1 00:00:14,160 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy to Tuesday? Welcome 2 00:00:16,400 --> 00:00:19,920 Speaker 1: into another well a post Christmas version of the Daily 3 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perelt. You guys can 4 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 1: follow me across all socials at Sports Doc Matt. And 5 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 1: obviously I am not in Las Vegas. I am in 6 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 1: my home of andover where my mom and stepdad live, 7 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: and this is where I'm gonna be for a couple 8 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:34,919 Speaker 1: of days. So you're going to see, like the hostage 9 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:37,480 Speaker 1: style video in probably the audio is going to sound 10 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 1: different and the podcast drop is going to come out 11 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 1: a little bit differently. Like I mentioned before, I'm not 12 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: gonna be the one posting. It is going to come 13 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 1: out later in the night because I'm gonna take this 14 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:48,520 Speaker 1: right around nine o'clock Pacific time if I can, sorry, 15 00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 1: nine o'clock Eastern time, six pm Pacific time. So we 16 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 1: still have the game going on right now between the 17 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 1: Niners and the Ravens. 18 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:57,880 Speaker 2: Hell of a game going on there. 19 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 1: So this is going to be through how the POD's 20 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 1: going to go this week, It's going to be a 21 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 1: little bit of a different world. I have one college 22 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: football bowl game to give you. I have one NBA 23 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:09,959 Speaker 1: play that I like for today, but because I'm not 24 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: going to be able to do as much research and 25 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 1: I'm not going to watch as many games and be 26 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: around to watch as many games, it's going to be 27 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 1: a smaller slate of games, a smaller card each day, 28 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:23,120 Speaker 1: which might be a good thing considering how cold I 29 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 1: have been, because we went oh and four and then 30 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,039 Speaker 1: oh and two. We've lost six straight bets here, although 31 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:30,559 Speaker 1: that was last week, so we started off this week 32 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: down a little over two units, so nothing we can't overcome. 33 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 1: The Sunday slate knocked out all the earnings. We had 34 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 1: to pretty much a flat week last week. I'll do 35 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:43,039 Speaker 1: a full recap of December at some point over the 36 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 1: next day or two. I'll tell you exactly what December 37 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: has looked like. I'm a little scared to do it. 38 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: It's going to be ugly. December has not been a 39 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: good month by any means. We've been given back at 40 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 1: least ten units, if not fifteen units. 41 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 2: So far here during the month. 42 00:01:57,400 --> 00:01:59,080 Speaker 1: It's been it's been tough, but we had them to 43 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 1: give okay, So that's part of the roller coaster ride 44 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 1: of this stuff. And if you're just joining the podcast 45 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: and just coming in Now you're like, this guy's awful. 46 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:08,640 Speaker 2: Don't blame you. You want to fade the bets, go 47 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 2: right ahead. 48 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 1: I put the parlays out on Christmas because it was 49 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:14,960 Speaker 1: for fun, and I do this from time to time 50 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 1: to remind you guys why parlaying is bad and why 51 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 1: straight bets are far better. Because the Nuggets, well they won, 52 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 1: but the Knicks beat the Bucks, so the NBA parlay died. 53 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 1: The Eagles covered, The Ravens are completely they're winning right 54 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 1: now in the second quarter, so they're going to cover sixteen. 55 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 1: So the third leg, the first leg of the three 56 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 1: leg money line, sorry three legs ten point teaser will 57 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 1: go down. That'll lose because of what happened with the 58 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 1: Chiefs losing to the Raiders. How did that happen? How 59 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 1: did I can't believe it? I mean, Patrick Mahomes. The 60 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:53,440 Speaker 1: number that I can't get over is the fact that 61 00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: since Taylor Swift has been showing up to Chief games, 62 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:59,080 Speaker 1: the chief are three and four. Now, it's got nothing 63 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: to do with Taylor. It's just a fun stat. It's 64 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: a funding to look at and be like, oh boy, 65 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 1: getting tough there. Mahomes on the road. Finally, in the postseason. 66 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 1: Let's see what the guy does on the road. We're 67 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 1: talking about the goat status and whatnot. Going to win 68 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: a road playoff game for the first time in your career. 69 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 1: Let's see if he can go ahead and do that. 70 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 1: Before I give you the picks for today, let's tell 71 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 1: you about our friends at Omaha Steaks. Here's the thing, guys, 72 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:27,240 Speaker 1: the promotion went so well before Christmas that they're going 73 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:29,919 Speaker 1: to keep it going here. 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Use the code Juice 91 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:31,479 Speaker 1: at checkout to say fifty percent off plus thirty dollars 92 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 1: off at checkout. 93 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:35,919 Speaker 2: All right, let's start in the NBA. 94 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 1: We've been sort of, you know, Rockets and the Pacers 95 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: have been kind of the two teams I've been watching closely, 96 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 1: and they play tonight. Rockets are at home, Pacers on 97 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 1: the road. Pacers are struggling. They're They're really struggling. The 98 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:54,360 Speaker 1: Pacers have now lost let's see one, two, three, four, five, 99 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: six of seven games straight out. The Pacers have lost 100 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: lost to Orlando at home, they lost to Memphis by thirteen. 101 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 1: On the road, they beat Charlotte, but then that snapped 102 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:09,280 Speaker 1: a four game losing streak, losing the Clippers, Tea, Wolves, Wizards, 103 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:13,599 Speaker 1: and Bucks last two games home against Dallas on the 104 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 1: road against New Orleans, both games won by Houston. Houston 105 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:21,159 Speaker 1: against the number at home this year is eleven two 106 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 1: and one. Indiana is six and eight on the road 107 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:30,039 Speaker 1: against their own conferences. The Houston Rockets have been crushing 108 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 1: the Western Conference. Not so much for the Indiana Pacers, 109 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 1: although those is a cross conference matchup. They're just twelve 110 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 1: and ten. I really like Houston here as long as 111 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:42,560 Speaker 1: the three point shots are falling. 112 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 2: They're one of the best teams in the NBA. At home. 113 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:48,159 Speaker 1: We backed them last time, they did not cover. They 114 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 1: actually lost the game outright. 115 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 2: We took them. Who do we take them against? 116 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 1: Now? That was against Dallas, right, and they won by 117 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 1: twenty six points. I can't remember that game. I think 118 00:05:57,040 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: that's right, but I think I'm pretty sure I was 119 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: on the mines eight and a half in that game. 120 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:01,839 Speaker 1: Was that part of the teasery thing? We teased it 121 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:04,480 Speaker 1: down right in that game and they killed Dallas one 122 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 1: my twenty six points. They're back at home here. Yes, 123 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:09,800 Speaker 1: they didn't cover against Atlanta. They lost the game by 124 00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: seven as three point favorites. Before that, maybe that was 125 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:14,599 Speaker 1: the game I was on, But before that, I mean 126 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: Memphis at home laying ten, one by thirteen, laying nine 127 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: against San Antonio that won by eleven. This is a 128 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 1: two and a half point number. This is probably because 129 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:27,600 Speaker 1: the books much like the Bucks and the Knicks. It's like, Okay, 130 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:31,280 Speaker 1: the Knicks were due to win. They lost thirteen consecutive 131 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:34,119 Speaker 1: games against the Bucks. The pros knew that the number 132 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 1: had to be lowsed three nixt won the game. Outright, 133 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 1: You could say this is the same thing, Matt. This 134 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:43,039 Speaker 1: is signaling, you know, take Indiana here, but Houston at 135 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 1: home laying two and a half. I'm taking the Rockets 136 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 1: one point one units down, Rockets minus one and a 137 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 1: half here in the NBA second bet guaranteed right Bowl 138 00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 1: Kansas versus. 139 00:06:57,400 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 2: U and LV. 140 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 1: I mean, look, I'm telegraphing this righten, betting on you un' 141 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:04,760 Speaker 1: v all year. They're ten and three ats. So much 142 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: of Bowl season is who wants to be there? Who 143 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 1: wants to be a part of this game? And UNLV 144 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 1: is playing in a Bowl game in the first time 145 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: in forever, and they're doing it in driving distance of Vegas. 146 00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 1: It's in Phoenix. Now, it's in the baseball stadium in Phoenix. 147 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 1: It's at the Diamondbacks and Ballpark, which is going to 148 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: be kind of wonky, but it's still a game in 149 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:28,720 Speaker 1: which we're going to see un LV playing in a 150 00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:31,080 Speaker 1: bowl game up against Kansas. Out of the big twelve 151 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 1: KU seven and five ats on the year, there were 152 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 1: just two and three, though away from home there were 153 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 1: five and two. At home, they were a much better 154 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 1: team in front of their home crowd. Although against Cincinnati 155 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,320 Speaker 1: in the last game of the regular season they won 156 00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 1: by thirty three, laying seven and a half points. They 157 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 1: were at home against Kansas State, catching seven, they lost 158 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 1: by four. 159 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:53,800 Speaker 2: They covered there. 160 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 1: They covered against Iowa State this year, they covered against 161 00:07:57,320 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 1: Oklahoma this year. I'm not going to debate that Kansas 162 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 1: is the better football team and that Kansas should win 163 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 1: this game. But at thirteen and a half points, DraftKings 164 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 1: has this. At thirteen and a half points, this is 165 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 1: too many points. I think UNLV is gonna hang here. 166 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 1: I think they'll be in this game. They're gonna lose, 167 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 1: but I think they lose the game by seven to 168 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:20,200 Speaker 1: ten points, and I'll take the thirteen and a half 169 00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 1: points here. It won't stun me if the Rebels win 170 00:08:23,840 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: this game. I'm just saying this. I think it's worth 171 00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:28,400 Speaker 1: the sprinkle to take U and LV just give and 172 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 1: Havel I don't think they're gonna win the game, but 173 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,680 Speaker 1: I think it's worth it, just on a flyer perspective 174 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 1: to say, all right, could the Rebels beat KU. Yes, 175 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 1: small sprinkle on the money line, But this has been 176 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 1: one of the best teams all year long against the number, 177 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 1: and they've just shown so much this year. They're such 178 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 1: a proud program right now to be able to represent 179 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 1: the Universe, the Unity campus in the wake of the 180 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:54,560 Speaker 1: shooting that happened on campus, It's gonna be a lot 181 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 1: of emotion in this football game. I just don't think 182 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 1: KAYU is gonna be able to match it. And I 183 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 1: think Kayu's got more talent, but I think UNLV just 184 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 1: simply wants to be at the bowl game more. I'm 185 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:06,160 Speaker 1: taking the Rebels plus thirteen and a half. If it 186 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:08,160 Speaker 1: gets to fourteen, I like it even more. You can 187 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 1: buy it up the fourteen if you want, but it's 188 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:13,599 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half at DraftKings UNLV plus thirteen and 189 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:17,679 Speaker 1: a half up against Kansas and the Phoenix Bowl guaranteed 190 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 1: rate Bowl, and you can also play the over. I'll 191 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 1: have a personal play on the over in this game. 192 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:24,560 Speaker 1: I mean UNF was eight and five this year to 193 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:28,760 Speaker 1: the over four and two. Away from home over KU 194 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:31,440 Speaker 1: was two and three, but that's because the KU numbers 195 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:35,720 Speaker 1: were gigantic this year, sixty three, sixty six and a half, 196 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 1: sixty four and a half, sixty and a half, sixty 197 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 1: and a half. We saw similar numbers, but like against 198 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 1: Boise in the last game in the Mountain West Conference 199 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 1: championship game, the total was sixty two and it went over, 200 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:50,560 Speaker 1: this total was sixty seven and a half. 201 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:52,079 Speaker 2: It opened up at sixty three and a half. 202 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 1: It's been bet all the way up to sixty seven 203 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:56,360 Speaker 1: and a half, and that's why I'm not going to 204 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 1: make it official. I will bet this, but I don't 205 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:01,560 Speaker 1: like it as much because there was a much better 206 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:03,720 Speaker 1: number earlier in a couple a couple of weeks ago, 207 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:06,040 Speaker 1: when this bowl game got announced, the first number to 208 00:10:06,080 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 1: bet the over was a much better number than this one. 209 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:11,640 Speaker 1: If you want to tease this, I don't recommend doing 210 00:10:11,679 --> 00:10:14,840 Speaker 1: same game teasers in college football or for bowl games, 211 00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:17,080 Speaker 1: but you want to a six point teaser. You can 212 00:10:17,160 --> 00:10:19,960 Speaker 1: pull the total down six seven and a half, down 213 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 1: to sixty one and a half, which is below the 214 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:25,439 Speaker 1: opening number, and then give UNLV nineteen and a half 215 00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:28,360 Speaker 1: points and say, Okay, just you know, don't get completely 216 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 1: blown out by Ku. That's one way of playing this 217 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 1: if you want to do it. But I'm just going 218 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:36,480 Speaker 1: to take Officially, I'm taking the thirteen and a half points, 219 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: but also I like the over six and a half 220 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:42,560 Speaker 1: points as well. All Right, two plays for us here 221 00:10:42,679 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 1: on a Tuesday. First Rockets minus two and a half 222 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 1: at home against Indiana. Second UNLV in their bowl game 223 00:10:51,160 --> 00:10:54,480 Speaker 1: against Kansas, and Phoenix plus thirteen and a half on 224 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:58,319 Speaker 1: the rebels. Hopefully Santa was good for you guys. Hopefully 225 00:10:58,360 --> 00:11:00,319 Speaker 1: you guys will keep listening, watching, and be a part 226 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: of this community. 227 00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:02,319 Speaker 2: My name is Matt Perolt. 228 00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:05,360 Speaker 1: Follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. Every 229 00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:07,599 Speaker 1: morning the Deal Juice podcast. I was being brought to 230 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 1: you by Omaha Steaks dot com