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Speaker 1: dot com, slash Basketball, terms for eligibility and deposit restrictions,

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Speaker 1: terms and responsible gaming resources. Hi, everybody welcome in. It

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Speaker 1: is our Friday morning podcast. Chad Milman Sharper Square. I

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Speaker 1: like the lines this week. I like a lot of favorites.

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Speaker 1: You know, I was thinking about the Draymond Green situation,

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Speaker 1: and I think, you know, I'm in pretty good shape

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Speaker 1: for my age, in my fifties, and there are some

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Speaker 1: things I wish I could do over in my life.

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Speaker 1: But I don't have the you know, the relentless, boundless

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Speaker 1: energy I did when I was twenty four years old,

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Speaker 1: where I could go play basketball, pick up basketball, rip

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Speaker 1: my ankle up, and then two days later be out

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Speaker 1: playing again, have a ski accident. Next day, I'm on

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Speaker 1: the slopes. Things take longer to heal. You get into

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Speaker 1: your fifties and shit breaks right. But I think the

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Speaker 1: advantage to having perspective is I just don't get worked

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Speaker 1: up very much and because I've seen everything seven times,

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Speaker 1: like when Elon Musk took over X and Twitter. Now

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Speaker 1: X and people freaked out. Take a deep breath. It's

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Speaker 1: going to take six to nine months to figure it out.

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Speaker 1: I don't think the user experience is quite as good

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Speaker 1: as it was, but I filter out what I don't want.

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Speaker 1: It's not the end of the world. I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to rush to threads and protest. That seems so juvenile

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Speaker 1: and so childish to me. Take a deep breath. If

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Speaker 1: you're spending that much time on X, probably need to

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Speaker 1: get a life anyway. If you have strong, defiant opinions

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Speaker 1: about a social media app, maybe get off the social

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Speaker 1: media app. I see it all the time. With President Biden. Oh,

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Speaker 1: he's the worst, the best, He's neither. He's not the

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Speaker 1: best president, he's not the worst. On the stock market's

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Speaker 1: over thirty seven thousand, right, inflation down, gas prices down

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Speaker 1: in most of the country, unemployments under four percent, there's

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Speaker 1: a lot of manufacturing jobs that have bounced back. We're

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Speaker 1: through COVID. I don't think Biden's the best president. I

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Speaker 1: don't think he's the worst. Age is a concern again.

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Speaker 1: I just I'm not outraged by this stuff I read.

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Speaker 1: You know, when bud Light put somebody on the can,

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Speaker 1: a transgender person on a can, people freaked out. My

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Speaker 1: takeaway was, well, I don't think coming off real men

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Speaker 1: of genius to that was the smartest marketing plan. But

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Speaker 1: I didn't lose sleep over it because I don't necessarily

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Speaker 1: care who's on a can of beer. And I'm married

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Speaker 1: with kids, and you know, pretty strong thriving business here

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Speaker 1: at the volume, and I work on TV and radio.

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Speaker 1: I think people who overreact to stuff are bored or

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Speaker 1: they need attention, and there are things to get worked

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Speaker 1: up about. We know that, but I just didn't have

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Speaker 1: to me very often. When I saw the Draymond Green

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Speaker 1: flailing punch, my takeaway was, go YouTube Bill Lambert. You

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Speaker 1: can't believe he was tackling people during the finals, not

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Speaker 1: Tuesday games, Wednesday games. Dennis Rodman YouTube him, but literally

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Speaker 1: didn't show up to playoff games, went to Vegas to

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Speaker 1: hang out. Michael Jordan had to fly out there and

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Speaker 1: get him. Is that. I remember the nineteen seventies NBA

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Speaker 1: fights empty arenas, the horrible ownership groups from Donald Sterling

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Speaker 1: to Ted Stepien. I don't like what Draymond Green did

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Speaker 1: and he deserved to be suspended indefinitely is fine. He'll

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Speaker 1: get help deal with some counseling. His agent, Rich Paul

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Speaker 1: and Clutch Sports will help him navigate that. But I

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Speaker 1: know Draymond. He's a terrific employee. He's a hard worker,

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Speaker 1: he's an excellent podcaster. He's thoughtful and very, very reflective,

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Speaker 1: and I've never thought he mails it in. He's been

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Speaker 1: a good teammate. I think he's the second most important

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Speaker 1: warrior to Steph Curry. He's been a catalyst, he's been

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Speaker 1: a great teammate. There doesn't have to get along with everybody.

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Speaker 1: Kobe didn't get along with everybody. Michael Jordan didn't get

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Speaker 1: along with everybody. Michael Jordan punched the teammate. So it's

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Speaker 1: not that I'm supporting Draymond just because he works at

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Speaker 1: the volume. My feeling is when you have perspective, and

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Speaker 1: you've watched Lambert and you've watched Dennis Rodman, and you

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Speaker 1: see Draymon and Lambier and Draymond are more talented, better

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Speaker 1: offensive players obviously than Dennis Rodman. But it's just perspective.

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Speaker 1: You know, he's not Let's take a deep breath here.

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Speaker 1: He's not selling drugs to kids. He's not a shady politician,

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Speaker 1: he's not selling weapons to inappropriate people. It's a sports

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Speaker 1: suspension based on a very physical player who is kind

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Speaker 1: of I would call him a disruptive player. And it's

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Speaker 1: sort of like hockey enforcers. Through the years, there's been

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Speaker 1: a lot of hockey enforcers, and it's difficult, and it

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Speaker 1: messed with a lot of guys heads and a lot

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Speaker 1: of guys who are hockey enforcers protecting a great player

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Speaker 1: on their hockey team. We're medicating themselves through any means

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Speaker 1: possible off an alcohol. And I think when you are

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Speaker 1: Dennis or Draymond or Bill Lambier and you're kind of

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Speaker 1: an enforcer that you go to the arena every night,

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Speaker 1: you're going to guard the best player of your size.

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Speaker 1: You're going to have to get in his head. You're

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Speaker 1: going to have to be physical. It's different than going

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Speaker 1: out ball handling and hitting threes. It's a big difficult

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Speaker 1: task for hockey enforcers and basketball disruptors. So I'm always

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Speaker 1: a little lenient understanding that every team needs a tough guy,

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Speaker 1: every team needs an enforcer, and it's really hard. It's

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Speaker 1: hard to do it. Sounds like in football, not all

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Speaker 1: positions are same, Not all positions, you know, require the

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Speaker 1: same focus or attention. It's much easy year to be

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Speaker 1: a running back in a cornerback right out of college

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Speaker 1: of the pros, and it is a left tackle or

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Speaker 1: a quarterback or a signal calling Mike linebacker. There are

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Speaker 1: certain positions that are just harder and they demand more

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Speaker 1: from the athlete. So I think one of the things

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Speaker 1: I like about being in this business a long time

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Speaker 1: is I don't tend to initially overreact to stuff. When

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Speaker 1: Shohei Otani signed and he deferred ninety percent of his

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Speaker 1: contractor more, well, it's legal, and he did it so

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Speaker 1: he can play with better players. And to manipulate the

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Speaker 1: California tax system, people all over California do that. Live

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Speaker 1: sixty five sixty percent of the time in another state Florida, Nevada,

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Speaker 1: Washington state no state taxes, and then live some of

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Speaker 1: the time in California. Nobody had a problem with the

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Speaker 1: Yankees dominating the Hot Stove League twenty years ago. In

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Speaker 1: the Yes network that was making at the time four

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Speaker 1: hundred million dollars had a decided advantage on every other

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Speaker 1: regional or local cable network, and the Yankees bought whoever

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Speaker 1: they wanted to. Nobody was outraged by that. It was celebrated.

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Speaker 1: So I think one of the things, I know a

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Speaker 1: lot of people in the media, and I respect a

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Speaker 1: lot of people in the media and trust a lot,

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Speaker 1: but the constant overreaction to everything. A lot of people

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Speaker 1: in my space pedal outrage. I don't. I think my

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Speaker 1: content is smart enough and thoughtful enough that I can

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Speaker 1: lay it out there. I don't have to try to

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Speaker 1: gear up anybody and freak out anybody. I do not

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Speaker 1: pedal outrage. I'm just not upset. Very often. I take

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Speaker 1: a deep breath, I watch what happens. I give you

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Speaker 1: perspective on how it lands for me, but I don't

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Speaker 1: need to. I'm not selling that now. For some people,

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Speaker 1: their internet business is their business. Again. I have a

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Speaker 1: TV show, I have a radio show, I have my

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Speaker 1: own company. Revenue's fine. I don't need to pedal anything

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Speaker 1: for growth. Everything's growing organically. But I mean, if you're

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Speaker 1: attracted to that stuff, you're probably not listening to me anyway,

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Speaker 1: because I'm not selling conspiracy theory and I'm not selling outrage.

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Speaker 1: Draymond Green is a basketball suspension and he's going to

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Speaker 1: get right. He's been a great employee at the volume

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Speaker 1: and again, incredibly reflective guy, willing to take criticism, willing

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Speaker 1: to be coached. But you know, I've seen enforcers and

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Speaker 1: disruptors in sports, and it's a big lift, it's a

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Speaker 1: hard ask, and there's a lot of turbulence, there's a

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Speaker 1: lot of There's been a lot of great, great moments

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Speaker 1: in Draymond's career. There's been some bumpy ones, and this

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Speaker 1: is a bumpy one, all right. His name is Chad

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Speaker 1: Millman and my friend for a long time CEO of

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Speaker 1: the Action Network. All odds provided by DraftKings. You know,

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Speaker 1: I like theories. I like to project what I see.

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Speaker 1: Not always right, but they're interesting. So I was listening

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Speaker 1: to Andrew Whitworth the other day talking to Kevin Clark

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Speaker 1: about offensive line play. Is they don't ask you to

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Speaker 1: block a lot, and the athletes are getting better on

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Speaker 1: the defensive. So here's something that I think you have

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Speaker 1: to strongly consider. So the athletes, all athletes in all

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Speaker 1: sports are getting bigger, stronger and better. Right, and defensive

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Speaker 1: linemen have always been more physically gifted and athletic than

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Speaker 1: offensive linemen, with the rare exception of a Trent Williams

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Speaker 1: or just an elite all time left tackle. So as

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Speaker 1: they get more talented, the defensive athletes and our receivers

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Speaker 1: and our corners, everybody's getting better. Offensive linemen, however, are

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Speaker 1: the least athletic of all the athletes on the field. Therefore,

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks are getting hit more and getting hit with more

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Speaker 1: velocity and violence. Therefore, backup quarterbacks are playing at a

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Speaker 1: higher percentage. Therefore, backup quarterback is a position that will

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Speaker 1: never be paid a lot because of the salary cap.

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Speaker 1: But if you look at what is happening in the

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Speaker 1: NFL now, it is not a coincidence. Let me give

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Speaker 1: you teams that have struggled with backups New England, Pittsburgh, briefly, Chicago, Seattle,

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Speaker 1: all defensive coaches. Here's teams flourishing with backup quarterbacks in

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Speaker 1: they Cleveland, Atlanta doing okay, Minnesota one a game quarterback

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Speaker 1: did not have a practice last year. McVeigh with Baker

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Speaker 1: won with one practice. So the point being fifty to

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Speaker 1: fifty five quarterbacks this point forward are going to play

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Speaker 1: annually and you cannot pay a backup. There's limitations on it.

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Speaker 1: Eleven or fourteen. Current playoff teams have offensive coaches, and

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Speaker 1: the bubble teams Denver the Rams have offensive coaches. Going forward,

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Speaker 1: you really have to strongly consider drafting a quarterback fifth, sixth,

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Speaker 1: seventh round all almost every year and realize that even

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Speaker 1: if you have a legendary defensive coach Tomlin, Bellacheck, Pete Carroll,

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Speaker 1: absolute limitations. A defensive coach can win with a star quarterback,

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Speaker 1: but if his quarterback position is disrupted in season, bad

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Speaker 1: spiraling worse. Offensive coaches have a greater sensibility cannot only win.

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Speaker 1: Flacco first start looked more than capable. And so my

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Speaker 1: theory is offensive coaches have to be a higher and

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks have to be drafted. Now almost annually you have

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Speaker 1: to keep three on the roster. And so it's just

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Speaker 1: one of my takes on one of the reasons I've

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Speaker 1: done something this year in my gambling chat that I've

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Speaker 1: never done. I'm taking favorites, and a lot of these

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Speaker 1: bets are what quarterback do I like more and who's

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Speaker 1: his coach? So with that, one of my favorite bets

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Speaker 1: this week is Cleveland minus I think it's now three

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Speaker 1: against the Bears, So it's a defensive coach going to

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Speaker 1: a team that's a very good defensive team at home.

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Speaker 1: But I believe Flacco will make incremental growth weekly with

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Speaker 1: an offensive coach, Whereas I think Justin Fields is to

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Speaker 1: some degree going to be what he is. His growth

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Speaker 1: has been long in a slower process. I love Cleveland

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Speaker 1: minus three this week, I think Flacco will take another

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Speaker 1: leap first start to second to third. Sharper square that

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Speaker 1: was last.

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Speaker 2: I'm laughing hard because I know Joe agree with everything

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Speaker 2: you said about offensive coaches the importance of backup quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: I think the best example is the one that you

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Speaker 2: haven't mentioned, but I know is one that you love,

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Speaker 2: Kyle Shanahan. Shan has been a genius of a coach

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Speaker 2: in his time in San Francisco, and it has been

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Speaker 2: over the years oftentimes not just with backup offensive lineman,

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Speaker 2: backup running backs, backup receivers, but with second third string quarterbacks,

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks off the street. Because I don't think anybody enjoys

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Speaker 2: game planning and scheming and the chess matchup offensive football

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Speaker 2: more than Kyle Shanhan. I don't think there's anybody better

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Speaker 2: at it. It's why the forty nine ers always get

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Speaker 2: so much respect from professional betters because they know Kyle

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Speaker 2: Shann is so good at scheming. And your point about

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Speaker 2: offensive coaches is that when you have an offensive line

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Speaker 2: that is going to have less athletic players, and you

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Speaker 2: know you are going to have a quarterback that needs

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Speaker 2: to play when he is ill prepared or not as

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Speaker 2: good as a starting quarterback, you need to know how

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Speaker 2: to scheme offensive plays. Agree with everything you're saying one

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Speaker 2: hundred percent. You couldn't have picked a worse game the

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Speaker 2: Bears and the Bird zones. To try to make your point,

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Speaker 2: you are so wrong on this side, it's frightening. The

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Speaker 2: Bears are the side in this game. The Bears are

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Speaker 2: the side to win this game. And I think what

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Speaker 2: you're getting here is the inflation on the Browns and

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Speaker 2: the value of their defense, which is very banged up

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Speaker 2: right now, and you're getting how welse Kevin Stefanski has

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Speaker 2: coached this team through a myriad of injuries and kept

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Speaker 2: them in the hunt for the title in their division

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Speaker 2: even though they are basically down to four to fifth

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Speaker 2: six stringers on their interior offensive line. The Bears. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 2: since Week nine EPA per play expected points allowed per play,

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Speaker 2: they're sixth in the league. The Browns twenty fifth in

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Speaker 2: the league. Like, this is a defense in the Browns

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Speaker 2: that is getting consistently worse and a defense in the

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Speaker 2: Bears that is getting consistently better. Since they got Montes sweat,

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Speaker 2: They're running defense, they're rushing defense consistently better now becoming

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Speaker 2: a dominant force for them. And that might be the

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Speaker 2: only strength the Browns had. I am not buying Joe

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Speaker 2: Flacco and the glorious story that happened last week against

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Speaker 2: the Jaguars. That was a fluke that is not going

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Speaker 2: to happen again. That was why you fade the Browns

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Speaker 2: this week. And also Justin Fields. I'll tell you this

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Speaker 2: right now, this is going to be the most fascinating

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Speaker 2: four weeks in a generation for the Chicago Bears or

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Speaker 2: Chicago Bears fans. Justin Fields is playing for a new

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Speaker 2: contract in Chicago, a new coach in Chicago, if that

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Speaker 2: is what happens next year. He is playing for the

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Speaker 2: next coach he plays for, if the Bears decide to

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Speaker 2: trade him, whatever the case is, Justin Fields is playing

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Speaker 2: for something over the next four weeks and since the buye,

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Speaker 2: he has been making better decisions, faster decisions, and showing

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Speaker 2: he knows how to play the quarterback much much better

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Speaker 2: than we thought he did prior to his injury.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get serious. Here are the picks. I

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Speaker 1: really like my ten favorite.

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Speaker 2: You know, I appreciate you throwing that one out there.

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Speaker 2: I didn't even know where you were going.

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Speaker 1: This is not the best line, but I think my

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Speaker 1: favorite pick of the week was Lions minus four. It's

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Speaker 1: now four and a half. I don't love that, but

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Speaker 1: I think this is a tough spot for Denver. Lions

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Speaker 1: are a good team. People sell them because they played

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Speaker 1: poorly outdoors. One of my favorite picks of the week

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Speaker 1: last week was Chicago get him back indoors. Off a

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Speaker 1: humiliating loss we saw a couple of weeks ago. Them

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Speaker 1: jumped out to a huge lead on the Saints. They're

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Speaker 1: more than capable. Broncos have had a series of games

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Speaker 1: and travel. I think it's pretty tough. I think this

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Speaker 1: just feels like a spot. You know that number. I

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Speaker 1: love four fours my favorite number. I see it. I

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Speaker 1: take the favorites. I like four better than minus four

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Speaker 1: and a half. I think the Lions is a side

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Speaker 1: sharper square.

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Speaker 2: So it was the side at four, and then it

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Speaker 2: went up to four and a half, and then it

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Speaker 2: went up to five, and the wise guys bought at

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Speaker 2: a little bit back. I'm with you. The Lions are

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Speaker 2: the right side here, right. So the Lions, they're four

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Speaker 2: and two the past six games. It's not like they're

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Speaker 2: in a terrible team. They've had a couple bad losses

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Speaker 2: that people are remembering. One of them Green Bay, one

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Speaker 2: of them to Chicago. But look in those two losses,

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Speaker 2: six turnovers, two of ten on fourth downs in their

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Speaker 2: two losses. Like Dan Campbell likes to go for it.

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Speaker 2: When it works, we think he's a genius. When it

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Speaker 2: doesn't work, it puts them in more difficult positions. We

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Speaker 2: saw it against the Bears last week. One thing I think,

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Speaker 2: one thing I think is really important for them, Frank

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Speaker 2: Ragnow their center is expected to be back. I do

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Speaker 2: think that's incredibly important for their rushing game with Jamier

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Speaker 2: Gibbs and David Montgomery, when they are both playing well

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Speaker 2: and they can provide sort of the impetus for that

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Speaker 2: offense to give Jared Goff more opportunities then I think

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Speaker 2: they're a much better team than the Broncos. And don't

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Speaker 2: forget the Broncos. Look, they are living on fourth down luck.

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Speaker 2: They are living on turnovers plus fifteen in the turnover

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Speaker 2: margin during their sort of winning streak the past few weeks.

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Speaker 2: Don't forget Jared Goff, most profitable quarterback in the Dome

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Speaker 2: the past twenty years. I am not ready to sell

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Speaker 2: this Detroit Lions team. And I love the Broncos. I

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Speaker 2: want to cash a Broncos over eight and a half

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Speaker 2: season wins ticket, but I don't think this is the

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Speaker 2: red spot for them. Neither do the Wise guys.

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Speaker 1: Second favorite Bett Bills minus two at home against the Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: off a big division rivalry blowout win. Buffalo playing for

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Speaker 1: their playoff lives. You know, we can say what we

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Speaker 1: want about Buffalo. They're in close games. You know, they're

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Speaker 1: not blowing people out like three years ago, where they

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Speaker 1: were kind of the Mike Tyson of the league, like

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Speaker 1: it was a first round knockout, or they lose late.

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Speaker 1: Now they're actually in a lot of close games. I

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Speaker 1: think this is still a team that will make a

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Speaker 1: dent in the playoffs. I think this home spot. Get

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys in chilly weather off their spot, a little

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Speaker 1: out of rhythm, Sharper square like the Bills.

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Speaker 2: Totally sharp. This is the side. A lot of inflation

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Speaker 2: on the Cowboys, like they There couldn't be a higher

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Speaker 2: price on betting on the Cowboys right now. And if

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Speaker 2: you look at Josh Allen, look he's got the interception

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Speaker 2: streak right, nine straight games with an interception. But he's

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Speaker 2: carrying this team and they're starting to play a little

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Speaker 2: bit better. Remember Rasille Douglas, who they traded for at

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Speaker 2: the trade deadline, was replacing Tredavius White. He's a fourth

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Speaker 2: rated best cornerback according to Pro Football Focus. And don't

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Speaker 2: also don't forget they had to place Matt Mlano, who

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Speaker 2: was their best defensive player. It takes time for the

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Speaker 2: backups to come in, get used to the scheme, get

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Speaker 2: used to playing every down, get used to playing with

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Speaker 2: their other teammates. This defense. While they gave up thirty

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Speaker 2: seven points to the Eagles, they are improving. I think

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Speaker 2: they're becoming a little bit more well rounded. I agree

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Speaker 2: with you. It's gonna be fascinating the next four weeks.

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Speaker 2: They got the Cowboys, they got the Chargers. They're going

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Speaker 2: to end the season with the Dolphins. Right now, the

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Speaker 2: Buffalo Bills plus depending on where you look, three hundred

358
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Speaker 2: to win the AFC East, Josh Allen twenty to one

359
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Speaker 2: to win MVP. I know everybody's saying Dak Prescott has

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Speaker 2: this MVP thing locked up. I would not be surprised

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Speaker 2: if Josh Allen and the Bills run the table and

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Speaker 2: they make the playoffs and he wins the AFC East.

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Speaker 2: He'll end the year with a freak load of touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: possibly leave the league in touchdown passes, leave the league

365
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Speaker 2: in total touchdowns. He might be a nice, little tasty

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Speaker 2: long shot bet right now for MVP.

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Speaker 1: One of the underdogs. I like Commanders plus six and

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Speaker 1: a half at the Rams. I think that game against

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Speaker 1: Baltimore winner lose was a lot emotionally. It was one

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Speaker 1: of the great games of the year. Rams travel East.

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Speaker 1: They lose in overtime. It just I think it took

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Speaker 1: a little chip out of them. I think they win

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Speaker 1: the game. I get the Commanders off a bye healthy again.

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Speaker 1: I think it's always an advantage when you have a

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Speaker 1: buy compared to a team coming off a wildly emotional win.

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Speaker 1: I think the Rams can win out and I think

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Speaker 1: they will. I think they're a really well coached team,

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Speaker 1: but nobody that offense is still kind of dinged up.

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Speaker 1: I mean they're really doing it off great coaching scheme

380
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Speaker 1: and Cooper cups not fully healthy. Stafford show signs that

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Speaker 1: occasionally he's grabbing something every time off the field. Tyler

382
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Speaker 1: Higbee's not healthy. So I like the Rams to win,

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Speaker 1: but six and a half is way too many points

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Speaker 1: for me. Sharper square, So.

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Speaker 2: You're sharp right now. I will tell you. I'm on

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Speaker 2: the Rams, and I don't really understand why the wise

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Speaker 2: guy like the commanders they do. They totally do. You

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Speaker 2: are completely one hundred percent like Sam Howell has had

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Speaker 2: a great year. I think that the wise guys are

390
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Speaker 2: still looking at Sam Howell from the first four to

391
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Speaker 2: six weeks of the year and giving him a lot

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Speaker 2: of credit and thinking, Okay, this is number is too big.

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Speaker 2: They're off the bi like you just said, I look

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Speaker 2: at this though, and I tell you this Commander's defense

395
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:29,200
Speaker 2: is truly terrible, and they are. They're really terrible, And

396
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Speaker 2: like they had what I call what we call like

397
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Speaker 2: the dead cat bounce. Right So in finance when like

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Speaker 2: a stock is doing terribly and all of a sudden

399
00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:39,520
Speaker 2: it has a nice little blip, like a moment of clarity. Right,

400
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,199
Speaker 2: that's the dead cat bounce. Because it's really kind of

401
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 2: a crappy stock. This is a crappy team that after

402
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Speaker 2: they traded away basically their entire defense and Chase Young

403
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:49,920
Speaker 2: and Montest sweat, they went on the road. They beat

404
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 2: the Patriots. Everyone's like, oh, maybe this tame has a

405
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,640
Speaker 2: little more moxy than we thought. They've basically been blown

406
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 2: out in every game since then, right, and so including

407
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:01,800
Speaker 2: at home by the doll They got blown out by

408
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Speaker 2: the Cowboys. They have looked bad. They got beat by

409
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 2: the Giants, right, and this is when like before Tommy

410
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 2: DeVito and like the magic of being Italian in North Jersey.

411
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:15,159
Speaker 2: So it's a bad team and their defense is the

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Speaker 2: worst in the league at giving up passes of twenty

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Speaker 2: yards or more. Cooper Cup I think he's playing amazing

414
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Speaker 2: right now. What he did against the Ravens was awesome.

415
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:28,720
Speaker 2: Pooka Nakua has been final and making fantastic catches. I

416
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 2: don't know that anyone in Washington can guard them. And

417
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:34,720
Speaker 2: by the way, Karen Williams has been amazing since he

418
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Speaker 2: came back from his injury.

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Speaker 1: Oh fantastic.

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Speaker 2: Like I think the Russian game can dominate against the Commander,

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Speaker 2: So you are one hundred percent on the right side.

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Speaker 2: I'm making an executive decision. I'm with the Rams. I

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Speaker 2: don't care what the wise guys say.

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Speaker 1: Another underdog guy like Seahawks plus four Monday Night Football

425
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,160
Speaker 1: against Philadelphia, the move line has moved up all olives

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00:24:56,200 --> 00:24:59,440
Speaker 1: provided by DraftKings. They played a very spunky game against

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00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:02,280
Speaker 1: San Francis, Go and Dallas. These are good teams. They

428
00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 1: played them tight. And my takeaway here is we've watched

429
00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:09,760
Speaker 1: on Monday Night football a very average Giants team win,

430
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 1: Cincinnati beat Jacksonville. Monday Night football is one of the

431
00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:18,560
Speaker 1: last places home field is still three points. And I

432
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:21,080
Speaker 1: think Seattle is a desperate team that has actually lost

433
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:23,600
Speaker 1: but played pretty darn good in the last couple of weeks.

434
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 1: And Philadelphia is reeling defensively, They're not running Jalen Hurts

435
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,200
Speaker 1: as much. It's an offense that hasn't solved their issues.

436
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 1: I know we've watched three or four games in a row.

437
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:34,480
Speaker 1: They have not had a great offensive game for four

438
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:39,639
Speaker 1: quarters this season. Seattle's tough. Wendy Rainey, I'm gonna take

439
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 1: the Hawks plus four, Sharper square.

440
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:44,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, sharp. You know it's interesting. Before we came on

441
00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:46,479
Speaker 2: the air, you and I talked about how this has

442
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:51,040
Speaker 2: been a sort of dominant season for the public, and

443
00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,720
Speaker 2: when you're betting on the public, you're normally betting on

444
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:58,480
Speaker 2: the favorites. The one area where that doesn't apply is

445
00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:01,399
Speaker 2: primetime games. Prime time games, it has still been the

446
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:03,640
Speaker 2: right side to fade the public. Bet with the Sharps,

447
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 2: bet on the underdogs. So yes, the Seattle Seahawks at

448
00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 2: plus four will be the side that you'll find the

449
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:12,119
Speaker 2: wise guys on as well.

450
00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 1: Okay, we do this every week where I want you

451
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:16,159
Speaker 1: to talk me into a game that I have strong

452
00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 1: feelings with. But I have been watching Sharps and I

453
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 1: don't think they like it. I actually think people shouldn't

454
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 1: sell any of their stock of Green Bay. I really

455
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:29,120
Speaker 1: like them. I think their receivers are twitchy. I think

456
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:33,440
Speaker 1: Lafleur now runs the team. It's a really fun team.

457
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:36,480
Speaker 1: It feels like a Matt Lafleur offense. I think Jordan

458
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:39,520
Speaker 1: Love has made big strides in that game against the Giants.

459
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:42,480
Speaker 1: He had a couple of brilliant passes in the end zone.

460
00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:45,159
Speaker 1: One got knocked down, one was just a foot of

461
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 1: the receiver couldn't get his foot down before they did

462
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:50,640
Speaker 1: eventually score. I think they're playing with confidence. I think

463
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,959
Speaker 1: they're young. They'll bounce back. They don't know what they

464
00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:55,120
Speaker 1: don't know. And it was a Monday night football game

465
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,239
Speaker 1: where they went in off beating the Chiefs, so they

466
00:26:57,320 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 1: kind of got into their fields a little bit. They

467
00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:02,360
Speaker 1: went it as a favorite and it's like, no, no, no, no,

468
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:05,959
Speaker 1: that's not what you are. Now they come home. I

469
00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:09,040
Speaker 1: like a minus three. Talk me into it?

470
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:14,359
Speaker 2: Well, I don't know that I should have to work

471
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 2: that hard to talk you into it. It's it's a

472
00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:21,760
Speaker 2: really complicated matchup for the professionals. They like the Bucks

473
00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 2: at plus three and a half. At plus three, I

474
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:28,639
Speaker 2: mean at minus three you kind of lean Packers or

475
00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:31,560
Speaker 2: nothing at all. You need the hook if you're going

476
00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:33,720
Speaker 2: to be interested in the Bucks, and if the hook

477
00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:36,919
Speaker 2: is there, you don't want to bet the Packers. I

478
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:40,120
Speaker 2: think there's still so much for Jordan Love to learn.

479
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 2: And you're right about the Giants. Last week. That was

480
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:46,439
Speaker 2: the smash spot that was the easiest money that we

481
00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 2: have bet all season. Never in doubt, never a concern

482
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:54,119
Speaker 2: like that was just you know, Jordan Love going on

483
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 2: the road is nearly a touchdown favorite in prime time.

484
00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,639
Speaker 2: You're not betting on that at this point in his

485
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:03,800
Speaker 2: career going home. I agree with you. This has been

486
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,280
Speaker 2: a much better coach team. The second half of the year.

487
00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:10,199
Speaker 2: He has looked much better. The challenge is that Baker

488
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 2: Mayfield all season long has been keeping his team in games.

489
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:20,320
Speaker 2: He's playing terribly in moments of every game and keeping

490
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:25,200
Speaker 2: them in games and keeping the cover alive in every

491
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:28,280
Speaker 2: single game. It happened against the Eagles earlier in the year,

492
00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:30,639
Speaker 2: and then we saw it again with the Falcons. He

493
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,440
Speaker 2: had played horrible and in that final drive, I think

494
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:37,920
Speaker 2: he had five incompletions. It was like five incompletions in

495
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 2: a few runs, and then all of a sudden, he

496
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 2: hits Chris Godwin with a perfect tear drop pass on

497
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,760
Speaker 2: the sideline that gets them close to the end zone,

498
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:50,000
Speaker 2: and then he makes a perfect throw into the end

499
00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:54,720
Speaker 2: zone to win that game. The beauty of Baker Mayfield

500
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,120
Speaker 2: is that he's always been a guy who just plays

501
00:28:57,160 --> 00:29:01,440
Speaker 2: with a massive amount of courage does not care about

502
00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:04,280
Speaker 2: what happened before, and I feel like that's when the

503
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 2: Bucks have been doing all season long. So to me,

504
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 2: it's scary to bet against them when they're not playing

505
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:11,800
Speaker 2: a really, really good team that is just so much

506
00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:13,960
Speaker 2: better than them. And I don't think the Packers are

507
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:14,920
Speaker 2: that much better than them.

508
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 1: Dumpster dive time. Give me a couple of games that

509
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:21,040
Speaker 1: I overlook, games that you think are interesting. I really

510
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 1: do feel strongly about the Seahawks, the Bills, the Lions,

511
00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:28,040
Speaker 1: and I don't care what you say. I like the Browns.

512
00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:29,240
Speaker 1: What do you like?

513
00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:32,120
Speaker 2: Well, we can make the Browns a little side bet

514
00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 2: if you want, but I don't want to say it.

515
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 2: I don't want to say it. But gosh, golly, gosh, darn.

516
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 2: Can I interest you in the Carolina Panthers as three

517
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:49,520
Speaker 2: point home underdogs against the Atlanta Falcons?

518
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:54,080
Speaker 1: Not really? What's your next one, dude?

519
00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 2: The Carolina Panthers. The truth is they dominated against the

520
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,480
Speaker 2: Saints last week. I lost.

521
00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:04,080
Speaker 1: It was my losing bet.

522
00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:06,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it shouldn't have been a game that they

523
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 2: that they didn't cover.

524
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:09,880
Speaker 1: So now they're at home.

525
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 2: They've got a lockdown corner in JC Horn they've got

526
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:18,840
Speaker 2: a dominant edge rusher in Brian Burns. I know the

527
00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 2: quarterback situation with Bryce Young, but Desmond Ritter is terrible.

528
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:28,360
Speaker 2: And so now you're putting the Atlanta Falcons on the

529
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:33,200
Speaker 2: road as favorites. They do not deserve to be anybody's favorites.

530
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:36,320
Speaker 2: In fact, it just feels like, I guess someone's got

531
00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 2: to be a favorite in this game, and whoever was

532
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 2: going to be the favorite was the side you wanted

533
00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:43,320
Speaker 2: to bet against, And so I'm going with the Carolina Panthers.

534
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 2: I feel like it's the exact right spot for them.

535
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:49,360
Speaker 2: I'd love for you to join me. I understand if

536
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:52,160
Speaker 2: you won't. If you want to take Cleveland, it's totally fine.

537
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 1: I thought it was going to be Arizona in like

538
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:57,120
Speaker 1: fourteen and a half against San Francisco, which kind of

539
00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:57,760
Speaker 1: interested me.

540
00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 2: I've thought about Arizona. These nin Ers are so good,

541
00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:08,280
Speaker 2: they're playing a different game. What do they know? I

542
00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:13,200
Speaker 2: think ten and zero when Trent Williams and Deebo Samuel

543
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 2: are playing. They're winning by an average of something like

544
00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 2: I don't know, ten points a game. They covered again

545
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:25,320
Speaker 2: last week in a really difficult spot. I feel like

546
00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:28,200
Speaker 2: they're a juggernaut, like they're a different team with a

547
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:31,880
Speaker 2: special coach and special personnel on both sides of the ball.

548
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 2: That number is huge, and of course you should bet it.

549
00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:43,640
Speaker 2: The Jets number has moved down interesting considerably and a

550
00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:45,640
Speaker 2: half it was it opened at nine and a half,

551
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:49,040
Speaker 2: closer to seven and a half. Now I'd still bet

552
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 2: it at seven and a half like kind of dead

553
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 2: numbers between nine and seven. So if you can get

554
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 2: to seven and a.

555
00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 1: Half against the Dolphins against.

556
00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 2: Against it, right, it interests me quite a bit. So

557
00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 2: the other one, the other one New England Patriots And

558
00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 2: by the way, I'm sorry I made a mistake. The

559
00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:11,040
Speaker 2: Jets are still in that nine range. It's the Patriots

560
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:13,200
Speaker 2: that moved from nine and a half to seven and

561
00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 2: a half against the Chiefs. Well, Patrick Mahomes as a

562
00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:21,480
Speaker 2: favorite of more than a field goal just isn't very

563
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 2: good and it's hard to cover that big of a number.

564
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:29,680
Speaker 2: So if you want to bet on that, it makes

565
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:31,960
Speaker 2: sense because it's the right side and it's what the

566
00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 2: wise guys have done. The challenge here, do you want

567
00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:39,720
Speaker 2: to bet against Patrick Mahome and Andy Reid in a

568
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 2: scenario where they know they haven't played well offensively in

569
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 2: a scenario where they just keep finding ways to lose

570
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:51,360
Speaker 2: these games and they're super frustrated. And I don't think

571
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 2: they'll take the pedal off the gas or the gas

572
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:55,280
Speaker 2: the Yeah, I don't think they'll take the foot off

573
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 2: the gas in that game. So that's a bit of

574
00:32:58,880 --> 00:33:00,880
Speaker 2: a scary one. But Wise guy are definitely bad in

575
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:01,920
Speaker 2: the Patriots.

576
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 1: Sharper Squire, Chad Milman, Sorry for my long open, but

577
00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 1: I just feel, I.

578
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 2: Feel you'll never have to apologize to me for your rants.

579
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:14,760
Speaker 2: I never know where they're gonna go. I always find

580
00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:18,480
Speaker 2: them entertaining. I know you thought of them deeply. I

581
00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:21,160
Speaker 2: know you've got notes on your lead eagle pad. I

582
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:23,640
Speaker 2: know there's like a tree that you're looking at and

583
00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:26,920
Speaker 2: this is just a branch, and yep, I'm happy to

584
00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 2: take a ride with you, brother.

585
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:33,400
Speaker 1: Good see anybody go Bears the volume