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Speaker 1: Happy Monday, everybody. Welcome into the late sedition of the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Peralt.

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Speaker 2: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 2: here every morning on Bettingpros dot com on our YouTube

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Speaker 2: channel with video and always being brought to you by BETMGM.

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Speaker 2: It's been a long day. Today was a long day.

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Speaker 2: It was a really fun day. We started bright and

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Speaker 2: early with Dan Harris and I with our live stream.

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Speaker 2: Thanks for being a part of that. That was really fun.

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Speaker 2: And then we had a bunch of games capped off

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Speaker 2: with it a really exciting win for the Baltimore Ravens

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Speaker 2: as that fumble happens turnover as the books cleaned up.

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Speaker 1: In reality, here's the thing.

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Speaker 2: The books actually wanted Casey to win because there was

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Speaker 2: a lot of money on the Ravens money line. So

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Speaker 2: that kind of bit back into a little bit of

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Speaker 2: the profits from the minus three and a half that

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Speaker 2: the book's cash on. But by far, well, I mean

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Speaker 2: way more money coming in here on Kansas City minus

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Speaker 2: three and a half. And this is an awesome lesson

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Speaker 2: for us here in sports betting. Okay, couple things, and

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Speaker 2: I only have two bets for you, guys. Today I'm

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Speaker 2: breaking up a full unit because I hate this game

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Speaker 2: on Monday Night Football. I just I hate everything about it.

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Speaker 2: So I hate the Lions. I just hate betting on

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Speaker 2: games involving the Lions. I just I don't like the Lions.

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Speaker 2: But I want to explain or take a second to

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Speaker 2: talk about a couple different things here because I think

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Speaker 2: it's important.

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Speaker 1: So first, we told you all week.

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Speaker 2: I told you on every time we talked, every time

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Speaker 2: I tweeted, every time I was on radio, that three

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Speaker 2: and a half was a trap for the Casey chiefs. Okay,

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Speaker 2: everything pointed Kansas City, Kansas City, Kansas City, right, So

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Speaker 2: why weren't the books moving the number when you see

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Speaker 2: thirty five to one, take account early in the week

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Speaker 2: all on Kansas City, when the books say this is

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Speaker 2: going to be our biggest decision of the year by far.

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Speaker 2: We have a monster liability to Kansas City. If they

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Speaker 2: win and cover, we're going to take a big shot.

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Speaker 2: And they don't move the number. Something's up, something's up,

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Speaker 2: something can smell right, something is They laid a monster

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Speaker 2: trap and so many people drove right off that minus

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Speaker 2: three and a half cliff Road favorite over three when

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Speaker 2: it went to four, the pros hammered it right back

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Speaker 2: down to three and a half instantaneously, go to four, boom,

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Speaker 2: right back down.

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Speaker 1: Pay attention.

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Speaker 2: Okay, even if it doesn't make sense to you, even

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Speaker 2: if the bets like, eh, pay attention now. I didn't

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Speaker 2: do it either, Okay. We did a same game teaser

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Speaker 2: where I teased it up to nine and a half

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Speaker 2: and brought the total down to forty seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: We didn't need to do either.

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Speaker 2: It would have been better off just parlaying ravens plus

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Speaker 2: three and a half and the over or just bet

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Speaker 2: the over. So we laid minus one twenty to do

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Speaker 2: that with a full unit. So we gave back ten

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Speaker 2: cents by doing that. But it was more about my

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Speaker 2: like my peace of mind, because if CAC had marched

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Speaker 2: down the field and scored a touchdown there, Casey covers.

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Speaker 2: So just for my own peace of mind, I knew

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Speaker 2: that if Casey scored there, we were pretty good to

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Speaker 2: hit the to hit the part, hit the teaser, and

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Speaker 2: be good for zero point eight units or whatever it

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Speaker 2: is for the win. So I very much was okay

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Speaker 2: with paying the extra ten cents for the peace of mind.

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Speaker 2: I oftentimes will do that rather than like pacing and

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Speaker 2: sweating and worrying. And if you were on plus three

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Speaker 2: and a half, you were sweating big time. If you

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Speaker 2: were on moneyline, you were sweating big time. At one

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Speaker 2: point it was plus two point fifty on the Ravens

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Speaker 2: on the money line late in the fourth quarter. You

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Speaker 2: could have jumped on that and cash that. That would

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Speaker 2: have been phenomenal. I didn't do it because I didn't.

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Speaker 1: Believe it either. I'm gonna bet against Patrick Mahomes. You

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Speaker 1: kidding me.

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Speaker 2: The Chiefs took the football out of his hands. It

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Speaker 2: wasn't his mistake, So that was the mistake by the

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Speaker 2: head coaching staff to not have Patrick Mahomes have the football.

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Speaker 2: So that's that's one thing. Secondly, somebody asked me about teasers, okay,

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Speaker 2: and the difference between a teaser and a parlay. I

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Speaker 2: know this is kind of basic, but let me quickly explain. Teasers.

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Speaker 2: The books will give you four, five, six, or seven

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Speaker 2: sometimes eight or nine, depending on the teaser points, and

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Speaker 2: you can move the line in that direction up or down.

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Speaker 2: So if seven in a six point teaser, you would

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Speaker 2: take it down to minus one or tease it up

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Speaker 2: to thirteen. The reason why teasers are important is because

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Speaker 2: you have to know what a key number is. A

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Speaker 2: key number is three, seven, ten, fourteen, right, those are

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Speaker 2: all key numbers that are also secondary key numbers. That

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Speaker 2: come in at two and a half, three and a half, four, six,

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Speaker 2: six and a half, nine, nine and a half, and

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Speaker 2: ten and a half, those are all key numbers, secondary

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Speaker 2: key numbers. Moving the number through the first key numbers

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Speaker 2: very important.

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Speaker 1: You gotta p get below three.

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Speaker 2: If you can move it up at two and a half,

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Speaker 2: six point teaser gets you through three and through seven

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Speaker 2: and also gets you to eight, which is really good.

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Speaker 1: Eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: So that's getting through those key numbers is what you want. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I've seen a bunch of people talk about Wong teasers. Look,

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Speaker 2: even people on Twitter are talking about, ooh, you know

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Speaker 2: the late next week looks great for Wong teasers. No,

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Speaker 2: it doesn't because the way that Wong teasers work and

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Speaker 2: I'm now two and oh this year betting Wong teasers,

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Speaker 2: it has to be thirty minutes prior to kickoff. Okay,

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Speaker 2: you have to absorb the line movement at the end

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Speaker 2: because the game may not qualify to be a Wong teaser,

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Speaker 2: and then you're just betting a teaser. It's not a

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Speaker 2: long teaser. The math doesn't work. Okay, just keep that

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Speaker 2: in mind. I'm now zero and two on my own teasers,

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Speaker 2: and I'm two and oh on Wong teasers. So I'm

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Speaker 2: going to take a pause on my own teasers for

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Speaker 2: a week or two and just do Wong teas.

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Speaker 1: Tezer is coming up now. I like doing teasers a lot.

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Speaker 2: I may have a personal player too, but officially, I'm

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Speaker 2: not going to give out a teaser except for a

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Speaker 2: long teaser, and we're going to do that coming up

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Speaker 2: here on the Discord channel or the party of the

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Speaker 2: live chat on YouTube every Sunday with Dan Harris and I. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so I'm two and zero giving out those teasers. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna do it again coming up for week number three,

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Speaker 2: but I'm not going to do it beforehand, okay, So

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Speaker 2: just heads up on that. So that's a teaser parlays.

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Speaker 2: You just group bets together and it gives you an

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Speaker 2: odds based upon what you're laying from an odds perspective,

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Speaker 2: and you want, you know, two team three, team four,

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Speaker 2: team five, team five, leg whatever teaser I mean or sorry, parlay,

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Speaker 2: you aren't moving the number. You're accepting whatever the number

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Speaker 2: they're giving you, and you're just lumping together bets and

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Speaker 2: they all have to cash for you to cast your parlay. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's the difference between a parlay and a teaser. Once

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Speaker 2: moving the number and one is not same game. Teaser

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Speaker 2: is moving the number in the same game. Not every

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Speaker 2: book lets you do that. Most books now do, but

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Speaker 2: not every book lets you do that. Where like I

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Speaker 2: moved the Ravens from plus three and a half to

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Speaker 2: plus nine and a half, I pulled the total from

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Speaker 2: fifty three and a half down to forty seven and

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Speaker 2: a half and bet the over. Okay, that's what I

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Speaker 2: did last night for Sunday Night football. Okay, so let's

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Speaker 2: get to Monday night football. You guys can use the

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Speaker 2: offer from bet MGM if you would like. Here five

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Speaker 2: dollars wager is a one hundred dollars pre bet payout

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Speaker 2: either team you bet on tonight Lions or the Packers

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Speaker 2: side money line totals. Either team scores a touchdown and

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Speaker 2: you win that wager five bucks to win one hundred

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Speaker 2: bucks with a new account with bet MGM by using

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Speaker 2: the promo code Juice one hundred when you sign up

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Speaker 2: for a new account with bet MGM Juice one hundred

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Speaker 2: tonight for Monday Night Football.

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Speaker 1: All right, so.

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Speaker 2: I'll probably have some prop bets going for the game tonight, okay,

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Speaker 2: And I'm just going to give you two plays that

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Speaker 2: I like that are only going to be half unit bets.

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Speaker 1: All right, I'm just not in love.

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Speaker 2: We went three to two in one yesterday, all right,

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Speaker 2: two and one on our full unit plays. Patriots came

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Speaker 2: in with a walk, which was great. We pushed magically

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Speaker 2: on the Bengals plus three, where you bet that number

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Speaker 2: really mattered. Late game interception from Justin Fields looks like

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Speaker 2: Andy Dalton's out looks like it's Justin Fields as team.

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Speaker 2: So it worked out perfectly for Chicago. I guess late

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Speaker 2: pick from Fields leads to a touchdown and it's a

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Speaker 2: three point win for Chicago, So that's beautiful. We push

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Speaker 2: on that. We lost on the Cardinals because of a

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Speaker 2: variety of mistakes. That pick six thrown by by Kyler

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Speaker 2: Murray was awful. We got my personal teaser wrong because

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins got annihilated by the Bills.

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Speaker 1: We got the long teaser right.

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Speaker 2: Thanks to a late score by the Eagles, and so

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Speaker 2: we got that right. Eagles Panthers long teaser came in

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Speaker 2: and cashed on that, and then we had the Ravens

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Speaker 2: same game teaser that came in. So three two and

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Speaker 2: one officially for one unit bets coming up. So a

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Speaker 2: winning day slightly on the full unit plays. So not

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Speaker 2: not a great day, but not an awful day. And

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Speaker 2: I've not checked the props.

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Speaker 1: I think I went.

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Speaker 2: I don't know two to one and three. I don't

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Speaker 2: know what I want on the prop so just I

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Speaker 2: got to go and check it. I'm tired, so I

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Speaker 2: forgot what I am on the prop bets. But whatever,

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Speaker 2: those are quarter unit plays, and you know whatever, I'm

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Speaker 2: more interested in my full unit bets. A lot more

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Speaker 2: money at stake with the full unit wagers. So three

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Speaker 2: two and one on.

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Speaker 1: The full unit, okay.

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Speaker 2: But I'm breaking a unit up here for Monday night football, okay.

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Speaker 2: So here's what I have bet, half a unit. Green

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Speaker 2: Bay Packers laying seven in the first half against the Lions.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to be around for a back door.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to see what happened to the Green

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Speaker 2: Bay Packer. What happened to the jud to the forty

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Speaker 2: nine ers last week. I don't want to see it happen.

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Speaker 2: I don't think it's going to happen. But I don't

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Speaker 2: like laying eleven points twelve points. I don't like the

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Speaker 2: number at all. It's a dead number in a lot

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Speaker 2: of ways. And I think the books are telegraphing a

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Speaker 2: little bit on that, and I'm a little concerned about that.

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Speaker 2: I just think the green Bay Packers come out very fast, okay.

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Speaker 2: I think they come out angry actually, and they want

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Speaker 2: to prove a point. You may get six and a half, okay,

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Speaker 2: But I laid seven minus one fifteen for a half

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Speaker 2: a unit on the green Bay Packers to come out

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Speaker 2: of the gates and score a lot of points, just

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Speaker 2: like the forty nine Ers did against the first team

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Speaker 2: in the early part of the game. And I don't

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Speaker 2: think Green Bay is gonna give up a lot of

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Speaker 2: points in the early part of this game. And I

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Speaker 2: think it's like a twenty four to seven lead at half.

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Speaker 2: It's something kind of crazy. Green Bay is gonna be rocking.

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Speaker 2: The Lions are gonna get ripped up. I just think

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Speaker 2: green Bay is gonna be really fired up to get

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Speaker 2: after it. Okay, So I'm laying the seven points. You

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Speaker 2: might get six and a half, but half a unit

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Speaker 2: green Bay minus seven in the first half at minus

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Speaker 2: one fifteen. Shop around, maybe you find a six and

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Speaker 2: a half and I just grab seven because I don't

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Speaker 2: think I'm gonna need it. But seven six and a

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Speaker 2: half is better than seven. So first half numbers aren't

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Speaker 2: out everywhere here in Vegas right now.

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Speaker 1: They'll be out in the morning.

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Speaker 2: But I'm on seven right now, minus seven green Bay

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Speaker 2: first half at minus one fifteen, the other half a unit.

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Speaker 2: The Lions were horrific last year. They gave up over

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Speaker 2: thirty points a game.

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Speaker 1: Last year.

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Speaker 2: They couldn't stop anybody. Jeff Akuda is out for the year.

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Speaker 2: I mean, they've lost a bunch of players already. Their

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Speaker 2: defense is totally out of sink, and they're playing outdoors.

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Speaker 2: They're playing against a Green Bay Packers team that's really angry.

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Speaker 2: I do think they're gonna put up points in the

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Speaker 2: second half, though.

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Speaker 1: So the total is forty eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go over forty eight and a half for

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Speaker 2: a half a unit here in this game and expect

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna need probably seventeen or more, maybe twenty out

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Speaker 2: of the Detroit Lions offense. I think I might get

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Speaker 2: it because we know all Jered Goff's gonna do is

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Speaker 2: drop back and throw and throw and throw.

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Speaker 1: And I don't love that green Bay Packers defense.

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Speaker 2: It's okay, I think they're potentially gonna give up points,

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Speaker 2: so I don't need a ton here, but I do

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Speaker 2: think we could have like a thirty to twenty victory

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Speaker 2: for the green Bay Packers. And again, if we get

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Speaker 2: like twenty one points in the first half and it's

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Speaker 2: twenty one to three or twenty one seven or something

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Speaker 2: along those lines, we're gonna cover.

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Speaker 1: The first half number.

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Speaker 2: And then we're gonna need some points in garbage time

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Speaker 2: from the Lions, which I think we could get, and

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Speaker 2: then green Bay just needs to score thirty get twenty

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Speaker 2: out of the Lions. We don't worry about eleven and

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Speaker 2: a half because that's kind of where the number is.

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Speaker 2: It's what the book's kind of saying. It's gonna be

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Speaker 2: somewhere that type of game where it's ten, thirteen, fourteen

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Speaker 2: points somewhere in there. So we go ahead and we

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Speaker 2: avoid getting back doored, and we just want points, so

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Speaker 2: half a unit on the over, forty eight and a

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Speaker 2: half and a half a unit on the Packers minus

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Speaker 2: seven in the first half at minus one fifteen minus

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Speaker 2: one ten obviously on the total of forty eight and

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Speaker 2: a half going to the over for tonight on Monday

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Speaker 2: Night Football, I will most likely add I may have

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Speaker 2: a baseball ad. I mean we're down to like thirteen games.

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Speaker 2: Future wagers are getting interesting, so we have over eighty

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Speaker 2: five wins. I believe it is for the Cardinals, and

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Speaker 2: the Cardinals are at seventy nine wins at the started

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Speaker 2: play today, so I think they got like thirteen games left,

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Speaker 2: so I think we need them to go. At my

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Speaker 2: last math, I think we need them to go. I

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Speaker 2: think it may be seven and six. I think that's

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Speaker 2: right to cash that to get the eighty six wins.

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Speaker 2: It maybe eighty six, and we need them to go

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Speaker 2: eight and five. I can't remember, but we're getting real close.

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Speaker 2: If the Cardinals stay hot, the Cardinals can go over

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Speaker 2: their win total. Red Sox have already gone over their

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Speaker 2: win total.

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Speaker 1: The Nationals. That's dead.

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Speaker 2: That BET's going to lose, and I forget we had

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Speaker 2: one more baseball total to get into we had one

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Speaker 2: more going and I forget we had four going in,

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Speaker 2: so it's either going to be a three and we

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Speaker 2: want three and one. Obviously, two and two means we're

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Speaker 2: down the juice. We don't like that, so hopefully we

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Speaker 2: go three and one on our future Rangers for baseball

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Speaker 2: and our football future Rangers are off to a really

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Speaker 2: good start.

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Speaker 1: The loss by the Steelers to the Raiders is awesome.

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Speaker 1: Raiders are two.

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Speaker 2: And oher We have over six and a half wins

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Speaker 2: on the Raiders, which is awesome. The Bengals have one win,

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Speaker 2: which is great. They're one and one. We have them

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Speaker 2: over six and a half wins. We've got the over

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Speaker 2: on the the Titans nine and a half. Titans beat

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Speaker 2: the Seattle Seahawks in overtime. That's big for that. They're

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Speaker 2: now one in one, so that's really important for them

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Speaker 2: to get a win on the road in a tough

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Speaker 2: place in front of the twelfth man.

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Speaker 1: That was great.

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Speaker 2: And Steelers losing. They're one in one now and Big

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Speaker 2: Ben looked bad. So maybe it was a one game

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Speaker 2: fluke where that second half defense played really well against

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Speaker 2: Buffalo and got that surprise win. I thought they'd open Oh,

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Speaker 2: in two or I hope they'd open oh in two,

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Speaker 2: but I thought they lose to Buffalo and beat the

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Speaker 2: Raiders to go one in one at best. So they

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Speaker 2: go one in one by flip flopping those two. So

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Speaker 2: not a bad start to the future wagers in the

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Speaker 2: NFL with how we've seen it, you know, Patriots off

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Speaker 2: to a really good start, and Patriots now two and

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Speaker 2: oh or sorry, one in one. Rather for the Patriots,

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Speaker 2: Patrier are one and one after losing to the Dolphins

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Speaker 2: in Week one, so they get their first win. Four

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Speaker 2: interceptions against Zach Wilson, who looked awful for the Jets,

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Speaker 2: and I'm sure the back pages in New York are

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Speaker 2: gonna crush him this morning. But Patriot's get a big

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Speaker 2: win and they're gonna need it because in two weeks

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Speaker 2: they've got Tom Brady coming in and the whole world

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Speaker 2: it's gonna be staring directly at them. So the play

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Speaker 2: is for today, I'm gonna add I'm sure in the

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Speaker 2: Discord channel, I'll add a couple of player props that

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Speaker 2: we'll hop in I'm sure for the game, and I'm

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Speaker 2: sure we'll hop in maybe with a baseball play we'll

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Speaker 2: have more than this going. We're just for today half

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Speaker 2: a unit on minus seven green Bay in the first

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Speaker 2: half minus one fifteen and over forty eight and a

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Speaker 2: half at minus one ten for the Lions and the

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Speaker 2: Packers tonight on Monday Night Football Minus Matt Parolt to

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Speaker 2: follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and

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Speaker 2: every morning, it's the Daily Juice podcast being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by BETTEMGM. Always found right here on bettingpros dot com.