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Speaker 1: This is straight Fire with Jason McIntyre and welcome everybody

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Speaker 1: a special straight fire here post Thanksgiving Friday, November. Hope

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Speaker 1: everybody had a great, outstanding Thanksgiving. A weird one in

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Speaker 1: but what the hell isn't weird in this bizarre year?

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Speaker 1: I thought we'd do a quick straight fire here on

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Speaker 1: Thanksgiving thoughts this Steelers Ravens debacle and then give out,

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Speaker 1: hopefully some winners on the best bet heading into Week twelve.

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Speaker 1: Week eleven was tough. Thanksgiving didn't go great, But hey, folks,

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Speaker 1: what do we do better than anybody? We're resilient where

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Speaker 1: Americans were tough, We're bouncing back. Let's dive into Thanksgiving thoughts. Listen,

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Speaker 1: I don't know what to say about the Detroit Lions

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Speaker 1: other than how on earth is Matt Patricia still employed

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Speaker 1: his head coach. The Texans embarrassed Patricia forty one in

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Speaker 1: that game in the second half was never in doubt.

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Speaker 1: Lions were a turnover machine. Now listen when I said

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Speaker 1: I can only take the Lions getting three on Wednesday's Pod.

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Speaker 1: This was before Golladay was ruled out. This was before

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Speaker 1: Swift was ruled out. The Lions have not covered a

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Speaker 1: game without Kenny Golladay this year. They just don't have

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Speaker 1: it offensively against UM anybody. They don't have the vertical

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Speaker 1: passing game. So that's a massive problem. And when you

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Speaker 1: removed Danny Amndola and you removed DeAndre Swift, like, what

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Speaker 1: are you doing offensively? And ultimately the Detroit defense was laughable.

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Speaker 1: The secondary got torch. Listen to, Shaun Watson is absolutely flamethrowing. Okay,

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Speaker 1: last six games, Deshaun Watson fifteen touchdown, zero interceptions. Now,

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Speaker 1: I know it's not against great teams, and he struggled

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Speaker 1: early in the season against the Chiefs and a good,

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Speaker 1: healthy Baltimore team in Pittsburgh, but Watson is looking like

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Speaker 1: that top ten quarterback that he is in the last

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Speaker 1: six week. Houston, man, they're rolling right now. Duke Johnson

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Speaker 1: even got me some fantasy points, so I like that.

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Speaker 1: But ultimately, Detroit brutal. It's seasons over for them. Matt Stafford,

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Speaker 1: poor guy. Good night Detroit. All right, let's quickly get

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Speaker 1: to Washington Dallas. This was another side. I felt confident

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Speaker 1: in Dallas here. I know a lot of people the

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Speaker 1: public love Washington and UM. This was a close game

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Speaker 1: in the second half of sixteen. Washington is ahead. We've

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Speaker 1: just seen a colossal error by Alex Smith um throwing

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Speaker 1: an interception that should have been a pick six if

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Speaker 1: not for an heroic play, amazing hustle from Terry McLaurin

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Speaker 1: the receiver to tackle Jalen Smith, and what happens. Dallas

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Speaker 1: implodes in the red zone. They could only make a

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Speaker 1: field goal. So it's Dallas is in the sixth thick

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Speaker 1: of things. They're in their own end. And a bizarre

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Speaker 1: fake punt effort that went spectacularly poorly. It was not

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Speaker 1: about I don't fault the fake punt call. I felt

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Speaker 1: the play call like I'm okay going for it on

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Speaker 1: fourth down fake punts, I'm fine with you. Gotta take

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Speaker 1: chances is the NFL offense rules. And for whatever reason,

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Speaker 1: of course, Alex Smith hasn't played well at all in

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Speaker 1: the last three weeks, and of course this is the

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Speaker 1: week he plays well, and the fake punt is a

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Speaker 1: deep end around. Whether runner was like ten yards behind

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Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage. Now replay showed he had an

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Speaker 1: open receiver. Uh, the guy never caught a pass in

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Speaker 1: his life, and Lamb ultimately did not get the pass. Off,

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Speaker 1: he's tackled and it was like, all right, that that's over.

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Speaker 1: And on the next play Washington gets a touchdown and

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Speaker 1: it was just such a momentum change that Washington pulled

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Speaker 1: away wins at forty one sixteen. I I just I

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Speaker 1: don't know what to say about Dallas, like they were

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Speaker 1: right there. McCarthy got so much equity back with the

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Speaker 1: fans after that great win against Minnesota, and then he

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Speaker 1: comes out and I don't know who you fault for

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Speaker 1: the play call on the punt. I'm sure it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be discussed internally. And that's just not when you bounce

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Speaker 1: back from easily because Dallas was in that game. Now,

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Speaker 1: Zeke Elliotts got to clean up his act, leads the

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Speaker 1: NFL and fumbles. Wolf had a bad turn over there

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Speaker 1: in the first half. By the way, Dallas just handing

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Speaker 1: Washington points with turnovers two turnovers deep in their own

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Speaker 1: end gave them three points. If you toss in the

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Speaker 1: fake punt disaster, give him seventeen points off turnovers. You

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Speaker 1: can't do that now with a backup quarterback. Now with

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Speaker 1: an awful defense Washington. By the way, this kid Gibson

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Speaker 1: looks like a keeper what a find in the draft.

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Speaker 1: Really nice player. Washington leading the NFC least uh for now,

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Speaker 1: We'll see what happens. If the Giants can get by

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Speaker 1: the Bengals and their backup quarterback Brandon Allen. Oh my gosh,

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Speaker 1: what a train wreck the Bengals are. Then um, you

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Speaker 1: know that'll be tied again. I don't think anybody expects

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Speaker 1: the Eagles to beat the Seahawks, although I would not

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Speaker 1: be running to bet Seattle at a five point spread.

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Speaker 1: We'll get the best that's later. Those are the two games,

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Speaker 1: and then the big story was the game that didn't happen.

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and Baltimore postponed until Sunday at one o'clock, although

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of doubt whether or not that game

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Speaker 1: actually happens. Folks, we have been early on this, this

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Speaker 1: whole idea that teams that are struggling are gonna continue

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Speaker 1: to keep their twenty five year old millionaire players away

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Speaker 1: from catching COVID and taking some risk and having fun

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Speaker 1: and going out into the world. That's just not a

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Speaker 1: likely scenario. Baltimore right now has a COVID outbreak. They

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Speaker 1: will be down if the game happens Sunday, Ingram, they

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Speaker 1: will be down Dobbins, they will be down, Lamar Jackson.

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Speaker 1: I mean that is I don't r G three against

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Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers defense like good luck in the voice

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Speaker 1: of the bad Guy, one of the bad guys from

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Speaker 1: taking good luck, like, I mean r G three, Come on,

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Speaker 1: that's that's a beat down. But this you know both

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Speaker 1: more listen, it's it's got to be disappointing. Now there's

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Speaker 1: a strength and conditioning coach who's getting fingered here as

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Speaker 1: the outbreak chief because he wasn't wearing a mask. He

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Speaker 1: wasn't he had he had symptoms and still was around

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Speaker 1: the team. And you know, Baltimore, I don't know how

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Speaker 1: you can make a case for them to be a

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Speaker 1: playoff team. They're gonna lose to Pittsburgh if the game happens.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not one of these guys who's like, hey, COVID,

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Speaker 1: you can't do anything about it. You gotta postpone the game,

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Speaker 1: like no, you don't. A lot of teams are trying

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Speaker 1: their best and one guy getting COVID. Two guys, Okay,

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Speaker 1: the Ravens have a full on outbreak. You're not doing

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Speaker 1: your best job. And I don't think the Steelers should

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Speaker 1: be penalized. There are reports out there, folks that if

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Speaker 1: the game is not played, no player gets paid. So

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Speaker 1: you're telling me the Pittsburgh Steelers players are gonna lose

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Speaker 1: a paycheck potentially because the Baltimore Ravens all got COVID. Wow,

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Speaker 1: what's fair about that? NFL needs to do something about that,

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Speaker 1: because that that ain't right. I think you tell. I

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Speaker 1: think if you're the NFL, you Telerators, Ravens, Hey guys,

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Speaker 1: call up your dudes from the practice squad. This game

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Speaker 1: is happening, and you wanted to take the L, you

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Speaker 1: take the L. But Pittsburgh should not be penalized there

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Speaker 1: in the mix for the number one seed. And uh I,

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Speaker 1: I just absolutely don't think that they should be the

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Speaker 1: ones taking the heat here because Baltimore couldn't get their

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Speaker 1: act together. And I want a quick word on Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 1: the Baltimore quarterback who's struggling off his MVP year, and

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Speaker 1: I I think I'm gonna hear other people say the

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Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens super Bowl window. I don't want to say

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Speaker 1: it's closed, but it is shutting rapidly. Last year was

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Speaker 1: the year they needed to get it done. Fourteen and two,

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Speaker 1: Lamar was still befuddling opponents, and they really whipped on

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Speaker 1: two big fourth downs against the Tennessee Titans in that

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Speaker 1: playoff game and I end up losing. Um they still

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Speaker 1: had like five yards of offense. Lamar was good, but

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Speaker 1: it was all in catch up mode. And I don't

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Speaker 1: know if they don't go out and add a vertical threat,

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Speaker 1: some real receiver here, And I don't want to hear

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Speaker 1: about Hollywood Brown, some five tens smurf who can't catch

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Speaker 1: a pass in a loss to Tennessee against one of

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Speaker 1: the worst secondaries in the league. The Baltimore Ravens super

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Speaker 1: Bowl window will be shut. They have spent lavishly on

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Speaker 1: this defense, and defense has been up and down. They've

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Speaker 1: had some injuries, the offensive line has been hurt. You

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Speaker 1: want to give Baltimore pass, that's fine, but there will

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Speaker 1: be massive pressure on Lamar Jackson. Folks, we went from

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson M v P M two, Well, damn Ravens

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Speaker 1: are gonna miss the playoffs. Well damned are you gonna

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Speaker 1: extend Lamar Jackson. Seriously, this is his third year and

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Speaker 1: it's tough to make a case for Lamar Jackson as

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Speaker 1: your long term investment. You're forty million a year quarterback.

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Speaker 1: If he can't get anything done this year, I look,

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Speaker 1: where do you go? I don't know what the answer is.

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Speaker 1: It is all of a sudden, a very precarious situation

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Speaker 1: in Baltimore because it has gone from Super Bowl contenders

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Speaker 1: m v P two. What do we have here? I

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Speaker 1: don't think you know. If you're Baltimore and uh, you know,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be a turbulent time in Baltimore. I think

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Speaker 1: I would definitely take Kyler Murray over Lamar Jackson for

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Speaker 1: the next three years. If you asked me this last year, well,

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson's on his way to m VP. And this

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Speaker 1: is how much has changed. Kyler Murray m v P Kennedy.

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Speaker 1: Kyler Murray much more dangerous with his legs. You can't

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Speaker 1: solve him as easily because he's on track to past

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Speaker 1: for four thousand yards now going into the Ravens uh sorry,

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Speaker 1: going to the Patriots game this weekend, there is some

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Speaker 1: trepidation on my part to pull the trigger on Kyler Murray.

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Speaker 1: He's got a shoulder thing. DeAndre Hopkins suddenly misspracticed this

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Speaker 1: week You're like, what's going on here? They need this

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Speaker 1: win to get in the playoff hunt, but um, Kyler

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Speaker 1: Murray definitely is the guy going forward over Lamar Jackson.

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Speaker 1: I don't think you can make any case otherwise. Hell,

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Speaker 1: I don't know that you could say I would take

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson over to Shaun Watson at this point, I

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Speaker 1: just don't know what you have with Lamar Jackson, and

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Speaker 1: the COVID certainly ain't gonna help him. He's gonna come

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Speaker 1: back and they're gonna be up against the eight ball

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Speaker 1: to get in the playoffs. What happens if they lose

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Speaker 1: to the Browns? We know they already crushed him this year,

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Speaker 1: but I don't know. Man, Suddenly Baltimore is panicking. M

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Speaker 1: all right. So that's just quick takes on Thanksgiving games,

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson and the Ravens and the Steelers COVID situation. UM,

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Speaker 1: I'll give you a quick best bet. The only thing

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Speaker 1: better than sitting on your couch watching the game. He's

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Speaker 1: making money while you do it. Here's your best bat.

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Speaker 1: I have four picks. I might shrink it to three

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Speaker 1: as I'm talking this over. Let's start with the Marquee game.

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, Kansas City. Okay, for me sidewise, this would

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Speaker 1: be Tampa or Pass. But I'm to just take the

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Speaker 1: over fifty five and a half points. I know that's

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Speaker 1: a lot. However, every time Brady and Mahomes link up,

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Speaker 1: it's a classic. Now. I know a lot of those

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Speaker 1: were in New England, but this Chief's defense is just

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Speaker 1: not being able to stop. Folks who've seen Brady struggle

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Speaker 1: against the top ten defenses, the Bears, the Saints, the Rams.

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Speaker 1: Chiefs are a fringe top ten defense. I think Brady

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Speaker 1: will have some success moving to football. And think about it,

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Speaker 1: every Chief's game is legit threat to go over. Bridgewater shredding.

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Speaker 1: The chief Secondary game goes over Um, both of the

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Speaker 1: Raiders game over. I think this one tops fifty five

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Speaker 1: and a half. So that's my bed. I've already got

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Speaker 1: the bed in fifty five and a half. Kansas City

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Speaker 1: Tampa over next up. Oh boy, I'm backing Anthony Lynn

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Speaker 1: on the road as a big underdog in Buffalo. I'm

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Speaker 1: seeing five and a half, but it's trending word five

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Speaker 1: five kind of a dead number, so it probably goes

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Speaker 1: down to four and a half eventually. I like Justin

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Speaker 1: Herbert as a as an underdog here, and we've seen

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Speaker 1: teams struggle coming off the bye. I do this um

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Speaker 1: Talk the Line show with Jeff Schwartz on Fox Sports digitally,

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Speaker 1: and the Fox Sports research team gave me a number

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Speaker 1: teams off the by this year only ten and twelve

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Speaker 1: against the spread. Now, I know that number seems weird, uh,

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Speaker 1: And I don't have historic numbers for you, but just

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Speaker 1: think about it like this. Usually your bye week is

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Speaker 1: you're on vacation, you're away from football, you're recharging the batteries.

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Speaker 1: You know. Now you're at home, you're going in for

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Speaker 1: COVID test daily. You're not able to really get away,

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Speaker 1: and the bye is not much of a bye. You're

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Speaker 1: really cooped up. You can't do anything. And I don't

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Speaker 1: know if it's as much of an advantage as it

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Speaker 1: has been in years past. I think the Chargers offense

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Speaker 1: is humming as long as they're not doing dives into

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Speaker 1: the line. The scrimmage, like Anthony Lynn loves, keep throwing

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Speaker 1: Herbert on first down, second and short for your rookie

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Speaker 1: quarterback is where you want to beat. There is a

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Speaker 1: chance Austin Ekeler plays. He went on Twitch and announced

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Speaker 1: that he's healthy and he's back. I've seen him some

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Speaker 1: of the workout videos on social media. Eckler is a

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Speaker 1: game changer man. That guy is a great player. And

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Speaker 1: if you watch that Tampa Chargers game earlier this year,

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Speaker 1: Chargers were in control in Tampa, Eckler gets hurt. I

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Speaker 1: think it was late first half for early second half,

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Speaker 1: and the Tampa offense suddenly just hit the skids. They

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Speaker 1: don't really have a running threat. Don't give me Kaylin

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Speaker 1: bellage like, get out of here. Come on. Eckler is

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Speaker 1: really nice and this Buffalo defense just is not what

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Speaker 1: it used to be. It's not what it was, you know.

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Speaker 1: They're very susceptible to the past. They cannot really stop

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Speaker 1: the run. Josh Allen should have success, although Bosa and

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Speaker 1: Ingram should have success as well. I think there's a

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Speaker 1: shootout and I'm taking the Chargers getting five and a half.

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Speaker 1: Next up, I'm going with Taysom Hill. Yes, I am

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Speaker 1: Taysom Hill and the Saints on the road in Denver,

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Speaker 1: now Denver as we record this Friday morning, just released,

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Speaker 1: they had a COVID situation. I think I saw Jeff

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Speaker 1: driscoll a coach and another player, Driscoll. Of course the quarterback. Um,

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Speaker 1: he was at one point the back up and then

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Speaker 1: he got usurped by the kid ripping. So no word

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Speaker 1: on the Denver quarterback situation. Um, I think by all

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Speaker 1: accounts it's gonna be Drew Lock again. I did not

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Speaker 1: love what I saw for Drew Lock against the Miami Dolphins. Yes,

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Speaker 1: I was on the Dolphins. Yes it was stupid. I

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Speaker 1: knew it was stupid, but it was a bet against

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Speaker 1: Denver and they just ran the football at will. Guess

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Speaker 1: what the Saints do better than anyone else in football? Oh,

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Speaker 1: they run defense better than anyone else in the league.

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Speaker 1: Right now, the Saints run defense is impenetrable, so so good.

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Speaker 1: I trust them more than anybody any other run stopping unit.

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Speaker 1: And if you take away Denver's run game Lindsay and

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Speaker 1: Gordon at about a hundred eighty nine yards against Miami,

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Speaker 1: do you trust Drew Lock through the air? Lattimore is

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Speaker 1: back at corner this week. He's really got It's really

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Speaker 1: Jerry Judy and Drew Lock. Fant is okay, Tim Patrick

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Speaker 1: is okay. But this is a Denver team that loves

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Speaker 1: to fall behind early. They are twenty nine in first

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Speaker 1: half scoring and their first half defense is twenty four.

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Speaker 1: So historically they've fallen behind, then they have to can't

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Speaker 1: run the football, and now you've got Drew Lock playing

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Speaker 1: catch up. I mean, that's a nightmare scenario against his

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Speaker 1: Saints defense. Last week against the Miami they had the

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Speaker 1: early Lock turnover and then Miami scores, but then all

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Speaker 1: Miami could do offensively was pumped the rest of the half.

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Speaker 1: So in a close game, you're able to run and

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Speaker 1: it's not that much pressure on Drew Lock. Well, you

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Speaker 1: can't run this week. I'm telling you, Saints are gonna

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Speaker 1: blood in them short of Tayson Hill turning the ball

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Speaker 1: over two or three times. I really like this Saints team.

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Speaker 1: Remember they sacked Matt Ryan eight times last week. So

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Speaker 1: you're talking about Drew Lock under pressure with no run game. Listen,

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Speaker 1: this is the NFL. Games are gonna end up close.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know how the Broncos hanging this one. Saints,

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Speaker 1: by the way, the only team in the NFL top

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Speaker 1: ten in offense, special teams, and defense in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: They're the only team in the top ten and all

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Speaker 1: three of those there's a good Saints team. They're starting

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Speaker 1: to peek at the right time. I like the Saints

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Speaker 1: favored by six. I think they witnessed by double digits.

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Speaker 1: So those are three picks, and um the fourth one

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Speaker 1: I want to give out, but I just can't. Guys,

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry. I want to give out the Niners getting

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Speaker 1: a touchdown, but guess what, it's already under a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: Two reasons I cannot. I'll have to wait until Sunday

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Speaker 1: to bet this number one. What's going on with the

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Speaker 1: forty Niners injuries? Is Richard Sherman back right? He's huge?

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Speaker 1: How are the linebackers kin Law on the COVID list?

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Speaker 1: Is anyone else gonna pop up on the COVID list

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Speaker 1: for San France? I do believe the forty nine there's

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Speaker 1: could be in play here. I just need to see

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Speaker 1: more on the COVID list. So I can't give this

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Speaker 1: out as the best bet. Now. Maybe I could add

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Speaker 1: it on social media or whatever, but I would look

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Speaker 1: closely at this Niners team. Rams are coming off a

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Speaker 1: by low, I'm sorry, a cell high, given that they

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Speaker 1: just beat Tampa Bay on Monday Night football and everybody

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Speaker 1: watched them look great. Well, did you watch the earlier

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Speaker 1: ramsigners game. Forty Niners run game destroyed the Rams. Most

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Speaker 1: are I mean as most are going to be back.

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Speaker 1: We know he's always hurt, so the injuries for the

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Speaker 1: forty Niners will keep me off it here Friday, but

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Speaker 1: Sunday morning I might have to fire on the Niners

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Speaker 1: if I find out a lot of guys are in

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Speaker 1: And yes, I do like the Rams, it's just that's

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Speaker 1: a big number for divisional matchup um, and there's no

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Speaker 1: fans and in so far for the for the Rams,

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Speaker 1: so I think the forty Niners are in play. Finally,

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Speaker 1: the potential other fourth potential game for me has to

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Speaker 1: be the Tennessee Titans. If you can get three and

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Speaker 1: a half, I think you take it. The Colts gave

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Speaker 1: out a big COVID name DeForrest Buckner, the guy they

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Speaker 1: got from San Francisco. Buckner tested positive for COVID. He's

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Speaker 1: their best run stopper. Not ideal to not have him

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Speaker 1: going up against Derrick Henry. Now the easy handicap for this.

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Speaker 1: Oh oh, the Colts beat him last time easily. Oh,

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Speaker 1: there's no no contest um. It was a close game

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Speaker 1: at halftime. The Tennessee Titans were leading. Their special teams

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Speaker 1: fell apart in the third quarter with a block punt

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Speaker 1: for touchdown a shank punt. It was ugly, and the

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Speaker 1: Colts came back and won that game. I do believe

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Speaker 1: if Tennessee can run the football, check their offensive line

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Speaker 1: injuries another late injury report to monitor. They had three

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Speaker 1: guys out against the Ravens, but Baltimore had two on

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Speaker 1: the line out, so Tennessee was able to move the

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Speaker 1: football uh and ultimately prevailing overtime. They trailed that game

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Speaker 1: though twenty one to ten in the third quarter, were

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Speaker 1: able to come back. I think Tennessee is gonna be

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Speaker 1: a live underdog again these divisional matchups, second time around familiarity.

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Speaker 1: I know rabel has struggled against Frank right, but I

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Speaker 1: will be looking hard at Tennessee. If I can get

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Speaker 1: three and a half UM. Just one other one I

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Speaker 1: want to give out is um, I'll look at the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: By three and a half, this was looking to be

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Speaker 1: a four, but then Adam Felum popped up. Now he

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Speaker 1: doesn't have COVID, he's on the contact tracing list. Theland

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Speaker 1: obviously instrumental leads him in receptions, touchdowns. He's awesome. Carolina

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Speaker 1: will score, but they cannot stop the run their second

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Speaker 1: in the league, and miss tackles. I think Dalvin Cook

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Speaker 1: could have a hundred fifty yard game. McCaffrey will see

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Speaker 1: if he plays. I haven't seen a verdict yet, and

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Speaker 1: that's one of the problems guys with best bet this week.

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Speaker 1: There's so much uncertainty with COVID and injuries. But the

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Speaker 1: three I feel good about Casey Tampa Bay over fifty

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Speaker 1: five and a half, Chargers getting five and a half,

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Speaker 1: Saints favored by six, So a little abbreviated straight fire

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Speaker 1: for Friday. Hope everybody had a good, safe Thanksgiving. Um,

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Speaker 1: we'll be getting our Christmas tree this weekend and uh

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Speaker 1: any questions concerns hit me up on social media. Remember subscribe, rate,

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Speaker 1: and review to the podcast. We'll talk to you Monday.