1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:16,279 Speaker 2: The single best idea really interesting Monday, we had a 3 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 2: huge equity focus here, of course, with the stock market 4 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 2: future is doing so well today, a little bit of 5 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,080 Speaker 2: fixed income. Thank you Jim Caron for coming in. We'll 6 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 2: get to him in a moment. Lori Kelvisena in with 7 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,160 Speaker 2: RBC Capital Markets and she went up the income statement. 8 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:33,839 Speaker 2: I can't say how deficient I see out there. The 9 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:39,839 Speaker 2: earnings focus. People toss around fancy words like Brockton, who 10 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:42,240 Speaker 2: produces for us. He's got a license plate that says 11 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 2: EBITDA on it, just to impress the financial babes. Anyways, 12 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 2: the idea is you go up the income statement. At 13 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:53,199 Speaker 2: the top of the income statement is revenue analysis divided 14 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 2: into price and units. Lori Kelvisena, RBC Capital Markets. 15 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 3: You know, I can't say on that company specifically, but 16 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 3: when I do sort of my modeling Tom and in 17 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 3: my earnings model, the revenue line is very much a 18 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 3: quant driven model. So we have kind of five different components, 19 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 3: and with revenues, the two most impactful macro variables are 20 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:18,800 Speaker 3: GDP and CPI, and so we're looking at real GDP 21 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 3: and then CPI. We break them out separately, and both 22 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 3: of those if you take the assumptions up, it's going 23 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:25,639 Speaker 3: to goose your revenue number. 24 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 2: Laurie kelvicin, I can't say over the weekend what it 25 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:33,600 Speaker 2: was exactly, but Atlanta GDP now looking at Q three 26 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 2: ending September thirtieth tomorrow inflation in GDP, the GDP number 27 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:44,320 Speaker 2: is just breathtakets three point x percent, nowhere near slow down. 28 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:47,560 Speaker 2: All of that may be cap X and AI and 29 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 2: all that, but nevertheless it's a buoyant a third quarter 30 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 2: to begin the earnings season. Jim Keren with us with 31 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 2: Morgan Stanley as well Jim Caron on the oddities of 32 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 2: banks within the. 33 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 1: Fixed SAT of space. We've been looking primarily at the 34 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 1: high yield space and also bank loans. So bank loans 35 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 1: are it's almost like floating rate high yield, and in 36 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: some ways it's a shorter term reset. On that, what 37 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 1: I would say is that despite the fact that we 38 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:18,120 Speaker 1: think rates are coming down, we think that short term 39 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:22,919 Speaker 1: high yield credit bank loans in particular actually have more 40 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 1: room to appreciate in price value over time as default 41 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: risks stay relatively low. A lot of people like high yield. 42 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:32,839 Speaker 1: We do too, but we also like the bank loan debt, 43 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 1: and we also like to barbel that by owning some 44 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 1: short term, high quality government bonds. 45 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 2: Here's the reality, folks. Jim Karen read all twelve hundred 46 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 2: pages of Fabosi. I skimmed each chapter. Jim Karen with 47 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:50,880 Speaker 2: Morgan Stanley. We're on podcasts nationwide. Look for Apple podcasts, 48 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 2: Spotify and on YouTube podcasts. It's single best idea. 49 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:03,080 Speaker 1: Also wants alot in under mus