1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,960 Speaker 1: Good morning everybody. I hope your day is off to 2 00:00:02,040 --> 00:00:02,639 Speaker 1: a good start. 3 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:06,240 Speaker 2: We are sort of barreling towards a potential government shutdown 4 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:09,319 Speaker 2: today tonight if nothing changes. So Emily and I just 5 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 2: wanted to give you a little update on what has 6 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 2: happened since Breaking Points aired yesterday. Great to see you, Emily, 7 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 2: Thank you for joining me this morning. 8 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 3: Thanks for having me Crystal. 9 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, of course I need you to interpret what's going 10 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 2: on in the Republican side of the ledger here, So 11 00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:24,480 Speaker 2: let me just give people a little bit of an update. 12 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 2: So yesterday we heard from Trump and Musk and others 13 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 2: that they had a new deal in order to avert 14 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 2: this government shutdown. So basically, they need to fund the government. 15 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 2: And Trump also wants them to extend the debt sealing 16 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 2: or get rid of the debt ceiling altogether, which is 17 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 2: something I would certainly support, And so he put out 18 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 2: this statement here success in Washington, Speaker Mike Johnson, the 19 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 2: House have come to a very good deal for the 20 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 2: American people to newly agreed to American Relief Act of 21 00:00:56,440 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 2: twenty twenty four. We'll keep the government open, fund our 22 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 2: great farmers, and and provide relief for those severely impacted 23 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:06,320 Speaker 2: by the very devastating hurricanes. A very important piece vital 24 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 2: to the American First Agenda was added as well. The 25 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:12,679 Speaker 2: date of the very unnecessary debt ceiling will be pushed 26 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 2: out two years to January thirtieth, twenty twenty seven. Now 27 00:01:16,360 --> 00:01:19,200 Speaker 2: we can make America great again very quickly, which is 28 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 2: what the people gave us a mandate to accomplish. So 29 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 2: you will, guys will probably recall there originally was a 30 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 2: deal that had been negotiated between Democratic and Republican leadership 31 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 2: that both included continuing government funding and also had a 32 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 2: lot of other pieces. So there was something that would 33 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:42,400 Speaker 2: rein in pharmacy benefit managers, there was money for research 34 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:46,120 Speaker 2: into pediactric cancer, a whole bunch of other priorities that 35 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 2: were put into there as well. And that's what Elon 36 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 2: Musk and some of the Republicans began vociferously objecting to 37 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 2: and cause that whole thing to fall apart, leaving this 38 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 2: process and told okaias so, this announcement from Trump is, hey, guys, 39 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 2: we have another new deal that includes fewer of those 40 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 2: other things, more just sort of like closer to a 41 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 2: quote unquote clean continuing our resolution plus extension of the 42 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:14,560 Speaker 2: debt ceiling that they negotiated amongst themselves that went to 43 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 2: a floor vote yesterday and you know, spoiler alert, it 44 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 2: did not end up passing. But Emily, before we get 45 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 2: to some of the more details, you know, what was 46 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 2: your initial reaction to the contours of this deal as 47 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 2: it was laid out. 48 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, so exactly what you just said in the sense 49 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 4: that this is twenty fourteen. Basically, this feels like the 50 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 4: fights twenty fifteen, the fights against John Bayner, with one 51 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 4: major difference. You know, back then, it was Jim Jordan 52 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 4: and Mark Meadows putting together the House Freedom Caucus and 53 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 4: saying we are always going to object to omnibus bills. 54 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 4: Mike Johnson it comes in after Kevin McCarthy and says 55 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 4: we're not doing omnibus bills. 56 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 3: We're just we're not gonna do it. So you're always. 57 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,359 Speaker 4: Going to have the chip Roys, the Thomas Massey's of 58 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 4: the world opposing what Mike Johnson negotiated. And he probably 59 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,919 Speaker 4: would have had to have Democrats for it in order 60 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 4: to get this. 61 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 3: Bill passed, and it probably would have. But this is 62 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:05,360 Speaker 3: what happened. 63 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 4: Elon Musk and Viveik, now that they are in charge 64 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:11,800 Speaker 4: of the Advisory Department of Government Efficiency, realized they could 65 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 4: not stay quiet on what Johnson was about to do, 66 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 4: which was a very normal, conventional Washington compromise in order 67 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:21,920 Speaker 4: to avoid a Christmas shutdown. But they knew they couldn't 68 00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:24,799 Speaker 4: just shut up because this thing had like funding for 69 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 4: the Global Engagement Center, which has funded places that like 70 00:03:28,639 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 4: suppressed conservative websites and all of those like that. You can't, 71 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:35,880 Speaker 4: as if you're head of DOGE, say oh, but we'll 72 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 4: fix it next year. So because they intervened, this became 73 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 4: dramatic and it wasn't going to be at all, And 74 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 4: normally you would have had the exact same people protesting. 75 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 4: The only difference this time around is they got a 76 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 4: shot in the arm from Elon and Vivek, and that's 77 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 4: where everything sort of spun into the drama. 78 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, so, originally just for people to recall, Republicans control 79 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 2: the House, but the margin is very, very very narrow. 80 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 2: So if you even have a handful of dissenters say nope, 81 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 2: not voting for an omnou omnibus deal, then you're done. 82 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 2: You have to work with the Democrats. So that's what 83 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 2: they did. Johnson had negotiated this. He seemingly felt that 84 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:17,719 Speaker 2: he had the blessing of Trump in terms of these 85 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 2: original negotiations, and it certainly appeared, although you know, we'll 86 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:24,359 Speaker 2: get to the Trump people really pushed back on this, 87 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 2: but it certainly appeared like Elon jumps in and forces 88 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 2: Trump's hand because Trump doesn't really care about austerity. He 89 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:35,480 Speaker 2: has not positioned himself as an austerity politician. In fact, 90 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 2: he's really positioned himself opposite of that, and it's part 91 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:41,160 Speaker 2: of how he was so successful in terms of the 92 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:45,360 Speaker 2: Republican Party, and so he's fine with what they're negotiating. 93 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 2: Elon starts tweeting up a storm, causes a ruckus, creates 94 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 2: this kind of collapse in support among the Republican caucus. 95 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 2: So it's not just now a few dissenters, but it's 96 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 2: most of the caucus. So you no longer have a 97 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 2: deal that's tenable, that can be passed, so that all 98 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:05,279 Speaker 2: falls apart the new deal that they struck. This is 99 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:08,600 Speaker 2: some of the contours of it internal GOP funding deal. 100 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:11,039 Speaker 2: Johnson's expected to put on the floor funding extension for 101 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 2: three months, clean Farm Bill extension one hundred and ten 102 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 2: billion dollar disaster aid package as negotiated with Democrats. This 103 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:20,920 Speaker 2: is like for western North Carolina, other places that were 104 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:24,480 Speaker 2: really hard hit by the series of hurricanes. Clean healthcare 105 00:05:24,520 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 2: provision extenders. I don't really know what that means minus 106 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 2: PBM reform. That's actually a real loss because that pharmacy 107 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 2: benefit reform would help to bring down prescription drug prices 108 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 2: and is something that has bipartisan support and critically a 109 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:41,920 Speaker 2: two year suspension of the debt limit to January twenty 110 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 2: twenty seven. And Emily, maybe you can speak a little 111 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:47,039 Speaker 2: bit to this debt limit part. But part of what's 112 00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 2: going on here, which is also funny, is Republicans have 113 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 2: consistently used the debt limit to sort of extract concessions 114 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 2: from Democrats. They'll use it as effectively a hostage shaking tactic. 115 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 2: So now that Trump is going to be in the 116 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:04,680 Speaker 2: White House, he wants to not have to deal with 117 00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 2: the debt ceiling and have that hanging out there because 118 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 2: he wants to be able to do in particular his 119 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:12,600 Speaker 2: you know, extension of the tax getting jobs actually primarily 120 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 2: goes to the wealthy. He wants to make sure all 121 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 2: of that is taken care of Now that is contra 122 00:06:17,720 --> 00:06:20,719 Speaker 2: to the chip roy and the Thomas Massey's of the world, 123 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 2: who don't think that they should ever vote for a 124 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:26,320 Speaker 2: debt sealing increase period. End of story. So already you 125 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 2: can see that there are some even within the Republican Caucus, 126 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:34,840 Speaker 2: some potential fissures here, not to mention Democrats feeling like, well, 127 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 2: screw you, guys. We had a deal. You've got control. 128 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:40,039 Speaker 2: You know, you have the majority of the House. If 129 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 2: you want to fund if you want to figure this 130 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:44,600 Speaker 2: out amongst yourselves, go do it and leave us out 131 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 2: of it, because the deal we negotiated you've now at 132 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 2: this point tanked. 133 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 4: And what does Elon do if Trump is as president, 134 00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 4: because they this is a win for Donald Trump. Kicking 135 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 4: the debt ceiling to twenty twenty seven means he's not 136 00:06:57,600 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 4: going to have to deal with it in the first 137 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 4: six months of his president, which would be that could 138 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:07,240 Speaker 4: raise some serious tensions, like for example, Elon Musk, like 139 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:10,280 Speaker 4: for example, with the chip Roys, who Donald Trump went 140 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 4: after by name yesterday and said, very unpopular member chip Roy, 141 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:16,640 Speaker 4: et cetera. Chip Roy is one of his most ardent 142 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:22,360 Speaker 4: defenders and is a very like actual principled conservative. 143 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 2: Is stalwart Tea party style. Yes, conservative died in the wooll. 144 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 2: You know, attempting to be very I mean is not 145 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 2: my politics, but trying to be principled about his deficit 146 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 2: hawk view of the world. 147 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 4: And this is where you have that new tension with 148 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 4: Trump and potentially with Elon. What does Elon think about 149 00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:43,320 Speaker 4: lifting the debt ceiling? What if Donald Trump is just like, hey, 150 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 4: we've got doge. We're working on shrinking the size of 151 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 4: the government, We're working to make it more efficient. So 152 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 4: we're just gonna lift this debt ceiling. 153 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 3: And what did the debt hawks do? So he now 154 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 3: he avoids having that fight. 155 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 4: Six months into his presidency with a margin of like 156 00:07:57,720 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 4: what one to three members of the House of Representatives. 157 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 3: I mean, it would be a really, really tough battle. 158 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 4: So that's a when what they did is say we're 159 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 4: just going to do a kind of skinny CR clean CR. 160 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:14,320 Speaker 4: The Continuing Resolution is basically leaving government funding at the 161 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 4: level that it is. We don't know if that's gonna work. 162 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 4: It cut out a lot of the random stuff, but 163 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 4: it does still have things like they had to reauthorize 164 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 4: the Farm Bill, like that was there are certain things 165 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 4: that were on a deadline, like the hurricane funding is 166 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 4: another good example. So still a big bill, but a 167 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 4: big bill that a lot of them are going to 168 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:33,679 Speaker 4: have to vote for. 169 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:38,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, So that's the contours of the bill, the quote 170 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 2: unquote deal that was struck within the caucus, and as 171 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:45,640 Speaker 2: Emily's pointing to, even within the Republican caucus, there are 172 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 2: problems with this deal, and in order for them to 173 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:52,119 Speaker 2: pass it effectively on their own, they need to basically 174 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:56,199 Speaker 2: get every single person in the caucus to vote alongside 175 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:56,480 Speaker 2: of it. 176 00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 1: So we've mentioned chip Roy. 177 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:01,120 Speaker 2: He was not the only one who ends up voting 178 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 2: against this deal within the Republican caucus. Actually, thirty five Republicans, 179 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 2: which is quite significant, end up voting against it. 180 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 1: But just to give you a sense of. 181 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 2: You know, their view of the world and why they 182 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 2: said that they opposed this deal, here is Chiproy on 183 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:20,480 Speaker 2: the House aggressively making the case against this new version 184 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 2: of the Continuing Resolution plus debt sealing extension. Let's take 185 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 2: a listen to that. 186 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:29,839 Speaker 5: Fact to the matter is three hundred and thirty billion dollars. Congratulations, 187 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 5: you've added to the debt since you were given the 188 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:37,840 Speaker 5: majority again on November fifth. It's embarrassing, it's shameful. Yes, 189 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 5: I think this bill is better than it was yesterday 190 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:43,520 Speaker 5: on certain respects. But to take this bill, to take 191 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 5: this bill yesterday and congratulate yourself because it's shorter in 192 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:53,839 Speaker 5: pages but increases the debt by five trillion dollars is asinine. 193 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 5: And that's precisely what Republicans are doing. I'm absolutely sicken 194 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 5: already the campaigns on fiscal responsibility and has the temerity 195 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:06,720 Speaker 5: to go board to the American people and say, you 196 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:11,439 Speaker 5: think this is fiscally responsible. It is absolutely. 197 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 2: Ridiculous, Absolutely ridiculous. Now, I think it's an open question 198 00:10:15,160 --> 00:10:18,559 Speaker 2: rather this party really campaigned on fiscal responsibility. 199 00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 1: Because that's not like a core Trump value. 200 00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, like I said, one of the things 201 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:25,920 Speaker 2: that he really was known for breaking the mold of 202 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:28,360 Speaker 2: within the Republican Party, both in twenty sixteen again in 203 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,360 Speaker 2: twenty twenty, it's like, I'm not going to touch those 204 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:32,960 Speaker 2: security I'm not going to touch Medicare. Obviously, those were 205 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 2: longtime cuts of those programs, were long time priorities of 206 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:38,959 Speaker 2: the Republican caucus, and people like Chip Roy are still 207 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:41,040 Speaker 2: in that, you know, still very much in that camp. 208 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:44,720 Speaker 2: So in any case, Emily, the fact that you end 209 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 2: up having not just chip Roy, but thirty five Republicans 210 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 2: vote against this deal that both Elon and Trump ultimately 211 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 2: get behind. Not to mention Mike Johnson, who's like feels 212 00:10:56,520 --> 00:10:58,559 Speaker 2: sort of like irrelevant to this whole process, that we're 213 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 2: being super real, what does that say to you? 214 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 1: Because it is interesting. 215 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:06,720 Speaker 2: You clearly have some group within the caucus that is 216 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:09,840 Speaker 2: trying to strike somewhat of an independent stance here and 217 00:11:09,880 --> 00:11:12,280 Speaker 2: not just look like they're being pulled around, pulled around 218 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:14,960 Speaker 2: by the nose, either by the President or by the 219 00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:16,319 Speaker 2: richest man on the planet. 220 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:17,320 Speaker 3: It was interesting. 221 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 4: I think it was maybe after RFK Junior started getting 222 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:22,960 Speaker 4: involved in the campaign. You would hear some of the 223 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:26,000 Speaker 4: techno guys Elon Musk talk about the debt and the 224 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:29,240 Speaker 4: deficit and sort of start campaigning on that. But it 225 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 4: was in a different way. It was like in this 226 00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:33,480 Speaker 4: big picture, long term way, and it made people like 227 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 4: chip Roy really happy, like finally we're coupling this populism. 228 00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:40,480 Speaker 4: It's kind of a throwback to the Tea Party, but 229 00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 4: a new variation of it, Like we're coupling this populism 230 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:45,560 Speaker 4: with concerns about the debt, and I think what they're 231 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:48,400 Speaker 4: learning right now is nobody is serious about that except 232 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 4: for the people who are already serious about it, the 233 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 4: chip Roys and Thomas Massey's, et cetera. And you know, 234 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:56,680 Speaker 4: that was probably a good prediction even back in September 235 00:11:56,720 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 4: when these conversations were being had. But does ziel At 236 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:01,599 Speaker 4: Musk really I mean, I don't know if this is 237 00:12:01,640 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 4: where you're going with it, if it's still adding five 238 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:06,679 Speaker 4: trillion dollars to the debt. Now, if you're Elon Musk 239 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:08,840 Speaker 4: and you're Donald Trump and you're Mike Johnson, Mike Johnson 240 00:12:08,840 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 4: is somebody who's always Freedom Caucus adjacent and had high 241 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 4: expectations for Mike Johnson. 242 00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:16,679 Speaker 1: Emily, I would never know that. 243 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:20,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, It's it's like fight club. You don't you don't 244 00:12:20,040 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 4: necessarily always say if you're in the Freedom Caucus. 245 00:12:22,280 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 3: Johnson was not. 246 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:27,000 Speaker 4: But he he's also somebody who's who has talked, talked 247 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:29,600 Speaker 4: the talk about the debt for a long time. And 248 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:32,360 Speaker 4: he is not leading here. He's he looks like he's 249 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,520 Speaker 4: being led. I don't know if his speakership survives into 250 00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 4: next year. That is something that's being talked about intensely 251 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:39,960 Speaker 4: behind closed doors, actually out in the open right now 252 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 4: as well. 253 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 3: So, I mean, this is just like they have leverage. 254 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,560 Speaker 4: If you're Mike Johnson or Elon Musker, Donald Trump, right now, 255 00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:48,640 Speaker 4: you're saying, we used all the leverage we possibly can. 256 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 4: This is a Christmas shutdown. It is the Friday before Christmas. 257 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 4: We're still going to add five trillion dollars to the 258 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 4: debt because we're not going to solve the national debt 259 00:12:56,760 --> 00:13:00,720 Speaker 4: crisis right now, sorry, chip Roy and Chip Roy and 260 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 4: is like, hey, you're adding five trillion dollars to the debt, 261 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 4: Like that's the impasse here, Yeah, And. 262 00:13:06,240 --> 00:13:06,720 Speaker 3: They're just not. 263 00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 4: I mean that's the question is whether they can get 264 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:10,000 Speaker 4: anything passed right. 265 00:13:09,920 --> 00:13:15,440 Speaker 2: Well, because because the margin is so narrow, if you 266 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:19,080 Speaker 2: even lose you know, Chip Roy, Thomas Massey, what they 267 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:21,800 Speaker 2: can lose like five people if that, and. 268 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:24,120 Speaker 4: Then they would I mean presumably they have to start 269 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:26,559 Speaker 4: adding pork back into the bill to get Democrats to 270 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:26,920 Speaker 4: vote for. 271 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:27,959 Speaker 1: That's that's right. 272 00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:30,600 Speaker 2: So if you don't keep the Republican Caucus one hundred 273 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:33,559 Speaker 2: percent together, then you're going to have to you know, 274 00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 2: add back in the research funds for kids with pediatric cancer. 275 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:39,840 Speaker 1: You know you're going to have to add back in. 276 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 2: There was some genuinely like you know, I know, there's 277 00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 2: people just have like a principle against putting things together 278 00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 2: in this one bill. But there were genuinely good things 279 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:51,560 Speaker 2: in this bill that I think you and I would 280 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 2: both agree on, like the pharmacy Benefit manager thing that 281 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:54,719 Speaker 2: gets stripped down. 282 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 1: You also had. 283 00:13:56,000 --> 00:14:01,000 Speaker 2: A provision that would make sure that hotel like these 284 00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 2: random fees that you get in hotels, you have this 285 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:08,720 Speaker 2: provision about hotel fees and disclosure around them, which is 286 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:10,439 Speaker 2: you know, small ball, but the kind of thing that 287 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:14,000 Speaker 2: people like to be able to understand what they're they're 288 00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 2: paying for. And also many people noted there are some 289 00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:22,720 Speaker 2: provisions in here that would have restricted investment in China. 290 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:29,680 Speaker 2: Elon of course has huge investments in China, and this 291 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 2: provision maybe would have directly impacted him because it had 292 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 2: to do with you know, high levels of technology things 293 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:37,760 Speaker 2: like AI investments. He has planned you know, AI investments 294 00:14:37,800 --> 00:14:39,880 Speaker 2: with these a p tesla in China that. 295 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:40,520 Speaker 1: Gets stripped out. 296 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 2: Suddenly Elon likes the bill. So there's a lot of 297 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 2: self interest at play here as well. With regards to 298 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 2: Elon Musk, which is you know, part of why, as 299 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 2: a matter of principle, object to having this man who 300 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:53,040 Speaker 2: is not only the richest man on the planet, but 301 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 2: has incredible conflicts of interest just throughout the entire government, 302 00:14:57,560 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 2: is one of the largest contractors to the Pentagon, as 303 00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:05,200 Speaker 2: one example, being so incredibly powerful in our politics. And 304 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,120 Speaker 2: so you see it in little things like this where 305 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 2: maybe it gets stripped out just because Republicans want to 306 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,200 Speaker 2: strip a bunch of things out. Maybe it gets stripped 307 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,760 Speaker 2: out because this billionaire who now is a rival power 308 00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:19,680 Speaker 2: center to President Trump himself, decided that this was not 309 00:15:19,760 --> 00:15:23,200 Speaker 2: good for his own ideology and his own business interest. 310 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 2: So go ahead, Emily, if you want to react to that, 311 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,080 Speaker 2: then we can talk a little bit about the democratic 312 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 2: side here. 313 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 3: Yeah. 314 00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 4: No, I mean, I think it's it's like this. First 315 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 4: of all, I love that your pets have formed their 316 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:35,680 Speaker 4: own freedom Caucus. I think it's very appropriate, like storming 317 00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 4: the Capitol relevant. But no, I mean, it's just it's 318 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 4: this question about short term versus long term. And you know, 319 00:15:43,920 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 4: if you can ever even address the long term, if 320 00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:47,640 Speaker 4: you don't address the short term, that's what the trip 321 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:48,920 Speaker 4: roys of the world they're going to say. And I 322 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:51,840 Speaker 4: think what they're learning is that Elon musk might have 323 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:55,040 Speaker 4: this like theoretical concern about the national debt, but it's 324 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 4: going to be secondary, probably to higher priorities. 325 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:00,560 Speaker 1: Indeed. 326 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 2: All right, so you have the Republicans who some you know, 327 00:16:03,960 --> 00:16:06,000 Speaker 2: thirty five of them are like, no, we're not going 328 00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 2: along with this, we don't want to raise the debt, sealing, 329 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:10,680 Speaker 2: et cetera. So then you need a good number several 330 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 2: dozen Democrats to join you. So let's go ahead and 331 00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 2: play this is Actually it's interesting that this is this guy, 332 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 2: Jared Moskowitz, who's actually been sort of like Elon curious. 333 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 2: He was the one, isn't he the one that came 334 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 2: out and was like, Oh, I'm going to join the 335 00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:25,680 Speaker 2: Doge Caucus, like I want to be involved in this. 336 00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:30,720 Speaker 2: So the fact that even a very centristy type Democrat 337 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 2: like Moscowitz was going pretty hard against this deal was 338 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 2: an indication that Democrats were more or less going to 339 00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 2: be lockstep against it. 340 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:41,000 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and listen to him making the case. 341 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 2: In one minute to the gentleman from Florida and mister Moskowitz. 342 00:16:44,200 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 4: The gentleman for Florida's recognized for one movie. 343 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 6: Thank you as a speaker. You know, denial is not 344 00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 6: just a river in Egypt. Let's talk about the last 345 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:56,560 Speaker 6: two years. It was the Democrats who raised the debt ceiling, 346 00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 6: not the Republicans. Last time, many of you voted against it. 347 00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:02,240 Speaker 6: It was the Demokrats who kept over the government. Not once, 348 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 6: not twice, but every single time we needed to keep 349 00:17:06,600 --> 00:17:09,639 Speaker 6: the government open. It was the Democrats who kept the 350 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 6: government open. More of us voted for it than you 351 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 6: and all I've heard for the last couple of weeks 352 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:21,400 Speaker 6: about this giant mandate landslide trifecta. Put on your big 353 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:22,679 Speaker 6: boy pants, pass. 354 00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:25,280 Speaker 3: Your own bill. We're only here. 355 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 6: We're only here because you guys can't agree amongst yourself. 356 00:17:31,320 --> 00:17:35,240 Speaker 6: So hold on a second, Hold on a second. Democrats 357 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:38,880 Speaker 6: will keep government open for the American people. We will 358 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:42,439 Speaker 6: mediate the disagreements between that side of the room and 359 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:43,160 Speaker 6: that side of the room. 360 00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 3: We will do that for you. 361 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:47,040 Speaker 6: But you got to at least invite us to that meeting. 362 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:50,600 Speaker 6: So if you want us to solve your problem because 363 00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 6: you can't agree amongst yourselves, reach out. 364 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:54,680 Speaker 3: Thank you expressed. 365 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:55,760 Speaker 1: So there you go. 366 00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:58,200 Speaker 2: Put on your big boy pants, Like, listen, y'all want 367 00:17:58,200 --> 00:17:59,679 Speaker 2: to do this on your own, go ahead, do it 368 00:17:59,680 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 2: on your own. But if you want us to participate 369 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 2: and you want our votes, you're gonna have to negotiate 370 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:06,119 Speaker 2: with us, and you're gonna have to add back in 371 00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:08,760 Speaker 2: some of these provisions that you took out. And I 372 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:12,320 Speaker 2: also Democrats are not in the mood to clear the 373 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,359 Speaker 2: decks on the debt ceiling for Trump either, so that 374 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,920 Speaker 2: he can have a free hand to mostly cut taxes 375 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 2: for the rich, which is the one thing that's like 376 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 2: almost guaranteed to happen in the new Trump administration because 377 00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 2: the Tax Cuts, Cuts and Jobs Act is up for 378 00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 2: certain provisions of it up for renewal. So Democrats, in 379 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:35,760 Speaker 2: the end, almost all of them are a handful of exceptions, 380 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:41,280 Speaker 2: vote in lockstab against this deal that was struck with 381 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:44,840 Speaker 2: Musk and Trump and Mike Johnson and whoever else in 382 00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:46,080 Speaker 2: the Republican Caucus. 383 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:48,840 Speaker 3: And by the way, it goes to the Senate too, 384 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:49,639 Speaker 3: So I mean. 385 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:51,879 Speaker 2: I know that's so sure. We're just talking about the House. 386 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 2: And not only does it go to the Senate, it's 387 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:55,159 Speaker 2: got to get sixty votes in the Senate. 388 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, so you're no, we're close to that. 389 00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:02,120 Speaker 4: No, we're close, right, And it is, you know, Friday 390 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 4: morning and they're supposed to vote on something, and we're 391 00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 4: about to talk about this at eleven unclear whether that 392 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 4: passes now. At risk of sounding like Sager, it is 393 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:13,239 Speaker 4: sort of always fun to when there are moments of 394 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:17,720 Speaker 4: intense parliamentary theater and drama in the capital. 395 00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:19,600 Speaker 3: It you know, makes us feel like the country is 396 00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 3: still alive. 397 00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,440 Speaker 4: There was a point where like Rosa Delora from Connecticut, 398 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:26,280 Speaker 4: Democrat from Connecticut yielded her time to Chip Roy. 399 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:28,320 Speaker 3: It was good the dynamics. 400 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:30,399 Speaker 4: It's great when they when they have to when they 401 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:33,480 Speaker 4: have to work late at night before Christmas, they just 402 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 4: all of their anger just gets taken out on each other. 403 00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:37,760 Speaker 3: So it's that's fun to watch. Maybe we'll get more 404 00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 3: of it today. 405 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,480 Speaker 1: Actually, oh, I'm quite sure that we will. 406 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:43,119 Speaker 2: So you were just referencing the latest is so that 407 00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 2: bill goes down in flames, not even close in fact, 408 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:47,920 Speaker 2: they were using a method not to get you on 409 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,720 Speaker 2: the weeds here, but that would require two thirds majority 410 00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:52,760 Speaker 2: to vote. Obviously, doesn't get anyonere close to that. It 411 00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:54,840 Speaker 2: doesn't get really close to a majority. 412 00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:55,200 Speaker 3: Either. 413 00:19:55,760 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 2: And the latest is the House Republicans were meeting this morning, 414 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:03,800 Speaker 2: or some subset of them anyway, and Anna Polina Luna, 415 00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 2: who is a you know, trumpy Republican but also i 416 00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 2: think an alli Speaker Johnson right, Emily fair. 417 00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:13,720 Speaker 1: To say she's just popular, Yeah, okay, all right. 418 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,520 Speaker 2: More or less, she's like kind of famous, didn't she 419 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 2: the one that like posed in a bikini or something 420 00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:19,000 Speaker 2: and got a lot of attention that way? Anyway, that's 421 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 2: that lady. So she just came out of the Speaker's 422 00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:23,480 Speaker 2: office and said there will be a vote on something 423 00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 2: very similar to yesterday. She said ours will not negotiate 424 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:30,320 Speaker 2: with Dems. She also said the vote will be at ten, 425 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:32,600 Speaker 2: which I've been told is ambitious internal leadership goal, not 426 00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 2: meant to be announced right now as we're recording this 427 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,879 Speaker 2: as nine forty am. Severely doubt they'll be voting on 428 00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,960 Speaker 2: anything by ten am. But in any case, it's hard 429 00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 2: to see how the result would be any different if 430 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:47,920 Speaker 2: the bill is not substantially different, Emily, unless you see 431 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:48,480 Speaker 2: it differently. 432 00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 4: No, I have none of them know how this is 433 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:54,920 Speaker 4: going to work out. Again, we haven't even talked about 434 00:20:54,960 --> 00:21:00,479 Speaker 4: Chuck Schumer and Democratic Senate leadership. Obviously, Democrats know that 435 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:03,399 Speaker 4: Republicans always get blamed for a shutdown, So no, and 436 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 4: that's whether or not it's valid, you know. And sometimes 437 00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:09,560 Speaker 4: it's like Democrats are refusing to negotiate. Cheryl Akinson actually 438 00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:12,560 Speaker 4: posted kind of a long anecdote from twenty thirteen or 439 00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:15,400 Speaker 4: twenty fourteen and how when she was inside CBS there 440 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:18,280 Speaker 4: was this internal pressure to get the story being about 441 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,560 Speaker 4: Republicans shutting down the government, and Republicans. 442 00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:22,880 Speaker 3: Know that that's always what happens. 443 00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:25,680 Speaker 4: But I think there's this lack of confidence or there's 444 00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:28,280 Speaker 4: this confidence now, the swagger now, because I feel like 445 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:30,440 Speaker 4: they have the wind that they're back after Trump won, 446 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:32,399 Speaker 4: which is a why chip Away thinks they should be 447 00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:35,240 Speaker 4: getting a better deal and b why they're playing a 448 00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 4: bolder hand that they're just going to be able to 449 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:41,879 Speaker 4: sort of circumvent the corporate media's narrative about how this 450 00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:45,000 Speaker 4: is all Republicans fault and if Democrats refuse to negotiate, 451 00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:47,919 Speaker 4: then they can somehow blame the Democrats. 452 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:49,560 Speaker 3: I just don't think that's gonna work. 453 00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:50,359 Speaker 1: Yeah. 454 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:54,200 Speaker 2: Well, I mean, because you had a thing and then 455 00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:56,879 Speaker 2: Elon starts tweeting, and then you don't have it. So 456 00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:58,879 Speaker 2: I mean it's very clearly like the action was on 457 00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:02,000 Speaker 2: the Republican side in terms of this really kind of 458 00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 2: it came a little bit out of nowhere. Usually these 459 00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:09,399 Speaker 2: shut down threats have some like weeks if not months 460 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,919 Speaker 2: of build up and jockeying and what's going to happen 461 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,600 Speaker 2: and brinksmanship that can kind of appear to be like 462 00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:20,000 Speaker 2: both sides, But this one because they had a deal 463 00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:22,120 Speaker 2: and then it is just like Elon one day wakes 464 00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,199 Speaker 2: up and starts tweeting, and then it's all collapsed. And 465 00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:27,320 Speaker 2: now suddenly here you are, hours before the shutdown and 466 00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:31,480 Speaker 2: Republicans are scrambling and can agree amongst themselves, et cetera. Yeah, 467 00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:34,399 Speaker 2: I think it's pretty clear that the public is going 468 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:36,520 Speaker 2: to feel like you guys are the ones that the 469 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,639 Speaker 2: tanked the deal that created this chaos. And you know, 470 00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:42,159 Speaker 2: there's real ramifications when the government shuts down, especially at 471 00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:46,480 Speaker 2: the holiday time. It's not like every function shuts down. 472 00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,920 Speaker 2: You still have essential workers and functions that are you know, occurring, 473 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:53,480 Speaker 2: but there are costs to it. Sager was pointing out 474 00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:55,960 Speaker 2: people who are going to travel TSA is going to 475 00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 2: be more limited traffic to eric traffic controllers like you're 476 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,760 Speaker 2: going to have fewer personnel, you're gonna have more chaos 477 00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:06,080 Speaker 2: in terms of travel. That's just one example of the 478 00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:10,119 Speaker 2: types of services that won't continue in a government shutdown. 479 00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,679 Speaker 2: Then you also have some of the additional pieces in 480 00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:15,400 Speaker 2: this that were important to both sides, so the disaster 481 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:19,280 Speaker 2: relief being one of them. The farm relief, which actually 482 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:22,480 Speaker 2: I mean given that that's more of a constituent constituency 483 00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:24,399 Speaker 2: for Republicans, is kind of more of an issue for 484 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:29,480 Speaker 2: conservative rural Republicans where because the previous farm bill wasn't 485 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:31,600 Speaker 2: they weren't able to go to a new farm bill, 486 00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:34,120 Speaker 2: so they did like a continuing farm bill. So they 487 00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:36,600 Speaker 2: haven't gotten the you know, the aid support that they 488 00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:38,920 Speaker 2: need and that they're used to during this time. So 489 00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:42,359 Speaker 2: the Farm Bureau is very concerned about what all of 490 00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:44,360 Speaker 2: this means. So in any case, there are pieces here 491 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:48,119 Speaker 2: that are important to both sides of the ledger, and 492 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,040 Speaker 2: right now it is very unclear how this proceeds. You know, 493 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,920 Speaker 2: Jake Sherman is out saying he thinks the most likely 494 00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:59,320 Speaker 2: thing is a quote unquote clean cr that is very 495 00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:02,119 Speaker 2: short term. I'm talking like a few weeks just to 496 00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,919 Speaker 2: get through the holidays and like reconvene and see what 497 00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:08,200 Speaker 2: they can come up with in the new year. So 498 00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:11,119 Speaker 2: that may be the case, but again you would have 499 00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:15,800 Speaker 2: to get every Republican on board. And then again that 500 00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 2: leaves open the question of the Senate and whether that's 501 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,199 Speaker 2: gonna whether Democrats are going to go along with that, 502 00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:22,800 Speaker 2: whether they're going to be incentivized just like I want 503 00:24:22,800 --> 00:24:24,119 Speaker 2: to get out of here and get home to my 504 00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:28,000 Speaker 2: kids and have Christmas enough to kick the can down 505 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:29,879 Speaker 2: of the road into January and figure this out in 506 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:30,280 Speaker 2: the new year. 507 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:31,920 Speaker 1: So that's kind of where things are. 508 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:33,800 Speaker 4: Well, and this might be the deal with Democrats. They're 509 00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,840 Speaker 4: losing control of the Senate in the new Congress. So 510 00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:41,040 Speaker 4: is the CR going to kick it until there's no 511 00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:44,680 Speaker 4: Democratic control in the Senate that Democrats aren't in control 512 00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 4: of the Senate, or are they going to trick a 513 00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:48,800 Speaker 4: deal that does it right before the new Congress. 514 00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 3: I don't know. 515 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,880 Speaker 1: I mean, it's a yeah, but it doesn't matter. 516 00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 2: I mean, maybe it matters more than I'm thinking, but 517 00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 2: since you have to get that sixty votes super majority, 518 00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,560 Speaker 2: I don't know that it matters that much. Whether it's 519 00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:04,000 Speaker 2: Democrats who have a fifty to fifty Senate or whether 520 00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:07,119 Speaker 2: it's Republicans who you know, have the fifty three to 521 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:10,240 Speaker 2: forty seven Senate, because you still are going to need 522 00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:13,879 Speaker 2: some not insignificant number of Democrats to go along with 523 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:16,800 Speaker 2: whatever deal is ultimately struck, and they are not in 524 00:25:16,840 --> 00:25:20,639 Speaker 2: the mood to help out Trump and give him what 525 00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:22,360 Speaker 2: he wants. They're certainly not in the mood to help 526 00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:26,040 Speaker 2: out Elon Musk or whatever. So they're happy to watch 527 00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:29,959 Speaker 2: Republicans kind of stumble around and try to come up 528 00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:32,840 Speaker 2: with something that they can all vote for in lockstep. 529 00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:36,919 Speaker 2: And yeah, I mean that's why, that's exactly the reason 530 00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:40,119 Speaker 2: why Mike Johnson and seemingly with the backing of Trump 531 00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 2: thought from the beginning, like, let's just deal with the 532 00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 2: Democrats now going into while Joe Biden is still in 533 00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 2: off as we could just blame them for any part 534 00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:50,200 Speaker 2: of this that we don't really like that much, and 535 00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:52,200 Speaker 2: then we'll have kind of a clean slate coming in, 536 00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:55,640 Speaker 2: debt sealing taken care of, government funded, so we can 537 00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:57,720 Speaker 2: do the things that we want to do. And now 538 00:25:57,800 --> 00:26:00,600 Speaker 2: that possibility is no longer really on the table. 539 00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:02,800 Speaker 4: It's been a I mean this is really setting the 540 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:06,560 Speaker 4: tone for how they're dealing with each other coming into 541 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:09,919 Speaker 4: a new Congress and a new presidential administration. Like, what 542 00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:13,000 Speaker 4: is Elon's role, who is he allying with? Who is 543 00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:15,920 Speaker 4: he talking to? Who is Trump talking to? Who is 544 00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:19,560 Speaker 4: Mike Johnson talking to? This is going to this is 545 00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:22,879 Speaker 4: they're entering the new year on shake your footing because 546 00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:25,600 Speaker 4: of all of this, they're spinning it as they're entering 547 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:29,800 Speaker 4: the new year, possibly with getting a better deal. And 548 00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:32,840 Speaker 4: if you're chip Roy, this has generally been positive because 549 00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:37,080 Speaker 4: it showed that Doge is at least rhetorically interested in 550 00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,440 Speaker 4: the things that you've been talking about since the Tea 551 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:40,119 Speaker 4: Party years. 552 00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, even if you're. 553 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:43,800 Speaker 4: Disappointed in how they actually are, like, oh so they 554 00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,359 Speaker 4: see some political value to having this conversation. 555 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:47,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, but. 556 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:50,560 Speaker 4: This has caused a lot of I mean, Trump should 557 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:52,520 Speaker 4: not be fighting with chip Roy going into the twenty 558 00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:53,040 Speaker 4: twenty five. 559 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,640 Speaker 2: No, they I mean, they just won. They should all 560 00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:57,679 Speaker 2: be aligned and in love with each other, you know. 561 00:26:57,800 --> 00:26:59,800 Speaker 2: I mean, you're never happier with your team than when 562 00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:02,600 Speaker 2: you on this giant winning streak, and that's exactly there. 563 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 2: They should be riding high right now. So it also 564 00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:09,560 Speaker 2: just raises. I mean, obviously the two competing power centers. 565 00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:13,040 Speaker 2: I'll just throw up this last element to give to 566 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:16,040 Speaker 2: sort of elucidate that. But you know, it really looked 567 00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:17,920 Speaker 2: like Elon was running the show in terms of this 568 00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:20,000 Speaker 2: whole striving Trump was. Trump was fine to just go 569 00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:22,879 Speaker 2: along with whatever deal was struck. Is certainly what it 570 00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:27,200 Speaker 2: looks like. I think this is the response from Caroline Lovett. Nope, 571 00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:29,040 Speaker 2: that is not the response from Caroline Lovett. 572 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:32,399 Speaker 4: You don't want to deal with Congress, right, He doesn't 573 00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:36,000 Speaker 4: want to have to worry about the dynamics on Capitol Hill. 574 00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:37,880 Speaker 4: He doesn't want to have to worry about what's good. 575 00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:40,919 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's like, whatever, it's fine. I just want to, like, 576 00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:42,760 Speaker 2: you know, come into office and be able to do 577 00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:47,120 Speaker 2: my thing. This was Caroline Lovitt, who's the Trump spokesperson. 578 00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 1: Isn't she's going to be press secretary? Is that right? 579 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:49,439 Speaker 4: Am? 580 00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:50,159 Speaker 1: I right about that? 581 00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:53,560 Speaker 2: And then I go okay, So she responded to the 582 00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:56,280 Speaker 2: Elon Musk is the real leader of the Republican Party 583 00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:57,440 Speaker 2: rhetoric from the Democrats. 584 00:27:57,440 --> 00:27:57,720 Speaker 1: She said. 585 00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:00,159 Speaker 2: As soon as President Trump released his official stance on 586 00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:03,840 Speaker 2: the cr continuing our resolution Republicans on Capitol Hill echoed 587 00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:05,800 Speaker 2: his point of view, President Trump is the leader of 588 00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:07,840 Speaker 2: the Republican Party full stop. I mean, the fact that 589 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,399 Speaker 2: they even felt the need to respond to that tells 590 00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:13,840 Speaker 2: you this, this kind of gut this is getting under 591 00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:17,159 Speaker 2: Trump's skin, and you know, I think it's only going 592 00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 2: to continue. Elon is out there, He's got all the 593 00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:21,960 Speaker 2: money in the world. He was threatening primary challenges against 594 00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:23,960 Speaker 2: any Republicans who don't go along. By the way, he's 595 00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:28,080 Speaker 2: now threaten threatening primary challenges against Democrats in blue districts 596 00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:31,600 Speaker 2: who you know, were not centrist enough for his liking, 597 00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:34,760 Speaker 2: which you know, that's another story for another day, But 598 00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,439 Speaker 2: I think that would probably go over as well in 599 00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:41,160 Speaker 2: a Democratic primary as like a George Soros backed Republican candidate, 600 00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:43,000 Speaker 2: it would go over in a Republican primary. 601 00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,320 Speaker 1: But in any case, he's clearly willing to throw his 602 00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:45,880 Speaker 1: weight around. 603 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,239 Speaker 2: I'm not sure he realizes how close to the sun 604 00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:51,280 Speaker 2: he's flying in terms of, you know, usurping the power 605 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 2: of the party from Trump. So that's the other question 606 00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 2: is how long that alliance between the two of them 607 00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:59,120 Speaker 2: even lasts. Because Trump is certainly not one to brook 608 00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:03,800 Speaker 2: any threat to his ego and unquestioned position as the 609 00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:06,600 Speaker 2: king of the Republican Party, and then you do have 610 00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 2: genuine ideological fissures between them. I mean, Trump is not 611 00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:15,000 Speaker 2: really that ideological guy. So I think when the talk 612 00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:18,560 Speaker 2: is very theoretical of like who doesn't like the idea 613 00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:21,480 Speaker 2: of cutting waste from the government, right, like and the 614 00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 2: government being efficient, Sure sounds great, right, But then when 615 00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:27,120 Speaker 2: you're like, yeah, they cut out the funding for the 616 00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,240 Speaker 2: kids with cancer and they cut out they're looking at 617 00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:33,680 Speaker 2: cutting Social Security, like Elon's out there retweeting Mike Lee 618 00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 2: about how the whole program is a fraud. You know, yeah, 619 00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:41,520 Speaker 2: when it comes down to what they actually you know 620 00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:43,480 Speaker 2: what it means when you cut the government, not just 621 00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:46,680 Speaker 2: theoretical like sure, let's get the waist down. Suddenly these 622 00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:51,480 Speaker 2: projects become extremely unpopular, which is also part of what 623 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:54,160 Speaker 2: you're seeing in this dynamic of when people are actually 624 00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:56,480 Speaker 2: looking at like, oh, well, what did you cut from 625 00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:59,960 Speaker 2: this bill, and it's things that people would like to see, 626 00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:04,280 Speaker 2: like research into pediatric cancer, then the feels a lot 627 00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:07,680 Speaker 2: different than just in theory, let's spend less money. So 628 00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:11,240 Speaker 2: when the rubber meets the road, there's a big ideological 629 00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:15,560 Speaker 2: difference between Trump who doesn't really care either way, but 630 00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:19,120 Speaker 2: has this instinct, of this political instinct of these things 631 00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:21,760 Speaker 2: are not popular, like cutting these popular programs is not 632 00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:24,200 Speaker 2: a good idea. And Elon Musk, who is more of 633 00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 2: an ideological like Javier Malay type ideological figure. I mean, 634 00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:31,360 Speaker 2: this is someone who's praised. He prais Xavier Malay for 635 00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 2: rolling back terrorists, which again total contradiction to Trump and 636 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,600 Speaker 2: what he was claiming that he supports and when he's 637 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:40,280 Speaker 2: supported in the past, when he was in the White 638 00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:42,360 Speaker 2: House before. So this is sort of like our first 639 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:45,120 Speaker 2: glimpse into some of those potential fissures as well. 640 00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:49,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly. And Trump notoriously loves drama. He said it 641 00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:51,200 Speaker 4: as much that he likes it when people on his 642 00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:55,200 Speaker 4: side are fighting it out because he thinks that's healthy 643 00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:56,840 Speaker 4: and leads to a better outcome. 644 00:30:57,240 --> 00:30:59,040 Speaker 3: Or maybe he just enjoys it, don't we all. 645 00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:02,480 Speaker 4: But like there's there's maybe a Trump like enjoys the 646 00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:06,160 Speaker 4: shadenfreude like everyone else does. But the Freedom Caucus, people 647 00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:08,720 Speaker 4: like Tip Roy, their constituents want them to do this, 648 00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:12,000 Speaker 4: and they recognize that. Ted Cruz recognized that that back 649 00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,680 Speaker 4: in twenty thirteen, twenty fourteen, even earlier than that, at 650 00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:16,960 Speaker 4: the beginning of the Tea Party. They have to answer 651 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,800 Speaker 4: to their constituents. Trump has to answer to the entire country. 652 00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:23,000 Speaker 4: So that has always been what Paul Ryan tried to 653 00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,360 Speaker 4: bridge the gap between. It's what Kevin McCarthy tried to 654 00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:28,680 Speaker 4: bridge the gap between and Mike Johnson. You know is 655 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:30,960 Speaker 4: I don't even I don't even know what he's doing. 656 00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:32,880 Speaker 4: I don't think anybody really even knows what he's doing. 657 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:36,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, but Trump, that's it. 658 00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 4: Welcome back, Welcome back, is what they're all saying to 659 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:40,640 Speaker 4: him right now. 660 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:45,880 Speaker 2: Basically, yep, exactly exactly right. So we'll see what happens today. 661 00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:49,320 Speaker 2: They're gonna allegedly take a vote on something that's very similar, 662 00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:51,640 Speaker 2: will probably also go down in flames, and they'll be 663 00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:53,920 Speaker 2: back to the drawing board, would be my prediction. But hey, 664 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,240 Speaker 2: you never know if they work something out amongst themselves 665 00:31:56,640 --> 00:32:01,000 Speaker 2: and government. If there is no deal struck today, government 666 00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:04,520 Speaker 2: will shut down at midnight to night. So we will 667 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:07,040 Speaker 2: certainly keep an eye on it for you, although all 668 00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:08,719 Speaker 2: of us are going to be running around and traveling, 669 00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:10,200 Speaker 2: so I don't know if we'll be able to update 670 00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:13,720 Speaker 2: you or not, but maybe we'll try, depending on what happens. 671 00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:16,880 Speaker 2: In any case, I hope you guys have a wonderful 672 00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:19,400 Speaker 2: holiday and we will certainly. And thank you again Emily 673 00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:21,520 Speaker 2: for spenty some time with us this morning and helping 674 00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:24,320 Speaker 2: me understand what's going on from the Republican perspective as well, 675 00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:26,360 Speaker 2: And we will see all of you guys soon