WEBVTT - Outlook for Gilead’s COVID-19 Treatment

0:00:00.440 --> 0:00:02.960
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

0:00:03.040 --> 0:00:05.520
<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're here every day bringing you the latest

0:00:05.519 --> 0:00:09.800
<v Speaker 1>news from the world of business and finance, plus technology, politics, economics,

0:00:09.840 --> 0:00:13.480
<v Speaker 1>all harnessing the power of Bloomberg Business Week reporters and editors,

0:00:13.480 --> 0:00:16.639
<v Speaker 1>not to mention our hundred journalists and analysts more than

0:00:16.680 --> 0:00:19.280
<v Speaker 1>a hundred and twenty countries. You can download Bloomberg Business

0:00:19.320 --> 0:00:22.200
<v Speaker 1>Week on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot Com. You can

0:00:22.200 --> 0:00:24.520
<v Speaker 1>also listen to our radio show weekdays at two pm

0:00:24.520 --> 0:00:28.320
<v Speaker 1>Eastern only on Bloomberg Radio. Steve Dennis joins us again,

0:00:28.360 --> 0:00:31.800
<v Speaker 1>Senate reporter looking after all things Congress for Bloomberg, joining

0:00:31.880 --> 0:00:34.440
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from Maryland and a lot of

0:00:34.440 --> 0:00:38.159
<v Speaker 1>politics happening down there on Capitol Hill today, Steve, bring

0:00:38.240 --> 0:00:41.320
<v Speaker 1>us up to date. Yeah, so we're kind of stuck

0:00:41.320 --> 0:00:45.159
<v Speaker 1>in a stalemate right now for how to replenish this

0:00:45.800 --> 0:00:51.000
<v Speaker 1>small Business Fund, the Paycheck Protection Program p P p uh.

0:00:51.120 --> 0:00:54.120
<v Speaker 1>You know, the Minuchan wants an extra quarter of a

0:00:54.160 --> 0:00:59.720
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollars a S A P. And the Democrats basically said,

0:01:00.160 --> 0:01:01.959
<v Speaker 1>but we want to make some changes and we want

0:01:01.960 --> 0:01:05.160
<v Speaker 1>to add more money for hospitals in the States, and

0:01:05.240 --> 0:01:07.679
<v Speaker 1>so here we are at an impast. McConnell went to

0:01:07.720 --> 0:01:10.520
<v Speaker 1>the floor this morning, try to just do a clean

0:01:10.680 --> 0:01:13.479
<v Speaker 1>two hundred and fifty billion dollar increase for this three

0:01:13.959 --> 0:01:19.320
<v Speaker 1>fifty billion dollar program. The Democrats objected, added their own proposals.

0:01:19.400 --> 0:01:24.240
<v Speaker 1>McConnell objected, So now we're sort of in this usual

0:01:24.280 --> 0:01:30.320
<v Speaker 1>state of Washington of attacking each other, um for blocking things.

0:01:30.440 --> 0:01:33.600
<v Speaker 1>And the next you know, it looks like this is

0:01:33.600 --> 0:01:37.039
<v Speaker 1>probably gonna continue for several days over Easter, and you know,

0:01:37.120 --> 0:01:43.720
<v Speaker 1>maybe next week they started negotiating something more serious. So

0:01:43.880 --> 0:01:47.800
<v Speaker 1>politics aside, Steve, So, who's right, I mean, are the

0:01:47.800 --> 0:01:51.080
<v Speaker 1>Democrats right to include more aid for state and local governments.

0:01:51.080 --> 0:01:54.279
<v Speaker 1>I've heard from Governor Cuomo and others about the system

0:01:54.320 --> 0:01:57.040
<v Speaker 1>states are going to need, or you know, the Republicans right,

0:01:57.080 --> 0:01:59.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, saying we've got to get you know, money

0:01:59.160 --> 0:02:02.400
<v Speaker 1>to individual work or those small businesses. Who's right about

0:02:02.440 --> 0:02:04.680
<v Speaker 1>this in terms of, you know, what needs to be

0:02:04.720 --> 0:02:09.040
<v Speaker 1>done first and foremost, Well, the point the Republicans are

0:02:09.040 --> 0:02:12.280
<v Speaker 1>making is that this small business program is already up

0:02:12.280 --> 0:02:15.040
<v Speaker 1>and running and it's going to run out of money.

0:02:15.120 --> 0:02:17.760
<v Speaker 1>You know, this this program is supposed to last until

0:02:17.919 --> 0:02:21.600
<v Speaker 1>Junior last, the last time these loans can go out.

0:02:21.720 --> 0:02:26.200
<v Speaker 1>But just since they opened the program on Friday last Friday,

0:02:26.240 --> 0:02:30.400
<v Speaker 1>approximately a hundred billion dollars has already been allocated. Now

0:02:30.960 --> 0:02:33.480
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't mean it's going to get to three billion

0:02:34.280 --> 0:02:37.000
<v Speaker 1>by like Monday or Tuesday. So there is a little

0:02:37.000 --> 0:02:40.760
<v Speaker 1>bit of leeway here. And the Democrats are saying, uh,

0:02:40.800 --> 0:02:43.760
<v Speaker 1>look this program has we like it, but it's got

0:02:43.800 --> 0:02:48.480
<v Speaker 1>some problems. There are lots of small businesses, uh, that

0:02:48.520 --> 0:02:51.520
<v Speaker 1>are having a hard time getting their bank or any

0:02:51.560 --> 0:02:54.480
<v Speaker 1>bank to take their application, particularly if there are a

0:02:54.520 --> 0:02:58.600
<v Speaker 1>smaller small business who does who don't already have sort

0:02:58.600 --> 0:03:02.360
<v Speaker 1>of relationship with that inc. And so they want to

0:03:02.400 --> 0:03:07.720
<v Speaker 1>see the program expanded, make the application requirements a little

0:03:07.720 --> 0:03:11.440
<v Speaker 1>bit smoother and more streamlined, and say, hey, let's sit

0:03:11.480 --> 0:03:15.959
<v Speaker 1>down and talk about this. And McConnell's like, look, let's

0:03:16.000 --> 0:03:18.119
<v Speaker 1>just increase the money now. We can. We can deal

0:03:18.160 --> 0:03:20.880
<v Speaker 1>with some of this stuff later. But you know, that's

0:03:20.919 --> 0:03:25.160
<v Speaker 1>not how Congress tends to work. It's it's it's very

0:03:25.200 --> 0:03:28.640
<v Speaker 1>hard for a divided Congress to parties in a situation

0:03:28.680 --> 0:03:32.080
<v Speaker 1>where every single senator in every single House member needs

0:03:32.120 --> 0:03:34.280
<v Speaker 1>to give consent to do anything in this age of

0:03:34.320 --> 0:03:38.240
<v Speaker 1>coronavirus where they're not in session to agree on a

0:03:38.360 --> 0:03:42.680
<v Speaker 1>quarter trillion dollars and you know, overnight. So this is

0:03:42.760 --> 0:03:45.760
<v Speaker 1>not unusual that it's going to take sort of several

0:03:45.840 --> 0:03:49.839
<v Speaker 1>rounds of parts and attacks on each other and saying, hey,

0:03:50.120 --> 0:03:53.040
<v Speaker 1>you aren't helping out the workers, or your focus too

0:03:53.120 --> 0:03:55.600
<v Speaker 1>much on the bigger businesses and that sort of thing.

0:03:56.040 --> 0:03:59.160
<v Speaker 1>So you know, something's gonna get done. It's just a

0:03:59.280 --> 0:04:02.280
<v Speaker 1>question of when, whether it's gonna be early next week,

0:04:02.440 --> 0:04:05.240
<v Speaker 1>late next week, or we're gonna wait until they come back.

0:04:05.840 --> 0:04:08.600
<v Speaker 1>The schedule to come back the week of April twenties.

0:04:08.720 --> 0:04:11.920
<v Speaker 1>It's possible they won't even come back that week because

0:04:12.040 --> 0:04:15.880
<v Speaker 1>people are worried about the virus. Yeah, it's interesting too,

0:04:15.920 --> 0:04:18.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, this is coming or we're having this conversation

0:04:18.200 --> 0:04:20.960
<v Speaker 1>as a couple of red heads acrossing the Bloomberg about

0:04:21.040 --> 0:04:25.480
<v Speaker 1>lockdowns and not in the United States, Spanish parliament backing

0:04:25.560 --> 0:04:29.280
<v Speaker 1>and extending locked backing, extending the lockdown excuse me to April,

0:04:29.880 --> 0:04:33.080
<v Speaker 1>and at the same time, the South African president extending

0:04:33.120 --> 0:04:36.680
<v Speaker 1>the nationwide lockdown by two weeks. So governments are also

0:04:36.760 --> 0:04:39.000
<v Speaker 1>wrestling with this notion of what do we do in

0:04:39.000 --> 0:04:41.599
<v Speaker 1>the meantime? How long are we essentially going to need

0:04:41.640 --> 0:04:48.160
<v Speaker 1>to be assisting these companies and the economies, the economy

0:04:48.200 --> 0:04:52.080
<v Speaker 1>of the country. And Steve Dennis, I do also wonder

0:04:53.120 --> 0:04:56.080
<v Speaker 1>is Steve Manut in the Treasury sectary He's continuing to

0:04:56.160 --> 0:04:58.640
<v Speaker 1>sort of be the broker in all of this for

0:04:58.680 --> 0:05:03.400
<v Speaker 1>the administration. And and Pelosi did get this done last time? Yeah,

0:05:03.480 --> 0:05:07.840
<v Speaker 1>I think, Um, the one relationship in town that seems

0:05:07.880 --> 0:05:13.520
<v Speaker 1>to be working right now is Stephen Manuchin with Chuck Schumer,

0:05:13.680 --> 0:05:18.760
<v Speaker 1>the Senate Democratic Leader, and Pelosi. That that trio seems

0:05:18.800 --> 0:05:22.000
<v Speaker 1>to be able to get things done lately. So you know,

0:05:23.080 --> 0:05:25.920
<v Speaker 1>if Manuchan is on the phone with those two and

0:05:25.920 --> 0:05:29.799
<v Speaker 1>and actually negotiating instead of sort of saying, here's our request,

0:05:29.880 --> 0:05:32.680
<v Speaker 1>take it or leave it, that's when you know things

0:05:32.800 --> 0:05:36.920
<v Speaker 1>are getting closer to an actual deal. Um. And you know,

0:05:37.120 --> 0:05:40.480
<v Speaker 1>while there has been some good news on the virus lately,

0:05:40.640 --> 0:05:46.880
<v Speaker 1>with the curve starting to flatten and social distancing is helping.

0:05:47.440 --> 0:05:49.839
<v Speaker 1>I mean that's sort of like another message to people

0:05:49.880 --> 0:05:54.400
<v Speaker 1>listening this is it's actually helping when you socially distance yourself.

0:05:55.120 --> 0:05:58.560
<v Speaker 1>We're starting to see some evidence of that. The the

0:05:58.560 --> 0:06:01.280
<v Speaker 1>the economic impact is the last a lot longer. We're

0:06:01.279 --> 0:06:04.640
<v Speaker 1>already up to seventeen million, and there's lots of reports,

0:06:04.640 --> 0:06:09.600
<v Speaker 1>including on Bloomberg reporting that lots of people still can't

0:06:10.440 --> 0:06:13.160
<v Speaker 1>even file in a lot of these states. Their systems

0:06:13.160 --> 0:06:17.120
<v Speaker 1>are so outdated, antiquated. The real number is probably higher.

0:06:17.760 --> 0:06:20.320
<v Speaker 1>And you know, all these programs they just passed with

0:06:20.400 --> 0:06:23.000
<v Speaker 1>a two point three trillion dollar bill, two point two

0:06:23.040 --> 0:06:25.760
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollars, they're probably all going to be a lot

0:06:25.800 --> 0:06:28.080
<v Speaker 1>more expensive by the time they're all said and done

0:06:28.120 --> 0:06:31.800
<v Speaker 1>in the next couple of months. Alright, Steve Dennis, thank

0:06:31.839 --> 0:06:34.160
<v Speaker 1>you so much, senate reporter at Bloomberg News. Joining us

0:06:34.200 --> 0:06:37.960
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Maryland. You're listening to Bloomberg Business

0:06:38.040 --> 0:06:42.039
<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio.

0:06:42.360 --> 0:06:45.200
<v Speaker 1>We've got Dr Chris Byra with us. He's professor of

0:06:45.720 --> 0:06:51.479
<v Speaker 1>epidem epidemiology, Epidemiology, thank you very much, and public health

0:06:51.520 --> 0:06:55.520
<v Speaker 1>and human Rights at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health,

0:06:55.920 --> 0:06:57.880
<v Speaker 1>and of course we know the Bloomberg School of Public

0:06:57.920 --> 0:07:00.800
<v Speaker 1>Health supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, founder Mberg LP and

0:07:00.800 --> 0:07:04.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Philanthropies. Dr Byrot, nice to have you here with us.

0:07:04.960 --> 0:07:06.440
<v Speaker 1>I just want to go we want to get into

0:07:06.480 --> 0:07:10.120
<v Speaker 1>because you are specifically looking at prison populations. But I

0:07:10.160 --> 0:07:12.800
<v Speaker 1>do want to ask you about one of the headlines

0:07:12.840 --> 0:07:15.920
<v Speaker 1>that we got from Dr Fauci today. Um, the kind

0:07:15.960 --> 0:07:18.440
<v Speaker 1>of go to person along with you folks at John's

0:07:18.480 --> 0:07:21.160
<v Speaker 1>Hopkins really think understanding what's going on with the virus.

0:07:21.200 --> 0:07:24.680
<v Speaker 1>But he's saying, you know, he really slashed those death projections,

0:07:24.720 --> 0:07:27.640
<v Speaker 1>saying that maybe about sixty people may now die, almost

0:07:27.680 --> 0:07:30.160
<v Speaker 1>half as many that the White House had talked about

0:07:30.240 --> 0:07:33.640
<v Speaker 1>about a week ago, based on models and projections. How

0:07:33.680 --> 0:07:35.560
<v Speaker 1>should we, as those of us who are still at

0:07:35.560 --> 0:07:39.680
<v Speaker 1>home still social distancings, social distancing, how should we read

0:07:39.800 --> 0:07:44.560
<v Speaker 1>headlines like that? Well, I think everybody ought to really

0:07:44.640 --> 0:07:47.840
<v Speaker 1>feel a sense of pride and of our coming together

0:07:47.880 --> 0:07:51.320
<v Speaker 1>as a country because the reason that the projections are

0:07:51.400 --> 0:07:55.160
<v Speaker 1>being the numbers are being decreased is because of the

0:07:55.280 --> 0:07:59.760
<v Speaker 1>really remarkable success of social distancing, of people taking it seriously,

0:08:00.000 --> 0:08:03.280
<v Speaker 1>staying at home. Uh. And I think also we have

0:08:03.400 --> 0:08:07.320
<v Speaker 1>to say of particularly the leadership, governors and number of

0:08:07.360 --> 0:08:12.480
<v Speaker 1>states who move quickly and impose social distancing early. Um,

0:08:12.560 --> 0:08:16.600
<v Speaker 1>we're still of course very concerned. Uh and uh, you know,

0:08:16.760 --> 0:08:20.760
<v Speaker 1>even the downgraded numbers aren't enormous numbers loss of life

0:08:21.520 --> 0:08:24.720
<v Speaker 1>for this country and the world. But really this is

0:08:24.760 --> 0:08:30.080
<v Speaker 1>about the the tremendous response to social distancing on the

0:08:30.120 --> 0:08:32.599
<v Speaker 1>part of the American people. And that gives us a

0:08:33.080 --> 0:08:36.480
<v Speaker 1>nice segue right into you know, where you are spending

0:08:36.480 --> 0:08:38.960
<v Speaker 1>a lot of your time dr Byroer and that is

0:08:39.840 --> 0:08:42.439
<v Speaker 1>the fact that this is a human rights issue and

0:08:42.600 --> 0:08:44.840
<v Speaker 1>in many ways, and part of the reason that the

0:08:44.880 --> 0:08:50.160
<v Speaker 1>social distancing works is people are essentially able to socially

0:08:50.240 --> 0:08:53.960
<v Speaker 1>distance themselves. You know, Carol and I and you and

0:08:53.960 --> 0:08:55.840
<v Speaker 1>and many other people who are fortunate to be able

0:08:55.880 --> 0:08:58.280
<v Speaker 1>to work from home or you know, sort of live

0:08:58.320 --> 0:09:00.800
<v Speaker 1>our lives in a certain way. That one thing. But

0:09:00.960 --> 0:09:07.720
<v Speaker 1>this virus is exposing just dramatic gaps and inequalities. And

0:09:07.880 --> 0:09:10.640
<v Speaker 1>certainly nowhere is that more true than than in the

0:09:10.720 --> 0:09:14.120
<v Speaker 1>nation's prisons. Tell us about what you're finding. Well, first

0:09:14.160 --> 0:09:17.600
<v Speaker 1>of all, keep in mind that no country incarcerates more

0:09:17.679 --> 0:09:20.480
<v Speaker 1>of its citizens than the United States. So this is

0:09:20.520 --> 0:09:23.920
<v Speaker 1>a particular vulnerability for our country. It's about two point

0:09:24.000 --> 0:09:27.520
<v Speaker 1>three million people currently in jails and prisons, and just

0:09:27.600 --> 0:09:30.560
<v Speaker 1>to understand that that's close to a quarter. It's about

0:09:31.520 --> 0:09:34.000
<v Speaker 1>of all people in the world in prisons and jails,

0:09:34.120 --> 0:09:38.120
<v Speaker 1>so we're an outlier. We also have between thirty six

0:09:38.160 --> 0:09:42.000
<v Speaker 1>and forty thousand people in immigration detention on any given day.

0:09:42.040 --> 0:09:44.640
<v Speaker 1>It's a much smaller number, but the conditions they are

0:09:44.679 --> 0:09:48.280
<v Speaker 1>also very worrisome. Uh So, of course, the things that

0:09:48.320 --> 0:09:51.200
<v Speaker 1>we've all been asked to do to socially distanced, to

0:09:51.280 --> 0:09:54.120
<v Speaker 1>keep six feet apart, to practice good hygiene, and the

0:09:54.240 --> 0:09:58.440
<v Speaker 1>hand washing, all of those elements are virtually impossible for

0:09:58.559 --> 0:10:01.800
<v Speaker 1>people in crowded to ten and facilities. And by people

0:10:01.880 --> 0:10:04.920
<v Speaker 1>in those facilities, I don't just mean the detainees, I

0:10:04.960 --> 0:10:07.880
<v Speaker 1>also mean the staff, guards, people who are in and

0:10:07.880 --> 0:10:11.320
<v Speaker 1>out of those facilities. That puts everybody at risk. And

0:10:11.360 --> 0:10:15.200
<v Speaker 1>it also because most of these facilities have three eight

0:10:15.200 --> 0:10:18.600
<v Speaker 1>hour ships today, means that people are constantly in and

0:10:18.600 --> 0:10:21.920
<v Speaker 1>out of these facilities, all the workers and staff, and

0:10:22.120 --> 0:10:26.040
<v Speaker 1>exposing their families. Uh So, this is this is a

0:10:26.200 --> 0:10:30.000
<v Speaker 1>very real concern, and we had been concerned about this

0:10:30.040 --> 0:10:32.120
<v Speaker 1>for a while because I've done work in the past

0:10:32.200 --> 0:10:36.320
<v Speaker 1>on other prison related outbreaks of other infectious diseases like

0:10:36.440 --> 0:10:41.200
<v Speaker 1>tuberculosis and m d RTV, MERSA, not the cylinder's staff

0:10:41.240 --> 0:10:45.400
<v Speaker 1>arius hep C, all of which have been increased in

0:10:45.480 --> 0:10:50.840
<v Speaker 1>transmission and risk in in prisons. But unfortunately, what we've

0:10:50.840 --> 0:10:53.720
<v Speaker 1>seen is that the responses have been too slow and

0:10:53.800 --> 0:10:57.400
<v Speaker 1>too late, and now we already have outbreaks underway in

0:10:57.480 --> 0:11:00.480
<v Speaker 1>prisons and jails. The most prominent one is Rikor Island

0:11:00.520 --> 0:11:03.880
<v Speaker 1>in New York, of course very large outbreak, but there's

0:11:03.920 --> 0:11:06.840
<v Speaker 1>one underway in Cook County in Chicago. There's a number

0:11:07.200 --> 0:11:10.679
<v Speaker 1>underway in immigration detention facilities in New Jersey. Those hold

0:11:10.760 --> 0:11:14.680
<v Speaker 1>many people arrested in New York, UH and UH, and

0:11:14.720 --> 0:11:19.760
<v Speaker 1>we are really very concerned about those issues. UM. It's

0:11:19.880 --> 0:11:23.960
<v Speaker 1>very clear that in the first outbreaks, UH, most of

0:11:24.000 --> 0:11:26.960
<v Speaker 1>the people affected have been staffed. This was true in Wuhan,

0:11:27.160 --> 0:11:31.480
<v Speaker 1>and it's true in Rikers, but that changes over time.

0:11:32.200 --> 0:11:34.600
<v Speaker 1>There's some other things we have to recognize as well.

0:11:34.640 --> 0:11:38.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure both of you have seen that there's emerging

0:11:38.080 --> 0:11:43.400
<v Speaker 1>evidence about how much more COVID nineteen disease and death

0:11:43.520 --> 0:11:47.600
<v Speaker 1>there appears to be in African Americans. And Dr Chris Biro,

0:11:47.720 --> 0:11:49.880
<v Speaker 1>who has been kind enough too and patient enough to

0:11:49.880 --> 0:11:53.760
<v Speaker 1>sit with us, Professor of Epidemiology, and Public Health and

0:11:53.840 --> 0:11:58.079
<v Speaker 1>Human Rights at John's Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. Uh,

0:11:58.160 --> 0:12:00.200
<v Speaker 1>so nice of you to stay with us, Dr vir

0:12:00.360 --> 0:12:02.480
<v Speaker 1>We were just going to start talking with you about

0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:07.440
<v Speaker 1>how disproportionately minorities have been impacted by this virus. UM

0:12:07.600 --> 0:12:09.720
<v Speaker 1>doesn't come as a surprise to me, because I feel

0:12:09.720 --> 0:12:12.560
<v Speaker 1>like often minorities, when it comes to some kinds of

0:12:12.800 --> 0:12:17.720
<v Speaker 1>health impact, they often get hit hardest, get hit the hardest. Um.

0:12:17.760 --> 0:12:19.679
<v Speaker 1>What are your thoughts about that? How do we make

0:12:19.720 --> 0:12:23.200
<v Speaker 1>a difference on the other side of this, Well, I

0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:26.760
<v Speaker 1>think I think it isn't a surprise, unfortunately that we're

0:12:26.760 --> 0:12:29.680
<v Speaker 1>seeing this. I think we are all surprised by the

0:12:29.720 --> 0:12:32.920
<v Speaker 1>magnitude of the difference. Doesn't appear to be a modest difference.

0:12:32.960 --> 0:12:36.360
<v Speaker 1>It appears to be a significantly higher rates of both

0:12:36.760 --> 0:12:41.480
<v Speaker 1>severe disease and death from COVID nineteen, particularly among African Americans,

0:12:41.480 --> 0:12:45.200
<v Speaker 1>but also Latinos. And this is emerging as an issue

0:12:45.760 --> 0:12:49.480
<v Speaker 1>for some Native American groups, particularly the Navajos. So we're

0:12:49.559 --> 0:12:52.840
<v Speaker 1>we're very concerned. I think there's several factors we have

0:12:52.920 --> 0:12:55.560
<v Speaker 1>to pay attention to. So one of the very first

0:12:55.920 --> 0:13:01.079
<v Speaker 1>is a report actually out of a job's position hum

0:13:01.400 --> 0:13:04.240
<v Speaker 1>which Charles blown the Times noted, which is that one

0:13:04.280 --> 0:13:07.280
<v Speaker 1>in five African Americans has a job for which you

0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:09.960
<v Speaker 1>can telecommute and work from home. So four out of

0:13:10.000 --> 0:13:14.520
<v Speaker 1>five are lower wage workers out there on the front lines.

0:13:14.679 --> 0:13:19.520
<v Speaker 1>So they're occupational situation in this country is an important exposure.

0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:22.760
<v Speaker 1>It's only one in six Latinos who can stay at home.

0:13:23.360 --> 0:13:25.720
<v Speaker 1>The second is of course that that means many of

0:13:25.760 --> 0:13:29.040
<v Speaker 1>these are workers who also are using public transportation, which

0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:32.280
<v Speaker 1>is emerging of course as a risk. Then we have

0:13:32.440 --> 0:13:36.480
<v Speaker 1>the issue of pre existing conditions. So African Americans in particular,

0:13:36.640 --> 0:13:39.160
<v Speaker 1>we've long known have higher rates of some of the

0:13:39.200 --> 0:13:43.079
<v Speaker 1>diseases that predispose you to do badly with COVID if

0:13:43.120 --> 0:13:46.760
<v Speaker 1>you do get exposed, and those include things like hypertension,

0:13:47.320 --> 0:13:52.680
<v Speaker 1>diabetes um UH, pre existing history of cancer UH and

0:13:52.840 --> 0:13:56.800
<v Speaker 1>also heart disease, which are all elevated in African Americans.

0:13:57.160 --> 0:14:00.200
<v Speaker 1>I think the other reality is something that's more on

0:14:00.320 --> 0:14:03.280
<v Speaker 1>us as a society, which is of course that they

0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:07.560
<v Speaker 1>have had lower access to healthcare and lower rates of

0:14:07.600 --> 0:14:11.880
<v Speaker 1>health insurance. And if you look across particularly the swath

0:14:11.960 --> 0:14:16.240
<v Speaker 1>of the Southeast, which has the largest African American populations,

0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:19.480
<v Speaker 1>we have a lot of red state governors who did

0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:23.080
<v Speaker 1>not want to extend the Affordable Care Act with Medicaid UH,

0:14:23.120 --> 0:14:26.960
<v Speaker 1>and did not extend the Health Insurance Ranchise right now,

0:14:27.000 --> 0:14:30.880
<v Speaker 1>as you may know, that administration did not open another

0:14:31.000 --> 0:14:34.400
<v Speaker 1>round of a c A sign ups uh and UH.

0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:36.720
<v Speaker 1>And so in the midst of this crisis, we're still

0:14:36.760 --> 0:14:40.200
<v Speaker 1>limiting people's access to health and shure UH and that

0:14:40.400 --> 0:14:44.560
<v Speaker 1>disproportionately affects low income people, and low income people in

0:14:44.600 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 1>the US is always confounded by race and ethnicity. So

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:52.520
<v Speaker 1>I think all of those factors, the their employment and

0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:56.600
<v Speaker 1>use of public transportation, the pre existing conditions, the lower

0:14:56.640 --> 0:15:01.160
<v Speaker 1>access to healthcare, the disproportionate lack of access to the

0:15:01.200 --> 0:15:04.560
<v Speaker 1>Affordable Care Act in the South and Southeast, all these

0:15:04.600 --> 0:15:08.120
<v Speaker 1>factors are coming together, unfortunately, and what what we call

0:15:08.160 --> 0:15:13.000
<v Speaker 1>a syndemic. It's it's an interaction of multiple factors. Well,

0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:16.320
<v Speaker 1>let's hope that folks take notice. UH, and there is

0:15:16.360 --> 0:15:18.360
<v Speaker 1>something that we address on the other side of this,

0:15:18.360 --> 0:15:20.960
<v Speaker 1>because we certainly are having the conversation, but it would

0:15:20.960 --> 0:15:23.120
<v Speaker 1>be great to see some action as well on the

0:15:23.160 --> 0:15:25.560
<v Speaker 1>other side. UM, thank you, thank you so much for

0:15:25.560 --> 0:15:29.000
<v Speaker 1>your time. Dr Buyer, and we really appreciate you awaiting

0:15:29.080 --> 0:15:31.720
<v Speaker 1>lest we took that press conference. Dr Chris ban Byer

0:15:32.040 --> 0:15:35.480
<v Speaker 1>He's professor of epidemiology and public Health and Human Rights

0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:38.840
<v Speaker 1>at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and of

0:15:38.840 --> 0:15:41.920
<v Speaker 1>course the Bloomberg School of Public Health, supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, Founder,

0:15:41.920 --> 0:15:46.240
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg LP, and Bloomberg Philanthropies. You're listening to Bloomberg Business

0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:50.280
<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio.

0:15:50.640 --> 0:15:52.280
<v Speaker 1>We do want to get to the cover story of

0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:54.880
<v Speaker 1>the magazine about how everyone is talking about it more

0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:58.000
<v Speaker 1>notably seems to be using Zoom. Let's get right to it.

0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:00.600
<v Speaker 1>It is, as we mentioned the cover story story. Drake

0:16:00.640 --> 0:16:04.160
<v Speaker 1>Bennett is projects an investigations reporter, on the phone in

0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:06.920
<v Speaker 1>New York along with Bloomberg Business Week editor Joe Webber.

0:16:06.960 --> 0:16:10.120
<v Speaker 1>He's on the phone in Brooklyn. So Joel, Uh, this

0:16:10.200 --> 0:16:12.040
<v Speaker 1>is a story. I'm so glad you guys are doing.

0:16:12.080 --> 0:16:15.720
<v Speaker 1>It's a story and it's the company everybody's talking about. Yeah,

0:16:15.760 --> 0:16:19.200
<v Speaker 1>this is one that the moment that we all uh

0:16:19.240 --> 0:16:22.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, went on lock like wait a second, you

0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:25.240
<v Speaker 1>guys see what's been going on with Zoom share price

0:16:25.640 --> 0:16:27.960
<v Speaker 1>and that was actually even before the lockdown, and this

0:16:28.040 --> 0:16:30.840
<v Speaker 1>was a company that you know has obviously got a

0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:36.280
<v Speaker 1>product video conferencing, that is really really important right now.

0:16:36.800 --> 0:16:38.840
<v Speaker 1>And I think with the beauty of the story that

0:16:38.920 --> 0:16:42.160
<v Speaker 1>Drake and who co authored the story with Nico Grant,

0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:44.360
<v Speaker 1>the thing that they realized was like, look, this business

0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 1>model was really great pre coronavirus, and now it's just

0:16:48.520 --> 0:16:53.080
<v Speaker 1>been consumed by everybody using this product. And that's why

0:16:53.120 --> 0:16:54.960
<v Speaker 1>we you know, I almost liken it too if this

0:16:55.120 --> 0:16:59.720
<v Speaker 1>accidental social networks like and they've been growing now almost

0:16:59.800 --> 0:17:03.120
<v Speaker 1>at a speed at which the pandemic has spread, and

0:17:03.160 --> 0:17:06.359
<v Speaker 1>with that has come a bunch of challenges. Um, Drake,

0:17:06.480 --> 0:17:09.480
<v Speaker 1>what kind of challenges stick out to you? Because the

0:17:09.560 --> 0:17:15.600
<v Speaker 1>zoom the zoom lash is real. Yeah, I mean what's um,

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 1>what's a little ironic is that Eric Yuan, the founder

0:17:18.560 --> 0:17:22.359
<v Speaker 1>of them, was someone who was really, um, kind of

0:17:22.400 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 1>paranoid about making sure that he had built in enough

0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:28.600
<v Speaker 1>capacity for his network to be able to absorb kind

0:17:28.640 --> 0:17:31.639
<v Speaker 1>of unheard of levels of traffic. So you always have

0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>this policy that you always want to have like twice

0:17:33.600 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 1>the server capacity of their sort of highest peak use um.

0:17:38.280 --> 0:17:40.920
<v Speaker 1>And so in that way, they've done a pretty good

0:17:41.000 --> 0:17:44.200
<v Speaker 1>job of like managing just the numbers. But the thing

0:17:44.240 --> 0:17:46.159
<v Speaker 1>that he was not prepared for in the company was

0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:49.119
<v Speaker 1>not prepared for. It was just um the privacy and

0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:52.159
<v Speaker 1>security issues that would emerge once you suddenly had the

0:17:52.359 --> 0:17:54.879
<v Speaker 1>entire world using this and using it in a way

0:17:54.920 --> 0:17:57.680
<v Speaker 1>that they had not designed it for. You know, people

0:17:57.720 --> 0:18:00.760
<v Speaker 1>are putting their entire socialized as you put it on

0:18:00.800 --> 0:18:03.480
<v Speaker 1>this platform which was designed for you know, like work

0:18:03.640 --> 0:18:10.400
<v Speaker 1>video conferencing. And I'm just I'm fascinated by the by

0:18:10.400 --> 0:18:14.040
<v Speaker 1>the Zoom lash here, uh Drake, I mean New York City,

0:18:14.280 --> 0:18:17.720
<v Speaker 1>it's just been it's just been brutal, uh in terms

0:18:17.760 --> 0:18:19.840
<v Speaker 1>of the response, and you know, even just talking to

0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:22.480
<v Speaker 1>people around the neighborhood, you know, folks like, yeah, I

0:18:22.520 --> 0:18:25.359
<v Speaker 1>want to Yeah, we should do this, But how do

0:18:25.440 --> 0:18:28.120
<v Speaker 1>they sort of get people back on side, especially sort

0:18:28.160 --> 0:18:32.119
<v Speaker 1>of more regulated entities. Yeah, I mean I think that,

0:18:32.520 --> 0:18:35.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, just in terms of the I think it's

0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:37.560
<v Speaker 1>helpful to kind of think of the problems in kind

0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:40.840
<v Speaker 1>of three categories. You know. One is these issues about

0:18:41.560 --> 0:18:45.600
<v Speaker 1>how what kind of data Zoom gets about you and

0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:50.640
<v Speaker 1>how they use it. Another category is um security vulnerabilities

0:18:50.640 --> 0:18:55.360
<v Speaker 1>that that arise um uh, where you know, Zoom can

0:18:55.400 --> 0:18:58.200
<v Speaker 1>be used by hackers to get malware under your computer,

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:00.520
<v Speaker 1>or hackers could use it to take over your webcam

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:03.120
<v Speaker 1>and spy on you. Um And and the third one

0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:06.960
<v Speaker 1>is is um is these incidents where people are just

0:19:07.000 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 1>sort of you know, whether it's sort of board kids

0:19:09.359 --> 0:19:13.440
<v Speaker 1>who are home from school or kind of white supremacist

0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:17.560
<v Speaker 1>trolls are using it to kind of invade people's meetings

0:19:17.600 --> 0:19:22.560
<v Speaker 1>and disrupt them in kind of horrifying ways. And so Zoom,

0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:25.320
<v Speaker 1>to its credit, has been very quick to respond to

0:19:25.760 --> 0:19:28.679
<v Speaker 1>almost all of the concerns that have been raised. I mean,

0:19:28.720 --> 0:19:32.520
<v Speaker 1>they've they've patched these vulnerabilities, they've changed their privacy policy.

0:19:33.040 --> 0:19:36.639
<v Speaker 1>You know, they've hired all these consultants. They're getting you know,

0:19:36.880 --> 0:19:39.520
<v Speaker 1>sort of white hat hackers to come to penetration tests

0:19:39.560 --> 0:19:41.639
<v Speaker 1>on their system. So they're trying very hard, and I

0:19:41.680 --> 0:19:43.720
<v Speaker 1>think it's a good, very good faith effort to try

0:19:43.720 --> 0:19:46.720
<v Speaker 1>to deal with this stuff. Um And you know, as

0:19:46.840 --> 0:19:49.080
<v Speaker 1>Joel pointed out, a lot of this is just the

0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:52.880
<v Speaker 1>fact that they've grown at this this kind of time

0:19:52.920 --> 0:19:56.120
<v Speaker 1>scale that no other social network has had to contend with.

0:19:56.920 --> 0:19:59.760
<v Speaker 1>I mean, and to get to get those numbers out there, Drake,

0:19:59.800 --> 0:20:02.440
<v Speaker 1>what it was like ten million users daily, US million

0:20:02.520 --> 0:20:06.760
<v Speaker 1>users in December and then two million users, probably more

0:20:06.800 --> 0:20:09.359
<v Speaker 1>than that now, but when they announced it if from

0:20:09.400 --> 0:20:11.720
<v Speaker 1>ten to two million, which is just you know, it's

0:20:11.760 --> 0:20:16.320
<v Speaker 1>like the crazy orders of magnitude growth. And when you

0:20:16.359 --> 0:20:19.440
<v Speaker 1>really think about that, it's like it's basically critical infrastructure.

0:20:19.480 --> 0:20:21.320
<v Speaker 1>That's what we call it in the story, like it

0:20:21.520 --> 0:20:23.560
<v Speaker 1>is the thing that you know, you're talking to your

0:20:23.600 --> 0:20:27.399
<v Speaker 1>colleagues with your my kids classroom is using it for

0:20:27.440 --> 0:20:30.560
<v Speaker 1>their morning check ins, it's and people are going on

0:20:30.760 --> 0:20:34.760
<v Speaker 1>dates through this, We're having constant hours. It's it's just

0:20:34.800 --> 0:20:39.600
<v Speaker 1>amazing how it's become sort of the software of the moment.

0:20:40.680 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 1>But you know, Drake, I thought, you know, another thing

0:20:42.760 --> 0:20:46.280
<v Speaker 1>that that you had been able to hit on here

0:20:46.440 --> 0:20:49.840
<v Speaker 1>was that this comes from the initial idea. It was

0:20:49.880 --> 0:20:54.520
<v Speaker 1>a really simple interface and the simplicity of that is

0:20:54.560 --> 0:20:57.919
<v Speaker 1>actually what allowed it to meet this moment. Well. And listen,

0:20:58.000 --> 0:21:00.399
<v Speaker 1>everybody needs to go to the magazine, go online to

0:21:00.440 --> 0:21:02.680
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com and read the entire story. And we're

0:21:02.680 --> 0:21:04.600
<v Speaker 1>gonna talk with the CEO and founder of Zoom a

0:21:04.680 --> 0:21:07.359
<v Speaker 1>little bit later on. So for thanks, to Drake and

0:21:07.400 --> 0:21:11.119
<v Speaker 1>to Joel. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:21:11.160 --> 0:21:14.760
<v Speaker 1>Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. One of the

0:21:14.760 --> 0:21:17.760
<v Speaker 1>big stories though today we're certainly some action by the

0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:22.119
<v Speaker 1>Federal Reserve and actually hearing from fedhare J Powell uh

0:21:22.240 --> 0:21:24.880
<v Speaker 1>in a webcast hosted by the Brookings Institution. Let's start

0:21:24.960 --> 0:21:26.679
<v Speaker 1>right there, a little snippet of what he had to

0:21:26.720 --> 0:21:29.399
<v Speaker 1>say at the FED. We're doing all we can to

0:21:29.480 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 1>help shephard the economy through this difficult time. When the

0:21:32.840 --> 0:21:35.840
<v Speaker 1>spread of the virus is under control, businesses will reopen

0:21:36.040 --> 0:21:39.040
<v Speaker 1>and people will come back to work. There is every

0:21:39.040 --> 0:21:41.840
<v Speaker 1>reason to believe that the economic rebound when it comes

0:21:41.920 --> 0:21:46.239
<v Speaker 1>can be robust. All right, So let's break down with

0:21:46.280 --> 0:21:50.159
<v Speaker 1>our economics team. We've got them gathered remotely as we do,

0:21:50.240 --> 0:21:53.000
<v Speaker 1>as everyone does these days. Kathleen Hayes with US Global

0:21:53.000 --> 0:21:57.400
<v Speaker 1>Economics and Policy Editor from Bloomberg, on the phone from Pennsylvania.

0:21:57.440 --> 0:22:01.160
<v Speaker 1>Carl Wick, Donna, chief economys for Bloomberg at Economics. He's

0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:03.719
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from New Jersey. Kathleen, I want to

0:22:03.760 --> 0:22:06.600
<v Speaker 1>start with you hadn't heard from j. Pale since he

0:22:06.640 --> 0:22:08.560
<v Speaker 1>popped up on the today show. A couple of weeks ago,

0:22:08.600 --> 0:22:11.679
<v Speaker 1>we talked to you about that, uh several times. What

0:22:11.760 --> 0:22:14.879
<v Speaker 1>did you hear from j pal today? That was most important?

0:22:15.800 --> 0:22:18.840
<v Speaker 1>Reassurance the set is doing what it can. The FED

0:22:18.920 --> 0:22:21.919
<v Speaker 1>has done more for the feed. It's not necessarily about spending,

0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:24.760
<v Speaker 1>it's about lending. I think he's trying to, you know,

0:22:25.160 --> 0:22:28.640
<v Speaker 1>quietly address his concern that maybe the FED could pick

0:22:28.640 --> 0:22:31.320
<v Speaker 1>winners and losers with some of these new programs has

0:22:31.359 --> 0:22:34.360
<v Speaker 1>put into place, and reassurance that the said knows how

0:22:34.440 --> 0:22:37.480
<v Speaker 1>bad the situation is for the economy right now, how

0:22:37.520 --> 0:22:40.080
<v Speaker 1>there's going to be no not even the thought of

0:22:40.160 --> 0:22:44.159
<v Speaker 1>moving the key rate above zero until it's clear that

0:22:44.240 --> 0:22:48.919
<v Speaker 1>the economy is launched into recovery. And finally that he

0:22:49.080 --> 0:22:51.760
<v Speaker 1>thinks there's he thinks there's a chance, if things go well,

0:22:51.880 --> 0:22:53.760
<v Speaker 1>that we will see a rebound in the second half

0:22:53.760 --> 0:22:56.320
<v Speaker 1>of the year. I think that's the kind of reassuring

0:22:56.520 --> 0:22:59.840
<v Speaker 1>fireside chat that people needed to hear. Right as we

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:02.120
<v Speaker 1>at the top of our broadcast, you know, the FED

0:23:02.160 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 1>to the rescue again. What we heard, though the exact

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:09.000
<v Speaker 1>words from FED Chief j Pale was an economic rebound

0:23:09.040 --> 0:23:11.680
<v Speaker 1>that will be robust. Carl Ricka Donna, do you agree

0:23:11.760 --> 0:23:15.560
<v Speaker 1>with him? Well, Fed to the rescue, here, there and everywhere,

0:23:15.600 --> 0:23:19.920
<v Speaker 1>We should say, Carol, because it's really unprecedented market action. Uh,

0:23:20.000 --> 0:23:23.680
<v Speaker 1>not just in treasuries and mortgages, but really across the spectrum.

0:23:23.680 --> 0:23:26.560
<v Speaker 1>The FED is UH putting its thumb on the scale

0:23:26.600 --> 0:23:31.840
<v Speaker 1>and a whole flew of core capital markets. I think

0:23:31.920 --> 0:23:36.080
<v Speaker 1>that we could see decent economic growth in the back

0:23:36.080 --> 0:23:38.119
<v Speaker 1>half of the year, but we will still be in

0:23:38.200 --> 0:23:40.840
<v Speaker 1>a recovery phase because we're going to see a very

0:23:40.920 --> 0:23:44.520
<v Speaker 1>sharp decline in economic activity in the current quarter, a

0:23:44.600 --> 0:23:48.399
<v Speaker 1>double digit decline, probably the worst going back over the

0:23:48.520 --> 0:23:52.280
<v Speaker 1>entire history to World War two. And so the deeper

0:23:52.320 --> 0:23:55.080
<v Speaker 1>we go in Q two, the easier it is to

0:23:55.119 --> 0:23:58.879
<v Speaker 1>get some not so bad numbers in UH in the

0:23:58.960 --> 0:24:02.320
<v Speaker 1>third quarter and the fourth quarter, but that still will

0:24:02.359 --> 0:24:05.520
<v Speaker 1>leave us in deeply negative territory for the year as

0:24:05.520 --> 0:24:10.560
<v Speaker 1>a whole. And so I don't know, Kathleen, like, what

0:24:10.640 --> 0:24:13.200
<v Speaker 1>do we need to hear next from from the FED?

0:24:13.240 --> 0:24:17.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, we you and others have been hearing pretty

0:24:17.600 --> 0:24:20.119
<v Speaker 1>robustly from a lot of FED speakers over the last

0:24:20.520 --> 0:24:22.520
<v Speaker 1>a couple weeks. What do we need to hear next?

0:24:22.600 --> 0:24:28.280
<v Speaker 1>What else? Can they tell us to continue this reassurance? Well,

0:24:28.800 --> 0:24:32.480
<v Speaker 1>at this point was all the lending programs they have launched.

0:24:32.560 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 1>Presumably what the good news would be for us to

0:24:35.040 --> 0:24:39.120
<v Speaker 1>hear is them acknowledging them saying, look, these are working,

0:24:39.200 --> 0:24:43.320
<v Speaker 1>and I think, um, we've already seen evidence that they

0:24:43.440 --> 0:24:45.840
<v Speaker 1>have worked. I mean, they actually were able to say

0:24:45.960 --> 0:24:48.879
<v Speaker 1>they're going to scale back the quantitative easy and the

0:24:48.920 --> 0:24:52.080
<v Speaker 1>bond purchases by twenty billion in the period they're they're

0:24:52.119 --> 0:24:55.879
<v Speaker 1>referring to UM because and in presumbly that's because they

0:24:56.200 --> 0:24:58.520
<v Speaker 1>accomplished one thing they were really worried about in mid

0:24:58.560 --> 0:25:00.760
<v Speaker 1>February going into March, that a free market it was

0:25:00.800 --> 0:25:04.520
<v Speaker 1>going crazy. You see more stability, less volatility, So that

0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:07.800
<v Speaker 1>just that action is reassurance that the FED things that's

0:25:07.840 --> 0:25:11.040
<v Speaker 1>going well. It's clear that they're shifting their focus though,

0:25:11.359 --> 0:25:15.600
<v Speaker 1>going to buy UH corporate bonds below investment grade, some

0:25:15.640 --> 0:25:18.400
<v Speaker 1>of them three levels into junk tripics. Quote from Mark

0:25:18.400 --> 0:25:21.199
<v Speaker 1>Futner in one of our Bloomberg stories saying, it's not

0:25:21.280 --> 0:25:24.879
<v Speaker 1>that they're buying UH, they're buying fallen angels, you know,

0:25:24.920 --> 0:25:27.920
<v Speaker 1>companies brought down to junk. Statisfy, what's been going on

0:25:28.119 --> 0:25:31.280
<v Speaker 1>they're not dastrically devils. Right, that's the kind of thing

0:25:31.280 --> 0:25:32.880
<v Speaker 1>the FED has to tell us. All right, So while

0:25:32.880 --> 0:25:35.400
<v Speaker 1>the FED is out there, you know, action after action

0:25:35.480 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 1>fed to the rescue. UM, we know the government Congress

0:25:38.880 --> 0:25:41.280
<v Speaker 1>has past that you know, massive two trillion dollar program

0:25:41.320 --> 0:25:44.880
<v Speaker 1>that included about half a trillion dollars for hard hit industries.

0:25:45.200 --> 0:25:48.000
<v Speaker 1>As for the airlines, some headlines just crossing the Bloomberg

0:25:48.080 --> 0:25:52.080
<v Speaker 1>terminal UH in a phone call described UH, I guess

0:25:52.080 --> 0:25:55.200
<v Speaker 1>according or folks familiar talking about a phone call that

0:25:55.240 --> 0:25:57.840
<v Speaker 1>the airlines I think had with the government. US airlines

0:25:57.880 --> 0:26:01.160
<v Speaker 1>seeking federal aid told it will be another week. Some

0:26:01.240 --> 0:26:04.720
<v Speaker 1>carriers told of the delay in that call with the Treasury.

0:26:04.840 --> 0:26:07.879
<v Speaker 1>And what specifically is at issue is the Treasury Department

0:26:07.920 --> 0:26:12.200
<v Speaker 1>deciding how to distribute about twenty nine million dollars. So again,

0:26:12.240 --> 0:26:15.080
<v Speaker 1>this was a call that it looks like some airlines

0:26:15.160 --> 0:26:17.879
<v Speaker 1>had with the Treasury Department, described to us by people

0:26:17.920 --> 0:26:21.560
<v Speaker 1>familiar with that phone call. So you know, I understand

0:26:21.560 --> 0:26:24.399
<v Speaker 1>the government trying to figure out how to um, you know,

0:26:24.760 --> 0:26:27.879
<v Speaker 1>uh distribute it ultimately. So Carl, I want to go

0:26:27.880 --> 0:26:30.359
<v Speaker 1>back to you because you laid out the scenario of

0:26:30.359 --> 0:26:32.720
<v Speaker 1>what you're expecting in terms of growth or lack thereof

0:26:33.440 --> 0:26:36.439
<v Speaker 1>UM going to be some staggering numbers. But do you

0:26:36.520 --> 0:26:40.200
<v Speaker 1>have some confidence because of some of the massive aid

0:26:40.240 --> 0:26:43.480
<v Speaker 1>packages coming from the government and probably more to come,

0:26:43.520 --> 0:26:45.879
<v Speaker 1>and the FED out there doing everything and anything that

0:26:45.920 --> 0:26:48.520
<v Speaker 1>it can that ultimately, when we do get a recovery,

0:26:48.640 --> 0:26:53.399
<v Speaker 1>it will be a pretty dynamic one. I I still

0:26:53.760 --> 0:26:57.920
<v Speaker 1>retain some reserve about that being a dynamic and robust recovery.

0:26:57.960 --> 0:27:00.520
<v Speaker 1>I think that there's a real risk that we limp

0:27:00.560 --> 0:27:04.480
<v Speaker 1>out of this very sharp contraction if we're not successful

0:27:04.480 --> 0:27:07.639
<v Speaker 1>in containment measures. First of all, if we, you know,

0:27:08.119 --> 0:27:10.639
<v Speaker 1>undo the lockdown too soon and we see another spike

0:27:10.840 --> 0:27:13.199
<v Speaker 1>and we're talking about climbing up the curve again and

0:27:13.280 --> 0:27:16.400
<v Speaker 1>hospitals becoming overwhelmed, that is very much within the realm

0:27:16.400 --> 0:27:19.840
<v Speaker 1>of possibility. If the lockdown does not stamp out UH,

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:24.679
<v Speaker 1>you know, the risk of virus UH spreading again, So

0:27:24.920 --> 0:27:27.600
<v Speaker 1>that that's something that could slowest down on the recovery. Also,

0:27:28.000 --> 0:27:32.879
<v Speaker 1>it's a massive stimulus UH package, but it's right sized

0:27:32.960 --> 0:27:36.040
<v Speaker 1>if it's delivered swiftly. If we're not delivering it swiftly,

0:27:36.040 --> 0:27:38.720
<v Speaker 1>then the problem continues to grow and the price take

0:27:38.760 --> 0:27:43.000
<v Speaker 1>continues to increase, and so things like unemployment benefits, we're

0:27:43.040 --> 0:27:46.000
<v Speaker 1>working through those. The checks are arriving, the rebate checks

0:27:46.080 --> 0:27:49.080
<v Speaker 1>should be arriving soon. But the longer folks have to

0:27:49.119 --> 0:27:52.760
<v Speaker 1>wait for those funds, the more the economic pain intensifies.

0:27:52.800 --> 0:27:55.600
<v Speaker 1>And the best example of that, h what was what

0:27:55.640 --> 0:27:58.879
<v Speaker 1>you just highlighted with the airlines clamoring for the money

0:27:59.320 --> 0:28:02.400
<v Speaker 1>and having to wait for it, but also with small businesses,

0:28:02.480 --> 0:28:06.639
<v Speaker 1>the small business loan to grant program is stumbling out

0:28:06.680 --> 0:28:10.400
<v Speaker 1>of the block. There's tremendous uncertainty. Funds are not being distributed,

0:28:10.640 --> 0:28:13.359
<v Speaker 1>they don't have enough money in the system. Congress is

0:28:13.440 --> 0:28:17.440
<v Speaker 1>bungling the passage of augmenting those funds, and so small

0:28:17.480 --> 0:28:20.240
<v Speaker 1>businesses are sitting around waiting for the checks. They can

0:28:20.240 --> 0:28:22.960
<v Speaker 1>only wait so long before they finally have to sow

0:28:23.000 --> 0:28:25.479
<v Speaker 1>with their hands in the air and uh and give up.

0:28:25.680 --> 0:28:27.720
<v Speaker 1>And you have the airline sector, Jason, as we know

0:28:27.840 --> 0:28:30.960
<v Speaker 1>that they're looking at towards summer and they're anticipating cutting,

0:28:31.119 --> 0:28:34.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, those summer flights up. They're expecting consumers are

0:28:34.800 --> 0:28:37.560
<v Speaker 1>going to be slow to come back, absolutely, and we're

0:28:37.600 --> 0:28:41.239
<v Speaker 1>seeing that, you know, in the traffic data already all right,

0:28:41.560 --> 0:28:44.360
<v Speaker 1>really good stuff. Thank you so much to Kathleen Hayes,

0:28:44.360 --> 0:28:47.040
<v Speaker 1>Global Economics and Pulsey editor for Bloomberg Joinis on the

0:28:47.040 --> 0:28:50.120
<v Speaker 1>phone from Pennsylvania, and Carl ra Kadona, chios economists for

0:28:50.160 --> 0:28:53.680
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Economics. He joined us on the phone from New Jersey.

0:28:53.800 --> 0:28:57.240
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and

0:28:57.440 --> 0:29:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. Well, and as the market

0:29:01.120 --> 0:29:05.120
<v Speaker 1>becomes more enthusiastic and we start to think about coming back,

0:29:05.600 --> 0:29:08.080
<v Speaker 1>part of what is going to be at the heart

0:29:08.200 --> 0:29:14.080
<v Speaker 1>of this is testing and treatment therapeutic vaccines, the medical side.

0:29:14.200 --> 0:29:16.800
<v Speaker 1>Let's understand that piece of it. For that, we turned

0:29:16.840 --> 0:29:20.560
<v Speaker 1>to Brian Scorney, senior biotech and pharma analysts for Bear Johnnys,

0:29:20.600 --> 0:29:24.720
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from New York City. So, Brian, you

0:29:24.960 --> 0:29:28.760
<v Speaker 1>look at these pharma companies, the biotech companies, they are

0:29:28.880 --> 0:29:32.520
<v Speaker 1>all scrambling, to say the least, all efforts on the

0:29:32.600 --> 0:29:34.600
<v Speaker 1>medical side of this. What do we need to know?

0:29:34.760 --> 0:29:37.280
<v Speaker 1>What's the latest? Yeah, so certainly I think it's I

0:29:37.320 --> 0:29:40.160
<v Speaker 1>think it's all hands on deck. Um, you can't even

0:29:40.240 --> 0:29:42.800
<v Speaker 1>count this at this point. How many different companies have

0:29:42.840 --> 0:29:45.959
<v Speaker 1>announced press releases with throw programs to develop something UM

0:29:46.200 --> 0:29:49.760
<v Speaker 1>to handle this UH epidemic that we're seeing. There's a

0:29:49.800 --> 0:29:52.040
<v Speaker 1>number of things already in development, and there's multiple UM

0:29:52.800 --> 0:29:55.560
<v Speaker 1>ways that people are thinking about targeting the virus. I

0:29:55.600 --> 0:29:58.000
<v Speaker 1>think the most promising UM in in the near term

0:29:58.080 --> 0:30:01.440
<v Speaker 1>for having effect is trying to UH just some of

0:30:01.480 --> 0:30:03.720
<v Speaker 1>the downstream effects of the disease. So you know, I

0:30:03.760 --> 0:30:07.120
<v Speaker 1>look at companies like Rossian Regenera on UM with their

0:30:07.160 --> 0:30:11.280
<v Speaker 1>their drugstorio aisle six. UM really stops one of the biggest,

0:30:11.480 --> 0:30:14.800
<v Speaker 1>UM most fatal manifestations of the disease, which is this

0:30:14.960 --> 0:30:16.880
<v Speaker 1>over response of the immune system. I think those are

0:30:17.000 --> 0:30:19.280
<v Speaker 1>are very promising. So a number of companies looking to

0:30:19.360 --> 0:30:23.160
<v Speaker 1>target the virus it self stop stop the viral replication. UM.

0:30:23.240 --> 0:30:25.160
<v Speaker 1>There's a number of those in clinical development. You know.

0:30:25.560 --> 0:30:27.920
<v Speaker 1>I think those are a little more ambiguous because UM,

0:30:28.160 --> 0:30:29.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's a new virus and we really need

0:30:29.840 --> 0:30:32.800
<v Speaker 1>to kind of understand what it is and where it's

0:30:32.840 --> 0:30:35.600
<v Speaker 1>replicating to design something specific for right Well, that's what

0:30:35.640 --> 0:30:38.160
<v Speaker 1>I want to ask you, because if we designed specifically

0:30:38.240 --> 0:30:43.240
<v Speaker 1>a vaccine for COVID nineteen, if you know it mutates,

0:30:43.440 --> 0:30:46.240
<v Speaker 1>does that mean we still don't have a vaccine for

0:30:47.120 --> 0:30:50.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, the mutation. I mean, so or if a

0:30:50.200 --> 0:30:52.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of people have ultimately had COVID nineteen, we don't

0:30:52.680 --> 0:30:56.040
<v Speaker 1>know because we haven't done enough testing Brian, that do

0:30:56.160 --> 0:30:58.720
<v Speaker 1>we all have immunity and so having a vaccine isn't

0:30:58.760 --> 0:31:01.800
<v Speaker 1>as important as as it as it once was. Yeah,

0:31:01.880 --> 0:31:03.600
<v Speaker 1>so I think, I mean, I think that's a great question.

0:31:03.760 --> 0:31:05.640
<v Speaker 1>And you know, unfortunately, I think at this point it's

0:31:05.680 --> 0:31:09.080
<v Speaker 1>really too early in the disease to really know, Um,

0:31:09.200 --> 0:31:11.720
<v Speaker 1>what's gonna happen you ask, you know what, We're gonna

0:31:11.760 --> 0:31:13.520
<v Speaker 1>start looking at people to see if they're immune, if

0:31:13.520 --> 0:31:17.400
<v Speaker 1>they've had um antibody responding to this and and their

0:31:17.440 --> 0:31:20.520
<v Speaker 1>own immune system can recognize it subsequently, Um, you know,

0:31:20.600 --> 0:31:23.360
<v Speaker 1>we're still in the very early stages. It doesn't seem

0:31:23.400 --> 0:31:27.360
<v Speaker 1>like people who have immediately been infected are getting reinfected, uh,

0:31:27.440 --> 0:31:30.040
<v Speaker 1>in any large extent. And and just based on kind

0:31:30.080 --> 0:31:33.400
<v Speaker 1>of classical immunology, we would expect that you would be

0:31:33.560 --> 0:31:36.960
<v Speaker 1>protected to some extent for for some minimum short period

0:31:37.000 --> 0:31:39.120
<v Speaker 1>of time. But is it something like chicken pox where

0:31:39.240 --> 0:31:42.240
<v Speaker 1>essentially one exposure gets you lifelong immunity, or is it

0:31:42.320 --> 0:31:45.840
<v Speaker 1>influenza where um, you know, see the virus changing and

0:31:46.200 --> 0:31:49.280
<v Speaker 1>the immune system really can't handle, um, the changes in

0:31:49.320 --> 0:31:51.440
<v Speaker 1>the virus as it as it goes season after season.

0:31:51.880 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 1>We really don't know. I mean, it's it's a much

0:31:53.880 --> 0:31:57.479
<v Speaker 1>different virus than either of those. So there's reasons to believe, uh,

0:31:57.760 --> 0:31:59.800
<v Speaker 1>it can find wind up balling somewhere in between. I

0:31:59.840 --> 0:32:01.520
<v Speaker 1>think it's very early stage. But that and then the

0:32:01.560 --> 0:32:03.360
<v Speaker 1>vaccine is you know, it's sort of the same thing.

0:32:03.480 --> 0:32:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Is it's going to be something where we can develop

0:32:05.040 --> 0:32:07.920
<v Speaker 1>a vaccine and they'll be something that gets adjusted every year,

0:32:08.080 --> 0:32:10.720
<v Speaker 1>or is one vaccination going to give lifelong protection? I

0:32:10.720 --> 0:32:12.760
<v Speaker 1>think it's just way too early to really to really

0:32:12.800 --> 0:32:16.320
<v Speaker 1>know the answer to that yet. And Brian help us understand,

0:32:16.480 --> 0:32:18.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, for those of us trying to get our

0:32:18.360 --> 0:32:23.440
<v Speaker 1>heads around this more effort on therapeutics, vaccines, testing, like,

0:32:23.720 --> 0:32:25.680
<v Speaker 1>where are you seeing the most action and where are

0:32:25.680 --> 0:32:29.400
<v Speaker 1>you seeing the most promise even from an investor's perspective,

0:32:29.440 --> 0:32:30.840
<v Speaker 1>And I'm going to ask you where do you think

0:32:30.920 --> 0:32:32.680
<v Speaker 1>with what do you know just attack on to that?

0:32:33.000 --> 0:32:36.320
<v Speaker 1>Where should the efforts be placed at this point? Is

0:32:36.320 --> 0:32:38.719
<v Speaker 1>it a vaccine or is it dealing with those who

0:32:38.800 --> 0:32:42.120
<v Speaker 1>come down with with the ailment. Well, I think the

0:32:42.160 --> 0:32:43.640
<v Speaker 1>most near term thing that we're gonna be able to

0:32:43.800 --> 0:32:47.080
<v Speaker 1>handle is people who come down with the actual ailment, right,

0:32:47.720 --> 0:32:49.760
<v Speaker 1>And when you think of what happens to these patients,

0:32:49.800 --> 0:32:53.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, they get pneumonia, they have immunological responses um

0:32:53.080 --> 0:32:57.640
<v Speaker 1>that you know send them in very frequent cases into

0:32:57.680 --> 0:33:01.320
<v Speaker 1>fatal conditions. There's ways to intervene with the downstream effects

0:33:01.360 --> 0:33:03.280
<v Speaker 1>of what the virus are causing, and we know a

0:33:03.360 --> 0:33:05.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of those, and like I said, Rocha's actemra is

0:33:05.440 --> 0:33:08.000
<v Speaker 1>one way. Uh, people are exploring it, right and then

0:33:08.400 --> 0:33:10.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, the next stage is to actually target the

0:33:10.160 --> 0:33:12.560
<v Speaker 1>virus itself. I think we're a little too early for that,

0:33:12.640 --> 0:33:15.280
<v Speaker 1>but that'll be something um that that that will be

0:33:15.360 --> 0:33:19.360
<v Speaker 1>able to move relatively rapid UM On a vaccine I

0:33:19.400 --> 0:33:21.520
<v Speaker 1>think is unfortunately a little bit more of a long

0:33:21.600 --> 0:33:23.680
<v Speaker 1>termission again because you think about what what you need

0:33:23.720 --> 0:33:26.280
<v Speaker 1>to do for a vaccine, for a therapeutic, you're willing

0:33:26.320 --> 0:33:28.640
<v Speaker 1>to take some risk because the patient actually has the

0:33:28.920 --> 0:33:31.400
<v Speaker 1>disease itself. UM. With a vaccine, I mean you're talking

0:33:31.440 --> 0:33:34.760
<v Speaker 1>about to really maximize your your ficacy here. You want

0:33:34.800 --> 0:33:38.080
<v Speaker 1>to inoculate virtually the whole world, right, So the safety

0:33:38.120 --> 0:33:41.520
<v Speaker 1>profile has to be really, really very clean. So you

0:33:41.600 --> 0:33:43.840
<v Speaker 1>really don't want to move too fast with a vaccine.

0:33:44.040 --> 0:33:46.400
<v Speaker 1>You do very fast with a therapeutic. And I'll just

0:33:46.520 --> 0:33:49.640
<v Speaker 1>remind everybody Jason some reporting earlier by Bloomberg News just

0:33:49.760 --> 0:33:52.600
<v Speaker 1>this week, you know that a potential vaccine is still

0:33:52.640 --> 0:33:55.120
<v Speaker 1>more than a year away. So despite you know, some

0:33:55.320 --> 0:33:57.840
<v Speaker 1>of what we hear in the optimism, you know, creating

0:33:57.880 --> 0:34:02.240
<v Speaker 1>a vaccine is not something that we can expect anytime soon. Yeah. No,

0:34:02.400 --> 0:34:04.920
<v Speaker 1>it seems like testing and therapeutics are the things that

0:34:05.080 --> 0:34:08.080
<v Speaker 1>are going to be on the near term horizon. Great context.

0:34:08.160 --> 0:34:10.880
<v Speaker 1>We really appreciate it. Brian Scorney, senior biotech and pharma

0:34:10.920 --> 0:34:14.759
<v Speaker 1>analyst Forbeard. He joined us on the phone in New

0:34:14.880 --> 0:34:22.960
<v Speaker 1>York Journal. Now, but you let me drive. Oh no, no, no, no,

0:34:24.000 --> 0:34:28.560
<v Speaker 1>drive home, honey, please, I'll do the right drivel ext me.

0:34:28.880 --> 0:34:36.359
<v Speaker 1>I want to drive all Just drive, baby. It's good

0:34:36.440 --> 0:34:47.560
<v Speaker 1>question trying. This is the drive to the globe. Thanks,

0:34:47.600 --> 0:34:51.520
<v Speaker 1>we'll drive us to dawn. On Bluebird Radio, it is

0:34:51.640 --> 0:34:54.200
<v Speaker 1>time for the drive to the clothes. We're just mints

0:34:54.200 --> 0:34:57.879
<v Speaker 1>away from wrapping up us trading in this holiday shortened week.

0:34:57.960 --> 0:35:00.840
<v Speaker 1>Back with us as Wayne Wicker, chief investment Officer Advantage

0:35:00.880 --> 0:35:04.960
<v Speaker 1>Point Investment Advisors, twenty nine billion in assets under management.

0:35:05.000 --> 0:35:09.120
<v Speaker 1>Wayne joining us on the phone from Washington, d C. Man,

0:35:09.400 --> 0:35:11.879
<v Speaker 1>the market's depending on the day, depending on the week,

0:35:11.960 --> 0:35:14.160
<v Speaker 1>We're either up a lot or down a lot. Wayne,

0:35:14.239 --> 0:35:18.120
<v Speaker 1>how do you approach this type of market environment? Boy, Carl,

0:35:18.600 --> 0:35:21.320
<v Speaker 1>This is as volatile period of time I've had in

0:35:21.400 --> 0:35:24.759
<v Speaker 1>my thirty six year career. And uh, I think that

0:35:24.880 --> 0:35:27.520
<v Speaker 1>it's reflective of the fact that because of the health

0:35:27.680 --> 0:35:31.239
<v Speaker 1>crisis that's driven this problem, we just don't have a

0:35:31.320 --> 0:35:35.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of information, uh, from day to day. Uh. And

0:35:35.360 --> 0:35:38.359
<v Speaker 1>so you know, I think the best approach to take

0:35:38.400 --> 0:35:40.400
<v Speaker 1>in a period like this is to have a very

0:35:40.520 --> 0:35:45.560
<v Speaker 1>long term orientation and anchor to uh a horizon that's

0:35:45.560 --> 0:35:48.040
<v Speaker 1>probably two or three years out, because you just can't

0:35:48.120 --> 0:35:51.759
<v Speaker 1>manage this day by day the way the volatility is today. Yeah,

0:35:51.840 --> 0:35:55.359
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting. Uh. My favorite code of the week so far,

0:35:55.560 --> 0:35:58.440
<v Speaker 1>maybe you're going to win the rodeo here, Wayne was

0:35:58.480 --> 0:36:01.759
<v Speaker 1>from a guesta around this time yesterday who said, treat

0:36:01.800 --> 0:36:04.000
<v Speaker 1>your four oh one k like you treat your face.

0:36:04.080 --> 0:36:07.440
<v Speaker 1>Don't touch it, just like leave it alone and just

0:36:07.719 --> 0:36:11.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of ride this out, and and I do wonder

0:36:11.120 --> 0:36:14.000
<v Speaker 1>whether enough people are going to follow that advice. And

0:36:14.160 --> 0:36:15.600
<v Speaker 1>I guess I would ask you, is that the right

0:36:15.640 --> 0:36:19.200
<v Speaker 1>advice at this point? Well, I think that folks that

0:36:19.320 --> 0:36:21.040
<v Speaker 1>have a four O one K plan, which is all

0:36:21.120 --> 0:36:24.000
<v Speaker 1>of us, so hopefully UM, are in the best position

0:36:24.040 --> 0:36:26.640
<v Speaker 1>to write out the volatility that we have here. And

0:36:26.719 --> 0:36:30.080
<v Speaker 1>the reason I say that is because of the systematic

0:36:30.160 --> 0:36:33.359
<v Speaker 1>way that we continue to deposit money every couple of weeks.

0:36:33.440 --> 0:36:36.839
<v Speaker 1>So your average in on this volatility over a long

0:36:36.920 --> 0:36:39.920
<v Speaker 1>period of time, because nobody's gonna know where the bottom

0:36:40.080 --> 0:36:42.080
<v Speaker 1>is or if it's bottom is already in. But if

0:36:42.120 --> 0:36:46.320
<v Speaker 1>you continue to participate a week by week over a

0:36:46.400 --> 0:36:47.920
<v Speaker 1>two or three or four year period of time, I

0:36:47.960 --> 0:36:51.040
<v Speaker 1>think you'll be well rewarded. I gotta say there's part

0:36:51.080 --> 0:36:53.480
<v Speaker 1>of me. I was reading something in about the wealthy

0:36:53.560 --> 0:36:56.600
<v Speaker 1>you are. Is it selling off assets or or real estate?

0:36:56.640 --> 0:36:58.760
<v Speaker 1>I think it was on the Bloomberg and then using

0:36:58.800 --> 0:37:01.239
<v Speaker 1>that to buy stocks and buy into the market right

0:37:01.280 --> 0:37:04.120
<v Speaker 1>now because you know, names have taken such a beating,

0:37:04.200 --> 0:37:07.839
<v Speaker 1>and not everybody has that luxury. Most people do not UM.

0:37:08.080 --> 0:37:09.640
<v Speaker 1>But I do wonder way and if we do look

0:37:09.680 --> 0:37:11.480
<v Speaker 1>back at this time and say, boy, it was a great,

0:37:11.800 --> 0:37:14.319
<v Speaker 1>you know, buying opportunity. I feel like any time things

0:37:14.360 --> 0:37:17.600
<v Speaker 1>are beating up disproportionately to what ultimately will be the

0:37:17.680 --> 0:37:21.720
<v Speaker 1>longer term impact, it is a great buying opportunity. Yeah, Carol,

0:37:21.719 --> 0:37:23.360
<v Speaker 1>I think that that will be true if you have

0:37:24.200 --> 0:37:26.839
<v Speaker 1>the look back probably two or three years from now,

0:37:27.080 --> 0:37:30.480
<v Speaker 1>two or two years. Wow. Well the reason I say

0:37:30.520 --> 0:37:33.719
<v Speaker 1>that is because over the next few months, uh, you know,

0:37:33.880 --> 0:37:36.200
<v Speaker 1>we could experience as quickly as we've come up, and

0:37:36.320 --> 0:37:40.279
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned it earlier, it's you know, we've had gain

0:37:40.360 --> 0:37:43.160
<v Speaker 1>in the last twelve trading days. Um, we can get

0:37:43.239 --> 0:37:45.759
<v Speaker 1>other news that the market could trade on that can

0:37:45.840 --> 0:37:50.400
<v Speaker 1>take us back down by So I think in the

0:37:50.480 --> 0:37:53.000
<v Speaker 1>short run, uh, you know, it's going to be a

0:37:53.120 --> 0:37:58.280
<v Speaker 1>little bit more challenging for individuals to identify names, but clearly,

0:37:58.440 --> 0:38:01.200
<v Speaker 1>over more than a twelve most time horizon, I think

0:38:01.239 --> 0:38:03.000
<v Speaker 1>you're right, this is going to be a period of

0:38:03.080 --> 0:38:06.880
<v Speaker 1>time where, at a minimum, you've been able to upgrade

0:38:06.920 --> 0:38:09.360
<v Speaker 1>your portfolio in terms of the quality of the companies

0:38:09.400 --> 0:38:12.120
<v Speaker 1>that you want at prices that are more attractive than

0:38:12.120 --> 0:38:15.920
<v Speaker 1>they were just sixty days ago. So, Wayne, having as

0:38:16.000 --> 0:38:19.800
<v Speaker 1>you said, uh, seen some volatility over your time, seen

0:38:19.920 --> 0:38:22.960
<v Speaker 1>some crises, I do wonder, and this has been top

0:38:23.040 --> 0:38:26.080
<v Speaker 1>of mind for Carolin myself, I think, especially today having

0:38:26.200 --> 0:38:29.880
<v Speaker 1>heard from J. Powell earlier, having seen again the power

0:38:30.040 --> 0:38:33.319
<v Speaker 1>of the Treasury Secretary in both sort of coming up

0:38:33.400 --> 0:38:35.440
<v Speaker 1>with a lot of the fiscal side solutions and then

0:38:35.560 --> 0:38:38.719
<v Speaker 1>executing them. What do you make of the fiscal and

0:38:39.040 --> 0:38:43.520
<v Speaker 1>the monetary response from the US government so far? So

0:38:43.680 --> 0:38:46.040
<v Speaker 1>if we compare this to the O eight oh nine

0:38:46.160 --> 0:38:50.200
<v Speaker 1>time period, the response by the Fed has been unbelievable.

0:38:50.400 --> 0:38:52.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think they have come in, They've been

0:38:53.200 --> 0:38:57.279
<v Speaker 1>rapid in terms of their reaction. Uh. J Powell I

0:38:57.360 --> 0:39:01.160
<v Speaker 1>think has done a really good job, you know, trying

0:39:01.200 --> 0:39:03.880
<v Speaker 1>to ensure what he's supposed to be doing, which is

0:39:03.920 --> 0:39:08.080
<v Speaker 1>maintaining the financial stability of the economy. And so uh

0:39:08.400 --> 0:39:10.840
<v Speaker 1>in light of the fact that this is driven not

0:39:11.239 --> 0:39:13.680
<v Speaker 1>by the same types of factors as O eight oh nine,

0:39:13.760 --> 0:39:16.840
<v Speaker 1>where we thought, you know, gosh, is a financial industry

0:39:16.880 --> 0:39:19.839
<v Speaker 1>going to be around. This is a more open ended

0:39:19.920 --> 0:39:25.359
<v Speaker 1>problem with the COVID nineteen issue, and so they can't

0:39:25.400 --> 0:39:30.120
<v Speaker 1>help uh that catalyst. But what they can do is

0:39:30.360 --> 0:39:33.600
<v Speaker 1>provide a significant bridge to help get us to the

0:39:33.640 --> 0:39:36.760
<v Speaker 1>other side of the unknown duration that we are currently

0:39:36.880 --> 0:39:40.200
<v Speaker 1>experiencing and the fiscal side. How do you feel about

0:39:40.239 --> 0:39:44.120
<v Speaker 1>Minuten and Co. I think they've done an absolutely great job.

0:39:44.520 --> 0:39:47.319
<v Speaker 1>They have identified a lot of places which are going

0:39:47.360 --> 0:39:50.360
<v Speaker 1>to be I think very weak coming out of this

0:39:50.719 --> 0:39:53.160
<v Speaker 1>two or three month period of time, and they've tried

0:39:53.200 --> 0:39:55.520
<v Speaker 1>to come in to provide a backstop that in the

0:39:55.560 --> 0:39:57.560
<v Speaker 1>short run, I think is going to be a critical

0:39:58.120 --> 0:40:02.560
<v Speaker 1>UH for retaining some uster confidence. Now. I think later on,

0:40:03.239 --> 0:40:05.239
<v Speaker 1>at some point, we're gonna have to figure out how

0:40:05.280 --> 0:40:08.640
<v Speaker 1>we're repaying all this debt that's going on. But I

0:40:08.760 --> 0:40:12.080
<v Speaker 1>think in the short run, UH investors are really enthused

0:40:12.080 --> 0:40:15.239
<v Speaker 1>about what has been going on. I think later on

0:40:15.440 --> 0:40:19.200
<v Speaker 1>the reality of the economics that UH the FETE is

0:40:19.239 --> 0:40:23.480
<v Speaker 1>trying to solve for we'll come back. So it sounds

0:40:23.480 --> 0:40:25.480
<v Speaker 1>like you're not doing any buying for your clients, and

0:40:25.680 --> 0:40:29.600
<v Speaker 1>correct me if I'm wrong. Um, is that the case? Well,

0:40:29.640 --> 0:40:32.960
<v Speaker 1>we're always in the market and uh so, so we

0:40:33.200 --> 0:40:36.400
<v Speaker 1>tend to run fairly fully invested portfolios. We have a

0:40:36.440 --> 0:40:39.840
<v Speaker 1>slight cash buffer. But so what are you buying? So

0:40:39.920 --> 0:40:42.759
<v Speaker 1>what are you buying right now? Wing? Well, we have

0:40:42.920 --> 0:40:48.040
<v Speaker 1>thirty one different UH funds, so you can pick your flavor.

0:40:48.160 --> 0:40:50.920
<v Speaker 1>But I think that in general the tilts in the

0:40:51.000 --> 0:40:55.719
<v Speaker 1>portfolios are still more growth oriented rather than value oriented.

0:40:56.320 --> 0:41:00.120
<v Speaker 1>Yield is not actually being rewarded in this environment, or

0:41:00.280 --> 0:41:04.880
<v Speaker 1>is low ball types of strategies. When growth goes to

0:41:05.040 --> 0:41:08.120
<v Speaker 1>negative numbers like we have today, investors are going to

0:41:08.320 --> 0:41:11.759
<v Speaker 1>tilt towards those companies that have the best growth prospects,

0:41:11.800 --> 0:41:15.799
<v Speaker 1>and so that has translated into our portfolios to having

0:41:16.000 --> 0:41:20.759
<v Speaker 1>more of a growth orientations the present time. All right, well,

0:41:21.080 --> 0:41:24.319
<v Speaker 1>we wish you only the best, Wayne, and hopefully uh,

0:41:25.400 --> 0:41:28.720
<v Speaker 1>as they say, next time in the Bloomberg Interactor Broker studio,

0:41:28.880 --> 0:41:32.520
<v Speaker 1>hopefully we'll be seeing you then. In the meantime, stay well,

0:41:32.680 --> 0:41:35.680
<v Speaker 1>stay healthy. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. You

0:41:35.760 --> 0:41:38.880
<v Speaker 1>can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg

0:41:38.920 --> 0:41:41.080
<v Speaker 1>dot com. You can also listen to our radio show

0:41:41.239 --> 0:41:44.279
<v Speaker 1>every weekday at two pm Eastern only on Bloomberg Radio