1 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:13,800 Speaker 1: And welcome in. Lake Kick is Live. It is Thursday night, 2 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: September ninth, the Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty one, 3 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: where jam packed. We are just hours away from the 4 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 1: start of Week two College football twenty twenty one. For 5 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:26,600 Speaker 1: my money, a very underrated weekend. Several of the games 6 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:29,120 Speaker 1: that are the reason for this weekend being underrated we're 7 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: going to touch on tonight. We've also got to do 8 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:32,919 Speaker 1: something that, to be honest with you, I didn't think 9 00:00:32,920 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 1: we were going to be doing so early in the year. 10 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:37,560 Speaker 1: We've got an updated mood tracker, and this mood tracker 11 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: has shifted, and it has shifted radically over the past week, 12 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 1: that of course being the LSU Tigers fan base. Nick 13 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: Saban none too pleased this week. All they did was 14 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:50,520 Speaker 1: skull drag Miami forty four to thirteen. But he's got 15 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:52,839 Speaker 1: reason to feel the way he does. And some of 16 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 1: you think it's an act. I don't. We will dive 17 00:00:55,080 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: into that momentarily. Also going to add a best bet 18 00:00:57,720 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 1: to the Rama Noodle Express. Not going to make you 19 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: wait to the end of the show. The tease is 20 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 1: over direct. Colin got my ear the other day. He said, 21 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: shame on you slap me on the wrist. So we're 22 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 1: gonna lead the show with it in just a couple 23 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,679 Speaker 1: of minutes. And also, as I said several more Week 24 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:13,080 Speaker 1: two thoughts. You know, it's a big weekend for the ACC. 25 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:15,959 Speaker 1: There are a couple of games. NC State at Miami 26 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 1: or at Mississippi State's one of them. Pitt at Tennessee 27 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: is one of them. If they drop both of those 28 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 1: in conjunction with the disaster that was Week one, not 29 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 1: a good look for the ACC. They need those. They're 30 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: favored small, but they're favored in both of those games. 31 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 1: At Late Kick, Josh, Twitter and Instagram's where you need 32 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: to be a reminder twofold number one. We got the 33 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:39,399 Speaker 1: super secret off the record. We can't talk about it, 34 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: but I'll do it anyway. Friday night gambling chat that 35 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 1: happens over on Instagram Live, and there is a challenge 36 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 1: that has been laid out. You heard it this morning 37 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 1: if you listen to the Late Kick Extra podcast. It 38 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: just so happens that again, we're going to be in 39 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 1: the same town as College Game Day this Saturday. After 40 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: the show tonight, we're gonna pack our bags. We're gonna 41 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 1: head up to Ames Iowa tomorrow for the Iowa Iowa 42 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: State game. And as I said the other night, it 43 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: would it would just be unfortunate if you turned on 44 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 1: College Game Day Saturday that does not air on our 45 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 1: network but another network, and you saw a bunch of 46 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 1: paid state posters behind the set. Wouldn't that be a shame? 47 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:16,360 Speaker 1: And it was. It was equally as big a shame 48 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 1: that I tweeted out the high resolution images of the 49 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 1: logo so you could download them. But also a more 50 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 1: direct challenge, any of you who actually pulls that off 51 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:27,359 Speaker 1: and can prove it to me, is getting something for free, 52 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: not available to the public. We don't sell them contractually, 53 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 1: we can't sell them right now, but we got them 54 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: and you will have them. So anyone who pulls it 55 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 1: off and important follow up here can prove to me 56 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 1: that you did it, there will be something coming your way. Okay, 57 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 1: before we start tonight, let's start on best bets the 58 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 1: ram Noodle Express. I've already handed out Memphis and Oklahoma 59 00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 1: State and Texas State. We're going to show you that 60 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 1: graphically in just a second so you don't have to 61 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 1: follow along that quickly. So we got Memphis. I'm gonna 62 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:58,519 Speaker 1: wait for the picture to stop flickering, because that would 63 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 1: be that would get me ripped in the comment section. Okay, 64 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 1: here we go. So we got Memphis minus four, we 65 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:06,960 Speaker 1: got Oklahoma State minus twelve. We've got Texas State plus one. 66 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: We have Vandy. It's an organic cough just it's tough 67 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 1: to say it out loud, but yes, we are taking 68 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 1: Vandy plus seven. And also another bet that we are 69 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 1: adding to the Ramainnudle Express tonight Oregon and Ohio State. 70 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 1: We are taking that one to go over the total 71 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,080 Speaker 1: at sixty three and a half. Also like it at 72 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,080 Speaker 1: sixty four, but we really want it at sixty three 73 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:31,399 Speaker 1: and a half. So those are the ones that are 74 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: on the record. It's not always a perfect number every week. 75 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:38,080 Speaker 1: I don't just automatically put out five. So I can 76 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 1: tell you confidently because I've seen the numbers. We have 77 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:43,880 Speaker 1: several other games that are leaned that I have not 78 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: moved on yet. It would greatly behoove you, you know, 79 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 1: frequently I'd like to use that word confluence and behoove 80 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 1: works its way into every single show, But it would 81 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:54,480 Speaker 1: behoove you greatly to make sure you're checking out the 82 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 1: super secret. Can't talk about it publicly Late Night Gambling 83 00:03:56,840 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 1: Chat Tomorrow night on Instagram Live. That is our working 84 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 1: tie right now. I don't know what the acronym is, 85 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 1: It's like the whole alphabet. Also, Friday Night Lines is 86 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 1: a really good name. But anyway, there could be more 87 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 1: handed out is what I'm telling you. Could happen on 88 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 1: Twitter fifteen minutes after the show ends tonight. Line movement 89 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 1: is always happening. The numbers are always getting refreshed and 90 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 1: new information is always coming in. How many of you 91 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: knew that JT. Daniels probably wouldn't play for Georgia on Sunday? 92 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: See what I mean? So that kind of stuff happens 93 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:26,920 Speaker 1: all the time. So that is where we are right now. 94 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 1: Those are the five if you're seeing them on the screen, 95 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 1: and I will read those again, Memphis, Texas State, Ohio 96 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 1: State over Oklahoma State, and Vanderbilt. All right, let's dive 97 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: into the actual show tonight, and we have to do 98 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 1: a segment that is just a staple of Late Kick 99 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 1: in the spring and really after the National Championship game, 100 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:47,679 Speaker 1: but before signing Day. We talk about it a lot, 101 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: and we certainly do it over the summer months, but 102 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: Rarely are we doing what we're about to do this 103 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:57,480 Speaker 1: early in the year, because rarely have moods changed so 104 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: rapidly and so violently as they have in this case, 105 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: this early in the year. But it's happening, So we 106 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: got to talk about it. Colin a natural endpoint for 107 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:08,599 Speaker 1: you right here, Let's talk mood tracker, and let's talk 108 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: the LSU Tiger fan base, because I think this is 109 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:15,279 Speaker 1: radically shifted just in the past week. And you may look, 110 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 1: if you were paying attention in the preseason, if you 111 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:20,800 Speaker 1: were immersed in preview magazine culture and you heard the 112 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:24,359 Speaker 1: supreme confidence from down in Tigerland and it was on 113 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 1: full display, you may think to yourself, if you're just 114 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 1: a casual college football fan, you may say, how can 115 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 1: they be going from confident to radically shifting on anything 116 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 1: after just four quarters of football. Well, it's about being scorned, 117 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 1: That's what it's about. That is the mood by the 118 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:43,280 Speaker 1: way of LSU Tiger Nation at the moment, it is scorned. 119 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 1: And if you want to know how it can change 120 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 1: that rapidly, all you have to do is watch any 121 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 1: cheating movie or listening to any cheating song in the 122 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:53,160 Speaker 1: very town that we reside in would probably do the 123 00:05:53,200 --> 00:05:55,599 Speaker 1: trick for you too, because you've seen the movies before, 124 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 1: the movie where there's probably some infidelity, but then there's 125 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:02,600 Speaker 1: a makeup and the couple chooses to move past it. 126 00:06:02,920 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 1: So you've hurt me, but we have reconciled. You have 127 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:09,000 Speaker 1: promised me that you have seen the air of your 128 00:06:09,080 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 1: ways and you're a changed person. And so we're gonna 129 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:15,279 Speaker 1: move on together, hand in hand. And there's still a 130 00:06:15,360 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 1: hole there in my heart, but we're gonna try and 131 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 1: fill it, and we're gonna try and bridge it. We're 132 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:21,360 Speaker 1: gonna try and move on. You see, there's a lot 133 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:24,000 Speaker 1: of goodwill in that formula, and there's a lot of 134 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:26,960 Speaker 1: mutual trust, and there's a lot of working together that 135 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,560 Speaker 1: has to happen. But if one side can meet the 136 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: other side in the middle, then we can move forward. 137 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:35,279 Speaker 1: But what happens when all of a sudden your guy 138 00:06:35,360 --> 00:06:38,600 Speaker 1: comes home, you know, three weeks later, random Tuesday night, 139 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:42,920 Speaker 1: and you smell an odd perfume on the shirt collar. Well, 140 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:45,839 Speaker 1: how radically would things change? Because that's kind of what 141 00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:49,280 Speaker 1: happened with Lsu and ed Orgeron last year sucked. It 142 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 1: was just bad, and it all but erased the memory 143 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 1: of twenty nineteen. Now, in reality, that doesn't happen. You'll 144 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 1: always have twenty nineteen. But as it relates to ed Orgeron, 145 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 1: people quickly forgot out twenty nineteen when they thought about 146 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 1: ed Orzron and last year was a disaster, but understandably so, 147 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 1: there were a lot of people in that fan base 148 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 1: that were willing to because of how magic twenty nineteen 149 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 1: was and how unwinnable and untenable in many ways twenty 150 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 1: twenty was, they were willing to dismiss it. No one 151 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 1: wants to talk about it anymore. As long as you 152 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 1: rectify the situation. There is a hole in our heart 153 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 1: from twenty twenty. But it's okay, as long as you 154 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 1: can rectify the situation, as long as you made proper hires, 155 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 1: which you told me you have. As long as you 156 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 1: have a proper plan in place, which you've told me 157 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 1: you have. As long as we've got the good enough 158 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:41,800 Speaker 1: roster which signing day and recruiting rankings and services, and 159 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 1: you have told me we have, then we're moving forward, right, okay. 160 00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:48,760 Speaker 1: But what happens when it all goes up in smoke? 161 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 1: Then all of a sudden, you have a radical shift 162 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:53,800 Speaker 1: in mood. That's what's happening at LSU right now. You 163 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: got to understand something. This is a proud fan base. 164 00:07:56,560 --> 00:08:00,200 Speaker 1: They are fiercely loyal. They are passionate, almost to a fault. Well, 165 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 1: and if you're selling them something that they believe in, 166 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 1: they'll fight for you, even if you lose a game, 167 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:09,080 Speaker 1: they will fight for you as long as you're selling 168 00:08:09,160 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: them something that coincides with what they believe. LSU football 169 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:14,679 Speaker 1: is supposed to be about. It. It's not about winning 170 00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 1: every game. They want to, they expect to, but it's 171 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 1: not about winning every game. And as soon as we drop, 172 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 1: when we turn on you, that's not it. As long 173 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 1: as you are embodying something that LSU is supposed to be, 174 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:28,640 Speaker 1: they're gonna fight for you. But i'm gonna tell you what, 175 00:08:28,680 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 1: they're not gonna tolerate at all. And they're done tolerating 176 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 1: it right now. They're not gonna tolerate you telling them 177 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:37,480 Speaker 1: you fixed all the cracks in the dam and then 178 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:39,320 Speaker 1: you show up week one and you find out all 179 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: you did was slap duct tape on the dam and 180 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 1: the minute UCLA applied an ounce of water pressure here 181 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 1: come the leaks, and then here comes the drip drip, 182 00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 1: drip burst, and then all of a sudden we get 183 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:53,680 Speaker 1: embarrassed on the West coast. They're not gonna handle you 184 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: getting out physical, out coached, out adjusted. They're not gonna 185 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 1: handle looking like we're getting out athleted against the team 186 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 1: we know good and well is full of guys that 187 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 1: couldn't have gotten an LSU offer because that's what happened 188 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:09,719 Speaker 1: last week. They're not going to tolerate that. And I'll 189 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: tell you what else they're not going to tolerate. They're 190 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 1: not going to tolerate never having their team on the field, 191 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 1: either on Saturday or in practice. Plus half of them 192 00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 1: are in the training room. I know you can't assign 193 00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: specific blame injury to injury, but when you have a 194 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:25,960 Speaker 1: chronic problem, it is a strength and conditioning issue. It 195 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:28,560 Speaker 1: is something that has to be overhauled. So there's top 196 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:31,960 Speaker 1: down problems there right now. And I haven't even mentioned 197 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 1: anything off the field. I haven't mentioned any Board of 198 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 1: TRUSTEEM members that have had bridges burned with edwors Run. 199 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 1: I haven't mentioned how, you know, maybe the university has 200 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:41,360 Speaker 1: tried to help him out a little bit and he's 201 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:44,120 Speaker 1: turned a cold shoulder to it. There's an attitude that 202 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:46,280 Speaker 1: you can have when you're a winner, and there's an 203 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:49,720 Speaker 1: attitude you can have and there's an amount of baggage 204 00:09:49,760 --> 00:09:53,559 Speaker 1: that will be tolerated when you're producing. When you're not producing, 205 00:09:53,880 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: you can't do the stuff Edwards Ron does right now, 206 00:09:56,600 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 1: and you can't run the kind of program he's running 207 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 1: right now. So there's an interesting month ahead with LSU, 208 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:06,720 Speaker 1: because I am telling you rapidly has the support evaporated 209 00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:10,680 Speaker 1: there rapidly. I know a bunch of LSU folks. I 210 00:10:10,760 --> 00:10:13,079 Speaker 1: reached out to several of them today to kind of 211 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:15,679 Speaker 1: bounce my feeling off of them. They wanted me to 212 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:18,040 Speaker 1: go harder than this that they just want to outright 213 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 1: torch and pitchfork that whole place right now. You know 214 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:23,960 Speaker 1: my thoughts on hot seat talk. I don't really do it, 215 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 1: but I will tell you they got me Niee. This Saturday, 216 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 1: they've got Central Michigan. You're looking at the roster if 217 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:32,319 Speaker 1: you're watching on YouTube, or you're looking at the schedule, 218 00:10:32,920 --> 00:10:35,440 Speaker 1: and then I want you to think about this stretch. 219 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:37,680 Speaker 1: If you're listening on the podcast, just close your eyes 220 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 1: unless you're driving and I want you to picture what 221 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:43,559 Speaker 1: you think LSU football is right now. Chronic problems on 222 00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage, totally undisciplined, can't stay healthy, don't 223 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 1: have enough consistent and dependable speed on the field at receiver, 224 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 1: which I didn't think I was going to be saying, 225 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 1: cannot trust the tailbacks. One of them is not even 226 00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 1: academically eligible right now. And so there's a whole bunch 227 00:10:57,080 --> 00:10:59,680 Speaker 1: of question marks about the team. And you tell me 228 00:10:59,720 --> 00:11:02,600 Speaker 1: how you think the stretch of at Mississippi State, Auburn, 229 00:11:02,679 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 1: at Kentucky, Florida at Ole, Miss, at Bama, Arkansas, UL Monroe, 230 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:09,240 Speaker 1: and Texas A and M is going to turn out. 231 00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:12,800 Speaker 1: If you are of the opinion that ed Orzron is 232 00:11:12,840 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 1: not the right guy for this job, that stretch will 233 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 1: take care of it for you. I am of the 234 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 1: opinion that that stretch is going to force a move 235 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 1: in Baton Rouge. That is my current opinion. And yeah, 236 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 1: I know we're one game end of the season, but 237 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 1: that wasn't a case last week of UCLA just precision 238 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 1: style out executing LSU. They lined up and if we 239 00:11:35,400 --> 00:11:37,840 Speaker 1: were to have taken the jerseys off of them, and 240 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 1: we would have just put generic garbage bags on both 241 00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:43,120 Speaker 1: of them. You could not have picked the SEC team out, 242 00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:45,199 Speaker 1: or if you did, you would have been wrong. You 243 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:46,599 Speaker 1: would have picked the team that ended up wearing the 244 00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:48,440 Speaker 1: sissy blue. That's what you would have picked us, the 245 00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:51,760 Speaker 1: SEC team. LSU folks aren't going to tolerate that. LSU 246 00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 1: folks shouldn't tolerate that. Do you know what kind of 247 00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:57,560 Speaker 1: investment there is down there, both emotionally and financially? Do 248 00:11:57,600 --> 00:11:59,920 Speaker 1: you know? If you haven't ever been there, I can 249 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 1: tell you it's immense, it's immeasurable. In many ways, it's incredible. 250 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:09,000 Speaker 1: But also if you're the leader inside that kind of culture, 251 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 1: they expect a return because they look at you and 252 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:14,199 Speaker 1: they're dead right when they say it, and they say, 253 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:18,040 Speaker 1: what do you need that we haven't given you over 254 00:12:18,200 --> 00:12:21,000 Speaker 1: and above what you need? Actually? What do you need 255 00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:24,000 Speaker 1: to win that you don't have an abundance? Edwards Ron 256 00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:26,680 Speaker 1: cannot answer that question right now. He's got everything he 257 00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:29,719 Speaker 1: needs in abundance, well above and beyond what ninety eight 258 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 1: percent of the sport has. You can't get pushed around 259 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 1: by UCLA. That can't ever happen. They tolerated twelve months 260 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:40,440 Speaker 1: of incompetence over there because they thought there were external 261 00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 1: factors that could be used as an excuse last year. 262 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:45,719 Speaker 1: They are not tolerating twenty four months in a row 263 00:12:45,760 --> 00:12:50,080 Speaker 1: of it. I don't think they are. Okay, let's move on. Rare, Colin, 264 00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:51,960 Speaker 1: I mean rare to have a mood tracker this early 265 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:56,199 Speaker 1: in the season. How about Academy Sports. It's going to 266 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 1: be a great weekend. There's a lot of on campus 267 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 1: tailgating to I'm headed up to Iowa State and I 268 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: cannot tell you how many invites we've had to various tailgates. 269 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:08,440 Speaker 1: Most of you are encouraging me to participate in activity 270 00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 1: that could get me fired. But I understand it's saying 271 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 1: good faith, it's in good spirits. But I am on 272 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:15,800 Speaker 1: the clock Saturday. Although it may not look like it. 273 00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:18,240 Speaker 1: I am on the clock, but you're not. And you 274 00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 1: can do whatever you want to, just keep it in 275 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 1: the lines and keep it legal. But before you do 276 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 1: any of that, you need gear. You need the canopies, 277 00:13:25,520 --> 00:13:27,719 Speaker 1: you need the grills, you need the jerseys to put 278 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 1: on your back, and whatever you need. Academy Sports and 279 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 1: Outdoors has got it. You guys, reside in the big twelve. 280 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 1: They are the official outdoor provider of the Big Twelve 281 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 1: as well as the SEC, but most importantly of Late 282 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 1: Kick Live itself. The only partner that we have agreed 283 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 1: to have on this show is Academy Sports and Outdoors. 284 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 1: And if you don't feel like fighting the traffic, or 285 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:51,000 Speaker 1: you don't live near one, that's fine. Academy dot Com. 286 00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 1: I have one note for this entire ad read and 287 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 1: it says Academy dot Com. They sent me a script. 288 00:13:56,679 --> 00:14:00,880 Speaker 1: I said, I'll be good. They also full discos. When 289 00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 1: we were negotiating with Academy, they asked if I would 290 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:06,800 Speaker 1: wear an Academy shirt on the show every night, and 291 00:14:06,880 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 1: I said, that is a great request. Here's what you 292 00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:12,920 Speaker 1: need to know. If I wear anything other than a 293 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 1: plain hobo flood victimish white T shirt, look on my show, 294 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 1: the crowd will revolt and they will be like a 295 00:14:21,160 --> 00:14:24,000 Speaker 1: lot of the ESPN viewers are with Applebee's right now. 296 00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 1: Applebe's is playing one of the worst commercials I've ever seen, 297 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 1: and people are revolting against Applebee's. People would revolt if 298 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,680 Speaker 1: you took the white tea away, and so they didn't. Academy, 299 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:38,360 Speaker 1: much to my surprise, and much to the opposite side 300 00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 1: of how these sorts of things normally were. They said, 301 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 1: you know what, We'll trust you, even though we're spending 302 00:14:42,040 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 1: our money. We'll trust you. And so you guys have responded. 303 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,320 Speaker 1: I mean, we keep getting screenshots of people going to 304 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 1: Academy dot com and buying stuff just to say they 305 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:52,960 Speaker 1: bought stuff, which they love and I love. And so 306 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 1: if you need some stuff for this weekend or at 307 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 1: any point in the season, Academy Sports and Outdoors Academy 308 00:14:57,640 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 1: dot com, that's the place for you. They are the 309 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 1: official tailgate provider of Lake Kick. We move on. We're 310 00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:06,360 Speaker 1: going to stay in the South for just a second. 311 00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 1: I've got several games to talk about, by the way, 312 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 1: so keep it locked here. We're gonna go all over 313 00:15:10,280 --> 00:15:12,920 Speaker 1: the country in just a second. But there was something 314 00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:15,520 Speaker 1: that happened in Tuscaloosa this week, and it was right 315 00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 1: after something happened in Atlanta, and that was a forty 316 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 1: four to thirteen convincing win, ultra convincing win for Alabama 317 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 1: over Miami in Week one, and many of us would 318 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 1: have been happy, Many of us would have been over 319 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 1: the moon, thrilled with a forty four to thirteen win. 320 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 1: But see therein lies the catch twenty two. We would 321 00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 1: have been thrilled for the same reasons that we'll never 322 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:38,640 Speaker 1: be in position to blow out a top twenty team 323 00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 1: by a score of forty four to thirteen, even though 324 00:15:40,640 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 1: we've replaced our entire offense. And that is most people 325 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 1: are goal oriented or result oriented overprocess oriented. Nick Saban 326 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 1: knows it, he abhors it. One of his best quotes 327 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:55,880 Speaker 1: ever is you know, the average person and the elite mentality, 328 00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 1: they don't get together. They don't. It's like oil and water. 329 00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 1: High achievers can't stand average folks, and average folks can't 330 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:04,600 Speaker 1: stand high achievers. Well, the problem is sometimes you get 331 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 1: the most talented kids in America, but their mindset is 332 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:12,080 Speaker 1: not trained and is finely tuned as their athletic ability, 333 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:14,320 Speaker 1: and so you got to rewire him. And he's the 334 00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 1: best in the world at it. I think sometimes his 335 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,200 Speaker 1: talent is wasted just on being a football coach. He's 336 00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 1: that good at it. So this week, when a play 337 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:23,800 Speaker 1: some sound, we'll come back on the other side. This 338 00:16:23,880 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 1: week a couple it may have been yesterday or either 339 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:29,520 Speaker 1: two days ago. Nick Saban has his weekly press conference 340 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 1: and they're playing Mercer this Saturday. They are going to 341 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:35,119 Speaker 1: be somewhere between a fifty five and sixty point favorite. 342 00:16:35,360 --> 00:16:37,520 Speaker 1: So hashtag prayers from Mercer. You know what, there is 343 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 1: a kid on Mercer's roster that's going to have to 344 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:42,920 Speaker 1: go up against Will Anderson's Saturday. Will Anderson could pick 345 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:46,520 Speaker 1: up and displace Mercer football players wherever he wants to 346 00:16:46,560 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 1: on a football field, so the outcome is not in doubt. 347 00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 1: But Nick Saban is not worried about Saturday. He's worried 348 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:54,600 Speaker 1: about precedent and habits for the rest of his season. 349 00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:58,520 Speaker 1: So he has not been overly thrilled with his team's 350 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:01,600 Speaker 1: reaction to their victory over Miami. So we're gonna play 351 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:04,560 Speaker 1: the sound from the press conference earlier this week and 352 00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:06,000 Speaker 1: then I'll react to it. Listen to this. 353 00:17:06,840 --> 00:17:10,480 Speaker 2: We got the scoreboard affects us. Who were playing affects us. 354 00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:13,920 Speaker 2: The heat affects us. The media and what you guys 355 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:17,879 Speaker 2: write every day affects us. So you know, to me, 356 00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:22,440 Speaker 2: we got to prove that we can play and maintain 357 00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:26,640 Speaker 2: intensity for sixty minutes in the game. Execute, do our job, 358 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:29,879 Speaker 2: play hard, finish games, finish plays, do things the way 359 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:30,960 Speaker 2: we're supposed to do it. 360 00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:34,159 Speaker 1: All, right, what do we think about this? A lot 361 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:35,440 Speaker 1: of people had a lot to say about it, So 362 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 1: what do we think about this? Some people think that's 363 00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:42,639 Speaker 1: an act. It's not. Some people think that is just 364 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:46,280 Speaker 1: planned and it's kind of scripted. And Nick Sabe is 365 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 1: trying to get someone's attention, so he's just gonna pretend 366 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:52,639 Speaker 1: like he cares about Mercer game week. It's not an act. 367 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:54,639 Speaker 1: I don't know if you guys have realized this yet. 368 00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:59,560 Speaker 1: You don't keep up a facade of inauthenticity and achieve 369 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:01,520 Speaker 1: at the highest level for a decade and a half. 370 00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:04,680 Speaker 1: If everything's faked, it's not faked, it's real. He really 371 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:07,040 Speaker 1: does think like that. So I'm going to tell you 372 00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:09,760 Speaker 1: a story in just a second about the first time 373 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:12,840 Speaker 1: I ever was exposed to that kind of thinking. Life changing, 374 00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 1: totally life changing. But we talk a lot about motivation, 375 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 1: and football players and coaches talk a lot about motivation, 376 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:24,600 Speaker 1: and I've been outspoken about my disdain for people who 377 00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 1: rely on disrespect to motivate them, because eventually, the better 378 00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 1: you get, the quicker the well of disrespect runs dry, 379 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:33,760 Speaker 1: and you get to the top, and then no one's 380 00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:35,959 Speaker 1: disrespecting you, and all of a sudden you don't have 381 00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:38,120 Speaker 1: that external factor to motivate you. Well, this is the 382 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:42,399 Speaker 1: total flip side, the total inverse of that mentality is 383 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:44,680 Speaker 1: the Nick Saban mentality. It's why I've always admired the 384 00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 1: way he runs his organization. They play same every week, 385 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,400 Speaker 1: they play to an equal standard every week, and that's 386 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:53,399 Speaker 1: because he however he does it, he actually gets eighteen 387 00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:56,159 Speaker 1: to nineteen year old kids to not think in result 388 00:18:56,280 --> 00:19:00,199 Speaker 1: oriented fashion. He teaches people and actually gets them to 389 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:03,720 Speaker 1: adopt his mentality of don't worry about anything outside. Just 390 00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:05,760 Speaker 1: do the same thing every week, Do the same thing 391 00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:09,399 Speaker 1: every day. It's like the most easy, boring formula on 392 00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:11,919 Speaker 1: the face of the earth, so boring that people think 393 00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:14,320 Speaker 1: there must be something fancier out there. There must be 394 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:16,679 Speaker 1: something juicier, a little more fiery than that. No, No, 395 00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 1: someone's questioned me over there, they disrespected me. I'll use that. Well, okay, 396 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,480 Speaker 1: you beat them, then there's no more disrespect. Well you're 397 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:26,360 Speaker 1: gonna use next week. Where's the fuel? And so, what 398 00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:28,879 Speaker 1: his message always is is if you just use the 399 00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:31,160 Speaker 1: source that's inside you and you never have to worry 400 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:34,560 Speaker 1: about stuff outside, then you can always rest assured that 401 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 1: you'll be able to perform at an equal level every week. 402 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 1: So that's what he's talking about right now, because clearly 403 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 1: they're not there. It's not going to matter against Mercer, 404 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 1: but who knows how it will matter, how it could 405 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:49,520 Speaker 1: manifest itself down the road. Back when he got hired 406 00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 1: in seven, I don't know if they still do it, 407 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:54,119 Speaker 1: but they used to do this summer tour where he 408 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 1: would go around and he would speak in different cities. 409 00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 1: So they came to Columbus one year. It was very 410 00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 1: early on. It was probably one or two years into 411 00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:03,880 Speaker 1: Saban's tenure. They come to Columbus where I was living. 412 00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:07,160 Speaker 1: I'm working at the fabric warehouse. Can barely rub two 413 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 1: dimes together, but got enough to get in, got a ticket. 414 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:12,760 Speaker 1: I went to listen to Nick Saban's speak Now how 415 00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: the world is Crazy? A decade later, he's been on 416 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 1: this show a couple of times. Back then, I was 417 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,120 Speaker 1: paying money, just like everyone else to go listen to him, 418 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:22,280 Speaker 1: and boy it was worth it. That was the first 419 00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 1: night at the Columbus Convention and Trade Center that I 420 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:30,000 Speaker 1: ever heard someone talk about this mentality, the process oriented 421 00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:34,399 Speaker 1: mentality over the result oriented mentality. I had heard the 422 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,360 Speaker 1: message before, but like so many people, it had gone 423 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 1: in one ear and out the other. No one had 424 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:42,200 Speaker 1: spoken it in a way that related to me, I guess. 425 00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:45,560 Speaker 1: So he did it that night. Still vividly remember it, 426 00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:49,520 Speaker 1: and it changed a lot of the way that I thought. 427 00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:51,159 Speaker 1: I mean, I ended up getting back in school. I 428 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:52,800 Speaker 1: went in school at the time. I ended up getting 429 00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: back in school, graduated, ended up getting in radio, which 430 00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 1: turned itself into TV, which turned itself into this. I 431 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,320 Speaker 1: learned to think like that. I learned to think in 432 00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: a process oriented manner. And these days, I mean, there 433 00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 1: have been big things that you don't even know about 434 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 1: that have happened for this show or for me personally 435 00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 1: over the last six months. That they're huge now, but 436 00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 1: they've been so inconsequential in the day to day process 437 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:22,520 Speaker 1: of how I go about things. I haven't even announced them. 438 00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 1: Contract extensions, raises, new things that are about to happen 439 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:28,800 Speaker 1: for the show. All that stuff's happened, I haven't even 440 00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,359 Speaker 1: announced it. It's kind of like beating Miami. You just 441 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:34,720 Speaker 1: all right. I mean, I'm happy it occurred, but let's 442 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 1: go back to work next day. Didn't even buy a 443 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:38,800 Speaker 1: new t shirt, just go back to work the next day. 444 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,959 Speaker 1: It is life changing if you can ever evolve yourself 445 00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:43,720 Speaker 1: into being able to think that way. But as it 446 00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:45,720 Speaker 1: relates to this year in college football, because this is 447 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:47,960 Speaker 1: not a Tony Robbins convention, as it relates to this 448 00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,679 Speaker 1: year in college football, you think, you know BAM is 449 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,560 Speaker 1: going to win a national championship again, do you remember 450 00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:57,399 Speaker 1: this time last year? Week one to week two last year, 451 00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:01,600 Speaker 1: there was a team that owns the headlines. There was 452 00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:04,159 Speaker 1: a team that had a quarterback that was the early 453 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 1: Heisman front runner after his Week one performance, does anyone 454 00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:10,840 Speaker 1: here remember who it was? It wasn't Bama, it wasn't 455 00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:15,080 Speaker 1: Ohio State, it was Mississippi State. They went into Death 456 00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 1: Valley and they ran and threw all over LSU. I 457 00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:21,040 Speaker 1: think the final was like forty four to thirty four. 458 00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 1: kJ Costello. Yes, most recently seen on the backs of 459 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:29,640 Speaker 1: milk cartons was the preseason and then after Week one 460 00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:33,440 Speaker 1: Heisman front runner. You don't know anything after week one 461 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 1: is the point. And so you saw Bama last week 462 00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:38,920 Speaker 1: and they totally I mean not only did they run 463 00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:41,040 Speaker 1: over Miami, they put it in reverse and ran over them. 464 00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:43,159 Speaker 1: A couple of more times for good measure. You don't 465 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,800 Speaker 1: know how good they are. You don't know what kind 466 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 1: of injury could crop up. But you also don't know 467 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 1: what kind of vulnerabilities they may have that Miami wasn't 468 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:55,280 Speaker 1: capable of exposing. But Florida may be two weeks from now, 469 00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:58,000 Speaker 1: or A and m or Old miss Maybe you don't know. 470 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,040 Speaker 1: The point is you can afford to think like that 471 00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:03,560 Speaker 1: because you sit at home, or you stand on the sideline, 472 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:05,360 Speaker 1: you sit in the stands, and you watch. If you're 473 00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:07,879 Speaker 1: running the organization, you can't afford to think like that, 474 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,480 Speaker 1: and you doubly can't afford to let anyone else in 475 00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:14,520 Speaker 1: the organization think like that. You can't watch the product 476 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,639 Speaker 1: and admire it, but then look at the way the 477 00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:21,200 Speaker 1: leader produces the product and second guess them, like, what's 478 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:25,040 Speaker 1: his deal? It's just mercer. It's not just mercer. It's 479 00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:28,360 Speaker 1: a process. Independent of who you're playing Saturday, the opponent 480 00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 1: doesn't matter. Just is the same way in your life 481 00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 1: doesn't matter. You know, whether you're if you're a public 482 00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,200 Speaker 1: speaker speaking to ten people or ten thousand people, you 483 00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 1: do it the same way. If you're about excellent, you 484 00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:41,440 Speaker 1: just do it the same way. That's how you produce 485 00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:43,639 Speaker 1: excellence eventually. So it's going to be really fun to 486 00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,359 Speaker 1: watch this because I'm sure there are some people on 487 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:48,800 Speaker 1: that roster right now that get it all ready, and 488 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:51,000 Speaker 1: there are some people who don't get it, and normally 489 00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:52,800 Speaker 1: you got to find out the hard way. You know, 490 00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:54,640 Speaker 1: what he's trying to do is circumvent that. What he's 491 00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:56,480 Speaker 1: trying to do is avoid having to learn it the 492 00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 1: hard way. But that's why when you see them lose, 493 00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 1: when you see Aliaba, I'm gonna lose. Sometimes it's not 494 00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: the worst thing in the world. Saban knows they can 495 00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:06,920 Speaker 1: afford a little bit of slack and still make a playoff, 496 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 1: but he knows also when they lose, it's some of 497 00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:13,800 Speaker 1: the best ammunition he'll ever have to get people's attention. 498 00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:15,639 Speaker 1: And I'm not predicting them to lose a game, but 499 00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:18,159 Speaker 1: I'm just saying, if you've ever watched the way he 500 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,920 Speaker 1: goes about things, you know, when Vamma loses, everyone else 501 00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:22,600 Speaker 1: freaks out and he'll just take his head, set off, 502 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:24,360 Speaker 1: walk to the locker room on to the next week. 503 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 1: It's just a different mentality and it's so simple. It's 504 00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:34,080 Speaker 1: the brilliance is in the simplicity, the brilliance of not 505 00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:36,879 Speaker 1: focusing on the mountaintop, just focusing on the next step 506 00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:40,159 Speaker 1: in the climb. That stuff sounds so boring, though people 507 00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:42,800 Speaker 1: think it's so much more complicated than that. I've sp 508 00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 1: last time we interviewed him, we were speaking before we 509 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:50,119 Speaker 1: actually went on air, and I was talking to him 510 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:54,840 Speaker 1: about that, and you know, he'll tell you there's nothing 511 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:58,320 Speaker 1: about what we do in and of itself that is 512 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:02,040 Speaker 1: rocket science. There is no not one individual thing. I mean, yeah, 513 00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:04,159 Speaker 1: I mean, if you listen to their defensive calls and 514 00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:06,520 Speaker 1: you've never put on a headset, that stuff will make 515 00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:10,199 Speaker 1: your head swim. But philosophically, there's nothing we do that 516 00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:13,600 Speaker 1: is reinventing the wheel. It's just that you do every 517 00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:17,000 Speaker 1: single thing at an absurdly high level, and you've got 518 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:19,720 Speaker 1: a guy who is in charge and running things there 519 00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:23,720 Speaker 1: that is able to operate at that capacity every single 520 00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:27,119 Speaker 1: day and have his hand in every facet of the organization. 521 00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 1: And that's rare. But theoretically it's possible for everyone to do. 522 00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:35,480 Speaker 1: It's possible for every program of a certain stature to 523 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:40,240 Speaker 1: do if you have the resources. It's technically possible, but 524 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:42,040 Speaker 1: yet you're watching the best of all time, and that's 525 00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:44,480 Speaker 1: why no one's matching it. Okay, let's move on here. 526 00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:46,680 Speaker 1: I just wanted to touch on that for a second. 527 00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 1: When you get my papers in order, I make sure 528 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:49,960 Speaker 1: I don't miss anything like we did a couple of 529 00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:52,800 Speaker 1: weeks ago. So there are several games across the country 530 00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:55,560 Speaker 1: that have not gotten their proper spotlight this week. So 531 00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:57,879 Speaker 1: let's shine some spotlight on some of these Week two games. 532 00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,760 Speaker 1: Washington is at Michigan. Michigan is favored by seven. This 533 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:05,400 Speaker 1: is a Saturday night eight o'clock Eastern time kickoff on ABC. 534 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:09,240 Speaker 1: Michigan played Western Michigan last week. It was a game 535 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:11,120 Speaker 1: that people kind of whispered. It was one of those 536 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:14,160 Speaker 1: games where people said, hey, watch out for Western Michigan, 537 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:16,640 Speaker 1: and they say it on like Wednesday, so they can 538 00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:18,680 Speaker 1: have it on the record, But then when Michigan won 539 00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:20,359 Speaker 1: going away, you never hear about it again. It was 540 00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:22,920 Speaker 1: one of those kind of games. Well, Michigan not only 541 00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,320 Speaker 1: did they win, they hung what was it about, eight 542 00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:28,360 Speaker 1: yards per carry. They're not going to do that against Washington. 543 00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,919 Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure they're not. So you combine that with 544 00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:34,440 Speaker 1: the Ronnie Bell absence at wide receiver, and I think 545 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 1: about the Ronnie Bell absence in conjunction with Xavier Worthy. 546 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:41,119 Speaker 1: Even though Worthy never played it down for Michigan, I 547 00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:43,760 Speaker 1: planned on him being on this team this year. So 548 00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,639 Speaker 1: I planned on Ronnie Bell and I planned on Xavier Worthy. 549 00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:48,560 Speaker 1: Neither one of them are there. And yet I plug 550 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,359 Speaker 1: this game into the model, and our model not only 551 00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,520 Speaker 1: likes Michigan to win, it likes Michigan to cover. I 552 00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,840 Speaker 1: would imagine if that happens, it is a late pull 553 00:26:56,880 --> 00:27:00,200 Speaker 1: away add on score cover. But that's where we are. 554 00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:02,960 Speaker 1: I mean Washington last week. The reason I worry about 555 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:04,800 Speaker 1: this and I would never touch it is they lost 556 00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:08,360 Speaker 1: to Montana, and no one knows anything about Montana. Montana 557 00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:12,240 Speaker 1: is a ridiculously good defensive team, and that will give 558 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:15,560 Speaker 1: Washington trouble all year long. They are not built to 559 00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:18,320 Speaker 1: get margin on people. They're just not. They are not 560 00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 1: gonna throw a ball up and down the field. They are, 561 00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:23,399 Speaker 1: as a result, susceptible to that kind of thing. It 562 00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:26,160 Speaker 1: doesn't mean they're a bad team, but I know perception 563 00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:28,760 Speaker 1: right now is that, well, here we go. This game 564 00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:30,639 Speaker 1: had all the air taken out of its balloon and 565 00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:33,240 Speaker 1: Washington's coming in. What are they really The answer is 566 00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:36,000 Speaker 1: they're the exact same team they were going into last week. 567 00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 1: They just got beat. They got upset, they got beat. 568 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:42,280 Speaker 1: We have Michigan winning this game. The model has Michigan covering. 569 00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:45,440 Speaker 1: I'm not confident in that. I will tell you I'm 570 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 1: gonna take Michigan to win. And if you trust our model, 571 00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:50,679 Speaker 1: which looks a little rickety on this game, then so 572 00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:52,920 Speaker 1: be it. There are far better value bets out there. 573 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 1: The second game I wanted to touch on is uabat 574 00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,480 Speaker 1: at Georgia. This is a three thirty e extern time 575 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:04,680 Speaker 1: kickoff on ESPN two. Now my question when I look 576 00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:08,320 Speaker 1: at this is I wonder where would Bill Clark's team, 577 00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:11,679 Speaker 1: that being UAB. Of course, where would they rank on 578 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:17,600 Speaker 1: Georgia's schedule? Toughness wives, because Georgia plays Vanderbilt, obviously, you 579 00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,480 Speaker 1: play Kentucky, you play Missouri, play South Carolina, play Tennessee. 580 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:22,840 Speaker 1: How's the East going to shake out this year? And 581 00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:26,159 Speaker 1: where would UAB finish in the East. They wouldn't finish last. 582 00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,280 Speaker 1: I don't think they'd finished second to last. So somewhere 583 00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:32,159 Speaker 1: in between those teams that's the kind of challenge you 584 00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:35,199 Speaker 1: have coming in Saturday, Georgia. The line's been fluctuating. It 585 00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:38,920 Speaker 1: was at twenty seven twenty five. The late news is JT. 586 00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:42,200 Speaker 1: Daniels is unlikely to play in this game with what 587 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:45,640 Speaker 1: figures to be an oblique injury. Now it's been easier 588 00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:47,920 Speaker 1: to get news out of North Korea than it has 589 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,480 Speaker 1: to get injury updates out of Athens, Georgia this week. 590 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:54,520 Speaker 1: It's not even a joke, and so no one really knows. 591 00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:56,920 Speaker 1: But I don't expect him to play. And with that 592 00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:58,760 Speaker 1: in mind, what do we see and we're seeing Carson 593 00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,600 Speaker 1: backs Saturday. I don't doubt that Georgia's got a couple 594 00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:03,680 Speaker 1: of quarterbacks that they could play and they could win 595 00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:06,400 Speaker 1: this game with. But what we start to watch with 596 00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 1: Georgia is we start to watch the kinds of game 597 00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:13,320 Speaker 1: plans that they go into Saturdays with offensively, And when 598 00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:15,320 Speaker 1: they went into the Clemson game last week, I think 599 00:29:15,320 --> 00:29:20,560 Speaker 1: it's totally reasonable to theorize that they realized early on 600 00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:22,400 Speaker 1: they didn't have to open up the playbook and they 601 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:24,720 Speaker 1: could just sledge hammer their way to a win, and 602 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:27,000 Speaker 1: they did. Okay, that's great. Is that gonna be the 603 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,680 Speaker 1: recipe twelve weeks out of the year. No, and eventually 604 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:31,280 Speaker 1: they're going to have to exercise a little bit more 605 00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 1: of this passing game. Is this the kind of game 606 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:35,800 Speaker 1: that they are going to do that in? I don't know. 607 00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:39,040 Speaker 1: I don't know, because I could easily see some uncertainty 608 00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:41,640 Speaker 1: a quarterback early on in this one. Uab's a very 609 00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:43,479 Speaker 1: good team in their own right. So it's not like 610 00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:46,560 Speaker 1: you're dictating terms here. UAB is going to have something 611 00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:49,320 Speaker 1: to say about this. We got Georgia winning. I'll take 612 00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 1: UAB in the points I got them at twenty six 613 00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:53,960 Speaker 1: I think right now to twenty four and a half. 614 00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:56,640 Speaker 1: I'm seeing that number on our board. I would take 615 00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:58,760 Speaker 1: UAV and anything above twenty four that is not an 616 00:29:58,800 --> 00:30:01,680 Speaker 1: official play. That's just where I would lean there. Survive 617 00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:05,360 Speaker 1: and advance, just win an advance. That's George's mentality this week. 618 00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:10,600 Speaker 1: Speaking of sneaky games, this one's a lot sneakier. App 619 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:14,080 Speaker 1: State is at Miami this Saturday. This is a seven 620 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:18,280 Speaker 1: o'clock kickoff on ESPNU. The line is now up to nine. 621 00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,520 Speaker 1: When we were talking the other night, it was at seven. 622 00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:22,840 Speaker 1: So someone's betting some money on the Canes. It was 623 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:26,200 Speaker 1: not me. I really went back and dug into the 624 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,960 Speaker 1: Miami Alabama game again. I wanted to watch Miami. Everyone, 625 00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,560 Speaker 1: if you watch the replay, you're watching Bama. I wanted 626 00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:35,080 Speaker 1: to watch Miami. I don't know how to tell you 627 00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:37,480 Speaker 1: this because it sounds stupid, but when they were down 628 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 1: forty one to three, I legitimately found myself thinking the 629 00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,120 Speaker 1: Eric King's played a pretty good game. I know that 630 00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,200 Speaker 1: sounds out of this world. That's just how good Bama 631 00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,880 Speaker 1: played the other last week. Deeric King did not play 632 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,640 Speaker 1: bad at all. There were very very tight windows to 633 00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:55,080 Speaker 1: try and throw the ball in. He got harassed all 634 00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:58,040 Speaker 1: afternoon and still hung in the pocket and made some 635 00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:02,200 Speaker 1: difficult throws at times, and they got blown out. Now, 636 00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:04,520 Speaker 1: what I'm telling you is all that means is Miami 637 00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:07,160 Speaker 1: can't hang with Alabama. They could win the rest of 638 00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,160 Speaker 1: their games. For all we know, this is not a 639 00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:11,800 Speaker 1: bad team. We probably bumped them a little bit too 640 00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:14,160 Speaker 1: far into JP Pole. We should not have bumped them. 641 00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:16,360 Speaker 1: So I will disagree with the model again on that 642 00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:19,040 Speaker 1: it's the model's fault when we're wrong, it's it's my 643 00:31:19,040 --> 00:31:21,960 Speaker 1: fault when we're right. So then we look at the 644 00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:24,440 Speaker 1: schedule here, It's obvious why this number is where it is. 645 00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:27,480 Speaker 1: This is a balanced app State offense. Now, so what's 646 00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:29,960 Speaker 1: getting tested this week is not Derek King. What's getting 647 00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:34,239 Speaker 1: tested this week is Miami specifically up front can't get 648 00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:37,680 Speaker 1: pushed around again. Secondary tackling can't have those issues in 649 00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:39,960 Speaker 1: week two. They got to win this game. I mean, 650 00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:42,920 Speaker 1: for obvious reasons. They got to win this game. We 651 00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:46,720 Speaker 1: have got Miami winning. We think the numbers right, eight 652 00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:48,440 Speaker 1: and a half or nine, it's what the model has 653 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:51,720 Speaker 1: it at. So I'll take Miami to win and cover. 654 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:54,520 Speaker 1: There is no strong feel here. It kind of feels 655 00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:57,080 Speaker 1: like the Georgia UAB game, except the numbers a lot tighter. 656 00:31:57,520 --> 00:32:00,400 Speaker 1: Survive and advance. They got Michigan State coming in next week. 657 00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:03,400 Speaker 1: Start to build something. Make this your week one. Learn 658 00:32:03,440 --> 00:32:06,440 Speaker 1: from last week. Make this your week one. Here is 659 00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:09,400 Speaker 1: a fun one. This one's getting more on the radar 660 00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:13,560 Speaker 1: as the week goes on. North Carolina State in Starkville 661 00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:18,000 Speaker 1: to take on Mississippi State the wolf Pack. As of now, 662 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:20,800 Speaker 1: you could find minus one out there, you could find 663 00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:22,920 Speaker 1: minus two and a half out there. The numbers all 664 00:32:22,960 --> 00:32:25,080 Speaker 1: over the place. But the important thing to note is 665 00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:29,480 Speaker 1: as of this Thursday evening, NC State's favored at Mississippi State. 666 00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:32,240 Speaker 1: Do we think they should be? Well, apparently all of 667 00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:34,760 Speaker 1: America does. I went on Twitter about what five o'clock 668 00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,520 Speaker 1: today and I said, have I missed it? Is anyone 669 00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:40,320 Speaker 1: out there picking Mississippi State? I mean in C State, 670 00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,840 Speaker 1: as far as my anecdotal observations, has been the most 671 00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:47,840 Speaker 1: public pick slash bet of the week on a game 672 00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 1: where the numbers under a field goal. It's one thing 673 00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:53,840 Speaker 1: if your bet are picking a four touchdown favorite. This game, 674 00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:55,800 Speaker 1: at least according to the odds, is supposed to be 675 00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:59,120 Speaker 1: razor tight. And I'm in a classic early season conundrum 676 00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:02,080 Speaker 1: because you know what my propensity and anyone with good 677 00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 1: sense propensity should be. When you see an entire herd, 678 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,320 Speaker 1: that's exactly what people look like when they're on the 679 00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:11,760 Speaker 1: same side. A herd of people just rushing towards a 680 00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 1: one point favorite, waving their money in their hand. You 681 00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:17,680 Speaker 1: know where you're supposed to go. But here's the problem. 682 00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:20,479 Speaker 1: I agree with them. I think NC State's gonna win 683 00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:23,400 Speaker 1: the game. I think it's a horrible matchup offensively for 684 00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,800 Speaker 1: Mississippi State. I think this defensive staff at NC State. 685 00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:29,520 Speaker 1: You look at some of their history Taylor made to 686 00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:33,320 Speaker 1: defend this offense, nothing's gonna surprise them. They know exactly 687 00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:36,720 Speaker 1: what they have defensively, and they know exactly what they're facing. 688 00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,600 Speaker 1: And also they can run the ball, and that's what 689 00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,600 Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech could not do last week. I think NC 690 00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:45,280 Speaker 1: State's gonna win. I'll take them to cover. I hate 691 00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:48,120 Speaker 1: being in the spot. I mean, I wish the rest 692 00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:49,360 Speaker 1: of you would get on the other side of the 693 00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:51,680 Speaker 1: fence so I can feel a little more comfortable over here, 694 00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:57,680 Speaker 1: but I can't. I mean, there is no quantifiable metric 695 00:33:57,760 --> 00:33:59,840 Speaker 1: that says when everyone's over there that changes the outcome 696 00:33:59,920 --> 00:34:02,160 Speaker 1: up the game. I just don't like it when everyone's 697 00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:04,120 Speaker 1: over there. But I'm gonna go with NC State anyway. 698 00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 1: Here's another one. This This, to me, is the most 699 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:10,960 Speaker 1: UNDERRATAR game of the weekend. Missouri at Kentucky. This is 700 00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:14,680 Speaker 1: a seven thirty Eastern time kickoff. It's on SEC Network. 701 00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:17,399 Speaker 1: I would strongly encourage you to check this game out. 702 00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:20,160 Speaker 1: The total has ballooned this week four or five points. 703 00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:21,839 Speaker 1: It's at fifty six right now. I still don't think 704 00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:25,520 Speaker 1: it's high enough. I'm I don't like being late on numbers, 705 00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:27,839 Speaker 1: but I still think the over is to play here, 706 00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:30,240 Speaker 1: even at fifty six. But let's talk about this. Tyler 707 00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:32,360 Speaker 1: Baty needs a big game. That's the running back for 708 00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,520 Speaker 1: Missouri needs a big game. Had won last week, but 709 00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:38,239 Speaker 1: he needs to keep Kentucky off the field because all 710 00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:40,880 Speaker 1: of a sudden we have to talk about Kentucky's passing 711 00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:45,319 Speaker 1: game and Will Levis and this up tempo Dare I 712 00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:49,160 Speaker 1: say high octane after one week offense they're running Here's 713 00:34:49,160 --> 00:34:51,080 Speaker 1: what we've seen in the past. I got a sneaking 714 00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:54,279 Speaker 1: suspicion about this game. There is no data that is 715 00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:57,080 Speaker 1: guiding this, mind you, but I've got a sneaking suspicion 716 00:34:57,080 --> 00:34:59,279 Speaker 1: about this game. I did this one time last year 717 00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,719 Speaker 1: and it paid off big. I think it was West Virginia. 718 00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:03,920 Speaker 1: It was a West Virginia game. I just flat out 719 00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:08,279 Speaker 1: predicted turnovers. Here's what I think is gonna happen. I 720 00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:11,000 Speaker 1: think that I watched Missouri last week. I watched some 721 00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:12,640 Speaker 1: of their game. They ended up with nine sacks. They 722 00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:16,080 Speaker 1: can pressure the quarterback. Kentucky's feeling really good about this 723 00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:18,920 Speaker 1: passing game right now. What I think is if that 724 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,880 Speaker 1: Missouri ground game can get off to a decent start, 725 00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:25,680 Speaker 1: and or if they can grab the lead start limiting possessions, 726 00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:29,560 Speaker 1: it could create just enough urgency on that Kentucky side 727 00:35:29,800 --> 00:35:33,160 Speaker 1: to where they make just enough bad decisions at quarterbacks, 728 00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:35,560 Speaker 1: to where they turn the ball over just enough times 729 00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:38,080 Speaker 1: to where not only does Missouri cover this five and 730 00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:40,880 Speaker 1: a half, I'm gonna pick Missouri to pull a mild 731 00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:43,880 Speaker 1: upset in Lexington. So I'll take missoo plus points and 732 00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 1: I will take the Tigers to win. I do not 733 00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:49,640 Speaker 1: advise you to predict turnovers. This is strictly a gut thing. 734 00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:52,840 Speaker 1: Our model disagrees with what I just said. Our model 735 00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:55,440 Speaker 1: likes Kentucky to cover, So I'm going against the model 736 00:35:55,480 --> 00:35:57,759 Speaker 1: a lot this week. Actually. But none of these are 737 00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:00,200 Speaker 1: official picks, mind you. It's just kind of a a 738 00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:03,600 Speaker 1: little opinion that I'm giving you. Also, Pitt at Tennessee 739 00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:06,520 Speaker 1: another one of those ACC games where they're in an 740 00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:10,200 Speaker 1: SEC building and the ACC team is the small favorite. 741 00:36:10,200 --> 00:36:14,160 Speaker 1: That's right. Close your eyes, children. It wasn't always this way, 742 00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:18,360 Speaker 1: but Pitt is favored in Neeland Stadium by three. This 743 00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:22,320 Speaker 1: is a noon kickoff. Director Colin does not predict Neeland 744 00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:25,120 Speaker 1: to be sold out. He does not predict Neeland to 745 00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:28,920 Speaker 1: be overflowing, but should be a good crowd there. Nonetheless, 746 00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:30,680 Speaker 1: this is gonna be a really good game. It's a 747 00:36:30,680 --> 00:36:33,600 Speaker 1: really good noon window game too. The big unknown here 748 00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:37,080 Speaker 1: is kN Tennessee run the ball successfully, because last week 749 00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:40,080 Speaker 1: against Bowling Green was no kind of test at all, 750 00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:42,680 Speaker 1: and this week is. I mean, this is a very, 751 00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:45,120 Speaker 1: very This is probably safe to say a top ten 752 00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:48,400 Speaker 1: to top fifteen caliber run defense in the country, and 753 00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:51,160 Speaker 1: Pitt it could be better. I'm being conservative with that. 754 00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:55,920 Speaker 1: If Pitt earns the right to rush the passer in 755 00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:58,560 Speaker 1: this game, meaning if Tennessee can't move the chains and 756 00:36:58,600 --> 00:37:01,719 Speaker 1: they're constantly behind the eight, third and seven plus, Pitt 757 00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:04,880 Speaker 1: will win this game, no question about it, because that 758 00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:07,680 Speaker 1: pass rush we'll get after Joe Milton. He has not 759 00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:11,480 Speaker 1: through one sample size against one of the worst defenses 760 00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,360 Speaker 1: on God's Green Earth than Bowling Green. Has not shown 761 00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:17,360 Speaker 1: that he has made some quantum leap on touch passes, 762 00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:21,040 Speaker 1: still a work in progress. Pitt can really mess you up. 763 00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:23,760 Speaker 1: They can really mess you up. So the only answer 764 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,080 Speaker 1: there is make sure we're dealing with third and twos 765 00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:29,319 Speaker 1: and not third and sevens. Director Colin and I are 766 00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:33,680 Speaker 1: disagreeing here Director Colin's roll with Tennessee. I had Tennessee 767 00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:35,640 Speaker 1: written down and then I scribbled through it and I 768 00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:37,560 Speaker 1: wrote Pitt. I closed my eyes when I did it. 769 00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:39,640 Speaker 1: I have no feeling the point spread whatsoever. But I'm 770 00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,920 Speaker 1: taking Pitt to win narrowly, and if Tennessee wins, and 771 00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:44,640 Speaker 1: then that's great, and that means they're a head of schedule. 772 00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:47,160 Speaker 1: It's funny though if you look at it, you would think, oh, 773 00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:49,680 Speaker 1: these two know nothing about each other. Pitt never plays Tennessee. 774 00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:52,400 Speaker 1: Well that may be true, but Paton Rdoozy, who is 775 00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:54,480 Speaker 1: the head coach at PITT, has faced Josh Haipel a 776 00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:57,000 Speaker 1: couple of times at UCF in the past few years. 777 00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:00,680 Speaker 1: Banks is the defensive coordinator at Tennessee, and I think 778 00:38:00,719 --> 00:38:03,160 Speaker 1: he was at Penn State and they play pit every year. 779 00:38:03,239 --> 00:38:06,520 Speaker 1: So there is a striking, maybe even a shocking amount 780 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:09,960 Speaker 1: of familiarity between these two staffs. Josh Haipel said, it 781 00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:11,960 Speaker 1: doesn't matter this week, so I'm not gonna waste any 782 00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:15,239 Speaker 1: more time talking about that. That is our show. Make 783 00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:18,759 Speaker 1: sure you are following on Twitter and Instagram at Late Kick, Josh. 784 00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:21,000 Speaker 1: I have got a strong feeling that the ram Manudle 785 00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:23,200 Speaker 1: Express is not done. We may add on a few 786 00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:26,040 Speaker 1: more cars at some point between now and Saturday morning, 787 00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:28,280 Speaker 1: so make sure you're checking it out. Also, the super 788 00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:31,000 Speaker 1: secret off the record, can't mention it. Instagram Live late 789 00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:33,719 Speaker 1: night Friday Chat. Could be eleven thirty, could be eleven 790 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:35,640 Speaker 1: forty five, could be twelve. I'll give you a little 791 00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:38,080 Speaker 1: bit about itself. You know where to looking until then 792 00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:41,160 Speaker 1: for direct to column for our entire crew in Fort Lauderdale. 793 00:38:41,200 --> 00:38:44,040 Speaker 1: I'm Josh Bate. Thanks for watching. It's been a great week. 794 00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:46,200 Speaker 1: Let's make it a great week and I will see 795 00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:49,080 Speaker 1: you guys in Iowa Saturday morning. Until then, take care, 796 00:38:49,160 --> 00:38:50,680 Speaker 1: Thanks to watching and God blessing