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Speaker 1: I swear to you ninety eight percent of this sport

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Speaker 1: happens behind the curtain. I used to always have the

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Speaker 1: old heads tell me that, and I said, really because

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Speaker 1: the game happens on national TV on Saturdays. But friends,

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Speaker 1: they were right, it's happening. It's behind the curtain, to

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Speaker 1: your left, to your right, up and down right now,

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Speaker 1: and trying to peel it back as much as I can. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: the exchange for information in this industry is now, keep

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Speaker 1: it off the record. Keep it off the record, so

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Speaker 1: in due time it'll all come out. We're jam packed Hiatapa,

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Speaker 1: somewhat Chile, Downtown Nashville, Tennessee, will be in Corvallis, Oregon Saturday,

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Speaker 1: probably water logged and much colder. So I am not

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Speaker 1: complaining right now. It's Tuesday, November fourteenth, Thear of Our Lord,

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. We got seats warming up, we got

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Speaker 1: seats that are scalding hot. Some guys have already been fired.

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Speaker 1: I take no pleasure in this time of year, but

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Speaker 1: it is what it is, So we're going to talk

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Speaker 1: about it. I'm gonna tell you the latest that I'm hearing.

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Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna come at it from some different angles

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Speaker 1: than you're reading at the normal watering holes. That's a

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Speaker 1: good thing, though, that's not a bad thing. I got

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Speaker 1: full week twelve predictions tonight. We got a brand new

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Speaker 1: JP pole also new sticker courtesy of peatestatematerial dot Com

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Speaker 1: right here on the old laptop. And you know what

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do tonight. I'm in such a good mood.

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Speaker 1: I'm even gonna answer a question about the Heisman, which

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Speaker 1: I checked the catalogs. I don't know that we've ever

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Speaker 1: done that, Jesse in November or ever. So yeah, we

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Speaker 1: got a lot to do tonight. We got a jampackshow.

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Speaker 1: We're being watched in Marietta, Ohio. I've heard of Marietta, Georgia,

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Speaker 1: but I assume there are a number of Marietta's. Baton

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Speaker 1: Rouge Louisiana is tuned in Leesburg, Georgia, hometown of Luke Bryan.

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Speaker 1: Little trivia for you there. They're tuned in Milwaukee, Wisconsin,

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Speaker 1: hometown of a number of noteworthy people. They're all tuned in.

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Speaker 1: We just had insane viewership the other night, and I

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Speaker 1: appreciate you guys for that. I know, inevitably we've got

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Speaker 1: tens of thousand of new people that come to the

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Speaker 1: show via podcast form or YouTube form every week, and

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Speaker 1: I know sometimes it's hard to keep up. We got

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Speaker 1: a lot of inside terminology on the show. For instance,

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Speaker 1: what is peate state? I had a guy walk through

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Speaker 1: the office today. Management brought one of his buddies in

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Speaker 1: and the buddy of management said, I was trying to

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Speaker 1: find where pay state is. Pay state is in your heart,

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Speaker 1: my friend, But I know not all of you just

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Speaker 1: readily understand that we have our own fictitious university on

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Speaker 1: the show. So anyway, what I would advise you to

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Speaker 1: do is subscribe to the channel cause it's free and

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Speaker 1: that's how you keep it free. And also follow on

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Speaker 1: the social channels at Late Kick, Josh, Twitter formerly Twitter

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Speaker 1: now x and Instagram. There's a lot that's added. There's

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Speaker 1: a lot of supplementation to what you get on the

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Speaker 1: show that you only find on those social channels. And

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Speaker 1: it's really fun, especially on the Instagram story. It's really fun,

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Speaker 1: really behind the scenes, and we're on the sideline for

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Speaker 1: a different big game every Saturday and give you a

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Speaker 1: different angle. So yeah, all that's happening, but there are

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Speaker 1: other things happening right now. That need our attention. Let's

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Speaker 1: just get started. Jesse called this what'd you call it?

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Speaker 1: Jesse a Hodgepod show. Yeah, we're going so many different

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Speaker 1: ways tonight, but that's that's the nature of college football.

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Speaker 1: Late November, Texas, A and M's got a job opening.

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Speaker 1: Apply accordingly, kids. Now, as you know, when Jimbo Fisher

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Speaker 1: got fired, you were going to get a number of

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Speaker 1: big names that were thrown out there, and of course

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Speaker 1: you got him. You got everything from the you know,

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Speaker 1: Kirby smart sarcastic suggestions to some fairly serious Dan Lanning suggestions,

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Speaker 1: and someone said, well, Debo doesn't seem happy at Clemson

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Speaker 1: right now, why don't we throw his name out? So anyway,

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Speaker 1: there were a number of names thrown out. I didn't

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Speaker 1: throw any names out the other night, and I'll tell

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Speaker 1: you why in just a second. But since those names

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Speaker 1: were thrown out, we've had reactions from two of the

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Speaker 1: aforementioned candidates, Dabo Sweeney and I quote, I'm just focused

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Speaker 1: on this job, always have been. I am just trying

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Speaker 1: to beat North Carolina. It must be November, That's all

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Speaker 1: I can say. Well, I did some thinking on it,

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Speaker 1: and it turns out that is not all you can say.

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Speaker 1: You could, in fact, legally go a few steps further.

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Speaker 1: Case in point, here's Dan Landing yesterday at orgon.

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Speaker 2: My name and our program would never be in a

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Speaker 2: topic of conversation for another school if we didn't have

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Speaker 2: something here that everybody else wanted. And the reason we

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Speaker 2: have something here that everybody else wants, that's because of

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Speaker 2: what our players, our coaches, the support that exists here

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Speaker 2: at Oregon have created. I think I've been really really

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Speaker 2: clear here since day one. Everything I want exists right here.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going anywhere. There's zero chance that I would

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Speaker 2: be coaching somewhere else. I've got unfinished business here. There's

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Speaker 2: a lot that I want to accomplish.

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Speaker 1: Here at Oregon.

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Speaker 2: My number one priority is being elite here at Oregon,

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Speaker 2: and we have the resources, the tools. Anybody that can't

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Speaker 2: understand why you would want to be here at this

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Speaker 2: place doesn't understand exactly what exists here.

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Speaker 1: Did you notice the other night when the news broke

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Speaker 1: You notice I didn't mention Landing when a lot of

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Speaker 1: other folks did. It's because he's not going to Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M. He's not leaving Oregon, and that little

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Speaker 1: quote at the end. By the way, don't overlook that.

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Speaker 1: Anyone who suggests otherwise, he said, doesn't understand what they

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Speaker 1: have there. Now, this is not an Oregon segment, but

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Speaker 1: I am telling you confidently the Oregon job is a

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Speaker 1: premier job. Our buddy, Barrett Selee said earlier today. Why

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Speaker 1: would you entertain this if your Dan Lanning organ's a

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Speaker 1: better job than A and M. Now I don't quite

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Speaker 1: go that far. I will tell you Oregon is plenty

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Speaker 1: far enough down the road. There are plenty high enough

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Speaker 1: up the ladder where there aren't too many rungs above

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Speaker 1: the Oregon job. And certainly, if you got it set

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Speaker 1: like Landing does an organ, you don't leave there. You

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Speaker 1: don't leave there unless there are personal, ambitious type of

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Speaker 1: reasons that are uniquely related to a job. So even

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Speaker 1: though I may rank the A and M job above Orgon,

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Speaker 1: it ain't by much and it's certainly not worth leaving

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Speaker 1: one for the other. So that was that, And then

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Speaker 1: we started asking the logical follow up. Well, if not them,

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Speaker 1: then hoops. Here's the question you have to ask yourself

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Speaker 1: anytime there's a coaching search. Don't start with a list

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Speaker 1: of candidates. Start with the athletic director in this case

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Speaker 1: for ros Buorg, and you ask the following question, how

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Speaker 1: big is the pile of chips in front of him

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Speaker 1: on the table. Some ads have unlimited equity. Some of

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Speaker 1: them know my next hire has my job tied to

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Speaker 1: it as well. And so after you've answered that, not

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Speaker 1: just about Ross Bjorg but about every athletic director that's

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Speaker 1: about to make a higher then you realize how big

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Speaker 1: a risk they can take. Now. To a certain extent,

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Speaker 1: Ross Bjorke doesn't have to live in this world. The

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Speaker 1: athletic director at Texas A and M largely gets to

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Speaker 1: fish in whatever pool he wants to for a candidate.

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Speaker 1: And there are exceptions. You know, Nick Saban's not leaving Alabama,

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Speaker 1: Kirby Smart's not leaving Georgia. But by and large there

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Speaker 1: are people in play. There are names in play that

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Speaker 1: wouldn't be in play for Mississippi State, for example, and

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Speaker 1: Zach Selm and the ad there. That's just reality. So

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M being the keystone program it is

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Speaker 1: when the job comes open. The reason it's so impactful,

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Speaker 1: the reason why I made such a big deal about

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Speaker 1: this the other night, is not just o Jimbo got fired.

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Speaker 1: Look at this big buy out. The reason is because

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Speaker 1: everyone else has to hold, everyone else has to wait

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Speaker 1: for them to make their decision. It's very aggravating. Imagine that.

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Speaker 1: Imagine being the athletic director at another university and you

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Speaker 1: got a keystone program, you got a program upstream, in

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Speaker 1: other words, that's about to make a move, and then

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Speaker 1: they do make a move. You can't make a move.

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Speaker 1: You could hire a guy that they take away seventy

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Speaker 1: two hours after your introductory press conference. Or you hire

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Speaker 1: a new head coach and he starts to assemble a

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Speaker 1: staff and then all of a sudden, an m hires

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Speaker 1: a guy and he decides, now I want three of

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Speaker 1: your staffers. Well, you go back to square one. So

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Speaker 1: that's not fun for anyone. Flight tracking season is something

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Speaker 1: I need to address with you guys. I saw some

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Speaker 1: of you fell victim today. That's okay. You need a refresher.

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Speaker 1: We all get rusty, we all get a little amnesia

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Speaker 1: from time to time, and you forget how this time

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Speaker 1: of year works. Flight tracking season does not exist anymore.

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Speaker 1: It's a bygone era. It was fun while it lasted.

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Speaker 1: But flight tracking when it comes to deciding who's going

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Speaker 1: to be hired as college football coers. That's like acceptable

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Speaker 1: fall weddings. They don't exist anymore. They're done. They do

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Speaker 1: not exist. Once upon a time, you could pull up

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Speaker 1: flight aware dot com and you could see a flight

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Speaker 1: go from college station, Texas to Eugene, Oregon, and you

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Speaker 1: could reasonably deduce someone from A and M is going

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Speaker 1: to talk to someone at Oregon because the chances of

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Speaker 1: a direct flight from one of those places to the

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Speaker 1: other otherwise or just too remote for me to buy

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Speaker 1: these days, No, it's not the way it happens, never

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Speaker 1: will be again again. It was fun. It was fun

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Speaker 1: while it lasted. But they caught on to us having

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Speaker 1: said that, I was pressed today by my employer for

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Speaker 1: a list of candidates that I thought were going to

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Speaker 1: be on the table for Texas A and M. I

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Speaker 1: am not ready to give you that yet. I am

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Speaker 1: ready to give you this little trinket, this little nugget

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Speaker 1: or tidbit of information. They're sorry, Colin. I wanted to

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Speaker 1: say this so I could get a full clip out

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Speaker 1: of it. There are candidates in play for the Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M job that you don't realize, or even

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Speaker 1: candidates because when a job of this magnitude comes open,

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Speaker 1: there are people you think are entrenched at one job

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Speaker 1: who all of a sudden start looking sideways. And if

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Speaker 1: you need to know what I'm talking about, look no

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Speaker 1: further than Lincoln Riley to USC. Do you remember when

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Speaker 1: that news broke? Do you remember how big the mushroom

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Speaker 1: cloud was collectively over our sport? I do. It was

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Speaker 1: some of our highest traffic content we ever put out

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Speaker 1: because no one expected it. If he went anywhere, people

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Speaker 1: thought it may be maybe LSU maybe, And that's just

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Speaker 1: if he wants to get in the sec. Unbeknownst to us,

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma was going to take care of that a couple

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Speaker 1: of years later. Point being, no one tied Lincoln Riley

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Speaker 1: to USC until the announcement happened. I'm not telling you

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Speaker 1: that's the direction they're gonna go. It may very well

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Speaker 1: be a guy who's on your hot board already. I

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Speaker 1: am telling you definitively because I know it to be

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Speaker 1: the case. There are names in play for the A

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Speaker 1: and M job that you know, you just don't know

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Speaker 1: they're a candidate for Texas A and M. I've got

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Speaker 1: to leave that there for now, but I do want

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Speaker 1: to pick up briefly something that I touched on to

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Speaker 1: varying degrees of savagery the other night. I got to

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Speaker 1: do it again because it continues to wear on. The

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Speaker 1: debate that I never thought would be continues to be

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Speaker 1: a debate, not really a debate. There is a definitive

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Speaker 1: right and wrong side of this. But I got a

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Speaker 1: lot of folks still trying to push back on me

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Speaker 1: when it comes to the caliber of this job. And

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to spend like ten minutes on this

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Speaker 1: or even three minutes on this. I'm just going to reiterate, guys,

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Speaker 1: I have the eye Josh here. And when I tweeted

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Speaker 1: and or talked about how elite the A and M

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Speaker 1: job was the other day, I had a bunch of

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Speaker 1: casuals tell me, no, it's not an elite job. And

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Speaker 1: my evidence is they haven't won titles. My evidence is

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Speaker 1: they haven't done so and so in X number of decades.

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Speaker 1: And I said, no, there is a disassociation between quality

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Speaker 1: of program and quality of job. The quality of program

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Speaker 1: hasn't been good because they haven't hired the right guy

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Speaker 1: for the job. It doesn't mean the job isn't elite.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't mean all the boxes aren't checked. That's what

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Speaker 1: makes a job elite. When I get offered your job,

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Speaker 1: I don't look at your trophy case. I could not

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Speaker 1: care less about it. In fact, in some ways, I'm

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Speaker 1: glad there are cobwebs in there. I just become a

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Speaker 1: legend if I'm the real deal at your place that

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Speaker 1: much quicker. Like whoever follows Saban at Alabama's gonna have

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Speaker 1: a tough time. Whoever follows Smart forty years down the

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Speaker 1: road at George is gonna have a tough time. Whoever

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Speaker 1: comes into Texas A and M and wins a title

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Speaker 1: will have a statue erected of them before the confetti

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Speaker 1: settles on the ground. And so I mentioned the eye

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Speaker 1: jobs because as soon as I started getting a hate

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Speaker 1: from casuals, I've got a couple of agents and a

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Speaker 1: ton of coaches saying, no, you're dead on the money man,

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Speaker 1: that job is elite. We don't care if they've won

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Speaker 1: or not in the past. If you do your due

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Speaker 1: diligence and you define what you think are the critical

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Speaker 1: factors to make a job elite, and they go five

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Speaker 1: for five, or seven for seven or ten for ten,

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Speaker 1: then It's an elite job, period, doesn't matter what they

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Speaker 1: have or haven't done in the past. If you don't

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Speaker 1: believe me, if you really think for a job to

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Speaker 1: be elite, they have to have accomplished things in the past,

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Speaker 1: explain Clemson pre Dabos twenty for me, I told you

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Speaker 1: the other day. I grew up in Georgia and I

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Speaker 1: listened for years about them, talk about even in Mark

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Speaker 1: Rick's best years, how quote Georgia. It's well off resource wise,

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Speaker 1: but they'll never win a title. They just don't have

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Speaker 1: that it factor. They're that intangible factor. There is no

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Speaker 1: intangible I know you guys like to think that there's

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Speaker 1: something magical, like there's faery dust sprinkled over certain programs.

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Speaker 1: It's money, that's what it is. It's money. That's the

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Speaker 1: that's the magic faery dust. And with that money you

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Speaker 1: go get the right coach and all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: Florida becomes what it was under Steve Spurrier, and then

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Speaker 1: it's not for a little while, and then it becomes

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Speaker 1: what it was under Urban Meyer, and then that guy

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Speaker 1: leaves and it's not so what does it become an

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Speaker 1: elite job? Not an elite job? Elite again, not elite.

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Speaker 1: It's just getting the right candidate and being capable of

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Speaker 1: pulling the right candidate. And there are less than a

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Speaker 1: dozen programs in America that fit that description. Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M's one of them. Their trophy case does not

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Speaker 1: match the big boys like Ohio State or Alabama. It

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Speaker 1: doesn't mean they're any less elite a job. It doesn't

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Speaker 1: mean you can't accomplish there what Nick Saban has at Alabama.

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Speaker 1: I'll scratch that. No one's gonna do what Sabin's done.

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Speaker 1: But outside of like the cyborg that's the head coach

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Speaker 1: at Alabama, any other high level achiever. Urban included, Ryan

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Speaker 1: Day included, Dabbo included, you can do all that. Kirby included,

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Speaker 1: you can do all that. They would do all of

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Speaker 1: that at Texas A and M. So I don't know it.

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Speaker 1: Like me Maw was a gardener. So if me Ma

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Speaker 1: had the richest patch of top soil known to mankind

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Speaker 1: and she happened upon it and there was nothing growing there,

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Speaker 1: would mem look at it and say, well, nothing's ever

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Speaker 1: grown in this soil, so I might as well not

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Speaker 1: even try it. No, she'd look at it and say,

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Speaker 1: someone didn't know what they were doing with this soil.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna dominate. I'm going to grow the fattest tomatoes

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Speaker 1: and pumpkins you've ever seen, because me Mal was a

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Speaker 1: real one, and if an An M hires a real one,

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Speaker 1: A and M will get really fat pumpkins, or as

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Speaker 1: you would call them, trophies. Let's move on, but first,

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Speaker 1: let me tell you I've been updating various weather based

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Speaker 1: apps every hour on the hour to find out what

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Speaker 1: our weather will be in Corvallis, Oregon this Saturdays, the

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Speaker 1: once upon a Saturday to our heads way up to

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Speaker 1: the Pacific Northwest, one last time, pour one out for

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Speaker 1: Washington versus Oregon State. We're looking forward to it. It

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Speaker 1: is going to probably be a saturated Saturday. I've been

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Speaker 1: looking for the volcanic Saturday, but maybe a saturated Saturday.

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Speaker 1: Peytstatematerial dot Com is where you can go. We've got

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Speaker 1: the T shirt is commemorative in nature. It is one

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Speaker 1: week only. I don't know when we'll ever be at

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Speaker 1: Research Stadium again. We've never been there before, and so

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Speaker 1: you know, it's kind of end of an era time

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00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:01,640
Speaker 1: up there anyway, or reasons that are out of your control,

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00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:04,800
Speaker 1: but it's well within your control to go to peytstatematerial

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Speaker 1: dot com and purchase this lovely shirt. Great fabric too.

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Speaker 1: I got one sitting on my kitchen counter as we speak,

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Speaker 1: and it's it's wonderful. Sometimes I wake up in the morning, Colin,

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Speaker 1: and I take it and I just rub my cheek

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Speaker 1: against it. It reminds me of simpler times. So peytsnapmaterial

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Speaker 1: dot coms where you can find that. If you're listening

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Speaker 1: on podcasts, just imagine a really awesome shirt and one

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Speaker 1: you'd probably want to buy and act accordingly. All Right,

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Speaker 1: I am going to in true Hodgepodge fashion, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: break down a game. Then we're gonna talk about something else.

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Speaker 1: Then I'll break down another game, then we're gonna talk

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Speaker 1: about something else. Probably take a sip from the chalice

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Speaker 1: in between. Uh, the one I'm gonna talk about here,

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Speaker 1: I'm a little confounded by, but let's start with it.

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Speaker 1: Georgia plays Tennessee sort of out of the national spotlight

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Speaker 1: now Saturday. It's the three thirty Eastern game on CBS.

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Speaker 1: The emphatic results last week have taken a little bit

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Speaker 1: of the luster this thing. Remember just seven days ago,

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Speaker 1: I was sitting here and I was saying, hey, if

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Speaker 1: Ole miss beats Georgia, you know Tennessee beats Missouri, we

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Speaker 1: got the sec east on the line. Well, neither of

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Speaker 1: those things happen, in fact, emphatically, they went the other way. Now,

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Speaker 1: the line on this game at FanDuel right now is

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Speaker 1: Georgia minus ten and a half. And that's all about

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Speaker 1: regression to the mean. Because if you were new to

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Speaker 1: football and you watched what happened last week, you would

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Speaker 1: think this is free money, like this is the most

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Speaker 1: slam dunk, surefire bet, George is gonna win by half

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Speaker 1: a hundred, let's lock it in. And we don't really

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Speaker 1: use that kind of language on this show. We don't

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Speaker 1: believe in the word lock. But regression to the mean

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Speaker 1: is a real thing. That's just where if you perform

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Speaker 1: really really high level one week, you're likely to come

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Speaker 1: back closer to what the average expectation of your performance

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Speaker 1: would be, and vice versa. If you're really poor one week,

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Speaker 1: like Tennessee was, you probably slingshot back up a little bit.

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Speaker 1: And if you have both of those things happening at

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Speaker 1: the same time, that's how you get a point spread

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Speaker 1: like this that's not always applicable in November. Sometimes teams

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Speaker 1: are just surging in November, and sometimes teams are just

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Speaker 1: falling off and mailing it in in November. That's where

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Speaker 1: I'm interested. I know Georgia is surging that much, I'm

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Speaker 1: sure of. I wonder if Tennessee started to fall off,

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Speaker 1: Missouri bully Tennessee to what Georgia gonna do. I guess

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Speaker 1: if you need something in terms of bulletin board material,

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Speaker 1: that's all you really need to listen to. You guys, know,

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Speaker 1: it's true, like you get pushed around by Missouri and

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Speaker 1: a much bigger bully on that block comes into your

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Speaker 1: building this week where you've been really good, So what's

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Speaker 1: gonna happen here? Tennessee's got to keep the game close

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Speaker 1: to be successful running the ball. They've got to keep

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Speaker 1: it close for obvious reasons so that they can run

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Speaker 1: the ball. Tennessee averages two thirteen on the ground per game.

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Speaker 1: That's good for ninth in the country. Georgia's run defense,

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Speaker 1: it's really good. It's not quite on par with what

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Speaker 1: they've been the last couple of years, but it's really good.

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Speaker 1: Like by Georgia's standards. It may be off, but by

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Speaker 1: national standards still plenty good enough. Georgie's pass defense, though

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Speaker 1: they've held opponents under two hundred yards through the air

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Speaker 1: the past five games, two fifty six, I think, is

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Speaker 1: they're high. I think that's the most they've given up

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Speaker 1: this year. So it's tough sledding. I mean, it's a

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Speaker 1: Kirby smart defense. It always will be. All Carson Beck

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Speaker 1: needs to do for Georgia, and this is good advice

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Speaker 1: for the rest of the year is just more of

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Speaker 1: the same. What he's doing right now can win them

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Speaker 1: a national championship. He'll have opportunities. Tennessee against the pass

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Speaker 1: seventieth nationally. Tennessee pressures the quarterback well, so we keep

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Speaker 1: looking for this game where Carson Beck just kind of

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Speaker 1: goes off the rails and throws three interceptions. And I

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Speaker 1: think he's throwing five all year. So it's unlikely it

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Speaker 1: has to come against a pressure defense, or at least

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Speaker 1: you would think it would. The combination of him pressing

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Speaker 1: a little bit too much and a little bit more

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Speaker 1: pressure than he expects. But the thing about it is

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Speaker 1: George's protected so well and they're so good on third downs.

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Speaker 1: It just hasn't happened. I'm going to throw you third

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Speaker 1: downstats every Georgia game until this changes. They've got the

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Speaker 1: best third down offense in the Country's defense is fifty third.

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Speaker 1: Georgia's got the seventh best third down defense in the country.

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Speaker 1: Tennessee's twenty seventh. So every game Georgia finds themselves in,

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Speaker 1: there's this disproportionate advantage for them on third down that

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Speaker 1: I suppose on any given Saturday could invert itself like

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00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:21,399
Speaker 1: turnovers do. But third down success is not nearly as

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Speaker 1: randomized as the turnover stat Tennessee. Basically, if they want

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Speaker 1: to pull the upset here, they need Kneeland, they need

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Speaker 1: home magic. Their last what was it, Jesse, Their last

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00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:33,399
Speaker 1: five losses have been on the road right over the

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Speaker 1: past two years, and they've won fourteen straight at home.

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Speaker 1: We were there, We were on the field for the

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Speaker 1: Bama game last year, and then they they you know,

395
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Speaker 1: they tear down the goalposts. They towed them out to

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Speaker 1: the river. You remember the cigar smoke being so thick,

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Speaker 1: people suffered from smoke inhalation even in an outdoor venue.

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Speaker 1: As a magical time, Georgie's last hostile road game we

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Speaker 1: were in attendance for it was the Auburn game, and

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Speaker 1: it wasn't the best Saturday for Georgia. That's so long ago.

401
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Speaker 1: I guess if you want to package up and bottle

402
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Speaker 1: up some hope, you could do it if you're a

403
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Speaker 1: Tennessee fan and you could sell yourself on, Well, they

404
00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,680
Speaker 1: went to Auburn and barely won, and since then, what's

405
00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:13,960
Speaker 1: the true road game? Vanderbilt? And even then they didn't

406
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 1: perform exceptionally. It was thirty seven to twenty. I guess

407
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Speaker 1: it sounds okay. You know, in retrospect, if you were

408
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Speaker 1: to pull the upset, I'd go back and I'd pull

409
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Speaker 1: this sound, and I would say we should have taken

410
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Speaker 1: it a lot more seriously. As it stands, I'm skeptical.

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Speaker 1: I respect Neeland Stadium, I am skeptical that enough matchup

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Speaker 1: advantages exists. So let's take a look at what the

413
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Speaker 1: model thinks the odds on this game, presented by fan

414
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Speaker 1: Duel Georgia minus ten and a half. Model agrees Georgia

415
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Speaker 1: minus eleven. I just think the teams are headed in

416
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Speaker 1: opposite directions, and I think Tennessee may have had ten

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Speaker 1: weeks worth of gas in the tank of a twelve

418
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Speaker 1: game season. So I'm taking Georgia to win, and I'm

419
00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:56,800
Speaker 1: gonna take Georgia to cover. I'm not betting money on it.

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Speaker 1: I have far better value on the board this week.

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Speaker 1: But the remaining undefeated FBS teams, we got seven of them.

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00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:06,240
Speaker 1: James Madison and Liberty are in there, so Power five

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Speaker 1: we got five of them, and Georgia is one of them.

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Speaker 1: And yet, as I say that, what kind of wiggle

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Speaker 1: room are we looking at? They know they got a

426
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:19,399
Speaker 1: date against Alabama in a couple of weeks in Atlanta. Actually,

427
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,560
Speaker 1: I guess they could lose this game. If they beat Bama,

428
00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,480
Speaker 1: maybe they're still in. That becomes a conversation. We'll see

429
00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:26,920
Speaker 1: what the playoff committee says tonight. Can't wait to see

430
00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:29,639
Speaker 1: what the Oracles deliver us in a little while. But

431
00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:32,640
Speaker 1: I'm taking Georgia to win in Georgia to cover either way. Though,

432
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:37,360
Speaker 1: if you're going to any of these games anywhere, Knoxville

433
00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:40,960
Speaker 1: or otherwise, I highly encourage you guys to go to

434
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:44,240
Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors and just stock up on tailgating supplies.

435
00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:47,040
Speaker 1: And I also want to remind you we don't do

436
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:50,119
Speaker 1: many giveaways on the show because we don't have a

437
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 1: whole lot to give away. I mean, I'm not giving

438
00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:53,800
Speaker 1: you Floyd of Rosedale, that's for sure, and this helmet's

439
00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:55,760
Speaker 1: one of a kind as far as I know. But

440
00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:58,399
Speaker 1: what I can do is I can bring Academy in

441
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 1: the door and I can say, hey, guys, can we

442
00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:03,719
Speaker 1: get a couple of things from you? Number one, we

443
00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 1: want to give away a ten thousand dollars Academy gift

444
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 1: card And they say okay, surprisingly very little pushback. So

445
00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:12,080
Speaker 1: then you start really feeling yourself and say, all right,

446
00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:15,320
Speaker 1: how about two SEC Championship tickets? Okay, okay, I guess

447
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 1: that's three things. And then I say I don't want

448
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:19,200
Speaker 1: them to have to jump through a bunch of hoops

449
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:21,119
Speaker 1: to win it, though, and they say, how about this?

450
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:26,040
Speaker 1: Just log into the Academy app. That's it. And unless

451
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:30,360
Speaker 1: you live in New York or Hawaii or Alaska or California,

452
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 1: you're eligible. What a great time to be alive, right,

453
00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 1: So all you got to do is log into the

454
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:36,960
Speaker 1: Academy app. You don't even have to buy anything, just

455
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:40,040
Speaker 1: log in. I would encourage you to support the show

456
00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:43,160
Speaker 1: and buy something, but ten thousand dollars Academy gift card

457
00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:46,080
Speaker 1: and two SEC Championship game tickets up for grabs. I

458
00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:49,560
Speaker 1: want someone in our audience to win it selfishly. You know,

459
00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:51,399
Speaker 1: everyone out there is a good and decent person who

460
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:53,960
Speaker 1: shops at Academy, but our audience is just a little

461
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:55,520
Speaker 1: bit better than most people. And so I want you

462
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:57,600
Speaker 1: guys to win it. And even if you don't, just

463
00:22:57,640 --> 00:22:59,720
Speaker 1: go stock up an Academy. They make the show free.

464
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:03,280
Speaker 1: I mean, all this production money, it's it's just that

465
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:06,800
Speaker 1: it's money. It costs stuff to produce this. And we

466
00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 1: ask you to do two things. Subscribe to the channel

467
00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:13,160
Speaker 1: and then support our very very few sponsors. We don't

468
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,960
Speaker 1: have a ton of them here because they take care

469
00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:19,240
Speaker 1: of us accordingly. So Academy a longtime partner and we

470
00:23:19,280 --> 00:23:23,960
Speaker 1: really appreciate them. I just pushed away a piece of

471
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:25,960
Speaker 1: paper I wasn't supposed to. Oh yeah, yeah, we got

472
00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:28,359
Speaker 1: to talk about this. So the A and M job's open.

473
00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:32,639
Speaker 1: But that's far from the only activity going on. Take

474
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:35,520
Speaker 1: a sip of the chalice right quick, and I'm trying

475
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:37,719
Speaker 1: to kill time to make sure nothing's happened, which I

476
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:44,720
Speaker 1: was just refreshing to my right full disclosure, Colin, don't

477
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 1: include this in the clip. Here's how this works. Every November.

478
00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:52,959
Speaker 1: I spend most of my day in communication with people

479
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,560
Speaker 1: in the know, to varying degrees around jobs that I

480
00:23:56,560 --> 00:23:59,639
Speaker 1: think may come open. Sometimes we get a heads up,

481
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:03,720
Speaker 1: like that Garnett, you could people well enough. People knew

482
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 1: that was coming weeks ago. Sometimes you have no clue

483
00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 1: it was out of the blue. I didn't know Jimbo

484
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:09,920
Speaker 1: was coming until I saw Billy Luci tweeted on a

485
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 1: plane the other day. So all kinds of different things

486
00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:16,040
Speaker 1: are happening. But sometimes you get wind that something's coming,

487
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:18,640
Speaker 1: but you can't talk about it yet, and you're waiting

488
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 1: for it to go public. And sometimes you have a

489
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:24,160
Speaker 1: live show and it's just very ill timed. I think

490
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:27,240
Speaker 1: the sooner people in this sport learn to time their

491
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:31,560
Speaker 1: big announcements up before our show, the better the sport

492
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:36,159
Speaker 1: will be. Overall, I just want everything to go my way.

493
00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:38,320
Speaker 1: That's not too much to ask, All right, Colin, here's

494
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 1: your endpoint. Ton of coaching searches going on in the future.

495
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 1: A few of them have already gotten cranked up, many

496
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:49,400
Speaker 1: more are coming, and I'm going to walk you through

497
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:51,359
Speaker 1: what we're hearing. I'm going to walk you through just

498
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 1: some headlines in the last couple of hours that have

499
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:57,040
Speaker 1: broken at Arkansas. I'm gonna give you a feel on

500
00:24:57,080 --> 00:25:00,159
Speaker 1: this because there are different feelings amongst the art can

501
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,920
Speaker 1: saw community and in coaching circles about what may happen here.

502
00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:06,440
Speaker 1: The seat is hot on Sam Pittman. I don't think

503
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:09,119
Speaker 1: anything's been decided there. I know Trey Biddy and the

504
00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:12,359
Speaker 1: folks over at hogsports dot Com have reported as recently

505
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:15,880
Speaker 1: as today, the coaching staff's been in communication with their

506
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:20,080
Speaker 1: recruits and they've reassured them, hey, we're not going anywhere. Now,

507
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 1: if the entire staff were to get cleaned out, it

508
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:25,040
Speaker 1: wouldn't be the first time a staff gets cleaned out,

509
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:28,240
Speaker 1: not too long after they reassured people they're not going anywhere.

510
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:32,120
Speaker 1: So my point is, I tend to believe that they

511
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 1: think they're safe. I don't know that they're safe. And also,

512
00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:39,440
Speaker 1: even if Sam Pittman's been told, hey, you're safe, they

513
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:43,119
Speaker 1: play FIU Saturday, they're favored by twenty nine and a half.

514
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,520
Speaker 1: If the borderline unthinkable were to happen and they lost

515
00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:49,359
Speaker 1: that game, all that goes out the window. You're never

516
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:52,480
Speaker 1: totally safe, even if they tell you you're safe. It's

517
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 1: kind of like head coaches that are i'm not gonna

518
00:25:56,280 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 1: say dumb enough maybe shortsighted enough to belie leave athletic

519
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 1: directors and boosters when they get hired, and those boosters

520
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 1: and ads tell them, now, look, we're gonna give you

521
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:09,439
Speaker 1: two years minimum before we even start to judge your record.

522
00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 1: That's never the case. It is never, ever, ever, ever,

523
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:15,920
Speaker 1: ever the case. Do not ever believe that because the

524
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:19,720
Speaker 1: moment you win your first big game the clock starts ticking.

525
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:23,560
Speaker 1: You sometimes do yourself a disservice if you pull an

526
00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:26,200
Speaker 1: upset in year one, because it starts the clock ticking

527
00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:28,119
Speaker 1: sooner than it should have. I'm a big believer that,

528
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:29,760
Speaker 1: even though Brian Kelly is not on any kind of

529
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:32,160
Speaker 1: hot seat, I'm a believer Kelly did himself a little

530
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 1: short term damage by beating Bama last year because it

531
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:38,000
Speaker 1: led to what will they be Jesse nine and three

532
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 1: this year? If they go nine and three, all of

533
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 1: a sudden, it's not good enough this year. You're like

534
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:45,359
Speaker 1: high on bath salts. If you tell yourself fourteen to

535
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:47,720
Speaker 1: twenty months ago, nine and three in year two for

536
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:51,159
Speaker 1: Brian Kelly's not gonna be good enough anyway with Pittman

537
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:56,120
Speaker 1: at Arkansas. If you lose an upset fashion to FIU Saturday,

538
00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:58,760
Speaker 1: even the people who are telling you you're safe wouldn't

539
00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:02,400
Speaker 1: be telling you safe anymore. I think, though, what's happening

540
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:05,320
Speaker 1: here is a theory that I happen to ascribe to,

541
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:09,240
Speaker 1: and that is the personality theory. There there is benefit

542
00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:12,719
Speaker 1: to not being a jerk. There's benefit to not rubbing

543
00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:15,119
Speaker 1: people the wrong way. Now, if you're a winner, it

544
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:18,240
Speaker 1: doesn't matter. And this is not advice I'm giving to

545
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:20,719
Speaker 1: the kiddies out there. I'm just saying, if you're a winner,

546
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 1: you can be as big a jerk as you want

547
00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:25,959
Speaker 1: to be because you're untouchable. It's just the way it is.

548
00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:31,480
Speaker 1: But if your borderline and you've got a great personality

549
00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:35,600
Speaker 1: and you're affable and people love you, sometimes that's the tiebreaker.

550
00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:39,160
Speaker 1: Sometimes in a fifty to fifty scenario, that's what swings

551
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:41,679
Speaker 1: the pendulum fifty five to forty five year way, and

552
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:44,800
Speaker 1: you buy yourself one more year. Maybe that's what's happening

553
00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 1: with Pittman here. Does even the folks who want him

554
00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:50,359
Speaker 1: fire love him as a person. No one dislikes Pittman

555
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:53,840
Speaker 1: as a person in Northwest Arkansas or frankly anywhere, so

556
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:58,199
Speaker 1: that may be in play here. Let's stay tuned. At

557
00:27:58,240 --> 00:27:59,959
Speaker 1: the very least, he's going to have to clean the program.

558
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 1: He's gonna have to hire a new OC for example.

559
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:05,119
Speaker 1: We'll see where he goes. We had some more news

560
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:07,360
Speaker 1: all the way across the country out in Los Angeles

561
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:11,239
Speaker 1: earlier today. This one surprised me a little bit. So

562
00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:15,639
Speaker 1: our partners at brewinreportonline dot com, that's our twenty four

563
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:20,200
Speaker 1: to seven Sports UCLA outlet. They're telling us Chip Kelly's

564
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:23,520
Speaker 1: likely to be fired after the USC game. And there

565
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:28,000
Speaker 1: is a very thoroughly multi sourced and detailed report on

566
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 1: Brewin's Report Online right now, and it sounds like the

567
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,119
Speaker 1: reasons are laid out. It sounds like there's not a

568
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 1: lot of meshing with the boosters out there. The nil

569
00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 1: engine is not humming like they think it could. Kelly's

570
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 1: just nodded. Kelly's like me. Chip Kelly's like me. He

571
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,240
Speaker 1: can fake it in front of a microphone, but really

572
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:52,400
Speaker 1: in a social setting, you're a lot more likely to

573
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 1: find him over in the corner hiding than in the

574
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 1: middle being the life of the party. It's just not us.

575
00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:01,479
Speaker 1: It is not us. Some of you listen to that

576
00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:04,479
Speaker 1: and you say, if you paid me that many millions

577
00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:08,000
Speaker 1: of dollars, I'd be fine rubbing elbows with boosters all

578
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:11,560
Speaker 1: day long. Okay, I'm just telling you. It's a little

579
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 1: bit different for folks with this kind of personality. So

580
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:17,880
Speaker 1: Chip Kelly is not necessarily making it a priority from

581
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:20,880
Speaker 1: sun up to sundown to ingratiate himself to people that

582
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:23,959
Speaker 1: couldn't talk themselves out of a wet paper bag when

583
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 1: it comes to football, and it probably will cost him

584
00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 1: a job here. And I'm sure folks at UCLA are

585
00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:33,560
Speaker 1: looking around. We're going to the Big ten. We theoretically

586
00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 1: have a lot of this southern California money we could

587
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,800
Speaker 1: tap into and alumni money that we're not getting because

588
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,000
Speaker 1: they don't like this guy who's the current head coach.

589
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:43,720
Speaker 1: I assume they've convinced themselves of that. Maybe they go

590
00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:46,240
Speaker 1: get a Jonathan Smith, maybe they go get a candidate.

591
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 1: I'm not even thinking about right now, but that's something

592
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:52,719
Speaker 1: that broke earlier today. We're going to monitor that one because,

593
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:57,320
Speaker 1: as you know, until you make the decision. Everything's fluid

594
00:29:57,520 --> 00:30:00,480
Speaker 1: until you hear the athletic director or the the university

595
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 1: release a statement, Chip Kelly is fired, Everything's still in play.

596
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:07,040
Speaker 1: I wanted to touch on Florida for a second because

597
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 1: I keep getting asked about Billy Napier at Florida. I

598
00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:14,600
Speaker 1: told you the other day pretty emphatically, I didn't think

599
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:16,640
Speaker 1: Billy Napier was on a twenty twenty three hot seat.

600
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:18,520
Speaker 1: I thought his entire fate was tied to the twenty

601
00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:21,800
Speaker 1: twenty four season and, probably more importantly, the twenty twenty

602
00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:25,560
Speaker 1: four recruiting class, which makes what I'm about to say

603
00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:29,440
Speaker 1: all the more imperative. Their recruiting class has looked and

604
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:33,800
Speaker 1: felt a little wobbly lately. It is imperative that they

605
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 1: are able to sell the notion to the kids in

606
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:39,600
Speaker 1: that twenty twenty four class that results on the field

607
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 1: this year are totally detached from what our future holds.

608
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:46,360
Speaker 1: It is the lifeblood of your future as a program,

609
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 1: as a staff, It is your hope because there's nothing

610
00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 1: happening for you. You may not make a bowl game

611
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three. They're going to have to upset

612
00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 1: either Missouri or Florida State to even make a bowl game.

613
00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:59,240
Speaker 1: This season's a wash. It's a loss. That recruiting class

614
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 1: is top ten though, until it's not, and every staff

615
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:06,080
Speaker 1: out there is trying to peck and nibble, and you

616
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:08,959
Speaker 1: gotta convince kids, hey, this year was the way it

617
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:11,560
Speaker 1: was because you're not on the team. We don't have

618
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:14,240
Speaker 1: your class in the barn. Yet we get your class

619
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 1: in the barn, and that's a different caliber horse out

620
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:19,760
Speaker 1: there running on Saturdays. You got to convince them, and

621
00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 1: then you got to keep convincing them every day. So

622
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:26,239
Speaker 1: I don't think Napier's in trouble this year unless that

623
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 1: recruiting class starts falling apart, and there's a long way

624
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:31,640
Speaker 1: to go before it falls apart. I'm just saying. In

625
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:34,760
Speaker 1: recent days, we've seen a couple of decommitments. You hear

626
00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:37,720
Speaker 1: rumors and whispers, which is not abnormal for this time

627
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:39,920
Speaker 1: of year anyway. It's just normally this time of year

628
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:43,960
Speaker 1: for a top ten recruiter. You're not looking at missing

629
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:48,840
Speaker 1: a bowl game. That's abnormal, so special circumstances. Zach Garnett

630
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 1: was fired at Mississippi State earlier this week. This one

631
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 1: we knew was coming a few weeks ago. So as

632
00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:58,640
Speaker 1: expected as it was, there was a lot of raw,

633
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:02,760
Speaker 1: visceral reaction. You had one camp that said, how could

634
00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 1: you fire a guy ten months in he didn't even

635
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 1: have a chance. Well, he did have a chance this

636
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 1: year with a senior laden roster to maintain a lot

637
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 1: of what had worked in that program, and he chose

638
00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:17,640
Speaker 1: to go to the opposite direction and it failed spectacularly,

639
00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 1: and so he's out of a job now. Zack Selman's

640
00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:23,720
Speaker 1: the new ad there. Arnette was not his guy, and

641
00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:27,880
Speaker 1: it was obviously an untenable position. You have Mike Leach

642
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 1: the head coach pass away, and you elevate because you

643
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,720
Speaker 1: don't you don't really have a winning move to make there.

644
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:36,560
Speaker 1: I mean, it's almost on the back burner in terms

645
00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:39,560
Speaker 1: of priority. Anyway, when you have your head coach pass

646
00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:41,960
Speaker 1: away out of I mean it's just no one expected,

647
00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:43,880
Speaker 1: it's just out of the blue. One night you're refreshing

648
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 1: your phone and Mike Lee, what is this fake? This

649
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:49,240
Speaker 1: is real? And then you have to worry about what

650
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 1: you're gonna do with the program because that's your job

651
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 1: as an athletic director. So anyway, my feel on this

652
00:32:55,840 --> 00:33:00,640
Speaker 1: job is unless they go a route that doesn't really

653
00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:03,719
Speaker 1: involve the big boys. And I'll explain what I mean

654
00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:06,240
Speaker 1: by that in a second. Mississippi State may have to

655
00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:08,400
Speaker 1: wait out what Texas A and M does not because

656
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:10,840
Speaker 1: they're going to be fishing from the same pool of candidates.

657
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:13,080
Speaker 1: But like I told you, A and m's the keystone.

658
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,480
Speaker 1: You gotta wait for the big boys to make their

659
00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:20,600
Speaker 1: move before you understand what's available downstream. And that's not

660
00:33:20,840 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 1: just head coaching. That is coordinators, that's positioned coaches. You're

661
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,239
Speaker 1: trying to fill out a recruiting staff. You're trying to

662
00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:29,880
Speaker 1: fill out a bunch of positions that you don't ever

663
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:34,320
Speaker 1: see on the sideline on Saturday. Hiring is crazy. There

664
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:37,160
Speaker 1: are so many dozens and dozens of people that you

665
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:40,280
Speaker 1: have to hire. And when you got a behemoth like

666
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 1: A and M about to make a move, sometimes you

667
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:43,520
Speaker 1: just got to sit there and wait it out. Like

668
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 1: a big storm rolling through, you got to drive home.

669
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:48,320
Speaker 1: Let's just let it die down for a second. This

670
00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 1: is a torrential downpour. I don't want to drive in this.

671
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 1: Wee could hydroplane. They're probably going to wait for a second.

672
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 1: I've heard some names mentioned with Mississippi State. Let me

673
00:33:56,920 --> 00:34:01,240
Speaker 1: tell you, not just with Mississippi State, but in general.

674
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:05,080
Speaker 1: John Somerral is a guy I would hire at Peyton State.

675
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 1: It is a typical for me because Somemrroll does not

676
00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:10,680
Speaker 1: have a long track record at Troy as a head coach.

677
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:14,920
Speaker 1: He's just two years in. I am willing to circumvent

678
00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:18,120
Speaker 1: some of my usual logic when it comes to him.

679
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:21,399
Speaker 1: I am that big a believer in summer all. He

680
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 1: knows the South, he knows the SEC. He's a dynamite recruiter.

681
00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 1: He is a top level defensive mind and defensive coordinator type.

682
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:33,520
Speaker 1: And I'm telling you someone's gonna strike gold when they

683
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:36,239
Speaker 1: hire him. I don't know if it's gonna be Mississippi State.

684
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:39,920
Speaker 1: Whoever ends up hiring him gonna enjoy what Troy is enjoying.

685
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:41,879
Speaker 1: You're just gonna enjoy it tier two or Tier one

686
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:44,839
Speaker 1: instead of a Tier three position like Troy. So that's

687
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:47,800
Speaker 1: what's happening right now. This kind of segment will be

688
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:50,400
Speaker 1: a fixture in this show for the next couple of months.

689
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:56,440
Speaker 1: Coaching search season is wild. All right, Let's move on.

690
00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:00,680
Speaker 1: Appreciate all you guys watching live. Do me a favorite

691
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:02,920
Speaker 1: less than a quarter of you have clicked the thumbs

692
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 1: up button there, and even on your TVs. I'm told

693
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:08,320
Speaker 1: it's possible. We just click the old thumbs up and

694
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 1: keep the lights on around here. I've got an upset

695
00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:14,200
Speaker 1: alert for you, but it's not even Thursday. Normally we

696
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:17,080
Speaker 1: do that on Thursday. So let me pop the paper.

697
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 1: Texas plays Iowa State Saturday night. I know, I know

698
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:23,200
Speaker 1: what some of you are thinking, but you need to

699
00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:25,720
Speaker 1: lock in for a second. Saturday eight o'clock on Fox.

700
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:28,799
Speaker 1: That's your first sign. Got a night game at Jack

701
00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:31,280
Speaker 1: Trice Stadium. What have I told you? What did Mema

702
00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:34,719
Speaker 1: tell me about night games at Iowa State? I don't

703
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 1: remember Memme. I didn't mention Iowa State very much. But

704
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:40,200
Speaker 1: it's not going to be easy for Texas. All that

705
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:42,280
Speaker 1: talk about Texas. By the way, in the Big twelve

706
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:46,120
Speaker 1: Championship picture, you know, Iowa State is still alive even

707
00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:49,240
Speaker 1: as we speak. If you hear that faint squeaking sound,

708
00:35:49,600 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 1: if you hear the sound of mice on wheels, those

709
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 1: are Big ten administrators, Big twelve administrators trying to figure

710
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 1: out the tiebreaker scenarios out there. Crazy stuff like I've

711
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:01,880
Speaker 1: been texting back and forth with some people on different

712
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:06,080
Speaker 1: staffs that are involved in the multi team potential tiebreaker

713
00:36:06,160 --> 00:36:10,839
Speaker 1: process where the rules are changing. Literally today, they are

714
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:14,239
Speaker 1: changing the rules crazy. The best thing you can just

715
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:16,440
Speaker 1: do is win and let the chips fall where they may.

716
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:18,960
Speaker 1: I remember back in twenty eleven, there were a lot

717
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:22,279
Speaker 1: of extenuating circumstances. There was tragedy in the mix with

718
00:36:22,560 --> 00:36:25,200
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State. They had to go on the road Thursday

719
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:28,160
Speaker 1: night at Iowa State. They lose. They're out of the

720
00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:31,400
Speaker 1: national championship. I was in a movie theater watching the

721
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 1: movie Jay Edgar As I recall with It's not important

722
00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:39,200
Speaker 1: who I was with. What's important is I don't remember

723
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 1: anything about the movie. I can go to Hoover's Wikipedia page.

724
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:45,239
Speaker 1: Don't know how much I trust it. I can go

725
00:36:45,280 --> 00:36:47,040
Speaker 1: there and read up on the guy. I don't remember

726
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:50,360
Speaker 1: the movie because my phone started to blow up. I

727
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:53,080
Speaker 1: was so sure, I mean, that game was so far

728
00:36:53,120 --> 00:36:55,279
Speaker 1: off my radar. I didn't even bother to watch it.

729
00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:58,600
Speaker 1: And I learned that night anything can happen in college

730
00:36:58,600 --> 00:37:02,359
Speaker 1: football in November, I am looking for a one night

731
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:04,880
Speaker 1: only special here. If I'm trying to paint the path,

732
00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:07,799
Speaker 1: if I'm trying to kind of pave the path for

733
00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:11,239
Speaker 1: an upset for Iowa State. If you look at the

734
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:14,800
Speaker 1: season long stat profile, you're just going to convince yourself

735
00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:18,560
Speaker 1: Texas wins. But sometimes in college football we get a

736
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:20,799
Speaker 1: one night only special. You've seen it, I've seen it,

737
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:24,000
Speaker 1: We've all seen it. Some quarterback plays thirty percent above

738
00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:27,279
Speaker 1: his skis one night only, and then he regresses right

739
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:29,200
Speaker 1: back to what the stat profile says he should be.

740
00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:32,320
Speaker 1: Rock Obeck. Who, by the way, is the Iowa State quarterback.

741
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:35,319
Speaker 1: That's a good trivia question to try on your quote

742
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:38,759
Speaker 1: unquote diehard college football fan buddy at the water cooler tomorrow. Hey,

743
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:42,000
Speaker 1: give me Iowa State's quarterback. He probably doesn't know who

744
00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:44,799
Speaker 1: it is because Iowa State is seventy eighth throwing the

745
00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:48,920
Speaker 1: ball through the air this year. Texas is glaringly vulnerable

746
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:51,360
Speaker 1: through the air right now. Though, you know what I

747
00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:55,279
Speaker 1: mentioned the other night. They've had three games where they've

748
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:59,680
Speaker 1: allowed three possession leads to evaporate and almost lost them

749
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:03,000
Speaker 1: but ended up not losing any of them. But in

750
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:04,919
Speaker 1: those three games where they give up those big leads,

751
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:08,200
Speaker 1: they've given up six hundred and seventy four yards through

752
00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:11,640
Speaker 1: the air just in the second halves of those games.

753
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,919
Speaker 1: So if it's happened against Houston, you know, if it's

754
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:18,319
Speaker 1: happened with those other two games at translation, I don't

755
00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:20,320
Speaker 1: remember them off the top of my head. It could happen.

756
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 1: JP angels in the outfield, flap the wings, it could happen.

757
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 1: This is the first game for Texas without Jonathan Brooks,

758
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:31,239
Speaker 1: and I think the competitive nature in that locker room

759
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:33,239
Speaker 1: is such that guys are gonna step up, okay, So

760
00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:36,080
Speaker 1: I don't think Texas is going to go on the

761
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:39,520
Speaker 1: road and just look like a deer in headlights. This

762
00:38:39,560 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 1: is an underrated Iowa State defense, though it's the best

763
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:45,360
Speaker 1: pass defense Texas will have seen since Bama. And I

764
00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:48,279
Speaker 1: know you remember in the end, Quen you were was

765
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 1: making some plays through the air, and that thing was

766
00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:52,840
Speaker 1: like thirteen to nine late in the third quarter. So

767
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:56,600
Speaker 1: it's not like Texas just bombed away from the outset.

768
00:38:57,040 --> 00:39:01,360
Speaker 1: Bama muddied that game up early. Iowa State, similarly, especially

769
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:04,080
Speaker 1: without Brooks, who flashed on the scene against Bama, is

770
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:07,240
Speaker 1: now out if no one steps up like if Worthy

771
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:11,960
Speaker 1: or eighty Mitchell Jatavian Sanders, like if those guys don't

772
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:14,760
Speaker 1: step up. If ba running back, if they don't carry

773
00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:18,080
Speaker 1: the load like they're capable of you, let them hang around.

774
00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:21,120
Speaker 1: They can beat you. This is Matt Campbell's shot, now,

775
00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:24,359
Speaker 1: Steve Sarkisian, we all know it's his shot. Like he's

776
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,800
Speaker 1: got the best team he's had at Texas. But Campbell

777
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:29,719
Speaker 1: think about this at Iowa States four and eight last year,

778
00:39:30,200 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 1: and people start talking. And he lost eight of his

779
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:37,080
Speaker 1: final nine last year, and people really started talking. And

780
00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:39,919
Speaker 1: then they lost three of their first five this year,

781
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:43,000
Speaker 1: and people really really started talking. And now they've won

782
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:45,359
Speaker 1: four of their last five and they're playing their best

783
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:48,160
Speaker 1: football right now. And they blew out Brigham Young on

784
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:51,839
Speaker 1: the road last week. Everyone's had this game circled. When

785
00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:55,480
Speaker 1: Texas comes to town, it's always a circle game, back

786
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:58,680
Speaker 1: to back road stretch for Texas. Let's take a look

787
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:02,879
Speaker 1: at what the model thinks. FanDuel number Texas minus seven

788
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:06,239
Speaker 1: and a half. The Pate State model is a little

789
00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:10,239
Speaker 1: bit shorter. Pate State model has Texas minus five. Now

790
00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:14,960
Speaker 1: I have bias here. I am Iowa State naturally. Growing

791
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:17,479
Speaker 1: up in West Central Georgia, I was a diehard Iowa

792
00:40:17,520 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 1: State cyclone fan growing up, but You got to understand something.

793
00:40:21,040 --> 00:40:23,920
Speaker 1: When your mascot is a literal Tornado and you get

794
00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:29,239
Speaker 1: the Hull Cogan color scheme, if you operate at peak efficiency,

795
00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:32,120
Speaker 1: nothing can stand in your way, nothing can stand up

796
00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:35,120
Speaker 1: to you. Unfortunately, Iowa State hasn't quite been all of

797
00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 1: that recently. I don't have a ton of confidence either

798
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:41,839
Speaker 1: way in this one. So I'm gonna trust the model implicitly,

799
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:45,880
Speaker 1: and I'm going to take Iowa State to cover the number,

800
00:40:46,120 --> 00:40:47,879
Speaker 1: and I'm going to take Texas to win yet another

801
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:50,120
Speaker 1: close game. And if it turns out that way, it

802
00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:52,160
Speaker 1: would be right in line. It would be right on

803
00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:55,440
Speaker 1: brand for what Texas has been lately. They've had to

804
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 1: win some close games, and there's nothing wrong with that,

805
00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 1: of course, until you get to the post season and

806
00:41:00,560 --> 00:41:04,560
Speaker 1: realize the caliber of opponent has upgraded significantly. But worry

807
00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 1: about that when you get there. Texas needs to worry

808
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:09,960
Speaker 1: about winning, whether it's by one or one hundred more

809
00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:15,120
Speaker 1: on that game Thursday night, Oh, I look and see

810
00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:18,200
Speaker 1: it's seven forty one. You know what. Let's go ahead, Colin,

811
00:41:19,080 --> 00:41:22,960
Speaker 1: let's talk about JP Pole. The playoff rankings are going

812
00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:25,839
Speaker 1: to come out tonight. I hear you who cares right.

813
00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:29,520
Speaker 1: But the JP Pole is out, and Colin, here's your endpoint. Here.

814
00:41:30,680 --> 00:41:32,680
Speaker 1: I got a new JP poll for you. We've got

815
00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:34,719
Speaker 1: a lot of movement. Spoiler alert. We got a new

816
00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:37,400
Speaker 1: number one in the JP pole tonight. We got some

817
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:42,000
Speaker 1: teams affirming our belief. I've got a point spread explained

818
00:41:42,320 --> 00:41:45,080
Speaker 1: in the JP Pole. The JP Pole is not a ranking.

819
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:47,120
Speaker 1: If you don't know that by now, I don't know

820
00:41:47,120 --> 00:41:49,080
Speaker 1: what to tell you. These are just power ratings and

821
00:41:49,120 --> 00:41:53,520
Speaker 1: its neutral field favorability. And here we go. Did I

822
00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:55,919
Speaker 1: say they're not rankings, Yeah, yeah, they're not rankings. I'll

823
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:58,480
Speaker 1: say that again and again and again. Let's go twenty

824
00:41:58,480 --> 00:42:03,239
Speaker 1: five to twenty one. Because SMU, who has been in

825
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:05,040
Speaker 1: the twenty three to twenty five range for a little

826
00:42:05,040 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 1: while now people have been hating on them, well not

827
00:42:06,680 --> 00:42:09,120
Speaker 1: so much anymore. SMU is starting to surge. It's almost

828
00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:11,840
Speaker 1: like the jpeople knew something. So it goes Iowa State

829
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:17,520
Speaker 1: SMU USC, I don't know. Louisville twenty two, Tennessee twenty one,

830
00:42:17,520 --> 00:42:20,759
Speaker 1: Tennessee plummeted. You can't get run over like they did

831
00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 1: and not suffer the consequences in the jpeople, And that's

832
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:26,600
Speaker 1: even in power ratings world. This is not a ranking.

833
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:29,240
Speaker 1: They may have fallen further if it were a ranking system.

834
00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:35,480
Speaker 1: Look the USC thing, that's just it's power rating stuff, man,

835
00:42:35,600 --> 00:42:37,759
Speaker 1: that's all. It is, just power rating stuff. I mean,

836
00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:39,880
Speaker 1: if I put USC on the field with Iowa State today,

837
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:41,960
Speaker 1: they'd be favored over Iowa State. I don't know what

838
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:43,759
Speaker 1: to tell you. Let's move to twenty to fifteen or

839
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:47,440
Speaker 1: twenty to sixteen. Ole Miss dropped seven, they are at

840
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:51,480
Speaker 1: twenty now, Utah's at nineteen. They play at Arizona this week.

841
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:55,560
Speaker 1: The tradition that keeps on giving Texas A and M

842
00:42:55,600 --> 00:42:58,680
Speaker 1: even as they fire their head coach is still number eighteen,

843
00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:01,880
Speaker 1: just holding state. Our opinion of Texas A and M

844
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:06,160
Speaker 1: has been virtually unchanged for several weeks now because they're

845
00:43:06,200 --> 00:43:10,040
Speaker 1: playing the exact caliber football the number eighteen team in

846
00:43:10,040 --> 00:43:15,279
Speaker 1: the country should play. Clemson's not done. Clemson's at seventeen,

847
00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:20,440
Speaker 1: and they're just hanging around. What you're doing, Clemson? Me nothing,

848
00:43:21,120 --> 00:43:24,959
Speaker 1: just hanging around. So Clemson's and beetlejuice mode right now.

849
00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:29,200
Speaker 1: Arizona is at sixteen. I cannot stress enough how insane

850
00:43:29,239 --> 00:43:31,759
Speaker 1: it is that Jetfish has his team at sixteen, and

851
00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:34,719
Speaker 1: notice they play the number nineteen team this week. So

852
00:43:34,880 --> 00:43:37,720
Speaker 1: just challenge after challenge and they're meeting it at every term.

853
00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:41,440
Speaker 1: Let's keep it rolling. Let's go top fifteen here, Oregon State.

854
00:43:41,760 --> 00:43:44,000
Speaker 1: We're gonna see him in person this week. I'm gonna

855
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:46,680
Speaker 1: explain something to you in a second. Watch this. Watch

856
00:43:46,760 --> 00:43:50,600
Speaker 1: the magic of the JP Pole. Penn State's at fourteen,

857
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:55,799
Speaker 1: Missouri's highest rating to date. The Missouri Tigers are at

858
00:43:55,880 --> 00:44:01,040
Speaker 1: number thirteen, incredible, Washington's a twelve, Notre Dames at eleven.

859
00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:05,680
Speaker 1: So think about this. Washington plays at Oregon State this week.

860
00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:07,759
Speaker 1: Now you want to know how dialed in the JP

861
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:12,319
Speaker 1: pole is. Right now, the gap the JP pole has

862
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:16,440
Speaker 1: between number twelve Washington and number fifteen Oregon State is

863
00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:21,160
Speaker 1: one point. So they're all crunched up together there right now.

864
00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:25,400
Speaker 1: Washington goes to Oregon State. So on a neutral field,

865
00:44:25,560 --> 00:44:28,680
Speaker 1: we would say Washington minus one. We're given three and

866
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:32,520
Speaker 1: a quarter points to Oregon State for home field favorability.

867
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:35,359
Speaker 1: So you take one and you subtract that, and you

868
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:37,440
Speaker 1: look at what the exact point spread is on the

869
00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:40,799
Speaker 1: game right now, somewhere between Oregon State minus two and

870
00:44:40,880 --> 00:44:43,319
Speaker 1: Oregon State minus two and a half. That is just

871
00:44:43,440 --> 00:44:47,279
Speaker 1: validation from Vegas that the JP pole is dead on

872
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:50,520
Speaker 1: the money with those two teams. Not to pat ourselves

873
00:44:50,560 --> 00:44:51,839
Speaker 1: on the back, I'm just saying we did a really

874
00:44:51,840 --> 00:44:54,279
Speaker 1: good job there. Excuse me, the model did a really

875
00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:58,120
Speaker 1: good job there. Notre Dames at number eleven. Okay, number ten.

876
00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:01,480
Speaker 1: We got a little movement here. Oklahoma's back in the

877
00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:07,000
Speaker 1: top ten. Oklahoma's ten, k State is nine, LSUS eight,

878
00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:10,480
Speaker 1: Texas is seven, Florida State is six. Notice there are

879
00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:14,080
Speaker 1: three Big twelve teams right there in the seven, nine

880
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:17,440
Speaker 1: and ten spots. And I had the model spit out

881
00:45:17,440 --> 00:45:21,440
Speaker 1: some numbers for me. The point spread gap on a

882
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:26,080
Speaker 1: neutral field between Texas and Oklahoma is two points right now.

883
00:45:26,760 --> 00:45:29,160
Speaker 1: I don't know what FanDuel would make it. I guess

884
00:45:29,200 --> 00:45:32,640
Speaker 1: I could ask them, But the model has that thing

885
00:45:32,680 --> 00:45:35,360
Speaker 1: shrunk down to two points. And K State's right in

886
00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:38,520
Speaker 1: there as well. So interesting times in the Big twelve.

887
00:45:38,520 --> 00:45:40,279
Speaker 1: And let's go top five. We got a new number

888
00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:44,120
Speaker 1: one here, drum roll please. Ohio State's at number five.

889
00:45:45,640 --> 00:45:48,840
Speaker 1: They did not drop as much as Bama Rose Oregon's

890
00:45:48,880 --> 00:45:52,720
Speaker 1: at four. Again, they didn't drop Bama Rose Alabama surgeon.

891
00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:56,160
Speaker 1: They're number three right now Michigan's two. Georgia has taken

892
00:45:56,200 --> 00:46:00,479
Speaker 1: over the top spot. Georgia is now zero point four

893
00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:04,120
Speaker 1: points ahead of Michigan. On a neutral field, the model

894
00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:07,920
Speaker 1: would currently have Georgia minus one and a half against Alabama.

895
00:46:08,960 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 1: FanDuel has that number available right now, and that number

896
00:46:12,480 --> 00:46:14,520
Speaker 1: pretty much crossed the market sitting at a field goal,

897
00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 1: So we think there's a little value in Alabama mich

898
00:46:18,360 --> 00:46:22,280
Speaker 1: Michigan didn't drop, by the way, Michigan actually held completely still.

899
00:46:22,360 --> 00:46:24,640
Speaker 1: They have the same exact power rating they had last week.

900
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:28,040
Speaker 1: Georgia jumped them. That's what happened. So the JP poll.

901
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:31,200
Speaker 1: There you have it. We've got a I think it's

902
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:34,839
Speaker 1: a five and three quarter point gap between number one

903
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:40,280
Speaker 1: and number five. Right now, there's your top ten. React

904
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:43,680
Speaker 1: accordingly and listen. If you don't follow me on Instagram

905
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:47,239
Speaker 1: for any other reason, just follow me on Instagram at

906
00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:51,040
Speaker 1: late kick Josh for the total and complete freak show

907
00:46:51,640 --> 00:46:54,600
Speaker 1: that devolves in the comment section when I post this thing.

908
00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:58,400
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter if I rent one of those planes

909
00:46:58,440 --> 00:47:01,000
Speaker 1: that fly banners by the hour behind them and I

910
00:47:01,160 --> 00:47:06,040
Speaker 1: explain the difference between power ratings and rankings just total

911
00:47:06,160 --> 00:47:09,120
Speaker 1: freak job psychos in the comment section. It's unbelievable and

912
00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:12,520
Speaker 1: I love every one of you because we get rich

913
00:47:12,560 --> 00:47:15,360
Speaker 1: off Twitter clicks and Instagram clicks. Obviously, that's where the

914
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:18,439
Speaker 1: real money is in this business. Let's move back onto

915
00:47:18,440 --> 00:47:21,160
Speaker 1: the field, shall We got a big game in core

916
00:47:21,280 --> 00:47:26,480
Speaker 1: Valast this week, obviously, and we're going to be there.

917
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:30,720
Speaker 1: First ever trip for US to Oregon State for Washington

918
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:34,160
Speaker 1: at Oregon State. It's the seven thirty Eastern kick on

919
00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:37,919
Speaker 1: ABC Saturday. That means four to thirty local time, which

920
00:47:37,960 --> 00:47:40,839
Speaker 1: means we've got an outside shot at catching a red

921
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:42,840
Speaker 1: eye flight out of Portland to get back home in

922
00:47:42,880 --> 00:47:45,600
Speaker 1: time for the Sunday show. Once upon a Saturday tour

923
00:47:46,080 --> 00:47:49,879
Speaker 1: right there on the sidelines at Research Stadium, appreciate what

924
00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:53,000
Speaker 1: this means. You guys know as well as I do,

925
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:55,840
Speaker 1: sort of the end of an Era up there. This

926
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:57,840
Speaker 1: is like, you know, the main event at Fully Loaded

927
00:47:57,880 --> 00:48:01,440
Speaker 1: nineteen ninety nine Undertaker Austin End of an Era match.

928
00:48:01,560 --> 00:48:04,239
Speaker 1: We all remember how that went down. Well, this is

929
00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:06,799
Speaker 1: like the last day of high school before graduation. That's

930
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:10,240
Speaker 1: the vibe I'm getting here. Because these teams will probably

931
00:48:10,280 --> 00:48:12,799
Speaker 1: not ever be in the same conference again after this year.

932
00:48:13,320 --> 00:48:15,560
Speaker 1: We don't really know what the fate of Oregon State

933
00:48:15,680 --> 00:48:17,719
Speaker 1: is long term. It sucks. It is what it is,

934
00:48:18,239 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 1: and so just enjoy it. Just enjoy this in the

935
00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:24,160
Speaker 1: moment while it lasts. They've got show stealer potential in

936
00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:27,920
Speaker 1: this game. Oregon State could win the game and steal

937
00:48:27,960 --> 00:48:30,319
Speaker 1: the show. But you know there's an individual in this

938
00:48:30,360 --> 00:48:31,800
Speaker 1: game that could steal the show. More on that in

939
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:35,879
Speaker 1: a second. In the meantime, do you know Oregon State?

940
00:48:36,400 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 1: Do you really know them? Do you know that's a

941
00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:41,839
Speaker 1: top fifteen scoring offense. Do you know that about Oregon State?

942
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:45,080
Speaker 1: Do you know they got two losses by combining six points?

943
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:47,279
Speaker 1: They've lost field goal games? Do you know that? Do

944
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:50,640
Speaker 1: you know they've won nine straight at home? Did you

945
00:48:50,640 --> 00:48:53,560
Speaker 1: know they're favored by two and a half at FanDuel?

946
00:48:53,560 --> 00:48:58,040
Speaker 1: Currently in this game, Oregon State's the favorite against undefeated Washington.

947
00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:00,960
Speaker 1: You know you are what your record says you are.

948
00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:02,640
Speaker 1: A crowd's got to be in shambles, by the way,

949
00:49:02,719 --> 00:49:04,680
Speaker 1: right now to look at two loss of Oregon State

950
00:49:04,719 --> 00:49:08,040
Speaker 1: favored against I'm not hating on Washington, by the way.

951
00:49:08,080 --> 00:49:10,319
Speaker 1: When I say Mighty Washington, I'm just saying that's how

952
00:49:10,320 --> 00:49:15,200
Speaker 1: small the margins are right now. Dj Uyangala, a formerly

953
00:49:15,239 --> 00:49:19,319
Speaker 1: of Clemson Fame, has twelve touchdowns no interceptions in his

954
00:49:19,440 --> 00:49:23,200
Speaker 1: last five games. Washington has the one hundred and twenty

955
00:49:23,200 --> 00:49:26,360
Speaker 1: fifth rated pass defense in the country, and that leads

956
00:49:26,400 --> 00:49:30,480
Speaker 1: me to what could be a great quarterback spectacle in

957
00:49:30,520 --> 00:49:34,120
Speaker 1: front of us unfolding Saturday night in Research Stadium. Everybody

958
00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:37,480
Speaker 1: knows how great Michael Pennix is, including me. I'm taking

959
00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:40,200
Speaker 1: nothing away from that, dude, but you could have a

960
00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:44,879
Speaker 1: show stealer moment for dj uyan Galalay here because as

961
00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:48,200
Speaker 1: good as Oregon State's been this year, I look at

962
00:49:48,200 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 1: the numbers, so you don't have to. Most people have

963
00:49:51,040 --> 00:49:53,960
Speaker 1: not watched Oregon State play this year, but they will

964
00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:57,960
Speaker 1: Saturday night, and you're gonna tune in expecting Michael Pennix

965
00:49:57,960 --> 00:50:00,319
Speaker 1: to dominate. Maybe he will, maybe he won't, But what

966
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:03,480
Speaker 1: if dju is just that much better. Both offenses in

967
00:50:03,520 --> 00:50:07,120
Speaker 1: this game top six in explosive play rate, that's plays

968
00:50:07,120 --> 00:50:09,759
Speaker 1: of twenty yards or more. Both of the defenses in

969
00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:13,960
Speaker 1: that category outside the top forty rain in the forecast,

970
00:50:14,280 --> 00:50:17,120
Speaker 1: So keep that in mind. Both pass defenses are in

971
00:50:17,160 --> 00:50:21,440
Speaker 1: the bottom half of FBS. It's the best opportunity DJ

972
00:50:21,520 --> 00:50:24,000
Speaker 1: is going to have to splash back onto the national seam.

973
00:50:24,640 --> 00:50:28,280
Speaker 1: Washington's in an interesting spot here. They've won six straight

974
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 1: games by ten points or less. You saw them blow

975
00:50:32,600 --> 00:50:35,600
Speaker 1: teams out early in the year, and I don't know,

976
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:38,640
Speaker 1: maybe they've been off people's radar. You saw them win

977
00:50:38,680 --> 00:50:41,240
Speaker 1: the Oregon game, but everyone expected that one to be close.

978
00:50:41,640 --> 00:50:44,520
Speaker 1: All their games have been close. These are their margins

979
00:50:44,520 --> 00:50:47,879
Speaker 1: of victory since the Oregon game. They beat Oregon by three.

980
00:50:48,040 --> 00:50:51,960
Speaker 1: Arizona State they won fifteen to seven. Stanford they won

981
00:50:52,000 --> 00:50:56,200
Speaker 1: by nine, at USC they won by ten, Utah they

982
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,720
Speaker 1: won by seven last week, and even before the Oregon

983
00:50:59,760 --> 00:51:03,400
Speaker 1: game they only beat Arizona by seven. So it's been tight.

984
00:51:03,680 --> 00:51:06,359
Speaker 1: They've been winning. That's your job to win, but it's

985
00:51:06,400 --> 00:51:10,040
Speaker 1: been tight. And this is the best defense they probably

986
00:51:10,080 --> 00:51:12,479
Speaker 1: faced since Oregon, and they're facing them on the road.

987
00:51:13,120 --> 00:51:16,680
Speaker 1: Washington's sixty fifth and turnovers this year Oregon State's top twenty,

988
00:51:16,760 --> 00:51:19,960
Speaker 1: enforcing them. So there's a lot that makes you lean

989
00:51:20,080 --> 00:51:22,640
Speaker 1: Oregon State's way. But man, when you got Michael Pennix

990
00:51:22,680 --> 00:51:26,800
Speaker 1: like Washington does, it can really really tilt the scales

991
00:51:26,920 --> 00:51:30,759
Speaker 1: in your favor very quickly, Let's take a look at

992
00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:34,600
Speaker 1: what the model thinks, because FanDuel, as I said, currently

993
00:51:34,600 --> 00:51:37,640
Speaker 1: has the two loss team favored against the undefeated team,

994
00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:42,160
Speaker 1: and the model is even more bullish. The model likes

995
00:51:42,160 --> 00:51:45,920
Speaker 1: Oregon State minus three and a half, and I agree

996
00:51:45,960 --> 00:51:49,040
Speaker 1: with it. I think this is the spot where Washington

997
00:51:49,080 --> 00:51:53,839
Speaker 1: goes down. There's a lot. Actually, I think that could

998
00:51:53,840 --> 00:51:56,160
Speaker 1: make you lean both ways. So I could bend these

999
00:51:56,160 --> 00:51:59,399
Speaker 1: stats to make me think anything I want to think.

1000
00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:02,680
Speaker 1: I think State's gonna find a way Saturday night in Corvallis,

1001
00:52:03,160 --> 00:52:05,759
Speaker 1: and it's going out in a blaze of glory in

1002
00:52:05,800 --> 00:52:07,759
Speaker 1: some ways when it comes to the PAC twelve. But

1003
00:52:07,800 --> 00:52:10,760
Speaker 1: also Oregon State is still in the Pactweld Championship Hunt.

1004
00:52:10,800 --> 00:52:13,760
Speaker 1: Now that's Oregon Washington won two right now, but Oregon

1005
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:16,360
Speaker 1: State's the third odds on favorite to win the conference

1006
00:52:16,440 --> 00:52:19,359
Speaker 1: right now, so this would be a big deal for them.

1007
00:52:19,360 --> 00:52:22,320
Speaker 1: It already is for a number of reasons. Gimme the Beavers.

1008
00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:24,279
Speaker 1: Not a ton of confidence on my side, but give

1009
00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:26,439
Speaker 1: me Oregon State to win in Oregon State to cover.

1010
00:52:28,239 --> 00:52:30,400
Speaker 1: We of course are a show of the people, and

1011
00:52:30,480 --> 00:52:35,760
Speaker 1: so I had Bradley as he does periodically. I said, Bradley,

1012
00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:37,640
Speaker 1: you don't look like you have anything better to do.

1013
00:52:37,960 --> 00:52:40,680
Speaker 1: Go look in the mail bag. And so he said, okay,

1014
00:52:40,760 --> 00:52:43,400
Speaker 1: and he comes back and he says, got one for you.

1015
00:52:44,360 --> 00:52:48,360
Speaker 1: And here's what Bradley brought me. Courtesy of Brody. Brody asks,

1016
00:52:48,600 --> 00:52:51,120
Speaker 1: even though you don't discuss it much, what are your

1017
00:52:51,120 --> 00:52:53,960
Speaker 1: thoughts on the Heisman race right now? From Columbus, Ohio.

1018
00:52:55,600 --> 00:52:58,200
Speaker 1: You're right, Brody, I don't discuss this much, but I

1019
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:00,000
Speaker 1: think it's worth a couple of minutes of our time.

1020
00:53:00,719 --> 00:53:03,000
Speaker 1: I mean, this is a rare, rare moment me discussing

1021
00:53:03,000 --> 00:53:05,280
Speaker 1: the Heisman. So let's get the current fan duel odds.

1022
00:53:05,320 --> 00:53:08,520
Speaker 1: Just so everyone understands the market, bo Nicks is the

1023
00:53:08,560 --> 00:53:11,480
Speaker 1: favorite to win the Heisman Trophy. Can we pause and

1024
00:53:11,520 --> 00:53:15,239
Speaker 1: appreciate how wild that statement is if we talk to

1025
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:21,600
Speaker 1: the versions of ourselves from two years ago. Bo Nicks. Anyway,

1026
00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:24,600
Speaker 1: Michael Pennix, if you want to make it even more crazy,

1027
00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:29,480
Speaker 1: Nix and Penix were at Auburn doing nothing and at

1028
00:53:29,520 --> 00:53:32,319
Speaker 1: Indiana not even staying healthy. Now they're elsewhere in there,

1029
00:53:32,480 --> 00:53:35,560
Speaker 1: one to two in the Heisman Race. That's college football

1030
00:53:35,560 --> 00:53:37,560
Speaker 1: for you. More on that in a second, Jaden Daniels

1031
00:53:37,680 --> 00:53:41,399
Speaker 1: is three at LSU, Marvin Harrison is four, and those

1032
00:53:41,440 --> 00:53:45,640
Speaker 1: are the guys with fairly similar odds. Then you go

1033
00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:48,480
Speaker 1: down a long way and you got Carson back five.

1034
00:53:48,680 --> 00:53:52,920
Speaker 1: And by the way, Jalen Millroe is number six in

1035
00:53:52,960 --> 00:53:56,000
Speaker 1: the Heisman race right now in terms of odds. And

1036
00:53:56,440 --> 00:53:59,000
Speaker 1: if I were to tell you that in Week three

1037
00:53:59,560 --> 00:54:02,480
Speaker 1: when he got benched against USF, you would have My

1038
00:54:02,520 --> 00:54:05,400
Speaker 1: point is, don't ever call the college football prediction stupid,

1039
00:54:06,280 --> 00:54:09,439
Speaker 1: because any of those predictions. If I said it about

1040
00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:12,000
Speaker 1: Nix or Pennix a couple of years ago, if I

1041
00:54:12,040 --> 00:54:14,239
Speaker 1: said it about Milroe a couple of months ago, you

1042
00:54:14,280 --> 00:54:18,160
Speaker 1: would have said was stupid. Like if you watched Milroe

1043
00:54:18,160 --> 00:54:21,719
Speaker 1: get benched against the USF and I made you two promises.

1044
00:54:22,080 --> 00:54:25,520
Speaker 1: Promise number one, Jordan Travis is not going to lose

1045
00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:28,560
Speaker 1: a game going into November, and he's not gonna be hurt,

1046
00:54:28,600 --> 00:54:30,960
Speaker 1: like he's gonna be healthy the whole time, and Milroe's

1047
00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:33,640
Speaker 1: still going to be above him in the Heisman nods

1048
00:54:33,680 --> 00:54:36,600
Speaker 1: come November. You would have called that crazy. And yet

1049
00:54:36,600 --> 00:54:39,480
Speaker 1: here we are. So anyway, I told you the other night,

1050
00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:42,080
Speaker 1: I'm going to reiterate it. My number one right now

1051
00:54:42,120 --> 00:54:43,919
Speaker 1: if I had to vote for the Heisman Trophy would

1052
00:54:43,920 --> 00:54:48,000
Speaker 1: be Jaden Daniels. His improvement has been insane. Look at

1053
00:54:48,000 --> 00:54:50,600
Speaker 1: the way he exited last year and how much he

1054
00:54:50,680 --> 00:54:53,240
Speaker 1: still needed to improve about his game, and he worked

1055
00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:55,920
Speaker 1: his tail off and he did it. He had two

1056
00:54:56,040 --> 00:54:59,560
Speaker 1: games last year with three hundred plus passing yards. He's

1057
00:54:59,640 --> 00:55:02,640
Speaker 1: had of them so far this year, and he's had

1058
00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:06,080
Speaker 1: none below two hundred and one of their bad stat

1059
00:55:06,160 --> 00:55:09,480
Speaker 1: games was grambling, which is irrelevant. Every other game he's

1060
00:55:09,520 --> 00:55:13,399
Speaker 1: had at least one one hundred yard receiver. He had

1061
00:55:13,480 --> 00:55:16,200
Speaker 1: six games below two hundred yards passing last year, none

1062
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:20,120
Speaker 1: so far this year. He's already eclipsed his total rushing

1063
00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:23,520
Speaker 1: yards from last year. LSU's lead rusher in four games

1064
00:55:23,520 --> 00:55:25,480
Speaker 1: has been Jade Daniels. So he's been a light in

1065
00:55:25,520 --> 00:55:27,600
Speaker 1: the world on fire. As I said the other day,

1066
00:55:27,880 --> 00:55:30,880
Speaker 1: it is not his fault that his defense is well

1067
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:33,440
Speaker 1: below average. The other night, I said it's not his

1068
00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:37,040
Speaker 1: fault as defense sucks, and LSU's actual account just retweeted that,

1069
00:55:37,440 --> 00:55:40,400
Speaker 1: which is awesome and a not so subtle shot across

1070
00:55:40,400 --> 00:55:43,240
Speaker 1: the defensive bow there. So Jaden Daniels is my favorite

1071
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:47,560
Speaker 1: at the moment, Bo Nicks and Michael Pennix. I think

1072
00:55:47,600 --> 00:55:49,839
Speaker 1: it's becoming pretty obvious and has been for a while.

1073
00:55:49,840 --> 00:55:53,960
Speaker 1: What that's coming down to. You've got the hypothetical, you know,

1074
00:55:54,040 --> 00:55:58,000
Speaker 1: collision course They're on to face off again in Las

1075
00:55:58,120 --> 00:56:03,520
Speaker 1: Vegas on PAC twelve Champions Friday. I never call predictions

1076
00:56:03,600 --> 00:56:06,719
Speaker 1: dumb for this reason. I don't think enough can be

1077
00:56:06,800 --> 00:56:10,120
Speaker 1: said about where those guys were two years ago. I mean,

1078
00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:14,200
Speaker 1: Nix had committed to Malson at Auburn and was not

1079
00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:18,520
Speaker 1: being developed worth anything, and it was a lost cause

1080
00:56:18,560 --> 00:56:21,560
Speaker 1: people felt like and yet he was ultra talented. People

1081
00:56:21,560 --> 00:56:24,360
Speaker 1: who watched him in high school knew this dude is

1082
00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:28,280
Speaker 1: better than what he's showing at Auburn. Meanwhile, Michael Pennix

1083
00:56:28,840 --> 00:56:31,560
Speaker 1: can't stay healthy, can't stay on the field in Indiana,

1084
00:56:31,640 --> 00:56:35,240
Speaker 1: and he transfers up to Washington and Knicks transfers to Oregon,

1085
00:56:35,239 --> 00:56:39,319
Speaker 1: and two years later it's number one. It's just a

1086
00:56:39,360 --> 00:56:42,080
Speaker 1: crazy story. But number two, it makes you realize, just

1087
00:56:42,239 --> 00:56:46,880
Speaker 1: like last year when we had a guy who was

1088
00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:50,080
Speaker 1: an afterthought at Virginia Tech, all of a sudden he

1089
00:56:50,120 --> 00:56:53,040
Speaker 1: transfers to Tennessee, and all of a sudden man magic

1090
00:56:53,120 --> 00:56:55,800
Speaker 1: at the quarterback position. Well, he didn't become a different

1091
00:56:55,880 --> 00:56:59,319
Speaker 1: human being. It just goes to show you any given year,

1092
00:57:00,080 --> 00:57:02,600
Speaker 1: there are a bunch of guys that just happened to

1093
00:57:02,600 --> 00:57:04,960
Speaker 1: be in the wrong position or maybe in the wrong soil,

1094
00:57:05,440 --> 00:57:07,520
Speaker 1: and then they get they get planted a different soil

1095
00:57:07,520 --> 00:57:09,800
Speaker 1: and they blossom, and you think it's a different person.

1096
00:57:09,880 --> 00:57:13,200
Speaker 1: It's not. Makes you wonder how many guys are out

1097
00:57:13,239 --> 00:57:16,720
Speaker 1: there at quarterback underachieving right now that would flourish if

1098
00:57:17,000 --> 00:57:20,520
Speaker 1: just put in a better situation. Bo Nicks twenty nine

1099
00:57:20,560 --> 00:57:24,600
Speaker 1: to two touchdown interception ratio this year, Pennix twenty eight

1100
00:57:24,600 --> 00:57:26,880
Speaker 1: and seven. Nicks has got the better stat profile than

1101
00:57:26,920 --> 00:57:29,440
Speaker 1: Pennix does. But if Pennix is two and zero against him,

1102
00:57:29,760 --> 00:57:33,440
Speaker 1: which isn't a real stat because these aren't starting pitchers

1103
00:57:33,520 --> 00:57:36,880
Speaker 1: in Major League Baseball, they're quarterbacks. But Heisman voters don't

1104
00:57:36,880 --> 00:57:38,960
Speaker 1: want to hear that if he's two and oh against Nick,

1105
00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:42,880
Speaker 1: he will finish above Nix and Heisman contention. Carson Beck

1106
00:57:43,920 --> 00:57:46,880
Speaker 1: as of now, doesn't look like he's got much of

1107
00:57:46,920 --> 00:57:48,760
Speaker 1: a shot to win this thing. He may be a finalist.

1108
00:57:49,240 --> 00:57:53,440
Speaker 1: Carson Beck's been like above and beyond expectation phenomenal. I

1109
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:56,200
Speaker 1: don't think he's exceeded expectation of people in the building

1110
00:57:56,200 --> 00:57:59,520
Speaker 1: in Athens, but man outside, like, you had a Heisman

1111
00:57:59,600 --> 00:58:01,880
Speaker 1: finalist last year in Bennett and he goes off to

1112
00:58:01,960 --> 00:58:06,439
Speaker 1: the NFL and Carson becks he's done everything you could

1113
00:58:06,440 --> 00:58:09,320
Speaker 1: possibly want him to do. Eighteen and five td tot

1114
00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:13,760
Speaker 1: over a seventy two percent completion guy. And you've also

1115
00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:18,840
Speaker 1: got Marvin Harrison Junior who's up at Ohio State and everybody,

1116
00:58:18,920 --> 00:58:22,360
Speaker 1: everybody's using the Devonte Smith scale to measure Marvin Harrison.

1117
00:58:22,360 --> 00:58:25,120
Speaker 1: That's got to be fun. Get compared to a guy

1118
00:58:25,120 --> 00:58:27,400
Speaker 1: that we hit star wagon too early in that twenty

1119
00:58:27,440 --> 00:58:32,320
Speaker 1: twenty season, and he's off pace compared to what Davante was.

1120
00:58:32,600 --> 00:58:36,600
Speaker 1: So it sounds like, unless you pace with Davante Smith

1121
00:58:36,640 --> 00:58:39,120
Speaker 1: one of the best receiving seasons of all time, you're

1122
00:58:39,160 --> 00:58:42,000
Speaker 1: not gonna win the Heisman as a receiver. Isn't that fun?

1123
00:58:42,240 --> 00:58:44,760
Speaker 1: That says so easy. It's like fortune cookie logic, But

1124
00:58:44,800 --> 00:58:48,120
Speaker 1: it is what it is. They're watching us in Millbrook, Alabama,

1125
00:58:48,560 --> 00:58:52,000
Speaker 1: San Diego, California, Bremen, Indiana. Let's roll through a couple

1126
00:58:52,040 --> 00:58:55,360
Speaker 1: of more things here. I haven't talked about Jim Harbaugh,

1127
00:58:55,560 --> 00:58:57,360
Speaker 1: but we're gonna talk about him right now. So I

1128
00:58:57,400 --> 00:58:59,680
Speaker 1: had another question. Bradley didn't bring me one. He brought

1129
00:58:59,720 --> 00:59:04,120
Speaker 1: me two questions. Corbin from Bedford, Texas asked, what do

1130
00:59:04,160 --> 00:59:07,760
Speaker 1: you make of Harbaugh saying Michigan should be America's team? Now,

1131
00:59:07,760 --> 00:59:09,760
Speaker 1: as we all know, the Atlanta Braves are America's team.

1132
00:59:09,960 --> 00:59:13,560
Speaker 1: Some would say the Dallas Cowboys. Eh, the Atlanta Braves

1133
00:59:13,560 --> 00:59:17,080
Speaker 1: are America's team. But I digress. In college football, if

1134
00:59:17,120 --> 00:59:19,959
Speaker 1: we're going to have an America's team, Jim Harball looked

1135
00:59:20,000 --> 00:59:23,160
Speaker 1: around at the podium, which he is still allowed to

1136
00:59:23,240 --> 00:59:26,360
Speaker 1: be at. Can't coach right now, according to the Big Ten,

1137
00:59:26,640 --> 00:59:29,400
Speaker 1: but he can conduct practices and he can walk to

1138
00:59:29,440 --> 00:59:30,880
Speaker 1: the podium and say this.

1139
00:59:31,200 --> 00:59:32,920
Speaker 3: It's got to be America's team. It's got to be

1140
00:59:32,920 --> 00:59:39,400
Speaker 3: America's team. America, America loves a team that beats the odds,

1141
00:59:39,400 --> 00:59:43,640
Speaker 3: beats the adversity, you know, overcomes with the naysayers and

1142
00:59:44,680 --> 00:59:50,400
Speaker 3: you know, critics so called experts think that's my favorite

1143
00:59:50,440 --> 00:59:53,840
Speaker 3: kind of team. And yeah, watching it from from that

1144
00:59:53,960 --> 00:59:58,240
Speaker 3: view on the television, it was finally people get to

1145
00:59:59,000 --> 01:00:01,640
Speaker 3: see what I see every day day doing these players

1146
01:00:01,640 --> 01:00:02,320
Speaker 3: and these coaches.

1147
01:00:05,600 --> 01:00:08,440
Speaker 1: You want to know what bunker mentality is. As bunker mentality,

1148
01:00:08,480 --> 01:00:11,000
Speaker 1: that is a dude who he peeks his head up

1149
01:00:11,040 --> 01:00:13,760
Speaker 1: above the surface just long enough to draw breath and

1150
01:00:13,800 --> 01:00:17,080
Speaker 1: then goes back under. Harball has no idea what you

1151
01:00:17,120 --> 01:00:20,400
Speaker 1: think about him, nor does he care, nor should he care.

1152
01:00:20,680 --> 01:00:24,640
Speaker 1: But the question was what do I think about him

1153
01:00:24,720 --> 01:00:30,160
Speaker 1: saying Michigan is America's team. Here's what I think. Congratulations,

1154
01:00:30,480 --> 01:00:33,960
Speaker 1: you played yourself. A lot of you fell for that yesterday.

1155
01:00:34,120 --> 01:00:36,400
Speaker 1: And the way I know that is because there are

1156
01:00:37,040 --> 01:00:41,200
Speaker 1: certain national programs that otherwise would not be caught dead

1157
01:00:41,280 --> 01:00:44,080
Speaker 1: talking about real college football. It chose to talk about

1158
01:00:44,080 --> 01:00:46,520
Speaker 1: that yesterday, and that's how I know it was effective.

1159
01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:51,760
Speaker 1: Crisis management, when conducted appropriately, is a beautiful thing to

1160
01:00:51,800 --> 01:00:56,840
Speaker 1: watch and also maddening. Harball understands if you peede your pants,

1161
01:00:57,360 --> 01:00:59,640
Speaker 1: mess your hair up, and then walk in the room

1162
01:00:59,760 --> 01:01:03,320
Speaker 1: and say, oh, look at my hair, because folks will

1163
01:01:03,320 --> 01:01:05,760
Speaker 1: talk about your hair and not the big wet spot

1164
01:01:05,800 --> 01:01:08,080
Speaker 1: on the front of your pants. Hey, if I go

1165
01:01:08,120 --> 01:01:12,120
Speaker 1: and call my team America's team, maybe in all the subterfusion,

1166
01:01:12,120 --> 01:01:15,280
Speaker 1: they'll forget what the crux of the problem is and

1167
01:01:15,400 --> 01:01:19,600
Speaker 1: like clapping seals, just a lot of you did it yesterday.

1168
01:01:20,240 --> 01:01:22,960
Speaker 1: I don't care who America's team is, and if you're

1169
01:01:23,000 --> 01:01:26,760
Speaker 1: anti Michigan out there, nor should you remember at the

1170
01:01:26,800 --> 01:01:29,720
Speaker 1: heart of the matter, not the Don Henley song, but

1171
01:01:29,840 --> 01:01:32,919
Speaker 1: the actual investigation going on right now, it's did these

1172
01:01:32,960 --> 01:01:35,520
Speaker 1: folks steal signs? What is it? Was it illegal? Did

1173
01:01:35,560 --> 01:01:38,440
Speaker 1: he know? And what's the punishment going to be? Now?

1174
01:01:38,720 --> 01:01:41,160
Speaker 1: What else is rubbing people the wrong way about Michigan

1175
01:01:41,680 --> 01:01:45,360
Speaker 1: is they've had the audacity to fight this thing at

1176
01:01:45,400 --> 01:01:50,200
Speaker 1: every turn. And I say the word audacity sarcastically because

1177
01:01:50,800 --> 01:01:53,480
Speaker 1: what they're doing is what you should do. What Michigan's

1178
01:01:53,560 --> 01:01:56,200
Speaker 1: doing right now is what you should do. Now if

1179
01:01:56,240 --> 01:01:58,960
Speaker 1: we draw a line in the sand. Okay, so Connor

1180
01:01:59,040 --> 01:02:03,560
Speaker 1: Stallion's allegedly does what he did. Whatever you think about that,

1181
01:02:04,200 --> 01:02:07,200
Speaker 1: he does what he did. From that point forward, when

1182
01:02:07,280 --> 01:02:10,320
Speaker 1: they start to come after you, you fight. You have

1183
01:02:10,400 --> 01:02:14,520
Speaker 1: the audacity to fight. You don't just bend over and

1184
01:02:14,560 --> 01:02:16,760
Speaker 1: take whatever the NC double A or your conference is

1185
01:02:16,800 --> 01:02:19,520
Speaker 1: going to deal out. That's how you become irrelevant and

1186
01:02:19,560 --> 01:02:22,200
Speaker 1: an afterthought as a program. You look to your left

1187
01:02:22,200 --> 01:02:24,080
Speaker 1: and right and you see some of your comrades who

1188
01:02:24,120 --> 01:02:26,320
Speaker 1: have been foolish enough to think, oh, if we just

1189
01:02:26,400 --> 01:02:28,040
Speaker 1: work with the NC double A, oh, if we just

1190
01:02:28,120 --> 01:02:31,560
Speaker 1: work with the conference. No, no, no, no, Especially if

1191
01:02:31,560 --> 01:02:33,920
Speaker 1: you're Michigan and you have some of the alumni you

1192
01:02:34,000 --> 01:02:37,400
Speaker 1: have there in the court system and in the legal community,

1193
01:02:37,520 --> 01:02:40,600
Speaker 1: you fight, and just on principle, you fight anyway. I

1194
01:02:40,600 --> 01:02:42,200
Speaker 1: don't know how that's going to turn out. Big day

1195
01:02:42,240 --> 01:02:45,919
Speaker 1: coming up Friday. Harball talked about that as well. But hey,

1196
01:02:45,960 --> 01:02:49,320
Speaker 1: the storm is winding down for them. I really believe this.

1197
01:02:50,200 --> 01:02:54,120
Speaker 1: I believe the storm is winding down for Michigan. Whatever's

1198
01:02:54,160 --> 01:02:56,959
Speaker 1: going to happen at this point, the balls already in motion.

1199
01:02:57,560 --> 01:02:59,560
Speaker 1: And like I told you the other day, this is

1200
01:02:59,560 --> 01:03:02,960
Speaker 1: a player led team. The culture is rock solid. Hardball

1201
01:03:03,160 --> 01:03:05,400
Speaker 1: got forced to take his hands off the wheel and

1202
01:03:05,440 --> 01:03:07,640
Speaker 1: the car staged straight as an arrow. That's cause you

1203
01:03:07,680 --> 01:03:11,320
Speaker 1: got a bunch of multi year starters, including that quarterback

1204
01:03:11,680 --> 01:03:14,400
Speaker 1: in that locker room. You got a really good coaching staff.

1205
01:03:14,560 --> 01:03:17,200
Speaker 1: They're fully capable. Whether he's on the sideline or not,

1206
01:03:17,520 --> 01:03:20,800
Speaker 1: he's conducting practice every week, he's installing game plan. He

1207
01:03:21,240 --> 01:03:23,800
Speaker 1: has everything to do with what's gonna happen on the field.

1208
01:03:23,960 --> 01:03:26,840
Speaker 1: He just doesn't get to stand at his usual spot.

1209
01:03:27,000 --> 01:03:29,240
Speaker 1: He doesn't get to decide when their timeouts are called.

1210
01:03:29,520 --> 01:03:32,320
Speaker 1: By and large, this thing will run itself. At this point,

1211
01:03:33,200 --> 01:03:38,400
Speaker 1: the storm as far as Michigan is winding down because

1212
01:03:38,440 --> 01:03:40,880
Speaker 1: their twenty twenty three season is not gonna be derailed.

1213
01:03:41,080 --> 01:03:43,120
Speaker 1: You were not gonna punish them soon enough for that.

1214
01:03:43,280 --> 01:03:47,560
Speaker 1: So my attention is a couple of fold. Number one,

1215
01:03:48,280 --> 01:03:50,120
Speaker 1: what's gonna happen. Is he gonna be able to coach

1216
01:03:50,200 --> 01:03:52,680
Speaker 1: or not? If he's not, they'll be fine anyway. Number two,

1217
01:03:53,240 --> 01:03:55,680
Speaker 1: what are their countermeasures gonna be? And then number three

1218
01:03:55,760 --> 01:03:59,920
Speaker 1: long term? Uh, what is life like between Michigan and

1219
01:04:00,080 --> 01:04:03,520
Speaker 1: the Big Ten? But I mean him calling them America's team, Like, y'all,

1220
01:04:03,560 --> 01:04:06,120
Speaker 1: you guys can't be that ignorant. You got to understand

1221
01:04:06,120 --> 01:04:09,960
Speaker 1: what that's about. I hope. Well, actually, maybe some people

1222
01:04:10,120 --> 01:04:12,800
Speaker 1: aren't sharp enough to understand what he was doing because

1223
01:04:12,840 --> 01:04:14,880
Speaker 1: it worked so good for Jim Harball. I don't think

1224
01:04:14,880 --> 01:04:17,360
Speaker 1: I've said those words lately, but good for Jim Harball.

1225
01:04:18,680 --> 01:04:22,479
Speaker 1: You just you know, down the road, Ohio State's gonna

1226
01:04:22,480 --> 01:04:24,960
Speaker 1: play Michigan a couple of weeks down the road. And

1227
01:04:25,000 --> 01:04:27,440
Speaker 1: if you're already excited about that game and you want

1228
01:04:27,440 --> 01:04:29,240
Speaker 1: to bet it, you think you have a good idea

1229
01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:31,720
Speaker 1: where it's going. You know, our buddies at FANDE will

1230
01:04:31,720 --> 01:04:36,120
Speaker 1: have that game already available like it's it's there, and

1231
01:04:36,200 --> 01:04:39,000
Speaker 1: so I didn't check it today, but Michigan's a favorite short.

1232
01:04:39,080 --> 01:04:41,280
Speaker 1: But they're a favorite. You can go bet it right now.

1233
01:04:41,400 --> 01:04:44,080
Speaker 1: You don't have to wait until game week. And also

1234
01:04:44,680 --> 01:04:47,440
Speaker 1: we got games coming up this weekend. You know, we

1235
01:04:47,520 --> 01:04:49,840
Speaker 1: got points spreads out there. But if you want to

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Speaker 1: go pick a money line. Go bet Arkansas on the

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Speaker 1: eight hundred Gambler or visitfanduel dot com backslash RG in Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, Michigan,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, and Virginia. Call one

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Speaker 1: eight hundred next step or text next step to five

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Speaker 1: three three four two in Arizona one eight eight eight

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Speaker 1: seven eight nine seven seven seven seven, or visit CCPG

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Speaker 1: dot org backslash chat in Connecticut one eight hundred and

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Speaker 1: nine with it in Indiana one eight hundred five two

1270
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Speaker 1: two forty seven hundred, or visit KS gambling heelp dot

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Speaker 1: com in Kansas one eight seven seven seven seven oh

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Speaker 1: stop in Louisiana. Visit MD gambling heelp dot org in

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Speaker 1: May Maryland. Visit one eight hundred gambler dot net in

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Speaker 1: West Virginia, or call one eight hundred five to two

1275
01:07:05,800 --> 01:07:09,720
Speaker 1: two forty seven hundred in Wyoming. Hope is here. Visit

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01:07:09,800 --> 01:07:13,760
Speaker 1: gambling Helpline MA dot org or call eight hundred three

1277
01:07:13,840 --> 01:07:16,560
Speaker 1: two seven fifty to fifty for twenty four seven support

1278
01:07:16,560 --> 01:07:19,960
Speaker 1: in Massachusetts or call one eight seven seven eight hope

1279
01:07:20,160 --> 01:07:23,800
Speaker 1: dash in Why or text hope and why in New York.

1280
01:07:24,400 --> 01:07:28,840
Speaker 1: Speaking of which, speaking of the Ramanudle Express noticed the

1281
01:07:28,920 --> 01:07:32,320
Speaker 1: train imagery subtly worked in there. Speaking of the Romanudle

1282
01:07:32,320 --> 01:07:36,200
Speaker 1: Express partnered with FanDuel I got some more best bets

1283
01:07:36,240 --> 01:07:38,800
Speaker 1: for you. We already added Troy minus fourteen Sunday night.

1284
01:07:38,840 --> 01:07:41,560
Speaker 1: We added Middle Tennessee State minus seven the other night.

1285
01:07:41,840 --> 01:07:43,880
Speaker 1: I got three more to fire on. So far we're

1286
01:07:43,920 --> 01:07:49,280
Speaker 1: on all favorites. This week. We're betting Iowa because finally

1287
01:07:49,280 --> 01:07:51,840
Speaker 1: a three popped on the board. We like Iowa to

1288
01:07:51,880 --> 01:07:54,640
Speaker 1: win by seven this Saturday, actually, but we wanted three

1289
01:07:55,000 --> 01:07:57,000
Speaker 1: because points are hard to come by in Iowa games.

1290
01:07:57,080 --> 01:07:59,720
Speaker 1: So Iowa minus three. I like where Clemson's heads at

1291
01:07:59,800 --> 01:08:02,280
Speaker 1: right now. We're taking the Tigers minus six and a

1292
01:08:02,360 --> 01:08:06,160
Speaker 1: half against North Carolina. And we tweeted this out a

1293
01:08:06,160 --> 01:08:09,320
Speaker 1: little while ago because the game is tonight. I believe

1294
01:08:09,680 --> 01:08:12,280
Speaker 1: Miami tomorrow. Okay, never mind, then forget what I had

1295
01:08:12,280 --> 01:08:15,320
Speaker 1: just said, Miami of Ohio minus eight and a half.

1296
01:08:16,200 --> 01:08:18,840
Speaker 1: It could have been tonight since it's a Matt game though.

1297
01:08:19,040 --> 01:08:20,960
Speaker 1: And the point is you got to make sure you're

1298
01:08:20,960 --> 01:08:24,360
Speaker 1: following at late kick Josh, Twitter and Instagram, cause sometimes

1299
01:08:24,400 --> 01:08:26,280
Speaker 1: we have weeknight games and I throw it out there

1300
01:08:26,280 --> 01:08:28,760
Speaker 1: three hours before kickoff. If you're waiting for the live show,

1301
01:08:28,760 --> 01:08:32,839
Speaker 1: you'd miss it. So let's just be a friend and follow.

1302
01:08:33,040 --> 01:08:36,120
Speaker 1: We're friends here. It's a community tight knit, at least

1303
01:08:36,160 --> 01:08:40,479
Speaker 1: I think it is so Troy MTSU, Iowa, Clemson, Miami

1304
01:08:40,520 --> 01:08:43,000
Speaker 1: of Ohio. Now here's what's about to happen. If you're

1305
01:08:43,000 --> 01:08:46,000
Speaker 1: listening on podcasts tomorrow, this will already be dating. They're

1306
01:08:46,040 --> 01:08:49,200
Speaker 1: releasing the playoff rankings as we speak. I have got

1307
01:08:49,240 --> 01:08:52,000
Speaker 1: to do nothing for my awardrobe, but I've got to

1308
01:08:52,040 --> 01:08:53,880
Speaker 1: go watch this right quick. Then I'm gonna hop on

1309
01:08:53,960 --> 01:08:58,519
Speaker 1: CBS Sports HQ in about twenty minutes. And if you

1310
01:08:58,520 --> 01:09:00,680
Speaker 1: want to hear me talk playoff, which I rarely do

1311
01:09:00,800 --> 01:09:03,599
Speaker 1: on my own show, that's where to find a CBS

1312
01:09:03,600 --> 01:09:05,639
Speaker 1: Sports hq dot com. So we'll be there in twenty

1313
01:09:05,680 --> 01:09:08,200
Speaker 1: minutes and we'll be back here Thursday night at same

1314
01:09:08,240 --> 01:09:11,559
Speaker 1: time until them. For director column producer Jesse, I'm Josh Bate.

1315
01:09:11,640 --> 01:09:20,040
Speaker 1: Thanks so much, take care of you, and God bless