1 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:05,400 Speaker 1: Get in touch with technology with tech Stuff from how 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:10,440 Speaker 1: stuff What's dot Com? Hello again, everyone, and welcome to 3 00:00:10,480 --> 00:00:12,360 Speaker 1: tech Stuff. My name is Chris Poulette and I'm an 4 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 1: editor at how Stuff works dot com. Sitting across from 5 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: me as usual as senior writer Jonathan Strickland. Hey there, Hey, Chris. Yeah, Jonathan. 6 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:23,319 Speaker 1: Do you remember back at the the late days of 7 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 1: two thousand eleven when you and I sat down and 8 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: we made some sweeping predictions about what would happen in 9 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 1: the world of technology for two thousand twelve. Well, which 10 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: is which is good? Why you reminded me of these things? 11 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 1: Luckily I took notes? Um. Yeah, So we made predictions, 12 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 1: and of course every year when we make predictions, we 13 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:45,479 Speaker 1: hold ourselves accountable by taking our predictions and looking and 14 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: seeing how we did. So let's, um, let's take a 15 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:50,480 Speaker 1: look at some of these. Uh, should I go first? 16 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 1: Do you want to go first? Oh? Why don't you 17 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 1: give it a shot? All right? So my first prediction 18 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: was that economic uncertainty would cause companies to fail or 19 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 1: get acquired or to scale back, which was such a 20 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 1: gimme at the end of two thousand eleven that it's 21 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 1: almost embarrassing to call that a hit, but I am 22 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:08,399 Speaker 1: telling it as a hit. That was um. I mean 23 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 1: we saw that happen. We saw lots of companies start 24 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:14,039 Speaker 1: to cut back. I mean we had everything from the 25 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: uh Yahoo CEO at the time, Scott Thompson talking about 26 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:20,720 Speaker 1: how he was going to have to cut back on 27 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 1: a few thousand jobs at Yahoo or all the way 28 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:29,080 Speaker 1: up to Zinga laying off employees. And I mean we've 29 00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:32,399 Speaker 1: seen a lot of that throughout the tech sector. And 30 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: again it's not a huge surprise. Now, of course, there 31 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: have been some successes in technology, there's been some companies 32 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: have done very well in two thousand twelve. But I 33 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 1: think I think it's safe for me to call that 34 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 1: one a hit, all right, So I suppose I should 35 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 1: give my my first one and go here. Um. Yes, 36 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: I predicted that Yahoo would be purchased by another company, 37 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 1: possibly the Chinese search giant Ali Baba. Yeah, that would 38 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: be a myth. Well, I also predicted the same thing. 39 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 1: That was one of my predictions as well. I said 40 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 1: that they would either be acquired or break up into 41 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 1: separate companies, and the separate companies would be acquired. So 42 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:12,919 Speaker 1: that is also a miss. We both at the time 43 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:16,959 Speaker 1: thought Yahoo was kind of kind of really struggling. I 44 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: mean it really was struggling. And that's that was before 45 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 1: Scott Thompson came on. And of course Scott Thompson didn't 46 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:23,920 Speaker 1: last that long. So for a while it looked like 47 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 1: that prediction might come true. And then they brought on 48 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:31,679 Speaker 1: Marissa Meyer and uh, and that kind of gave Yahoo 49 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 1: a bit of a boost in the eye of public opinion. Yeah, 50 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:40,560 Speaker 1: that's at the end of UM that had that those moves, 51 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 1: especially the the um. They've also struck some content deals 52 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:47,960 Speaker 1: and things, um, and some high profile people have come 53 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 1: on to the board of directors. Um. But these things 54 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: are starting to make people think that Yahoo may have 55 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 1: some life in it yet. UM. And in fact, Meyer, Um, 56 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: well she inspired our our Women of Tech podcast, so 57 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 1: we did a little while ago. Um. She Uh, she 58 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,639 Speaker 1: has made some some pretty substantial changes even in the 59 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: short time she's been there so far. So people are 60 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: starting to think there there might be a future for y'all. 61 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 1: Who after all, yeah, and uh, do you want me 62 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:18,919 Speaker 1: to go again? Are you? Because that was yell who 63 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 1: was both of us. Yeah, I predicted that the the 64 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 1: famed A T and T and T Mobile deal would 65 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:32,119 Speaker 1: fail miserably. And boy were you right? Well yes, despite despite, 66 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:35,600 Speaker 1: well I was, I was really looking at the uh 67 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: indicators there and I felt like that was a pretty 68 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 1: sure deal that it was gonna the deal was off. 69 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 1: That was strange. Um but uh but yeah, I mean 70 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 1: government regulators felt like it was going to be in 71 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 1: the United States here, um, where the merger was supposed 72 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 1: to take place. Um, felt like it just wasn't going 73 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 1: to help competition after all. No matter what a T 74 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 1: and T was saying, now, T Mobile didn't and managed 75 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:00,960 Speaker 1: to uh the thing. As you know, t Bone will 76 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 1: as the fourth largest carrier in the United States. I mean, 77 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:07,120 Speaker 1: Deutsche Telecom has a pretty substantial share over in in Europe, 78 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 1: but in the United States they are their fourth largest. 79 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:12,400 Speaker 1: People were saying, hey, they can't keep this up, especially 80 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 1: since they don't have the iPhone. They didn't manage to 81 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 1: to do some pretty big things this year. They divested 82 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:23,040 Speaker 1: themselves of their towers, the actual infrastructure for their network. 83 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 1: Um and uh. They did a couple other small things 84 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: like um, oh, yeah, they decided they would merge with 85 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 1: Metro PCs, which is I don't know that the fifth 86 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 1: largest carrier they're they're one of the players that is 87 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:41,279 Speaker 1: behind the top four and not terribly far one of 88 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 1: the largest small carriers UM. And by merging that infrastructure, 89 00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 1: which looks like it might happen UM, it looks like 90 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 1: they might be able to to build out the network 91 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 1: take it to lte UM. And they've even struck a 92 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 1: deal with Apple to bring on Apple products, including apparently 93 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,839 Speaker 1: the next version the iPhone later on, which they would 94 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:06,240 Speaker 1: not have been able to do as efficiently on their own. 95 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:10,160 Speaker 1: So big deals happening, but not with a T and T, 96 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 1: so total hit for you. I said that REM would 97 00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: experience a change in executives at the topmost layer. Uh, 98 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: and this was you know again, it was I think 99 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: it was either late November or early December when we 100 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:27,600 Speaker 1: made these predictions, because we we do record ahead of time. Well, Uh, 101 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: we learned early on in these prediction episodes that if 102 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:32,720 Speaker 1: we didn't make these predictions by what we saw at 103 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 1: the very end of the year, there may be a 104 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 1: very good chance that we would be completely off. Yeah, 105 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: but it turned out January two, thou twelve, that's is 106 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:43,279 Speaker 1: exactly what happened. REM. The the co C e O 107 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:47,080 Speaker 1: S resigned there's a new CEO at REM, and uh, 108 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,520 Speaker 1: you know, this again was sort of a gimme because 109 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:53,039 Speaker 1: REM was really struggling as well, having having a real 110 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 1: rough time with the uh the the the added pressures 111 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:00,840 Speaker 1: of iPhone and Android and even you know a new 112 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: players like Windows Phone eight coming onto the smartphone scene. 113 00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 1: RIM was really struggling, and uh, there were there was 114 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 1: a lot of pressure from from shareholders for some big 115 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:15,479 Speaker 1: changes to happen, and failures like the playbook didn't help, 116 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 1: and that all kind of contributed to it. And so 117 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:20,560 Speaker 1: now we've seen a changeover at RIM. So I count 118 00:06:20,600 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 1: as a hit, yep, yep. And uh I predicted that 119 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:27,560 Speaker 1: Facebook would have an I p O. UM that was 120 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 1: a hit, although uh, you know again that was a 121 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: semi gime gimme because they were sort of required to. 122 00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:37,040 Speaker 1: But the science had been pointing. I didn't actually know 123 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: that at the time that we predicted this UM, and 124 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 1: it looked like everything was pointing that way that they 125 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: were they were getting to the point where they were 126 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 1: going to try to raise money with their I p O. 127 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:50,640 Speaker 1: Of course, uh that hasn't been a huge success for them, 128 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:54,840 Speaker 1: but may still pan out in the end. Of course, yeah. 129 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 1: I predicted that Facebook would hit one billion users before 130 00:06:58,080 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 1: the end of two thousand twelve, which was a hit. 131 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:03,480 Speaker 1: And you know, based upon the number of users that 132 00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 1: Facebook had at the end of two thousand eleven and 133 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 1: the traditional growth trend for Facebook, that was a pretty 134 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:11,960 Speaker 1: safe bet to make and it turned out to pay off. 135 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 1: So there we go. Facebook has over one billion users. Uh, 136 00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 1: that's a lot of people. That's that's amazing to think about. Technically, 137 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: I guess I should say one billion active accounts because 138 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:27,040 Speaker 1: some of those accounts may in fact be held by 139 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 1: you know, a single individual. Yeah, yeah, like of them. Um, 140 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 1: it's hard to keep track of all those Oh, speaking 141 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 1: of speaking of social networking, Um, I predicted that Google 142 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 1: Plus would not fold. People were saying last year. I 143 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:50,160 Speaker 1: remember people saying, look Google Plus. At first it was 144 00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 1: a Facebook killer, and then it wasn't. Oh look at this, 145 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:57,840 Speaker 1: this is terrible people, it's just Google blew it again 146 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 1: on social networking. But I said, no, it's to stick around, 147 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:05,080 Speaker 1: and I think it will slowly grow, and it slowly has. Yeah, 148 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 1: it's not been dramatic, but that's exactly what you predicted. 149 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,840 Speaker 1: And I remember the early days of Google Plus it 150 00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: felt like it was a playground for all the tech 151 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:18,320 Speaker 1: journalists and tech industry folks, because that's all the people 152 00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 1: I saw on Google Plus. We were the ones who 153 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:23,120 Speaker 1: got the UH the invites in pretty early, and I 154 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 1: had mine within the first week that it had launched. 155 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:30,640 Speaker 1: UH that came out of beta, and and for me 156 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 1: that was a blast. It was like, oh, I get 157 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:34,720 Speaker 1: to play with all my friends. And then I realized, hey, 158 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 1: you know what, this is not so great for anybody else. 159 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: But but it has, you know, very slowly grown, and 160 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 1: it'll be interesting to see if it will continue to grow. 161 00:08:43,040 --> 00:08:45,640 Speaker 1: I know that there's a lot of I don't know 162 00:08:45,640 --> 00:08:49,200 Speaker 1: if animosity is the right word, but um, dissatisfaction with 163 00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 1: certain Facebook users at the direction that Facebook has been taking. 164 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 1: And it could give opportunity to to UH to a 165 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 1: social network like Google Plus to really take advantage of that. 166 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:03,120 Speaker 1: Or we might even see and this will be a 167 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 1: shock or if it happens, but we might even see 168 00:09:05,040 --> 00:09:07,880 Speaker 1: something like my Space take advantage of that and become 169 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 1: a player in that in that arena. Again. I would 170 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 1: be interested to see that simply because I have written 171 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:20,079 Speaker 1: my Space off and they are clinging to life and actually, 172 00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 1: from what I've read, making some pretty reasonably decent improvements. Yeah, 173 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:28,960 Speaker 1: I haven't. I haven't checked it recently. I remember the 174 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:32,199 Speaker 1: last time I looked at definitely was a dramatic departure 175 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 1: from the previous version of my Space, which was nothing 176 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:42,079 Speaker 1: but good because the old MySpace got way too cluttered 177 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 1: and wait, everyone seemed to have an animated background image 178 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:50,959 Speaker 1: that was designed to make my eyes bleed, and they 179 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:56,480 Speaker 1: also had the music scientifically generated to make me want 180 00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 1: to punch people. So I'm glad that that has started 181 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 1: to change some of the punching people part. I just 182 00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:08,559 Speaker 1: kind of ingrained at this point. Uh, good times, good times. 183 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 1: Oh we I predicted that Facebook would make a huge 184 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:16,439 Speaker 1: acquisition that would make people wonder what might be happening 185 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:19,319 Speaker 1: behind the scenes. Yeah, this is this is kind of common. 186 00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 1: This was kind of a a uh, well, if anybody's 187 00:10:22,559 --> 00:10:24,160 Speaker 1: going to do this kind of thing, it would probably 188 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:25,720 Speaker 1: be Facebook cause they got a lot of money. So 189 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:28,599 Speaker 1: I predicted this was going to happen, and uh, it 190 00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:31,960 Speaker 1: kind of didn't like if you could argue the Instagram 191 00:10:32,440 --> 00:10:34,080 Speaker 1: was one of those except that made a lot of 192 00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 1: sense because Facebook was really struggling in the mobile platform, 193 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 1: especially things with like mobile photos sharing and Instagram, was 194 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 1: you know, really taking off there? But you know, I 195 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:49,400 Speaker 1: don't know, because the way you worded it in the 196 00:10:49,400 --> 00:10:51,439 Speaker 1: Predictions episode was it sounded like it was going to 197 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 1: be a company that would be so out of left 198 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:56,440 Speaker 1: field that make us all scratch our heads and say, 199 00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:59,559 Speaker 1: why would Facebook even want that? So I put a 200 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 1: question and mark by this instead of hit or missed, 201 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:04,040 Speaker 1: because I think I think you hit it more than 202 00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 1: you missed it. But it wasn't completely within the spirit 203 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 1: of the prediction. Yeah, I think I think Twitter did 204 00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:15,080 Speaker 1: that more, yeah, than than Facebook did this year because 205 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 1: they they yeah, they had that sort of acquisition. But well, 206 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: speaking of acquisitions, here's a big miss on my part. 207 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:25,560 Speaker 1: I predicted this was this is one. Even as I 208 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:27,200 Speaker 1: made the prediction, I said, I didn't really think it 209 00:11:27,200 --> 00:11:28,600 Speaker 1: was going to happen, but I wanted to have some 210 00:11:28,640 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 1: pretty crazy predictions in my list. I said that Google 211 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 1: would purchase Twitter, and that did not happen. I have 212 00:11:34,760 --> 00:11:37,480 Speaker 1: seen some people suggested that could still happen, like they 213 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:39,360 Speaker 1: could still see Google make a run of Twitter. I 214 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:42,720 Speaker 1: honestly think that that's that that ship is sailed. Twitter 215 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:45,200 Speaker 1: has kind of established itself at this point. I don't 216 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 1: see it becoming a part of a larger corporation anytime 217 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:51,440 Speaker 1: really soon. Of course, that probably means that that's going 218 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:55,199 Speaker 1: to happen next week. But anyway, Uh yeah, I totally 219 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 1: missed on that one, although again I was purposefully sticking 220 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:02,080 Speaker 1: my neck out. Yeah. Yeah, well, I mean it's fun 221 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:05,760 Speaker 1: to do those and see what what actually happens. Um, 222 00:12:05,840 --> 00:12:11,679 Speaker 1: let's see, let's see. Uh oh, yeah, I said that 223 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:15,040 Speaker 1: we you would be a minor hit, which it kind 224 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: of is. Yeah, it's you know, again minor hit that 225 00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 1: since you said minor that was that was a good call. 226 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:23,520 Speaker 1: It's been selling, but it hasn't been selling like the 227 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:27,520 Speaker 1: original we did. Yeah. Yeah, And you know, the reviews 228 00:12:27,520 --> 00:12:29,679 Speaker 1: are kind of all over the place. You know. Some 229 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:33,320 Speaker 1: people absolutely love it and love the game pad. Other 230 00:12:33,360 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 1: people find it very large and clunky, and and they 231 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 1: don't necessarily think that it's a huge improvement over the 232 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:43,440 Speaker 1: previous generation, although it does support HD which the old 233 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 1: one did not. But yeah, I mean it's no, it's 234 00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 1: I don't think it's the runaway success that Nintendo kind 235 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:56,840 Speaker 1: of needs, but at least it's not a total flop. Yeah, Um, 236 00:12:57,040 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: you know, I had another I had another Nintendo one, uh, 237 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 1: that Nintendo would cut the price of the three D 238 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: S again. And I was basing that on the sales 239 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 1: numbers because the three D S has had done something similar. 240 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: They were selling, but they weren't selling like hotcakes. So 241 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:13,320 Speaker 1: I thought, well, they'll they'll cut the price before the 242 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:15,439 Speaker 1: end of the year. And I thought, especially around uh 243 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:17,719 Speaker 1: this time of year, we're recording this, right before the 244 00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:19,880 Speaker 1: holidays here in the United States. I thought, oh, yeah, 245 00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:23,800 Speaker 1: that's that's they're gonna have to. Actually, something else happened. 246 00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:27,520 Speaker 1: They actually started selling more of them. Yeah, Nintendo had 247 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:30,560 Speaker 1: when they launched the three dsh It wasn't but a 248 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:34,080 Speaker 1: couple of months later that they cut the price pretty drastically. 249 00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:37,040 Speaker 1: And uh, and that was a pretty big news story 250 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:39,520 Speaker 1: because it was it was a dramatic move on Nintendo's part. 251 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:41,320 Speaker 1: You know, they launched a new product and then to 252 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:44,120 Speaker 1: cut the price of that product within the same year 253 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 1: of its launch was a big deal. But but yeah, 254 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 1: you had said that it was probably gonna undergo yet 255 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 1: another price cut. But as it turns out, I think Nintendo, Uh, 256 00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 1: the price cut they made was at a point that 257 00:13:56,640 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 1: it no longer gave gamers pause um or or or 258 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:05,560 Speaker 1: or hoofs for that matter, to pick up a Nintendo 259 00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 1: three DS. And so they ended up the sales figures 260 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:11,319 Speaker 1: ended up spiking. They ended up getting a good lift 261 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 1: from that, and in fact, the the the portable console 262 00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 1: became a bit of a success or, at least much 263 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 1: more so than it had been at its original price. 264 00:14:22,560 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 1: Um Plus more games came out for it too, so 265 00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,760 Speaker 1: that kind of helped. So I'm gonna I have these 266 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:29,840 Speaker 1: numbered in my notes, but I'm gonna actually jump down 267 00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 1: a little bit because I have a Nintendo prediction too. 268 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:34,080 Speaker 1: I just got to make sure that I go back 269 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 1: up when we're when we move off on this right, 270 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:39,480 Speaker 1: I said that Nintendo would begin to work on a smartphone, 271 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:43,200 Speaker 1: and as far as we know, that has not happened. 272 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 1: So that that was one of those things where I 273 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:48,440 Speaker 1: just looked at the market that Nintendo is in, that 274 00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 1: casual gamer market, and that many casual gamers have turned 275 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:57,840 Speaker 1: to things like smartphones and tablets uh to be the 276 00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 1: source of their casual games. That's that's their go to 277 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:03,520 Speaker 1: device to play games on, which means that those devices 278 00:15:03,520 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 1: are competing with Nintendo's products. So to me, it made 279 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 1: a lot of sense for Nintendo to look into creating 280 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: some sort of smartphone, either uh, partnering with another company 281 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 1: and then just sort of having a co branded product 282 00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 1: or striking out on their own and trying to make 283 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 1: a Nintendo smartphone from the ground up. That did not happen. So, yeah, 284 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:28,400 Speaker 1: let's a miss on my part. Uh, sad, it would 285 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:32,000 Speaker 1: have been interesting to see. Um, let's see oh uh 286 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:35,800 Speaker 1: Apple TV. We were we were talking last year about 287 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:40,560 Speaker 1: Apple TV UM, which is not the the little device 288 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:43,520 Speaker 1: um that you you plug into your TV. I was 289 00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 1: we were talking about an Apple television. Yeah, an actual 290 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:49,560 Speaker 1: TV running Apple software. Because some people were saying, any 291 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,760 Speaker 1: minute now, we're going to see the Apple TV. The 292 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:55,160 Speaker 1: same people are still saying that, Yes, you were one 293 00:15:55,160 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 1: of them. Yeah, uh and uh and um. Yeah. This 294 00:15:58,920 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 1: this happened with the iPad and a couple of the 295 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,960 Speaker 1: other products that we've seen with them, the iPhone. It's 296 00:16:03,960 --> 00:16:08,560 Speaker 1: coming any day now. Yeah, it's still coming any day now. 297 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 1: Although it looks as the end of twenty twelve that 298 00:16:11,360 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 1: it really isn't just a rumor that they really are 299 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:16,600 Speaker 1: trying to perfect a television. Yeah, I don't know if 300 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:18,120 Speaker 1: it will be hit or not, but it looks like 301 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 1: it will come out. I predicted that it would not 302 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 1: be out by the end of twelve, and therefore it's 303 00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 1: a hit and I and I disagreed. I went ahead 304 00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:26,800 Speaker 1: and said, you know what we're going to We're gonna 305 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 1: have this be a hit or a miss one way 306 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:30,600 Speaker 1: or the other. I will go ahead and predict that 307 00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 1: Apple will come out with Apple TV before the end 308 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:35,720 Speaker 1: of two thousand twelve. So that was a miss for me. Um. 309 00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 1: But then that was again another one of those where 310 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:40,040 Speaker 1: it was like, I feel confident that one of these 311 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:43,240 Speaker 1: two outcomes will happen, so I will take the other side. 312 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 1: Uh As for one of my official predictions, I said 313 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 1: that Netflix would get its act together and that possibly 314 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 1: Read Hastings might even leave the company, because you know, 315 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 1: two thousand eleven was a rough year for Netflix. There 316 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 1: were some some very public missteps made by the company. 317 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,200 Speaker 1: I mean the I don't think I've ever seen a 318 00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:06,159 Speaker 1: CEO apologize to consumers as frequently as Read Hastings was 319 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:10,000 Speaker 1: appeared appeared to be doing in two thousand eleven. However, 320 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:14,160 Speaker 1: Read the hasting and read like like a Mr. Hastings 321 00:17:14,320 --> 00:17:20,200 Speaker 1: did not leave the company. Yes, Uh, Hastings is still there. 322 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:23,440 Speaker 1: And but I would say, you know, at least Netflix 323 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:29,280 Speaker 1: hasn't made any other big mistakes like two thousand eleven, 324 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:32,720 Speaker 1: you know, seemed to have a rash of them. Two 325 00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:35,680 Speaker 1: thousand twelve, there wasn't really as much of that, so 326 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 1: I guess getting its act together, it's more or less true. 327 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:42,800 Speaker 1: And also Netflix did strike some high profile deals, although 328 00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:44,800 Speaker 1: those deals are not going to come to fruition for 329 00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 1: a few years. Of the deal with Disney to run 330 00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:53,520 Speaker 1: UH movies that the Disney features. Um, you know, Netflix 331 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:55,240 Speaker 1: struck that deal with Disney, and it was a that's 332 00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:57,719 Speaker 1: a big deal, but it's something we're not going to 333 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:00,959 Speaker 1: actually get to enjoy for a few more years. Actually, Uh. 334 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 1: They to be clear, they struck a couple of deals 335 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:07,320 Speaker 1: with Disney, and there is another deal with Disney that 336 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:12,000 Speaker 1: did go through UH to show older Disney content, but 337 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:15,200 Speaker 1: that's a separate as opposed to the stuff that's most 338 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:18,480 Speaker 1: recently been in theaters. That's that's the big deal that's 339 00:18:18,520 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 1: not going to UH to take effect for another couple 340 00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:23,119 Speaker 1: of years. So that is that is a different animal. 341 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:30,679 Speaker 1: Just just for clarifications, to um, let's see, let's see, Um, 342 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:34,960 Speaker 1: I have a new Google TV. Products will come out 343 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:38,879 Speaker 1: and no one will care. Wow, what a hit that was. Well, 344 00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:45,399 Speaker 1: Google has the wherewithal to throw its weight behind products 345 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:50,680 Speaker 1: and Google TV uh while critically pretty well, critically acclaimed. Hey, 346 00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:53,359 Speaker 1: this is a good product, let's see more of it. Actually, 347 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 1: that's sort of what happened with Apple's product to Hey, 348 00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:59,160 Speaker 1: this is really neat, but nobody's buying. I think it's 349 00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:03,119 Speaker 1: I think it's not quite ready like they're there, and 350 00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:07,720 Speaker 1: there's several features that are uh, they're not fully integrated 351 00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:09,760 Speaker 1: with Google TV yet. And a lot of that is 352 00:19:09,840 --> 00:19:14,240 Speaker 1: due to content creators resisting and so everything that the 353 00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:16,840 Speaker 1: Google TV should be able to do, it cannot do. 354 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 1: And that's more to do with business deals and and 355 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:24,840 Speaker 1: non existent deals like things that need to happen to 356 00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:28,000 Speaker 1: have not happened. Uh. And so Google TV is a 357 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:30,200 Speaker 1: product that's not as good as it could be, as 358 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:33,160 Speaker 1: it as it was engineered to be. But but that's 359 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:34,960 Speaker 1: you know, it's not the fall of the technology. That's 360 00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:37,280 Speaker 1: more of a business side thing. But it's still true. 361 00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,520 Speaker 1: I call that a hit. Um. I mean, we saw 362 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:44,399 Speaker 1: Google at the Google Io event there was a lot 363 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:47,719 Speaker 1: about Google TV, and and still it is not really 364 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:52,200 Speaker 1: uh launched to any any kind of of real success 365 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,720 Speaker 1: in the marketplace. Yeah. Well, part of the reason is 366 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 1: that the initial launch partner, I mean, there was a 367 00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 1: big um content or not content. There's a big hardware 368 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:05,160 Speaker 1: deal with Logitech that they were going to partner and 369 00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:08,400 Speaker 1: apparently most people liked it that had tried it, but 370 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:11,560 Speaker 1: you know those fifteen people I'm teasing. Uh, The thing 371 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 1: is that it was an expensive product. It was i 372 00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:17,000 Speaker 1: I think when it first launched, and they ended up 373 00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 1: dropping it um inn to um and they had, you know, 374 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:27,160 Speaker 1: some pretty stiff competition from people like roku um. So 375 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:29,600 Speaker 1: you know, they they you know, ended up shelving that. 376 00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:32,639 Speaker 1: Logitech said nope, we're done, We're out. Uh, And I 377 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,159 Speaker 1: figured somebody else will will launt in on this because 378 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:37,960 Speaker 1: you know, you've got Android, you've got the h the 379 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:42,520 Speaker 1: possibility of apps moving over. And it uh still didn't 380 00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 1: the beat the devils that they have made this year 381 00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:48,280 Speaker 1: have not sold like you know one might expect. Google 382 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,680 Speaker 1: Fiber might help that that whole process. I mean the 383 00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:56,120 Speaker 1: fact that the fiber hoods well Yeah, and then you 384 00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:58,479 Speaker 1: you know, as part of your deal of getting depending 385 00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:01,879 Speaker 1: on what tear you subscribe to for a Google Fiber, 386 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 1: if you happen to be in in one of the 387 00:21:03,520 --> 00:21:06,520 Speaker 1: two Kansas cities in the United States, uh, you get 388 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 1: things like a next to seven tablet that can act 389 00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,080 Speaker 1: as a controller. So you're starting to get some of 390 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:14,840 Speaker 1: that Google TV functionality there in the Google Fiber service. 391 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:18,320 Speaker 1: And that might even be enough to start getting kind 392 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 1: of a word of mouth campaign going and and maybe 393 00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:24,159 Speaker 1: we'll see an improvement in the next year. But but 394 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:26,399 Speaker 1: two thousand twelve is not Google TVs year. So that 395 00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:28,800 Speaker 1: was a hit for you. I said that at E 396 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:31,720 Speaker 1: three we would see at least get a sneak peak 397 00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:35,119 Speaker 1: of the next generation consoles from Sony and Microsoft, and 398 00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:37,359 Speaker 1: that was a miss. We did not see that. However, 399 00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:42,000 Speaker 1: we'd have seen, uh some leaked reports about what those 400 00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:46,040 Speaker 1: next consoles might be with the PS four or orbists 401 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:50,840 Speaker 1: and the Xbox seven twenty or code named Durango. Uh, 402 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 1: what those specs might be for those those consoles and 403 00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:58,000 Speaker 1: what features they might support. But we did not see 404 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:00,439 Speaker 1: anything at E three. It will absolutely stocked me if 405 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:05,119 Speaker 1: we don't see anything into the yeah yeah, sigence signs 406 00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:07,880 Speaker 1: suggests that you will start to see something come out 407 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:11,359 Speaker 1: despite rumors that that all of them want to just 408 00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 1: get out of the console business entirely. That would shock 409 00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:19,320 Speaker 1: me about Microsoft, mostly because the Xbox division for Microsoft 410 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 1: has historically performed really really well. And uh, and I 411 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:27,720 Speaker 1: think Microsoft kind of should hold onto that. But then 412 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 1: I also want, you know, predictions to come true. So anyway, 413 00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 1: your next one, yes, Apple, uh new iPhone will have 414 00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:38,520 Speaker 1: uh a near field communication Yes, And I said, no, 415 00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,679 Speaker 1: it's not going to and that that was a hit. 416 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,960 Speaker 1: That was a hit. Yeah. No, No, n f C 417 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,120 Speaker 1: in the in the latest iPhone, which that's what you predicted. 418 00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:51,840 Speaker 1: And you know what, you gave some very intelligent reasons 419 00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:53,520 Speaker 1: why you thought it wasn't gonna happen, And those are 420 00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:56,440 Speaker 1: exactly the reasons why Apple sites you know, they're not 421 00:22:56,800 --> 00:23:00,960 Speaker 1: pursuing NFC technology at the moment. So well done. Um, 422 00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,760 Speaker 1: which is it's going to be interesting going forward because 423 00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:13,920 Speaker 1: Google has included NFC technology and tablet devices not just phones. Google, Yes, Google, 424 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:17,600 Speaker 1: Google is betting on its wallet technology going forward. UM. 425 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:22,400 Speaker 1: I have never used it. The square, the square folks, um, 426 00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:27,120 Speaker 1: the mobile payment folks. They're not actually square like they 427 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 1: came out from Minecraft, and they won't the drapes and 428 00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 1: the squares baby, but yeah, I mean the mobile payment 429 00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:38,399 Speaker 1: technology is coming up, so it will be you know, 430 00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:41,680 Speaker 1: it's becoming more and more popular. So let's I don't 431 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,760 Speaker 1: know if if Apple will do it this next year, 432 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,960 Speaker 1: if when if, assuming it will release a new iPhone, 433 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:48,680 Speaker 1: it might. It was the same sort of thing with 434 00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,719 Speaker 1: you know, supporting lt and stuff like that, right, Apple 435 00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:55,080 Speaker 1: prefers for technologies to be somewhat mature before they start 436 00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:59,880 Speaker 1: to incorporate them into their products. So uh, I think 437 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:02,960 Speaker 1: it's at least another year for that, just because I 438 00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:05,680 Speaker 1: don't think NFC is near the maturity level that Apple 439 00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:09,320 Speaker 1: would feel comfortable including it. You know, I could be surprised. 440 00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:15,639 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not not soul either way. Us continuing 441 00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 1: the theme of things that Apple products will not have, 442 00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,560 Speaker 1: I said that the this was a thing at the time. 443 00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:23,080 Speaker 1: At the end of two thousand eleven, one of the 444 00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 1: rumors about the next iPad was that it would it 445 00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,960 Speaker 1: could have a three D screen built in screen that 446 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:30,880 Speaker 1: would allow you to view things in three D, kind 447 00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:33,120 Speaker 1: of like the Nintendo three D S And I said, 448 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:35,960 Speaker 1: ain't no way, that's gonna happen, because it doesn't really 449 00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:38,840 Speaker 1: make sense for a touch screen device to have this 450 00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:42,160 Speaker 1: three D capability built into it because you you interact 451 00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 1: with it in a two D interface, So why would 452 00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:47,600 Speaker 1: you have a three D view? And that was a hit. 453 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 1: It's kind of no brainer as far as I was concerned. 454 00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:51,680 Speaker 1: Although there were a lot of people who were saying 455 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: that was going to happen. Now, I wish I had 456 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 1: predicted that Apple was going to launch two updates to 457 00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 1: the iPad in a single year, because no, what was 458 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,520 Speaker 1: saying that and that's what happened. Yeah, Norton, Nor did 459 00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:08,520 Speaker 1: we mention the iPad mini. Um, let's see, let's see. Oh, 460 00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:12,960 Speaker 1: but but we did talk about web os on that podcast. Uh. 461 00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:16,480 Speaker 1: I was thinking that, you know, once HP acquired Palm, 462 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,480 Speaker 1: that it was going to get into the uh the 463 00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:25,960 Speaker 1: web os business. Um, not yet. You gave me a 464 00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:29,120 Speaker 1: question mark in this Jonathan put Together went back because 465 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 1: I don't have the patience to listen, and I went 466 00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:33,400 Speaker 1: back and listened to last year's predictions, and he gave 467 00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,520 Speaker 1: me a question mark here I would give me a miss. Well, 468 00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:39,080 Speaker 1: the reason because they're not gonna do it. Uh. It 469 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,480 Speaker 1: looks like I've said, I've read reports that they are 470 00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:44,199 Speaker 1: thinking about some things that they'd like to do with it, 471 00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 1: but I don't think they're going to do it by 472 00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:47,080 Speaker 1: the end of the year. The reason I put a 473 00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:49,280 Speaker 1: question mark was just because the fact that they did 474 00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,480 Speaker 1: make it open source and open it up to people, 475 00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:53,359 Speaker 1: but that was kind of happening at the end of 476 00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:56,160 Speaker 1: two thousand eleven anyway. So I put a question mark 477 00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:58,680 Speaker 1: there because you could argue that by making it open source, 478 00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 1: that is something useful. That was essentially that you your 479 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:04,359 Speaker 1: prediction was that HP HP would do something that was 480 00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:07,640 Speaker 1: useful with webbos. Uh. So that's why the question mark 481 00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:09,000 Speaker 1: is there. I think it's more of a miss than 482 00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 1: a hit, too, But you know I was I think 483 00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:13,800 Speaker 1: I was thinking, it's hard to see. Uh yeah, it's 484 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 1: been a year, But I think I was thinking that 485 00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 1: that HP itself would come out with a product and 486 00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,639 Speaker 1: that did not happen. That did not happen. So my 487 00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 1: here's another miss for me. Although I think it was 488 00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:27,639 Speaker 1: a good guess, it just didn't happen, which was that 489 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:30,120 Speaker 1: at least one of the big daily deal sites would 490 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,680 Speaker 1: go under, and so things like living Social or group 491 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:36,000 Speaker 1: on these coupon sites, because there's been a lot of 492 00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:41,120 Speaker 1: news about how these sites have uh shown to not 493 00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:46,200 Speaker 1: be profitable. They're they're struggling with revenue that um that 494 00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:50,680 Speaker 1: it's it's kind of a losing proposition as far as 495 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:53,399 Speaker 1: these companies are set up right now. Maybe there is 496 00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:57,000 Speaker 1: a way of doing this that isn't a revenue loss. 497 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,840 Speaker 1: But at the moment, there's some big news stories about 498 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:05,159 Speaker 1: layoffs at these various companies or executive shuffles at some 499 00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:08,560 Speaker 1: of these companies, but none of them, to my knowledge 500 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,240 Speaker 1: as of the recording of this podcast, have officially gone under. 501 00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 1: So that is a miss yep, yep. Although you could 502 00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:16,840 Speaker 1: probably make that prediction again for next year, I probably 503 00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:21,760 Speaker 1: can just write that down. Um, I've predicted that Canonical 504 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:27,160 Speaker 1: would ditch Unity as its interface for Ubuntu because people 505 00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:31,680 Speaker 1: were complaining about it. Yes, and they are still complaining 506 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,920 Speaker 1: about it because I'm still there. But of course one 507 00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 1: of the things that I'm neglected to think about. By 508 00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,200 Speaker 1: the way, if you're clueless as to what I'm talking about, 509 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,679 Speaker 1: Aubuntu is a a version of Linux, often called a 510 00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:45,000 Speaker 1: flavor of Linux, which is an operating system which is 511 00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:48,520 Speaker 1: an operating system that is not Windows or Macintosh or 512 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:51,920 Speaker 1: many other systems. But you know, UM, if you don't 513 00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:56,000 Speaker 1: know what I'm talking about, you probably would consider Windows 514 00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:59,040 Speaker 1: and mac os to be the too big and you'd 515 00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:02,360 Speaker 1: be right. Um, but uh, one two is a very 516 00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:06,000 Speaker 1: popular version of Lennox. Uh, and it irritated a couple 517 00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:09,639 Speaker 1: of people, A couple of people, many people. I'm sorry, 518 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:12,600 Speaker 1: it's getting close to lunch time in my blood suggars 519 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:16,840 Speaker 1: two people, two people and some people like uh the 520 00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:21,160 Speaker 1: Unity interface, UM, but many people do not. It's been 521 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:24,640 Speaker 1: They've been pretty vocal, and uh, you know, I thought, well, 522 00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:28,680 Speaker 1: maybe Canonical, which is the organization that that releases one 523 00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:32,760 Speaker 1: two and other versions that are similar. Um, you know, 524 00:28:32,840 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 1: I thought maybe that that pressure would would get them 525 00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:40,320 Speaker 1: to discontinue it. I didn't count on the simplicity with 526 00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:44,200 Speaker 1: which you can switch interfaces, which I had experienced. But 527 00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:46,600 Speaker 1: I was thinking, oh no, no, no, people are just 528 00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:50,280 Speaker 1: gonna get them to beg off and leave well enough alone. 529 00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:54,280 Speaker 1: They didn't, and you can. It's easy if you installed 530 00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 1: one to to put another interface on top of it 531 00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:01,800 Speaker 1: that isn't Unity like Gnome or you know, Katie, So 532 00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 1: people just do that. My next prediction, Uh, it's a 533 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:08,600 Speaker 1: it was kind of a hit. I mean, this is 534 00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:10,440 Speaker 1: a debatable hit. I should have put a question mark 535 00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:13,280 Speaker 1: next to this one, really, which was Microsoft Windows Tablets 536 00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:17,040 Speaker 1: will debut to modest results. And I guess, I guess 537 00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 1: Moss results is a fair way of saying it. I 538 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 1: you know, from the sales figures I've seen, it certainly 539 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:27,480 Speaker 1: isn't a runaway success. Um. But you know, there they 540 00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,640 Speaker 1: have sold some. It's not a total flop either, So 541 00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:32,920 Speaker 1: I guess Moss results is fair enough. But I think 542 00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:35,440 Speaker 1: it's too early to call. Yeah, but it's definitely it's 543 00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:37,800 Speaker 1: definitely not a runaway hit, which is kind of what 544 00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:40,080 Speaker 1: I was going for, was that the Windows tablets would 545 00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:42,320 Speaker 1: come out. It's not that no one would care, it's 546 00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:45,360 Speaker 1: just that they wouldn't become like a uh, you know, 547 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,280 Speaker 1: they wouldn't just fly off the shelves. Now that being said, 548 00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:52,680 Speaker 1: you know, I personally think the Windows A Tablet interface 549 00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:57,360 Speaker 1: is pretty interesting and um, and I still am curious 550 00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 1: about getting my hands on on a full the professional surface. Um. 551 00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:04,760 Speaker 1: The Windows are T version I'm not as interested in 552 00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:08,120 Speaker 1: because again I'm not I'm not a great tablet person. 553 00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:10,000 Speaker 1: I own a tablet, and I barely use it. And 554 00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 1: it's an Android tablet, um, but I barely use it. 555 00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:16,840 Speaker 1: So even though it's an operating system, I love with Android, 556 00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:18,520 Speaker 1: and it's and it's you know, the next of seven, 557 00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:21,480 Speaker 1: so it's got the latest version of Android on it. 558 00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:24,719 Speaker 1: I still use it that frequently, which to me just 559 00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:27,760 Speaker 1: tells me that I'm not a tablet person. But still 560 00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 1: I kind of want to get my hands on one 561 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 1: of the professional Windows eight tablets service tablets. Yeah, anyway, 562 00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:36,560 Speaker 1: so that was my my next one. Well, speaking of 563 00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:39,480 Speaker 1: Android based tablets, I predicted that the Kindle Fire would 564 00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 1: be a hit. It is, in fact, well it was 565 00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:47,560 Speaker 1: sort of a gimme uh. In fact, um, it's such 566 00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:50,920 Speaker 1: a hit that Amazon has released more than one Kindle 567 00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 1: Fire and updated it so you know, now they have 568 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:58,480 Speaker 1: the HD, they have a competitive larger sized tablet. Um. 569 00:30:58,600 --> 00:31:00,960 Speaker 1: So I I don't know, oh that now that the 570 00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:04,720 Speaker 1: the Nexus seven and Nexus Tender out, Um, I don't 571 00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:07,920 Speaker 1: think that the Kindle Fire is running away as fast 572 00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:10,920 Speaker 1: as it was, but it is still it's got legs, 573 00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:13,280 Speaker 1: it knows how to use them, and it's so so 574 00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:18,240 Speaker 1: tightly integrated with Amazon's you know, uh catalog and and 575 00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:22,560 Speaker 1: and systems that anyone who really uses Amazon a lot, 576 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:25,040 Speaker 1: it has a huge appeal to it. It's just like 577 00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,959 Speaker 1: for me again, the Android tablet has a big appeal 578 00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:29,880 Speaker 1: because so much of my stuff is in the Google 579 00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:33,320 Speaker 1: infrastructure already, like Google Cloud stuff and you know, Google 580 00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:35,920 Speaker 1: Docs and Gmail and all that kind of thing. Uh, 581 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:37,840 Speaker 1: that it just made sense for me to go with 582 00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:40,600 Speaker 1: Android because it was already so tightly integrated. Same sort 583 00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:42,600 Speaker 1: of thing with Amazon. I mean, if you do a 584 00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:44,680 Speaker 1: lot of shopping on Amazon, or you get a lot 585 00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:48,000 Speaker 1: of your music from Amazon, it makes sense because it's 586 00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:51,920 Speaker 1: just it's designed to work with that system. So it's 587 00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:54,600 Speaker 1: the best. I would say it's the best interface for 588 00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:58,040 Speaker 1: those systems, hands down. It's not that no, the Android 589 00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:02,080 Speaker 1: or iOS versions of that are are bad. They're just 590 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:05,080 Speaker 1: not designed from the ground up to work with them, 591 00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:08,840 Speaker 1: so it's a little different. My next one, this was 592 00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:11,800 Speaker 1: another big one that I was kind of sticking my 593 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:14,920 Speaker 1: neck out on, but I actually felt pretty good about it. 594 00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:16,760 Speaker 1: It turned out to be a miss, so it shows 595 00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:18,440 Speaker 1: what I know. But I said it was gonna be 596 00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:22,000 Speaker 1: the swan song for the CD that CDs were essentially 597 00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:25,000 Speaker 1: going to be phased out, and we wouldn't really see 598 00:32:25,040 --> 00:32:28,200 Speaker 1: them in things like retail establishments or being sold online 599 00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:31,880 Speaker 1: as much anymore. Uh. That really the move would be 600 00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:36,240 Speaker 1: to really focus on digital delivery, and that just hasn't 601 00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:38,600 Speaker 1: quite happened yet. I still think it's I mean, the 602 00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:41,640 Speaker 1: day is coming, it's just not here. It didn't happen 603 00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:43,480 Speaker 1: this year, it didn't happen in two thousand twelve. So 604 00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:47,720 Speaker 1: that's a miss. Yep, yep, um, let's see, Apple will 605 00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:52,280 Speaker 1: not lower I've had prices. Uh. That was also a 606 00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:56,440 Speaker 1: semi guinea. It was a hit they have in in 607 00:32:56,560 --> 00:33:00,040 Speaker 1: if you're speaking literally, because they released a new i 608 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:04,040 Speaker 1: pet oh wait, two new iPad lines, keeping the new 609 00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:08,160 Speaker 1: iPad and the new new iPad, keeping the series more 610 00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:11,480 Speaker 1: or less intactics. Honestly, you can't buy the new iPad anymore, 611 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:15,000 Speaker 1: buy an iPad two, but not the new iPad. Yeah, 612 00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:17,360 Speaker 1: that that was the interesting part, now that that actually 613 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:20,560 Speaker 1: was true when they released the iPad three, if we're talking, 614 00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:25,920 Speaker 1: let's just stop. Um. They they kept the iPad two 615 00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:29,560 Speaker 1: on because it was still fairly recent and it was 616 00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:32,560 Speaker 1: it offered them another price point at lower price point 617 00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:35,240 Speaker 1: at which they could offer the iPad. So so technically 618 00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,400 Speaker 1: the price dropped, but if you want to talk about 619 00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:41,479 Speaker 1: what is the latest version of that product on the 620 00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 1: market at the time, the price stayed steady. Yeah. So 621 00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:48,200 Speaker 1: so previous versions of the iPad the price would drop 622 00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:50,880 Speaker 1: if they remained available in the Apple Store, but the 623 00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:53,840 Speaker 1: current version of whatever that product was was still the 624 00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:55,960 Speaker 1: same price. So that's why this is a hit. What 625 00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:57,720 Speaker 1: you know, we might have people right and say, well, 626 00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:00,240 Speaker 1: you know, the Apple two is cheaper now, like, yeah, us, 627 00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:02,560 Speaker 1: but we're talking about if you were to go in 628 00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:06,480 Speaker 1: and buy the latest version of that. They never despite 629 00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:08,960 Speaker 1: the pressures of things like Android tablets and even the 630 00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:12,759 Speaker 1: Windows tablets coming out, that they did not uh you know, 631 00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,520 Speaker 1: bow to those pressures and change the price point for 632 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:18,240 Speaker 1: the entry level iPad. Did you say the Apple too? 633 00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:24,680 Speaker 1: Did I the iPad? The iPad? Whatever? Last night, I 634 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:26,799 Speaker 1: was just I was just picking. No, No, that's good, 635 00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:30,520 Speaker 1: all right. Well, um, this is my last prediction until 636 00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:33,000 Speaker 1: the very very last prediction of the show. So Chris 637 00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:35,319 Speaker 1: is actually gonna have a couple back to back. But 638 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:38,680 Speaker 1: here's here's mine. Um. I said that tech will play 639 00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:42,160 Speaker 1: the largest role ever in election history, which was such 640 00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:45,319 Speaker 1: a GIMMEI that it was pathetic and it was a hit. 641 00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:49,280 Speaker 1: We saw technology play a huge role, particularly social media, 642 00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:51,520 Speaker 1: which again not a big surprise. We had started to 643 00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 1: see that in the previous election that I'm talking about 644 00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:57,279 Speaker 1: the United States elections, although technically elections around the world 645 00:34:57,360 --> 00:35:01,000 Speaker 1: really saw a lot of involvement in technolo pology, and 646 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:03,680 Speaker 1: sometimes regime changes that didn't have anything to do with 647 00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:07,200 Speaker 1: elections saw a lot to do with technology. So so 648 00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:12,240 Speaker 1: technology and politics continue to be a big deal, and 649 00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:15,760 Speaker 1: we see tighter and tighter integration. We're seeing we're starting 650 00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:20,880 Speaker 1: to see generations of politicians who grew up using at 651 00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:23,200 Speaker 1: least some form of technology. You know, if you go 652 00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:26,840 Speaker 1: back just a couple of years, a few years, not 653 00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:30,319 Speaker 1: even that many. A lot of the politicians were an 654 00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:35,200 Speaker 1: age where they they didn't have things like computers and 655 00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:39,279 Speaker 1: smartphones and and things at their back and call when 656 00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:41,880 Speaker 1: they were uh, when they were young enough for that 657 00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,160 Speaker 1: to be a formative part of their their experience, right, 658 00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:48,200 Speaker 1: it wasn't something that they were you know, they might 659 00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:51,240 Speaker 1: become familiar with it, but it was after those years 660 00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:54,400 Speaker 1: and so uh, they weren't necessarily as comfortable with it. 661 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:57,160 Speaker 1: In many cases now something they are definitely exceptions to 662 00:35:57,200 --> 00:36:01,600 Speaker 1: this rule, but in general they were not as a 663 00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:04,640 Speaker 1: as as a savvy. But that's starting to change now, 664 00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:06,840 Speaker 1: and I think it will be really interesting to see 665 00:36:07,080 --> 00:36:09,160 Speaker 1: in the next few years when we start seeing people 666 00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:13,400 Speaker 1: who have grown up in the digital age taking positions 667 00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:16,440 Speaker 1: of power and politics. How that's going to unfold for 668 00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:20,960 Speaker 1: technology in general. That would be really interesting to see. Yeah. Um, 669 00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:25,360 Speaker 1: so let's see Windows eight will debut to lackluster adoption. 670 00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:29,879 Speaker 1: That was a hit, particularly in the enterprise. In fact, 671 00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:32,680 Speaker 1: I've seen a lot of of people say that they 672 00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:35,120 Speaker 1: think enterprises are are going to pull the same thing 673 00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:38,560 Speaker 1: they did with Vista and skip Windows eight at least 674 00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:41,719 Speaker 1: for the short term, uh, and stick with either XP 675 00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:45,040 Speaker 1: or Windows seven. Yeah. And if I'm if I'm not mistaken, 676 00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:47,359 Speaker 1: what I was thinking then was not that Windows eight 677 00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:49,880 Speaker 1: was going to stink, which I don't get the impression 678 00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:52,560 Speaker 1: that it stinks other than the fact that the interface, 679 00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,520 Speaker 1: uh is different enough that it throws some people. I 680 00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:58,840 Speaker 1: don't think that's a stink. I think that's more of 681 00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:02,080 Speaker 1: a wait, yeah, it's so radically but wait, there's a 682 00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:05,560 Speaker 1: there's a there's a steep learning curve at first, but 683 00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:08,000 Speaker 1: then it levels off pretty quickly once once you get 684 00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:10,880 Speaker 1: the tricks down, it's it's pretty easy to navigate. But 685 00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,200 Speaker 1: it is so radically different from previous versions of Windows 686 00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:17,319 Speaker 1: that that can be a turn off for someone. You know, 687 00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:20,319 Speaker 1: like you turn on your computer and you immediately don't 688 00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:22,560 Speaker 1: know where anything is because it looks so different from 689 00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:26,160 Speaker 1: everything else you've ever used. That that can that can 690 00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:29,960 Speaker 1: definitely give people pause to adoption. Yeah, and what I 691 00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,319 Speaker 1: what I was really thinking was that the the the 692 00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:36,200 Speaker 1: cost and the effort for for companies was gonna be 693 00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:39,840 Speaker 1: so great that they it wasn't just gonna fly off shelves. Um. 694 00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:43,319 Speaker 1: And then I figured that uh Diabolo three was coming 695 00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,560 Speaker 1: because we had heard that it was going to and 696 00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:48,320 Speaker 1: I figured it would be a massive hit. And again 697 00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,120 Speaker 1: this is a gimme because it's a Blizzard title that 698 00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:53,839 Speaker 1: everybody had been anticipating for a very long time. Yeah, 699 00:37:53,840 --> 00:37:55,719 Speaker 1: so it was a really big hit, although it was 700 00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:57,759 Speaker 1: the kind of hit that you know, didn't it wasn't 701 00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:01,479 Speaker 1: really sticky, you know, No, it stick right right after 702 00:38:01,600 --> 00:38:04,640 Speaker 1: like initially after the release. There was a huge amount 703 00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:06,759 Speaker 1: of excitement. There were also problems, I mean, there were 704 00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:11,320 Speaker 1: some server issues that people had. There was some uh 705 00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:15,400 Speaker 1: digital rights management issues that people had. Uh. So there were, 706 00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:18,320 Speaker 1: you know, there were some legitimate problems with the game, 707 00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:21,160 Speaker 1: or at least with the way the public accepted the game. 708 00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:24,439 Speaker 1: But but the really interesting thing to me was that 709 00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:27,200 Speaker 1: within a couple of months, no one was no one 710 00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:29,799 Speaker 1: I knew anyway. And these were gamers who were really 711 00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:31,600 Speaker 1: excited about Diabow three when it first came out. No 712 00:38:31,640 --> 00:38:34,600 Speaker 1: one was talking about that game anymore, whereas some of 713 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,400 Speaker 1: the games that I play right now came out early 714 00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:39,520 Speaker 1: in two thousand twelve, and I still have friends who 715 00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:42,440 Speaker 1: chat about those games quite a bit. So, uh, it 716 00:38:42,560 --> 00:38:45,279 Speaker 1: just didn't have that that stickiness. All right. So here 717 00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:47,239 Speaker 1: is my final prediction. We have gotten down to the 718 00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,720 Speaker 1: end of the show, and this is a big one, folks. 719 00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:52,759 Speaker 1: So my prediction was that Chris and I would be 720 00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:55,600 Speaker 1: making a prediction show for two thousand thirteen around the 721 00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:57,719 Speaker 1: same time of the year as we were doing the 722 00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:01,560 Speaker 1: Prediction Show for two thousand twelve. Way that should have 723 00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:03,400 Speaker 1: been a gimme. Should have been a gimme, should have 724 00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:06,640 Speaker 1: been a gimme hit. Uh, it's a miss. And the 725 00:39:06,680 --> 00:39:11,840 Speaker 1: reason for that is that we must announce that Chris 726 00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:15,879 Speaker 1: is leaving Tech Stuff. Yes, uh, he has one more 727 00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:19,480 Speaker 1: episode to go, so it's not he's not gone yet, 728 00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:21,680 Speaker 1: but we have one more episode we're going to do 729 00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:24,560 Speaker 1: and it's an episode that that Chris has picked the 730 00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:27,799 Speaker 1: topic for specifically because it was something that he really 731 00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:30,520 Speaker 1: wanted to talk about. And uh, I expect that episode 732 00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:34,320 Speaker 1: will be amazing. But yes, uh that is a miss 733 00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:38,840 Speaker 1: because uh the tex Stuff is going to be a 734 00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:43,280 Speaker 1: different show. Yeah. Mostly I just wanted to throw Jonathan's 735 00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:45,640 Speaker 1: predictions off. Yeah, you wanted to get more hits than 736 00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:49,000 Speaker 1: misses and have me have more or less an even number. 737 00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:50,960 Speaker 1: And uh, boy, that that was a heck of a 738 00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:52,640 Speaker 1: way of doing it. I guess it was either that. 739 00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:56,879 Speaker 1: It was It was either that or to somehow get 740 00:39:56,920 --> 00:40:01,600 Speaker 1: all politicians to stop using technology so that one. Yeah, 741 00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:03,440 Speaker 1: and I figured this one would be the easier one. 742 00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,719 Speaker 1: Now it's just one of those things where uh, um, 743 00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:08,640 Speaker 1: tech Stuff is going to go through some changes, and 744 00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:11,239 Speaker 1: I figured this was sort of a good time. I 745 00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:13,640 Speaker 1: have other stuff that I've been working on that's not 746 00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:16,800 Speaker 1: podcast or blog related, and I thought, you know, maybe 747 00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:19,120 Speaker 1: the time is uh has come for me to to 748 00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:22,320 Speaker 1: leave the show. So um uh the I I predict. 749 00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:24,440 Speaker 1: I don't have predictions for next year, but I predict 750 00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:28,400 Speaker 1: the next episode will be a very special episode of 751 00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:32,399 Speaker 1: text Stuff. So guys, if if you want to let 752 00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:34,520 Speaker 1: us know what you think about our how we did 753 00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:36,480 Speaker 1: on our predictions. If you have any predictions for two 754 00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:38,719 Speaker 1: thousand thirteen, do you have any messages you would like 755 00:40:38,760 --> 00:40:43,800 Speaker 1: to send Chris, you should definitely contact us. No profanity, please, no, no, no, 756 00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:46,839 Speaker 1: Let's let's keep these professional people. You can, you can, 757 00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:49,120 Speaker 1: you can shed some tears if you want. You wouldn't 758 00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:52,200 Speaker 1: be the only one, um, But yeah, send us a message. 759 00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:55,200 Speaker 1: Our email is tex Stuff at Discovery dot com or 760 00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,319 Speaker 1: find us on Twitter or Facebook are handle there is 761 00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:01,000 Speaker 1: text stuff HS the you and Chris and I will 762 00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:04,960 Speaker 1: talk to you again one last time with both of 763 00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 1: us really soon. For more on this and thousands of 764 00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:15,920 Speaker 1: other topics. Is it how staff works dot com