1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:04,080 Speaker 1: I'll tell you one thing. What yesterday's price is not 2 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:09,039 Speaker 1: today's price. A okay, the price went up. I feel 3 00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: like that's every day, literally every day, and for everything everything, 4 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:18,600 Speaker 1: gallon of milk, bread, cheese. 5 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 2: Chicken, chicken wings. Nothing is safe, No one is safe. 6 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,640 Speaker 2: All of our pockets are getting got. They did say 7 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 2: the chicken wing price went back to pre pandemic prices. 8 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:30,920 Speaker 1: Well, I don't know how. There was a wing shortage, 9 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 1: but not a rest of the chicken shortage. Anyway, it 10 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,280 Speaker 1: didn't affect me because you know I'm roasting whole chickens 11 00:00:37,280 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 1: at my house. Oh yeah, yeah, that's. 12 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:40,680 Speaker 3: True, my friend. 13 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:43,560 Speaker 2: Oh my gosh, you remember when you put that turkey 14 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:44,280 Speaker 2: breast on the grill. 15 00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:46,720 Speaker 4: It was so good? 16 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:48,200 Speaker 3: Those were good times. Man. 17 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 2: The kid cooks so good it make you want to 18 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 2: fight her because you know you're not gonna eat that 19 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 2: good again. 20 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 3: Well, I won't do it again. Not if you ain't 21 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 3: like that, be so mad. 22 00:00:57,760 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 2: I'm like, man, because I know it's gonna be a 23 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 2: lung time before I eat this good again. 24 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 1: So if you think about that turkey that I had, 25 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: then if you look at inflation and the changing prices, 26 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:15,040 Speaker 1: the price of meat has gone up from anywhere between 27 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 1: nine and a half and ten and a half percent 28 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:19,480 Speaker 1: and twenty twenty two. Oh so if that turkey was 29 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:23,440 Speaker 1: twenty dollars last year, then this twenty two dollars this year. 30 00:01:23,480 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 3: That's a large percentage. 31 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 2: Yes, And that is the difference between having Thanksgiving and 32 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 2: not having Thanksgiving. 33 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:33,679 Speaker 1: That's the difference between Thanksgiving and thank you. Come again, 34 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:35,559 Speaker 1: because we will be at the drive through coming. 35 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:45,919 Speaker 3: Okay, Oh my god. 36 00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 2: Our friend she's a comedian, Honey, comedic timing chef kid. 37 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 3: I'm TT and I'm Zakiah and from Spotify. This is 38 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 3: Dope Labs. 39 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:26,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to Dope Labs, a weekly podcast that mixes hardcore science, 40 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 1: pop culture, and a healthy Delta friendship. We want to 41 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 1: help you, our listeners and ourselves, yes, understand the economy. 42 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: We've heard things about it slowing down, speeding up, people 43 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 1: needing to tighten the reins. 44 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:40,560 Speaker 3: It sounds like we're talking about a whorse. 45 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 2: And we've also heard some buzzwords like inflation and recession 46 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 2: and a lot of people talking about those things. 47 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: And we've been hearing about different types of interventions like 48 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 1: the student loan forgiveness program, and people have been acting 49 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 1: crazy on Twitter about that, right, if you're a friend 50 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: of the show, you know at Dope we can find 51 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: science anywhere. So today we're talking all about the economy. 52 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 3: Let's get into the recitation. What do we know? 53 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 4: We know that prices are up. 54 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 2: But another thing that I do know is that I 55 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 2: did not do well in freshman economics. 56 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 3: Okay, that was one of. 57 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 2: The worst performance in college I had was in my 58 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 2: freshman year economic scores. So I don't know much about 59 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 2: the economy. Did I even have economics? 60 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:41,880 Speaker 1: I feel like everybody's first foray into economics was those 61 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 1: people set up in the student center in college giving 62 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 1: you credit cards with too high of an interest rate. 63 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 1: That was my first adventure in economics. Okay, shoot yeah, 64 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:53,880 Speaker 1: mine was a victorious secret credit card. 65 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 2: I have a job, like I can barely pay for 66 00:03:57,200 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 2: this now, how am I gonna pay interests to? 67 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 1: And what I know is I'm still figuring those same 68 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: things out today. 69 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 3: All right, So what do we want to know? Well, 70 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 3: I want a. 71 00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 1: Bird's eye view of the US economy, like what is 72 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: it and what's going on? 73 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 2: And what is the current state of the US economy 74 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:22,719 Speaker 2: because it feels like, you know, depending on what station 75 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 2: you're listening to. Some people are saying, Oh, everything's gonna 76 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 2: be okay, the Fed has got it covered, and other 77 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 2: people are like, hold on to your wallets, it's about to. 78 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 3: Be a dude. Yeah. 79 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 2: So I don't know what to believe and I don't 80 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 2: know what any of this means and is. 81 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 3: There a recession or not? Are we in it? 82 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:44,080 Speaker 1: And it's just not deep or coming, like is it 83 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:47,040 Speaker 1: like a tidal wave? Because people have been talking about 84 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:51,039 Speaker 1: a recession since mid twenty twenty, and I'd really like 85 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 1: to understand. You know, I've lived through one recession, but 86 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:56,839 Speaker 1: I didn't have any money anyway, so it didn't really 87 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 1: mad didn't matter and I didn't understand the economy. Then 88 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 1: go ahead and recess, right, it's just a break. 89 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:03,280 Speaker 3: I love. 90 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:09,480 Speaker 1: Recess is what I really want to understand, Like what 91 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: does it mean and what are the effects and at 92 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:15,840 Speaker 1: this big age, how should I be preparing. Let's jump 93 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: into the dissection. Our guest for today's lab is doctor 94 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:28,480 Speaker 1: Vanessa Perry. 95 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 4: My name is Vanessa Perry. 96 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:34,120 Speaker 5: I am a Professor of Strategic Management Public Policy at 97 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 5: the George Washington University School of Business. I am also 98 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 5: a non resident Fellow at the Urban Institute's Housing Finance 99 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:42,240 Speaker 5: Policy Center. 100 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:45,799 Speaker 2: Okay, so with doctor Perry, we had to start very basic, 101 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 2: and so our first question was, what is the US economy. 102 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 5: Our system of production and consumption that creates wealth and 103 00:05:57,360 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 5: sort of encompasses the sum. 104 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:00,520 Speaker 4: Total of our recent sources. 105 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,760 Speaker 5: That's what we mean by our economy and the US 106 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 5: economy are roughly speaking, those aspects those institutions that are 107 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:10,680 Speaker 5: US based. 108 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 1: Now, it's really hard to talk about the US economy 109 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:17,600 Speaker 1: without the context of the entire global economy. And this 110 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 1: is because we live in a global society in the 111 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 1: United States and the world economy are inextricably tied. But 112 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 1: for the main purposes of this lab we're going to 113 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:29,680 Speaker 1: mainly talk about the state of the United States economy 114 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 1: without looking at what's happening around. 115 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 2: This Over the last six to ten months, there's been 116 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 2: a lot happening with the economy, and it seems like 117 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:42,279 Speaker 2: it's been dominating the news cycles with talks of inflation 118 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 2: and a possible recession. And we'll get to those things 119 00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 2: a little bit later, But first we wanted to ask 120 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:50,480 Speaker 2: doctor Perry about the current state of the economy. 121 00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 5: The US economy is doing extremely well and has since 122 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:59,679 Speaker 5: the beginning of the pandemic. That is highly unexpected because 123 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:03,600 Speaker 5: what I think most people anticipated was that the pandemic 124 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 5: and nobody knew how long it was going to last. 125 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:08,919 Speaker 5: But once we went past sort of the three month mark, 126 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 5: nobody expected the economy to boom the way that it has. 127 00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 1: That's really interesting because there is a lot on my 128 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: television saying that the economy is going down, down, down. 129 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:26,680 Speaker 2: So what does it really mean when you say the 130 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 2: economy is doing well? According to doctor Perry, it means 131 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 2: that the economy is growing, there's an abundance of jobs, 132 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:36,240 Speaker 2: incomes are fairly high, and unemployment is low. 133 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:38,760 Speaker 3: Okay, so how did we get here? 134 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 5: Even though the pandemic sort of shifted purchasing behavior and 135 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 5: lifestyles in many ways, it also sparked a lot of 136 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 5: just different kinds of consumption, So what we used to 137 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 5: do just kind of got swapped out for other things. 138 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:00,680 Speaker 2: In Lap thirty nine, ad Tocarte with Christoph for he 139 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 2: told us that once the pandemic hit, people were purchasing 140 00:08:04,160 --> 00:08:08,640 Speaker 2: everything online, and so the economy did a lot better 141 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 2: than expected because we turned into like hyper consumers. We 142 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 2: were getting our groceries delivered. We were buying toilet paper 143 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 2: on Amazon everything, but. 144 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 3: That was twenty twenty. I don't have no money now. Well, 145 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 3: I don't know how it's still booming, but doctor Parry 146 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 3: says it is. I'm not contributing to the boom. 147 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 2: I feel like I am a little bit contributing to 148 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 2: the boom. 149 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 3: I need to stop contributing. Send your contributions this way. 150 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 5: In fact, it was moving so quickly that the government 151 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 5: started to get concerned that it was actually growing too fast. 152 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:52,679 Speaker 5: It was getting too hot, and that often leads to inflation. 153 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:02,480 Speaker 1: Inflation is rate of increase in prices over a given 154 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 1: period of time, and we're seeing a lot of that 155 00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: right now. We buy certain things kind of all the time, 156 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 1: from groceries to gas to clothes, and you might have 157 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 1: noticed that things are not the same price that they 158 00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:15,600 Speaker 1: used to be. 159 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 2: The annual inflation rate for the United States was eight 160 00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:21,320 Speaker 2: point five percent from July of twenty twenty one to 161 00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 2: July of twenty twenty two, and according to the US 162 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 2: Labor Department, it's the highest it's been since nineteen eighty one. 163 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 3: But how is inflation even measured. 164 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 5: It's usually measured by the Consumer Price Index that's the 165 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 5: number one measure of infliction and it's created by the 166 00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 5: Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is part of the. 167 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:44,520 Speaker 4: US Department of Labor. 168 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 5: How do I know this because my mother's one of 169 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:50,680 Speaker 5: her first jobs was actually computing the Consumer Price Index. 170 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:52,679 Speaker 4: That was before the government even had a computer. 171 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:57,600 Speaker 5: And the CPI, this index, simply put, is just a 172 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:01,280 Speaker 5: basket of products and services and they go out is 173 00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:04,080 Speaker 5: then they measure the price at one point in time, 174 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 5: and then they go back and measure the price at 175 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:09,560 Speaker 5: another point in time, and then they combine these into 176 00:10:09,679 --> 00:10:10,760 Speaker 5: an index. 177 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:14,960 Speaker 4: To show how much the prices for those same goods went. 178 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 5: Up over that period of time. And that's roughly what 179 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 5: the CPI is telling us. 180 00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 2: Okay, so that's the CPI. But what caused the inflation 181 00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 2: that we're seeing right now? 182 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:28,960 Speaker 5: What caused those The pandemic and the effects that the 183 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 5: pandemic had on supply chains ability to be able to 184 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:36,680 Speaker 5: get goods and services to where they needed to be, 185 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:41,120 Speaker 5: and things like wars and multiple parts of the world 186 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:45,559 Speaker 5: that have affected the supplies of food and energy, and 187 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:50,960 Speaker 5: those have combined to create these inflationary pressures where companies 188 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 5: can't provide goods and services at the same price, so they. 189 00:10:54,200 --> 00:10:55,040 Speaker 4: Raise the prices. 190 00:10:55,559 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 1: We heard earlier that the economy is doing so well, 191 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 1: incomes higher and unemployment is lower. 192 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 3: So what does that mean for inflation. 193 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:06,760 Speaker 1: Does it have as much of an impact Do we 194 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 1: just not feel the sting of inflation if people are 195 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: making more money. 196 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:13,720 Speaker 5: It's particularly a problem when prices go up faster than 197 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:16,719 Speaker 5: our incomes go up, because if our incomes were to go. 198 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:19,040 Speaker 4: Up at the same rate, it wouldn't matter. We would 199 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:19,959 Speaker 4: notice the inflation. 200 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:25,760 Speaker 5: We notice it because our incomes increases lag inflation, and 201 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 5: they almost always will because companies, governments, employers will argue 202 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 5: that they cannot afford to keep up with these high 203 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 5: inflationary rates. 204 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:45,840 Speaker 2: Aside from making things less affordable, inflation can really be 205 00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:48,840 Speaker 2: a problem because it's an indicator of a potential recession. 206 00:11:49,480 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 2: A recession is basically when the economy comes to a 207 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 2: screeching halt. People stop buying things, people are laid off 208 00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 2: from their jobs, and really just generally face a lot 209 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:00,160 Speaker 2: of financial hardship. 210 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:06,920 Speaker 5: So inflation is one thing that might lead to recession, 211 00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:10,679 Speaker 5: but that is not necessarily the case or always the case. 212 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:14,800 Speaker 5: I know it sounds like I'm being circular because it 213 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 5: is extremely complicated. 214 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 4: A and B. None of these things are precise. 215 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 1: The National Bureau of Economic Research has a Business Cycle 216 00:12:24,840 --> 00:12:27,320 Speaker 1: Dating Committee, and it's the department of the government that 217 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:31,280 Speaker 1: can officially declare a recession. They define a recession as 218 00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:35,040 Speaker 1: a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across 219 00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 1: the economy and that lasts more than a few months. 220 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 1: The last major recession we had was over ten years ago, 221 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:44,040 Speaker 1: and that was the Great Recession of two thousand and eight, 222 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 1: and that was fueled by the collapse of the housing market. 223 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 3: And then there was also. 224 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:50,560 Speaker 1: A mini recession and it was the shortest on record, 225 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 1: and that was between February and April of twenty twenty, 226 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:57,200 Speaker 1: and that was due to unprecedented levels of unemployment during 227 00:12:57,200 --> 00:12:58,679 Speaker 1: the COVID nineteen pandemic. 228 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:02,760 Speaker 2: The opposite of a recession is an expansion. Expansion is 229 00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 2: the economy's natural state, and recessions are more short lived. 230 00:13:06,600 --> 00:13:10,119 Speaker 2: Recessions are a natural part of the cycle of our economy, 231 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:12,560 Speaker 2: but they're not very pleasant. 232 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 3: So the question on everybody's. 233 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 2: Mind is is there a recession coming. 234 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 5: Well, we're in this weird space where a lot of 235 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:24,520 Speaker 5: people are predicting that a recession is coming, but then 236 00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 5: there are other indicators that suggests that maybe it's not, 237 00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 5: or maybe it will be later rather than sooner. It's 238 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:34,559 Speaker 5: really hard to tell. And anybody that tells you that 239 00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 5: they know precisely is lying because they're all sorts of predictions. 240 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 5: And all we have to look at is what's happened 241 00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 5: in the past. 242 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:46,439 Speaker 1: And you know, we've never really been in these particular circumstances, 243 00:13:46,520 --> 00:13:49,160 Speaker 1: so looking to the past can only get us so far. 244 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:54,600 Speaker 1: We haven't had a pandemic since nineteen seventeen, and certainly 245 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:57,200 Speaker 1: we didn't have the internet then, okay, and so we 246 00:13:57,240 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 1: didn't have access to all this technology, so it's kind 247 00:13:59,880 --> 00:14:03,480 Speaker 1: of hard to predict what's gonna happen. Tt you said 248 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 1: that you heard all the ready that a recession is inevitable. Yeah, 249 00:14:08,320 --> 00:14:10,320 Speaker 1: that's what they were saying. And I was very scared. 250 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:12,080 Speaker 1: And I don't even know what to do to prepare 251 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:14,120 Speaker 1: for a recession, right, is it? 252 00:14:14,160 --> 00:14:15,240 Speaker 3: Beans? What do you do? 253 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 2: I need to get all the bread and all the 254 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:19,800 Speaker 2: milk and pack a go bag. 255 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 3: You know, I love a go bag. 256 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 2: My friend loves a go bag. But is a recession 257 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:28,520 Speaker 2: something that has to happen or is it a course 258 00:14:28,560 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 2: correction or can we keep the recession at bay? 259 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:36,880 Speaker 5: We can keep it at bay temporarily, but recession is 260 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:42,120 Speaker 5: part of an economic cycle that always has booms and busts. 261 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 5: The economy always has gone up, then slows down, then 262 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 5: it picks up, then it slows down, and those cycles, 263 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 5: those bumps, those dips get triggered by different things. But 264 00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 5: I don't think anybody would predict that will never have 265 00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 5: a recession again. The question is is it going to 266 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:04,600 Speaker 5: be in twenty twenty three or are we going to 267 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:08,040 Speaker 5: be able to ride sort of the current wave of 268 00:15:08,160 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 5: stability for longer period of time. 269 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: And things are already sowing down. The GDP or the 270 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 1: gross domestic product, and this value is the value of 271 00:15:17,560 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 1: goods produced and services provided in a country during one year. 272 00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 1: So the GDP is falling, which is also sometimes considered 273 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:29,000 Speaker 1: an indicator of the beginning of a recession. Recessions are 274 00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:31,680 Speaker 1: an inevitable part of the economy, but that doesn't mean 275 00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 1: they don't suck. 276 00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:36,480 Speaker 2: A recession can cause a lot of suffering for people. 277 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:39,920 Speaker 2: And if there is a recession, what can the government 278 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:41,160 Speaker 2: do to help? 279 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,360 Speaker 1: Well, there are a number of things that the government 280 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 1: can do to help people, and we can look at 281 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:47,640 Speaker 1: that little mini recession in twenty twenty as an example. 282 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:49,720 Speaker 1: So there were a lot of people that were out 283 00:15:49,760 --> 00:15:51,920 Speaker 1: of work at the beginning of COVID, and the government 284 00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 1: stepped in and put a moratorium on evictions and foreclosures. 285 00:15:55,680 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 1: Private sector adjusted the credit score system so people weren't 286 00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 1: penalized for payments. There was the Cares Act, payments that 287 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:06,040 Speaker 1: went right into folks' bank accounts, and this kind of 288 00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 1: leveled things off until the economy could pick up again. 289 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,840 Speaker 5: There are interventions that can occur in both the private 290 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:16,960 Speaker 5: and public sector that can alleviate some of the negative 291 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:22,160 Speaker 5: effects of the recession on individuals and households. But when 292 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 5: it's all said and done, there will be higher unemployment, 293 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 5: there will be lower incomes, and if this is coupled 294 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 5: with inflation, that means buying power will be reduced. 295 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 1: So we want to avoid that two punch combo exactly 296 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 1: of low wages and high prices. We don't want to 297 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:49,000 Speaker 1: lose that buying power. I want somebody to regulate that. 298 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 1: I want that to stay far away. 299 00:16:57,520 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 2: Another way that the government can manipulate the to me 300 00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:05,120 Speaker 2: not necessarily in a recession is to increase the interest rate. 301 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:08,120 Speaker 2: It seems like all summer there have been headlines about 302 00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:11,280 Speaker 2: the Federal Reserve or the FED raising the interest rate 303 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:11,960 Speaker 2: yet again. 304 00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:16,480 Speaker 5: So the Federal Reserve Bank is the central bank of 305 00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:20,080 Speaker 5: the United States. All countries have for central bank, and 306 00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:23,600 Speaker 5: actually sometimes a region will have a central bank, and 307 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:26,439 Speaker 5: their job is essentially to be the bank for the 308 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:32,240 Speaker 5: banks and to regulate their operations and to make sure 309 00:17:32,440 --> 00:17:36,440 Speaker 5: that the banks, even though many of them are private corporations, 310 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:39,480 Speaker 5: but the goal is to make sure that they continue 311 00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 5: to serve the overall economy because that's where the country's money. 312 00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:47,720 Speaker 4: Resides, right It's in the banking system. 313 00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:50,880 Speaker 1: So the FED is able to control the money supplied 314 00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:54,480 Speaker 1: by controlling interest rates. You can think about interest rates 315 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 1: as the price of money. If I borrow a hundred 316 00:17:57,520 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 1: dollars from you, how long are yougo let me have 317 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 1: that one hundred dollars before you charge me one hundred 318 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:03,320 Speaker 1: and five dollars for it? 319 00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:05,880 Speaker 3: Is this hypothetical you really want to know? I don't 320 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 3: think I want to know. Let's keep this friendship with that. No, 321 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 3: I would never ask for the money back. 322 00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 1: So that's zero percent interest. But if the interest rate 323 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:18,640 Speaker 1: is higher. You know, you might say, Okay, you're gonna 324 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:19,960 Speaker 1: have to pay me a little bit to hold that 325 00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 1: one hundred dollars. And the more I have to pay you, 326 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:24,719 Speaker 1: it means the price of the money is higher. So 327 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:29,240 Speaker 1: rate increases mean higher payments on credit cards, on cars, 328 00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:32,000 Speaker 1: on student loans, things that you're financing. And that also 329 00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 1: means that you're not able to save as much because 330 00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 1: you're spending it paying more on the money you've borrowed. 331 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 2: So when interest rates go up, it means people are 332 00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:43,240 Speaker 2: going to pull back on their spending and it becomes 333 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 2: more expensive to borrow that one hundred dollars. 334 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 5: Now, my favorite analogy for this is a fish tank. 335 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 5: Fish tank, you fill it with water. If you put 336 00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:57,520 Speaker 5: too much water in the fish tank, it overflows, makes 337 00:18:57,560 --> 00:19:00,399 Speaker 5: a mess. If you have too little water in the 338 00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:04,400 Speaker 5: fish tank, fish can swim effectively. And so that's the 339 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,800 Speaker 5: fed and the money supply. They've got to make sure 340 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:10,680 Speaker 5: that the right amount of cash is in that tank 341 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:14,240 Speaker 5: so that the economy, the fish. 342 00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:16,920 Speaker 4: The consumers, the producers. 343 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:22,040 Speaker 5: Can exchange value in a way that makes sense that 344 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:27,520 Speaker 5: works without spilling water over the tank. And they certainly 345 00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:30,200 Speaker 5: want to make sure that they don't put too much 346 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:34,400 Speaker 5: water in the tank, because that then will also throw 347 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:38,000 Speaker 5: off the balance of what's going on with the fish. 348 00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 1: So this all makes sense on a kind of macro level, 349 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,920 Speaker 1: but we wanted to know what does this mean specifically 350 00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 1: for folks who are affected by the decisions that the 351 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:48,520 Speaker 1: Fed makes and the state of the economy in general. 352 00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,680 Speaker 1: So if the interest rate is going up, what does 353 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:52,640 Speaker 1: that mean for folks. 354 00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:55,639 Speaker 5: It's hard to say a negative impact on one group 355 00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:59,960 Speaker 5: because there's sort of positive and negatives for everyone. So people, 356 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:06,359 Speaker 5: people who are lower moderate incomes, younger consumers, people with 357 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:14,399 Speaker 5: student loan balances. These people can actually suffer negative consequences. 358 00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:18,399 Speaker 2: For example, people saving for a house when interest rates 359 00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:21,240 Speaker 2: go up, they can afford less because they have to 360 00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 2: pay more in interest. Or if you're trying to pay 361 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:27,560 Speaker 2: down your debts, it's harder because your interest rates have 362 00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:31,399 Speaker 2: gone up and so your payments are higher. But this 363 00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 2: is different for folks who have plenty of money in savings. 364 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:38,400 Speaker 5: For example, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to try 365 00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:42,119 Speaker 5: to manage inflation, and that's one of the tools that 366 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:46,760 Speaker 5: the FED has. When that happens, it's a great time 367 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:48,560 Speaker 5: to save money if you can. If you have any 368 00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:50,359 Speaker 5: extra money, put it in the bank. 369 00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,320 Speaker 1: This is blowing my mind because I don't really think 370 00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:56,520 Speaker 1: about interest rates in terms of saving. Like, whenever I 371 00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:59,920 Speaker 1: think about interest rates, I'm thinking about borrowing in aprs 372 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:03,200 Speaker 1: and all of that. So I think I didn't consider 373 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:05,080 Speaker 1: that if you got a lot of money under your 374 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 1: mattress when the interest rate is up, put it in 375 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:08,160 Speaker 1: the bank. 376 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:13,159 Speaker 5: The other part of the issue when interest rates go up. 377 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:15,600 Speaker 5: And think about this now from the perspective of a 378 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:18,879 Speaker 5: business owner. Businesses have to borrow money as well in 379 00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:22,320 Speaker 5: order to keep their operations going, and they may borrow 380 00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:25,439 Speaker 5: money to cover labor costs or other kinds of costs 381 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:29,080 Speaker 5: that they face. And so who pays for that? Consumers 382 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:33,080 Speaker 5: pay for that. That actually can feed into higher prices 383 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:37,119 Speaker 5: because the costs of doing business are increased when interest 384 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:37,880 Speaker 5: rates go up. 385 00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:41,080 Speaker 1: What this really captures is that it's a double edged sword. 386 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 1: So sure, if you have money to save, you can 387 00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:45,960 Speaker 1: make some more money on it, But can you really 388 00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,879 Speaker 1: save money when everything is so expensive because the interest 389 00:21:48,920 --> 00:21:51,439 Speaker 1: rates are up. Let's take a break, and when we 390 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 1: come back, we're going to talk about what the government 391 00:21:53,920 --> 00:22:10,360 Speaker 1: is doing to rain this economy in. Okay, we're back, 392 00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:12,439 Speaker 1: but before we get back into the lab, we just 393 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 1: want to let you know that we'll be off next week. 394 00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:17,480 Speaker 1: So we'll be sharing a special lab from the archives 395 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,800 Speaker 1: and we'll be back with a brand new lab on 396 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:20,880 Speaker 1: September twenty ninth. 397 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:22,520 Speaker 3: Let's get back to the lab. 398 00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 1: We've been talking to doctor Vanessa Perry all about the economy. 399 00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:29,520 Speaker 2: Doctor Perry has already mentioned that the economy is cyclical. 400 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:32,520 Speaker 2: We're going to go through these booms and busts, and 401 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,920 Speaker 2: so my next question is about what policies have been 402 00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:39,560 Speaker 2: in place to prevent economic failures and what have the 403 00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:42,359 Speaker 2: policies of the past taught us about what we should 404 00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:43,200 Speaker 2: do right now. 405 00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:48,240 Speaker 5: I can think of two examples where the federal government 406 00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:54,960 Speaker 5: did just an extraordinary job of preventing disaster. The first 407 00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:58,159 Speaker 5: was after the two thousand and eight housing crisis, and 408 00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:02,800 Speaker 5: the government has stepped in with a number of bailout 409 00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:08,679 Speaker 5: type programs to one stabilize the banking system and to 410 00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:13,320 Speaker 5: provide opportunities for people to stay in their homes by 411 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:19,320 Speaker 5: renegotiating the terms of their mortgages. And certainly the government 412 00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:25,480 Speaker 5: is partly to blame for lacking the regulatory vision to 413 00:23:25,600 --> 00:23:28,199 Speaker 5: see that that crisis was coming and get ahead of it. 414 00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:32,879 Speaker 5: The other positive I would say is at the start 415 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:37,600 Speaker 5: of the pandemic, their government jumped in with one some 416 00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 5: cash payments directly to people, with programs like the PPP 417 00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 5: program pay Check Protection Program for small businesses that help 418 00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:53,840 Speaker 5: them keep their doors open. The workouts that occurred so 419 00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,760 Speaker 5: that people did not lose their homes but could stay 420 00:23:56,840 --> 00:24:00,600 Speaker 5: current on their mortgages that were not going to be 421 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,080 Speaker 5: evicted or foreclosed on. 422 00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 4: Those were all evidence of the government acting quickly to 423 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:13,280 Speaker 4: try to keep Americans in a stable situation and to 424 00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:16,080 Speaker 4: prevent further disaster and hardship. 425 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,639 Speaker 1: The Inflation Reduction Act has been all over the news, 426 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 1: and Congress finally passed it in August. This act is 427 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:25,760 Speaker 1: basically a sweeping new law that is trying to curb 428 00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,080 Speaker 1: inflation through a variety of different means. 429 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,920 Speaker 5: The Inflation Reduction Act is interesting. It's got a lot 430 00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:33,959 Speaker 5: of cool stuff in it, including a label that some 431 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:37,399 Speaker 5: people suggest as misleading because it makes it sound like 432 00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:41,760 Speaker 5: it might, you know, put a cap on prices across 433 00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:45,000 Speaker 5: the board, and that's not exactly what it does. But 434 00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:48,199 Speaker 5: it will have some positive effects on many markets and 435 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:49,639 Speaker 5: many aspects of the economy. 436 00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 2: Specifically, the new law will spend three hundred and sixty 437 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:57,760 Speaker 2: nine billion on energy and climate change, three hundred billion 438 00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:02,000 Speaker 2: in deficit reduction, three ye of subsidies for the Affordable 439 00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:06,080 Speaker 2: Care Act, prescription drug reform, and tax reform we Act. 440 00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,040 Speaker 2: Doctor perry which parts of the Inflation Reduction Act stood 441 00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:09,560 Speaker 2: out to her. 442 00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:13,240 Speaker 4: So the one that stands out to me is Medicare. 443 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 5: One of the biggest effects that I think that is 444 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:22,440 Speaker 5: included in this legislation is that now Medicare can negotiate 445 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:27,560 Speaker 5: down the prices of prescription medications, and there are also 446 00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:33,680 Speaker 5: some other benefits in there for Affordable Care Act recipients, 447 00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:38,320 Speaker 5: So that is going to put a damper on some 448 00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:41,639 Speaker 5: of these prescription drug prices. A lot of people cannot 449 00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:44,679 Speaker 5: afford the medication that they need to stay alive and 450 00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:45,439 Speaker 5: to stay healthy. 451 00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:47,320 Speaker 2: And the part of the bill that has to do 452 00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 2: with environmental sustainability includes incentives for businesses and consumers to 453 00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,879 Speaker 2: adopt more energy efficient tools and technologies. 454 00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:59,640 Speaker 4: There's been a lot of innovations in terms of energy efficiency, 455 00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 4: but a lot of people haven't been able to afford them. 456 00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:10,520 Speaker 5: So this is going to affect the inflation. Probably less 457 00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:13,600 Speaker 5: so in the immediate short term, but in the sort 458 00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:17,080 Speaker 5: of medium term it's going to have a positive impact 459 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:18,439 Speaker 5: for a lot of people. 460 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:21,520 Speaker 1: A positive impact for a lot of people is one thing, 461 00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 1: but what about a positive impact for the folks who 462 00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 1: need it most. You know, these huge pieces of legislation 463 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:31,320 Speaker 1: we've been talking about are good when there's a major crisis, 464 00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:36,480 Speaker 1: But what about more isolated hardships that specific groups of. 465 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:37,880 Speaker 3: People are facing every day. 466 00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:41,760 Speaker 1: Doctor Perry says, when it comes to government intervention, we 467 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:44,320 Speaker 1: are not doing enough to help these groups. 468 00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:48,480 Speaker 5: What we don't have enough of are ways to help 469 00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:50,120 Speaker 5: people through these. 470 00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:51,080 Speaker 4: Kinds of service cans. 471 00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:55,159 Speaker 5: So, for example, people lose their jobs a lot of 472 00:26:55,160 --> 00:27:00,119 Speaker 5: times because of changes in technology, changes in employment markets 473 00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 5: and requirements, or their company moves to another state and 474 00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 5: they are unable to move, or they face some kind 475 00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:15,800 Speaker 5: of unforeseen health medical problem with themselves or a family member. 476 00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:17,160 Speaker 4: Now, all these things. 477 00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:22,000 Speaker 5: Happen, and interestingly, these unforeseen negative events are more likely 478 00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:26,640 Speaker 5: to happen to people of color who are also suffering 479 00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:32,800 Speaker 5: from cumulative disadvantage from prior generations dealing with racism and discrimination. 480 00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:36,440 Speaker 4: So there are far too few, in my. 481 00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:41,600 Speaker 5: Opinion, interventions available for people who find no fault of 482 00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,639 Speaker 5: their own Because of where they were born or to 483 00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:48,280 Speaker 5: whom they were born, they are more likely to suffer 484 00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:52,280 Speaker 5: these unforeseen circumstances, and we don't have a lot of 485 00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:56,920 Speaker 5: protections for them. So we have mortgage insurance, for example, 486 00:27:57,600 --> 00:28:03,360 Speaker 5: or homeowners' insurance that protect banks. They protect the lenders, 487 00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:07,199 Speaker 5: but we don't really have any requirements to protect the borrowers. 488 00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:10,000 Speaker 5: If something happens and they can't make a payment, they 489 00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 5: gotta pay extra for that. But they make sure that 490 00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:18,600 Speaker 5: those lenders and investors are protected, and that says to 491 00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 5: me something very sad about the priorities that get set 492 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:24,240 Speaker 5: and acted upon. 493 00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:29,240 Speaker 1: That is such a great point, you know, Yes, especially 494 00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:34,119 Speaker 1: as we see folks living longer, you know, we're gonna 495 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,120 Speaker 1: need some more of these types of protections. 496 00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:39,240 Speaker 2: It's so true, And I mean, we have to be 497 00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 2: correcting for how our culture is changing, and the fact 498 00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 2: that we're just trying to keep things the same means 499 00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:49,520 Speaker 2: that the people who were privileged of the past will 500 00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:51,760 Speaker 2: continue to be privileged in the future, and there's no 501 00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:55,560 Speaker 2: room for anybody else to live long and prosper. 502 00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:02,720 Speaker 3: This was complicated, but I'm glad we covered it. Yeah. 503 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:04,640 Speaker 2: I think that's a really important point to make that 504 00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:08,800 Speaker 2: the economy is very complicated. It isn't black and white. 505 00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:11,880 Speaker 2: There's a lot of nuance that has to be considered. 506 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 3: And it also isn't static. 507 00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:17,280 Speaker 1: So the verdict for today could be different from the 508 00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,560 Speaker 1: verdict next week. And you know, there are some things 509 00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:23,160 Speaker 1: that we didn't talk about here but that we both 510 00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:26,360 Speaker 1: know are really important, right, which we mentioned at the top, 511 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 1: around the global economy and how things changing and happening 512 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:33,120 Speaker 1: in other countries affect what's happening in our country. 513 00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:35,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, and we talked about that in past episodes, like, 514 00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:39,560 Speaker 2: for example, how the war in Ukraine was affecting semiconductor production. 515 00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:42,960 Speaker 1: But I think there's one thing that we've seen an 516 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:46,520 Speaker 1: important and movable pillar of the US economy, and we've 517 00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:50,360 Speaker 1: seen this stay steady throughout all of this, and I'm 518 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:52,960 Speaker 1: curious about how it's working, but it is the price 519 00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:55,200 Speaker 1: of the Arizona tee at ninety. 520 00:29:55,000 --> 00:30:00,240 Speaker 3: Nine cents, that's still a dollar, how. 521 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:04,040 Speaker 2: And so we really appreciate doctor Perry helping us unpack 522 00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:05,680 Speaker 2: such a complex issue. 523 00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:06,720 Speaker 4: You got to be. 524 00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:10,560 Speaker 5: Really skeptical about people who can talk about anything in 525 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:15,080 Speaker 5: economics with certainty, because if they really could predict what 526 00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:18,200 Speaker 5: is going to happen, we could get ahead of it, right, 527 00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:23,240 Speaker 5: we would have never had recessions or economic depressions or 528 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:25,840 Speaker 5: any of those things. So it's never really been done. 529 00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 5: There's a Nobel prize in economics. Is it been the 530 00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:34,880 Speaker 5: most profound predictions made by those Nobel laureate economists has been? 531 00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:40,800 Speaker 5: How wrong economics has been? Those are the biggest contributions 532 00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:42,400 Speaker 5: in economics usually have to. 533 00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:45,680 Speaker 4: Do with, hey, we really actually got this all wrong. 534 00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:56,600 Speaker 1: All right, it's time for the one thing? T T 535 00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:58,400 Speaker 1: what's your one thing this week? 536 00:30:58,680 --> 00:30:59,880 Speaker 3: My one thing this week? 537 00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:01,880 Speaker 2: You know, we're talking about the economy and how we're 538 00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:04,400 Speaker 2: spending our dollars, and one way I like to spend 539 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 2: my dollars is. 540 00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:06,120 Speaker 3: On black businesses. 541 00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:10,320 Speaker 2: And I stumbled across this really amazing black woman owned 542 00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:14,280 Speaker 2: business on TikTok, owned by a woman named Camille McCallum. 543 00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:16,520 Speaker 2: The name of her brand is black Woman on a 544 00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:22,120 Speaker 2: Mission and she makes a pail, so socks, t shirts, sweatshirts, hat, 545 00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:24,880 Speaker 2: and so I've gotten a hat and some socks from her. 546 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:26,640 Speaker 2: They both say Black Women on a Mission on it. 547 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,840 Speaker 2: I love wearing it because one of the things that 548 00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:31,640 Speaker 2: she said in her TikTok is that it always starts 549 00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:34,440 Speaker 2: a conversation. People will ask her, you know, what mission 550 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:34,840 Speaker 2: are you on? 551 00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:35,480 Speaker 3: What do you do? 552 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:37,560 Speaker 2: And it actually does happen. When I wore that, I 553 00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:39,200 Speaker 2: had somebody ask me that. So I got a chance 554 00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:42,360 Speaker 2: to talk about the podcast and put us out there 555 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:44,640 Speaker 2: even more to people who may not know about us. 556 00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 2: So that is black Woman on a Mission. The website 557 00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:51,560 Speaker 2: is black Woman on a Mission dot com. The owner 558 00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:54,840 Speaker 2: is Camille McCollum. You can follow her and her brand 559 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:58,600 Speaker 2: on Instagram and on TikTok. She is so much fun 560 00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:01,719 Speaker 2: I love her TikTok. She's so funny, and so I 561 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 2: really love being able to support her in this way. 562 00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:07,160 Speaker 3: Yes, that sounds great. What's your one thing? 563 00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:10,320 Speaker 1: My one thing, and I've talked about it before is 564 00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:13,160 Speaker 1: an app and it's called Digit. So when we're thinking 565 00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,800 Speaker 1: about the economy and how you might save and capitalize 566 00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:18,760 Speaker 1: on those interest rates, digit is an app that basically 567 00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 1: is taking money out of your account. And I know 568 00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:24,560 Speaker 1: that's scary. It was scary to me, but you can 569 00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:26,880 Speaker 1: set the daily limits and it just pulls tiny little 570 00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:29,040 Speaker 1: dollars away, and before you know it, you have a 571 00:32:29,120 --> 00:32:31,800 Speaker 1: little nest egg of savings. And if you're living like 572 00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:34,440 Speaker 1: me and feeling the inflation, you need that nest egg. 573 00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:36,120 Speaker 1: And sometimes you need to go right on in there 574 00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:40,000 Speaker 1: and pull an egg out. Okay, so and make an omelet, 575 00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,880 Speaker 1: and make an omelet baby. And so I think people 576 00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:47,000 Speaker 1: should check out digit. I'll share my referral code in 577 00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:58,160 Speaker 1: the show notes. All right, that's it. 578 00:32:58,080 --> 00:32:59,280 Speaker 3: For Lap seventy nine. 579 00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:01,880 Speaker 1: I want to know do you want interest rates to 580 00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:04,440 Speaker 1: go up? Are you excited about the student loan forgiveness 581 00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:05,959 Speaker 1: program for against it? 582 00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:06,640 Speaker 3: What do you think? 583 00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:09,560 Speaker 1: Call us at two zero two five six seven seven 584 00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:11,880 Speaker 1: zero two eight and tell us what you thought, or 585 00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:13,960 Speaker 1: give us an idea for a lab you think we 586 00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:17,200 Speaker 1: should do this semester. That's two zero two five six 587 00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:18,920 Speaker 1: seven seven zero two eight. 588 00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 2: And don't forget there's so much more for you to 589 00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:23,560 Speaker 2: dig into on our website. There'll be a cheat sheet 590 00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,840 Speaker 2: for today's lab and additional links and resources in the 591 00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:29,480 Speaker 2: show notes. Plus you can sign up for our newsletter 592 00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:33,480 Speaker 2: check it out at Dope labspodcast dot com. Special thanks 593 00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,520 Speaker 2: to today's guest expert, doctor Vanessa Perry, you. 594 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:40,440 Speaker 1: Can find doctor Perry on LinkedIn just search Vanessa Perry. 595 00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:42,600 Speaker 2: And you can find us on Twitter and Instagram at 596 00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:46,040 Speaker 2: Dope Labs podcast, tt is on Twitter and Instagram at 597 00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 2: dr Underscore t Sho. 598 00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:52,400 Speaker 1: And you can find Zakia at z said So. Dope 599 00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:56,360 Speaker 1: Labs is a Spotify original production from Mega OWM Media Group. 600 00:33:56,680 --> 00:33:59,840 Speaker 1: Our producers are Jenny Radlett, Mask and Lydia Smith of 601 00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:05,040 Speaker 1: WaveRunner Studios. Our associate producer is Caro Orlando. Editing and 602 00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:08,919 Speaker 1: sound designed by Rob Smarziak, with additional mixing and sound 603 00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:12,600 Speaker 1: design by Hannis Brown. Original music composed and produced by 604 00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:19,120 Speaker 1: Taka Yasuzawa and Alex Sugiura from Spotify Creative producer Miguel Contreras. 605 00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:22,880 Speaker 1: Special thanks to Shirley Ramos, Jess Borrison, Till krat Key 606 00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:26,800 Speaker 1: and Brian Marquis Executive producers from Mega Own Media Group, 607 00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:42,239 Speaker 1: rs T T Show Dia and Zakiah Wattley. 608 00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:45,160 Speaker 2: We're gonna talk about what the government is doing right 609 00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:47,680 Speaker 2: now to try and rain 610 00:34:47,800 --> 00:34:55,200 Speaker 3: This economy in WHOA Buddy, Oh my