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Speaker 1: Yea, sir, Welcome into another edition of fest break Bits

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Speaker 1: presented by Ben Bros. You know me not voice, no guys,

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Speaker 1: Me real villain Roel Furman Junior here at short service.

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Speaker 1: All right, well, another sweep on the show. I'm telling you,

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Speaker 1: if you're not paying attention to anything that's going on

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Speaker 1: on social media, or you're one of those people that say, hey,

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Speaker 1: I don't do social media them thus for the young

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Speaker 1: ripper snappers and the riff raff and all of that,

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Speaker 1: then you're you're doing Brindy all right, because social media

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Speaker 1: plays have been complete crap, but been very good on

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Speaker 1: spring bets recently. And you know what, we'll take the

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Speaker 1: wins where they come. A couple of unders here on

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Speaker 1: last episode, Hornet's team total under one oh six and

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Speaker 1: a half. You had me in the first half. I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna lie. You had me a little scared in

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Speaker 1: the first half, a little nervous. But Hornets do what

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Speaker 1: they continue to do and not being able to score

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Speaker 1: the basketball, they don't get get over one hundred points again.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you could have took that down and went

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Speaker 1: team total under one hundred and a half and just

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Speaker 1: said they're not gonna get to one hundred and you

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Speaker 1: would have cashed a nice plus money bet there. Probably

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Speaker 1: should have did that. Man probably should have just faded

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Speaker 1: the hornets all the way there. Didn't get the scoring done.

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Speaker 1: They did come as right though, shots to them Jimmy Butler,

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Speaker 1: So this was Steph Curtis fault. We won. There might

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Speaker 1: have been some people because I looked at the line

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Speaker 1: again right before tip and it was at ten and

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Speaker 1: a half minus one ten, So there might have been

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Speaker 1: some people that got ten and a half and they

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Speaker 1: decided to tail and they got the you know, the

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Speaker 1: line shifted. That really sucks because that was STEP's fault.

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Speaker 1: Like that was all STEP's fault. Like there was a

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Speaker 1: one point in time where Jimmy Butler and Steph were

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Speaker 1: running kind of a two man game and he got

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Speaker 1: like really really cheap assists off of you know, pick,

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Speaker 1: give the ball to step step comes off the pick

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Speaker 1: and hits three, and it's like, oh, well, there's an

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Speaker 1: assist to Jimmy Butler. And that happened in like the

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Speaker 1: last couple of minutes of the game, last four minutes

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Speaker 1: of the game or so something like that. Like he

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Speaker 1: was sitting on nine the entire fourth quarter, last four

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Speaker 1: minutes of the game, he gets in the stuff off

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Speaker 1: of an assists off of Steph and then I think

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Speaker 1: it was Pazemski who had like a brick three and

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Speaker 1: it just went straight to Jimmy's hands, and I was like,

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Speaker 1: oh man, I was nervous, but we still can't. I

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Speaker 1: cashed eleven and a half. If he got eleven and

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Speaker 1: a half, ri it did cash. Sorry for the ten

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Speaker 1: and a half, as though that does really really suck

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Speaker 1: because it was a good read. And you know what,

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Speaker 1: I think I learned my lesson from that, even though

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Speaker 1: I hit my bet. I think I learned my lesson

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Speaker 1: that if I get opportunity like that again, to kind

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Speaker 1: of faye Jimmy Butler, just go for the rebounds because

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Speaker 1: he can always have an amazing game, Like he can

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Speaker 1: always get a bunch of assists just feeting the ball

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Speaker 1: to Steph, Like, just go for the rebounds next time.

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Speaker 1: That's what I'm gonna do. I'm not even gonna waste

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Speaker 1: time with this system, all right, and then aj Green

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Speaker 1: over eight and a half points. This was very frustrating

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Speaker 1: because he didn't have a single point in the first half.

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Speaker 1: He had two attempts in the first half, and then

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Speaker 1: he comes out the second half and it gets to well,

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Speaker 1: we're the fourth quarter at that point, I think we

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Speaker 1: had just started the fourth quarter, and in like two

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Speaker 1: minutes in the fourth quarter he drained two threes, and

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Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, we have life, we have life, and

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Speaker 1: then you know nothing else, he gets pulled for the game.

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Speaker 1: Don't have to Yeah, that was annoying. I might go

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Speaker 1: back to the aj Green well because he's actually been

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Speaker 1: really good over the past few games and maybe that

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Speaker 1: was just a slow, slower game for him. I might

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Speaker 1: have to go back to that well one more time

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Speaker 1: and then decide I'm gonna stop feeding him. All right,

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Speaker 1: So there we go. That's a nice little recap there

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Speaker 1: for you. Let me go ahead and get into the

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Speaker 1: first play of the day. Here I got. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: go to Atlanta. The Atlanta Hawks are welcoming the Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: City Thunder thunder laying twelve and a half here on

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Speaker 1: the road. Two forty two is the total. You guys know,

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Speaker 1: one of my favorite pastimes is fading the Atlanta Hawks,

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Speaker 1: and I would love to do that. Nothing would give

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Speaker 1: me greater joy than to fade the Hawks. In this spot.

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Speaker 1: But now we're getting into the part of the season

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Speaker 1: where you gotta start changing how you handicap, and so

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Speaker 1: we're starting to get more and more intel. We were

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Speaker 1: three games in for both of these two teams after

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Speaker 1: the All Star Break, and that's where I'm about to

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Speaker 1: start getting a lot of my information from. It's gonna

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Speaker 1: be post All Star breaks. So when you hear me

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Speaker 1: talk about stats or like this team is shooting this

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Speaker 1: percentage or they move at this pace or whatever I'm

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Speaker 1: talking about, nine times out of two if I don't

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Speaker 1: mention it because I know I forget to mention stuff

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Speaker 1: like that, and I just kind of get in my

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Speaker 1: own world to start talking. I'm talking about what they're

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Speaker 1: doing post All Star breaks. So I have a filter

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Speaker 1: in my stuff, and I filter everything to post All

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Speaker 1: Star break because that's when we really really like know

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Speaker 1: who these teams are. The trade deadline has gone nine

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Speaker 1: times out of ten. Teams really aren't bringing in any

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Speaker 1: more people. Maybe a signing here or there, but teams

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Speaker 1: are locked in, the coaches are locked in, and they're

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Speaker 1: making the push for the playoffs and the end of season.

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Speaker 1: So this is where a lot of my stats are

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Speaker 1: gonna come from what's happening to All Star breaking. Both

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Speaker 1: of these two teams have had three games since the

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Speaker 1: All Star Break. And the reason that I can't lay

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Speaker 1: the twelve and a half and just completely fade the

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Speaker 1: Atlanta Hawks here and take one of my favorite teams

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Speaker 1: to bet is because the Oklahoma City Thunder have been

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Speaker 1: absolutely abysmal on the defensive side of the ball since

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Speaker 1: the All Star Break, and it doesn't it doesn't look

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Speaker 1: anything like they've been in the top part of the year.

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Speaker 1: So they played three Remember they had that blown lead

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Speaker 1: to the what was it the Minnesota Timberwolves let them

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Speaker 1: come back and went in overtime. They went and played

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Speaker 1: the Brooklyn Nets last time. That didn't go well. They

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Speaker 1: let a Nets team that's struggling to score the basketball

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Speaker 1: score one hundred and twenty plus points. So they haven't

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Speaker 1: been good defensively at all. They actually had to come

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Speaker 1: back in that Brooklyn Nets game. They have been allowing

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Speaker 1: teams to get to the free throw line. Willy nilly.

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Speaker 1: They are twenty eighth and free throw rate allowed, so

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Speaker 1: they're letting teams get to the line. They're fouling a bunch.

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Speaker 1: They're not good on the offensive glass, twenty fifth in

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Speaker 1: offensive rebound percentage, twenty first in defensive rating. They'll giving

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Speaker 1: up one hundred and twenty point three points per game.

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Speaker 1: That's twenty fourth in the NBA since the All Star Break,

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Speaker 1: like all this is since All Star breaks. So they

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Speaker 1: haven't been good in these games. And I kind of

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Speaker 1: want to face that against Atlanta offense that we know

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Speaker 1: they can get hot, we know they can get rolling.

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Speaker 1: They'll have some bad games. And that's why I really

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Speaker 1: really can't like I don't get on Atlanta because you know,

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Speaker 1: any other anybody else, and I think a lot of

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Speaker 1: people you look at these last two games against the

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Speaker 1: Miami Heat and they scored one on nine and they

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Speaker 1: scored ninety eight in a win. Like really really struggled

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Speaker 1: to score in those games. But the Miami Heat, that's

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Speaker 1: a division game. Miami Heat get up defensively for Atlanta,

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Speaker 1: and that makes things tough. They have the one forty

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Speaker 1: three that they scored against Detroit, that's actually pretty good

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Speaker 1: because Detroit's a really solid defense. The one against the Knicks.

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Speaker 1: The Knicks have been horrible defensively as well right now,

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Speaker 1: and then they put up one o eight, but that

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Speaker 1: was against the Orlando Magic. So the better defenses they

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Speaker 1: have struggled against. But right now this Oklahoma City Thunder

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Speaker 1: team isn't a good defense. Maybe they were a good

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Speaker 1: defense at the first part of the season, but they

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Speaker 1: haven't figured it out after the All Star Break yet,

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Speaker 1: and so I'm gonna force them to prove to me

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Speaker 1: that they can kind of get up defensively. For Atlanta

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Speaker 1: Hawks offense, that Brunt plays with pace. They're fifth in

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Speaker 1: pace since the All Star Break. They go up and

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Speaker 1: down court, up and down the court. They haven't been

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Speaker 1: as efficient. Like I said, they had those two games

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Speaker 1: against Miami and that's really pulled them down. But they

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Speaker 1: did have that really really big game it's scoring wise

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Speaker 1: against the Detroit Pistons. I think this is another spot

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Speaker 1: where we're gonna take the over. I just like the

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Speaker 1: over for the game. I think that the Thunder aren't

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Speaker 1: gonna come into here and just let Atlanta do anything

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Speaker 1: willy nilly and not have a response. They still have

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Speaker 1: been the number one offense in points per game since

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Speaker 1: the All Star Break, scoring one hundred and twenty nine

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Speaker 1: point three points per game. Number one. They're just giving

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Speaker 1: up a bunch of points, but they're scoring them too,

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Speaker 1: So I think that I like the offense in this game.

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Speaker 1: Give me points points points points over to forty two

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Speaker 1: and well it's not and a half, it's just at

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Speaker 1: two forty two. Well no, it's move into a half

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Speaker 1: and a bunch of spots so I can get a

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Speaker 1: two forty two out there. Actually, it's a two forty

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Speaker 1: one out there right now as well. Actually am not

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Speaker 1: to go get that. I have two forty two listed

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Speaker 1: because that's what it consistence was. But I'm about to

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Speaker 1: lock in this two forty one right here. Sorry, multitasking. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so it looks like it's going up, though I see

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Speaker 1: some two forty two and a halfs out there. I

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Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised if it goes up. I think we're

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Speaker 1: going to see a bunch of scoring here in Atlanta

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Speaker 1: Hawks and the Oklahoma City Thunder. All right, let's talk

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Speaker 1: be Microsoft, because I'm losing myself there we go, all right?

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Speaker 1: Microsoft empowers visionaries with AI solutions, simplified cloud and data management,

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Speaker 1: and trustworthy AI. Microsoft's Challenger mindset, emphasizing the importance of

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Speaker 1: pushing boundaries, striving for excellence, and turning challenges into opportunities.

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Speaker 1: Microsoft is helping decision makers make it for an decision,

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Speaker 1: sparking new ideas and driving impactful change. Microsoft provides the

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Speaker 1: tools and expertise needed to tackle the biggest challenges with confidence.

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Speaker 1: Whatever challenge you are facing, Microsoft empowers you with the

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Speaker 1: expertise to say bring it on. Visit microsoft dot com

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Speaker 1: slash Challengers to learn more. All right, let's get into

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Speaker 1: my second play of the day here, going with all right,

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Speaker 1: player prop bet she sheet likes it. I like it,

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Speaker 1: and I have a crazy trend to go with it too.

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Speaker 1: Undefeated on the seasons, matter of fact, So what does

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Speaker 1: that mean? Hopefully? No, I don't even want to put

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Speaker 1: that in atmosphere. Knock on wood, not gonna say it, nope,

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Speaker 1: And yes, this is a wood table that I'm not doing.

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Speaker 1: I'm not just knocking on anything. I actually knock on

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Speaker 1: with when I say knock on wood. So I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna say it. I'm not gonna say it, but I

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Speaker 1: will say the train is undefeated on year. So it's

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Speaker 1: one of, you know, a lot of people's favorites. Maybe

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Speaker 1: not my favorite. Nah, I like him. I like him.

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Speaker 1: He's actually kind of funny too, Like when you listen

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Speaker 1: to some interviews and some videos. He's kind of funny

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Speaker 1: Nikola Jokic to go over twenty five and a half

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Speaker 1: points here vetting proms proper BITCHI SHEI hasn't projected for

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Speaker 1: thirty point one points in this game, seventy one percent

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Speaker 1: cover probability and a five star bet rating. Now, Jokic

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Speaker 1: been very very good scoring. He's gone over twenty five

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Speaker 1: and a half and in eleven of the past fifteen games,

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry, including his previous match of this season with

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Speaker 1: the Detroit Pistons in this spot, he scored thirty seven

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Speaker 1: points in that game. This I had this written down

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Speaker 1: because as I went to go check. Over the course

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Speaker 1: of this season, Nikola Jokisch has played in a back

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Speaker 1: to back nine times. This will be his tenth time.

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Speaker 1: In all nine of those games, he has gone over

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Speaker 1: twenty five and a half points. The lowest points total

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Speaker 1: that he has scored in any of those games was

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Speaker 1: twenty seven. He has gone over this number in every

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Speaker 1: single one. A lot of those games he's had some

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Speaker 1: huge marks, and so I started to think of like, dang,

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Speaker 1: like Yogic is really really good on back to back

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Speaker 1: and I wonder why But and then I just thought

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Speaker 1: about it for a second. I'm like, oh, wait, his

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Speaker 1: whole team is a hospital ward. I mean, Russell Westbrook

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Speaker 1: is dinged up and he's been with the injury management recently,

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Speaker 1: and so I don't even know if he's gonna play

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Speaker 1: here in this game. Jamal Murray's had issues all year

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Speaker 1: and they've been holding him out of back to backs

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Speaker 1: at times. Aaron Gordon has had issues all year. They've

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Speaker 1: been hold him out of back to back at times.

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Speaker 1: Like there's a lot of these games that Nikola Yokis

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Speaker 1: is out there, going out here doing it by himself,

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Speaker 1: So like, why is he not going over this number?

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Speaker 1: I mean, who's gonna stop him? He's one of the

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Speaker 1: best players in the world. I don't think that there's

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Speaker 1: any player on the Detroit Pistons that's gonna be to

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Speaker 1: slow him down when he wants to get his bucket,

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Speaker 1: and he's probably gonna have to if they do what

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Speaker 1: the Nuggets have done all season and start resting guys

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Speaker 1: because they have so many injuries and this isn't time

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Speaker 1: to try to play around with a bunch of these injuries.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I think Nicole Jokich has a really really

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Speaker 1: good chance again nine to oh to this number on

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Speaker 1: a back to back this season. Jokic is nine and

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Speaker 1: oh to his number on the back to back of

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Speaker 1: this season. Let's make it tend to know. I'm taking

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Speaker 1: them to go over twenty five and a half points

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Speaker 1: here on a back back against the Detroit Pistons. And

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Speaker 1: so those are my two plays for the day, going

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Speaker 1: with the Oklahoma City Thunder and a lot of Hawks

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Speaker 1: over to forty two and Nikola Jokich to go over

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Speaker 1: twenty five and I have points here in fast break Bets.

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Speaker 1: We have one our last four bets in fast break Bets.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully we can make it our last six. All right,

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Speaker 1: I'm at really unscore on the score and give me

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Speaker 1: a follow on X. Give me a follow on X

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Speaker 1: and on TikTok at betting pro at Betting Pros NFL,

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00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:04,559
Speaker 1: on instagramentt YouTube, dot com, slash Betting Pros, where you

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Speaker 1: can subscribe, drop a comment on any fast break Bets

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00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:10,320
Speaker 1: video you'll have a chance to win, and a Lonzo

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Speaker 1: Morning signed jersey, a cursey of our friends out with

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Speaker 1: their Pristineauction dot com but appreciate you. You'll be able

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Speaker 1: to get a chance to win that jersey. We will

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Speaker 1: be giving that away next week, all right with that,

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Speaker 1: That's really it. I have nothing else saying, nothing else,

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Speaker 1: do no other way. If any of the podcasts just

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Speaker 1: ending like this, we are he