1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:04,680 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:10,160 Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio, 3 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 4 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 5 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: here's your host. Welcome to the show. It's Fantasy Football Weekly. 6 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: We are back for another edition. In this the fourth 7 00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: and final set of division by division tours around the NFL. 8 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: My co host this week are Brian Johnson and Matt Harrison. Hello, guys, Hello, 9 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Wild Wild West. Let's finish this cross 10 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:48,480 Speaker 1: country tour, this grueling cross country I think it's spent 11 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 1: a month of breaking down offenses. What how these up? 12 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 1: Mostly about what these offenses are going to be different 13 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: this year? Because everybody wants to just replay last year? 14 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 1: Why do most of the cheap that you see at 15 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: this time of year, especially, they're basically just well, what 16 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 1: ordered they finish in last year? That'll be my starting point. 17 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 1: So unoriginal, But that's not what we do here, do 18 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 1: you hear? Do it would be more fun for us 19 00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: to take a cross country road trip as a Fantasy 20 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:21,040 Speaker 1: Football Weekly crew or do these divisions over a four 21 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 1: week span, which is more fun. I would rather have 22 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 1: the cross country road trip and I want to be 23 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: in Somebody sent me like I started. I did a 24 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: radio show last about it three weeks ago about r 25 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:34,559 Speaker 1: ving because I was thinking that might be the summer 26 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: trip would be in an r V where I don't 27 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: have to fly, I don't have to be in hotels. 28 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: I just like clean the RV one time. You rent it, right, 29 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:43,199 Speaker 1: you clean it one time, and you go have fun. 30 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 1: Somebody sent me the Mercedes benz Um wind Star something. 31 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: I've seen a few of those Mercedes RVs around. Oh 32 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: my god, the things I'm amazing. But it was three 33 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 1: hundred thousand dollars and it's leaps too two. Now, what 34 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: are the advantages of this thing is it's it's just 35 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 1: like the size of a large van. So you're not 36 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 1: taking this enormous contraption right, But it has all of 37 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: the it has all the appointments of what you would 38 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:20,799 Speaker 1: imagine a Mercedes r V would have, unbelievable granted countertops. Yes, yes, 39 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: that it was fantastic bathroom. That'd be you. So if 40 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: we can get that thing, you can you can be 41 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:31,240 Speaker 1: the bubbler brand, can be the driver well, it won't 42 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:35,639 Speaker 1: sleep meer, you can sleep in the bathroom, Stanning out, 43 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: No problem, let's go to the probably rather hang out 44 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:43,120 Speaker 1: the bathroom and drive the RV. At least you get 45 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 1: the bathroom. A f C West and NFC West this week, 46 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 1: which if you missed any of the other other divisions, 47 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 1: you can go back through our previous podcast. We encourage 48 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 1: it to do that. And not only we gonna break 49 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 1: down how these offenses work, which is sort of the 50 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: main focus, just how does this offense feel like it's 51 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:02,639 Speaker 1: going to come together fit all? And then we're also 52 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 1: identifying the riskiest player to draft compared to ADP for 53 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: that team and the player with the most upside compared 54 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 1: to ADP. So that's the premise. We begin with the 55 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 1: a f C West and your reigning champions, the Kansas 56 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 1: City Chiefs. Matt, Yeah, you know that Chief's offense. It's 57 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: pretty good. I'm familiar. Um, it's kind of why they 58 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:23,359 Speaker 1: have ten players going in the top three a DP 59 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 1: and it's actually eleven if you include uh kicker Harrison 60 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 1: Butker I think almost universally the number one ranked fantasy kicker. Yeah, 61 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:34,920 Speaker 1: he's he's in there too. So let's start with the 62 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 1: big arm of Patrick Mahomes. He threw nine touchdowns last season. 63 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: There it is nine that went forty plus yards. He 64 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 1: led the league in that category. So you think as 65 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 1: receivers are just flying downfield and he's hitting people open 66 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 1: twenty yards downfield, that's not the case. Average depth of 67 00:03:57,080 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: target for his wide receivers and tight ends ranged between 68 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 1: nine point four to thirteen point four, with Tyreek Hill, 69 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:06,760 Speaker 1: who's kind of the most notable receiver, slotting in at 70 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: twelve point five. So the cool thing about Mahomes is 71 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 1: he throws his receivers open because get this, yards after 72 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 1: catch per reception. Travis Kelsey gained another four yards after 73 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: the catch, Hill another four point eight, Watkins five point eight. 74 00:04:23,240 --> 00:04:29,479 Speaker 1: Nicole Harder one of my favorite sleepers this year. So 75 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 1: I'm totally not worried about the passing game. And you 76 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 1: could consider each of the top three players in Hill, Kelsey, 77 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: and Mahomes as a pretty safe in my fact, the 78 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:42,239 Speaker 1: upside In fact, I was going to say the upside 79 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:45,080 Speaker 1: play is Nicole Hardman. Um, it was only a year 80 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 1: ago that Hardman was looking like the guy who would 81 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:50,919 Speaker 1: just slot into the offenses. The Tyreek Hill replacement, and 82 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 1: they're similarly built speed receivers. Hill had the fastest clocked 83 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:58,160 Speaker 1: time in the NFL last year at twenty two point 84 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:00,720 Speaker 1: eight miles per hour when he was chasing down Damien 85 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 1: Williams on a touchdown. That's funny, didn't it was just yes? 86 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:09,560 Speaker 1: But Hardman had the fastest speed in the league on 87 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:12,599 Speaker 1: a scoring play last year at twenty one point seven 88 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:15,600 Speaker 1: miles per hour. So these guys get drunk and go 89 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 1: out running UI when they're that fast, almost it's kind 90 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 1: of dangerous. Could hurt people. Hardman tied for the league 91 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:30,040 Speaker 1: lead in twenty five plus yard touchdown receptions with five 92 00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:33,480 Speaker 1: last year. He's entering a year two in a Patrick 93 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 1: Mahomes offense. You don't have to draft him till round nine. 94 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: He only finished as the forty nine wide receiver in fantasy, 95 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 1: but he only had twenty six receptions to get to 96 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:49,240 Speaker 1: to forty nine in Fantasy points. At your position, that's 97 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: like two per game. That's less than two per game. 98 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 1: Is now Hardman killed you in the games in which 99 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:57,840 Speaker 1: he didn't score, basically because his the volume was so low. 100 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 1: When you're getting a catch and a half per game 101 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,280 Speaker 1: on average, you better score and so that was why 102 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:05,160 Speaker 1: I think people are going to be nervous about hardening, 103 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 1: and especially in like a guillotine format where he's super 104 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 1: super dangerous. But if you think those twenty six are 105 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:16,719 Speaker 1: going to turn into right, which is what Sammy Watkins 106 00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:20,760 Speaker 1: had last year, two receptions, Um, I think Hardman with 107 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 1: fifty two receptions, which is not a lot, which is 108 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 1: like it was about forty seven among wide receivers in 109 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 1: the NFL last year, he'd easily go over a thousand yards. 110 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:31,839 Speaker 1: And he had six touchdowns last year and he'd easily 111 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 1: approved improved on that. So, um, I think that he's 112 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 1: the uh, the best upside there. The biggest risk but 113 00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:46,479 Speaker 1: also maybe the highest reward is Clyde Edwards Hilaire don't yes, 114 00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 1: is it like? No, it's not like that at all, actually, 115 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: but you're correct and not saying the age he's going 116 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 1: off the board in the third round. Um. The problem 117 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:04,080 Speaker 1: is is it's a little murky on the running back 118 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 1: depth chart. Last year, players with seven or more touches 119 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:11,840 Speaker 1: from the running back position on the Chiefs Damian Williams 120 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 1: did it eleven times, McCoy did it ten, Darryl Williams 121 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 1: did it four, Darwin Thompson did it three times. Now 122 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:24,760 Speaker 1: Shady McCoy's gone, but both the Williams, Darwin Thompson and 123 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: DeAndre Washington are now on the depth chart as well 124 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:31,320 Speaker 1: as c H. And I know Andy Reid has deployed 125 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 1: workhorse backs in the past, most recently Kareem Hunt in 126 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 1: the eighteen season, and I know talent wins out, and 127 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 1: he's the most talented back on the roster, and I'm 128 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 1: probably drafting him with the first overall pick in our 129 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: rookie trap coming up in the Empire. But I was 130 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:48,000 Speaker 1: asked to come up with a risky player and he's 131 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 1: the roster real danger here because he may only get 132 00:07:56,240 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 1: the snaps. Yeah, that's that's the bit. That's the only 133 00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 1: danger here. And I think talent wins out. But I'm 134 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:05,040 Speaker 1: probably in a redraft league, gonna take this one year 135 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 1: off and look at him probably next year. Let's go 136 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:10,520 Speaker 1: to the Denver Broncos. Brian, this is a team with 137 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:15,360 Speaker 1: a couple of notable new faces in Melvin Gordon, Jerry Judy, 138 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 1: and everybody thinks Drew lock is ready to make the 139 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:20,040 Speaker 1: next move here and really add some passing balance to 140 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: this offense. How do you feel about it? Yeah, Denver 141 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: last year fifty seven point one percent passing plays that 142 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 1: was twenty four the most. They ran the ball forty 143 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:29,640 Speaker 1: three percent of the time. I was the ninth most. 144 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:31,360 Speaker 1: So they were a little run heavy last year. Only 145 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: one point seven offensive touchdowns per game. That was the 146 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 1: that's bad. And Pat Shurner though, who has a very 147 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 1: nice track record outside of the Giants mess a couple 148 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:44,520 Speaker 1: of years ago, but no one was going to thrive 149 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:47,040 Speaker 1: in that Gettleman environment. So I'm gonna give him a 150 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 1: pass on that one. Um, So I want to note 151 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 1: how Brian gets a Gettleman dig in. It doesn't matter 152 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 1: what team it is, He's gonna figure out the way 153 00:08:57,400 --> 00:08:59,959 Speaker 1: to bring it. Back to how Ghettle pretty sure I've 154 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 1: mumbling my sleep like, but hey, I'm a Bengals fan now. 155 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:07,280 Speaker 1: And by the way, no one is allowed on the 156 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:12,559 Speaker 1: Bengals fanwagon this year. That's the last year I'm holding 157 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 1: the gates. And everyone was laughing, so you're holding the 158 00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:17,439 Speaker 1: door shot, screw you all. Anyway back to Drew lock 159 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:21,680 Speaker 1: Uh right now going out in the late thirteenth round 160 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:24,480 Speaker 1: his quarterback twenty three. I've got him quite a bit 161 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 1: higher than that. A lot of people do that. The 162 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:29,199 Speaker 1: hype is real. Hype is building around Drew only five 163 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:31,720 Speaker 1: starts last year, he did go four and one. Came 164 00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: out on fire with five touchdown passes across his first 165 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:38,320 Speaker 1: two starts, but that was against a depleted Chargers secondary 166 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:42,320 Speaker 1: and then a brutal Houston secondary struggled in Kansas City 167 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:44,240 Speaker 1: in the blizzard, and they didn't really put up numbers 168 00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 1: in the last two. But Denver wants Lock to be 169 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 1: the guy. Uh, well, yeah, I mean, look at the 170 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:51,920 Speaker 1: look what they've done at the quarterback position since Manning left. 171 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: So it's all about he He looks like he has 172 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:57,240 Speaker 1: what it takes. He's got the build, he's got the arm, 173 00:09:57,640 --> 00:09:59,319 Speaker 1: he looks like he's got the mental game. So it's 174 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:02,320 Speaker 1: all about the additions to the arsenal only off season. Um, 175 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:04,680 Speaker 1: before we get to those, I want to talk about 176 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 1: Courtland Sutton really quick. Obviously, the wide receiver one on 177 00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:11,200 Speaker 1: the Broncos right now in redraft going in the fifth round, 178 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:14,320 Speaker 1: his wide receiver twenty four going way higher in Dynasty 179 00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:17,080 Speaker 1: of course, uh Sutton was a top twelve wide receiver 180 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 1: in the first half, often with Joe Flacco and Brandon 181 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 1: Allen as his quarterback. His second half was actually torpedoed 182 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 1: by his final four weeks. I remember having a monster 183 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:30,080 Speaker 1: second half, but Uh in his final four games finished 184 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 1: no higher than wide receiver Fortyes, so that really put 185 00:10:32,920 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 1: a damper on his numbers. But regardless, he made a 186 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:38,439 Speaker 1: huge leap in his second year as a rookie. In 187 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen, Sutton was eighty second out of a hundred 188 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:43,720 Speaker 1: and twenty six wide receivers and yards after the catch. 189 00:10:44,120 --> 00:10:47,120 Speaker 1: Last year he finished twenty nine. UM. He shows all 190 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 1: the trades of an elite wide receiver. The main concern 191 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:52,800 Speaker 1: is there's more competition for targets. Now, let's get to 192 00:10:52,880 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 1: that than there was last year, and that starts with 193 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 1: Jerry Judy, UH first round pick. UH twenty four touchdowns 194 00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 1: across his last two seasons in Alabama. He looked amazing 195 00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 1: in Alabama, spread offense so productive. The concerns are he 196 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 1: might struggle a little gets a little bit against the 197 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 1: more physical corners in the NFL and press coverage. UH, 198 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:14,120 Speaker 1: and he doesn't have he's tall, he's six to He's 199 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 1: a little wiry at two hundred, doesn't have a massive wingspan. 200 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:20,240 Speaker 1: Those seventy six inches is kind of dinosaur arms for 201 00:11:20,280 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 1: a guy that tall. Um. But again, I just can't 202 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 1: get with the fact that they took Jerry Judy over 203 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:28,360 Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb. I'm never gonna get over that a lot 204 00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:30,680 Speaker 1: of people would have though you know it's it's not criminal. 205 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 1: You and I both think Ceedee Lamb was the right pick. 206 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:35,520 Speaker 1: But I'm just stuck on are there any dinosaurs with 207 00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:38,240 Speaker 1: long arms that? That's what I'm thinking about right now. 208 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 1: I know t Rex kind of pterodactyl, right because those 209 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 1: are wings, but those are pretty I mean, who had 210 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 1: long arms? I don't know. I was there a dinosaur 211 00:11:46,760 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 1: with long arms? You've got google right, long Armasaurus? Yes, 212 00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:53,120 Speaker 1: But so Judy going in the late ninth right now 213 00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:56,320 Speaker 1: and Redraft wide receiver forty one that that seems about right. 214 00:11:56,360 --> 00:12:00,480 Speaker 1: But uh, he doesn't threaten Sutton as the alpha dog. 215 00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 1: He's gonna be the compmentary number two. So there's no 216 00:12:04,679 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 1: for Judy. But I don't expect him to pop off 217 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:08,760 Speaker 1: entirely in his rookie year. And there's one more rookie 218 00:12:08,800 --> 00:12:11,960 Speaker 1: they did added wide receiver that's kJ Hamler for Redraft purposes. 219 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 1: He's not gonna have much of an impact, so we 220 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:15,480 Speaker 1: won't we won't go there. But he is an intriguing 221 00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 1: dynasty prospect, and I'm not a fan. Okay, long arm 222 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:25,760 Speaker 1: dinosaurs dinosaur is the dino kai Res. Okay, I know 223 00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:29,320 Speaker 1: Kiris tell us about the dino Cyrus. It's a genus 224 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:34,160 Speaker 1: of large or the mimosaur that lived in the Late 225 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:38,440 Speaker 1: Cretaceous around seventy million years ago in a pair of 226 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:43,840 Speaker 1: large arm, shoulder girdles and a few other girdles. Bones 227 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:47,240 Speaker 1: of the dinosaur were first discovered in Mongolia. I think 228 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 1: they might introduce that one in like the sho coming 229 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:53,640 Speaker 1: installment of the Jurassic Park Garbage series. They might throw 230 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:57,000 Speaker 1: that it's a it's a very strange looking dinosaur. Looks 231 00:12:57,040 --> 00:13:00,560 Speaker 1: like it has looks like they're dinosaur with with like 232 00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:03,200 Speaker 1: some weird wings. That is weird. That is, the arms 233 00:13:03,200 --> 00:13:05,040 Speaker 1: don't look that long. It looks it does look more 234 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 1: like a duck than of Oh now there's oh, there's 235 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 1: the long arms. Some of the versions are long arms, 236 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 1: look like they just have like a paddle. I mean, 237 00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 1: if Jerry Judy's got arms and hands like that, we've 238 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:20,920 Speaker 1: got no issues at all. Well, the problem is he doesn't. 239 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 1: He's got the short arm, like can he can he 240 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 1: mix it up with the t rex. You think he 241 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:28,559 Speaker 1: looks like he's got a lot of times they show 242 00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:30,880 Speaker 1: you these pictures, but you don't realize that thin only 243 00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 1: like four ft tall. Not all of the dinosaurs were gigantic. 244 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 1: They weren't dressed park that's realistic, all right. Anyway, back 245 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 1: to a non dinosaur in the young Noah Fanse the 246 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:45,640 Speaker 1: one more past catcher. We have to talk about, of 247 00:13:45,640 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 1: course right now going in the ninth round tight end 248 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 1: eleven eight point three yards after the catch last year 249 00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 1: that led all tight ends second among tight ends and 250 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:57,320 Speaker 1: yards per reception top seven and tight end end zone targets. 251 00:13:57,480 --> 00:13:59,319 Speaker 1: And he really only started coming on in the second 252 00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 1: half of the years, so a lot of excitement around fans. 253 00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:05,400 Speaker 1: I think, uh, tight end of leven probably his four really, 254 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 1: I think the ceiling is a little higher for fans. 255 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 1: And then, um, we got to talk about the running 256 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:11,680 Speaker 1: backs of course, charts you alluded to Melvin Gordon, the 257 00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 1: new arrival. He's going in the mid third round right 258 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:16,840 Speaker 1: now at RB nineteen. Philip Lindsay is still in town, 259 00:14:16,880 --> 00:14:20,840 Speaker 1: of course, right now he's going round eight around RBT. 260 00:14:21,760 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 1: So last year for Denver, Lindsay and Royce Freeman had 261 00:14:24,920 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 1: the same number of carries inside the ten yard line, 262 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:29,240 Speaker 1: but Lindsay had twice as many inside the five. So 263 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 1: he was the guy for Denver inside the stripe and 264 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:35,200 Speaker 1: inside the five eight carries, fourteen yards, five touchdowns, very 265 00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:38,320 Speaker 1: impressive um for those who don't remember, Gordon was a 266 00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 1: charger last year. He held out the first four games, 267 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 1: but he ended up with the fifth most carries inside 268 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 1: the five in the league with thirteen, and his fifteen 269 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 1: yards inside the five was the third most, so he 270 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:51,200 Speaker 1: did pretty well inside the five. Two. Gordon scores many 271 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:53,800 Speaker 1: touchdowns inside the five as sa Kwan Barkley, Nick Chubb 272 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:56,960 Speaker 1: and Levian Bell combined last year, So we're looking at 273 00:14:56,960 --> 00:14:59,400 Speaker 1: his serious competition right now. It's pretty much like a 274 00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:03,160 Speaker 1: fifty five the virtual split. But the one difference is 275 00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:06,240 Speaker 1: one of these guys has passed the eye test multiple times, right, 276 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 1: and one has failed. Well, I would tell you it's Philip. 277 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 1: Philip Lindsay was passed the eye test. That's what I 278 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 1: would tell you to charge. That's what I was trying 279 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:15,440 Speaker 1: to get us, because we talked about this before Lindsay 280 00:15:15,480 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 1: passes the eye test. Gordon really never has. He's never 281 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:23,040 Speaker 1: looks just elite. He's produced. He didn't score touchdown in 282 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: his rookie year. I'll never let him live that down, won't. 283 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 1: So for that reason, Gordon in the mid third at 284 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:32,160 Speaker 1: RB nineteen, with the competition that probably is a better 285 00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 1: running back right behind him is the biggest downside for 286 00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 1: his ADP and then Drew Lock. If everything comes together 287 00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:42,520 Speaker 1: with these added weapons and he continues to progress to 288 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 1: your team top twelve quarterback, he is the easy upside 289 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 1: player on this Denver Broncos team. Let's go to Las Vegas. 290 00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:53,000 Speaker 1: The constant in the Raiders offense is Josh Jacobs. He's 291 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 1: presumed to be one of the league's few true workhorse backs, 292 00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:58,240 Speaker 1: and I think that is the case here. DeVante Booker 293 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 1: isn't a threat. Rookie Lynn Bowden likely as a utility 294 00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:06,320 Speaker 1: or gadget guy. Um. You know, he's he played primarily 295 00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 1: running back, but they're already talking about making him just 296 00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:11,560 Speaker 1: a wide receiver or he's just gonna do whatever. He's 297 00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:16,120 Speaker 1: a sketch back up up Minie the moocher right here. 298 00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: Nice year, Jacobs had two hundred sixty two touches last year. 299 00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 1: I think he gets no fewer than that here, and 300 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 1: possibly up to three hundred touches, in part because you 301 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:27,440 Speaker 1: should be more involved in the passing game. Who says 302 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:31,000 Speaker 1: so his general manager, Mike Mayock says, we're going to 303 00:16:31,040 --> 00:16:33,080 Speaker 1: get him more involved in the passing game. So let's 304 00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:35,520 Speaker 1: hope that's the case. He averaged almost five yards per carry, 305 00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 1: and he's running behind Pro Football focuses number seven run 306 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:41,440 Speaker 1: blocking line from last year, and that run blocking line 307 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:45,000 Speaker 1: returns all five of their starters. So I don't see 308 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 1: any role downside for for Josh Jacobs. He's going right 309 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 1: now at pick nine. Overall, I think he's very safe 310 00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 1: at that spot, and so I think there's still plenty 311 00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:57,960 Speaker 1: there's plenty of reason to think that Jacobs will be 312 00:16:58,040 --> 00:16:59,840 Speaker 1: as good as he was last year, if not better. 313 00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:02,400 Speaker 1: And ye two now charts, Are you taking a guy 314 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:04,680 Speaker 1: like Josh Jacobs in the tail end of the first 315 00:17:04,760 --> 00:17:07,040 Speaker 1: round or will you be doing the opposite this year? Well, 316 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:09,000 Speaker 1: I'm almost certainly going to be doing the opus, Okay, 317 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:13,400 Speaker 1: so I can probably not Unfortunately, and the first round 318 00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 1: is notoriously dangerous for running backs, but this one feels 319 00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:19,360 Speaker 1: pretty safe. Let's go to the passing game. A variety 320 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:21,600 Speaker 1: of new faces here. The first wide receiver taken in 321 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:25,760 Speaker 1: the draft was Henry Ruggs, insanely fast from Alabama, should 322 00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 1: be a Day one starter. His modest production in college 323 00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:32,760 Speaker 1: suggests a slightly longer learning curve than guys like Jerry Judy, 324 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 1: who we just talked about um, But his crazy speed 325 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:39,919 Speaker 1: and athleticism means that he's gonna roast some secondaries and 326 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:42,520 Speaker 1: you're gonna want to play him in matchups, in specific 327 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:44,920 Speaker 1: matchups early and then maybe later, then don't forget. In 328 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:47,679 Speaker 1: the third round, they took rookie Brian Edwards. Rewrote the 329 00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:52,440 Speaker 1: South Carolina record book. Incredibly productive, amazing body control, high 330 00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:55,000 Speaker 1: character guy. He had a knee injury that knocked him 331 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:56,720 Speaker 1: out of the end of twenty nineteen, wasn't able to 332 00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:58,879 Speaker 1: participate in the combine. We're gonna watch the status of 333 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:01,359 Speaker 1: that knee and training camp, but he's somebody's gonna threaten 334 00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 1: for time to do you ever recall quite the disparity 335 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:06,520 Speaker 1: and rookie wide receivers where they went in the actual 336 00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:08,479 Speaker 1: draft and then where they're going in terms of fantasy 337 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:11,560 Speaker 1: football with Rugs, the first wide receiver taken. He's like 338 00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:16,280 Speaker 1: six when it comes to a rookie wide receiver, especially 339 00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:19,520 Speaker 1: where these boys being drafted, and we're gonna talk about 340 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:23,680 Speaker 1: that and just about um so keep an eye and 341 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 1: Brian Edwards as well throughout the preseason. We'll want to 342 00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:27,879 Speaker 1: see if his knee is healthy enough to make him 343 00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:31,760 Speaker 1: a competitor for starting time against Tyrolle Williams right off 344 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:34,439 Speaker 1: the bat, who I don't like. By the way, I 345 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:38,680 Speaker 1: thought Tyrone Williams was relatively pedestrian. Last year, he got 346 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:41,200 Speaker 1: dinged up, didn't produce in big numbers despite the fact 347 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,199 Speaker 1: that they really needed him a lot. So I'm not 348 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 1: terribly interested in him, and I don't I think there's 349 00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:47,240 Speaker 1: a scenario here where Edwards by the end of the 350 00:18:47,280 --> 00:18:50,480 Speaker 1: year just beats him out. So I expect Derek Carter 351 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 1: roll into the season as the starter, but he might 352 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:54,960 Speaker 1: be on a short lease because Marcus Mariotte is there, 353 00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 1: and if Mariota looks good in training camp, maybe there's 354 00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:59,880 Speaker 1: more of a battle here. Um. As I tweeted yesterday, 355 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:05,359 Speaker 1: Derek Carr finished last year's quarterback fifteen and that brings 356 00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:09,399 Speaker 1: us to our upside player Derek Carr who is currently 357 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 1: going off the board at quarterback twenty seven. Carbage time, 358 00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 1: carbage time, he's going off the board and seventh round seventeen. 359 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 1: He's got all these new weapons right that we already 360 00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:21,560 Speaker 1: talked about. Um, Las Vegas defense is going to be 361 00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:24,280 Speaker 1: bad again. There's gonna be a lot of passing, a 362 00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 1: lot of carbage, a lot of carbage time potentially. I 363 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:32,960 Speaker 1: think the riskiest player here is Bryan Darren wall Or yep, 364 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 1: going off the board at tight end five right now. Yeah, 365 00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:38,800 Speaker 1: you look at all these new receivers that are gonna 366 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 1: eat into his targets, and he had just the three 367 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:44,080 Speaker 1: touchdowns last year on all the it's like target a 368 00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:46,639 Speaker 1: hundred times he turned into three touchdowns. Shaking fist at 369 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:51,160 Speaker 1: Foster Moreau still um and then so just too many 370 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:53,240 Speaker 1: new faces here. I think that you know, we didn't 371 00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:57,080 Speaker 1: even mention uh um um Witten there as well. Now, 372 00:19:57,119 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 1: who's gonna maybe eat into some of that production as well? 373 00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:02,680 Speaker 1: For Darren Waller, I just especially in the red zone 374 00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:05,520 Speaker 1: and Nelson Aguilar is gonna infect everyone with the drop 375 00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:09,199 Speaker 1: seas it's bad. Yeah, no, not just by proximity. That 376 00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:11,280 Speaker 1: could be the case we'll take a break. When we 377 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:14,959 Speaker 1: come back, we'll talk about the Chargers briefly. This is 378 00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 1: not an offense that is exciting by any means, I 379 00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:20,560 Speaker 1: don't think. And then turn our attention to the n 380 00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:26,479 Speaker 1: f C West Seattle, San Francisco, the Rams Zona plenty 381 00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:30,680 Speaker 1: to get to on Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back to 382 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,439 Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul Georgie and Matt Harrison. Brian Johnson 383 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:35,440 Speaker 1: with you. I don't mean to take the wind out 384 00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:38,760 Speaker 1: of your sales by suggesting that your Chargers analysis, Matt 385 00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:41,639 Speaker 1: is going to be anything other than stellar, but just 386 00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:45,399 Speaker 1: the reality from a fantasy standpoint, this might be the 387 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:48,919 Speaker 1: least compelling offense in the NFL. So last week I 388 00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 1: got to do the Carolina offense. This looks like the 389 00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:57,879 Speaker 1: a f C version of the Carolina Panthers. Chargers passed 390 00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:00,760 Speaker 1: on six of their plays last season, that was fifth 391 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 1: most in the league. Lock, of course, they lost their quarterback, 392 00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:06,760 Speaker 1: Phil Rivers uh He went to India with his seventeen kids, 393 00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 1: leaving Tyrod Taylor and Justin Herbert to man the backfield. Now, 394 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:14,000 Speaker 1: Tye Taylor started a few games for the Browns at 395 00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:21,119 Speaker 1: the beginning of before Baker took over the Taylor Yeah, 396 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 1: but does uh last real starting gig where his three 397 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:27,960 Speaker 1: years in Buffalo where UM he had a high completion percentage, 398 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,960 Speaker 1: he was a low risk, low mistake kind of guy. 399 00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:34,640 Speaker 1: In three full seasons of starting, he never threw more 400 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:39,240 Speaker 1: than six interceptions in a year. Wow. So he's which, 401 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 1: by the way, keeps you in the league a long time. 402 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 1: That's how you stay as a backup quarterback in this league. 403 00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:45,640 Speaker 1: And he is aged thirty this year. So I look 404 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:49,200 Speaker 1: at this offense to run similar to Carolina's UM Taylor's 405 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:51,879 Speaker 1: career average depth of targets in the nines, which should 406 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 1: allow the Chargers to be a little bit more functional 407 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:57,320 Speaker 1: than Teddy Bridgewater, who's in like the seventh's Uh. So 408 00:21:57,359 --> 00:22:00,000 Speaker 1: this is gonna be a safe offense, high percentage throws 409 00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:02,200 Speaker 1: than a lot of them, a little bit of rushing 410 00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:05,080 Speaker 1: from your thirty year old quarterback who still has some wheels, 411 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:07,960 Speaker 1: and a heavy dose of Austin Ekeler, and this is 412 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:10,199 Speaker 1: setting up to be really really nice for him this 413 00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:14,280 Speaker 1: year while he was in Buffalo. UM. While Taylor was 414 00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:16,840 Speaker 1: in Buffalo, Shawn McCoy was seventh in the league and 415 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:20,800 Speaker 1: running back receptions seen tenth and twenty sixteen, and he 416 00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:25,200 Speaker 1: was injured for most So outside of Christian McCaffrey's other 417 00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:28,640 Speaker 1: worldly receiving stats, Austin Ekeler had the second most targets 418 00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:32,720 Speaker 1: in the league um with and he had a hundred 419 00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:35,440 Speaker 1: and four targets last year. Melvin Gordon had fifty two 420 00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:40,600 Speaker 1: targets last year. Those should probably all roll um. Ekeler 421 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,320 Speaker 1: led running backs in the league with forty plus yard 422 00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:47,320 Speaker 1: receptions with three. He trailed McCaffrey by only twelve receiving 423 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:50,919 Speaker 1: yards He had nine nine three, and he topped McCaffrey's 424 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:54,920 Speaker 1: eight receiving touchdowns. His average depth of target was one 425 00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 1: point to one yards. That's not much. His average yards 426 00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:03,639 Speaker 1: per catch was ten point eight, So let's that's uh, 427 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,160 Speaker 1: that's some impressive work after the catch right there. Yeah. 428 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 1: So the thing that really hurt him was his red 429 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: zone touches. He only had seventeen carries in the twenty 430 00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:13,240 Speaker 1: and only nine inside the five and Ran already talked 431 00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:18,520 Speaker 1: about Melvin Gordon is gone, So does he automatically get those? 432 00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:21,560 Speaker 1: Can he increase the rushing value without Melvin Gordon there? 433 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:25,199 Speaker 1: I think the answer is yes, Um, Melvin Gordon had 434 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:27,760 Speaker 1: more rushing attempts in twelve games than Ekeler did in sixteen. 435 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:32,080 Speaker 1: So if you take half of A Gordon's a hundred 436 00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 1: and sixty two rushing attempts last year, Okay, give him 437 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 1: to one more, it's another three forty rushing yards and 438 00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:40,720 Speaker 1: at least a handful of touchdowns if they give it 439 00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:43,240 Speaker 1: to him inside the five. And so, by the way, 440 00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:47,200 Speaker 1: I think Ekeler is mistakenly viewed as a scat back 441 00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:50,600 Speaker 1: because he's a past catching back. People think that he's 442 00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 1: that he's a slighter build than he is house. He's 443 00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 1: a muscular dude. He can run inside and he could 444 00:23:56,760 --> 00:23:59,640 Speaker 1: be a goal line back. Uh, well, they let him 445 00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:01,840 Speaker 1: there are there are at least two other running backs 446 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,960 Speaker 1: on roster that could end up being goal line factor. Yeah, 447 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:08,160 Speaker 1: and that's Joshua Kelly and Justin Jackson. Both are going 448 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:11,199 Speaker 1: off way late in drafts. And I know that. Uh. 449 00:24:11,320 --> 00:24:13,080 Speaker 1: I know, Brian on the show has been a big 450 00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:16,800 Speaker 1: Justin Jackson fan. But man, I think Austin Ekeler is 451 00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:19,080 Speaker 1: just that good and I think that they're gonna roll 452 00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:24,000 Speaker 1: with him this year. Um. Lastly on Eckler, uh, let 453 00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:25,520 Speaker 1: me see it. I had to move around in my 454 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:32,359 Speaker 1: little sheet tibboo. Right now I'm scatting um. So basically, 455 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 1: it's it's Carolina all over again. It's a it's a 456 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:38,080 Speaker 1: quarterback with mid range average depth of target. He liked 457 00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:40,760 Speaker 1: to feature his multitool running back in the past and 458 00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 1: the third round. Eckler's probably one of the safer picks 459 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:45,639 Speaker 1: and Fantasy I actually like him a lot. He's my 460 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:49,520 Speaker 1: safety play. Uh. In Taylor's three years in Buffalo, he 461 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:53,719 Speaker 1: only had one wide receiver crack the top fifty in 462 00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:57,280 Speaker 1: Fantasy points scored in that position. That was Sammy Watkins. 463 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:00,320 Speaker 1: He did not have a top fifty recent eve in 464 00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:03,080 Speaker 1: sixteen or seventeen, and he had Robert Woods there for 465 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,200 Speaker 1: the for at least part, if not all, of those years. 466 00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:08,440 Speaker 1: So my riskiest player. You may think it's Keenan Allen. 467 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:11,480 Speaker 1: I would it's not. He's going out in the fourth 468 00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:14,040 Speaker 1: round and he's getting a new quarterback. You're close. It's 469 00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:18,240 Speaker 1: Mike Williams. Williams is a deep threat and a touchdown 470 00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:21,280 Speaker 1: guy who only scored twice last year. By the way, 471 00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,919 Speaker 1: his average depth of target was eighteen point three compared 472 00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 1: to Alan, who runs primarily safe routes from the slot 473 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,919 Speaker 1: at ten point three yards downfield. That's right tyrods range. 474 00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:35,000 Speaker 1: So I I like, I like Allen to continue to 475 00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:38,199 Speaker 1: get the targets and the receptions. I think Williams is 476 00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:40,679 Speaker 1: just a don't touch kind of guy, similar to Curtis 477 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:44,080 Speaker 1: Samuel and the Panthers. So that that's the guy I'm avoiding. 478 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,960 Speaker 1: What do you think about Hunter Henry because obviously you 479 00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:50,359 Speaker 1: know he's still widely viewed as a top five fantasy yeah, 480 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,640 Speaker 1: and off at tight end number seven right now, seventy 481 00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:57,840 Speaker 1: two overall, so the end of the sixth round. Um, 482 00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 1: the dude is just produced every time time when he's healthy, 483 00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:04,320 Speaker 1: and and he by all accounts he's healthy right now, 484 00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:07,439 Speaker 1: hasn't done anything in a while. So I think I 485 00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,639 Speaker 1: think Hunter Henry, who's in that same range down field 486 00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 1: at with the high percentage throws, I think he's in 487 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 1: for for some fine play as well. So Mike Williams 488 00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:18,920 Speaker 1: is the guy I'm avoiding. By the way, he's going 489 00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:22,639 Speaker 1: off the board at nine seven overall wide receiver forty 490 00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,160 Speaker 1: That seems really early for a guy who scored two 491 00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:28,479 Speaker 1: touchdowns last year. All right, let's go to San Francisco. Brian. 492 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,800 Speaker 1: This is obviously a super Bowl caliber team, but we've 493 00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:34,800 Speaker 1: got a number of new faces in this offense and 494 00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:37,600 Speaker 1: changes in the offense with uh the the additions at 495 00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:40,000 Speaker 1: wide receiver, we've got where he most are walking in 496 00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:42,880 Speaker 1: as your probable starter. This is a different offense than 497 00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:45,760 Speaker 1: the one that we the one that we've saw, especially 498 00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:48,440 Speaker 1: at this time last year. Yeah, and for fantasy purposes, 499 00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:51,280 Speaker 1: it wasn't a very exciting offense last year. San fran 500 00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:54,119 Speaker 1: ran Or passed the ball forty eight point six percent 501 00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:56,040 Speaker 1: of the time. That was thirty first. They ran the 502 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,440 Speaker 1: ball fifty one four percent. That was the second most 503 00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:02,160 Speaker 1: rushing plays by percent. Did score three point two offensive 504 00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,720 Speaker 1: touchdowns per game, though that was fourth most, one of 505 00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:07,520 Speaker 1: four teams to average more than three touchdowns per game 506 00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:11,359 Speaker 1: offensive touchdowns that is. Joe Staley retired at left tackle. 507 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:14,000 Speaker 1: It's a big loss, but just bringing Trent Williams all 508 00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:19,280 Speaker 1: world left assuming he's still all world we have, yeah years, 509 00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:22,200 Speaker 1: he's still in his twenties, late twenties, al Right, I 510 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:24,760 Speaker 1: think he should be just fine. But uh so, Yeah, 511 00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:26,920 Speaker 1: Jimmy G's got a pretty solid line in front of him. 512 00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:29,920 Speaker 1: Not elite, but definitely very solid. Uh, speaking of Jimmy 513 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:32,880 Speaker 1: g going off the board in the early twelfth right now, 514 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:36,880 Speaker 1: at quarterback twenty a little high for me. Only four 515 00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 1: top ten finishes at quarterback last year for Jimmy, three 516 00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:42,240 Speaker 1: of them came in the first ten games, and two 517 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:45,240 Speaker 1: of those three were against the Cardinals. You will face 518 00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:47,040 Speaker 1: the Cardinals twice again this year. Of course, it has 519 00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:49,640 Speaker 1: every year as long as he's a forty niner. But really, 520 00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:51,639 Speaker 1: you know, San Francisco just needs him to be a 521 00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:54,639 Speaker 1: system quarterback. They want a playoff game when he had 522 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:58,720 Speaker 1: seventy seven passing yards and zero touchdowns. Yeah, so they 523 00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:00,560 Speaker 1: want to play a good defense, They want to run 524 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:03,919 Speaker 1: the ball for fantasy purposes. I'm not loving Garoppolo a 525 00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:06,399 Speaker 1: whole lot, but I will say this. I will say 526 00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:09,360 Speaker 1: this one stat and it's very interesting from Ian Hartet's 527 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:13,120 Speaker 1: of Pro Football Focus. The most yards per pass attempt 528 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:18,080 Speaker 1: in excluding screen passes with a minimum of a hundred attempts, 529 00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:20,159 Speaker 1: so basically a hundred a minimum a hundred attempts that 530 00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 1: weren't screen passes. The average yards per attempt Ryan Tannehill 531 00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:27,360 Speaker 1: nine point seven. And then Jimmy Garoppolo and Patrick Mahomes 532 00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:31,040 Speaker 1: retired at eight point eight. So if San Fran reverts 533 00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:33,400 Speaker 1: back to a couple of years ago when the defense 534 00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:37,680 Speaker 1: was crap, Yeah, well I don't think that's quite gonna happen, 535 00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:40,960 Speaker 1: right Well, probably not, but they were very bad not 536 00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 1: long ago. But yes, there are much better, they're more improved. 537 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,600 Speaker 1: If the team I'm from the defensive side takes one 538 00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,480 Speaker 1: per se, there is some hope for Garoppolo. But I 539 00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:51,640 Speaker 1: still think there's more hope than you're giving him because 540 00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:55,760 Speaker 1: of the improvements at the wide receiver position compared especially 541 00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:58,800 Speaker 1: covert to where they were rolling into last season, where 542 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,760 Speaker 1: they were banking on our Key's Goodwin always banged up, 543 00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,480 Speaker 1: heard her was heard every you know, all the problems 544 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:07,080 Speaker 1: they had at receiver last year. They roll into this 545 00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 1: year with a first round pick, a receiver Deebo Samuel 546 00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 1: coming off that great second half and playoff run that 547 00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:15,640 Speaker 1: he had. I just feel like this is a this 548 00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 1: is an opportunity now for Garoppolo to be materially better 549 00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:21,960 Speaker 1: because the receivers are Yeah. Well, let's just let's not 550 00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 1: kiddle out of the way real quick. All I'll say 551 00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 1: about George Kittle final year of rookie deal. Wants money 552 00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:31,880 Speaker 1: motivation is there tight end two right now though, and 553 00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 1: by a DP, you're taking Kiddle or Kelsey if you 554 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:36,560 Speaker 1: want on a tight end. I'm I'm still taking Kelsey 555 00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:39,440 Speaker 1: fair enough. I'm all part of that Chief's offense. Um. 556 00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:42,680 Speaker 1: So Deebo Samuel, let's talk about the wide receivers. Unfortunately 557 00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,800 Speaker 1: suffered this Jones fracture not long ago. Timetable twelve to 558 00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,960 Speaker 1: sixteen weeks. He probably not going to be full go 559 00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:52,600 Speaker 1: until second third week of the season if all goes 560 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,400 Speaker 1: well for him. The interesting thing about Deebo is he 561 00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,040 Speaker 1: did have a strong second half, but his big games 562 00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:00,360 Speaker 1: where he was like top twelve and in side at 563 00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:03,400 Speaker 1: wide receiver, there's a handful he had a rushing touchdown 564 00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:06,760 Speaker 1: each one of those games that. Seriously, he's an amazing 565 00:30:07,320 --> 00:30:09,960 Speaker 1: real life football player. He really is. He's a great athlete, 566 00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:11,880 Speaker 1: he is. And yeah, he can run the ball catch 567 00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:14,720 Speaker 1: the ball, of course, and it doesn't I know, running 568 00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:18,360 Speaker 1: you can never predict a wide receiver rushing touchdowns, but 569 00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:21,240 Speaker 1: he could. I mean, it's not like a total flute. 570 00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:24,320 Speaker 1: If you're gonna if you're gonna predict the best chance 571 00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:26,640 Speaker 1: for what wide receiver, he's gonna be one of them 572 00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:29,800 Speaker 1: for sure, but I don't. For me, it's been a 573 00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:32,760 Speaker 1: I'm fading the forty Niners past tack and this one. 574 00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:35,520 Speaker 1: The forty Niners wide receivers average nine and a half 575 00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:38,480 Speaker 1: catches per game as a whole last year, and I 576 00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:41,720 Speaker 1: know they're better, and they are better, but I don't 577 00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:44,640 Speaker 1: know you can. Let's get to him right now, sixteenth 578 00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:48,480 Speaker 1: round and redraft wide receiver sixty. Uh probably going to 579 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:50,600 Speaker 1: be the top wide receiver option going into the season 580 00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 1: with Samuel dinged up. UM, I'm worried about rookie wide 581 00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:58,360 Speaker 1: receivers this year with no no mini camps and uh 582 00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:01,000 Speaker 1: nine point five catches a game game, I'm fading on you. 583 00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:03,000 Speaker 1: I'm still fading Samuel even though he was going off 584 00:31:03,040 --> 00:31:05,200 Speaker 1: the board cheaper. If you're looking for a fill in 585 00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:08,200 Speaker 1: for Samuel, people are going to Jalen Heard right now, 586 00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:11,120 Speaker 1: rookie wide out at a Baylor draft in the third round, 587 00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:14,040 Speaker 1: six thirty. He's a beast, but he's he's raw. But 588 00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:16,680 Speaker 1: I think Kendrick Kendrick Born is the guy I target 589 00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 1: out of any wide receiver for the forty Niners only 590 00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:22,480 Speaker 1: two games with six targets last year, but in both 591 00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:25,520 Speaker 1: those games. He caught uh touchdown and went over forty yards. 592 00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:27,400 Speaker 1: We saw six targets, so I saw they're trying to 593 00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:30,440 Speaker 1: extend him right now the um and I think they will. 594 00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 1: And then um, so I don't know the receiving corps 595 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:34,959 Speaker 1: of mess. You really need to see what's happen, what's 596 00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:36,959 Speaker 1: up with debot as we need closer to the season. 597 00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:40,240 Speaker 1: But I'm not super optimistic from a fantasy standpoint for 598 00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:41,920 Speaker 1: any of them. Um, we do have to talk to 599 00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:45,520 Speaker 1: running backs to very cool. I'll go as quickly as possible. 600 00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,160 Speaker 1: This is a sticky team. Raheem Mostert going off in 601 00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:50,960 Speaker 1: the mid sixth as RB twenty three, what a perfect 602 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:55,080 Speaker 1: do the opposite running back is perfect for the opposite 603 00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:57,680 Speaker 1: And then there's still Tevin Coleman of course going in 604 00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:00,360 Speaker 1: the mid ninth. Right now, is we just talk about 605 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:03,960 Speaker 1: Tvin Coleman for a minute. How about he sucks? He's 606 00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,280 Speaker 1: just not good. So you know, I just don't think, 607 00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:08,280 Speaker 1: you know, as great as this offense can be, especially 608 00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 1: for any running back, seems to be able to produce 609 00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:13,560 Speaker 1: in it where he most starts better by any criteria, 610 00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:16,200 Speaker 1: I think than Tevin Coleman, just as a running back 611 00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 1: and so I think I think most are gets the 612 00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:22,080 Speaker 1: absolutely gets the first crack at the majority of work. 613 00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,480 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, no doubt most are. It's last six games 614 00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:27,280 Speaker 1: last year finished inside the top twenty among running backs, 615 00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:29,640 Speaker 1: and all of them. Four of those six were inside 616 00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:32,400 Speaker 1: the top ten. You're not even talking about the playoffs 617 00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:37,800 Speaker 1: where he regular they did was just run him. Tevin Coleman, 618 00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:40,440 Speaker 1: Mostart each carried the ball a hundred thirty seven times 619 00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:44,040 Speaker 1: last year. Mostart finished with two twenty eight more rushing yards, 620 00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:48,240 Speaker 1: also finished with more receiving yards ont less catches and Coleman. 621 00:32:48,320 --> 00:32:50,480 Speaker 1: So yeah, most are. It's the guy, and he is 622 00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:53,480 Speaker 1: your high upside play. If he can get the bell 623 00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:56,000 Speaker 1: cow usage, you know, the workhorse back all year long 624 00:32:56,000 --> 00:33:01,000 Speaker 1: on this team. UH, top ten RB potential you forget easily. 625 00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:09,640 Speaker 1: This is Mike Shanahan's kid. Shannahannikins Man hated Mike Shanahan. 626 00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:13,560 Speaker 1: We we love him. We love Kyle, though Kyle styles 627 00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:18,600 Speaker 1: us he is as predictable as he's so predictive. I 628 00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:22,200 Speaker 1: love him. I I love his offenses. They've been great. 629 00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to see you're done right. I 630 00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:28,360 Speaker 1: don't talk about Jack McKinnon. No, Okay, well, all right, 631 00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:30,920 Speaker 1: who is so wait? Let me let me class by 632 00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:35,920 Speaker 1: high upside most and really the downside for me, now, 633 00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:39,680 Speaker 1: it's it's gotta be iook because his ADP is gonna climb. 634 00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:42,360 Speaker 1: With Deebo Samuel injured, I think you'll creep into the 635 00:33:42,520 --> 00:33:45,440 Speaker 1: mid thirties, which puts him in starter potential in terms 636 00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 1: of fantasy football. And he's a rookie and there's gonna 637 00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:51,440 Speaker 1: be growing pains and that's gonna be a frustrating process 638 00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:53,360 Speaker 1: to pick which weeks to plug him in. So I'm 639 00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:55,480 Speaker 1: I'm fading all the white outs for San Fran personally. 640 00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:57,200 Speaker 1: Let's go to Seattle, and this one take very long 641 00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 1: because I think this year's version looks just like last year, 642 00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:01,240 Speaker 1: which looked us like the year before it. You know, 643 00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:03,400 Speaker 1: we know what Seattle is all about here, and there's 644 00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:05,520 Speaker 1: not a lot of new parts. They were third in 645 00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:08,640 Speaker 1: rushing attempts last year. They were second in rushing attempts 646 00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:10,640 Speaker 1: the year before that. You know this is gonna be 647 00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:13,360 Speaker 1: a run first offense. Chris Carson returns as the starter. 648 00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:16,840 Speaker 1: There is Carlos Hyde there, but he stinks, and Rashade 649 00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:19,440 Speaker 1: Penny is trying to recover from his second major knee injury, 650 00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:22,280 Speaker 1: so he's not really a factor either. So Chris Carson 651 00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:24,840 Speaker 1: um it should be the focal point of much of 652 00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:28,240 Speaker 1: this offense. Was there some talk about Marshawn Lynch possibly 653 00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:31,760 Speaker 1: rejoining the team again? You know, I thought Lynch looked 654 00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:35,399 Speaker 1: pretty bad, very bad. I just don't think there's anything 655 00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:37,800 Speaker 1: left in the tank. Uh. The offensive line, I'm a 656 00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:39,920 Speaker 1: little bit nervous about. Let's talk about all the changes here. 657 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:44,240 Speaker 1: It always changes in Seattle's offensive line, always at center. 658 00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:47,360 Speaker 1: B J. Finney was signed from Pittsburgh to compete with 659 00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:50,879 Speaker 1: Joey Hunt. Right guard Damian Lewis was a third round 660 00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:52,719 Speaker 1: pick from l s U. Who's gonna step in for 661 00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:55,200 Speaker 1: d J. Fluker? And then the team signed a new 662 00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:59,320 Speaker 1: right tackle, Brandon Shell from the Jets, to replace Jermaine Effetti. 663 00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:03,160 Speaker 1: I don't know that any of those guys are better 664 00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:06,160 Speaker 1: than the guys they're replacing. And Sella finished with Profo 665 00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:10,040 Speaker 1: ball Focus is ranked pass blocking unit from last year. 666 00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:13,960 Speaker 1: There were sixteen in run blocking. I'm nervous about this 667 00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:16,400 Speaker 1: offensive line, and I think there there's going to be 668 00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:18,320 Speaker 1: some problems with all these changes. And I don't know 669 00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:20,040 Speaker 1: if these players are going to be any better. Who 670 00:35:20,080 --> 00:35:22,400 Speaker 1: needs an offensive line when you have Russell Wilson, Well, 671 00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:24,759 Speaker 1: there's that. Let's and let's first, by the way, let's 672 00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,280 Speaker 1: just dispel the notion that Russell Wilson's a rushing quarterback. 673 00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:30,520 Speaker 1: You're living in if you think that's the case. The 674 00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:34,200 Speaker 1: last two years he has averaged he's put together as 675 00:35:34,200 --> 00:35:38,160 Speaker 1: two worst rushing seasons, averaging about three fifty rushing yards 676 00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:40,680 Speaker 1: per year, and he has averaged one and a half 677 00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:43,800 Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns. I wonder how much rushing he's actually just 678 00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:47,279 Speaker 1: doing in the backfield, scrambling around more. If you could 679 00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:53,120 Speaker 1: get points for that Russell Wilson, then I'm in DJ 680 00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:57,440 Speaker 1: sits DJ excuse me. Dk Metcalf stunned almost everybody with 681 00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:02,040 Speaker 1: his productivity last year. One hundred targets, nine yards, seven touchdowns. 682 00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:05,520 Speaker 1: Clearly has the body to be a red zone threat um. 683 00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:08,120 Speaker 1: And maybe if they, you know, in his second year, 684 00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:11,320 Speaker 1: maybe if they you know, maybe those seven touchdowns turns 685 00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:13,719 Speaker 1: in double digit touchdowns. You know, I think there's a 686 00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:17,480 Speaker 1: lot of optimism on dk metcap Tyler Lockett just straight 687 00:36:17,680 --> 00:36:21,399 Speaker 1: solid back to back season's top fifteen Fantasy production. Each 688 00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:22,960 Speaker 1: of the last two years. I think he'll be a 689 00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:25,560 Speaker 1: factor here too. But the bigger story I think is 690 00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:28,440 Speaker 1: his team just doesn't pass enough to elevate any of 691 00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:33,120 Speaker 1: these guys into like top ten level territory. That's just 692 00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:35,719 Speaker 1: not how this offense is built. And we just don't 693 00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:37,560 Speaker 1: have the volume from the passing game. Now. Did you 694 00:36:37,680 --> 00:36:40,399 Speaker 1: see on Twitter? I think it was this just this week, 695 00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:43,759 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson was working out with Antonio Brown. I did 696 00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:47,719 Speaker 1: see that. Yes, Um, a little interesting tidbit there that 697 00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:50,120 Speaker 1: would be interesting. Antonio Brown is getting now, and to 698 00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:52,800 Speaker 1: know Brown's getting drafted everywhere. I mean, you know, he 699 00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:56,160 Speaker 1: doesn't know he's not surviving through drafts undrafted anymore. And 700 00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:59,160 Speaker 1: it seems like that kind of locker room with you know, 701 00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:03,120 Speaker 1: strong head coach Pete Carroll could could probably help keep 702 00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:05,600 Speaker 1: Antonio Brown a little more subdued. This This is like 703 00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:08,239 Speaker 1: a very NBA like off season almost for some of 704 00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:10,560 Speaker 1: these teams, like these super teams like the Bucks are 705 00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:14,520 Speaker 1: countering the Patriots counter with cam. Yeah, there's a little 706 00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:17,239 Speaker 1: something to that, and uh it's you would think you 707 00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:20,560 Speaker 1: need ring cred I think to shut down Antonio Brown, 708 00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:24,960 Speaker 1: and they got it, you know, And so maybe this 709 00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:26,600 Speaker 1: is going to be the right spot. Probably would have 710 00:37:26,640 --> 00:37:28,879 Speaker 1: been a good citizen in New England last year too, 711 00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:31,360 Speaker 1: had that played out, Yeah, probably would have been, but 712 00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:34,600 Speaker 1: that got short circuited, mostly by himself. Greg Olsen is 713 00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:36,680 Speaker 1: the new starting tight end and this offense is tight 714 00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:38,759 Speaker 1: end friendly. Remember last year how people were pivoting to 715 00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:42,600 Speaker 1: Nick Venette and will dis Lee and Jacob Hollister and 716 00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:46,000 Speaker 1: mostly those guys that actually produced was the wild thing. Yes, 717 00:37:46,120 --> 00:37:48,319 Speaker 1: you have to keep because they kept getting hurt. Well, 718 00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:51,160 Speaker 1: mostly all those guys are gone, and for whatever part 719 00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:53,360 Speaker 1: of sixteen games that Olsen gives you, he'll get the 720 00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:56,040 Speaker 1: majority of of what has been a productive tight end offense. 721 00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:58,800 Speaker 1: Um only will diste returns from last year. So the 722 00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:01,040 Speaker 1: riskiest player based on a DP I think his DK 723 00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:04,400 Speaker 1: Metcalf going off the board two picks after Tyler Lockett. Um. 724 00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:06,160 Speaker 1: We assume he's gonna be a lot better in year two, 725 00:38:06,160 --> 00:38:08,319 Speaker 1: and he probably will be, but will be better than 726 00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:11,400 Speaker 1: Tyler Lockett in year two? I don't know. I'm not 727 00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:13,279 Speaker 1: ready to go there yet. And the player with the 728 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:16,200 Speaker 1: most upside is Greg Olsen going off the board at 729 00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:19,640 Speaker 1: tight end twenty three. So you know, is your second 730 00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:23,160 Speaker 1: tight end he'll probably give you tight end one returns 731 00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:25,680 Speaker 1: while he's healthy, so he fits right in there with 732 00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:31,160 Speaker 1: the Seattle good tight ends who get hurt a lot. Yes, perfect, Yes, he'll, he'll, he'll, 733 00:38:31,239 --> 00:38:33,759 Speaker 1: he'll do his thing and that means getting hurt and 734 00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:36,640 Speaker 1: that will um. You know, at round twenty, if you 735 00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:39,959 Speaker 1: have if you've got Greg Olsen starting it for six weeks, 736 00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:41,960 Speaker 1: fine and you can come to the curve. I think 737 00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:43,799 Speaker 1: we might have some more tight ends to talk about 738 00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:46,239 Speaker 1: in the next segment. I bet we do. As we 739 00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,840 Speaker 1: go to the Rams, that is a tight end, a 740 00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:52,200 Speaker 1: friendly offense. Man, there's a lot of people banking on 741 00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:55,480 Speaker 1: one of the two tight ends really emerging. We'll talk 742 00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:58,000 Speaker 1: about the Rams and their tight end situation when we 743 00:38:58,080 --> 00:39:01,960 Speaker 1: come back to Fantasy Football Weekly. Fantasy Football Weekly Paul 744 00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:05,080 Speaker 1: Charchy and Matt Harrison Brian Johnson with you got two 745 00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:07,560 Speaker 1: teams left to break down as we analyze the a 746 00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:11,000 Speaker 1: f C and NFC West. We go to the Rams, 747 00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:15,600 Speaker 1: an offense that obviously underproduced a lot last year, with 748 00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,000 Speaker 1: many people including me, are optimistic they're gonna make the 749 00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:21,439 Speaker 1: bounce back this year. Returned to a tour to better 750 00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:25,879 Speaker 1: form what a weird offense that was last year, wasn't it. Yeah, 751 00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:29,360 Speaker 1: they passed sixty one two percent at the time, seventh 752 00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:32,480 Speaker 1: highest rate in the league. Uh. They lost Todd Gurley 753 00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:36,040 Speaker 1: and Brandon Cooks in the off season. Uh. Offensive tackle 754 00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:39,680 Speaker 1: Andrew Whitworth did resign for three years. That's good. And 755 00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:42,600 Speaker 1: then they drafted Cam Akers and Van Jefferson as the 756 00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:46,800 Speaker 1: Girley and Cooks replacements. Uh. What kind of offense is 757 00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:49,839 Speaker 1: this one? It's actually a very safe one. They don't 758 00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:52,080 Speaker 1: have a lot of risk to them. Uh. They're tied 759 00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:54,759 Speaker 1: to Jared Goff for the next half decade, and Sean 760 00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:57,400 Speaker 1: McVeigh is trying to scheme away to put Golf in 761 00:39:57,480 --> 00:40:00,120 Speaker 1: the best position because it's very possible that got just 762 00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:03,680 Speaker 1: not a very good quarterback. Um. What that means is 763 00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:05,560 Speaker 1: they're gonna run the ball and it's gonna be a 764 00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:09,359 Speaker 1: short passing game. Goff's average depth target eight yards tied 765 00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:11,719 Speaker 1: for twenty six in the league last year. That was 766 00:40:11,840 --> 00:40:17,000 Speaker 1: lower than Mason Rudolph, Mitch true Bisky. Uh, here it 767 00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:22,480 Speaker 1: is Jacoby Bursette, Kyle Allen, David Bloch, lower than all 768 00:40:22,520 --> 00:40:25,959 Speaker 1: of those guys. Goff was only sacked twenty two times 769 00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:28,359 Speaker 1: in sixteen games, though, which puts him in the top ten. 770 00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:31,200 Speaker 1: Uh as far as least time sacked, that's good for 771 00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:35,560 Speaker 1: that offensive line. He did fumble ten times last season 772 00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:39,839 Speaker 1: and through sixteen picks, So they're gonna try to make 773 00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:42,239 Speaker 1: him safer and safer and get the ball out of 774 00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:45,480 Speaker 1: his hands as quick as possible. So how will the 775 00:40:45,520 --> 00:40:48,560 Speaker 1: short passing offense work? Pretty good for most of the 776 00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:51,600 Speaker 1: guys you're interested in on this offense, Cooper Cup, especially 777 00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:54,840 Speaker 1: Cooper Cups average depth of target seven point to Robert 778 00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:59,319 Speaker 1: Woods eight point four, Tyler Higbee six point five. Guests 779 00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:02,359 Speaker 1: who didn't belong in that offense last year, Brandon, Yeah, 780 00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:07,400 Speaker 1: at fourteen point five. That's gone. So Cup and Woods 781 00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:11,719 Speaker 1: each clocked in at right around the same amount of targets, receptions, 782 00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:13,880 Speaker 1: and yards literally give or take a few digits up 783 00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:18,160 Speaker 1: or down on this but one thirty targets, ninety receptions yards, 784 00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:22,120 Speaker 1: both almost identical. Yeah, the difference was Cup had ten touchdowns, 785 00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:26,239 Speaker 1: Woods had to. Yeah that you figure everybody including me 786 00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:29,720 Speaker 1: thinks that that too number for touchdowns on Robert Woods 787 00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:31,759 Speaker 1: is gonna look, We're gonna look back. Well, that was 788 00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:34,480 Speaker 1: an anomalous Yeah, two is a little bit ridiculous. In 789 00:41:34,560 --> 00:41:36,680 Speaker 1: his other two years at the Rams, he scored five 790 00:41:36,840 --> 00:41:39,239 Speaker 1: and six. He's never been a high touchdown guy. Six 791 00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:42,239 Speaker 1: is his record in a year. But he'll probably get 792 00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:44,560 Speaker 1: closer to five or six than to stay at two. Well, 793 00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:47,240 Speaker 1: but with Brandon Cooks out, I just feel like Woods 794 00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:50,279 Speaker 1: is gonna get you know, add ten percent to to 795 00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:53,320 Speaker 1: his looks and you know, I want to believe that 796 00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:57,239 Speaker 1: he's capable of a nine touchdown season. Yeah. Well, unfortunately 797 00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:01,000 Speaker 1: the early drafters haven't depressed st Robert Woods is a 798 00:42:01,120 --> 00:42:03,759 Speaker 1: DP quite enough for me? Um No, in fact that 799 00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:05,279 Speaker 1: a lot of people, a lot of people see it 800 00:42:05,360 --> 00:42:07,399 Speaker 1: like I do. Robert Woods, a good receiver is gonna 801 00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:08,920 Speaker 1: have a better season. You have to take him at 802 00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:11,680 Speaker 1: the end of the fourth round. That feels about right 803 00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:14,000 Speaker 1: to me. That's not quite low enough for him to 804 00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:17,680 Speaker 1: be my value pick. Um. My value pick is Tyler Higby. 805 00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,040 Speaker 1: His his a DP is low enough. He's going off 806 00:42:20,080 --> 00:42:22,520 Speaker 1: the board in the ninth round. Is tight end number 807 00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:25,960 Speaker 1: twelve right now. The Rams finally figured something out at 808 00:42:25,960 --> 00:42:27,640 Speaker 1: the end of the season, with Higby listened to his 809 00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:30,000 Speaker 1: last five games of the year when the Rams were 810 00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:33,360 Speaker 1: still fighting for a wild card spot. Yeah, eight targets, 811 00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:37,000 Speaker 1: seven receptions, one oh seven and a score. Okay, that's 812 00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:40,360 Speaker 1: a very good game. Eleven targets seven for one sixteen, 813 00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:45,600 Speaker 1: fourteen targets, twelve for one, eleven, eleven targets, nine for 814 00:42:45,680 --> 00:42:48,520 Speaker 1: one oh four, twelve targets, eight for eighty four and 815 00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:53,440 Speaker 1: a score. Now let's extrapolate those now you got uh. 816 00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:56,600 Speaker 1: He averaged eight point six catches, a hundred and four 817 00:42:56,680 --> 00:42:58,919 Speaker 1: yards and point four scores in those last five games. 818 00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:01,520 Speaker 1: He was Kindler Kelsey for the last month of the year. 819 00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:04,960 Speaker 1: So I I like him a lot at that level 820 00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:07,319 Speaker 1: because it seems like they figured something out with him 821 00:43:07,360 --> 00:43:09,760 Speaker 1: and how to utilize him properly. He was really splitting 822 00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:12,880 Speaker 1: time with Gerald Everett earlier in the year, whole career, 823 00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:15,680 Speaker 1: and they figured out, oh, this guy is pretty good, 824 00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,719 Speaker 1: let's toss him the ball. So uh, higbie is my 825 00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:22,960 Speaker 1: uh my upside play. The riskiest play is anyone in 826 00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:25,560 Speaker 1: the running game, and the highest draft of those as 827 00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:27,520 Speaker 1: cam Akers, who's going off the board in the middle 828 00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:31,000 Speaker 1: of the eighth, So it's not even that risky. Um. 829 00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:35,000 Speaker 1: Darrell Henderson Truthers are all butt hurt because the Rams 830 00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:38,480 Speaker 1: drafted Acres, But don't sleep on Malcolm Brown continuing to 831 00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:43,360 Speaker 1: be part of this offense, probably actually especially near the 832 00:43:43,520 --> 00:43:47,040 Speaker 1: end zone. Girley took fifteen carries from inside the five 833 00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:51,160 Speaker 1: last year and converted eight touchdowns. That was, and those 834 00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:55,080 Speaker 1: numbers are gone. Brown had eight carries from inside to 835 00:43:55,160 --> 00:43:59,800 Speaker 1: five that he took for five touchdowns, so that's very productive. 836 00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:02,960 Speaker 1: Acres could end up being the between the twenties runner. 837 00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:06,359 Speaker 1: Brown could be the goal line guy, Henderson the change 838 00:44:06,400 --> 00:44:09,239 Speaker 1: of pace back. So the sneaky bonus value I think 839 00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:12,560 Speaker 1: is Malcolm Brown here, Who's the guy that you can 840 00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:15,879 Speaker 1: get very last out of all these running back for sure, 841 00:44:16,000 --> 00:44:21,000 Speaker 1: last two twenty three running back sixty five, So that's 842 00:44:21,080 --> 00:44:24,719 Speaker 1: insanely low for a guy who might be sitting on 843 00:44:25,560 --> 00:44:32,600 Speaker 1: between five to nine touchdowns possibly just there just from 844 00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:34,719 Speaker 1: the goal line carries and carries from inside the five. 845 00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:38,480 Speaker 1: Cam Akers isn't ready to take that role. I think 846 00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:40,560 Speaker 1: Makers is built to be a goal line guy though, 847 00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:43,920 Speaker 1: and so it's not clear that Malcolm Brown will get 848 00:44:43,960 --> 00:44:47,359 Speaker 1: those carries. But the fact that he's been successful, yeah, 849 00:44:47,719 --> 00:44:50,200 Speaker 1: with the carries they've given him at the stripe and 850 00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:54,359 Speaker 1: so many carries that are gone, Yes, you might be right. 851 00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:58,520 Speaker 1: About that, because Malcolm Brown is gonna be He's I 852 00:44:58,560 --> 00:45:02,200 Speaker 1: think he's gonna be a havan to ten touch per game. Guy. 853 00:45:02,560 --> 00:45:05,879 Speaker 1: Probably doesn't score, he's gonna kill you, but he's gonna 854 00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:08,319 Speaker 1: have these games or he's gonna get touchdowns maybe two 855 00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:10,719 Speaker 1: in a game. And for best ball, I like Malcolm Brown. 856 00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:14,160 Speaker 1: He's definitely a best ball guy there. Let's go to 857 00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:18,480 Speaker 1: Arizona Kyler Murray. Everybody expecting a big uptick and production 858 00:45:18,560 --> 00:45:21,600 Speaker 1: and Kyler Murray, he's uh said, where's is ADP right now? 859 00:45:21,719 --> 00:45:27,280 Speaker 1: On quarterbacks last night? Yeah, that's that's a massive, massive 860 00:45:27,360 --> 00:45:30,000 Speaker 1: jump from where he was last year. Absolutely, Ah yeah, 861 00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:33,440 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray. Last year most completions of fifty plus yards. 862 00:45:33,880 --> 00:45:37,040 Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins had six that led the NFL. Kyler Murray 863 00:45:37,160 --> 00:45:40,160 Speaker 1: was tied with him with six completions of fifty plus yards. 864 00:45:40,239 --> 00:45:42,880 Speaker 1: Here's the list of rookie quarterbacks with a top twelve 865 00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:48,239 Speaker 1: fantasy finish since Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott, Russell Wilson, Andrew Look, 866 00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:50,760 Speaker 1: r G three, Cam Newton, All those guys are pretty 867 00:45:50,760 --> 00:45:53,960 Speaker 1: good from a fantasy perspective. RG three You can give 868 00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,840 Speaker 1: your take what you want there, sou Yeah, the sky 869 00:45:57,160 --> 00:46:00,840 Speaker 1: is the limit for Murray in his second season. He 870 00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:03,360 Speaker 1: was third in rushing attempts last year and second in 871 00:46:03,480 --> 00:46:07,000 Speaker 1: yard yards among quarterbacks, averaging five point nine yards per 872 00:46:07,080 --> 00:46:11,120 Speaker 1: catch four touchdowns. So he's a weapon. He's going right 873 00:46:11,160 --> 00:46:13,799 Speaker 1: about in the right spot. He I think that's man. 874 00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:18,520 Speaker 1: It's high, it's a it's a high flying offense. And uh, 875 00:46:18,719 --> 00:46:21,240 Speaker 1: there's gonna be a lot of excitement with Cliff Kingsbury 876 00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:24,000 Speaker 1: and second year. So before I get to Murray's pass catchers, 877 00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:26,960 Speaker 1: I just want to talk about Kenyan Drake. Um probably 878 00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:30,279 Speaker 1: might be the safest running back going in the first 879 00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:33,919 Speaker 1: two rounds, and that includes everyone. Uh. Starting week nine, 880 00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:36,960 Speaker 1: Drake started getting about twenty touches per game with Arizona 881 00:46:37,040 --> 00:46:40,000 Speaker 1: he came over from Miami. Of course, from week nine 882 00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:43,719 Speaker 1: on he only finished behind McCaffrey, Derrick Henry and Zeke 883 00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:47,400 Speaker 1: and PPR formats and and from week nine to seventeen 884 00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:51,479 Speaker 1: he finished Drake. That is seventy percent of his games 885 00:46:51,520 --> 00:46:54,799 Speaker 1: as an RB two and nearly as an RB one. 886 00:46:56,440 --> 00:47:01,000 Speaker 1: That's incredibly say floor with a ridiculous upside for comparison 887 00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:03,560 Speaker 1: to say, you have guys like Alvin Kamara, Aaron Jones, 888 00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:06,840 Speaker 1: Joe Mixon. We're finishing more than twenty their games outside 889 00:47:06,880 --> 00:47:10,120 Speaker 1: the top thirty, and those guys can certainly win you 890 00:47:10,200 --> 00:47:11,839 Speaker 1: be releague, but they can lose it for you if 891 00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:14,319 Speaker 1: you drafted in the first round. So I'm loving Drake 892 00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:17,200 Speaker 1: He's going. It depends on the league. But you can 893 00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:20,279 Speaker 1: say mid second as RB like ten to twelve. But uh, 894 00:47:20,320 --> 00:47:22,959 Speaker 1: I think that might be a little too late for Drake. 895 00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:25,560 Speaker 1: But he's not my upside guy. Get to him in 896 00:47:25,560 --> 00:47:27,320 Speaker 1: a little bit. He's your safe guy. You already you 897 00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:30,520 Speaker 1: already said he's super safe. He's super safe, super safe guy. Uh. 898 00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:33,600 Speaker 1: Now to the the weapons for Kyler Murray in the 899 00:47:33,640 --> 00:47:35,479 Speaker 1: passing game, and of course we'll start with the Andre 900 00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:39,240 Speaker 1: Hopkins coming over from Houston. Um going in the late first, 901 00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:42,839 Speaker 1: right now or early second around wide receiver for you're 902 00:47:42,880 --> 00:47:46,200 Speaker 1: generally seeing Michael Thomas, of course, Davante Adams and Tyree 903 00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:48,520 Speaker 1: Hill going before Hopkins, and you know what, they will 904 00:47:48,560 --> 00:47:51,319 Speaker 1: probably be going before Hopkins if he was in Houston. Still, 905 00:47:51,520 --> 00:47:54,560 Speaker 1: I feel like so the main concern is really see 906 00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:57,480 Speaker 1: the targets he saw in Houston with Arizona. I was 907 00:47:57,520 --> 00:48:00,520 Speaker 1: shocked to see this Arizona's wide receivers told the third 908 00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:04,480 Speaker 1: most catches last year. Two. That's nearly fifteen a game. 909 00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:07,000 Speaker 1: That's a lot. Remember I said forty nine at nine 910 00:48:07,040 --> 00:48:08,880 Speaker 1: and a half, so that that's that's a big difference. 911 00:48:09,040 --> 00:48:12,200 Speaker 1: UM And for reference, the Texans actually finished fourth with two. 912 00:48:13,640 --> 00:48:16,120 Speaker 1: So last year Arizona, it's sounding like they lost any 913 00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:18,719 Speaker 1: key member of their wide receiver corps. It was it 914 00:48:18,840 --> 00:48:21,680 Speaker 1: was Christian Kirk and Larry Fitzgerald and then it was 915 00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:26,800 Speaker 1: like Demere Bird and Andy Isabella. So the volume is 916 00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:31,480 Speaker 1: still there for Hopkins. So despite that though, he's still 917 00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:34,880 Speaker 1: my biggest downside risk based on the ADP just because 918 00:48:35,239 --> 00:48:38,719 Speaker 1: wide receiver is so deep, you could argue taking a 919 00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:41,680 Speaker 1: couple other white outs instead of him where he's at. UM, 920 00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:44,480 Speaker 1: I don't know first round. I think any wide receiver 921 00:48:44,680 --> 00:48:47,040 Speaker 1: is risky in the first round this year. DeShawn Watson 922 00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:50,880 Speaker 1: is awesome. He's a better cort Tayler. Murray wants to 923 00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:53,880 Speaker 1: someday be Deshaun Watson. Awesome, he's not. You know, we 924 00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:56,600 Speaker 1: don't know that he's there yet and we'll ever be there, 925 00:48:57,080 --> 00:49:01,080 Speaker 1: so you know, there there's we're still afting Hopkins as 926 00:49:01,160 --> 00:49:03,960 Speaker 1: though he's got an elite quarterback when we don't know 927 00:49:04,120 --> 00:49:06,040 Speaker 1: that he's got an elite quarterback. And if he just 928 00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:07,759 Speaker 1: had to choose, would you say he's gonna have a 929 00:49:07,840 --> 00:49:10,320 Speaker 1: better year than he's ever had or probably come in 930 00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:12,480 Speaker 1: a little under than his normal numbers. It just feel 931 00:49:12,920 --> 00:49:15,520 Speaker 1: to me, it feels like it's I'm expeking about the same. 932 00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:18,320 Speaker 1: Still too risky for me with this a DV. This 933 00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:20,200 Speaker 1: is a team too. It's tough to find risk on 934 00:49:20,280 --> 00:49:22,440 Speaker 1: this team really outside of Murray. And if you're that 935 00:49:22,480 --> 00:49:25,120 Speaker 1: worried about Murray and Hopkins, Um a couple more wide 936 00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:27,360 Speaker 1: outs to talk about. Christian Kirk right now, going in 937 00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:30,480 Speaker 1: the late eighth round wide receiver thirty seven. Only played 938 00:49:30,560 --> 00:49:34,399 Speaker 1: thirteen games last year, but Um had at least seven 939 00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:40,000 Speaker 1: targets nine times, nine times, double digit targets five times, 940 00:49:40,520 --> 00:49:43,080 Speaker 1: and at least six catches seven times as well. And 941 00:49:43,160 --> 00:49:44,920 Speaker 1: like I said, he missed those three games. If he 942 00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:48,000 Speaker 1: played a full sixteen game season, he's easily inside the 943 00:49:48,040 --> 00:49:51,680 Speaker 1: top twenty four wide receiver. And you think of Kirk, 944 00:49:51,800 --> 00:49:53,520 Speaker 1: and you just think of defense. Is keen in on 945 00:49:53,680 --> 00:49:58,040 Speaker 1: Drake and DeAndre Hopkins and this kid might just go 946 00:49:58,239 --> 00:50:01,560 Speaker 1: crazy running free in single cover. Ridge all season long, so, 947 00:50:02,280 --> 00:50:06,120 Speaker 1: but he is not my highest the Arizona Cardinals. I know, 948 00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:09,080 Speaker 1: I know what's coming. Our listeners don't, but I do. 949 00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:13,840 Speaker 1: Some might. Uh, So I have to talk about Larry Fitzgerald, 950 00:50:14,080 --> 00:50:16,160 Speaker 1: probably the greatest to ever do it. I'm gonna say, 951 00:50:16,160 --> 00:50:20,080 Speaker 1: even better than Jerry Royce considering the awful quarterbacking that 952 00:50:20,200 --> 00:50:22,280 Speaker 1: fits his head in his career, and Rice had Montana 953 00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:26,239 Speaker 1: and Steve Young. But Larry a brutal year last year. 954 00:50:26,280 --> 00:50:28,319 Speaker 1: A great start, top the hundred yards in his first 955 00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:31,600 Speaker 1: two games, his one top twelve finish game in Week one, 956 00:50:31,920 --> 00:50:34,239 Speaker 1: but after a sort of Week three and on, he 957 00:50:34,320 --> 00:50:37,960 Speaker 1: only topped sixty yards twice. And don't forget Keem Butler, 958 00:50:38,480 --> 00:50:40,959 Speaker 1: Andy is Abella and needs some reps, and I feel 959 00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:46,360 Speaker 1: like he's gonna forego some of his snaps for those guys. So, actually, 960 00:50:46,440 --> 00:50:49,160 Speaker 1: Fitzgerald's my downside guy. I'm saying you can't draft Larry 961 00:50:49,200 --> 00:50:51,920 Speaker 1: Fitzgerald in fantasy football. This here, I'm not gonna do it. 962 00:50:52,080 --> 00:50:54,320 Speaker 1: It breaks my heart. I'm pulling for him in reality, 963 00:50:54,400 --> 00:50:56,799 Speaker 1: but people will still draft him. But don't waste your 964 00:50:56,840 --> 00:50:59,759 Speaker 1: draft pick on chasing fits of bold. All right, who's 965 00:50:59,760 --> 00:51:02,600 Speaker 1: your side, guy, let's let's get it all the way. Upside. 966 00:51:02,680 --> 00:51:06,760 Speaker 1: Guy doesn't really have an ADP yet hard I'm trying. 967 00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:17,000 Speaker 1: There's upside and that is Dan Arnold, ard player without 968 00:51:17,040 --> 00:51:20,759 Speaker 1: any not a lot of numbers or tape on Dan 969 00:51:21,560 --> 00:51:24,480 Speaker 1: Now a tight end in the in the on the 970 00:51:24,600 --> 00:51:28,200 Speaker 1: team that featured the fewest tight ends snaps last year. 971 00:51:28,840 --> 00:51:31,080 Speaker 1: Something's got I'm gonna kindly ask you to shut up. Now, 972 00:51:31,680 --> 00:51:33,879 Speaker 1: let's break down what we got for dan Arnold. Look 973 00:51:33,880 --> 00:51:35,400 Speaker 1: at this guy going right to last year. Don't we 974 00:51:35,440 --> 00:51:39,040 Speaker 1: say not to do that. It's our it's our only 975 00:51:39,640 --> 00:51:45,960 Speaker 1: amateur amateurs right here. Anyway. Dan Arnold went undrafted out 976 00:51:46,040 --> 00:51:49,200 Speaker 1: of Wisconsin Platteville in seventeen, but was signed by the 977 00:51:49,280 --> 00:51:59,399 Speaker 1: Saints as a wide receiver converted tight end year later. Yeah, 978 00:51:59,520 --> 00:52:01,520 Speaker 1: played one year with the Saints. Really in one with 979 00:52:01,600 --> 00:52:04,560 Speaker 1: Arizona last year. Only twenty career receptions, not a lot, 980 00:52:05,040 --> 00:52:07,640 Speaker 1: not a lot, But he's averaging fourteen yards to catch. 981 00:52:08,360 --> 00:52:11,440 Speaker 1: Fifteen of those twenty receptions have gone for first downs. 982 00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:15,080 Speaker 1: That's pretty impressive. Okay, did not see real game action 983 00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:18,040 Speaker 1: until the last four games of twenty nineteen with the Cardinals, 984 00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:21,560 Speaker 1: but in those four games saw thirteen targets turned him 985 00:52:21,560 --> 00:52:24,560 Speaker 1: into eight catches, one and twenty seven yards and two 986 00:52:24,640 --> 00:52:29,279 Speaker 1: touchdowns in four games. That's still like averaging five yards 987 00:52:29,320 --> 00:52:33,120 Speaker 1: a game. You guys are more on anyway, he started 988 00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:35,640 Speaker 1: just one of those games. You didn't see full game 989 00:52:35,680 --> 00:52:37,600 Speaker 1: match and think of the thirdteen targets. If he gets 990 00:52:37,680 --> 00:52:39,920 Speaker 1: thirteen targets in the game, well is he? Is he 991 00:52:40,040 --> 00:52:44,160 Speaker 1: the starter? He started week seventeen? Okay, one start? Okay? 992 00:52:44,680 --> 00:52:47,439 Speaker 1: So is he the starter this year? Dan Arnold the starter? 993 00:52:47,520 --> 00:52:49,279 Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury wants him to be the starter. In his 994 00:52:49,360 --> 00:52:52,480 Speaker 1: one start last year, six targets, four catches, seventy six 995 00:52:52,560 --> 00:52:55,239 Speaker 1: yards in a touchdown. He's gonna get full run in 996 00:52:55,640 --> 00:53:00,160 Speaker 1: in an offense that plays soft tight end defenses. No, 997 00:53:00,440 --> 00:53:02,360 Speaker 1: put your finger down, put it up your nose. What 998 00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:07,600 Speaker 1: you got? I was gonna say, DeAndre Hopkins hundred and 999 00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:12,200 Speaker 1: two targets, hundred and eleven receptions, yards, eleven touchdowns. Who 1000 00:53:12,239 --> 00:53:16,200 Speaker 1: are his quarterbacks? You ask? Yeah, Brian Hoyer and Ryan Mallett. 1001 00:53:16,880 --> 00:53:20,480 Speaker 1: I think he can produce anybody With Kyler Murray, I 1002 00:53:20,520 --> 00:53:22,920 Speaker 1: think it'll be okay, You'll be fine, all right, Dan 1003 00:53:23,040 --> 00:53:32,360 Speaker 1: Arnold relevance, Damn Dan Arnold a DP is an infinity similar, 1004 00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:39,520 Speaker 1: Dan Arnold would somebody should get that. You should go 1005 00:53:39,560 --> 00:53:41,839 Speaker 1: to the Jets or the Jets. The Jets won't trade 1006 00:53:41,880 --> 00:53:45,120 Speaker 1: for Sam Donald. Imagine that Sam Donald to Dan Arnold connection. 1007 00:53:46,040 --> 00:53:49,440 Speaker 1: You know, they're gonna have these expanded, these expanded rosters 1008 00:53:49,520 --> 00:53:52,160 Speaker 1: due to COVID this year. There they might have a 1009 00:53:52,239 --> 00:53:56,759 Speaker 1: real problem where teams can't have you know, like linebackers 1010 00:53:56,840 --> 00:54:00,560 Speaker 1: have to wear between whatever forty and fifty or something, right, 1011 00:54:00,600 --> 00:54:02,520 Speaker 1: you have to, you know, but if you're if you're 1012 00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:06,080 Speaker 1: the Steelers, you've already retired like four numbers of linebackers 1013 00:54:06,760 --> 00:54:09,799 Speaker 1: and you've also got a bunch of linebackers, they might 1014 00:54:09,880 --> 00:54:12,319 Speaker 1: run out of numbers for some of these guys. They 1015 00:54:12,400 --> 00:54:15,600 Speaker 1: might need the infinity symbol or a half like Hi 1016 00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:21,080 Speaker 1: Hi Hi. Yeah. Maybe, um it's getting nerdy, that's getting nerdy. Uh. 1017 00:54:21,160 --> 00:54:24,879 Speaker 1: Speaking of COVID. Next show, I want to talk about 1018 00:54:24,920 --> 00:54:29,480 Speaker 1: some of the COVID prevention measures your league needs to take. Now, 1019 00:54:29,760 --> 00:54:31,879 Speaker 1: get your you know, get your league squared away. Now 1020 00:54:32,280 --> 00:54:34,280 Speaker 1: for some of the things that might happen COVID related 1021 00:54:34,600 --> 00:54:37,640 Speaker 1: That will come next week as one of several topics. 1022 00:54:37,719 --> 00:54:39,480 Speaker 1: So and and and I can I can bring up 1023 00:54:39,480 --> 00:54:42,439 Speaker 1: an early one where we're in an Empire baseball league, 1024 00:54:42,520 --> 00:54:44,680 Speaker 1: Brian and I and we don't know what to do 1025 00:54:45,280 --> 00:54:47,680 Speaker 1: with our Empire baseball league this year. If they play 1026 00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:50,920 Speaker 1: a sixty game baseball season, do you treat it as 1027 00:54:50,960 --> 00:54:53,400 Speaker 1: a full year? Do you do you just treat it 1028 00:54:53,440 --> 00:54:55,200 Speaker 1: as a one off? Some of things are gonna talk 1029 00:54:55,239 --> 00:54:57,480 Speaker 1: about what happens if what happens if it's a a 1030 00:54:57,760 --> 00:55:00,640 Speaker 1: an abbreviated season. What if it you know a little 1031 00:55:00,640 --> 00:55:03,279 Speaker 1: bit like baseball last year where they just have to 1032 00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:05,880 Speaker 1: not basic like basketball or hockey, or they just basically 1033 00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:09,120 Speaker 1: stop it then what so you know, we're gonna talk 1034 00:55:09,120 --> 00:55:10,920 Speaker 1: about some of those things. Also, we'll talk about Cam 1035 00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:12,759 Speaker 1: Newton going to the Patriots, which we didn't cover in 1036 00:55:12,840 --> 00:55:16,600 Speaker 1: this one. We'll talk about his fantasy value specifically with 1037 00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:19,280 Speaker 1: the Patriots. It's not gonna be anything because Jared Stidham 1038 00:55:19,360 --> 00:55:22,960 Speaker 1: is the starter. Well maybe you know, they don't have 1039 00:55:23,040 --> 00:55:25,759 Speaker 1: a monetary demand to have to pay Cam, make Cam 1040 00:55:25,840 --> 00:55:27,920 Speaker 1: the starters they paid him because they didn't pay him anything. 1041 00:55:28,000 --> 00:55:30,000 Speaker 1: They could cut him. They could cut him out right 1042 00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:32,279 Speaker 1: by the way. As a side note, for those people 1043 00:55:32,320 --> 00:55:34,480 Speaker 1: that have made it to the fifty six minute mark 1044 00:55:34,520 --> 00:55:41,040 Speaker 1: of this podcast. The Jets, the Bills, and the Dolphins, 1045 00:55:41,160 --> 00:55:44,040 Speaker 1: they all could have blocked this move. If you're the Bills, 1046 00:55:44,840 --> 00:55:47,640 Speaker 1: you're the Bill right there, the Bill. Let's take the 1047 00:55:47,680 --> 00:55:49,360 Speaker 1: Dolphins out of it. Who I still think, aren't you 1048 00:55:49,400 --> 00:55:51,960 Speaker 1: know they're not necessarily thinking about winning the division this year? 1049 00:55:52,000 --> 00:55:55,560 Speaker 1: But maybe who knows? The Bills really are for sure, 1050 00:55:55,640 --> 00:55:57,799 Speaker 1: and the Jets might be too. They were sitting at 1051 00:55:57,840 --> 00:56:00,840 Speaker 1: I believe two and twenty five million dollars of cap space, 1052 00:56:01,320 --> 00:56:03,480 Speaker 1: and I know that Cam would have had to come 1053 00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:06,800 Speaker 1: to those teams as the backup behind a young starter 1054 00:56:07,000 --> 00:56:09,240 Speaker 1: that's not going to give up that job. But instead 1055 00:56:09,280 --> 00:56:11,040 Speaker 1: of making one and a half million dollars, they could 1056 00:56:11,080 --> 00:56:14,279 Speaker 1: have gone, here, take ten million dollars. We'll have the 1057 00:56:14,320 --> 00:56:15,960 Speaker 1: best backup in the league, or one of the best 1058 00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:19,520 Speaker 1: backups in the league. And also we play keep away 1059 00:56:19,560 --> 00:56:22,200 Speaker 1: from the Patriots and the Bills and the Jets didn't 1060 00:56:22,239 --> 00:56:25,760 Speaker 1: do it. Maybe Cam wasn't interested in being a backup 1061 00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:28,560 Speaker 1: at all. Have they made public the ten million dollars 1062 00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:32,840 Speaker 1: incentives baked into his contract? You got like that, You 1063 00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:36,759 Speaker 1: like when guys are playing for stats. If he can 1064 00:56:36,840 --> 00:56:40,800 Speaker 1: make up to six or seven million with incentives, but 1065 00:56:41,080 --> 00:56:43,680 Speaker 1: he's not even guaranteed to be the starter right in 1066 00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:48,040 Speaker 1: with although he's the problem, Come on, he'll be the starter. 1067 00:56:48,600 --> 00:56:51,320 Speaker 1: He'll be all right. Thanks for making it to the 1068 00:56:51,480 --> 00:56:53,279 Speaker 1: very end of this podcast. We're grateful for all of 1069 00:56:53,360 --> 00:56:55,600 Speaker 1: you listening. If you missed any of the previous team 1070 00:56:55,640 --> 00:56:57,839 Speaker 1: by team breakdowns, we encourage you to go back through 1071 00:56:57,920 --> 00:57:00,920 Speaker 1: the previous podcast learn all about all the thirty two 1072 00:57:00,960 --> 00:57:03,800 Speaker 1: teams in the NFL fantasy style. We'll give the minute 1073 00:57:03,800 --> 00:57:05,520 Speaker 1: work for Dan Arnold two on the tweet right so 1074 00:57:05,680 --> 00:57:11,840 Speaker 1: people mark for everything you ever want to know about 1075 00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:14,840 Speaker 1: Dan Arnold, a boy Everybody. Fantasy Football Weekly is a 1076 00:57:14,880 --> 00:57:17,560 Speaker 1: production of I Heart Radio. For more podcasts from my 1077 00:57:17,640 --> 00:57:20,720 Speaker 1: heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, 1078 00:57:20,920 --> 00:57:22,880 Speaker 1: or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.