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Speaker 1: What's up, guys.

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into the Wednesday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perolt. You

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Speaker 2: can follow me on Twitter as always at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: We are here every morning on bettingpros dot Com or

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Speaker 2: on every platform you can imagine, plus a YouTube for video.

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Speaker 2: If you guys want to watch this podcast each and

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Speaker 2: every morning, you can do that. And we're always being

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Speaker 2: brought to you by bet MGM all right, I don't

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Speaker 2: sugarcoat what's going on, and I think one of the benefits, one.

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Speaker 1: Of the unique.

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Speaker 2: Things about this podcast is that we bet every day,

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Speaker 2: and when I lose and when I'm ice cold, I

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Speaker 2: tell you and we might be entering in fade Matt

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Speaker 2: territory here for today on a Wednesday. As you guys know,

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Speaker 2: when I'm losing, I tend to turtle, and I tend

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Speaker 2: to cut down on what I'm betting, and I tend

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Speaker 2: to try to find, you know, I go back to

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Speaker 2: what has worked in the past, and I try to

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Speaker 2: find things.

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Speaker 1: That i'd like.

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Speaker 2: I have one NBA play and I have one NHL

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Speaker 2: played to go today. I will put out two player props,

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Speaker 2: quarter unit player props, so we're only gonna put a

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Speaker 2: unit and a half in play here today after an

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Speaker 2: oh and four yesterday. Now I got the Celtics and

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Speaker 2: the Portland Trailblazers personally, right because I play that whenever

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Speaker 2: the Celtic show on the road is a dog, I

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Speaker 2: play the over, and that that over is now ten

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Speaker 2: to four and one over the last fifteen games, so

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Speaker 2: it was nice to get that.

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Speaker 1: It was a Norman.

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Speaker 2: Powell bomb three with what like five seconds to go

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Speaker 2: to get us over. I was really angry, and I

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Speaker 2: was really going to be on here, you know, spitting

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Speaker 2: fire if I had lost, and I opened it and

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Speaker 2: I was oh and five last night, So I go

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Speaker 2: one and four personally, but oh and four on the podcast.

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Speaker 2: The Boston Red Sox were the part where the discord

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Speaker 2: play on Monday, the game didn't cap, and then the

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Speaker 2: Red Sox winning on Tuesday, so I didn't go back

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Speaker 2: with that. Didn't bet the over there either, so I

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Speaker 2: would have been one in one on that, So I'm

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Speaker 2: not too angry about that. But I mean, we go

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Speaker 2: with the over for the Bruins five and a half,

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Speaker 2: five goals get scored Bruins on the puck line, they win,

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Speaker 2: but not the puck line. So that's two losses that

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Speaker 2: were right there, just how it goes. The Padres and

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Speaker 2: the baseball sucked. I mean, the Nationals well down fourteen

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Speaker 2: to one. That was a horrible and NAT's pick was awful.

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Speaker 2: And then Padres lost to the Pirates. So no good

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Speaker 2: with baseball. And baseball is extremely volatile.

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Speaker 1: That's why there are.

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Speaker 2: Some people who only bet baseball because it's a marathon

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Speaker 2: and it's really hard and it's not easy to bet baseball.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna pause baseball for a little bit and

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Speaker 2: let's see how I can get a read on some things,

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Speaker 2: and you know, just kind of lick my wounds.

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Speaker 1: Here with baseball.

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Speaker 2: We are going to be on hockey today, and you

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Speaker 2: know that's I'm not going to be too embarrassed about

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Speaker 2: that because the Bruins win. They win three to two

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Speaker 2: in overtime in a shootout against the Buffalo Sabers. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they should have won that game by a lot more

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Speaker 2: than they did, but you know, we you know, three

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Speaker 2: and two the under hits, but it's a half a unit,

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Speaker 2: so it's half a goal, so that's a bummer. And

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Speaker 2: then you know they don't get the four to two win,

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Speaker 2: they get the three to two win. So we lose

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Speaker 2: on two bets there. But you know that's just some

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Speaker 2: bad luck. And you know the Sabers are playing better.

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Speaker 2: So I thought the Bruins would come out on fire.

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Speaker 2: They really didn't do that. Credit Buffalo. The Bruins are

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Speaker 2: really banged up right now. It's why they made a

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Speaker 2: bunch of trades. But you know, Boston is not very good.

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Speaker 2: They're not as good as the Capital, is not as

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Speaker 2: good as New York Islanders. You know, Boston needs Taylor

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Speaker 2: Hall and these guys who they traded for to step

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Speaker 2: up and really help them until they get healthy. So

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Speaker 2: just something to watch. Another thing to watch that we're

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Speaker 2: going to get involved with here is the number of

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Speaker 2: games these teams are playing in the NHL. I don't

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Speaker 2: know if you guys are following this or not, but

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Speaker 2: the number of games four games, five games over a

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Speaker 2: seven or eight day period. As we get further into

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Speaker 2: the week, I'm going to start looking at totals a

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Speaker 2: little bit. And tired legs lead to sloppy play and oftentime.

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Speaker 1: Leads to easy goals.

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Speaker 2: So I think overs for the NHL for the next

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Speaker 2: couple of days will be something worth watching and worth

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Speaker 2: paying attention to as we roll through here. But look,

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to you know, see here and tell

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Speaker 2: you that I'm hot right now because or even you know,

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Speaker 2: mildly hot. On Ice three and nine. This week, down

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Speaker 2: three units. Okay, that is not good. That is horrific.

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Speaker 2: Down two units today alone, and we were down one

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Speaker 2: unit going into the day. So you know, hopefully things

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Speaker 2: start to turn a little bit and hopefully we just

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Speaker 2: kind of climb out of this and end this week,

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Speaker 2: try to find some some different bets to make and

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Speaker 2: ways of climbing our way out and in ways of

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Speaker 2: kind of making back a little bit of the money

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Speaker 2: that we have lost. So look, we have these down periods,

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Speaker 2: and you know, people who want to call me out,

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Speaker 2: I kind of I get annoyed by it, but I

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Speaker 2: understand it. And if you want to fade these picks today,

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Speaker 2: I don't hate you for it.

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Speaker 1: I won't be.

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Speaker 2: Mad at all. But I will have the player props

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Speaker 2: in the Discord channel. I will come back for that

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Speaker 2: coming up today in the Discord channel. The link is

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Speaker 2: right below me here on YouTube to get into the

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Speaker 2: Discord channel and we will have two of those and

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Speaker 2: then we will go hopefully with a couple of winners

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Speaker 2: here today. But before I give you and talk about those,

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Speaker 2: let's talk about the bet MGM offer. It's the NBA

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Speaker 1: All right, So I looked.

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Speaker 2: At baseball today and I thought about going with the

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Speaker 2: Red Sox, who have won seven games in a row,

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Speaker 2: and Nathan Valdi is pitching. It's a doubleheader though, and

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Speaker 2: that makes for some funky odds, some funky games, and

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Speaker 2: so I was kind of, you know, I probably would

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Speaker 2: get involved with the Red Sox personally. Here for what's

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Speaker 2: going to happen for this series. But you know, oftentimes,

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Speaker 2: you know, some books don't even like to put up

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Speaker 2: numbers for it, and it's just you know who's pitching

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Speaker 2: and what's the strategy. So you know, doubleheaders are kind

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Speaker 2: of hawonky and funky to bet because they're only seven

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Speaker 2: innings now, so I know, I'm not gonna talk about

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Speaker 2: We're not going with that obviously, but I will probably

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Speaker 2: be involved with that personally.

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Speaker 1: Today. NBA plays are tough.

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Speaker 2: You know, I was going through and looking at a

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Speaker 2: bunch of different games, and the Washington and Sacramento total

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Speaker 2: I just couldn't get there, and and I haven't found

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Speaker 2: a number that I really love because most at the

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Speaker 2: time of taping, there are no totals on Washington, Sacramento, Warriors, Thunder, Clippers, Pistons, Spurs, Raptors, Cavaliers, Hornets, Nets, Sixers,

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Speaker 2: and Bucks Timberwolves. Okay, so that's why we don't do

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Speaker 2: player props overnight, because we simply don't have any totals

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Speaker 2: to bet.

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Speaker 1: But I'm telling you right now that I'm.

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Speaker 2: Watching in the Wizards Kings over depending what that number is,

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Speaker 2: I'm going to be looking at it closely, trying to

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Speaker 2: figure out if that's one of the plays that I'll

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Speaker 2: make personally, or if you want to make it yourself.

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Speaker 2: You know, feel free, you want to fade it, you

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Speaker 2: want to bet the undergo ahead. But Wizards and Kings,

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Speaker 2: my guess would be the total of somewhere around two

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Speaker 2: thirty one. Two thirty two would be my gut guess

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Speaker 2: on that. And I think going over on that probably

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Speaker 2: isn't a horrible idea given the fact these teams do

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Speaker 2: tend to score a ton. They don't play any defense

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Speaker 2: in terms of totals right now, and the most consistent

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Speaker 2: going over Sacramento is thirty and twenty four to the

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Speaker 2: the over. Washington is twenty seven and twenty six to

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Speaker 2: the over. So when these two teams get together, you

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Speaker 2: expect a lot of points to be scored. But I

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Speaker 2: can't bet it because there's no numbers years overnight to

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Speaker 2: bet this right now.

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Speaker 1: So I'm just watching that.

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Speaker 2: But I am looking at one game in the NBA

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Speaker 2: that I want to talk about, and that is the

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Speaker 2: matchup between the Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is a seven o'clock time start on the West Coast.

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Speaker 2: This game for Denver. When you look at the Denver

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Speaker 2: Nuggets right now and the way Denver has been playing,

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Speaker 2: even before the injury to Jamal Murray, this team was

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Speaker 2: starting to struggle and they were starting to kind of,

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Speaker 2: you know, fumble their way through and not play well

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Speaker 2: as they have been now to the number, Denver's twenty

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Speaker 2: six and twenty eight, Miami is twenty three, twenty nine

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Speaker 2: in one. But they haven't covered the Nuggets in the

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Speaker 2: last three games. They didn't cover against San Antonio. On

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Speaker 2: the ninth, they didn't cover against Boston at home. Now

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Speaker 2: both those games are at home. That won by two

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Speaker 2: a six and a half point favorites against San Antonio

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Speaker 2: and they lost by eighteen is three and a half

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Speaker 2: point favorites to Boston, and then on the road to

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Speaker 2: Golden State they lost by nine, and that was the

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Speaker 2: game they lost Jamal Murray. This will be the first

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Speaker 2: game they're gonna play without Jamal Murray. It's not just

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Speaker 2: this dude is incredible offensively because he is in Jokic.

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Speaker 2: Maybe the play here for us in terms of you know,

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Speaker 2: point total, and maybe it's gonna be all Jokic here

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Speaker 2: up against this Miami Heat team. But I mean, Jokic

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Speaker 2: is a dude that averages. You know, he's wail over

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Speaker 2: a double double. He had twenty seven and twelve against

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Speaker 2: the Golden State Warriors. Michael Porter Junior very well might

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Speaker 2: step up and have more shots and may score more.

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Speaker 2: Denver is sixth in points per game. But man, defensively,

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Speaker 2: they're okay. But losing Jamal Murray is a big deal.

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Speaker 2: I mean, just from a mental standpoint, I'm not sure

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Speaker 2: where this team is going to be because they know

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Speaker 2: their year is over. They're not going to be able

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Speaker 2: to go anywhere. And Y'll Kich is great, and you know,

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Speaker 2: Michael Porter Junior is great, But without them, I don't know.

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Speaker 2: You got Jimmy Butler and company with the Miami Heat

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Speaker 2: coming in. Miami is one of the best defensive teams

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Speaker 2: in the entire NBA. You know, the Heat are they

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Speaker 2: do the little things right, they hit their free throws.

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Speaker 2: You know that they're just a kind of a tough

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Speaker 2: matchup and a tough team to go at it. Look,

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised if Denver loses this game outright here,

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Speaker 2: I've lost two games in a row to Boston and

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Speaker 2: Golden State, and now here comes a team in Miami.

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Speaker 2: They've won two games in a row, but they've won

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Speaker 2: six of seven. They're playing really, really well. I got

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Speaker 2: Miami plus four. I'm taking the dog here, Miami plus

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Speaker 2: four up against the Denver Nuggets. It's more than a

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Speaker 2: one possession game, you know. I think it's a tight

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Speaker 2: basketball game, and maybe we get some late game free

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Speaker 2: throws or heroics or whatever that Miami can cover this

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Speaker 2: on the road. Taking the Miami Heat plus four at

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Speaker 2: the Denver Nuggets. And by the way, again, if you

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Speaker 2: want to fade these picks in place, I'm not gonna

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Speaker 2: get mad at you. Half a unit taking the other

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Speaker 2: half of unit. And we're going to hockey. And like

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Speaker 2: I mentioned before, we're going back to the games and

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Speaker 2: the teams and the stuff I know best. The Vegas

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Speaker 2: Golden Knights are up against the La Kings tonight. NBC

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Speaker 2: Sports Networks got it for you. Totals five and a

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Speaker 2: half juiced up to the over mins one fifteen, so

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Speaker 2: just a little bit. So far, the Golden Knights have

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Speaker 2: played against the La Kings seven times. This is the

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Speaker 2: final time they're playing against each other. Vegas leads five

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Speaker 2: games to two in these games, the final scores have

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Speaker 2: been five, two, four to three, four to two, three one,

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Speaker 2: four to one, four two, four to two Okay overs

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Speaker 2: in one, two, three, four, five of the seven games

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Speaker 2: we have gone over. I know, every once in a

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Speaker 2: while Marc Andre Fleury can stand on his head or

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Speaker 2: Robin Leonard can do that as well. But when you

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Speaker 2: look at the totals here and just the stats in

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Speaker 2: terms of where we are with these two teams, the

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Speaker 2: over is five and one in the last six meetings

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Speaker 2: between these two teams in Los Angeles, the Kings are

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Speaker 2: four to zero to one to the over over their

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Speaker 2: last five games. Kings haven't been playing greats. The over

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Speaker 2: is nine to four in the kings last thirteen games

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Speaker 2: against a team with a winning record. And when you

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Speaker 2: look at what the Kings have done recently for to

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Speaker 2: two loss to the Vegas Golden Knights, four to two

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Speaker 2: win over San Jose, five to two loss against San Jose,

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Speaker 2: four to three win over Arizona, and a five to

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Speaker 2: two win loss to Arizona. Okay, so goals goals, goals,

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Speaker 2: goals goals Okay seven to seven, seven six six, Right,

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Speaker 2: that's just where the LA Kings are. They're not playing

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Speaker 2: great defensively, They're scoring goals and giving up goals on

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Speaker 2: the other side. You, I mean, this gave me a

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Speaker 2: little pause because of what Vegas has done in the

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Speaker 2: second game of these series. So they beat Arizona seven

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Speaker 2: to four, next game, won nothing. They beat the Saint

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Speaker 2: Louis Blues six to one, next game lost three to one.

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Speaker 2: So the under has come in the last two times.

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Speaker 2: But I'm just gonna play the over here because I

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Speaker 2: don't think we're gonna see a lot of defense, and

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Speaker 2: I think LA is gonna come out a little bit angry.

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Speaker 2: Vegas offense has been playing really, really well, and I

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Speaker 2: think this is just a Vegas Gold Knights team that defensively.

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Speaker 2: Zach white Cloud is out, Alex Martinez is out, so

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Speaker 2: they've got some issues defensively that they're just not as

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Speaker 2: good as they will be when they're at full strength.

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Speaker 1: I'm just going with the over here.

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Speaker 2: We're going over Vegas five and a half for minus

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Speaker 2: one point fifteen here for a half of units. All right,

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Speaker 2: one final bet to give you, and this is a

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Speaker 2: golf bet. Okay, this is a bet that I have

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Speaker 2: made tonight for a half a unit. I'm chasing a

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Speaker 2: little bit here. I will tell you this. This is

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Speaker 2: a little bit of a chaser bet for me. I

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Speaker 2: don't always make bets like this, but I'm gonna make

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Speaker 2: one because well, will Zella Terra's has become just the

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Speaker 2: kind of this like thing and whether it be back

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Speaker 2: when my boy told me that.

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Speaker 1: He was going to win the waste management and he didn't.

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Speaker 2: But now they're at the RBC Heritage and this is

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Speaker 2: a golf course in Hilton Head that he is set

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Speaker 2: up perfectly for Will's Zila Terras. Now Willie z is

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Speaker 2: an elite ball striker. This golf course is going to

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Speaker 2: cater towards elite ball strikers. I have Will in a

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Speaker 2: four way head to head and I understand this that

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Speaker 2: maybe not every book will have this. Here in Vegas,

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Speaker 2: the Westgates Superbook has this offer. Okay, it's a group

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Speaker 2: over four rounds. This is for will Zella Terris to

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Speaker 2: win his group. His group includes Matty Fitzpatrick, Sung Jung

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Speaker 2: In and Corey Conners. To me, given the fact that

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Speaker 2: Matt Fitzpatrick said Fitzgerald, Matt Fitzpatrick's mean Fitzgerald.

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Speaker 1: Matt fitz Patrick, the.

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Speaker 2: Fact that mattis Patrick played in this thing last year

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Speaker 2: and was way off the pace. I kind of tend

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Speaker 2: to to look at this and go, mmm, all right,

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Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna cross out him. I don't believe

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Speaker 2: Song's a big factor here, but Corey Connors one hundred

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Speaker 2: percent is a big factor. This is kind of like

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Speaker 2: a head to head against will Z and Corey Connors,

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Speaker 2: except I get plus three ten on Willie Z up

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Speaker 2: against Corey Connors, who is again an elite ball striker

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Speaker 2: in fact, in terms of, you know, his overall talent.

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Speaker 1: You could say that, well, matt you got.

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Speaker 2: To be careful here because this dude is one of

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Speaker 2: the best ball strikers on the entire PGA tour, and

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Speaker 2: you're going right into the teeth here, like you're going

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Speaker 2: right up against the dude that's going to be really

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Speaker 2: tough to beat, which is very possible. Okay, So I

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Speaker 2: mean this is a Corey Connors versus will Zello Terra's

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Speaker 2: type of head to head. But I get plus three

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Speaker 2: ten because I'm gonna add in two other golfers that

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Speaker 2: I don't think that will be that, you know, watch

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Speaker 2: Matthew's Patrick win the whole thing, right, I'm downplaying Matthew Fitzpatrick.

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Speaker 2: Let him go win the whole damn thing. Web Simpson's

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Speaker 2: the veending champ here. This is a Pete Die design

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Speaker 2: Harbortown golf course.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is a really small green golf course.

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Speaker 1: You've got. It's not like, it's not like a gust

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Speaker 1: up any means.

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Speaker 2: But it has a lot to do with the fact

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Speaker 2: that you have to be very good around the gar

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Speaker 2: around the green, and you've got to put the ball

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Speaker 2: in the right place on these very small greens.

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Speaker 1: Your iron play has.

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Speaker 2: To be elite. Okay, it's got to be elite. So

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Speaker 2: rather than getting involved with who wins this thing, I

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Speaker 2: wanted to have some action on this. I got Willie

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Speaker 2: z in a four way over Sung Jen m, Corey

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Speaker 2: Connors and Matthew Fitzpatrick. It's plus three ten for Fitzpatrick.

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Speaker 2: The other odds, by the way, just to give you

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Speaker 2: the other odds for the other four golfers, let me

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Speaker 2: just pull this really fast so I can tell you

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Speaker 2: the odds for the other four golfers. Fitzpatrick is plus

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Speaker 2: two oh five, Sung JM is plus three forty and

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Speaker 2: Corey Connors is plus two forty five. Matthew Fitzpatrick is

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Speaker 2: the is the favorite to win that grouping. Okay, I

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Speaker 2: like Willie Z. I like the way he's playing. He

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Speaker 2: won us money during the Masters. I'm gonna go back

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Speaker 2: and just kind of fall in love here with wills

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Speaker 2: Ela Terris and hopefully Willy Z can come up with

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Speaker 2: a victory here in this four way tournament. I was

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Speaker 2: texting with somebody yesterday and they threw out a couple

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Speaker 2: of things to me. This is his first tour event,

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Speaker 2: entering the RBC sixteenth in greens.

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Speaker 1: And regulation.

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Speaker 2: Fifth and approach fourth and teda green in twelfth. Overall

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Speaker 2: fourteen stroke plays per year as Ella Terris has eleven

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Speaker 2: top twenty fives, including six top tens, two of which

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Speaker 2: we're at majors. Okay, so he's just playing at an

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Speaker 2: insane level right now. And he doesn't have his PGA

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Speaker 2: Tour card, which is like, excuse me, but no, but

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Speaker 2: he has one point two million dollars, which is what

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Speaker 2: he won for the Masters. He's got that, but he's

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Speaker 2: having insane run. So I'm gonna keep the good times

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Speaker 2: rolling with will Zella Terris. We're going him versus matt

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Speaker 2: Fitzpatrick and Corey Connors at plus three ten to win

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Speaker 2: that group here over the four rounds at the RBC

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Speaker 2: Heritage starting on Thursday. Okay, if you want to, if

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Speaker 2: you have a head to head with Willy Z over

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Speaker 2: Corey Connors, you can bet that too.

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Speaker 1: Okay, that's one way of betting it.

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Speaker 2: If you don't have the four way, you got the

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Speaker 2: two way Willie Zy over Corey Connors. It's gonna be

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Speaker 2: a hell of a sweat. Okay, it's gonna be a

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Speaker 2: lot of fun to watch. But over four for over

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Speaker 2: four days, it gives us something to watch here for

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Speaker 2: golf over four days.

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Speaker 1: So okay, So the picks.

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Speaker 2: Today Willie Z plus three ten to win his group

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Speaker 2: at the RBC Heritage Vegas over five and a half

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Speaker 2: at minus one fifteen over the La Kings and Miami

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Speaker 2: plus four on the road at the Denver Nuggets. Here

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Speaker 2: tonight in the NBA, I will have player props, two

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Speaker 2: of them for you for a quarter units each going

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Speaker 2: in the discord channel. Let's turn this around, Let's find

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Speaker 2: some magic here and let's try to recover. And yeah,

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Speaker 2: that plus three ten for Willy Z would make up

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Speaker 2: for a lot. If azlitaris goes off and has a

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Speaker 2: good tournament. You know, maybe we get that, we make

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Speaker 2: up a little bit of the ground we've lost here

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Speaker 2: over the last couple of days. So let's hopefully that happens. Hopefully,

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Speaker 2: let's go too and our tonight and let's get a

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Speaker 2: couple of w's. Let's put up a couple of wins

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Speaker 2: on the board here and hopefully turn around this very

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Speaker 2: very cold streak. If you want to fade, not going

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Speaker 2: to be mad at you at all. If you want

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Speaker 2: to do that, my name is Matt Peraltz. You can

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Speaker 2: follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every morning

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Speaker 2: it's the Daily Juice podcast, Win or Lose. We are

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Speaker 2: here on bettingfros dot com, always being brought to you

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Speaker 2: by bet MGM