1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:05,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper's Square, presented by hard Rock bet. We 2 00:00:05,400 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: are part of the Volume Podcast Network. This is the 3 00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:11,080 Speaker 1: show that makes the squares. Sharper makes the wise guys 4 00:00:11,080 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 1: pay attention. I am Chad Millman. I'm joined as always 5 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 1: by my BFF, my companion, Mike byre professional Better, my 6 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 1: co host, Simon Hunter Heado, Simon Chad. 7 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 2: Happy year to you, my friend, how you doing. 8 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:31,840 Speaker 1: Happy year to you, Happy New Year to Matt Mitchell, 9 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 1: Happy new Year to all of our friends and listeners 10 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 1: and watchers who have spent the season with us, who 11 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: found us anew in the Sharper Square world, who came 12 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 1: with us from the old world. We are incredibly appreciative 13 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 1: and lucky as we kick off twenty twenty six. Good 14 00:00:58,520 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: Lord twenty twenty six. 15 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, it doesn't sound real yet. I definitely had one 16 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 2: of those moments last night. We were just saying out loud. 17 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:12,120 Speaker 2: I turned to my friend and I said, it is 18 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 2: weird every time you hear that we're closer now to 19 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,400 Speaker 2: twenty fifty than we are to the year two thousand, 20 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 2: or the year two thousand. Doesn't Oh my god, the 21 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 2: year twenty fifty sounds like a different lifetime. So it's 22 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 2: kind of a mind fuck right now thinking about that. 23 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:29,120 Speaker 1: Twenty fifty is cosmic. Dude, I don't even know how 24 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:33,679 Speaker 1: that well, let's see twenty fifty. I can't even say 25 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:36,920 Speaker 1: how old i'll be, Simon, you might be. You might 26 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 1: be doing this show on your own. By that. 27 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:42,120 Speaker 2: I doubted chat. I keep saying people like you that 28 00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 2: live on bird feed, they live to one. 29 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 1: Hundred years, twenty fifty. 30 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 2: In all my cloud arteries. 31 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 1: I'm not even gonna say. All I know is that 32 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 1: I'm not even gonna say twenty fifty eighty. I can't 33 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: even I can't even see the number. I won't be eighty, 34 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 1: but I won't be that far off. 35 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 2: I mean, you really want to. I'll be your age basically. 36 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: Dude, you'll be older than me. 37 00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 2: I'll basically be right around sixty. 38 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, but I'm not sixty. 39 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:17,400 Speaker 2: I know. It's just fun making fun of you. 40 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 1: That's hurtful. Those are hurtful things to say as we 41 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 1: kick off the new year, as BFFs, Hey listen today, 42 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: no matter where you are, no matter what you're doing, 43 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:33,920 Speaker 1: we are all hoosiers. That's all I'm going to say, 44 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,280 Speaker 1: except I'm also going to say, for those who are 45 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: like grappling with Indiana's college football dominance, welcome to the club. 46 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: If you're joining us in Who's your nation? You're wondering 47 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 1: what a hoosier is? I wish I could tell you. 48 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,079 Speaker 1: I took an entire class on it when I went 49 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 1: to Indiana University. I still don't know. It could be 50 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 1: some nickname from a poem a guy in Indiana wrote. 51 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: It could be a saying from Jolly Old England, Simon, 52 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:13,800 Speaker 1: about like depicting strength and woodsman. It could be because 53 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:15,640 Speaker 1: a guy who owned a lot of land in the 54 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 1: state of Indiana was named John Hoosier, and everyone who 55 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 1: worked for him called themselves Hoosiers. It doesn't matter today, Simon. 56 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:28,080 Speaker 1: You're a hoosier. Matt Mitchell is a Hoosier. I'm a hoosier. 57 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 1: Go I you fight, Fight, Fight? 58 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 2: What about Chad? The trend of off of bye in 59 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 2: the college playoffs do not like. 60 00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: What I've seen so far, with the teams getting the buys. 61 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,040 Speaker 1: It's not a good trend at all, Simon. We saw 62 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 1: it again last night with Ohio State losing to Miami. 63 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 1: Great game by Miami. Hopefully Kurt Signetti gets to repeat 64 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 1: the words of Miami coach that he said last night. 65 00:03:57,600 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 2: But hats off to our guys for being some tough 66 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 2: ass suns of bitches. 67 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 1: Tough ass sons of bitches, that's what we are for 68 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 1: doing a week eighteen episode on Thursday on New Year's 69 00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 1: Day in the morning, because we are dedicated, we're professional. 70 00:04:12,280 --> 00:04:16,039 Speaker 1: We're going to do our stinking job. Tough ast sons 71 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:16,600 Speaker 1: of bitches. 72 00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:19,719 Speaker 2: Yeah, we bus should be up on a couch right 73 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 2: now watching stranger Things, getting ready for this college football day. 74 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:27,000 Speaker 2: But instead, the never ending wheel that is the NFL 75 00:04:27,040 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 2: continues to roll. My friend, we gotta get to it. 76 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:31,720 Speaker 1: No, Simon, we should be on the peloton working off 77 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:35,920 Speaker 1: the olive oil cake that we ate last night. All right, reminders, 78 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 1: subscribe to Sharper Square on YouTube, Apple, Potzi, Spotify. Let's 79 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:42,359 Speaker 1: get into this every week. We give our picks every week, 80 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 1: even in the holiday season. Simon's fellow professional betters, the 81 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 1: wise guys are going to give us some feedback, So 82 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: let's get to it. Let's hear some sharp calls. 83 00:04:55,480 --> 00:05:06,840 Speaker 2: Have to answer this boat, all right, telephone ring maybe lead, Yeah, 84 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:10,039 Speaker 2: there's always Let's start where we differ. The pros absolutely 85 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:12,400 Speaker 2: love Chicago. Most guys I've talked to have taken a 86 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 2: position on Chicago even like Chicago at the minus three, 87 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:18,360 Speaker 2: So they totally think Chicago's are a much better team 88 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 2: than Detroit right now. A team that is playing for 89 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:23,840 Speaker 2: that two seed. They think they're gonna massively motivated and 90 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 2: they've been betting it just thinking that exact way. So 91 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:29,280 Speaker 2: that one actually pretty pretty shocked me. I thought that 92 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 2: Troy would be the pro side, the public would be 93 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:33,440 Speaker 2: over the Bears, but it seems like the public and 94 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,479 Speaker 2: the pros are lining up on this Bears team another game. 95 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:38,840 Speaker 2: I think it's just not on our radar, or maybe 96 00:05:38,839 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 2: I'm just missing it. I wanted to be on Dallas. 97 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:43,240 Speaker 2: Every pro I've talked to, they love the Giants here 98 00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 2: in this spot. They love Dart and what he can 99 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:49,160 Speaker 2: do offensively against a Cowboys defense. It's just atrocio, especially 100 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 2: against running quarterbacks. So I found it really interesting that 101 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:54,839 Speaker 2: so many pros that's gonna be a close one. And yeah, 102 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 2: that number is a couple of times touched four again, 103 00:05:57,040 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 2: just got to mainly bet back down to three and 104 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 2: a half in a lot of books. So really interesting 105 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:06,040 Speaker 2: a game that I might simply just be missing Seattle Seahawks. 106 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 2: I cannot believe the pros are hammering Sam Darnold as 107 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:12,240 Speaker 2: a favorite all on the road and it must win 108 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 2: to get the one C type of game, But they are. 109 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 2: I mean, most guys I talked to really like that 110 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,120 Speaker 2: spot and they just think this four NS team is 111 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:21,720 Speaker 2: truly a house of cards. How much longer could party 112 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:23,720 Speaker 2: in this offense, prop up this foreign others team is 113 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:26,000 Speaker 2: kind of their view of it. And if you're looking 114 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:29,320 Speaker 2: for a team that maybe can stop this juggerna have 115 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:30,720 Speaker 2: an offense to the four and horows, it would be 116 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 2: the Seattle defense, right that's been so dominant on the road, 117 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:35,480 Speaker 2: so really interesting game where I thought all this would 118 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:38,600 Speaker 2: be lined up on them and it's pretty split. But 119 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 2: what we did get right Panthers, like we talked about 120 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 2: all all week. You know that came down for three 121 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:45,320 Speaker 2: and a half to three now down to two and 122 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 2: a half. That's a really smart sharp side and I'm 123 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:51,040 Speaker 2: glad the pros are on it because I was a 124 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 2: little worried when I saw how much money was pouring 125 00:06:53,440 --> 00:06:55,160 Speaker 2: on that Bucks team. It's like, what am I missing here? 126 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:57,920 Speaker 2: But I think we see this number keep dropping. It 127 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:00,760 Speaker 2: makes me feel better is our position. And you know, 128 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:03,480 Speaker 2: another game we haven't spent too much time on, but 129 00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:07,160 Speaker 2: I think is an interesting move by the professionals is 130 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 2: that Chargers game. The pros have just been hammering the 131 00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 2: Chargers and the number really has not budged. So that's 132 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:16,240 Speaker 2: gonna be an interesting topic to talk about. Where are 133 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:18,680 Speaker 2: the books simply just missing it? Are they overrating too 134 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 2: much the backups for this Chargers team, and they're clearly 135 00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 2: taking a stand here the books. And you know, I 136 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 2: don't think the public this is a game they're ever 137 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:29,240 Speaker 2: gonna mess with. I truly think this is just a 138 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 2: professionals versus the books type of game. Right the most, 139 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 2: you know, Joe public betters, they're not gonna bet too 140 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 2: big on the NFL this weekend. So a lot of 141 00:07:37,040 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 2: the money when you see big money simply on one 142 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:43,080 Speaker 2: side most times, if it's a game like this, like 143 00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:44,680 Speaker 2: a twelve and a half points spread, this is gonna 144 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:46,840 Speaker 2: be professional money. It's not going to be the type 145 00:07:46,840 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 2: of game the public tuch touches here. So I'm really 146 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 2: interested where that number goes check because like I said, 147 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 2: the books have taken a stand now they're holding firm 148 00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 2: on that twelve and a half game. We love Saints 149 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 2: plus three plus three and a half, It's I knew 150 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 2: that would be the pro side. It's gonna be interesting 151 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 2: what happens now. We just got word before the show 152 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:07,680 Speaker 2: Olave is going to miss this game. See where that 153 00:08:07,840 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 2: number goes. Maybe we get fours four and a half, 154 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 2: So I know there's gonna be some pros on the 155 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 2: other side of this. It's just then they basically took 156 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 2: Atlanta two and a half or they've not touched it since, 157 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 2: so it really is just if you're getting the three 158 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 2: three and a half, that's the professional side in my 159 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 2: opinion on the Saints. And you know, the last one 160 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 2: we talked a little bit about at Minnesota. We've seen 161 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 2: that number. I got a couple of books get up 162 00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 2: to seven and a half. It keeps coming back down, 163 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:33,840 Speaker 2: so you know there is some a little bit of resistance. 164 00:08:33,920 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 2: But I hope people listen. Got the five and a half, 165 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 2: got the six and a half on Minnesota. That was 166 00:08:37,880 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 2: definitely the sharp side. I don't think we see it 167 00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:43,440 Speaker 2: go below seven at this point, so it's a wonky week. 168 00:08:43,600 --> 00:08:45,839 Speaker 2: I'll have maybe a little bit more calls come Sunday morning. 169 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 2: But just with the holiday, it throws it off a 170 00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:50,320 Speaker 2: little bit because most pros I know espos of your 171 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 2: professional groups, they're really focused on the college the college 172 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 2: bowl games and the playoffs. Once that once those games 173 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 2: are over, that's when they start taking larger positions come 174 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:02,480 Speaker 2: NFL Saturday and Sunday. So I'll definitely have more info 175 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:03,320 Speaker 2: for Sunday morning. 176 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:05,800 Speaker 1: Hi, So everyone check it out Sunday morning. We're on 177 00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 1: the air. YouTube watch it, Sharper Square. I'm really excited 178 00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 1: about this Carolina game. We've been hitting it since it 179 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:19,560 Speaker 1: was three and a half last Sunday. They are now 180 00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 1: two and a half at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Simon, 181 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers are going to be our brass balls 182 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 1: Better the Week presented by hard Rock Bet you know 183 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 1: what it takes brass balls. To me, it came down 184 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 1: to this and the Chargers, And I'm glad you brought 185 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:43,160 Speaker 1: up the Chargers and Sharp Calls because I do want 186 00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 1: to talk about them later in the show. Really intriguing 187 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:49,800 Speaker 1: matchup to me, But I feel like we would have 188 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:56,480 Speaker 1: been doing our listeners a poor service, a disservice if 189 00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: we didn't just ride with the Carolina Panthers in a 190 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 1: spot where they are coming off a loss, they are 191 00:10:03,000 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 1: on the road, they can fulfill their destiny that we 192 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 1: have been predicting for two years of winning the dreadful 193 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 1: Nobody cares about it, NFC South, Like, how do we 194 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 1: not stick to our guns and go with the Carolina Panthers, 195 00:10:19,600 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 1: especially on a trend. Three weeks ago, we're on them, 196 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 1: two weeks ago, we're off them. This week we're on them. 197 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:29,959 Speaker 1: Let's just be consistent. Let's do everyone service and be 198 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 1: on the right side of history with the Carolina Panthers 199 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 1: plus two and a half. 200 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, we love betting history as well. Just the uniqueness 201 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:40,160 Speaker 2: of this right, this will be give all the stat 202 00:10:40,200 --> 00:10:42,719 Speaker 2: one more time. Carolina seven zero against the spread after 203 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 2: a straight up loss, covering over almost twelve points per 204 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:50,319 Speaker 2: game in this exact spot. Since nineteen ninety, no team 205 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 2: has ever gone eight to oh against the spread after 206 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 2: a straight up loss. So, like you said, we're betting 207 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 2: on history here, can never avoid it. Really unique spot 208 00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:03,560 Speaker 2: with this Panthers team. Yeah, I really found it interesting 209 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:06,960 Speaker 2: just about when I gave out that home record with Baker, 210 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:08,839 Speaker 2: just about how bad he is in this exact spot 211 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 2: at home and the fact that you know in his 212 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:15,000 Speaker 2: career five and fourteen at home and against divisional foes, 213 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:18,120 Speaker 2: since he's moved to all these different teams, so since 214 00:11:18,160 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 2: twenty twenty two and twelve against the spread against home 215 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:24,040 Speaker 2: divisional foes. So as a favorite, we talk we just 216 00:11:24,120 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 2: do not back Baker. We like to fade Baker. We 217 00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:28,280 Speaker 2: like to back them as a dog. Little did we 218 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:29,719 Speaker 2: know he would be going through one of the most 219 00:11:29,840 --> 00:11:33,079 Speaker 2: historical worst streaks ever against the spread. We have made 220 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:35,520 Speaker 2: money luckily off of it. But my guy, looking back, 221 00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:37,199 Speaker 2: there were so many signs there. This was just a 222 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:39,720 Speaker 2: crumbling house. And the start of the year they were 223 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:41,439 Speaker 2: so hot, they were so good to us because we 224 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:43,480 Speaker 2: were winning on them. I think we're not late to 225 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:45,800 Speaker 2: the party with this Bucks team, but you know, we've 226 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:47,800 Speaker 2: been a little hesitant in certain matchups to fade them. 227 00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 2: Here we're both a line where we're like, okay, we 228 00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 2: want to fade Baker. We really want it back to Panthers, 229 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 2: and we said this probably should be closer to a pick. 230 00:11:56,120 --> 00:11:59,240 Speaker 2: There's not much that separates these two teams at this standpoint. 231 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:01,959 Speaker 2: So the fact that you're still getting the Baker feels 232 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 2: like tax Like there's still the books. You're still giving 233 00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:06,679 Speaker 2: Baker that point point and a half because he is 234 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:09,240 Speaker 2: the better quarterback. I think we're gonna still here like 235 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:11,960 Speaker 2: the Panthers, you know, coming off fifty four yards by 236 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 2: Bryce Young. Yeah, like I said, this is this isn't 237 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:17,640 Speaker 2: this exact thing he does? He plays possible, they do. 238 00:12:17,760 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 2: They're terrible one week. The next week he's throwing for 239 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:22,679 Speaker 2: what was a three fifty against the Rams like a jugger. 240 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 2: Not you just it's just so up and down this season. 241 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 2: So I love that were end of the season with 242 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:29,319 Speaker 2: our team, the Panthers give it to us plus two 243 00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 2: and a half. 244 00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 1: You know, Simon, we had some friends over last night, 245 00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:37,679 Speaker 1: and I got a lot of comments this week from 246 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 1: listeners about your immediate reaction when I said Rico Tautle 247 00:12:44,760 --> 00:12:48,640 Speaker 1: needs seven yards and you're like, no, no, I can't 248 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 1: do a whole show where you're talking. 249 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:51,760 Speaker 2: About this seven yards. 250 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:54,439 Speaker 1: Yeah, seven yards. I just want to point out I 251 00:12:54,640 --> 00:13:00,120 Speaker 1: did bet ric o'dowdell twenty five plus yards rushing and 252 00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:04,120 Speaker 1: parlay it with ric o'dowdell his anytime touchdown, because the 253 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:06,599 Speaker 1: anytime touchdown odds are about plus one seventeen. If you 254 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 1: parlay it with his twenty five plus yards, you're getting 255 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:13,120 Speaker 1: it for plus one thirty. So that was my point. 256 00:13:13,480 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I had I think I had two different people 257 00:13:15,040 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 2: walk up to me and say, hey, Rico Dado has 258 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:18,560 Speaker 2: got a bad hamstring. Might not play this week. 259 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:21,839 Speaker 1: He's playing. He's he's full participant this morning. 260 00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:23,760 Speaker 2: If the difference is seven yards, to make what is 261 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:26,719 Speaker 2: a million dollars in incentives, you have to play it. 262 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:28,559 Speaker 2: Take the shot. Yeah, you have to at least get 263 00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:31,439 Speaker 2: two or three carres. T I get seven yards. That 264 00:13:31,520 --> 00:13:33,360 Speaker 2: might be a stretch, but seven yards he got. 265 00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:35,719 Speaker 1: I love that people were coming up to you in 266 00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: the book, Well. 267 00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 2: Tell me this guy's hurt. Yeah, I just yea. 268 00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 1: All that is just great. God bless our listeners the 269 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:47,880 Speaker 1: freaking best. Hey, Matt Mitchell, I didn't put this in 270 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:50,400 Speaker 1: the script, but we should throw up Seattle and San 271 00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:52,960 Speaker 1: Francisco just because Simon mentioned it, because I didn't think 272 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 1: we were going to play it in the contest. We can't, right, 273 00:13:55,840 --> 00:13:57,559 Speaker 1: It's right, we can't play it in the contest. So 274 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 1: like I'm a little surprise too. I understand sort of 275 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:05,400 Speaker 1: where the wise guys are coming from, and We talked 276 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:08,080 Speaker 1: a little bit about this on Tuesday. They are very 277 00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:11,679 Speaker 1: clear distinctions here. Either you believe in Kyle Shanahan as 278 00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 1: an underdog and you believe in what he's been able 279 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:17,040 Speaker 1: to prove with his team at home as an underdog, 280 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:19,240 Speaker 1: or you believe in Mike McDonald and what he's been 281 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:22,720 Speaker 1: able to prove with this defense on the road and 282 00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 1: being so dominant. So I understand why the wise guys 283 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 1: are backing the Seahawks. At the end of the day, 284 00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 1: I think you and I both just feel better backing 285 00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 1: Brock Purty and Kyle Shanahan than ultimately backing Sam Donald. 286 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, and we talked this is another historical game, right 287 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:41,440 Speaker 2: since nineteen ninety, only one other time as the forty 288 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:43,400 Speaker 2: nine ers had a one percentage above seventy five percent 289 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:47,200 Speaker 2: have been a home dog, and it's very unique. I 290 00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:49,920 Speaker 2: went back and looked it up twenty eleven twenty twelve 291 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 2: playoffs Drew Brees Saints four nine Ers one thirty six 292 00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:56,840 Speaker 2: to thirty two. So not much historical data we have 293 00:14:56,960 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 2: to go off of, but Dad just shows you that, 294 00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:02,040 Speaker 2: you know, it's a unique spot for this Niners team. 295 00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:04,600 Speaker 2: They're not really dogs at home and I gave you 296 00:15:04,640 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 2: all those crazy brock pretty stats in his career against 297 00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 2: the Seahawks team in his career six and one straight 298 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:13,480 Speaker 2: up when he's been under three points or less, he's 299 00:15:13,520 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 2: three and zero straight up and against the spread at home. 300 00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:19,680 Speaker 2: You know, we just there's something about this fortn Irist team, 301 00:15:19,760 --> 00:15:23,120 Speaker 2: especially at home, and knowing that this is kind of 302 00:15:23,160 --> 00:15:25,040 Speaker 2: the way it's been with Shanahan. Like we talked before 303 00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:27,000 Speaker 2: the year, we both like the Niners to be the 304 00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:29,520 Speaker 2: one seed at plus nine hundred in the NFC, and 305 00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 2: it really was because their schedule was easy. But we've 306 00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:34,760 Speaker 2: talked all the time about the up and down of 307 00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:38,040 Speaker 2: the Niners. They're just the seesaw team. They come in 308 00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:40,160 Speaker 2: fourth place, the next year, they come in first place. 309 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 2: They get healthy. The next year, they have a ton 310 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 2: of injuries. This year they've had the injuries. I mean, 311 00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 2: that's why Shannon's up for Coach of the Year at 312 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,720 Speaker 2: number two right now in the voting, or I should 313 00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:52,360 Speaker 2: send the odds because they've done it with all these injuries. 314 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 2: I mean, it's incredible what the Niners have battle to 315 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 2: deal with those injuries. So I get why the pros 316 00:15:56,440 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 2: are taking their position in the Seahawks. Right, I blindly 317 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 2: bet the Seahawks team all year on the road because 318 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 2: they're just a covering machine. The coach gets this defense up, 319 00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 2: you know. Mike McDonald's also I think maybe number three 320 00:16:07,400 --> 00:16:09,560 Speaker 2: and number four and Coach of the year odds just 321 00:16:09,640 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 2: because it's been incredible, right, Yeah, when he got his 322 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:16,000 Speaker 2: quarterback and really has changed his defense. And at the 323 00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 2: end of the day, me, you were a line chat. 324 00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 2: The reason we like the sport and ours team is 325 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 2: we just do not trust Sam Darnold and you've seen it. 326 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 2: The numbers back it up. These last five six weeks, 327 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 2: he's been very disappointing. I think he's number one or 328 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 2: number two in the league in fumbles. He's just been machine. Yeah, 329 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:35,080 Speaker 2: he's been really up and down, and the defense has 330 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,520 Speaker 2: kind of bailed him out and saved them. So you're 331 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:39,640 Speaker 2: basically if you're back in theoxy, you are simply back 332 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 2: in that defense. And I think we're both more comfortable 333 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,120 Speaker 2: back in purty the Sneyers offense, and they've been there, 334 00:16:44,200 --> 00:16:46,240 Speaker 2: done that, right, Perty has been to Super Bowls. He's 335 00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 2: lived up to these kind of moments in his in 336 00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 2: his career, so I know it's crazy unique spot getting 337 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 2: the niners of the dog. I do just feel like 338 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 2: we're the suckers here. But like I said, it's I 339 00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:57,960 Speaker 2: think the pros are missing this one. Back in the 340 00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:00,360 Speaker 2: Seaks team, I think this is finally time the hop 341 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:01,800 Speaker 2: off the train if we kind of got away with 342 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:03,160 Speaker 2: one last week when they were seven and a half 343 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:03,840 Speaker 2: my favorites. 344 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:09,000 Speaker 1: Speaking of suckers, back in the old eighteen hundred days, 345 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:14,280 Speaker 1: when Indiana was first defining itself as the Hoosier State, 346 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:24,399 Speaker 1: they called their border rivals in Illinois the suckers. True story, 347 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:26,400 Speaker 1: thank you for your attention to that matter. 348 00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:30,400 Speaker 2: My God, I'm gonna let you have your moment though, 349 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:33,760 Speaker 2: because you're right Hoosiers. You guys are number one right now. Baby. 350 00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:35,879 Speaker 2: Today you might not end that way, but today, as 351 00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:37,119 Speaker 2: we said here, right now, it's. 352 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:42,480 Speaker 1: I'm going to enjoy it. Listen, people dismiss the Midwest. 353 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 1: They don't understand the lords and culture of the Midwest. 354 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:50,560 Speaker 1: You know, I'm married to a woman who's from New 355 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:54,600 Speaker 1: York City, who grew up in Staten Island, who looks 356 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:57,200 Speaker 1: at everything as a flyover state, even though she went 357 00:17:57,240 --> 00:17:59,720 Speaker 1: to Michigan. But she sees that as like and a 358 00:17:59,840 --> 00:18:06,440 Speaker 1: not Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Matt Mitchell's current home state. Those 359 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,440 Speaker 1: states don't matter to people, but they matter to me. Okay, 360 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:11,880 Speaker 1: so today we are going to give them their due. 361 00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:16,119 Speaker 2: Chris Farley changed my opinion about the Midwest. That's why 362 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:17,880 Speaker 2: I will say that, Man, I did not think there's 363 00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,760 Speaker 2: a sense of humor in that cluster. But Chris Farley, 364 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 2: you opened my eyes. 365 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 1: It's all sense of humor. It's all kindness and sense 366 00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 1: of humor in the Midwest. New Orleans plus three and 367 00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:32,480 Speaker 1: a half at Atlanta actually moved down to three now 368 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:38,000 Speaker 1: even with the Olave news, because everybody has been piling 369 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 1: in from the wise guy perspective on the Saints, and 370 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:43,200 Speaker 1: as you noted, this is a wise guy week. It's 371 00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:49,439 Speaker 1: not a huge public week. But man, Atlanta has been 372 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:53,359 Speaker 1: playing great. To me, this is really about Tyler Schuckrookie 373 00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 1: of the Year game, and I don't love. I don't 374 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:57,560 Speaker 1: love that A Lave is out and we'll know so 375 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:00,800 Speaker 1: much more about Tetero McMillan, who's now the odds on 376 00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:04,159 Speaker 1: favorite from the day before, could have a huge impact 377 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:05,520 Speaker 1: on what happens with Tyler Shuck. 378 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:10,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's brutal losing alive. Like he's just been 379 00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:13,520 Speaker 2: brutal so good. It feels like every time they draw 380 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:14,919 Speaker 2: up some type of play for him to get one 381 00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:16,920 Speaker 2: on one and he's just automatic. Feels like in the 382 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:19,160 Speaker 2: end zone was shucked. They've just had such great chemistry, 383 00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:24,200 Speaker 2: especially down the stretch here. And you know, maybe, like 384 00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:26,240 Speaker 2: I said, maybe I'm too biased, too close to I'm 385 00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:28,160 Speaker 2: just happy at least see that pros are actually betting 386 00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 2: the same side with me, because not gonna lie. I 387 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:31,919 Speaker 2: got a little word when I got up to three 388 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:33,200 Speaker 2: and a half, I go, oh my god, now they're 389 00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 2: giving us the hook on this. I could not believe 390 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 2: that Kirk was now minus three and a half at home. 391 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 2: But Kirk got to give him props, Like going through 392 00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,000 Speaker 2: the tape watching these last couple of weeks, you know 393 00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 2: he's instill these Kirk games where he just is so 394 00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:50,600 Speaker 2: immobile in the pocket, he looks so totally lost against 395 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 2: the right type of defense. But overall, I got to 396 00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:54,520 Speaker 2: give him a ton of props the way he's been 397 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:56,359 Speaker 2: playing down a stretch here, and I think he's earned 398 00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 2: the right to be a starter next season. Might not 399 00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 2: be for Atlanta, but some team. You got to give 400 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 2: this guy a chance at this point, like he totally 401 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:05,720 Speaker 2: has come back from this Achilles injury where you know, 402 00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:07,440 Speaker 2: last year we talked about he couldn't push off his 403 00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:09,960 Speaker 2: back foot. I watch a tip. He's pushing off that 404 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:13,240 Speaker 2: back foot, no problem. He's stepping into throws really good 405 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:17,440 Speaker 2: throws downfield. So matchup wise for us with the Saints team, 406 00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:19,440 Speaker 2: what I'm trying to hang my hat on is what 407 00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 2: we talked a little bit about is you know, they're 408 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:24,959 Speaker 2: actually pretty good against the past. Their weakness has been 409 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:29,400 Speaker 2: the rush. And as much as love and everything Robinson's 410 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,800 Speaker 2: getting in this, you know what he just did in 411 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 2: the two prime time games back to back the last 412 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 2: time they played, the Saints did really well at bottling 413 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:40,040 Speaker 2: up Jon Robinson. Like they're they're a team that I've 414 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:41,840 Speaker 2: so they see him twice a year and they have 415 00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,159 Speaker 2: so in his entire career. You know, we always talk 416 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:45,879 Speaker 2: to divisional teams. They have a different read on these 417 00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:48,040 Speaker 2: in these type of games. So all right, I do 418 00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:50,440 Speaker 2: think there are ways for them, the Saints to attack defensively, 419 00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:53,960 Speaker 2: and we've already talked about shuck. People might think he's 420 00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 2: dead in these games, and he just always finds a 421 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:57,880 Speaker 2: way to come back. He's been that way since he's 422 00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,159 Speaker 2: been a starter, where you know, he just keeps on 423 00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:02,920 Speaker 2: slinging it. And that game against Tennessee where they're down thirteen, 424 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,119 Speaker 2: they never looked worried. He kept pushing the ball down, 425 00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:08,360 Speaker 2: feeling obviously we got lucky, right they were kind of dead, 426 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:09,920 Speaker 2: and all of a sudden, the war got strip sacked 427 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,160 Speaker 2: for that touchdown that brought spark to that Saints team. 428 00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:14,840 Speaker 2: But you know, the Saints have always found a way 429 00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 2: since Huck's become the starter, to find ways to win. 430 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:21,040 Speaker 2: So U plus three and a half with this kid 431 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:23,240 Speaker 2: and this offensive way they've been moving the ball, I 432 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:24,680 Speaker 2: feel like we always have the opportuny to get the 433 00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 2: back door here. So I really, I really was hoping 434 00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 2: that maybe I could talk myself out of this one 435 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:31,000 Speaker 2: if it's stay at two and a half, but the 436 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,440 Speaker 2: fact that it's three and a half never gonna avoid it. 437 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:35,080 Speaker 2: Love this number for this Saints team, and they've just 438 00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 2: been absolutely covering machine down the stretch here. 439 00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,640 Speaker 1: Simon. I think what you're saying about Kirk Cousins when 440 00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 1: you watch them on film right now, and the way 441 00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:42,600 Speaker 1: he's able to push off is. 442 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:44,560 Speaker 2: You like that. 443 00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:47,440 Speaker 1: Do you get it? 444 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:48,919 Speaker 2: I do, But I thought it was gonna know other 445 00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:51,040 Speaker 2: hoosier reference. I'm kind of heartbroken. I thought you're gonna 446 00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:52,960 Speaker 2: bring it back to the Who's years. 447 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:54,000 Speaker 1: I'll find a way. 448 00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 2: You needn't. 449 00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:58,880 Speaker 1: Don't you worry. It's twenty twenty six, my friend, new year, 450 00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 1: the name sense of humor. Don't worry about me because 451 00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:08,560 Speaker 1: I'm so old. I can't change, right, can. 452 00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:12,040 Speaker 2: Change your body. DNA totally changes every seven years. I 453 00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 2: believe it, totally reed. Does you can change that? You 454 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,399 Speaker 2: choose not to change. Unfortunately that's the problem. 455 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:22,520 Speaker 1: Well, now you really do sound like my wife. Cleveland 456 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:26,680 Speaker 1: at Cincinnati. Cincinnati is a seven and a half point favorite. 457 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:29,639 Speaker 1: I don't see how we're walking away from this. Like 458 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:32,600 Speaker 1: the in the last forty eight hours, I love this 459 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 1: game even more. I might bet some altlines in Cincinnati. 460 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:38,800 Speaker 1: I just think they're gonna go out there and fling it. 461 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 1: They don't give a shit. They can say they're building 462 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:44,560 Speaker 1: on next year, it doesn't matter. Joe Burrow just wants 463 00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:46,760 Speaker 1: to go out and have a good time and play 464 00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:49,160 Speaker 1: some ball and end the year on a high note 465 00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:55,600 Speaker 1: and sling it to Jamar Chase and forty two. That's 466 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:56,040 Speaker 1: my call. 467 00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 2: Now, did something happen that made you like it more? 468 00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:00,320 Speaker 2: You just just like it because you like it more. 469 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:01,640 Speaker 1: I like it because I like him. 470 00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,480 Speaker 2: I don't know if I miss miss something, but yeah, 471 00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:07,040 Speaker 2: I'm right there with you. Like I talked, this is 472 00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:10,000 Speaker 2: the exact type of game that Cincinnati just goes all out, 473 00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:12,760 Speaker 2: plays hard. Their offense has been rolling. I know they 474 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,760 Speaker 2: did have that horrible game, Like you said, Joe Burrow 475 00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:17,480 Speaker 2: was contemplating a life and if he's happier or not, 476 00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:19,480 Speaker 2: and then went out and totally put up zero against 477 00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,400 Speaker 2: a Ravens defense that has been suspect all season. Since then, 478 00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:25,240 Speaker 2: he's you know, he's been lighted up and that's just 479 00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:28,680 Speaker 2: what we expected Joe Burrow. When he's got Chase Higgins 480 00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:32,320 Speaker 2: both playing, it's an offense that's an absolute juggernaut. The 481 00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:35,159 Speaker 2: only thing that's been missing was the blocking. And you know, 482 00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,119 Speaker 2: I keep talking about the offensive line. You're gonna look 483 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,800 Speaker 2: at the numbers since Joe Flacco took over, they've been 484 00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:42,399 Speaker 2: at top fifteen some weeks, top ten offensive line of 485 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,359 Speaker 2: pass protection, which is just blowing my mind when I 486 00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,800 Speaker 2: look at this team, and it really has been the interior, 487 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,600 Speaker 2: like the guards have been playing better. Everything just really 488 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 2: impressive how the Bengals have turned around that offensive line. 489 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:57,960 Speaker 2: And if you're a Bengals fan, maybe another thing you 490 00:23:57,960 --> 00:23:59,639 Speaker 2: could picture Joe Burrow to'd be like you got to 491 00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,400 Speaker 2: come back next year. Right the offensive line we've totally rebuilt. 492 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:04,440 Speaker 2: It's better where it felt like two weeks ago his 493 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:06,000 Speaker 2: foot was kind of out the door, like he was 494 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 2: leaving it open to be like I can move on 495 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:11,280 Speaker 2: potentially next year where I think he'd come back. This 496 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:13,359 Speaker 2: exact type of game where we talked about chat. This 497 00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:15,600 Speaker 2: is a type of game they'll win big to kind 498 00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,120 Speaker 2: of launch off into the offseason of like see momentum 499 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:20,159 Speaker 2: we ended the season. This is what we can be. 500 00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:22,960 Speaker 2: And I'll give out the stab one more time. This 501 00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:26,240 Speaker 2: Browns team off a straight up win since last year, 502 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:30,000 Speaker 2: zero to six against the spread, losing those games by 503 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 2: almost eleven points per game. So they're not covering by 504 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:36,440 Speaker 2: eleven points per game, I should say, so, they've just 505 00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:38,680 Speaker 2: been absolutely terrible. It's exact spot. They're just a team 506 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:40,920 Speaker 2: that does not not to handle winning and that we 507 00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:43,120 Speaker 2: joke all the time, but it really is a young 508 00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,760 Speaker 2: team at its core, right this Browns team. They nailed 509 00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:48,000 Speaker 2: this draft. I mean I went back and look, they 510 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:51,520 Speaker 2: probably coming to this year, they're probably have my highest 511 00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:53,920 Speaker 2: grade for what they drafted this past draft class, but 512 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:57,159 Speaker 2: not the quarterback. But I've already talked about Sanders has 513 00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:59,240 Speaker 2: been great as like the worst quarterbacks since he's taken 514 00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,720 Speaker 2: over as a starter, even worse than Geno Smith somehow, 515 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:03,399 Speaker 2: which shocked me when I looked at the stats. But 516 00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:05,720 Speaker 2: you feel like this is a total game where he 517 00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,359 Speaker 2: just cannot keep up with Joe Brown that offense. So 518 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:11,280 Speaker 2: I'm with Chad, give me the Cincinnati Bengals minus seven 519 00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 2: and a half. 520 00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:14,639 Speaker 1: The real question, Simon, And I want Matt Mitchell to 521 00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:16,840 Speaker 1: note this. I want him to remember this. I want 522 00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:19,200 Speaker 1: him to play this when we get to August and 523 00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 1: we're doing our team by team in division breakdowns and 524 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,920 Speaker 1: we're doing our quarterback rankings. Are we suckers? Are we 525 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,480 Speaker 1: looking at Joe Burrow and his last six games and saying, 526 00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:32,760 Speaker 1: oh my god, the guy was dominant and this offensive 527 00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:36,119 Speaker 1: line was good. And are we thinking the value on 528 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:38,479 Speaker 1: the Bengals is going to be too high to win 529 00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:42,240 Speaker 1: the division because they're going to be playing a relatively 530 00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:45,440 Speaker 1: bad schedule, and are we going to all of a 531 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 1: sudden be going all in in value? Are we going 532 00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 1: to be as the Hoosiers yet, like used to say 533 00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 1: about their friends on their border state, are we going 534 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:57,639 Speaker 1: to be Illinois suckers? And are we going to go 535 00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 1: all in backing Joe Burrow in the Bengals. I want 536 00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 1: us to remember this. I want us to be smart 537 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:06,040 Speaker 1: about this. I don't want us to get crazy, because 538 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,120 Speaker 1: something's always going to happen to screw up that bet. 539 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 2: Well, I'll say this. My one buddy turning me and said, 540 00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:13,800 Speaker 2: this is the only division of football that they could 541 00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:17,080 Speaker 2: have all four teams have a different starter come next 542 00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:19,920 Speaker 2: year Week one, with all the drama, with so more 543 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:24,320 Speaker 2: what we've heard from Joe Burrow, uncertainty of Aaron Rodgers, 544 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:26,040 Speaker 2: and the unknown obviously of the Browns and what they're 545 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:27,959 Speaker 2: going to do. And I was like, I, you're right, 546 00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:29,719 Speaker 2: I've probably never even thought about That's probably the only 547 00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:31,760 Speaker 2: division of my lifetime that's ever been in that unique 548 00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,359 Speaker 2: spot of having all four new starters come Week one 549 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 2: next year. 550 00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:39,520 Speaker 1: Two years ago, this was the most competitive division in football. Remember, 551 00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:43,680 Speaker 1: all teams had season win totals of eight and a 552 00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:46,960 Speaker 1: half or higher. Yeah, it's like insane how quickly the 553 00:26:47,040 --> 00:26:51,040 Speaker 1: league changes Dallas a three and a half point favorite 554 00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:53,920 Speaker 1: at the New York Giants. We are very public on this. 555 00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 1: We both like Dallas. You're explaining the wise guys, like 556 00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:00,640 Speaker 1: the way Jackson Dark can move the ball around. Definitely 557 00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 1: on the public side here because we do have reverse 558 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,400 Speaker 1: line movement with the public coming in on the Cowboys, 559 00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 1: but the line moving in the direction of the Giants 560 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,359 Speaker 1: doesn't have to get into the contest for me. But 561 00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:16,760 Speaker 1: I'm not seeing it with the Giants. 562 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:19,960 Speaker 2: And then I hate these step of ones because it's 563 00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:22,000 Speaker 2: like either side, I feel like I'm leaving money on 564 00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:24,320 Speaker 2: the table where it's like the line movements scared me 565 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:26,600 Speaker 2: enough where I'm not putting as much in the Dallas 566 00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:28,920 Speaker 2: and it's making me rethink where maybe I'm overlooking this 567 00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 2: Giants team too much and this is probably a Giant spot. 568 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:33,880 Speaker 2: But I told you in my life is a better 569 00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:36,960 Speaker 2: with Dak. I blindly bet him in this exact spot 570 00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:40,240 Speaker 2: right when he's playing a bad divisional team below five hundred. 571 00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:42,600 Speaker 2: Dak beats the crap buy of these type of teams 572 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:44,480 Speaker 2: in the exact spot. He just seems to win these 573 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:48,680 Speaker 2: games big. You know, maybe once again there's something I'm missing, 574 00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:51,119 Speaker 2: Maybe there's a cold front or a storm coming in 575 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:52,640 Speaker 2: on Sunday. I don't think there is. Like I checked 576 00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:54,800 Speaker 2: the weather. It looks pretty good. I just don't know 577 00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:58,800 Speaker 2: why Dak being outdoors in the cold or the line 578 00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:01,080 Speaker 2: moving as much as it has off. I just don't 579 00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 2: know what it's moved off. Right, it's moved off professional money. 580 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:06,560 Speaker 2: So you know there's nothing going on injury wise for 581 00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:12,040 Speaker 2: either team. Right, was the Cowboys cut Digs or it did? 582 00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:13,760 Speaker 1: Said with the Packers Travon Diggs. 583 00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:17,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, so I don't know. It's it's like he doesn't matter. 584 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,240 Speaker 2: He wasn't doing anything for the Cowboys anyway. So really 585 00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:23,440 Speaker 2: bizarre line movement here, and like like Chad said, we 586 00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:26,920 Speaker 2: know it's the public side with Cowboys, but it's it's 587 00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:29,600 Speaker 2: Dak and Dallas against a bad team. Like I said, 588 00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:31,640 Speaker 2: this is a long term winner. Taking fish with Dak 589 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 2: usually wins these games pretty big. So he's another guy 590 00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 2: that you know, it's not his fault. His team's been 591 00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:40,000 Speaker 2: as bad as they were this year. He's he's has 592 00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 2: great numories. He's performed basically every week he's had a 593 00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:44,600 Speaker 2: couple letdown games, so that's usually against really good defenses. 594 00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:46,880 Speaker 2: That's so much against the Giants team that yes they 595 00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 2: have a pass rush, but that secondary is just terrible, 596 00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:51,200 Speaker 2: so terrible, you expect him to throw over the field. 597 00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:54,440 Speaker 2: With Ceedee, Lamb and Pickens obviously playing for that new contract. 598 00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:57,560 Speaker 1: Green Bay and Minnesota, we talked about this one has 599 00:28:57,640 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 1: moved from five and a half on Sunday night when 600 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:01,280 Speaker 1: we talked about it, said you got to grab it 601 00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 1: to seven. We don't know who the Packers quarterback is 602 00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:09,640 Speaker 1: going to be. We do know that they recently signed 603 00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:14,440 Speaker 1: Desmond Ridder to the practice squad and we expect them 604 00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,320 Speaker 1: to rest a lot of starters. So that's why this 605 00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:18,800 Speaker 1: game has moved from five and a half to seven. 606 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,240 Speaker 1: The only reason it isn't moving more is because Max 607 00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 1: Brosmer is the quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings as far 608 00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:29,200 Speaker 1: as we know. So like in terms of value, in 609 00:29:29,320 --> 00:29:32,280 Speaker 1: terms of contest, I mentioned it only because of the 610 00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 1: Desmond Ridder news. I don't think there's a play to 611 00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:38,200 Speaker 1: be had here if you are getting this number at seven. 612 00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:41,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I'm obviously investing in the Vikings, but if 613 00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:43,560 Speaker 2: you don't have a single penny invested in the Vikings. 614 00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:45,800 Speaker 2: You have no bet on this game. A couple of 615 00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:49,520 Speaker 2: books have popped green Bay seven and a half. I mean, 616 00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:53,400 Speaker 2: with all the unknown, that to me is the position 617 00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:54,840 Speaker 2: you want to be on at this point. You're getting 618 00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:56,240 Speaker 2: now a touchdown and a half where it could be 619 00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:58,840 Speaker 2: Malik Willis, which is that's a big deal. Like if 620 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:01,480 Speaker 2: he is a player now, if it's as a rider, obviously, 621 00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 2: I think you're deader than Debt. I can't see him 622 00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:05,280 Speaker 2: moving the ball that well, especially after one week of 623 00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:09,800 Speaker 2: practice against this Vikings defense. But yeah, it's a weird 624 00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:11,520 Speaker 2: game because the numbers moved too much to me, Like 625 00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 2: I like the Vikings. You can still get anything under seven. 626 00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:16,560 Speaker 2: But like I said, a bunch of bookser popping seven 627 00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,040 Speaker 2: and a half. I just I cannot give out the 628 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:21,880 Speaker 2: Vikings with a third string quarterback at seven and a 629 00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:23,959 Speaker 2: half without knowing who the green Bay quarterback is. If 630 00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:26,400 Speaker 2: it's the third or fourth string guy, Yeah, I have 631 00:30:26,520 --> 00:30:29,440 Speaker 2: no problem taking Minnesota if you want a ton of points. 632 00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:32,800 Speaker 2: But yeah, this is what's tough about this week. The 633 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:36,280 Speaker 2: lines moved so much just because the pros are hitting 634 00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:38,840 Speaker 2: it so early. And yeah, this game I really am 635 00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:40,320 Speaker 2: shocked to see you getting up to seven and a half. 636 00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:45,280 Speaker 2: Hopefully like you, you know, listen to the show. You 637 00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:47,240 Speaker 2: were able to get the five and a half on Minnesota, 638 00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:48,960 Speaker 2: even the six and a half we gave it on Tuesday. 639 00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:50,840 Speaker 2: But yeah, at this point, the number to me is 640 00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:52,200 Speaker 2: we have too much for me to really give out 641 00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:55,000 Speaker 2: the Vikings on minus seven LA Chargers. 642 00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,960 Speaker 1: We talked about it twelve and a half point underdogs 643 00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:02,440 Speaker 1: at Denver. I'm shocked this one hasn't moved to thirteen. 644 00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,560 Speaker 1: I was really hoping it would because I wanted to 645 00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:10,600 Speaker 1: bet it at thirteen. One book actually has it, A 646 00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:12,760 Speaker 1: very public book has it at eleven and a half. 647 00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:20,520 Speaker 1: But like, this is an imminently intriguing matchup to me 648 00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:25,040 Speaker 1: because the Charger's defense is still good, and that's who's 649 00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:29,040 Speaker 1: going to be defending against Bo Nicks. I don't talk 650 00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:34,120 Speaker 1: about unknowable. Why is Trey Lance to me a ten 651 00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:37,520 Speaker 1: point difference from Justin Herbert. I don't know that he 652 00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:40,920 Speaker 1: should be, and so I think he presents a dynamic 653 00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:43,280 Speaker 1: with his legs that's a little bit different than what 654 00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 1: the Broncos have been able to prepare for. So it 655 00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:48,240 Speaker 1: just feels like it's way too high to me. 656 00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:51,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually went in luck to see what is 657 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 2: the difference just from my model, and honestly, it's right 658 00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,720 Speaker 2: around that jet. I think, yeah, I had it a 659 00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:00,400 Speaker 2: nine point difference. So some of that likes, you know, 660 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:03,480 Speaker 2: shit on Herbert because it's fun because his fans think 661 00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:04,800 Speaker 2: he's something that he's not, which is. 662 00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:06,240 Speaker 1: Top five quarterback. 663 00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:09,000 Speaker 2: Yeah. I think he's a good quarterback, just not top 664 00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:13,160 Speaker 2: five quarterback. But I told you this is all pros, 665 00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:15,480 Speaker 2: Like this is just simply a pros versus the book 666 00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:18,440 Speaker 2: type of game. And yeah there's hard rock, just move 667 00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:20,880 Speaker 2: to twelve while we're doing a live. So clearly there's 668 00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:24,800 Speaker 2: still money coming on the charters even late. But I 669 00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:26,560 Speaker 2: just want to let people don't be scared off, Like 670 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:28,160 Speaker 2: you look at all the splits, you're gonna see all 671 00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:30,360 Speaker 2: the tickets, all the money on the charters team. Like 672 00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:32,400 Speaker 2: I said, I think it's simply just professionals. I don't 673 00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 2: still know anyone Joe public messing this game. Less they're throwing, 674 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:36,720 Speaker 2: you know, the Broncos in a five and a half 675 00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:39,520 Speaker 2: teaser or taking the Broncos money line. That just I 676 00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:41,320 Speaker 2: just cannot see the public line up whe there's other 677 00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:43,960 Speaker 2: games are gonna want to bet the Broncos have disappointed 678 00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:46,239 Speaker 2: right as a favorite. I've talked about Nick's season two 679 00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:47,840 Speaker 2: and nine is a favorite against the spread. He's just 680 00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:52,160 Speaker 2: struggled in this spot. And you know, Chad, Chad talked 681 00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,880 Speaker 2: about a little bit here with Trey Lance. It's it 682 00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:58,880 Speaker 2: is a obviously a step down from Herbert, but the 683 00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:00,640 Speaker 2: legs I feel like mitigate a lot of it. Well, 684 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:02,440 Speaker 2: you've seen Herbert do so well. Obviously he's going to 685 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:05,080 Speaker 2: passing the ball. Herbert has bailed them out a ton 686 00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:06,880 Speaker 2: with his legs, and that's what it's gonna happen a 687 00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:08,120 Speaker 2: lot here with Trey Lance. He's going to be on 688 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:11,720 Speaker 2: the run a ton. And shockingly saw the Chargers are 689 00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:13,360 Speaker 2: going to play a lot of their starters from their 690 00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:16,239 Speaker 2: offensive line just because those guys need work. Like if 691 00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:19,400 Speaker 2: you look at the grades, they're basically thirty second, thirty 692 00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:23,320 Speaker 2: first and almost ever Yeah, category blocking wise, and you 693 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:25,000 Speaker 2: know they obviously need to work in the past block 694 00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:27,080 Speaker 2: and run blocking. This is the perfect thing to do 695 00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,320 Speaker 2: it against. The Broncos have one of the best fronts 696 00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:32,160 Speaker 2: in all of football. So Trey Lance, he's gonna be 697 00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:34,760 Speaker 2: running for his life. But like Chad just said, this 698 00:33:35,320 --> 00:33:37,400 Speaker 2: feels like a little bit too much of a movement 699 00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:40,120 Speaker 2: with the Herbert news, Like, if it was Herbert in 700 00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,000 Speaker 2: this game, what is this a three point two and 701 00:33:42,040 --> 00:33:45,400 Speaker 2: a half point type of spread? Ten points feels like 702 00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:47,280 Speaker 2: a lot. So if you do hear this and you 703 00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 2: can'tet a twelve and a half, I would grab because 704 00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:50,400 Speaker 2: I do think the pros keep betting this down. And 705 00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:53,160 Speaker 2: like Chad said, there's one book already shown eleven and 706 00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:54,960 Speaker 2: a half. I think a couple of books will follow 707 00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:56,240 Speaker 2: suit as the week goes along. 708 00:33:56,280 --> 00:34:00,800 Speaker 1: Here, Keenan Allen a lot of incentives in this game. 709 00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:03,280 Speaker 1: I don't know if he's going to be playing, but 710 00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:06,600 Speaker 1: if he does, look for those Keenan Allen props, folks, 711 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:10,120 Speaker 1: because if there's anything that there that's like, it could 712 00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:14,839 Speaker 1: be the perfect scenario. Like he's playing. They don't really 713 00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:18,359 Speaker 1: have anything to lose, so just sling the ball. Find 714 00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:20,640 Speaker 1: a way to get Keenan Allen his seven hundred and 715 00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:23,719 Speaker 1: fifty grand and incentives. If he has six plus receptions, 716 00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:27,560 Speaker 1: take a look, it's more than seven yards. I'll tell 717 00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:34,600 Speaker 1: you that much. Detroit plus three at Chicago Caleb Williams 718 00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,520 Speaker 1: is two hundred and seven yards away from being the 719 00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:42,160 Speaker 1: first Chicago Bear ever to get four thousand passing yards 720 00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:44,920 Speaker 1: in a season. Ben Johnson was asked about this in 721 00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:48,120 Speaker 1: his past conference and he said he thought it was 722 00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:52,600 Speaker 1: an arbitrary number. Who cares? Reporters laughed and said, you 723 00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:56,040 Speaker 1: must be new here, because everyone here cares quite a bit. 724 00:34:57,200 --> 00:35:03,440 Speaker 1: I looked at Caleb's two year stats through week seventeen 725 00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:07,480 Speaker 1: in his second year, forty five touchdown passes and only 726 00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:10,520 Speaker 1: twelve picks. So last night, my buddy who was over 727 00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:14,240 Speaker 1: asked me while we were watching the game, the Miami 728 00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,240 Speaker 1: Ohio State game, if you were to redraft the twenty 729 00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:23,560 Speaker 1: twenty four quarterback draft, what would you do. I still 730 00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:26,440 Speaker 1: had Caleb number one, and I and I Drake made 731 00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:26,920 Speaker 1: number two. 732 00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:32,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, we all overreact, right. I think Jane Daniels was 733 00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:34,920 Speaker 2: the unanimous number one pick coming to this yes, from 734 00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,759 Speaker 2: that draft. So yeah, it's just I saw people are saying, 735 00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:42,000 Speaker 2: is this the greatest QB draft ever? A draft that 736 00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:44,400 Speaker 2: I think Jane Daniel's the only one with the actual 737 00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:47,560 Speaker 2: playoff win. So it's just we like the crown them early. 738 00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:49,399 Speaker 2: That's what we do here. We'd like the crown them early, 739 00:35:49,480 --> 00:35:51,640 Speaker 2: but I'd never wear it. I said from the get go, 740 00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,880 Speaker 2: Caleb was my number one guy. I mean one of 741 00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:56,759 Speaker 2: my favorite shows ever was I think it was we 742 00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:59,360 Speaker 2: had on Seth Rollins was trying to talk you and 743 00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:02,320 Speaker 2: Seth Rolind is down about getting rid of Justin Fields 744 00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:05,400 Speaker 2: and how it's a good thing and Caleb Williams is 745 00:36:05,440 --> 00:36:08,520 Speaker 2: a million times better in sets of the Upside, And 746 00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:11,319 Speaker 2: it's just funny looking back right now, It's like there's 747 00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:13,799 Speaker 2: no question. Right ones are proven winner that can make 748 00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:15,480 Speaker 2: the big time throw. The other one is a crazy 749 00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:17,960 Speaker 2: athlete that can never find a way to win games. 750 00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:24,000 Speaker 2: So years, yeah, Caleb is just you see why he's 751 00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:25,920 Speaker 2: you know, the guy was hyped up in high school 752 00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,759 Speaker 2: Seth wickershamptoas his dad had him getting interview prepped when 753 00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:31,800 Speaker 2: he was in high school getting ready for talking to 754 00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:34,200 Speaker 2: the media for college in the NFL. Like, this kid 755 00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:37,719 Speaker 2: always has been the guy. The question was always going 756 00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:39,480 Speaker 2: to be can he be a leader of men? Can 757 00:36:39,560 --> 00:36:42,080 Speaker 2: this guy lead mint? Can guys play hard for him 758 00:36:42,120 --> 00:36:43,800 Speaker 2: through a whole season? Does he have that type of 759 00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:46,440 Speaker 2: personality type? And you've seen it now he is what 760 00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:48,160 Speaker 2: we always talk about right. You need a quarterback be 761 00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:50,400 Speaker 2: the type of alpha guy. He seems like he is it. 762 00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:55,279 Speaker 2: You know, that game last week really was shocking. I 763 00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:58,120 Speaker 2: just couldn't believe how great Caleb played in a game 764 00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,400 Speaker 2: that had just the same amount of press should get 765 00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:03,279 Speaker 2: the one seed. So I am not shocked talking about 766 00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:05,719 Speaker 2: this game to see the pros coming on this Bears team. Right. 767 00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:08,239 Speaker 2: They have been what we've talked about all season. They 768 00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:10,640 Speaker 2: play teams close, they always find ways to win late, 769 00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:13,200 Speaker 2: and that's just their identity, right. They're just a slug 770 00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:15,520 Speaker 2: it out type of team, and they have something the 771 00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:19,719 Speaker 2: Lions don't have, which is a run game, Like let's 772 00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:21,640 Speaker 2: break it down for real, this Lion's team. They can 773 00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:23,080 Speaker 2: now fall back on the run game like they have 774 00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:24,799 Speaker 2: in the past. A lot of these games have fallen 775 00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:28,080 Speaker 2: onto golf shoulders where this Bears team and they need 776 00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:30,560 Speaker 2: to pick up four or five chunks to give you know, 777 00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:33,680 Speaker 2: a third and five or second and five. To Caleb, 778 00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:35,440 Speaker 2: they've been great to put them in that position. The 779 00:37:35,520 --> 00:37:36,880 Speaker 2: Lions have not been the same. I do think that 780 00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:39,120 Speaker 2: is why so many pros think that this is the 781 00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:40,759 Speaker 2: difference here. The Bears team will always be in a 782 00:37:40,800 --> 00:37:43,000 Speaker 2: better position. But I think me and Chi I have 783 00:37:43,080 --> 00:37:45,200 Speaker 2: talked a little bit about this Bears team. We love them, 784 00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:48,160 Speaker 2: but as a three point favorite, that's where I have 785 00:37:48,200 --> 00:37:49,440 Speaker 2: to draw the line. This is a team, like I talk, 786 00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:52,400 Speaker 2: they play close games. This Lions team, as bad as 787 00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:55,520 Speaker 2: they've looked, there's still the number two, number three offense 788 00:37:55,560 --> 00:37:57,120 Speaker 2: in all of football. There's still a team that has 789 00:37:57,160 --> 00:37:59,600 Speaker 2: moved the ball. They've just been so let down by 790 00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:03,839 Speaker 2: their defense. So really unique spot, right, a really really 791 00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:07,120 Speaker 2: unique spot in the sense that a couple of weeks 792 00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:10,759 Speaker 2: ago the Lions were probably minus one here on the road, 793 00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:12,719 Speaker 2: and the number has moved about four and a half 794 00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:16,680 Speaker 2: points five points now because the Bears have been playing 795 00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:18,839 Speaker 2: so well down the stretch of the lines, they've fallen 796 00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:21,239 Speaker 2: off the cliff. I mean that last loss, I mean 797 00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:23,719 Speaker 2: could be more embarrassing. That's why the public, yeah, totally 798 00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:24,400 Speaker 2: out on them, right that. 799 00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:28,160 Speaker 1: That's, by the way, why I'm on this game is 800 00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:31,839 Speaker 1: how bad that game was that last game. Like, I'm 801 00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:36,200 Speaker 1: fading the Bears brilliant and I'm betting into the Lions 802 00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:40,200 Speaker 1: complete and total failings, which. 803 00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:42,719 Speaker 2: Again to me, is scary because this type of year, 804 00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:45,000 Speaker 2: I really do think you are who you are, Like 805 00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:47,360 Speaker 2: the Lions are exactly who they are if you go 806 00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:49,839 Speaker 2: through and you look these last couple of weeks, Now 807 00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:51,920 Speaker 2: this is who they are. They've totally faltered here and 808 00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:54,080 Speaker 2: fallen apart, and it's really golf. Golf has just been 809 00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:57,160 Speaker 2: absolutely terrible with the turnovers, holding on the ball too long, 810 00:38:57,320 --> 00:38:59,279 Speaker 2: like it just feel like all of a sudden, he 811 00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:00,680 Speaker 2: is zero pocket work and it's like he doesn't know 812 00:39:00,719 --> 00:39:02,440 Speaker 2: there's a blitz coming. He's about to get smacked in 813 00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:04,799 Speaker 2: three seconds. All of it. Golf has been so bad. 814 00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:07,560 Speaker 2: But like you just said, this is the lowest we've 815 00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:10,480 Speaker 2: been able to buy this Lions team. And I don't know, 816 00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:13,040 Speaker 2: four years with Campbell, like this is just feels like 817 00:39:13,600 --> 00:39:15,040 Speaker 2: this is low as a guess since we bet on 818 00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:16,880 Speaker 2: them when they were what zero to eight and they 819 00:39:17,040 --> 00:39:19,280 Speaker 2: come out pulled out that one against the Minnesota Vikings. 820 00:39:19,360 --> 00:39:22,000 Speaker 2: So it's been a long time with this Lions team. 821 00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:25,120 Speaker 2: And yeah, it's really been to me about the numbers. 822 00:39:25,200 --> 00:39:27,239 Speaker 2: So we'll rob the books. The books are going to 823 00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:29,520 Speaker 2: destway need the Lions come Sunday, and that's a position 824 00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,719 Speaker 2: I'm happy to be in. So grabbed the three. We'll 825 00:39:32,719 --> 00:39:34,200 Speaker 2: see if we get lucky in three and a halfs 826 00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:36,480 Speaker 2: a couple of three and a halfs pops. But while 827 00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:38,440 Speaker 2: we're doing to show Live hard Rock, just what to 828 00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:40,160 Speaker 2: two and a half. So there is some pro money 829 00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:41,319 Speaker 2: coming on this Lions team. Now. 830 00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:45,560 Speaker 1: Finally, Arizona the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams are seven 831 00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:48,600 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. It's ticked up from seven 832 00:39:48,640 --> 00:39:50,840 Speaker 1: to to seven and a half since I made it 833 00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:56,360 Speaker 1: Chad's choice talk about you are who you are, and 834 00:39:56,520 --> 00:40:00,960 Speaker 1: maybe I was leaning into a two hard for the Lions, 835 00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:04,759 Speaker 1: but I'm definitely buying into a team that had a 836 00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:08,799 Speaker 1: dreadful first half in prime time and then nearly won 837 00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:11,920 Speaker 1: the game in the second half with the guy who 838 00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 1: probably should be the MVP and Matthew Stafford going against 839 00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:18,960 Speaker 1: a team that really is who we think they are 840 00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:23,640 Speaker 1: in the Arizona Cardinals. It's at seven, it's moved up 841 00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:26,680 Speaker 1: to seven and a half. Still good with it, still 842 00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,080 Speaker 1: like it. Still want to put it in the contest 843 00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:33,000 Speaker 1: Los Angeles Rams Fight Fight fight. 844 00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:36,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, and Arizona just looks like one of those teams 845 00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:39,640 Speaker 2: that all these guys had booked their vacation. They're done, 846 00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:45,279 Speaker 2: They're totally cooked, you know. Last week saw some fight. 847 00:40:45,520 --> 00:40:49,240 Speaker 2: I think they had this crazy, crazy touchdown where Cincinaty 848 00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:51,040 Speaker 2: couldn't tackle. And also it was like a fourteen to 849 00:40:51,040 --> 00:40:54,160 Speaker 2: fourteen point game. The final score is thirty seven to fourteen, 850 00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:56,880 Speaker 2: Like Cincinnati just totally whooped and opening up on the 851 00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:59,000 Speaker 2: rest of the game. And we've gone through it. Every 852 00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:01,879 Speaker 2: game they've just gotten blown out. Even Atlanta beat them 853 00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:04,360 Speaker 2: by a touchdown. I think they beat him twenty six nineteen. 854 00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:08,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, they just like they they they they couldn't compete anymore. 855 00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:11,000 Speaker 1: Like the second half of the year. They just stop 856 00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:13,880 Speaker 1: being able to keep the games that were close in 857 00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:16,520 Speaker 1: the first half of the year within contention and they 858 00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:18,640 Speaker 1: just get blown out and they get blown out late. 859 00:41:19,680 --> 00:41:22,800 Speaker 2: And the last time they played. Speaking of a reaction, 860 00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:27,160 Speaker 2: the ramsay this same exact team, whereas in Arizona's a 861 00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:31,560 Speaker 2: minus nine and a half point favorite. So they're yeah, 862 00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:33,960 Speaker 2: the numbers moved against them now that they're at home. 863 00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:35,840 Speaker 1: Makes no sense exactly. 864 00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,480 Speaker 2: It just shows how the public and general puck overreacts 865 00:41:38,520 --> 00:41:40,400 Speaker 2: to it. So this is gonna be a huge need 866 00:41:40,440 --> 00:41:42,240 Speaker 2: for the book. But every week over it plays against 867 00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:44,960 Speaker 2: the Arizona's gonna be in need. Obviously, but I'm with Jet. 868 00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:47,040 Speaker 2: It was an exact type of game that they need 869 00:41:47,480 --> 00:41:50,080 Speaker 2: to get right in McVeigh. You know it's not gonna 870 00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:51,600 Speaker 2: be an easy week of practice, right, It's gonna be 871 00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:54,479 Speaker 2: that really hell a week. They need this. They're gonna 872 00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:56,880 Speaker 2: need to show up offensively and touch a little bit 873 00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:58,560 Speaker 2: of the staff for in MVP stuff. There's no way 874 00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:00,719 Speaker 2: they don't hear that stuff inside the line. There's no 875 00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:03,120 Speaker 2: way they don't hear that. Yeah, he's now not the favorite, 876 00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:06,200 Speaker 2: and I'm sure he's seen that. I think he has 877 00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:08,520 Speaker 2: forty two touchdown passes. Basically, if he throws for three 878 00:42:08,600 --> 00:42:12,359 Speaker 2: touchdown passes, he'll have forty five touchdown passes and under 879 00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:15,399 Speaker 2: ten interceptions. Only two other quarterbacks in NFL history I've 880 00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:17,799 Speaker 2: ever done that, Tom Brady Aaron Rodgers. They both won 881 00:42:17,840 --> 00:42:20,320 Speaker 2: the MVP this season. They did that, So there is 882 00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:22,239 Speaker 2: a little bit of historical data where certain numbers he 883 00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:24,120 Speaker 2: needs to get to. I think they look better to 884 00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:26,000 Speaker 2: these beat writers and a lot of these people vote 885 00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:28,600 Speaker 2: on MVP, and I'm sure you've seen it. It's it's 886 00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:31,640 Speaker 2: already been a heated week. Patriots. Oh my god, it's 887 00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:35,400 Speaker 2: so much fun. Dania Laski just getting killed because his 888 00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:39,359 Speaker 2: agent reps Matthew Stafford's agent, and it's just they're coming 889 00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:40,800 Speaker 2: for you. If you have an opinion on this in 890 00:42:40,920 --> 00:42:42,840 Speaker 2: your sports media, they're really coming for you. And uh, 891 00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:45,080 Speaker 2: you know, it's we talked a little bit about it. 892 00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:46,640 Speaker 2: I think Stafford came on the show. He was over 893 00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:49,600 Speaker 2: plus three hundred the MVP. You've seen it come down 894 00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:51,120 Speaker 2: a little bit just because when I said, it's like, 895 00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:54,399 Speaker 2: this is opinionated award, there's no it doesn't matter if 896 00:42:54,520 --> 00:42:56,160 Speaker 2: Drake made is the big favorite here. It's it's really 897 00:42:56,239 --> 00:42:59,080 Speaker 2: based on these opinions and how well Stafford's agent can 898 00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:01,480 Speaker 2: sell it to all these people in media. When, like 899 00:43:01,560 --> 00:43:04,839 Speaker 2: I said, he's been around thirty seven years old, he's 900 00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:06,960 Speaker 2: been around a long time. That's going to ring true 901 00:43:07,000 --> 00:43:08,560 Speaker 2: in a lot of these media guys when they go 902 00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:10,759 Speaker 2: to vote. So you know, we're all in on this 903 00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:14,440 Speaker 2: Rams team. This is another spot where Arizona. We're really 904 00:43:14,480 --> 00:43:16,680 Speaker 2: big on Arizona being a team that quit here. That's 905 00:43:16,760 --> 00:43:18,800 Speaker 2: really what we're banking on here, because if you just 906 00:43:18,880 --> 00:43:20,640 Speaker 2: have a little bit of a letdown, like we've seen 907 00:43:21,400 --> 00:43:23,160 Speaker 2: this RAMS team, we can be so motivated. How do 908 00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:25,640 Speaker 2: they not put up thirty five forty points. We got 909 00:43:25,680 --> 00:43:28,480 Speaker 2: this Arizona defense shed, so I know it's very chalky. 910 00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:30,960 Speaker 2: I'm a bet by you on Tuesday, but I'm supporting. 911 00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:32,839 Speaker 2: I love this Rams team. 912 00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:36,600 Speaker 1: It's a narrative award. People in the media love a narrative. 913 00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:40,719 Speaker 1: Simon says was the Pittsburgh Steelers plus three and a 914 00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:45,720 Speaker 1: half hosting the Baltimore Ravens in the last regular season 915 00:43:45,800 --> 00:43:50,600 Speaker 1: game of the year on Sunday Night Football. We're both 916 00:43:50,680 --> 00:43:53,520 Speaker 1: all in on the Pittsburgh Steelers. We're all in on 917 00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:56,720 Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin rah rah, We're all in on the Steelers 918 00:43:56,760 --> 00:44:00,200 Speaker 1: as an underdog. We're all in on Aaron Rodgers. I'm 919 00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:03,960 Speaker 1: mostly in because I think this Ravens defense has proven 920 00:44:04,040 --> 00:44:07,040 Speaker 1: to be a fraud against the pass. As the season 921 00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:09,800 Speaker 1: is going on. They haven't gotten better. They can be 922 00:44:09,920 --> 00:44:12,920 Speaker 1: taken in the middle of the field. They keep getting confused. 923 00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:15,879 Speaker 1: I'm tired of seeing Kyle Hamilton and Roquons with trying 924 00:44:15,920 --> 00:44:18,799 Speaker 1: to work it out after a big play like they 925 00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:22,200 Speaker 1: just haven't been good. I'm betting against the Ravens. I'm 926 00:44:22,200 --> 00:44:23,320 Speaker 1: betting on Aaron Rodgers. 927 00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:28,520 Speaker 2: Let's roll, yeah, And it's such a fitting way for 928 00:44:28,600 --> 00:44:30,759 Speaker 2: us in the season right on this gross game, taking 929 00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:33,280 Speaker 2: the gross dog in a spot we always back Tomlins. 930 00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:37,080 Speaker 2: So you know, it's a really unique game since what 931 00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:40,399 Speaker 2: Chad's talking about here, it's a team that you kind 932 00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:42,480 Speaker 2: of throw out their records and you just blindly take 933 00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:45,000 Speaker 2: the dog. Historically, go down the record one more time, 934 00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:47,400 Speaker 2: just because it's my will always be my favorite stat 935 00:44:48,160 --> 00:44:51,200 Speaker 2: this series since two thousand and five, thirty twelve and 936 00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:53,760 Speaker 2: three of the dog in this matchup seventy one percent 937 00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:57,080 Speaker 2: in the regular season underdogs. So, whether it's Tomlin's underdog 938 00:44:57,440 --> 00:45:00,399 Speaker 2: or Harball's underdog, these two coaches on the matchup where 939 00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:04,120 Speaker 2: which every team is the underdog twenty five and seven 940 00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:07,120 Speaker 2: against the spread in their history. It's crazy, it really 941 00:45:07,239 --> 00:45:09,000 Speaker 2: is when you go back through all the data. Especially 942 00:45:09,480 --> 00:45:12,600 Speaker 2: you know when those Ben Roethlisberger years, right, they had 943 00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:15,839 Speaker 2: the three bees, they were dominant offensively, they were playing 944 00:45:15,840 --> 00:45:19,759 Speaker 2: against a banged up Flaco and a horrible Ravens team. 945 00:45:19,800 --> 00:45:22,200 Speaker 2: The Ravens kept winning those games, are covering and then 946 00:45:22,200 --> 00:45:24,880 Speaker 2: they flipped. When this Pittsburgh team has now been playing backups, 947 00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:27,040 Speaker 2: they've been covering winning. So I don't know about you, 948 00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:29,759 Speaker 2: I'm hoping it's Lamar. I know it sounds crazy, but 949 00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:33,759 Speaker 2: we talked about Lamar with this injury to his legs, 950 00:45:33,800 --> 00:45:35,719 Speaker 2: he's not had his superpower. He's not had his legs, 951 00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:38,080 Speaker 2: and that's that's such a weapon of his the miss 952 00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:41,560 Speaker 2: where you saw it with Stup Huntley. That felt like 953 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:43,239 Speaker 2: that was a big difference in that Green Bay game, 954 00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:46,200 Speaker 2: like they just couldn't contain him, and when he would 955 00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:47,879 Speaker 2: break out and he'd use his legs, that was such 956 00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:50,400 Speaker 2: a weapon you saw that was lacking of that Ravens offense. 957 00:45:50,520 --> 00:45:54,800 Speaker 2: So we'll see today. I think Lamar is participating their walkthrough. 958 00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:56,600 Speaker 2: You Hopefully he gets clear today and he should be 959 00:45:56,640 --> 00:45:59,600 Speaker 2: the quarterback here and maybe we get a four net 960 00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:01,840 Speaker 2: a four or four and a half by kickoff because 961 00:46:01,920 --> 00:46:04,560 Speaker 2: Lamar is the quarterback. But I'm grabbing the three and 962 00:46:04,560 --> 00:46:06,160 Speaker 2: a halfter just in case the professionals do come and 963 00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:08,279 Speaker 2: bet this one down. Now. I could see this one 964 00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:11,839 Speaker 2: coming down so unique spot. We love the Steelers here 965 00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:15,239 Speaker 2: and we blindly bet it. We will see what the 966 00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:18,120 Speaker 2: injury news is with Lamar, but you know, I just 967 00:46:18,200 --> 00:46:20,200 Speaker 2: can't see it affecting the line too much. And most 968 00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:22,680 Speaker 2: moves a point maybe a half a point he. 969 00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,479 Speaker 1: Did practice, he is, They are confident he will play. 970 00:46:25,920 --> 00:46:26,839 Speaker 1: That's the latest series. 971 00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:30,000 Speaker 2: So there you go, numbers. Maybe it won't, maybe I'm wrong, 972 00:46:30,040 --> 00:46:32,439 Speaker 2: Maybe it won't move because if Chad's give that infa, 973 00:46:32,520 --> 00:46:34,080 Speaker 2: that means that the books have known that for a 974 00:46:34,080 --> 00:46:36,800 Speaker 2: little bit. They have not budged. So that's that's really interesting. 975 00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:38,600 Speaker 2: So yet it's held at three and a half. 976 00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:42,799 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers plus three and a half. Quick word from 977 00:46:42,800 --> 00:46:44,480 Speaker 1: our sponsor at hard Rock Back. 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In Indiana, 1016 00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:52,759 Speaker 1: if you or someone you know as a gambling problem 1017 00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:54,520 Speaker 1: and wants help, call one eight hundred and nine with 1018 00:48:54,600 --> 00:48:59,960 Speaker 1: it gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, 1019 00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:05,879 Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, and Virginia. All right, salmon hunter, 1020 00:49:06,400 --> 00:49:07,279 Speaker 1: what are your biggest bets? 1021 00:49:07,600 --> 00:49:10,840 Speaker 2: Pull up fose pants and be a man before I 1022 00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:13,120 Speaker 2: do it. A couple asked about futures. I'll do it 1023 00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:16,560 Speaker 2: super quick, just from before the season, asking what I 1024 00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:19,840 Speaker 2: have left from our show that got lost in the shuffle. 1025 00:49:20,440 --> 00:49:22,520 Speaker 2: I basically need a miracle. I need the bills to 1026 00:49:22,640 --> 00:49:24,959 Speaker 2: somehow for Super Bowl. Futures this says I need a miracle. 1027 00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:26,520 Speaker 2: I need the Bills some how to make the Super Bowl, 1028 00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:30,080 Speaker 2: to beat the forty nine ers at plus sixty five 1029 00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:32,960 Speaker 2: to one, So that's the one I've left. Obviously, I 1030 00:49:32,960 --> 00:49:34,680 Speaker 2: gave out the Eagles to over the Chiefs. That one's 1031 00:49:34,719 --> 00:49:37,080 Speaker 2: deader than dead, forty nine ers to be the ones 1032 00:49:37,120 --> 00:49:41,160 Speaker 2: in the NFC plus seven hundred still alive. I couldn't 1033 00:49:41,200 --> 00:49:44,600 Speaker 2: believe it. I gave out worst record Arizona Cardinals seventy 1034 00:49:44,640 --> 00:49:46,000 Speaker 2: five to one. I have a couple of tickets on 1035 00:49:46,080 --> 00:49:48,640 Speaker 2: that one game away. There are three I think three 1036 00:49:48,760 --> 00:49:52,200 Speaker 2: and thirteen are three and fourteen. Obviously, the Raiders have 1037 00:49:52,360 --> 00:49:54,600 Speaker 2: two losses, so that one was really close to coming 1038 00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:59,280 Speaker 2: out and still alive. Most receiving yards Jackson Smith ADJIGBA 1039 00:50:00,239 --> 00:50:03,320 Speaker 2: five to one. He is leading by I think seventy yards. 1040 00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:06,719 Speaker 2: So yeah, not not the best year for the future. 1041 00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:08,600 Speaker 2: That's why we give out crazy long shots. You're always 1042 00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:13,319 Speaker 2: crazy stuff for this week biggest bets. Like I said, 1043 00:50:13,360 --> 00:50:15,640 Speaker 2: it's a little a little weird because it is the 1044 00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:18,040 Speaker 2: week before the playoffs and there's so much college football 1045 00:50:18,040 --> 00:50:20,799 Speaker 2: going on. Biggest vision I took obviously early in the week, 1046 00:50:20,840 --> 00:50:23,799 Speaker 2: I took a large special on the Minnesota Vikings. Took 1047 00:50:23,840 --> 00:50:27,480 Speaker 2: a large position just because I thought that Green Bay 1048 00:50:27,480 --> 00:50:29,320 Speaker 2: wouldn't be playing their starters. I number has moved to 1049 00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:35,239 Speaker 2: luckily accordingly, I took a pretty big position on this, 1050 00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:37,799 Speaker 2: this forty nine Ers team at plus one and a half. 1051 00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:41,239 Speaker 2: I'm a little worried about it because, like I said, 1052 00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:44,520 Speaker 2: it is the pros are so heavily on the other side. 1053 00:50:46,360 --> 00:50:47,880 Speaker 2: So you know, if you want to join me in 1054 00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:51,880 Speaker 2: my prime my bigger bet for Saturday, I'll take Carolina 1055 00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:54,080 Speaker 2: up to seven and a half. I'll take the forty 1056 00:50:54,120 --> 00:50:55,560 Speaker 2: nine Ers up to seven and a half. It's probably 1057 00:50:55,600 --> 00:50:59,040 Speaker 2: minus one twenty, maybe minus one ten, just because Carolina's 1058 00:50:59,040 --> 00:51:01,399 Speaker 2: now is up back up the plus three. The juice 1059 00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:03,560 Speaker 2: is in two bead, but I like both of them 1060 00:51:03,600 --> 00:51:05,600 Speaker 2: to cover at least being a touchdown underdog. I just 1061 00:51:05,640 --> 00:51:07,640 Speaker 2: can't see the forty Niners game blun or Carolina again 1062 00:51:07,680 --> 00:51:10,719 Speaker 2: blend on these type of games. Just you see timetime again, right, 1063 00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:14,400 Speaker 2: Teams fighting for a divisional divisional games that this sides 1064 00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:17,560 Speaker 2: playoff positioning tend to be very close games. So I 1065 00:51:17,680 --> 00:51:20,400 Speaker 2: do like that. I wouldn't tease it because teasers now 1066 00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:22,759 Speaker 2: are rip off. I think if you tease this, it's 1067 00:51:22,800 --> 00:51:26,560 Speaker 2: like minus one forty. You don't need the Panthers mine 1068 00:51:26,719 --> 00:51:28,839 Speaker 2: or plus nine and a half. Just stake the number 1069 00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:31,000 Speaker 2: up to just as seven and a half. That's me 1070 00:51:31,080 --> 00:51:33,880 Speaker 2: and one of my bigger bets. And people know Chad's 1071 00:51:33,880 --> 00:51:36,759 Speaker 2: already talking a little bit about it. Cincinnati, love that side, 1072 00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:39,240 Speaker 2: Love the Rams. I'm just putting their money lines together, 1073 00:51:39,360 --> 00:51:41,320 Speaker 2: taking a pretty big bet on both those sides, just 1074 00:51:41,400 --> 00:51:44,960 Speaker 2: to win straight up. But yeah, like I said, very 1075 00:51:45,080 --> 00:51:48,879 Speaker 2: very wonky week, it's just be careful because it's really 1076 00:51:48,960 --> 00:51:51,520 Speaker 2: the pros heading these lines. The public usually set this 1077 00:51:51,600 --> 00:51:53,799 Speaker 2: week out just because it is such a wild week. 1078 00:51:55,080 --> 00:52:02,360 Speaker 1: Speaking of money lines, money line underdog parlay. My dog 1079 00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:10,239 Speaker 1: blocks your dog, Your dog blocks mot Dog. I've got Pittsburgh, Carolina, 1080 00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:19,400 Speaker 1: San Francisco, New Orleans love it, money line favorite. You 1081 00:52:19,560 --> 00:52:23,040 Speaker 1: just mentioned two of them. I had Cincinnati and the Rams. 1082 00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:29,040 Speaker 1: I have Denver minus five and a half. I got Minnesota. 1083 00:52:31,440 --> 00:52:33,560 Speaker 2: I don't know it. Like again, it's it's a weird 1084 00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:37,360 Speaker 2: week where like Dallas, I like, I like Philly. I 1085 00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:41,640 Speaker 2: know Philly's playing their backups, but Tany McKee just looks 1086 00:52:41,680 --> 00:52:43,600 Speaker 2: like an absolute stud, Like I think this coulduld be 1087 00:52:43,640 --> 00:52:45,560 Speaker 2: a starter. And this is the exact type of game 1088 00:52:45,560 --> 00:52:47,840 Speaker 2: where you know he knows he's playing for that right, 1089 00:52:47,920 --> 00:52:50,440 Speaker 2: he's playing for that Matt Flynn type of deal. He 1090 00:52:50,480 --> 00:52:53,759 Speaker 2: wants that Matt Flynn money. So yeah, I like the Eagles. 1091 00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:55,160 Speaker 2: Now the numbers move so much. I said, if you 1092 00:52:55,200 --> 00:52:56,959 Speaker 2: could got if you got a guy watching it, plus seven, 1093 00:52:57,040 --> 00:52:58,520 Speaker 2: that that was a really nice number. But now that 1094 00:52:58,600 --> 00:53:01,160 Speaker 2: it's under seven, shout the Egos money line. I think 1095 00:53:01,200 --> 00:53:03,279 Speaker 2: that's good value there. So yeah, there's a bunch of 1096 00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:05,160 Speaker 2: ways you can mismash. If you don't love the Devers, 1097 00:53:05,640 --> 00:53:08,520 Speaker 2: then we're line that Chad gave out. I don't hate 1098 00:53:08,560 --> 00:53:10,719 Speaker 2: throwing Dallas's money line in their the Egos money line, 1099 00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:14,399 Speaker 2: but yet Rams money line. Since these money line like these, 1100 00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:17,759 Speaker 2: we've seen time with taking them these big favorites in 1101 00:53:17,840 --> 00:53:20,840 Speaker 2: the week eighteen, these teams do tend to show up 1102 00:53:20,840 --> 00:53:22,960 Speaker 2: with these other teams. They're already ready for that vacation. 1103 00:53:23,080 --> 00:53:24,760 Speaker 2: They're just they're just there to get that paycheck. 1104 00:53:25,880 --> 00:53:29,719 Speaker 1: Sure versus Square, Who do you got? Uh? 1105 00:53:32,880 --> 00:53:34,879 Speaker 2: I guess I got it, Doe, because I've just hyped 1106 00:53:34,920 --> 00:53:36,560 Speaker 2: it up so much of this point. Give me give 1107 00:53:36,560 --> 00:53:38,360 Speaker 2: me the forty nine ers plus one plus one and 1108 00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:38,640 Speaker 2: a half. 1109 00:53:40,160 --> 00:53:43,600 Speaker 1: I am taking the Cincinnati Bengals. I'll take the seven 1110 00:53:43,640 --> 00:53:44,000 Speaker 1: and a half. 1111 00:53:45,239 --> 00:53:47,120 Speaker 2: You are Rams seven and a half and then Bengals 1112 00:53:47,120 --> 00:53:47,600 Speaker 2: seven and a half. 1113 00:53:47,640 --> 00:53:50,360 Speaker 1: I know I thought about that. One of them is 1114 00:53:50,360 --> 00:53:51,360 Speaker 1: gonna lose obviously. 1115 00:53:51,480 --> 00:53:54,800 Speaker 2: Now I don't know. I'm win you. I' drinking the koolid. 1116 00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:56,640 Speaker 2: I like them both, all. 1117 00:53:56,600 --> 00:54:01,320 Speaker 1: Right, listen, Happy New Year to everybody. We're all Hoosiers today, 1118 00:54:01,840 --> 00:54:05,800 Speaker 1: go Indiana Hoosiers. Fight, Fight Fight. This has been Sharper Square, 1119 00:54:05,920 --> 00:54:10,040 Speaker 1: part of the Volume podcast network. We will be back 1120 00:54:10,120 --> 00:54:13,320 Speaker 1: on Sharper Square YouTube on Sunday morning. You'll get the 1121 00:54:13,320 --> 00:54:16,080 Speaker 1: East drop on an intimate conversation where we make decisions 1122 00:54:16,560 --> 00:54:23,360 Speaker 1: we will regret. Watch or listen on Sharper Square on YouTube. 1123 00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:25,880 Speaker 1: You can also download us some Spotify Apple Pods wherever 1124 00:54:25,880 --> 00:54:28,200 Speaker 1: you get your pods, rate review, subscribe, levi us five 1125 00:54:28,239 --> 00:54:33,480 Speaker 1: stars say whatever you want. Feedback is the gift until Sunday. 1126 00:54:33,640 --> 00:54:34,160 Speaker 1: I love you. 1127 00:54:35,960 --> 00:54:38,840 Speaker 2: This ain't Ray Nitchkei and Dick Buck some Deacon Jones 1128 00:54:38,840 --> 00:54:41,000 Speaker 2: over there, So let's start kicking some hats. This team 1129 00:54:41,120 --> 00:54:42,839 Speaker 2: is not better enough than not even good