WEBVTT - Tariffs on Hold Until US-China Summit; AI Existential Risks

0:00:02.540 --> 0:00:05.390
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts.

0:00:05.710 --> 0:00:06.230
<v Speaker 2>Radio.

0:00:06.670 --> 0:00:07.070
<v Speaker 3>News.

0:00:10.060 --> 0:00:11.420
<v Speaker 1>Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager.

0:00:11.740 --> 0:00:14.890
<v Speaker 4>And I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today.

0:00:15.630 --> 0:00:18.270
<v Speaker 5>Karen, we begin with China and a look ahead to

0:00:18.380 --> 0:00:21.700
<v Speaker 5>next week's summit with President Trump and his Chinese counterpart,

0:00:21.780 --> 0:00:25.200
<v Speaker 5>Xi Jinping, in Washington. Ahead of the meeting, we're learning

0:00:25.220 --> 0:00:28.500
<v Speaker 5>the U.S. is expected to delay the announcement of certain

0:00:28.540 --> 0:00:31.479
<v Speaker 5>new tariffs. Bloomberg's Amy Morris has the latest from the

0:00:31.520 --> 0:00:32.190
<v Speaker 5>nation's capital.

0:00:32.920 --> 0:00:37.020
<v Speaker 6>Sources tell Bloomberg the capacity tariffs, which are over trading partners'

0:00:37.140 --> 0:00:41.240
<v Speaker 6>excess manufacturing capacity, will be held off until after the summit,

0:00:41.340 --> 0:00:45.680
<v Speaker 6>at least. Bloomberg earlier reported the administration intended to release

0:00:45.700 --> 0:00:49.349
<v Speaker 6>a trade report on excess capacity before the leaders' meeting,

0:00:49.729 --> 0:00:52.909
<v Speaker 6>and that the report would recommend a 7.5% tariff on

0:00:52.950 --> 0:00:56.810
<v Speaker 6>Chinese goods. The reason for the delay is unclear, and

0:00:56.870 --> 0:00:59.490
<v Speaker 6>it's not clear if the final tariff rate will change.

0:01:00.030 --> 0:01:02.130
<v Speaker 6>In Washington, Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio.

0:01:02.150 --> 0:01:03.190
<v Speaker 4>All right, Amy, thank you.

0:01:03.210 --> 0:01:05.650
<v Speaker 7>Well, President Xi heads to the White House for the

0:01:05.750 --> 0:01:09.160
<v Speaker 7>highest stakes summit with not just trade, but tech and

0:01:09.200 --> 0:01:12.660
<v Speaker 7>AI are also set to dominate the agenda. Sources tell

0:01:12.680 --> 0:01:15.740
<v Speaker 7>Bloomberg that leaders of Apple, OpenAI, and Qualcomm are set

0:01:15.780 --> 0:01:18.459
<v Speaker 7>to attend the White House state dinner for Trump and Xi.

0:01:18.980 --> 0:01:23.220
<v Speaker 7>Executives are reportedly expected to join other business leaders, including

0:01:23.280 --> 0:01:27.030
<v Speaker 7>NVIDIA's Jensen Wong. Bloomberg's Tom McKenzie says one area of

0:01:27.110 --> 0:01:30.950
<v Speaker 7>focus will be China's critical response to Anthropic CEO Dario

0:01:31.069 --> 0:01:34.750
<v Speaker 7>Amadei's essay about slowing the pace of AI development.

0:01:35.209 --> 0:01:36.830
<v Speaker 8>My reading of that was this is a China that's

0:01:37.190 --> 0:01:41.310
<v Speaker 8>very annoyed with Anthropic because Anthropic has been very critical

0:01:41.350 --> 0:01:43.770
<v Speaker 8>of China and they were making the case, Dario, in

0:01:43.810 --> 0:01:46.550
<v Speaker 8>that essay that there should be greater restrictions on chips

0:01:46.590 --> 0:01:49.830
<v Speaker 8>into China. I think that's where the criticism was rather

0:01:49.870 --> 0:01:51.190
<v Speaker 8>than pacing itself.

0:01:51.990 --> 0:01:55.430
<v Speaker 7>Bloomberg's Tom McKenzie says the summit comes with geopolitical tensions

0:01:55.550 --> 0:01:59.400
<v Speaker 7>simmering over the AI race, international trade, and the Middle East.

0:01:59.760 --> 0:02:02.340
<v Speaker 7>Trump and Xi are scheduled to hold the bilateral summit

0:02:02.420 --> 0:02:06.040
<v Speaker 7>at the White House next Thursday, September 24th, following their

0:02:06.080 --> 0:02:08.040
<v Speaker 7>previous meeting in Beijing in May.

0:02:08.460 --> 0:02:11.299
<v Speaker 5>And ahead of that, Karen, President Trump is telling Axios

0:02:11.340 --> 0:02:14.930
<v Speaker 5>he is approaching a big decision, in his words, on

0:02:14.950 --> 0:02:19.350
<v Speaker 5>whether to re-escalate attacks on Iran. Persian Gulf nations are

0:02:19.490 --> 0:02:21.650
<v Speaker 5>set to meet in New York next week on the

0:02:21.690 --> 0:02:24.970
<v Speaker 5>sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly. Ahead of that,

0:02:25.050 --> 0:02:27.820
<v Speaker 5>Reuters is reporting that China has privately asked Iran to

0:02:27.840 --> 0:02:32.040
<v Speaker 5>help rein in Houthi militants after an appeal by Saudi Arabia.

0:02:32.639 --> 0:02:35.690
<v Speaker 5>The Tehran-backed militant group has made advances in Yemen toward

0:02:35.730 --> 0:02:39.400
<v Speaker 5>the Bab el-Mandeb Strait in recent days while also attacking

0:02:39.440 --> 0:02:40.540
<v Speaker 5>facilities in the kingdom.

0:02:41.380 --> 0:02:44.200
<v Speaker 7>Meanwhile, in Iran this morning, Nathan, hundreds of thousands of

0:02:44.280 --> 0:02:48.190
<v Speaker 7>Iranians have gathered for a government-organized rally. It's the biggest

0:02:48.210 --> 0:02:51.010
<v Speaker 7>show of defiance since the U.S. and Israel first attacked

0:02:51.070 --> 0:02:54.690
<v Speaker 7>in late February. Many of the demonstrators marched through downtown

0:02:54.730 --> 0:02:58.150
<v Speaker 7>Tehran in combat uniform, pledging to take up arms and

0:02:58.190 --> 0:03:01.950
<v Speaker 7>receive limited military training in an effort known as, quote,

0:03:02.150 --> 0:03:04.490
<v Speaker 7>ones who sacrificed their lives for Iran.

0:03:04.810 --> 0:03:07.190
<v Speaker 5>With all that in the background, Karen, oil is falling

0:03:07.280 --> 0:03:10.800
<v Speaker 5>for a third straight day. Brent is trading around $ 102

0:03:10.740 --> 0:03:14.320
<v Speaker 5>a barrel as supply concerns ease. But analysts at J.P.

0:03:14.360 --> 0:03:17.580
<v Speaker 5>Morgan say it is increasingly impossible to predict how the

0:03:17.620 --> 0:03:20.720
<v Speaker 5>Iran war might end. Markets are pricing an additional 4

0:03:20.720 --> 0:03:23.320
<v Speaker 5>million barrels a day of oil disruption on top of

0:03:23.340 --> 0:03:26.660
<v Speaker 5>the 10 million now. Bloomberg executive editor for the Middle

0:03:26.720 --> 0:03:30.000
<v Speaker 5>East and North Africa, Stuart Livingston Wallace, says President Trump

0:03:30.060 --> 0:03:32.060
<v Speaker 5>currently seems to be looking at diplomacy.

0:03:32.460 --> 0:03:36.380
<v Speaker 9>There is the issue of domestic fuel prices, the cost

0:03:36.420 --> 0:03:38.910
<v Speaker 9>of this war, the optics of this war. You know,

0:03:38.940 --> 0:03:41.310
<v Speaker 9>those will all constrain him. And I think certainly from

0:03:41.330 --> 0:03:44.780
<v Speaker 9>the GCC side, that is the Gulf Arab States. One

0:03:44.810 --> 0:03:46.440
<v Speaker 9>would presume they're going to be pushing for a more

0:03:46.460 --> 0:03:50.040
<v Speaker 9>diplomatic solution because of the experience earlier on in this

0:03:50.080 --> 0:03:53.460
<v Speaker 9>year and what a return to full-scale hostilities might potentially

0:03:53.480 --> 0:03:55.200
<v Speaker 9>mean for their economies in particular.

0:03:55.220 --> 0:03:56.920
<v Speaker 1>That's Bloomberg's Stuart Livingston-Wallace.

0:03:56.940 --> 0:04:00.530
<v Speaker 5>Meanwhile, the nationwide average price for gasoline rose to nearly

0:04:00.530 --> 0:04:04.790
<v Speaker 5>$ 4. 47 a gallon today, according to AAA. Regular has risen

0:04:04.850 --> 0:04:06.230
<v Speaker 5>by nearly 10% over the last month.

0:04:07.830 --> 0:04:10.990
<v Speaker 7>Well, turning to Europe here, Nathan, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz

0:04:11.270 --> 0:04:15.310
<v Speaker 7>is commenting on U.S.-German relations. He says the era of, quote,

0:04:15.770 --> 0:04:19.409
<v Speaker 7>unconditional transatlantic friendship between Europe and the U.S.

0:04:19.470 --> 0:04:21.790
<v Speaker 4>Is over for the foreseeable future.

0:04:21.890 --> 0:04:24.630
<v Speaker 7>Merz made the comments in a speech to party members

0:04:24.710 --> 0:04:28.200
<v Speaker 7>in Berlin ahead of Sunday's state election. His Christian Democrats

0:04:28.240 --> 0:04:31.460
<v Speaker 7>are under pressure from the far-right AFD after its shock

0:04:31.520 --> 0:04:34.920
<v Speaker 7>victory in Saxony and Halt earlier this month. President Trump

0:04:34.960 --> 0:04:36.960
<v Speaker 7>praised the AFD following that result.

0:04:37.300 --> 0:04:40.820
<v Speaker 5>Getting closer to this country's November midterm election, Karen, President

0:04:40.860 --> 0:04:43.310
<v Speaker 5>Trump's bid to use the Postal Service to limit mail-in

0:04:43.370 --> 0:04:46.869
<v Speaker 5>voting appears to be on hold. Postmaster General David Steiner

0:04:46.910 --> 0:04:49.750
<v Speaker 5>says his agency has stopped work on a computer system

0:04:49.770 --> 0:04:52.469
<v Speaker 5>that was central to the president's effort. It's after the

0:04:52.510 --> 0:04:55.520
<v Speaker 5>Supreme Court rejected President Trump's executive order this week for

0:04:55.540 --> 0:04:58.360
<v Speaker 5>the Postal Service to deliver ballots by mail only to

0:04:58.420 --> 0:05:01.960
<v Speaker 5>voters on state citizenship lists. The president blasted the high

0:05:02.000 --> 0:05:05.409
<v Speaker 5>court after that decision, but Steiner offered no opinion. He

0:05:05.450 --> 0:05:07.610
<v Speaker 5>tells the Associated Press he looks at the issue more

0:05:07.950 --> 0:05:09.210
<v Speaker 5>from the execution side.

0:05:09.920 --> 0:05:12.090
<v Speaker 7>Well, we turn to the markets now, Nathan. In a

0:05:12.230 --> 0:05:14.970
<v Speaker 7>hawkish week for central banks across the globe, for the

0:05:15.010 --> 0:05:18.370
<v Speaker 7>first time ever, the Federal Reserve, ECB, and Bank of

0:05:18.410 --> 0:05:21.650
<v Speaker 7>Japan have all raised interest rates in the same month.

0:05:21.970 --> 0:05:25.250
<v Speaker 7>The BOJ completed the trio this morning, lifting rates to 1.25%

0:05:25.250 --> 0:05:30.100
<v Speaker 7>at its fastest pace of tightening since 1990. BOJ Governor

0:05:30.160 --> 0:05:33.180
<v Speaker 7>Kazuo Ueda spoke to reporters in Tokyo afterwards.

0:05:33.660 --> 0:05:37.500
<v Speaker 10>Now the underlying inflation rate is approaching 2%. Therefore, it

0:05:37.540 --> 0:05:41.050
<v Speaker 10>has become important to stabilize the underlying inflation rate at

0:05:41.070 --> 0:05:44.530
<v Speaker 10>around 2% so that the risk of it overshooting the 2%

0:05:44.529 --> 0:05:49.070
<v Speaker 10>price stability target does not materialize and subsequently have an

0:05:49.190 --> 0:05:52.960
<v Speaker 10>adverse impact on the economy. In that sense, I believe

0:05:53.000 --> 0:05:55.320
<v Speaker 10>the stage for setting policy has changed.

0:05:55.870 --> 0:06:00.920
<v Speaker 7>And Japan's currency weakened about 1% to 157.54 against the

0:06:00.940 --> 0:06:06.260
<v Speaker 7>dollar during Governor Ueda's post-decision briefing. Unlike the Fed's decision

0:06:06.320 --> 0:06:09.680
<v Speaker 7>this week, two Bank of Japan board members voted against

0:06:09.700 --> 0:06:10.520
<v Speaker 7>today's rate hike.

0:06:10.740 --> 0:06:13.760
<v Speaker 5>There's more central bank news this morning, Karen. Christine Lagarde

0:06:13.850 --> 0:06:16.430
<v Speaker 5>is reiterating that she will depart as the European Central

0:06:16.450 --> 0:06:20.170
<v Speaker 5>Bank's president next year. Though she's declining to say whether

0:06:20.350 --> 0:06:22.490
<v Speaker 5>that means that she's going to stay on until her

0:06:22.570 --> 0:06:27.660
<v Speaker 5>term ends next October, Lagarde told Ireland's RTE radio, quote,

0:06:27.779 --> 0:06:30.380
<v Speaker 5>we'll see. But added, it'll be handled in the most

0:06:30.460 --> 0:06:32.400
<v Speaker 5>professional way as it should be.

0:06:33.140 --> 0:06:35.980
<v Speaker 7>Well, we turn to the economy now, Nathan. Notable bond

0:06:36.040 --> 0:06:40.220
<v Speaker 7>investor Jeffrey Gundlach is warning the next U.S. economic downturn

0:06:40.260 --> 0:06:44.529
<v Speaker 7>could trigger a debt crisis. The CEO of DoubleLine Capital,

0:06:44.570 --> 0:06:48.830
<v Speaker 7>which manages almost $ 100 billion in fixed income, says bonds

0:06:48.930 --> 0:06:53.450
<v Speaker 7>could sell off alongside stocks. upending their traditional role as

0:06:53.470 --> 0:06:56.930
<v Speaker 7>a safe haven. Gundlach told CNBC the U.S. Treasury would

0:06:56.970 --> 0:06:59.339
<v Speaker 7>likely step in before yields climb too far.

0:06:59.960 --> 0:07:03.000
<v Speaker 3>It's just too economically prohibitive for the Treasury. So you've

0:07:03.020 --> 0:07:05.719
<v Speaker 3>got to pick a point. When are they going to

0:07:05.760 --> 0:07:08.979
<v Speaker 3>go big? And when they go big, you're going to

0:07:09.000 --> 0:07:10.840
<v Speaker 3>get a big rally in the long run. This is

0:07:10.860 --> 0:07:12.740
<v Speaker 3>something I think about every single day.

0:07:13.660 --> 0:07:14.380
<v Speaker 1>What's the level?

0:07:14.820 --> 0:07:17.730
<v Speaker 3>And what the market's telling you is so far the

0:07:17.770 --> 0:07:22.110
<v Speaker 3>trend is toward higher yields. And the Treasury Department is

0:07:22.190 --> 0:07:24.900
<v Speaker 3>only kind of warming up the motor.

0:07:25.880 --> 0:07:28.830
<v Speaker 7>And Jeffrey Gundlach also told CNBC that he is shifting

0:07:28.870 --> 0:07:33.150
<v Speaker 7>toward low-duration assets to protect against further interest rate increases.

0:07:33.210 --> 0:07:37.170
<v Speaker 7>More than 60% of respondents to Bloomberg's latest Markets Pulse

0:07:37.250 --> 0:07:40.360
<v Speaker 7>survey say they expect 10-year Treasury yields to end the

0:07:40.400 --> 0:07:41.580
<v Speaker 7>year above 5%.

0:07:41.580 --> 0:07:45.880
<v Speaker 5>And current federal regulators are seeking interviews with employees of

0:07:45.940 --> 0:07:49.430
<v Speaker 5>Guggenheim Partners as they look for evidence of potential wrongdoing

0:07:49.570 --> 0:07:53.460
<v Speaker 5>at CEO Mark Walters' business empire. The Securities and Exchange

0:07:53.500 --> 0:07:57.380
<v Speaker 5>Commission has sent requests to current and former employees, including

0:07:57.430 --> 0:08:01.150
<v Speaker 5>people who've managed portfolios of assets for insurance companies. Now,

0:08:01.190 --> 0:08:04.970
<v Speaker 5>Guggenheim Investment says it is cooperating with the investigation. It

0:08:05.030 --> 0:08:08.790
<v Speaker 5>acknowledges accounting practices were the focus of a whistleblower report

0:08:08.910 --> 0:08:12.560
<v Speaker 5>last year. Walter is also a billionaire sports owner. He's

0:08:12.600 --> 0:08:16.660
<v Speaker 5>accused of insurance fraud and hiding an ongoing federal investigation

0:08:16.720 --> 0:08:17.400
<v Speaker 5>from customers.

0:08:20.880 --> 0:08:22.120
<v Speaker 7>Time now for a look at some of the other

0:08:22.140 --> 0:08:24.580
<v Speaker 7>stories making news in New York and around the world.

0:08:24.640 --> 0:08:26.660
<v Speaker 7>And for that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr.

0:08:26.700 --> 0:08:27.380
<v Speaker 4>Michael, good morning.

0:08:27.420 --> 0:08:30.960
<v Speaker 11>Good morning, Karen. The fight over the Kennedy Center in Washington, D.C.,

0:08:31.000 --> 0:08:34.400
<v Speaker 11>has taken another turn. After President Trump said that the

0:08:34.460 --> 0:08:37.359
<v Speaker 11>building could be ripped down completely if his name is

0:08:37.400 --> 0:08:39.780
<v Speaker 11>not put on the side of it, a judge ruled

0:08:39.850 --> 0:08:43.570
<v Speaker 11>Thursday that any changes to the renovation plans will require

0:08:43.570 --> 0:08:47.950
<v Speaker 11>30 days' notice to the court, including demolition. Republican Senator

0:08:47.970 --> 0:08:51.390
<v Speaker 11>Tom Tillis of North Carolina says the saga has not

0:08:51.470 --> 0:08:53.470
<v Speaker 11>helped the GOP in the midterm battle.

0:08:53.990 --> 0:08:56.170
<v Speaker 4>This is not what people who grew up like I

0:08:56.210 --> 0:09:00.300
<v Speaker 4>did want to focus on. We want solutions. And I've

0:09:00.340 --> 0:09:02.400
<v Speaker 4>got a lot of candidates who want to get that

0:09:02.460 --> 0:09:03.220
<v Speaker 4>message through.

0:09:03.340 --> 0:09:06.579
<v Speaker 1>And these are distractions that only benefit the Democrats.

0:09:07.550 --> 0:09:11.160
<v Speaker 11>The Kennedy Center broke ground in 1964, a year after

0:09:11.200 --> 0:09:14.580
<v Speaker 11>President John F. Kennedy's assassination. It opened to the public

0:09:14.620 --> 0:09:19.130
<v Speaker 11>in 1971. Another person has died of Legionnaire's disease in

0:09:19.170 --> 0:09:22.770
<v Speaker 11>the South Bronx. New York City Health Commissioner Dr. Alistair

0:09:22.809 --> 0:09:25.800
<v Speaker 11>Martin in a social media post says, I am saddened

0:09:25.820 --> 0:09:28.440
<v Speaker 11>to share that a second person has died in connection

0:09:28.700 --> 0:09:32.340
<v Speaker 11>with the South Bronx Legionnaires Cluster. At least 14 people

0:09:32.360 --> 0:09:36.280
<v Speaker 11>have been sickened in the South Bronx Cluster. Charges have

0:09:36.300 --> 0:09:39.449
<v Speaker 11>been filed in that fatal bus crash that happened in

0:09:39.490 --> 0:09:41.030
<v Speaker 11>a Los Angeles suburb Tuesday.

0:09:41.610 --> 0:09:41.750
<v Speaker 7>L.A.

0:09:41.809 --> 0:09:45.630
<v Speaker 11>County District Attorney Nathan Hockman says the deadly collision was

0:09:45.670 --> 0:09:49.400
<v Speaker 11>said to be caused by Bailey Rios. Hockman saying he

0:09:49.640 --> 0:09:52.660
<v Speaker 11>will ask for life in prison if the 36-year-old convicted

0:09:53.460 --> 0:09:56.030
<v Speaker 11>is not going to get behind the wheel anymore.

0:09:56.750 --> 0:09:59.510
<v Speaker 4>The evidence will show when we present it that she

0:09:59.550 --> 0:09:59.970
<v Speaker 4>was in prison.

0:10:00.270 --> 0:10:01.790
<v Speaker 1>By drugs at the time.

0:10:01.850 --> 0:10:06.130
<v Speaker 7>In fact, she had narcotics in the car at that time.

0:10:07.080 --> 0:10:09.720
<v Speaker 4>She was driving well beyond the speed limit.

0:10:10.860 --> 0:10:14.400
<v Speaker 11>An NBC4 helicopter crashed to the ground after the bus collision,

0:10:14.450 --> 0:10:17.410
<v Speaker 11>killing the pilot, the reporter on board covering the story,

0:10:17.510 --> 0:10:20.189
<v Speaker 11>and one person on the ground. Last night, a vigil

0:10:20.210 --> 0:10:22.589
<v Speaker 11>was held in L.A. for the five people who died

0:10:22.630 --> 0:10:25.930
<v Speaker 11>in the crashes. Global News 24 hours a day and

0:10:25.970 --> 0:10:28.650
<v Speaker 11>whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael

0:10:28.670 --> 0:10:29.970
<v Speaker 11>Barr and this is Bloomberg, Karen.

0:10:31.020 --> 0:10:31.780
<v Speaker 4>Thanks, Michael.

0:10:31.820 --> 0:10:34.720
<v Speaker 7>Time now for our Bloomberg Sports Update. And for that,

0:10:34.760 --> 0:10:37.040
<v Speaker 7>we bring in John Stashower. Thanks, Karen.

0:10:37.059 --> 0:10:40.490
<v Speaker 12>Week two began in Buffalo, the new stadium for the Bills.

0:10:40.590 --> 0:10:43.930
<v Speaker 12>And Josh Allen, the reigning NFL MVP, was in on

0:10:44.070 --> 0:10:47.689
<v Speaker 12>five touchdowns, three passes, two runs. He had four last week.

0:10:48.429 --> 0:10:51.330
<v Speaker 12>The Bills dominated the first half, went on to outscore

0:10:51.390 --> 0:10:56.850
<v Speaker 12>Detroit 41-31. The Dodgers won 8-2 at Cincinnati. They clinched

0:10:56.910 --> 0:10:59.630
<v Speaker 12>the NL West. They've won the division five straight years,

0:10:59.630 --> 0:11:02.540
<v Speaker 12>13 of the last 14. That's your Bloomberg Sports Update.

0:11:04.140 --> 0:11:07.720
<v Speaker 4>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this.

0:11:12.160 --> 0:11:16.260
<v Speaker 1>Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio. Nationwide on Sirius XM.

0:11:16.490 --> 0:11:20.470
<v Speaker 1>And around the world on Bloomberg.com and the Bloomberg Business App.

0:11:20.809 --> 0:11:22.430
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Daybreak.

0:11:22.570 --> 0:11:23.010
<v Speaker 12>Good morning.

0:11:23.050 --> 0:11:25.170
<v Speaker 5>I'm Nathan Hager with days to go till the highly

0:11:25.210 --> 0:11:29.790
<v Speaker 5>anticipated state visit for Chinese President Xi Jinping in Washington. Trade,

0:11:29.850 --> 0:11:32.620
<v Speaker 5>of course, will figure high in the discussions with President Trump.

0:11:32.650 --> 0:11:35.280
<v Speaker 5>And now Bloomberg News has learned the U.S. is likely

0:11:35.320 --> 0:11:38.179
<v Speaker 5>to hold off on announcing any new tariffs on China

0:11:38.200 --> 0:11:41.840
<v Speaker 5>or any other trading partner until after the summit. Joining

0:11:41.880 --> 0:11:44.359
<v Speaker 5>us for more on this from Singapore is Bloomberg Chief

0:11:44.420 --> 0:11:47.840
<v Speaker 5>Asia Correspondent Rosalind Matheson. Ros, what more are we hearing

0:11:47.900 --> 0:11:50.670
<v Speaker 5>about this? What's the rationale for holding off on a

0:11:50.809 --> 0:11:52.670
<v Speaker 5>tariff announcement until after the summit?

0:11:52.690 --> 0:11:53.050
<v Speaker 12>Good morning.

0:11:54.780 --> 0:11:57.060
<v Speaker 2>Good morning. Yes, as you were saying, there are these

0:11:57.220 --> 0:12:00.600
<v Speaker 2>this possibility that they will hold off on new tariffs

0:12:00.700 --> 0:12:04.340
<v Speaker 2>on China and other trading partners until after the summit

0:12:04.380 --> 0:12:08.250
<v Speaker 2>between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump. And that could mean

0:12:08.280 --> 0:12:11.150
<v Speaker 2>a number of things. One is that they simply want

0:12:12.030 --> 0:12:15.210
<v Speaker 2>the ground into the meeting to be conducive. You still

0:12:15.250 --> 0:12:18.950
<v Speaker 2>have US and Chinese officials meeting this weekend to pave

0:12:19.010 --> 0:12:22.000
<v Speaker 2>the way into that summit, so no bumps in the

0:12:22.059 --> 0:12:25.320
<v Speaker 2>road going into the meeting. It could also be that

0:12:25.460 --> 0:12:27.940
<v Speaker 2>the US wants to hold fire on that to see

0:12:28.360 --> 0:12:32.060
<v Speaker 2>how the negotiations go in the minute during the summit.

0:12:32.120 --> 0:12:35.190
<v Speaker 2>Can this be leveraged during those conversations? We know the

0:12:35.270 --> 0:12:37.950
<v Speaker 2>US has done that before, or could they come out

0:12:37.970 --> 0:12:40.370
<v Speaker 2>of the other end and decide how they think the

0:12:40.410 --> 0:12:43.330
<v Speaker 2>summit has gone and perhaps use them then? So it's

0:12:43.350 --> 0:12:46.850
<v Speaker 2>a bit hard to say why they're holding fire, but

0:12:46.890 --> 0:12:49.060
<v Speaker 2>there is a sense in all of that either way,

0:12:49.140 --> 0:12:52.260
<v Speaker 2>that there is a desire on the part of both

0:12:52.320 --> 0:12:55.920
<v Speaker 2>the US and China to avoid a resumption of a

0:12:56.000 --> 0:12:58.920
<v Speaker 2>full-blown trade war again. Of course, all eyes on that

0:12:59.360 --> 0:13:02.620
<v Speaker 2>trade truce that's due to expire. in November, and will

0:13:02.660 --> 0:13:04.859
<v Speaker 2>it be extended? Will it be extended for just a

0:13:04.900 --> 0:13:09.189
<v Speaker 2>limited amount of time? But it does seem that despite

0:13:09.230 --> 0:13:11.650
<v Speaker 2>all the trade actions that have been happening, the tit-for-tat

0:13:11.690 --> 0:13:15.030
<v Speaker 2>between the two countries, there is that desire to keep

0:13:15.090 --> 0:13:19.490
<v Speaker 2>tariffs at a level that is consistent with the trade understandings.

0:13:19.890 --> 0:13:22.870
<v Speaker 2>So they are irritated by them, but they're not going

0:13:22.910 --> 0:13:25.610
<v Speaker 2>to let that explode back into a full-blown trade war.

0:13:26.070 --> 0:13:28.370
<v Speaker 5>Would it be going too far, Roz, to say that

0:13:28.510 --> 0:13:31.740
<v Speaker 5>the U.S. might be looking for a broader trade deal

0:13:32.140 --> 0:13:35.280
<v Speaker 5>to come out of the summit with President Xi, given

0:13:35.860 --> 0:13:39.220
<v Speaker 5>so many issues that both sides still need to work out,

0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:41.260
<v Speaker 5>not just when it comes to trade, but the Iran

0:13:41.280 --> 0:13:43.480
<v Speaker 5>war and now artificial intelligence as part.

0:13:43.380 --> 0:13:46.339
<v Speaker 1>Of the discussion? Well, that's right.

0:13:46.360 --> 0:13:48.140
<v Speaker 2>There's a lot on the table and a lot of

0:13:48.179 --> 0:13:51.790
<v Speaker 2>tension points, including, as you're saying, around AI. But there

0:13:51.929 --> 0:13:55.030
<v Speaker 2>is an understanding potentially that there might be deals to

0:13:55.090 --> 0:13:58.590
<v Speaker 2>come out of this when it comes to US agricultural products.

0:13:58.610 --> 0:14:01.819
<v Speaker 2>There's something very specific like soybeans, where China has been

0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:05.020
<v Speaker 2>making some progress on its agreements to buy a certain

0:14:05.059 --> 0:14:08.740
<v Speaker 2>number of US soybeans every year. And we do know

0:14:08.760 --> 0:14:11.800
<v Speaker 2>that the US and China are discussing cutting tariffs on

0:14:11.880 --> 0:14:16.790
<v Speaker 2>certain goods, including American energy and agricultural shipments. So that's

0:14:16.830 --> 0:14:20.010
<v Speaker 2>in the positive column. But, of course, there's also concern

0:14:20.050 --> 0:14:23.720
<v Speaker 2>around the critical minerals side and that the Trump administration

0:14:23.780 --> 0:14:27.660
<v Speaker 2>feels that China's not accelerated enough in terms of agreements

0:14:27.820 --> 0:14:31.260
<v Speaker 2>to hand more critical minerals over and to do so

0:14:31.320 --> 0:14:35.260
<v Speaker 2>via Japan potentially to avoid disruptions there. in the global

0:14:35.280 --> 0:14:39.590
<v Speaker 2>supply chain. So that's one issue that could still be contentious.

0:14:39.670 --> 0:14:42.510
<v Speaker 2>There might be some conversations around the level of the yuan.

0:14:42.970 --> 0:14:46.450
<v Speaker 2>Of course, the US Treasury Secretary, Scott Besant, hasn't been

0:14:46.490 --> 0:14:50.730
<v Speaker 2>averse to commenting on other countries' currencies, including the yuan.

0:14:50.810 --> 0:14:53.210
<v Speaker 2>So there are those elements of tension as well in

0:14:53.230 --> 0:14:53.970
<v Speaker 2>the relationship.

0:14:55.930 --> 0:14:59.350
<v Speaker 7>This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories

0:14:59.410 --> 0:15:02.470
<v Speaker 7>making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond.

0:15:02.770 --> 0:15:05.130
<v Speaker 5>Look for us on your podcast feed by 6 a.m.

0:15:05.190 --> 0:15:08.580
<v Speaker 5>Eastern each morning on Apple, Spotify or anywhere else you listen.

0:15:08.770 --> 0:15:11.940
<v Speaker 7>You can also listen live each morning starting at 5 a.m.

0:15:11.960 --> 0:15:15.780
<v Speaker 7>Wall Street time on Bloomberg 1130 in New York, Bloomberg

0:15:15.780 --> 0:15:20.700
<v Speaker 7>99.1 in Washington, Bloomberg 92.9 in Boston and nationwide on

0:15:20.820 --> 0:15:23.490
<v Speaker 7>Sirius XM Channel 121.

0:15:23.490 --> 0:15:26.150
<v Speaker 5>Plus, listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app

0:15:26.190 --> 0:15:28.930
<v Speaker 5>now with Apple CarPlay and Android Auto interfaces.

0:15:29.310 --> 0:15:32.270
<v Speaker 7>And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's

0:15:32.290 --> 0:15:35.010
<v Speaker 7>the latest news whenever you want it, in five minutes

0:15:35.070 --> 0:15:38.210
<v Speaker 7>or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast

0:15:38.250 --> 0:15:40.490
<v Speaker 7>platform to stay informed all day long.

0:15:40.910 --> 0:15:43.260
<v Speaker 4>I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager.

0:15:43.340 --> 0:15:45.420
<v Speaker 5>Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you

0:15:45.440 --> 0:15:48.140
<v Speaker 5>need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak.