1 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 1: All right, welcome to Lake kick Is Live at his 2 00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: Thursday Night, November twelfth year of Our Lord twenty twenty. 3 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: We have got and I know you may find it 4 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:25,119 Speaker 1: hard to believe, but I will prove you wrong if 5 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 1: you don't believe it a jam packed show, even on 6 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: what some are calling a light week. I don't necessarily 7 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 1: think so, although I know why they're saying that, but 8 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:36,320 Speaker 1: I'll just kick it to you right off the top. 9 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 1: Colin and I were talking there in the control room 10 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: if we were going to start our show tonight by 11 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:43,519 Speaker 1: telling you, oh, man, there aren't very many games to 12 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:45,240 Speaker 1: watch this weekend and we don't really have a whole 13 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:46,840 Speaker 1: lot to talk about. Well, then how in the world 14 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: would I blame you for just tuning out? So we've 15 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 1: got a lot to talk about tonight, and we may 16 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 1: even go down some avenues and routes that typically we 17 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 1: wouldn't have time to go down, given how frantic the 18 00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 1: nature of the scheduling is normally this time in November. 19 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: So who knew that we would have a little wiggle 20 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:06,120 Speaker 1: room come Alabama LSU week. Certainly weren't saying that a 21 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: year ago, But that's the hand that we've been dealt. 22 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: We have got great sub numbers this week, So if 23 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 1: you haven't already subscribed to the twenty four to seven 24 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 1: Sports YouTube channel, find the Late Kick podcast subscribe there too, 25 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 1: and we're trying to get one thousand five star reviews. 26 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: There doesn't even necessarily have to be off your phone, 27 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 1: if your mom's got one, if your uncle Freddy's got one, 28 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:29,479 Speaker 1: or what did Saban say yesterday? Uncle Timmy. We don't 29 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:32,919 Speaker 1: know where Uncle Timmy's been. Truer words never spoken friends, 30 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:35,400 Speaker 1: But if Uncle Timmy has an iPhone, take it while 31 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 1: he's asleeps pull it from his hand, give us a 32 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: five star review. There. We got full week eleven predictions. 33 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: Coming up on the show, I want to talk to 34 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 1: you about Felipe Franks at Arkansas. I got someone the 35 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: other day who rightfully said, you're not talking about Arkansas enough. Well, 36 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 1: we're going to predict their game against Florida, and then 37 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: I'm also going to kind of go down a little 38 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 1: side road about why Felipe Franks encapsulates just a lot 39 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: of what's great about college football. It's kind of stuff 40 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 1: you don't you can't get in the NFL because the 41 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: structure of the sport's a little bit different, so it's 42 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:07,400 Speaker 1: not knocking one for the sake of the other. But 43 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:09,639 Speaker 1: we're going to talk about that and also the college 44 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 1: football playoff picture. Some of you have taken note that 45 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:15,080 Speaker 1: we have not discussed it much this year. We have 46 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,920 Speaker 1: not done week over week updated predictions, not that we 47 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: do it in a normal year anyway, I've stated my 48 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 1: opinion on that. However, we haven't even gone down the 49 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: hypothetical routes of what if the Pac twelve only has 50 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 1: a seven win champion, could they overtake fill in the blank. 51 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 1: And we really haven't taken that deep dive. Now we're 52 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 1: starting to see why, so we're going to talk about 53 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: that a little bit more tonight. Also, the Rama Noodle 54 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 1: Express is chugging along now just over fifty nine percent. 55 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 1: And you may say, Josh, it was only fifty eight 56 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:46,639 Speaker 1: percent the other night. Well that was before Eastern Michigan 57 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:49,640 Speaker 1: came through for us last night against Ball State, or 58 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: Ball's Tate as some of you like to pronounce it. 59 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 1: So we have got three more best bets coming up 60 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:57,080 Speaker 1: at the end of the show tonight, and I don't 61 00:02:57,120 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 1: know that we'll be done tonight, As I always tell 62 00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:01,639 Speaker 1: you you don't want to miss out. Make sure you're 63 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 1: following me on Twitter at late Kick Josh, cause got 64 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: I can tell you right off the top of my 65 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,400 Speaker 1: head two games that we don't have a line that 66 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 1: we like for yet, but if we get the movement 67 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 1: we think we're going to get, we'll probably hop on 68 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 1: those Friday or Saturday, whenever we get the line move 69 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:18,639 Speaker 1: So all that and as I dive in, I am 70 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:21,239 Speaker 1: going to get home pretty quick after the show tonight. 71 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: I've got yet another consultation with one of you. Guys 72 00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:27,120 Speaker 1: had two really good ones last night. As I continue 73 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:30,520 Speaker 1: to say, I continue to be overwhelmed by just the 74 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:32,880 Speaker 1: general raw talent that we have by a lot of 75 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 1: people in our audience. Not surprised by it, but I'm 76 00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: overwhelmed by it. So, as I've told you, we have 77 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 1: some slots open, I got some open, two or three 78 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 1: maybe in the next seven days. Any one of you 79 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:49,440 Speaker 1: who are interested in potentially pursuing a career in sports media, 80 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 1: I don't care if you're fifteen, or thirty five or 81 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 1: fifty five. If you've thought about it, you think you 82 00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:56,560 Speaker 1: got the talent, you just don't really know where to go. 83 00:03:56,680 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: How to begin, I'm a dude who started a YouTube channel, 84 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:01,839 Speaker 1: so trust me. A year later, I'm sitting at twenty 85 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 1: four to seven sports. I would be more than happy 86 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 1: to talk to you about that, So hit me up, 87 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: Josh pat seven zero six at gmail dot com or 88 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:11,480 Speaker 1: on Twitter at Latekickjosh. And as for the rest of you, 89 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: let's dive in week eleven predictions. You know the list 90 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:17,280 Speaker 1: of games that have been postponed. I'm not going to 91 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: waste your time talking about that. I was very fascinated 92 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 1: by them. They may come, they may not, but we 93 00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:23,840 Speaker 1: got some games that have a lot of interest for us. 94 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:26,239 Speaker 1: Here in the beauty of our fan base. The beauty 95 00:04:26,440 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: of all these fan bases that make up the Late 96 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 1: Kick audience is you'll notice that they kind of care 97 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 1: about the sport. You certainly care about your program first 98 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 1: and foremost, but the folks who watch this show are 99 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:39,520 Speaker 1: also the folks that after your team's played, Let's say 100 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: you have a noon kickoff, you're still there three point 101 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 1: thirty window, seven o'clock window, probably watching some late night 102 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:50,280 Speaker 1: Mountain West ten pm Eastern time kickoff for various reasons. 103 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:53,039 Speaker 1: And I don't want to castigate anyone, but for whatever reason. 104 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 1: You guys are college football fans, so you kind of 105 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 1: care about all this stuff. So you'll be watching this 106 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:00,320 Speaker 1: weekend regardless of whether your team's playing or not. If 107 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 1: you're a Florida fan, your team's playing Arkansas at Florida. 108 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:04,800 Speaker 1: That's the game we're gonna start with. We're gonna go 109 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:06,719 Speaker 1: around the horn and do a number of predictions here. 110 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 1: Florida is a seventeen point favorite. This is a Saturday 111 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 1: seven o'clock kickoff. All times Eastern, even though we sit 112 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:16,720 Speaker 1: here in Nashville, Tennessee. This is on ESPN now. Sam Pittman, 113 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 1: head coach at Arkansas. Obviously he's missing this game due 114 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:23,359 Speaker 1: to COVID. I had a lot of you kind of 115 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:26,280 Speaker 1: DM me and say, isn't the over at sixty or 116 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 1: sixty and a half? Isn't the over the obvious play here? 117 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 1: I don't know that it's the obvious play at all. 118 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:32,359 Speaker 1: I will not have a pick on the total in 119 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:34,680 Speaker 1: this game, so I'll spoil the ending for you there. 120 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: Arkansas's ninety fifth in the country in scoring offense. Guys, 121 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 1: there is never an obvious over when a team is 122 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 1: ninety fifth in the country in scoring offense. Now, I 123 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 1: think the way some of you are envisioning this going 124 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:49,240 Speaker 1: is you count on Florida getting their points, and then 125 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 1: you count on Felipe Franks just having the game of 126 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:54,040 Speaker 1: his life. You essentially view Felipe Franks as having the 127 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:56,760 Speaker 1: opportunity to do this week what Ian Book for Notre 128 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: Dame did against Clemson last week. It wouldn't be the 129 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:01,240 Speaker 1: most shocking thing in the world. I'm not telling you 130 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:04,400 Speaker 1: I'm convicted on the under or the over. Quite the opposite. 131 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 1: I'm neutral on him. Well, is Florida gonna limit mistakes? 132 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 1: That's what I'd love to know. If you could padlock 133 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:12,800 Speaker 1: stat me maybe a third down conversion percentage for Arkansas 134 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:15,960 Speaker 1: turnover percentage or margin. I'd love to have that, because 135 00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 1: I don't know that this game or previous up to 136 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:24,160 Speaker 1: this point, I've really fallen in love with the Arkansas 137 00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 1: run game. I think they's somewhere three three and a 138 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: half yards per carry. But that's okay because Felipe Franks 139 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:33,479 Speaker 1: is capable of having one of those games. I think 140 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 1: he's playing right now at about the best level that 141 00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:37,720 Speaker 1: I've seen him play in his career. When you take 142 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:39,760 Speaker 1: everything into account, we're going to talk about him a 143 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:41,719 Speaker 1: little bit later, a little bit more in depth on 144 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:45,240 Speaker 1: the show. He's capable of having one of those games 145 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:48,600 Speaker 1: against Florida. You know, I kind of thought Besilac and 146 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:50,920 Speaker 1: Missouri may be in that position a couple of weeks ago, 147 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 1: and they weren't. Florida ended up running away, brawl and all. 148 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 1: They ended up running away. So it's gonna be his game. 149 00:06:57,200 --> 00:06:58,960 Speaker 1: As my point, I don't think they're gonna have a 150 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:00,719 Speaker 1: ton of success running the ball. It's going to be 151 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 1: put on his shoulders. I think he's more than happy 152 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:06,159 Speaker 1: to accept that responsibility this week. This is one he's 153 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:09,159 Speaker 1: probably had circled ever since the schedule got rearranged. But 154 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 1: on the other side, Florida's run game hasn't lit the 155 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 1: world on fire either. Fortunately, that's not what their identity 156 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 1: is this year. They need adequate production from the run game. 157 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: They don't need to run it for two fifty two 158 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 1: to seventy five of pop. So our number on this game, 159 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 1: and I didn't even bother having Colin make game capsules. 160 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 1: But as I said, the Vegas number is minus seventeen. 161 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: For Florida, we've got it even stretched a little bit 162 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 1: further at Florida minus nineteen. But if you followed the 163 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 1: show this year, you know Arkansas has been a team 164 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 1: who has fluctuated wildly, and our number has not really 165 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:43,320 Speaker 1: been able to pin Arkansas down. We really jumped on 166 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 1: A and M against him, and we were right there. 167 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:47,920 Speaker 1: But last week we took Tennessee and Arkansas put up 168 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: twenty four in the third. They won the game in 169 00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 1: the third quarter alone. So I don't have a strong 170 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 1: feel in this game. I will take Florida to win 171 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 1: the game. I will ever so slightly lean their way 172 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 1: to cover. But if I were throwing darts at the 173 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 1: board and I divorced myself from our model, I'd probably 174 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 1: give a strong look to the Hogs and the points there. 175 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 1: How about Notre Dame Notre Dames at Boston College, And 176 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: I sometimes do the exercise of those of you who 177 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: have not looked at point spreads already, what would you 178 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: think the line is on this game? You are fresh 179 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 1: off watching the performance of a lifetime from several players 180 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: on this Notre Dame team Ian Book, in particular at quarterback, 181 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 1: and now they go to Boston College Saturday, three point 182 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:33,560 Speaker 1: thirty eastern ABC. You'd probably, well, I would guess you'd 183 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 1: say somewhere between seventeen and twenty would be the line 184 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 1: on that game, and it's actually thirteen and a half. 185 00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 1: Now here's what I don't want you to do. What 186 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 1: I don't want you to do is fall victim to 187 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 1: thinking you have an edge and mentioning the edges you 188 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 1: have that are already baked into this number. I'll tell 189 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 1: you what that would sound like if you have a 190 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 1: buddy at the water cooler tomorrow who, in classic fashion, 191 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:55,839 Speaker 1: waits until Friday to make all his bets, and he 192 00:08:55,880 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 1: comes up to you and says, hey, dude, Boston College 193 00:08:58,400 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 1: plus the points this week, and I'm gonna tell you 194 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 1: why it's a letdown spot for Notre Dame. That's great. 195 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:05,800 Speaker 1: That's why people who watch football lose the most money 196 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 1: on football, because you think that a lifetime of your 197 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:11,040 Speaker 1: wisdom and knowledge from observation of the game gives you 198 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:13,840 Speaker 1: an edge over odds makers. But in reality, he didn't 199 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: just tell you anything that an odds maker didn't already 200 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:18,839 Speaker 1: know when they were baking this number, and so they 201 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 1: baked all that into this number. That's why they're only 202 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 1: favored by thirteen and a half. So you better come 203 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:26,080 Speaker 1: up with a different angle. I'm not telling you BC 204 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 1: can't cover or even win, but if you're gonna win consistently, 205 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 1: you got to dive a little deeper than saying letdown, spot, 206 00:09:32,520 --> 00:09:36,359 Speaker 1: letdown spot. Okay, well, mystery solved there. Now. Brian Kelly, 207 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 1: if he were to have his way, would have this 208 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: game look exactly like that Georgia Tech game a couple 209 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 1: of weeks ago. Remember when we took the Jackets plus 210 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:47,439 Speaker 1: twenty and it was an eighteen point Irish lead, and 211 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 1: they're driving at the very end of the game and 212 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: they get stopped on the one yard line, which for 213 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 1: our purposes was every bit as memorable as the Alabama 214 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 1: Penn State goal line stand in the seventy eight seventy 215 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 1: nine National Championship game, because it meant that we won 216 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:03,040 Speaker 1: and the ram Noodle Express chugged on. He wants it 217 00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:05,960 Speaker 1: to look like that. It's not necessarily the prettiest game, 218 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 1: but it's also over in like two and a half hours. 219 00:10:08,280 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 1: Clock just bleeds all afternoon. They know they have the 220 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:14,320 Speaker 1: superior roster, they know talent wise they are superior. They 221 00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 1: know Kyraen Williams in that ground game should be able 222 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:20,200 Speaker 1: to pound away on Boston College and just lean and 223 00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:24,320 Speaker 1: lean and lean. Drakovic is actually a Notre Dame transfer, 224 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:25,679 Speaker 1: now that I think about it. He's the quarterback of 225 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:28,800 Speaker 1: Boston College. They have a good enough receiving corps to 226 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:32,160 Speaker 1: where they are not you know, lightning all over the place. 227 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:34,440 Speaker 1: But it's kind of like a mosquito at a backyard 228 00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:37,760 Speaker 1: barbecue in the summer. If you don't swat it, it'll 229 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:40,280 Speaker 1: just keep buzzing and keep buzzing and keep buzzing around 230 00:10:40,280 --> 00:10:42,880 Speaker 1: your ear. And it's a pest. They're passing game their 231 00:10:42,880 --> 00:10:46,559 Speaker 1: offense at BC. It can pest you to death. New 232 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:49,320 Speaker 1: offensive terminology here on late Kick tonight. So don't get 233 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 1: pested to death. And the best way to do that 234 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 1: is just bludging someone. And I think that's what it'll 235 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 1: look like here. BC will not be able to run 236 00:10:55,920 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 1: effectively on Notre Dame. No one really has been ETN 237 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:01,679 Speaker 1: and company couldn't last week, and so it'll be on 238 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: your COVID And I don't necessarily know that that's a 239 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 1: spot that's very enviable for many people. So our number 240 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:08,599 Speaker 1: here is a little bit shorter. The Vegas number is 241 00:11:08,640 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 1: Notre Dame minus thirteen and a half. Our model only 242 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:14,040 Speaker 1: has Notre Dame minus ten. Again, when I have no 243 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:17,240 Speaker 1: strong feeling personally on the game, I default to our model. 244 00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:20,240 Speaker 1: So I'll take Notre Dame to whim. I'll take Boston 245 00:11:20,280 --> 00:11:23,160 Speaker 1: College to cover. Don't feel great about those though. The 246 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:25,600 Speaker 1: pick I do the spread pick I don't, So that's 247 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:29,000 Speaker 1: not an official play for us. Moving on, Wisconsin is 248 00:11:29,040 --> 00:11:31,640 Speaker 1: a four and a half point favorite at Michigan. This 249 00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:35,079 Speaker 1: is a Saturday seven thirty game, prime time, the Michigan 250 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: Wolverines Baby for all the world to see on ABC. 251 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:41,959 Speaker 1: You think, maybe you're thinking right now. I don't want 252 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 1: to put thoughts in your head. Maybe you're thinking right now, Wisconsin. 253 00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:47,640 Speaker 1: I've seen Michigan. I've seen Michigan. But Wisconsin, Wisconsin. What 254 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 1: were they doing the last time I saw them? Oh, 255 00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 1: that's right. They haven't played a game since their Week one. 256 00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:55,679 Speaker 1: It was like a Friday night game. Remember they were 257 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 1: one of the first Big ten games to play, and 258 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:01,600 Speaker 1: it was the Graham Merch Show essentially, and they just 259 00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 1: bombed away on Illinois and that empty stadium up there, 260 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 1: and everyone was freaking out about Graham Mertz in Wisconsin, 261 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:11,599 Speaker 1: me included. I was ecstatic for what that guy was 262 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 1: able to do, and he basically went kJ Costello all 263 00:12:15,280 --> 00:12:18,520 Speaker 1: over Illinois. Well here's the difference. Maybe here's the difference. 264 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 1: Michigan looked good in Week one two. The difference is 265 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 1: Michigan's played football since then. So I was looking at 266 00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 1: this game and I had one of you ask me, 267 00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:30,040 Speaker 1: how is Wisconsin only favored by four and a half. 268 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:33,080 Speaker 1: I said, well, maybe I have an answer for you, 269 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 1: because I'll tell you right now. Our model has Wisconsin 270 00:12:36,400 --> 00:12:38,839 Speaker 1: by five. So our model pretty much agrees with the 271 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:41,199 Speaker 1: Vegas number four and a half five. I mean, we're 272 00:12:41,200 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 1: pretty much on point with them. I said, what if 273 00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:48,319 Speaker 1: Michigan had played their Week one game just like Wisconsin. 274 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 1: But the difference is Michigan stopped after Week one two, 275 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,760 Speaker 1: so both of them had taken two weeks off. Now, 276 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 1: in reality, they would be what they are. Michigan's not 277 00:12:57,600 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 1: all that good football team right now. They've had more 278 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 1: opportun unities to be exposed. I don't know what Wisconsin is, 279 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 1: it's my point, and they certainly didn't prove themselves as 280 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:07,440 Speaker 1: it relates to the rest of the Big Ten schedule 281 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:10,800 Speaker 1: against Illinois. So it could be that Wisconsin's ready to 282 00:13:10,880 --> 00:13:12,920 Speaker 1: roll and that week one sample size was just a 283 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:15,800 Speaker 1: preview what's to come. It also could be that they 284 00:13:15,800 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 1: were in line for a letdown too. It could just 285 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:20,199 Speaker 1: be that volatility is the name of the game in 286 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 1: the Big Ten this year, they haven't had the chance 287 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:24,720 Speaker 1: to be exposed. I don't know what it's gonna be. 288 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 1: I can tell you right now. When I watched Michigan 289 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 1: last week rush for thirteen yards on eighteen carries against Indiana. 290 00:13:32,040 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 1: That combined with the very poor, to say the least, 291 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:38,760 Speaker 1: corner play for them, I have no confidence in Michigan. 292 00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:40,840 Speaker 1: This is typically a spot where I'd love to buy 293 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:45,680 Speaker 1: ultra low on a generally competitive team, and philosophically, again, 294 00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 1: if I were forced to make a pick here, I 295 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 1: would be taking Michigan in the points. But I'm not 296 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 1: forced to do anything. So I'm gonna take Wisconsin to win, 297 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna take Wisconsin to cover. I don't know 298 00:13:55,880 --> 00:13:58,680 Speaker 1: how anyone has confidence here, aside from, as I always say, 299 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:02,199 Speaker 1: having a model of your own that can forecast turnover margin. 300 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 1: And if you guys have that, I would love to 301 00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:06,200 Speaker 1: buy it from you. But if you don't have that, 302 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:08,840 Speaker 1: I don't know where the confidence comes from maybe historical 303 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:10,959 Speaker 1: data points and president Otherwise, I don't know where the 304 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:13,439 Speaker 1: confidence comes from. How about Miami. This is the one 305 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:15,439 Speaker 1: that's kind of had a lot of folks scratching their heads. 306 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 1: Miami is they're not favored. You see, I've almost almost 307 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,480 Speaker 1: said favored. I had the f and then I stopped myself. 308 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:26,000 Speaker 1: Miami's a two point underdog on the road at Virginia Tech. 309 00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 1: As I tell you guys very often, I couldn't possibly 310 00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 1: care less about the AP. And when I say I 311 00:14:32,800 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 1: couldn't care less, I really mean I couldn't care less. 312 00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:39,280 Speaker 1: Tonight marked the second time this year I have looked 313 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:42,240 Speaker 1: at the AP poll. Once was for research purposes with 314 00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 1: Cincinnati early in the year. I think it was week 315 00:14:44,040 --> 00:14:46,680 Speaker 1: two or week three, And tonight marked the second time 316 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:49,640 Speaker 1: I wanted to know what the AP had Miami ranked. 317 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 1: Miami's a top ten team. Hashtag top ten team. I 318 00:14:53,200 --> 00:14:56,160 Speaker 1: think they're ranked number nine is what I saw. Maybe 319 00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:59,160 Speaker 1: that's what has some of you so confused. A top 320 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: ten team is facing an unranked team, and the unranked 321 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 1: team is favored by two I have so divorced myself 322 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:08,600 Speaker 1: from AP mentality. I never even know when that's the case. 323 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:10,560 Speaker 1: So sometimes you guys are scratching your head and I 324 00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:12,760 Speaker 1: don't know why you're scratching your head. Now, I will 325 00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: say this, this is a noonkickoff on ESPN. So I 326 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:17,600 Speaker 1: start looking for reasons here, and I can tell you 327 00:15:17,680 --> 00:15:20,080 Speaker 1: there aren't all that many of them. But maybe it's 328 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 1: a situational dynamic sort of deal. Here's what's going on 329 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:26,240 Speaker 1: in Blacksburg. We talk about Virginia Tech in house here 330 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:28,280 Speaker 1: a lot. We got some folks pretty close to that program. 331 00:15:28,560 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 1: The seed is warm on justin Fointe. Things are very 332 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 1: uncomfortable up there. I've got a guy who reports to 333 00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:37,800 Speaker 1: me directly from Virginia Tech every single day, and every 334 00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:40,840 Speaker 1: single day in that report, it is things just continue 335 00:15:40,880 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 1: to go downhill here. It really seems like things are unwell. 336 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 1: They kind of famously at this point had to go 337 00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:49,240 Speaker 1: fund me to try and oust the coaching staff last year. 338 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 1: Typically that's not the way that comes together. But suffice 339 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:55,000 Speaker 1: it all to say, this is not some well oiled 340 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 1: machine that looks poised and ready to strike the way 341 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:00,760 Speaker 1: you would normally think a point spread like this would indicate. 342 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 1: So what's part B. There's gonna be thirty four degrees 343 00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 1: in snowing, and Miami's ill equipped for it. No, it 344 00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:08,040 Speaker 1: looks like temperatures in the mid to upper fifties. Now 345 00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 1: that is freezing from Miami. But still, they played in 346 00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 1: Louisville earlier this year and it wasn't really toasty up there, 347 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 1: and they took care of business. Don't have major injuries. 348 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:19,600 Speaker 1: Deerck King's not out Here's what is going on though. 349 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:23,640 Speaker 1: Virginia Tech is coming off a loss to Liberty Ranked Liberty, 350 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 1: and so Hugh Freeze did a number on them, and 351 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: you would, again in classical terms, define this as a 352 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:34,760 Speaker 1: do up spot. Again, in classical terms, very broad based. 353 00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 1: I wouldn't really use it for granular betting purposes. But 354 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:42,120 Speaker 1: also they did face in the last couple of weeks 355 00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 1: mobility at the quarterback position. So if you want to 356 00:16:45,120 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 1: make that argument, nothing that Miami floats out there in 357 00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:50,800 Speaker 1: the form of Deeric King offensively. I don't think they're 358 00:16:50,800 --> 00:16:54,560 Speaker 1: going to necessarily take Virginia Tech by surprise. And you know, 359 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 1: I also remember a couple times this year where Virginia 360 00:16:57,640 --> 00:16:59,480 Speaker 1: Tech's been able to pop a result on you, So 361 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:01,760 Speaker 1: it's all in the back of your mind. Having said that, 362 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:04,919 Speaker 1: I look at our numbers, cause some of you were 363 00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:07,560 Speaker 1: scratching your head, and you know what, sure enough, our 364 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:10,320 Speaker 1: model we're scratching its head too. While Virginia Tech is 365 00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:12,920 Speaker 1: the two point favorite according to the odds makers, we've 366 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 1: got Miami winning the game by two points. So, much 367 00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:18,119 Speaker 1: like we had with Florida last week against Georgia, we 368 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:20,399 Speaker 1: think the wrong team's favorite here. This is not an 369 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:23,359 Speaker 1: official play for us yet. Miami's in our gray area. 370 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:26,160 Speaker 1: If we were to get three on this game, for example, 371 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 1: we would want to move on it. Right now, it's 372 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:30,160 Speaker 1: at two. Some of you may say one point. What's 373 00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 1: the difference? Probably about four point five percent cover percentage, 374 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:35,640 Speaker 1: that's probably what the difference is. So we are going 375 00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:39,120 Speaker 1: to take Virginia Tech and we're going to look at them, 376 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:41,160 Speaker 1: and they're favored by two, and we're gonna say, no, 377 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:43,440 Speaker 1: we want none of that. So we'll take Miami to win, 378 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:46,720 Speaker 1: and certainly as well taken plus two, and we may 379 00:17:46,800 --> 00:17:49,679 Speaker 1: end up maybe end up making that one of our 380 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 1: official plays. Aboard the Ramanudle Express. That's why you want 381 00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 1: to be following me on Twitter at late Kick, Josh. 382 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,080 Speaker 1: Those are our picks this week. We are going to 383 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,359 Speaker 1: have our five best bets coming up at the end 384 00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 1: of the show. As for Felipe Franks, we were talking 385 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:08,399 Speaker 1: about him. If you're watching the individual cut of this video. 386 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:11,199 Speaker 1: Earlier in late kick Live number what are We on 387 00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 1: Colin eighty two, we were talking about the game Arkansas 388 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 1: versus Florida. If you want to watch that, you can 389 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,520 Speaker 1: watch the full show, but also Felipe Franks is something 390 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 1: I wanted to talk about him individually. I strongly encourage 391 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,119 Speaker 1: you guys, if you have time, that's a seven o'clock 392 00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 1: Eastern time kickoff on ESPN tomorrow or Saturday. Maybe you're 393 00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:32,440 Speaker 1: watching the video Friday, so it is tomorrow. I strongly 394 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:35,119 Speaker 1: encourage you to check this game out, Arkansas against Florida. 395 00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:39,080 Speaker 1: Imagine being Felipe Franks for a second. Felipe Franks is 396 00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:42,040 Speaker 1: one of those guys who feels like a ten year veteran. 397 00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 1: It feels like the entire SEC story cannot be told 398 00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:48,240 Speaker 1: at this point without Felipe Franks. In reality, he's only 399 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:50,680 Speaker 1: twenty two years old. It just feels like he's been 400 00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:53,919 Speaker 1: down here forever. How long ago does it feel like 401 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 1: that Jim mclwaine was at Florida feels to me like 402 00:18:57,040 --> 00:18:59,200 Speaker 1: a long time ago. I was there the last game 403 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,680 Speaker 1: that mclwayne ever coached, and I feel like I was 404 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 1: a child at that point compared to I don't know 405 00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 1: whatever you think I am now. But I say that 406 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:10,800 Speaker 1: cause Franks was there. Franks wasn't Florida while Jon McLane 407 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,240 Speaker 1: was there. So it's been a long time. I'm always 408 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 1: a big believer in metaphors. I love making sports to 409 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:18,720 Speaker 1: life metaphors on this show. They go both ways. Life 410 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 1: to sports is really good, but we get a good 411 00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:23,439 Speaker 1: old fashioned sports to life metaphor this week in this 412 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:26,200 Speaker 1: game with Arkansas and Florida, and it's one of those 413 00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:28,840 Speaker 1: worst things in the world at the time, end up 414 00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:30,480 Speaker 1: feeling like one of the best things that could have 415 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 1: ever happened to you. And that's you know, it's an 416 00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 1: age old proverb. You may hear or maybe your neighbor 417 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:39,320 Speaker 1: tells you a modern day story that falls along those storylines. 418 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:43,919 Speaker 1: But speaking of Florida, we've seen this before and you 419 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:45,520 Speaker 1: see it all the time, but one of the most 420 00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:50,400 Speaker 1: famous worst to best cases came with Alabama and Florida. 421 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:52,680 Speaker 1: You remember, back in two thousand and five, I think 422 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,919 Speaker 1: of four or five. There was probably one of the 423 00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:58,720 Speaker 1: most storied recruitments in the history of this sport going on. 424 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,120 Speaker 1: There was a kid at Nice High School. His name 425 00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:03,840 Speaker 1: was Timothy Tebow. When they're in high school, you used 426 00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:07,160 Speaker 1: the full name. Timothy Tebow was a very high profile 427 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:10,679 Speaker 1: quarterback and one of the most high profile recruits in history. 428 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:14,920 Speaker 1: And he is down to Alabama and he's down to Florida. 429 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:16,919 Speaker 1: There's a new coach named Urban Meyer that's come in 430 00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:18,760 Speaker 1: the door down at Florida. And you got Mike Shula 431 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:22,560 Speaker 1: at Alabama. And the thought around Alabama, depending on who 432 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:24,280 Speaker 1: you listen to, is they may lead for him and 433 00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 1: if they get him, that is going to be the guy. 434 00:20:26,800 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 1: They thought it was Brodie Croyle. Brodie croyleer had injuries 435 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,720 Speaker 1: and then you can't kind of a eah many ugh 436 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: period in CAA included. And so now if Tim Tebow 437 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:37,920 Speaker 1: comes in there, he could be the savior of that program. 438 00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 1: And it came down to signing day and Urban Meyer 439 00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:45,320 Speaker 1: ends up landing Tim Tebow. And at the time, if 440 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:48,960 Speaker 1: you could have been around Alabama football, it was as 441 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,840 Speaker 1: close to a sports version of depression as you would 442 00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:54,680 Speaker 1: ever experience. And they thought to themselves, what could have 443 00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:57,560 Speaker 1: been the best thing to ever happen, well in recent 444 00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:01,040 Speaker 1: memory to our program, at least since nineteen ninety two 445 00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 1: didn't happen. What are we gonna do? Fast forward a 446 00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:08,160 Speaker 1: few years, Colin, if you're watching on the YouTube channel, 447 00:21:08,280 --> 00:21:11,400 Speaker 1: is showing you footage from the eight SEC championship game. 448 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:14,560 Speaker 1: That's when that man Tim Tebow came from twenty to 449 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:17,800 Speaker 1: seventeen down in the fourth quarter to beat Alabama thirty 450 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:21,640 Speaker 1: one to twenty. The following year, Alabama turns the trick 451 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 1: on him. You have the famous Tebow crying on the 452 00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,720 Speaker 1: sideline footage. I was in the building for both of 453 00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:31,040 Speaker 1: these games, very memorable, and Alabama ends up beating them, 454 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:32,880 Speaker 1: I want to say, thirty two to thirteen, and they 455 00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:35,160 Speaker 1: go on and they win a national championship. So four 456 00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:39,400 Speaker 1: years removed from his recruitment, by the time nine rolls around, 457 00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:42,280 Speaker 1: not only is Mike Schulan no longer at Alabama, Tim 458 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:44,880 Speaker 1: Tebow's at Florida. Tim Tebow's done his thing, He's won 459 00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 1: the Heisman, He's won a national championship, two of them 460 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:50,240 Speaker 1: actually by that point. But Alabama's got a guy named 461 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:53,600 Speaker 1: Nick Saban because when Tebow didn't go to Alabama. Alabama 462 00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:56,040 Speaker 1: ends up doing what they did all too often under 463 00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:58,600 Speaker 1: Mike Shula and points before that, really pretty much anywhere 464 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,120 Speaker 1: after stalling's for an extended period of time and he's 465 00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:03,159 Speaker 1: out and they bring in a guy by the name 466 00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:06,440 Speaker 1: of Dick Saban. Point being, what if Tim Tebow goes 467 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,480 Speaker 1: to Alabama? Are they ever bad enough to fire Mike 468 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,240 Speaker 1: Schulet Probably not. Tim Tebow was a generational talent, and 469 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 1: so they're probably good enough to keep him and the 470 00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:17,160 Speaker 1: Saban guys down at Miami. Even if he does want 471 00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 1: to lead the Dolphins. Where does he go? Maybe he 472 00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:21,359 Speaker 1: goes back to LSU, Maybe he goes to Texas. I 473 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:23,560 Speaker 1: don't know where he goes. He goes somewhere other than Alabama, 474 00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:27,439 Speaker 1: though both fan bases would never in a million years 475 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:30,200 Speaker 1: trade the result they got. You'd never thought you'd say 476 00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:32,040 Speaker 1: that as an Alabama fan. So what does that have 477 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,159 Speaker 1: to do with Felipe Franks. Well, now we take it 478 00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:38,120 Speaker 1: back to twenty seventeen or eighteen, whenever his first year 479 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,879 Speaker 1: was there. He's there for the tail end of the 480 00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,200 Speaker 1: mcilwaine era. I was down there when they got beat 481 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:46,280 Speaker 1: by Georgia and it was a bad feeling for good reason, 482 00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 1: he was going to be out. He being Jim Mceilwaine. 483 00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:52,440 Speaker 1: So then Dan Mullen comes in and Felipe Franks leads 484 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,480 Speaker 1: Florida to a ten win season. They beat Michigan. I 485 00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:57,840 Speaker 1: remember sitting in a hotel room, I think in Tampa, 486 00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:01,480 Speaker 1: the morning of a playoff game, or maybe the National 487 00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:03,359 Speaker 1: title game, I can't remember, but they were playing Michigan 488 00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 1: in the Peach Bowl and I was watching in that 489 00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:08,200 Speaker 1: hotel lobby, and I said, Man, good for Dan Bullen 490 00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:11,159 Speaker 1: first off, and good good for Felipe Franks, because that's 491 00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:13,399 Speaker 1: a guy who has already seen the lowest of low's 492 00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,040 Speaker 1: and the highest of highs. And at that point he 493 00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:18,000 Speaker 1: was still pretty young. And then twenty nineteen rolls around, 494 00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: they got all the promise and all the hype, and 495 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:22,720 Speaker 1: he goes down at Kentucky. Already things had not been 496 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:25,439 Speaker 1: going well though. There were already strong rumblings. And this 497 00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:27,320 Speaker 1: is the lesser told version of this story, but they 498 00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:30,960 Speaker 1: were already pretty strong indicators around the Florida program. Kyle 499 00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:33,240 Speaker 1: Trask was on the verge of taking that job. We 500 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:36,119 Speaker 1: never know how it definitively would have played out, because 501 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,679 Speaker 1: down goes Felipe Franks, in comes Kyle Trask. They end 502 00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,280 Speaker 1: up coming from being totally dead in the water to 503 00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,199 Speaker 1: beat Kentucky. They go on to do what they do 504 00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:46,480 Speaker 1: the rest of the way. I think it was another 505 00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:50,320 Speaker 1: New Year's six appearance. And so then Felipe Franks has 506 00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:52,960 Speaker 1: a choice to make. And it's always one of those 507 00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:56,240 Speaker 1: very very weird situations that an athlete could find themselves 508 00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,640 Speaker 1: in the mixed emotions of the highest variety. You want 509 00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:01,840 Speaker 1: to pull for. You know the team, the brand on 510 00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:04,280 Speaker 1: the side of your helmet, but yet you know their 511 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:07,399 Speaker 1: success the rest of the way is directly correlated to 512 00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,359 Speaker 1: you never seeing the field again in all likelihood for 513 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:14,280 Speaker 1: that team. So he graduates and he's off to Arkansas. 514 00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:16,400 Speaker 1: I remember the day this happened. I remember the day 515 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,280 Speaker 1: that it became official that he was going to Arkansas. 516 00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:22,439 Speaker 1: Here's how I was told. I was given a text message. 517 00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,720 Speaker 1: I was sent a text message that Franks had transferred. 518 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 1: I wasn't told where to so I text my buddy 519 00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:30,360 Speaker 1: back where. So I was. I think I was out 520 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:31,439 Speaker 1: in the middle of nowhere at the time, and so 521 00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:34,080 Speaker 1: I said where, And in the time it took him 522 00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:36,679 Speaker 1: to text me back where Felipe Franks was going. I 523 00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:40,120 Speaker 1: had guesses. I went G five. I thought like UCF 524 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:42,320 Speaker 1: or Houston, and I thought he was going to be 525 00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 1: a good fit there. And he sent me back Arkansas, 526 00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:48,680 Speaker 1: and I kid you not, I responded State. I thought 527 00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:51,399 Speaker 1: it was Arkansas State. What is he going to Arkansas for? 528 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,280 Speaker 1: And sure enough, he's going to Arkansas And I thought 529 00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:58,199 Speaker 1: Sam Pittman. And later down the road, Sam Pittman and 530 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:01,720 Speaker 1: Felipe Franks is probably probably be the most random marriage 531 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 1: of talent and coach that I never would have seen 532 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 1: coming in a million years, and yet here they are 533 00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:10,480 Speaker 1: in Fayetteville, Arkansas, of all places. That's how is this 534 00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:12,919 Speaker 1: going to work? Well? Kendall Brile's had a lot to 535 00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:15,959 Speaker 1: do with it. First off, the offensive coordinator there. And 536 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,360 Speaker 1: we fast forward to modern day, and like I told 537 00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,320 Speaker 1: you in the preview for the game against Florida that 538 00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 1: we did earlier in the show, he's playing some of 539 00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,040 Speaker 1: the best football that he's ever played. And he has 540 00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 1: not been a bad player, but he's playing some of 541 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:29,040 Speaker 1: the best ball he's ever played. And he's playing like 542 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 1: the ten year veteran it feels like he is. And 543 00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:35,400 Speaker 1: what an opportunity he has Saturday. I mean, his value 544 00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 1: I don't think will be appreciated really until he's gone. 545 00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:40,679 Speaker 1: There aren't very many players, and I would encourage you. 546 00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:42,600 Speaker 1: Kind of the reason I'm talking about this because Brandon 547 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:45,119 Speaker 1: Marcelo did a really good feature on Franks and he 548 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:46,920 Speaker 1: got a lot of quotes from a whole lot of 549 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,240 Speaker 1: different people. It's still on the front page at twenty 550 00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:50,720 Speaker 1: four to seven sports dot com if you want to 551 00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:53,399 Speaker 1: read it. And he said it in that piece, and 552 00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:57,480 Speaker 1: I'll kind of reiterate what he said. The value and 553 00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:00,000 Speaker 1: the importance of Felipe Franks probably won't be realized until 554 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,959 Speaker 1: he's gone, because there aren't very many players out there 555 00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:05,480 Speaker 1: who could say I was right there at the forefront 556 00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,199 Speaker 1: of turning two different programs around. The guy did it 557 00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:10,679 Speaker 1: at Florida. He's right smack dab in the middle of 558 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:12,960 Speaker 1: doing it at Arkansas right now. And it's a really 559 00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:15,400 Speaker 1: good story. I mean, coach is if you ever talked 560 00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:17,800 Speaker 1: to a coach, it could be Saban, it could be 561 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:22,480 Speaker 1: Sam Pittman, Dan Mullen. Talk to the coaches and find out, 562 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:25,960 Speaker 1: you know, where the biggest and softest spots in their 563 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,520 Speaker 1: hearts For players are, and any of them who have 564 00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:31,840 Speaker 1: any length of tooth about them will tell you the 565 00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:34,360 Speaker 1: ones who were here early, the ones who bought in 566 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,640 Speaker 1: before we had ever had success, the ones who bought 567 00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:39,720 Speaker 1: in before there was a result to buy into. Those 568 00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:41,960 Speaker 1: are the ones. Those are the special ones. And that's 569 00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:43,960 Speaker 1: why Dan Mullen, you could never get that guy to 570 00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:46,720 Speaker 1: say a bad word about Felipe Franks. And that's why 571 00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,080 Speaker 1: Sam Pittman, you'll never get him to say a bad 572 00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:52,040 Speaker 1: word about Felipe Franks, and in turn, you'll never get 573 00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:54,960 Speaker 1: me to say a bad word about him. A great 574 00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:58,320 Speaker 1: career already, but see he's still playing. This is not 575 00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:00,520 Speaker 1: a Hall of Fame induction like it sounds like I'm 576 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:02,920 Speaker 1: doing right now. So here's the question I leave you with. 577 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:06,280 Speaker 1: It's all well and good people expect them to go 578 00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:08,960 Speaker 1: and give a solid effort this week. What if they win? 579 00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:11,800 Speaker 1: How different does that story sound, because all of a 580 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:13,879 Speaker 1: sudden it goes from a nice, cute twenty twenty story 581 00:27:14,080 --> 00:27:16,840 Speaker 1: to one of those thirty for thirty documentary sort of 582 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:20,400 Speaker 1: deals or SEC storied deals they play on the SEC network. 583 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:22,080 Speaker 1: I mean, if you can have a camera crew follow 584 00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,240 Speaker 1: him into the swamp and they beat the team he 585 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:28,920 Speaker 1: transferred from. Yeah, that'd be pretty fitting storybook ending, I think, 586 00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:31,399 Speaker 1: And it would be just a cherry on top of 587 00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:35,640 Speaker 1: already an entire Sunday's worth of overachievement for Arkansas football 588 00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:38,480 Speaker 1: this year. All right, let's roll it on here. Arkansas 589 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:40,639 Speaker 1: probably not going to make the college football Playoff, I 590 00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:44,240 Speaker 1: feel safe saying that. But the college football playoff situation 591 00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:47,879 Speaker 1: otherwise right now, it's very very muddy. Florida is very 592 00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:51,240 Speaker 1: much in this mix, as is Alabama and Ohio State, 593 00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:53,680 Speaker 1: and who knows what could happen from the Pac twelve 594 00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:57,240 Speaker 1: Clemson Notre Dame. There are three parts to any flight. 595 00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:00,000 Speaker 1: I was talking with one of our viewers last night 596 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 1: about using metaphorical terms with flights to apply to the 597 00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:06,199 Speaker 1: sports media industry, but I also can apply it to 598 00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:08,440 Speaker 1: the college football playoff in the college football season. We 599 00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:11,639 Speaker 1: were talking about this back in August, and it's even 600 00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:15,359 Speaker 1: more true now than it was. Them taking off is 601 00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:18,680 Speaker 1: one part of three parts of a flight. Everyone back 602 00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:21,680 Speaker 1: in August was just they were focused on the Part 603 00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:24,200 Speaker 1: A and no one was ever talking about Part V 604 00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:27,199 Speaker 1: or Part C. I had confidence in Part A. I 605 00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:29,119 Speaker 1: was confident that we could get the season off the 606 00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:31,080 Speaker 1: ground take off I didn't think was going to be 607 00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:34,760 Speaker 1: the biggest issue. Cruising altitude I didn't think was going 608 00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:38,719 Speaker 1: to be a huge issue. The landing though, that's where 609 00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 1: the approach and the landing that's where we are right now. 610 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:43,640 Speaker 1: That's getting kind of tricky because we have postponements all 611 00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 1: over the place, and we had as recently as a 612 00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:48,440 Speaker 1: couple hours ago. I saw the Big twelve conference on Twitter, 613 00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:52,360 Speaker 1: the kind of the official league account on Twitter, talking 614 00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:55,800 Speaker 1: about how commissioners are still on track to play the 615 00:28:55,840 --> 00:29:00,240 Speaker 1: playoff as schedule. They're going through scenarios every single week 616 00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:02,600 Speaker 1: amongst themselves. I'd love to be a fly on the 617 00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:04,680 Speaker 1: wall for that. But if you'll notice, as I said 618 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:06,600 Speaker 1: at the beginning of the show, if you'll notice we 619 00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:09,120 Speaker 1: have not really done many segments on the playoff this year. 620 00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:12,560 Speaker 1: That's atypical. I have the college football Playoff thermis here 621 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:14,720 Speaker 1: that I got I can't remember which game, maybe the 622 00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:17,600 Speaker 1: one in California, and now it is a lovely prop 623 00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:20,400 Speaker 1: along with our stars over here on our desk. But 624 00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:22,720 Speaker 1: we have not done many colin I don't know that 625 00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,760 Speaker 1: we've done one actually college football playoff segment since the 626 00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:29,080 Speaker 1: season started, and the reason is there's no skill in 627 00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:32,800 Speaker 1: doing it ever, but especially now. I have, however, had 628 00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:34,840 Speaker 1: a lot of you email me or DM me about 629 00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:37,320 Speaker 1: this when we do the Late Kit Extra podcast. Another 630 00:29:37,360 --> 00:29:39,920 Speaker 1: one released this morning. By the way, a lot of 631 00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:42,120 Speaker 1: the Q and A is about the playoff, So a 632 00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:44,280 Speaker 1: lot of you have been asking the typical questions, and 633 00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:46,840 Speaker 1: it's understandable that you would wonder about this. Hey, what 634 00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,880 Speaker 1: happens if a seven to zero PAC twelve like Oregon, 635 00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 1: for example, Let's say they're being measured against a nine 636 00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,960 Speaker 1: to one Texas A and M team who is not 637 00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:58,760 Speaker 1: a conference champ? How's that going to be handled? And 638 00:29:58,800 --> 00:30:02,960 Speaker 1: we've avoided we've avoided it so far because this entire 639 00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:05,360 Speaker 1: environment and I want to slow down, so I say 640 00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:10,280 Speaker 1: this accurately. It lacks staticity, which I had entered my 641 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:11,880 Speaker 1: mind a little while ago when I was sitting over 642 00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:15,560 Speaker 1: in the office at my cubicle. I said, static environment. Statisicity? 643 00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:18,760 Speaker 1: Is staticity a word? Yes it is, Well, we don't 644 00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:21,920 Speaker 1: have it right now. Staticity out the window. There is 645 00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,760 Speaker 1: no static environment. The static environment that doesn't exist that 646 00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:28,520 Speaker 1: you thought you'd be describing was oh, yes, sure, you 647 00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:30,800 Speaker 1: mean that one conference is going to play X number 648 00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:32,920 Speaker 1: of games. Another conference is going to play why number 649 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:38,480 Speaker 1: of games? Different numbers on the games schedule, Like yeah, statisticity, Yeah, 650 00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:40,920 Speaker 1: that's all great. That wasn't what I was ever talking about. 651 00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 1: The schedule is irrelevant, friends, Saturday is all that's relevant 652 00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:47,760 Speaker 1: right now because all those scenarios everyone had been thrown 653 00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:50,720 Speaker 1: out for months. Now it seems about, Hey, the SEC 654 00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:54,120 Speaker 1: the champion, there's going to have eleven games under their belt. Well, 655 00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:56,840 Speaker 1: if it's Alabama, it's looking less and less like that's 656 00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,920 Speaker 1: the case at the moment. We've got the LSU game postponed. 657 00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:02,440 Speaker 1: Have no clue how the SEC is going to handle that. 658 00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:05,640 Speaker 1: More on that in just a second. But ten games, 659 00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:08,040 Speaker 1: eleven games, And now what if out of all the 660 00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:10,120 Speaker 1: conferences that are able to pull off their full season, 661 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:12,160 Speaker 1: what if Oregon's able to play all seven games, and 662 00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, you're comparing seven games versus eight games. 663 00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:18,440 Speaker 1: Who knows how that's gonna shake out? And side point there, 664 00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:21,760 Speaker 1: just a little sidebar. Since the Alabama game is postponed Saturday, 665 00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:26,040 Speaker 1: and Auburn and A and M and Georgia, what could 666 00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:29,640 Speaker 1: the SEC do? That's been the billion dollar question this week. 667 00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:33,160 Speaker 1: A few things that we've heard through back channels, certainly 668 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 1: nothing definitive. I am not the foremost source on this 669 00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:40,040 Speaker 1: by any stretch of the imagination. It's been rumored that 670 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:44,480 Speaker 1: they could prioritize games, prioritize scheduling, push Alabama LSU to 671 00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:47,400 Speaker 1: next week, defer Alabama Kentucky. I think it would be 672 00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:49,680 Speaker 1: till later on, like the twelfth, and move some games 673 00:31:49,720 --> 00:31:52,240 Speaker 1: around and make that happen. They could also just flat 674 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 1: out postpone and cancel the game. It just doesn't happen 675 00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:56,640 Speaker 1: this year. I don't think they want to do that. 676 00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:00,520 Speaker 1: They could, like I said, prioritize games where maybe some 677 00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:02,960 Speaker 1: games that could be played aren't played for the sake 678 00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 1: of other games that had to be postponed being played. 679 00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 1: Or in the disaster scenario, they could just freeze the 680 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:13,960 Speaker 1: standings and look around and say, Bama Florida, see in 681 00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:16,560 Speaker 1: Atlanta in a few weeks. We're going to make sure 682 00:32:16,600 --> 00:32:20,000 Speaker 1: you're healthy. Go hide in a bubble until then. We 683 00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:21,880 Speaker 1: got what we needed to from the season. Maybe we 684 00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:24,240 Speaker 1: overachieved relative to what the experts thought we would be 685 00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:27,280 Speaker 1: able to do, But just consider all the doors that 686 00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:29,760 Speaker 1: are opening right now some of them are closing. The 687 00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:32,680 Speaker 1: idea of a clean season is closed. But with that 688 00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:37,160 Speaker 1: opens door A door, B door c Maybe the PAC twelve, 689 00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:40,320 Speaker 1: like I said, ends up being able to produce a product, 690 00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:42,480 Speaker 1: a team, in other words, that was able to play 691 00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:44,800 Speaker 1: seven games. And while in the preseason it looked like 692 00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:47,880 Speaker 1: that would fall four games short of the product that 693 00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:50,760 Speaker 1: someone else would produce, maybe it doesn't anymore. What in 694 00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:53,280 Speaker 1: the world does this do to the G five Cincinnati 695 00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:55,840 Speaker 1: I think's had one game postponed. What does the G 696 00:32:55,960 --> 00:33:00,000 Speaker 1: five produce? Is the idea of Brigham Young, who previously 697 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 1: a lot including myself, had said would not be in 698 00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,640 Speaker 1: the conversation because, I mean, their schedule just would not 699 00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:09,480 Speaker 1: warrant consideration. Do they creep ever so closer to being 700 00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:13,800 Speaker 1: in conversation once their lack of doesn't look quite as 701 00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,080 Speaker 1: lacks a day's goal anymore relative to what someone else 702 00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:18,680 Speaker 1: wasn't able to play. And here's the one. I'm really 703 00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:22,520 Speaker 1: fascinated by Ohio State sitting up there right now, and 704 00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:24,800 Speaker 1: I mean, they've taken care of themselves as much as 705 00:33:24,840 --> 00:33:27,680 Speaker 1: I can tell, But now all of a sudden, the 706 00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:31,960 Speaker 1: actions outside of Columbus, Ohio are affecting the goings on 707 00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:35,240 Speaker 1: in Columbus, Ohio. They were supposed to play Saturday against Maryland. 708 00:33:35,400 --> 00:33:39,040 Speaker 1: They can't play now. Ohio State's game has been postponed. 709 00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:41,800 Speaker 1: And the fear in the Big Ten because they don't 710 00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:44,400 Speaker 1: have that little reservoir week, they don't have any bye 711 00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:47,840 Speaker 1: weeks as well. I mean, the fear was, you cannot 712 00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:50,040 Speaker 1: just knock over one domino. If you've ever seen that 713 00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:52,440 Speaker 1: movie V for Vendetta, when he knocks over one domino, 714 00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:55,200 Speaker 1: it's like a billion of them. Well, here we go. 715 00:33:55,480 --> 00:33:58,000 Speaker 1: That is essentially the Big Ten league schedule this year, 716 00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,760 Speaker 1: and you're worried, Can we, like someone run ten feet 717 00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:03,240 Speaker 1: down there and just put your hand out and stop 718 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,479 Speaker 1: the dominoes from falling? I don't know that we can 719 00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:08,480 Speaker 1: do that. So it's all about the eyeball test. That 720 00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:11,000 Speaker 1: was my opinion in August, and that's my opinion now. 721 00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:14,160 Speaker 1: Something was going to happen to throw a great, big 722 00:34:14,200 --> 00:34:17,280 Speaker 1: wrench into the bicycle spokes of this season to where 723 00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:20,120 Speaker 1: an uneven number of games we're going to be played 724 00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:23,799 Speaker 1: and someone was going to be canceled disproportionate to another conference. 725 00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:25,879 Speaker 1: And it was going to come down to the eyeball test, 726 00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:28,280 Speaker 1: because here's what could happen. What could happen is Ohio 727 00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:30,400 Speaker 1: State may go five to OH instead of eight to O, 728 00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:32,760 Speaker 1: and yet that committee may look at him and say, 729 00:34:33,680 --> 00:34:35,600 Speaker 1: we hate it, but we still think they're one of 730 00:34:35,640 --> 00:34:37,840 Speaker 1: the four best put him in. That's always what it 731 00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,360 Speaker 1: comes down to. I'm not belaboring this. I have no 732 00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:42,919 Speaker 1: problem with the teams the committee has put in thus far. 733 00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:46,000 Speaker 1: I was very fearful of it when it was first adopted. 734 00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:48,600 Speaker 1: I think they've done a good job. This year will 735 00:34:48,600 --> 00:34:51,480 Speaker 1: probably be the ultimate eyeball test. I think that's where 736 00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:54,200 Speaker 1: we're headed and I don't know what other option. You have. 737 00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:55,560 Speaker 1: To be honest with you, if you want to have 738 00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:58,360 Speaker 1: a playoff, the ra Ma Noodle Express is something we 739 00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:00,520 Speaker 1: want to have because we're hitting a fifty nine against 740 00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:02,600 Speaker 1: the number this year. Last night we got off to 741 00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:05,200 Speaker 1: an early start. It's the first weeknight game I think 742 00:35:05,200 --> 00:35:06,879 Speaker 1: that we've had on the Express, and it came through 743 00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:10,080 Speaker 1: for US Eastern Michigan plus nine was a winner. So 744 00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:12,879 Speaker 1: now I gave you another one just before we came 745 00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:14,719 Speaker 1: on air because I didn't want the line to move 746 00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:16,440 Speaker 1: during the show. You never know what's going to happen. 747 00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:18,600 Speaker 1: So if you're following me on Twitter, you already got 748 00:35:18,640 --> 00:35:20,319 Speaker 1: it at late Kick Josh, and we may have some 749 00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:21,879 Speaker 1: more coming out, so make sure you follow me there. 750 00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:24,080 Speaker 1: As for the rest of you, and as for the 751 00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:26,840 Speaker 1: rest of these games, Colin, let's roll it. West Virginia 752 00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:29,520 Speaker 1: minus three was our best bet. We gave that one 753 00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,520 Speaker 1: out Sunday. I want to again pause and remind you 754 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:35,680 Speaker 1: when I say best bet, I don't mean that we 755 00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:37,960 Speaker 1: are valuing that game any more than the other games. 756 00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:40,759 Speaker 1: I mean that's the first one we hand it out 757 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:44,080 Speaker 1: way back on Sunday, so keep that in mind. Don't 758 00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:46,000 Speaker 1: be betting five units on one and two units on 759 00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,359 Speaker 1: the other. My advice is take all these for an 760 00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:50,399 Speaker 1: equal amount, or don't bet a single one at all. 761 00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:53,719 Speaker 1: That's my advice. West Virginia minus three is our first game. 762 00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:57,000 Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan plus nine already hit. That was our second game. 763 00:35:57,160 --> 00:36:00,600 Speaker 1: Here we go SMU plus two and a half. Tulsa 764 00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:03,120 Speaker 1: wanted to wait a little while to see if that 765 00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:06,160 Speaker 1: got to three. We have SMU winning this game by 766 00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:09,880 Speaker 1: five points. There is a wide discrepancy between our number 767 00:36:09,920 --> 00:36:13,080 Speaker 1: and the Vegas number, so we're not taking money line 768 00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:15,200 Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm probably gonna put something on the money 769 00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:17,040 Speaker 1: line here, but SMU plus two and a half is 770 00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:20,920 Speaker 1: our official pick here. South Alabama love the initials. By 771 00:36:20,960 --> 00:36:24,759 Speaker 1: the way, South Alabama is a sixteen point dog against Louisiana. 772 00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:28,359 Speaker 1: So we're gonna take South Alabama plus the sixteen and 773 00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:30,520 Speaker 1: we're gonna lay them with Northwestern on the road. A 774 00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:32,760 Speaker 1: little bit of a square number here, but are numbers 775 00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:36,239 Speaker 1: like Northwestern, So trust the model. Northwestern minus two and 776 00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:38,879 Speaker 1: a half on the road at Purdue. I think that's 777 00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:41,560 Speaker 1: a four o'clock Eastern time kickoff. So to recap for 778 00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:43,640 Speaker 1: those of you listening on the podcast side of things, 779 00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:47,960 Speaker 1: West Virginia minus three, Eastern Michigan plus nine, SMU plus 780 00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:51,799 Speaker 1: two and a half, South Alabama plus sixteen, and Northwestern 781 00:36:52,040 --> 00:36:54,840 Speaker 1: minus two and a half. Really good show tonight, solid 782 00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:58,080 Speaker 1: thirty five plus minutes on what they told you was 783 00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:00,640 Speaker 1: a light weekend. Well, I'll be here to talk about 784 00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:03,320 Speaker 1: it Sunday night regardless, and hey, we'll have a bigger 785 00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:04,840 Speaker 1: week next week. Even if you think this week is 786 00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:06,839 Speaker 1: like make sure you're following me on Twitter at LAFE 787 00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,279 Speaker 1: kick Josh for director, Colin for Tani and Jordan On 788 00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:11,880 Speaker 1: the podcast side, I'm Josh Pate. Have a great weekend. 789 00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:14,000 Speaker 1: I'll see you back your Sunday night, and God bless