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Speaker 1: Good morning, everybody. Welcome into another edition of the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Podcast. Happy Saturday Morning, Happy college Football Saturday. My

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Speaker 1: name is Matt Parolt. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt Always This podcast on Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: Com that's being brought to you by bet MGM. So

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Speaker 1: I had a cool night last night, not really betting wise.

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Speaker 1: We went one in one, but it was fun because

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Speaker 1: Dave Serpan and I you guys know him as Sports

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Speaker 1: Book BK sorry sports BK con sig excuse me on Twitter,

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Speaker 1: Dave shap Pins, but on this podcast. But he and

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Speaker 1: I are now entered into the reboot of the Westgate

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Speaker 1: Super Contest, which is the second half of the year.

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Speaker 1: So it's five hundred bucks to enter, and we're on

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Speaker 1: the second half. Hem and I are joining up. So

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Speaker 1: now I'm in the circa with a partner. I'm in

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Speaker 1: the DraftKings contest with their own Dan Harris. Go check

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Speaker 1: out the DraftKings NFL, sorry, the Betting Pros NFL contest

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Speaker 1: on our DraftKings entry that's available right now on iTunes

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Speaker 1: and our YouTube channel with video, but Bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 1: as well. Go and find that in the NFL side

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Speaker 1: of things for us. But I'm in that. So I'm

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Speaker 1: in three tournaments now for the NFL. Let's see how

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Speaker 1: I do right, middle of the pack. Middle of the pack.

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Speaker 1: But Dave Shehaapan is such a brilliant dude. We sat

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Speaker 1: and talked sports gambling for three hours at the Westgate.

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Speaker 1: It was so great to be in a sportsbook for

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Speaker 1: starters but really cool stuff. And he and I were

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Speaker 1: just kind of kicking around the idea. He listens to

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice and he loves what we're building, he

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Speaker 1: loves the community. He just he thinks it's a really

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Speaker 1: cool idea. He loves the length of the podcast, and he,

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Speaker 1: he and I were kind of, you know, going like, okay,

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Speaker 1: what's next. Here's my question to you guys. So we

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Speaker 1: are posing to you guys. Would you guys wear Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice T shirts if I had them made? So, if

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Speaker 1: I had a Daily Juice, I don't know what I

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Speaker 1: would do. I would probably make a small batch to start,

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Speaker 1: like twenty T shirts or so, and then I'd wear

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Speaker 1: them around. But like Dave and I were kicking around ideas,

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Speaker 1: like every morning I hashtag Daily Juice with betting pros

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Speaker 1: on the back or something. I don't know, some creativeness.

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Speaker 1: I don't do T shirts. We've got people who do

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Speaker 1: T shirts. I'm sure you guys could design T shirts.

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Speaker 1: Maybe we'll have a design contest. I don't know. But

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Speaker 1: the question is if we had T shirts, would you

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Speaker 1: wear T shirts for the Daily Juice? Would that be

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Speaker 1: of all interest to you guys or is that a

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Speaker 1: stupid idea? So let us know. Let me know at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk, Matt, let me know on Twitter, DM me

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Speaker 1: or tell me on Twitter, Instagram. Same thing at Sports Talk, Matt,

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Speaker 1: let me know. So Dave's got a guy. We all

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Speaker 1: have guys in Vegas, but Dave's got a T shirt

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Speaker 1: guy here in Vegas. And I thought, you know what,

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to build this community. So he was like,

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Speaker 1: you know, we got to get the word out. We

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Speaker 1: gotta grow it. We gotta get people to wear some stuff.

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Speaker 1: And you know, he thought, what about T shirts. I

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Speaker 1: was like, hmm, interesting idea. So I thank Dave she

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Speaker 1: for that. So he and I are in the Westgate

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Speaker 1: Super Contest reboots. It is called our team is Bostonian.

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Speaker 1: In the book, I'm the Bostonian heats the book. That's

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Speaker 1: the name of the radio segment that he and I

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Speaker 1: have been doing for now about three years every Thursday

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Speaker 1: on my radio show where he and I go through

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Speaker 1: all my bets and he either books it he likes

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Speaker 1: it for the book, or he bets it he likes

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Speaker 1: it for me. So we're gonna take that segment and

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Speaker 1: create it into a Westgate contest. So it should be

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Speaker 1: fun here for us in the NFL. Remember the live

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Speaker 1: stream Sunday morning, eleven am Eastern eight am Pacific time

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Speaker 1: for all the plays and props and all the good

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Speaker 1: stuff on the YouTube channel for betting pros. Make sure

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Speaker 1: you're a subscriber to that. We get going tomorrow morning,

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Speaker 1: bright back and early for Week nine of the NFL.

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Speaker 1: I want to give you guys my teaser, but I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna tell you why I'm waiting here in just one second,

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Speaker 1: So I'll tell you why I'm waiting. I've got four

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Speaker 1: plays to three units going four plays. But first, bet

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Speaker 1: MGM in the NFL Cool Offer. We've been talking about

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Speaker 1: one dollar money line wager on either team. Use the

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Speaker 1: pro the promo code Juice one hundred for new users

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Speaker 1: and Tennessee. Juice one hundred use the promo code you

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Speaker 1: one team scores a touchdown on the game that you

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Speaker 1: bet on the money line one dollar on either side.

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Speaker 1: Visit betemgm dot com for terms of conditions. You must

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Speaker 1: be twenty one years or older. You must be physically

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Speaker 1: located in Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: Please get them responsibly. Gambling problem called one eight hundred

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Speaker 1: five to two two forty seven hundred in Colorado, one

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Speaker 1: hundred gambler in New Jersey, in West Virginia, or one

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Speaker 1: hundred and nine with it in Indiana. Okay, So here's

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Speaker 1: the two team teaser that I want to do. We

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Speaker 1: get to tease the Chiefs and the Ravens. I don't

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Speaker 1: want to touch it just yet, though, because I want

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Speaker 1: to see where it settles, because a part of me

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Speaker 1: may want to tease the Chargers game. So the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: That's my favorite play of the week is the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: On betting Pros's Instagram. They don't tag me on this okay,

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Speaker 1: but they've asked me my favorite play every single week.

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Speaker 1: I haven't missed yet. Okay, I haven't missed yet. I

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Speaker 1: am eight and oh by my count. Every time they

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Speaker 1: ask me what's the favorite bet? They do this graphic

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Speaker 1: on Instagram on the betting Pros Instagram page, and they

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Speaker 1: don't they don't ask me, or they don't tag me,

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Speaker 1: they just go ahead and post it. And I'm eight

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Speaker 1: to no. So I think I really like this Chargers

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Speaker 1: watch me. I'm gonna I'm gonna be wrong here, So

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Speaker 1: I bet the Raiders because now that I'm talking about

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Speaker 1: this and pointing this out, I'm gonna be wrong. But

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Speaker 1: I like the Chargers. So Chargers pick teased up to six,

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Speaker 1: very very attractive. Okay, it's extremely attractive. I'm just going

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Speaker 1: to hold off here because I've got three different I

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Speaker 1: like the Chargers at a pick, the Ravens at a pick,

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Speaker 1: and I like the uh teasing down the Casey Chiefs

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Speaker 1: in their game. So I haven't played it yet because

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Speaker 1: I'm just not there yet with any of the because

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Speaker 1: I need to see COVID cloth through the Ravens right right,

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Speaker 1: So it comes out that like the Ravens defense is

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Speaker 1: just completely decimated. They're down like eight starters. Right. Well,

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Speaker 1: then I'll pivot and I'll take the Chargers and I'll

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Speaker 1: chease the Chargers up. But the other side of it

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Speaker 1: is if things go wacky with weather for the KC Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: and if I'm a little concerned about Kansas City and

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Speaker 1: the fact that you know the race, I'm gonna say

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Speaker 1: the Panthers are gonna win the game. But Teddy Bridgewater

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Speaker 1: has been kind of like a cover machine. He's been

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Speaker 1: pretty good at covering I think eighteen and twenty eighteen

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Speaker 1: and two. I think it is after his last or

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Speaker 1: his last I think twenty games. So I like the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs to go ahead and cover. In that game, we're

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Speaker 1: taking the Chiefs Dan Harris and I took the Chiefs

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Speaker 1: to cover that ten and a half point line, so

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Speaker 1: I like the chio Chiefs to win big, So teasing

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Speaker 1: that down to four and a half, I like doing

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Speaker 1: that as well. I'm just waiting, okay, So those are

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Speaker 1: the three teams in some combination is going to be

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Speaker 1: the teaser for tomorrow, and I'll probably drop it when

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Speaker 1: I bet it tomorrow, when I feel comfortable. What I'm

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Speaker 1: waiting for is this one Chargers or the Ravens. I'm

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Speaker 1: waiting for it to get to one. If it gets

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Speaker 1: to plus one, we tease it to seven. I'm much

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Speaker 1: more comfortable and confident at seven and then six, so

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to get to the key number of seven

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Speaker 1: on that teaser. If both go to plus one, we'll

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Speaker 1: tease them both to seven. So Chargers plus seven, Ravens

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Speaker 1: plus seven. So I'm just waiting to see how much

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Speaker 1: line move we're gonna get. So that's why I'm waiting

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Speaker 1: before I announced the two team teaser. Just FYI on that,

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Speaker 1: all right. So here are the plays four units in play, sorry,

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Speaker 1: four picks with three units in play, so two full

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Speaker 1: units and two half units plays. All right, So let's

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Speaker 1: talk quickly about a game happening here in Las Vegas

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Speaker 1: that I tipped you guys off a little bit on.

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Speaker 1: I was tipped off about this game from a couple

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Speaker 1: different people. One person told me that they absolutely loved

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Speaker 1: this game, like really love this game. Another guy said, look,

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Speaker 1: this is a game you want to watch, you want

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Speaker 1: to look at because of the location change for New

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Speaker 1: Mexico against Hawaii. Now the line is sixteen that I

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Speaker 1: got it's rising a little bit, sixteen and a half

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Speaker 1: up to seventeen. I'm okay with this game. Here's the thing,

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Speaker 1: this game was supposed to have been played at New Mexico.

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Speaker 1: There is just a whole lot of craziness going on

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Speaker 1: in New Mexico. This game's being played at Samboyd Stadium.

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Speaker 1: No one's gonna be there. The weather is going to

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Speaker 1: be interesting. You think Vegas it's been nice tomorrow or today,

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Speaker 1: Saturday morning, it's not gonna be nice. Okay, it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be cold fifty five degrees or so. But I don't

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Speaker 1: think that matters because Hawaii already played at Wyoming, so

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Speaker 1: they've played in this altitude, They've played with this weather.

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Speaker 1: Hawaii's just stayed here, they haven't gone back, and New

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Speaker 1: Mexico's had their entire world being tossed up and having

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Speaker 1: to move around. And it's just it's very difficult to

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Speaker 1: play a football game like this, in particular against team

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Speaker 1: like Hawaii, who's pretty good. So this is a game

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Speaker 1: that was put on my radar screen by a couple

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Speaker 1: different people. I like it as well. I think this

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Speaker 1: is going to be a blowout. Hawaii's pretty good. I

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Speaker 1: know you could say matt Man the Wyoming game. They

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Speaker 1: were right there in the Wyoming game. This didn't execute,

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Speaker 1: and I think the score was nowhere near indicative of

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Speaker 1: what Hawaii has looked like. So to me, I think

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Speaker 1: Hawaii's a sleeping team just a little bit here. But

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Speaker 1: New Mexico's got so many problems with COVID nineteen, the

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Speaker 1: relocation and everything else happening in their hometown. I mean, think,

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Speaker 1: think about it, your college kid, you have to relocate

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Speaker 1: to go, how do you practice? Where are you practicing?

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Speaker 1: How do you get those those game reps in? And

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Speaker 1: now you're playing in a stadium that you're not really

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Speaker 1: familiar with against an opponent that they don't care. They're

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Speaker 1: playing on the road, so they weren't going to be

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Speaker 1: playing where they want to play anyway. This is a

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Speaker 1: bad situation here, for sure. You gotta like Hawaii here

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Speaker 1: laying sixteen, laying sixteen and a half up to seventeen,

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Speaker 1: Hawaii first play a full unit. Hawaii minus sixteen is

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Speaker 1: where I am for play number one, play number two

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Speaker 1: in the Big Ten. This is going to be an

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Speaker 1: interesting game between Iowa and Michigan State. I came close

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Speaker 1: to taking Iowa minus six because the money's come in

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Speaker 1: here on a Michigan State team that is a it's

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Speaker 1: a perfect by low or sell high spot here in

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Speaker 1: buy low spot for Iowa. So Iowa's not gotten off

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Speaker 1: to a good start at all, and their fans are

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Speaker 1: not happy at all. Michigan State just beat Michigan on

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Speaker 1: the road as twenty four and a half point underdogs. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this is like riding high and you know, coach s

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Speaker 1: Tucker's got everybody jumping up and down this But this

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Speaker 1: Michigan State team, I think it was fluky their offense.

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Speaker 1: Their offense is not that good. Their defense is pretty good,

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Speaker 1: but their offense is not that good. Even though they

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Speaker 1: did move the ball on Michigan's defense, which you know

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Speaker 1: is not very good. Iowa's defense is better than advertised. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's better than advertised. It's a frustration for me when

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Speaker 1: I look at Iowa this year because I think they're

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Speaker 1: a decent team. I really do. I think they're a

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Speaker 1: decent team, but they just haven't performed like it. The

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Speaker 1: total ones get in this game is forty seven. Watch

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Speaker 1: the weather, but I don't think either team's gonna score

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Speaker 1: all that much. I think this is gonna be a

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Speaker 1: typical Big Ten football game, like a seventeen to thirteen

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Speaker 1: type of game, just points coming at a complete premium.

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Speaker 1: I know taking unders in college football is really tough.

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Speaker 1: We had an over last night. But when it comes

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Speaker 1: to Michigan State, when it comes to Iowa, it's just

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Speaker 1: how these guys play. They don't play up tempo, they

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Speaker 1: don't go fast. They it's gonna grind it out. They

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Speaker 1: bang play sloberknocker type of football. Totals forty seven, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go with the under for Iowa here. I thought

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Speaker 1: about laying the six six and a half for Iowa.

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Speaker 1: I think Iowa does wind up winning that game, but

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Speaker 1: it may only be by six or maybe by three.

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Speaker 1: So didn't feel comfortable and confident and firing on that.

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Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna go ahead and take Iowa and

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Speaker 1: Michigan State to go under that total of forty seven points. Now,

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Speaker 1: before I talk about the next two games, which I

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Speaker 1: have half units on. I came real close to betting

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Speaker 1: Michigan on the on the road at Indiana. I really did.

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Speaker 1: I kind of got talked out of it by a

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Speaker 1: couple of people. Had an interview on my show talking

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Speaker 1: a bit about it, with somebody coming on and saying, Nah,

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Speaker 1: that's just not really gonna happen, because you can't trust

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Speaker 1: Indiana at home with their offense, good quarterback. You know

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Speaker 1: what is Michigan? How are they going to handle the

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Speaker 1: loss to Michigan State? Do they want to play? For

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Speaker 1: coach Hardball? Too many uncertainties, too many variables, And that's

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Speaker 1: one of the things that when it comes to handicapping games,

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Speaker 1: one of the things you're trying to avoid. You want

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Speaker 1: to eliminate variables. And Michigan on the road after their

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Speaker 1: loss at home to Michigan State is a monster variable.

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Speaker 1: So I get it. It's so I pushed off of it.

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Speaker 1: But if I was going to bet that game, I

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Speaker 1: would bet Michigan minus three. So here's why I'm splitting

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Speaker 1: up a half unit over these next two games. They're

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Speaker 1: the two most popular games of the day. I want

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Speaker 1: to have action on both games, but I'm not one

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Speaker 1: hundred percent confident on either side, right, So let's start

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Speaker 1: with Florida and Georgia. So Florida and Georgia is I

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Speaker 1: still call it the greatest outdoor cocktail party. Nobody else does,

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Speaker 1: But Florida's is coming off of a big win over Missouri.

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Speaker 1: They looked very, very good. Georgia's offense is a big

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Speaker 1: question mark. Florida has had COVID nineteen problems, but they

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Speaker 1: look like the better football team. But in this game,

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Speaker 1: this is the year for Georgia. If they lose this,

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Speaker 1: it's done. The quarterback problem is there. They've got too

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Speaker 1: many quarterbacks. If you don't if you don't have one

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Speaker 1: solid guy, you got two or three guys, you like,

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Speaker 1: you got problems. Georgia's defense is tremendous, but their offense

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Speaker 1: I just don't think is very good. On the flip side,

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Speaker 1: you got Kyle Trasku's in the running for the Heisman,

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Speaker 1: and you've got Pitts, who is the best tight end

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Speaker 1: in the game in college football. And I just think

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Speaker 1: that's a matchup that's gonna be a big problem for Georgia.

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Speaker 1: And I think Florida's got a good enough defense to

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Speaker 1: keep Georgia at bay. I don't think they'll do what

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Speaker 1: Bama did to them by blanking them, But I think

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Speaker 1: Florida is the right side. You're catching three points, got

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Speaker 1: a good chance for a push. If Georgia does wind

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Speaker 1: up winning the football game. But I'm just not totally

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Speaker 1: comfortable because it's a monster public play. Everyone's on Florida

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Speaker 1: at BETMGM, the number one bet and number three with money.

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Speaker 1: Yesterday on a Friday afternoon, number one ticket count was

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Speaker 1: on Florida. Number three money came in here on Florida.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's on the Gators. So that concerns me a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Here Again, the public wins, okay, so it's not like

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Speaker 1: you can't win as a public better, but that concerns me.

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Speaker 1: So that's why I'm going a half a unit here

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Speaker 1: on Florida and Georgia, and the other half a unit.

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Speaker 1: I'm turning around and I'm putting it on the biggest

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Speaker 1: game of the day, Clemson on the road at Notre Dame.

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Speaker 1: Number one. Clemson can ian book win this football game,

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Speaker 1: because that's the deal. And when you look at a

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Speaker 1: freshman quarterback going on the road for the first time,

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Speaker 1: the Irish defense is legit. All right. This is not

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Speaker 1: Boston College, no disrespect, but the Irish are at home

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Speaker 1: and they've got a legitimate defense. It's not Boston College

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Speaker 1: at Clemson. So DJ and the last name is so

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Speaker 1: not easy to say right, Ui Agile saying it once,

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Speaker 1: but that's his name. That kid is going to be

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Speaker 1: in for it. Here can he go and put up

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Speaker 1: big points on an Irish defense that is very, very stingy.

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Speaker 1: These two teams may play in the ACC title game,

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Speaker 1: all right. The Irish have to win one. If they

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Speaker 1: can't win this one, I don't see them winning when

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Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence is back. This is the game they have

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Speaker 1: to win. They have to run the football, they have

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Speaker 1: to throw the ball vertically. Boston College had a lot

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Speaker 1: of success throwing the ball vertically against Notre Dame. This

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Speaker 1: is the game that Brian Kelly has to win to

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Speaker 1: prove he can play with the big boys. If you

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Speaker 1: can't beat Clemson without Trevor Lawrence, when can you beat Clemson?

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Speaker 1: When can you beat one of these top tier programs

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Speaker 1: if you want Notre Dame to be there, He thinks

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Speaker 1: they're on the way right. Notre Dame historically as a

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Speaker 1: home dog under Brian Kelly, they've been very very good

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Speaker 1: at winning these games. Outright. A lot of people have

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Speaker 1: said this to me, including a guy ahead on my

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Speaker 1: radio show who works for one website covering the Irish

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Speaker 1: that look it's either you bet the Irish to win

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Speaker 1: or you bet Clemson to win. You just forget about

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Speaker 1: the point total, forget about the spread. Just one way

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Speaker 1: or the other. It's plus one seventy five on the Irish.

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Speaker 1: I don't hate that. I may sprinkle a little bit

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Speaker 1: on that on the Irish money line at plus one

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Speaker 1: seventy five. But for the purposes of this podcast and

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Speaker 1: for the picks, for the record, I'm gonna take the

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Speaker 1: five and a half points for a half a unit.

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame at home catching points against Clemson. They very

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Speaker 1: well could win the game. Maybe they lose by a

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Speaker 1: field goal, but probably not. Either Clemson wins this game

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Speaker 1: going away, or the Irish are in it all the

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Speaker 1: way to the end and they kick a game winning

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Speaker 1: field goal and they win this game. I think there's

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Speaker 1: a real good shot the Irish win this game, and

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Speaker 1: then Clemson can just kind of say, look, we didn't

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Speaker 1: have Trevor Lawrence. They play in the ACC Championship game,

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Speaker 1: Lawrence and company. They come back and they beat the

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Speaker 1: Irish on our neutral sites, and then they're in the playoffs. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So that's kind of how it has to be in

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Speaker 1: order for the Irish to get into the playoffs, they've

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Speaker 1: got to beat Clemson twice. That's not going to be

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Speaker 1: easy to do by any means. But I will take

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Speaker 1: the five and a half points here with the Irish

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame half of units at plus five and a half,

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Speaker 1: so four plays three units here on a Saturday. One.

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Speaker 1: We're taking Hawaii minus sixteen on our neutral site against

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Speaker 1: New Mexico, which is still so incredibly crazy to stop

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Speaker 1: and think about this game being played here in Las Vegas,

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Speaker 1: not being played in New Mexico because of the travel

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Speaker 1: concerns and the COVID nineteen concerns. So we'll see how

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Speaker 1: that football game plays out. But Hawaii minus sixteen, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna lay that and hopefully that the Rainbow Warriors can

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Speaker 1: play really well here for us and get a big victory.

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Speaker 1: Dexcited to watch them and see what they're gonna look like.

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Speaker 1: And then we're gonna go with Iowa on the under

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Speaker 1: forty seven Iowa forty seven under against Michigan State at

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Speaker 1: one unit, half a unit on Florida plus three, half

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Speaker 1: a unit on Notre Dame plus five and a half

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Speaker 1: for our plays here on a Saturday. Remember, on the

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Speaker 1: live stream Sunday morning on our YouTube channel coming up.

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Speaker 1: Tell me if you thought about T shirts at all,

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Speaker 1: it'll be fun. Would you ever wear a Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: T shirt? If we produce them, it would be limited quantity,

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Speaker 1: so it would be highly you know. I don't know

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Speaker 1: how we'll give it away, but it would be kind

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Speaker 1: of fun, I think to do it. If we end

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Speaker 1: up printing up some T shirts for you guys and

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Speaker 1: sending them outs, I don't know how it mailed them mount.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how we do it. But at some point,

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Speaker 1: you know, Dave and I sat around. Dave Scherpa and

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Speaker 1: I sat around and talked about doing something at Circle

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Speaker 1: one day with all you guys coming to Vegas and

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Speaker 1: doing a Daily Juice betting pros party in Vague. I

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Speaker 1: guess how fun would that be post COVID to be

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Speaker 1: able to do that to celebrate being able to get

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Speaker 1: together again. We kind of daydreamed about It would be

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Speaker 1: so incredibly cool to do it. So those are our

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Speaker 1: plays for Saturday. Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Matt Sunday Morning for the podcast with NFL plays Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning on the YouTube channel for our podcasts, or sorry

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Speaker 1: for our picks for prop bets the prop bet cheat Sheet.

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Speaker 1: Check that out as well on Bettingpros dot com. My

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Speaker 1: name is Matt Peroltz. Follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. This is all being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: BETMGM every morning the Daily Juice off Bettingpros dot Com