1 00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:06,359 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:09,480 Speaker 1: dot com, the radio, plus Globile lap and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flag BOM Bloomberg World Handquarters. 4 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellett, SMP five hundred Index on track for 5 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,080 Speaker 1: a losing day, in fact, heading towards the longest weekly 6 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:24,920 Speaker 1: losing streak in four months amid lackluster results from large retailers, 7 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: a topic we were just discussing nords from shares. They 8 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 1: are now down by fourteen point three percent. The SMP 9 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:33,839 Speaker 1: downs seventeen of the cline of eight tenths of one 10 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 1: percent down industrials close to the worst level of the day, 11 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:39,560 Speaker 1: down one d eighty one points. The drop there of 12 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:42,479 Speaker 1: one percent and has stack down nineteen a drop of 13 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 1: point four percent. Gold up three dollars, the ounce to 14 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 1: twelve seventy four, a gain of two tenths of one percent. 15 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 1: Your tenure of fourteen thirty seconds, the yield there one 16 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 1: point seven oh percent. I'm Charlie Pellett, and that's a 17 00:00:55,160 --> 00:01:00,200 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business Flash. Charlie Pellett, thanks so very much. Don't 18 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 1: know but the E E t F Report brought to you 19 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 1: by Van ECK vectors e t F s expect more 20 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 1: from your muni's target tax exempt income by maturity and 21 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 1: credit quality, all with low cost e t s. Visit 22 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 1: vaneck dot com slash Muni Vanek access the opportunities for this. 23 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 1: Now we turn to Bloomberg's Confine Cotterie Smart Beta has 24 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:23,920 Speaker 1: come to the fixed income e t F market. Index 25 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 1: i Q has introduced to e t S based on 26 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: a momentum investing approach to fixed income markets to really 27 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 1: take some pain out of investors portfolios and let some 28 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 1: sleep at night not having to retilt their portfolios every 29 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 1: time the Fed makes a move or a dozen. That's 30 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 1: Adam Patty, index i q's chief executive. Patty explains the 31 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 1: strategy behind the i Q Enhanced Core Bond U S 32 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 1: e TS. We take the investable M bond segments, whether 33 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 1: it's governments, corporates, and the mortgage backs in the Enhanced 34 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: and we use a momentum factor to tilt between those 35 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: different asset classes to allow investors really to get more 36 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: from their core investment. Patty says their second new e 37 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:09,520 Speaker 1: t F, the i Q Enhanced Core Plus Bond U 38 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 1: S a t F as U S higled debt in 39 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:15,399 Speaker 1: the mix along with a dollar denominated debt of emerging 40 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 1: market issuers. Both e t F s have an expense 41 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 1: ratio of thirty four basis points. They trade under the 42 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:24,679 Speaker 1: symbols A G G E and A G G P. 43 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 1: That's your Bloomberg ETF report. I'm Catherine Cowderie. All Right, 44 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:47,239 Speaker 1: the sun it's going down just a little bit here 45 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 1: in Bermuda. We are broadcasting live from Elbow Beach, Bermuda, 46 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 1: an ocean front Enclavo classic style and contemporary luxury. Our 47 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,840 Speaker 1: next guest is very jealous that we are near the 48 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:03,839 Speaker 1: water because Michael Obohofsky, the founder of Merlin Asset Management 49 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 1: based in Boston. He's a competitive sailor in addition to 50 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: the fact that he probably has a good good qualification 51 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: for understanding the psychology of investors, because dr Obohovsky knows 52 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:21,239 Speaker 1: a lot about psychiatry. He was going to be a 53 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 1: doctor at one point, and he earned his PhD in 54 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: clinical psychology from the New School for Social Research. Michael Okhovski, 55 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 1: thanks for being with us. Great to be with your 56 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: Did I capture all of that that I that I 57 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 1: was able to put enough forward for you? To be 58 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 1: a little bit sort of jealous about our proximity to 59 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 1: the water. Well, it's it's very generous description of my background, 60 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 1: but I am definitely jealous of you, of you being 61 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 1: in Bermuer now, although I am I am actually in Newport, 62 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 1: Rhode Island, so very close to the water. Also, oh 63 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 1: all right, well then it's been very good. All right, 64 00:03:57,160 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 1: So success follows success. Um, it's how how can people 65 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:05,320 Speaker 1: be successful using this Merlin large cap growth strategy in 66 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 1: order to perhaps eventually enjoy all of these good things? Well, 67 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 1: I think I think what it helps. It helps to 68 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 1: focus on the fundamental characteristics of the companies, and also 69 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 1: it helps to cut through through the incredible noise that 70 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: we have been experienced in the markets. I think, you know, 71 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: this is the end of the week where many of 72 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 1: the large retailers we reported pretty pretty horrific numbers, and 73 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,720 Speaker 1: and I think everybody is questioning whether the consumers are dead, 74 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 1: whether retailers are dead. I think the consumers do not 75 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:40,360 Speaker 1: appear to be dead. They are still spending, but they 76 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:45,719 Speaker 1: are spending differently, which might very well bring bring very 77 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: unwelcome news to retailers, malls and sort of related businesses. 78 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: The the world is changing and you have to be 79 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: on your touse. You have to pay attention to what 80 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:59,040 Speaker 1: you're investing in, and it's um and as I mentioned, 81 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: it is very difficult to keep focused on fundamentals, good 82 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:05,840 Speaker 1: characteristics of companies that are still out there, that are 83 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:10,159 Speaker 1: growing at the at the good pace and building their 84 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:16,599 Speaker 1: businesses despite the slow economy. Well, your strategy very in 85 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:20,159 Speaker 1: a very basic sense, is you select in one of 86 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:23,720 Speaker 1: your funds the fifty most attractive large cat growth firms, 87 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:26,880 Speaker 1: regardless of industry or sector. Uh, you've got a three 88 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:30,440 Speaker 1: to five year outlook, use a comprehensive multi variant approach, 89 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 1: bottom up, topdown, contivacative evaluation, et cetera. Up Right, now, 90 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:38,800 Speaker 1: do you have any big retailers in any of your 91 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:42,240 Speaker 1: various funds or did you say handwrittings on the wall 92 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 1: department store chiefs are becoming dinosaurs, Kathy, It's a great question. 93 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:53,599 Speaker 1: Retail retail business has been very, very tough, and I 94 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 1: see the primary reason for the retail business being being 95 00:05:56,880 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 1: difficult as Amazon. That Amazon is really just stealing their business. 96 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 1: And when you think about it, it's only represents about 97 00:06:04,480 --> 00:06:08,040 Speaker 1: Amazon only represents about seven percent of the of the 98 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 1: retail business right now, and it's already destroying companies like 99 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:16,479 Speaker 1: we're like we have heard reporting this week. However, it 100 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:20,719 Speaker 1: is possible to find the good retailers, but what I 101 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 1: would call them those are the retailers that haven't been 102 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:27,919 Speaker 1: Amazon yet are very difficult for Amazon to to capture, 103 00:06:28,040 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 1: so I so I own some of them. They are 104 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:34,840 Speaker 1: the example is Michael Stores uh and other examples are 105 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 1: are those um off price retailers like for example T 106 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:42,680 Speaker 1: TJ Max, which I also owned for my clients. And 107 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:47,920 Speaker 1: also the the building business. The home building has been 108 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 1: doing well, so I own laws and also on HDS 109 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 1: which is a spinoff from Home Home Depot that is 110 00:06:56,120 --> 00:07:00,680 Speaker 1: focused on on professionals, so they It is possible to 111 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 1: look look into retail and actually find good companies, but 112 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,839 Speaker 1: it has been very, very difficult and really eliminates the 113 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:11,920 Speaker 1: majority of the sort of traditional retail eage. Michael, what 114 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 1: kind of time horizon do you recommend that investors take 115 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 1: when they deploy this kind of strategy. Well, I look 116 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: at the companies when I choose them for the portfolios, 117 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 1: I look at about three to five years, so it's 118 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 1: you know, five years, it's probably questionable whether you can 119 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 1: really do it at such such period of time. But 120 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 1: I think one to three years, and one year is 121 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 1: probably two little, so I would say three years. It's 122 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 1: sort of the average what you should be looking at. 123 00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 1: And uh, it's a on. All my strategies are fairly 124 00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 1: low turnover strategies. The annualized turnover is about so once 125 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 1: they select the stuff, they tend to stay in the 126 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 1: portfolios for a fairly long period of time. How you 127 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 1: how you look at the come neat Apple? Now? You know, 128 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 1: in some sense you get so big, you get sure. 129 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 1: They had the big deal, right that a billion dollar investment, 130 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 1: indeed the largest It's like the Uber of China. Right, Um, 131 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:09,280 Speaker 1: this deal led by Tim Cook really an interesting story. 132 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 1: But I remember Microsoft was just nobody like Microsoft? Right Microsoft? 133 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,800 Speaker 1: See old and stodgy things. You're change to Microsoft. A 134 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 1: lot of people like that stock. Now, how do you 135 00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 1: feel about companies like that and this this big mature 136 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:23,880 Speaker 1: text space. Well, I have to tell you the the 137 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 1: A few years ago I was talking to San Francisco 138 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 1: to some of the scene at people about liking Microsoft, 139 00:08:30,080 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 1: and they were looking at me like I had a 140 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 1: third eye in the middle of my forehead and I 141 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:37,960 Speaker 1: could see at that time, I could see changes happening 142 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 1: to Microsoft, and it took a few years for for 143 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 1: numbers to sort of show what they've been doing. So 144 00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 1: it's um it's an interesting question. They are they are. 145 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 1: There's a benefit to large technology companies benefit or experience 146 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:54,680 Speaker 1: and what they are able to do, but they have 147 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 1: to be able to change, and we have been seeing 148 00:08:57,600 --> 00:09:01,319 Speaker 1: some of those those old style tech companies changing. Microsoft 149 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 1: as a perfect example. Cisco is another example of a 150 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 1: company that is completely reinventing itself. Oracle might be another 151 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:12,840 Speaker 1: one moving into the cloud. Apple Apple has been a 152 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:16,839 Speaker 1: really frustrating company. I think a few years ago there 153 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 1: was a question, well was Apple really all about Steve? 154 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,319 Speaker 1: And they had a deep bench, there were a lot 155 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:26,480 Speaker 1: of people working with Steve, and at least so far, 156 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:29,319 Speaker 1: I have to say that the answer is that it 157 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:32,200 Speaker 1: was really all Steve. I have not been impressed with 158 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:34,880 Speaker 1: Tim Cook. I've always said that he was a very 159 00:09:34,920 --> 00:09:37,800 Speaker 1: good CEO, but I don't see him as a good 160 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:42,320 Speaker 1: leader of the company. I think the design is also lacking. 161 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 1: They haven't developed anything beyond what was Steep set them 162 00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 1: to do. So it's a company that has still great potential. 163 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:52,280 Speaker 1: I think they have. They just up there are and 164 00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 1: the budget to about ten billion dollars or something better 165 00:09:55,320 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 1: come out of it. But right now was driven by 166 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:02,199 Speaker 1: single product Keeno. More than six of our avenues are 167 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:04,719 Speaker 1: based on an iPhone, and there was nothing else and 168 00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 1: there's still nothing else on the horizon. At the same time, 169 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:13,360 Speaker 1: Apple generates more cash than most of the technology companies combined, 170 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 1: so they it is very inexpensive. They are questions about 171 00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:21,920 Speaker 1: the growth. The company is still well well managed, isn't 172 00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 1: going to return to growth? Those are the questions that 173 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:29,439 Speaker 1: I'm struggling with. And I still own Apple, but I 174 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:32,440 Speaker 1: would call it I still own Apple, rather than I 175 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 1: believe that I will own Apple for a long period 176 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 1: to come. Fascinating. Thank you so much for joining us. 177 00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:41,199 Speaker 1: And next time we come to Berne to maybe you'll 178 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 1: get your sailboat and race down. Okay, you're very much 179 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 1: great talking to Kathy and Fim. That's Dr Michael Obohovsky. 180 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:53,079 Speaker 1: He's a founder Merlin Asset Management based in Boston. On 181 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:55,040 Speaker 1: you heard him. He's the Newport Rhode Island. Today. A 182 00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:57,080 Speaker 1: lot of people on this Friday afternoon are on the 183 00:10:57,080 --> 00:10:59,200 Speaker 1: beach on anybody else is on quite a night speech 184 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 1: as uspn Elbow Beach Elbows Elo Beach Resort, I'm calfing 185 00:11:02,920 --> 00:11:05,360 Speaker 1: haze along with pin Fox ticking stock on Bloomberg Radio