Speaker 1: The volume.
Speaker 2: All right.
Speaker 3: This week on Prime Cutch, Chad Millman, Sharper Square tough week,
Speaker 3: Listen closely. John Middelkoff on the Niners losing streak and
Speaker 3: quarterback prospects, and my top takes of the week. Let
Speaker 3: me start by applauding teams. I don't applaud much the
Speaker 3: Chicago Bears, So on the trade deadline they went and
Speaker 3: gave up a second round pick for a defensive end
Speaker 3: into his prime, going into his prime, Montes Sweat from
Speaker 3: the Commanders. Now Washington has a surplus of defensive linemen,
Speaker 3: so they move Chase Young erratic injuries, a bit of
Speaker 3: an ad liver to the forty nine ers, but Montes
Speaker 3: Sweat is more reliable. And if you're gonna pay a
Speaker 3: defensive player, who does Kansas City pay? Chris Jones defensive lineman?
Speaker 3: Who do the Rams pay on defense? Aaron Donald defensive lineman.
Speaker 3: If you go look at who the top gms in
Speaker 3: the league are absolutely always willing to pay. It's a
Speaker 3: good edge rusher or elite interior defensive linemen, of which
Speaker 3: there are not many. So the Bears get a player
Speaker 3: in Montes Sweat for a second round pick who will
Speaker 3: be better than ninety percent of the players they could
Speaker 3: draft in the second round, and probably over half of
Speaker 3: the players they could draft in the first. And since
Speaker 3: the Bears are probably going to move off justin fields,
Speaker 3: they're not going to be paying their quarterback for four
Speaker 3: years now. Because you do this mid season, the player
Speaker 3: now has the leverage. Right, Montes Sweat has the leverage.
Speaker 3: He knows what you gave up to get him, so
Speaker 3: the agent and the player have the leverage. But he's
Speaker 3: a really good player. He's a top ten SAT guy.
Speaker 3: He's going into his prime, and you got to pay
Speaker 3: for those guys, and he's better than anybody you're going
Speaker 3: to get in the second round. My guess on the
Speaker 3: defensive line, the elite edge rushers, the elite prospects defensive linemen,
Speaker 3: those guys, along with left tackles and stark quarterbacks, they're
Speaker 3: gone in the first eight to twelve picks. So I
Speaker 3: don't have a problem with it. I think Chicago fans
Speaker 3: look at the Chase Claypool move that didn't work. Chicago
Speaker 3: gives up a second round pick for him first. It's
Speaker 3: a lot easier to get a wide receiver out of
Speaker 3: college that's productive than an elite edge rusher in the
Speaker 3: second round. There are receivers everywhere in college football and
Speaker 3: everywhere in the draft. Look at the Rams pooka Nakua
Speaker 3: fifth round. He's a star. So and also I even
Speaker 3: understood why the Bears rolled the dice on Chase Claypool.
Speaker 3: They were trying to decipher if Justin Fields could play,
Speaker 3: and all they had was Mooney, a small, twitchy receiver.
Speaker 3: Claypool was a big, physical receiver who can block. I
Speaker 3: would struggle to give up a second for him, but
Speaker 3: you could see giving up a third. So they may
Speaker 3: have reached a little. But I got their reasoning in
Speaker 3: Chicago for doing the Chase Claypool deal. They had a
Speaker 3: tight end Cole, they had Mooney. They were trying to
Speaker 3: furnish fields with players to see if this is the guy.
Speaker 3: By the way, this is what Atlanta is doing. They
Speaker 3: go get Bjean Robinson running back first round, Drake London,
Speaker 3: Kyle Pitt's good old line, and they have decided Desmond
Speaker 3: Ritter is not it. They're benching him now for Taylor Heineke.
Speaker 3: So when Bjeon Robinson got picked by the Falcons, I
Speaker 3: defended it. Running back in the first round is that
Speaker 3: they're trying to figure out if the quarterback can play.
Speaker 3: If you give him second tier players, you'll never know.
Speaker 3: You'll have to guess. Falcons have an offensive coach, good
Speaker 3: young weapons, and Desmond Ritter can't score with him, time
Speaker 3: to move off him. That's what they're doing. So Montez
Speaker 3: sweat for the Bears. Yes, you'll have to pay him, Okay,
Speaker 3: all right. The bottom line is you're gonna draft another quarterback.
Speaker 3: You have the space to do it, and this dude
Speaker 3: can absolutely play going into his prime mid to later twenties,
Speaker 3: and those guys cost money. I'm okay with the Bears
Speaker 3: doing it, all right. Forty nine Ers giving up a
Speaker 3: third round pick for Chase Young. Well, Chase Young can
Speaker 3: be an erratic player, sort of an ad liver, and
Speaker 3: he's had some injuries so he's never been as good
Speaker 3: as we think. But opposite Bosa, who's getting double team
Speaker 3: done every snap, it gives them another edge. Now, that
Speaker 3: doesn't mean you're going to be great. I mean, Khalil
Speaker 3: Mack and Joey Bosa are playing for the Chargers and
Speaker 3: they're underwhelming. They also have a coach. Many beliefs should
Speaker 3: be fired. But I think that what the forty nine
Speaker 3: ers are looking at. They got their first round pick,
Speaker 3: they got their second round pick, and you start looking
Speaker 3: at the third round pick. For the forty nine ers
Speaker 3: in this roster, who could start. I mean, they don't
Speaker 3: need a receiver, they don't need a running back. They've
Speaker 3: got their quarterback, Deebo and Brandon Ayuk. They've got their receivers.
Speaker 3: They could use a corner and maybe a center, and
Speaker 3: they'll probably draft that with the first and second round pick.
Speaker 3: So I get what they're doing. When you have a
Speaker 3: quarterback that you're really not paying any and I mean
Speaker 3: last player picked, you're not paying Rock pretty anything. Roll
Speaker 3: the dice. And I think they also they look around
Speaker 3: and they see Jalen Hurts, and they see Dak and
Speaker 3: they see that Lions offensive line. Remember Dallas, Detroit, and
Speaker 3: Philadelphia in the NFC have three of the top five
Speaker 3: offensive lines in the National Football League. Now, the AFC
Speaker 3: is better than the NFC, but the NFC may have
Speaker 3: three of the top four or five offensive lines Eagles, Lions, Cowboys.
Speaker 3: So one pass rusher is not enough. Armstead Bosa, now
Speaker 3: Chase Young. If those teams Detroit with Jared goff Eagles,
Speaker 3: Jalen Herds, Dallas, Dak Prescott have better quarterbacks than San
Speaker 3: Francisco and greade o lines. How do you equalize it?
Speaker 3: You roll the dice. You give up a third round
Speaker 3: pick for Chase Young.
Speaker 2: I get it.
Speaker 3: Didn't give up a first, didn't give up a second.
Speaker 3: But by the third round, what percentage of players hit
Speaker 3: How many people in the third round are going to
Speaker 3: be his talent that is Chase Young and could immediately
Speaker 3: play for the forty nine ers. Even the guys they've
Speaker 3: hit on in the fourth, fifth, sixth, seventh round, most
Speaker 3: don't play and make an impact immediately.
Speaker 2: Brought perty is rare, So I get it.
Speaker 3: They're looking at the NFC, They're looking at those offensive lines.
Speaker 3: They're looking to those superior quarterbacks. Can Chase Young be
Speaker 3: an equalizer so Bosa is not double teamed by good
Speaker 3: offensive lines on every snap? You know, I've said this before.
Speaker 3: It's one thing if your brother or sister was more
Speaker 3: successful than you and lives in another state across town.
Speaker 3: But if they're more successful than you and they're your
Speaker 3: neighbor and you can see the cars and the beautiful house,
Speaker 3: it stings a little. It's one thing for brock Purty
Speaker 3: to struggle, but when he struggles at home on the
Speaker 3: same field with Joe Burrow, it's not great. And Burrow
Speaker 3: is brilliant, and Kyle Shanahan watches that and knows that.
Speaker 3: You know, he lost Tom A Homes in a Super Bowl,
Speaker 3: and Kyle Shanahan his dad won super Bowls with Elway,
Speaker 3: and Kyle Shanahan was a coordinator and had Matt Ryan
Speaker 3: and got beat by Tom Brady. He understands it that
Speaker 3: he's had a garoppolo or his dad had quarterbacks in
Speaker 3: his career in Washington that weren't up to snuff. So
Speaker 3: when you have Burrow playing brilliant today and Purdy had
Speaker 3: that late fumble, wats the knock on pretty small hands.
Speaker 3: Small hands equal fumbles. He got hit from behind. He
Speaker 3: had a really bad red zone interception, the kind of
Speaker 3: interception you just can't make. You probably couldn't find one
Speaker 3: of those in John Elway's career or in Patrick Mahomes's career.
Speaker 3: He can't throw an interception when a guy's three feet
Speaker 3: from you. He had another interception in the game, so
Speaker 3: now now perty can make throws. He threw the ball
Speaker 3: two or three Times today, Tony Rommel pointed it out
Speaker 3: to George Kittle, really big time throws. So I still
Speaker 3: think Brock Purtty has talent, but he's a seventh round guy.
Speaker 3: He's smaller, didn't have a big arm, mobile, not fast,
Speaker 3: smaller hands, And I thought when you post him with
Speaker 3: Joe Burrow today, same field, it really looked obvious. And
Speaker 3: by the way I saw this all day today, Jalen
Speaker 3: Hurts with Sam Howe. Sam Howe's competent, but Sam how
Speaker 3: on the field with Jalen Hurts. Last couple of drives
Speaker 3: for Washington, next to last drive, Sam Howe U missed
Speaker 3: on one receiver. He had to go down much more
Speaker 3: catchable ball if an elite quarterback through it. Then he
Speaker 3: missed another guy through to the wrong guy. And that
Speaker 3: when you get a Hurts and a howl and organizations
Speaker 3: have to make decisions, or you get a Burrow and
Speaker 3: a party and organizations have to make decisions, it's really
Speaker 3: clearly the gap is massive. I mean, we saw Kirk Cousins,
Speaker 3: you know out.
Speaker 2: Or form Rock Purty.
Speaker 3: That's one thing you're on the road at home kind
Speaker 3: of ugly and so you know, I there's an argument
Speaker 3: to be made, and I don't think it's crazy. You
Speaker 3: know how years ago you're like, boy, you can't draft
Speaker 3: a kicker. Well, they're often the leading scorer on your team.
Speaker 3: Of course you can't. Of course she can draft a
Speaker 3: kick her. You know, you can never take a running
Speaker 3: back in the first round. There's been a lot of
Speaker 3: great running backs taken in the first round, and I've
Speaker 3: been wildly productive.
Speaker 2: It's okay.
Speaker 3: You could probably make an argument, and Belichick did it
Speaker 3: about every second third year, that you should draft a
Speaker 3: quarterback every year, every year, even if you have Tom
Speaker 3: Brady was in New England, they were still drafting a
Speaker 3: quarterback every year, every single year almost, And I mean
Speaker 3: Garoppolo got drafted in the second round and Brady was
Speaker 3: winning super Bowls. So I just look at San Francisco
Speaker 3: and you can say, well, you know, they really missed
Speaker 3: on Trey Lance, but they hit on brock Perty for
Speaker 3: a seventh round talent CJ. Beth. That was a little
Speaker 3: bit of a miss. Garoppolo trade that was a semi hit,
Speaker 3: got to a super Bowl.
Speaker 2: It's okay, draft the quarterback every year. There's an argument.
Speaker 3: There will be some years you take two quarterbacks. You
Speaker 3: take one early second round, you take one late sixth round.
Speaker 3: It's the only position in football that's worth more than
Speaker 3: a point. Think how good Jamar chases. He's probably worth
Speaker 3: one point a game in the NFL, and he is sensational.
Speaker 3: How about that sideline catch Dragon has put today? So
Speaker 3: I just thought when you put Purty and Burrow on
Speaker 3: the same field in Santa Clara is a bad look.
Speaker 3: What to do with Kansas City's lost to Denver, Well,
Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes was sick. I mean, most of us take
Speaker 3: a day off when we're sick. We don't play in
Speaker 3: the hardest sport in America. But I think what you
Speaker 3: saw today you saw two things. First of all, Denver
Speaker 3: now has a run game, and Sean Payton has decided
Speaker 3: to play younger defensive players. They move off Randy Gregory,
Speaker 3: so they're playing with a much livelier spirit defensively. Right,
Speaker 3: you let the young kids drive the car. They're having
Speaker 3: fun down they're playing a little faster than they were
Speaker 3: a month ago, and they're running the football. I thought
Speaker 3: that game plan was great running the ball. They've got
Speaker 3: a couple of capable backs, and what it does, it
Speaker 3: takes Mahomes out of rhythm and Mahomes not that he
Speaker 3: needs rhythm to be successful, but any quarterback wants to
Speaker 3: get in a rhythm. So when you're sit on the bench,
Speaker 3: it's a seven play drive, it's a nine play drive.
Speaker 3: You're sitting on the bench watching, it's cold, you're sick,
Speaker 3: you're on the road. It all adds up. But there
Speaker 3: were two plays in this game, and this is really
Speaker 3: what you worry about. The trade deadline is Tuesday, so
Speaker 3: they've already made one move at wide receiver. But there
Speaker 3: was the Rashi Rice drop in the first half, really
Speaker 3: bad drop over the middle of the field that was
Speaker 3: going to be a substantial game bad drop. Then sky
Speaker 3: Moore I wrote it down here. Sky Moore had a
Speaker 3: drop for a touchdown in the end zone. This team
Speaker 3: is not a great team. It's got a great coach,
Speaker 3: a great tight end, a great quarterback, and a great
Speaker 3: Chris Jones in the defensive front. It's not a great
Speaker 3: team because in football now, weapons matter. Cincinnati's got him,
Speaker 3: Philadelphia's got him. The top teams in this league, Detroit's
Speaker 3: got him. Dallas could use one more, but cde Lamb
Speaker 3: weapons matter. They don't have an elite wide receiver I'd
Speaker 3: argue the Chiefs not only don't have a one, they
Speaker 3: don't have a two. Rashi Rice is nice at this point,
Speaker 3: he's a three or four. Maybe by the end of
Speaker 3: the year he develops into it too. So they go
Speaker 3: to the Jets, they get a word receiver who knows
Speaker 3: their system. He's a three to four. So I do
Speaker 3: think it's something I think against the Cincinnati or of Baltimore,
Speaker 3: and I think right now those teams are as good
Speaker 3: and they just have more speed on the outside. You know,
Speaker 3: Odell Beckham, t Higgins, Jamar Chase, even Nelson Aguilar for Baltimore.
Speaker 3: These are veteran players who have been around. They can
Speaker 3: make plays. So there's a lot of things that compounded.
Speaker 3: Mahomes flew today on the road. Denver's running out of rhythm,
Speaker 3: lots of drops. But I would say the margin for
Speaker 3: air for Kansas City is slimmer this year.
Speaker 2: Think about it. Name the game.
Speaker 3: They look great offensively, they haven't. They had a great
Speaker 3: first half. Did the Chiefs against Brandon Staley and the
Speaker 3: Chargers defense? They had a great first half. They really
Speaker 3: haven't put together a great game like what Cincinnati did
Speaker 3: today where you really felt you were watching a super
Speaker 3: Bowl level team beginning to end. I mean you watched
Speaker 3: Cincinnati interceptions, defensive plays, sacks, strips, Jamar Chase, Burrow, long drives,
Speaker 3: quick drives. When they get the interception, turn around Burrow
Speaker 3: to Jamar Chase right side end zone like quick strike
Speaker 3: like Cincinnati today. That's a masterclass on how to beat
Speaker 3: a really good team in the forty nine ers. Kansas
Speaker 3: City has not had one of those this year against
Speaker 3: a semi quality team, great half against the Chargers, who
Speaker 3: are a bit of an under coach mess. So I
Speaker 3: wouldn't make too much of it, but I think it's
Speaker 3: a reality of what Kansas City is. They let Tyreek
Speaker 3: Hill go agreed with it for all the picks they got.
Speaker 3: But they're really young sky Moore, Rice, they're really young
Speaker 3: wide receiver, and those guys aren't superstars. They're developing players
Speaker 3: who potentially become really nice, complimentary two and three receivers.
Speaker 3: I don't see sky Moore as a one. Rice could
Speaker 3: be a really strong two. But this is Travis Kelsey's team,
Speaker 3: right Go look at the targets and the catches today.
Speaker 3: This is Travis Kelsey's offense in Mahomes and Nanny reive.
Speaker 3: There's a saying in football that winning is not a
Speaker 3: quarterback stat and tonight's a great example. Kenny Pickett has
Speaker 3: significantly better wide receiving talent, a significantly better roster at home,
Speaker 3: much more support, better defensive front to pressure Will Levis,
Speaker 3: and Will Levis for most of the night outplayed him
Speaker 3: with a very spartan, very mediocre receiving tight end core
Speaker 3: on the road. This franchise in a rebuild with multiple
Speaker 3: offensive line injuries. Now it's important to note because I
Speaker 3: know we have a history of Brady going in the
Speaker 3: sixth round and Dak Prescott going in the third or
Speaker 3: fourth round, and Russell Wilson in the third round. Remember,
Speaker 3: Will Levis was a first round He was a lottery
Speaker 3: talent in terms of arm talent. He has a huge arm.
Speaker 3: Mom went to Yale, was a four point college student.
Speaker 3: He just turned people off in the interview process, a
Speaker 3: lot of the gun show stuff two cocky. So he
Speaker 3: was a first round talent that dropped to the top
Speaker 3: of the second Kenny Pickett, two general managers told me
Speaker 3: and a couple of the best guys in the league,
Speaker 3: Kenny Pickett was the top of the third to middle
Speaker 3: third talent. But he was a Pittsburgh kid and the
Speaker 3: Steelers needed a quarterback now, and it was a bad
Speaker 3: quarterback class. And so you can see when they play.
Speaker 3: Levis has a significantly better arm, a special arm. He's bigger, stronger, thicker,
Speaker 3: plays with more confidence, easier thrower. Kenny Pickett doesn't have
Speaker 3: a lot of special but he's got Pickens, Deontay Johnson,
Speaker 3: a couple of really good backs, I think, a healthier
Speaker 3: offensive line.
Speaker 2: He's at home. Winning is not a.
Speaker 3: Quarterback stat right now. Obviously the great quarterbacks win more
Speaker 3: than mediocre quarterbacks or certainly bad quarterbacks. But you can
Speaker 3: see special with Will Levice. Kenny Pickett has played I
Speaker 3: think twenty one games as a pro and I think
Speaker 3: he's had one game with multiple touchdown passes. That is
Speaker 3: hard to do with this receiving corps. Will Levis has
Speaker 3: played two games and has won multiple touchdown game. This
Speaker 3: was a big ask for him. Even on the final drive,
Speaker 3: that was a big ask under pressure, not a lot
Speaker 3: to work with. I drove him down the field. Will
Speaker 3: Levis is really really good. And this is what I
Speaker 3: mean about Kenny Pickett, Folks, It just doesn't take long.
Speaker 3: You know, I use the analogy all the time. I
Speaker 3: listen to music. I don't know anything about it, but
Speaker 3: if you watch the Voice or you watch American Idol,
Speaker 3: you can tell in fifteen seconds who has talent. It
Speaker 3: doesn't take long, and none of us are music executives.
Speaker 3: I looked it up today, Burrow, Trevor, Lawrence, Lamar Jackson,
Speaker 3: Herbert Dak Mahomes, Russell Wilson. You saw brilliance first year,
Speaker 3: Jared goffin TUA. You saw brilliance when they finally got
Speaker 3: an offensive coach McVeigh or Mike McDaniel. So Kenny Pickett's
Speaker 3: not going to be getting an offensive coade soon.
Speaker 2: Now. People always point to that.
Speaker 3: Well, Josh Allen wasn't very good in it initially, but
Speaker 3: I went and looked at his rookie stance. Now I
Speaker 3: remember him jumping over people. He was specialist.
Speaker 2: First year.
Speaker 3: He had ten passing touchdowns and eighteen total touchdowns. Yeah,
Speaker 3: he ran for eight six hundred and thirty yards of rushing,
Speaker 3: seven yards of carry. There was all sorts of special
Speaker 3: from Josh Allen his first year, All sorts of special
Speaker 3: If you don't see it as you get to Thanksgiving
Speaker 3: the second year, and that's the longest you should have
Speaker 3: to wait. Will Levis's first start, he had four touchdowns
Speaker 3: and no picks, four touchdowns, no picks with that Tennessee
Speaker 3: tight end, wide receiver corps and that old line. So
Speaker 3: I think you already see Will Levis's talent. And again
Speaker 3: he was a top ten talent arm wise, brain wise.
Speaker 3: People just thought he was off putting in Cocky the
Speaker 3: Gun Show at the Combine. People just didn't like him.
Speaker 3: He interviewed very poorly. Remember he was the guy that
Speaker 3: used to eat the banana peelon put Manny's in his
Speaker 3: coffee and then a couple of teams asked him about
Speaker 3: that during the interview process and he.
Speaker 2: You know, said why you bringing it up.
Speaker 3: Reportedly, he was kind of brusque in the interviews blunts,
Speaker 3: and people didn't like it. Executives didn't like it. But
Speaker 3: he has first round, top ten arm talent, So it
Speaker 3: just doesn't take long.
Speaker 2: People. There's a rule to.
Speaker 3: Me that when you start complaining about play calling and
Speaker 3: wide receiver drops, you have.
Speaker 2: A bottom tier quarterback.
Speaker 3: Right you think Justin Herbert gets great play calling or
Speaker 3: Mahomes Mahomes receivers lead the NFL and drops. At some point,
Speaker 3: you got to make plays and again, can you pick it.
Speaker 2: I'll get the win.
Speaker 3: But I think if you're a Tennessee Titan fan, you
Speaker 3: got your quarterback. There's no reason to play Ryan Tannehill.
Speaker 2: None.
Speaker 3: Will Levis, big, strong, smart, lets it rip, plays with confidence,
Speaker 3: thick kid. I think he got something now. This order
Speaker 3: organization like New England can't get wide receiver, right. They
Speaker 3: had aj Brown for a minute. Now he's an Eagle.
Speaker 2: But I think you got to be really happy.
Speaker 3: And I say this regularly, routinely that I am always
Speaker 3: rooting for all quarterbacks, even Baker Mayfield, to crush it,
Speaker 3: because nothing's worse than watching backups.
Speaker 2: Nothing.
Speaker 3: Look at this weekend in the NFL, I mean there's
Speaker 3: four games I want to watch. Lamar Jackson's in one
Speaker 3: of them, two against Mahomes and another one, Burrow and
Speaker 3: Josh Allen another one, and Dak against Jalen Hurts in
Speaker 3: another one. I mean, we're only halfway through the season
Speaker 3: and there's four games I'm really locked into. And the
Speaker 3: worst quarterback in that group is Geno Smith, who I
Speaker 3: think led the NFL in passer rating last year.
Speaker 2: So mediocre quarterback play.
Speaker 3: Is a bad, bad watch. I still feel the same
Speaker 3: way about Kenny Pickett. He'll win some games. It's a
Speaker 3: great organization. I mean they just draft and developed so
Speaker 3: well in Pittsburgh. But Will Levis I see special, I
Speaker 3: see juice. They got something there.
Speaker 2: Three and out.
Speaker 3: John middle Cuff former NFL scout. Dallas and Dak are
Speaker 3: very good as home favorites. When they're big home favorites,
Speaker 3: they play downhill. When that team gets to lead, Micah
Speaker 3: Parsons pins it back. They're a really really good team.
Speaker 3: They don't play well from behind. If you have an
Speaker 3: elite corner and.
Speaker 2: Can take C.
Speaker 3: D Lamb out of the game, deck gets really limited.
Speaker 3: I mean he and CD really play at a high level.
Speaker 2: That's a rut.
Speaker 3: It's not Burrow Jamar Chase, but it's really special. And
Speaker 3: I think Dallas is a bit of the ultimate tease.
Speaker 3: About every third week they just kick the un one
Speaker 3: out of somebody.
Speaker 2: Everybody gets all worked up.
Speaker 3: Whereas Baltimore narrowly wins all the time. What they do
Speaker 3: to Detroit is rare. But the in the AFC, Baltimore
Speaker 3: wins narrowly four to three. Like today, Hey kind of
Speaker 3: ugly it up and win and they just sit in
Speaker 3: the woods Dallas. If you ask to average fans, they
Speaker 3: think Dallas is up here in Baltimore's down there. But
Speaker 3: Baltimore can win from behind with a lead. I trust
Speaker 3: Baltimore a better both sides of the ball, complete team.
Speaker 3: But Dallas does this when they get a lead. It's
Speaker 3: very Buffalo. Buffalo's built to play with the lead they get,
Speaker 3: they play downhill. Then you don't know if they're running
Speaker 3: or throwing. Josh Allen on play action. So I don't
Speaker 3: feel differently. I think the Rams are a bit of fools.
Speaker 3: Gold and I sat on Friday on FS one. I
Speaker 3: thought this was going to be separation weekend between the ego,
Speaker 3: you know, the pretenders and the playoff teams, and the
Speaker 3: Rams have been doing it.
Speaker 2: On coaching.
Speaker 3: They have one really good player in their prime, I
Speaker 3: mean they need. I mean they have a really good
Speaker 3: punter out of the draft, a left guard, a receiver.
Speaker 3: They have to hit about four more home runs in
Speaker 3: next year's draft. They have about seventy million. I think
Speaker 3: in cap space, Rams are not an elite team.
Speaker 1: Well, two things. Dallas is blown out all look the
Speaker 1: same pick six's huge special teams plays. That game was
Speaker 1: over in the first quarter, which was kind of nice
Speaker 1: because there was a seventy five games going on this morning.
Speaker 1: You're like, I don't really need to pay attention to
Speaker 1: this one. That thing was over so fast. The other thing,
Speaker 1: you know, sometimes in college when PAC twelve teams in
Speaker 1: the non conference play a Midwest or an East Coast
Speaker 1: team and it's that nine am kickoff, Well, the Dallas
Speaker 1: how often do they play because of their brand a
Speaker 1: home game at ten am as Coast time, So pretty
Speaker 1: big disadvantage for the Rams. Obviously, I would imagine McVeigh
Speaker 1: in and out of the office throughout the middle of
Speaker 1: the week. But big picture for the Rams, why would
Speaker 1: you not entertain trading Aaron Donald? He's thirty two years old?
Speaker 1: What would Belichick?
Speaker 2: Walsh?
Speaker 1: This is an opportunity. Mcveigh's grampa was part of that
Speaker 1: Niner team. Obviously, you know, he's one of I guess
Speaker 1: They've obviously had some great offensive players, you know, with
Speaker 1: the Kurt Warner teams, but the probably the best defensive
Speaker 1: player one of them, definitely of my lifetime. If you
Speaker 1: could get a first round obviously you get a first
Speaker 1: round pick, but a one and two twos. You need
Speaker 1: to reset the franchise. I think that hot has to
Speaker 1: be on the table. They're not going anywhere now. I
Speaker 1: mean the Niners are in second place in that division.
Speaker 1: Seattle's clearly pretty fisty. They're gonna be a playoff team again.
Speaker 1: Why not. You're not even essentially blowing it up because
Speaker 1: you still have good offensive pieces. You're just getting more
Speaker 1: draft capital so you can pivot with a guy thirty
Speaker 1: two will be thirty three's great defensive players aren't usually
Speaker 1: humming at thirty five years old.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and he was dominant early in that game today,
Speaker 3: so you don't to me. I feel like with Aaron Donald,
Speaker 3: because of his cost and his age, you get two twos.
Speaker 3: Maybe I'm wrong, maybe you get a first, and.
Speaker 1: I think you can get a one just because of
Speaker 1: the bidding process. You know, it's like it's like a
Speaker 1: home if you're just bidding against yourself, you can kind
Speaker 1: of low ball once multiple people come in, and he's
Speaker 1: just two elite of a player at such a premium position.
Speaker 1: I think that it might start that way, but so
Speaker 1: many contenders would bid, Like McCaffrey last year, the Rams
Speaker 1: had him for a two of three and a five,
Speaker 1: and Niners are like, we'll give you a two to
Speaker 1: three a four to five, So it would just drive
Speaker 1: up the price. I do think you'd get a one,
Speaker 1: and maybe it would be a one and a two
Speaker 1: and a three of the fall. Who knows exactly how
Speaker 1: you structure. I do think you get a lot right
Speaker 1: now for a team that's going nowhere. He's clearly their
Speaker 1: only asset that they could trade and still net a
Speaker 1: lot back has to be on the table. And like
Speaker 1: you said with Dallas, you're just not gonna play the
Speaker 1: Eagles like this, which is who they're gonna try to beat.
Speaker 1: You're gonna have to beat them in a real game,
Speaker 1: right where you're not blocking field goals and punts and
Speaker 1: returning safety punts back for sixty yards. It's probably not
Speaker 1: gonna look like that. Can you just play him straight
Speaker 1: up and out coach him and not get penalties? And
Speaker 1: they've struggled in that situation. So this game, like the
Speaker 1: Giants game, like some of their just blowout games, to me,
Speaker 1: don't look like the real games that they're always so
Speaker 1: disappointed after they lose.
Speaker 3: So my take on San Francisco Cincinnati was that It's
Speaker 3: one thing if you're less successful than your brother and
Speaker 3: he lives cross town. But if he's your neighbor and
Speaker 3: you have you see the maserati in the driveway and
Speaker 3: the big house, it's kind of painful. He's your neighbor, right,
Speaker 3: pretty on the same field with Burrow, You're like, oh shit, yeah,
Speaker 3: this is not good. I mean, first of all, small hands.
Speaker 3: End of the game, strip ball comes out. That's the knock.
Speaker 3: That red zone interception. You've never seen Lway throw. One
Speaker 3: of those. You've never seen Mahomes throw. One of those
Speaker 3: are Burrow. That's a really bad interception in the red zone.
Speaker 3: I like Brock. He can throw the ball down the field,
Speaker 3: had a couple of moves today, a couple of wiggles.
Speaker 2: I like him.
Speaker 3: He's a good athlete, good athlete, but when you put
Speaker 3: him on the field with Burrow. So Kyle's lost to
Speaker 3: Brady in a Super Bowl. His dad lost to some
Speaker 3: great quarterbacks in the Super Bowl, right, like everybody in
Speaker 3: the Shanahan family knows, you got to have an Lway. Yeah,
Speaker 3: he's lost to Mahomes in a Super Bowl with Garoppolo,
Speaker 3: and they out coached and outplayed him for three quarters.
Speaker 2: What do you do with brock Purty? Do you keep
Speaker 2: him in house? I mean, what do you do here?
Speaker 3: You know, you know when you put him on a
Speaker 3: field with Burrow, it's not the same game.
Speaker 2: Do you know What's weird?
Speaker 1: In forty nine er Land Up until what Saturday and
Speaker 1: he was cleared for concussion, it was looking like Sam
Speaker 1: Darnold was gonna play, and I think a lot of
Speaker 1: people were just intrigued what was gonna look like. So
Speaker 1: I was right with Kyle this offense that I was,
Speaker 1: you were everyone was. I was really excited, not disappointed
Speaker 1: when the guy cleared, because, like you said, he did
Speaker 1: play well up until he started turning the ball over
Speaker 1: left and right toward the end of the game. But
Speaker 1: this team is built and this is why Kyle's been
Speaker 1: able to do it with middle of the road Jimmy Garopfolo.
Speaker 1: Perty's been better than that version of Jimmy. But win
Speaker 1: at such a high rate is because their defense dominated.
Speaker 1: And today I looked up toward the end of the game,
Speaker 1: the Bengals had close to thirty first downs. They obviously
Speaker 1: they have an elite quarterback, wide receiver Duo Higgins is healthy,
Speaker 1: mixing looked like he was in his prime today running
Speaker 1: over forty nine ers. Their defense is not the same
Speaker 1: and they're not built. We've seen Kyle's record on these
Speaker 1: comebacks in the fourth quarter down eight or more points.
Speaker 1: That's not how they've ever won. And so when you're
Speaker 1: getting sl and dice and they've handled better quarterbacks and
Speaker 1: just kept the game close and won those games, they
Speaker 1: can't win a game where they are getting thoroughly outplayed
Speaker 1: on the missing tackles, getting run over. Bro's gonna make
Speaker 1: plays now when he's playing like that, to me, that's
Speaker 1: like MVP level. He looked as good as he's ever looked,
Speaker 1: just in terms of physically. Clearly the calf is long gone.
Speaker 1: His rhythm and timing in that game just got better
Speaker 1: and better as the game went on. You were surprised
Speaker 1: when he missed a pass. But the forty nine ers,
Speaker 1: just like last week against Kirk Cousins, if they're getting
Speaker 1: shredded on defense in the passing game and they can't
Speaker 1: get off the field, they're just not gonna win. And
Speaker 1: right now they're in shambles.
Speaker 3: Chad Millman, CEO Action Network. All odds provided by DraftKings
Speaker 3: SO NFC teams against Lamar. I like Gino, don't like
Speaker 3: him trailing, don't love him on the road, don't think
Speaker 3: this is the best number. But at five and a half,
Speaker 3: I can see them winning by a touchdown again Gino
Speaker 3: trailing second half. Baltimore. I believe Baltimore and I've said
Speaker 3: this for three weeks to the best team in the league.
Speaker 3: I think Lamar's my MVP. It's a big number. I
Speaker 3: hate it, but it's one of those four or five
Speaker 3: numbers I'll roll with. I would take the favorite Ravens
Speaker 3: my MVP minus five and a half against Seattle Sharper square.
Speaker 4: Dude, this is a really brutal week. If you can
Speaker 4: find consensus on any game, I will cover your entire
Speaker 4: betting table this week, and this game is the centerpiece
Speaker 4: of the conversation. There is no reason why anybody should
Speaker 4: be betting on the Ravens. We've got two top ten defenses.
Speaker 4: We've got a quarterback in Lamar Jackson who is not
Speaker 4: good at all as a large favorite more than a
Speaker 4: field goal. Not good when he is a large favorite
Speaker 4: at home. We've got a coach in Pete Carroll who's
Speaker 4: great as an underdog against the spread. We've got a
Speaker 4: really good offense, balanced offense in Seattle, and while while
Speaker 4: Baltimore's defense is great, it's not that great against the run.
Speaker 4: So there's no reason anybody should be betting on Baltimore
Speaker 4: this week. And yet, and yet this number went up
Speaker 4: from five and a half and then went down to six.
Speaker 4: So what that tells you is that the wise guys
Speaker 4: came in on Baltimore at five and a half and
Speaker 4: they bet Seattle at plus six. So to me, this
Speaker 4: is a number game, and it's going to be about
Speaker 4: what number are you seeing Baltimore of five and a
Speaker 4: half Seattle at six. I will tell you this true story.
Speaker 4: Sunday night. I'm looking at the lines. I decide I do.
Speaker 4: The podcast The Favorites was Simon Hunter. We will talk
Speaker 4: about the lines that we're going to bet the following week.
Speaker 4: First game that we discussed was this game, and we
Speaker 4: were both like, we know Seattle is the right side
Speaker 4: to this second. I have not bet Seattle. I cannot
Speaker 4: pull the trigger on it. I haven't at Balton either,
Speaker 4: but I haven't been Seattle. It's a weird game, dude,
Speaker 4: it's a weird game.
Speaker 3: Let me throw another one at you. Kansas City minus
Speaker 3: two and a half off a loss, much better quarterback
Speaker 3: I've seen. I think Kansas City's defense is the best
Speaker 3: in the Mahomes era, and I've seen Miami against really
Speaker 3: good competition and really fast, aggressive defenses. They're not the same. Now,
Speaker 3: the Dolphins got there a week ahead of time. They've
Speaker 3: got a time advantage. They are closer than Kansas City.
Speaker 3: But again, three I pass minus two and a half Chiefs,
Speaker 3: I like case off a loss.
Speaker 2: Sharper square.
Speaker 4: Another really interesting one, Colin. You know when you and
Speaker 4: I used to do the Collins Football Show on Sundays
Speaker 4: on ESPN, and I would get certain games where all
Speaker 4: of my reporting, all the numbers, nothing would indicate a consensus.
Speaker 4: Or I would be with you and we'd say, dude,
Speaker 4: I don't care what people are saying. We know football too,
Speaker 4: this is the right side, and we'd make an executive decision. Yes,
Speaker 4: we're making an executive decision about the Chiefs. So here's
Speaker 4: a really interesting thing. The Chiefs opened as two point favorites,
Speaker 4: it got BAEd up to two and a half, and
Speaker 4: then all of a sudden, between Tuesday and today, forty
Speaker 4: eight hours, the wise guys have been pounding the Dolphins.
Speaker 4: And it could be because the Chiefs are missing Nick Bolton.
Speaker 4: It could be because the Dolphins got there earlier and
Speaker 4: people are skeptical. Are we having a real conversation here?
Speaker 4: Patrick Mahomes is one of the best quarterbacks in the
Speaker 4: history of the NFL. Patrick Mahomes as a favorite of
Speaker 4: less than three points. Where you're basically saying, Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 4: go in a football game. You don't you don't think
Speaker 4: about this. You just met Patrick Mahomes. This is a
Speaker 4: no brainer.
Speaker 2: Okay, I'll give you another one. Okay, right now.
Speaker 3: Since Week five, Joe Burrow minus two and a half
Speaker 3: home against the Bills is completing seventy eight.
Speaker 2: And a half percent of his passes.
Speaker 3: Think about this, It's not a seven on seven drill
Speaker 3: seventy eight percent take out September start in October. This
Speaker 3: is arguably the best team and the best quarterback without question. Now,
Speaker 3: he wouldn't be my MVP because what Lamar does sort
Speaker 3: of the soul, the running everything, and he's got a
Speaker 3: bunch of new pieces and it's all working. But again,
Speaker 3: the numbers come down. Some say it's one and a half, two,
Speaker 3: two and a half. I'm gonna take Cincinnati. This is
Speaker 3: also one of those rare spots. I talked about this
Speaker 3: with Detroit on Monday Night. The Lions never play Monday
Speaker 3: night football at home, so it's Marty Gras. How many
Speaker 3: games as Cincinnati hosted that are the national TV game
Speaker 3: in Cincinnati? Not many. This is really special for them,
Speaker 3: small market Joe Burrow. They want to show off. I
Speaker 3: like the Bengals minus two and a half Sharper square sharp.
Speaker 4: This game was. It's really interesting. This game actually opened.
Speaker 4: The Bengals is one and a half point underdogs. Immediately
Speaker 4: the wise guys started coming in on the Bengals Sunday night.
Speaker 4: Last Sunday Night, it was at one and a half,
Speaker 4: then it was two, two and a half. Three. Wise
Speaker 4: guys took a little bit of a taste at three.
Speaker 4: But that's the limit. As you were just saying, sometimes
Speaker 4: this is about the number, right. Everything you just said
Speaker 4: about Joe Burrow is true. This is a much better
Speaker 4: team since the bye week. He's fully healthy. Do not
Speaker 4: discount the Bengals defense. Trey Hendrickson is grading out as
Speaker 4: the second best pass rusher in the NFL right now.
Speaker 4: He's got eight and a half sacks, one and a
Speaker 4: half behind Danielle Hunter, the league leader in the NFL,
Speaker 4: and by the way, he's got six and a half
Speaker 4: of his sacks. While the Bengals have won for the
Speaker 4: past five games, Like this defense is starting to get
Speaker 4: into a much better rhythm and they've played together for
Speaker 4: a long time. Their defensive cornery has stayed there for
Speaker 4: a long time. The other side of the ball, and
Speaker 4: we've talked about this with the Bills, that makes them
Speaker 4: a scary team to bet on right now. Matt Mulano
Speaker 4: All Pro linebacker, Trudavius White, Pro Bowl level corner to
Speaker 4: Kwan Jones defensive lineman. Like they have lost guys at
Speaker 4: every level that are playmakers, not just like, Okay, we
Speaker 4: got someone who can fill in. They've lost above average players.
Speaker 4: That's a defense that's struggling right now.
Speaker 3: Finally, I stay away from big emotional TV games. I
Speaker 3: think the numbers right Philadelphia minus three. I think one
Speaker 3: of the reasons they played poorly last week they knew
Speaker 3: they were playing Dallas, so I think they'll win twenty
Speaker 3: seven to twenty three. Dak's a great home favorite. I
Speaker 3: think the last three games against phil he's three and
Speaker 3: h two or nonsense. You know Gardner Minshew one of
Speaker 3: almost a week seventeen game when Philadelphia emptied the bench
Speaker 3: just for our audience. It does feel like the numbers
Speaker 3: right to me? Yes, is there anything wise? Guys think exactly.
Speaker 4: It is split down the middle, no joke. Every single
Speaker 4: person I've spoken to, they find reasons to like the Eagles,
Speaker 4: they find reasons to like the Cowboys. I like the
Speaker 4: Eagles better coach, much better coach. I think they have
Speaker 4: a better roster. I think they are more comfortable winning
Speaker 4: right the Cowboys. Sometimes you watch them play and they
Speaker 4: seem like a super emotional kid who when things are
Speaker 4: going well like they are the happiest person in the world,
Speaker 4: and when things aren't, they don't really know how to
Speaker 4: manage it. I think Dak is a little bit too
Speaker 4: boisterous for someone who has really never won anything, and
Speaker 4: takes some of these things a little bit too sensitively.
Speaker 4: And I think think Jalen is so even keyo and
Speaker 4: so comfortable whether you're winning or losing the challenge is
Speaker 4: is Jalen hurt? But I do think the Eagles as
Speaker 4: short favorites. To me, it's almost like the Chiefs. It's
Speaker 4: going to be hard for me not to take them
Speaker 4: if all I need to do is win by a
Speaker 4: field goal.
Speaker 3: They're also a very good big game team, a big
Speaker 3: situation team, the best team right now on fourth down
Speaker 3: and third down in the league, which keeps it away
Speaker 3: from CD and DAK. I think that's a big deal.
Speaker 3: We agree the best fourth down team with push push,
Speaker 3: they're now the best third down team and big situational,
Speaker 3: dramatic games. That's an undervalued stat.
Speaker 2: Move the chains.
Speaker 4: You also got to think about Aj Brown right five
Speaker 4: straight games, one hundred and twenty five receiving yards or more.
Speaker 4: The Cowboys secondary it's been playing better, much much better
Speaker 4: than I think people are giving a credit for given
Speaker 4: the fact they've had so many injuries. But AJ Brown
Speaker 4: is a different kind of player right now. He's a
Speaker 4: guy who's less than one hundred yards behind Tyreek Hill
Speaker 4: to lead the league in receiving yardage because of the
Speaker 4: run that he's on. AJ Brown can make people get
Speaker 4: healthy fast. So if Jalen Hursts is injured, throw the
Speaker 4: ball to AJ Brown and you're going to see how
Speaker 4: quickly this team in Philadelphia starts to play a little
Speaker 4: better and starts to feel a little bit better, all.
Speaker 3: Right, buddy, Chad Millman, Action Network CCO. Good seeing him,
Speaker 3: my man, Good luck to us all.
Speaker 4: Colin the volume