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Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome

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Speaker 1: to The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Mollman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am joined as I am for every episode, my partner,

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Speaker 1: my co host, my bff, my companion, my compadre professional

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Speaker 1: better Simon Hunter Simon. We got a lot of stuff

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Speaker 1: to get to, uh, including a very special segment from

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. But before we do that, I do I

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Speaker 1: want to talk to you because we forgot to talk

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Speaker 1: about this on Tuesday. Uh, you had a bunch of

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Speaker 1: wise guys that you were hanging out with this past

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Speaker 1: weekend at the sports books for the beginning of preseason essentially,

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Speaker 1: and give me some of the insights some of what

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Speaker 1: you guys were talking about. What were you guys seeing

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Speaker 1: that made everyone excited? Well, it was a fun weekend.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie. We had um I want to say,

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Speaker 1: like eleven two, I don't know twelve of my own

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Speaker 1: clients came up to oceans. It's a casino down Atlantic City.

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Speaker 1: That's pretty posh and a bunch of pros. I know.

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Speaker 1: You know, a couple of guys came down from Canada,

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Speaker 1: a couple of guys came from Maryland. We had two

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Speaker 1: guys up from Florida. You know, just came up for

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Speaker 1: the first opening week of football. Um, it's just it's

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Speaker 1: kind of a little bit of like a ritual where

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Speaker 1: you just get together the guys, you get the juices flowing,

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Speaker 1: and we always joke we try to get the scumbag

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Speaker 1: bet out of the way, so you know, we're in

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Speaker 1: a business of losing morals. My scumbag better the year

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Speaker 1: was I took Browns first half the Shawn Watson's first start. Uh,

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Speaker 1: I believe they were down thirteen nothing. DeShawn Watson was

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Speaker 1: one of seven for six yards passing. They yanke him

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Speaker 1: out of the game. There's four minutes ago, they drive

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Speaker 1: down the field, score touchdown. Jaguars turned around, throw a

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Speaker 1: pick six. They cover the first half spread fourteen thirteen.

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Speaker 1: So I won my first scumbag better of the summer

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Speaker 1: of DeShawn Watson. So it's just fun. It's literally it

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Speaker 1: feels like not that you're in a comb. I don't

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Speaker 1: wanna put that depressing, but like again, I want a

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Speaker 1: bunch of money. The NBA Finals wasn't that much fun.

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Speaker 1: I want a couple of schleck like a couple of

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Speaker 1: bucks here on the Ravens whenever. That was Thursday night.

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Speaker 1: I was going crazy. Just felt so good to be

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Speaker 1: back into our favorite game of football. Uh. Two things one,

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Speaker 1: Uh not only did you back door cover that Browns,

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Speaker 1: but it was like with thirty seconds left and the

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Speaker 1: ball was in the Jaguars receivers hands and he had

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Speaker 1: it ripped away by the Browns defensive back number one.

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Speaker 1: Number two. I believe the word you're looking for is

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Speaker 1: you want a couple of shekels. I don't even know

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Speaker 1: the saying is. It's a Jewish saying, isn't. I was Yiddish.

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Speaker 1: It's the Yiddish phrase for money. Um as your as

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Speaker 1: yours a d as your entry into Jewish culture. I'm

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Speaker 1: always here for you, buddy, You're the man. You're the

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Speaker 1: man we were supposed to have. Um My nemesis Matthew Freedman,

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Speaker 1: former Action Network analysts now at Fantasy Pros, on the

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Speaker 1: podcast as a guest. He's a great guest We love

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Speaker 1: having him come on, even though he uh left us

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Speaker 1: in despair about a year and a half ago. Matt Mitchell,

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Speaker 1: can you tell us what happened? I can. We invited

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Speaker 1: him to come on the show to be one of

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Speaker 1: our hallowed guests here in the Chambers of the Favorites,

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Speaker 1: and he had to decline, sending me this note which

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Speaker 1: I will read now. Hey, guys, I need to pass

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Speaker 1: on the Monday show. My wife and I have gotten

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Speaker 1: hooked up with the soup nazy of dog rumors, and

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Speaker 1: our dog has an appointment on Tuesday afternoon. If you're

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Speaker 1: not available to pick up your dog within fifteen minutes

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Speaker 1: of getting the message that your dog is ready, apparently

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Speaker 1: the groomer gets pissed and will remove the dog from

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Speaker 1: the client roster. And if that happens, my wife will

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Speaker 1: be intensely annoyed with me. The real issue is that

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Speaker 1: the groomer gets annoyed if you even ask her when

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Speaker 1: she might be done with the dog. So I need

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Speaker 1: to remain ready to leave the house at a moment's

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Speaker 1: notice for the entirety of a three hour window. So

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Speaker 1: that's my long winded way of saying no, But thank

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Speaker 1: you for the invitation. Honestly wish I could do it

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Speaker 1: instead of having my life controlled by a power hungry

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Speaker 1: dog um in Dubuque, Iowa and quote, I don't even

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Speaker 1: know what to say to that. That is the most

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Speaker 1: Matthew Friedman reason for not coming on a podcast I

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Speaker 1: could possibly imagine. It is precious, It is inappropriate. It

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Speaker 1: is Debuque, Iowa, Debuque, Iowa. The worst part is that

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Speaker 1: I'm certain it's true, and he should have He should

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Speaker 1: have just said I'm at the doctor, I can't do it.

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Speaker 1: He instead really put these cards on the table and

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Speaker 1: let me see him. Is a is a real look

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Speaker 1: into his life. I think he did it for our benefit.

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Speaker 1: Don't forget this is a guy who has on Twitter

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Speaker 1: in the past described the step by step process in

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Speaker 1: the middle of being going through food poisoning and try

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Speaker 1: to do in Twitter a m a at the same time.

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Speaker 1: So he clearly is shameless and has no boundaries. He's

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Speaker 1: nothing if not precious used the exact right word. So

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Speaker 1: we wish you all the best with with your dog, Matthew.

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Speaker 1: Sorry you couldn't join us. I hope his dog looks

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Speaker 1: really good and he better send us a picture maybe

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Speaker 1: we'll have him on again sometimes. And then we got

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Speaker 1: two divisions to cover today. I think they happen to

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Speaker 1: be the least interesting divisions in the NFL. One of

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Speaker 1: them is a division that I don't even think merits

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Speaker 1: attention from anybody outside of the region in which they play.

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Speaker 1: We have talked about this. It is the region with

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Speaker 1: the most nondescript helmets, with fans that don't travel, with

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Speaker 1: a fan base that doesn't extend usually beyond the city limits.

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Speaker 1: We are talking about the a f C South. We

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Speaker 1: are talking about the Colts and the Titans, and the

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Speaker 1: Jags and the Texans, and then we're also talking about

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Speaker 1: the NFC South, the Bucks and the Saints and the

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Speaker 1: Panthers and the Falcons. No one ever gives a funk

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Speaker 1: about these teams. Yeah again, I know child likes picking

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Speaker 1: on these teams. I care. I like these teams. They're

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Speaker 1: fun to me that I like their color combos. I

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Speaker 1: love all their old nicknames, the Aints, the Buccaneers, cream

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Speaker 1: cream orange skulls, Jerseys creamy, whimsical is not a Yiddish word.

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Speaker 1: That's just an old time American dessert. The fairness. To me,

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Speaker 1: I've been up since three am chat. So give me

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Speaker 1: a break here. The Falcons, Like, the Falcons have been

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Speaker 1: in the league for what sixty years, and it feels

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Speaker 1: like there's no history there. Yeah, the their history is

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Speaker 1: trading breath for up to Green Bay. Yeah, it just

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Speaker 1: feels their history is the running shoot and Gerald Riggs.

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Speaker 1: That's I guess we got to talk about them though.

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers are minus to seventy to win the division.

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Speaker 1: Their win total is eleven and a half plus money

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Speaker 1: on the over look, Like, you don't bet this team

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Speaker 1: to win the division. If I were doing something with

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Speaker 1: the Bucks, here's what I would do. Simon, tell me

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Speaker 1: if you agree with this, it's a wise guy move.

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Speaker 1: I would probably the Bucks and the Packers and try

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Speaker 1: to drive my price down. That's the move you throw

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Speaker 1: with the Packers, done with the Bills. Teams you think

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Speaker 1: are locked in their division. I'll be doing it even

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Speaker 1: though we're about to talk about it. The Bucks are

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Speaker 1: a boring team, like you know what they are there, Brady,

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Speaker 1: with a bunch of really good offensive weapons around them.

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Speaker 1: You've gotten hit by the injury bug, right, We're a

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Speaker 1: little worried about what's happened to them. So far, they've

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Speaker 1: had a couple of injuries on their offensive line, but

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Speaker 1: I mean, look at this division again, we're about to

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Speaker 1: go through it. It's it's hard not to think of

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Speaker 1: them getting to eleven a half wins. Like in Brady's career, mathematically,

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Speaker 1: you always take this over a bet, like there's all

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Speaker 1: there's just people out there that just kept been betting

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Speaker 1: his under betting him getting hurt, and here we are.

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Speaker 1: What is he now? I mean, it's really is crazy,

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Speaker 1: Like I don't even know what to say or talk

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Speaker 1: about because it's like I got nothing to base it

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Speaker 1: off of. I just never seen it before. My computer

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Speaker 1: can't comprehend it, like that year Brady won the Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl with the Tampa Bay It's just it's like it

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Speaker 1: sounds fictional. You're gonna tell your kids about it, it's

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Speaker 1: not gonna sound real. Um. My favorite stat I saw

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Speaker 1: is if you just take how many playoff wins these

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Speaker 1: hats since he's thirty seven and beyond, he has the

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Speaker 1: most playoff wins in NFL history after age thirty seven

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Speaker 1: and beyond. So it's just all the numbers don't make

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Speaker 1: sense with Brady. So I don't know. I wouldn't touch

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Speaker 1: it because again we're gonna talk all these teams coming up.

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Speaker 1: If you want to bet something with this team, Chad

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Speaker 1: talked about maybe make a parlay with them with other

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Speaker 1: divisional winners take their over. But this is this is

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Speaker 1: not a fun bet. So to me, I won't invest

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Speaker 1: and hold my money up on this team all season.

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Speaker 1: There's just too many variables. It is truly amazing that

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Speaker 1: the guys years old and playing at near peak. You

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Speaker 1: could argue at peak in the nfl L When I

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Speaker 1: turned forty, I had to stop playing basketball because I

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Speaker 1: tore my labor and I broke my ribs in two

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Speaker 1: separate incidents. When I turned fifty, I broke my pinky

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Speaker 1: and I broke my thumb, just like playing catch with

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Speaker 1: the football, Like you're brittle as you get older. I

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Speaker 1: cannot believe he's able to do this. No, it doesn't

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Speaker 1: doesn't make sense. Again, we laugh about it all the time,

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Speaker 1: but it's just, you know, we all want to hate

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Speaker 1: on Brady because it's like the man lives the most

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Speaker 1: perfect life and he lives the dream. But it's like this,

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Speaker 1: this guy is the greatest athlete where PA ever gonna

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Speaker 1: see there's just nothing compared to the man is has

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Speaker 1: potential to win another Super Bowl ring and Peyton Manning

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Speaker 1: is about in the Hall of Fame. It's just you

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Speaker 1: can't really wrap your head around it. It's just crazy

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Speaker 1: what he's done and how long his careers lasted. Peyton

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Speaker 1: Manning has already been in the Hall of Fame for

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Speaker 1: like a year. It's interesting you mentioned It's interesting you

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Speaker 1: mentioned him as a great ask because people wouldn't necessarily

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Speaker 1: think of him as a great athlete, right you think

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Speaker 1: you think of like Jordan's or Lebron or Serena or

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Speaker 1: Bo Jackson or Dion right, Bruce Janner, right, Jim Thorpe.

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Speaker 1: But I actually agree with you. I think the whole fallacy,

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Speaker 1: the whole myth around Brady, that he's a guy who

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Speaker 1: didn't have any of the physical advantages and is an

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Speaker 1: underdog story is a fallacy. The guy is six four.

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Speaker 1: He was a good enough baseball player in high school

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Speaker 1: to get drafted. He was a good enough football player

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Speaker 1: in high school to be recruited by USC and Michigan.

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Speaker 1: It's not like these are these are backwater schools. These

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Speaker 1: are schools that recruit the best quarterbacks in the country,

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Speaker 1: and he just happens to be an incredible athlete. We've

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Speaker 1: seen him play golf like who also happens to have

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Speaker 1: more will and competitive spirit than anybody maybe since or

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Speaker 1: other than Michael Jordan's. It's it's a lethal combination. Yeah, no,

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Speaker 1: we'll we'll never see it ever again. I can like again,

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Speaker 1: I'll never I hope you're like, you'll never say never,

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Speaker 1: We'll never see it again. It's just to have the

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Speaker 1: matchup of him with Belichick in such a bad week

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Speaker 1: division that he just dominated for twenty years. It just

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Speaker 1: we won't see it again. So yeah, I'm just when

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Speaker 1: I think of Tampa Bay, I'm just gonna appreciate them

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Speaker 1: this year, right, just appreciate Brading his greatness. But nobody

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Speaker 1: can never say he's not a great athlete, because he's

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Speaker 1: he's like one of the best athletes ever ever. No

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Speaker 1: one else has a new coach. We don't believe in

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Speaker 1: their quarterback. New Orleans is plus three ten to win

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Speaker 1: the division. Their win total was eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: We don't know what we're getting in a new coach.

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Speaker 1: We don't know what their receiver group is going to

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Speaker 1: look like. The eight and a half is reflective of

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Speaker 1: how little bookmakers think of this division. Don't let anybody

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Speaker 1: come in because they really don't think anyone can beat

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Speaker 1: the Bucks. Yeah, talk to a lot of pros and

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Speaker 1: they like the Saints team, and I just think they're

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Speaker 1: just betting off emotion and what they think will be

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Speaker 1: fun and a team that right. They They've had the

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Speaker 1: Buccaneers number these last couple of years. They've just always

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Speaker 1: beat them. Sean Payton's gone, that's a big deal to me,

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Speaker 1: Like losing that head coach, that's gotta be that's gotta

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Speaker 1: matter for this team. So I don't know what to

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Speaker 1: do with them. Like I'm waiting on the Kamara news.

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Speaker 1: Michael Thomas has actually looked really well, like you know,

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Speaker 1: in practice for them coming back off that ankle injury.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. There's other team's division i'd rather bet

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Speaker 1: to win this division, and there's other totals i'd rather

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Speaker 1: bet where I just don't have any answer for this now.

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Speaker 1: Lan's team, I don't know what they're gonna be. I

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Speaker 1: have no idea what their coaches like. But to me,

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Speaker 1: it's not positive. You're losing a Hall of Fame coach

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Speaker 1: in Sean Payton you're going to Jamis Winston, who we

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Speaker 1: know what Jamis is, right, Like, he can have the moments,

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Speaker 1: he can have those games where he goes five touchdowns

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Speaker 1: known receptions, he's incredible, and then all three straight weeks

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Speaker 1: of one touchdown, four picks. It's just the guy has

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Speaker 1: never been consistent. He doesn't really put the work in.

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Speaker 1: And I get what the fun is in the hype

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Speaker 1: is around this New Orleans Staatets team, but you have

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Speaker 1: to take a step back and really think about is

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Speaker 1: this team really worth investing your money in for the

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Speaker 1: next nine months. I just don't see it, So I

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Speaker 1: wouldn't do it New Orleans. I would, Uh, there's other

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Speaker 1: teams we're about to talk about this division I put

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Speaker 1: my money on rather than New Orleans. What do you

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Speaker 1: think the emotion is? What do you think wise guys

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Speaker 1: are seeing in this team that makes them want to

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Speaker 1: play them. They do have a strong core of the team, right,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I know they lost their offensive lineman. I

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Speaker 1: think the one guy head down to Miami. I'd have

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Speaker 1: to look on who who moved, but I'm pretty sure

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Speaker 1: they lost their all pro left tackle. So when they're

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Speaker 1: looking at New Orleans, they're looking at a team that

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Speaker 1: they're not that much worse than Tampa Bay right on paper,

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Speaker 1: like a Tampa Bay as whole as that we really

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Speaker 1: talk about pamp Tampa Bay is some major major holes

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Speaker 1: of the offensive line in their secondary. But New Orleans

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Speaker 1: to me is it's like light years away right at

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Speaker 1: the quarterback position. Like I just I just don't see

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Speaker 1: the advantager. That's why I like this. This division is

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Speaker 1: gonna be so tricky where I get why people like

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Speaker 1: the Ones and they're excited about Jamis Winston because he's

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Speaker 1: such a fun quarterback, But eight and a half wins

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Speaker 1: is a lot of for this team like them, then

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Speaker 1: being eight and nine sounds right. I got them at

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Speaker 1: seven Ones, I got them at seven and ten, So

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Speaker 1: to me, they're getting a lot of respect from bookmakers,

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Speaker 1: but being put an eight and a half where I

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Speaker 1: just don't see it. So again, I would take their under,

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Speaker 1: but I'm not putting a lot on it. They're just

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Speaker 1: it's a team I have no fuel for because I

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Speaker 1: don't know what I'm gonna get from this new head coach.

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Speaker 1: You're right, I think there are more interesting teams in

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Speaker 1: this division. Obviously we're talking about Carolina and Atlanta. Last year,

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Speaker 1: we were a committed Atlanta Falcons podcast. This year, maybe

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Speaker 1: we'll we will be We'll get to them. You and

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Speaker 1: I I think are on opposite sides of Carolina there

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Speaker 1: tend to want to win the division plus one thousand

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Speaker 1: win total of six and a half. I love Carolina

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Speaker 1: over six and a half, Carolina plus one oh five

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Speaker 1: over six and a half. And you actually have a

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Speaker 1: couple of pros joining you, a couple of couple of

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Speaker 1: guys with this weekend they hit. They had a couple

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Speaker 1: of different books and they bet the over six and

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Speaker 1: a half. This was before they watched Baker play. Um.

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Speaker 1: I think after seeing Baker in that preseason game, they

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Speaker 1: probably regretted a little bit. But Caroline is an exciting team, right,

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Speaker 1: They got a good defensive cores on offense. We know

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Speaker 1: what they have, right. They have really really, really really

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Speaker 1: really put a lot of money and time into this

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Speaker 1: quarterback position. Every year it's a new QB. They went

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Speaker 1: from Teddy to Sam Donald, now they're at Baker may

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Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield. I mean, it's just been to me, it's

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Speaker 1: been too much that That's why I'm so down on them.

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Speaker 1: Where It's like it's no stability. And I've seen with

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Speaker 1: Baker that Stefanski Rand's one of the best offensive schemes

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Speaker 1: in all football for the Browns, right, he runs a

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Speaker 1: run first scheme, and that's what you're expecting to see

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Speaker 1: here with Carolina. So I think when the pros they're

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Speaker 1: backing what you're saying Chad is because they're saying, Okay,

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Speaker 1: this kid has orgably the best running back in football.

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Speaker 1: He's got good weapons on the outside. Can't Baker just

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Speaker 1: game managed this team to the playoffs like he did

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Speaker 1: with the Browns, which is like, how am I gonna

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Speaker 1: argue against that? Like we've seen Baker do it, right,

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Speaker 1: we saw him play an AFC Championship game against the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: He can manage a team to that position. I I

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Speaker 1: just can't do it. Like I think it's it's too

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Speaker 1: much for him to overcome Baker where he's an undersized

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Speaker 1: quarterback that gets hurt and when he's not hurt, he

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Speaker 1: makes dumb decisions like he's just he just doesn't have

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Speaker 1: the men. It is not the mental makeup for me

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Speaker 1: to really back with my money. And that's why again

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Speaker 1: I love where Chad's head I like what these pros

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Speaker 1: are saying. With Baker in this system could be huge.

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Speaker 1: I think if Bicker did all right this year and

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Speaker 1: they hit this over right, they go seven and nine.

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Speaker 1: If they go eight and nine, yeah, give Baker another year.

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Speaker 1: And that's when I maybe back them next year if

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Speaker 1: he had another year in this offense. But his first year,

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Speaker 1: I just can't see Baker making a huge leap to

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Speaker 1: be in the playoffs and getting seven wins. It's just

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Speaker 1: it feels like it's too much for him in this

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Speaker 1: this new offensive scheme. I disagree. I think Baker's at

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Speaker 1: his best when he's playing with a team for the

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Speaker 1: first time and they can thrive off his personality and

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Speaker 1: they can see how athletic he can be and be

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Speaker 1: sort of you know, we had Ross Tucker on right

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Speaker 1: and he talked about knowing, thinking, hoping with quarterbacks and

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Speaker 1: the players in front of him, and that's their sort

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Speaker 1: of mindset with certain players. I think Baker in his

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Speaker 1: first year with the team, because of who he is,

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Speaker 1: can get a team from hoping to know, even if

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Speaker 1: it's not really the case. And I think with the

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Speaker 1: running game that he can get and the fact that

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Speaker 1: the Panthers will be better just by a virtue of

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Speaker 1: not being on the field defensively as much as they

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Speaker 1: were last year. Sick and a half. Six and a

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Speaker 1: half feels like a pretty low bar to me. And

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Speaker 1: then next year, when he's done well this year, they'll

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Speaker 1: sign him to a big deal. That's when suck. That's

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Speaker 1: when he'll get hurt. That's when he'll start to believe

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Speaker 1: the hype. That's when he'll start to try to do

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Speaker 1: too much, you know. But I think the pattern for

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Speaker 1: Baker and he is at Oklahoma too, like first year

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Speaker 1: in fucking racket ship. I love the theory. I just

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Speaker 1: I couldn't. I can't back it, can't do it all right, Well,

376
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Speaker 1: what do you want to say about your your favorite team?

377
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Speaker 1: In the Falcons one to win the division? Four and

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Speaker 1: a half? Is it a win total? And the only

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Speaker 1: reason we like them is because they're the one that

380
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Speaker 1: won the division way too big. Atlanta is just left

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Speaker 1: for debt like they are dead. Marcus Mariotta is their quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Don't know who Marcus Mariotte is. Some guy played at

383
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Speaker 1: Oregon back in the day with Chip Kelly almost want

384
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Speaker 1: to Heisman. He did win the Heisman. He was incredible,

385
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Speaker 1: and then he's just been left for debt, right, like

386
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Speaker 1: no one's really thought about him. He was about to

387
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Speaker 1: back up for Las Vegas for two years. He's just

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Speaker 1: he just isn't sexy, like kind of Chad just talking

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Speaker 1: about people get sucked into the Baker stuff because Baker,

390
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Speaker 1: he's a name, he's funny, he's exciting. There's no hype

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Speaker 1: around its Atlanta team. There's just nothing. It's just gross.

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Speaker 1: That's where I coming, Like, there's no chance this BET's

393
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Speaker 1: gonna hit. There's no way this is gonna win. But

394
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Speaker 1: it's too big, Like Atlanta should not be twenty to

395
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Speaker 1: one to win this division. They should be fourteen to one.

396
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Speaker 1: Fifteen to one, that's a more normal number for this

397
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Speaker 1: team that does have pieces on this offense, like Mariotta

398
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Speaker 1: as much, I loved the shot on the guy I

399
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Speaker 1: saw in the preseason. He's got the legs like he's

400
00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:33,360
Speaker 1: got the he can throw off balance, he has all

401
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,240
Speaker 1: the skill sets. It's as if can he stay healthy

402
00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 1: and one at that kind of long shot odds, I'm

403
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Speaker 1: fine with putting a hundred bucks to bucks on this

404
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Speaker 1: kind of bet, just just on the off chance that

405
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Speaker 1: you know, come December there are one or two games

406
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Speaker 1: back at Tampa, I can head you out of it.

407
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Speaker 1: So to me, if you're just looking at pure value based,

408
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Speaker 1: that's what I like with this division. I like this

409
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Speaker 1: crazy long shot at lanted team that I trust their

410
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Speaker 1: head coach, I trust the offense that they have there,

411
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Speaker 1: and I do think their defense has been much improved

412
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Speaker 1: of last year. So to me, I get it. Atlanta.

413
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Speaker 1: Everyone's all about them tanking for the season, which does

414
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Speaker 1: make sense. It's a great QB class coming up. I

415
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Speaker 1: just don't think they're that as bad as everyone's left

416
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Speaker 1: them to be, like they're just not one to win

417
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Speaker 1: this division bad like they're they're just that's just too

418
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Speaker 1: too extreme for this for me. So yeah, Atlanta again

419
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Speaker 1: not telling people to put their house on. And this

420
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Speaker 1: is one of my bigger bets for this division. I

421
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Speaker 1: think that's the best value right now. By the way,

422
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Speaker 1: one I'm looking in the Action Network app right now,

423
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Speaker 1: that is by far the longest odds to win the

424
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Speaker 1: division in the NFL. That is a long, long long shot.

425
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Speaker 1: I love this. Like, so we know about scumbag bets,

426
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Speaker 1: which sort of you bet on something that is totally

427
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 1: mean spirited, like on the on Watson in the first

428
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 1: half in the first preseason game that you did. What

429
00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 1: This is just a pure garbage bet. This is a

430
00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:04,000
Speaker 1: just gross, disgusting beat. Yeah, and this is one of

431
00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:06,479
Speaker 1: these you talk all the times if it's twenty one,

432
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:08,639
Speaker 1: I'll need to hit it once every twenty eight years.

433
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 1: And that's the way I look at these kind of bets.

434
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:13,199
Speaker 1: It's like, I'm not gonna hit this already know it's

435
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:14,719
Speaker 1: a loser. It's the same thing. Like I joke all

436
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,120
Speaker 1: the time, I really did bet a lot of money

437
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 1: on the Jack Choirs and Detroit Lions when a Super

438
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,399
Speaker 1: Bowl this year, there's zero chance that's gonna hit. I

439
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 1: am well aware I let money on fire. People. It's

440
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,639
Speaker 1: all about positioning. It's all about hedging. Like that's literally

441
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:30,120
Speaker 1: my job has put myself in position to hedge out

442
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:33,800
Speaker 1: on our profits. So same thinking here Atlanta. I literally

443
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:35,280
Speaker 1: just let that money on fire. That money does not

444
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:37,840
Speaker 1: exist anymore because there's no way Atlanta wins this division.

445
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 1: But on the off chance at a forty five year

446
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,840
Speaker 1: old quarterback gets hurt and the Saints are terrible and

447
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,760
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield's terrible. I love the odds. I just think

448
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 1: it's way too much when there's just so much in

449
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 1: the up in the air in this division. The NFL

450
00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:54,600
Speaker 1: Week one odds are out, and now is the time

451
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,160
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452
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00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:10,920
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456
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:13,359
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466
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479
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:37,520
Speaker 1: in West Virginia. All right, we talked about Matt Ryan's

480
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:40,359
Speaker 1: old team in the Atlanta Falcons, Let's transition to his

481
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:43,160
Speaker 1: new team, and the a f C South The Indianapolis

482
00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 1: Colts minus on to win the division. Their season win

483
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 1: total is nine and a half. I feel like bookmakers

484
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:56,480
Speaker 1: are setting a trap with the Colts because everyone always

485
00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:59,639
Speaker 1: wants to love them. Everyone believes in Frank Reich, everyone

486
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 1: believes Eaves in the roster they're building and Darius Leonard

487
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 1: in that defense and Jonathan Stewart is going to be

488
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:08,520
Speaker 1: the number one fantasy guy. Are we being lured into

489
00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:12,440
Speaker 1: a trap here? Simon? Yeah? And the way they're sucking

490
00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:14,400
Speaker 1: us in is what Chad just talked about. Like, I'm

491
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 1: I'm right there with them. I I every year I

492
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:17,719
Speaker 1: look at this cold team. I think they're the best

493
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:20,280
Speaker 1: team this division. And I think they're on a three

494
00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:22,760
Speaker 1: year wind streak Tennessee, Like they just keep one of

495
00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:24,800
Speaker 1: this division in the year. And before that, I think

496
00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 1: it was a Jaguars win in this division with Blake

497
00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 1: Bortles was a quarterback, and then before that Andrew Luck

498
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 1: won the division. So it's been a long time for

499
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 1: this cold team since they've really been on top of

500
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:37,919
Speaker 1: this division. And I think you're gonna good number, right

501
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:39,479
Speaker 1: if you want to bet the Colts and minus one,

502
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,840
Speaker 1: that is a great number. Like, I can't knock you

503
00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:45,359
Speaker 1: for doing it. To me. I look at this team

504
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 1: and I just have red flag and questions. Like I

505
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:51,080
Speaker 1: I look at their offensive line, they have some major

506
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:53,320
Speaker 1: question marks on that left side of the line. Right,

507
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,520
Speaker 1: they lost their left hackle, they lost their left guard.

508
00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:59,040
Speaker 1: That's a big deal. Yeah, I guy's coming back from injuries.

509
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:02,439
Speaker 1: Who who's he throwing to? Right? We we know that

510
00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 1: the cold slash year that was Corson Wentz is a

511
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:05,840
Speaker 1: big ripe with him and he didn't have weapons on

512
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:09,439
Speaker 1: the outside. They really haven't improved that either. Obviously, we

513
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:11,880
Speaker 1: all know about Jonathan Taylor, the best running back in football,

514
00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:13,600
Speaker 1: and that's the key to this team. Like, that's what's

515
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 1: really gonna get them going. It's how he performs this

516
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:17,920
Speaker 1: year with Matt Ryan, he's just gonna be a game manager.

517
00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 1: The guy. Again, I don't want to shoot on that Ryan.

518
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:23,200
Speaker 1: I like Matt Ryan. He's a Penn Charter alum. He's

519
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,879
Speaker 1: a legend in my local area. But man, has he

520
00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 1: not really done anything since Kyle Shanahan left them, Like

521
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,159
Speaker 1: that was a long time ago. Him and Shane word together,

522
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 1: and his career has kind of just been what Matt

523
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:37,479
Speaker 1: Ryan is. Right, Matt Ryan's above average quarterback and that's

524
00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:39,679
Speaker 1: kind of what his career has been. So, you know,

525
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:41,800
Speaker 1: maybe a new change of scenery lights something up in him.

526
00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 1: But I just don't see it with him. I can't

527
00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 1: see it with this offense either, So to me, I'll

528
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:50,240
Speaker 1: be on there under again. I hate being that guy,

529
00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:51,919
Speaker 1: but I have him in nine wins. I had him

530
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:55,080
Speaker 1: at nine point two. So though nine point five wins,

531
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 1: it's a it's a slim margin. If I liked Matt Ryan,

532
00:27:57,600 --> 00:27:59,440
Speaker 1: if I like what I'm seen from them and this

533
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:03,200
Speaker 1: preseason and reading stuff for these beat writers, maybe I'll

534
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:05,200
Speaker 1: bump it up and I'll take that over. Because I

535
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:06,920
Speaker 1: haven't bet it yet, but right now as I sit,

536
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:09,280
Speaker 1: I got him great out as an under So to me,

537
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 1: I wouldn't touch him in divisionally, I wouldn't touch there

538
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:16,120
Speaker 1: over yet. Does Matt Ryan get into the Hall of Fame? God,

539
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 1: I hope not. Like he's It's like the same thing

540
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,439
Speaker 1: about Philip Rivers, Like everyone's like Philip Rivers is the

541
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:23,160
Speaker 1: lock to get into the Hall of Fame, and it's

542
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,120
Speaker 1: just I don't know, it's I know it's easier getting

543
00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:27,879
Speaker 1: the Hall of Fame, and it's all about you know,

544
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:30,720
Speaker 1: these guys padding the stats and everything like that, But

545
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:32,960
Speaker 1: there's gotta be some type of limit, Like can we

546
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:35,679
Speaker 1: really just shove these guys in Matt Ryan, Philip Rivers.

547
00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:38,280
Speaker 1: I don't know. I just I just can't see that

548
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 1: me voting them in. But I know beat writers it's

549
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:44,080
Speaker 1: a different story. But me personally, like a guy like

550
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:46,120
Speaker 1: Eli Manny who didn't have the stats but has the

551
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 1: two Super Bowl rings, I'd put him over just because

552
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 1: he did it in the most important time the playoffs.

553
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,479
Speaker 1: I agree. I totally agree. The other team in that division,

554
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans. You know they were the number one seed

555
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 1: in the a f C last year. Mike Rabo was

556
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 1: one of those I feel like he's a little bit

557
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 1: more of a sophisticated Dan Campbell, Like super smart, yes,

558
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:10,880
Speaker 1: super aggro, can get his guys motivated, um knows the

559
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:15,120
Speaker 1: rules so well, can outplay out, scheme outcoach just about

560
00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 1: anybody can get his team in the right position to

561
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,880
Speaker 1: win at the end of the year. Like, why aren't

562
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:22,719
Speaker 1: I bet in this team plus one seventy to win

563
00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:26,040
Speaker 1: the division given what we just said about Indianapolis. It's funny,

564
00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:28,120
Speaker 1: Like I went through my notebook from last year and

565
00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:30,080
Speaker 1: on the show if you're near the show, me and

566
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:32,560
Speaker 1: Chad to make five picks every week for a contest

567
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 1: were in and Tennessee was our most profitable teams last year.

568
00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 1: We want actually really big on them. I believe we

569
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,440
Speaker 1: want big on them against the Bills. We won big

570
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,520
Speaker 1: on them against the Chiefs, and there's just different games

571
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:44,520
Speaker 1: where he kept getting rebel as a dog. Even at home.

572
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:46,080
Speaker 1: He was a home dog, and a bunch of those

573
00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 1: games getting over three and a half, four and a

574
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,360
Speaker 1: half against these teams. We joked about it's just like

575
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:52,320
Speaker 1: we don't get it. We don't get how their defense

576
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 1: was so good. But they just kept stepping up and

577
00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 1: they kept producing. They kept beating in these close, ugly,

578
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 1: battled games, and that's where we see regression in this

579
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 1: upcoming season. They had so much good fortune last year.

580
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,200
Speaker 1: They literally had the one seed, like that's even crazy

581
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,800
Speaker 1: to think about, and that loaded a f C. Tannehill

582
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 1: somehow had the one seed last year. So you know,

583
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:13,920
Speaker 1: I would love to say they improved this awesome, but

584
00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:16,160
Speaker 1: they didn't. Right, They lost a J. Brown, they lost

585
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:18,200
Speaker 1: a couple of stars on the defensive side. They are

586
00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 1: again Derrick Henry Beck, which we can all agree is

587
00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:22,520
Speaker 1: a big upgrade from what they had last year. But

588
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 1: it feels like it's a lot for this Tennessee team

589
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: to overcome I'm gonna keep grading out as I go here.

590
00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:29,480
Speaker 1: I got them eight point seven wins. The book's come

591
00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:31,920
Speaker 1: at nine and a half. They're nine win team. To me, like,

592
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 1: that's again in this division we're gonna talk about all years.

593
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,240
Speaker 1: It's it's gonna be a very competitive division where it

594
00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:38,720
Speaker 1: hasn't really been in the past. So I love Tennessee.

595
00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:40,960
Speaker 1: I loved Rabel I'll forever be thankful for all the

596
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 1: money they want us last year. But it's a new

597
00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 1: year and they're just They're one of those teams that

598
00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 1: scream regression on the defensive side and offensive side. So

599
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 1: I like taking that under. If you still can get

600
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:52,960
Speaker 1: the nine and a half at a plus number, I

601
00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,680
Speaker 1: would take that number. Well, look, you you have it

602
00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 1: graded at nine. Nine feels like the right number. And

603
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:01,080
Speaker 1: if that's the case, take the under nine and a half.

604
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 1: The other team that we want to talk about here Houston.

605
00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:07,400
Speaker 1: One win in the division. Four and a half is

606
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 1: the win total. Davis Mills, we're both big fans. We'll

607
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:11,680
Speaker 1: get to it in a second, but we're not going

608
00:31:11,760 --> 00:31:13,640
Speaker 1: to spend as much time on Houston as we are

609
00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:17,440
Speaker 1: on Jacksonville. I'm coming around to your way of thinking

610
00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:21,960
Speaker 1: on this plus seven fifty to win the division win

611
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:28,960
Speaker 1: total six and a half. Simon Hunter, professional analyzer of football.

612
00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 1: We have been talking about the Jacksonville Jaguars. I know

613
00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:35,600
Speaker 1: you've got a strong opinion. Light it up. This is

614
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:37,600
Speaker 1: why you have on the show, brother, this is how

615
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:41,520
Speaker 1: I make my living picking these ugly, ugly divisional winners

616
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:43,840
Speaker 1: in the middle of July that no one wants to

617
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,520
Speaker 1: talk about. Like, literally, no one else is talking about

618
00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:48,600
Speaker 1: the Jaguars in July, just me and Chad because we're

619
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:51,040
Speaker 1: just stick in the head that way. Yeah, I love

620
00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:54,400
Speaker 1: this team for everything that we talked about earlier in

621
00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 1: the summer. We're always looking for the ugliest girl in

622
00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 1: the bar. It's like running joke. That's like a pro

623
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 1: jokeerre looking for the uthers from the bar that when

624
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:06,200
Speaker 1: they turn the lights on, she's actually when of the

625
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 1: best looking girls in the bar. You just didn't know

626
00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:09,959
Speaker 1: it because she didn't look right in the lights. That's

627
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:11,680
Speaker 1: why I feel like the Jaguars are right we're looking

628
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 1: at them. They look gross. They had this weird drafts

629
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: these last couple of years. They haven't had a good

630
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:20,120
Speaker 1: coach in last I don't know five years man. When

631
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:22,360
Speaker 1: you strip it all away, you just look on paper.

632
00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:25,360
Speaker 1: This team has a ton of talent and it's all

633
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:27,920
Speaker 1: about Trevor Lawrence. And that's what I'm banking on right now.

634
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:31,720
Speaker 1: I'm looking at Doug Peterson. He found something that Carson

635
00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:33,800
Speaker 1: Wentz and no one else has since his middle find right.

636
00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:35,760
Speaker 1: He took Carson Wentz in a second year. That's what

637
00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 1: I'm open with. Trevor Lawrence a guy that the minute

638
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:40,960
Speaker 1: he stepped on the field when heever whatever was eighth grade,

639
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 1: he never had lost. He didn't lose all went to

640
00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:45,920
Speaker 1: college and maybe lost a handful of games in college.

641
00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 1: He's just a proven winner. And he got humbled. That's

642
00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:51,240
Speaker 1: one of my favorite thing about Trevor Lawrence experiences. He

643
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:54,760
Speaker 1: got humbled last year like they were bad. He was bad,

644
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:57,160
Speaker 1: That whole team was bad. And we now we've just

645
00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 1: seen multiple guys talk about now they have a professional

646
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 1: in the building an Doug Peterson. I love. I love

647
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,160
Speaker 1: this team so much in the sense that no one

648
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:06,960
Speaker 1: was talking about that months ago. So we were able

649
00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:08,800
Speaker 1: to get them at plus nine hundred ten to one

650
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:11,720
Speaker 1: to win this division at one point. Now Fandel has

651
00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 1: them down to seven to one eighth to one, shop

652
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:18,360
Speaker 1: around for that number. Um. I love the Jags, love

653
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:21,320
Speaker 1: their over having an eight wins for the season. Again,

654
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,719
Speaker 1: when I talk about taking them for the division, being

655
00:33:24,800 --> 00:33:27,479
Speaker 1: chatter talking about's all about putting yourself a position to hedge. So,

656
00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:29,800
Speaker 1: do I really think they're gonna the division? No, Like

657
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:31,920
Speaker 1: I don't. I do think they're a step behind Tennessee

658
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,320
Speaker 1: in the Colts. Do I think these odds are way

659
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,760
Speaker 1: too extreme because they were so bad last year? Yes?

660
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,400
Speaker 1: So if you if you're like me and you just

661
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:42,680
Speaker 1: believe in the talents there on the Jaguars, which we

662
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 1: all know it is. They've had these high draft picks

663
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 1: and now the new coaching regime can come in and

664
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,520
Speaker 1: shake it up, it's kind of a no brainer bet

665
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:51,120
Speaker 1: so to me, you're getting a good plus number of

666
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 1: the over six and a half and for them divisionally,

667
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,440
Speaker 1: how can you not bet this team? To me, Simon,

668
00:33:56,920 --> 00:33:59,280
Speaker 1: the Jags have a little bit of a Bengals vibe.

669
00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:03,320
Speaker 1: You know, there's a comp between Joe Burrow and his development,

670
00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:07,360
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence and his development. Doug Peterson, as you've mentioned

671
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:09,719
Speaker 1: with Carson Wentz, we think he's a better coach for

672
00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 1: quarterbacks than Zach Taylor is. There's a lot of intriguing

673
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:18,919
Speaker 1: opportunities with this Jack's team. You don't have to take

674
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 1: a full unit at plus seven fifty, take like a

675
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 1: little taste. It's like, it's just worth it to have

676
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,399
Speaker 1: skin in the game on this one. Yeah, I love that.

677
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 1: Should we talk about the Houston Texas one with Davis

678
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:34,919
Speaker 1: Mills and four and a half and Lovey Smith as

679
00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:40,399
Speaker 1: the new coach, A team that is in disarray and shambles. Yeah,

680
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 1: it'll be quick, don't. I wouldn't do anything for them

681
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 1: this year, but I am excited about their future. Just

682
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:47,759
Speaker 1: a team that means shattered me betting all season, So

683
00:34:47,800 --> 00:34:49,440
Speaker 1: it's like, don't don't even have to tie on your

684
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 1: money up in them. They're always gonna be underdogs. And

685
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:54,120
Speaker 1: I just love this team. I love their defense, love

686
00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:57,120
Speaker 1: their offense, love Davis Mills. Just it's gonna be a

687
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,360
Speaker 1: very fun team for me this season. Ben Houston, But

688
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:01,799
Speaker 1: all our local listeners, don't tire your money up from

689
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:04,040
Speaker 1: this team. Like I bet they're over, but I wouldn't

690
00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:05,919
Speaker 1: recommend it any of you. It's just not gonna be fun.

691
00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:07,279
Speaker 1: It's just gonna be one of those we're gonna be

692
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:09,680
Speaker 1: sweating into the final week of the season, so I

693
00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:11,960
Speaker 1: wouldn't tell anyone to bet it. Just just enjoy Benn

694
00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:15,160
Speaker 1: Houston at big plus numbers this season. Look, I can

695
00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:17,840
Speaker 1: already tell you right now. We're gonna love the Texans

696
00:35:17,840 --> 00:35:20,880
Speaker 1: at plus seven and a half at home against the

697
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 1: Colts in Week one. Easy bet easy, just like we

698
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:28,800
Speaker 1: love Detroit plus four and a half at home against

699
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:32,319
Speaker 1: the Eagles in Week one. It's like, come on, man,

700
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:35,319
Speaker 1: these are no brainers. It doesn't matter if you have

701
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:38,880
Speaker 1: one cheek and three toes. I will be your ressa

702
00:35:39,080 --> 00:35:42,560
Speaker 1: I don't like in week one at home Chicago Bears

703
00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:45,319
Speaker 1: plus six and a half steps before. But listen, we'll

704
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:48,439
Speaker 1: get into that. We'll get into that the weakest September six,

705
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:51,440
Speaker 1: We're gonna cover it all well, Simon. We cover the

706
00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:53,320
Speaker 1: a f C South, we cover the NFC South. We

707
00:35:53,400 --> 00:35:56,120
Speaker 1: covered all the teams with nondescript telments that nobody cares

708
00:35:56,160 --> 00:35:59,760
Speaker 1: about unless you live in the city limits of those teams.

709
00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:03,680
Speaker 1: For Simon Hunter, I am Chad Millman. For Matt Mitchell,

710
00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:07,600
Speaker 1: producer extraordinaire. This has been the Favorites podcast from the

711
00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 1: Volume Podcast Network. Download us from Apple, podcasts from Spotify,

712
00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:14,880
Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, Rate review, subscribe, leave us

713
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:18,240
Speaker 1: five stars, Say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift.

714
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:21,279
Speaker 1: Until next time, I love you