WEBVTT - The Way The West Was Won 0:00:00.960 --> 0:00:04.680 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.800 --> 0:00:10.160 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio, 0:00:10.440 --> 0:00:14.840 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.960 --> 0:00:18.560 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.600 --> 0:00:24.680 here's your host. Welcome to the show. It's Fantasy Football Weekly. 0:00:24.760 --> 0:00:27.400 We are back for another edition. In this the fourth 0:00:27.480 --> 0:00:32.960 and final set of division by division tours around the NFL. 0:00:33.360 --> 0:00:38.920 My co host this week are Brian Johnson and Matt Harrison. Hello, guys, Hello, 0:00:39.080 --> 0:00:42.560 Welcome to the Wild Wild West. Let's finish this cross 0:00:42.560 --> 0:00:48.480 country tour, this grueling cross country I think it's spent 0:00:48.520 --> 0:00:51.400 a month of breaking down offenses. What how these up? 0:00:51.479 --> 0:00:54.120 Mostly about what these offenses are going to be different 0:00:54.160 --> 0:00:57.440 this year? Because everybody wants to just replay last year? 0:00:57.960 --> 0:01:00.640 Why do most of the cheap that you see at 0:01:00.680 --> 0:01:03.880 this time of year, especially, they're basically just well, what 0:01:04.080 --> 0:01:06.760 ordered they finish in last year? That'll be my starting point. 0:01:07.600 --> 0:01:11.440 So unoriginal, But that's not what we do here, do 0:01:11.480 --> 0:01:13.200 you hear? Do it would be more fun for us 0:01:13.319 --> 0:01:16.600 to take a cross country road trip as a Fantasy 0:01:16.600 --> 0:01:21.040 Football Weekly crew or do these divisions over a four 0:01:21.080 --> 0:01:23.640 week span, which is more fun. I would rather have 0:01:23.640 --> 0:01:25.800 the cross country road trip and I want to be 0:01:25.959 --> 0:01:28.800 in Somebody sent me like I started. I did a 0:01:28.920 --> 0:01:32.000 radio show last about it three weeks ago about r 0:01:32.080 --> 0:01:34.559 ving because I was thinking that might be the summer 0:01:34.560 --> 0:01:36.360 trip would be in an r V where I don't 0:01:36.400 --> 0:01:38.160 have to fly, I don't have to be in hotels. 0:01:38.440 --> 0:01:41.200 I just like clean the RV one time. You rent it, right, 0:01:41.440 --> 0:01:43.199 you clean it one time, and you go have fun. 0:01:43.600 --> 0:01:50.360 Somebody sent me the Mercedes benz Um wind Star something. 0:01:50.480 --> 0:01:53.480 I've seen a few of those Mercedes RVs around. Oh 0:01:53.520 --> 0:01:58.000 my god, the things I'm amazing. But it was three 0:01:58.080 --> 0:02:02.240 hundred thousand dollars and it's leaps too two. Now, what 0:02:02.320 --> 0:02:04.960 are the advantages of this thing is it's it's just 0:02:05.040 --> 0:02:07.800 like the size of a large van. So you're not 0:02:07.880 --> 0:02:12.440 taking this enormous contraption right, But it has all of 0:02:12.480 --> 0:02:15.120 the it has all the appointments of what you would 0:02:15.120 --> 0:02:20.799 imagine a Mercedes r V would have, unbelievable granted countertops. Yes, yes, 0:02:21.040 --> 0:02:27.120 that it was fantastic bathroom. That'd be you. So if 0:02:27.120 --> 0:02:28.600 we can get that thing, you can you can be 0:02:28.639 --> 0:02:31.240 the bubbler brand, can be the driver well, it won't 0:02:31.280 --> 0:02:35.639 sleep meer, you can sleep in the bathroom, Stanning out, 0:02:36.080 --> 0:02:39.040 No problem, let's go to the probably rather hang out 0:02:39.120 --> 0:02:43.120 the bathroom and drive the RV. At least you get 0:02:43.160 --> 0:02:46.720 the bathroom. A f C West and NFC West this week, 0:02:46.760 --> 0:02:49.600 which if you missed any of the other other divisions, 0:02:49.639 --> 0:02:51.600 you can go back through our previous podcast. We encourage 0:02:51.600 --> 0:02:54.040 it to do that. And not only we gonna break 0:02:54.040 --> 0:02:55.880 down how these offenses work, which is sort of the 0:02:55.880 --> 0:02:58.600 main focus, just how does this offense feel like it's 0:02:58.639 --> 0:03:02.639 going to come together fit all? And then we're also 0:03:02.680 --> 0:03:05.840 identifying the riskiest player to draft compared to ADP for 0:03:05.880 --> 0:03:08.000 that team and the player with the most upside compared 0:03:08.040 --> 0:03:11.440 to ADP. So that's the premise. We begin with the 0:03:11.520 --> 0:03:14.160 a f C West and your reigning champions, the Kansas 0:03:14.160 --> 0:03:17.600 City Chiefs. Matt, Yeah, you know that Chief's offense. It's 0:03:17.600 --> 0:03:20.520 pretty good. I'm familiar. Um, it's kind of why they 0:03:20.560 --> 0:03:23.359 have ten players going in the top three a DP 0:03:23.480 --> 0:03:26.880 and it's actually eleven if you include uh kicker Harrison 0:03:26.919 --> 0:03:32.400 Butker I think almost universally the number one ranked fantasy kicker. Yeah, 0:03:32.520 --> 0:03:34.920 he's he's in there too. So let's start with the 0:03:35.040 --> 0:03:39.280 big arm of Patrick Mahomes. He threw nine touchdowns last season. 0:03:40.040 --> 0:03:45.400 There it is nine that went forty plus yards. He 0:03:45.800 --> 0:03:49.360 led the league in that category. So you think as 0:03:49.480 --> 0:03:52.640 receivers are just flying downfield and he's hitting people open 0:03:52.680 --> 0:03:57.040 twenty yards downfield, that's not the case. Average depth of 0:03:57.080 --> 0:04:00.000 target for his wide receivers and tight ends ranged between 0:04:00.200 --> 0:04:04.400 nine point four to thirteen point four, with Tyreek Hill, 0:04:04.440 --> 0:04:06.760 who's kind of the most notable receiver, slotting in at 0:04:06.800 --> 0:04:10.120 twelve point five. So the cool thing about Mahomes is 0:04:10.160 --> 0:04:14.240 he throws his receivers open because get this, yards after 0:04:14.320 --> 0:04:18.680 catch per reception. Travis Kelsey gained another four yards after 0:04:18.720 --> 0:04:23.120 the catch, Hill another four point eight, Watkins five point eight. 0:04:23.240 --> 0:04:29.479 Nicole Harder one of my favorite sleepers this year. So 0:04:29.760 --> 0:04:31.960 I'm totally not worried about the passing game. And you 0:04:31.960 --> 0:04:35.520 could consider each of the top three players in Hill, Kelsey, 0:04:35.600 --> 0:04:39.760 and Mahomes as a pretty safe in my fact, the 0:04:39.839 --> 0:04:42.239 upside In fact, I was going to say the upside 0:04:42.279 --> 0:04:45.080 play is Nicole Hardman. Um, it was only a year 0:04:45.080 --> 0:04:47.080 ago that Hardman was looking like the guy who would 0:04:47.120 --> 0:04:50.919 just slot into the offenses. The Tyreek Hill replacement, and 0:04:50.960 --> 0:04:55.120 they're similarly built speed receivers. Hill had the fastest clocked 0:04:55.160 --> 0:04:58.160 time in the NFL last year at twenty two point 0:04:58.240 --> 0:05:00.720 eight miles per hour when he was chasing down Damien 0:05:00.760 --> 0:05:06.040 Williams on a touchdown. That's funny, didn't it was just yes? 0:05:06.440 --> 0:05:09.560 But Hardman had the fastest speed in the league on 0:05:09.600 --> 0:05:12.599 a scoring play last year at twenty one point seven 0:05:12.640 --> 0:05:15.600 miles per hour. So these guys get drunk and go 0:05:15.640 --> 0:05:21.240 out running UI when they're that fast, almost it's kind 0:05:21.279 --> 0:05:25.520 of dangerous. Could hurt people. Hardman tied for the league 0:05:25.640 --> 0:05:30.040 lead in twenty five plus yard touchdown receptions with five 0:05:30.400 --> 0:05:33.480 last year. He's entering a year two in a Patrick 0:05:33.560 --> 0:05:36.320 Mahomes offense. You don't have to draft him till round nine. 0:05:37.040 --> 0:05:40.000 He only finished as the forty nine wide receiver in fantasy, 0:05:40.120 --> 0:05:44.000 but he only had twenty six receptions to get to 0:05:44.000 --> 0:05:49.240 to forty nine in Fantasy points. At your position, that's 0:05:49.279 --> 0:05:51.560 like two per game. That's less than two per game. 0:05:51.720 --> 0:05:54.320 Is now Hardman killed you in the games in which 0:05:54.320 --> 0:05:57.840 he didn't score, basically because his the volume was so low. 0:05:57.880 --> 0:06:00.440 When you're getting a catch and a half per game 0:06:00.480 --> 0:06:03.280 on average, you better score and so that was why 0:06:03.320 --> 0:06:05.160 I think people are going to be nervous about hardening, 0:06:05.480 --> 0:06:08.400 and especially in like a guillotine format where he's super 0:06:08.440 --> 0:06:11.680 super dangerous. But if you think those twenty six are 0:06:11.680 --> 0:06:16.719 going to turn into right, which is what Sammy Watkins 0:06:16.760 --> 0:06:20.760 had last year, two receptions, Um, I think Hardman with 0:06:20.800 --> 0:06:23.520 fifty two receptions, which is not a lot, which is 0:06:23.560 --> 0:06:26.920 like it was about forty seven among wide receivers in 0:06:26.960 --> 0:06:29.960 the NFL last year, he'd easily go over a thousand yards. 0:06:30.000 --> 0:06:31.839 And he had six touchdowns last year and he'd easily 0:06:31.880 --> 0:06:35.120 approved improved on that. So, um, I think that he's 0:06:35.160 --> 0:06:40.080 the uh, the best upside there. The biggest risk but 0:06:40.160 --> 0:06:46.479 also maybe the highest reward is Clyde Edwards Hilaire don't yes, 0:06:46.880 --> 0:06:51.680 is it like? No, it's not like that at all, actually, 0:06:52.240 --> 0:06:55.200 but you're correct and not saying the age he's going 0:06:55.240 --> 0:06:59.760 off the board in the third round. Um. The problem 0:06:59.800 --> 0:07:04.080 is is it's a little murky on the running back 0:07:04.240 --> 0:07:08.440 depth chart. Last year, players with seven or more touches 0:07:08.640 --> 0:07:11.840 from the running back position on the Chiefs Damian Williams 0:07:11.920 --> 0:07:15.920 did it eleven times, McCoy did it ten, Darryl Williams 0:07:16.000 --> 0:07:19.800 did it four, Darwin Thompson did it three times. Now 0:07:19.800 --> 0:07:24.760 Shady McCoy's gone, but both the Williams, Darwin Thompson and 0:07:24.800 --> 0:07:27.440 DeAndre Washington are now on the depth chart as well 0:07:27.480 --> 0:07:31.320 as c H. And I know Andy Reid has deployed 0:07:31.320 --> 0:07:34.080 workhorse backs in the past, most recently Kareem Hunt in 0:07:34.080 --> 0:07:37.040 the eighteen season, and I know talent wins out, and 0:07:37.080 --> 0:07:39.760 he's the most talented back on the roster, and I'm 0:07:39.840 --> 0:07:42.240 probably drafting him with the first overall pick in our 0:07:42.320 --> 0:07:46.080 rookie trap coming up in the Empire. But I was 0:07:46.120 --> 0:07:48.000 asked to come up with a risky player and he's 0:07:48.120 --> 0:07:55.760 the roster real danger here because he may only get 0:07:56.240 --> 0:07:58.760 the snaps. Yeah, that's that's the bit. That's the only 0:07:58.840 --> 0:08:02.200 danger here. And I think talent wins out. But I'm 0:08:02.240 --> 0:08:05.040 probably in a redraft league, gonna take this one year 0:08:05.080 --> 0:08:07.800 off and look at him probably next year. Let's go 0:08:07.880 --> 0:08:10.520 to the Denver Broncos. Brian, this is a team with 0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:15.360 a couple of notable new faces in Melvin Gordon, Jerry Judy, 0:08:15.400 --> 0:08:17.440 and everybody thinks Drew lock is ready to make the 0:08:17.520 --> 0:08:20.040 next move here and really add some passing balance to 0:08:20.080 --> 0:08:22.480 this offense. How do you feel about it? Yeah, Denver 0:08:22.600 --> 0:08:25.520 last year fifty seven point one percent passing plays that 0:08:25.560 --> 0:08:27.960 was twenty four the most. They ran the ball forty 0:08:28.000 --> 0:08:29.640 three percent of the time. I was the ninth most. 0:08:29.680 --> 0:08:31.360 So they were a little run heavy last year. Only 0:08:31.440 --> 0:08:34.640 one point seven offensive touchdowns per game. That was the 0:08:35.800 --> 0:08:39.160 that's bad. And Pat Shurner though, who has a very 0:08:39.280 --> 0:08:42.480 nice track record outside of the Giants mess a couple 0:08:42.520 --> 0:08:44.520 of years ago, but no one was going to thrive 0:08:44.600 --> 0:08:47.040 in that Gettleman environment. So I'm gonna give him a 0:08:47.080 --> 0:08:50.160 pass on that one. Um, So I want to note 0:08:50.160 --> 0:08:55.000 how Brian gets a Gettleman dig in. It doesn't matter 0:08:55.040 --> 0:08:57.360 what team it is, He's gonna figure out the way 0:08:57.400 --> 0:08:59.959 to bring it. Back to how Ghettle pretty sure I've 0:09:00.160 --> 0:09:04.800 mumbling my sleep like, but hey, I'm a Bengals fan now. 0:09:04.840 --> 0:09:07.280 And by the way, no one is allowed on the 0:09:07.320 --> 0:09:12.559 Bengals fanwagon this year. That's the last year I'm holding 0:09:12.559 --> 0:09:15.080 the gates. And everyone was laughing, so you're holding the 0:09:15.120 --> 0:09:17.439 door shot, screw you all. Anyway back to Drew lock 0:09:17.720 --> 0:09:21.680 Uh right now going out in the late thirteenth round 0:09:21.679 --> 0:09:24.480 his quarterback twenty three. I've got him quite a bit 0:09:24.520 --> 0:09:26.160 higher than that. A lot of people do that. The 0:09:26.240 --> 0:09:29.199 hype is real. Hype is building around Drew only five 0:09:29.280 --> 0:09:31.720 starts last year, he did go four and one. Came 0:09:31.720 --> 0:09:34.680 out on fire with five touchdown passes across his first 0:09:34.720 --> 0:09:38.320 two starts, but that was against a depleted Chargers secondary 0:09:38.360 --> 0:09:42.320 and then a brutal Houston secondary struggled in Kansas City 0:09:42.440 --> 0:09:44.240 in the blizzard, and they didn't really put up numbers 0:09:44.240 --> 0:09:46.800 in the last two. But Denver wants Lock to be 0:09:46.880 --> 0:09:49.400 the guy. Uh, well, yeah, I mean, look at the 0:09:49.520 --> 0:09:51.920 look what they've done at the quarterback position since Manning left. 0:09:52.040 --> 0:09:55.040 So it's all about he He looks like he has 0:09:55.080 --> 0:09:57.240 what it takes. He's got the build, he's got the arm, 0:09:57.640 --> 0:09:59.319 he looks like he's got the mental game. So it's 0:09:59.320 --> 0:10:02.320 all about the additions to the arsenal only off season. Um, 0:10:02.400 --> 0:10:04.680 before we get to those, I want to talk about 0:10:04.720 --> 0:10:07.600 Courtland Sutton really quick. Obviously, the wide receiver one on 0:10:07.640 --> 0:10:11.200 the Broncos right now in redraft going in the fifth round, 0:10:11.280 --> 0:10:14.320 his wide receiver twenty four going way higher in Dynasty 0:10:14.360 --> 0:10:17.080 of course, uh Sutton was a top twelve wide receiver 0:10:17.120 --> 0:10:21.040 in the first half, often with Joe Flacco and Brandon 0:10:21.080 --> 0:10:25.240 Allen as his quarterback. His second half was actually torpedoed 0:10:25.240 --> 0:10:27.480 by his final four weeks. I remember having a monster 0:10:27.600 --> 0:10:30.080 second half, but Uh in his final four games finished 0:10:30.080 --> 0:10:32.920 no higher than wide receiver Fortyes, so that really put 0:10:32.920 --> 0:10:36.240 a damper on his numbers. But regardless, he made a 0:10:36.280 --> 0:10:38.439 huge leap in his second year as a rookie. In 0:10:38.480 --> 0:10:41.480 twenty eighteen, Sutton was eighty second out of a hundred 0:10:41.480 --> 0:10:43.720 and twenty six wide receivers and yards after the catch. 0:10:44.120 --> 0:10:47.120 Last year he finished twenty nine. UM. He shows all 0:10:47.160 --> 0:10:49.480 the trades of an elite wide receiver. The main concern 0:10:49.600 --> 0:10:52.800 is there's more competition for targets. Now, let's get to 0:10:52.880 --> 0:10:55.240 that than there was last year, and that starts with 0:10:55.320 --> 0:10:59.280 Jerry Judy, UH first round pick. UH twenty four touchdowns 0:10:59.280 --> 0:11:02.240 across his last two seasons in Alabama. He looked amazing 0:11:02.240 --> 0:11:05.800 in Alabama, spread offense so productive. The concerns are he 0:11:05.880 --> 0:11:08.640 might struggle a little gets a little bit against the 0:11:08.679 --> 0:11:11.280 more physical corners in the NFL and press coverage. UH, 0:11:12.080 --> 0:11:14.120 and he doesn't have he's tall, he's six to He's 0:11:14.120 --> 0:11:16.640 a little wiry at two hundred, doesn't have a massive wingspan. 0:11:16.640 --> 0:11:20.240 Those seventy six inches is kind of dinosaur arms for 0:11:20.280 --> 0:11:23.720 a guy that tall. Um. But again, I just can't 0:11:23.760 --> 0:11:25.640 get with the fact that they took Jerry Judy over 0:11:25.679 --> 0:11:28.360 Ceedee Lamb. I'm never gonna get over that a lot 0:11:28.360 --> 0:11:30.680 of people would have though you know it's it's not criminal. 0:11:30.720 --> 0:11:32.520 You and I both think Ceedee Lamb was the right pick. 0:11:32.520 --> 0:11:35.520 But I'm just stuck on are there any dinosaurs with 0:11:35.600 --> 0:11:38.240 long arms that? That's what I'm thinking about right now. 0:11:38.240 --> 0:11:42.320 I know t Rex kind of pterodactyl, right because those 0:11:42.320 --> 0:11:44.720 are wings, but those are pretty I mean, who had 0:11:44.800 --> 0:11:46.760 long arms? I don't know. I was there a dinosaur 0:11:46.760 --> 0:11:50.240 with long arms? You've got google right, long Armasaurus? Yes, 0:11:50.640 --> 0:11:53.120 But so Judy going in the late ninth right now 0:11:53.120 --> 0:11:56.320 and Redraft wide receiver forty one that that seems about right. 0:11:56.360 --> 0:12:00.480 But uh, he doesn't threaten Sutton as the alpha dog. 0:12:00.840 --> 0:12:04.520 He's gonna be the compmentary number two. So there's no 0:12:04.679 --> 0:12:06.360 for Judy. But I don't expect him to pop off 0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:08.760 entirely in his rookie year. And there's one more rookie 0:12:08.800 --> 0:12:11.960 they did added wide receiver that's kJ Hamler for Redraft purposes. 0:12:12.000 --> 0:12:13.360 He's not gonna have much of an impact, so we 0:12:13.400 --> 0:12:15.480 won't we won't go there. But he is an intriguing 0:12:15.559 --> 0:12:19.360 dynasty prospect, and I'm not a fan. Okay, long arm 0:12:19.400 --> 0:12:25.760 dinosaurs dinosaur is the dino kai Res. Okay, I know 0:12:25.960 --> 0:12:29.320 Kiris tell us about the dino Cyrus. It's a genus 0:12:29.559 --> 0:12:34.160 of large or the mimosaur that lived in the Late 0:12:34.440 --> 0:12:38.440 Cretaceous around seventy million years ago in a pair of 0:12:38.720 --> 0:12:43.840 large arm, shoulder girdles and a few other girdles. Bones 0:12:43.880 --> 0:12:47.240 of the dinosaur were first discovered in Mongolia. I think 0:12:47.240 --> 0:12:50.800 they might introduce that one in like the sho coming 0:12:50.840 --> 0:12:53.640 installment of the Jurassic Park Garbage series. They might throw 0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:57.000 that it's a it's a very strange looking dinosaur. Looks 0:12:57.040 --> 0:13:00.560 like it has looks like they're dinosaur with with like 0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:03.200 some weird wings. That is weird. That is, the arms 0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:05.040 don't look that long. It looks it does look more 0:13:05.080 --> 0:13:07.920 like a duck than of Oh now there's oh, there's 0:13:07.920 --> 0:13:11.160 the long arms. Some of the versions are long arms, 0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:15.160 look like they just have like a paddle. I mean, 0:13:15.200 --> 0:13:18.480 if Jerry Judy's got arms and hands like that, we've 0:13:18.480 --> 0:13:20.920 got no issues at all. Well, the problem is he doesn't. 0:13:21.160 --> 0:13:24.400 He's got the short arm, like can he can he 0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:26.480 mix it up with the t rex. You think he 0:13:26.600 --> 0:13:28.559 looks like he's got a lot of times they show 0:13:28.600 --> 0:13:30.880 you these pictures, but you don't realize that thin only 0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:35.040 like four ft tall. Not all of the dinosaurs were gigantic. 0:13:36.600 --> 0:13:41.000 They weren't dressed park that's realistic, all right. Anyway, back 0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:43.959 to a non dinosaur in the young Noah Fanse the 0:13:44.000 --> 0:13:45.640 one more past catcher. We have to talk about, of 0:13:45.640 --> 0:13:48.000 course right now going in the ninth round tight end 0:13:48.000 --> 0:13:50.880 eleven eight point three yards after the catch last year 0:13:51.120 --> 0:13:53.800 that led all tight ends second among tight ends and 0:13:53.880 --> 0:13:57.320 yards per reception top seven and tight end end zone targets. 0:13:57.480 --> 0:13:59.319 And he really only started coming on in the second 0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:01.880 half of the years, so a lot of excitement around fans. 0:14:01.960 --> 0:14:05.400 I think, uh, tight end of leven probably his four really, 0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:07.160 I think the ceiling is a little higher for fans. 0:14:07.559 --> 0:14:09.400 And then, um, we got to talk about the running 0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:11.680 backs of course, charts you alluded to Melvin Gordon, the 0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:13.920 new arrival. He's going in the mid third round right 0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:16.840 now at RB nineteen. Philip Lindsay is still in town, 0:14:16.880 --> 0:14:20.840 of course, right now he's going round eight around RBT. 0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:24.920 So last year for Denver, Lindsay and Royce Freeman had 0:14:24.920 --> 0:14:27.040 the same number of carries inside the ten yard line, 0:14:27.080 --> 0:14:29.240 but Lindsay had twice as many inside the five. So 0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:31.920 he was the guy for Denver inside the stripe and 0:14:32.040 --> 0:14:35.200 inside the five eight carries, fourteen yards, five touchdowns, very 0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:38.320 impressive um for those who don't remember, Gordon was a 0:14:38.400 --> 0:14:40.960 charger last year. He held out the first four games, 0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:43.560 but he ended up with the fifth most carries inside 0:14:43.560 --> 0:14:45.840 the five in the league with thirteen, and his fifteen 0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:48.160 yards inside the five was the third most, so he 0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:51.200 did pretty well inside the five. Two. Gordon scores many 0:14:51.240 --> 0:14:53.800 touchdowns inside the five as sa Kwan Barkley, Nick Chubb 0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:56.960 and Levian Bell combined last year, So we're looking at 0:14:56.960 --> 0:14:59.400 his serious competition right now. It's pretty much like a 0:14:59.440 --> 0:15:03.160 fifty five the virtual split. But the one difference is 0:15:03.480 --> 0:15:06.240 one of these guys has passed the eye test multiple times, right, 0:15:06.720 --> 0:15:08.920 and one has failed. Well, I would tell you it's Philip. 0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:11.080 Philip Lindsay was passed the eye test. That's what I 0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:12.560 would tell you to charge. That's what I was trying 0:15:12.560 --> 0:15:15.440 to get us, because we talked about this before Lindsay 0:15:15.480 --> 0:15:19.400 passes the eye test. Gordon really never has. He's never 0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:23.040 looks just elite. He's produced. He didn't score touchdown in 0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:25.560 his rookie year. I'll never let him live that down, won't. 0:15:25.720 --> 0:15:27.720 So for that reason, Gordon in the mid third at 0:15:27.800 --> 0:15:32.160 RB nineteen, with the competition that probably is a better 0:15:32.200 --> 0:15:35.520 running back right behind him is the biggest downside for 0:15:35.680 --> 0:15:38.920 his ADP and then Drew Lock. If everything comes together 0:15:38.960 --> 0:15:42.520 with these added weapons and he continues to progress to 0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:46.720 your team top twelve quarterback, he is the easy upside 0:15:46.760 --> 0:15:49.600 player on this Denver Broncos team. Let's go to Las Vegas. 0:15:49.720 --> 0:15:53.000 The constant in the Raiders offense is Josh Jacobs. He's 0:15:53.040 --> 0:15:55.840 presumed to be one of the league's few true workhorse backs, 0:15:55.840 --> 0:15:58.240 and I think that is the case here. DeVante Booker 0:15:58.320 --> 0:16:02.320 isn't a threat. Rookie Lynn Bowden likely as a utility 0:16:02.400 --> 0:16:06.320 or gadget guy. Um. You know, he's he played primarily 0:16:06.360 --> 0:16:08.200 running back, but they're already talking about making him just 0:16:08.200 --> 0:16:11.560 a wide receiver or he's just gonna do whatever. He's 0:16:11.600 --> 0:16:16.120 a sketch back up up Minie the moocher right here. 0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:20.480 Nice year, Jacobs had two hundred sixty two touches last year. 0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:22.760 I think he gets no fewer than that here, and 0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:25.480 possibly up to three hundred touches, in part because you 0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:27.440 should be more involved in the passing game. Who says 0:16:27.480 --> 0:16:31.000 so his general manager, Mike Mayock says, we're going to 0:16:31.040 --> 0:16:33.080 get him more involved in the passing game. So let's 0:16:33.080 --> 0:16:35.520 hope that's the case. He averaged almost five yards per carry, 0:16:35.600 --> 0:16:38.480 and he's running behind Pro Football focuses number seven run 0:16:38.520 --> 0:16:41.440 blocking line from last year, and that run blocking line 0:16:41.440 --> 0:16:45.000 returns all five of their starters. So I don't see 0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:47.520 any role downside for for Josh Jacobs. He's going right 0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:52.320 now at pick nine. Overall, I think he's very safe 0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:55.600 at that spot, and so I think there's still plenty 0:16:55.800 --> 0:16:57.960 there's plenty of reason to think that Jacobs will be 0:16:58.040 --> 0:16:59.840 as good as he was last year, if not better. 0:16:59.840 --> 0:17:02.400 And ye two now charts, Are you taking a guy 0:17:02.520 --> 0:17:04.680 like Josh Jacobs in the tail end of the first 0:17:04.760 --> 0:17:07.040 round or will you be doing the opposite this year? Well, 0:17:07.080 --> 0:17:09.000 I'm almost certainly going to be doing the opus, Okay, 0:17:09.000 --> 0:17:13.400 so I can probably not Unfortunately, and the first round 0:17:13.440 --> 0:17:16.359 is notoriously dangerous for running backs, but this one feels 0:17:16.359 --> 0:17:19.360 pretty safe. Let's go to the passing game. A variety 0:17:19.359 --> 0:17:21.600 of new faces here. The first wide receiver taken in 0:17:21.640 --> 0:17:25.760 the draft was Henry Ruggs, insanely fast from Alabama, should 0:17:25.760 --> 0:17:28.840 be a Day one starter. His modest production in college 0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:32.760 suggests a slightly longer learning curve than guys like Jerry Judy, 0:17:32.800 --> 0:17:36.240 who we just talked about um, But his crazy speed 0:17:36.280 --> 0:17:39.919 and athleticism means that he's gonna roast some secondaries and 0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:42.520 you're gonna want to play him in matchups, in specific 0:17:42.520 --> 0:17:44.920 matchups early and then maybe later, then don't forget. In 0:17:44.960 --> 0:17:47.679 the third round, they took rookie Brian Edwards. Rewrote the 0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:52.440 South Carolina record book. Incredibly productive, amazing body control, high 0:17:52.560 --> 0:17:55.000 character guy. He had a knee injury that knocked him 0:17:55.000 --> 0:17:56.720 out of the end of twenty nineteen, wasn't able to 0:17:56.720 --> 0:17:58.879 participate in the combine. We're gonna watch the status of 0:17:58.880 --> 0:18:01.359 that knee and training camp, but he's somebody's gonna threaten 0:18:01.440 --> 0:18:04.320 for time to do you ever recall quite the disparity 0:18:04.359 --> 0:18:06.520 and rookie wide receivers where they went in the actual 0:18:06.600 --> 0:18:08.479 draft and then where they're going in terms of fantasy 0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:11.560 football with Rugs, the first wide receiver taken. He's like 0:18:12.160 --> 0:18:16.280 six when it comes to a rookie wide receiver, especially 0:18:16.920 --> 0:18:19.520 where these boys being drafted, and we're gonna talk about 0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:23.680 that and just about um so keep an eye and 0:18:23.720 --> 0:18:26.000 Brian Edwards as well throughout the preseason. We'll want to 0:18:26.040 --> 0:18:27.879 see if his knee is healthy enough to make him 0:18:27.920 --> 0:18:31.760 a competitor for starting time against Tyrolle Williams right off 0:18:31.760 --> 0:18:34.439 the bat, who I don't like. By the way, I 0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:38.680 thought Tyrone Williams was relatively pedestrian. Last year, he got 0:18:38.760 --> 0:18:41.200 dinged up, didn't produce in big numbers despite the fact 0:18:41.240 --> 0:18:43.199 that they really needed him a lot. So I'm not 0:18:43.320 --> 0:18:45.760 terribly interested in him, and I don't I think there's 0:18:45.760 --> 0:18:47.240 a scenario here where Edwards by the end of the 0:18:47.280 --> 0:18:50.480 year just beats him out. So I expect Derek Carter 0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:52.520 roll into the season as the starter, but he might 0:18:52.520 --> 0:18:54.960 be on a short lease because Marcus Mariotte is there, 0:18:54.960 --> 0:18:57.000 and if Mariota looks good in training camp, maybe there's 0:18:57.000 --> 0:18:59.880 more of a battle here. Um. As I tweeted yesterday, 0:19:00.480 --> 0:19:05.359 Derek Carr finished last year's quarterback fifteen and that brings 0:19:05.400 --> 0:19:09.399 us to our upside player Derek Carr who is currently 0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:12.520 going off the board at quarterback twenty seven. Carbage time, 0:19:12.840 --> 0:19:16.040 carbage time, he's going off the board and seventh round seventeen. 0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:19.080 He's got all these new weapons right that we already 0:19:19.080 --> 0:19:21.560 talked about. Um, Las Vegas defense is going to be 0:19:21.640 --> 0:19:24.280 bad again. There's gonna be a lot of passing, a 0:19:24.280 --> 0:19:27.320 lot of carbage, a lot of carbage time potentially. I 0:19:27.320 --> 0:19:32.960 think the riskiest player here is Bryan Darren wall Or yep, 0:19:33.240 --> 0:19:36.960 going off the board at tight end five right now. Yeah, 0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:38.800 you look at all these new receivers that are gonna 0:19:38.800 --> 0:19:41.040 eat into his targets, and he had just the three 0:19:41.080 --> 0:19:44.080 touchdowns last year on all the it's like target a 0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:46.639 hundred times he turned into three touchdowns. Shaking fist at 0:19:46.640 --> 0:19:51.160 Foster Moreau still um and then so just too many 0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:53.240 new faces here. I think that you know, we didn't 0:19:53.240 --> 0:19:57.080 even mention uh um um Witten there as well. Now, 0:19:57.119 --> 0:19:59.520 who's gonna maybe eat into some of that production as well? 0:19:59.560 --> 0:20:02.680 For Darren Waller, I just especially in the red zone 0:20:02.840 --> 0:20:05.520 and Nelson Aguilar is gonna infect everyone with the drop 0:20:05.560 --> 0:20:09.199 seas it's bad. Yeah, no, not just by proximity. That 0:20:09.240 --> 0:20:11.280 could be the case we'll take a break. When we 0:20:11.280 --> 0:20:14.959 come back, we'll talk about the Chargers briefly. This is 0:20:14.960 --> 0:20:17.720 not an offense that is exciting by any means, I 0:20:17.720 --> 0:20:20.560 don't think. And then turn our attention to the n 0:20:20.720 --> 0:20:26.479 f C West Seattle, San Francisco, the Rams Zona plenty 0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:30.680 to get to on Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back to 0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:33.439 Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul Georgie and Matt Harrison. Brian Johnson 0:20:33.480 --> 0:20:35.440 with you. I don't mean to take the wind out 0:20:35.440 --> 0:20:38.760 of your sales by suggesting that your Chargers analysis, Matt 0:20:38.800 --> 0:20:41.639 is going to be anything other than stellar, but just 0:20:41.680 --> 0:20:45.399 the reality from a fantasy standpoint, this might be the 0:20:45.520 --> 0:20:48.919 least compelling offense in the NFL. So last week I 0:20:48.960 --> 0:20:53.560 got to do the Carolina offense. This looks like the 0:20:53.640 --> 0:20:57.879 a f C version of the Carolina Panthers. Chargers passed 0:20:57.920 --> 0:21:00.760 on six of their plays last season, that was fifth 0:21:00.760 --> 0:21:03.480 most in the league. Lock, of course, they lost their quarterback, 0:21:03.560 --> 0:21:06.760 Phil Rivers uh He went to India with his seventeen kids, 0:21:07.040 --> 0:21:11.560 leaving Tyrod Taylor and Justin Herbert to man the backfield. Now, 0:21:11.600 --> 0:21:14.000 Tye Taylor started a few games for the Browns at 0:21:14.000 --> 0:21:21.119 the beginning of before Baker took over the Taylor Yeah, 0:21:21.160 --> 0:21:24.080 but does uh last real starting gig where his three 0:21:24.119 --> 0:21:27.960 years in Buffalo where UM he had a high completion percentage, 0:21:28.400 --> 0:21:30.960 he was a low risk, low mistake kind of guy. 0:21:31.320 --> 0:21:34.640 In three full seasons of starting, he never threw more 0:21:34.720 --> 0:21:39.240 than six interceptions in a year. Wow. So he's which, 0:21:39.280 --> 0:21:41.000