4: pick and roll. You can't guard both guys. They're not

510
00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:01,040
Speaker 4: gonna be able to put him on like you can

511
00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:05,040
Speaker 4: guard him. You can put Kawhi on like Kliba theoretically

512
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:08,240
Speaker 4: or Porzingis. But like Kawhi does not want to bang

513
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:10,119
Speaker 4: down low like that is not a thing that he

514
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:11,880
Speaker 4: wants to do. He doesn't want to handle a big

515
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 4: guy all that long. He didn't want to guard Luca

516
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:16,400
Speaker 4: because that's too exhausting for him having to get over

517
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:22,960
Speaker 4: those screens. Like, so the problem was Luca waited it out.

518
00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 4: They have good enough screen setters. The Clippers were like

519
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 4: all right, we're switching this, and then Zubach is on

520
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 4: him in space, and that is barbacute chicken, Like I've

521
00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:36,639
Speaker 4: been on this train forever. A Visa Zubac is a

522
00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:43,240
Speaker 4: very nice eighty two game center, very nice player, good touch, rebounds,

523
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:47,320
Speaker 4: contains in space, very nice player. This is not a

524
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:49,199
Speaker 4: guy you can be like, hey, I need you to

525
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:53,399
Speaker 4: go out there and switch on to Luka Doncic, like

526
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:55,879
Speaker 4: this is my biggest thing in this series. If you

527
00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 4: want a reason to bet the Mavericks, this is it.

528
00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 4: Coaches never want to make the first adjustment, like they'll

529
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:02,520
Speaker 4: always tell you that, they never want to get away

530
00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 4: from what they do. They don't want to get away

531
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:06,440
Speaker 4: from the game plan. It won. It rattles the team

532
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:08,960
Speaker 4: because they know, like the coaches shook, we're in trouble.

533
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:11,439
Speaker 4: Like it does. It rattles through as much as this

534
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,480
Speaker 4: is a players league. If the coach is like, okay,

535
00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 4: we're abandoning what we're doing. Avita Zubach played twenty minutes, guys,

536
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:21,160
Speaker 4: the starting center for the Los Angeles Clippers, the big

537
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:25,159
Speaker 4: guy that they're trusting twenty minutes for Tyleru to be

538
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:27,000
Speaker 4: like this isn't working we gotta get small ball, we

539
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 4: gotta switch everything. Oh God, like that was a panic move.

540
00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:35,120
Speaker 4: They can go back to Zubach and drop with Kawhi

541
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:37,439
Speaker 4: coming off the top and now work better. Patrick Beverly,

542
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:40,120
Speaker 4: ain't it. I'm sorry. Beverly's are a good defender versus

543
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:41,880
Speaker 4: small guards. You can't put him on a good dude

544
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:44,480
Speaker 4: as big as Luca. It just can't. It's gonna have

545
00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:47,199
Speaker 4: to be Kawhi coming over the top of that screen

546
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:50,040
Speaker 4: and getting into his body on the space when he

547
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:52,320
Speaker 4: gets when he gets distanced, you cannot leave him in

548
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:55,000
Speaker 4: one on one covers versus Zubach. There is a lot

549
00:26:55,040 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 4: of things with this Clippers team that just defensively, they

550
00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:01,119
Speaker 4: are very well built to defend in some teams. This

551
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:04,199
Speaker 4: Mavericks team is not one of them, and it's a

552
00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:05,640
Speaker 4: huge issue for me Rohyanes.

553
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:10,040
Speaker 6: But I think one of the things that's gonna save

554
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:14,639
Speaker 6: them is with them going small. Porzingis needs to be

555
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 6: able to play these small guys off the floor like

556
00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:22,960
Speaker 6: we can't have for Zingis going head up against Marcus

557
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:25,359
Speaker 6: Morris and not being able to take take advantage of

558
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:25,960
Speaker 6: that matchup.

559
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:28,280
Speaker 2: Because I also think and I also think he's.

560
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,200
Speaker 6: A little bit of a liability on the other end

561
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:33,639
Speaker 6: if the Clippers are playing all of their wings.

562
00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 2: So I think that's that's the big takeaway for me

563
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:41,080
Speaker 2: is can kp play.

564
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:42,960
Speaker 6: These wings off the floor and force them to play

565
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:47,080
Speaker 6: zoo back more minutes If he can't. To me, the

566
00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 6: Clippers are gonna win the series because they're gonna get

567
00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 6: enough offensively to where I don't think the Mavericks are

568
00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:57,800
Speaker 6: gonna be an outscore. I mean, we talked about the

569
00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:01,680
Speaker 6: shooting variants. The Mavericks. They forty seven percent from three.

570
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 6: That was in the ninety six percent out of all

571
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 6: games this entire season. That's not gonna happen. You know,

572
00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 6: the Clippers they shot just twenty seven percent from three,

573
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:14,000
Speaker 6: and that's in the twenty second percent out of all games.

574
00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 6: And if you look at this game, you know I

575
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 6: took the Mavericks money line. So it's just like I

576
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:21,600
Speaker 6: think you you provided me with some great insight last

577
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 6: week when you said, I think you said the Mavericks

578
00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 6: play above their competition.

579
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:29,280
Speaker 2: And you know, we've seen them drop games to the Grizzlies,

580
00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:30,560
Speaker 2: but they've.

581
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,560
Speaker 6: Beaten they've beaten the Big three nets like they actually

582
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,840
Speaker 6: you know, they've beaten some really good teams, and you know,

583
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:38,680
Speaker 6: I think the one thing that people forget about the

584
00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 6: Clippers is that they're coming into this postseason the same

585
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:44,240
Speaker 6: way they did last year. Kawhi Leonard has you know,

586
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 6: he's had a hurt hand. You know, the starters really

587
00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:49,880
Speaker 6: haven't played. They tanked the last two games, so this

588
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:52,000
Speaker 6: team didn't have a lot of rhythm coming into the

589
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:55,440
Speaker 6: to the first game. So I'm looking at it like,

590
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 6: you know, this is a prime spot for them to

591
00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 6: still a game. But I think if the Clippers can

592
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:03,040
Speaker 6: really trap Luca and force some of the other guys

593
00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 6: to make plays, I think they have an advantage.

594
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:07,960
Speaker 2: So I personally I took the Clippers to win this series.

595
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 6: At minus one forty five, I think the Clippers win

596
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 6: this series. I just I don't see the Mavericks continuing

597
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,640
Speaker 6: to score in this manner like and even in that

598
00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:23,479
Speaker 6: first game, the Clippers took the lead in the fourth quarter. Yeah,

599
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,960
Speaker 6: through all that great shoot shooting, the Clippers were right there.

600
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:30,120
Speaker 2: So I think the Clippers still win.

601
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 4: So for me, I'm on Clippers Game two. They're not

602
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:35,280
Speaker 4: going down now to like I'll go ahead like it's

603
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:37,400
Speaker 4: Clippers minus six. I think that like this is a

604
00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 4: lot of it is. If it's a I trust the

605
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,440
Speaker 4: Clippers have a much better chance to blow them out.

606
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 4: But the Mavericks are not going to blow out the Clippers.

607
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:47,400
Speaker 4: I don't think of any game this series like they

608
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:52,680
Speaker 4: are a better team. Fourth quarter, Okay, Kawhi Leonard is

609
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:55,000
Speaker 4: one of four for three points. I keep saying this.

610
00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:57,880
Speaker 4: I keep saying that I want people will listen to me.

611
00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 4: It's great that he had the twenty and thirteen and

612
00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:05,320
Speaker 4: twenty and fourteen Spurs with three Hall of Famers to

613
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 4: hold his ass up. It's great that in twenty nineteen

614
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:14,480
Speaker 4: he had an already built Raptors team without Lebron James

615
00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 4: still needed a four bouncer and then for Katie and

616
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:22,000
Speaker 4: Klay to get hurt for him to win another title. Neat.

617
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:24,760
Speaker 4: I do not trust him as a closer. I do not.

618
00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:27,080
Speaker 4: I'm not saying he's not clutch. I'm saying that he

619
00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 4: does not lift the entire team up like he is

620
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 4: just not that dude. Like he might he'll have a game.

621
00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:35,280
Speaker 4: I think that that reputation of him always closing is overstated.

622
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:39,640
Speaker 4: My question for you, is you guy at won forty five.

623
00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:41,960
Speaker 4: Do you think that that is better than what you

624
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 4: would get after Game three? I'm gonna wait, I think

625
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 4: the Mavericks win Game three and then I'm taking the Clippers.

626
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 6: Ooh see, I don't know. I mean, what would I'm

627
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 6: trying to think, See, I don't. I just I could

628
00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:01,719
Speaker 6: see the Clippers one in two street. I just I

629
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:05,400
Speaker 6: think they're I don't want to risk it because I

630
00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:08,200
Speaker 6: know I can if I take it.

631
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 4: Here's here's my question. Do you think they win the

632
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:10,680
Speaker 4: next three?

633
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 2: I don't know about that. That's a good point.

634
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:16,680
Speaker 4: So here's the thing. If they win the next if

635
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:19,479
Speaker 4: they don't win the next three, all right, then this

636
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 4: is at least gonna be two two. They have to

637
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:25,400
Speaker 4: pull that number down from one forty five closer to

638
00:31:25,280 --> 00:31:27,840
Speaker 4: a lower number. So like, that's where I'm at. I'm like,

639
00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 4: the Mavericks got that first one, they got to split.

640
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 4: I do not expect the Mavericks to lose. If I'm wrong,

641
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 4: I'm gonna miss out on the value. Okay, So you're

642
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 4: just like, I want to make sure I get value

643
00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:37,680
Speaker 4: on the Clippers, win the series and take the one

644
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:41,800
Speaker 4: forty five. Now, but my thoult is They're not gonna

645
00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:44,960
Speaker 4: win both. The Clippers are not gonna win both in Dallas.

646
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 4: So this is at worst two two, right, Like I

647
00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:54,080
Speaker 4: am when what I want is I want Mavericks, Clippers

648
00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 4: and Team two Mavericks in game three, hype crowd, et cetera,

649
00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 4: and then the Clippers and the Clippers can win. Then

650
00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:03,360
Speaker 4: I think the Clippers can win the next three. I

651
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:06,000
Speaker 4: think they can cause them out in six, but taking

652
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:08,680
Speaker 4: it's gonna take them some time to figure out how

653
00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 4: to how to handle this matchup.

654
00:32:10,040 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 5: Brandon, Yeah, yeah, it's I think I think that.

655
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 3: That's a takeaway for me too, is I just I

656
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:21,959
Speaker 3: have a hard time seeing not just this matchup, but

657
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 3: whoever the Clippers face. I feel like if I pick

658
00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:29,040
Speaker 3: the Clippers, I'm always gonna pick them in six or seven.

659
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,560
Speaker 3: Like it doesn't they don't seem like a team to

660
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:33,800
Speaker 3: me that you're gonna be like, oh that matchup, yeah,

661
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 3: Clips in five they got this. That's I just don't

662
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:39,600
Speaker 3: see that team. And so I guess what I'm wondering.

663
00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:42,640
Speaker 3: So Rahiem, you've been our Clippers got you've written about

664
00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:44,560
Speaker 3: them multiple times, you've got money on them, I know,

665
00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 3: So you also been someone that has talked about like

666
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 3: the attrition factor and the long series building up, and

667
00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:56,280
Speaker 3: I feel like that's what's happening, you know. It seems

668
00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:58,560
Speaker 3: like that's what's gonna be building with the Clippers, is

669
00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:01,640
Speaker 3: they're gonna start to get these long series. I also

670
00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:04,680
Speaker 3: am worried about, you know, the big addition, the big

671
00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:07,000
Speaker 3: change this year was supposed to be serge A Baka.

672
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:09,360
Speaker 3: He's ready for all the playoff minutes. He's not Montrez

673
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:12,080
Speaker 3: Harrell and he played thirteen minutes off the bench and

674
00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:14,600
Speaker 3: he's been like injured this whole stretch down the end.

675
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 3: The point guard problem, we still haven't solved it. Rondo

676
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 3: and Beverlee and Jackson all basically like split minutes and

677
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 3: was good. Though, yeah it was good, but then why

678
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,719
Speaker 3: are you splitting the minutes between the three. It's like

679
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 3: like in college football used to have these teams would

680
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:31,960
Speaker 3: play two quarterbacks and it's like, oh, we got this

681
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:33,400
Speaker 3: guy that can do this thing and this one of

682
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:35,959
Speaker 3: this thing. Like if you have two quarterbacks, you have

683
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 3: no quarterback. It's like, who's the point guard? If Rondo

684
00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:41,560
Speaker 3: is good, okay, great playoff Rondo, we've seen it, so

685
00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:43,720
Speaker 3: then I want to see him play like twenty five

686
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:47,440
Speaker 3: to thirty minutes not rotating with Reggie Jackson and the

687
00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:53,040
Speaker 3: corpse of Patrick Beverly. So it's like, Rahiem, how do

688
00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:56,280
Speaker 3: you still feel that good about your Clippery's futures when

689
00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 3: we're seeing the attrition thing building up. The Abaca min

690
00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:01,480
Speaker 3: is not there, the point guard problem is still there.

691
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:03,320
Speaker 3: These are the things that I worried about all last year,

692
00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:04,960
Speaker 3: and I don't feel like they've been solved.

693
00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:08,560
Speaker 6: Yeah, I think I'm The point guard issue doesn't bother

694
00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:12,200
Speaker 6: me as much as the center issue. I thought Serge

695
00:34:12,200 --> 00:34:15,919
Speaker 6: Abaka would be an impact player, and then of course

696
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,399
Speaker 6: he went down and he's never really found it, So

697
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:23,759
Speaker 6: that's an issue for me. Like the question I have

698
00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:26,239
Speaker 6: for Matt is how many adjustments do the Clippers have

699
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 6: left if katep can start scoring on these wings?

700
00:34:31,040 --> 00:34:32,960
Speaker 4: My bigger thing is, you know you mentioned like, who

701
00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 4: are the other guys if you take the ball out

702
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:37,440
Speaker 4: of Luca's hands? Who are the other guys Jalen Brunson, Like, Yeah,

703
00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:39,880
Speaker 4: Jalen Brunson, who might be the sixth Man of the

704
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 4: Year behind Joe Ingles, who might be the sixth man

705
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:47,920
Speaker 4: of the year behind Jordan Clarkson. So I think they

706
00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:49,960
Speaker 4: have all these options. I will say that KP is

707
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:52,239
Speaker 4: my like big concern point they I think that here's

708
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:56,080
Speaker 4: the thing though, Rahima, that if it's if it's KP

709
00:34:56,680 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 4: scoring turnaround fade aways on you, you're gonna lose anyway,

710
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:03,360
Speaker 4: Like you live with it. Anything KP does that's not

711
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:06,240
Speaker 4: the dunk off of putting like that was the problem

712
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 4: is when they in the fourth quarter, the Clippers were like,

713
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:10,920
Speaker 4: all right, nothing else is work, Let's blitz him. Let's

714
00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:12,880
Speaker 4: put two on ball versus Luca. And I was like,

715
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:15,360
Speaker 4: you don't want to do that. He's too good a passer.

716
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:20,040
Speaker 4: That's not the move. And KP slips it for a dunk.

717
00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,960
Speaker 4: So then they bring the help over. They're like, all right,

718
00:35:24,160 --> 00:35:27,400
Speaker 4: we're gonna blitz Luca. We're gonna bring the help over

719
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:30,879
Speaker 4: and meet KP at the rim, and Luca's like, I'm

720
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:33,680
Speaker 4: just gonna pass to the opposite corner. I'm one of

721
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:37,680
Speaker 4: the best reverse ball passers in the league. Dorian Phinny

722
00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:41,680
Speaker 4: Smith wide open for three, Like there, you have got

723
00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:43,480
Speaker 4: to play him one on one. You gotta figure out

724
00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 4: how you're gonna do that. That's like step one in

725
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 4: this entire problems. You gotta figure out how you get

726
00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:50,160
Speaker 4: to play Like, I'm sorry you added Kawhi Leonard and

727
00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:52,719
Speaker 4: Paul George, you kept Patrick Beverley, and you tatted the fact.

728
00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 4: You're like, who's gonna score on us with all these

729
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,200
Speaker 4: perimter defenders. Well, the answers been Luka donc just tearing

730
00:35:57,239 --> 00:35:59,359
Speaker 4: you to pieces. So you better figure out a way

731
00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:02,479
Speaker 4: for all those defenders to actually defend the key guy

732
00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:04,480
Speaker 4: you got to defend, and that means figure out how

733
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:07,160
Speaker 4: to how to negate that take and role.

734
00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:12,640
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764
00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:34,919
Speaker 8: for listening. Now back to the show.

765
00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:40,120
Speaker 4: Let's go on, because we're running over a little bit faster,

766
00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:42,160
Speaker 4: lit little bit faster now, it's like shout right, like

767
00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:43,160
Speaker 4: a little bit faster now.

768
00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:47,239
Speaker 7: The La Lakers at the Phoenix Suns.

769
00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:49,520
Speaker 4: This is the one I missed on. I bet the

770
00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:51,600
Speaker 4: Lakers on the money line at minus one oh two.

771
00:37:51,680 --> 00:37:53,759
Speaker 4: I bet the Lakers live when they were down as

772
00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:57,080
Speaker 4: soon as Chris Paul got hurt a couple of hours.

773
00:37:57,120 --> 00:37:59,160
Speaker 4: There's a lot of interesting stuff in in as far

774
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:02,040
Speaker 4: as the betting perspectives. The first thing I'll say is

775
00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:05,719
Speaker 4: the series price for this series. I have to look

776
00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:08,640
Speaker 4: it up because my M and that MGM official as

777
00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,319
Speaker 4: provider or the Action Network podcasts uh reset because it

778
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:14,799
Speaker 4: logs you out after a certain amount of time. Well,

779
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 4: let's go to this for game two. We'll talk about

780
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:20,880
Speaker 4: the serious price I meant for game two. Rahiem, you

781
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 4: said I opened one Lakers minus one and a half.

782
00:38:26,120 --> 00:38:28,160
Speaker 6: No, I see, I saw I saw it a Son's

783
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:29,840
Speaker 6: minus one and a half yesterday.

784
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:34,400
Speaker 4: That's so where okay, I'll tell you this everywhere else

785
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:40,120
Speaker 4: it opened Lakers minus two. So this is I have

786
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:42,399
Speaker 4: I have calls about this out this morning, and I'm

787
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:44,200
Speaker 4: trying to figure this out, like we'll have a story

788
00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:45,839
Speaker 4: up on Action Network by the time you read this.

789
00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:51,719
Speaker 4: The Suns were dogs in game one. We're no, I'm sorry,

790
00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:53,480
Speaker 4: the Suns were favorites in game one, they were two

791
00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:58,880
Speaker 4: point favorites. They win, they cover, they're still at home.

792
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:03,680
Speaker 4: This line has moved four points. It's Lakers minus two.

793
00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:06,600
Speaker 4: And you go, oh, but the Chris Paul injury. Chris Paul.

794
00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:09,320
Speaker 4: The thing you learn when you start doing this immediately

795
00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 4: is almost no player is worth four points to the spread,

796
00:39:12,640 --> 00:39:15,600
Speaker 4: not even Lebron. Like Lebron I think is about three

797
00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:19,200
Speaker 4: three and a half. So Chris Paul is definitely at

798
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:21,279
Speaker 4: this point in his career, not four. And you go,

799
00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:24,160
Speaker 4: maybe it's the eight and suspension for the altercation. That

800
00:39:24,200 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 4: would make sense if there's an expectation that both Chris

801
00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:30,480
Speaker 4: Paul and DeAndre Ayden are gonna be out okay, But like,

802
00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:33,400
Speaker 4: we haven't heard anything about that yet, and it's a

803
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 4: presumption by the books at that point, Like I was,

804
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:38,720
Speaker 4: I mean, I was floored when I saw that line.

805
00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:42,480
Speaker 4: Like again, right now, at all the books we're looking at,

806
00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:45,759
Speaker 4: I'm gonna check our Action Network labs which you can check.

807
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,920
Speaker 4: You can find an action network dot com. Right now,

808
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:53,880
Speaker 4: the Lakers on the spread are minus two, but at

809
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:55,760
Speaker 4: a lot of books they're minus one and a half.

810
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 4: At a few some of those have moved. I am

811
00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:02,560
Speaker 4: telling you yesterday, yesterday afternoon, it was minus two and

812
00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:05,920
Speaker 4: a half for the Lakers after the Suns win and

813
00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:06,640
Speaker 4: cover Rahim.

814
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:08,240
Speaker 2: Yeah.

815
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:12,840
Speaker 6: How I mean when you look at that first quarter,

816
00:40:15,080 --> 00:40:17,480
Speaker 6: the Suns had an offensive rate and at one thirty three,

817
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:20,799
Speaker 6: they were scoring at will Chris. I mean even in

818
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:23,160
Speaker 6: the first half of that, the first six minutes of

819
00:40:23,200 --> 00:40:25,480
Speaker 6: that second quarter before Chris Paul got hurt, it was

820
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:29,880
Speaker 6: scoring pretty official efficiently. Then after that they have a

821
00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:32,360
Speaker 6: ninety one offensive rate in the second quarter, third quarter

822
00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:36,040
Speaker 6: one oh seven, fourth quarter ninety. So the Chris Paul

823
00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:40,200
Speaker 6: injury has it really has meant a lot.

824
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:42,200
Speaker 2: So I think that's where some of it has coming.

825
00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:44,560
Speaker 6: But then you know, some of it is just coming

826
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:48,719
Speaker 6: from Lakers betters who are just gonna say, hey, the

827
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:53,080
Speaker 6: Lakers aren't going down to oh two. So for me,

828
00:40:53,960 --> 00:40:56,480
Speaker 6: I think you kind of have to be looking Suns

829
00:40:56,880 --> 00:41:02,200
Speaker 6: or passed now, and Chris Paul is himself. I don't

830
00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:04,520
Speaker 6: know how you can back the Suns. I mean the

831
00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:07,319
Speaker 6: Lakers were like at one point they were pretty much done.

832
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:09,840
Speaker 6: They were given so much respect to Devin Booker that

833
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 6: it just was unreal, Like, I mean, they were doubling him.

834
00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:16,399
Speaker 6: I just like I love the Son yesterday just because

835
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:20,239
Speaker 6: I felt like the Lakers offense was gonna struggle, and

836
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 6: of course it did.

837
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:23,719
Speaker 2: I mean this Lakers offense they had off they just

838
00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:25,080
Speaker 2: scored ninety points.

839
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:28,719
Speaker 6: So it's just I mean, this this Sun's defense that

840
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:32,759
Speaker 6: we've been talking about slipping for a while, They've really

841
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:34,799
Speaker 6: shown that they can actually defend. And then I don't

842
00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:38,279
Speaker 6: understand why Andre Drummond is playing so many minutes. I

843
00:41:38,320 --> 00:41:41,840
Speaker 6: mean it's probably some politics, but when you look at

844
00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:44,799
Speaker 6: the nets, they appear to be managing their locker room

845
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:48,840
Speaker 6: a lot better. I mean, DeAndre Jordan's getting did not

846
00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:52,560
Speaker 6: plays while you know Nicholas Clason is playing, you know,

847
00:41:52,680 --> 00:41:58,040
Speaker 6: do I mean Andre Drummond's He's a liability on defense,

848
00:41:58,120 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 6: he's a liability on offense. So until they managed that,

849
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:05,200
Speaker 6: I think they're at a disadvantage. Like Kasaus should be

850
00:42:05,200 --> 00:42:06,239
Speaker 6: getting these minutes.

851
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:11,480
Speaker 4: Brandon. The series price is now even about MGM. It's

852
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:14,160
Speaker 4: mins one to ten both ways, let's pick um okay

853
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:18,640
Speaker 4: 'a getting you'll get either side plus money, which like, here,

854
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:21,200
Speaker 4: here's what my problems are him. That's the book begging

855
00:42:21,280 --> 00:42:25,640
Speaker 4: me to take the Lakers. Yeah, begging, like putting this

856
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:27,799
Speaker 4: even They're like, wait, wait, I get even money on

857
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:31,239
Speaker 4: the Los Angeles Lakers with Lebron James and Anthony Davis

858
00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:37,680
Speaker 4: only down one o one, come on now. But so

859
00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:39,360
Speaker 4: like there's just a bunch of stuff about that, Like

860
00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:41,720
Speaker 4: this is the thing is like that game two line

861
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:44,439
Speaker 4: screams like, oh, we're telling you the Lakers are gonna

862
00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:47,080
Speaker 4: win this game. The series line is like, oh, please

863
00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:52,200
Speaker 4: take the Lakers, please, please take the Lakers. Please. Chris

864
00:42:52,239 --> 00:42:54,880
Speaker 4: Paul's injury like it's likely a stinger unless he's got

865
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:57,360
Speaker 4: nerve damage, which seems like it would be a weird

866
00:42:57,560 --> 00:42:59,960
Speaker 4: freak injury. I'm not counting out that it can't happen

867
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:02,359
Speaker 4: for Chris, but I feel like there's a pretty good

868
00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:06,319
Speaker 4: chance he's gonna be okay by Tuesday. Here's the other thing.

869
00:43:06,600 --> 00:43:08,360
Speaker 4: Rahim he said like, oh, the Lakers aren't going to

870
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:12,640
Speaker 4: go down oh two. Let's let's flip this because we

871
00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:15,600
Speaker 4: understand that the seven versus two this is an uncommon occurrence.

872
00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:20,040
Speaker 4: In the first two games we're we're in LA, would

873
00:43:20,200 --> 00:43:22,520
Speaker 4: you be like, it's totally reasonable to expect the Suns

874
00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:24,480
Speaker 4: to defend home court and when both of theirs at home,

875
00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:28,640
Speaker 4: because yeah, Like I would say, like, yeah, like this

876
00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 4: could absolutely be a two two series after four, like just.

877
00:43:32,239 --> 00:43:36,759
Speaker 2: Without a doubt. Yeah, I didn't get hurt. I would.

878
00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:39,360
Speaker 6: I would be all over to six the Suns again, Okay,

879
00:43:39,840 --> 00:43:41,800
Speaker 6: I think that's not only concerned Brandon.

880
00:43:41,920 --> 00:43:43,920
Speaker 4: Is this a trap? That's why I'm basically asking you, like,

881
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:44,600
Speaker 4: is this a trap?

882
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:51,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, because it's Lebron. Lebron is always a trap. It Yeah,

883
00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:54,280
Speaker 3: I it feels like a trap. It looks like a trap.

884
00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:58,200
Speaker 3: Like if if I trusted Chris Paul to be healthy,

885
00:43:58,680 --> 00:44:03,360
Speaker 3: then like I took, I picked Lakers in seven. In

886
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:06,920
Speaker 3: the series. I've railed on the Lakers. I don't trust

887
00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:11,160
Speaker 3: this team, and I think the Suns are the better team.

888
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:14,560
Speaker 3: But I just couldn't pick against Lebron when it came

889
00:44:14,680 --> 00:44:18,120
Speaker 3: down to it in a Game seven and it was

890
00:44:18,160 --> 00:44:21,920
Speaker 3: close though, and from what I saw yesterday, if Chris

891
00:44:21,960 --> 00:44:25,200
Speaker 3: Paul was healthy, still may have been enough to swing

892
00:44:25,320 --> 00:44:28,279
Speaker 3: that for me. But Chris Paul is so good and

893
00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:32,600
Speaker 3: such a significant player and like this is not new. Unfortunately,

894
00:44:33,200 --> 00:44:36,080
Speaker 3: the poor guy has like made a deal with the

895
00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:38,759
Speaker 3: devil to be like the most efficient point guard in

896
00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:41,839
Speaker 3: the regular season in history in return for never ever

897
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:45,320
Speaker 3: ever staying healthy in a playoffs ever in his entire career.

898
00:44:45,880 --> 00:44:49,759
Speaker 5: It's terrible, it's so unlucky. But like what's wild to

899
00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:52,240
Speaker 5: me is the narrative coming.

900
00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:55,839
Speaker 3: Into the series was okay, well, okay, the Suns are good,

901
00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:58,560
Speaker 3: but they're young, they haven't been here before. They canna

902
00:44:58,560 --> 00:45:02,040
Speaker 3: be ready for the moment. We watched the game and

903
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:05,279
Speaker 3: one team played with urgency. They played poise like a

904
00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:09,359
Speaker 3: veteran team. The coaching was better, the rotations were right.

905
00:45:10,000 --> 00:45:12,920
Speaker 3: The other team was the Lakers, you know, like the

906
00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:16,400
Speaker 3: Suns played like the defending champions yesterday, the team that

907
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:18,600
Speaker 3: looked like they had all the answers and knew what

908
00:45:18,640 --> 00:45:21,120
Speaker 3: they're doing and are ready for the moment. The Sun's

909
00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 3: minutes were up, like they shortened the rotation. Everything you

910
00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:27,680
Speaker 3: want to see from the Suns other than the Chris

911
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:28,360
Speaker 3: Paul injury.

912
00:45:29,040 --> 00:45:29,920
Speaker 5: Ayton was great.

913
00:45:30,000 --> 00:45:33,040
Speaker 3: Ayton like stood up Anthony Davis, who looked just checked

914
00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:37,080
Speaker 3: out Booker was awesome and stepped up in all the

915
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:39,319
Speaker 3: ways that we have all assumed he could in the

916
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:43,200
Speaker 3: playoffs with his difficult shot making. Mikail Bridges was really good.

917
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:46,080
Speaker 3: Cam and Cam were great off the bench. Everything you

918
00:45:46,120 --> 00:45:48,320
Speaker 3: want to see from the Suns we saw in this game.

919
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:53,960
Speaker 3: I just don't know about Chris Paul and the trappiness

920
00:45:54,080 --> 00:45:57,400
Speaker 3: of the line swing is so scary that I don't

921
00:45:57,440 --> 00:46:00,520
Speaker 3: know that I can pick them. But man, you gotta

922
00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:02,960
Speaker 3: feel good about the Suns if if they have the

923
00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:05,040
Speaker 3: clean bill of health enough to go forward.

924
00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:07,839
Speaker 4: See I feel like I feel like this is like

925
00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:09,960
Speaker 4: the trap is they're telling you about the Lakers, like

926
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:13,320
Speaker 4: the books are asking you about the Lakers. The books

927
00:46:13,360 --> 00:46:17,439
Speaker 4: have put the defending champion Los Angeles Lakers only down

928
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:23,520
Speaker 4: one with Lebron James and Anthony Davis at minus one ten, Like,

929
00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:26,239
Speaker 4: are we going to see the Lakers at minus one

930
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:28,520
Speaker 4: ten for the rest of the playoffs if they win

931
00:46:28,560 --> 00:46:32,319
Speaker 4: this series? Like so like that's like a like that's

932
00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:35,799
Speaker 4: a if they lost Game one to the Clippers, would

933
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:42,640
Speaker 4: the Clippers be better than minus one ten? I don't know,

934
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:46,400
Speaker 4: I don't know, so so like like this is a

935
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:49,440
Speaker 4: this is a weird spot. Now I have to take

936
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:51,279
Speaker 4: like a half victory lap. I don't get to like

937
00:46:51,520 --> 00:46:55,759
Speaker 4: fully do the whole lap around. Because I couldn't pull

938
00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:58,200
Speaker 4: the trigger on on suns to win the series. I

939
00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:03,200
Speaker 4: stayed away from the series spread. I did bet a little.

940
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:05,520
Speaker 4: I took a small on like sons plus two and

941
00:47:05,560 --> 00:47:09,760
Speaker 4: a half at a big deuice number. I did. However,

942
00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:11,959
Speaker 4: on Twitter on Friday, I got a lot of shit

943
00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:13,840
Speaker 4: for this. I said. I was like, look, I understand

944
00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:15,360
Speaker 4: it's the Lakers and they're gonna win. They're like the

945
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:18,240
Speaker 4: better team. It's the Lakers, et cetera. What's bad about

946
00:47:18,239 --> 00:47:22,920
Speaker 4: this matchup? And I literally got like, lol, are you serious?

947
00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 4: With the Lakers' front court is so much better? And

948
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:28,360
Speaker 4: I was like, this is not a bad matchup for

949
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:32,920
Speaker 4: DeAndre Eton Like putting eighton in space like the Mavericks,

950
00:47:33,160 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 4: that's a bad matchup for him, having to chase Luka

951
00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:39,400
Speaker 4: dodgits around like you know a word about Dennis Shrewder.

952
00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:41,440
Speaker 4: Everything else is like way up at the front. And

953
00:47:41,440 --> 00:47:43,759
Speaker 4: then it's like what about Ad. It's like AD is

954
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:49,320
Speaker 4: not gonna power dunk over DeAndre Eighten. That's not his game. Okay,

955
00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:52,600
Speaker 4: he wants to take soft, little, soft, little turnarounds in

956
00:47:52,680 --> 00:47:56,400
Speaker 4: the post, little turner face up with little jumpers, and

957
00:47:56,440 --> 00:47:58,320
Speaker 4: when it's falling like it did last year in the playoffs,

958
00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:01,320
Speaker 4: he looks like he gets called quote unquote the best

959
00:48:01,360 --> 00:48:06,000
Speaker 4: big man in the league. Get out of here with that. Yeah,

960
00:48:06,000 --> 00:48:07,239
Speaker 4: And the rest of the time, it's just like he's

961
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:09,640
Speaker 4: just a jump shooter. So I look, he's a really

962
00:48:09,640 --> 00:48:11,520
Speaker 4: great player. He can have a back. I expect him

963
00:48:11,520 --> 00:48:13,440
Speaker 4: to have a bounce back in Game two. Hit some

964
00:48:13,480 --> 00:48:15,600
Speaker 4: shots in the pick and roll, which is where they

965
00:48:15,640 --> 00:48:17,360
Speaker 4: got him going a little bit in the second quarter.

966
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:19,359
Speaker 4: In the third that was a lot better, Like that's

967
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:21,600
Speaker 4: where you want him. But the Lakers, with the lack

968
00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:23,520
Speaker 4: of an actual point guard to be able to navigate

969
00:48:23,520 --> 00:48:26,640
Speaker 4: against this, I think is big. You got away on

970
00:48:26,719 --> 00:48:29,640
Speaker 4: Chris Paul before you look at that game too. Well, okay,

971
00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:31,520
Speaker 4: I'll go ahead and tell you. I bet Lakers game two.

972
00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:32,120
Speaker 4: I was go.

973
00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:35,239
Speaker 6: Ahead and I was gonna ask, how much is what

974
00:48:35,280 --> 00:48:39,080
Speaker 6: we saw in game one just your typical Lebron Game

975
00:48:39,120 --> 00:48:42,560
Speaker 6: one is I look at Lebron almost if he's like

976
00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:44,440
Speaker 6: the Floyd Mayweather of the NBA.

977
00:48:44,520 --> 00:48:48,319
Speaker 4: But here's a problem. Here's a problem. That's like the

978
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:50,359
Speaker 4: narrative because that's how it feels when you watch him.

979
00:48:50,520 --> 00:48:52,279
Speaker 4: Like I was talking to Stucky this weekend. He and

980
00:48:52,360 --> 00:48:53,840
Speaker 4: like he had a guy that was doing the research,

981
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:56,440
Speaker 4: and it's like, statistically, Lebron's lines don't deviate that much

982
00:48:56,440 --> 00:48:59,239
Speaker 4: in game one and historically they're actually like they're not

983
00:48:59,320 --> 00:49:02,720
Speaker 4: that bad especialtually game one of a first round series,

984
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,200
Speaker 4: like the performance like he doesn't he lost last year

985
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:09,080
Speaker 4: to a Blazer's team, which like, okay, fine, right, like

986
00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:11,279
Speaker 4: we can we can literally throw that game out. That

987
00:49:11,280 --> 00:49:16,480
Speaker 4: game that team was trash. So if I don't know

988
00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:19,400
Speaker 4: that how much that was, I'll say it like I

989
00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:23,439
Speaker 4: bet Lakers in this one because to me, the fact

990
00:49:23,480 --> 00:49:27,400
Speaker 4: that this line flipped this much, I couldn't ignore it.

991
00:49:27,440 --> 00:49:30,080
Speaker 4: And I was just like I can't, like very seriously,

992
00:49:30,120 --> 00:49:32,320
Speaker 4: I was like, I know this is a mad process,

993
00:49:32,600 --> 00:49:34,239
Speaker 4: Like Rahim, what's your model? Have this at? You had

994
00:49:34,320 --> 00:49:35,480
Speaker 4: Lakers might as one and a half that.

995
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:39,560
Speaker 2: Right, No, I have the Suns as favorite.

996
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:43,480
Speaker 4: Okay, So like this being that far off with the

997
00:49:43,640 --> 00:49:45,600
Speaker 4: screams is like, oh you should take the suns. Like

998
00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:47,920
Speaker 4: this is like this is three points off of the

999
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:53,120
Speaker 4: off of the model. I've seen too often these things

1000
00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:54,640
Speaker 4: go the other way. I want to be on the

1001
00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:56,760
Speaker 4: side of the books, and the books are basically like again,

1002
00:49:56,960 --> 00:49:58,440
Speaker 4: the books are begging you to take the Suns in

1003
00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 4: game two. They're like, you get you get the home

1004
00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:04,920
Speaker 4: team up one oh in game two as a dog.

1005
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:08,719
Speaker 4: So I'm betting Lakers again. I'm willing to be wrong

1006
00:50:08,760 --> 00:50:11,799
Speaker 4: on it. We'll see how this one goes. This is

1007
00:50:11,800 --> 00:50:13,000
Speaker 4: a perplexity series so far.

1008
00:50:13,080 --> 00:50:14,520
Speaker 2: See see I would agree with you there.

1009
00:50:14,840 --> 00:50:18,640
Speaker 6: What I mean Sports Insight is showing sixty seven percent

1010
00:50:18,680 --> 00:50:21,360
Speaker 6: of the money and sixty eight percent of the spread

1011
00:50:21,440 --> 00:50:23,000
Speaker 6: action on the Lakers.

1012
00:50:23,080 --> 00:50:23,319
Speaker 4: Yep.

1013
00:50:24,040 --> 00:50:27,120
Speaker 6: So it feels like, you know, when some of those

1014
00:50:27,160 --> 00:50:32,160
Speaker 6: offshore books opened one and a half, it seems like

1015
00:50:32,200 --> 00:50:34,799
Speaker 6: the market actually took it to where it currently sits now.

1016
00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:39,319
Speaker 6: So it's just I'm struggling with it's a standard. I

1017
00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:41,359
Speaker 6: got to see if Chris is healthy. I also need

1018
00:50:41,400 --> 00:50:45,640
Speaker 6: to see I really need to see if Vogel is

1019
00:50:45,680 --> 00:50:47,640
Speaker 6: actually gonna stop pointing drum.

1020
00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:51,080
Speaker 4: It spoiler alert. He won't. I'll just go ahead and

1021
00:50:51,200 --> 00:50:52,680
Speaker 4: let me go ahead and tell you that one right now.

1022
00:50:52,719 --> 00:50:55,759
Speaker 4: It's not happening. It's got and like, this is not

1023
00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:58,200
Speaker 4: about how good of a coach Frank Vogel is. Like

1024
00:50:59,040 --> 00:51:01,120
Speaker 4: that ain't it. I'm just gonna tell you, Andre Rum

1025
00:51:01,239 --> 00:51:03,880
Speaker 4: is gonna continue to play. That's not It ain't about

1026
00:51:04,160 --> 00:51:05,400
Speaker 4: Frank Vogel. Andre.

1027
00:51:05,719 --> 00:51:07,759
Speaker 6: I mean, I mean, if he's gonna he's gonna play,

1028
00:51:07,760 --> 00:51:11,560
Speaker 6: and Chris paul Is can be himself, then I think

1029
00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:12,919
Speaker 6: you almost gotta you got.

1030
00:51:13,200 --> 00:51:15,360
Speaker 2: This is a six and seven game series where the

1031
00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:16,319
Speaker 2: Sons could actually win.

1032
00:51:16,400 --> 00:51:22,840
Speaker 4: This at the US books, it did open. It's open, Lakers.

1033
00:51:22,920 --> 00:51:25,920
Speaker 4: Lakers is a favorite all over the place, the lowest. Yeah,

1034
00:51:25,960 --> 00:51:28,400
Speaker 4: and so I don't know, it's perplexing. We'll wait and

1035
00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:30,080
Speaker 4: see what happens after Game two. I'm more to say.

1036
00:51:30,080 --> 00:51:33,400
Speaker 4: On Thursday's episode of this podcast.

1037
00:51:32,600 --> 00:51:35,800
Speaker 7: The Atlanta Hawks at the New York Knicks.

1038
00:51:36,120 --> 00:51:40,880
Speaker 4: Hawks Knicks. Absolutely incredible game, amazing, just absolutely berserk. I

1039
00:51:40,880 --> 00:51:42,759
Speaker 4: love the position I'm at right now. I think this

1040
00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:44,400
Speaker 4: is gonna be a long series. The Knicks I think

1041
00:51:44,440 --> 00:51:46,400
Speaker 4: are gonna win game two. I love the Knicks in

1042
00:51:46,440 --> 00:51:49,479
Speaker 4: Game two. This like everything we saw about this series

1043
00:51:49,520 --> 00:51:50,839
Speaker 4: where we thought it was like it's a coin flip,

1044
00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:53,000
Speaker 4: it's gonna go long. This is exactly what it looks

1045
00:51:53,000 --> 00:51:54,759
Speaker 4: like Knicks could have won that game. Trey Young with

1046
00:51:54,760 --> 00:51:57,600
Speaker 4: an absolutely marvelous shot. Like I think that the Knicks

1047
00:51:57,600 --> 00:51:59,560
Speaker 4: can have better performances from Julius Randall.

1048
00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:04,879
Speaker 1: Julius Randall, the Hawks.

1049
00:52:04,560 --> 00:52:06,440
Speaker 4: Probably had more upside, Like if you want to lean

1050
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:08,480
Speaker 4: in a direction, it's like the Hawks might actually take

1051
00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:10,440
Speaker 4: care of this because they might just be better, Like

1052
00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:12,279
Speaker 4: they just might be a better team. That's like the

1053
00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:13,840
Speaker 4: only thing you can come out of it. But I

1054
00:52:13,880 --> 00:52:15,839
Speaker 4: don't want to overreact to Game one too much because

1055
00:52:15,880 --> 00:52:18,759
Speaker 4: the Knicks still took the lead after the Hawks led

1056
00:52:18,800 --> 00:52:20,319
Speaker 4: for most of that game. They came back and took

1057
00:52:20,360 --> 00:52:23,279
Speaker 4: the lead in the fourth before they answered and Trey

1058
00:52:23,360 --> 00:52:26,440
Speaker 4: hit the game winner and shut the MSG, which was amazing.

1059
00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:31,120
Speaker 4: Such a good villain Brandon very quickly. Is there any

1060
00:52:31,160 --> 00:52:33,840
Speaker 4: sort of like position on this series, Like I like

1061
00:52:33,880 --> 00:52:36,040
Speaker 4: the Knicks a lot in Game two, I don't think

1062
00:52:36,080 --> 00:52:38,080
Speaker 4: they're going down oh too. Like That's one I will

1063
00:52:38,120 --> 00:52:40,279
Speaker 4: go ahead and say I think that that's like a

1064
00:52:40,320 --> 00:52:44,120
Speaker 4: pretty reliable spot is to say that the Knicks will

1065
00:52:44,120 --> 00:52:46,720
Speaker 4: not go down oh two at home. The series spread

1066
00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:52,120
Speaker 4: on this the lines rather are almost there. There's so

1067
00:52:52,120 --> 00:52:55,759
Speaker 4: many series in the NBA Okay, Knicks plus two point

1068
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,880
Speaker 4: thirty to win the series. Now Hawks minus two seventy five.

1069
00:52:59,400 --> 00:53:00,680
Speaker 4: That's a bit of a swing.

1070
00:53:00,760 --> 00:53:04,600
Speaker 3: I think, Yeah, that's a that's a very big swing

1071
00:53:04,800 --> 00:53:08,319
Speaker 3: for what was a very coin flip first game that

1072
00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:12,399
Speaker 3: could have easily gone either way. And yeah, I think

1073
00:53:12,440 --> 00:53:15,000
Speaker 3: we all thought this was going to be a long

1074
00:53:15,200 --> 00:53:18,480
Speaker 3: tough battle, and I think we now think it's going

1075
00:53:18,520 --> 00:53:20,799
Speaker 3: to be a long tough battle, like this is what

1076
00:53:20,880 --> 00:53:23,279
Speaker 3: we saw in Game one was awesome. I hope it

1077
00:53:23,360 --> 00:53:25,359
Speaker 3: is a long tough battle. I would love to see

1078
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:28,560
Speaker 3: a Game seven in the Madison Square Garden. Give me

1079
00:53:28,600 --> 00:53:33,640
Speaker 3: that atmosphere again, like Spike Lee on the sideline, jumping

1080
00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:35,880
Speaker 3: up and down like we're back, we are back. This

1081
00:53:36,000 --> 00:53:40,040
Speaker 3: is the NBA again. And it was awesome. Trey Young

1082
00:53:40,320 --> 00:53:43,920
Speaker 3: is that dude. Thirty two seven and ten game winning

1083
00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:46,680
Speaker 3: floater just like roasted two guys off the dribble, shushed

1084
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:49,400
Speaker 3: the crowd. Trey Young got nine free throws. That's a

1085
00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:51,080
Speaker 3: good sign for him. We didn't know if he's gonna

1086
00:53:51,080 --> 00:53:53,759
Speaker 3: be able to draw that many when he got there.

1087
00:53:53,800 --> 00:53:57,640
Speaker 3: Only two turnovers is another great sign for him. So

1088
00:53:58,400 --> 00:54:00,799
Speaker 3: I liked Atlanta a lot coming this year. I like

1089
00:54:00,840 --> 00:54:03,120
Speaker 3: what I saw here. I thought this should have been

1090
00:54:03,160 --> 00:54:05,480
Speaker 3: a Knicks win. I thought it was like Trey Young

1091
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:07,800
Speaker 3: was huge late, some of his passing and his reeds

1092
00:54:07,800 --> 00:54:09,719
Speaker 3: to set guys up, and like it wasn't just that

1093
00:54:09,760 --> 00:54:12,040
Speaker 3: shot at the end, like he was the engine that

1094
00:54:12,200 --> 00:54:14,520
Speaker 3: was keeping them in. Like the Knicks with a few

1095
00:54:14,560 --> 00:54:16,160
Speaker 3: minutes left look like they're kind of pulling away and

1096
00:54:16,200 --> 00:54:18,520
Speaker 3: the crowd is going nuts, and we cut to commercial

1097
00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:20,920
Speaker 3: as they're panning over the crowd, and I thought that

1098
00:54:20,960 --> 00:54:24,000
Speaker 3: was curtains for a young Hawks team. And Tray made

1099
00:54:24,000 --> 00:54:27,799
Speaker 3: the plays, hitting his shooters, and they came back. One

1100
00:54:27,840 --> 00:54:29,640
Speaker 3: thing that I'm going to have to pay attention to

1101
00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:33,239
Speaker 3: is that I and this is not new, I didn't

1102
00:54:33,320 --> 00:54:36,360
Speaker 3: learn this, but the Knicks are starting like two of

1103
00:54:36,400 --> 00:54:38,840
Speaker 3: their best five because he gets to the end of

1104
00:54:38,840 --> 00:54:42,600
Speaker 3: the game and Derek Rose is out there, duh, not

1105
00:54:42,680 --> 00:54:43,400
Speaker 3: Elfred Payton.

1106
00:54:43,480 --> 00:54:44,320
Speaker 5: But they're still gonna.

1107
00:54:44,120 --> 00:54:46,680
Speaker 3: Start Elfred Payton's still gonna play him eight minutes anyways,

1108
00:54:46,719 --> 00:54:48,680
Speaker 3: because why not throw away eight minutes.

1109
00:54:48,760 --> 00:54:50,040
Speaker 5: Let's just play Elfred Payton.

1110
00:54:50,640 --> 00:54:52,759
Speaker 3: Taj Gibson is out there at the end because it's

1111
00:54:52,760 --> 00:54:55,240
Speaker 3: TIBs and it's his guys, He's gonna play his guys

1112
00:54:55,719 --> 00:54:57,439
Speaker 3: and then like, I don't know, I'd probably rather play

1113
00:54:57,520 --> 00:54:59,799
Speaker 3: quickly or Burke's out there as well. They both look good,

1114
00:54:59,800 --> 00:55:03,239
Speaker 3: and so what are you doing playing two of your

1115
00:55:03,280 --> 00:55:07,040
Speaker 3: best five starting them and it's TIBs. It's not gonna

1116
00:55:07,040 --> 00:55:09,040
Speaker 3: make an adjustment at this point, Like this is not

1117
00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:12,759
Speaker 3: what he does here, So I'm worried about that. I'm

1118
00:55:12,760 --> 00:55:15,760
Speaker 3: worried about like a first quarter, Like you're putting yourself

1119
00:55:15,760 --> 00:55:18,040
Speaker 3: in a hole right away by playing Elfred Payton out

1120
00:55:18,040 --> 00:55:20,799
Speaker 3: of the gate, Like for why so Derreck Rose can

1121
00:55:20,840 --> 00:55:22,760
Speaker 3: come off the bench so he can be the sixth man.

1122
00:55:23,040 --> 00:55:25,960
Speaker 5: I don't know. So Yeah.

1123
00:55:26,160 --> 00:55:27,640
Speaker 3: One other thing that I saw in this game that

1124
00:55:27,719 --> 00:55:30,120
Speaker 3: surprised me. The Hawks throw at a lineup at one

1125
00:55:30,120 --> 00:55:33,799
Speaker 3: point that was Trey Young, Kevin Herder bogged on Magdanovich,

1126
00:55:33,880 --> 00:55:37,440
Speaker 3: Danila Gallinari, and John Collins like the all offense.

1127
00:55:37,560 --> 00:55:39,800
Speaker 5: Who really gives a rip about defense? Lineup?

1128
00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:42,560
Speaker 3: And it only played seven minutes, but they had a

1129
00:55:42,600 --> 00:55:45,680
Speaker 3: plus fifty six point three per one hundred net rating

1130
00:55:45,719 --> 00:55:49,440
Speaker 3: in those seven minutes. Now, obviously small sample size, and

1131
00:55:49,520 --> 00:55:52,920
Speaker 3: obviously you can't play those guys in the wrong matchups.

1132
00:55:53,480 --> 00:55:55,600
Speaker 3: I don't know if there is the wrong matchup against

1133
00:55:55,600 --> 00:55:57,120
Speaker 3: the Knicks, like I think you can just try to

1134
00:55:57,120 --> 00:55:59,799
Speaker 3: outscore them, and even against the Sixers if you can

1135
00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:02,360
Speaker 3: play that, if you get there and can play that matchup,

1136
00:56:02,680 --> 00:56:05,200
Speaker 3: play your all offense with M Vietnam on the court,

1137
00:56:05,560 --> 00:56:07,319
Speaker 3: and just try to just run and go crazy for

1138
00:56:07,360 --> 00:56:10,120
Speaker 3: a little bit. That's interesting. That's a lot of firepower.

1139
00:56:10,200 --> 00:56:14,319
Speaker 3: So Atlanta was intriguing coming in, and I feel more

1140
00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:16,680
Speaker 3: intrigued after what we saw. I feel like they're ready

1141
00:56:16,800 --> 00:56:19,560
Speaker 3: to do some things.

1142
00:56:20,360 --> 00:56:25,920
Speaker 4: Okay, So Hawks four to two is plus three twenty

1143
00:56:25,960 --> 00:56:33,600
Speaker 4: five series spread Hawks minus one and a half, so

1144
00:56:33,640 --> 00:56:36,080
Speaker 4: that'd be a like if they win four to one,

1145
00:56:36,520 --> 00:56:42,400
Speaker 4: four oh, four to two is minus one thirty Dedrew Yudel,

1146
00:56:43,880 --> 00:56:46,720
Speaker 4: what's the number for that last one? Minus one thirty

1147
00:56:46,880 --> 00:56:49,920
Speaker 4: for Hawks? Series spread minus one and a half. So

1148
00:56:49,960 --> 00:56:52,319
Speaker 4: if they win, if they sweep them, win in five

1149
00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:55,880
Speaker 4: or win in six, as long as it doesn't go seven, yeah,

1150
00:56:56,040 --> 00:56:58,560
Speaker 4: or the next win, it's minus one thirty.

1151
00:56:59,440 --> 00:57:02,440
Speaker 3: So my position on this, my best bet from our

1152
00:57:02,480 --> 00:57:05,759
Speaker 3: Eastern Conference pod was Hawks and six, and I still

1153
00:57:05,800 --> 00:57:07,640
Speaker 3: I don't think I want to take that Hawks minus

1154
00:57:07,640 --> 00:57:11,040
Speaker 3: one thirty because, like look, we saw the game. This

1155
00:57:11,360 --> 00:57:13,200
Speaker 3: is not gonna be a sweep. These teams are too

1156
00:57:13,320 --> 00:57:14,680
Speaker 3: close for it to be asleep.

1157
00:57:15,000 --> 00:57:15,680
Speaker 2: So that's out.

1158
00:57:15,960 --> 00:57:17,800
Speaker 3: So now we got Nick or now you got Hawks

1159
00:57:17,800 --> 00:57:20,920
Speaker 3: and five. Well, that's a closeout game at MSG and five.

1160
00:57:21,280 --> 00:57:23,080
Speaker 3: I like what I saw. I saw tore a young

1161
00:57:23,080 --> 00:57:26,720
Speaker 3: step up. I still know that, like that first close

1162
00:57:26,760 --> 00:57:28,800
Speaker 3: out game for a young team on the road in

1163
00:57:28,800 --> 00:57:30,960
Speaker 3: that environment, I don't want to bet on that. That's

1164
00:57:31,200 --> 00:57:32,760
Speaker 3: so then you come back to Hawks and six. I

1165
00:57:32,800 --> 00:57:34,640
Speaker 3: don't want the Hawks and seven. You got the same

1166
00:57:34,640 --> 00:57:37,400
Speaker 3: close up problem in the game seven. That's why to me,

1167
00:57:37,920 --> 00:57:40,240
Speaker 3: I like the Hawks and the series, and Hawks and

1168
00:57:40,280 --> 00:57:43,040
Speaker 3: six was the only pick that made sense for them

1169
00:57:43,320 --> 00:57:45,800
Speaker 3: to win the series. It was plus four ninety before

1170
00:57:45,800 --> 00:57:48,120
Speaker 3: the series. So that's what I'm in at three twenty

1171
00:57:48,160 --> 00:57:50,400
Speaker 3: five still seems pretty good to me, Like if if

1172
00:57:50,440 --> 00:57:52,280
Speaker 3: you look at them and you like the series, now,

1173
00:57:52,600 --> 00:57:55,280
Speaker 3: that seems like the spot that they would get it.

1174
00:57:55,760 --> 00:57:58,520
Speaker 4: So I took a very complicated position on this. I

1175
00:57:58,560 --> 00:58:01,080
Speaker 4: took over five and a half at minus two hundred,

1176
00:58:02,280 --> 00:58:05,360
Speaker 4: and then I did Hawks four to three and Knicks

1177
00:58:05,360 --> 00:58:07,840
Speaker 4: four to three with the over five and a half

1178
00:58:07,880 --> 00:58:12,000
Speaker 4: as my hedge. So basically like I'll break even if

1179
00:58:12,000 --> 00:58:15,920
Speaker 4: this series goes over five over over five games. If

1180
00:58:15,960 --> 00:58:20,160
Speaker 4: it goes seven, I'm guaranteed a big payout. That's still

1181
00:58:20,200 --> 00:58:23,240
Speaker 4: my position. I feel comfortable with that. I'll probably come

1182
00:58:23,240 --> 00:58:25,280
Speaker 4: back in hedge a little bit in game six if

1183
00:58:25,320 --> 00:58:29,120
Speaker 4: it gets there, just to ensure but in general, I

1184
00:58:29,120 --> 00:58:30,800
Speaker 4: feel pretty good about where we're at. I do like

1185
00:58:30,840 --> 00:58:32,640
Speaker 4: the Knicks, though in game two rightiem.

1186
00:58:33,080 --> 00:58:34,920
Speaker 6: I'm a little concerned about the Knicks. I'm gonna be

1187
00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:38,000
Speaker 6: honest with you. I think the return of DeAndre Hunter

1188
00:58:38,520 --> 00:58:41,040
Speaker 6: it's been a game changer. I mean, it can't be overstated.

1189
00:58:41,440 --> 00:58:44,240
Speaker 6: Randal was six to twenty three from the field. The

1190
00:58:44,320 --> 00:58:47,520
Speaker 6: Knicks got an amazing game from Alex urt I mean

1191
00:58:47,920 --> 00:58:50,760
Speaker 6: twenty seven points, nine to thirteen. I mean, of course

1192
00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:53,440
Speaker 6: he couldn't hit you know, the potential game winner at

1193
00:58:53,440 --> 00:58:56,600
Speaker 6: one point. But I think the real concern is how

1194
00:58:56,600 --> 00:58:58,560
Speaker 6: do they slow down Trey Young in the pick and roll.

1195
00:58:59,160 --> 00:59:01,960
Speaker 6: I think that's a real concern with you know, some

1196
00:59:02,080 --> 00:59:04,560
Speaker 6: of the person out that they have out there, and

1197
00:59:04,600 --> 00:59:08,520
Speaker 6: then you know, also, like Brandon said, if for Payton starting,

1198
00:59:09,480 --> 00:59:11,160
Speaker 6: I mean it's been a source of contention I have

1199
00:59:11,280 --> 00:59:13,240
Speaker 6: I'm in a group chat with a lot of Knicks

1200
00:59:13,320 --> 00:59:15,720
Speaker 6: fans and we've they've been saying it all year.

1201
00:59:15,800 --> 00:59:17,200
Speaker 2: Why is Payton starting?

1202
00:59:17,760 --> 00:59:22,040
Speaker 6: So I think you can look towards Atlanta Hawks first,

1203
00:59:22,280 --> 00:59:24,600
Speaker 6: I mean first quarters at this point, you know, with

1204
00:59:24,680 --> 00:59:28,120
Speaker 6: them spotting the Hawks of league, I don't know if

1205
00:59:28,160 --> 00:59:29,840
Speaker 6: I want to be taking the Knicks at this point.

1206
00:59:29,880 --> 00:59:32,600
Speaker 6: I just until they show me something on the pick

1207
00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:37,560
Speaker 6: and roll stopping Trey. I'm concerned. And I know I

1208
00:59:37,560 --> 00:59:39,560
Speaker 6: said this was gonna be a long series.

1209
00:59:39,200 --> 00:59:41,480
Speaker 4: But again, I just think you gotta look at like

1210
00:59:41,480 --> 00:59:42,800
Speaker 4: you can look at it, Burke. You gotta look at

1211
00:59:42,800 --> 00:59:45,520
Speaker 4: how bad Julius Random was, and like, I think Julius

1212
00:59:45,520 --> 00:59:47,640
Speaker 4: will play better, Like maybe he's an maybe he's an

1213
00:59:47,680 --> 00:59:49,640
Speaker 4: a two game player not sixteen. You know, we'll see

1214
00:59:49,640 --> 00:59:52,080
Speaker 4: in the series, but I feel like he can play better.

1215
00:59:52,160 --> 00:59:55,360
Speaker 4: I feel like Reggie Bulok can play better. They have

1216
00:59:55,400 --> 00:59:56,960
Speaker 4: guys that can play better. They got other guys to

1217
00:59:56,960 --> 00:59:59,400
Speaker 4: step up and has shot. I still like them in

1218
00:59:59,400 --> 00:59:59,720
Speaker 4: the series.

1219
00:59:59,760 --> 01:00:05,600
Speaker 7: Okay, next one, the Memphis Grizzlies at the Utah Jazz.

1220
01:00:06,280 --> 01:00:09,360
Speaker 4: I'm gonna put these shades on because the future is

1221
01:00:09,400 --> 01:00:12,160
Speaker 4: so bright for my Memphis Grizzlies so bright.

1222
01:00:13,200 --> 01:00:14,560
Speaker 2: Oh that's why you had the glasses.

1223
01:00:14,600 --> 01:00:18,480
Speaker 4: Okay, So right from the Memphis Grizzlies, John's twenty one,

1224
01:00:18,680 --> 01:00:24,520
Speaker 4: Jared's twenty one, Dylan's twenty two. It's amazing. So okay,

1225
01:00:25,360 --> 01:00:28,400
Speaker 4: I'm not gonna like I didn't make this an official pick. Okay,

1226
01:00:28,760 --> 01:00:32,000
Speaker 4: I did dabble in a series round robin, and I

1227
01:00:32,480 --> 01:00:35,240
Speaker 4: did not take a single jazz position. And I did

1228
01:00:35,320 --> 01:00:37,680
Speaker 4: take a Jazz or a Grizzlies plus seven hundred in

1229
01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:42,280
Speaker 4: a round robin series. So look, I looked at this matchup.

1230
01:00:42,480 --> 01:00:45,280
Speaker 4: We talked about the other the other day. We assumed

1231
01:00:45,320 --> 01:00:48,280
Speaker 4: last week the Warriors we're gonna win are bad, Like

1232
01:00:48,320 --> 01:00:52,760
Speaker 4: we assumed that it's Steph Curry, you know, the most

1233
01:00:53,040 --> 01:00:56,320
Speaker 4: gravity blah blah blah, that was gonna be able to

1234
01:00:56,320 --> 01:00:58,720
Speaker 4: carry his team and take care of business. And you know,

1235
01:00:58,880 --> 01:01:01,000
Speaker 4: it turns out you actually need to be able to

1236
01:01:01,040 --> 01:01:01,919
Speaker 4: make your teammates better.

1237
01:01:02,320 --> 01:01:05,080
Speaker 1: Matt Moore hate Steph Curry.

1238
01:01:05,000 --> 01:01:09,040
Speaker 4: And so the Grizzlies are now in the first round series.

1239
01:01:09,080 --> 01:01:10,960
Speaker 4: I like this matchup for the Grizzlies coming out the gate.

1240
01:01:11,000 --> 01:01:12,920
Speaker 4: I bet it took me a while when they announced

1241
01:01:12,920 --> 01:01:16,120
Speaker 4: Don and the Mitchell is out. I raced and got

1242
01:01:17,160 --> 01:01:19,480
Speaker 4: I got Grizzlies plus nine did not take them on

1243
01:01:19,480 --> 01:01:24,080
Speaker 4: the money line, So I will not victory lap over that. Look.

1244
01:01:24,680 --> 01:01:26,320
Speaker 4: Utah is lifely to get Don and the Mitchell back,

1245
01:01:27,880 --> 01:01:30,200
Speaker 4: and when they do, I think they're gonna win the series.

1246
01:01:31,160 --> 01:01:34,560
Speaker 4: But that's like a contentious situation. There's some bad vibes

1247
01:01:34,600 --> 01:01:37,840
Speaker 4: there with the team being the team. Here's everything I'll

1248
01:01:37,880 --> 01:01:40,000
Speaker 4: say is like Rudy Gobert like kind of talked about

1249
01:01:40,000 --> 01:01:41,520
Speaker 4: this about like you wake up and your best player

1250
01:01:41,560 --> 01:01:43,080
Speaker 4: are not gonna play kind of throws you off a bet.

1251
01:01:43,080 --> 01:01:46,080
Speaker 4: It's like, no, you are the one seed. You're the

1252
01:01:46,080 --> 01:01:49,400
Speaker 4: best defensive player in the league. Everyone touts you as

1253
01:01:49,440 --> 01:01:53,200
Speaker 4: like this analytical wonder. When the game versus the eight,

1254
01:01:53,640 --> 01:01:57,680
Speaker 4: what are you doing? Don't fall over when Kyle Anderson

1255
01:01:57,800 --> 01:02:01,360
Speaker 4: shoves you Like that was the worst flop I've ever seen.

1256
01:02:01,800 --> 01:02:03,760
Speaker 4: I will say to this, The Grizzlies came into the

1257
01:02:03,880 --> 01:02:08,680
Speaker 4: Utah Jazz's house and punk them, punked them. Dylan Brooks

1258
01:02:08,720 --> 01:02:12,400
Speaker 4: came in and ran his mouth at you well while

1259
01:02:12,480 --> 01:02:17,840
Speaker 4: leading both teams and scoring like jaw finished over Rudy

1260
01:02:18,320 --> 01:02:23,040
Speaker 4: for a huge bucket late Like the Jazz got punked.

1261
01:02:23,120 --> 01:02:25,000
Speaker 4: I don't want to hear any more nonsense about Ridy

1262
01:02:25,000 --> 01:02:29,360
Speaker 4: Gobert is the Jazz's best player, nonsense. They need Donovan Mitchell,

1263
01:02:29,520 --> 01:02:30,960
Speaker 4: they need him in the playoffs. I think when he

1264
01:02:30,960 --> 01:02:34,640
Speaker 4: gets back, they win the series. Price is still obviously

1265
01:02:34,680 --> 01:02:37,480
Speaker 4: like you can't overreact to this one. You just can't.

1266
01:02:37,880 --> 01:02:40,120
Speaker 4: So like the Jazz are still minus three point fifty,

1267
01:02:40,960 --> 01:02:44,600
Speaker 4: you can get Jazz minus two and a half at

1268
01:02:44,640 --> 01:02:48,080
Speaker 4: plus two fifty. That's for like basically a reverse gentlemen's right.

1269
01:02:48,120 --> 01:02:50,280
Speaker 4: They win the next four minus one and a half

1270
01:02:50,360 --> 01:02:53,160
Speaker 4: is minus one forty five. There's some value there. I'm

1271
01:02:53,160 --> 01:02:55,080
Speaker 4: probably just gonna keep betting this game by game, right,

1272
01:02:55,120 --> 01:02:57,160
Speaker 4: he man, I'm just gonna, like, I'm gonna look at

1273
01:02:57,160 --> 01:02:59,400
Speaker 4: the spot and see how it goes. I'm taking Utah

1274
01:02:59,440 --> 01:03:01,640
Speaker 4: in game two. I'm probably taking Memphis in game three.

1275
01:03:02,920 --> 01:03:05,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's that's the right approach.

1276
01:03:05,520 --> 01:03:08,000
Speaker 6: I mean, the Jazz are laying too much juice to

1277
01:03:08,120 --> 01:03:10,880
Speaker 6: even you know, consider backing them. And I also think,

1278
01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:13,760
Speaker 6: I mean, one of the biggest things is we really

1279
01:03:13,800 --> 01:03:15,920
Speaker 6: have to know when Donovan Mitchell comes back, because I

1280
01:03:15,960 --> 01:03:18,200
Speaker 6: think one of the biggest things that I've learned from

1281
01:03:18,200 --> 01:03:21,480
Speaker 6: this playoff series, I mean from the first couple of

1282
01:03:21,480 --> 01:03:24,400
Speaker 6: playoff games, is that you have to have shot creators

1283
01:03:24,920 --> 01:03:26,560
Speaker 6: and who's going to be able to break down a

1284
01:03:26,600 --> 01:03:30,200
Speaker 6: defense and create their own shot. And the best guy

1285
01:03:30,280 --> 01:03:33,720
Speaker 6: for them yesterday was Bogdanovich. You know, he had a

1286
01:03:33,760 --> 01:03:37,280
Speaker 6: solid second half. But if you don't have those guys

1287
01:03:37,320 --> 01:03:39,280
Speaker 6: who can break down the defense and get your own shot,

1288
01:03:39,960 --> 01:03:42,520
Speaker 6: it's tough just having, you know, four guys who just

1289
01:03:42,600 --> 01:03:45,440
Speaker 6: launched rias. And you know, I love Mike Connley, but

1290
01:03:45,720 --> 01:03:47,760
Speaker 6: I mean John Morant looked like the best player on

1291
01:03:47,760 --> 01:03:49,880
Speaker 6: the floor. I mean he got to the rim and

1292
01:03:50,080 --> 01:03:53,440
Speaker 6: will you know this is a team that you know,

1293
01:03:53,560 --> 01:03:56,800
Speaker 6: relies on mid range shots and floaters, and John Morant's

1294
01:03:56,800 --> 01:03:59,600
Speaker 6: floater was probably the best shot in the game yesterday.

1295
01:04:01,200 --> 01:04:04,840
Speaker 6: Until Mitchell comes back, I would not be willing to,

1296
01:04:05,000 --> 01:04:07,520
Speaker 6: you know, back to Jazz at this point.

1297
01:04:07,640 --> 01:04:09,920
Speaker 4: Brandon, where are you at? Because this is one of

1298
01:04:10,000 --> 01:04:13,120
Speaker 4: the series that I believe you said give me Jazz

1299
01:04:13,160 --> 01:04:16,480
Speaker 4: minus twenty in game one was the thing that you said.

1300
01:04:16,760 --> 01:04:20,640
Speaker 3: I did say that. I regret saying that mistakes. For me,

1301
01:04:21,920 --> 01:04:24,880
Speaker 3: the mistakes were made. I put this one in on

1302
01:04:24,960 --> 01:04:27,800
Speaker 3: three units in on the app To be fair, that

1303
01:04:28,000 --> 01:04:30,360
Speaker 3: was with Donovan Mitchell, not even on the injury report.

1304
01:04:30,520 --> 01:04:31,760
Speaker 5: What are we doing with us?

1305
01:04:31,960 --> 01:04:34,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would not have taken them knowing that, But

1306
01:04:34,920 --> 01:04:37,120
Speaker 3: the big reason that I took them was like the

1307
01:04:37,120 --> 01:04:41,560
Speaker 3: big rest disadvantage that was supposed to happen, and instead

1308
01:04:41,680 --> 01:04:44,400
Speaker 3: the Jazz came out and they're coasting early, and I'm like,

1309
01:04:44,480 --> 01:04:45,880
Speaker 3: all right, yeah, this will be fine.

1310
01:04:45,920 --> 01:04:46,919
Speaker 5: The Jazz are still good.

1311
01:04:46,960 --> 01:04:49,520
Speaker 3: They had great record this season as long as one

1312
01:04:49,600 --> 01:04:52,320
Speaker 3: of conle Ar Mitchell played. And then the second quarter

1313
01:04:52,400 --> 01:04:57,560
Speaker 3: started and the Jazz just got bullied like the Grizzlies.

1314
01:04:57,600 --> 01:04:59,600
Speaker 3: The tired team that should have rolled over and been like,

1315
01:04:59,640 --> 01:05:01,560
Speaker 3: all right, you got us in game one. We're tired,

1316
01:05:01,640 --> 01:05:04,480
Speaker 3: we'll try again. Did the opposite, and they came out

1317
01:05:04,480 --> 01:05:07,160
Speaker 3: and just like punched them in the face repeatedly, and

1318
01:05:07,400 --> 01:05:10,440
Speaker 3: they just sat there and cried and we're like, please stop.

1319
01:05:10,680 --> 01:05:11,800
Speaker 5: We don't know what to do.

1320
01:05:12,400 --> 01:05:16,440
Speaker 3: Like it to me, Okay, look, a takeaway from this

1321
01:05:16,520 --> 01:05:18,280
Speaker 3: game is that the Jazz are better with their two

1322
01:05:18,320 --> 01:05:21,520
Speaker 3: best players on the court. Okay, Donovan Mitchell will play.

1323
01:05:21,880 --> 01:05:24,840
Speaker 3: Ruto Gobert was in the foul trouble. Gobert was plus

1324
01:05:24,960 --> 01:05:27,600
Speaker 3: nine and twenty five minutes and minus twelve and twenty

1325
01:05:27,640 --> 01:05:28,760
Speaker 3: three minutes off the court.

1326
01:05:28,760 --> 01:05:31,520
Speaker 5: I know, the foul trouble, you know, might not go away.

1327
01:05:31,720 --> 01:05:33,040
Speaker 5: The valance was gonna get to him.

1328
01:05:33,400 --> 01:05:38,280
Speaker 3: But like, I'm not so worried about the series yet

1329
01:05:38,800 --> 01:05:41,600
Speaker 3: until like, if you tell me Mitchell is just indefinite

1330
01:05:41,640 --> 01:05:46,000
Speaker 3: at this point, then maybe I change by the Jazz, like, like, look,

1331
01:05:46,040 --> 01:05:48,920
Speaker 3: the the Jazz almost won this game. Still, they shot

1332
01:05:48,960 --> 01:05:50,680
Speaker 3: what they were going, like six of thirty one on

1333
01:05:50,720 --> 01:05:53,320
Speaker 3: threes going to the fourth quarter. They didn't have a

1334
01:05:53,320 --> 01:05:56,560
Speaker 3: good Gobert game that had nothing for Mitchell, and the

1335
01:05:56,600 --> 01:05:58,520
Speaker 3: Grizzlies did all the things we're talking about, and the

1336
01:05:58,600 --> 01:06:01,440
Speaker 3: Jazz were still like, add one more minute to the

1337
01:06:01,520 --> 01:06:02,840
Speaker 3: end of the game and they might have finished the

1338
01:06:02,840 --> 01:06:04,320
Speaker 3: comeback and made another three there.

1339
01:06:04,960 --> 01:06:07,200
Speaker 5: I don't worry so much about the series.

1340
01:06:07,640 --> 01:06:11,560
Speaker 3: What I worry about is I got like mad Milwaukee

1341
01:06:11,560 --> 01:06:14,000
Speaker 3: Bucks vibes from the last couple of years. Yeah, from

1342
01:06:14,080 --> 01:06:17,640
Speaker 3: this team, it was like, hey, we're really good. We're

1343
01:06:17,680 --> 01:06:19,880
Speaker 3: just gonna do what we do and it's gonna work.

1344
01:06:20,000 --> 01:06:22,840
Speaker 3: We're just gonna stay the course. And I don't feel

1345
01:06:22,880 --> 01:06:26,920
Speaker 3: like snydering man adjustments. He didn't change their rotations that

1346
01:06:26,960 --> 01:06:30,120
Speaker 3: third quarter. Conly and Gobert sat like the entire third

1347
01:06:30,160 --> 01:06:33,200
Speaker 3: quarter with follow trouble, and they were just behind and

1348
01:06:33,280 --> 01:06:35,600
Speaker 3: just had no sense of urgency. They're just like I,

1349
01:06:35,600 --> 01:06:39,480
Speaker 3: we'll just shoot threes and hopefully you'll stop punching us

1350
01:06:39,520 --> 01:06:40,800
Speaker 3: and maybe we'll make some shots.

1351
01:06:41,320 --> 01:06:41,880
Speaker 5: So I.

1352
01:06:43,560 --> 01:06:46,320
Speaker 3: Picked the Jazz to make the finals. I regret that

1353
01:06:46,440 --> 01:06:49,760
Speaker 3: immensely after yesterday, Like not because they're gonna lose to

1354
01:06:49,840 --> 01:06:53,240
Speaker 3: the Grizzlies, but because, Yeah, the things that you guys

1355
01:06:53,240 --> 01:06:55,000
Speaker 3: said all a year about like, yo, this is a

1356
01:06:55,000 --> 01:06:58,000
Speaker 3: different team in the playoffs that looked the part yesterday

1357
01:06:58,320 --> 01:07:00,800
Speaker 3: like that, all the stuff we said about the taking

1358
01:07:00,840 --> 01:07:03,560
Speaker 3: all the punches and then responding that's the thing the

1359
01:07:03,560 --> 01:07:04,880
Speaker 3: Bucks didn't do the last couple of years.

1360
01:07:04,880 --> 01:07:06,960
Speaker 5: That's what I saw from the Jazz yesterday. It's troubling.

1361
01:07:07,120 --> 01:07:09,120
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna give Snyder a break here. You have

1362
01:07:09,160 --> 01:07:10,720
Speaker 4: to have the personnel to do it. This is the

1363
01:07:10,840 --> 01:07:12,760
Speaker 4: entire thing I've had with the Jazz. Your entire team

1364
01:07:12,800 --> 01:07:15,520
Speaker 4: is depending on Rudy Gobert, Your entire scheme, everything, everything

1365
01:07:15,600 --> 01:07:18,040
Speaker 4: is depending on Rudy Gobert. Okay, well, what if Rudy

1366
01:07:18,080 --> 01:07:20,760
Speaker 4: Gobert isn't a difference maker, and you're gonna say, like, well,

1367
01:07:20,800 --> 01:07:22,720
Speaker 4: he was a plus nine. Brandon just said, here's an

1368
01:07:22,720 --> 01:07:25,800
Speaker 4: interesting one Forty Brennan. With Dionas Valentiunas on the court,

1369
01:07:26,360 --> 01:07:29,520
Speaker 4: Rudy Gobert was a minus two. With Rudy Gobert on

1370
01:07:29,560 --> 01:07:32,600
Speaker 4: the court and Jonis Valentiunas on the court, Memphis Grizzlies

1371
01:07:32,640 --> 01:07:35,720
Speaker 4: had a one to twenty offensive rating, which means that

1372
01:07:35,760 --> 01:07:39,960
Speaker 4: with the foul trouble if he's basically what happened was

1373
01:07:40,120 --> 01:07:44,440
Speaker 4: Rudy played awesome versus versus Xavier Tillman. That's what that

1374
01:07:44,480 --> 01:07:47,640
Speaker 4: came down to, is that he beat up on a young,

1375
01:07:48,240 --> 01:07:50,600
Speaker 4: undersized guy. Good job.

1376
01:07:51,840 --> 01:07:52,240
Speaker 2: We talked.

1377
01:07:52,280 --> 01:07:54,560
Speaker 4: You talked about like the shooting thing. So here here's

1378
01:07:54,560 --> 01:07:57,480
Speaker 4: a big key because you got to be consistent, right right.

1379
01:07:57,520 --> 01:07:58,960
Speaker 4: He and I both said, like, we don't expect the

1380
01:07:58,960 --> 01:08:01,800
Speaker 4: Bucks to shoot five with alreaty one in the next game.

1381
01:08:02,200 --> 01:08:04,320
Speaker 4: It's not that we expect the Bucks to shoot well,

1382
01:08:04,520 --> 01:08:06,200
Speaker 4: because I do think that there is a problem with

1383
01:08:06,240 --> 01:08:09,280
Speaker 4: when you're a three point volume team and teams expect

1384
01:08:09,320 --> 01:08:11,160
Speaker 4: it and they're closing out on you, and it's different

1385
01:08:11,160 --> 01:08:13,240
Speaker 4: than it is in the regular season. The rhythm's different.

1386
01:08:13,680 --> 01:08:18,120
Speaker 4: That's when the backsides get tight, right, And that was

1387
01:08:18,160 --> 01:08:19,599
Speaker 4: a lot of what happened with the Jazz is like

1388
01:08:20,240 --> 01:08:23,040
Speaker 4: you're eighty two game shooters. You were not sixteen game shooters,

1389
01:08:23,400 --> 01:08:25,759
Speaker 4: and like that's a problem. Like that's a big problem

1390
01:08:25,760 --> 01:08:29,120
Speaker 4: for them. Now. The big key is like versus the

1391
01:08:29,160 --> 01:08:30,960
Speaker 4: eight seed, you're supposed to have it feel like a

1392
01:08:31,000 --> 01:08:34,200
Speaker 4: regular season game versus an eight seed in its first

1393
01:08:34,200 --> 01:08:37,439
Speaker 4: playoff appearance with a bunch of kids under twenty five,

1394
01:08:37,880 --> 01:08:42,080
Speaker 4: It definitely should be easy for you. What are you doing? Like,

1395
01:08:42,439 --> 01:08:46,439
Speaker 4: what are you doing? I just I'm marvel at the

1396
01:08:46,479 --> 01:08:50,120
Speaker 4: fact that this team got punk that badly. Again. I

1397
01:08:50,120 --> 01:08:52,160
Speaker 4: think if you're looking for the spot to probably take

1398
01:08:52,200 --> 01:08:54,679
Speaker 4: the Jazz in this series, it's after Game three, because

1399
01:08:54,680 --> 01:08:56,760
Speaker 4: I think that the Jazz came back and win Game two.

1400
01:08:57,200 --> 01:09:01,080
Speaker 4: The grindhouse is nuts. In Game three, the Jazz go

1401
01:09:01,240 --> 01:09:03,479
Speaker 4: down to one, and that's the point where I'm probably

1402
01:09:03,560 --> 01:09:06,120
Speaker 4: taking Jazz because they should win this series. Still, like

1403
01:09:06,479 --> 01:09:09,280
Speaker 4: Memphis got a monster performance from Dylan Brooks, who I

1404
01:09:09,320 --> 01:09:13,280
Speaker 4: love Dylan. I absolutely like, I don't buy Jerseys anymore.

1405
01:09:13,760 --> 01:09:16,120
Speaker 4: To buy Dylan Brooks Jersey. He's my kind of agitator,

1406
01:09:16,640 --> 01:09:20,080
Speaker 4: but but I can't expect that kind of performance from

1407
01:09:20,120 --> 01:09:23,519
Speaker 4: him every single night. The Jazz do have more weapons,

1408
01:09:23,479 --> 01:09:26,160
Speaker 4: et cetera, so there's a spot to find them. I

1409
01:09:26,240 --> 01:09:28,720
Speaker 4: like the Jazz in Game two, but they are like

1410
01:09:28,800 --> 01:09:31,240
Speaker 4: if they screw around in the series. The Grizzlies are

1411
01:09:31,240 --> 01:09:33,400
Speaker 4: taking it. They're absolutely taking it. They bear figure out

1412
01:09:33,400 --> 01:09:34,360
Speaker 4: that Donnoan Mitchell stuff.

1413
01:09:34,760 --> 01:09:39,120
Speaker 3: Right now, let's put some respect on Taylor Jenkins's name. Yeah,

1414
01:09:40,439 --> 01:09:42,960
Speaker 3: shown up, but he's been so good all last year

1415
01:09:42,960 --> 01:09:45,799
Speaker 3: and this year. He just knocked out Pop and knocked

1416
01:09:45,840 --> 01:09:49,120
Speaker 3: out kerr On, you know, and knocked out Curry and

1417
01:09:49,200 --> 01:09:51,800
Speaker 3: Draymond and a great Warriors team and now Snyder, like

1418
01:09:51,840 --> 01:09:55,360
Speaker 3: those are three very good coaches, and he just he's

1419
01:09:55,400 --> 01:09:57,799
Speaker 3: got all these young guys. He's pulling all the strings.

1420
01:09:57,840 --> 01:10:01,759
Speaker 3: Like if this was college and not NBA, Taylor Jenkins

1421
01:10:01,840 --> 01:10:04,320
Speaker 3: would be like coaching in this last series because he'd

1422
01:10:04,320 --> 01:10:06,840
Speaker 3: be about to get hired as the next coach of whatever,

1423
01:10:06,960 --> 01:10:09,360
Speaker 3: like the Lakers or the Bucks or whoever.

1424
01:10:09,120 --> 01:10:09,960
Speaker 5: Like that, you know them.

1425
01:10:10,000 --> 01:10:11,800
Speaker 3: He doesn't do that, but like if this was like

1426
01:10:11,840 --> 01:10:14,400
Speaker 3: the underdog team, he gets the big upset, and then

1427
01:10:14,400 --> 01:10:16,720
Speaker 3: he'd be hired away to the big team waiting for

1428
01:10:16,840 --> 01:10:18,160
Speaker 3: him like he has been awesome.

1429
01:10:18,840 --> 01:10:23,280
Speaker 7: The Portland Trailblazers at the Denver Nuggets Game.

1430
01:10:23,120 --> 01:10:25,040
Speaker 4: One one, about the way that I thought, I think

1431
01:10:25,040 --> 01:10:27,519
Speaker 4: this is gonna be a coin flip. Do not think

1432
01:10:27,520 --> 01:10:31,040
Speaker 4: that the series is over. The Blazers have all the

1433
01:10:31,160 --> 01:10:33,880
Speaker 4: tactical advantages in this series, and this was still a

1434
01:10:33,880 --> 01:10:36,680
Speaker 4: five point game with less than five to play.

1435
01:10:37,840 --> 01:10:40,520
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Terry stats experience.

1436
01:10:41,080 --> 01:10:43,800
Speaker 4: The Nuggets ran out of er, out of gas. They

1437
01:10:43,800 --> 01:10:45,960
Speaker 4: don't have as much firepower. That's what we said going in.

1438
01:10:46,240 --> 01:10:48,040
Speaker 4: I like the Blazers on the series price. I got

1439
01:10:48,160 --> 01:10:50,600
Speaker 4: early at a good number. You're not gonna get it

1440
01:10:50,640 --> 01:10:52,200
Speaker 4: a good number now. You want to wait because I

1441
01:10:52,240 --> 01:10:53,800
Speaker 4: think the Nuggets are gonna win Game two, and you

1442
01:10:53,800 --> 01:10:58,240
Speaker 4: can probably get a much better number, especially probably like

1443
01:10:58,479 --> 01:11:01,080
Speaker 4: I would, your best pot. The spots here are probably

1444
01:11:01,160 --> 01:11:02,800
Speaker 4: after game two, after Game four. If you want to

1445
01:11:02,800 --> 01:11:05,320
Speaker 4: get the Blazers. The Blazers are minus three fifty right now.

1446
01:11:05,760 --> 01:11:08,360
Speaker 4: I don't hate it. If you want to take Blazers

1447
01:11:08,400 --> 01:11:13,320
Speaker 4: minus two and a half at plus one seventy, I

1448
01:11:13,320 --> 01:11:15,120
Speaker 4: don't think that's the best number that you're gonna get.

1449
01:11:15,120 --> 01:11:18,320
Speaker 4: I think you can wait, but it's entirely possible. The

1450
01:11:18,400 --> 01:11:20,679
Speaker 4: Nuggets just do not have enough firepower. But Will Barton

1451
01:11:20,720 --> 01:11:22,680
Speaker 4: is probably gonna be back. I'll tell you by I

1452
01:11:22,720 --> 01:11:25,519
Speaker 4: would say the game four he's probably back, which is

1453
01:11:25,560 --> 01:11:27,200
Speaker 4: gonna be a big boost for them. PJDS is not

1454
01:11:27,240 --> 01:11:29,240
Speaker 4: coming back. The blazer are gonna win the series. I

1455
01:11:29,280 --> 01:11:30,840
Speaker 4: will tell you that right now. The Blazers are gonna

1456
01:11:30,840 --> 01:11:32,720
Speaker 4: win the series. The Nuggets do not have enough, but

1457
01:11:33,120 --> 01:11:36,280
Speaker 4: the Blazers defense did screw around enough all night and

1458
01:11:36,400 --> 01:11:39,240
Speaker 4: is still trash. It turns out that defense is still horrible.

1459
01:11:39,720 --> 01:11:42,640
Speaker 4: Their game plan is good, though, make Yogic beat you

1460
01:11:42,760 --> 01:11:45,320
Speaker 4: one on one, live with it, cut down the shooters.

1461
01:11:45,520 --> 01:11:49,960
Speaker 4: Jokic has one assist. The Nuggets are now two and

1462
01:11:50,080 --> 01:11:54,240
Speaker 4: four in playoff games where Nikola Jokic has more than

1463
01:11:54,280 --> 01:11:57,000
Speaker 4: twenty five shots, because that's not the way that they play.

1464
01:11:57,439 --> 01:12:00,160
Speaker 4: So I think the Nuggets are gonna win Game two.

1465
01:12:00,240 --> 01:12:02,360
Speaker 4: I liked them. I took them first half especially. I

1466
01:12:02,360 --> 01:12:03,920
Speaker 4: think like that's always been a good spot. Is that

1467
01:12:04,000 --> 01:12:07,519
Speaker 4: team now one at home? You got it? Must win

1468
01:12:07,600 --> 01:12:09,679
Speaker 4: Game two? Can't go down. Oh to take the first

1469
01:12:09,680 --> 01:12:13,200
Speaker 4: half line like, I'm on Nuggets, Nuggets first half, but

1470
01:12:13,560 --> 01:12:16,040
Speaker 4: the Blazers are gonna win the series. And it's because

1471
01:12:16,040 --> 01:12:18,280
Speaker 4: the Nuggets don't have any guards? Is do we need

1472
01:12:18,320 --> 01:12:19,960
Speaker 4: anything more on this, Brandon? Or is that it?

1473
01:12:20,680 --> 01:12:23,519
Speaker 3: I mean, it really is that the firepower is it's

1474
01:12:23,600 --> 01:12:26,320
Speaker 3: just not the same. And I don't think that's over

1475
01:12:26,680 --> 01:12:29,800
Speaker 3: just because Jokic is too good. And we've seen, like

1476
01:12:30,000 --> 01:12:33,240
Speaker 3: we know that Denver plays its best with their backs

1477
01:12:33,280 --> 01:12:36,160
Speaker 3: against the wall and even when they're shorthanded, like we

1478
01:12:36,200 --> 01:12:38,400
Speaker 3: already they already were missing Will Barton last year. They

1479
01:12:38,400 --> 01:12:40,680
Speaker 3: were missing Gary Harris for part of the playoffs last

1480
01:12:40,760 --> 01:12:43,040
Speaker 3: year and still came back down three to one twice.

1481
01:12:43,320 --> 01:12:45,960
Speaker 3: So I'm not ready to put dirt on the gravesite yet.

1482
01:12:46,600 --> 01:12:48,479
Speaker 3: I also have picked them tonight. I think it's a

1483
01:12:48,479 --> 01:12:50,920
Speaker 3: great spot for them where you can't go down oh

1484
01:12:51,000 --> 01:12:53,879
Speaker 3: two at home, hitting the road with no guards.

1485
01:12:53,920 --> 01:12:54,920
Speaker 5: This is not a good spot.

1486
01:12:55,439 --> 01:12:58,240
Speaker 3: Jokic had ten post ups in the first game and

1487
01:12:58,280 --> 01:13:01,519
Speaker 3: passed out of it only once. Yokic had was his

1488
01:13:01,560 --> 01:13:05,360
Speaker 3: teammates were one of ten on potential Yokich assists. Both

1489
01:13:05,400 --> 01:13:08,360
Speaker 3: of those numbers are problems, like ten is not enough

1490
01:13:08,400 --> 01:13:11,160
Speaker 3: and one is definitely not enough, and some of that

1491
01:13:11,240 --> 01:13:13,639
Speaker 3: that's gonna even out with variants. I think you will

1492
01:13:13,640 --> 01:13:15,200
Speaker 3: have a big game. I think Porter is gonna have

1493
01:13:15,240 --> 01:13:17,919
Speaker 3: a big game. They need him to put up some points.

1494
01:13:18,439 --> 01:13:21,120
Speaker 3: But yeah, I think I think we see where the

1495
01:13:21,160 --> 01:13:22,280
Speaker 3: series is probably hading.

1496
01:13:22,600 --> 01:13:23,479
Speaker 2: I agree with you guys.

1497
01:13:23,720 --> 01:13:26,080
Speaker 6: I think Porter is gonna be the key because he

1498
01:13:26,080 --> 01:13:27,559
Speaker 6: he I mean, he has to be the second star

1499
01:13:27,600 --> 01:13:29,400
Speaker 6: on this team. I mean, one going on for ten

1500
01:13:29,479 --> 01:13:32,000
Speaker 6: from three isn't gonna cut it. But I mean this

1501
01:13:32,080 --> 01:13:34,920
Speaker 6: is I don't match up for him. So I do

1502
01:13:34,960 --> 01:13:37,360
Speaker 6: think the Nuggets win Game two, and I think the

1503
01:13:37,400 --> 01:13:38,920
Speaker 6: players does eventually win the series.

1504
01:13:39,200 --> 01:13:40,840
Speaker 4: I will say, like he had twenty five and he

1505
01:13:40,840 --> 01:13:43,880
Speaker 4: shot one of ten from three, Like, yeah, I mean

1506
01:13:43,880 --> 01:13:46,479
Speaker 4: he made I'll tell you this, I got him plus

1507
01:13:46,520 --> 01:13:50,680
Speaker 4: eight hundred to be a series leading scorer HM and

1508
01:13:51,400 --> 01:13:53,519
Speaker 4: I still feel okay about that even after Dame's big game.

1509
01:13:54,600 --> 01:13:56,639
Speaker 4: All right, now to the series that I think are over.

1510
01:13:57,200 --> 01:14:01,360
Speaker 7: The Boston Celtics at the Brooklyn Look.

1511
01:14:01,720 --> 01:14:05,559
Speaker 4: Honestly, this is the opposite of heat Bucks, where Celtics

1512
01:14:05,600 --> 01:14:08,200
Speaker 4: got what they needed. A terrible start for the Nets,

1513
01:14:08,240 --> 01:14:10,640
Speaker 4: scoring sixteen points in the first quarter like that's what

1514
01:14:10,720 --> 01:14:13,680
Speaker 4: you need. Jumped all over him, got a lead. You know,

1515
01:14:14,000 --> 01:14:17,240
Speaker 4: all the energy us against the world. Marcus Smart's scoring,

1516
01:14:17,360 --> 01:14:20,040
Speaker 4: Robert Williams is doing his run out of gas. Forty

1517
01:14:20,080 --> 01:14:23,040
Speaker 4: points in the second half. Not enough firepower. Nets pull

1518
01:14:23,080 --> 01:14:25,479
Speaker 4: away thirteen for KD and the third thirteen for Kyrite

1519
01:14:25,479 --> 01:14:28,680
Speaker 4: in the fourth. That's the NETS model. Like this was

1520
01:14:28,720 --> 01:14:31,960
Speaker 4: the ultimate, Like this is futile. You do not have

1521
01:14:31,960 --> 01:14:34,519
Speaker 4: the firepower to run with this team. Like you got

1522
01:14:34,520 --> 01:14:36,320
Speaker 4: a sixteen point quarter at the Nets and you didn't

1523
01:14:36,320 --> 01:14:38,840
Speaker 4: get a win. If you if you hold the Nets

1524
01:14:38,840 --> 01:14:41,320
Speaker 4: to sixteen points in any quarter, you had better win

1525
01:14:41,400 --> 01:14:45,479
Speaker 4: the damn game. And they did not. I took Nets

1526
01:14:45,479 --> 01:14:47,960
Speaker 4: mis two and a half in the series, ra him,

1527
01:14:48,040 --> 01:14:49,040
Speaker 4: and I feel great about it.

1528
01:14:50,200 --> 01:14:52,559
Speaker 6: I think the most impressive thing about this series is

1529
01:14:52,600 --> 01:14:58,519
Speaker 6: that KD like almost died attempting a layup, and you know,

1530
01:14:58,720 --> 01:15:01,160
Speaker 6: he didn't try to sell it like the Rock the

1531
01:15:01,320 --> 01:15:05,120
Speaker 6: Stone Colt Stunners like le Bron did and the Sun's game. Yeah,

1532
01:15:05,160 --> 01:15:07,719
Speaker 6: this series is feudile. We could talk about anything else

1533
01:15:07,880 --> 01:15:08,960
Speaker 6: except for this one.

1534
01:15:09,240 --> 01:15:10,040
Speaker 2: I mean, the.

1535
01:15:12,280 --> 01:15:14,639
Speaker 6: Celtics had their shot and they just didn't take advantage

1536
01:15:14,640 --> 01:15:15,280
Speaker 6: of it.

1537
01:15:15,439 --> 01:15:17,760
Speaker 2: So it's just I.

1538
01:15:17,720 --> 01:15:19,920
Speaker 4: Don't want to overreact. I don't want to overreact to

1539
01:15:19,960 --> 01:15:21,519
Speaker 4: game ones, but this should this is the one that

1540
01:15:21,640 --> 01:15:22,960
Speaker 4: they should have won it. We should be like, hey,

1541
01:15:22,960 --> 01:15:25,760
Speaker 4: are the Celtics in the series the next inexperience like

1542
01:15:25,760 --> 01:15:28,200
Speaker 4: Brandon all these things, and like they just couldn't get

1543
01:15:28,200 --> 01:15:29,880
Speaker 4: it done. Like I don't. Again, I'm not trying to

1544
01:15:29,880 --> 01:15:32,600
Speaker 4: overreact to gain once it's inherent that you're going to

1545
01:15:32,640 --> 01:15:36,000
Speaker 4: take stuff away from it. But I mean this, this

1546
01:15:36,120 --> 01:15:37,360
Speaker 4: was a bad loss for Boston.

1547
01:15:38,160 --> 01:15:40,840
Speaker 3: That's bad, and they don't know Jalen Brown and it's

1548
01:15:40,880 --> 01:15:43,240
Speaker 3: the series. It's not happening for them. It maybe a sweep,

1549
01:15:43,280 --> 01:15:44,680
Speaker 3: and man, now we don't really know, like what the

1550
01:15:44,720 --> 01:15:46,400
Speaker 3: heart of the Nets is. We don't know if they're

1551
01:15:46,400 --> 01:15:47,679
Speaker 3: going to go for the kill and try to close

1552
01:15:47,720 --> 01:15:49,760
Speaker 3: it out. I have no interest betting the series. I

1553
01:15:49,760 --> 01:15:51,960
Speaker 3: didn't really have any interests going in. The only angle

1554
01:15:52,000 --> 01:15:56,040
Speaker 3: that I'm watching is Robert Williams. So I'm looking the

1555
01:15:56,160 --> 01:16:00,360
Speaker 3: potentially bat and that's quarter or game if Robert Williams

1556
01:16:00,400 --> 01:16:02,639
Speaker 3: suddenly goes out with foul trouble or with that turf

1557
01:16:02,640 --> 01:16:05,360
Speaker 3: too injury again, because he was a huge difference maker

1558
01:16:06,200 --> 01:16:09,080
Speaker 3: that's shot one of thirteen against Robert Williams in Game

1559
01:16:09,120 --> 01:16:11,280
Speaker 3: one with him on the court that had ninety three

1560
01:16:11,280 --> 01:16:15,000
Speaker 3: point two defensive rating, he had nine blocks, he forced

1561
01:16:15,000 --> 01:16:19,759
Speaker 3: two turnovers. So if suddenly like it's early second quarter

1562
01:16:19,800 --> 01:16:21,800
Speaker 3: and Rober Williams picks up that third file and now

1563
01:16:21,800 --> 01:16:23,920
Speaker 3: he's done for the half, like, that's a spot where

1564
01:16:23,920 --> 01:16:25,960
Speaker 3: I'm like, okay, let me bet on and that's this

1565
01:16:26,080 --> 01:16:28,240
Speaker 3: quarter to just like put this game away and go

1566
01:16:28,280 --> 01:16:30,719
Speaker 3: on a run. Here he was one guy actually making

1567
01:16:30,720 --> 01:16:33,760
Speaker 3: a difference for them. So just looking like in game

1568
01:16:33,840 --> 01:16:36,200
Speaker 3: or in quarters, that'd be one angle to play. Otherwise,

1569
01:16:36,240 --> 01:16:38,280
Speaker 3: I don't have much interest in the series.

1570
01:16:38,439 --> 01:16:42,599
Speaker 7: The Washington Wizards at the Philadelphia seventy six ers.

1571
01:16:42,960 --> 01:16:45,120
Speaker 4: Look, I will say this, this is one that I

1572
01:16:45,200 --> 01:16:47,120
Speaker 4: kind of I looked at a lot. This is when

1573
01:16:47,160 --> 01:16:50,280
Speaker 4: I almost pulled the trigger on Wizards hanging in not

1574
01:16:50,600 --> 01:16:53,479
Speaker 4: seven but like plus two and a half. I looked

1575
01:16:53,479 --> 01:16:57,479
Speaker 4: at it right now. I bet MGM, the official as

1576
01:16:57,520 --> 01:17:02,240
Speaker 4: provider of the Action Network podcast The Sixers, and mayas

1577
01:17:02,240 --> 01:17:06,600
Speaker 4: sixteen hundred on the series line, you can get Wizards

1578
01:17:06,680 --> 01:17:09,040
Speaker 4: plus two and a half at plus one seventy. I

1579
01:17:09,080 --> 01:17:12,519
Speaker 4: don't hate that, Like they covered. I took the six

1580
01:17:12,600 --> 01:17:14,080
Speaker 4: Ers minus eight and a half and that did not

1581
01:17:14,200 --> 01:17:17,439
Speaker 4: hit the six The Wizards covered and led for parts

1582
01:17:17,479 --> 01:17:20,320
Speaker 4: of this game. Gafford played really well and b did

1583
01:17:20,320 --> 01:17:22,479
Speaker 4: get in foul trouble. I think that's gonna be factored.

1584
01:17:22,960 --> 01:17:24,920
Speaker 4: Tobias Harris had the game of his had the game

1585
01:17:24,920 --> 01:17:27,679
Speaker 4: of his career, and this and the Wizards were still

1586
01:17:27,680 --> 01:17:31,800
Speaker 4: in this righthim. I don't think that this is like,

1587
01:17:32,760 --> 01:17:34,720
Speaker 4: this is one that I don't really want to get

1588
01:17:34,720 --> 01:17:38,040
Speaker 4: into because I'm just like, if the Sixers come in

1589
01:17:38,080 --> 01:17:40,639
Speaker 4: and just destroy them in game two, I think it's

1590
01:17:40,680 --> 01:17:43,840
Speaker 4: over and the and the value will be gone and

1591
01:17:43,960 --> 01:17:46,880
Speaker 4: there's no nothing really to do there. I also don't

1592
01:17:46,880 --> 01:17:49,240
Speaker 4: want to entirely count out the chances that the Wizards

1593
01:17:49,320 --> 01:17:53,000
Speaker 4: can surprise them. Like I there's the Sixers team. That

1594
01:17:53,120 --> 01:17:55,120
Speaker 4: was not the kind of performance that I would have wanted.

1595
01:17:55,160 --> 01:17:58,880
Speaker 4: If you if you've got six Ers futures.

1596
01:17:58,000 --> 01:18:00,760
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, I mean, I think, I mean I

1597
01:18:00,800 --> 01:18:03,040
Speaker 6: spoke about this before, is that these home teams are

1598
01:18:03,040 --> 01:18:05,800
Speaker 6: really struggling from three, and I think that's a big

1599
01:18:05,880 --> 01:18:07,599
Speaker 6: part of it. I Mean, the Sixers were just ten

1600
01:18:07,640 --> 01:18:11,280
Speaker 6: of thirty two from behind the art I think they'll

1601
01:18:11,400 --> 01:18:14,559
Speaker 6: they'll shoot better and then I mean I could see

1602
01:18:14,600 --> 01:18:17,160
Speaker 6: them covering Game two. I think that that'll be a

1603
01:18:17,160 --> 01:18:20,600
Speaker 6: game that they cover. But I just don't think that

1604
01:18:20,640 --> 01:18:23,559
Speaker 6: the Wizards have an answer for Joel and b I think,

1605
01:18:24,000 --> 01:18:26,200
Speaker 6: of course, I mean, it's frustrating if you're a Sixers

1606
01:18:26,240 --> 01:18:28,559
Speaker 6: fan to see Ben Simmons only put up six points.

1607
01:18:28,600 --> 01:18:31,640
Speaker 6: But I think this is this is a four or

1608
01:18:31,680 --> 01:18:34,519
Speaker 6: five game series, Max. I think that the words will

1609
01:18:34,560 --> 01:18:36,920
Speaker 6: be over and hang. They'll make some games close, but

1610
01:18:37,760 --> 01:18:40,160
Speaker 6: I just don't think they have any answer for the

1611
01:18:40,200 --> 01:18:42,800
Speaker 6: Sixers their offense at all.

1612
01:18:42,920 --> 01:18:44,760
Speaker 4: So I mean they were in this game, but they

1613
01:18:44,760 --> 01:18:45,559
Speaker 4: were in this game.

1614
01:18:46,600 --> 01:18:49,439
Speaker 6: I mean they were, but I just I mean, I

1615
01:18:49,439 --> 01:18:51,400
Speaker 6: mean the Sixers can shoot well from Britt and I

1616
01:18:51,400 --> 01:18:53,280
Speaker 6: mean I think they'll keep great.

1617
01:18:53,320 --> 01:18:55,120
Speaker 4: Is this a great shooting team?

1618
01:18:55,520 --> 01:18:57,920
Speaker 2: I mean not at all, But I think this is

1619
01:18:57,960 --> 01:18:58,759
Speaker 2: the type of game.

1620
01:18:58,880 --> 01:19:00,600
Speaker 6: This is what this is what's hears me about the

1621
01:19:00,600 --> 01:19:02,640
Speaker 6: six Ers, Like, I agree with you, like when I

1622
01:19:02,720 --> 01:19:04,880
Speaker 6: see the Sixers, I have no real hope for their

1623
01:19:04,880 --> 01:19:07,760
Speaker 6: futures because they make things harder than it has to be.

1624
01:19:08,439 --> 01:19:10,479
Speaker 6: But I don't think this is I think this is

1625
01:19:10,840 --> 01:19:13,240
Speaker 6: a four or five game series where a lot of

1626
01:19:13,280 --> 01:19:14,120
Speaker 6: the games are close.

1627
01:19:15,920 --> 01:19:19,200
Speaker 4: Sixers were eleventh and three point percentage of this season.

1628
01:19:19,439 --> 01:19:24,799
Speaker 4: In makes, they were twenty third, So they don't shoot

1629
01:19:24,800 --> 01:19:26,680
Speaker 4: a lot, but they make a better percentage than they

1630
01:19:26,680 --> 01:19:32,120
Speaker 4: did on Sunday, Brandon, do you have anything on the series?

1631
01:19:33,080 --> 01:19:34,719
Speaker 5: Yeah, on threes.

1632
01:19:35,000 --> 01:19:37,439
Speaker 3: One of the most disrespectful things I saw going into

1633
01:19:37,479 --> 01:19:40,000
Speaker 3: the game yesterday is I saw a book put up

1634
01:19:40,000 --> 01:19:43,240
Speaker 3: a line of plus four hundred. Will Ben Simmons attempt

1635
01:19:43,280 --> 01:19:47,000
Speaker 3: a three pointer today? That's so disrespectful and it hit

1636
01:19:47,200 --> 01:19:49,040
Speaker 3: because he took a long three at the end of

1637
01:19:49,080 --> 01:19:49,800
Speaker 3: the third quarter.

1638
01:19:49,920 --> 01:19:52,799
Speaker 5: So I wish I had a little bit too.

1639
01:19:53,800 --> 01:19:57,880
Speaker 3: But yeah, to me, like Joel Embiid, look, single game

1640
01:19:57,880 --> 01:19:59,800
Speaker 3: plus minus not a thing to rely too much on

1641
01:19:59,840 --> 01:20:01,639
Speaker 3: it that I'm saying it so much in this podcast,

1642
01:20:01,640 --> 01:20:04,040
Speaker 3: But with Joel Embiid, it's a thing. Embiid only played

1643
01:20:04,080 --> 01:20:06,840
Speaker 3: thirty minutes, he was plus twenty. The takeaway is if

1644
01:20:06,840 --> 01:20:09,640
Speaker 3: Embid stays enough on the court, they're gonna win. So,

1645
01:20:09,960 --> 01:20:12,200
Speaker 3: I mean that's the thing with the Sixers, like, is

1646
01:20:12,200 --> 01:20:13,920
Speaker 3: he gonna stay healthy? Is he gonna stay out foul

1647
01:20:13,960 --> 01:20:17,600
Speaker 3: trouble and stay on the court. The Wizards continue to

1648
01:20:17,600 --> 01:20:19,719
Speaker 3: start Alex lenn who I feel like is their third

1649
01:20:19,760 --> 01:20:24,400
Speaker 3: best center, and he got crushed yes yesterday up against Embid.

1650
01:20:24,520 --> 01:20:26,599
Speaker 3: Maybe Daniel Gaffer just can't play Embiid.

1651
01:20:26,960 --> 01:20:28,320
Speaker 5: But I don't know.

1652
01:20:28,439 --> 01:20:29,439
Speaker 2: I'm not that.

1653
01:20:29,479 --> 01:20:31,760
Speaker 3: Innerson in the series. I think Embiid's gonna stay on

1654
01:20:31,760 --> 01:20:33,920
Speaker 3: the court. I kind of am where Raheema is at, Like,

1655
01:20:34,400 --> 01:20:36,639
Speaker 3: I think this is gonna be six ers and four

1656
01:20:36,720 --> 01:20:39,599
Speaker 3: or five, but not necessarily a lot of blowouts. But

1657
01:20:39,880 --> 01:20:42,639
Speaker 3: I'm never really super fearing for them either.

1658
01:20:43,520 --> 01:20:44,960
Speaker 4: Okay, that's going to wrap it up of the Action

1659
01:20:45,040 --> 01:20:47,920
Speaker 4: Network podcast went through all eight series. Thanks for hanging

1660
01:20:47,920 --> 01:20:49,400
Speaker 4: in there with us. Hopefully you got some good value

1661
01:20:49,439 --> 01:20:51,559
Speaker 4: out of it. Well back on Thursday with another update

1662
01:20:51,600 --> 01:20:53,519
Speaker 4: after the series, and we're looking forward to the weekend

1663
01:20:53,520 --> 01:20:55,200
Speaker 4: and everything that's going on. Get you up to date

1664
01:20:55,240 --> 01:20:58,040
Speaker 4: on all the news everything, what's a ton of Mitchell,

1665
01:20:58,080 --> 01:21:00,680
Speaker 4: what's going on with Chris Paul. Meanwhile, make sure to

1666
01:21:00,760 --> 01:21:02,720
Speaker 4: check out the Action Network and the Action Network app.

1667
01:21:02,720 --> 01:21:04,240
Speaker 4: You can find track all of our bets. You can

1668
01:21:04,280 --> 01:21:07,160
Speaker 4: find in depth analysis all that stuff. Check out heat

1669
01:21:07,240 --> 01:21:10,680
Speaker 4: check on the Action Network handle. This week, I think

1670
01:21:10,720 --> 01:21:13,519
Speaker 4: we'll believe on Tuesday and Thursday, we're doing twice a

1671
01:21:13,520 --> 01:21:16,360
Speaker 4: week at six pm Easter and follow Action Network HQ

1672
01:21:16,600 --> 01:21:19,160
Speaker 4: on Twitter for that. We'll be holding on Twitter spaces

1673
01:21:19,160 --> 01:21:21,880
Speaker 4: at some point this week, looking at a good night

1674
01:21:21,880 --> 01:21:24,200
Speaker 4: of games to bet. All of that stuff you can

1675
01:21:24,200 --> 01:21:26,800
Speaker 4: find on Action Network HQ. Check out the Action Network app

1676
01:21:26,800 --> 01:21:29,400
Speaker 4: for all of our analysis, daily best, daily picks, everything

1677
01:21:29,400 --> 01:21:32,559
Speaker 4: that you need to know, rate, review, and subscribe. Check

1678
01:21:32,560 --> 01:21:34,840
Speaker 4: out the PGA stuff that we have going on later

1679
01:21:34,880 --> 01:21:37,639
Speaker 4: this week, and we'll talk to you guys again later

1680
01:21:37,920 --> 01:21:40,679
Speaker 4: on the Action Network Podcast NBA Edition.

1681
01:21:47,680 --> 01:21:48,719
Speaker 5: We're finished talking