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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning edition on the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning we are here

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Speaker 1: on Bettingpros dot com, always being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: bet MGM and the offer, which is always above me

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Speaker 1: on YouTube ten dollars bet to win one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars on any event. Use that promo cod Juice

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Speaker 1: one fifty at BETMGM or betmgm dot com. You guys

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Speaker 1: can follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. You

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Speaker 1: guys can follow betting pros on Twitter at Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: and fl All right, so at the time of taping,

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Speaker 1: we got a twenty one to three lead for Houston.

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Speaker 1: Right now, I think they cover. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: they cover. And then we've got two games going late,

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Speaker 1: and I mean real late. We got Michigan laying twelve

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Speaker 1: and a half against UNLV at Tmobile Arena, and then

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Speaker 1: about a mile down the road, we've got UNLV catching

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Speaker 1: a lot more than and a half against San Diego State.

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Speaker 1: So we got a couple of UNLV bets going here.

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Speaker 1: Tonight in Vegas, and I thought, why not. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's in my city. It's happening here, so when I

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Speaker 1: have some fun with it. So I have no idea

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Speaker 1: what we did yesterday. Although the Creighton Blue Jays the

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Speaker 1: over that game should have hit against brown Man, missing

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Speaker 1: front ends of one and one. The over flew in

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Speaker 1: the first half. First half. Overs for Creighton basketball are back.

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Speaker 1: We hit on them a lot last year. We're back

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Speaker 1: again here on this so very cool stuff happening. By

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Speaker 1: the way, today I have a lot going on. So

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Speaker 1: I have one, two, three, four, five six bets to

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Speaker 1: give you guys today. We are going with one, two,

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Speaker 1: three four units in play here today on a Saturday. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to be available to do very much

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Speaker 1: here on Saturday. So what we'll do is the discord chat, okay,

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Speaker 1: and then we're going to during the discord bet, I'm

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Speaker 1: going to have somebody pick a number, and I'm going

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Speaker 1: to assign a number to all the players on the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice Team, and whatever number that person picks, that

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Speaker 1: who's picks I'm going to use for the Daily Juice Team. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So one of our guys, we're not gonna do a chat. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the chat has not worked. Okay, the talking out the picks,

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Speaker 1: there's too many cooks in the kitchen. It doesn't work.

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Speaker 1: So what I'm gonna do is, I'm going to allow

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Speaker 1: one person to pick one number during the discord chat

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Speaker 1: coming up here this morning. We will do that, and

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Speaker 1: then that person's number the corresponding number I will tell

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Speaker 1: you at noon the picks, and I'll enter that person's

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Speaker 1: picks in directly whatever they send to me. I'll just

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Speaker 1: have all the guys DM me their picks and then

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Speaker 1: I will pick one of them, or you guys will

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Speaker 1: pick one of them. During the discord. We'll have a

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Speaker 1: you know one is this person too? Is that person

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Speaker 1: and will take their picks and their picks will be

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Speaker 1: used for the daily Juice circa million plays. Okay, So

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Speaker 1: just FYI on. That's just one chat happening tomorrow morning,

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Speaker 1: eight am Pacific time, eleven as Eastern because I have

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Speaker 1: Crawford and Porter the fight at T Mobile Arena, and

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Speaker 1: I am running around crazy today, so I don't know

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Speaker 1: what we did last night in terms of terms of record,

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Speaker 1: and it's gonna be a very busy day here today.

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Speaker 1: But I got a lot to get to on the podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'll want to go right into it. Okay, So I

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Speaker 1: talked about the Crawford and the Porter decision. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to get right to that here. Okay. This is an

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Speaker 1: unbelievable fight. There's no other way around it. Okay, this

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Speaker 1: is an unbelievable fight, and I am so fired up

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Speaker 1: to be going to watch Terence Crawford fight for the

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Speaker 1: first time in forever. I was in Omaha for years

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Speaker 1: when Crawford was coming up and Bud Crawford. Everybody talked

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Speaker 1: about Bud Crawford. This guy's gonna be amazing. And for

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Speaker 1: my money, Bud Crawford is the pound for pound best

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Speaker 1: fighter in the game. But you cannot sleep on Sean Porter.

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Speaker 1: I mean this dude in Vegas. Everyone knows Sean Porter.

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Speaker 1: He's everywhere, he talks to everyone. He has no fear,

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Speaker 1: So there is no debate, no shock to me that

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Speaker 1: Sean Porter is the guy that says yes, I will

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Speaker 1: fight Bud Crawford. Nobody else wants to fight this dude,

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Speaker 1: like nobody else has the guts to say yes, I

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Speaker 1: want to get into the ring and fight this dude.

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Speaker 1: Sean Porter is an absolute beast. Okay, he is a

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Speaker 1: really tough fighter, but most of his fights go to

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Speaker 1: the distance, and I think he's a good enough fighter

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Speaker 1: to keep himself upright for twelve rounds. I don't see

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Speaker 1: this fight ending before the carts, but I also do

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Speaker 1: not think Sean Porter is going to be able to

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Speaker 1: outbox Bud Crawford. I think this is going to be

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Speaker 1: a highly entertaining twelve round fight. I think Bud Crawford

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Speaker 1: comes away with the victory. I'm gonna go Crawford by decision,

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Speaker 1: mostly due to activity and mostly due to his ability

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Speaker 1: to avoid any big damaging punches from Sean Porter. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Bud guts clipped. It's boxing. Anything could happen,

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Speaker 1: But I just think Bud Crawford is a technical mastermind here,

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Speaker 1: and the better boxer the better. Okay, He's not gonna

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Speaker 1: put himself into real harm's way. I think he'll go

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Speaker 1: for a knockout if it's there. I just don't know

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Speaker 1: if it's gonna be there, given the fact that we

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Speaker 1: got to go back a ways for Crawford, sorry for Porter,

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Speaker 1: to get knocked out by anybody, Okay, like twenty seventeen,

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Speaker 1: eighteen or sixteen, like going back like this dude does

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Speaker 1: not get stopped. So he's got a great chin, and

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Speaker 1: I think he'll this thing will go all the way

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Speaker 1: to the cards. It's minus one fifteen at Circus Sports

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Speaker 1: half a unit Bud Crawford by decision. He's minus eight

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Speaker 1: hundred to win this fight. Okay, so there's no value

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Speaker 1: in betting Bud Crawford. It has to be by how

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Speaker 1: does he win knockouts? Plus one point fifty. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take the safer of the of the routes. Given where

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Speaker 1: we are here in Bud Crawford's career, he doesn't need

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Speaker 1: a knockout. He just needs to win the fight. And

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Speaker 1: you know, don't take the damage, don't put yourself at risk,

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Speaker 1: out box him, win the fight, go to the cards,

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Speaker 1: you know, win the rounds, win eight rounds and you're good. Okay.

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Speaker 1: I'll take Bud Crawford minus one fifteen for a half

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Speaker 1: a unit to win the fight on the carts. Now,

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Speaker 1: if I'm wrong and Bud Crawford knocks out and it

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Speaker 1: could happen Sean Porter, I don't think Sean Porter's winning

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Speaker 1: this fight, Okay, I really really don't. I give him

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Speaker 1: credit for being in the ring and taking the fight.

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Speaker 1: But I don't think he's gonna be I mean, Bud

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Speaker 1: Crawfords just as incredible. It's stunned me. And I'll lose

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Speaker 1: two units frankly, if I mean one unit full two

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Speaker 1: bats in one unit if it happens, because the other

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Speaker 1: half of the unit we're gonna take is one at

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Speaker 1: minus eight hundred Crawford to win. So if he knocks

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Speaker 1: out and gets a w okay, we're live here for

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Speaker 1: this two leg parlay that I'm gonna give you right here.

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Speaker 1: Crawford wins by decision or knockout first leg, second leg.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about Cupcake Mesha Tate. I am a gigantic

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Speaker 1: Mecha Tate fan, and one of the cool things about

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Speaker 1: Mesha Tate is that she is coming back with such energy,

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Speaker 1: in such passion for the sport. Took time, had two kids,

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Speaker 1: got married, got her personal life in order, and now

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Speaker 1: she is nothing but a fighter. Like she's a mother too, obviously,

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Speaker 1: but like professionally, there's no distractions right now. She's all

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Speaker 1: in here. And Kaitlyn Vieira, I mean, okay, there's a

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Speaker 1: five year age difference here. They're both ranked in the

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Speaker 1: top ten in the division in the bantamweight division, but

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Speaker 1: Kaitlyn Vieira hasn't had a lot of fun with wrestlers

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Speaker 1: and hasn't had much success. If she's taken to the

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Speaker 1: mat and she's not great with takedown defense, I mean

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Speaker 1: she okay. I just think this is somebody who is

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Speaker 1: going to have a tough time of it because I

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Speaker 1: think Mesa Tate can hit her. I think if you

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Speaker 1: look at strikes Vieira three point eighty four strikes absorbed

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Speaker 1: per minute. That's high for a female fighter, and we

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Speaker 1: saw in mis Chang's last fight. She's got a boxing coach,

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Speaker 1: She's got a right hand now where it's not just

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Speaker 1: about wrestling and submissions. She's really good. Her ground and

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Speaker 1: pound is really good. I just think the odds makers

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Speaker 1: haven't really caught up yet to where muchitate is main event,

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Speaker 1: five round fight. I think Muchtate takes her into deep water.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if she wins by submission, she wins

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Speaker 1: on the cards, or she wins with a knockout and

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Speaker 1: maybe some ground in pound. I think the variables are

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Speaker 1: too much there, but you don't need it because Tate

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Speaker 1: to win is minus one oh five or even money

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Speaker 1: one of the two. All right, I'm gonna take Misha

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Speaker 1: Tate to win her fight in the main event at

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Speaker 1: this fight night here for UFC Fight Night, it's Kaitlyn

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Speaker 1: Vieira Misha Tate main event, five rounds. I'm taking Misha

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Speaker 1: to win here at minus one oh five and I

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Speaker 1: am parlaying that with Terrence Crawford to win at minus

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Speaker 1: eight hundred. That is a plus one twenty one parlay

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit. Tate Crawford two leg moneyline

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Speaker 1: parlay at plus one twenty one for a half a unit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so that is is the first unit in play. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Now let's go to football and let's talk a little

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Speaker 1: bit about the Baylor Bears. Baylor is a football team

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Speaker 1: that we rode recently. A couple weeks ago, we got

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Speaker 1: on Baylor and we liked what Baylor was doing. I

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Speaker 1: am a fan of this Baylor team on the road

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Speaker 1: against Kansas State. Now, last week Baylor had their big letdown, right,

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Speaker 1: they won the big game against Texas and then they

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Speaker 1: stubbed their toe and they did not look good last week,

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Speaker 1: and a lot of people were like, oh, you know,

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Speaker 1: they were overrated they got a one little run here.

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Speaker 1: You know, they stubbed their toe against Texas Christians and

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Speaker 1: they bounced right back and they beat Oklahoma. Okay, they

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Speaker 1: win by thirteen points. Kansas State's won three games in

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Speaker 1: a row. Kansas State has won by seventeen, twenty five,

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Speaker 1: and nineteen points. That's why k State is favored here

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Speaker 1: by one point Baylor plus one. Baylor on the year

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Speaker 1: is seven and three, Kansas State six three and one.

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Speaker 1: K State four and two at home against the number.

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Speaker 1: Baylor just one in three against the number. Not great, However,

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Speaker 1: they need this game. This is a huge game for Baylor.

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Speaker 1: It's I just think Baylor's the better team here. And

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Speaker 1: I know when you start breaking down some of these numbers,

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Speaker 1: Case State at home, you're gonna go all right. Defensively,

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Speaker 1: Kansas State just twenty points a game given up Baylor's,

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Speaker 1: you'll give up twenty one points a game, twenty eight

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Speaker 1: points for Kansas State, thirty two points for Baylor. The

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Speaker 1: key in my opinion for this game, Baylor has got

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Speaker 1: to throw the football, and Baylor's got to move the

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Speaker 1: ball through the air. Running the ball in Case State's

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Speaker 1: very difficult. They'll try to do it five point six

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Speaker 1: yards per rush is top ten in the country. Baylor

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Speaker 1: can really run the football, but they're gonna have to

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Speaker 1: use the run to then set up and get the

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Speaker 1: passing game going eight point three yards per pass play

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Speaker 1: two hundred and seven yards per game, though not huge

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Speaker 1: case State's giving up two hundred and thirty three yards

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Speaker 1: per game. On the other side, Kansas State's gonna run.

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Speaker 1: Baylor's defense is very difficult to run against. Baylor. Cannisdate

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Speaker 1: can throw the football, however, eight point eight yards per

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Speaker 1: pass play eighteenth best. I just think Baylor had got

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Speaker 1: out of their system. I think Baylor's got a chance

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Speaker 1: to do something special here. I like Baylor at plus

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Speaker 1: one on the road here to get another big win.

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Speaker 1: They're eight and two on the year. Get to nine

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Speaker 1: and two on the year here, two and two straight

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Speaker 1: up on the road. Let's get another win here for

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Speaker 1: Baylor for one unit. Baylor plus one on the road

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Speaker 1: for one unit. Second college football play, and I only

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Speaker 1: have two. I only have two going on. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: about Nebraska and Wisconsin. Money move on. Nebraska here went

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Speaker 1: from ten to nine and a half once it dropped

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Speaker 1: below ten. I jumped on this Wisconsin six and four.

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Speaker 1: They have covered four straight games, five out of six

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Speaker 1: games for Wisconsin. They have been an absolute wagon and

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Speaker 1: we haven't been on them, and that's a bummer. It's

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Speaker 1: a bad move by me. They covered by thirteen and

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Speaker 1: a half against Purdue, seventeen points against Iowa, thirty six

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Speaker 1: points against Rutgers, and two and a half points against

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Speaker 1: Northwestern last week nine and a half points. Not a lot.

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Speaker 1: Nebraska has lost four games in a row. We already

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Speaker 1: catched that bet for them to win less than six

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Speaker 1: and a half games. They're already there. They're not playing

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Speaker 1: for much. They're going to Camp Randall. And this is

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Speaker 1: when Bucky goes to work. Okay, I know Nebraska's defense

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Speaker 1: is good. It's tough to run these guys, but my goodness,

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Speaker 1: they were catching two and a half up against Michigan

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Speaker 1: they lost by three, laying four and a half to Minnesota,

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Speaker 1: they lost by seven, laying seven and a half to

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Speaker 1: Perdue they lost, They lost by five. These were his favorites.

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Speaker 1: And then they're catching fourteen points against Ohio State and

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Speaker 1: they played hard last week and you might go, well,

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Speaker 1: you know, Matt, they're starting to play better. You know

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Speaker 1: this is a team that might have opportunity to you know,

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Speaker 1: they know Scott Frost is coming back now. I just

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Speaker 1: think Wisconsin is gonna absolutely steam roll Nebraska here. I

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Speaker 1: know there's injuries to the running in the backfield to

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin that have some people a little bit concerned about

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Speaker 1: their offense. And I don't like Graham Burts all that

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Speaker 1: much either, but I think this Wisconsin team is playing

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Speaker 1: extremely well right now, and I don't like this Nebraska

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Speaker 1: offense going up against this number one ranked rush defense

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Speaker 1: for Wisconsin two point one yards per rush. That's it.

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Speaker 1: We know what happens when Nebraska is one dimensional and

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Speaker 1: it's all about throwing the football. They make mistakes. I

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Speaker 1: know they've had big plays in the passing attack, but

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Speaker 1: it's always set up by their running game. If they

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Speaker 1: can't run and their one dimensional, Wisconsin pins their ears

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Speaker 1: back and they get after it. I don't think this

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Speaker 1: game is close. I'm gonna lay the one unit Wisconsin

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Speaker 1: minus nine and a half. At home they blow out

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Speaker 1: in Nebraska, they keep the train rolling for the buck,

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Speaker 1: for the buck for Bucky as they head towards the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten championship game. Wisconsin minus nine and a half

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Speaker 1: for one unit. All right, two college basketball plays, and

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Speaker 1: we're going to the valley for both of them. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the Drake Bulldogs. Drake on the year,

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Speaker 1: they have one game that qualifies here. They took on

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Speaker 1: South Dakota laying sixteen and a half and they won

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Speaker 1: by forty nine second half. They just eviscerated South Dakota.

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Speaker 1: Richmond has played North Carolina Central. They won by ten

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Speaker 1: as twenty six point favorites. They played Utah State six

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites, lost by eleven. On a

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Speaker 1: neutral floor in Georgia State, they were seven and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites. They won by sixteen. This game's in

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Speaker 1: Des Moines at the NAP Center, taking on for d

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Speaker 1: Rock's team, for Darren Devrees and for Drake. They're laying

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Speaker 1: four and a half points. Man, do I like Drake

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Speaker 1: here a lot? To go in there and to get

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Speaker 1: a big, big victory. It's early in the year, but

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Speaker 1: Drake is a team that we rode last year. We're

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Speaker 1: going to ride them again here. I don't think Richmond's

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Speaker 1: very good defensively. I don't think they're a very good

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Speaker 1: basketball team, to be quite Honski seventy over seventy four

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Speaker 1: points per game. Drake's averaging nearly one hundred points a

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Speaker 1: game because of what they've done in their first two games.

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Speaker 1: But they're a veteran team, they know the system, they

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Speaker 1: know what they want to do, and I just think

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Speaker 1: this Richmond team is in for it. It's a short number.

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Speaker 1: I'm laying the four and a half half a unit

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Speaker 1: Drake minus four and a half at home against Richmond

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Speaker 1: and for the other half a unit staying in the Valley.

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Speaker 1: It's the Battle of Chicago, Illinois Chicago at Layola Chicago.

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Speaker 1: The number is nineteen. Now on the year, you I

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Speaker 1: see pretty good two and zero against the spread against

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Speaker 1: Dayton fourteen point Dogs lost by ten on the road,

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Speaker 1: on the road at Valpo three point Dogs one by four,

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Speaker 1: one outrights. However, Layola Chicago, we know, we've talked about

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Speaker 1: the Ramblers. We were already on them one time. We

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Speaker 1: were on them earlier in the year. We're going to

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Speaker 1: be on them a lot this year. Okay. I like

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Speaker 1: Layola Chicago a lot. We've got them to win the

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Speaker 1: Missouri Valley Conference. This is a game for the Battle

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Speaker 1: of the City. The lines nineteen. They beat Coppin State

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Speaker 1: by fifty eight points, covering by twenty seven points. They

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Speaker 1: did not cover against Florida Gulf Coast eighteen point favorites.

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Speaker 1: They won by twelve, but they beat Chicago State by

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Speaker 1: thirty six points, laying thirty three. I expect a very

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Speaker 1: similar final score here. I think you have a huge

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Speaker 1: you know, I don't think Loyola let's up. I think

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Speaker 1: they put up a big number. They win this game

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Speaker 1: by thirty. I'll take Loyola Chicago at home minus nineteen

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit up against Illinois Chicago here

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Speaker 1: coming up as a four o'clock East time start, three

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Speaker 1: o'clock start in Chicago. All right, so a big card.

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Speaker 1: I'm all over the place today. I'm going to the

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Speaker 1: Crawford Porter fight. Cannot wait to watch that fight here

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Speaker 1: in Vegas is going to be absolutely outstanding. To recap

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Speaker 1: the entire card again with four units in play. So

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Speaker 1: I'm a bit more committed than I had been before. Oh,

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Speaker 1: by the way, Dan Harris wanted me to mention the

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Speaker 1: my college football record is now fifty and thirty five.

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Speaker 1: We are up ten units in college football this year.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty good. It's funny when I don't pay attention

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Speaker 1: to this stuff. I was talking to Dan about this

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Speaker 1: tonight or last night. I'm better when I don't pay

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Speaker 1: attention to the record and I just keep my head

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Speaker 1: down and I just go. And then i look up

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Speaker 1: at the end of the year and I'm like, how'd

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Speaker 1: we do? So, you know, there we go, and that

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Speaker 1: does include the future wagers. So we did very well

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Speaker 1: in the future wagers. And again I would say the

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Speaker 1: best in the history of The Daily Juice. I would

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Speaker 1: say the one category where I have done the best

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Speaker 1: across the board in the five hundred and two episodes

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Speaker 1: of The Daily Juice would be futures. And the one

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Speaker 1: thing we didn't do, maybe we do that going you

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Speaker 1: know in the future for year three. Maybe we do

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Speaker 1: that that we we end up having the futures be

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Speaker 1: broken out separately to kind of track what the futures

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Speaker 1: look like to see how I'm doing. Because we know

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Speaker 1: what's happening in the NBA. We know, we like what's

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Speaker 1: going on with the Warriors, right, we like the NFL.

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Speaker 1: We like what's going on in the NFL. We've done

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Speaker 1: really well in college football futures. Top two hit with

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Speaker 1: ole Miss and UNLV so that's great, and so you know,

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Speaker 1: I like it. I like it a lot. So future

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Speaker 1: we've done pretty well. So again the full card Crawford

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Speaker 1: by Decision half a unit minus one fifteen two leg parlay,

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Speaker 1: Crawford money Line, Michitate moneyline plus one twenty one half

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Speaker 1: a unit, Baylor plus one one unit, Wisconsin minus nine

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Speaker 1: and a half one unit, Laela Chicago minus nineteen half

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Speaker 1: a unit, Drake minus four and a half half a unit.

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Speaker 1: Those are the places for a Saturday. I'll talk to

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Speaker 1: you of the Discord bet you guys, got to get

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Speaker 1: a bet right for me? Come on now, tired of losing,

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Speaker 1: gotta get a winner. Let's get something going here, guys.

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Speaker 1: I'm leaving the board wide open for you guys. Michigan, State, Ohio, State, Alabama, Arkansas.

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Speaker 1: Find a w guys. Come on eight o'clock in the

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Speaker 1: morning Pacific, eleven am Eastern on the Discord Channel. The

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Speaker 1: links underneath me here on YouTube or bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 1: slash chat to get in Minus Matt Paroltz, follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every morning it's the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice Podcast, always be brought you by bet MGM