1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: Good morning, everybody. Happy Friday, Emily, Ryan, Great to see 2 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:04,600 Speaker 1: you guys. 3 00:00:06,000 --> 00:00:09,399 Speaker 2: Crystal Crystal for those who didn't see the behind the scenes, 4 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:11,120 Speaker 2: was Ryan's tech support this morning. 5 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:13,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, it was pretty impressive and she nailed it. 6 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: Geek squad, yeap, got it worked right down. 7 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 3: Fixed we are. 8 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm a woman of many talents. What can I say. 9 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: We've been calling these shows internally the mini show, but 10 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: they're increasingly sort of not really many shows, they're just 11 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: shows because of so much stuff that's going on. But 12 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:35,560 Speaker 1: excited to get both of your reaction to Liberation Day 13 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:38,480 Speaker 1: and you know, take your temperature as to how liberated 14 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 1: you're feeling on this Friday. Got a bunch of a 15 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:44,239 Speaker 1: bunch of different stuff in regard to that, including new 16 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: jobs numbers that just came out, which actually came out 17 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 1: much stronger than expected, so that's kind of interesting. We 18 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:53,560 Speaker 1: also have a new poll, hypothetical poll AOC versus Chuck 19 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: Shumer and for Senate she's deshrawing him, which is really interesting. 20 00:00:59,720 --> 00:01:01,920 Speaker 1: Made you turn about in terms of how the Democratic 21 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 1: base is feeling. Ryan also flag for us there's huge 22 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:08,479 Speaker 1: protest plan for you know, from the Democratic base across 23 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: the country, a thousand different protests planned in you know, 24 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: nationwide locations. We've got a few national security advisors who 25 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 1: were officially lumored that U interesting developments there. And we're 26 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 1: also really looking forward to speaking to one of the 27 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: members of the legal team of that marilynd father who 28 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 1: was wrongly deported to the El Salvador prison. So she's 29 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 1: she actually represented him in that twenty nineteen hearing where 30 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: the judge ruled that he cannot be deported to El Salvador, 31 00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:41,479 Speaker 1: so she knows should know all the ins and outs 32 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: of like the gang accusations and what they were saying 33 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 1: and what the reality was, how the family's doing, all 34 00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 1: of that sort of stuff. So definitely looking forward to that. 35 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 2: Good show. Like to your point about not calling these 36 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 2: mini shows, that's a lot of. 37 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 1: Crystal Yes, indeed. All right, so let's kick things off here. 38 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 1: I guess we'll start with the latest on the jobsts. Obviously, 39 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: Trump has upended the entire global economy, so you know, 40 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 1: a lot to get to there. But we also had 41 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 1: the jobs report come out this this morning and it 42 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 1: actually crushed expectations two hundred twenty eight thousand. Unemployment rate 43 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: actually rose a little bit to four point two percent. 44 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 1: Joe Wisenthal here saying the economists had expected one hundred 45 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 1: and forty thousand jobs unemployment of four point one percent. 46 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 1: The reason that the unemployment rate actually ticked up is 47 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:32,919 Speaker 1: because you had more people, higher workforce participations, so sort 48 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,079 Speaker 1: of more people jumping into the market and trying to 49 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: find a job. Any reflections on that, guys, just before 50 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:41,440 Speaker 1: we get into the latest Liberation Day fallout, I mean, 51 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 1: what the. 52 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 3: Business press was saying is that this was sort of 53 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 3: an interesting but meaningless round of numbers because people were 54 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 3: going to say, you know, if it was terrible, they 55 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 3: were going to say, oh, well, like one more reason 56 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 3: to sell. So terrible report would have been bad and 57 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 3: like would have been like another kind of another straw 58 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 3: on this camel's broken back. Yeah, but a good report 59 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 3: is discounted by the market because they're like, Okay, well 60 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 3: that was a good report in March. That was before 61 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:16,680 Speaker 3: Liberation Day and the fall of Western civilization because of 62 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 3: the race in Wisconsin, supre Court race. So we're now 63 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:24,680 Speaker 3: in a post Liberation Day, post Western civilization world. So 64 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 3: the things that happened before that, you know, don't don't 65 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:32,080 Speaker 3: actually matter. So it staves off a little additional extra 66 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 3: sell off potentially, and but that's about it. And and 67 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 3: it it you know, it bakes in some hopes among 68 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 3: these folks that Trump is going to you know, uh, 69 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 3: you know, cock things up so badly that the Fed 70 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 3: will step in and and you know, lower interest rates 71 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 3: a whole bunch of times between now and the end 72 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 3: of the year and that and that that'll cushion some 73 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 3: of the blows. 74 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, and that's kind of one of the high 75 00:03:57,320 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: IQ arguments for the terrorists is like, oh, this is 76 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 1: all an effort to bring down interest rates so that 77 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 1: also when the US has to roll all of this debt, 78 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: that it will be at a lower interest rate. And 79 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 1: so we need to like destroy the entire economy so 80 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 1: that we can bring interest rates down as one of 81 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:19,160 Speaker 1: the sort of like high IQ versions of the Trump 82 00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 1: tariff thing. And it's nine point fifteen when we're recording 83 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:24,839 Speaker 1: this right now. This is what you know, CNBC. You 84 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 1: got the ticker up here of the futures what they 85 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: look like. You know, yesterday obviously was pretty bad in 86 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: terms of the stock market, although to be honest with you, 87 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 1: I thought it could have been even worse. Given the 88 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 1: you know the nature of the tariffs, which are just 89 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:43,600 Speaker 1: so astonishing and massive and obviously global, and saying in 90 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:47,479 Speaker 1: my opinion and you know, we'll really have just I 91 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: think it's impossible to really gauge exactly what all the 92 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 1: fallout is ultimately going to be. But even with this 93 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:56,679 Speaker 1: job's report now coming in higher than expected, obviously future 94 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: is still significantly down. And you know, China announced this 95 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 1: more learning or last night or sometime before I woke up, 96 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 1: that they were going to be retaliating with significant tariffs 97 00:05:06,680 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: of their own and targeting a few key American businesses 98 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 1: and industries in particular. So you know, the theory is 99 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: the markets are sort of reacting to that, and that's 100 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 1: why they're down even more than they already were yesterday. 101 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 2: Also, really sweet to see you and Kyle dming. 102 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:28,599 Speaker 1: A lot of that. 103 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, you know, China's response to me suggests what 104 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:37,760 Speaker 3: a difficult spot the US is in. Like I would 105 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 3: imagine that she and his advisors are almost paralyzed by 106 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 3: the sheer number of different effective ways they have to 107 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 3: screw us, and they have a unified system whereby they 108 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 3: can come up with an idea and then they can 109 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 3: execute on it, whereas in the United States we are 110 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 3: literally having chat GPT come up up with our plan. 111 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 3: So it's like chat GPT versus you know, she and 112 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:09,679 Speaker 3: his economists. Yeah, when she and his economists are sitting 113 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 3: on massive piles of cash and the manufacturing capacity of 114 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:20,719 Speaker 3: the world and the knowledge of the supply chains, and 115 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:24,160 Speaker 3: they can you know, largely kind of guide a lot 116 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:26,159 Speaker 3: of their companies. I've seen a lot of people say 117 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 3: that Trump's actual scheme here is He's going to destroy 118 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:35,159 Speaker 3: the American economy, drive the prices down to bottom barrel, 119 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:36,560 Speaker 3: and that he and his billionaire buddies are going to 120 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 3: buy up everything. I don't. I don't think that's right 121 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 3: at all. But I think what he might end up 122 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:44,359 Speaker 3: doing is knock the price of everything way down, and 123 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 3: then she and his buddies come in with their companies 124 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:51,320 Speaker 3: and buy everything up that they that that they can 125 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 3: get at a you know, steep discount. 126 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:54,599 Speaker 4: Yeah. 127 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:58,480 Speaker 1: Well that's important to notee. You know, recessions, most people lose, 128 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 1: but not everybody loses. You know. Out of the financial crash, 129 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 1: there was a massive consolidation. Banks got bigger than ever. 130 00:07:07,040 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 1: It really was the kickoff of permanent capital being such 131 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 1: a massive player in terms of buying up housing, and 132 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,960 Speaker 1: you know, these giant conglomerates becoming basically like America's landlord. 133 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 1: Out of the COVID crash, we all know that the 134 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:26,800 Speaker 1: tech barons really consolidated a lot of power, Bezos, Zuckerberg, elon. 135 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 1: They all came out of the COVID crash massively wealthier 136 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 1: than before. And to your point about China, their markets 137 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 1: are not down all that much. They take it a 138 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 1: little bit, but nothing like what our markets are down, 139 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 1: which tells you that investors are betting that they're actually 140 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 1: going to be more or less okay out of this. 141 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:48,000 Speaker 1: And you can start to see in the specific retaliation 142 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 1: that they picked. You know, it was not only okay, well, 143 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:53,040 Speaker 1: we're going to hit you with the same level of 144 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 1: tariff that you're hitting us. It was also we're going 145 00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 1: to block you from being able to import some of 146 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 1: these rare earth minerals that are in you know, all 147 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: of our modern electronics and are really important. And that 148 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: China has been to your boy ride about the level 149 00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: of planning for years and years, you know, consolidating their 150 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: control over some of those supply chains. So they are 151 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 1: certainly not powerless, to say the least emily in this situation. 152 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 2: No, they they aren't. And it's interesting because a lot 153 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 2: of this, uh well actually a lot of the like 154 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:26,160 Speaker 2: Liberation Day predicate. I was going back and looking at 155 00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:30,400 Speaker 2: how people on the right talked about targeted tariffs in 156 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 2: the years leading up to Trump two point zero, and 157 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:36,520 Speaker 2: it was always through the lens of national security, always 158 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:39,880 Speaker 2: like there were that was the sort of justification for 159 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,960 Speaker 2: protectionism that some of these think tanks like the Heritage 160 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 2: Foundation had for a really long time cast as socialist economics, 161 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:54,080 Speaker 2: and uh, they've been such staunch champions of quote unquote 162 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 2: free trade, and as they were warming up to Trump 163 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:01,079 Speaker 2: and acquiescing to Trump's hostile take of the Republican Party, 164 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 2: it was okay, targeted tariffs. You could do targeted near 165 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 2: shoring with Canada and Mexico, but it's because of national 166 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 2: security and the argument that national security is stronger in 167 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 2: these Just like a couple of weeks to come, we're 168 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:20,320 Speaker 2: going to get a lot more clues as to whether 169 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:22,840 Speaker 2: or not that's really the case. But a China that's 170 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 2: not significantly hampered by this. 171 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:27,320 Speaker 3: That was the goal. 172 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 2: I mean, that was an explicit national security ambition of 173 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 2: tariffs that some of the people put forward before they 174 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:35,520 Speaker 2: joined the administration. 175 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:38,080 Speaker 1: Well, in some of the push to move manufacturing into 176 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 1: like Vietnam was also you know, okay, you know, we're 177 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 1: not near shoring New Mexico, are bringing jobs back to 178 00:09:43,760 --> 00:09:45,839 Speaker 1: the US, but this is the country that we have 179 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 1: better relations with than we feel more comfortable manufacturing there. 180 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 1: Vietnam just got hit with a gigantic tariff, so you know, 181 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 1: some of those prior efforts are also being completely undermined 182 00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 1: by this. One of the things that's go ahead, right, 183 00:09:59,120 --> 00:09:59,439 Speaker 1: and just. 184 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:03,360 Speaker 3: One little point, China is retaliating against us. We're doing 185 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 3: a trade war against the entire world, that's right, which 186 00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 3: makes China's positions so much easier. 187 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 1: It's stronger, right, Like we're we're doing a trade war 188 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:18,240 Speaker 1: against Lesotho and you know that don't even have inhabitants 189 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:21,839 Speaker 1: in you know, some island that's largely like British and 190 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:23,800 Speaker 1: American military that. 191 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:25,679 Speaker 3: Like, and against people that I am be able to 192 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 3: help us in a trade war with China. 193 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:29,959 Speaker 1: That's right, That's exactly right. And that was actually one 194 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 1: of the points that like Nate Silvert was making, is 195 00:10:32,120 --> 00:10:34,160 Speaker 1: are we really going to be negotiating with all one 196 00:10:34,200 --> 00:10:36,440 Speaker 1: hundred and ninety two countries or whatever it is that 197 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:41,199 Speaker 1: we just tariffed. So yes, if it was a I mean, 198 00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 1: I hate to just keep repeating myself, but if it 199 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:46,000 Speaker 1: was focused, if it's you know, targeted particular industry or 200 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:48,839 Speaker 1: even a particular country in terms of China, then you 201 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:52,079 Speaker 1: can imagine a plan that where we could come out 202 00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:55,360 Speaker 1: on top, where there would be there would always be minuses, 203 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:59,000 Speaker 1: potentially short term pain for sure, but there could be 204 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 1: something that was work fit on the other side. You know, 205 00:11:01,720 --> 00:11:04,599 Speaker 1: I'm someone who thinks that tariffs can be useful and 206 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 1: important tool in certain instances. But the incredibly not just chaotic, 207 00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:13,680 Speaker 1: but you know, insane way that this is done across 208 00:11:13,760 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 1: the board and using chat GPT and pretending like a 209 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:20,520 Speaker 1: trade deficit is the same as a tariff just makes 210 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:23,880 Speaker 1: it impossible to imagine how this is ultimately going to 211 00:11:23,960 --> 00:11:25,960 Speaker 1: work out. And one of the things and on that 212 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:26,400 Speaker 1: just I. 213 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:29,000 Speaker 3: Think just might help people understand that because I see 214 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:30,640 Speaker 3: a lot of people being like, we're getting screwed by 215 00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 3: all these countries. It's like, imagine California and Oregon, like 216 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:37,320 Speaker 3: they trade with each other now there's no tariffs because 217 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:40,440 Speaker 3: they're united you know, there's states within the United States. 218 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:44,520 Speaker 3: But I promise you that people in Oregon buy a 219 00:11:44,520 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 3: lot more stuff from California than people in California buy 220 00:11:49,160 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 3: from Oregon. So it would be like looking at that 221 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:55,640 Speaker 3: situation and saying, oh wow, like there's a giant tariff 222 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:59,360 Speaker 3: up that Oregon has on California. Right, It's like, no, no, 223 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:02,440 Speaker 3: Oregon just doesn't make that much stuff. California makes an 224 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 3: enormous amount of stuff, right, That's how that's how trade works. Well, 225 00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:09,040 Speaker 3: so maybe that will help people understand that it's not 226 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:13,200 Speaker 3: that they're setting up. Oregon is not screwing California in 227 00:12:13,280 --> 00:12:13,720 Speaker 3: a slight. 228 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:15,959 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't want to call it a defense 229 00:12:16,040 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 2: of the administration because we haven't seen anything yet. But 230 00:12:18,559 --> 00:12:22,280 Speaker 2: them telling bessn't well, besn't going out and saying, you know, 231 00:12:22,320 --> 00:12:24,000 Speaker 2: these will be the higher end of the rate if 232 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:26,440 Speaker 2: you don't retaliate, and then the White House saying that 233 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 2: is not the talking point, Like there are reports that 234 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 2: the White House was saying that do not include anything 235 00:12:32,320 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 2: about these being negotiating points. These are the final numbers 236 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 2: in your talking points. It's hard to imagine the Treasury secretary, 237 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:43,960 Speaker 2: especially with something as sensitive as markets being literally off 238 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:47,480 Speaker 2: the talking points, so like one eighty degree from what 239 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:51,120 Speaker 2: you're supposed to be saying on that. But I like 240 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:54,920 Speaker 2: some of these random, completely random tariffs. I wonder if 241 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:57,800 Speaker 2: they like didn't take them seriously, because they don't take 242 00:12:57,840 --> 00:13:01,120 Speaker 2: them seriously, and if you are the Soto or someone else, 243 00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:04,480 Speaker 2: maybe Trump just wants to have it look like he 244 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:08,680 Speaker 2: was doing eighty deals and successfully negotiated with all of 245 00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:12,240 Speaker 2: these different countries. So but the like we'll see, I 246 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:14,800 Speaker 2: genuinely have no idea. I don't think anybody has any idea. 247 00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 1: But the I don't think best has any idea. I mean, 248 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 1: like he was completely clueless and terrified in all of 249 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 1: those interviews. They're like, so are you going to go 250 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:28,079 Speaker 1: to China and talk to him? He's like, nothing on 251 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 1: the calendar. 252 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:33,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's an interesting idea, but that's the the USMCA exemptions, 253 00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 2: and what happens with that is pretty critical to what happens. 254 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 2: We used to be China obviously, so you know, if 255 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 2: you're you're going to be terrifying the hell out of 256 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 2: Canada and Mexico in order to rebalance those relationships at 257 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 2: the same time as you're trying to rebalance the relationship 258 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:54,079 Speaker 2: with China, the economic relationship with China for national security concerns, 259 00:13:54,520 --> 00:13:56,960 Speaker 2: then you have to look very differently at your relationship 260 00:13:56,960 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 2: with Canada Mexico, which Besson also said, he got Caitlin 261 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 2: Collins and said they're USMCA exemptions, but that's going to 262 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:06,000 Speaker 2: be renegotiated. So who the hell knows? 263 00:14:06,160 --> 00:14:08,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, and I said this in the show yesterday. 264 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:11,080 Speaker 1: But just to drill down on the point Ryan was 265 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 1: making to help people understand, like why a trade deficit 266 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:15,839 Speaker 1: is not the same as a tariff and does not 267 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 1: necessarily represent a country screwing US our noeb but trend 268 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 1: lay down the example of Lesotho. This is an incredibly 269 00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:23,920 Speaker 1: poor country in Africa. They're actually part of a regional 270 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:27,560 Speaker 1: trading block that has uniform tariff policy. So in theory 271 00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:30,960 Speaker 1: you would think, okay, well, South Africa and Lesotho part 272 00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:33,800 Speaker 1: of this trading block, have uniform teriff policy, so they 273 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:36,680 Speaker 1: should be getting hit with the same level of tariff, right, No, 274 00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 1: South Africa's is far lower. Why because we do actually 275 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 1: import a significant for that country and a significant amount 276 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 1: of mostly diamonds and other sort of like, you know, 277 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 1: raw materials, and this is a poor country. So the 278 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:53,360 Speaker 1: people there, they don't have the money to buy things 279 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 1: like iPhones and Tesla's from our market. So does that 280 00:14:56,400 --> 00:14:59,880 Speaker 1: mean that they're screwing us, No, it just means, you know, 281 00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 1: and it's not like we have a domestic diamond market 282 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 1: that we need to protect and gin up here. And 283 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:08,360 Speaker 1: that's the other part of this. One of the other 284 00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 1: parts of this that makes no actual economic sense is 285 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 1: that there are certain things that we just literally can't 286 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:19,080 Speaker 1: produce here. We don't have diamond mines, that's just how 287 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:22,360 Speaker 1: it is, right. We cannot grow bananas outside of a 288 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,600 Speaker 1: few locations, we cannot grow coffee beans outside of a 289 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 1: few locations. Something like fifty percent of our fruits and 290 00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:33,920 Speaker 1: vegetables come from other markets. And so when you're doing 291 00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:36,320 Speaker 1: this across the board, not only across the board, with 292 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 1: countries across the board, with all of these different products, 293 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 1: all you're doing is creating a massively regressive tax. And 294 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 1: that's the other part of this that is wild that 295 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 1: I don't think people should just let go is the 296 00:15:51,080 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: President has claimed for himself the single handed ability to 297 00:15:54,960 --> 00:16:00,920 Speaker 1: completely upend our economy. The global economy. You know, these 298 00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 1: are powers that are supposed to be in the hands 299 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:06,640 Speaker 1: of Congress. You know, they're supposed to be the person 300 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 1: raising revenue that is supposed to go through Congress. And so, 301 00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 1: you know, Jeff Stein was pointing out, he was like, 302 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:15,280 Speaker 1: you know, most experts that I'm talking to you are 303 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 1: saying that they probably legally are going to go through 304 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 1: because the courts have taken a very permissive attitude towards presence, 305 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 1: ability to declare national emergencies or natural security situations or 306 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:28,360 Speaker 1: whatever and do what they want in the sphere of tariffs. 307 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 1: But compare that to Biden's like comparatively pitdling student loan 308 00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 1: debt relief that gets struck down by the courts, and 309 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:38,000 Speaker 1: you have a you know, you just have a very 310 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 1: remarkable situation. And I think it's also fair to say, like, 311 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 1: and I believe that the tariff regime that Trump has 312 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 1: announced is less about a particular economic outcome and more 313 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: about him consolidating more control for himself. And that comes 314 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 1: not only from the extraordinary nature of the tariff's largest 315 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 1: tax hike, probably in US history, highest level of tariffs, 316 00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:05,679 Speaker 1: uh since you know, it is much higher even than 317 00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 1: the Smoot Holly Tariff Act, which vastly exacerbated the Great Depression. 318 00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 1: But not only from just like that exercise of power, 319 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 1: but also now every company, every country in the world, 320 00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:19,840 Speaker 1: every industry, they all have to go on bended me 321 00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 1: to the dear leader and beg and plead their case, 322 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:27,240 Speaker 1: which is precisely why these powers were supposed to be 323 00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 1: with Congress, because that ryan is the way that a 324 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 1: king operates. It's not supposed to be the way that 325 00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:35,240 Speaker 1: a president ultimately operates. 326 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:38,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think they there's a chance they might end 327 00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:41,359 Speaker 3: up taking the powers away from him if if he 328 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:44,760 Speaker 3: abuses them too seriously and we see too much pain 329 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:49,440 Speaker 3: going around. I could because the Congress or Congress, Yeah Congress, 330 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:53,480 Speaker 3: because you saw me, they would need probably two thirds, 331 00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:56,520 Speaker 3: a two thirds vote because obviously Trump is otherwise. 332 00:17:57,359 --> 00:17:57,600 Speaker 1: Yeah. 333 00:17:57,640 --> 00:18:02,159 Speaker 3: Right, So I mean, this is imagining a world in 334 00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:07,240 Speaker 3: which you know, we've seen not just you know, twenty 335 00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 3: thirty percent come off the markets. You know, that's those 336 00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,879 Speaker 3: that's still the market. But you start seeing you know, 337 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 3: manufacturing plants close and like auto automakers layoff workers, still lants, 338 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:21,840 Speaker 3: and I think just laid off a thousand people yesterday, 339 00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:26,840 Speaker 3: so if you start seeing like significant manufacturing industry layoffs 340 00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:30,600 Speaker 3: and it's cutting against his the notion that he's bringing 341 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:35,000 Speaker 3: manufacturing back, then then I don't know, I don't know, 342 00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 3: if I don't know if there is anything that breaks 343 00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:37,680 Speaker 3: the hold. 344 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 2: Well, yeah, oh, I was gonna say. This is the 345 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,160 Speaker 2: benefit of what Krystal was just laying out, Trump consolidating. 346 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,600 Speaker 2: I mean, other presidents have used these powers, but Trump 347 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:50,159 Speaker 2: using them more boldly than anyone in recent memory. The 348 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:53,720 Speaker 2: benefit from his perspective is that he can then cut 349 00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:59,200 Speaker 2: these deals immediately to back off and try to course correct. 350 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:02,600 Speaker 2: He can just call up the folks in the Soto 351 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:06,960 Speaker 2: and say like, ah, you guys, you know you're such 352 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:10,879 Speaker 2: great partners. We're taking this right down. You know. He's 353 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:14,320 Speaker 2: able to like operate on his whims, which is absolutely 354 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:18,040 Speaker 2: for any president, terrifying amount of power. It should belong 355 00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:21,040 Speaker 2: with Congress. It's an Article one power. But the presidential 356 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:25,280 Speaker 2: emergency declarations have ye held up in courts to that point. 357 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:29,760 Speaker 2: So I think you're right. There's something that he enjoys 358 00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 2: about being the guy who gets to have the final 359 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:38,600 Speaker 2: decision on such a significant basis because he feels like 360 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:43,359 Speaker 2: he's coarse correct. I mean, this is Trump's deepest ideological commitment. 361 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:48,440 Speaker 2: He's generally more transactional than ideological, except for tariffs and immigration, 362 00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 2: and so this is you know, whether he ultimately backs 363 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:54,920 Speaker 2: down from a significant terariff for jam, I think is unlikely, 364 00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 2: but he's able to. He probably thinks he'll be able 365 00:19:57,359 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 2: to do carve out type deals with the sort of 366 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 2: flick of a pen or the picking up of a phone. 367 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:05,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, And I've seen Matt, like Matt Stolar for instance, 368 00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:07,879 Speaker 3: has been out there saying, like, you know, people on 369 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:10,720 Speaker 3: the left need to stop just sounding like CNBC or 370 00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 3: MSNBC and freaking out at this, like you have to understand, 371 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:18,280 Speaker 3: like Trump has a legitimate argument about the nature of 372 00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:21,440 Speaker 3: global trade imbalances and the way that it is screwed 373 00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:24,920 Speaker 3: up the middle class over the last fifty years and 374 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:28,920 Speaker 3: and undermined our ability to produce anything to an extent 375 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:31,040 Speaker 3: that you know, when there was a pandemic, if we 376 00:20:31,040 --> 00:20:34,080 Speaker 3: hadn't gotten the supply chains going, we wouldn't have had masks, right, 377 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 3: we could, we could, we could barely make like you know, soap. 378 00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:41,320 Speaker 3: You know, they could, they couldn't. They couldn't make any 379 00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 3: of the ppe that we needed agree with that, But 380 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:48,760 Speaker 3: to me, you don't get points for your virtue and 381 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:54,160 Speaker 3: for your correct analysis if what you implement doesn't really 382 00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 3: have a chance of working. And the reason it doesn't 383 00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:58,160 Speaker 3: have a chance of working is that we're we're still 384 00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:03,640 Speaker 3: a capitalist system, which allows you know, capitalists to decide 385 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:07,439 Speaker 3: where they're going to invest their money. The state doesn't. 386 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:10,399 Speaker 3: Maybe it should, but the state does not direct in 387 00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:16,400 Speaker 3: any considerable amount of investment. And so if you're an 388 00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:21,040 Speaker 3: investor right now, like, on the one hand, okay, it 389 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:25,040 Speaker 3: looks like it's going to be cheaper to relatively cheaper 390 00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:28,119 Speaker 3: to you know, sell things to American consumers if I 391 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:30,800 Speaker 3: build them right here in America. Is that going to 392 00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,480 Speaker 3: be the case two weeks from now, Yeah, that's true. 393 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,720 Speaker 3: I don't know. And if you don't know, do you 394 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 3: drop a one point five billion dollar investment in a 395 00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 3: Wisconsin factory. Well, Trump's point is advanswer that is, no, 396 00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:46,680 Speaker 3: you don't unless you have some some sense of stability 397 00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 3: long term. 398 00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:49,399 Speaker 2: Well, I think that's the flip side of the coin. 399 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,920 Speaker 2: And Trump would say the uncertainty is the only thing 400 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:56,440 Speaker 2: that gets them to do that, because they're so on 401 00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:59,320 Speaker 2: Trump is the main take the bet on Trump. 402 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:02,199 Speaker 3: Well, yeah, like it's going to take them longer to 403 00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 3: get the deal together that then the policies will be 404 00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 3: in place. There'll be new policies in like three days, 405 00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:11,000 Speaker 3: that's right then, and the new ones after that, and 406 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:11,919 Speaker 3: the new ones after that. 407 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,439 Speaker 1: Right, So no one would expect that. I mean, this 408 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,719 Speaker 1: should in theory be Trump's last term in office. No 409 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,399 Speaker 1: one is going to think that the next president is 410 00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 1: going to continue with this particular terriff rut. 411 00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:25,199 Speaker 3: You're just getting your factory online in like two years, 412 00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 3: and now Trump's a lame duck, and like that's the problem. Like, 413 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:30,960 Speaker 3: if you want to do this, go to Congress and 414 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:35,560 Speaker 3: do an industrial policy and buy in, get buy in 415 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:39,280 Speaker 3: from the American people and Democrats, like Democrats, you want 416 00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:42,560 Speaker 3: to build factories in the United States, Democrats, all they're 417 00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 3: going to ask for is uh, as you know, Barat 418 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,959 Speaker 3: talked about day care in the factory and and union wages. 419 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:50,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, is that we could do? 420 00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:51,120 Speaker 2: We could? 421 00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:52,800 Speaker 3: Is that so bad? 422 00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:57,800 Speaker 1: You know? This? Also one of the things that bothers 423 00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:02,000 Speaker 1: me about this teriff for is that I actually do 424 00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 1: think it is going to negatively polarize many people against 425 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:09,600 Speaker 1: Tariff's period, and I think that is terrible, and it 426 00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:12,600 Speaker 1: comes at a time when there wasn't increasing there was 427 00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:18,199 Speaker 1: a bipartisan consensus in favor of targeted industrial policy, and 428 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:21,880 Speaker 1: Trump could rightly take credit for helping to create that 429 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:25,840 Speaker 1: shift in public policy. I mean, terroris in industrial policy 430 00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,320 Speaker 1: were like, you know, seeing a knuckle dragging kind of 431 00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:32,399 Speaker 1: stuff in the neoliberal era. And Trump comes in, he 432 00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,680 Speaker 1: does his China terrorists. I supported them, Ryan, I suspect 433 00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:40,760 Speaker 1: you probably did as well. Yeah, and then Biden keeps 434 00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:45,000 Speaker 1: them largely in place, expandes that but couples it with 435 00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:48,880 Speaker 1: actual industrial policies. So in truth, Biden's version of it 436 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,960 Speaker 1: was much more successful than Trump's version. You can see 437 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:53,040 Speaker 1: that with the you know, the. 438 00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 3: Chips, and Trump's had some positive impacts on manufacturing and yeah, yeah, 439 00:23:57,640 --> 00:23:58,200 Speaker 3: and so I. 440 00:23:58,200 --> 00:23:59,919 Speaker 2: Drove through the Fox cun Cam. 441 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:03,080 Speaker 3: Oh boy, that was Scott Walker. 442 00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:05,679 Speaker 1: Yeah, that was that was a major l But put it. 443 00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:07,920 Speaker 1: Let's put that aside. But you know, there was this 444 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:13,720 Speaker 1: true bipartisan consensus in favor of targeted industrial policy, and 445 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:19,080 Speaker 1: we're more, vastly more needed to be done. But Trump 446 00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:22,040 Speaker 1: seems to have this idea that if you just put 447 00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:25,639 Speaker 1: in place this giant terror regime. Everything is going to 448 00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:30,000 Speaker 1: magically happen after that. And Ryan, you're so correct that 449 00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:33,400 Speaker 1: he is not factoring into this the fact that number one, 450 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:34,880 Speaker 1: the rest of the world is going to get a say, 451 00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:40,640 Speaker 1: and number two that you're still relying on capital and 452 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 1: trying to figure out their incentives. And from the best 453 00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:45,760 Speaker 1: we can tell, like their incentives are just going to 454 00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 1: be Okay, We're just not going to do really anything 455 00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,080 Speaker 1: for the next couple of years. See how this shakes out. 456 00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:54,320 Speaker 1: I wouldn't be hiring, you know. I mean, even thinking 457 00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:55,879 Speaker 1: about our little business, the way that we're going to 458 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:57,840 Speaker 1: be impacted by this. It's like, I'm not taking on 459 00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:02,200 Speaker 1: big new risks right now because at. 460 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:05,960 Speaker 3: Drop site, because of people's so like the subscription base 461 00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:07,840 Speaker 3: and the donation base, Like we could add a couple 462 00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:10,520 Speaker 3: of people right now, but but we're not going to 463 00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,560 Speaker 3: because we're probably going to see a downturn. 464 00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:14,720 Speaker 1: That's exactly right. 465 00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:18,159 Speaker 3: And and companies like well we're a nonprofit, uh, But 466 00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,199 Speaker 3: to organizations like hours and and like breaking points, you know, 467 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:24,160 Speaker 3: they get hit in a recession because if you lose 468 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:27,320 Speaker 3: your job, it's like, hey, I'd love to, you know, 469 00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:29,880 Speaker 3: help you guys out. I support the journalism that you're doing, 470 00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:31,800 Speaker 3: but I'm going to watch the free clips on YouTube 471 00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:33,760 Speaker 3: and I'm going to read the free stuff. 472 00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:37,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, family, not at all. 473 00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:39,920 Speaker 3: Obviously. If it's a choice between you know, making your 474 00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:41,920 Speaker 3: bills and this, like this has got to go. 475 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:45,840 Speaker 2: I mean, I would choose my premium subscription over feeding children. 476 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 4: But that's just. 477 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:47,760 Speaker 3: Depends on children. 478 00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:53,080 Speaker 1: One of the things that's wild to me is like 479 00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:56,239 Speaker 1: people are going to get hurt by this. You know, 480 00:25:56,359 --> 00:26:00,520 Speaker 1: it's it's a massive thing that Trump has just done, 481 00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:05,320 Speaker 1: like insanely massive. And is he in the you know, 482 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:09,159 Speaker 1: the like economic situation room, crunching the numbers, seeing what 483 00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:12,600 Speaker 1: the market reaction is, making deals whatever. No, he's like 484 00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:14,720 Speaker 1: I think it's going well, and then he's off to 485 00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,840 Speaker 1: play golf. Like this is so what. I just I 486 00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:21,920 Speaker 1: cannot comprehend the mentality of someone who is so casual 487 00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:26,960 Speaker 1: about doing something that is such a nuclear bomb around 488 00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:28,920 Speaker 1: the world. I mean, so here, you know, Jake shrim 489 00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:31,760 Speaker 1: President Trump leaving today for Florida, where he will attend 490 00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:35,800 Speaker 1: the Live Golf Tour dinner at his Durrell Country club. 491 00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,919 Speaker 1: Here he is yesterday getting asked about like, hey, the 492 00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:42,879 Speaker 1: markets are completely shitting the bed. Are you, like, you know, 493 00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:44,800 Speaker 1: good with this? Like, how are you feeling about this? 494 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:46,480 Speaker 1: Let's take a listen to what he has to say. 495 00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:53,840 Speaker 2: The markets today our way down. We're saying here. 496 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:55,520 Speaker 5: So how can I think it's going very well? 497 00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:59,240 Speaker 3: It was an operation, like when a patient gets operated 498 00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:01,640 Speaker 3: on and it's a big thing. 499 00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:02,760 Speaker 2: I said, this good. 500 00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:07,120 Speaker 1: Exactly, so he they love this. It's you know, an operation, 501 00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:10,520 Speaker 1: it's a patient. The operation went well. But yeah, he 502 00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:11,760 Speaker 1: thinks he thinks it's going great. 503 00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:14,040 Speaker 3: And if I thought a few years from now this 504 00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:17,760 Speaker 3: was going to turn around American manufacturing and production, like 505 00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:21,520 Speaker 3: I'd be like, that's the coolest thing ever. Yeah, based 506 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,359 Speaker 3: like go for it, like yes, like it's it's going 507 00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:26,280 Speaker 3: to short term pain, long term gain. I just don't 508 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:27,280 Speaker 3: see the long term gain. 509 00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:31,439 Speaker 1: Well, we understand well and also sorry Emily, it just 510 00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 1: really quickly is we Also? I agree with that, Ryan, 511 00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:37,200 Speaker 1: I absolutely agree with that, But we also can't be 512 00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:42,800 Speaker 1: cavalier about this is a massive regressive tax, massive regressive tax. 513 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:46,240 Speaker 1: At the same time as it's not like you know, 514 00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:49,119 Speaker 1: when he did tarifs in his first term, farmers got 515 00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:51,520 Speaker 1: hurt and they had a big program to reimburse them. 516 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,400 Speaker 1: There's none of it. It's the total opposite of that 517 00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:56,879 Speaker 1: at this point where you you know, can't get a 518 00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:59,200 Speaker 1: hold of somebody at Social Security so you can get 519 00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 1: your benefits there. Republicans widely expected to cut Medicaid and 520 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,359 Speaker 1: they're also widely expected to give on a giant tax cut. 521 00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:09,720 Speaker 1: So the you know, one of the theories they're trying 522 00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:11,480 Speaker 1: to get the deficit down and do these things, well, no, 523 00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:13,600 Speaker 1: they're about to blow up the deficit more than they 524 00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:18,200 Speaker 1: ever abb of war, and so you're doing austerity at 525 00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:21,120 Speaker 1: the same time that you're expecting people to be able 526 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:25,440 Speaker 1: to shoulder this massive regressive tax hike at a time 527 00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:29,600 Speaker 1: when they already were Inflation was the number one issue 528 00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:33,480 Speaker 1: for people, like prices. They already feel so stretched because 529 00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:36,719 Speaker 1: prices have been high, and that's what he was elected 530 00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:39,680 Speaker 1: on was to deal with those prices. So while I agree, 531 00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:42,360 Speaker 1: if there was like you know, okay, and we're gonna 532 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 1: it's really going to reindustrialize middle class jobs, like bring 533 00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:48,880 Speaker 1: back the heartland of America and people are going to 534 00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:52,080 Speaker 1: be able to you know, have this like solid union 535 00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:54,720 Speaker 1: middle class job the way things were, Like okay, that's 536 00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:58,080 Speaker 1: worth exchanging some short term pain for but you also 537 00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:01,400 Speaker 1: have to help people to get through that period. And 538 00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:03,680 Speaker 1: there's first of all, it's just short term pain and 539 00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:06,640 Speaker 1: long term pain. And second of all, there is none 540 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:10,520 Speaker 1: of that policy happening to help people who are truly 541 00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,960 Speaker 1: going to be hurt, whether it's regular ordinary people, businesses, 542 00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 1: et cetera. In the interim to get to that theoretical 543 00:29:17,360 --> 00:29:19,440 Speaker 1: promised promised land. 544 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,040 Speaker 2: I mean, I think that the tax cut situation is 545 00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:26,280 Speaker 2: going to be completely crazy, but maybe they come up 546 00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 2: with something. I have no idea. It doesn't seem like it. 547 00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:30,520 Speaker 2: Josh Holly said he went to the White House yesterday 548 00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 2: in secure commitments from Trump not to touch medicator social 549 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:37,440 Speaker 2: security again. We will see. There's a White House statement 550 00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 2: on the jobs report that says, quote, the economy is 551 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:41,680 Speaker 2: starting to roar, with a strong two hundred and twenty 552 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:43,360 Speaker 2: eight thousand jobs out in the month of March, well 553 00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 2: ahead of the market's expectation. There's also a sharp increase 554 00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:48,960 Speaker 2: in transportation, construction, and warehousing employment. The President's pushed on 555 00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,200 Speaker 2: short jobs here in the United States is working. The 556 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:54,120 Speaker 2: Golden Age of America is on its way. 557 00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:54,880 Speaker 3: Awesome. 558 00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:55,640 Speaker 2: Good luck with that. 559 00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:58,640 Speaker 1: The Gilded Age actism, Golden Age. Not so sure about 560 00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 1: that one Yielded age definitely, And I mean that is 561 00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 1: their model. Is that era, the Gilded Age is the 562 00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:08,280 Speaker 1: era that he says he's modeling these policies to achieve. 563 00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:10,720 Speaker 2: I think it gets to your point about the not 564 00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:14,320 Speaker 2: just the optics, because it's beyond optics. It's this optimism 565 00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:20,040 Speaker 2: from multi multimillionaires and billionaires as markets are completely volatile 566 00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:22,880 Speaker 2: and people are worried about their savings, they're worried about 567 00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 2: their month to month that I think politically is going 568 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:28,600 Speaker 2: to be incredibly difficult for the administration to continue pulling off. 569 00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:31,680 Speaker 3: Yeah. I was talking to a friend last night who 570 00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:35,000 Speaker 3: the couple is a teacher and a federal worker, and 571 00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:38,080 Speaker 3: they would they've been doing a little house rehab, like 572 00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:41,320 Speaker 3: a kitchen in a bedroom, and she said that she 573 00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:43,760 Speaker 3: just went to order like the sink and the couch 574 00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:46,640 Speaker 3: and stuff. And I was like, well, first of all, 575 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,560 Speaker 3: you guys are morons, Like Trump told you a month 576 00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:53,160 Speaker 3: ago Liberation Day was coming. Yeah, you should have ordered 577 00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:56,200 Speaker 3: it stuff. She's like she went back and looked and 578 00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:58,760 Speaker 3: like a bunch of stuff was like already already up, 579 00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:00,600 Speaker 3: like one hundred bucks two on her bucks, Like the 580 00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 3: catch had not moved yet, it was the same price 581 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:07,880 Speaker 3: as before, so she like immediately like you purchase on that. Yeah, 582 00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:10,600 Speaker 3: but like things are moving, like people are. This is 583 00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:14,840 Speaker 3: not all just the the Dow jumping jumping around, like 584 00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:16,800 Speaker 3: these price sikes are coming. 585 00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:18,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I respond to that a little bit, Ryan, 586 00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,560 Speaker 1: because that's been the other you brought up Stiller before. 587 00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 1: I've seen him and others being like, well, the stock market, 588 00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:27,840 Speaker 1: you know, this isn't really an important economic metric, so 589 00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:30,560 Speaker 1: stop obsessing over it. And by the way, what it's 590 00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:32,120 Speaker 1: down to like where it was in the fall or 591 00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,880 Speaker 1: something that's really no big deal. How do you look 592 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:35,160 Speaker 1: at that? 593 00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:39,000 Speaker 3: I think that's fine. Yeah, Like if you're doing big, 594 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:42,800 Speaker 3: long term, huge structural things that are going to benefit 595 00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:46,840 Speaker 3: the the real economy and you know that and Wall 596 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:50,960 Speaker 3: Street has a has a panic attack and and takes off, 597 00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:53,720 Speaker 3: like like Stoller said, there was this big you know, 598 00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:57,640 Speaker 3: uh drive up in prices after Trump won because as 599 00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:00,560 Speaker 3: Jeff Stein keeps pointing out, the Wall Street does not 600 00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:04,360 Speaker 3: have a subscription to newspapers, like they don't actually they 601 00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:06,720 Speaker 3: don't actually read the Washington Post or like the other 602 00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,920 Speaker 3: papers that have been telling them very clearly that this 603 00:32:10,040 --> 00:32:12,560 Speaker 3: is what Trump's doing. They're like, no, Trump, He's not 604 00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:16,840 Speaker 3: really going to do this, no way. So they artificially, 605 00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:19,840 Speaker 3: you know, drove up the price of equities and now 606 00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:23,000 Speaker 3: they're shaving that off. So like that's fine, Like I'm 607 00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:25,920 Speaker 3: i'm I'm on board with that kind of broad stolar 608 00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 3: critique to to a degree, Like there is a level, 609 00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:32,720 Speaker 3: there is a level of correction at which counterparties start 610 00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 3: getting affected and you you start to see a you know, 611 00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,680 Speaker 3: a seize up in in liquidity and ability of of 612 00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:44,400 Speaker 3: you know, businesses to like access capital, it becomes a problem. 613 00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:47,520 Speaker 3: But this kind of stuff, if if it's if it's 614 00:32:47,560 --> 00:32:51,280 Speaker 3: good for the patient, you know, fine, like you know, 615 00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,959 Speaker 3: run run a little fever killed that killed that virus, 616 00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:57,920 Speaker 3: but it's your This this to me is the equivalent 617 00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:00,959 Speaker 3: of like bleeding, like the way that they used to 618 00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:06,960 Speaker 3: bleed patients in this in like the seventeenth and eighteenth 619 00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:11,880 Speaker 3: It's like, yeah, you're probably a little bit of bleeding 620 00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:15,880 Speaker 3: is probably not gonna actually hurt you that much. And 621 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:17,960 Speaker 3: if it was actually going to make you better, then sure, 622 00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:20,680 Speaker 3: go for it. But it wasn't like that that was wrong. 623 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 3: So this is the wrong bleeding. So yeah, okay, little 624 00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:26,320 Speaker 3: bit of bleeding, you can survive. 625 00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:30,000 Speaker 1: But also it was like they're getting out the bad, 626 00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:33,560 Speaker 1: bad stuff, the bad blood. 627 00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:37,080 Speaker 3: Or blood was too hot maybe I don't know. Yeah, yeah, 628 00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:39,800 Speaker 3: And Washington had like four doctors and they all bled 629 00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:44,440 Speaker 3: him and he died of losing too much blood. Yeah. 630 00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,960 Speaker 3: So if you lose too much blood and the stock 631 00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:48,880 Speaker 3: market loses too much blood, you know, it can it 632 00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:51,040 Speaker 3: can be a problem. But yeah, that's what the real 633 00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:55,400 Speaker 3: problem is. Yeah, actual prices for sinks are going up 634 00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:59,000 Speaker 3: like right now, right and when people's washing machines break, 635 00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:02,560 Speaker 3: they need they need a new one. 636 00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:06,120 Speaker 1: Well Mark Cuban was out yesterday. Like, go to Costco, 637 00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:10,160 Speaker 1: go to Sam's Club, stock up, like whatever storage space 638 00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:15,800 Speaker 1: you have by phil with whatever, you know, non perishable consumables. 639 00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:18,520 Speaker 1: You can bet toilet paper's going to be disappearing from 640 00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,440 Speaker 1: shelves at a store near you very shortly. But Emily, 641 00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:26,120 Speaker 1: on the other hand, he does have fantastic spokespeople like 642 00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:28,759 Speaker 1: Howard Lutnick, who are making the case here. I mean, 643 00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:29,600 Speaker 1: would you say that. 644 00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:32,920 Speaker 2: I just took a sip of coffee my leftop. 645 00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:36,640 Speaker 1: You know, and This is the other part of it, 646 00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:40,760 Speaker 1: is like the argument that I saw from the cable 647 00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:45,320 Speaker 1: news heads yesterday was just basically like, trust Trump because 648 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:48,560 Speaker 1: he knows what he's doing. And that's certainly what what 649 00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:51,160 Speaker 1: Lutnik was saying yesterday. I've got a great Janine Piro 650 00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:53,200 Speaker 1: clip I could show as well. But let's go ahead 651 00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:55,640 Speaker 1: and take a listen to Lutnick and how he was 652 00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:56,120 Speaker 1: pitching this. 653 00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:59,640 Speaker 4: Let Donald Trump run the global economy. 654 00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:00,879 Speaker 3: He knows what he's doing. 655 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:04,880 Speaker 4: He's thirty five years. You gotta trust Donald Trump in 656 00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:06,520 Speaker 4: the White House. That's why they put him there. 657 00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,000 Speaker 1: Let him fix it, I understand book. 658 00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:10,480 Speaker 4: Let him fix it. 659 00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:14,480 Speaker 6: The thirty six trillion dollar deficit, right is going to 660 00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:17,120 Speaker 6: ruin our children's lives and our grandchildren's lives. 661 00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:20,880 Speaker 4: Let Donald Trump fix the American economy. Follow up with you. 662 00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:23,719 Speaker 1: So that's you know, we're just about to put our 663 00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:27,279 Speaker 1: faith in the great leader. Howard Lutnick certainly has. There 664 00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:29,919 Speaker 1: are others many others who who feel the same way. 665 00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:32,279 Speaker 1: Emily that and you just, you know, just trust in 666 00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:33,560 Speaker 1: Trump and he'll he'll work it out. 667 00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,920 Speaker 2: Okay, But that quote, let Donald Trump run the global 668 00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:42,080 Speaker 2: economy is a completely insane thing to say, but in 669 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:46,040 Speaker 2: true Trumpian fashion, it really is saying the quiet part 670 00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:50,840 Speaker 2: out loud and so proudly too. I mean, American presidents 671 00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:54,040 Speaker 2: wield the power basically to run the global economy, much 672 00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:57,160 Speaker 2: to the chagrin of many people and the rest of 673 00:35:57,200 --> 00:36:01,359 Speaker 2: the world. And he's just like, this is a wonderful thing. 674 00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:04,360 Speaker 2: Let the dear leader run the global economy. It's just 675 00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:06,400 Speaker 2: an insane way to approach it. But it's really what 676 00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:10,799 Speaker 2: we have right, Like this is given that best is 677 00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:14,919 Speaker 2: off of the Trump talking points on something so significant. 678 00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:19,600 Speaker 2: It's like, I don't know that his closest advisors actually 679 00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:22,759 Speaker 2: understand where he could take this, where he plans to 680 00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:25,040 Speaker 2: take this. I think that is entirely intentional. And so 681 00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:28,240 Speaker 2: the American people are left with the option of trusting 682 00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:32,080 Speaker 2: Donald Trump. It's really their only talking point. Because we 683 00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:35,040 Speaker 2: can all agree, like the three of us from the 684 00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:38,239 Speaker 2: left and the right, on what's happened and the need 685 00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:41,600 Speaker 2: for probably some tariffs, like we can probably all get 686 00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:44,000 Speaker 2: to the table and think that through and Chips Act 687 00:36:44,040 --> 00:36:49,200 Speaker 2: and all of that, But this particular execution of bringing 688 00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:52,560 Speaker 2: jobs back to United States, of rebalancing global trade, the 689 00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:55,000 Speaker 2: only thing you can do because there's so much uncertainty 690 00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:59,759 Speaker 2: and so much bizarre tactical maneuvering. Is just say, let's 691 00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:03,200 Speaker 2: how it all turns out, okay, And that is going 692 00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:06,920 Speaker 2: to wear very thin, very quickly politically for them. And 693 00:37:07,000 --> 00:37:09,719 Speaker 2: it's also just like as people are making decisions about 694 00:37:09,800 --> 00:37:13,560 Speaker 2: kitchen renovations, kind of a it's kind of a fucked 695 00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:16,160 Speaker 2: up thing to do to people. 696 00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:19,799 Speaker 3: And Trump had a revealing and related remark yesterday where 697 00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:22,920 Speaker 3: he said the problem with the bringing on income tax 698 00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:26,600 Speaker 3: is that it made the American people fund the American 699 00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:29,520 Speaker 3: government rather than foreign countries, which should be funding the 700 00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:33,200 Speaker 3: American government. And you're like, okay, well that analysis is 701 00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:36,240 Speaker 3: like completely insane because like it's actually you know, people 702 00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:38,880 Speaker 3: eventually pay the tariffs. But but like hold on record, 703 00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:43,120 Speaker 3: scratch reverse a second. You think that in an ideal world, 704 00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:50,919 Speaker 3: foreign countries are funding the American government, It's like what right? 705 00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:53,480 Speaker 3: What do you mean? Like could you unpack that for us? 706 00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:57,920 Speaker 3: Like why why would they fund us? Like why don't 707 00:37:57,920 --> 00:37:58,760 Speaker 3: they fund themselves? 708 00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:02,000 Speaker 1: Like that you touch on some tribute important though, I 709 00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:09,320 Speaker 1: mean because part of the alliance with Trump and capital, 710 00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:13,839 Speaker 1: which is verily, very firmly entrenched this time around it 711 00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:17,799 Speaker 1: does go back to that you know, McKinley utopia that 712 00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:20,960 Speaker 1: he keeps referencing and and did on the campaign trail. 713 00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:22,960 Speaker 1: You know, I went back during that time, like brushed 714 00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:25,200 Speaker 1: up on my McKinley history. Is not a guy that 715 00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:29,280 Speaker 1: I like particularly studied all that much. And the whole 716 00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:32,440 Speaker 1: reason that the income tax was introduced is so you 717 00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,279 Speaker 1: could have a progressive tax, so that rich people, so 718 00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:38,320 Speaker 1: that capital could you know, would be the ones who 719 00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:42,160 Speaker 1: bore more of the burden of funding the government. That 720 00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:45,000 Speaker 1: was the whole idea. But now our income tax is 721 00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:46,759 Speaker 1: not all that progressive at this point. We can tell 722 00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:48,920 Speaker 1: that's a whole other can of worms, But that's the idea. 723 00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:54,080 Speaker 1: Tariffs are deeply progressive. So what in practice this is 724 00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:56,719 Speaker 1: not going to mean that foreign governments are funding our 725 00:38:56,760 --> 00:38:58,960 Speaker 1: government for us, thank you very much, China, thank you 726 00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:01,240 Speaker 1: very much, eu Fan, thank you very much, Canna or whatever. 727 00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:04,040 Speaker 1: It's going to mean that more of the burden of 728 00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:07,080 Speaker 1: funding our government falls on working class people and less 729 00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:10,160 Speaker 1: of it, even less of it than currently falls on 730 00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:12,319 Speaker 1: the rich, is going to fall on the rich, which 731 00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:16,040 Speaker 1: of course consistent with the tax plan, and why you 732 00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:18,200 Speaker 1: should never when these people talk about how they have 733 00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:21,520 Speaker 1: to get the deficit under control. You should never take 734 00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:24,560 Speaker 1: them seriously so long as one of their main economic 735 00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:28,319 Speaker 1: priorities is extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which 736 00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:31,000 Speaker 1: is a four trillion dollar tax cut for the wealthy 737 00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:34,880 Speaker 1: and is going to greatly exacerbate our debt and deficit. 738 00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:39,720 Speaker 1: So you know, like how much of this Trump knows 739 00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:41,759 Speaker 1: or how much his view of tariffs is just like 740 00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:44,239 Speaker 1: this sort of like kindergarten level. Because also some of 741 00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:47,040 Speaker 1: the things that he his priorities are directly at odds 742 00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:50,400 Speaker 1: with each other. Maintaining the dollar as the world reserve 743 00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:54,040 Speaker 1: currency is directly at odds with eliminating the trade deficit 744 00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:57,960 Speaker 1: because you need the world to need dollars, and so 745 00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:01,000 Speaker 1: you know, those things don't fit together. The idea that 746 00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:03,399 Speaker 1: these are going to fund the government also doesn't make sense. 747 00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:05,480 Speaker 1: If everything's being reshored, then you're not going to be 748 00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:11,080 Speaker 1: getting teriff revenue. Right that you get this back and 749 00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:13,680 Speaker 1: forth of oh, he's just a great negotiator and these 750 00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 1: are just a starting point. Actually the direction is to 751 00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:18,240 Speaker 1: bring all terrifts to zero. That's some of the cope 752 00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:21,440 Speaker 1: from the like you know, the chamber type Republicans, is 753 00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:24,520 Speaker 1: this is actually a tool to get the teriffs to zero, 754 00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:26,799 Speaker 1: you know, And it's like, well, I cont of that. 755 00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,319 Speaker 1: You should have just done TPP back in the day. 756 00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:31,200 Speaker 1: You know, they were on a track with a bunch 757 00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:34,160 Speaker 1: of Asian specific countries to go exactly in that direction. 758 00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:36,920 Speaker 1: And then you know Trump is out there. No, no, no, 759 00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:39,719 Speaker 1: this is the final offer. So all of it is 760 00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:43,759 Speaker 1: very confused, which is why for me, the easiest lens 761 00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:46,480 Speaker 1: to view it through is the same lens as the 762 00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:49,160 Speaker 1: tax on universities, the tax on the media, the tax 763 00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:51,920 Speaker 1: on the law firms, the tax on free speech, the 764 00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:57,799 Speaker 1: attacks on protesters, which is a power consolidation play. He 765 00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:01,280 Speaker 1: is a ceo. He is used to thanking every decision 766 00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:05,839 Speaker 1: and everyone jumping to his back and call. And that 767 00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:11,080 Speaker 1: is the way that autocratic ceo dictatorial style. That is 768 00:41:11,080 --> 00:41:13,600 Speaker 1: how he wants things to be, and increasingly he is 769 00:41:13,680 --> 00:41:14,520 Speaker 1: accomplishing that. 770 00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:18,040 Speaker 3: I think if if you could, if the president could 771 00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:21,920 Speaker 3: move tax rates unilaterally but had to go to Congress 772 00:41:21,920 --> 00:41:25,200 Speaker 3: for tariffs, he'd be out here moving tax rates up 773 00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:27,480 Speaker 3: and down. Yeah, Like you know, once a week I. 774 00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:30,719 Speaker 2: Give people ideas you can declare some type of emergency. 775 00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:32,560 Speaker 3: The historical irony by the way to pick up on 776 00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:35,120 Speaker 3: your McKinley point. McKinley was that in a long running 777 00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:38,759 Speaker 3: war with the Prairie populist movement and one of their 778 00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:42,040 Speaker 3: main things that they hated was tariffs because it drove 779 00:41:42,120 --> 00:41:46,640 Speaker 3: up their costs and it killed them. Yeah, so that 780 00:41:46,719 --> 00:41:51,319 Speaker 3: our new populace is embodying too McKinley, right, and the 781 00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:54,080 Speaker 3: enemy of the old populists is amazing. 782 00:41:54,440 --> 00:41:54,840 Speaker 2: Yeah. 783 00:41:54,840 --> 00:41:59,360 Speaker 1: Completely. And actually when McKinley was assassinating, he was giving 784 00:41:59,400 --> 00:42:01,520 Speaker 1: a speech announcing that he was rolling. 785 00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:04,080 Speaker 3: Back gone with them, Yes, caris because. 786 00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:06,040 Speaker 1: The world needed to train and we needed to move forward, 787 00:42:06,040 --> 00:42:08,520 Speaker 1: and that was an old economic model. So even McKinley 788 00:42:08,680 --> 00:42:10,879 Speaker 1: at the end realized the error of something. 789 00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:14,480 Speaker 3: The shooter there, I guess you know it was Antifa. 790 00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:21,440 Speaker 1: We're taking this anti Yeah, So we've all been following 791 00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:25,000 Speaker 1: the story. Trump administration admitted this week that they made 792 00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:30,200 Speaker 1: a quote administrative error and deported a Maryland father to 793 00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:33,920 Speaker 1: that El Salvador prison in spite of the fact that 794 00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:37,160 Speaker 1: a judge had ruled he could not be deported to 795 00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:42,880 Speaker 1: El Salvador. The administration, in spite of admitting this administrative error, 796 00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:47,080 Speaker 1: have still maintained that you know he should have been deported. 797 00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:49,640 Speaker 1: They also have maintained that there is nothing at this 798 00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:52,239 Speaker 1: point that the courts can do to bring him back, 799 00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:55,160 Speaker 1: even though they acknowledge this error. So we're very lucky 800 00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:57,840 Speaker 1: to be joined this morning by part of the legal 801 00:42:57,880 --> 00:43:00,600 Speaker 1: team uh for this man. His name is Kilmo Abrego 802 00:43:00,680 --> 00:43:04,360 Speaker 1: Garcia and her name is Lucia Curiel, and she represented 803 00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:07,880 Speaker 1: him in a twenty nineteen hearing where the judge originally 804 00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:11,360 Speaker 1: ordered said he cannot be deported to El Salvador in that, 805 00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:14,239 Speaker 1: of course, is exactly where he is now. Welcome, so 806 00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:15,280 Speaker 1: glad to have you, Yes. 807 00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:15,440 Speaker 4: Thank you. 808 00:43:16,480 --> 00:43:17,880 Speaker 1: So, first of all, did I get all of the 809 00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:20,719 Speaker 1: pieces there right? And can you just give us the 810 00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:25,600 Speaker 1: timeline of his entrance into the country and you know, 811 00:43:25,680 --> 00:43:29,239 Speaker 1: his interactions with the legal system, and especially address the 812 00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:32,120 Speaker 1: allegations that he has been a gang member or in 813 00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:34,560 Speaker 1: the words of I think Caroline Levitt, the a White 814 00:43:34,600 --> 00:43:37,360 Speaker 1: House Press secretary, a MS thirteen gang leader. 815 00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:41,560 Speaker 4: Yes, so he you know, he was born in Alsavador. 816 00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:45,440 Speaker 6: He fled the country when he was around sixteen years old, 817 00:43:46,040 --> 00:43:51,080 Speaker 6: entered the United States illegally around twenty eleven, and had 818 00:43:51,200 --> 00:43:56,640 Speaker 6: been living in the uns United States in Maryland until then, 819 00:43:57,840 --> 00:44:01,839 Speaker 6: until about twenty nineteen, was his first kind of contact 820 00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:06,840 Speaker 6: with the law enforcement. He was at a home depot 821 00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:12,680 Speaker 6: soliciting employment with three other men, two of which he 822 00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:17,239 Speaker 6: had interacted with only in that context of soliciting employment 823 00:44:17,360 --> 00:44:21,000 Speaker 6: at a home depot. It turns out one of them, 824 00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:26,040 Speaker 6: at least unbeknownst to him, did actually have gang affiliation 825 00:44:27,440 --> 00:44:33,320 Speaker 6: and had actually been convicted previously of gang participation in Maryland. 826 00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:36,840 Speaker 6: So he but he didn't know that, you know, he 827 00:44:36,880 --> 00:44:39,800 Speaker 6: didn't really know this guy. They were just standing there chatting, 828 00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:44,520 Speaker 6: trying to find work when a police officer from the 829 00:44:44,600 --> 00:44:48,600 Speaker 6: Heatsville Police Department approaches the group. They talked to this 830 00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:53,879 Speaker 6: one man that did have this known gang affiliation. Two 831 00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:58,480 Speaker 6: of the men also agedly kind of dropped something, took 832 00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:01,799 Speaker 6: something out of their waistband uh and dropped it to 833 00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:05,399 Speaker 6: the floor, some kind of plastic bottles that were later 834 00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:08,360 Speaker 6: confirmed to contain marijuana. 835 00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:11,359 Speaker 4: This was not kill Mars with some of the other two. 836 00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:17,759 Speaker 6: And then this officer calls her backup and arrests all 837 00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:20,799 Speaker 6: four of them. They don't tell they don't talk to 838 00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,480 Speaker 6: kill Mar at all. They don't tell him why he's 839 00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:24,200 Speaker 6: being arrested. 840 00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:25,320 Speaker 4: Uh. 841 00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:29,240 Speaker 6: But they take all four of them to the police 842 00:45:29,239 --> 00:45:32,239 Speaker 6: station and begin to interview all four of them, and 843 00:45:33,239 --> 00:45:36,480 Speaker 6: just at the outset, the only thing they interview him 844 00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:42,000 Speaker 6: about is his gang affiliation. They begin to say, Okay, 845 00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:42,960 Speaker 6: tell us what gang. 846 00:45:42,760 --> 00:45:43,359 Speaker 4: You're part of? 847 00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:46,799 Speaker 6: You know, what's your your rank in the gang? Uh, 848 00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:49,399 Speaker 6: you know what's your what's your name in the gang? 849 00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:53,640 Speaker 6: And he's he's just totally befuddled. You know, I don't 850 00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:56,520 Speaker 6: know what you're talking about. I have absolutely no connection 851 00:45:56,760 --> 00:45:59,439 Speaker 6: to a gang in this case they're talking about. 852 00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:00,239 Speaker 4: I'm a certain. 853 00:46:02,360 --> 00:46:05,520 Speaker 6: They don't believe him. And the next thing he knows, 854 00:46:06,120 --> 00:46:08,960 Speaker 6: a n Ice officer is there to pick him up 855 00:46:09,000 --> 00:46:14,040 Speaker 6: and take him to Ice attention center. This whole interaction 856 00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:20,280 Speaker 6: is quite brief, so from the there's only one document 857 00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:23,799 Speaker 6: that kind of documents this whole interaction. It's a gang 858 00:46:23,800 --> 00:46:27,720 Speaker 6: field interview sheet, and it's the only single source of 859 00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:30,760 Speaker 6: these supposed link gang allegations. 860 00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:32,360 Speaker 4: The gang. 861 00:46:32,600 --> 00:46:36,200 Speaker 6: The gang field interview sheet, it's all says that the 862 00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:40,319 Speaker 6: officer approached the group at two twenty seven pm and 863 00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:43,480 Speaker 6: the gang field Interview sheet is entered into the system 864 00:46:43,560 --> 00:46:46,799 Speaker 6: at six forty seven pm, So that means you know, 865 00:46:46,960 --> 00:46:50,480 Speaker 6: from the time that they apprehend the group, they then 866 00:46:50,680 --> 00:46:57,080 Speaker 6: you know, call for backup, arrest everyone, transport, interview everything, 867 00:46:57,160 --> 00:46:59,880 Speaker 6: you know, and then you know, right up the report 868 00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:02,960 Speaker 6: turned the system is about four hours and twenty minutes, 869 00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:06,799 Speaker 6: and in that time they have come to you know, 870 00:47:07,000 --> 00:47:10,200 Speaker 6: that thorough After that very thorough, thorough investigation, they've concluded 871 00:47:10,239 --> 00:47:12,920 Speaker 6: that he's an MS thirteen gang member. And in the 872 00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:16,400 Speaker 6: gang Field interview sheet, it says that the basis for 873 00:47:16,480 --> 00:47:19,080 Speaker 6: that is that because he was wearing at the time 874 00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:24,839 Speaker 6: a Chicago bulls hat, which they say is. 875 00:47:27,520 --> 00:47:29,960 Speaker 4: Officers no such clothing to. 876 00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:35,200 Speaker 6: Be indicative of Hispanic gang culture, the Chicago wearing the 877 00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:38,239 Speaker 6: Chicago Bulls hat represents that they are a member in 878 00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:43,080 Speaker 6: good standing with the MS thirteen, And they also say 879 00:47:43,160 --> 00:47:45,680 Speaker 6: that a hoodie that he was wearing, which his wife 880 00:47:45,719 --> 00:47:49,560 Speaker 6: had bought him and ordered off the internet, is also 881 00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:53,640 Speaker 6: indicative of this Hispanic gang culture and that they know 882 00:47:53,920 --> 00:47:57,640 Speaker 6: that it represents see no evil, hear no evil, and 883 00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:00,320 Speaker 6: say no evil, which is sort of of one of 884 00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:03,960 Speaker 6: the slogans. And I'm as thirteen and the final at 885 00:48:04,040 --> 00:48:08,359 Speaker 6: least a past, proven, reliable source that they they say 886 00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:11,520 Speaker 6: they contact, can you. 887 00:48:11,480 --> 00:48:14,600 Speaker 3: Talk about that this this alleged confidential informa. 888 00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:17,840 Speaker 6: Yeah, all they say is that they contacted a past, proven, 889 00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:21,040 Speaker 6: reliable source of information that said that he was a 890 00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:25,600 Speaker 6: member of the Western's clique. They don't say any information 891 00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:28,520 Speaker 6: there and that's all. It doesn't say who this person is. 892 00:48:28,560 --> 00:48:32,360 Speaker 6: What they said their reason to fabricate for all we know. 893 00:48:33,600 --> 00:48:35,680 Speaker 6: You know, it could have been one of the people 894 00:48:35,719 --> 00:48:39,879 Speaker 6: that you know was seen kind of throwing out some 895 00:48:40,440 --> 00:48:43,880 Speaker 6: containers with marijuana, because from what we saw, those people 896 00:48:43,880 --> 00:48:45,200 Speaker 6: were never charged with any crime. 897 00:48:45,440 --> 00:48:49,400 Speaker 1: Uh, you know, let me let me get you to 898 00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:52,160 Speaker 1: respond a little bit to the Vice president, who has 899 00:48:52,200 --> 00:48:56,120 Speaker 1: been very vocal on this case. So here he is 900 00:48:56,400 --> 00:48:59,200 Speaker 1: sort of punching back. I guess at Kyle Cheney, who's 901 00:48:59,239 --> 00:49:02,360 Speaker 1: the legal affair reporter at Politico, and he says he 902 00:49:02,480 --> 00:49:05,160 Speaker 1: is apparently unable or unwilling to look at the facts. 903 00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:05,359 Speaker 4: Here. 904 00:49:05,440 --> 00:49:08,359 Speaker 1: In twenty nineteen, an immigration judge under the first Trump 905 00:49:08,400 --> 00:49:11,000 Speaker 1: administration to determine the deported man was in fact a 906 00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:14,000 Speaker 1: member of the MS thirteen gang. He also apparently had 907 00:49:14,120 --> 00:49:17,120 Speaker 1: multiple traffic violations for which he failed to appear in court. 908 00:49:17,160 --> 00:49:20,320 Speaker 1: A real winner. It's telling that the entire American media 909 00:49:20,360 --> 00:49:23,080 Speaker 1: is going to run a propaganda operation today making you 910 00:49:23,080 --> 00:49:26,080 Speaker 1: think an instant father of three was apprehended by a goolag. 911 00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:28,560 Speaker 1: Here are the relevant facts. Number one, the man is 912 00:49:28,560 --> 00:49:30,760 Speaker 1: an illegal immigrant with no right to be in our country. 913 00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:34,240 Speaker 1: Number two, an immigration judge determined he was a member 914 00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:37,360 Speaker 1: of the MS thirteen gang. Number three, because he is 915 00:49:37,440 --> 00:49:40,840 Speaker 1: not a citizen, he does not get a full jury 916 00:49:40,880 --> 00:49:44,520 Speaker 1: trial by peers. In other words, whatever due process he 917 00:49:44,640 --> 00:49:48,960 Speaker 1: was entitled to he received. Is what's your response to 918 00:49:49,320 --> 00:49:52,520 Speaker 1: the framing and the facts also that the Vice president 919 00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:53,000 Speaker 1: puts out. 920 00:49:53,040 --> 00:49:57,200 Speaker 6: Yes, all three of those are incorrect. The judge in 921 00:49:57,440 --> 00:50:01,719 Speaker 6: the case that was actually very heavily litigated, which was 922 00:50:01,760 --> 00:50:04,120 Speaker 6: his final hearing where the judge granted him with holding. 923 00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:07,359 Speaker 6: That was the case that actually took place over two days, 924 00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:12,000 Speaker 6: which is heavily unusual an immigration court. Those cases often last, 925 00:50:12,040 --> 00:50:16,000 Speaker 6: you know, one to maybe three hours. This case lasted 926 00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:21,360 Speaker 6: over two days. And you'll see that. I mean, the 927 00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:25,839 Speaker 6: the court decision granting him withholding is in the court documents, 928 00:50:26,440 --> 00:50:30,279 Speaker 6: and I think two things are notable there. One that 929 00:50:30,560 --> 00:50:34,440 Speaker 6: the gang allegations don't really even appear in there, and 930 00:50:34,520 --> 00:50:37,400 Speaker 6: so I think it's it's just a testament to how 931 00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:42,839 Speaker 6: the little weight the judge even gave them because they 932 00:50:42,880 --> 00:50:46,640 Speaker 6: were he was questioned very very very very heavily about this, 933 00:50:46,920 --> 00:50:49,520 Speaker 6: and in advance so that we did also filew a 934 00:50:49,520 --> 00:50:54,320 Speaker 6: subpoena asking for the officers to appear and also asking 935 00:50:54,320 --> 00:50:57,239 Speaker 6: for the government to produce any evidence substantiating the allegations. 936 00:50:57,960 --> 00:50:59,040 Speaker 4: The government opposed that. 937 00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:03,800 Speaker 6: They said that they've spoken to law enforcement partners and 938 00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:06,319 Speaker 6: they had nothing else to offer. So the again, the 939 00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:09,520 Speaker 6: only single piece of evidence was this gang field interview 940 00:51:09,560 --> 00:51:15,080 Speaker 6: sheet that some guy basically no information about who that 941 00:51:15,120 --> 00:51:18,120 Speaker 6: guy was. Reason to Fabrica, why he was credible. I 942 00:51:18,120 --> 00:51:21,680 Speaker 6: mean it's kind of an in general, confidential informants are unreliable, 943 00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:25,240 Speaker 6: and you know, what he said also doesn't really make sense. 944 00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:26,560 Speaker 6: They said he was a member of a clique in 945 00:51:26,560 --> 00:51:30,280 Speaker 6: New York, but also number two is he that's. 946 00:51:30,120 --> 00:51:32,919 Speaker 3: A pretty key point New York. 947 00:51:33,080 --> 00:51:35,800 Speaker 4: Yes, it's Western's clique as far as I. 948 00:51:35,560 --> 00:51:37,920 Speaker 3: Have seen, spent much time in New York. 949 00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:42,239 Speaker 6: No, he's never lived in New York. Yeah, he's never 950 00:51:42,360 --> 00:51:43,680 Speaker 6: He's only ever lived in Maryland. 951 00:51:43,719 --> 00:51:46,960 Speaker 3: Does MS thirteen have remote work back in twenty nineteen, No, 952 00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:51,400 Speaker 3: I mean that's more of a that's an in office 953 00:51:51,520 --> 00:51:52,080 Speaker 3: kind of yeah. 954 00:51:52,080 --> 00:51:55,320 Speaker 6: They yeah, right, it's a data day, you know, you 955 00:51:55,120 --> 00:51:57,960 Speaker 6: have you have to be Yeah, it's. 956 00:51:57,840 --> 00:52:00,480 Speaker 3: Not very liberal on the work from Home thirteen. 957 00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:05,919 Speaker 6: Yeah, but also number two in that decision, you'll see 958 00:52:05,920 --> 00:52:10,440 Speaker 6: that he finds him credible, meaning he believed him and 959 00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:12,600 Speaker 6: what he said, not only about what happened to him 960 00:52:12,640 --> 00:52:15,000 Speaker 6: in the past in an Al Salvador, which you know, 961 00:52:15,360 --> 00:52:18,360 Speaker 6: gave him the basis to grant him humanitarian relief and 962 00:52:18,360 --> 00:52:21,040 Speaker 6: perform with all their removal, but that he believed him 963 00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:25,480 Speaker 6: when he just vehemently denied being a member of MS thirteen. 964 00:52:26,480 --> 00:52:29,279 Speaker 2: Can we talk about the decision in twenty nineteen which 965 00:52:29,320 --> 00:52:32,560 Speaker 2: I mentioned you were involved with to claim asylum after 966 00:52:32,880 --> 00:52:35,840 Speaker 2: many years in the country because some critics and I 967 00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:37,920 Speaker 2: don't know if the Vice president posted about this, but 968 00:52:38,840 --> 00:52:41,880 Speaker 2: would look at that and say immediately, huh, this seems 969 00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:46,640 Speaker 2: like a sort of tactic to you know, bolster the case. 970 00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:49,759 Speaker 2: But I know that he claims and you've claimed there 971 00:52:49,760 --> 00:52:53,320 Speaker 2: were there were credible reasons to fear Eighteenth Street gang 972 00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:56,600 Speaker 2: Paposa business. Could you take us through that decision a 973 00:52:56,640 --> 00:52:57,040 Speaker 2: little bit? 974 00:52:57,280 --> 00:53:00,839 Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean illegal standards are you know, if you've 975 00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:05,680 Speaker 6: suffered past persecution in the past in your home country, 976 00:53:05,719 --> 00:53:09,520 Speaker 6: then that gives you a presumption a future persecution in 977 00:53:09,560 --> 00:53:10,080 Speaker 6: the future. 978 00:53:10,239 --> 00:53:12,840 Speaker 4: And he had suffered past persecution. 979 00:53:13,080 --> 00:53:16,480 Speaker 6: He had, He and his family had been through a 980 00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:19,240 Speaker 6: lot by this this gang in the past. 981 00:53:19,360 --> 00:53:21,279 Speaker 4: His father I. 982 00:53:21,200 --> 00:53:23,879 Speaker 6: Think had been attacked about eighteen times, had been held 983 00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:31,160 Speaker 6: up at gunpoint, rob he himself. They for many, many 984 00:53:31,200 --> 00:53:35,200 Speaker 6: many years were really like terrorizing him. On two occasions, 985 00:53:35,239 --> 00:53:37,920 Speaker 6: they like showed up at the family's home like fully armed, 986 00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:41,480 Speaker 6: kind of if you do not give us money right now, 987 00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:46,640 Speaker 6: we are ready to take your son from you, essentially 988 00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:51,720 Speaker 6: kidnap him and his brother had also been like beaten, 989 00:53:52,080 --> 00:53:56,120 Speaker 6: you know, lost consciousness from many meetings. They'd threatened to 990 00:53:56,200 --> 00:54:00,560 Speaker 6: rape his sisters. The family had gone through, had moved 991 00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:04,520 Speaker 6: three times to three different neighborhoods, and the threats persisted, 992 00:54:05,480 --> 00:54:08,080 Speaker 6: so that this wasn't sort of just a one time 993 00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:10,960 Speaker 6: hey want money if you know, you know, will hurt 994 00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:13,000 Speaker 6: you if you don't give us money. This was like 995 00:54:14,160 --> 00:54:20,799 Speaker 6: sustained over basically his his you know, since he was 996 00:54:20,840 --> 00:54:25,040 Speaker 6: like an adolescent until he left El Salvador. 997 00:54:25,480 --> 00:54:28,759 Speaker 3: Yeah, and the criticism, the criticis I saw was that 998 00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:31,239 Speaker 3: why didn't he apply in twenty eleven for this, Like, 999 00:54:31,280 --> 00:54:32,800 Speaker 3: why did he wait until he's picked up at the 1000 00:54:32,840 --> 00:54:33,360 Speaker 3: home depot? 1001 00:54:33,800 --> 00:54:38,319 Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean I think that's he could have if 1002 00:54:38,360 --> 00:54:41,359 Speaker 6: he probably, if he knew he could have probably and 1003 00:54:41,400 --> 00:54:45,160 Speaker 6: had legal counsel. You know, I certainly would have told 1004 00:54:45,239 --> 00:54:47,279 Speaker 6: him if I had heard his story and he had 1005 00:54:47,360 --> 00:54:49,600 Speaker 6: access to legal counsel, I would have told him, you know, 1006 00:54:49,680 --> 00:54:52,520 Speaker 6: apply right now, and then he would have He would 1007 00:54:52,520 --> 00:54:54,120 Speaker 6: have had a very strong kies and probably would have 1008 00:54:54,239 --> 00:54:57,720 Speaker 6: ingranted asylum instead of withholding a removal. 1009 00:54:59,480 --> 00:55:03,000 Speaker 1: Lucia. To get back to I think the core piece here, 1010 00:55:03,080 --> 00:55:05,240 Speaker 1: which I think can sometimes get lost in these details, 1011 00:55:05,239 --> 00:55:08,760 Speaker 1: not that these details aren't also important, But everybody involves 1012 00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:10,640 Speaker 1: admits this was a mistake. 1013 00:55:11,000 --> 00:55:11,200 Speaker 4: Right. 1014 00:55:11,239 --> 00:55:13,920 Speaker 1: The administration admitted in court they made what they describe 1015 00:55:13,920 --> 00:55:17,640 Speaker 1: as an administrative error. And now Kilmar is in this 1016 00:55:17,840 --> 00:55:22,200 Speaker 1: prison in l Salvador, indefinitely a prison that is known 1017 00:55:22,280 --> 00:55:25,360 Speaker 1: for human rights abuses. You know, the whole point of 1018 00:55:25,400 --> 00:55:27,960 Speaker 1: sending them there seems to have been to send a 1019 00:55:28,000 --> 00:55:30,719 Speaker 1: message about, you know, exactly what sort of punishment will 1020 00:55:30,760 --> 00:55:33,600 Speaker 1: befall you. So everybody acknowledges this was a mistake. You 1021 00:55:33,640 --> 00:55:37,080 Speaker 1: should not have been removed to El Salvador period. What 1022 00:55:37,239 --> 00:55:41,799 Speaker 1: happens now? What is the next I understand there's a 1023 00:55:41,880 --> 00:55:43,960 Speaker 1: hearing it at one pm today. What do you think 1024 00:55:44,000 --> 00:55:46,080 Speaker 1: will happen there? And what sort of remedies do you 1025 00:55:46,120 --> 00:55:49,880 Speaker 1: believe are available? Because I was reading that. You know, 1026 00:55:51,160 --> 00:55:54,399 Speaker 1: administrations in the past have taken extraordinary measures to try 1027 00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:58,360 Speaker 1: to return people who were deported unlawfully or a mistake 1028 00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:02,000 Speaker 1: was made, but they may not be under an obligation 1029 00:56:02,200 --> 00:56:04,200 Speaker 1: to do so. So what are sort of the legal 1030 00:56:04,239 --> 00:56:05,719 Speaker 1: contours of that fight coming up? 1031 00:56:06,120 --> 00:56:06,400 Speaker 2: Yeah? 1032 00:56:06,480 --> 00:56:12,640 Speaker 6: I mean this, uh, this is really is pretty unprecedented. Yes, 1033 00:56:12,719 --> 00:56:17,520 Speaker 6: as you stated, Usually, when in the past government does 1034 00:56:17,560 --> 00:56:20,759 Speaker 6: see that somebody was deported erroneously and they see that, 1035 00:56:20,800 --> 00:56:25,560 Speaker 6: they do take as steps to correct that because you know, 1036 00:56:25,719 --> 00:56:28,200 Speaker 6: a government makes a mistake, they should correct that. But 1037 00:56:28,239 --> 00:56:30,920 Speaker 6: here there they're refusing to do so, even though the 1038 00:56:30,920 --> 00:56:33,759 Speaker 6: consequences here much more drastic than him, just like being 1039 00:56:33,800 --> 00:56:36,440 Speaker 6: deported Telshodor and being able to just live a free life. 1040 00:56:36,800 --> 00:56:40,560 Speaker 6: He is now yeah, as you said, in a torture prison. 1041 00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:42,920 Speaker 6: Where he is he you know, he doesn't even know 1042 00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:45,040 Speaker 6: his names all over the news right now? You know, 1043 00:56:46,200 --> 00:56:47,520 Speaker 6: he is to you. 1044 00:56:47,520 --> 00:56:49,920 Speaker 1: You and his family have no ability to nobody. 1045 00:56:50,400 --> 00:56:53,640 Speaker 6: Nobody is able to even contact him. There's no access 1046 00:56:53,719 --> 00:56:57,760 Speaker 6: even to lawyers in there. They can't even receive letters. 1047 00:56:58,080 --> 00:57:01,319 Speaker 6: They are cut off from the world. So he is 1048 00:57:01,400 --> 00:57:06,359 Speaker 6: alone in there and has absolutely no idea that you know, 1049 00:57:06,640 --> 00:57:09,960 Speaker 6: he's making national news that people are fighting for him, 1050 00:57:11,239 --> 00:57:15,080 Speaker 6: and he you know, I'm sure he's very scared and 1051 00:57:15,680 --> 00:57:18,040 Speaker 6: he might be there forever, and so we're fighting to 1052 00:57:18,080 --> 00:57:21,600 Speaker 6: get him out of there. It's true that, of course 1053 00:57:21,640 --> 00:57:24,920 Speaker 6: the court here can't tell El Savador what to do, 1054 00:57:25,840 --> 00:57:29,400 Speaker 6: but what we're asking is pretty simple. We're telling we're 1055 00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:32,240 Speaker 6: asking for the court to just order the government to 1056 00:57:32,280 --> 00:57:37,440 Speaker 6: stop paying El Savador to keep him there, and to 1057 00:57:37,800 --> 00:57:42,040 Speaker 6: just simply request for him to be released from there. 1058 00:57:42,600 --> 00:57:46,400 Speaker 6: And there really is no reason to doubt that El Savador, 1059 00:57:46,440 --> 00:57:49,560 Speaker 6: which is a huge ally of the United States, would 1060 00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:53,360 Speaker 6: not uh, you know, do what the United States asks, 1061 00:57:54,000 --> 00:57:55,560 Speaker 6: but they're unwilling to do that. 1062 00:57:56,760 --> 00:57:59,200 Speaker 3: What's his what's his family situation? He's still live in 1063 00:57:59,280 --> 00:58:01,960 Speaker 3: highlights the Hiatts Bill, like kid's wife. 1064 00:58:02,320 --> 00:58:05,960 Speaker 6: He has, Yeah, he has a US citizen wife. He 1065 00:58:06,040 --> 00:58:12,840 Speaker 6: has a one uh biological child and that was actually 1066 00:58:13,240 --> 00:58:16,000 Speaker 6: uh he actually missed the birth of his son while 1067 00:58:16,080 --> 00:58:17,400 Speaker 6: he was detained. 1068 00:58:18,400 --> 00:58:19,640 Speaker 1: And uh. 1069 00:58:21,000 --> 00:58:25,920 Speaker 6: Nineteen Uh that child, you know, potentially because of the 1070 00:58:25,960 --> 00:58:29,680 Speaker 6: stress of on the life of her son, of her 1071 00:58:29,760 --> 00:58:32,400 Speaker 6: husband being detained, on knowing what would happen in son 1072 00:58:33,280 --> 00:58:38,480 Speaker 6: was born with autism. He's nonverbal, he can communicate. He 1073 00:58:38,640 --> 00:58:41,360 Speaker 6: I believe is deaf in one ear and has severe 1074 00:58:41,400 --> 00:58:42,600 Speaker 6: developmental delays. 1075 00:58:43,320 --> 00:58:43,560 Speaker 4: Uh. 1076 00:58:43,600 --> 00:58:47,120 Speaker 6: And then he also has two step children that he's 1077 00:58:47,280 --> 00:58:52,600 Speaker 6: they they for all, he's his their father. The biological 1078 00:58:52,640 --> 00:58:55,560 Speaker 6: father is not in the picture. One of the other 1079 00:58:55,640 --> 00:59:00,000 Speaker 6: kids also has special needs, and the other daughter has epale. 1080 00:59:00,440 --> 00:59:05,320 Speaker 6: I believe it's had like an episode recently, Lucia. 1081 00:59:05,640 --> 00:59:08,240 Speaker 1: My last question for you. If Emily or Ryan have 1082 00:59:08,280 --> 00:59:11,640 Speaker 1: any others, they can feel free to jump in as well. 1083 00:59:11,680 --> 00:59:15,880 Speaker 1: But let's say that the court tells the Trump administration 1084 00:59:15,880 --> 00:59:17,680 Speaker 1: you have to try to get him back, and the 1085 00:59:17,680 --> 00:59:21,200 Speaker 1: Trump administration actually complies and goes to Bucali says, hey, 1086 00:59:21,240 --> 00:59:23,919 Speaker 1: we screwed up on this one. We want this guy back, 1087 00:59:24,160 --> 00:59:28,960 Speaker 1: and he's brought back. What do you expect happens then, 1088 00:59:29,240 --> 00:59:32,560 Speaker 1: Because my understanding of his legal status is he could 1089 00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:37,360 Speaker 1: be deported somewhere else, just specifically not else Salvador. So 1090 00:59:37,800 --> 00:59:41,120 Speaker 1: if things work out and he is able to be 1091 00:59:41,160 --> 00:59:43,960 Speaker 1: brought back to the country, what do you think is 1092 00:59:43,960 --> 00:59:46,600 Speaker 1: the best case scenario for him then going forward? 1093 00:59:47,200 --> 00:59:48,200 Speaker 4: Uh? 1094 00:59:48,360 --> 00:59:51,040 Speaker 6: Yeah, there, it is possible for him to be deported 1095 00:59:51,040 --> 00:59:54,240 Speaker 6: somewhere else or our procedures to follow though to do that. 1096 00:59:55,720 --> 00:59:59,240 Speaker 6: It's also possible, you know, if they want, they might 1097 00:59:59,240 --> 01:00:03,439 Speaker 6: want to reopen is proceedings, which is what they would 1098 01:00:03,480 --> 01:00:05,400 Speaker 6: have had to do have done if they did want 1099 01:00:05,400 --> 01:00:07,640 Speaker 6: to deport him to El Salvador. In order to do 1100 01:00:07,680 --> 01:00:11,520 Speaker 6: that right, they can do emotion to reopen and to 1101 01:00:11,760 --> 01:00:14,760 Speaker 6: prove that you know, either the he no longer meets 1102 01:00:14,800 --> 01:00:18,800 Speaker 6: the requirements for withholding and in that case, you know, 1103 01:00:19,280 --> 01:00:22,720 Speaker 6: if that happens, you know, a new defense deportation can 1104 01:00:22,760 --> 01:00:29,880 Speaker 6: be presented, or you know, they could decide to do 1105 01:00:29,880 --> 01:00:33,080 Speaker 6: do nothing right and just let him live with the 1106 01:00:33,160 --> 01:00:37,000 Speaker 6: status that he's he has acause he you know, he 1107 01:00:37,080 --> 01:00:40,760 Speaker 6: has the illegal status here. He is since he was 1108 01:00:40,760 --> 01:00:43,320 Speaker 6: granted withholding a removal in twenty nineteen, he has been 1109 01:00:43,360 --> 01:00:44,600 Speaker 6: in the United States legally. 1110 01:00:46,320 --> 01:00:47,120 Speaker 4: Gotcha. 1111 01:00:47,400 --> 01:00:50,360 Speaker 1: Well, thank you so much for helping to break down 1112 01:00:50,400 --> 01:00:52,360 Speaker 1: all of these details because I think it, you know, 1113 01:00:52,440 --> 01:00:55,400 Speaker 1: really helps people to understand the ins and outs of 1114 01:00:55,720 --> 01:00:59,320 Speaker 1: the system and also the you know, the horror of 1115 01:00:59,400 --> 01:01:03,480 Speaker 1: what has happened here with Kilmar and with his family. Lucien, 1116 01:01:03,560 --> 01:01:04,560 Speaker 1: thank you so much for your time. 1117 01:01:04,560 --> 01:01:05,280 Speaker 4: Thank you very much. 1118 01:01:05,880 --> 01:01:09,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's our pleasure, pretty extraordinary getting to speak with 1119 01:01:09,840 --> 01:01:12,280 Speaker 1: kill Mar's lawyer and get all the details there. You guys, 1120 01:01:12,280 --> 01:01:14,480 Speaker 1: have any any reflections before we move on to some 1121 01:01:14,680 --> 01:01:15,840 Speaker 1: sort of political news here. 1122 01:01:16,680 --> 01:01:19,920 Speaker 2: It's one of those those interviews that we do sometimes 1123 01:01:19,960 --> 01:01:22,680 Speaker 2: and we both like from both sides, we've all had 1124 01:01:22,720 --> 01:01:24,720 Speaker 2: this experience on our show. It's what makes her so cool. 1125 01:01:24,720 --> 01:01:26,280 Speaker 2: But for me to sort of like, I have such 1126 01:01:26,320 --> 01:01:30,760 Speaker 2: a fundamental disagreement with the entire process that I was 1127 01:01:30,960 --> 01:01:34,280 Speaker 2: like really eager to hear her walk through the steps 1128 01:01:34,280 --> 01:01:36,760 Speaker 2: and how this happened, especially the twenty nineteen thing. But 1129 01:01:37,920 --> 01:01:40,880 Speaker 2: you know, she's it's her job, she's doing her job. 1130 01:01:41,080 --> 01:01:42,600 Speaker 2: So it was I thought it was. 1131 01:01:42,560 --> 01:01:45,400 Speaker 3: It was pretty interesting, and yeah, it's just appalling that 1132 01:01:45,440 --> 01:01:46,920 Speaker 3: he's in a torture chamber. 1133 01:01:47,280 --> 01:01:49,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, for what a disagreement there, Like if you 1134 01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:51,720 Speaker 1: want to go through the court system and you want 1135 01:01:51,760 --> 01:01:54,120 Speaker 1: to deport him, whether to El Salvador, I mean, she says, look, 1136 01:01:54,280 --> 01:01:57,160 Speaker 1: you can reopen the case and say, hey, this particular gang, 1137 01:01:57,480 --> 01:02:00,240 Speaker 1: the Kelly's delt with him, he could go back, who's 1138 01:02:00,240 --> 01:02:04,040 Speaker 1: the business would be fine, you can do that, but 1139 01:02:04,120 --> 01:02:07,920 Speaker 1: you cannot just send him with no due prosit to 1140 01:02:07,960 --> 01:02:10,280 Speaker 1: a specifically to a country where a judge has said 1141 01:02:10,280 --> 01:02:13,160 Speaker 1: you cannot send him. And then for all of these people, 1142 01:02:13,320 --> 01:02:15,600 Speaker 1: why are they being put in this torture change? 1143 01:02:16,640 --> 01:02:20,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, like the like the malnutrition, like the the treatment 1144 01:02:20,840 --> 01:02:24,840 Speaker 3: in that prison for a guy who, since he's sixteen 1145 01:02:24,880 --> 01:02:30,360 Speaker 3: years old is probably you know, work, work, works harder 1146 01:02:30,400 --> 01:02:33,920 Speaker 3: every day than I do in like weeks. And for 1147 01:02:34,000 --> 01:02:39,360 Speaker 3: that and raising these his step kids and his and 1148 01:02:39,440 --> 01:02:42,520 Speaker 3: his kid, who's got who's got special needs? To do 1149 01:02:42,640 --> 01:02:45,240 Speaker 3: that for your full life. And then the reward is 1150 01:02:45,240 --> 01:02:47,480 Speaker 3: to get sent to a dungeon where you're tortured and 1151 01:02:47,760 --> 01:02:52,400 Speaker 3: malnourished for what Like it's evil, it's evil. 1152 01:02:52,840 --> 01:02:58,200 Speaker 1: It is evil. And especially since the administration's position is like, yeah, 1153 01:02:58,200 --> 01:02:59,960 Speaker 1: we fucked up. No, we're not going to do any 1154 01:03:00,000 --> 01:03:02,160 Speaker 1: thing about it. He just asked a rot like we're 1155 01:03:02,160 --> 01:03:05,600 Speaker 1: not even going to ask m kelly when you just 1156 01:03:05,680 --> 01:03:07,640 Speaker 1: had Christy know him down there, like you know, you 1157 01:03:07,680 --> 01:03:09,919 Speaker 1: can bring it into the prison, you. 1158 01:03:09,840 --> 01:03:12,280 Speaker 3: Know, and then you don't want to him to port him. 1159 01:03:12,400 --> 01:03:16,439 Speaker 1: Like right, exactly. You don't think that m kelly would 1160 01:03:16,440 --> 01:03:18,200 Speaker 1: be like sure if you were like, well, we screwed 1161 01:03:18,280 --> 01:03:20,040 Speaker 1: up with this one. We need to get this one back. 1162 01:03:20,960 --> 01:03:24,160 Speaker 1: But the thing is that it reminds me. I don't 1163 01:03:24,160 --> 01:03:26,800 Speaker 1: want to say that's exactly now a situation or anything, 1164 01:03:26,880 --> 01:03:29,880 Speaker 1: but it reminds me of the same incentives that Beebe 1165 01:03:30,040 --> 01:03:33,040 Speaker 1: has to not return some of the hostages, because when 1166 01:03:33,040 --> 01:03:36,360 Speaker 1: some of the hostages came back, they said, actually, we 1167 01:03:36,360 --> 01:03:38,600 Speaker 1: were afraid for our lives from the idea of bombing. 1168 01:03:39,320 --> 01:03:41,840 Speaker 1: And when I saw that, I knew what I mean. 1169 01:03:41,880 --> 01:03:44,080 Speaker 1: He had been indicating from the beginning like his priority 1170 01:03:44,120 --> 01:03:45,840 Speaker 1: was really not getting the hostages back, in spite of 1171 01:03:45,840 --> 01:03:48,720 Speaker 1: what he was saying. But it's the same thing here. 1172 01:03:49,480 --> 01:03:51,720 Speaker 1: You know, it's one thing to know about this man 1173 01:03:51,960 --> 01:03:54,160 Speaker 1: theoretically read an article about him, know he's a father, 1174 01:03:54,200 --> 01:03:57,040 Speaker 1: et cetera. It's another thing if he can actually tell you, like, 1175 01:03:57,200 --> 01:03:59,120 Speaker 1: this is what happened, this is what I went through, 1176 01:03:59,240 --> 01:04:00,360 Speaker 1: this is what that place is. 1177 01:04:00,280 --> 01:04:02,560 Speaker 3: Actually, right, they don't want him in sixty minutes. 1178 01:04:03,360 --> 01:04:05,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's exactly right. 1179 01:04:05,760 --> 01:04:09,200 Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, I was just go ahead, No, it's 1180 01:04:09,200 --> 01:04:12,320 Speaker 2: all going okay. I was going to get back into 1181 01:04:12,320 --> 01:04:14,320 Speaker 2: the whole asylum process thing. We don't need to go there. 1182 01:04:15,200 --> 01:04:17,960 Speaker 1: I'm sure we will on another day, so we'll just 1183 01:04:17,960 --> 01:04:20,320 Speaker 1: put a pin in that for now. Wanted to get 1184 01:04:20,320 --> 01:04:23,840 Speaker 1: in some political news here because this was pretty extraordinary 1185 01:04:24,400 --> 01:04:28,760 Speaker 1: indication of how much the Democratic base has shifted in 1186 01:04:29,000 --> 01:04:31,760 Speaker 1: Trump two point zero. So data of a Progress admittedly 1187 01:04:31,800 --> 01:04:36,640 Speaker 1: a progressive polling firm, but they put a hypothetical matchup 1188 01:04:37,040 --> 01:04:41,120 Speaker 1: between AOC and Chuck Schumer for Senate in the field 1189 01:04:41,280 --> 01:04:45,200 Speaker 1: and what they got back pretty astonishing here AOC winning 1190 01:04:45,640 --> 01:04:51,040 Speaker 1: handily fifty five percent to thirty six percent for Schumer. 1191 01:04:51,520 --> 01:04:54,960 Speaker 1: And Ryan, I mean, I'm really excited to get your 1192 01:04:55,000 --> 01:04:58,600 Speaker 1: thoughts on this because it truly is a shift for 1193 01:04:58,760 --> 01:05:02,360 Speaker 1: the Democratic base. You know, is this idea of AOC 1194 01:05:02,560 --> 01:05:06,480 Speaker 1: challenging Schumer in particular, or I guess potentially Kirsten Gillibrand 1195 01:05:06,640 --> 01:05:08,880 Speaker 1: that has been around for a while, but I think 1196 01:05:08,920 --> 01:05:10,720 Speaker 1: even people like you and I were probably like, I 1197 01:05:10,720 --> 01:05:13,040 Speaker 1: don't know if she could actually win statewide New York, 1198 01:05:13,280 --> 01:05:15,760 Speaker 1: Like it's a different deal, and she has has had 1199 01:05:15,800 --> 01:05:20,040 Speaker 1: more of this like niche progressive appeal her district makes 1200 01:05:20,040 --> 01:05:23,640 Speaker 1: sense obviously, but can she actually win statewide, let alone, 1201 01:05:23,720 --> 01:05:30,160 Speaker 1: you know, national ambitions. And because of the incredible contrast 1202 01:05:30,520 --> 01:05:32,920 Speaker 1: between the way she has taken the fight to the 1203 01:05:32,960 --> 01:05:37,280 Speaker 1: Trump administration versus how Schumer has been the emblem of 1204 01:05:37,480 --> 01:05:41,600 Speaker 1: laying down and playing dead, the Democratic based feeling very 1205 01:05:41,640 --> 01:05:43,480 Speaker 1: differently about this matchup going forward. 1206 01:05:44,200 --> 01:05:46,000 Speaker 3: And for the same reason that some on the left 1207 01:05:46,200 --> 01:05:48,720 Speaker 3: have gotten upset with her for being more of a 1208 01:05:48,760 --> 01:05:53,360 Speaker 3: Democratic team player, normy Democrats have warmed up to her 1209 01:05:53,840 --> 01:05:57,320 Speaker 3: because she is more of a team player, yep, with 1210 01:05:57,800 --> 01:06:01,120 Speaker 3: the Democratic Party. And that book right there at the 1211 01:06:01,200 --> 01:06:04,280 Speaker 3: end of it, it finishes not spoiler with a poll 1212 01:06:04,560 --> 01:06:08,360 Speaker 3: in New Hampshire where I think the Democratic primary voters 1213 01:06:08,360 --> 01:06:11,720 Speaker 3: in New Hampshire, you know, had the highest favorability rating 1214 01:06:12,040 --> 01:06:14,680 Speaker 3: for her, Like I think it might have been Bernie 1215 01:06:14,680 --> 01:06:16,560 Speaker 3: actually might have been a number one or something, or 1216 01:06:16,560 --> 01:06:18,000 Speaker 3: maybe she was even ahead of Bernie. 1217 01:06:18,560 --> 01:06:20,640 Speaker 1: You can think Bernie usually comes in number one of 1218 01:06:20,680 --> 01:06:21,400 Speaker 1: these things, but. 1219 01:06:21,320 --> 01:06:27,160 Speaker 3: In particularly among New Hampshire primary voters. So the question was, 1220 01:06:27,200 --> 01:06:30,280 Speaker 3: could she, you know, beat Schumer with upstate New York. 1221 01:06:31,400 --> 01:06:33,880 Speaker 3: You know, it's a combination of suburban and rural Democrats, 1222 01:06:34,760 --> 01:06:37,800 Speaker 3: And I think right now Schumer's at his I mean, 1223 01:06:37,800 --> 01:06:40,880 Speaker 3: maybe he has further low to go, but like he's 1224 01:06:40,920 --> 01:06:45,640 Speaker 3: at it sees at a low after, you know, just 1225 01:06:45,960 --> 01:06:50,120 Speaker 3: his complete capitulation. So a lot of the a lot 1226 01:06:50,120 --> 01:06:53,280 Speaker 3: of the lead you're seeing there is probably more anti 1227 01:06:53,360 --> 01:06:58,440 Speaker 3: Schumer necessary than necessarily prosy. But it shows that there's 1228 01:06:58,560 --> 01:07:05,520 Speaker 3: a majority of Democrats in New York are willing to say, yeah, yeah, AOC, fine, 1229 01:07:05,920 --> 01:07:07,440 Speaker 3: let's let's let's give that a shot. 1230 01:07:07,720 --> 01:07:10,720 Speaker 1: And Emily, I think it's not just First of all, 1231 01:07:10,760 --> 01:07:12,880 Speaker 1: I don't think it is just anti shum. AOC is 1232 01:07:12,880 --> 01:07:15,360 Speaker 1: such a big name, like she comes with a whole 1233 01:07:15,640 --> 01:07:18,960 Speaker 1: people have a feeling about her, right And I also 1234 01:07:19,040 --> 01:07:22,640 Speaker 1: don't think it's just that she decided tactically to take 1235 01:07:22,680 --> 01:07:24,760 Speaker 1: this approach of I'm not going to be the outsider 1236 01:07:24,800 --> 01:07:27,440 Speaker 1: bomb thrower. I'm going to play the inside game. But 1237 01:07:27,480 --> 01:07:31,000 Speaker 1: it's it's it's not only that that has made Norman 1238 01:07:31,040 --> 01:07:34,040 Speaker 1: Democrats more comfortable with her. It's also the fact that 1239 01:07:34,080 --> 01:07:38,520 Speaker 1: Norman Democrats are becoming more comfortable with a bomb thrower 1240 01:07:38,880 --> 01:07:42,000 Speaker 1: and they want I mean, what they're disgusted with the 1241 01:07:42,040 --> 01:07:45,440 Speaker 1: Democratic leadership over is you aren't being aggressive enough. So 1242 01:07:45,480 --> 01:07:48,720 Speaker 1: AOC has been critical of you know, Schumer and others 1243 01:07:49,000 --> 01:07:52,320 Speaker 1: for example, and that's exactly actually what they want to 1244 01:07:52,360 --> 01:07:55,240 Speaker 1: see at this point. And that's what is really a 1245 01:07:55,440 --> 01:07:59,680 Speaker 1: very different dynamic with your average Norman Democrat versus certainly 1246 01:07:59,720 --> 01:08:01,360 Speaker 1: back in twenty seventeen. 1247 01:08:02,040 --> 01:08:05,360 Speaker 2: Yes, And the reason this is so dangerous for Chuck Schumer, 1248 01:08:05,440 --> 01:08:07,200 Speaker 2: and this is why he knows that, this is why 1249 01:08:07,200 --> 01:08:10,760 Speaker 2: the Democratic establishment has tried to co opt people like 1250 01:08:10,800 --> 01:08:15,920 Speaker 2: AOC and squash any sort of hint of dissent from leadership, 1251 01:08:15,960 --> 01:08:18,320 Speaker 2: is that so many voters make a lesser of two 1252 01:08:18,400 --> 01:08:23,760 Speaker 2: evils calculation, especially in primaries. And so if they start 1253 01:08:23,800 --> 01:08:27,479 Speaker 2: to see Chuck Schumer as the greater of the two evils, 1254 01:08:27,520 --> 01:08:30,800 Speaker 2: maybe they're not culture warriors. And you can drag up 1255 01:08:30,840 --> 01:08:35,559 Speaker 2: things AOC may have said about the police or ice 1256 01:08:35,680 --> 01:08:37,640 Speaker 2: or something like that back in twenty twenty, and I 1257 01:08:37,640 --> 01:08:40,880 Speaker 2: think those things will genuinely be harmful to her odds 1258 01:08:40,880 --> 01:08:43,080 Speaker 2: in the place like Upstate if she decides to run. 1259 01:08:43,120 --> 01:08:48,320 Speaker 2: But if they look at Chuck Schumer and say, this 1260 01:08:48,400 --> 01:08:52,200 Speaker 2: guy is just a simp. He's not doing anything, sometimes 1261 01:08:52,200 --> 01:08:56,639 Speaker 2: people will side with the culture warriors over the people 1262 01:08:56,680 --> 01:08:59,360 Speaker 2: like Chuck Schumer, especially if AOCS sounds more like the 1263 01:08:59,439 --> 01:09:04,280 Speaker 2: version of her who unseated what's his name, Joe Crowley. Yeah, 1264 01:09:04,320 --> 01:09:06,280 Speaker 2: in the first place, I love that his name has 1265 01:09:06,400 --> 01:09:08,480 Speaker 2: just fallen away from consciousness. 1266 01:09:08,840 --> 01:09:10,519 Speaker 1: But I've forgotten. 1267 01:09:12,160 --> 01:09:14,720 Speaker 2: You can't forget him. But it is really like, this 1268 01:09:14,760 --> 01:09:16,400 Speaker 2: is what happened with the Tea Party. We talk about 1269 01:09:16,400 --> 01:09:18,639 Speaker 2: this like every week now, but the similarities are absolutely true. 1270 01:09:18,680 --> 01:09:21,719 Speaker 2: It's what happened with Donald Trump. Most Republican primary voters 1271 01:09:21,800 --> 01:09:25,400 Speaker 2: did not choose Donald Trump, and that's why there was some, 1272 01:09:25,960 --> 01:09:27,920 Speaker 2: you know, conversation about whether he would actually win the 1273 01:09:27,920 --> 01:09:31,920 Speaker 2: Republican primary in twenty twenty four. But they continued to 1274 01:09:31,960 --> 01:09:35,000 Speaker 2: see Trump as a lesser of two evils against the establishment, 1275 01:09:35,080 --> 01:09:38,200 Speaker 2: even though people get exhausted with all of the posting 1276 01:09:38,640 --> 01:09:41,280 Speaker 2: and they don't like the way that he talks, They don't, 1277 01:09:41,400 --> 01:09:44,200 Speaker 2: you know, necessarily love his history with women. It just 1278 01:09:44,240 --> 01:09:46,280 Speaker 2: gets down to a lesser of two evils calculation, and 1279 01:09:46,560 --> 01:09:50,960 Speaker 2: Chuck Schumer is being dangerously is flirting dangerously with being 1280 01:09:51,000 --> 01:09:54,439 Speaker 2: put in the greater of two evils camp, and that's 1281 01:09:54,640 --> 01:09:57,080 Speaker 2: really what could end up undoing him. 1282 01:09:57,320 --> 01:09:59,680 Speaker 1: And he's not up for another four years, so to 1283 01:09:59,760 --> 01:10:02,040 Speaker 1: Ryan point like this could be his low and he's 1284 01:10:02,080 --> 01:10:04,080 Speaker 1: able to get it back together. But Ryan, I mean, 1285 01:10:04,120 --> 01:10:05,799 Speaker 1: what do you how are you feeling about the AOC 1286 01:10:06,120 --> 01:10:10,960 Speaker 1: like potential national prospects because I was pretty skeptical. I'm 1287 01:10:10,960 --> 01:10:13,320 Speaker 1: still somewhat skeptical because I think Emily's right. I mean, 1288 01:10:13,360 --> 01:10:15,080 Speaker 1: she she did do a lot of the you know, 1289 01:10:15,200 --> 01:10:18,720 Speaker 1: the Latin X and birthing person like, she did do 1290 01:10:18,840 --> 01:10:21,519 Speaker 1: too much of that kind of academic language that doesn't 1291 01:10:21,760 --> 01:10:25,840 Speaker 1: land with normal people. But her messaging lately has been fantastic. 1292 01:10:25,920 --> 01:10:28,519 Speaker 1: You know, she's been on the Stopballergarchy tour with Bernie. 1293 01:10:28,640 --> 01:10:31,799 Speaker 1: She's been on the like bread and butter, like class 1294 01:10:31,880 --> 01:10:34,760 Speaker 1: war messaging that I personally think is you know, the 1295 01:10:34,800 --> 01:10:40,479 Speaker 1: most political politically both correct and also politically effective. And 1296 01:10:40,560 --> 01:10:43,800 Speaker 1: also she has won over a lot of the Democratic base. 1297 01:10:43,840 --> 01:10:45,679 Speaker 1: I think she's you know, she's grown in a lot 1298 01:10:45,720 --> 01:10:50,040 Speaker 1: of ways. So I am more open to her as 1299 01:10:50,160 --> 01:10:53,880 Speaker 1: an effective national candidate than I was previously. Where are 1300 01:10:53,960 --> 01:10:55,040 Speaker 1: you on that question? 1301 01:10:55,880 --> 01:10:57,479 Speaker 3: I think she's in the ballgame for sure. 1302 01:10:58,160 --> 01:10:58,439 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1303 01:10:59,000 --> 01:11:02,840 Speaker 3: The virtue that Bernie had is that even people who 1304 01:11:02,880 --> 01:11:06,960 Speaker 3: didn't agree with him would say, you know, he's he 1305 01:11:07,080 --> 01:11:09,160 Speaker 3: believes what he says he's been saying the same thing, 1306 01:11:10,000 --> 01:11:12,320 Speaker 3: you know, for fifty years, and you can find clips 1307 01:11:12,320 --> 01:11:15,320 Speaker 3: of him saying it fifty years ago, yeah, like verbatim. 1308 01:11:16,479 --> 01:11:21,519 Speaker 3: And so AOC will have the difficulty of like, hey, 1309 01:11:22,120 --> 01:11:25,800 Speaker 3: why aren't you saying LATINX anymore? Like what happened to 1310 01:11:25,840 --> 01:11:26,520 Speaker 3: your pronouns? 1311 01:11:27,600 --> 01:11:29,000 Speaker 2: And will go there? 1312 01:11:29,560 --> 01:11:32,760 Speaker 3: Or she'll stick with yeah, any of her opponents with 1313 01:11:32,840 --> 01:11:35,400 Speaker 3: the media will or she'll stick with LATINX and stick 1314 01:11:35,439 --> 01:11:41,400 Speaker 3: with pronouns. And you know, so anytime she, you know, 1315 01:11:41,720 --> 01:11:45,960 Speaker 3: you know, tries to move beyond that era, she's going 1316 01:11:46,000 --> 01:11:49,080 Speaker 3: to get pulled back by it. And and will I 1317 01:11:49,080 --> 01:11:53,120 Speaker 3: think we'll feel like she's being asked to throw some 1318 01:11:53,160 --> 01:11:55,680 Speaker 3: constituency under the bus and isn't going to want to 1319 01:11:55,680 --> 01:11:58,519 Speaker 3: do that, right, But then are you going to get 1320 01:11:58,520 --> 01:12:02,000 Speaker 3: wrapped up in the axle of some you know, silly 1321 01:12:02,040 --> 01:12:07,680 Speaker 3: policy as a result of that. And so so she 1322 01:12:07,680 --> 01:12:10,200 Speaker 3: she still has the kind of thorns of she's kind 1323 01:12:10,200 --> 01:12:12,160 Speaker 3: of she's kind of tangled up in it, and it's 1324 01:12:12,200 --> 01:12:16,120 Speaker 3: going to be difficult, I think, to just to untangle. 1325 01:12:16,400 --> 01:12:18,760 Speaker 1: I think, honestly, I don't I don't know, but I 1326 01:12:18,760 --> 01:12:21,720 Speaker 1: mean I think it's honestly better to just own it 1327 01:12:21,760 --> 01:12:24,720 Speaker 1: and lean into it than to be like, who me LATINX? 1328 01:12:24,880 --> 01:12:25,800 Speaker 2: I mean, especially when. 1329 01:12:25,720 --> 01:12:31,080 Speaker 1: You're AOC I mean or Kamala Harris, Right, you find a. 1330 01:12:31,040 --> 01:12:34,599 Speaker 3: Way of messaging in a little bit more, a little 1331 01:12:34,600 --> 01:12:36,799 Speaker 3: bit better. She's she's a great messenger. She could maybe 1332 01:12:37,040 --> 01:12:39,040 Speaker 3: find a way. Yeah, give up on LATINX. I mean, 1333 01:12:39,200 --> 01:12:45,640 Speaker 3: maybe that's the maybe that's your sister soulgent because nobody 1334 01:12:45,680 --> 01:12:46,920 Speaker 3: will actually care about that. 1335 01:12:47,200 --> 01:12:49,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, you could. You could see her saying, like, 1336 01:12:49,280 --> 01:12:51,400 Speaker 1: I find it interesting that you care more about a 1337 01:12:51,439 --> 01:12:53,479 Speaker 1: particular word that I use than the fact that the 1338 01:12:53,520 --> 01:12:55,680 Speaker 1: working class is getting screwed by Donald Trump and the 1339 01:12:55,680 --> 01:12:59,160 Speaker 1: billionaire you know, like you can you can there. 1340 01:12:59,040 --> 01:13:01,720 Speaker 3: Were some communities that there's some communities telling me that 1341 01:13:01,760 --> 01:13:04,400 Speaker 3: they wanted that term. They don't want it anymore. 1342 01:13:04,600 --> 01:13:08,920 Speaker 1: Fine, fine, Yeah, totally related to this, Ryan you Actually 1343 01:13:08,960 --> 01:13:11,599 Speaker 1: this was not actually particularly on my radar, but these 1344 01:13:11,720 --> 01:13:14,160 Speaker 1: protests that are coming up this weekend appear to be 1345 01:13:14,320 --> 01:13:19,160 Speaker 1: quite large Saturday nationwide hands off anti Trump protests. You 1346 01:13:19,200 --> 01:13:23,559 Speaker 1: see the map here. It was pretty extraordinarily broad movement. 1347 01:13:24,200 --> 01:13:25,760 Speaker 1: You said, you knew, you knew someone who was going 1348 01:13:25,800 --> 01:13:26,639 Speaker 1: to the one of the villages. 1349 01:13:26,720 --> 01:13:29,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, my dad, My dad is on the villages right now. 1350 01:13:29,400 --> 01:13:31,840 Speaker 3: He says he's a Pennsylvania snowbird. He goes down to 1351 01:13:31,840 --> 01:13:32,880 Speaker 3: the villages in the winter. 1352 01:13:33,360 --> 01:13:37,840 Speaker 1: So it it says more than eleven hundred rallies, they've 1353 01:13:37,840 --> 01:13:41,000 Speaker 1: had nearly two hundred and fifty thousand RSVPs. That was 1354 01:13:41,040 --> 01:13:42,880 Speaker 1: as of March twenty ninth, so I'm sure they have 1355 01:13:42,960 --> 01:13:48,000 Speaker 1: even more by now. So what's the particular messaging here? 1356 01:13:48,160 --> 01:13:50,680 Speaker 1: Is it just kind of everything or is there a 1357 01:13:50,680 --> 01:13:52,200 Speaker 1: particular focus. 1358 01:13:52,000 --> 01:13:58,840 Speaker 3: It's it's like anti doge Doge, anti doggie, hands off 1359 01:13:58,880 --> 01:14:04,400 Speaker 3: social Security, hands on Medicare and Medicaid, stop destroying the government, 1360 01:14:05,880 --> 01:14:09,640 Speaker 3: make things better, not worse. So it's kind of a 1361 01:14:09,680 --> 01:14:13,680 Speaker 3: broad resistance to what Musk and Trump are doing, kind 1362 01:14:13,720 --> 01:14:15,960 Speaker 3: of rally. But yeah, I think you're you're going to 1363 01:14:16,000 --> 01:14:20,920 Speaker 3: see I think, uh, you know, huge numbers of people 1364 01:14:21,080 --> 01:14:23,040 Speaker 3: I think are going to are going to turn out 1365 01:14:23,080 --> 01:14:25,080 Speaker 3: for this. There are buses coming to Washington, d C. 1366 01:14:26,360 --> 01:14:28,479 Speaker 3: So you know, it could be could be sizable here. 1367 01:14:28,880 --> 01:14:32,720 Speaker 3: But even for you know, if wherever you are watching this, 1368 01:14:32,800 --> 01:14:38,200 Speaker 3: there's probably a hands off rally, you know, fairly close. 1369 01:14:38,280 --> 01:14:40,599 Speaker 3: I asked my dad, like, is it a Tesler dealership. 1370 01:14:40,640 --> 01:14:43,240 Speaker 3: He said, now it's at a it's a parking lot, 1371 01:14:43,320 --> 01:14:47,040 Speaker 3: which is which sounds very sounds very villages. But yeah, 1372 01:14:47,120 --> 01:14:49,400 Speaker 3: if the villages is able to bring out you know, 1373 01:14:49,520 --> 01:14:53,519 Speaker 3: hundreds or even thousands of people, which is that this 1374 01:14:53,600 --> 01:14:57,160 Speaker 3: is famously the Republican leaning uh you know, retirement community 1375 01:14:57,200 --> 01:14:57,639 Speaker 3: in Florida. 1376 01:14:57,960 --> 01:15:00,160 Speaker 1: I think part of the village is was in one 1377 01:15:00,200 --> 01:15:03,320 Speaker 1: of these Florida districts. That was last week, right. 1378 01:15:03,360 --> 01:15:07,559 Speaker 3: Yeah, there were Randy Fine which which and my dad 1379 01:15:07,600 --> 01:15:10,040 Speaker 3: was saying, no, like, nobody down there likes the guy, 1380 01:15:10,080 --> 01:15:14,240 Speaker 3: including all the Republicans. DeSantis was just ripping him. I 1381 01:15:14,280 --> 01:15:18,960 Speaker 3: saw that yesterday. He's pretty it seems like a pretty 1382 01:15:18,960 --> 01:15:22,080 Speaker 3: despicable dude, and that kind of an arrogant guy who 1383 01:15:22,200 --> 01:15:25,599 Speaker 3: was like angered a lot of people with a real 1384 01:15:25,720 --> 01:15:29,200 Speaker 3: haughty attitude on whatever commission he was elected to serve 1385 01:15:29,240 --> 01:15:33,120 Speaker 3: before this. But you know, when Republicans, you know, win 1386 01:15:33,240 --> 01:15:37,160 Speaker 3: those races by thirty forty points, it's it's going to 1387 01:15:37,200 --> 01:15:38,800 Speaker 3: be hard to lose. And yeah, he ended up losing 1388 01:15:38,880 --> 01:15:41,080 Speaker 3: to his like a middle school teacher, Josh wheel Buy 1389 01:15:41,120 --> 01:15:43,360 Speaker 3: like ten points or something like that. I mean, being 1390 01:15:43,400 --> 01:15:44,280 Speaker 3: a middle school teacher. 1391 01:15:44,479 --> 01:15:47,559 Speaker 1: DeSantis said something like, you know, they wanted me to 1392 01:15:47,600 --> 01:15:50,839 Speaker 1: put this guy on the Florida Atlantic Board. I tried 1393 01:15:51,320 --> 01:15:53,519 Speaker 1: to get rid of him, and they didn't want him. 1394 01:15:53,960 --> 01:15:54,920 Speaker 4: It was pretty. 1395 01:15:58,720 --> 01:16:01,400 Speaker 2: You know, Santas is this guy is unlikable. 1396 01:16:03,640 --> 01:16:07,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, in a partisan way, like people just do not 1397 01:16:07,560 --> 01:16:08,080 Speaker 3: like this No. 1398 01:16:08,280 --> 01:16:10,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, well for good reason when you see the horrific, 1399 01:16:10,680 --> 01:16:16,919 Speaker 1: like monstrous things he says about kids getting slaughtered in Gaza. 1400 01:16:16,080 --> 01:16:19,880 Speaker 1: The thing that I think is important about these protests, 1401 01:16:19,880 --> 01:16:24,280 Speaker 1: Emily is it does comment a moment when Democratic electeds 1402 01:16:24,280 --> 01:16:26,800 Speaker 1: have kind of realized like, all right, we gotta up 1403 01:16:26,840 --> 01:16:29,320 Speaker 1: our game, right. That's what Corey Booker holding the floor. 1404 01:16:29,320 --> 01:16:32,320 Speaker 1: That represents them realizing like, okay, we're not meeting the 1405 01:16:32,360 --> 01:16:34,599 Speaker 1: but we got to do something right and or else 1406 01:16:34,640 --> 01:16:37,040 Speaker 1: there is going to be a tea party with you know, 1407 01:16:37,120 --> 01:16:41,040 Speaker 1: Pitchforks coming for us. And you also had these election 1408 01:16:41,120 --> 01:16:42,920 Speaker 1: results that Democrats are taking a lot of hard in. 1409 01:16:43,120 --> 01:16:46,320 Speaker 1: Obviously you were in Wisconsin. The Liberal there wins by 1410 01:16:46,320 --> 01:16:49,559 Speaker 1: double digits. They made huge you know, fifteen to twenty 1411 01:16:49,600 --> 01:16:53,240 Speaker 1: point made up ground in those two Florida seats. So 1412 01:16:53,320 --> 01:16:58,400 Speaker 1: there's a little bit of mojo re entering the Democratic Party. 1413 01:16:58,680 --> 01:17:01,000 Speaker 1: And then these protests come in and it's another you know, 1414 01:17:01,160 --> 01:17:06,000 Speaker 1: visible demonstration of okay, we the base of the Democratic 1415 01:17:06,040 --> 01:17:09,720 Speaker 1: Party is fired up, like they are ready to you know, 1416 01:17:09,760 --> 01:17:11,719 Speaker 1: they are ready to go to war. They are ready 1417 01:17:11,760 --> 01:17:16,040 Speaker 1: to go in whatever direction they think makes sense in 1418 01:17:16,160 --> 01:17:18,640 Speaker 1: order to protest what is being done in this country. So, 1419 01:17:19,320 --> 01:17:22,680 Speaker 1: you know, I think, like, I don't think anyone necessarily 1420 01:17:22,720 --> 01:17:24,840 Speaker 1: expects that it's going to change how the Trump administration 1421 01:17:24,920 --> 01:17:27,760 Speaker 1: is approaching Social Security, Medicare or whatever. But I do 1422 01:17:27,840 --> 01:17:30,200 Speaker 1: think it will probably strengthen the backbone a little bit 1423 01:17:30,280 --> 01:17:33,120 Speaker 1: of the Democratic Party who will see this show of strength. 1424 01:17:33,600 --> 01:17:36,000 Speaker 2: I mean, it might change how Republicans approach soci security, 1425 01:17:36,080 --> 01:17:39,599 Speaker 2: Medicare because it's a confirmation of Trump's longtime political instincts. 1426 01:17:39,720 --> 01:17:42,400 Speaker 2: And that's why you saw Josh Holly go into the 1427 01:17:42,400 --> 01:17:45,080 Speaker 2: White House yesterday saying I talked to Trump. He says, 1428 01:17:45,200 --> 01:17:48,679 Speaker 2: nobody is going to touch social Security and Medicaid and 1429 01:17:48,840 --> 01:17:49,840 Speaker 2: you know, trying. 1430 01:17:49,520 --> 01:17:53,280 Speaker 1: To touching it. It's being touched right now. 1431 01:17:54,520 --> 01:17:58,560 Speaker 2: There's that video of Bill Cassidy this week on Newsmax. 1432 01:17:59,080 --> 01:18:01,800 Speaker 2: Did you see this crystal of him like accidentally saying 1433 01:18:01,840 --> 01:18:04,280 Speaker 2: cut Medicaid and then realized he meant to say reform 1434 01:18:04,400 --> 01:18:06,200 Speaker 2: and correcting it to the camera and giving a big 1435 01:18:06,200 --> 01:18:11,519 Speaker 2: old grin yea, and like it may turn into one 1436 01:18:11,560 --> 01:18:15,000 Speaker 2: of those situations where Trump ends up saying like, you 1437 01:18:15,040 --> 01:18:18,320 Speaker 2: guys got up stop. We don't know though, and that's 1438 01:18:18,360 --> 01:18:21,799 Speaker 2: probably not good enough assurance if you're just an average 1439 01:18:21,840 --> 01:18:24,600 Speaker 2: American who relies on those programs, Which is why I 1440 01:18:24,640 --> 01:18:27,400 Speaker 2: think this is a study in contrast with the resistance 1441 01:18:27,439 --> 01:18:30,280 Speaker 2: that bubbled up in twenty seventeen. And Ryan wrote a 1442 01:18:30,320 --> 01:18:33,439 Speaker 2: whole book about this, But I think as this has 1443 01:18:33,880 --> 01:18:36,280 Speaker 2: we've seen this over the first what almost one hundred days, 1444 01:18:36,320 --> 01:18:39,400 Speaker 2: seventy five days, I think as of tomorrow of the 1445 01:18:39,439 --> 01:18:43,920 Speaker 2: Trump administration, it looks this is a much better democratic 1446 01:18:43,960 --> 01:18:46,880 Speaker 2: resistance than the one of twenty seventeen, because I increasingly 1447 01:18:46,880 --> 01:18:49,360 Speaker 2: think the one that came to be in twenty seventeen 1448 01:18:49,840 --> 01:18:54,320 Speaker 2: morphed into something that ended up greatly backfiring on Democrats 1449 01:18:54,720 --> 01:18:58,360 Speaker 2: because it wasn't based on class criticism, and this one, 1450 01:18:58,640 --> 01:19:01,639 Speaker 2: so far is is much more focused on that, which 1451 01:19:01,640 --> 01:19:06,200 Speaker 2: is pretty interesting for the Democratic Party. And there's there's 1452 01:19:06,280 --> 01:19:10,320 Speaker 2: just like a recognition that this isn't don't talk about 1453 01:19:10,560 --> 01:19:14,320 Speaker 2: grab them by the pussy like talk about actual nuts 1454 01:19:14,360 --> 01:19:17,479 Speaker 2: and bolts, kitchen table issues that will break through with 1455 01:19:17,720 --> 01:19:19,639 Speaker 2: your regular voter every day. 1456 01:19:19,800 --> 01:19:23,080 Speaker 1: So not hands off my pussy, hands off my social security. 1457 01:19:23,680 --> 01:19:26,960 Speaker 2: It's like it's such an obvious, It's like it's you 1458 01:19:26,960 --> 01:19:27,960 Speaker 2: would think. 1459 01:19:28,439 --> 01:19:31,200 Speaker 3: It's been clarifying, I think for the Democratic base to 1460 01:19:31,320 --> 01:19:36,360 Speaker 3: have this multi billionaire, richest man on the planet, literally 1461 01:19:36,439 --> 01:19:41,200 Speaker 3: wielding a chainsaw on stage, hopped up on ketamine, all 1462 01:19:42,360 --> 01:19:45,960 Speaker 3: going after the you know, going after the federal government 1463 01:19:46,040 --> 01:19:49,240 Speaker 3: on cutting you know, and then and then now they're 1464 01:19:49,280 --> 01:19:52,360 Speaker 3: watching all their four oh one k's you know, collapse 1465 01:19:52,400 --> 01:19:55,960 Speaker 3: into into some puddle, and you know that that's a 1466 01:19:55,960 --> 01:19:59,640 Speaker 3: lot worse for somebody in their seventies than it is 1467 01:19:59,680 --> 01:20:01,799 Speaker 3: foreople in their thirties or forties. 1468 01:20:03,240 --> 01:20:05,680 Speaker 1: That is down twelve hundred points right now today, by 1469 01:20:05,680 --> 01:20:06,080 Speaker 1: the way. 1470 01:20:05,960 --> 01:20:08,519 Speaker 3: Another twelve hundred on top of yesterday is sixteen. Yeah, 1471 01:20:08,600 --> 01:20:14,160 Speaker 3: that's like those are those are real numbers. 1472 01:20:14,360 --> 01:20:18,599 Speaker 1: Starts to be real for sure. Okay, last thing here, 1473 01:20:18,960 --> 01:20:21,479 Speaker 1: got to get Emily in particular, but both of you 1474 01:20:21,600 --> 01:20:24,000 Speaker 1: to weigh in on our friend Laura Lumer. 1475 01:20:24,479 --> 01:20:28,679 Speaker 2: No literally Ryan, Ryan is actually in touch with Laura Lumer. 1476 01:20:30,080 --> 01:20:31,800 Speaker 3: Yesterday, I'll pull it. 1477 01:20:31,840 --> 01:20:37,559 Speaker 1: Up did she yeah, so she she so this again 1478 01:20:37,800 --> 01:20:41,360 Speaker 1: like while the while the global economy is in free fall, 1479 01:20:41,439 --> 01:20:44,240 Speaker 1: and like you know from Trump's tariffs, he's not doing 1480 01:20:44,280 --> 01:20:47,200 Speaker 1: He's meeting with Laura Lumber at the White House before 1481 01:20:47,200 --> 01:20:49,640 Speaker 1: going to play golf. Right, this is his this is 1482 01:20:49,720 --> 01:20:53,679 Speaker 1: on his agenda. So anyway, after she visits, he fired 1483 01:20:54,120 --> 01:20:58,920 Speaker 1: what three people from the National Security Council. The way 1484 01:20:58,960 --> 01:21:02,080 Speaker 1: actios frames are come a day after conspiracy theorist Laura 1485 01:21:02,160 --> 01:21:04,599 Speaker 1: Lumer visited the Oval Office press Trump to fire specific 1486 01:21:04,720 --> 01:21:07,280 Speaker 1: NSC staffer's axios is not confirmed. Where the firings were 1487 01:21:07,280 --> 01:21:10,120 Speaker 1: directly linked to that incident, with the source familiar said 1488 01:21:10,120 --> 01:21:14,880 Speaker 1: they were being labeled as an anti neocon move. So, Emily, 1489 01:21:15,040 --> 01:21:19,080 Speaker 1: what do we know about these people and their alleged sins? 1490 01:21:19,080 --> 01:21:21,280 Speaker 1: And of course, I mean this comes as the whole 1491 01:21:21,280 --> 01:21:24,479 Speaker 1: Signal Gate thing happened, and no one was fired out 1492 01:21:24,520 --> 01:21:26,960 Speaker 1: of that, including Mike Walls, who is definitely a neo 1493 01:21:27,040 --> 01:21:29,880 Speaker 1: Khan as anyone could see for themselves within the signal chats, 1494 01:21:30,439 --> 01:21:32,479 Speaker 1: as were pretty much everybody else in that chat. By 1495 01:21:32,520 --> 01:21:36,120 Speaker 1: the way, So he's not fired, but these three people 1496 01:21:36,200 --> 01:21:39,280 Speaker 1: appear to have been have been lumored here in the 1497 01:21:39,320 --> 01:21:41,800 Speaker 1: wake of this meeting, like, what do we know about 1498 01:21:41,840 --> 01:21:44,120 Speaker 1: these people? What do you think Laura Lumer, what is 1499 01:21:44,120 --> 01:21:45,160 Speaker 1: her issue with them? 1500 01:21:45,479 --> 01:21:46,000 Speaker 4: Et cetera. 1501 01:21:46,760 --> 01:21:52,080 Speaker 2: Well, Lumur is basically doing the Charlie Kelly chalkboard Peppy 1502 01:21:52,160 --> 01:21:54,880 Speaker 2: Silva thing from its always Sonny in Philadelphia the meme. 1503 01:21:55,200 --> 01:21:57,120 Speaker 2: And I don't mean that in a bad way actually, 1504 01:21:57,200 --> 01:22:00,880 Speaker 2: because some of these people's careers actually really have to 1505 01:22:00,920 --> 01:22:03,920 Speaker 2: start piecing together a puzzle in order to get the 1506 01:22:03,920 --> 01:22:06,160 Speaker 2: big picture of Like okay, and Mike Waltz is one 1507 01:22:06,160 --> 01:22:09,200 Speaker 2: of them. Uh, they may be talking like quote unquote 1508 01:22:09,240 --> 01:22:13,200 Speaker 2: America First Patriots right now, and you know, staunch supporters 1509 01:22:13,200 --> 01:22:16,559 Speaker 2: of the Trump movement, which is you moving towards China 1510 01:22:16,880 --> 01:22:19,960 Speaker 2: and you know, moving away from the same neo conservative 1511 01:22:19,960 --> 01:22:25,160 Speaker 2: position on Ukraine and Russia. But but h Luma is 1512 01:22:25,200 --> 01:22:28,600 Speaker 2: basically showing that these, uh, some of these allies of 1513 01:22:28,680 --> 01:22:31,240 Speaker 2: Mike Waltz are sort of like him. You know, he's 1514 01:22:31,240 --> 01:22:34,400 Speaker 2: someone who was an advisor to Dick Cheney, founded a 1515 01:22:35,000 --> 01:22:39,000 Speaker 2: defense contracting group that had big business in Afghanistan, and 1516 01:22:39,080 --> 01:22:41,040 Speaker 2: she was she was kind of connecting the dots and 1517 01:22:41,040 --> 01:22:45,080 Speaker 2: showing that these these folks had a similar career backgrounds 1518 01:22:45,479 --> 01:22:49,880 Speaker 2: that went through uh the like the National Security ringer, 1519 01:22:50,120 --> 01:22:53,360 Speaker 2: and they're, according to Lumer, bringing all of that baggage 1520 01:22:53,560 --> 01:22:57,160 Speaker 2: with them and wrapping it in the America first packaging. 1521 01:22:57,400 --> 01:23:00,840 Speaker 2: So it's she's completely right by the way. I mean, 1522 01:23:00,880 --> 01:23:06,000 Speaker 2: like there's been some ideological uh, there's been some sincere 1523 01:23:06,120 --> 01:23:10,120 Speaker 2: ideological shifts among people in the Trump orbit who have 1524 01:23:10,479 --> 01:23:13,519 Speaker 2: reconsidered their own priors, and some of that is genuine. 1525 01:23:14,400 --> 01:23:16,439 Speaker 2: But if you look at Mike Waltz, I don't think 1526 01:23:16,479 --> 01:23:19,720 Speaker 2: it's really the case with him. Uh And that's what 1527 01:23:20,000 --> 01:23:23,920 Speaker 2: she's saying is look at these guys he brought with him. 1528 01:23:24,560 --> 01:23:27,840 Speaker 2: You know, Ryan, you what does she tell drop Site yesterday? 1529 01:23:28,840 --> 01:23:31,240 Speaker 3: She's had a very statesman. 1530 01:23:30,960 --> 01:23:34,040 Speaker 1: Like respect for the White House in President Trump. I'm 1531 01:23:34,040 --> 01:23:36,040 Speaker 1: not going to divulge any details. Blah blah blah. 1532 01:23:36,120 --> 01:23:40,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, which is uh so we reported over drop Site 1533 01:23:40,840 --> 01:23:45,120 Speaker 3: that inside the administration, Waltz's n sc IS is just 1534 01:23:45,400 --> 01:23:50,040 Speaker 3: colloquially referred to as the Neoconsecurity Council. It's just it's 1535 01:23:50,160 --> 01:23:53,360 Speaker 3: very much known as the kind of leading edge of 1536 01:23:53,400 --> 01:23:55,920 Speaker 3: the of the warhawk element. You know, she went in 1537 01:23:56,000 --> 01:24:01,000 Speaker 3: and got Doug fights NEPO higher. You know, Doug Fight's 1538 01:24:01,040 --> 01:24:03,679 Speaker 3: one of the leading neo cons of the Bush era, 1539 01:24:04,280 --> 01:24:08,120 Speaker 3: and his kid David apparently was. And it seemed it 1540 01:24:08,200 --> 01:24:13,080 Speaker 3: seems like Trump learned about this and moved on it. 1541 01:24:13,160 --> 01:24:15,800 Speaker 3: Now he sort of denied it, like do we have 1542 01:24:15,840 --> 01:24:18,320 Speaker 3: the Trump clip talking on Air Force one. 1543 01:24:18,240 --> 01:24:18,960 Speaker 2: On their first one. 1544 01:24:20,120 --> 01:24:23,880 Speaker 3: It's it's it's it's quite funny to watch because he's like, look, 1545 01:24:23,920 --> 01:24:26,920 Speaker 3: Laura Loomer, gotta see it. Let me, I'll see if 1546 01:24:26,960 --> 01:24:28,880 Speaker 3: I can find But he's like, look, Laura, Laura Lumer 1547 01:24:29,000 --> 01:24:31,840 Speaker 3: very strong. And what's what's amazing. 1548 01:24:32,600 --> 01:24:32,880 Speaker 2: Is that. 1549 01:24:34,479 --> 01:24:37,880 Speaker 3: She did this with Michael Waltz sitting there in the 1550 01:24:37,920 --> 01:24:38,639 Speaker 3: Oval office. 1551 01:24:38,760 --> 01:24:42,839 Speaker 2: Oh really, he was there, and she's the vice president 1552 01:24:42,840 --> 01:24:43,519 Speaker 2: apparently too. 1553 01:24:44,040 --> 01:24:45,880 Speaker 1: Lee's got some balls, man, I will give. 1554 01:24:47,240 --> 01:24:52,439 Speaker 3: She's just sitting there. Oh here it is, she's dropping here. 1555 01:24:52,520 --> 01:24:54,360 Speaker 3: Let me let me play this. She's just dropping all 1556 01:24:54,360 --> 01:24:58,040 Speaker 3: of this research, getting these getting these clowns fired, like 1557 01:24:58,840 --> 01:25:03,360 Speaker 3: right in right in front of their bosses. It's like, 1558 01:25:03,520 --> 01:25:05,320 Speaker 3: you gotta you gotta admire that. 1559 01:25:05,400 --> 01:25:05,519 Speaker 4: Here. 1560 01:25:05,600 --> 01:25:08,000 Speaker 3: Let me let's play some Trump here. Tell us a 1561 01:25:08,040 --> 01:25:10,920 Speaker 3: little bit about your meeting with Laura Lumer and Mike 1562 01:25:11,040 --> 01:25:11,679 Speaker 3: Woltz today. 1563 01:25:11,960 --> 01:25:12,839 Speaker 2: How that? Yeah? 1564 01:25:12,880 --> 01:25:16,479 Speaker 5: So Laura Lumer is a very good patron. 1565 01:25:16,800 --> 01:25:19,320 Speaker 4: She is a very strong person. 1566 01:25:19,960 --> 01:25:22,280 Speaker 3: And I saw her, Yes, she has. 1567 01:25:22,600 --> 01:25:26,920 Speaker 5: She makes recommendations of nats and people, and sometimes I 1568 01:25:27,120 --> 01:25:30,600 Speaker 5: listen to those recommendations like I do with everybody. I 1569 01:25:30,720 --> 01:25:32,840 Speaker 5: listen to everybody, and then I make a decision. But 1570 01:25:33,920 --> 01:25:37,000 Speaker 5: I saw her yesterday. She was at the ceremony, and 1571 01:25:37,560 --> 01:25:41,200 Speaker 5: uh she is. She'll always have something to say, usually 1572 01:25:41,280 --> 01:25:42,080 Speaker 5: very constructed. 1573 01:25:45,560 --> 01:25:48,840 Speaker 2: She'll always have something to say, usually very constructive. To 1574 01:25:48,920 --> 01:25:49,560 Speaker 2: the administration. 1575 01:25:49,720 --> 01:25:53,760 Speaker 5: Not well, she'll recommend that too. 1576 01:25:54,000 --> 01:25:56,800 Speaker 3: Yesterday she recommends some people for jobs. Did she have 1577 01:25:56,840 --> 01:25:57,880 Speaker 3: anything to do with the. 1578 01:25:58,000 --> 01:25:59,920 Speaker 2: Nsc aids who were housed. 1579 01:26:00,240 --> 01:26:05,760 Speaker 3: No, not at all. No, No, not at all, not 1580 01:26:05,800 --> 01:26:06,040 Speaker 3: at all. 1581 01:26:06,080 --> 01:26:09,680 Speaker 1: I always have something to say, usually very constructive. 1582 01:26:09,560 --> 01:26:14,200 Speaker 3: Very strong, good patriot. That's so good. She sat there 1583 01:26:14,200 --> 01:26:14,880 Speaker 3: and ripped. 1584 01:26:14,640 --> 01:26:17,120 Speaker 1: These people off of Air Force one. And then that 1585 01:26:17,160 --> 01:26:19,559 Speaker 1: happened on the campaign. Laura was like on the plane 1586 01:26:19,600 --> 01:26:21,439 Speaker 1: a lot unless a strety in the inner circle. And 1587 01:26:21,439 --> 01:26:24,160 Speaker 1: then Susie Wilds came in and they started. 1588 01:26:23,960 --> 01:26:27,439 Speaker 3: Blamed they blamed her for him doing that embarrassing thing. 1589 01:26:27,479 --> 01:26:29,960 Speaker 3: They're eating the pets, they're eating the cats, they're eating 1590 01:26:30,000 --> 01:26:32,400 Speaker 3: the dogs. They kicked her. 1591 01:26:32,320 --> 01:26:34,360 Speaker 1: Off for that well turned down not to matter. 1592 01:26:34,640 --> 01:26:38,880 Speaker 2: So and to what we just watched from Trump him 1593 01:26:38,920 --> 01:26:42,879 Speaker 2: claiming that it wasn't. Lumer just retweeted herself from thirteen 1594 01:26:42,920 --> 01:26:46,599 Speaker 2: hours ago saying, you know how, you know how you 1595 01:26:46,680 --> 01:26:49,040 Speaker 2: know the NSC officials are reported to President Trump are 1596 01:26:49,040 --> 01:26:50,720 Speaker 2: disloyal people who have played a role in stuff. But 1597 01:26:50,760 --> 01:26:53,559 Speaker 2: tashi Donald Trump because the fired officials are being defended 1598 01:26:53,600 --> 01:26:57,479 Speaker 2: by Jen Saki Andrew McCabe on MSNBC and CNN right now. So, 1599 01:26:57,640 --> 01:26:59,559 Speaker 2: I mean, I think it's fair to take all of 1600 01:26:59,640 --> 01:27:02,280 Speaker 2: the way that she's talking about it and what happened 1601 01:27:02,360 --> 01:27:06,840 Speaker 2: is pretty clear evidence that this was directly connected. 1602 01:27:06,720 --> 01:27:11,000 Speaker 3: To making much of an effort to deny that. Yeah, 1603 01:27:11,160 --> 01:27:14,120 Speaker 3: that was one of his book casual No. 1604 01:27:13,720 --> 01:27:19,400 Speaker 1: Of course, Yeah, you said she recommended some people for jobs. Yeah, 1605 01:27:19,400 --> 01:27:22,200 Speaker 1: for those jobs after she told a fire those people. 1606 01:27:24,640 --> 01:27:28,559 Speaker 2: I mean she also absolutely bodied Dana Bash. I mean, 1607 01:27:28,600 --> 01:27:32,639 Speaker 2: this is nobody. I feel like it just never gets 1608 01:27:32,760 --> 01:27:36,439 Speaker 2: enough attention that Dana Bash's ex husband, they're married. Well, 1609 01:27:36,920 --> 01:27:39,519 Speaker 2: she covered the Obama administration. You guys remember this better 1610 01:27:39,560 --> 01:27:39,920 Speaker 2: than I do. 1611 01:27:40,560 --> 01:27:45,280 Speaker 3: But Jeremy the c I A, yeah, this is. 1612 01:27:45,360 --> 01:27:48,320 Speaker 2: Very closely on Panetta and I think what Lumor was 1613 01:27:48,360 --> 01:27:52,759 Speaker 2: pointing out, I didn't verify this, so it's probably true, 1614 01:27:53,240 --> 01:27:55,360 Speaker 2: sounds true, but it didn't verify this, but that one 1615 01:27:55,400 --> 01:28:01,519 Speaker 2: of Waltz's NSC guys worked for Jeremy ash who obviously 1616 01:28:01,520 --> 01:28:03,360 Speaker 2: has been you know, deep state circles. 1617 01:28:03,840 --> 01:28:08,040 Speaker 1: Interesting, gotcha, Yeah, Laura Lumeercy's never wrong, so no need. 1618 01:28:07,920 --> 01:28:11,680 Speaker 2: To there's I think, you know, I I trust her 1619 01:28:12,520 --> 01:28:15,559 Speaker 2: her fact checking new york you know, New Yorker level 1620 01:28:17,439 --> 01:28:18,120 Speaker 2: fact checking. 1621 01:28:19,120 --> 01:28:21,240 Speaker 1: I guess the last thing I'll say about this is, 1622 01:28:21,439 --> 01:28:25,320 Speaker 1: you know, Waltz seemed to have been protected by the 1623 01:28:25,400 --> 01:28:29,600 Speaker 1: fact that Trump hates Jeffrey Goldberg and didn't want to 1624 01:28:29,640 --> 01:28:33,639 Speaker 1: be seen as giving Jeffrey Goldberg a scalp. So instead, 1625 01:28:34,200 --> 01:28:37,080 Speaker 1: Yeahloomer comes in and is like, all right, well, I 1626 01:28:37,080 --> 01:28:39,040 Speaker 1: guess we're not going to take out that guy, but 1627 01:28:39,439 --> 01:28:43,240 Speaker 1: all of these underlings they're vulnerable, so we're going to 1628 01:28:43,280 --> 01:28:45,120 Speaker 1: come in with a knife with them. So that seems 1629 01:28:45,160 --> 01:28:46,360 Speaker 1: to be kind of what played out here. 1630 01:28:46,760 --> 01:28:50,160 Speaker 2: It's completely insane. I mean, he's Donald Trump. I have 1631 01:28:50,240 --> 01:28:53,439 Speaker 2: no idea why he's not pushing the issue with Mike 1632 01:28:53,479 --> 01:28:56,960 Speaker 2: Waltz because there are This is the point that we 1633 01:28:56,960 --> 01:29:01,080 Speaker 2: were talking about the internal reporting about UH from drop site, 1634 01:29:01,160 --> 01:29:03,799 Speaker 2: about people just calling it the Neo Conservative Security Council. 1635 01:29:04,000 --> 01:29:09,839 Speaker 2: It's there's like a lot of internal irritation with Mike Waltz. 1636 01:29:10,240 --> 01:29:12,679 Speaker 2: He's he's not the most popular person in Trump circles 1637 01:29:12,680 --> 01:29:13,839 Speaker 2: and he never has been. 1638 01:29:13,880 --> 01:29:15,640 Speaker 1: Even outside of like ideology. 1639 01:29:16,960 --> 01:29:18,840 Speaker 2: Well, I think it's both that people see it both 1640 01:29:18,880 --> 01:29:22,080 Speaker 2: in the same way that he's someone who wants to 1641 01:29:22,439 --> 01:29:25,080 Speaker 2: he thinks he can steer Trump in the right. 1642 01:29:25,120 --> 01:29:27,240 Speaker 1: Here's the kind of guy that would have Jeffrey Goldberg 1643 01:29:27,280 --> 01:29:27,559 Speaker 1: in his. 1644 01:29:27,560 --> 01:29:32,519 Speaker 2: Phone exactly exactly and then go on Laura Ingram when 1645 01:29:32,800 --> 01:29:34,519 Speaker 2: you know he doesn't really have much of a defense 1646 01:29:34,560 --> 01:29:37,680 Speaker 2: to mount and say I got sucked in you like, 1647 01:29:37,920 --> 01:29:40,680 Speaker 2: it's not a But that's why I don't understand. I mean, 1648 01:29:41,160 --> 01:29:43,840 Speaker 2: he hasn't offered to resign, which would have probably been 1649 01:29:44,360 --> 01:29:47,439 Speaker 2: the patriotic thing to do, to borrow a phrase from 1650 01:29:47,960 --> 01:29:52,120 Speaker 2: Trump himself from reference to Laura Lumour. But maybe it's 1651 01:29:52,240 --> 01:29:52,840 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't. 1652 01:29:52,720 --> 01:29:57,559 Speaker 3: Know ye the start, Emily, but from the perspective of 1653 01:29:57,560 --> 01:30:01,680 Speaker 3: the internal fight between the neo cons and America firsts 1654 01:30:02,120 --> 01:30:07,280 Speaker 3: Mike Waltz staying on but being completely denuded and and 1655 01:30:07,360 --> 01:30:10,880 Speaker 3: like stripped of power and like losing his staff is 1656 01:30:11,000 --> 01:30:16,080 Speaker 3: probably better for the America First Isolationist Crew than are 1657 01:30:16,120 --> 01:30:21,960 Speaker 3: they replaced by another neo kon Well, the Signal Chat, 1658 01:30:22,600 --> 01:30:27,519 Speaker 3: it's so well jad, I mean yeah, jd Vance, whether 1659 01:30:27,600 --> 01:30:30,400 Speaker 3: or not Hexith you know, lives up to that or 1660 01:30:30,439 --> 01:30:34,080 Speaker 3: he just got reverse back to the you know what 1661 01:30:34,240 --> 01:30:36,960 Speaker 3: we saw in that Signal Chat A lot of the 1662 01:30:37,560 --> 01:30:40,280 Speaker 3: if you look at the all the different people that 1663 01:30:40,760 --> 01:30:46,920 Speaker 3: made it into the administration despite you know, Jewish Insider magazine, 1664 01:30:47,160 --> 01:30:50,960 Speaker 3: you're trying to stop them, like yeah, those those types 1665 01:30:53,240 --> 01:30:59,240 Speaker 3: what's his name, Bridge, Bridge, Colby, like that his whole faction, Like, 1666 01:30:59,360 --> 01:31:03,439 Speaker 3: you know, they're they probably benefit from Waltz having sticking 1667 01:31:03,479 --> 01:31:06,639 Speaker 3: around but having less power. But yeah, but then are 1668 01:31:06,640 --> 01:31:10,439 Speaker 3: they just going to fill the vacuum themselves and get 1669 01:31:10,720 --> 01:31:11,479 Speaker 3: all war happy? 1670 01:31:11,960 --> 01:31:14,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, fall in line when Steven Miller's like, no, big 1671 01:31:14,280 --> 01:31:16,040 Speaker 1: guy wants to bomb. So that's what we're doing. 1672 01:31:17,400 --> 01:31:19,600 Speaker 2: I mean, I guess I would rather, like my defense is, 1673 01:31:19,640 --> 01:31:22,599 Speaker 2: I'd rather have those guys in the room than have 1674 01:31:22,920 --> 01:31:27,160 Speaker 2: a room full of Mike Watson, John Bolton, Yeah, yeah. 1675 01:31:27,800 --> 01:31:30,880 Speaker 1: No doubt, all right, guys, anything else, Ryan I know 1676 01:31:30,920 --> 01:31:33,040 Speaker 1: you had a story you were following it in God. 1677 01:31:33,400 --> 01:31:35,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, we're at drop site where we're working on a 1678 01:31:35,800 --> 01:31:40,760 Speaker 3: piece about the medic massacre, which has kind of broken through. 1679 01:31:41,720 --> 01:31:44,920 Speaker 3: It's not out yet, so I'll well, we can talk 1680 01:31:44,920 --> 01:31:47,120 Speaker 3: about that later, but it's like, look for that. People 1681 01:31:47,120 --> 01:31:52,120 Speaker 3: have been following that, probably pretty closely. It's utterly, utterly incredible, 1682 01:31:52,200 --> 01:31:53,120 Speaker 3: utterly unbelievable. 1683 01:31:53,439 --> 01:31:53,679 Speaker 2: Yeah. 1684 01:31:53,720 --> 01:31:56,200 Speaker 1: Well in March twenty third dose too. I mean, if 1685 01:31:56,200 --> 01:32:00,839 Speaker 1: this happened at the early stages of the Onslaught and Gaza, 1686 01:32:01,439 --> 01:32:04,240 Speaker 1: there would have been huge press attention. There would have 1687 01:32:04,240 --> 01:32:07,360 Speaker 1: been an effort, a mass propaganda campaign coming from the 1688 01:32:07,400 --> 01:32:12,040 Speaker 1: Israelis compelling, yeah, slide shows and here's a you know, 1689 01:32:12,080 --> 01:32:17,880 Speaker 1: fabricated document that remember the fake folk call, Yeah, the 1690 01:32:17,920 --> 01:32:20,080 Speaker 1: fake audio that was released. That there would have been 1691 01:32:20,120 --> 01:32:22,120 Speaker 1: a whole effort. Now they don't feel like they don't 1692 01:32:22,120 --> 01:32:23,880 Speaker 1: even have to really do it. Yeah, I mean not 1693 01:32:23,920 --> 01:32:26,679 Speaker 1: to say that they didn't claim they were Hamas or whatever, 1694 01:32:27,120 --> 01:32:30,439 Speaker 1: but uh, there was much less less effort required at 1695 01:32:30,439 --> 01:32:30,840 Speaker 1: this point. 1696 01:32:31,400 --> 01:32:31,639 Speaker 3: Yeah. 1697 01:32:32,920 --> 01:32:37,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, guys, Well, thank you as always, and 1698 01:32:37,120 --> 01:32:40,120 Speaker 1: thanks to all of you watching out there. By the way, guys, 1699 01:32:40,240 --> 01:32:42,920 Speaker 1: you know we're able to do these extra Friday shows 1700 01:32:42,960 --> 01:32:44,800 Speaker 1: with your support. So if you're able to become a 1701 01:32:44,800 --> 01:32:47,519 Speaker 1: premium subscriber, we do really appreciate it helps us to 1702 01:32:47,520 --> 01:32:50,000 Speaker 1: be able to, you know, continue, because we've really been 1703 01:32:50,040 --> 01:32:52,439 Speaker 1: trying to be as on top of the news as 1704 01:32:52,479 --> 01:32:57,559 Speaker 1: possible given just how much things are breaking, like all 1705 01:32:57,600 --> 01:33:00,439 Speaker 1: the time every hour. By now, when I go and Twitter, 1706 01:33:00,439 --> 01:33:02,120 Speaker 1: there'll be like five more stories that we should have 1707 01:33:02,160 --> 01:33:04,080 Speaker 1: covered just right right now, that'll be ready. 1708 01:33:05,160 --> 01:33:08,760 Speaker 2: Your quote unquote, vacation seemed very relaxing, like a great 1709 01:33:08,800 --> 01:33:09,839 Speaker 2: respite from. 1710 01:33:09,760 --> 01:33:12,559 Speaker 1: I wasn't spending hours every day doom scrolling, dough worry. Yeah, 1711 01:33:12,640 --> 01:33:15,320 Speaker 1: I totally wasn't doing that. Doesn't sound like you, well, 1712 01:33:15,320 --> 01:33:18,519 Speaker 1: you know seriously, though, I don't feel like I could 1713 01:33:18,960 --> 01:33:21,760 Speaker 1: with my daughter, Okay, Byron, I don't feel like I 1714 01:33:21,800 --> 01:33:23,479 Speaker 1: could step away from the news for a week, Like 1715 01:33:23,520 --> 01:33:25,479 Speaker 1: I feel like I would be lost when I came back. 1716 01:33:25,479 --> 01:33:27,600 Speaker 1: I feel like I would be completely lost. So I 1717 01:33:27,640 --> 01:33:29,680 Speaker 1: will say I'm glad it was that week and not 1718 01:33:29,880 --> 01:33:31,920 Speaker 1: Liberation Week, because then I just would not have taken 1719 01:33:31,920 --> 01:33:34,519 Speaker 1: a vacation at all, honestly, because it's just too wild. 1720 01:33:34,560 --> 01:33:36,439 Speaker 1: But in any case, yeah, those are the times we 1721 01:33:36,479 --> 01:33:38,280 Speaker 1: live in so we appreciate you guys support if you're 1722 01:33:38,320 --> 01:33:38,640 Speaker 1: able to. 1723 01:33:39,200 --> 01:33:41,679 Speaker 2: And now we have these Friday shows to work through 1724 01:33:41,920 --> 01:33:44,679 Speaker 2: some of the stuff that happens throughout the week. 1725 01:33:44,880 --> 01:33:48,360 Speaker 1: Yep, indeed, indeed all right, thanks Emily, have a great weekend, guys. 1726 01:33:48,400 --> 01:33:49,000 Speaker 1: We'll see you soon