WEBVTT - Spring Training Takeaways: Risers And Fallers (EP. 777) 0:00:05.600 --> 0:00:08.160 Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy 0:00:08.200 --> 0:00:11.800 Baseball Podcast is V Joey, P Joe Pi Zapia and 0:00:11.880 --> 0:00:15.320 we are almost there, folks, opening Day, just days away, 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:18.400 hours away, minutes even if you can count that high, 0:00:18.480 --> 0:00:20.800 and the Welsh and I will be there live leading 0:00:20.800 --> 0:00:23.720 off for you twelve thirty Eastern right here. Of course, 0:00:23.720 --> 0:00:25.799 you can always listen back or watch it back on 0:00:25.840 --> 0:00:29.280 our YouTube channel, Fantasy Pros MLB every Monday through Thursday, 0:00:29.320 --> 0:00:30.920 though we excuse me, Monday through Friday, and I don't 0:00:30.920 --> 0:00:33.560 know who's taking Friday off. Monday through Friday, we're gonna 0:00:33.560 --> 0:00:37.600 be live here on the show doing leading off, giving 0:00:37.640 --> 0:00:39.760 you the best there is in fantasy headlines, the best 0:00:39.800 --> 0:00:42.479 there is in fantasy content, of course, a little betting 0:00:42.520 --> 0:00:45.239 content to to wet your whistle with. And if you 0:00:45.240 --> 0:00:48.239 have enjoyed all of our draft coverage leading up to 0:00:48.840 --> 0:00:51.519 the baseball season, well make sure you go ahead and 0:00:51.600 --> 0:00:55.320 leave a nice review Fantasypros dot com slash MLB review 0:00:55.400 --> 0:00:57.640 and subscribe to the YouTube channel. That's the best way 0:00:57.800 --> 0:00:59.560 to thank us for all the support we've seen you 0:00:59.600 --> 0:01:03.120 screen shotting all of your many drafts. Welsh, I'm sure 0:01:03.120 --> 0:01:04.960 you're getting a ton of grade my drafts. It is 0:01:05.000 --> 0:01:06.880 like I have in the last couple of weeks and 0:01:06.920 --> 0:01:09.000 so far, I have to say our audience is pretty smart. 0:01:09.400 --> 0:01:10.840 I had somebody hit me up. 0:01:10.959 --> 0:01:12.600 It's like, I was gonna ask you to grade my draft, 0:01:12.600 --> 0:01:15.120 and then I wondered, how much do you get asked that? 0:01:15.200 --> 0:01:17.720 And I haven't answered him yet, be like, oh, it's 0:01:17.760 --> 0:01:21.240 all you would think. I am my own product right now. 0:01:21.400 --> 0:01:24.559 As far as the Welsh Wizard of giving you guys 0:01:24.600 --> 0:01:28.319 a grade, you can do that here at Fantasy Pros 0:01:28.440 --> 0:01:30.480 with the Draft Wizard and the Draft Assistant, you can 0:01:30.480 --> 0:01:32.200 get grades and we can tell you how you did. 0:01:32.240 --> 0:01:34.600 That would actually, by the way, be the best suggestion 0:01:34.720 --> 0:01:36.479 for all you guys that are asking us to grade. 0:01:37.000 --> 0:01:39.280 Go and do your drafts. Make sure they're attached to 0:01:39.319 --> 0:01:42.440 the Fantasy Pros product, because you will literally get approval 0:01:42.480 --> 0:01:42.800 from us. 0:01:42.800 --> 0:01:45.080 But yeah, it's definitely a lot. 0:01:45.360 --> 0:01:48.280 The grades are interesting, and sometimes you get those people 0:01:48.320 --> 0:01:50.240 that you're like, are you in a three person league? 0:01:50.280 --> 0:01:51.240 How did you dominate? 0:01:51.400 --> 0:01:53.760 How you did? But people are doing it. I am 0:01:53.800 --> 0:01:56.520 still drafting all the way up until opening day. By 0:01:56.560 --> 0:01:58.360 the way, I'm going to do another DC. I got 0:01:58.360 --> 0:02:01.080 the home league on Wednesday, all the way up until 0:02:01.160 --> 0:02:04.080 leading off and opening Day, which I will be at 0:02:04.320 --> 0:02:06.600 Bogman flying out here to Phoenix. We'll be going to 0:02:06.960 --> 0:02:08.880 Diamondbacks opening Day on Thursday. 0:02:08.960 --> 0:02:11.600 So how fun. The Mets opening Day I think is 0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:13.880 gonna get rained out. So that's a win that's appropriate 0:02:13.880 --> 0:02:16.320 for US Mets fans. But again, if you've enjoyed everything, 0:02:16.639 --> 0:02:18.400 it takes two seconds to leave a review wherever you 0:02:18.440 --> 0:02:20.600 listen to your podcast or of course go to Fancybros 0:02:20.639 --> 0:02:23.840 dot com slash MLB review and please subscribe and ring 0:02:23.880 --> 0:02:25.600 that bell till it goes dang. And you love when 0:02:25.639 --> 0:02:27.320 you ring that bell. 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Today's show is 0:02:55.560 --> 0:02:57.360 going to be about the end of spring training, the 0:02:57.360 --> 0:02:59.560 things we are taking away where some guys are going 0:02:59.560 --> 0:03:01.919 on the upsosse maybe some guys that are going on 0:03:01.960 --> 0:03:05.000 the downswing at the very end. Spring training, I always 0:03:05.000 --> 0:03:07.160 say doesn't mean much except for the people that it 0:03:07.200 --> 0:03:09.919 means everything for and for some guys it just means 0:03:09.919 --> 0:03:11.920 a little bit more in terms of proving you're healthy, 0:03:12.240 --> 0:03:15.600 proving you are back on track, or also whether or 0:03:15.639 --> 0:03:18.560 not you're coming away in the spring into the regular 0:03:18.600 --> 0:03:22.040 season with a job that's very important. So Welsh, give 0:03:22.080 --> 0:03:24.959 me three guys that are actually on the rise after 0:03:25.000 --> 0:03:27.359 spring training that you feel really good about where their 0:03:27.400 --> 0:03:29.600 directions going as we head into the regular season. 0:03:29.680 --> 0:03:31.480 Yeah, And I just want to like add on to 0:03:31.560 --> 0:03:34.800 what you're saying. Spring training is tough because like the 0:03:34.880 --> 0:03:37.840 teaching moment for all of us is like, don't fall 0:03:37.920 --> 0:03:42.240 into what happens in spring positively or negatively. But spring 0:03:42.600 --> 0:03:45.280 does become narrative based, and I would totally acknowledge that, 0:03:45.360 --> 0:03:47.920 like everybody, like the joke meme going on right now 0:03:47.920 --> 0:03:50.119 in the fantasy baseball space is like, you know, hey, 0:03:50.240 --> 0:03:53.360 spring stats don't mean anything except when it improves my 0:03:53.440 --> 0:03:55.600 narrative except for this guy that it does, so like 0:03:55.720 --> 0:03:58.840 I acknowledge that, but listen, it does go both ways. 0:03:58.880 --> 0:04:00.760 There are guys that are gonna show with signs in 0:04:00.880 --> 0:04:03.480 spring that carry over and amazing things happen. There are 0:04:03.480 --> 0:04:06.200 guys that are going to struggle in spring that's gonna 0:04:06.280 --> 0:04:09.160 be like completely out of our brains once the season starts. 0:04:09.160 --> 0:04:12.080 So this is tough. This is narrative base I completely 0:04:12.080 --> 0:04:14.280 acknowledge it. So here were three players I kind of 0:04:14.320 --> 0:04:18.240 painstakingly was trying to pick between because, like I said, 0:04:18.240 --> 0:04:20.880 there are plenty of guys that put up just insane numbers. 0:04:20.920 --> 0:04:23.120 So who do you pick from? So my number one, 0:04:23.360 --> 0:04:26.400 I'm going over to Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher who just 0:04:26.480 --> 0:04:29.000 made the team, Jared Jones. These are the type of 0:04:29.040 --> 0:04:31.440 guys that I'm really hyper focused on. I got Lucky 0:04:31.520 --> 0:04:33.440 bog Me and I are doing the Shares episode coming 0:04:33.520 --> 0:04:35.719 up here soon on itl and he said one of 0:04:35.720 --> 0:04:38.320 my highest shares was Jared Jones. And he's like, you're 0:04:38.320 --> 0:04:40.280 gonna look pretty smart because I got him in very 0:04:40.320 --> 0:04:43.279 early drafts, and Jared Jones is coming off of what 0:04:43.440 --> 0:04:46.920 is a pretty great spring. The greatness is he did 0:04:46.960 --> 0:04:51.400 not give up a single run in spring over sixteen innings. 0:04:51.480 --> 0:04:52.359 That's pretty crazy. 0:04:52.560 --> 0:04:55.680 What's not great the strikeout numbers, based on where he 0:04:55.760 --> 0:04:57.920 usually is, seemed to be a little bit lower under 0:04:58.120 --> 0:05:00.640 nine K pro nine. He was kind of wid and 0:05:00.640 --> 0:05:03.160 that's gonna be something I'm a little worried could come 0:05:03.200 --> 0:05:05.760 back to haunt him. But he made the opening day roster. 0:05:06.120 --> 0:05:08.680 And this is a guy that has popped really in 0:05:08.680 --> 0:05:10.440 their minor league system for quite a long time. 0:05:10.640 --> 0:05:12.800 He's gonna be in the rotation. This is huge. 0:05:12.839 --> 0:05:15.320 There are big strikeout numbers, He's got a good arsenal 0:05:15.400 --> 0:05:17.800 of pitches. I think this is a guy that's got 0:05:17.839 --> 0:05:19.919 to be picked up pretty much everywhere. Maybe not in 0:05:19.920 --> 0:05:21.840 ten team leagues, but I'm putting him on the back 0:05:21.920 --> 0:05:24.839 end of my bench. Your drafts are over, okay, maybe 0:05:24.880 --> 0:05:27.280 you can try to slide him through on some some 0:05:27.360 --> 0:05:30.520 free you know, waiver claim or maybe really low fab 0:05:30.600 --> 0:05:32.159 or something like that. I'd like to get him. 0:05:32.480 --> 0:05:33.600 Spring did Jared. 0:05:33.480 --> 0:05:35.960 Jones really really well, and he's gonna be on the 0:05:36.040 --> 0:05:41.400 rotation number two, Colton Kowser with the Baltimore Orioles. How 0:05:41.440 --> 0:05:44.479 disappointed was I when Jackson Holiday did not make the 0:05:44.520 --> 0:05:45.800 team a lot? 0:05:45.920 --> 0:05:48.880 So much so I'm gonna put the I'm gonna put 0:05:48.920 --> 0:05:49.440 the excuse. 0:05:49.440 --> 0:05:51.839 I'm gonna go print the excuse out all the nonsense 0:05:51.880 --> 0:05:53.760 they said, I'm gonna put it behind me for leading off, 0:05:53.760 --> 0:05:55.480 and we're gonna just keep that there until. 0:05:55.279 --> 0:05:57.120 He gets up there. They're like, oh, you know, he's 0:05:57.360 --> 0:05:57.840 got to learn. 0:05:57.960 --> 0:06:00.280 He left, he's a little bit more and little lack 0:06:00.320 --> 0:06:03.640 of pro experience and okay, learning a new position. He's fine, 0:06:03.839 --> 0:06:06.520 he's great in spring. But the guy that was able 0:06:06.560 --> 0:06:09.159 to kind of push all of that, it wasn't Kobe Mayo, 0:06:09.240 --> 0:06:12.760 wasn't Jackson Holiday, it wasn't Heston Kershed. It was Colton Kowser, 0:06:13.080 --> 0:06:15.440 who lost prospect eligibility I. 0:06:15.400 --> 0:06:18.039 Think last year, but had six homers. 0:06:18.279 --> 0:06:20.960 This spring. He hit three h four and he made 0:06:20.960 --> 0:06:23.640 the team. Do we want to read too much into 0:06:23.640 --> 0:06:26.560 those home run numbers? No, not necessarily, But here was 0:06:26.600 --> 0:06:28.720 the deal. He was a really good contact hitter in 0:06:28.760 --> 0:06:32.200 the miners leading up to last season, and then the 0:06:32.240 --> 0:06:33.480 power just kind of dissipated. 0:06:33.560 --> 0:06:35.560 We're like, oh, Oh, who is this guy? He is 0:06:35.600 --> 0:06:36.440 a home run a hitter. 0:06:36.480 --> 0:06:38.680 He's a twenty five plus home run guy, and he 0:06:38.720 --> 0:06:41.159 now made the roster and he's gonna get time. Colton 0:06:41.200 --> 0:06:43.480 Kowser with the Baltimore Ools is another one of those 0:06:43.520 --> 0:06:46.560 players I would try to be picking up and Spring 0:06:46.640 --> 0:06:49.920 did him well the spring numbers and pushed him into 0:06:49.920 --> 0:06:52.760 the starting roster. It's something you should be paying attention to. 0:06:52.960 --> 0:06:53.760 I know I was. 0:06:54.040 --> 0:06:56.400 And then the final one, I got a picture for you. 0:06:56.760 --> 0:07:02.680 How about aj puck aj pukright, phenomenal thirteen innings with 0:07:02.760 --> 0:07:06.520 a one three to two Spring Era, fifteen strikeouts, which 0:07:06.560 --> 0:07:09.640 equated to a forty one percent K percentage. Why else 0:07:09.680 --> 0:07:12.160 do we like this? Well, they're kind of a mess. 0:07:12.280 --> 0:07:16.520 That Marlin's rotation is just kind of disastrous. He gets 0:07:16.520 --> 0:07:19.120 a longer lease, he added in. Everyone talked about it. 0:07:19.240 --> 0:07:21.080 He's got that sweeper slider, he add in, kind of 0:07:21.120 --> 0:07:23.360 a more bullet slider, which is just more of a 0:07:23.440 --> 0:07:26.080 like it's kind of cutterish. It's just like the sweeper 0:07:26.160 --> 0:07:29.200 is coming across his zone. This one has got easy bite, 0:07:29.240 --> 0:07:32.160 having two versions of that slider to go along with 0:07:32.200 --> 0:07:34.960 that fastball. He's being a little bit more consistent, not 0:07:35.120 --> 0:07:37.760 walking at bad rates that he did before, and a 0:07:37.840 --> 0:07:41.320 forty one percent k percentage in Spring. Let's not not 0:07:41.640 --> 0:07:44.280 pay attention to that. Let's pay attention to the added 0:07:44.320 --> 0:07:47.920 repertoire to his arsenal. Let's pay attention to the strikeout numbers. 0:07:47.960 --> 0:07:49.920 And now let's throw him in to a team where 0:07:49.960 --> 0:07:52.000 he is going to have a longer leash, really because 0:07:52.000 --> 0:07:56.560 they have to. Ajpuck is a huge riser from Spring, 0:07:56.680 --> 0:08:01.120 So Colton kwser Aj Puck and throw Jerry Jones. Those 0:08:01.120 --> 0:08:04.160 are three guys that were on my Spring rises. 0:08:03.960 --> 0:08:06.160 And another guy too who you know. I mean, we're 0:08:06.160 --> 0:08:08.000 looking at him now. Puck is going to be twenty 0:08:08.080 --> 0:08:10.200 nine years old this year, which is kind of stunning 0:08:10.200 --> 0:08:11.520 to think of that. I feel like there's so many 0:08:11.600 --> 0:08:13.560 years there. We were waiting on him to pop with 0:08:13.600 --> 0:08:15.960 the Oakland A's all these years, it just never really 0:08:16.000 --> 0:08:20.080 came to fruition. Injuries derailed him. The A's organization itself, 0:08:20.160 --> 0:08:22.000 I think you could probably argue derailed him too. But 0:08:22.040 --> 0:08:23.560 he's also a bigger guy. He's a six to seven 0:08:23.560 --> 0:08:26.160 pitcher Welsh and sometimes those guys take a little bit longer. 0:08:26.200 --> 0:08:28.120 I mean, Randy Johnson was a bigger picture. Took him 0:08:28.120 --> 0:08:30.200 a long time to really kind of harness mechanics and 0:08:30.200 --> 0:08:32.160 all that. There's been a lot of guys in that 0:08:32.240 --> 0:08:34.360 ILK that you could say that about, and maybe it's 0:08:34.360 --> 0:08:37.200 a late bloomer situation, but you're right, man, Miami needs 0:08:37.240 --> 0:08:39.200 him in the worst way, especially with that Perez injury. 0:08:39.400 --> 0:08:43.760 Max Meyers another guy is who's eventually we're gonna, you know, 0:08:43.800 --> 0:08:46.360 see him. I think too, and we'll see you know. 0:08:46.440 --> 0:08:49.199 The Marlins certainly were more competitive last year than people realized, 0:08:49.200 --> 0:08:52.280 but Puck could be a huge addition to this rotation. 0:08:52.360 --> 0:08:54.679 They desperately need somebody to step up. Let's take a 0:08:54.720 --> 0:08:57.040 quick break in the action and tell you about Underdog Fantasy. 0:08:57.200 --> 0:09:00.360 MLB draft season is here and the easiest play to 0:09:00.360 --> 0:09:03.360 play fantasy baseball is it Underdog Fantasy. We've already been 0:09:03.440 --> 0:09:06.200 active in their best ball format fantasy drafts, where you 0:09:06.280 --> 0:09:08.600 draft your team over twenty rounds at The best score 0:09:08.640 --> 0:09:12.040 from your team that you drafted becomes your score for 0:09:12.120 --> 0:09:15.480 each week in the MLB season. 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My three guys on the way up. 0:09:58.280 --> 0:10:01.640 As spring training came to a close, Johnny Brido of 0:10:01.720 --> 0:10:03.760 the San Diego Padre is gonna be the fifth starter 0:10:03.800 --> 0:10:06.760 in that Padres rotation, which is deep, folks. I mean 0:10:06.760 --> 0:10:08.599 that is a good rotation. I keep saying it's the 0:10:08.600 --> 0:10:12.160 best rotation in that division, and that's saying something I think. 0:10:12.200 --> 0:10:14.120 But top to bottom, I think it's the deepest one. 0:10:14.160 --> 0:10:15.560 I think it's going to be very good so far. 0:10:15.640 --> 0:10:18.079 Johnny Brito in spring got enough's a really good start 0:10:18.120 --> 0:10:20.880 thirteen innings, pitched a one point two to three whip, 0:10:20.920 --> 0:10:24.320 a two point zero eight Era sixteen strikeouts, just three walks. 0:10:24.400 --> 0:10:26.559 That's the thing. It really stock out to me when 0:10:26.559 --> 0:10:29.760 it comes to Brito too, and he's got this spot here, 0:10:29.960 --> 0:10:32.120 I don't think it's going anywhere. I think he's gonna 0:10:32.120 --> 0:10:34.720 have a decent leash here in this rotation. So you know, 0:10:34.760 --> 0:10:37.000 Michael King's gonna be the fourth starter. Then he got Darvish, 0:10:37.040 --> 0:10:39.360 Dylan Cec and Joe Musgrove at the top of it. 0:10:39.400 --> 0:10:41.440 That is a formidable group. I think the Padres are 0:10:41.440 --> 0:10:43.760 gonna be very competitive. I think we saw a little 0:10:44.000 --> 0:10:47.120 snippet of that last week in the Korean series, and 0:10:47.160 --> 0:10:48.920 the Padres are going to be something you have to 0:10:48.960 --> 0:10:51.760 deal with. Machado is gonna be fine and everything else 0:10:51.840 --> 0:10:54.520 either without Sodo, that lineup still has enough in it 0:10:54.559 --> 0:10:57.160 between Tatise and Machado in the middle of it and 0:10:57.240 --> 0:11:00.960 Away Kim played last year and of course Versusandre Bogart's 0:11:00.960 --> 0:11:03.160 second half very encouraging. So Brio's a guy that I'd 0:11:03.200 --> 0:11:06.120 be picking up everywhere, stashing on my bench two start weeks. 0:11:06.160 --> 0:11:09.120 Brio would absolutely early on if he can continue this pace, 0:11:09.240 --> 0:11:11.679 be a guy that I'd throw out there. Frankie Montas 0:11:11.880 --> 0:11:14.120 closed Spring very well, I know you look at the 0:11:14.120 --> 0:11:16.839 era when it comes to Mantas, but even though it 0:11:16.880 --> 0:11:18.880 was a little high in the fives in spring, I 0:11:18.920 --> 0:11:20.880 think the thing you take away is over the sixteen innings, 0:11:21.160 --> 0:11:23.840 sixteen strikeouts, five walks, it's a good ratio for him. 0:11:23.960 --> 0:11:26.880 The last start he had was very good. He feels healthy. 0:11:27.320 --> 0:11:29.000 It's not that long ago. It's a few years ago. 0:11:29.040 --> 0:11:31.120 This guy had two hundred strikeouts in the season. Right. 0:11:31.720 --> 0:11:34.199 It's health when it comes to Montas, not talent. I 0:11:34.240 --> 0:11:35.600 think we can all agree on that. We were all 0:11:35.679 --> 0:11:37.880 very excited about him back in twenty twenty one in 0:11:37.880 --> 0:11:40.720 the fantasy community, but unfortunately injuries kind of took its toll. 0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:43.200 We know last year was a lost season for Montas. 0:11:43.240 --> 0:11:44.439 We all knew it was a bad idea with the 0:11:44.480 --> 0:11:46.120 Yankees trade for him. We said it on the show, 0:11:46.559 --> 0:11:49.480 and of course is exactly what happened on leading off 0:11:49.559 --> 0:11:51.640 is exactly what we predicted, which is things we're going 0:11:51.720 --> 0:11:54.360 to go south. But now a guy who qualifies Welsh 0:11:54.400 --> 0:11:57.120 in some spots at RP and SP that gives you 0:11:57.120 --> 0:11:59.120 a lot of flexibility. I think Montas is a guy 0:11:59.160 --> 0:12:00.760 worth taking. I took him for a buck in my 0:12:00.840 --> 0:12:03.080 last draft, and you know what, it's looking pretty good 0:12:03.160 --> 0:12:05.720 right now because that Reds team also has a chance 0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:08.280 to be very good and could even challenge for that 0:12:08.280 --> 0:12:10.800 Division two. And the last one is another Cincinnati read 0:12:10.840 --> 0:12:15.040 Christian Incarnassion Strand, who why everyone's talking about White Langford 0:12:15.040 --> 0:12:17.880 and they should. But Strand is also a guy who 0:12:17.920 --> 0:12:21.400 had a phenomenal Spring five homers, fourteen RBI hit three 0:12:21.400 --> 0:12:23.199 point thirty three with a three eighty two OVP and 0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:26.280 a seven eighty four slugging and eleven sixty six ops. 0:12:26.559 --> 0:12:30.280 The guy was tremendous. Now, look, we all know that, 0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:32.120 you know, every young player is always going to have 0:12:32.200 --> 0:12:35.040 ups and downs. He's still a young player. But Welsh 0:12:35.080 --> 0:12:38.600 coming out of Spring the way the Wyatt Langford ADP 0:12:38.760 --> 0:12:41.640 and price just has skyrocketed. I mean, he went for 0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:43.439 thirty five dollars in a last salary cap, but we 0:12:43.520 --> 0:12:47.400 got it was crazy thirty five dollars, right. Strand is 0:12:47.440 --> 0:12:49.360 not going for that. Strand is not going to be 0:12:49.440 --> 0:12:50.880 that same kind of thing. He is kind of floating 0:12:50.960 --> 0:12:54.000 under the radar, underneath guys on his own team, guys 0:12:54.080 --> 0:12:56.920 like Elie de la Cruz, guys like Matt McLain. You know, 0:12:57.320 --> 0:12:59.920 he is still kind of floating in relative and they 0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:02.200 by comparison, and I don't think you should be I 0:13:02.200 --> 0:13:03.880 think you should take advantage of that while you can. 0:13:03.960 --> 0:13:07.000 So those are three guys going in the right direction, Welsh. 0:13:07.160 --> 0:13:08.920 Give me some guys that maybe are going in the 0:13:08.920 --> 0:13:11.760 wrong direction, or maybe you have concerns about as we 0:13:11.880 --> 0:13:14.840 enter the season because spring trading was not necessarily kind 0:13:14.880 --> 0:13:16.199 to them for one reason or another. 0:13:16.360 --> 0:13:18.200 Now you know, And I think here's a great question 0:13:18.280 --> 0:13:19.959 to throw out too, because I am I'm gonna pick 0:13:20.000 --> 0:13:22.760 on myself for this one, my first one. But you 0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:25.440 know what are you more prone to focus on with spring? 0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:27.839 Are you more prone to focus on the ups? Or 0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:29.800 are you more prone to focus. 0:13:29.400 --> 0:13:30.319 On the downs? 0:13:30.640 --> 0:13:34.000 I feel like me I tend to put a little 0:13:34.000 --> 0:13:37.560 bit more focus on the positives. I feel like publicly 0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:39.680 we put more focus on the negatives. I could be 0:13:39.679 --> 0:13:42.280 wrong about that, of course, and you know people disagree, 0:13:42.280 --> 0:13:42.840 but I feel. 0:13:42.679 --> 0:13:44.760 Like negatives in spring are tough because you have those 0:13:44.760 --> 0:13:46.679 moments where a picture is just working on a pity. 0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:48.760 I'm just throwing fastballs today. Kids sure like they don't 0:13:48.760 --> 0:13:51.200 care about results. That's the danger of it. It's the 0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:54.360 little ballparks. It's the uh, you know guys that I've 0:13:54.400 --> 0:13:56.480 never faced before, and you know I can't throw you know, 0:13:56.679 --> 0:13:58.880 high fastballs to you know these guys because they're gonna 0:13:58.920 --> 0:14:01.120 hit out of ballparks or the wind is blowing out 0:14:01.120 --> 0:14:03.120 that day. I mean, there's so many weird variables in 0:14:03.160 --> 0:14:06.040 spring it makes the negatives difficult to gauge. I think, well, 0:14:06.160 --> 0:14:07.400 that's the hardest part for me anyway. 0:14:07.559 --> 0:14:10.480 Yeah, I kind of agree, especially when it's like two talent. 0:14:10.600 --> 0:14:12.680 So again, this is the here's the balance. You guys 0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:14.600 figure out your own balance, so here's mine. So here's 0:14:14.640 --> 0:14:17.240 the way I'm picking on myself while also giving a 0:14:17.280 --> 0:14:18.040 slight caveat. 0:14:18.240 --> 0:14:19.960 I talked a lot about. 0:14:19.840 --> 0:14:22.600 Jared Kelnick early on when we were doing early draft 0:14:22.640 --> 0:14:24.040 videos that I think he's a guy. 0:14:23.880 --> 0:14:24.680 That can break out. 0:14:25.040 --> 0:14:29.640 But Jared Kelnick had a poor Spring, and that's saying 0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:32.080 it lightly. So number one on this list is going 0:14:32.120 --> 0:14:34.480 to be Jared Kelnick, because let's not deny that he 0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:37.640 is a faller as far as Spring goes from a 0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:41.600 performance standpoint, he hit one thirty five gross, He had 0:14:41.640 --> 0:14:44.120 one extra base hit the whole time he was hitting 0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:45.120 everything into the ground. 0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:45.800 He had a. 0:14:46.480 --> 0:14:49.480 I think it was sixty percent pull rate within over 0:14:49.560 --> 0:14:52.800 fifty percent ground ball, So he was just seeing everything 0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:54.880 get bad and putting everything on the ground. 0:14:55.240 --> 0:14:56.320 Can that balance back? 0:14:56.440 --> 0:14:59.360 Yes, I think again the ballpark factor for left handed 0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:03.680 hitters is beneficial for Atlanta. Kelnick started to come on 0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:07.000 right towards the end of spring. He's gonna steal He's 0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:08.600 just got a hit for average. That's a big thing. 0:15:09.120 --> 0:15:11.840 But so why if I'm caveating being like, hey, he 0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:13.440 could still be kind of good, why am I putting 0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:16.280 him on this list? The biggest negative is they brought 0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:18.640 in Adam de vall and I think that one stands 0:15:18.720 --> 0:15:21.320 out to me of some form of platoon. There's no 0:15:21.360 --> 0:15:23.800 longer the DH spot for a guy like Devaal to 0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:27.680 go to. That's Marcelo Zuna's, so they're legit could be 0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:30.680 platoon situations. This also might not be the worst situation 0:15:30.840 --> 0:15:33.280 for Kelnick. If you can get Keelnick away from his 0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:36.400 from whatever bad split platoon situations are going on, and 0:15:36.440 --> 0:15:38.040 you can just put him in the right one. Maybe 0:15:38.080 --> 0:15:40.280 he gets less at bats, but categorically he can put 0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:43.080 up big numbers. But I'm not gonna deny that he 0:15:43.120 --> 0:15:45.640 didn't have a bad, bad spot down. 0:15:45.960 --> 0:15:47.480 I think all the guys we're going to talk about. 0:15:47.760 --> 0:15:51.640 Down doesn't mean done, It just means down. So understand that. 0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:53.680 It doesn't mean you're avoiding these players all together. It 0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:55.640 just means, hey, you got to be aware of the 0:15:55.680 --> 0:15:58.960 downside of spring training, as you mentioned, filtering into organization's 0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:01.280 minds too, as they and to make roster moves based 0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:02.840 on how guys were before me in the spring, because 0:16:02.880 --> 0:16:05.880 they need insurance too, just like your fantasy team needs insurance. 0:16:05.480 --> 0:16:07.520 And ADP's are going down too. That's the other thing. 0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:10.920 Like this spring, here's another one we're not going to deny. 0:16:10.960 --> 0:16:15.960 This spring has moved Jared Kelnick's value down dramatically. Yes, 0:16:16.080 --> 0:16:18.400 but I'm still taking him now because he's even he's 0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:20.920 becoming like free. Before he was like, oh okay, he's in 0:16:20.960 --> 0:16:22.280 like the two hundreds twenty twenty. 0:16:22.520 --> 0:16:23.600 Now he's becoming free. 0:16:23.640 --> 0:16:25.760 I just did a dinger draft and I took him 0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:28.560 as like my seventh outfielder because I'm still gonna take 0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:31.320 the shots, because I don't want to say spring is everything. 0:16:31.400 --> 0:16:34.720 But on the down here's another one. This is like 0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:38.000 one of the most popular last pick sleepers. For so 0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:42.400 many people. But it's been a spring for him. Matt Walner. 0:16:42.800 --> 0:16:45.920 Matt Wallner because he had you know, huge hard hit numbers. 0:16:45.920 --> 0:16:48.200 It can barrel the ball. If given the opportunity, he 0:16:48.240 --> 0:16:50.000 could be a thirty home run hitter and you're getting 0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:50.560 him for free. 0:16:50.600 --> 0:16:52.440 All of these things can still be into play. 0:16:52.680 --> 0:16:55.240 But he has had a piss poor spring, hitting one 0:16:55.280 --> 0:16:59.920 oh seven with a forty percent strikeout rate, which is 0:17:00.520 --> 0:17:02.720 so here's the big thing I want to throw out 0:17:02.760 --> 0:17:05.199 to this because it's not that Matt Waldner can't not 0:17:05.320 --> 0:17:09.600 be good. But they've got other guys. They've got Willie Castro, 0:17:09.760 --> 0:17:11.760 who's a player that stole a ton of bases in 0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:13.760 short sample sizes, that can play the infield. 0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:15.879 In the outfield, You've got keer Lof still dealing with 0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:16.600 the DH spot. 0:17:16.760 --> 0:17:19.600 You've got brooks Lee who got sent down and probably 0:17:19.600 --> 0:17:21.119 deserved to stay on this team. I'm not saying all 0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:23.320 these guys are outfielder's. What I'm saying is is there 0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:27.560 are other players ready to snatch up potential opportunities here, 0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:29.960