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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 3: This week on Prime Cutch, Chad Millman, Sharper Square tough week,

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Speaker 3: Listen closely. John Middelkoff on the Niners losing streak and

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Speaker 3: quarterback prospects, and my top takes of the week. Let

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Speaker 3: me start by applauding teams. I don't applaud much the

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Speaker 3: Chicago Bears, So on the trade deadline they went and

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Speaker 3: gave up a second round pick for a defensive end

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Speaker 3: into his prime, going into his prime, Montes Sweat from

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Speaker 3: the Commanders. Now Washington has a surplus of defensive linemen,

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Speaker 3: so they move Chase Young erratic injuries, a bit of

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Speaker 3: an ad liver to the forty nine ers, but Montes

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Speaker 3: Sweat is more reliable. And if you're gonna pay a

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Speaker 3: defensive player, who does Kansas City pay? Chris Jones defensive lineman?

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Speaker 3: Who do the Rams pay on defense? Aaron Donald defensive lineman.

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Speaker 3: If you go look at who the top gms in

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Speaker 3: the league are absolutely always willing to pay. It's a

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Speaker 3: good edge rusher or elite interior defensive linemen, of which

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Speaker 3: there are not many. So the Bears get a player

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Speaker 3: in Montes Sweat for a second round pick who will

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Speaker 3: be better than ninety percent of the players they could

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Speaker 3: draft in the second round, and probably over half of

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Speaker 3: the players they could draft in the first. And since

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Speaker 3: the Bears are probably going to move off justin fields,

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Speaker 3: they're not going to be paying their quarterback for four

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Speaker 3: years now. Because you do this mid season, the player

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Speaker 3: now has the leverage. Right, Montes Sweat has the leverage.

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Speaker 3: He knows what you gave up to get him, so

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Speaker 3: the agent and the player have the leverage. But he's

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Speaker 3: a really good player. He's a top ten SAT guy.

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Speaker 3: He's going into his prime, and you got to pay

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Speaker 3: for those guys, and he's better than anybody you're going

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Speaker 3: to get in the second round. My guess on the

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Speaker 3: defensive line, the elite edge rushers, the elite prospects defensive linemen,

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Speaker 3: those guys, along with left tackles and stark quarterbacks, they're

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Speaker 3: gone in the first eight to twelve picks. So I

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Speaker 3: don't have a problem with it. I think Chicago fans

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Speaker 3: look at the Chase Claypool move that didn't work. Chicago

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Speaker 3: gives up a second round pick for him first. It's

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Speaker 3: a lot easier to get a wide receiver out of

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Speaker 3: college that's productive than an elite edge rusher in the

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Speaker 3: second round. There are receivers everywhere in college football and

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Speaker 3: everywhere in the draft. Look at the Rams pooka Nakua

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Speaker 3: fifth round. He's a star. So and also I even

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Speaker 3: understood why the Bears rolled the dice on Chase Claypool.

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Speaker 3: They were trying to decipher if Justin Fields could play,

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Speaker 3: and all they had was Mooney, a small, twitchy receiver.

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Speaker 3: Claypool was a big, physical receiver who can block. I

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Speaker 3: would struggle to give up a second for him, but

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Speaker 3: you could see giving up a third. So they may

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Speaker 3: have reached a little. But I got their reasoning in

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Speaker 3: Chicago for doing the Chase Claypool deal. They had a

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Speaker 3: tight end Cole, they had Mooney. They were trying to

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Speaker 3: furnish fields with players to see if this is the guy.

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Speaker 3: By the way, this is what Atlanta is doing. They

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Speaker 3: go get Bjean Robinson running back first round, Drake London,

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Speaker 3: Kyle Pitt's good old line, and they have decided Desmond

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Speaker 3: Ritter is not it. They're benching him now for Taylor Heineke.

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Speaker 3: So when Bjeon Robinson got picked by the Falcons, I

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Speaker 3: defended it. Running back in the first round is that

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Speaker 3: they're trying to figure out if the quarterback can play.

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Speaker 3: If you give him second tier players, you'll never know.

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Speaker 3: You'll have to guess. Falcons have an offensive coach, good

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Speaker 3: young weapons, and Desmond Ritter can't score with him, time

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Speaker 3: to move off him. That's what they're doing. So Montez

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Speaker 3: sweat for the Bears. Yes, you'll have to pay him, Okay,

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Speaker 3: all right. The bottom line is you're gonna draft another quarterback.

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Speaker 3: You have the space to do it, and this dude

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Speaker 3: can absolutely play going into his prime mid to later twenties,

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Speaker 3: and those guys cost money. I'm okay with the Bears

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Speaker 3: doing it, all right. Forty nine Ers giving up a

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Speaker 3: third round pick for Chase Young. Well, Chase Young can

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Speaker 3: be an erratic player, sort of an ad liver, and

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Speaker 3: he's had some injuries so he's never been as good

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Speaker 3: as we think. But opposite Bosa, who's getting double team

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Speaker 3: done every snap, it gives them another edge. Now, that

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Speaker 3: doesn't mean you're going to be great. I mean, Khalil

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Speaker 3: Mack and Joey Bosa are playing for the Chargers and

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Speaker 3: they're underwhelming. They also have a coach. Many beliefs should

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Speaker 3: be fired. But I think that what the forty nine

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Speaker 3: ers are looking at. They got their first round pick,

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Speaker 3: they got their second round pick, and you start looking

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Speaker 3: at the third round pick. For the forty nine ers

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Speaker 3: in this roster, who could start. I mean, they don't

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Speaker 3: need a receiver, they don't need a running back. They've

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Speaker 3: got their quarterback, Deebo and Brandon Ayuk. They've got their receivers.

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Speaker 3: They could use a corner and maybe a center, and

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Speaker 3: they'll probably draft that with the first and second round pick.

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Speaker 3: So I get what they're doing. When you have a

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Speaker 3: quarterback that you're really not paying any and I mean

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Speaker 3: last player picked, you're not paying Rock pretty anything. Roll

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Speaker 3: the dice. And I think they also they look around

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Speaker 3: and they see Jalen Hurts, and they see Dak and

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Speaker 3: they see that Lions offensive line. Remember Dallas, Detroit, and

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Speaker 3: Philadelphia in the NFC have three of the top five

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Speaker 3: offensive lines in the National Football League. Now, the AFC

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Speaker 3: is better than the NFC, but the NFC may have

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Speaker 3: three of the top four or five offensive lines Eagles, Lions, Cowboys.

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Speaker 3: So one pass rusher is not enough. Armstead Bosa, now

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Speaker 3: Chase Young. If those teams Detroit with Jared goff Eagles,

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Speaker 3: Jalen Herds, Dallas, Dak Prescott have better quarterbacks than San

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Speaker 3: Francisco and greade o lines. How do you equalize it?

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Speaker 3: You roll the dice. You give up a third round

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Speaker 3: pick for Chase Young.

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Speaker 2: I get it.

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Speaker 3: Didn't give up a first, didn't give up a second.

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Speaker 3: But by the third round, what percentage of players hit

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Speaker 3: How many people in the third round are going to

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Speaker 3: be his talent that is Chase Young and could immediately

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Speaker 3: play for the forty nine ers. Even the guys they've

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Speaker 3: hit on in the fourth, fifth, sixth, seventh round, most

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Speaker 3: don't play and make an impact immediately.

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Speaker 2: Brought perty is rare, So I get it.

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Speaker 3: They're looking at the NFC, They're looking at those offensive lines.

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Speaker 3: They're looking to those superior quarterbacks. Can Chase Young be

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Speaker 3: an equalizer so Bosa is not double teamed by good

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Speaker 3: offensive lines on every snap? You know, I've said this before.

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Speaker 3: It's one thing if your brother or sister was more

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Speaker 3: successful than you and lives in another state across town.

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Speaker 3: But if they're more successful than you and they're your

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Speaker 3: neighbor and you can see the cars and the beautiful house,

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Speaker 3: it stings a little. It's one thing for brock Purty

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Speaker 3: to struggle, but when he struggles at home on the

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Speaker 3: same field with Joe Burrow, it's not great. And Burrow

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Speaker 3: is brilliant, and Kyle Shanahan watches that and knows that.

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Speaker 3: You know, he lost Tom A Homes in a Super Bowl,

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Speaker 3: and Kyle Shanahan his dad won super Bowls with Elway,

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Speaker 3: and Kyle Shanahan was a coordinator and had Matt Ryan

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Speaker 3: and got beat by Tom Brady. He understands it that

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Speaker 3: he's had a garoppolo or his dad had quarterbacks in

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Speaker 3: his career in Washington that weren't up to snuff. So

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Speaker 3: when you have Burrow playing brilliant today and Purdy had

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Speaker 3: that late fumble, wats the knock on pretty small hands.

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Speaker 3: Small hands equal fumbles. He got hit from behind. He

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Speaker 3: had a really bad red zone interception, the kind of

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Speaker 3: interception you just can't make. You probably couldn't find one

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Speaker 3: of those in John Elway's career or in Patrick Mahomes's career.

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Speaker 3: He can't throw an interception when a guy's three feet

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Speaker 3: from you. He had another interception in the game, so

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Speaker 3: now now perty can make throws. He threw the ball

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Speaker 3: two or three Times today, Tony Rommel pointed it out

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Speaker 3: to George Kittle, really big time throws. So I still

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Speaker 3: think Brock Purtty has talent, but he's a seventh round guy.

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Speaker 3: He's smaller, didn't have a big arm, mobile, not fast,

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Speaker 3: smaller hands, And I thought when you post him with

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Speaker 3: Joe Burrow today, same field, it really looked obvious. And

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Speaker 3: by the way I saw this all day today, Jalen

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Speaker 3: Hurts with Sam Howe. Sam Howe's competent, but Sam how

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Speaker 3: on the field with Jalen Hurts. Last couple of drives

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Speaker 3: for Washington, next to last drive, Sam Howe U missed

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Speaker 3: on one receiver. He had to go down much more

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Speaker 3: catchable ball if an elite quarterback through it. Then he

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Speaker 3: missed another guy through to the wrong guy. And that

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Speaker 3: when you get a Hurts and a howl and organizations

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Speaker 3: have to make decisions, or you get a Burrow and

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Speaker 3: a party and organizations have to make decisions, it's really

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Speaker 3: clearly the gap is massive. I mean, we saw Kirk Cousins,

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Speaker 3: you know out.

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Speaker 2: Or form Rock Purty.

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Speaker 3: That's one thing you're on the road at home kind

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Speaker 3: of ugly and so you know, I there's an argument

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Speaker 3: to be made, and I don't think it's crazy. You

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Speaker 3: know how years ago you're like, boy, you can't draft

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Speaker 3: a kicker. Well, they're often the leading scorer on your team.

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Speaker 3: Of course you can't. Of course she can draft a

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Speaker 3: kick her. You know, you can never take a running

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Speaker 3: back in the first round. There's been a lot of

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Speaker 3: great running backs taken in the first round, and I've

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Speaker 3: been wildly productive.

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Speaker 2: It's okay.

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Speaker 3: You could probably make an argument, and Belichick did it

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Speaker 3: about every second third year, that you should draft a

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Speaker 3: quarterback every year, every year, even if you have Tom

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Speaker 3: Brady was in New England, they were still drafting a

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Speaker 3: quarterback every year, every single year almost, And I mean

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Speaker 3: Garoppolo got drafted in the second round and Brady was

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Speaker 3: winning super Bowls. So I just look at San Francisco

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Speaker 3: and you can say, well, you know, they really missed

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Speaker 3: on Trey Lance, but they hit on brock Perty for

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Speaker 3: a seventh round talent CJ. Beth. That was a little

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Speaker 3: bit of a miss. Garoppolo trade that was a semi hit,

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Speaker 3: got to a super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: It's okay, draft the quarterback every year. There's an argument.

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Speaker 3: There will be some years you take two quarterbacks. You

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Speaker 3: take one early second round, you take one late sixth round.

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Speaker 3: It's the only position in football that's worth more than

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Speaker 3: a point. Think how good Jamar chases. He's probably worth

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Speaker 3: one point a game in the NFL, and he is sensational.

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Speaker 3: How about that sideline catch Dragon has put today? So

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Speaker 3: I just thought when you put Purty and Burrow on

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Speaker 3: the same field in Santa Clara is a bad look.

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Speaker 3: What to do with Kansas City's lost to Denver, Well,

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Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes was sick. I mean, most of us take

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Speaker 3: a day off when we're sick. We don't play in

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Speaker 3: the hardest sport in America. But I think what you

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Speaker 3: saw today you saw two things. First of all, Denver

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Speaker 3: now has a run game, and Sean Payton has decided

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Speaker 3: to play younger defensive players. They move off Randy Gregory,

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Speaker 3: so they're playing with a much livelier spirit defensively. Right,

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Speaker 3: you let the young kids drive the car. They're having

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Speaker 3: fun down they're playing a little faster than they were

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Speaker 3: a month ago, and they're running the football. I thought

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Speaker 3: that game plan was great running the ball. They've got

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Speaker 3: a couple of capable backs, and what it does, it

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Speaker 3: takes Mahomes out of rhythm and Mahomes not that he

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Speaker 3: needs rhythm to be successful, but any quarterback wants to

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Speaker 3: get in a rhythm. So when you're sit on the bench,

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Speaker 3: it's a seven play drive, it's a nine play drive.

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Speaker 3: You're sitting on the bench watching, it's cold, you're sick,

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Speaker 3: you're on the road. It all adds up. But there

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Speaker 3: were two plays in this game, and this is really

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Speaker 3: what you worry about. The trade deadline is Tuesday, so

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Speaker 3: they've already made one move at wide receiver. But there

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Speaker 3: was the Rashi Rice drop in the first half, really

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Speaker 3: bad drop over the middle of the field that was

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Speaker 3: going to be a substantial game bad drop. Then sky

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Speaker 3: Moore I wrote it down here. Sky Moore had a

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Speaker 3: drop for a touchdown in the end zone. This team

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Speaker 3: is not a great team. It's got a great coach,

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Speaker 3: a great tight end, a great quarterback, and a great

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Speaker 3: Chris Jones in the defensive front. It's not a great

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Speaker 3: team because in football now, weapons matter. Cincinnati's got him,

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Speaker 3: Philadelphia's got him. The top teams in this league, Detroit's

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Speaker 3: got him. Dallas could use one more, but cde Lamb

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Speaker 3: weapons matter. They don't have an elite wide receiver I'd

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Speaker 3: argue the Chiefs not only don't have a one, they

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Speaker 3: don't have a two. Rashi Rice is nice at this point,

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Speaker 3: he's a three or four. Maybe by the end of

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Speaker 3: the year he develops into it too. So they go

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Speaker 3: to the Jets, they get a word receiver who knows

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Speaker 3: their system. He's a three to four. So I do

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Speaker 3: think it's something I think against the Cincinnati or of Baltimore,

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Speaker 3: and I think right now those teams are as good

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Speaker 3: and they just have more speed on the outside. You know,

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Speaker 3: Odell Beckham, t Higgins, Jamar Chase, even Nelson Aguilar for Baltimore.

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Speaker 3: These are veteran players who have been around. They can

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Speaker 3: make plays. So there's a lot of things that compounded.

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Speaker 3: Mahomes flew today on the road. Denver's running out of rhythm,

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Speaker 3: lots of drops. But I would say the margin for

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Speaker 3: air for Kansas City is slimmer this year.

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Speaker 2: Think about it. Name the game.

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Speaker 3: They look great offensively, they haven't. They had a great

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Speaker 3: first half. Did the Chiefs against Brandon Staley and the

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Speaker 3: Chargers defense? They had a great first half. They really

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Speaker 3: haven't put together a great game like what Cincinnati did

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Speaker 3: today where you really felt you were watching a super

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Speaker 3: Bowl level team beginning to end. I mean you watched

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Speaker 3: Cincinnati interceptions, defensive plays, sacks, strips, Jamar Chase, Burrow, long drives,

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Speaker 3: quick drives. When they get the interception, turn around Burrow

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Speaker 3: to Jamar Chase right side end zone like quick strike

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Speaker 3: like Cincinnati today. That's a masterclass on how to beat

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Speaker 3: a really good team in the forty nine ers. Kansas

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Speaker 3: City has not had one of those this year against

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Speaker 3: a semi quality team, great half against the Chargers, who

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Speaker 3: are a bit of an under coach mess. So I

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Speaker 3: wouldn't make too much of it, but I think it's

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Speaker 3: a reality of what Kansas City is. They let Tyreek

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Speaker 3: Hill go agreed with it for all the picks they got.

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Speaker 3: But they're really young sky Moore, Rice, they're really young

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Speaker 3: wide receiver, and those guys aren't superstars. They're developing players

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Speaker 3: who potentially become really nice, complimentary two and three receivers.

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Speaker 3: I don't see sky Moore as a one. Rice could

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Speaker 3: be a really strong two. But this is Travis Kelsey's team,

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Speaker 3: right Go look at the targets and the catches today.

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Speaker 3: This is Travis Kelsey's offense in Mahomes and Nanny reive.

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Speaker 3: There's a saying in football that winning is not a

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Speaker 3: quarterback stat and tonight's a great example. Kenny Pickett has

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Speaker 3: significantly better wide receiving talent, a significantly better roster at home,

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Speaker 3: much more support, better defensive front to pressure Will Levis,

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Speaker 3: and Will Levis for most of the night outplayed him

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Speaker 3: with a very spartan, very mediocre receiving tight end core

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Speaker 3: on the road. This franchise in a rebuild with multiple

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Speaker 3: offensive line injuries. Now it's important to note because I

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Speaker 3: know we have a history of Brady going in the

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Speaker 3: sixth round and Dak Prescott going in the third or

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Speaker 3: fourth round, and Russell Wilson in the third round. Remember,

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Speaker 3: Will Levis was a first round He was a lottery

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Speaker 3: talent in terms of arm talent. He has a huge arm.

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Speaker 3: Mom went to Yale, was a four point college student.

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Speaker 3: He just turned people off in the interview process, a

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Speaker 3: lot of the gun show stuff two cocky. So he

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Speaker 3: was a first round talent that dropped to the top

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Speaker 3: of the second Kenny Pickett, two general managers told me

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Speaker 3: and a couple of the best guys in the league,

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Speaker 3: Kenny Pickett was the top of the third to middle

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Speaker 3: third talent. But he was a Pittsburgh kid and the

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Speaker 3: Steelers needed a quarterback now, and it was a bad

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Speaker 3: quarterback class. And so you can see when they play.

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Speaker 3: Levis has a significantly better arm, a special arm. He's bigger, stronger, thicker,

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Speaker 3: plays with more confidence, easier thrower. Kenny Pickett doesn't have

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Speaker 3: a lot of special but he's got Pickens, Deontay Johnson,

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Speaker 3: a couple of really good backs, I think, a healthier

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Speaker 3: offensive line.

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Speaker 2: He's at home. Winning is not a.

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Speaker 3: Quarterback stat right now. Obviously the great quarterbacks win more

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Speaker 3: than mediocre quarterbacks or certainly bad quarterbacks. But you can

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Speaker 3: see special with Will Levice. Kenny Pickett has played I

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Speaker 3: think twenty one games as a pro and I think

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Speaker 3: he's had one game with multiple touchdown passes. That is

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Speaker 3: hard to do with this receiving corps. Will Levis has

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Speaker 3: played two games and has won multiple touchdown game. This

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Speaker 3: was a big ask for him. Even on the final drive,

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Speaker 3: that was a big ask under pressure, not a lot

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Speaker 3: to work with. I drove him down the field. Will

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Speaker 3: Levis is really really good. And this is what I

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Speaker 3: mean about Kenny Pickett, Folks, It just doesn't take long.

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Speaker 3: You know, I use the analogy all the time. I

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Speaker 3: listen to music. I don't know anything about it, but

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Speaker 3: if you watch the Voice or you watch American Idol,

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Speaker 3: you can tell in fifteen seconds who has talent. It

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Speaker 3: doesn't take long, and none of us are music executives.

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Speaker 3: I looked it up today, Burrow, Trevor, Lawrence, Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 3: Herbert Dak Mahomes, Russell Wilson. You saw brilliance first year,

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Speaker 3: Jared goffin TUA. You saw brilliance when they finally got

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Speaker 3: an offensive coach McVeigh or Mike McDaniel. So Kenny Pickett's

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Speaker 3: not going to be getting an offensive coade soon.

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Speaker 2: Now. People always point to that.

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Speaker 3: Well, Josh Allen wasn't very good in it initially, but

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Speaker 3: I went and looked at his rookie stance. Now I

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Speaker 3: remember him jumping over people. He was specialist.

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Speaker 2: First year.

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Speaker 3: He had ten passing touchdowns and eighteen total touchdowns. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: he ran for eight six hundred and thirty yards of rushing,

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Speaker 3: seven yards of carry. There was all sorts of special

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Speaker 3: from Josh Allen his first year, All sorts of special

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Speaker 3: If you don't see it as you get to Thanksgiving

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Speaker 3: the second year, and that's the longest you should have

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Speaker 3: to wait. Will Levis's first start, he had four touchdowns

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Speaker 3: and no picks, four touchdowns, no picks with that Tennessee

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Speaker 3: tight end, wide receiver corps and that old line. So

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Speaker 3: I think you already see Will Levis's talent. And again

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Speaker 3: he was a top ten talent arm wise, brain wise.

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Speaker 3: People just thought he was off putting in Cocky the

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Speaker 3: Gun Show at the Combine. People just didn't like him.

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Speaker 3: He interviewed very poorly. Remember he was the guy that

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Speaker 3: used to eat the banana peelon put Manny's in his

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00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,359
Speaker 3: coffee and then a couple of teams asked him about

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Speaker 3: that during the interview process and he.

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Speaker 2: You know, said why you bringing it up.

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Speaker 3: Reportedly, he was kind of brusque in the interviews blunts,

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Speaker 3: and people didn't like it. Executives didn't like it. But

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Speaker 3: he has first round, top ten arm talent, So it

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Speaker 3: just doesn't take long.

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Speaker 2: People. There's a rule to.

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Speaker 3: Me that when you start complaining about play calling and

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Speaker 3: wide receiver drops, you have.

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Speaker 2: A bottom tier quarterback.

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Speaker 3: Right you think Justin Herbert gets great play calling or

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Speaker 3: Mahomes Mahomes receivers lead the NFL and drops. At some point,

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Speaker 3: you got to make plays and again, can you pick it.

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Speaker 2: I'll get the win.

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Speaker 3: But I think if you're a Tennessee Titan fan, you

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Speaker 3: got your quarterback. There's no reason to play Ryan Tannehill.

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Speaker 2: None.

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Speaker 3: Will Levis, big, strong, smart, lets it rip, plays with confidence,

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Speaker 3: thick kid. I think he got something now. This order

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Speaker 3: organization like New England can't get wide receiver, right. They

358
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Speaker 3: had aj Brown for a minute. Now he's an Eagle.

359
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Speaker 2: But I think you got to be really happy.

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Speaker 3: And I say this regularly, routinely that I am always

361
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:17,280
Speaker 3: rooting for all quarterbacks, even Baker Mayfield, to crush it,

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Speaker 3: because nothing's worse than watching backups.

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Speaker 2: Nothing.

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Speaker 3: Look at this weekend in the NFL, I mean there's

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Speaker 3: four games I want to watch. Lamar Jackson's in one

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Speaker 3: of them, two against Mahomes and another one, Burrow and

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Speaker 3: Josh Allen another one, and Dak against Jalen Hurts in

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Speaker 3: another one. I mean, we're only halfway through the season

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Speaker 3: and there's four games I'm really locked into. And the

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Speaker 3: worst quarterback in that group is Geno Smith, who I

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Speaker 3: think led the NFL in passer rating last year.

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Speaker 2: So mediocre quarterback play.

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Speaker 3: Is a bad, bad watch. I still feel the same

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Speaker 3: way about Kenny Pickett. He'll win some games. It's a

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Speaker 3: great organization. I mean they just draft and developed so

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Speaker 3: well in Pittsburgh. But Will Levis I see special, I

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Speaker 3: see juice. They got something there.

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Speaker 2: Three and out.

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Speaker 3: John middle Cuff former NFL scout. Dallas and Dak are

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Speaker 3: very good as home favorites. When they're big home favorites,

381
00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:20,960
Speaker 3: they play downhill. When that team gets to lead, Micah

382
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Speaker 3: Parsons pins it back. They're a really really good team.

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Speaker 3: They don't play well from behind. If you have an

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Speaker 3: elite corner and.

385
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Speaker 2: Can take C.

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Speaker 3: D Lamb out of the game, deck gets really limited.

387
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Speaker 3: I mean he and CD really play at a high level.

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Speaker 2: That's a rut.

389
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Speaker 3: It's not Burrow Jamar Chase, but it's really special. And

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Speaker 3: I think Dallas is a bit of the ultimate tease.

391
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Speaker 3: About every third week they just kick the un one

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Speaker 3: out of somebody.

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Speaker 2: Everybody gets all worked up.

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Speaker 3: Whereas Baltimore narrowly wins all the time. What they do

395
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Speaker 3: to Detroit is rare. But the in the AFC, Baltimore

396
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Speaker 3: wins narrowly four to three. Like today, Hey kind of

397
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Speaker 3: ugly it up and win and they just sit in

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Speaker 3: the woods Dallas. If you ask to average fans, they

399
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Speaker 3: think Dallas is up here in Baltimore's down there. But

400
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Speaker 3: Baltimore can win from behind with a lead. I trust

401
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 3: Baltimore a better both sides of the ball, complete team.

402
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,320
Speaker 3: But Dallas does this when they get a lead. It's

403
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:21,640
Speaker 3: very Buffalo. Buffalo's built to play with the lead they get,

404
00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 3: they play downhill. Then you don't know if they're running

405
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:28,880
Speaker 3: or throwing. Josh Allen on play action. So I don't

406
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Speaker 3: feel differently. I think the Rams are a bit of fools.

407
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,919
Speaker 3: Gold and I sat on Friday on FS one. I

408
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:37,639
Speaker 3: thought this was going to be separation weekend between the ego,

409
00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:40,639
Speaker 3: you know, the pretenders and the playoff teams, and the

410
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:41,560
Speaker 3: Rams have been doing it.

411
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Speaker 2: On coaching.

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Speaker 3: They have one really good player in their prime, I

413
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Speaker 3: mean they need. I mean they have a really good

414
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Speaker 3: punter out of the draft, a left guard, a receiver.

415
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Speaker 3: They have to hit about four more home runs in

416
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Speaker 3: next year's draft. They have about seventy million. I think

417
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:56,880
Speaker 3: in cap space, Rams are not an elite team.

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Speaker 1: Well, two things. Dallas is blown out all look the

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Speaker 1: same pick six's huge special teams plays. That game was

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Speaker 1: over in the first quarter, which was kind of nice

421
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Speaker 1: because there was a seventy five games going on this morning.

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Speaker 1: You're like, I don't really need to pay attention to

423
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Speaker 1: this one. That thing was over so fast. The other thing,

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Speaker 1: you know, sometimes in college when PAC twelve teams in

425
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Speaker 1: the non conference play a Midwest or an East Coast

426
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Speaker 1: team and it's that nine am kickoff, Well, the Dallas

427
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Speaker 1: how often do they play because of their brand a

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Speaker 1: home game at ten am as Coast time, So pretty

429
00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:33,240
Speaker 1: big disadvantage for the Rams. Obviously, I would imagine McVeigh

430
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 1: in and out of the office throughout the middle of

431
00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:39,160
Speaker 1: the week. But big picture for the Rams, why would

432
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:42,480
Speaker 1: you not entertain trading Aaron Donald? He's thirty two years old?

433
00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:43,879
Speaker 1: What would Belichick?

434
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 2: Walsh?

435
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 1: This is an opportunity. Mcveigh's grampa was part of that

436
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:51,280
Speaker 1: Niner team. Obviously, you know, he's one of I guess

437
00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:53,879
Speaker 1: They've obviously had some great offensive players, you know, with

438
00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:56,120
Speaker 1: the Kurt Warner teams, but the probably the best defensive

439
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:59,399
Speaker 1: player one of them, definitely of my lifetime. If you

440
00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:01,840
Speaker 1: could get a first round obviously you get a first

441
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 1: round pick, but a one and two twos. You need

442
00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:07,199
Speaker 1: to reset the franchise. I think that hot has to

443
00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:10,320
Speaker 1: be on the table. They're not going anywhere now. I

444
00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:12,439
Speaker 1: mean the Niners are in second place in that division.

445
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 1: Seattle's clearly pretty fisty. They're gonna be a playoff team again.

446
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 1: Why not. You're not even essentially blowing it up because

447
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:20,840
Speaker 1: you still have good offensive pieces. You're just getting more

448
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:24,119
Speaker 1: draft capital so you can pivot with a guy thirty

449
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:28,160
Speaker 1: two will be thirty three's great defensive players aren't usually

450
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 1: humming at thirty five years old.

451
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, and he was dominant early in that game today,

452
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 3: so you don't to me. I feel like with Aaron Donald,

453
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,679
Speaker 3: because of his cost and his age, you get two twos.

454
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:39,480
Speaker 3: Maybe I'm wrong, maybe you get a first, and.

455
00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:41,439
Speaker 1: I think you can get a one just because of

456
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 1: the bidding process. You know, it's like it's like a

457
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,200
Speaker 1: home if you're just bidding against yourself, you can kind

458
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,840
Speaker 1: of low ball once multiple people come in, and he's

459
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,719
Speaker 1: just two elite of a player at such a premium position.

460
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:54,280
Speaker 1: I think that it might start that way, but so

461
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:58,280
Speaker 1: many contenders would bid, Like McCaffrey last year, the Rams

462
00:23:58,280 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 1: had him for a two of three and a five,

463
00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:01,199
Speaker 1: and Niners are like, we'll give you a two to

464
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 1: three a four to five, So it would just drive

465
00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 1: up the price. I do think you'd get a one,

466
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:07,360
Speaker 1: and maybe it would be a one and a two

467
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:09,600
Speaker 1: and a three of the fall. Who knows exactly how

468
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:11,520
Speaker 1: you structure. I do think you get a lot right

469
00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:14,080
Speaker 1: now for a team that's going nowhere. He's clearly their

470
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:17,159
Speaker 1: only asset that they could trade and still net a

471
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 1: lot back has to be on the table. And like

472
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 1: you said with Dallas, you're just not gonna play the

473
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 1: Eagles like this, which is who they're gonna try to beat.

474
00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 1: You're gonna have to beat them in a real game,

475
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,399
Speaker 1: right where you're not blocking field goals and punts and

476
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 1: returning safety punts back for sixty yards. It's probably not

477
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:35,120
Speaker 1: gonna look like that. Can you just play him straight

478
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,840
Speaker 1: up and out coach him and not get penalties? And

479
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 1: they've struggled in that situation. So this game, like the

480
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:43,439
Speaker 1: Giants game, like some of their just blowout games, to me,

481
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:46,080
Speaker 1: don't look like the real games that they're always so

482
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:47,480
Speaker 1: disappointed after they lose.

483
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:51,200
Speaker 3: So my take on San Francisco Cincinnati was that It's

484
00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:53,359
Speaker 3: one thing if you're less successful than your brother and

485
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 3: he lives cross town. But if he's your neighbor and

486
00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:57,600
Speaker 3: you have you see the maserati in the driveway and

487
00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 3: the big house, it's kind of painful. He's your neighbor, right,

488
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:05,680
Speaker 3: pretty on the same field with Burrow, You're like, oh shit, yeah,

489
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,000
Speaker 3: this is not good. I mean, first of all, small hands.

490
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:10,639
Speaker 3: End of the game, strip ball comes out. That's the knock.

491
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:13,760
Speaker 3: That red zone interception. You've never seen Lway throw. One

492
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 3: of those. You've never seen Mahomes throw. One of those

493
00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:18,720
Speaker 3: are Burrow. That's a really bad interception in the red zone.

494
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,159
Speaker 3: I like Brock. He can throw the ball down the field,

495
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,120
Speaker 3: had a couple of moves today, a couple of wiggles.

496
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 2: I like him.

497
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:26,200
Speaker 3: He's a good athlete, good athlete, but when you put

498
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:29,359
Speaker 3: him on the field with Burrow. So Kyle's lost to

499
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:32,399
Speaker 3: Brady in a Super Bowl. His dad lost to some

500
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:35,399
Speaker 3: great quarterbacks in the Super Bowl, right, like everybody in

501
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:39,160
Speaker 3: the Shanahan family knows, you got to have an Lway. Yeah,

502
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:42,000
Speaker 3: he's lost to Mahomes in a Super Bowl with Garoppolo,

503
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:44,040
Speaker 3: and they out coached and outplayed him for three quarters.

504
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:47,160
Speaker 2: What do you do with brock Purty? Do you keep

505
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 2: him in house? I mean, what do you do here?

506
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,199
Speaker 3: You know, you know when you put him on a

507
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:54,840
Speaker 3: field with Burrow, it's not the same game.

508
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 2: Do you know What's weird?

509
00:25:56,600 --> 00:26:00,119
Speaker 1: In forty nine er Land Up until what Saturday and

510
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:02,880
Speaker 1: he was cleared for concussion, it was looking like Sam

511
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,320
Speaker 1: Darnold was gonna play, and I think a lot of

512
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 1: people were just intrigued what was gonna look like. So

513
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,320
Speaker 1: I was right with Kyle this offense that I was,

514
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 1: you were everyone was. I was really excited, not disappointed

515
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:16,879
Speaker 1: when the guy cleared, because, like you said, he did

516
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:19,160
Speaker 1: play well up until he started turning the ball over

517
00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:21,239
Speaker 1: left and right toward the end of the game. But

518
00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:23,760
Speaker 1: this team is built and this is why Kyle's been

519
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:26,359
Speaker 1: able to do it with middle of the road Jimmy Garopfolo.

520
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:29,920
Speaker 1: Perty's been better than that version of Jimmy. But win

521
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:33,360
Speaker 1: at such a high rate is because their defense dominated.

522
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:35,440
Speaker 1: And today I looked up toward the end of the game,

523
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:39,560
Speaker 1: the Bengals had close to thirty first downs. They obviously

524
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:45,720
Speaker 1: they have an elite quarterback, wide receiver Duo Higgins is healthy,

525
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:48,679
Speaker 1: mixing looked like he was in his prime today running

526
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 1: over forty nine ers. Their defense is not the same

527
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:54,680
Speaker 1: and they're not built. We've seen Kyle's record on these

528
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:57,360
Speaker 1: comebacks in the fourth quarter down eight or more points.

529
00:26:57,560 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 1: That's not how they've ever won. And so when you're

530
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:03,280
Speaker 1: getting sl and dice and they've handled better quarterbacks and

531
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:05,720
Speaker 1: just kept the game close and won those games, they

532
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,280
Speaker 1: can't win a game where they are getting thoroughly outplayed

533
00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:12,199
Speaker 1: on the missing tackles, getting run over. Bro's gonna make

534
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:14,360
Speaker 1: plays now when he's playing like that, to me, that's

535
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,200
Speaker 1: like MVP level. He looked as good as he's ever looked,

536
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:20,280
Speaker 1: just in terms of physically. Clearly the calf is long gone.

537
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 1: His rhythm and timing in that game just got better

538
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 1: and better as the game went on. You were surprised

539
00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:27,760
Speaker 1: when he missed a pass. But the forty nine ers,

540
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:31,160
Speaker 1: just like last week against Kirk Cousins, if they're getting

541
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 1: shredded on defense in the passing game and they can't

542
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:36,760
Speaker 1: get off the field, they're just not gonna win. And

543
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:38,119
Speaker 1: right now they're in shambles.

544
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:42,920
Speaker 3: Chad Millman, CEO Action Network. All odds provided by DraftKings

545
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:48,480
Speaker 3: SO NFC teams against Lamar. I like Gino, don't like

546
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:51,920
Speaker 3: him trailing, don't love him on the road, don't think

547
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 3: this is the best number. But at five and a half,

548
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:57,439
Speaker 3: I can see them winning by a touchdown again Gino

549
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:02,520
Speaker 3: trailing second half. Baltimore. I believe Baltimore and I've said

550
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:04,120
Speaker 3: this for three weeks to the best team in the league.

551
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,080
Speaker 3: I think Lamar's my MVP. It's a big number. I

552
00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:09,879
Speaker 3: hate it, but it's one of those four or five

553
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 3: numbers I'll roll with. I would take the favorite Ravens

554
00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:17,400
Speaker 3: my MVP minus five and a half against Seattle Sharper square.

555
00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:21,960
Speaker 4: Dude, this is a really brutal week. If you can

556
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:26,959
Speaker 4: find consensus on any game, I will cover your entire

557
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:33,120
Speaker 4: betting table this week, and this game is the centerpiece

558
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 4: of the conversation. There is no reason why anybody should

559
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 4: be betting on the Ravens. We've got two top ten defenses.

560
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:48,520
Speaker 4: We've got a quarterback in Lamar Jackson who is not

561
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:52,000
Speaker 4: good at all as a large favorite more than a

562
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 4: field goal. Not good when he is a large favorite

563
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 4: at home. We've got a coach in Pete Carroll who's

564
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:02,960
Speaker 4: great as an underdog against the spread. We've got a

565
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 4: really good offense, balanced offense in Seattle, and while while

566
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:12,520
Speaker 4: Baltimore's defense is great, it's not that great against the run.

567
00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:16,720
Speaker 4: So there's no reason anybody should be betting on Baltimore

568
00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:20,560
Speaker 4: this week. And yet, and yet this number went up

569
00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:22,960
Speaker 4: from five and a half and then went down to six.

570
00:29:23,320 --> 00:29:25,120
Speaker 4: So what that tells you is that the wise guys

571
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 4: came in on Baltimore at five and a half and

572
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:30,520
Speaker 4: they bet Seattle at plus six. So to me, this

573
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 4: is a number game, and it's going to be about

574
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:37,000
Speaker 4: what number are you seeing Baltimore of five and a

575
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:40,959
Speaker 4: half Seattle at six. I will tell you this true story.

576
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 4: Sunday night. I'm looking at the lines. I decide I do.

577
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 4: The podcast The Favorites was Simon Hunter. We will talk

578
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 4: about the lines that we're going to bet the following week.

579
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:57,280
Speaker 4: First game that we discussed was this game, and we

580
00:29:57,280 --> 00:30:00,360
Speaker 4: were both like, we know Seattle is the right side

581
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 4: to this second. I have not bet Seattle. I cannot

582
00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:06,800
Speaker 4: pull the trigger on it. I haven't at Balton either,

583
00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 4: but I haven't been Seattle. It's a weird game, dude,

584
00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:11,160
Speaker 4: it's a weird game.

585
00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 3: Let me throw another one at you. Kansas City minus

586
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:21,160
Speaker 3: two and a half off a loss, much better quarterback

587
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:24,760
Speaker 3: I've seen. I think Kansas City's defense is the best

588
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:29,160
Speaker 3: in the Mahomes era, and I've seen Miami against really

589
00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:33,600
Speaker 3: good competition and really fast, aggressive defenses. They're not the same. Now,

590
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:36,640
Speaker 3: the Dolphins got there a week ahead of time. They've

591
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 3: got a time advantage. They are closer than Kansas City.

592
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 3: But again, three I pass minus two and a half Chiefs,

593
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:46,120
Speaker 3: I like case off a loss.

594
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:46,920
Speaker 2: Sharper square.

595
00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 4: Another really interesting one, Colin. You know when you and

596
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:55,640
Speaker 4: I used to do the Collins Football Show on Sundays

597
00:30:55,920 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 4: on ESPN, and I would get certain games where all

598
00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 4: of my reporting, all the numbers, nothing would indicate a consensus.

599
00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 4: Or I would be with you and we'd say, dude,

600
00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:12,600
Speaker 4: I don't care what people are saying. We know football too,

601
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:17,040
Speaker 4: this is the right side, and we'd make an executive decision. Yes,

602
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:20,240
Speaker 4: we're making an executive decision about the Chiefs. So here's

603
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:24,360
Speaker 4: a really interesting thing. The Chiefs opened as two point favorites,

604
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:26,600
Speaker 4: it got BAEd up to two and a half, and

605
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:30,840
Speaker 4: then all of a sudden, between Tuesday and today, forty

606
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 4: eight hours, the wise guys have been pounding the Dolphins.

607
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:39,680
Speaker 4: And it could be because the Chiefs are missing Nick Bolton.

608
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:42,920
Speaker 4: It could be because the Dolphins got there earlier and

609
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:46,880
Speaker 4: people are skeptical. Are we having a real conversation here?

610
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:50,360
Speaker 4: Patrick Mahomes is one of the best quarterbacks in the

611
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:54,200
Speaker 4: history of the NFL. Patrick Mahomes as a favorite of

612
00:31:54,280 --> 00:31:57,200
Speaker 4: less than three points. Where you're basically saying, Patrick Mahomes

613
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:00,600
Speaker 4: go in a football game. You don't you don't think

614
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 4: about this. You just met Patrick Mahomes. This is a

615
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:03,760
Speaker 4: no brainer.

616
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:08,120
Speaker 2: Okay, I'll give you another one. Okay, right now.

617
00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 3: Since Week five, Joe Burrow minus two and a half

618
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 3: home against the Bills is completing seventy eight.

619
00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:17,400
Speaker 2: And a half percent of his passes.

620
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 3: Think about this, It's not a seven on seven drill

621
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:26,440
Speaker 3: seventy eight percent take out September start in October. This

622
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:32,280
Speaker 3: is arguably the best team and the best quarterback without question. Now,

623
00:32:32,360 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 3: he wouldn't be my MVP because what Lamar does sort

624
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:37,040
Speaker 3: of the soul, the running everything, and he's got a

625
00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:39,640
Speaker 3: bunch of new pieces and it's all working. But again,

626
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:44,880
Speaker 3: the numbers come down. Some say it's one and a half, two,

627
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:48,000
Speaker 3: two and a half. I'm gonna take Cincinnati. This is

628
00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 3: also one of those rare spots. I talked about this

629
00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:54,280
Speaker 3: with Detroit on Monday Night. The Lions never play Monday

630
00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:57,720
Speaker 3: night football at home, so it's Marty Gras. How many

631
00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:01,120
Speaker 3: games as Cincinnati hosted that are the national TV game

632
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:04,880
Speaker 3: in Cincinnati? Not many. This is really special for them,

633
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:09,320
Speaker 3: small market Joe Burrow. They want to show off. I

634
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:12,960
Speaker 3: like the Bengals minus two and a half Sharper square sharp.

635
00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:17,240
Speaker 4: This game was. It's really interesting. This game actually opened.

636
00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:22,320
Speaker 4: The Bengals is one and a half point underdogs. Immediately

637
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:25,680
Speaker 4: the wise guys started coming in on the Bengals Sunday night.

638
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,160
Speaker 4: Last Sunday Night, it was at one and a half,

639
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 4: then it was two, two and a half. Three. Wise

640
00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 4: guys took a little bit of a taste at three.

641
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 4: But that's the limit. As you were just saying, sometimes

642
00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 4: this is about the number, right. Everything you just said

643
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:42,240
Speaker 4: about Joe Burrow is true. This is a much better

644
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:46,080
Speaker 4: team since the bye week. He's fully healthy. Do not

645
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:52,040
Speaker 4: discount the Bengals defense. Trey Hendrickson is grading out as

646
00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:55,360
Speaker 4: the second best pass rusher in the NFL right now.

647
00:33:55,480 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 4: He's got eight and a half sacks, one and a

648
00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:00,680
Speaker 4: half behind Danielle Hunter, the league leader in the NFL,

649
00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:03,040
Speaker 4: and by the way, he's got six and a half

650
00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 4: of his sacks. While the Bengals have won for the

651
00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 4: past five games, Like this defense is starting to get

652
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:12,560
Speaker 4: into a much better rhythm and they've played together for

653
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:15,600
Speaker 4: a long time. Their defensive cornery has stayed there for

654
00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,360
Speaker 4: a long time. The other side of the ball, and

655
00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:20,400
Speaker 4: we've talked about this with the Bills, that makes them

656
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:23,600
Speaker 4: a scary team to bet on right now. Matt Mulano

657
00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:28,320
Speaker 4: All Pro linebacker, Trudavius White, Pro Bowl level corner to

658
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:32,399
Speaker 4: Kwan Jones defensive lineman. Like they have lost guys at

659
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,560
Speaker 4: every level that are playmakers, not just like, Okay, we

660
00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:39,520
Speaker 4: got someone who can fill in. They've lost above average players.

661
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,399
Speaker 4: That's a defense that's struggling right now.

662
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:46,200
Speaker 3: Finally, I stay away from big emotional TV games. I

663
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 3: think the numbers right Philadelphia minus three. I think one

664
00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:51,839
Speaker 3: of the reasons they played poorly last week they knew

665
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 3: they were playing Dallas, so I think they'll win twenty

666
00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:57,800
Speaker 3: seven to twenty three. Dak's a great home favorite. I

667
00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:00,600
Speaker 3: think the last three games against phil he's three and

668
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:04,360
Speaker 3: h two or nonsense. You know Gardner Minshew one of

669
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:07,840
Speaker 3: almost a week seventeen game when Philadelphia emptied the bench

670
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:12,000
Speaker 3: just for our audience. It does feel like the numbers

671
00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:16,160
Speaker 3: right to me? Yes, is there anything wise? Guys think exactly.

672
00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:20,480
Speaker 4: It is split down the middle, no joke. Every single

673
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:23,480
Speaker 4: person I've spoken to, they find reasons to like the Eagles,

674
00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:26,520
Speaker 4: they find reasons to like the Cowboys. I like the

675
00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:31,759
Speaker 4: Eagles better coach, much better coach. I think they have

676
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:35,440
Speaker 4: a better roster. I think they are more comfortable winning

677
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:40,719
Speaker 4: right the Cowboys. Sometimes you watch them play and they

678
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:46,040
Speaker 4: seem like a super emotional kid who when things are

679
00:35:46,040 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 4: going well like they are the happiest person in the world,

680
00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 4: and when things aren't, they don't really know how to

681
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 4: manage it. I think Dak is a little bit too

682
00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:56,560
Speaker 4: boisterous for someone who has really never won anything, and

683
00:35:56,760 --> 00:35:59,200
Speaker 4: takes some of these things a little bit too sensitively.

684
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:03,319
Speaker 4: And I think think Jalen is so even keyo and

685
00:36:03,400 --> 00:36:07,640
Speaker 4: so comfortable whether you're winning or losing the challenge is

686
00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 4: is Jalen hurt? But I do think the Eagles as

687
00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 4: short favorites. To me, it's almost like the Chiefs. It's

688
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,319
Speaker 4: going to be hard for me not to take them

689
00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:20,440
Speaker 4: if all I need to do is win by a

690
00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:20,879
Speaker 4: field goal.

691
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:25,200
Speaker 3: They're also a very good big game team, a big

692
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:28,160
Speaker 3: situation team, the best team right now on fourth down

693
00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:31,280
Speaker 3: and third down in the league, which keeps it away

694
00:36:31,640 --> 00:36:34,439
Speaker 3: from CD and DAK. I think that's a big deal.

695
00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:37,280
Speaker 3: We agree the best fourth down team with push push,

696
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:40,560
Speaker 3: they're now the best third down team and big situational,

697
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 3: dramatic games. That's an undervalued stat.

698
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:44,960
Speaker 2: Move the chains.

699
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:48,240
Speaker 4: You also got to think about Aj Brown right five

700
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:52,880
Speaker 4: straight games, one hundred and twenty five receiving yards or more.

701
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:57,759
Speaker 4: The Cowboys secondary it's been playing better, much much better

702
00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:00,640
Speaker 4: than I think people are giving a credit for given

703
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:03,359
Speaker 4: the fact they've had so many injuries. But AJ Brown

704
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:05,239
Speaker 4: is a different kind of player right now. He's a

705
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:08,840
Speaker 4: guy who's less than one hundred yards behind Tyreek Hill

706
00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:11,520
Speaker 4: to lead the league in receiving yardage because of the

707
00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:14,480
Speaker 4: run that he's on. AJ Brown can make people get

708
00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:17,960
Speaker 4: healthy fast. So if Jalen Hursts is injured, throw the

709
00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:20,560
Speaker 4: ball to AJ Brown and you're going to see how

710
00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:24,440
Speaker 4: quickly this team in Philadelphia starts to play a little

711
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:26,319
Speaker 4: better and starts to feel a little bit better, all.

712
00:37:26,280 --> 00:37:30,400
Speaker 3: Right, buddy, Chad Millman, Action Network CCO. Good seeing him,

713
00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:32,480
Speaker 3: my man, Good luck to us all.

714
00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:34,920
Speaker 4: Colin the volume