1 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:04,440 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:04,480 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: your bets, says b Joey p Joe pi Zapia. And 3 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:11,040 Speaker 1: this is BP NFL. It's time to look for the props. 4 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: That's right, the individuals in the division round of the 5 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:16,479 Speaker 1: playoffs that are gonna cash for us this week. Andrew 6 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: Erics and I just put aside all the best bets 7 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 1: for the games. Now we're gonna dig into the players 8 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:24,119 Speaker 1: and now Andrews always got some great stats for you. 9 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: Make sure you subscribe to the channel, subscribe to the FED, 10 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app bets smarter, not harder. Don't 11 00:00:28,920 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 1: be a tool, use the tools. That's what we want 12 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: you to do, including the prop bet chea cheet by 13 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 1: the way, up ninety four units, fifty seven percent. Oh 14 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:38,160 Speaker 1: my goodness, what a year it's been for the prop 15 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet. Really good there. So Nick, sure you're 16 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: using the tools. Man, this is what we're talking about 17 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: all year long. So we've got some bets for you 18 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: we've laid out and don't forget right here on the 19 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:51,160 Speaker 1: channel at four point fifteen Saturday, Scott Bogman, Joe Pizzapia, 20 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 1: Bill's Broncos, Nicks, Allen, all the big names are all 21 00:00:56,840 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 1: gonna be here, and we're gonna be walking through some 22 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: in game line give you our favorite bets plus all 23 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: the in game live stuff. So make sure you check 24 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:05,919 Speaker 1: us out here on the channel. Subscribe to the channel 25 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 1: ring the Belts so that goes ding so you don't 26 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 1: miss it too, so you get that little alert. That's perfect. 27 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:13,039 Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson, I know you've been digging deep into the 28 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: minds here. Let's get your first prop bet for Division 29 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:18,640 Speaker 1: Round two of the NFL playoffs. 30 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 2: Looking at the Denver Broncos backfield, RJ. Harvey is going 31 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 2: to go over fifty two and a half rushing yards. 32 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 2: This one's not super complicated, Joe. The Bills are a 33 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 2: terrible run defense, fifth most rushing yards allowed per game 34 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:35,320 Speaker 2: this season. Travis Etn and the Jaguars were running all 35 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 2: over them, and then Leam Cone just decided to stop 36 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:39,960 Speaker 2: running the football against the Bills last week. Not really 37 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 2: sure why. Didn't help them win the game. Obviously they 38 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:44,040 Speaker 2: didn't win the game. I don't think Sean Payton is 39 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 2: going to overthink this year, especially based on boon Nick's 40 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 2: up and down play in the second half of the season, 41 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 2: so I think they exposed the biggest weakness of the 42 00:01:50,960 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 2: Bill Stevens, and that's running the football. You look at RJ. 43 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 2: Harvey again, he's been up and down since JK. Dobbins 44 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 2: got hurt Week eleven, but he hasn't seen the majority 45 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 2: of the touches in the Broncos back that. There's at 46 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 2: least fourteen carries in four of his last five games, 47 00:02:05,760 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 2: and I would say he has run into some of 48 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 2: the tougher defensive matchups when it comes to run defenses. 49 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 2: He's faced the Chiefs a couple different times, the Chargers 50 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 2: some solid run defenses, where against like the Las Vegas 51 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 2: Raiders and the Green Bay Packers, he's had bigger games, 52 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 2: going over fifty rushing yards. He also averaged over seven 53 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 2: yards per carry against the Jaguars, who we all know 54 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:26,800 Speaker 2: is one of the best run defenses in the NFL. 55 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:28,519 Speaker 2: So I think just give him the matchup. Giving the 56 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:30,680 Speaker 2: amount of volume that R. J. Harvey is seeing. He 57 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 2: goes over fifty two and a half rushing yards on 58 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 2: Divisional card weekend. 59 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: All right, So over there for RJ. Harvey fifty two 60 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,080 Speaker 1: and a half. I'm gonna start here mine with Christian 61 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:45,119 Speaker 1: McCaffrey rushing yards under fifty six and a half, that's 62 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: right under why because they're gonna use the the passing game. 63 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:49,880 Speaker 1: That's where he's gonna have to work when George Kittle 64 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:53,079 Speaker 1: is not out there blocking. Christian McCaffrey also not as 65 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 1: good out there running the football, and George Kittle won't 66 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 1: be around for quite some time, so Tom just will 67 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 1: be taking over for him. But it's a different thing. 68 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 1: I mean, George Kittle is such a superior blocker out there, 69 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:05,360 Speaker 1: and have him out there on the edge and now 70 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 1: you're not gonna have him. And I also think from 71 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 1: a game script standpoint too, what you want to do 72 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 1: is you want to stop Christian McCaffrey. So you're not 73 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:15,360 Speaker 1: gonna ever stop him from catching the football in space. 74 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 1: They're gonna find clever ways to do that. That's what 75 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: Kyle Shanathan gets paid to do. But running the football 76 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 1: between the tackles and Seattle, I think is going to 77 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 1: be a challenge for Christian McCaffrey. So I'm gonna take 78 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 1: his under Don't tell Welsh I did this. He's gonna 79 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 1: be very upset there. So let's go to pick number two. Here. 80 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 1: Both of us have Rock Party bets here. Mine is 81 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 1: Brock Party under two thirty and a half passing yards again. 82 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: I think that Seattle defense is going to really tighten 83 00:03:38,920 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 1: up on him. You're losing another big piece in George Kittle. 84 00:03:42,280 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 1: Party's played really well down the stretch save for one 85 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:47,440 Speaker 1: game against the Seattle Seahawks, and now he gets the 86 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 1: Seahawks again. I like the team total the under here 87 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 1: for the San Francisco Fourna nine ers as well. Now 88 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 1: you are also into a Brock Party bet. Let's talk 89 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 1: about your version of it, Andrew. 90 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, this one comes courtesy of the prop bet cheat 91 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 2: five star bet. One of the most profitable markets in 92 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 2: the PROPA at Chichie this year has been on passing attempts. 93 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 2: I've talked a lot about passing attempts on this show 94 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 2: week to week, and most of the time we've come 95 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 2: out in the greens. So under thirty four and a 96 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 2: half passing attempts for Brock Purdy. If you look at 97 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:17,919 Speaker 2: him on the prop bet analyzer, you pull up his 98 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 2: pass attempts prop it's all red. 99 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:20,640 Speaker 3: Joe. 100 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 2: I like that there's not a lot of greens when 101 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 2: it comes to him going over thirty four and a 102 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 2: half passing cotempts. He's been under this in eight of 103 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:28,840 Speaker 2: ten games this season, including both games when the forty 104 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:31,840 Speaker 2: niners were listed as underdogs. He hasn't attempted more than 105 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:33,840 Speaker 2: thirty four and a half passing attempt since Week four, 106 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:35,839 Speaker 2: and that was the last game he played before his 107 00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:38,160 Speaker 2: second injury, when he missed an extended period of time. 108 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 2: He under has cashed in three of his last four 109 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 2: games played without George Kittle in the lineup. For the 110 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 2: last four of the last five quarterbacks to face the 111 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 2: Seattle Seahawks have not surpassed thirty passing attempts, and in 112 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,600 Speaker 2: Week one, Perty did go over this number against Seattle, 113 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:54,600 Speaker 2: but in three of the four games he has played 114 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:56,919 Speaker 2: against Seattle the last two seasons, he has finished with 115 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:59,920 Speaker 2: twenty eight or fewer pass attempts. So I think that 116 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:02,359 Speaker 2: the four nineers are going to get truck sticked here, 117 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 2: and I think that party's not going to have enough 118 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 2: completions to have this a tepess number go over thirty 119 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 2: four and a half. 120 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:11,919 Speaker 1: Don't forget everybody too. Prop bet cheat sheet is available, 121 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:13,839 Speaker 1: as Andrew pointed out, and we kind of popped at 122 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 1: the beginning of the show. Go to bankpros dot com 123 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:18,719 Speaker 1: slash props. You'll see all of the prop bets for 124 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:21,680 Speaker 1: the week, all of the projections, the variants, the best 125 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 1: place to get your wagers in as well, so make 126 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:26,360 Speaker 1: sure he's a prop bet cheat sheet. Next on our 127 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 1: list here pick number three, Andrew Erickson. You're going with 128 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:33,599 Speaker 1: Woody Mark. So we've moved on to Houston and New England. 129 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:35,840 Speaker 1: Let's talk about that contest and what Woody Marks can 130 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:37,720 Speaker 1: do against that Pats defense. 131 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 2: If we did a hard rock best bet for player Props, 132 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:43,839 Speaker 2: this would be mine. This is my stone cold lock 133 00:05:43,880 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 2: of the week. Woody Mark's under sixty and a half 134 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 2: rushing yards. People need to realize that when the Patriots 135 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:53,600 Speaker 2: have all their guys back on defense, between Milton Williams, 136 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:57,599 Speaker 2: Robert Splane and Tunga the defensive tackle, you can't run 137 00:05:57,680 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 2: on this defense. You look at the first line eleven 138 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:02,360 Speaker 2: weeks through the season, when all of those guys were 139 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 2: healthy and in the lineup, no running back that the 140 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 2: Patriots had face had gone over sixty rushing yards. So 141 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 2: you look over the last month or so and you're seeing, oh, like, 142 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 2: these guys are popping off for some solid games. Well 143 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,679 Speaker 2: that's because they haven't had all their players. Again, twelve 144 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:17,719 Speaker 2: games with Milton Williams in the lineup, just fifty six 145 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:20,280 Speaker 2: point three rushing yards allowed per game, three point two 146 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 2: yards per carry. Five games without Williams and Splane and 147 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:26,280 Speaker 2: some of these other guys missing time, one hundred and 148 00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 2: twenty seven rushing yards allowed per game. So this is 149 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 2: also going back to why like the Patriots, I think 150 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 2: they can make the Texans one dimensional and force them 151 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 2: into a drop back passing game without Nico Collins, so 152 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 2: that it's Christian Kirk, Jalen Nol, and Jaye Higgins. They're 153 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:40,359 Speaker 2: going to have to beat the Patriots to get the 154 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:42,840 Speaker 2: Texans to win on the road with an upset, So 155 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:45,600 Speaker 2: I think that the run game for the Texans gets 156 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:49,280 Speaker 2: totally neutralized here by the Patriots tough front, and Roody 157 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 2: Marx has hardly been consistent. I know he's coming up 158 00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:54,040 Speaker 2: a monster game against Pittsburgh Steelers, but I think that 159 00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 2: just overinflated his number to this sixty and a half 160 00:06:57,240 --> 00:07:00,280 Speaker 2: rushing yards mark. So I'm slamming the under here. Juwar 161 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 2: Jordan's also expected to come back for this game. He's 162 00:07:02,480 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 2: actually been under this number in two of the three games, 163 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:06,719 Speaker 2: but Jordan has also been healthy in the lineup. So 164 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 2: in the wildcout round, the Chargers running backs between O 165 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 2: Mariy and Hampton Commande Badell twelve carries for thirty yards 166 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 2: two point seven yards per carry when all those guys 167 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 2: were healthy and Tungka didn't even play last week like 168 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 2: he should be back in a lineup. So yeah, I 169 00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:21,160 Speaker 2: think this is an easy one for me. 170 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: I like it, and as Ballsy too, because Woody Mark's 171 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 1: is a pretty good game, you know, against the Pittsburgh Steelers. 172 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 1: There's a lot a lot of effort there from him. 173 00:07:30,560 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 1: So uh, look, the new Patriots defense against the run 174 00:07:33,160 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: this year was very good for a long time and 175 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 1: then it faded a little bit. But as you pointed out, 176 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:38,920 Speaker 1: I had to do a little bit with some of 177 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 1: those injuries that they did suffer at some point. I'm 178 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: just throwing this out there too, if you put my 179 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: favorite bet of the week there with your favorite bet 180 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 1: of the week. So the under in the first half 181 00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 1: total for Bills and Broncos and then what he Mark's 182 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 1: under the undertaker parlay is plus two thirty two all 183 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 1: Undertaker all the time. I love just saying there you go, 184 00:07:57,520 --> 00:07:59,080 Speaker 1: there you go, and of course make sure you place 185 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:01,680 Speaker 1: that bet over at hard Bet. That's where we want 186 00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 1: you to go right now. And of course Miami is 187 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: in the big dance with the National Championship and hard 188 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:07,920 Speaker 1: Rock Bet is giving you a ten dollar bonus bet 189 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 1: to get in on the action. If you're watching the 190 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 1: game in Miami, you can go to hard Rock Cafe 191 00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 1: in Miami, Duffy's North Miami Beach, American Social and Batch Brickle. 192 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 1: Hard Rock Bet is dropping ten dollars bonus bets there 193 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 1: for all of you, and you can turn that ten 194 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:22,960 Speaker 1: dollars bonus bet into a big win with an SGP 195 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:25,080 Speaker 1: same game parlay in the Natty, or you could spread 196 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 1: out if you want to as well. Floorer's going crazy 197 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:30,400 Speaker 1: right now with the Hurricanes back in a National championship, 198 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:33,439 Speaker 1: very exciting times. It's like the late eighties early nineties 199 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 1: all over again. And don't forget you can be a 200 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:38,679 Speaker 1: winner too if you just place your five dollar bet 201 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 1: if it hits, you get one hundred and fifteen bonus 202 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 1: bets plus your winnings only at hard Rock Bet. And 203 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:45,440 Speaker 1: of course all the parlays are going on as well, 204 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:48,080 Speaker 1: And of course you can knowledge do sgps, but there's 205 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:50,600 Speaker 1: promos every single day, but you can't get the promos 206 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,079 Speaker 1: if you don't download Hard Rock Bet. So download Hard 207 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:55,840 Speaker 1: Rock Bet Sportsbook right now onto your phone and start 208 00:08:55,840 --> 00:08:58,480 Speaker 1: betting today. Paybal and bonus bets. Not a cash offer 209 00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 1: offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida, Florida. Offered by 210 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:03,680 Speaker 1: Summital hard Rock Digital LLC. In other states. Must be 211 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:08,480 Speaker 1: twenty one plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, 212 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,680 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms and conditions apply. 213 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:13,959 Speaker 1: Concerned about gambling in Florida, I call one eight three 214 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 1: to three play wise in Indiana. If you are someone 215 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 1: you know is a gambling problem wants help, called one 216 00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 1: eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called one 217 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 218 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 1: All right, next up here, Stefan Diggs. I know Andrew, 219 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:32,680 Speaker 1: you said, Stefan Diggs revenge. He loves to show up 220 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 1: for these games and he did play with the Texans 221 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:36,920 Speaker 1: for a cup of coffee a couple years ago. But 222 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 1: he's got Stingley here on the other side. He's just 223 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 1: really good. He's just really really good. So forty eight 224 00:09:43,360 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 1: and a half is the number four Stefan Diggs, so 225 00:09:45,960 --> 00:09:47,679 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go under that. I do think he has 226 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 1: a big catch in this game, in a big moment 227 00:09:49,679 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: that fires everybody up. But I just don't think he's 228 00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 1: going over fifty yards in this contest. I'd be surprised 229 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:56,840 Speaker 1: if it happens. So this is actually one of my 230 00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 1: favorite unders in a game that I think is going 231 00:09:58,840 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 1: to be an unders. I think it's gonna be a 232 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 1: point game that the Pats will find a way to win, 233 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:04,040 Speaker 1: and they're gonna find a way to win because of 234 00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: my fourth bet. And guess what, Andrew Erics and I 235 00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 1: are holding hands on this one. It's Drake May over 236 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:11,040 Speaker 1: thirty three and a half rushing yards. We discussed this 237 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:15,280 Speaker 1: at length on The Best Bet Show about Drake May 238 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 1: being very different from Aaron Rodgers. Aaron Rodgers sat in 239 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 1: that pocket and took a ton of sacks against the 240 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:23,920 Speaker 1: Houston Texans pass rush. Drake May's not gonna be that guy. 241 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 1: He's much more mobile. He's gonna break out and run. 242 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 1: We saw it against the Chargers last week. We've seen 243 00:10:28,040 --> 00:10:29,960 Speaker 1: it all year long. He can make plays with his legs. 244 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:33,079 Speaker 1: So Houston Texans' defense is gonna get worn out a 245 00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: little bit here, and I think at the end of 246 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:36,480 Speaker 1: the day, they get tired in that fourth quarter and 247 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 1: that becomes the difference in this game. So I like 248 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 1: the over here for Drake May, and you like it too, Andrew. 249 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:42,600 Speaker 1: What do you want to add to that? Drake May 250 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 1: over thirty three and a half rushing yard love. 251 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 2: The Texans ranked dead last this year in EPA allowed 252 00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 2: per quarterback scramble. Basically, they ranked top ten in every 253 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 2: defensive category except against quarterback scrambling because that's what teams 254 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:58,080 Speaker 2: have to do, that's what happen. That's what quarterbacks have 255 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:01,080 Speaker 2: to to move the ball against the Houstons because they're 256 00:11:01,120 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 2: so good everywhere else, the pass rush is going to 257 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 2: be humming. But Drake May is gonna make plays with 258 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 2: his legs here. He did this in the first matchup 259 00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:10,839 Speaker 2: last year against Houston. He had thirty eight rushing yards 260 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,960 Speaker 2: against these similar pass rushers Will Anderson and Daniel Hunter. 261 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 2: Like those guys were humming around, humming on Drake May. 262 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 2: And that was against a much worse offensive line for 263 00:11:20,440 --> 00:11:24,199 Speaker 2: the Patriots, which has significantly improved here in twenty twenty five. 264 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:27,560 Speaker 2: It's no coincidence that last week, his first playoff game, 265 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 2: he rushes for a season high sixty six rushing yards. 266 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 2: We see this all the time with quarterbacks. Oh, playoffs 267 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 2: are here, Let's run more because there is no tomorrow. 268 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 2: We have to use our legs now. We can't worry 269 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 2: about staying healthy because we have to win this game. 270 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 2: And the last time he rushed for over fifty yards 271 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:45,240 Speaker 2: was the last time he faced a top ten defense 272 00:11:45,240 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 2: earlier year, the Cleveland Browns in Week eight. So when 273 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 2: it is top ten defenses, especially ones that are tougher 274 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 2: when it comes to a pass rush, they have good secondaries, 275 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:55,480 Speaker 2: you're just going to see quarterbacks more likely to take 276 00:11:55,480 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 2: off and run. We've seen that with Drake May. He's 277 00:11:57,440 --> 00:11:59,319 Speaker 2: hit the over on thirty five and a half rushing 278 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:01,920 Speaker 2: yards and three of his last five games, including three 279 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:04,839 Speaker 2: straight overs at home. So yeah, I think this one 280 00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:05,679 Speaker 2: is a layup. 281 00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: Joe, all right, So a layup there, which brings us 282 00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:10,880 Speaker 1: to our fifth pick here and it's a very high number. 283 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:14,080 Speaker 1: So bear with me, everybody, but it's the Pookainakua show. Everybody, 284 00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 1: ninety eight and a half receiving yards. Guess what, He's 285 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:18,560 Speaker 1: gonna go over one hundred. That's it's it's just whether 286 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:20,120 Speaker 1: or not he goes over one hundred. He's gonna go 287 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:22,640 Speaker 1: over one hundred. He's the guy. He's where the offense 288 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:26,320 Speaker 1: funnels through. And I know the Bears will score some 289 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:28,840 Speaker 1: points on the Rams because the Rams just let everybody 290 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:30,560 Speaker 1: score on them all the time, and I'm sick to 291 00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:33,559 Speaker 1: death of it. But that means Pookinakua is gonna have 292 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:35,480 Speaker 1: to get pushed, and that means that Matthew Stafford's gonna 293 00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:37,199 Speaker 1: continue to have to throw the football. So give me 294 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:39,840 Speaker 1: Pookinakua with a very high number. I know it makes 295 00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:42,840 Speaker 1: me uneasy to I'm with you, but I do think 296 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:45,079 Speaker 1: we get the over this number, and I think he's 297 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 1: well into the hundreds just because of how this offense works. 298 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:49,600 Speaker 1: The only way he doesn't get this is the classic 299 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 1: Pukakua blue ten scenario, which is also very much in 300 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,079 Speaker 1: there too. And if you want to fade it because 301 00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:57,560 Speaker 1: of that, I man at you. I understand, but this 302 00:12:57,600 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: is the playoffs, and all bets are off, and all 303 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 1: bets are on for Pukinakul for me going over this number. 304 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:07,240 Speaker 1: Your last bet here for week number two of the 305 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:09,400 Speaker 1: playoffs in the NFL, andrew and to go. 306 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 2: With Luther Burden over two and a half catches. So 307 00:13:13,480 --> 00:13:16,120 Speaker 2: I was very high on Jalen Cocher last week, not 308 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 2: as high as I should have been, apparently because he 309 00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:21,679 Speaker 2: crushed awesome. See he went absolutely nuclear. I was taken 310 00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:23,600 Speaker 2: oh over three and a half catches. I kind of 311 00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 2: like this one with plus money. He had a billion 312 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:28,720 Speaker 2: catches in that game, seemingly, but it was two straight 313 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:32,360 Speaker 2: games where he was heavily involved as a target for 314 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 2: the Carolina Panthers against a Rams defense that has been 315 00:13:35,080 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 2: had against slot players. Who runs the majority of his 316 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 2: routes from the slot Among the Bears wide receivers, it's 317 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:43,920 Speaker 2: Luther Burden. He ran fifty one percent of his routes 318 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:46,560 Speaker 2: from the slot last week, got three balls for forty 319 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 2: two yards on seven targets. He had five targets in 320 00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:52,199 Speaker 2: the first half. Luther Burden has at least three catches 321 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,200 Speaker 2: and nine straight games, including his last five games with 322 00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:58,280 Speaker 2: Roma Dunzey in the lineup, so even with the dunesa back, 323 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:01,800 Speaker 2: we didn't see Burdon's target and catches fall off two dramatically. 324 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 2: So again, I'm not expecting a Jalen Cocher type of 325 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 2: blow up just because there are a little bit more 326 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 2: mouths defeat in this Bears passing game. But the Rams 327 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:12,680 Speaker 2: secondary can be had, like we saw Bryce Young have 328 00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:16,000 Speaker 2: two of his most successful games against the Los Angeles 329 00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:18,960 Speaker 2: Rams defense with his wide receivers. I think Calebooves can 330 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 2: have some success when he drops back to throw, specifically 331 00:14:21,920 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 2: when he targets the slot and specifically when he targets 332 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:26,360 Speaker 2: Luther Burden. So for me, two and a half receptions 333 00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:28,160 Speaker 2: was just too low for a guy that's hit this 334 00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:29,640 Speaker 2: in nine straight games. 335 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:32,920 Speaker 1: So take the over all. Right, let's call some touchdowns here. 336 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:35,120 Speaker 1: The touchdown score reports available at betting pros dot com 337 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:38,040 Speaker 1: slash touchdown If you're looking for an edge in touchdown bets. 338 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 1: A touchdown score report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop 339 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 1: bets odds projections and help identify the very best in 340 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 1: anytime touchdown bets. So go check it out again bettingpros 341 00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:49,440 Speaker 1: dot com slash touchdown. I'm going with the QBS here 342 00:14:49,880 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 1: Josh Allen minus one oh five. Okay, that one's not 343 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 1: super exciting, but it's gonna pay. And then the other one, 344 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 1: same game, Bo Nicks plus three ten. Yeah, let's go 345 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:03,360 Speaker 1: rushing into a touchdown for himself. So the QB's getting 346 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,760 Speaker 1: into it to kick us off here. Those are my 347 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:07,720 Speaker 1: favorite two touchdown bets of the week. Andrew, what do 348 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 1: you have for the people? Because one of them I 349 00:15:08,920 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: think is nuts. I just want to put that out there. 350 00:15:11,760 --> 00:15:15,560 Speaker 2: Hey, that's it's gambling, isn't it. I gotta get nutty here, Joe. 351 00:15:15,440 --> 00:15:18,360 Speaker 1: When you have key On Coleman involved, Yes, yes, very much. 352 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 2: Well, okay, well I'm gonna I'm going to try to 353 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:23,600 Speaker 2: sell you my pitch. But we'll start with Kyrie Williams first. 354 00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 2: I think that this is just a good value here 355 00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:29,040 Speaker 2: plus one twenty five with the Rams are favored. Kien 356 00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:31,720 Speaker 2: Williams ranks first in the NFL and rushing success rate 357 00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 2: against a Terrible Bears defense. The last time he played 358 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 2: outdoors on the road in a weather game, Kyrien Williams 359 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 2: had nineteen carries for one hundred and six yards against 360 00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 2: the Philadelphia Eagles the Bears run defense is trash Kyron 361 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:48,120 Speaker 2: third red zone opportunities per game this season and it's 362 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 2: plus one twenty five. So I think that Kyle's easily 363 00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 2: going to score in this game. And I just love 364 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:55,880 Speaker 2: the odds here. Now, Keon Coleman, All right, Joe, you 365 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 2: buckled in? Are you ready for this pitch? 366 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:00,080 Speaker 1: Here? I am? I'm ready for it. 367 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 2: Okay, So Keon Coleman is going to have to play 368 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:05,680 Speaker 2: more in this game because the Bills just put half 369 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 2: of their wide receivers that already weren't that good on 370 00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 2: into preserve. Gave Davis is out with the torn ACL, 371 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 2: Tyrel Shavers is out with the torn ACL. So Kean 372 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:16,240 Speaker 2: Coleman is going to by default have to play more 373 00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:19,320 Speaker 2: in this specific matchup. And I think that he's going 374 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:21,440 Speaker 2: to get some opportunities with some fifty to fifty balls 375 00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 2: because of his contested catch ability, some deep targets against 376 00:16:25,160 --> 00:16:28,360 Speaker 2: a really strong Broncos secondary. Again, you can't You're not 377 00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:30,240 Speaker 2: going to get open against most of these guys anyway. 378 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,120 Speaker 2: So hey, this is where Keon Coleman's skill set actually 379 00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:35,680 Speaker 2: can be benefit where yeah, Certan is all over him. Well, 380 00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 2: Kean Coleman this is where he can actually take advantage 381 00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:41,680 Speaker 2: with him going up trying to get the football. And 382 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 2: last year when these teams played, the Broncos against the 383 00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:47,800 Speaker 2: Buffalo Bills, Kean Coleman caught a two point conversion. So 384 00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 2: they have on tape him scoring in the end zone 385 00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:54,240 Speaker 2: against this Broncos defense and this Broncos secondary. So I 386 00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:56,920 Speaker 2: think that he needs to step up here. Five to 387 00:16:56,920 --> 00:16:59,360 Speaker 2: one plus five mine. Again, this isn't a minus one 388 00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:01,640 Speaker 2: to fifteen minus one ozh five bet for ken Coleman. 389 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:03,560 Speaker 2: It's five to one. So it's a fun touchdown bet 390 00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:05,800 Speaker 2: because I think that hey, kiok Coleman's gonna be out there, 391 00:17:05,840 --> 00:17:07,959 Speaker 2: Josh Allen's going to score points. And I don't think 392 00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 2: the Broncos are going to be prepared necessarily for ke 393 00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 2: On Coleman to get targets at all, because again, Joe, 394 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:14,520 Speaker 2: he hasn't really got that many targets this season. 395 00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:18,720 Speaker 1: I got two words for you, Andrew Erickson. Brandon Cooks. 396 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:21,119 Speaker 1: That's right, Brandon Cooks is gonna ruin all your key, 397 00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:23,880 Speaker 1: young Coleman. So I wonder what his touchdown equity now, 398 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:25,679 Speaker 1: I want to look and see what that is, because 399 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:27,240 Speaker 1: you know, Brandy cooks. 400 00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:29,560 Speaker 2: Which receiver is going to catch a touchdown because it's 401 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:33,240 Speaker 2: going to score ninety Oh there it is, there, it. 402 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:38,440 Speaker 1: Is the odds. Yeah, hey, hey, not bad. Josh Allen 403 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:40,119 Speaker 1: has scored the first touchdout of the game plus six 404 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:42,320 Speaker 1: fifteen in that game, lots of fun stuff going on, 405 00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:44,359 Speaker 1: lots of fun touchdown calls. So if you want to 406 00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:46,320 Speaker 1: juice that Josh Allen, want a little bit more of mine, 407 00:17:46,359 --> 00:17:48,080 Speaker 1: you can do that. If you want to go crazy 408 00:17:48,119 --> 00:17:49,840 Speaker 1: town with key On Coleman, go for it. That's what 409 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:53,440 Speaker 1: it's all about. Having fun. Download the Betting Pros app 410 00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:58,240 Speaker 1: and remember four fifteen Eastern time, Bill's Broncos, Pizza Pup, Bogman, 411 00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 1: Alan Nicks, all the big names will be here breaking 412 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:02,560 Speaker 1: that game down for you. That'll do it for us, 413 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for Andrew Ericson. 414 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:07,600 Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids. Enjoy 415 00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:08,520 Speaker 1: the playoffs. 416 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:12,240 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 417 00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:14,679 Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 418 00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:18,119 Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 419 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,000 Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 420 00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:24,760 Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 421 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:27,320 Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros