1 00:00:00,520 --> 00:00:07,760 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg through Washington, d C, 2 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:13,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg twelve hundreds to San Francisco, Bloomberg 3 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: to the country see a Channel one and around the 4 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,880 Speaker 1: globe the Bloomberg Radio plus Bloomberg dot Com. This is 5 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:25,959 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Surveillance. Good morning. In his seven thirty on Wall Street, 6 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: I Michael McKee along with Tom Keene allgan in the 7 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 1: news this morning. Of course, they're failed union with Fiser 8 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:38,640 Speaker 1: left them looking for ways to try to boost share prices. 9 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: Are going to do that by buying back up to 10 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 1: ten billion dollars in shares four to five billion, and 11 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:51,000 Speaker 1: open market researches repurchases over four to six months, they say, 12 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 1: and then they will see how it's going. Credit Sweet 13 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 1: CEO T jn Dam telling us today he's confident in 14 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 1: delivering planned cost cuts this year, which is important because 15 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,559 Speaker 1: they had a second quarterly lost in the first quarter, 16 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 1: this time three two million Swiss francs, which translates to 17 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,679 Speaker 1: three d eleven million dollars. They made a profit of 18 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 1: a billion francs a year earlier. Volks, so I can 19 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 1: apparently close again on a fix for those diesel powered 20 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: vehicles in the US. Affix. A software upgrade might reduce 21 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: the risk of an expensive buy back, according to people 22 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: familiar with the matter. You might also get a new 23 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: catalytic converter. Today's big earnings report. Disney analysts watching ESPN 24 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:34,200 Speaker 1: and theme park revenues, but much of their attention will 25 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 1: be on what, if anything, the company says about succession 26 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:41,720 Speaker 1: after that Thomas Staggs resignation forced out as CEO. That 27 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 1: is after the belt today. Now a second with Michael 28 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 1: R and get the latest world of national headlines. Mine, 29 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: thank you very much, Mike. It his primary day for 30 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: Democrats and Republicans. And in West Virginia and in Nebraska 31 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 1: you will hold Republican primaries there. Meanwhile, the new poll 32 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: shows a tight race between Hillary Clinton and Donald trumpet 33 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 1: three battleground states. According to a Quinnipiac poll taken in 34 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: Florida and Pennsylvania, Clinton has Trump has In Ohio, Trump 35 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:13,919 Speaker 1: leads Clinton to The port Authority in New York and 36 00:02:14,200 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: New Jersey is threatening to kick t Say out of 37 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 1: the Guardia, JFK and Newark Liberty Airports. The port authority 38 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 1: is demanding that passengers get through security faster, or they 39 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 1: will bring in a private security company to do the job. 40 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: Former FBI agent now security expert Manny Gomez privatizing it 41 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: would make it more efficient and effective and infinitely less 42 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:39,239 Speaker 1: costly to the taxpayer. Global News twenty four hours a day, 43 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:41,919 Speaker 1: powered by our two hundred journalists and more than a 44 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:44,919 Speaker 1: hundred fifty news bureaus from around the world. Down Michael Bart, Mike, 45 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:49,119 Speaker 1: thank you, Michael. Time now for the land Over Parsippany Bloomberg. 46 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 1: NBC Sports Update with John Stasha, don't stay Warriors of 47 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 1: games this season. They still have not lost two in 48 00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 1: a row. There eightieth win overall one thirty two to 49 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:02,960 Speaker 1: one five overtime in Portland and they come home up 50 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:05,360 Speaker 1: three games they won. The story was Steph Curry, who 51 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:07,519 Speaker 1: they said was doubtful with the knee injury that forced 52 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:09,079 Speaker 1: him out of the first three games, but he did 53 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 1: play and he scored forty points seventeen in overtime, which 54 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 1: has never been done before regular or postseason. Speaking of overtime, 55 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 1: Miami needed it to beat Toronto seven to tie that 56 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 1: series at two, three and four games of Toronto OT overtime. 57 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: Again in Nashville, they played three OT s the previous 58 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 1: game there again, the Predators won four three over San Jose, 59 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 1: so they'll play game seven tomorrow, so will Dallas and St. 60 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 1: Louis at the Stars won Game six three two. Good 61 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 1: start to the Mets four game series in l A. 62 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 1: Curtis Grandison led off the game of the home run. 63 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 1: Mets beat the Dodgers four to two, Stephen Matt's No. 64 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: Five and won the bullpen with three hitless and into Believe. 65 00:03:43,680 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 1: Yankees had five solo home runs, all off the Royals 66 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 1: Chris Young, all in the first three getings. They beat 67 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 1: Kansas City six to three. With the Bloomberg NBC Sports 68 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:55,400 Speaker 1: up team, I'm John Station. All right, thank you John. 69 00:03:55,520 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 1: Right now we're looking at stucks. They lost all all altitude. 70 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 1: They're gaining it back now. SMP futures were down to 71 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 1: a four point game. Now they're up to a six 72 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:09,080 Speaker 1: point gain. As we get ready for training day, we'll 73 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 1: talk about that in a moment with Jim Swanson. This 74 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:20,640 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg Radio Worldwide, and this of course is Bloomberg Surveillance. 75 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:23,240 Speaker 1: I'm Michael McKee along with Tom Keene on a day 76 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 1: where we're seeing a global rally, not just SNP futures. 77 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 1: But the stock six hundred in Europe is up by 78 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:34,599 Speaker 1: two points seven tenths of eight percent, so we're seeing 79 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 1: some some gains around the world. The Shanghai come even 80 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 1: in Shanghai, the Chinese stock market finished higher, not much 81 00:04:43,640 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 1: but up a little bit. Uh. The dollars stronger today. 82 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 1: Point of it one for your d x Y. The 83 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 1: end is weaker, the euro is weaker as well. Time 84 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 1: now for the Bloomberg n j I T STEM Report, 85 00:04:57,560 --> 00:05:00,320 Speaker 1: broughtly by New Jersey Institute of Technology invest more than 86 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 1: a hundred and ten million dollars a year. It applied 87 00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:05,280 Speaker 1: research to solve problems and improved life. Learn more at 88 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:08,239 Speaker 1: Stories of Innovation dot in j I T dot E DU. 89 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 1: Here's Bob, Good morning, Michael. Here's what's making news in science, Technology, 90 00:05:12,200 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 1: engineering and math. Potentially nine point three billion dollars is 91 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:19,239 Speaker 1: on the line as Oracle and Google make their cases 92 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:22,160 Speaker 1: to a jury on who owns parts of the Android system, 93 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 1: in legal fights that could profoundly change how software is 94 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 1: protected and licensed. They were left at a stalemate four 95 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 1: years ago, with Google's Android trophy untarnished. The central question 96 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:34,760 Speaker 1: of the trial now underway in San Francisco Federal Court 97 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 1: is the same as in the last one. Did Google 98 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 1: cheap by using part of Oracle's Java programming language to 99 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: develop Android without a license? If Oracle wins, Google will 100 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 1: have to pay fees for the operating system used in 101 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 1: eighty percent of the world's mobile devices. Yahoo may owe 102 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 1: more than a hundred sixty million dollars in damages if 103 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:58,599 Speaker 1: a class action lawsuit over text messages reaches a final decision. 104 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: The suit claims Yahoo Messenger service improperly sent welcome messages 105 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:05,279 Speaker 1: to more than three hundred thousand Sprint users in March 106 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:08,839 Speaker 1: of The law allows damages of as much as five 107 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 1: hundred dollars per message. Who's likely to settle the case 108 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 1: for less if it can undo a ruling that the 109 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 1: case may proceed as a class action. The company could 110 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 1: face suits for texts to other carriers if this litigation 111 00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 1: succeeds and a report build as the first comprehensive look 112 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: at the world's plants finds a plant solely being ravaged 113 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 1: by changing land use, mostly conversion of forests to agriculture 114 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 1: and to feed a growing population, and climate change. The 115 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 1: States of the World's Plants is designed to provide a 116 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 1: baseline for annual reports that it will measure how many 117 00:06:41,640 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 1: plants species are being discovered and how many are being 118 00:06:44,680 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 1: lost forever. That's this morning's Bloomberg j I T Stem Report, Michael, 119 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:54,120 Speaker 1: thank you. Revert. James Swanson had an interesting college experience, 120 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 1: earning an m b A with classmates George W. Bush 121 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:02,800 Speaker 1: and Jim Cuts, the founder of Sam Adams Beer. That 122 00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 1: must have been an interesting group of people to hang 123 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 1: out with. Uh, James, he's the chief investment strategist of 124 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 1: MFS Investment Management. What did you guys talk about? Well, 125 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 1: it's interesting also Mitt Romney as well, So it was 126 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 1: funny from the very first day we thought Mitt Romney 127 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:22,080 Speaker 1: was running for president. This is the age of twenty six. 128 00:07:22,160 --> 00:07:24,760 Speaker 1: He shows up in a suit and we're in sweatshirts. 129 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 1: But Jim Cook would always talk about being a corporate 130 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 1: lawyer on Wall Street, and it's interesting to see how 131 00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 1: his career evolved with beer and Uh, it's actually been 132 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 1: great funds and that George W. Bush guy, nobody ever 133 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 1: heard from him again? Right, yeah, you know, no one. 134 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: It's kind of interesting the characters into school, but definitely 135 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 1: all right, let me ask you this after the Job's report. 136 00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: Everybody is out there with their opinion on what the 137 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 1: Fed's going to do. You think keeps them on hold. 138 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:58,960 Speaker 1: But how important is the FED to somebody's investment strategy 139 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 1: right now, whether they raised rates basis points in June 140 00:08:02,080 --> 00:08:04,960 Speaker 1: or not. Look, I don't think they matter at all. 141 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 1: And I'm wondering about all this print and rhetoric about 142 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 1: FED when I'm looking at the US consumer balance sheet 143 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 1: and they're basically de leveraging, their amount of debt still 144 00:08:14,920 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 1: coming down during this whole cycle to their disposed by income, 145 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 1: and you know, basis points I don't think matters to them. 146 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:27,320 Speaker 1: They have been spending not great, but not poorly during 147 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 1: this whole six and three quarter year cycle added you know, 148 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 1: a nominal rate of four or four and a half 149 00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:35,280 Speaker 1: percent without the use of debt. I think that means 150 00:08:35,280 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 1: it's a sustainable cycle. And basis point increase doesn't change 151 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:44,199 Speaker 1: any of the real economic landscape here. Well, what did 152 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:48,600 Speaker 1: seem to change the stock market landscape is when the 153 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:51,079 Speaker 1: FED stopped adding to its balance sheet. We were doing 154 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: a chart on Bloomberg Survalance TV this morning. The minute 155 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:57,600 Speaker 1: they stopped, the S ANDP flattened out. Can the market's 156 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 1: trade higher without the FED. I think they can because 157 00:09:02,000 --> 00:09:04,320 Speaker 1: I hear what you're saying, and I've seen those charts. 158 00:09:04,400 --> 00:09:08,560 Speaker 1: But the omitted variable here during this cycle might be earnings, 159 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:12,199 Speaker 1: and over the arc of long history, it is prices 160 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:14,680 Speaker 1: on the SMP do line up with earnings and free 161 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:17,040 Speaker 1: cash flow. And I agree there are a lot of 162 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:19,440 Speaker 1: players out there who are looking at liquidity what the 163 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:22,120 Speaker 1: FED is gonna do quarter to quarter, months and months, 164 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 1: but year to year it's going to be a story 165 00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: of earnings and free cash flow from these companies. And 166 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: that's what I'm disappointed about in this quarters earnings and 167 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:34,359 Speaker 1: why I've said, let's stand back, because all the ingredients 168 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 1: I thought we're working for us, low cost of capital, capital, 169 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 1: light unit, labor costs, all these things have been working 170 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 1: for us for six and a half years have kind 171 00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: of petered out. So I personally don't think and not 172 00:09:48,200 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: reliant on the FED one way or the other. I'm 173 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:53,559 Speaker 1: reliant on the ability these companies that generate earnings, which 174 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 1: you have to remember are up higher than the market 175 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 1: going back to March of oh nine. Yeah, but we've 176 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 1: had this earnings recession for the last four quarters. Is 177 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:05,120 Speaker 1: that coming to an end or does it get worse. Yeah, 178 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 1: well that's where I come in here. I was thinking 179 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:10,440 Speaker 1: this was an earnings recession, and typically, and we've had 180 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 1: we've had a few of these in history, two or 181 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 1: three they last two quarters maybe three. Now it's four quarters. 182 00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 1: And now it's spread to other sectors. And this is 183 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:22,200 Speaker 1: where I have said, I write this blog, and I said, 184 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: let's step back. The market usually doesn't go anywhere in 185 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 1: the summer, usually does not go anywhere before in the 186 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 1: summer prior to a presidential election. And now we're getting 187 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 1: this sort of creepy news that margins are deteriorating and 188 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:40,320 Speaker 1: everywhere except consumer discretionary telecom. Let's talk about that more 189 00:10:40,800 --> 00:10:43,360 Speaker 1: when we come back. And Tom Keen's gonna definitely want 190 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 1: to talk about free cash flow with you. He loves 191 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:49,760 Speaker 1: free cash flow. Jim Swanson, chief investment strategist of MFS 192 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 1: Investment Management, here on Bloomberg Surveillance stocks are higher at 193 00:10:54,920 --> 00:11:01,840 Speaker 1: least futures are heading into trading today. Bloomberg surrounds brought 194 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:04,079 Speaker 1: to by National Realty thirty percent returns on cash and 195 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 1: rented real estate. Find them at n r IA dot net.