WEBVTT - UPDATE: Trump Ally Shot Dead, Mandelson-Epstein Email Cache, NATO-Russia Risks

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Day Bake You podcast. Good morning,

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<v Speaker 2>It's Thursday, the eleventh of September. I'm Caroline hepkea in

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<v Speaker 2>London and.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Stephen Caroline Brussels. Coming up today. Police in Utah

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<v Speaker 3>are searching for the killer of Charlie Kirk, a conservative

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<v Speaker 3>activist and close ally of US President Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 2>I Think the World of View, Bloomberg obtains revealing and

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<v Speaker 2>embarrassing emails between Britain's ambassador to the US, Peter Mandelson

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<v Speaker 2>and Jeffrey Epstein.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus seeking supporters. Poland calls on NATO allies to bolster

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<v Speaker 3>its air defenses after Russian drones were shot down over

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<v Speaker 3>its territory.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. A

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<v Speaker 2>search is underway in the United States for the killer

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<v Speaker 2>of conservative activist Charlie Kirk, who was shot dead at

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<v Speaker 2>a university in Utah. Kirk, a close ally of the

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<v Speaker 2>US President, was speaking at an outdoor event when police

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<v Speaker 2>say a single shot was fired from a nearby building.

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<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump reacted to the killing on social media.

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<v Speaker 4>For years, those on the radical left have compared wonderful

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<v Speaker 4>Americans like Charlie to Nazis and the world's worst mass

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<v Speaker 4>murderers and criminals. This kind of rhetoric is directly responsible

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<v Speaker 4>for the terrorism that we're seeing in our country today,

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<v Speaker 4>and it must stop right now.

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<v Speaker 2>US President Donald Trump. There Kirk was one of America's

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<v Speaker 2>most prominent conservative figures, leading the organization Turning Point to USA.

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<v Speaker 2>His popularity had flourished using a brash approach to politics

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<v Speaker 2>and as an online champion of Trump and his MAGA movement.

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<v Speaker 2>The shooting is the latest, though in a spate of

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<v Speaker 2>US political violence. Donald Trump faced two assassination attempts on

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<v Speaker 2>the campaign trail, and in June, a gunman killed Minnesota

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<v Speaker 2>Legislator Melissa Hortman and her husband at their home.

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<v Speaker 3>News has obtained more than one hundred previously unreported emails

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<v Speaker 3>between Jeffrey Epstein and Peter Mandelsson between two thousand and

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<v Speaker 3>five and twenty ten. The interactions between the UK's current

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<v Speaker 3>ambassador to the US and the late disgraced financier cast

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<v Speaker 3>new light on their relationship, showing that it was deeper

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<v Speaker 3>than previously known. Bloomberg's Chris pet Has more.

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<v Speaker 5>The day before Jeffrey Epstein reported to a Florida jail

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<v Speaker 5>in June two thousand and eight to begin serving time

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<v Speaker 5>for soliciting sex from a minor. He received an outraged

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<v Speaker 5>message from a friend, anguished at the injustice of it all.

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<v Speaker 5>I think the world of view and I feel hopeless

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<v Speaker 5>and furious about what has happened, Peter Mandelson wrote in

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<v Speaker 5>an email obtained by Bloomberg News. I still can barely

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<v Speaker 5>understand it. It just could not happen in Britain. At

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<v Speaker 5>the time, Mandelsson was European Commissioner for Trade. Today he

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<v Speaker 5>is the UK's ambassador in Washington. The new revelations come

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<v Speaker 5>as Mandelsson already finds himself at the center of a

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<v Speaker 5>furora over his links to the serial sex abuser. After

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<v Speaker 5>the publication this week of a two thousand and three

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<v Speaker 5>birthday book in which he penned a ten page tribute

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<v Speaker 5>calling Epstein his best pal, Bloomberg sent Mandelson a detailed

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<v Speaker 5>letter outlining the emails on Monday this week. Mandelson acknowledged

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<v Speaker 5>receipt of Bloombo's questions, but has not responded to them. However,

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<v Speaker 5>in an interview with the UK newspaper The Sun on

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<v Speaker 5>Wednesday morning, he expressed remorse at his relationship with Epstein.

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<v Speaker 6>I regret very much. Indeed, I felt it like a

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<v Speaker 6>like an albatross around my neck. Since his death in

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<v Speaker 6>two thousand and eighteen or nineteen when it was I

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<v Speaker 6>feel a tremendous sense of regret, not only that I

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<v Speaker 6>met him in the first place, but I continued the association.

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<v Speaker 5>Despite those comments on the Harry Cole Saves the West podcast,

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<v Speaker 5>the UK's Prime Minister Keir Starmer now faces growing calls

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<v Speaker 5>to sack Mandelson as ambassador to the US. Conservative opposition

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<v Speaker 5>leader Kemmy Baiden Not called the situation a disgrace in London.

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<v Speaker 5>Chris Pitt Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>In other news, Bloomberg understands Poland has asked NATO allies

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<v Speaker 2>for more air defense systems after shooting down Russian drones

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<v Speaker 2>that crossed its border yesterday. WARSAW has invoked Article four

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<v Speaker 2>of the alliance's treaty, triggering consultations that could lead to

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<v Speaker 2>coordinated action. Polish Foreign Minister Vardislaw Sikowski says they need

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<v Speaker 2>patriot missiles and new technology to protect their skies.

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<v Speaker 1>We need to.

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<v Speaker 7>Create what ursula forman lane called today in the European

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<v Speaker 7>Parliament at her annual State of the Union address a

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<v Speaker 7>drone war. This is a threat not only to Poland,

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<v Speaker 7>This new technology of the mass use of drones is

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<v Speaker 7>a threat to all of the EU and nature and

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<v Speaker 7>mini to.

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<v Speaker 8>Face it together.

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<v Speaker 2>The Polish Foreign Minnesota was speaking as the country's Prime Minister,

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<v Speaker 2>Donald Tusk said on social media that Poland has received

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<v Speaker 2>proposals of concrete support from allies. Polish and Dutch jets

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<v Speaker 2>were scrambled in the early hours to shoot down Russian

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<v Speaker 2>drones yesterday, nineteen A space violations were registered.

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<v Speaker 3>Mexico was planning to impose tariffs of up to fifty

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<v Speaker 3>percent on cars and other products made by China and

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<v Speaker 3>several Asian exporters. The levees would apply to thousands of categories,

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<v Speaker 3>from auto parts to steal to furniture, and would affect

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<v Speaker 3>most effect countries with which Mexico has no trade deal.

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<v Speaker 3>The Mexican Economy Minister Marcelo Erbrard described the proposed duties

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<v Speaker 3>as part of efforts to protect jobs and industry. It's

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<v Speaker 3>a move that would more closely align Mexico with US protectionism.

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<v Speaker 3>As President Claudia Scheinbeun prepares for talks over at North

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<v Speaker 3>America's free trade deal.

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<v Speaker 2>The CEO of City Group, Jane Fraser, says she's surprised

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<v Speaker 2>by the resilience of the US economy mid a constantly

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<v Speaker 2>evolving macroeconomic landscape. Speaking to Bloomberg, she said businesses now

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<v Speaker 2>have more clarity on tax policy, on tariffs and deregulation.

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<v Speaker 1>One is always surprised by the upside and the resiliency

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<v Speaker 1>of the US.

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<v Speaker 8>So let's look at what's gone on.

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<v Speaker 1>Is you've got to look at the collective impact of

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<v Speaker 1>the tax policy, what's been happening with tariffs and indeed

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<v Speaker 1>the increasing deregulation that we're seeing, and they work together

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<v Speaker 1>as a package. I think the most important piece for

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<v Speaker 1>a corporate clarity.

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<v Speaker 8>We hate uncertainty, weight clarity.

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<v Speaker 1>And our client base now is really starting to act

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<v Speaker 1>with more confidence.

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<v Speaker 2>Jane Fraser's position, though, contasts with that of UBS's CEO

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<v Speaker 2>sgy Or Motty. He's told Bloomberg the impact of global

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<v Speaker 2>tariffs on the US economy remains unclear.

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<v Speaker 6>The true show on taris will be seen on consumers

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<v Speaker 6>in the US.

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<v Speaker 5>We will need to see exactly if there is any inflationary.

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<v Speaker 8>Aspect of tarift and is.

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<v Speaker 3>That still unclear at this point I think is unclear.

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<v Speaker 2>So the comments from two of the world's most prominent

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<v Speaker 2>bank CEOs comes ahead of today's USCPI data, which is

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<v Speaker 2>expected to show a zero point three percent month or

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<v Speaker 2>month price rise. Investors have fully priced in a quarter

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<v Speaker 2>point rate cards at the Federal Reserves meeting next week.

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<v Speaker 3>The European Central Bank, meanwhile, has expected to leave interest

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<v Speaker 3>rates unchanged that its decision today, as economists believe policymakers

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<v Speaker 3>are finished with cuts for now. Bloomberg's Micalcobala reports all.

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<v Speaker 9>Fifty nine economists in Bloomberg survey predict the ECB will

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<v Speaker 9>hold its deposit rate at two percent today. They're also

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<v Speaker 9>expecting that fresh quarterly projections from the central Bank should

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<v Speaker 9>calm fears that inflation could sink below the banks two

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<v Speaker 9>percent target for too long. Most ECB officials are said

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<v Speaker 9>to be happy with the current monetary policy stands. Prices

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<v Speaker 9>are deemed to meet the target, and the Euro Area

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<v Speaker 9>economy appears Brazil even as Donald Trump's taris takehold and

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<v Speaker 9>France wrestles with political turmoil in Brussels.

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<v Speaker 8>Michael Kobola Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Those are top storys for you this morning. Looking at

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<v Speaker 2>the market, so eupins dogs are up about a quarter

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<v Speaker 2>of one percent, fifty one hundred up by half of

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<v Speaker 2>one percent, and still futures for the US market open

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<v Speaker 2>s and P five hundred futures are barely about a

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<v Speaker 2>tenth of one percent. So it does seem that markets

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<v Speaker 2>are holding their breath awaiting the USCPI data.

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<v Speaker 8>Also the ECB decision.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, maybe not this month, the most important month

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<v Speaker 2>perhaps December, when we're also expecting we are expecting a

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<v Speaker 2>rate cart markets, that is from the ECB. In terms

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<v Speaker 2>of the euro, we trade at one sixteen ninety one,

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<v Speaker 2>so slightly weaker for the euro against the stronger dollar.

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<v Speaker 2>Gold is down three tens. Oil prices are steady, and

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<v Speaker 2>in the bond markets, ten year US treasury yields trading

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<v Speaker 2>a four.

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<v Speaker 8>Spot zero five.

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<v Speaker 2>Germany yields had two sixty six, up about a basis point.

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<v Speaker 3>Stephen the Karlender the key market story of course, that

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<v Speaker 3>dry things yesterday, and I'm watching shares take higher and

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<v Speaker 3>pre market trading on Wall Street against today is oracle.

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<v Speaker 3>So the software companies results are not beat forecast. Push

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<v Speaker 3>shares thirty six percent hire yesterday. They're up about another

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<v Speaker 3>one point seven percent in pre market today. So yesterday

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<v Speaker 3>we saw eighty nine billion dollars being added to the

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<v Speaker 3>fortune of co founder and chairman Larry Allison, the biggest

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<v Speaker 3>ever one day increase records on Bloomberg's Billionaires Index. Push

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<v Speaker 3>Larry Elson, pastyln Mosque on the index as well, made

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<v Speaker 3>in the world's richest person for a short time anyway,

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<v Speaker 3>just a casual three hundred and eighty three billion dollars

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<v Speaker 3>now that Larry Allison is worth.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, absolutely what you can read more about that on

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<v Speaker 2>the terminal and also really about what it means for valuations.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg's Shirley Ren writing about this what is fair value

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<v Speaker 2>for a tech company? Now? She says that the question's

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<v Speaker 2>no longer got really good answers because os ficial intelligence

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<v Speaker 2>has upended so much. I mean, that's the story you're

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<v Speaker 2>always on the watch for, how artificial intelligence is rapidly

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<v Speaker 2>changing business and markets.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, Well, in a moment, we're going to bring you

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<v Speaker 3>more on our exclusive reporting regarding the emails between Peter Mandelson.

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<v Speaker 8>And Jeffrey Epstein.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus we'll be discussing the issues of European Security. Poland

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<v Speaker 3>now convening a meeting of the UN Security Council to

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<v Speaker 3>address the Russian encursion of drones into its territory yesterday.

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<v Speaker 3>But I want to turn back to our top story

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<v Speaker 3>this morning, first and the shooting of American political activist

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<v Speaker 3>Charlie Kirk in Utah. Our reporter Tiwa Adebayo has been

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<v Speaker 3>following this story for US this morning. Tiwa, what do

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<v Speaker 3>we know now about what happened?

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<v Speaker 10>Kirk was at Utah Valley University as part of his

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<v Speaker 10>political advocacy group Turning Point in Usay's American comeback tours,

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<v Speaker 10>it's been dubbed, and he was taking part in an

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<v Speaker 10>event entitled Proved Me Wrong, where the audience attempts to

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<v Speaker 10>sort of stump the pundit. It's something he's widely known

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<v Speaker 10>for online. And at that event where the shooting took place,

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<v Speaker 10>there was more than three thousand people present, according to

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<v Speaker 10>the university police chief.

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<v Speaker 8>They also had put on security.

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<v Speaker 10>There were six local police officers alongside Kirk's own security detail.

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<v Speaker 10>But just twenty minutes after that event started, authorities say

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<v Speaker 10>a single shot was fired at Kirk from a building

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<v Speaker 10>about two hundred yards away. He had actually just begun

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<v Speaker 10>answering a question on the number of mass shooters in

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<v Speaker 10>America over the last decade, and after the shooting, he

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<v Speaker 10>was driven to a local hospital where he later died

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<v Speaker 10>according to police. So far we know that CCTV from

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<v Speaker 10>the event does show a person dressed in dark clothing,

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<v Speaker 10>which is believed to be the suspect, and the FBI

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<v Speaker 10>director Cashpitel said on social media that a person of

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<v Speaker 10>interest was taken into custody and then later released, so

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<v Speaker 10>that investigation is still underway in Utah.

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<v Speaker 2>Tell us about Charlie Kirk and why he was so

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<v Speaker 2>influential and why he might have been targeted well.

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<v Speaker 8>Charlie Kirk was perhaps best known for.

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<v Speaker 10>His work as executive director of Turning Pount USA. He

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<v Speaker 10>founded that group in twenty twelve and it was funded

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<v Speaker 10>by powerful conservatives. But really the hallmark of his work

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<v Speaker 10>was youth engagement and that took him to university campuses

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<v Speaker 10>around the world. We mentioned earlier that trademark proved me

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<v Speaker 10>wrong event Those debates often went viral on social media

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<v Speaker 10>and really were a big part of his notoriety and fame.

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<v Speaker 10>Just in May this year, he took part in a

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<v Speaker 10>particularly important debates in the University of Cambridge's Union Society,

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<v Speaker 10>which amassed millions of views on YouTube. He was known

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<v Speaker 10>at times for controversial politics and statements, including criticism of

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<v Speaker 10>Martin Luther King and other heavily questioned claims, but his

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<v Speaker 10>work in politics started well before Turning Points Foundation. He

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<v Speaker 10>began the advocacy and the involvement in politics really in

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<v Speaker 10>high school. Notably, he wrote a now famous essay for

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<v Speaker 10>Breitbart News about liberal bias and economic textbooks, and that

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<v Speaker 10>in him a lot of media attention. He was a

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<v Speaker 10>regular on channels like Fox Business as well as taking

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<v Speaker 10>part in speaking engagements around the country. But that theme

0:13:10.559 --> 0:13:14.840
<v Speaker 10>of what he really regarded as exposing and correcting liberal

0:13:14.880 --> 0:13:19.640
<v Speaker 10>biases continued throughout his career. Definitely with Turning Point USA

0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:24.280
<v Speaker 10>that welcomed conservative students who themselves were eager to prove

0:13:24.360 --> 0:13:29.360
<v Speaker 10>these liberal biases on college campuses, the organization grew to

0:13:29.559 --> 0:13:32.760
<v Speaker 10>an enormous size. It had more than eight hundred college

0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:36.280
<v Speaker 10>chapters according to its website, and actually in twenty twenty four,

0:13:36.360 --> 0:13:39.880
<v Speaker 10>their tax filings say they grossed nearly eighty five million

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:43.760
<v Speaker 10>dollars in revenue, but certainly in the last few years.

0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:47.280
<v Speaker 10>He was instrumental in the MAGA movement and really a

0:13:47.360 --> 0:13:52.280
<v Speaker 10>very valuable ally to President Trump. We saw the extent

0:13:52.400 --> 0:13:56.319
<v Speaker 10>of that valued relationship in a really lengthy video posted

0:13:56.360 --> 0:14:00.400
<v Speaker 10>by the President eulogizing him on social media. But in

0:14:00.480 --> 0:14:03.480
<v Speaker 10>terms of the reasons for perhaps the targeting, we don't

0:14:03.840 --> 0:14:07.320
<v Speaker 10>really know anything about the motivations behind this specific crime,

0:14:07.840 --> 0:14:11.240
<v Speaker 10>but we've had from the Utah Governor Spencer Cox, who

0:14:11.280 --> 0:14:15.520
<v Speaker 10>has described it as a political assassination, and others are

0:14:15.559 --> 0:14:18.680
<v Speaker 10>coming to the same conclusion on social media today.

0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:21.800
<v Speaker 3>Okay, t, thank you very much. That's our reporter too,

0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:23.760
<v Speaker 3>had a bio there and we heard a little bit

0:14:23.800 --> 0:14:26.720
<v Speaker 3>of President Trump's reaction to that killing earlier, and there's

0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:28.680
<v Speaker 3>also been condemnation of the killing from the likes of

0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:31.640
<v Speaker 3>Joe Biden and Barack Obama as well have offered their

0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:36.680
<v Speaker 3>condolences to Charlie Kirk's family. Stay with us. More from

0:14:36.720 --> 0:14:39.360
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Daybreak Europe coming up after this.

0:14:40.600 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 8>Now to politics, who are in the UK.

0:14:42.680 --> 0:14:46.120
<v Speaker 2>The emails between Peter Mandelson, the British ambassador to the

0:14:46.240 --> 0:14:49.520
<v Speaker 2>United States, and the disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein that have

0:14:49.600 --> 0:14:53.360
<v Speaker 2>been seen by Bloomberg News interactions between twenty five and

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:57.400
<v Speaker 2>twenty twen, which reveal new details about their relationship. Our

0:14:57.400 --> 0:15:00.560
<v Speaker 2>fun As reporter Harry Wilson joins us Now for more.

0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 2>It's interesting because Lord Manderson Peter Manderson a referenced the

0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:09.280
<v Speaker 2>fact in recent TV interviews and commentaries that maybe more

0:15:09.360 --> 0:15:13.200
<v Speaker 2>might emerge. What do we know about what has been

0:15:13.240 --> 0:15:16.040
<v Speaker 2>said in these emails and what it reveals about their relationship?

0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:20.120
<v Speaker 11>Well, the emails are really an extraordinary insights into the

0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:23.760
<v Speaker 11>relationship between Peter Manderson and Jeffrey Epstein. I think what

0:15:23.800 --> 0:15:26.640
<v Speaker 11>you see is just the depth of their friendship. The

0:15:26.680 --> 0:15:30.920
<v Speaker 11>fact that Manderson was so supportive seemingly to Epstein throughout

0:15:30.960 --> 0:15:35.000
<v Speaker 11>what is now obviously an incredibly controversial period in time.

0:15:35.440 --> 0:15:38.760
<v Speaker 11>And I think it shows that Manderson it wasn't just supportive,

0:15:38.800 --> 0:15:40.600
<v Speaker 11>he was an active, I guess, sort of helper in

0:15:40.640 --> 0:15:41.880
<v Speaker 11>some ways of Epstein.

0:15:42.440 --> 0:15:45.640
<v Speaker 3>These emails days from fifteen years ago. What do their

0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:49.320
<v Speaker 3>publication now mean for Peter Mandelson and his current role.

0:15:49.800 --> 0:15:52.280
<v Speaker 11>It remains to be seen. He's obviously under an enormous

0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:55.280
<v Speaker 11>amount of pressure. The Prime Minister kissed Arma is under

0:15:55.400 --> 0:15:58.880
<v Speaker 11>enormous pressure to react to this. There's countless cause now

0:15:58.960 --> 0:16:01.720
<v Speaker 11>for Manderlsson to be removed from his post. I can't

0:16:01.760 --> 0:16:04.400
<v Speaker 11>believe obviously that these emails will do anything to improve

0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:06.480
<v Speaker 11>his situation. And I think there must be a clock

0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:09.440
<v Speaker 11>ticking now on when the government reacts to it.

0:16:09.720 --> 0:16:14.000
<v Speaker 2>And it's the question around judgment, isn't it. And Mandelson

0:16:14.080 --> 0:16:17.200
<v Speaker 2>is obviously a well known political figure in the UK,

0:16:17.400 --> 0:16:19.880
<v Speaker 2>instrumental in Tony Blair's government, but now we have a

0:16:19.960 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 2>labor government in power and he is US ambassador all

0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:28.200
<v Speaker 2>the more important. I mean he's a hugely well known figure.

0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:31.400
<v Speaker 2>What has he said about this? In response?

0:16:32.000 --> 0:16:34.400
<v Speaker 11>He's kept up a line which he's had actually really

0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:36.720
<v Speaker 11>for many years, which is that he very much regrets

0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:39.520
<v Speaker 11>his association with Epstein. He says, you know, this is

0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:42.840
<v Speaker 11>association with him went on far too long. And frankly,

0:16:43.000 --> 0:16:46.040
<v Speaker 11>this use of this word association is really quite ridiculous.

0:16:46.080 --> 0:16:47.640
<v Speaker 11>I mean, it was a friendship that they had, It

0:16:47.760 --> 0:16:50.440
<v Speaker 11>wasn't an association. That's just some mediam mouth words that

0:16:50.600 --> 0:16:52.920
<v Speaker 11>he chooses to use. What we're seeing here is I

0:16:52.920 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 11>think a slow I'm picking of a story that he

0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:58.680
<v Speaker 11>has told about a friendship which he regrets, but which

0:16:58.720 --> 0:17:00.560
<v Speaker 11>we see now was incredibly deep.

0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:02.560
<v Speaker 2>And I suppose what does it mean for government? That's

0:17:02.560 --> 0:17:06.080
<v Speaker 2>the other issue. How important is it when Mandelsohn is

0:17:06.080 --> 0:17:10.400
<v Speaker 2>meant to be representing the UK in the US. This

0:17:10.520 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 2>is a very difficult position for the Prime Minister, surely

0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:15.880
<v Speaker 2>Kistarma to be. So what do you think is going

0:17:15.920 --> 0:17:18.960
<v Speaker 2>to be the balance and the discussions that are being

0:17:19.040 --> 0:17:22.040
<v Speaker 2>had maybe behind closed doors in government on this point.

0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:24.760
<v Speaker 11>I think this is probably epically bad timing for the government.

0:17:24.880 --> 0:17:27.600
<v Speaker 11>Next week we have Trump flying into the UK for

0:17:27.680 --> 0:17:31.040
<v Speaker 11>his state visit and to have the ambassador to Washington

0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:34.879
<v Speaker 11>embroiled in a Epstein scandal, which is obviously for the

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:41.880
<v Speaker 11>Trump administration a major sort of exposed nerve. So it's

0:17:41.920 --> 0:17:45.000
<v Speaker 11>really hard to think of a worse situation for them

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:47.920
<v Speaker 11>at the time, and this must be hugely unwelcome.

0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:51.600
<v Speaker 3>Harry, This series of emails has a lot of prosess

0:17:51.600 --> 0:17:53.439
<v Speaker 3>a lot of questions as well, with a lot of

0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:55.680
<v Speaker 3>factors unknown in them as well. Where do you see

0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:58.200
<v Speaker 3>this story going from here? Are there further questions that

0:17:58.240 --> 0:17:59.840
<v Speaker 3>are going to have to be answered about the content

0:17:59.880 --> 0:18:01.720
<v Speaker 3>of There.

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:03.160
<v Speaker 11>Are going to be firm questions. I think it's people

0:18:03.200 --> 0:18:05.760
<v Speaker 11>will want to know exactly what level of support was

0:18:05.800 --> 0:18:11.360
<v Speaker 11>Mandelson providing to Epstein during his investigation and later incarceration

0:18:11.560 --> 0:18:13.960
<v Speaker 11>for procuring sex from a minor. I mean, these were

0:18:14.400 --> 0:18:18.159
<v Speaker 11>exceedingly serious charges and to say, now, well he was

0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:19.720
<v Speaker 11>lied to and this sort of thing. But he's you know,

0:18:19.760 --> 0:18:22.320
<v Speaker 11>he's a grown man, he's an educated man. I mean

0:18:22.480 --> 0:18:23.400
<v Speaker 11>he should have known better.

0:18:23.640 --> 0:18:25.200
<v Speaker 8>Harry, thank you so much for being with us.

0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:28.359
<v Speaker 2>The details of this story are in a long read

0:18:28.560 --> 0:18:31.720
<v Speaker 2>and I would say to our listeners to have a

0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:33.959
<v Speaker 2>look at it. UKM Bassat told Epstein, I think the

0:18:34.000 --> 0:18:37.240
<v Speaker 2>World of View emails reveal. So this is a number

0:18:37.240 --> 0:18:39.720
<v Speaker 2>of Blimberg reporters, including Harry Wilson, that you just heard

0:18:39.760 --> 0:18:42.760
<v Speaker 2>there on these important revelations really around the emails and

0:18:42.800 --> 0:18:48.040
<v Speaker 2>the content of the correspondence between Mandelson and Jeffrey Epstein

0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:50.720
<v Speaker 2>are dating back to the two thousand. So thanks to

0:18:50.880 --> 0:18:53.399
<v Speaker 2>our finance reporter Harry Wilson, what to.

0:18:53.400 --> 0:18:55.720
<v Speaker 3>Worth and he is now. Poland's Foreign ministry says that

0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:58.639
<v Speaker 3>UN Security Council will hold a meeting to discuss the

0:18:58.760 --> 0:19:02.280
<v Speaker 3>encouragement by Russian Joe into its airspace yesterday. The country's

0:19:02.280 --> 0:19:05.560
<v Speaker 3>already saw consultations with NATO allies, which could lead to

0:19:05.600 --> 0:19:09.280
<v Speaker 3>a joint response. Bloomberg Opinion columnist Mark Champion joins us.

0:19:09.320 --> 0:19:11.919
<v Speaker 3>Now for more, Mark, you've been writing about this drone

0:19:12.000 --> 0:19:15.080
<v Speaker 3>encouraging for Bloomberg Opinion. What are the I suppose, key

0:19:15.080 --> 0:19:17.359
<v Speaker 3>things that we should be focusing on when thinking about

0:19:17.359 --> 0:19:18.480
<v Speaker 3>the significance of.

0:19:18.400 --> 0:19:21.200
<v Speaker 8>This, Yes, well, I think.

0:19:22.720 --> 0:19:26.399
<v Speaker 12>Less perhaps what is done at the UN Security Council,

0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:30.200
<v Speaker 12>which will be you know, given that Russia sits there

0:19:30.280 --> 0:19:34.240
<v Speaker 12>has a veto, it will be you know, interesting theater.

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:39.600
<v Speaker 12>There will be plenty of fireworks and you know, diplomatically,

0:19:39.680 --> 0:19:41.119
<v Speaker 12>you know, there'll be a lot of focus on it.

0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:46.960
<v Speaker 12>But ultimately, this was a military operation and despite all

0:19:47.720 --> 0:19:52.600
<v Speaker 12>you know Russian not denials but obfiscations, it's clearly a

0:19:52.680 --> 0:19:56.360
<v Speaker 12>deliberate attempt from Russia at a time when they are

0:19:56.359 --> 0:19:59.520
<v Speaker 12>conducting military exercises in Bulorus right over the border with

0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:06.560
<v Speaker 12>Poland to test NATO air defenses. And that is really

0:20:06.640 --> 0:20:10.240
<v Speaker 12>where the focus should be. And you know, what we

0:20:10.359 --> 0:20:14.640
<v Speaker 12>know so far is that NATA really struggled. These were

0:20:14.760 --> 0:20:18.560
<v Speaker 12>very very cheap drones. They're decoy drones as far as

0:20:18.560 --> 0:20:21.959
<v Speaker 12>we know, you know, none of them were armed, and

0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:26.160
<v Speaker 12>they're made of polystyrene and plywood. They cost about ten

0:20:26.240 --> 0:20:31.600
<v Speaker 12>thousand dollars a piece to make from Chinese kits. And

0:20:32.280 --> 0:20:34.600
<v Speaker 12>you know what they're getting shot down with by the

0:20:34.680 --> 0:20:38.639
<v Speaker 12>F sixteens and F thirty fives that were scrambled. You know,

0:20:38.680 --> 0:20:41.360
<v Speaker 12>the air to air missiles that those things use, they

0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:44.080
<v Speaker 12>cost anywhere from about four hundred thousand to two million

0:20:44.119 --> 0:20:47.679
<v Speaker 12>dollars a piece. And if they you know, apparently the

0:20:47.720 --> 0:20:51.880
<v Speaker 12>Poles are also mobilized patriots, those missiles cost about four

0:20:51.880 --> 0:20:55.560
<v Speaker 12>million dollars a piece. So they shot down maybe four

0:20:55.600 --> 0:20:58.000
<v Speaker 12>of the twenty or so. We don't know all the

0:20:58.040 --> 0:21:02.600
<v Speaker 12>details yet, and you know, whether they just couldn't shoot

0:21:02.600 --> 0:21:04.960
<v Speaker 12>the rest down or they realized that they were decoys

0:21:05.000 --> 0:21:07.879
<v Speaker 12>and that they were wasting huge sums of money bringing

0:21:07.920 --> 0:21:10.639
<v Speaker 12>them down, we don't know. But Putin will have learned

0:21:10.720 --> 0:21:14.360
<v Speaker 12>a good deal. And the important thing to watch, I think,

0:21:14.560 --> 0:21:18.320
<v Speaker 12>is that you know, what does NATO learn, And it's

0:21:18.359 --> 0:21:21.200
<v Speaker 12>going to need to learn a lot from the Ukrainians

0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:23.679
<v Speaker 12>about how they are dealing with this threat, which is

0:21:24.119 --> 0:21:27.239
<v Speaker 12>very difficult for them too. The question is how do

0:21:27.280 --> 0:21:32.320
<v Speaker 12>you when a country can throw hundreds or up to a.

0:21:32.320 --> 0:21:34.000
<v Speaker 8>Thousand drones at you in a wave.

0:21:35.600 --> 0:21:36.520
<v Speaker 5>How do you deal with that?

0:21:36.880 --> 0:21:39.560
<v Speaker 2>Okay, alarm bells on the basis of what you say,

0:21:39.760 --> 0:21:43.679
<v Speaker 2>must be ringing loudly across Europe. And I just contrast

0:21:43.720 --> 0:21:46.560
<v Speaker 2>that with what the first Sea lot here in Britain

0:21:46.640 --> 0:21:51.399
<v Speaker 2>said this week about the DSi event. So this major

0:21:51.480 --> 0:21:56.600
<v Speaker 2>gathering of the defense industry, basically the arms industry in London,

0:21:57.040 --> 0:21:59.560
<v Speaker 2>and he's talking about my mission is to move the

0:21:59.640 --> 0:22:04.400
<v Speaker 2>Rule Navy to war fighting readiness over the next four years.

0:22:04.960 --> 0:22:09.040
<v Speaker 2>I mean, surely those sorts of statements that we're hearing about,

0:22:09.080 --> 0:22:12.400
<v Speaker 2>you know, the length of time, that's the worry. How

0:22:12.520 --> 0:22:16.040
<v Speaker 2>is Poland responding then to this? If they weren't able,

0:22:16.119 --> 0:22:19.679
<v Speaker 2>as you say, to shoot everything down, what's the Polish response?

0:22:19.760 --> 0:22:21.520
<v Speaker 12>Well, you know, in fairness to the polls, they are

0:22:21.560 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 12>the one native country that has responded, you know, with

0:22:26.080 --> 0:22:30.880
<v Speaker 12>urgency to the war in Ukraine. So they have massively

0:22:30.960 --> 0:22:35.440
<v Speaker 12>increased their defense spending and now are you know, probably

0:22:35.800 --> 0:22:41.920
<v Speaker 12>the second largest European military force after Turkey and Nata,

0:22:43.080 --> 0:22:47.560
<v Speaker 12>and so you know they have responded the UK. In

0:22:47.640 --> 0:22:52.080
<v Speaker 12>fairness to the UK also, it has a contract that

0:22:52.119 --> 0:22:55.960
<v Speaker 12>they're just rolling out as it happens to mass produce

0:22:56.040 --> 0:22:58.959
<v Speaker 12>interceptor drones with the Ukrainians.

0:22:59.000 --> 0:22:59.480
<v Speaker 8>These are the.

0:22:59.400 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 12>Things that you Ranians are turning to, you know, other small,

0:23:02.880 --> 0:23:07.160
<v Speaker 12>other cheap drones that are a bit faster than these

0:23:08.160 --> 0:23:12.400
<v Speaker 12>gerberas or the Ghiran drones, the shah heads, and they

0:23:12.560 --> 0:23:16.400
<v Speaker 12>chase them and fight and shoot them down. The thing

0:23:16.440 --> 0:23:20.439
<v Speaker 12>about this is that any solution is produced has to

0:23:20.480 --> 0:23:23.639
<v Speaker 12>be dynamic, because as soon as you produce something, the

0:23:23.720 --> 0:23:27.640
<v Speaker 12>Russians produce a counter and you then have to upgrade

0:23:27.680 --> 0:23:28.159
<v Speaker 12>what you have.

0:23:28.280 --> 0:23:29.120
<v Speaker 8>The Ukrainians are.

0:23:29.000 --> 0:23:31.119
<v Speaker 12>Doing this all the time, every day in the field.

0:23:31.119 --> 0:23:34.240
<v Speaker 12>They have direct lines of communication between the front lines

0:23:34.280 --> 0:23:37.000
<v Speaker 12>and the people who are making the drones, the counter

0:23:37.080 --> 0:23:40.399
<v Speaker 12>drones that ew, the electronic warfare equipment and so on,

0:23:41.160 --> 0:23:43.680
<v Speaker 12>always feeding back. And this is the kind of thing

0:23:43.720 --> 0:23:45.560
<v Speaker 12>that NATA is going to have to learn to do.

0:23:46.359 --> 0:23:49.040
<v Speaker 12>And I think what they will be, you know, are

0:23:49.480 --> 0:23:53.160
<v Speaker 12>beginning to understand is the only way that they can

0:23:53.320 --> 0:23:56.280
<v Speaker 12>actually prepare a defense for themselves is to get more

0:23:56.320 --> 0:24:03.640
<v Speaker 12>involved with the Ukrainians in in how they are manufacturing

0:24:03.680 --> 0:24:06.160
<v Speaker 12>what they are manufacturing, which is what the UK has

0:24:06.200 --> 0:24:08.080
<v Speaker 12>begun to do, which I think is a good sign.

0:24:08.760 --> 0:24:10.800
<v Speaker 3>We heard Orislov underline yesterday in her Stage of the

0:24:10.840 --> 0:24:12.639
<v Speaker 3>Union speech talk about the need for a wall of

0:24:12.720 --> 0:24:15.840
<v Speaker 3>drones on the EU's eastern flank. I mean it's something

0:24:15.920 --> 0:24:17.960
<v Speaker 3>like that realistic given what you're saying.

0:24:18.880 --> 0:24:22.320
<v Speaker 12>Well, it is. I mean, it's what the Ukrainians are doing.

0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:24.920
<v Speaker 12>The Ukrainians are producing millions of drones a year at

0:24:24.920 --> 0:24:29.159
<v Speaker 12>this point, and it's what the rest of NATO has to,

0:24:29.480 --> 0:24:31.560
<v Speaker 12>you know, think again about doing.

0:24:31.600 --> 0:24:34.320
<v Speaker 8>If you think about what the Cold War looked.

0:24:34.040 --> 0:24:37.879
<v Speaker 12>Like with tens of thousands of battle tanks, you know,

0:24:38.000 --> 0:24:40.720
<v Speaker 12>lined up on either side, I think the way we

0:24:40.760 --> 0:24:43.800
<v Speaker 12>need to think about this is, you know, these are

0:24:44.800 --> 0:24:48.639
<v Speaker 12>in what is a new you know, cold War style

0:24:49.600 --> 0:24:54.440
<v Speaker 12>conflict is developing. You know, the drones are the new

0:24:54.800 --> 0:24:58.440
<v Speaker 12>battle tanks and we're going to have to mass produce them.

0:24:58.800 --> 0:25:01.359
<v Speaker 12>They are the things that are going to protect us

0:25:01.400 --> 0:25:04.680
<v Speaker 12>because the warfare now it can be done. It doesn't

0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:07.720
<v Speaker 12>have to be conducted on lat end. The Russians have

0:25:07.760 --> 0:25:13.720
<v Speaker 12>demonstrated that it's possible to conduct or at a long

0:25:13.840 --> 0:25:17.600
<v Speaker 12>range level and it doesn't matter if you're the UK

0:25:18.280 --> 0:25:19.840
<v Speaker 12>or if you're Poland, you can be hit.

0:25:20.840 --> 0:25:21.080
<v Speaker 8>Yeah.

0:25:21.119 --> 0:25:23.679
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely, So, you know I' imagining some of those lines

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:28.040
<v Speaker 2>of Jones. As you say, in terms of the US,

0:25:28.440 --> 0:25:33.400
<v Speaker 2>surely the US response around NATO, maybe even the US

0:25:33.560 --> 0:25:38.159
<v Speaker 2>president's response around this incursion into Poland is actually the

0:25:38.240 --> 0:25:40.320
<v Speaker 2>thing that everybody is waiting for him. And there were

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:44.960
<v Speaker 2>some statements out of the US military about NATO, but

0:25:45.119 --> 0:25:46.680
<v Speaker 2>is that what people are waiting for.

0:25:47.240 --> 0:25:51.960
<v Speaker 12>Absolutely what Trump does in the next few days is critical.

0:25:52.840 --> 0:25:55.879
<v Speaker 12>The initial response that he had on true social is

0:25:56.080 --> 0:26:00.760
<v Speaker 12>very worrying. Essentially what he said was, you know, what's

0:26:00.840 --> 0:26:06.040
<v Speaker 12>what's this with you know, Poland? Russia sending drones at Poland?

0:26:06.320 --> 0:26:07.000
<v Speaker 8>Here we go.

0:26:07.160 --> 0:26:10.280
<v Speaker 12>It's like, you know, he's a spectator in the stands

0:26:10.280 --> 0:26:14.480
<v Speaker 12>of an ice hockey game or something, and that is what,

0:26:15.160 --> 0:26:17.520
<v Speaker 12>you know, the rest of NATA will be very concerned about.

0:26:17.560 --> 0:26:22.000
<v Speaker 12>It's what Russia and China will be watching for. And

0:26:22.080 --> 0:26:25.560
<v Speaker 12>in fact, you know, not so long ago, Sky News

0:26:25.560 --> 0:26:30.440
<v Speaker 12>put together a very interesting wargame where in order to test,

0:26:30.520 --> 0:26:33.199
<v Speaker 12>you know, what what would happen if Russia was to

0:26:33.240 --> 0:26:36.600
<v Speaker 12>attack the UK and the kind of core element in

0:26:36.640 --> 0:26:41.760
<v Speaker 12>that wargame it became clear immediately was the first action

0:26:41.880 --> 0:26:43.480
<v Speaker 12>of the Prime Minister was to get on the phone

0:26:43.520 --> 0:26:46.840
<v Speaker 12>to Washington make sure that Washington took the UK side

0:26:47.119 --> 0:26:51.040
<v Speaker 12>and supported it fully. What actually happens in the wargame

0:26:51.880 --> 0:26:54.920
<v Speaker 12>is that you know, Washington doesn't. It's kind of a

0:26:54.960 --> 0:26:57.960
<v Speaker 12>bit of a spectator and it's just both sidei ism

0:26:58.840 --> 0:27:02.920
<v Speaker 12>and that leads to a recognition that the UK really

0:27:02.920 --> 0:27:06.320
<v Speaker 12>can't compete with Russia because he doesn't have US support.

0:27:06.400 --> 0:27:08.280
<v Speaker 12>This is the sort of thing that all of NATO

0:27:08.320 --> 0:27:09.640
<v Speaker 12>will be worrying about.

0:27:10.520 --> 0:27:13.240
<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the

0:27:13.320 --> 0:27:16.360
<v Speaker 3>stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond.

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:20.680
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0:27:28.680 --> 0:27:31.439
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0:27:38.200 --> 0:27:40.760
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0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:43.440
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0:27:43.480 --> 0:27:48.040
<v Speaker 3>day Break Europe.