WEBVTT - Google's Antitrust Case, Trump's Frustration with Powell

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg business Week Daily reporting from the magazine

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<v Speaker 2>that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies,

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<v Speaker 2>and trends shaping today's complex economy. Plus global business finance

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<v Speaker 2>and tech news as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Weekdaily

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<v Speaker 2>Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Steneveek on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>A couple legal actions we want to get to you

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<v Speaker 3>right now.

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<v Speaker 4>First of all, earlier today Google partially losing a US

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<v Speaker 4>advertising tech antitrust case, and just moments ago, the US

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<v Speaker 4>Supreme Court saying we'll hear arguments on President Trump's bid

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<v Speaker 4>to start enforcing an executive order that would restrict automatic

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<v Speaker 4>birthright citizenship and upend a longstanding constitutional right.

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<v Speaker 3>The Court saying today.

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<v Speaker 4>Will keep his restrictions on hold in advance of that

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<v Speaker 4>May fifteenth argument.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to bring in Bloomberg News team leader Sarah

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<v Speaker 1>Ford and Sarah joins us from our Washington DC bureau.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to start with the Supreme Court setting to

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<v Speaker 1>hear arguments in the birthright sistemship case. How does this work?

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<v Speaker 1>Give us the sort of schoolhouse rock version of how

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<v Speaker 1>the Supreme Court could change what is written in the

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<v Speaker 1>US Constitution.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, I mean this has been, as you said, a

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<v Speaker 5>longstanding belief of constitutional scholars and others that the right

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<v Speaker 5>to birthright citizenship is sacrosanct. So the fact that they

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<v Speaker 5>are willing to take this up and to start to

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<v Speaker 5>parse it and consider the restrictions that are being proposed

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<v Speaker 5>by the Trump administration means that this right could potentially

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<v Speaker 5>be in play going forward.

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<v Speaker 3>So what's next May fifteenth?

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<v Speaker 5>Is that what we focus So, as you said, the

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<v Speaker 5>restrictions are on hold for now, but May fifteenth will

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<v Speaker 5>be a closely closely followed arguments. This usually takes several

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<v Speaker 5>hours where we listen attentively to what each of the

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<v Speaker 5>justices the questions that they're asking and how that might

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<v Speaker 5>indicate what they're thinking.

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<v Speaker 3>Is I mean, this.

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<v Speaker 4>Would be a significant change in a policy that's been standing.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean this has been sacri saying that the

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<v Speaker 5>children of people who are non citizens who are born

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<v Speaker 5>in this country have the right to American citizenship. So

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<v Speaker 5>this will go to hospitals across the country when babies

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<v Speaker 5>are born. Are they going to give those babies a

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<v Speaker 5>Social Security number or not? And so this could start

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<v Speaker 5>to roll back that, and it's part of the Trump

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<v Speaker 5>administration's larger, very aggressive crackdown on immigration to this country

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<v Speaker 5>over multiple What.

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<v Speaker 1>Is the legal case here, because in the Section one

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<v Speaker 1>of the fourteenth Amendment of the Constitution, it does go

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<v Speaker 1>into the fact that all persons born or naturalized in

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<v Speaker 1>the US are subject and subject to the jurisdiction thereof

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<v Speaker 1>are citizens of the US and the state wherein they reside.

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<v Speaker 1>Is the Supreme Court challenging the meaning of that.

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<v Speaker 5>That clause subject to the jurisdiction thereof is the one

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<v Speaker 5>that is being put into question, and the questions whether

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<v Speaker 5>these non citizens who are here are really subject to

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<v Speaker 5>the jurisdiction. And so that is what they're going to

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<v Speaker 5>tease out in part during these arguments.

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<v Speaker 3>So I am curious, what did you just happen? Oh,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm sorry, there's a lot of stuff happening.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, producers are talking to Carol, So I'm jumping in

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit. I was asking specifically about Section one

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<v Speaker 1>of the fourteenth Defendment, okay, and how that is open

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<v Speaker 1>to interpretation with this legal case.

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<v Speaker 4>Sorry, it's one of those kind of days and kind

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<v Speaker 4>of these weeks in one of these kind of years.

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<v Speaker 4>I want to flip to Google and the case there

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<v Speaker 4>of Google partially losing a US advertising tech anti trust case.

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<v Speaker 4>This was a federal judge finding Google to have legally

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<v Speaker 4>illegally monopolize some online ad technology markets in a blow

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<v Speaker 4>to what is a really key part of Google's business.

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<v Speaker 3>Walk us through this one.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, absolutely. This is the second major ruling against Google

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<v Speaker 5>in a tech anti trust case. And this case has

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<v Speaker 5>to do with the pipeline that Underpins's advertising business. So

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<v Speaker 5>they control the technology soup to nuts, from the ad

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<v Speaker 5>servers to the putting these ads on websites. And this

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<v Speaker 5>judge found that Google monopolizes the part that has to

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<v Speaker 5>do with the ad server tools. And I know this

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<v Speaker 5>is all very wonky, but it goes back to their

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<v Speaker 5>acquisition of a company called double Click in two thousand.

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<v Speaker 1>That was so long ago, long ago.

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<v Speaker 5>So the DOJ actually is in the remedy portion of

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<v Speaker 5>this case, which will follow today's decision, is DJ is

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<v Speaker 5>asking for the judge to order Google to sell off

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<v Speaker 5>that double Click unit. But of course, over the years

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<v Speaker 5>it has been integrated into their business, and so it's

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<v Speaker 5>kind of like trying to unscramble the omelet.

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<v Speaker 3>So is there an appeal coming to we assume so Kenny.

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<v Speaker 5>Google has already said they will appeal this part of

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<v Speaker 5>the case. They did win the part of the case

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<v Speaker 5>that has to do with display ads, so so they're

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<v Speaker 5>safe on that count. But all of this marks a

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<v Speaker 5>bigger reckoning for the tech companies that have gotten so powerful,

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<v Speaker 5>and it shows that we have a rare little spot

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<v Speaker 5>of bipartisan consensus on antitrust and limiting the power of

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<v Speaker 5>big tech because these cases have been taken forward both

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<v Speaker 5>by the first Trump administration who filed the first Google

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<v Speaker 5>case which was about search, and the metacase, which is

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<v Speaker 5>currently playing out in another DC courtroom, and they were

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<v Speaker 5>carried forward by the Biden administration. So we're not seeing

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<v Speaker 5>a lot of light between conservatives and liberals on these cases.

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<v Speaker 4>Just real quickly, just about twenty seconds here, sour. So

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<v Speaker 4>that's what I was going to ask, because we know

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<v Speaker 4>this was a kind of second major blow to Google

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<v Speaker 4>that was already found to have monopolized the online search

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<v Speaker 4>market in a separate case.

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<v Speaker 3>Is this all Google.

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<v Speaker 4>Specific or I kind of get the feeling it's a

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<v Speaker 4>larger message here for some of those big tech guys.

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<v Speaker 3>Just quickly.

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<v Speaker 5>This is a larger message and we have cases running

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<v Speaker 5>now against Amazon, Meta, Apple, and Google. So yes, it's

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<v Speaker 5>broad all right.

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<v Speaker 1>Just thinking, I'm just thinking of those CEOs of those

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<v Speaker 1>companies were all at the inauguration. I think they were.

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<v Speaker 1>I believe they were just making sure.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's working out well, cool, all right.

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<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg News Legal team leader Sarah Fordon, thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 4>We really appreciate you joining us.

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<v Speaker 2>You are listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch

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<v Speaker 3>We want to stay with the future of j. Powell.

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<v Speaker 4>Of course, the fed share things have just come out

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<v Speaker 4>of this press conference that is ongoing here in the

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<v Speaker 4>White House again the President making another comment he should

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<v Speaker 4>do the right cuts. So we want to kind of

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<v Speaker 4>get into this, and we have a great voice we do.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's bring in Katerina Sariva. She joins us from Houston,

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<v Speaker 1>also with us as Michael McKee's Bloomberg News International Economics

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<v Speaker 1>and Policy correspondent. He joins us here in the studio.

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<v Speaker 1>I do want to start with you, because you have

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<v Speaker 1>been monitoring these Powell or these Trump comments. I should say,

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<v Speaker 1>in the context of what we heard from j. Powell yesterday,

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<v Speaker 1>you were there in Chicago, just give me your impression

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<v Speaker 1>of what we're hearing from the President right now and

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<v Speaker 1>what the message is that he has for the Federal Reserve.

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<v Speaker 6>At the moment, I'm still seeing this as saber rattling,

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<v Speaker 6>trying to influence the FED. The President said this morning

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<v Speaker 6>he is a word termination. Other White House officials have

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<v Speaker 6>told other networks that he didn't mean firing him, And

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<v Speaker 6>then today in the Oval office, they said, are you

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<v Speaker 6>trying to get rid of him? And he said, yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 6>But what does that really mean. We know he doesn't

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<v Speaker 6>like Powell, and we know he doesn't like the fact

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<v Speaker 6>that the FED is not cutting interest rates as the

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<v Speaker 6>president would like, but there isn't There's a real debate

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<v Speaker 6>about whether the President has any power to get rid

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<v Speaker 6>of the FED chair, which we can go into later.

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<v Speaker 6>But I don't think that we're necessarily any closer to

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<v Speaker 6>Powell being ousted or an attempt to oust him by

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<v Speaker 6>the President. But I think that because Powell spoke yesterday

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<v Speaker 6>and gave the impression they're not going to cut rates soon,

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<v Speaker 6>that he's just venting again on the FED chair.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, you can't fire a FED chair just because

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<v Speaker 4>you don't like their policy, can you.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, is that I don't.

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<v Speaker 3>Know, is that?

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<v Speaker 1>Cause?

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<v Speaker 6>Like I said, we can go into the whole background.

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<v Speaker 6>But in theory, legal experts say that's not cause, causes

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<v Speaker 6>malfeasance or illegality or something like that. The question is

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<v Speaker 6>not so much cause. It's this whole Article two issue

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<v Speaker 6>about whether the president has unfettered ability to run everything

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<v Speaker 6>in the executive branch, including what are supposed to be

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<v Speaker 6>independent agencies.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, and to that, there are some legal actions that

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<v Speaker 4>are out there that are testing the limits of presidential

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<v Speaker 4>authority to remove agency officials without cause. I want to

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<v Speaker 4>just bring in Bloomberg News Federal Reserve reporter Katerina Sariva,

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<v Speaker 4>who's with us from Houston. Katerina, what do we know

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<v Speaker 4>about these cases and what it could possibly potentially I

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<v Speaker 4>want to be careful here, but what it could mean

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<v Speaker 4>in terms of the presidential authority to possibly get rid

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<v Speaker 4>of the FED chair.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean that's you know, as Mike was just saying,

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<v Speaker 7>the big question. So we have a couple cases that

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<v Speaker 7>have kind of filtered their way through the federal court

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<v Speaker 7>system and will are expected to be taken up by

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<v Speaker 7>the Supreme Court soon. So these are kind of They

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<v Speaker 7>both have to do with what's called Humphries Executor, which

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<v Speaker 7>is a provision from nineteen thirty five, a Supreme Court

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<v Speaker 7>ruling that found that the president could not unilaterally fire

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<v Speaker 7>members of boards. Now the Supreme Court has already chipped

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<v Speaker 7>away at that a little bit. There was a twenty

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<v Speaker 7>twenty decision about the CFPB that said, when it's a

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<v Speaker 7>single directory, the President does have that authority to to

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<v Speaker 7>fire that person. But the open question is kind of

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<v Speaker 7>how it applies still to multi member boards. So the

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<v Speaker 7>decisions going up to the Supreme the cases going up

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<v Speaker 7>to the Supreme Court now are not specifically about the

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<v Speaker 7>Federal Reserve. It's other government agencies, but it's a similar

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<v Speaker 7>structure where they have multiple people on the board.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, Katerina, we're monitoring what's going on in the

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<v Speaker 1>Oval Office right now. The President is with Georgia Maloney,

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<v Speaker 1>the Prime Minister of Italy. He's still making more comments.

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<v Speaker 1>Just as you were speaking about the Federal Reserve, he said,

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<v Speaker 1>interest rates are pretty flat. They should be better. Costs

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<v Speaker 1>are down, very little inflation. The Fed owes it to

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<v Speaker 1>Americans to get interest rates down. Powell will have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of political pressure and the only thing Powell is

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<v Speaker 1>good for is lowering rates. I want to go back

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<v Speaker 1>to Mike McKee, International Economics and Policy correspondent. He's here

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<v Speaker 1>in our studio too. He's looking at these comments as well.

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<v Speaker 1>Just fact check us a little bit with where inflation is,

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<v Speaker 1>where costs are, and how you view the comment that

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<v Speaker 1>the President said the only thing Paul is good for

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<v Speaker 1>is lowering rates.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, it depends on which measure you want to use.

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<v Speaker 6>As always, we say with the inflation numbers, but basically

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<v Speaker 6>they're getting very close to the Fed's target, the CPI down,

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<v Speaker 6>and now we're here after we've had the other numbers

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<v Speaker 6>and people plugged in the data. The Fed's target is

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<v Speaker 6>the PCE index, and that's now forecast to come in

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<v Speaker 6>about two point three percent. So inflation has come down.

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<v Speaker 6>The issue is not that inflation is coming down, because

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<v Speaker 6>if this were an ordinary time, the Fed would be

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<v Speaker 6>probably lining up to cut rates again. I think pretty

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<v Speaker 6>much all of them want to, but they can't because

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<v Speaker 6>they don't know what is going to happen, and this

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<v Speaker 6>may be what set the president off. Powell yesterday saying

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<v Speaker 6>that the tariffs as announced were bigger than people thought,

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<v Speaker 6>and they will have a bigger impact than people thought.

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<v Speaker 6>Inflation will probably go higher than we estimated. And in

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<v Speaker 6>that case, because that's a possibility if Ed doesn't want

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<v Speaker 6>to move right now, and that makes sense.

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<v Speaker 4>So he also said the president, if Europe has cut rates,

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<v Speaker 4>that puts a set in a disadvantage.

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<v Speaker 6>They're not comparable. The European economy is growing barely one percent.

0:12:17.320 --> 0:12:19.920
<v Speaker 6>We've been growing two and a half or better. First

0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:22.560
<v Speaker 6>quarter may not be great, but there may be some

0:12:22.600 --> 0:12:28.920
<v Speaker 6>statistical anomalies there. Their unemployment rate is much higher than ours,

0:12:29.800 --> 0:12:34.640
<v Speaker 6>and their interest rates are lower than ours. So at

0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:38.480
<v Speaker 6>this point you can't really say that it's a comparable situation.

0:12:38.760 --> 0:12:40.959
<v Speaker 4>And we should point out that the remarks and the

0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:43.520
<v Speaker 4>press event in the Oval Office has ended, so that

0:12:43.520 --> 0:12:45.679
<v Speaker 4>should be the end of those headlines. Katherine, I want

0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:48.720
<v Speaker 4>to go back to you for one more thought. I

0:12:48.760 --> 0:12:53.959
<v Speaker 4>mean so legally, I mean how easy would it be

0:12:54.040 --> 0:12:57.040
<v Speaker 4>potentially and I guess, depending on how all these rulings go,

0:12:58.240 --> 0:13:01.640
<v Speaker 4>could it be for the President to maybe remove Fetcher

0:13:01.720 --> 0:13:02.319
<v Speaker 4>J Powell.

0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:06.600
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean if the rulings are broad and not

0:13:07.480 --> 0:13:10.040
<v Speaker 7>very narrow, right, if they if they are seen to

0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:15.000
<v Speaker 7>apply to basically any multi member agency, then yeah, that

0:13:15.080 --> 0:13:17.760
<v Speaker 7>leaves the door wide open for the President to fire

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:21.640
<v Speaker 7>the fet Share. There are some legal scholars and some folks,

0:13:21.679 --> 0:13:24.880
<v Speaker 7>and we heard it from Chair Powell yesterday as well,

0:13:24.920 --> 0:13:27.720
<v Speaker 7>that think that there is likely to be a carve

0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:32.120
<v Speaker 7>out specifically for the FED. We have heard, we had,

0:13:32.920 --> 0:13:35.760
<v Speaker 7>we've been in a decision a few years ago. Justice

0:13:35.800 --> 0:13:38.720
<v Speaker 7>Alito kind of eluded, you know, talked a little bit

0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:42.520
<v Speaker 7>about how the Federal Reserve is a unique entity. So

0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:46.679
<v Speaker 7>there there might be appetite for that at the Supreme

0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:49.559
<v Speaker 7>Court to kind of carve out the FED. But it

0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:50.600
<v Speaker 7>remains to be seen.

0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:51.000
<v Speaker 5>Now.

0:13:51.360 --> 0:13:54.480
<v Speaker 7>I think one of the important factors for Trump, even

0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:56.840
<v Speaker 7>if he has the permission to do so, is the

0:13:56.880 --> 0:14:00.520
<v Speaker 7>reality of how the markets would react, right, because it

0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:03.720
<v Speaker 7>would be quite a reaction in markets, and that may

0:14:04.240 --> 0:14:06.040
<v Speaker 7>prevent them from ultimately acting.

0:14:06.440 --> 0:14:09.000
<v Speaker 3>All right, really appreciate you, wangan, Katerina. We're going to

0:14:09.080 --> 0:14:10.320
<v Speaker 3>let you go. Thank you so much.

0:14:10.360 --> 0:14:13.559
<v Speaker 4>So, Katerina Saravas, she is Bloomberg News Federal Reserve reporter.

0:14:13.600 --> 0:14:15.679
<v Speaker 4>We're going to continue that a little bit more with

0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:19.240
<v Speaker 4>Mike in terms of Fetcher J. Powell and his tenure.

0:14:19.960 --> 0:14:22.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so, Mike, I do want to bring you back

0:14:22.000 --> 0:14:23.560
<v Speaker 1>in here because and we're going to get to trade

0:14:23.560 --> 0:14:25.680
<v Speaker 1>in just a minute, because there were some headlines on

0:14:25.720 --> 0:14:29.120
<v Speaker 1>the trade side of things coming from that Oval Office meeting.

0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:31.520
<v Speaker 1>But if we think about this in the context of

0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:35.240
<v Speaker 1>what we heard from the president in his first term,

0:14:35.520 --> 0:14:39.320
<v Speaker 1>he would tweet at the time about the FED lowering

0:14:39.360 --> 0:14:43.800
<v Speaker 1>interest rates. The FED chair has in the past addressed

0:14:44.320 --> 0:14:48.400
<v Speaker 1>questions about pressure and political pressure. He's talked about maintaining independence.

0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:50.640
<v Speaker 1>As of now, though, given what we heard from the

0:14:50.640 --> 0:14:54.000
<v Speaker 1>President today, are there any more questions about the pressure

0:14:54.000 --> 0:14:56.320
<v Speaker 1>that he must be feeling or he may be feeling.

0:14:56.200 --> 0:14:59.160
<v Speaker 6>Well, he may be feeling pressure, But he is giving

0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:02.320
<v Speaker 6>the same answer it was asked yesterday and again he said,

0:15:02.640 --> 0:15:05.680
<v Speaker 6>we will do what we do without any regard to

0:15:05.680 --> 0:15:09.400
<v Speaker 6>political pressure. Our job is the mandate that Congress gave

0:15:09.480 --> 0:15:13.280
<v Speaker 6>us maximum employment and stable prices, and that's what we're

0:15:13.280 --> 0:15:16.440
<v Speaker 6>going to do. We'll make our decisions based on what

0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:17.920
<v Speaker 6>gets us to those mandates.

0:15:18.680 --> 0:15:19.160
<v Speaker 3>Fetcher J.

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:22.280
<v Speaker 4>Powell also said yesterday our independence is a matter of law.

0:15:22.400 --> 0:15:25.440
<v Speaker 4>Congress has it in our statute. We're not removable except

0:15:25.440 --> 0:15:29.000
<v Speaker 4>for cause we serve very long terms, seemingly endless terms,

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:32.800
<v Speaker 4>he said, So we're protected in the law. So you know,

0:15:32.840 --> 0:15:34.800
<v Speaker 4>Congress could change that law, but there's I don't think

0:15:34.800 --> 0:15:37.080
<v Speaker 4>there's any danger of that. That independence has pretty broad

0:15:37.120 --> 0:15:40.920
<v Speaker 4>support across both political parties. I'm going to ask the obvious.

0:15:41.000 --> 0:15:42.880
<v Speaker 4>I know the answer, but we've got to ask it.

0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:45.040
<v Speaker 4>Maybe for those who are like, well, couldn't you just

0:15:45.040 --> 0:15:48.320
<v Speaker 4>get rid of the FED? I mean, if President Trump

0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:51.120
<v Speaker 4>just got rid of feedcher J. Powell just kind of

0:15:51.120 --> 0:15:53.840
<v Speaker 4>because he wanted to, and there was no real cause,

0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:58.560
<v Speaker 4>what would that say potentially to the independence of the Fed?

0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:02.560
<v Speaker 4>And again, just why having an independent fact is crucial

0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:05.560
<v Speaker 4>and when it doesn't happen, we see what happens two countries.

0:16:05.680 --> 0:16:07.640
<v Speaker 6>That part is easy because there have been many, many

0:16:07.680 --> 0:16:11.400
<v Speaker 6>studies that show countries with independent central banks have much

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:16.320
<v Speaker 6>lower interest rates, much lower inflation rates, and it's just

0:16:16.480 --> 0:16:20.520
<v Speaker 6>overall better for the economy. And there's no debate among

0:16:20.720 --> 0:16:26.240
<v Speaker 6>economists or I think investors, Wall Street Global, Wall Street

0:16:26.320 --> 0:16:31.080
<v Speaker 6>kind of people about that. Now if the President tried

0:16:31.200 --> 0:16:36.200
<v Speaker 6>to fire Powell, I think there would be a rebellion

0:16:36.480 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 6>on Wall Street. Krishnaghoo, is I ever core said today

0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:44.800
<v Speaker 6>if you like the reaction to the tariff announcement, just

0:16:45.000 --> 0:16:47.440
<v Speaker 6>wait till you get Trump has fired at US.

0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:49.120
<v Speaker 1>You're saying the bond market could get yippie.

0:16:49.200 --> 0:16:52.880
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, they could get so it's kind of a technical.

0:16:52.560 --> 0:16:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Term, but yeah, okay, that's good to know, Mike. One

0:16:55.600 --> 0:16:57.760
<v Speaker 1>last question to you, this one on trade, because we

0:16:57.840 --> 0:17:00.520
<v Speaker 1>did hear the President and Prime Minister the Resident just

0:17:00.600 --> 0:17:04.399
<v Speaker 1>now saying that they discussed trade other things and that

0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:08.640
<v Speaker 1>Italy will have to increase their imports of LNG. Remind

0:17:08.760 --> 0:17:12.960
<v Speaker 1>us because the European Union is this block. Remind us

0:17:13.440 --> 0:17:16.800
<v Speaker 1>if individual countries can actually go and negotiate their own

0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:18.879
<v Speaker 1>trade deals with the US or do they have to

0:17:18.880 --> 0:17:19.720
<v Speaker 1>do it as the EU.

0:17:19.920 --> 0:17:22.520
<v Speaker 6>Well, they have to do it as an as the

0:17:22.560 --> 0:17:27.080
<v Speaker 6>EU as a block to negotiate a trade agreement. Now,

0:17:27.160 --> 0:17:30.720
<v Speaker 6>there's no reason that Italy couldn't buy more of one product.

0:17:30.720 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 6>They could say we want more LNG. We saw that

0:17:33.720 --> 0:17:40.200
<v Speaker 6>during the initial phase of the Ukrainian War, countries that

0:17:40.400 --> 0:17:43.840
<v Speaker 6>needed natural gas buying more from the United States and

0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:48.359
<v Speaker 6>other places. But the idea of an overall trade deal

0:17:48.440 --> 0:17:52.760
<v Speaker 6>that would exempt them from tariffs probably has to go

0:17:52.840 --> 0:17:56.440
<v Speaker 6>through Brussels. I mean, that's the structure they have set up.

0:17:56.800 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 4>All right, We're gonna leave it there. Great timing. Thanks

0:17:59.280 --> 0:18:03.200
<v Speaker 4>for dropping by.

0:18:01.880 --> 0:18:03.840
<v Speaker 6>And it knows when I'm here to make.

0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:06.800
<v Speaker 1>It a coordinate schedules, right, five o'clock, Balance of power,

0:18:07.040 --> 0:18:10.840
<v Speaker 1>five o'clock, talk about it again. To see you next.

0:18:10.960 --> 0:18:14.199
<v Speaker 4>Michael McKee, International Economics and Policy Correspondent, Bloomberg News.

0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:19.520
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live each

0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:22.560
<v Speaker 2>weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Apple car Play

0:18:22.640 --> 0:18:25.280
<v Speaker 2>and the Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You

0:18:25.320 --> 0:18:28.520
<v Speaker 2>can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship

0:18:28.560 --> 0:18:32.359
<v Speaker 2>New York station, Just Say Alexa played Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:18:33.000 --> 0:18:33.160
<v Speaker 5>Well.

0:18:33.200 --> 0:18:35.640
<v Speaker 1>President Donald Trump said during a meeting with Italian Prime

0:18:35.640 --> 0:18:38.600
<v Speaker 1>Minister Georgia Maloney that he expects to reach a trade

0:18:38.640 --> 0:18:41.239
<v Speaker 1>deal with the EU, but he indicated he's in no

0:18:41.359 --> 0:18:43.800
<v Speaker 1>hurry to finalize tariff agreements.

0:18:44.280 --> 0:18:47.960
<v Speaker 8>We're doing very well with negotiations, I think with all countries,

0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:52.399
<v Speaker 8>and Scott could tell you a little bit, but we

0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:55.120
<v Speaker 8>are doing very well. We have a lot of countries

0:18:55.160 --> 0:18:57.280
<v Speaker 8>that want to make a deal. Frankly, they want to

0:18:57.280 --> 0:19:00.320
<v Speaker 8>make deals more than I do. Tariffs are making those rich.

0:19:00.960 --> 0:19:01.120
<v Speaker 7>Well.

0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:04.040
<v Speaker 1>That was President Trump from the Oval Office, alongside Italian

0:19:04.040 --> 0:19:06.639
<v Speaker 1>Prime Minister Georgia Maloney. The Scott by the way, he

0:19:06.680 --> 0:19:09.239
<v Speaker 1>referred to with Scott Bess and the Treasury Secretary of

0:19:09.320 --> 0:19:12.160
<v Speaker 1>the US separately, well not separately, but also I should say,

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:14.719
<v Speaker 1>the EU carol is working on a proposal to introduce

0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:17.199
<v Speaker 1>restrictions on some exports to the US as a possible

0:19:17.280 --> 0:19:20.480
<v Speaker 1>retaliatory tactic in that expense of trade war that the

0:19:20.520 --> 0:19:22.280
<v Speaker 1>President initiated last month.

0:19:22.320 --> 0:19:24.919
<v Speaker 4>All right, for the latest, let's head to Stephanie law.

0:19:24.960 --> 0:19:27.320
<v Speaker 4>She's Bloomberg News White House correspondent. She is out there

0:19:27.320 --> 0:19:30.040
<v Speaker 4>in our DC bureau. Hey, Stephanie, So, I just want

0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:32.920
<v Speaker 4>to cut to the chase. Are things moving forward when

0:19:32.920 --> 0:19:36.720
<v Speaker 4>it comes to trade negotiations and should we assume sooner

0:19:36.840 --> 0:19:39.240
<v Speaker 4>rather than later that there could be some kind of deals,

0:19:39.280 --> 0:19:42.840
<v Speaker 4>better deals maybe perhaps announced that maybe kind of cool

0:19:42.880 --> 0:19:45.000
<v Speaker 4>the heat that we've seen and what feels like a

0:19:45.040 --> 0:19:45.560
<v Speaker 4>trade war.

0:19:46.640 --> 0:19:48.159
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean, I think that's what we've all been

0:19:48.200 --> 0:19:52.000
<v Speaker 9>waiting for. But it remains unseen when a deal will

0:19:52.040 --> 0:19:54.600
<v Speaker 9>come together. You know, they've mentioned for a couple I

0:19:54.600 --> 0:19:57.280
<v Speaker 9>guess about a week now that they have about fifteen

0:19:57.359 --> 0:19:59.399
<v Speaker 9>or so offerers and that there are people coming to

0:19:59.400 --> 0:20:00.639
<v Speaker 9>the White House make deals.

0:20:00.920 --> 0:20:01.119
<v Speaker 8>You know.

0:20:01.240 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 9>Notably, nothing really came out of the Japan talks yesterday.

0:20:04.400 --> 0:20:07.640
<v Speaker 9>Now it was a preliminary meeting, sure, but the President

0:20:07.720 --> 0:20:10.960
<v Speaker 9>still did attend. And so everything we've been hearing from

0:20:10.960 --> 0:20:13.040
<v Speaker 9>our sources, from just what's coming out of the White

0:20:13.040 --> 0:20:15.159
<v Speaker 9>House is that deals are being made, that they're not

0:20:15.200 --> 0:20:17.679
<v Speaker 9>really in a rush. And Trump himself is saying, you know,

0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:20.600
<v Speaker 9>repeatedly in the last week that he really doesn't mind

0:20:20.640 --> 0:20:24.080
<v Speaker 9>waiting because we're bringing in a bunch of revenue and

0:20:24.119 --> 0:20:27.800
<v Speaker 9>money from these exports or the imports that were putting

0:20:27.800 --> 0:20:29.720
<v Speaker 9>tariffs on and so he doesn't seem to be in

0:20:29.760 --> 0:20:31.840
<v Speaker 9>a rush. It seems like his team is very focused

0:20:31.880 --> 0:20:35.240
<v Speaker 9>on making good deals. But you know, one thing that

0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 9>the Secretary Treasury Secretary Besent mentioned at this Oval meeting

0:20:39.720 --> 0:20:42.280
<v Speaker 9>was that South Korea is expected to come next week.

0:20:42.359 --> 0:20:46.440
<v Speaker 9>So we're still seeing some trade partners come in. Discussions

0:20:46.440 --> 0:20:48.520
<v Speaker 9>are still happening, but in terms of the timing, it

0:20:48.520 --> 0:20:50.680
<v Speaker 9>doesn't quite seem like an immediate remedy.

0:20:50.840 --> 0:20:54.960
<v Speaker 1>Okay, South Korea, Japan, something's missing, Yeah, I was gonna say,

0:20:55.080 --> 0:20:57.160
<v Speaker 1>and then Italy, of course, what about the big one?

0:20:57.200 --> 0:20:59.000
<v Speaker 1>What about China? Is there any movement there?

0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:00.200
<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

0:21:00.200 --> 0:21:02.840
<v Speaker 9>I mean reporters did press the President on this throughout

0:21:02.880 --> 0:21:05.320
<v Speaker 9>this last week. He doesn't seem to say that he

0:21:05.400 --> 0:21:08.720
<v Speaker 9>has reached out. It's not clear if China has reached out,

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:11.240
<v Speaker 9>and so it doesn't really seem like we've moved from

0:21:11.240 --> 0:21:14.280
<v Speaker 9>this impasse that we've already encountered earlier last week, when

0:21:14.320 --> 0:21:17.080
<v Speaker 9>the tariffs had started ramping up in this trade war

0:21:17.119 --> 0:21:18.120
<v Speaker 9>continued to escalate.

0:21:18.200 --> 0:21:19.719
<v Speaker 4>All right, good to leave it there, Hey, Stephanie, thank

0:21:19.760 --> 0:21:23.160
<v Speaker 4>you so much. STEPHANIELI Bloomberg News White House correspondent joining

0:21:23.200 --> 0:21:25.080
<v Speaker 4>us from our Washington, DC bureau.

0:21:25.280 --> 0:21:27.000
<v Speaker 1>So that is the latest when it comes to DC

0:21:27.200 --> 0:21:29.360
<v Speaker 1>and the trade war. We're also really interested on how

0:21:29.359 --> 0:21:32.280
<v Speaker 1>companies that import goods are dealing with this. The Notori

0:21:32.359 --> 0:21:34.480
<v Speaker 1>Company is one of those firms that's really caught in

0:21:34.520 --> 0:21:37.679
<v Speaker 1>the crosshairs right now. It's a designer fashion brand that

0:21:37.720 --> 0:21:41.520
<v Speaker 1>does sleep where lingerie, swimwear, Fragrance, Bridle, fine jewelry, and more.

0:21:41.800 --> 0:21:44.280
<v Speaker 1>We've got Kennatory with us. He's the president. We should

0:21:44.320 --> 0:21:47.520
<v Speaker 1>note that before his work at Notori, he worked here

0:21:47.520 --> 0:21:50.000
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg Radio and TV. That was until two thousand

0:21:50.000 --> 0:21:52.120
<v Speaker 1>and three. He joins us here in the Bloomberg Interactive

0:21:52.160 --> 0:21:54.520
<v Speaker 1>Brokers studio. Good to see you, Ken. You are the

0:21:54.560 --> 0:21:56.720
<v Speaker 1>perfect guy to talk to about this because of what

0:21:56.880 --> 0:21:59.080
<v Speaker 1>is happening in your world, and I want to know

0:21:59.440 --> 0:22:02.480
<v Speaker 1>what has happened in your world because you manufacture in China,

0:22:02.680 --> 0:22:05.760
<v Speaker 1>you manufacture in the Philippines. What's going on it is?

0:22:05.920 --> 0:22:07.800
<v Speaker 10>First off, thanks for having me always. Great to be

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:10.760
<v Speaker 10>back at Bloomberg. Feels like I'm coming back home. It's

0:22:10.840 --> 0:22:13.800
<v Speaker 10>just it's really challenging right now. There's just not a

0:22:13.800 --> 0:22:16.159
<v Speaker 10>lot of visibility in terms of what stuff is going

0:22:16.200 --> 0:22:18.280
<v Speaker 10>to be like. Obviously, we had the chaos of the

0:22:18.280 --> 0:22:20.840
<v Speaker 10>beginning of the month. There was a time where we

0:22:20.880 --> 0:22:23.439
<v Speaker 10>thought places outside of China would be really difficult to

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:26.919
<v Speaker 10>manufacture in because the tariffs in Vietnam Cambodia were much

0:22:27.000 --> 0:22:29.439
<v Speaker 10>higher than expected. Then those came down to ten percent,

0:22:29.560 --> 0:22:33.560
<v Speaker 10>China went even higher. So you know, we've got plans

0:22:33.600 --> 0:22:36.199
<v Speaker 10>for every different scenario, but we don't know what the

0:22:36.240 --> 0:22:38.480
<v Speaker 10>scenario is actually going to be So it's really hard.

0:22:38.480 --> 0:22:39.800
<v Speaker 10>You know, I think a lot of people in our

0:22:39.840 --> 0:22:42.200
<v Speaker 10>industry have just been waiting a little bit to see

0:22:42.200 --> 0:22:44.280
<v Speaker 10>how things would shake out. But we're all in a

0:22:44.280 --> 0:22:46.440
<v Speaker 10>position now where we have to make decisions and it's

0:22:46.440 --> 0:22:48.520
<v Speaker 10>hard to make decisions without visibility.

0:22:48.640 --> 0:22:49.720
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, no, absolutely.

0:22:49.760 --> 0:22:53.040
<v Speaker 4>What's the best and worst case scenarios that you are

0:22:53.119 --> 0:22:53.960
<v Speaker 4>kind of planning for?

0:22:55.440 --> 0:22:57.439
<v Speaker 10>So we thought the worst case. So, you know, we

0:22:57.520 --> 0:23:00.440
<v Speaker 10>have our own manufacturing facility, our own factory in the Filippines

0:23:00.400 --> 0:23:03.399
<v Speaker 10>where we do about seventy percent of our manufacturing of

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:05.080
<v Speaker 10>the collections that we do in how so that is

0:23:05.119 --> 0:23:07.520
<v Speaker 10>a tremendous advantage. That said, we still have twenty five

0:23:07.520 --> 0:23:11.000
<v Speaker 10>to thirty percent exposure in China, which is a lot.

0:23:11.200 --> 0:23:14.200
<v Speaker 10>You know, we have been building models for twenty five

0:23:14.240 --> 0:23:16.639
<v Speaker 10>percent out of China, forty five percent, tariffs out of

0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:19.119
<v Speaker 10>China one hundred and forty five percent. Yesterday there was

0:23:19.119 --> 0:23:20.800
<v Speaker 10>a rumor of going up to two hundred and forty

0:23:20.800 --> 0:23:23.080
<v Speaker 10>five percent, which is I mean, how do you plan

0:23:23.520 --> 0:23:25.960
<v Speaker 10>business around that? And what's interesting for us is, you know,

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:28.679
<v Speaker 10>we sell direct to consumer onnry dot com, but we

0:23:28.720 --> 0:23:31.239
<v Speaker 10>also sell to department stores. Our wholesale partners that we've

0:23:31.280 --> 0:23:33.520
<v Speaker 10>been with, you know, throughout our forty eight years as

0:23:33.560 --> 0:23:35.879
<v Speaker 10>a company, right and we've got these long term partnerships.

0:23:35.960 --> 0:23:38.520
<v Speaker 10>They need to know, like what what are we going

0:23:38.560 --> 0:23:40.520
<v Speaker 10>to buy product at? And we have to give they're

0:23:40.520 --> 0:23:43.320
<v Speaker 10>asking for a price, and we don't know what the

0:23:43.359 --> 0:23:45.159
<v Speaker 10>tariff is going to be when we ship in sixty

0:23:45.200 --> 0:23:47.359
<v Speaker 10>to ninety days, So there's so much uncertainty. You know,

0:23:47.400 --> 0:23:49.879
<v Speaker 10>we're working very closely with our retail partners to come

0:23:49.960 --> 0:23:51.800
<v Speaker 10>up with some way for us both to be protected

0:23:51.800 --> 0:23:54.399
<v Speaker 10>because we're you know, we're we have great partnerships, but

0:23:54.480 --> 0:23:56.760
<v Speaker 10>with a complete lack of visibility in terms of what

0:23:56.760 --> 0:23:59.400
<v Speaker 10>those tariffs are actually going to be, it's just it's

0:23:59.440 --> 0:24:00.800
<v Speaker 10>a little bit of a guessing game at this point.

0:24:00.840 --> 0:24:02.720
<v Speaker 10>But everybody has to start taking action, and that's where

0:24:02.720 --> 0:24:03.480
<v Speaker 10>it gets a little scary.

0:24:03.640 --> 0:24:06.000
<v Speaker 1>The President would say, the point of these tariffs are

0:24:06.040 --> 0:24:09.200
<v Speaker 1>to bring manufacturing back to the United States. Is there

0:24:09.200 --> 0:24:12.719
<v Speaker 1>a number that you'd see on China or the Philippines

0:24:12.760 --> 0:24:15.120
<v Speaker 1>that would cause you to move production to the US?

0:24:15.200 --> 0:24:17.720
<v Speaker 10>I mean, I will say if so, you know, if

0:24:17.800 --> 0:24:20.720
<v Speaker 10>tariffs stay at one hundred and forty five percent out

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:24.360
<v Speaker 10>of China. People will not be able to import apparel

0:24:24.480 --> 0:24:27.600
<v Speaker 10>from China. It's going to move you know, who knows

0:24:27.600 --> 0:24:29.320
<v Speaker 10>what it's going to be in the other countries. If

0:24:29.320 --> 0:24:31.240
<v Speaker 10>he puts one hundred and forty five percent tariff on

0:24:31.720 --> 0:24:35.600
<v Speaker 10>every single country in the world, then eventually, eventually, I

0:24:35.840 --> 0:24:38.639
<v Speaker 10>you know, maybe apparel manufacturing could come back to the

0:24:38.760 --> 0:24:41.640
<v Speaker 10>United States. But that's a long process that doesn't happen overnight.

0:24:41.800 --> 0:24:43.040
<v Speaker 3>How long is that process?

0:24:43.160 --> 0:24:43.760
<v Speaker 1>You know, I don't know.

0:24:43.800 --> 0:24:45.359
<v Speaker 10>I like, I've never thought that we would have to

0:24:45.400 --> 0:24:46.720
<v Speaker 10>like invest in our own manufacturing.

0:24:46.800 --> 0:24:49.480
<v Speaker 4>There's there's a visiblity you could to say, okay, guys,

0:24:49.520 --> 0:24:50.199
<v Speaker 4>you start making it.

0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:51.120
<v Speaker 1>And it's not the facility.

0:24:51.160 --> 0:24:53.359
<v Speaker 10>It's also the skills. Think about like training workers, Like

0:24:53.400 --> 0:24:55.360
<v Speaker 10>how many people do you know in the US We're like, oh, yeah,

0:24:55.520 --> 0:24:57.880
<v Speaker 10>I know how to do that. It's about training a workforce.

0:24:57.920 --> 0:25:01.560
<v Speaker 10>It's about equipment, it's about machinery. So in theory, yeah,

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:03.320
<v Speaker 10>I'd love to bring jobs back to the US, But

0:25:03.520 --> 0:25:05.560
<v Speaker 10>like right now, like people are like, how are you

0:25:05.640 --> 0:25:08.760
<v Speaker 10>dealing with this? If I sat in my desk and

0:25:08.800 --> 0:25:12.159
<v Speaker 10>called every manufacturer in the US that could make apparel

0:25:12.240 --> 0:25:14.399
<v Speaker 10>for US, yeah, that would take zero seconds. Because I

0:25:14.400 --> 0:25:18.439
<v Speaker 10>don't know, they don't exist for us. Now that's not

0:25:18.480 --> 0:25:18.800
<v Speaker 10>to say.

0:25:18.720 --> 0:25:19.920
<v Speaker 1>It couldn't happened down the road.

0:25:19.960 --> 0:25:22.000
<v Speaker 10>I mean, you know, we could come up with any

0:25:22.080 --> 0:25:24.479
<v Speaker 10>kind of scenario, but as of right now, like what

0:25:24.520 --> 0:25:27.240
<v Speaker 10>we're supposed to do in our seat, it's it's a

0:25:27.280 --> 0:25:27.960
<v Speaker 10>little confusing.

0:25:28.359 --> 0:25:31.919
<v Speaker 1>How much would it cost? Do you think to you know,

0:25:32.160 --> 0:25:35.679
<v Speaker 1>I don't so the world? Is the world just a

0:25:35.720 --> 0:25:38.639
<v Speaker 1>fantasy at this point because the skills don't exist here

0:25:38.640 --> 0:25:40.760
<v Speaker 1>in the US, the manufacturing doesn't exist here in the US.

0:25:40.840 --> 0:25:43.199
<v Speaker 1>Does my question even? Is my question even relevant?

0:25:43.280 --> 0:25:45.639
<v Speaker 10>So it could be relevant to bigger companies, and I

0:25:45.640 --> 0:25:48.240
<v Speaker 10>think you know, you've seen articles where this is really

0:25:48.280 --> 0:25:51.919
<v Speaker 10>going to hurt smaller companies, the independent companies like us.

0:25:52.000 --> 0:25:53.560
<v Speaker 10>Like if you're a bigger company, like if you want

0:25:53.560 --> 0:25:57.560
<v Speaker 10>to go tell Nike or under Armour or Victorious Secret, Hey,

0:25:57.760 --> 0:26:00.800
<v Speaker 10>you guys build yourrone manufacturing in the US, Well maybe

0:26:00.800 --> 0:26:02.320
<v Speaker 10>they have the money to do that and the ability

0:26:02.359 --> 0:26:05.200
<v Speaker 10>to like right, like you know, you know, we're a

0:26:05.280 --> 0:26:07.800
<v Speaker 10>privately held business. The idea of like, hey, we're actually

0:26:07.840 --> 0:26:11.920
<v Speaker 10>going to invest in you know, building building our own

0:26:11.960 --> 0:26:14.880
<v Speaker 10>manufacturing facilities in the US, Like that's that's very difficult,

0:26:14.920 --> 0:26:16.840
<v Speaker 10>and it's not like there are these existing factories that

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 10>we can tap into to move to domestic production.

0:26:19.800 --> 0:26:25.000
<v Speaker 4>What don't we maybe as a society understand about Chinese manufacturing.

0:26:25.080 --> 0:26:28.000
<v Speaker 4>I think we think it's maybe we think of our history,

0:26:28.040 --> 0:26:30.600
<v Speaker 4>you know, dirty factories, industrial factory, you know what I mean,

0:26:30.720 --> 0:26:34.439
<v Speaker 4>and just kind of but they're very sophisticated. Tell us

0:26:34.440 --> 0:26:36.720
<v Speaker 4>a little bit about your experience in terms of time.

0:26:36.720 --> 0:26:38.600
<v Speaker 4>I'm assuming you've visited your factories.

0:26:38.720 --> 0:26:39.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, of course.

0:26:39.600 --> 0:26:41.040
<v Speaker 10>So you know, I spent a lot of time at

0:26:41.040 --> 0:26:43.080
<v Speaker 10>our own company owned factory in the Philippines, but I

0:26:43.080 --> 0:26:45.879
<v Speaker 10>have traveled to China a lot from twenty fifteen to

0:26:45.880 --> 0:26:50.200
<v Speaker 10>twenty twenty obviously to meet with our manufacturing partners there.

0:26:50.359 --> 0:26:52.639
<v Speaker 10>They are very good, They're very dedicated, and you know,

0:26:52.640 --> 0:26:54.520
<v Speaker 10>they know what they're doing and they're willing to do

0:26:55.000 --> 0:26:56.600
<v Speaker 10>the work. And this is you know, it's it's tough

0:26:56.600 --> 0:26:58.439
<v Speaker 10>work to do. It is it is tough work to do.

0:26:58.840 --> 0:27:01.480
<v Speaker 3>So how sophistic is the technology involved in all of that?

0:27:01.880 --> 0:27:04.760
<v Speaker 10>Well, so it depends, you know, for apparel, it's you

0:27:04.760 --> 0:27:08.199
<v Speaker 10>know everything. There are certain parts of making clothes that

0:27:08.280 --> 0:27:10.040
<v Speaker 10>can be machine done. Like if you look at socks

0:27:10.080 --> 0:27:15.040
<v Speaker 10>or hosiery. That's usually like machines and people looking at

0:27:15.080 --> 0:27:17.280
<v Speaker 10>and operating the machines and observing them. But when it

0:27:17.320 --> 0:27:20.080
<v Speaker 10>comes to actual like apparel manufacturing, like the cut and so,

0:27:20.480 --> 0:27:23.000
<v Speaker 10>that involves a lot of handwork. You know, that involves

0:27:23.240 --> 0:27:25.800
<v Speaker 10>sort of detailed work, you know, using a sewing machine,

0:27:26.119 --> 0:27:29.280
<v Speaker 10>and it's you know, it's it's hard work. I'm not

0:27:29.440 --> 0:27:31.560
<v Speaker 10>sure like to get those skills in the US and

0:27:31.600 --> 0:27:36.360
<v Speaker 10>to have legitimate apparel manufacturing and real factories, it would

0:27:36.359 --> 0:27:38.600
<v Speaker 10>take a long time of training a workforce and in

0:27:38.640 --> 0:27:40.200
<v Speaker 10>a long time of building these facilities.

0:27:40.200 --> 0:27:41.600
<v Speaker 1>So I want to go back to what you're doing

0:27:41.640 --> 0:27:44.320
<v Speaker 1>right now, because you essentially described a state of paralysis

0:27:44.320 --> 0:27:47.760
<v Speaker 1>where you really are waiting to see what the decision

0:27:47.800 --> 0:27:49.399
<v Speaker 1>is or how long these tariffs are in place to

0:27:49.400 --> 0:27:51.480
<v Speaker 1>make a decision. How long can you actually wait because

0:27:51.480 --> 0:27:53.280
<v Speaker 1>at a certain point you're going to have to make

0:27:53.280 --> 0:27:55.200
<v Speaker 1>a decision and your partners are going to have to

0:27:55.240 --> 0:27:56.520
<v Speaker 1>get their clothes and you're gonna have to tell the

0:27:56.560 --> 0:27:59.080
<v Speaker 1>folks in China and the Philippines UH to start making

0:27:59.080 --> 0:27:59.400
<v Speaker 1>these things.

0:27:59.440 --> 0:28:01.840
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, so we were paralysis at the beginning of the month,

0:28:02.280 --> 0:28:04.480
<v Speaker 10>and now so for the as I mentioned, we have

0:28:04.520 --> 0:28:06.840
<v Speaker 10>our own factory in the Philippines. To the degree we

0:28:06.880 --> 0:28:10.239
<v Speaker 10>had some programs in China, we are actively trying to

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:14.040
<v Speaker 10>move those and countersource and move those programs to the Philippines.

0:28:14.119 --> 0:28:16.320
<v Speaker 10>We can't do everything there are there is a there's

0:28:16.400 --> 0:28:19.840
<v Speaker 10>a lot of industry that cannot be done anywhere outside

0:28:19.880 --> 0:28:21.880
<v Speaker 10>of China. And I think that's what's interesting, Like everybody's

0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:23.760
<v Speaker 10>trying to move out of China now. But if you

0:28:23.760 --> 0:28:27.280
<v Speaker 10>think about something like Christmas ornaments, like it's you know,

0:28:27.320 --> 0:28:29.159
<v Speaker 10>I was talking to a department store partner, we were

0:28:29.200 --> 0:28:31.560
<v Speaker 10>visiting with them last week. They're like, we might not

0:28:31.640 --> 0:28:36.359
<v Speaker 10>even have a Christmas ornament department this holiday season because

0:28:36.960 --> 0:28:39.280
<v Speaker 10>that's the only place these things are made. So they're

0:28:39.280 --> 0:28:40.720
<v Speaker 10>going to be you know, the consumers is going to

0:28:40.720 --> 0:28:42.160
<v Speaker 10>see a lot of consumers is certainly going to see

0:28:42.200 --> 0:28:45.640
<v Speaker 10>higher prices, but there could be huge categories of things

0:28:45.680 --> 0:28:48.400
<v Speaker 10>that you expect to see this fall that just might

0:28:48.560 --> 0:28:49.320
<v Speaker 10>might not be there.

0:28:50.840 --> 0:28:51.600
<v Speaker 3>Unbelievable.

0:28:52.080 --> 0:28:54.640
<v Speaker 4>It's just I know, it's kind of amazing to get

0:28:55.320 --> 0:28:56.640
<v Speaker 4>what go ahead materials.

0:28:57.080 --> 0:29:00.520
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, are those are those from separate countries then China

0:29:00.520 --> 0:29:02.120
<v Speaker 1>and the Philippines. We hear a lot about that, and

0:29:02.200 --> 0:29:02.960
<v Speaker 1>that the supply.

0:29:03.080 --> 0:29:05.520
<v Speaker 10>A lot so yet know, a lot of the fabrics,

0:29:05.520 --> 0:29:07.040
<v Speaker 10>a lot of fabrics come out of China. We get

0:29:07.080 --> 0:29:09.200
<v Speaker 10>the higher end fabrics out of out of South Korea,

0:29:09.680 --> 0:29:11.640
<v Speaker 10>but a lot of the fabrics do come from China.

0:29:11.800 --> 0:29:15.560
<v Speaker 10>And frankly, you know, even as a lot of the

0:29:16.960 --> 0:29:19.600
<v Speaker 10>finished goods are coming moving out of China to other places,

0:29:19.640 --> 0:29:21.080
<v Speaker 10>a lot of that fabric is still going to come

0:29:21.080 --> 0:29:24.280
<v Speaker 10>from China. So it's you know, they do a lot

0:29:24.320 --> 0:29:27.360
<v Speaker 10>there that is only done in that country. And could

0:29:27.360 --> 0:29:30.840
<v Speaker 10>it eventually move, yes, but all this stuff takes a

0:29:30.880 --> 0:29:31.400
<v Speaker 10>lot of time.

0:29:32.480 --> 0:29:36.120
<v Speaker 4>So say, I am curious the fashion industry as a whole,

0:29:36.240 --> 0:29:40.000
<v Speaker 4>what kind of you know, uh access do they have

0:29:40.040 --> 0:29:42.800
<v Speaker 4>to the White House? And I'm just curious what they

0:29:42.840 --> 0:29:45.240
<v Speaker 4>are hearing, getting time with and so and of just

0:29:45.240 --> 0:29:46.360
<v Speaker 4>got about thirty seconds left.

0:29:46.440 --> 0:29:50.440
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, I don't have any Yeah, I can tell you that,

0:29:51.160 --> 0:29:52.760
<v Speaker 10>you know, I you know, I know there's like the

0:29:52.800 --> 0:29:56.240
<v Speaker 10>c FDA which is putting out statements. I'm not sure

0:29:56.800 --> 0:29:59.480
<v Speaker 10>what direct access they have. I think their industries is

0:29:59.520 --> 0:30:01.680
<v Speaker 10>probably the White House cares a lot more about than

0:30:01.680 --> 0:30:04.560
<v Speaker 10>the fashion industry, for for better or worse. But you know,

0:30:04.720 --> 0:30:07.600
<v Speaker 10>I think there Wall Street probably has its eyes on

0:30:08.280 --> 0:30:10.200
<v Speaker 10>much bigger things. But I can say from my seat

0:30:10.360 --> 0:30:12.680
<v Speaker 10>it is it's a very interesting time for us, and

0:30:12.720 --> 0:30:14.640
<v Speaker 10>I think everybody's just trying to make the most of it.

0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:16.160
<v Speaker 1>Or just twenty So are you gonna have to lay

0:30:16.200 --> 0:30:16.960
<v Speaker 1>anyone off? Do you think?

0:30:17.320 --> 0:30:20.040
<v Speaker 10>I hope not. Yeah, No, I don't know. We'll see,

0:30:20.120 --> 0:30:23.239
<v Speaker 10>We'll see what happens. It is, it's a very difficult time.

0:30:23.240 --> 0:30:25.880
<v Speaker 10>There's complete uncertainty out there. There's complete uncertainty out there,

0:30:25.960 --> 0:30:27.560
<v Speaker 10>so it's it's challenging.

0:30:27.840 --> 0:30:30.080
<v Speaker 4>Well, you open up a window to really understanding kind

0:30:30.080 --> 0:30:31.400
<v Speaker 4>of how things are made. I think we just take

0:30:31.440 --> 0:30:34.600
<v Speaker 4>things for granted in terms of closing items. Kenna Torrey,

0:30:34.640 --> 0:30:37.560
<v Speaker 4>thank you so much, president of the Notory Company. Joining

0:30:37.640 --> 0:30:38.400
<v Speaker 4>us here in studio.

0:30:40.520 --> 0:30:44.080
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:30:44.160 --> 0:30:47.600
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern. Listen

0:30:47.640 --> 0:30:50.360
<v Speaker 2>on Apple CarPlay and the Android Auto with the Bloomberg

0:30:50.440 --> 0:30:53.560
<v Speaker 2>Business app, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:30:55.440 --> 0:30:56.520
<v Speaker 1>MUCA.

0:30:56.520 --> 0:30:57.480
<v Speaker 8>I'll bet you let me drive.

0:30:57.720 --> 0:31:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Oh no, no, no, no, this is not a toy.

0:31:00.080 --> 0:31:02.480
<v Speaker 11>Who's gone to judge Honday?

0:31:02.680 --> 0:31:06.360
<v Speaker 2>Please, I'll do the gravels wait, I want to drive.

0:31:06.360 --> 0:31:11.800
<v Speaker 2>It's a good questions try.

0:31:13.400 --> 0:31:16.560
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the close. Now plunks to music.

0:31:16.680 --> 0:31:19.760
<v Speaker 2>We'll drive us Kilda Dawn on Bloomberg Radio.

0:31:20.000 --> 0:31:21.240
<v Speaker 3>All right, TikTok, everybody.

0:31:21.280 --> 0:31:23.640
<v Speaker 4>We've got just about eighteen minutes to go until we

0:31:23.680 --> 0:31:26.160
<v Speaker 4>wrap up with the trading day and the trading week. Remember,

0:31:26.160 --> 0:31:28.600
<v Speaker 4>of course it's a good Friday holiday, so a holiday

0:31:28.640 --> 0:31:30.080
<v Speaker 4>shortened trading week, and we've been bouncing.

0:31:30.120 --> 0:31:32.440
<v Speaker 1>Aroun Land market not even open right now, host it

0:31:32.480 --> 0:31:33.320
<v Speaker 1>to close it.

0:31:33.280 --> 0:31:35.320
<v Speaker 3>To early early right now.

0:31:35.400 --> 0:31:39.880
<v Speaker 4>The Dow Jones industrial average, it is down about one

0:31:39.960 --> 0:31:42.360
<v Speaker 4>percent as we speak. We know United Health has been

0:31:42.360 --> 0:31:44.720
<v Speaker 4>a big drag amy just breaking that down for you

0:31:44.800 --> 0:31:46.480
<v Speaker 4>as well. S and P five hundred just up about

0:31:46.480 --> 0:31:48.800
<v Speaker 4>four tons of a percent. Nastek one call it flat,

0:31:48.880 --> 0:31:49.920
<v Speaker 4>just up about six points.

0:31:49.960 --> 0:31:51.520
<v Speaker 1>I did mention the bond market, so I do want

0:31:51.520 --> 0:31:55.040
<v Speaker 1>to say we did see yields rise ever so slightly today,

0:31:55.080 --> 0:31:57.560
<v Speaker 1>the tenure at four thirty two, four thirty three, we

0:31:57.600 --> 0:31:58.239
<v Speaker 1>can round that up.

0:31:58.400 --> 0:32:02.400
<v Speaker 4>It's been an interesting, mellow, wish kind of week. I

0:32:02.440 --> 0:32:06.200
<v Speaker 4>mean really, although what we did see as a movement,

0:32:06.240 --> 0:32:08.280
<v Speaker 4>I guess it wasn't.

0:32:08.520 --> 0:32:10.600
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's all relative. It wasn't like what we saw

0:32:10.680 --> 0:32:12.720
<v Speaker 1>last week, which was just wild in the week before.

0:32:12.480 --> 0:32:16.640
<v Speaker 3>That fix is down about two and a half points.

0:32:16.640 --> 0:32:18.640
<v Speaker 3>We're moving. We're trading around thirty.

0:32:18.800 --> 0:32:20.800
<v Speaker 4>Okay, you know, just you know, remember it was just

0:32:20.840 --> 0:32:24.640
<v Speaker 4>what last week that we were bopping up to sixty

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:27.640
<v Speaker 4>or so. That was on April seventh, So we've been

0:32:27.840 --> 0:32:28.720
<v Speaker 4>moving our way down.

0:32:29.040 --> 0:32:31.720
<v Speaker 3>Okay, look at that calming down ish?

0:32:31.800 --> 0:32:33.600
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, well, I mean again, it's all relative.

0:32:33.600 --> 0:32:35.080
<v Speaker 3>All right, Let's see what our guest has to say.

0:32:35.120 --> 0:32:38.000
<v Speaker 1>Hey, I want to bring in Rayan Mitrioni. She's the

0:32:38.040 --> 0:32:41.240
<v Speaker 1>founding partner in CFA at Callan Family Office. She joins

0:32:41.320 --> 0:32:43.440
<v Speaker 1>us from West Palm Beach, Florida. Ryan, Good to have

0:32:43.520 --> 0:32:45.800
<v Speaker 1>you with us. The firm's got about seven a half

0:32:45.800 --> 0:32:48.880
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars in assets under management. You know it is

0:32:49.160 --> 0:32:52.720
<v Speaker 1>a wild week. When Carol says this week has been calm,

0:32:52.920 --> 0:32:55.360
<v Speaker 1>I should say a wild period of time. I wonder

0:32:55.400 --> 0:32:57.600
<v Speaker 1>I want to know what the questions that you're getting

0:32:57.600 --> 0:32:59.840
<v Speaker 1>from clients right now are, because we've been hearing a

0:32:59.840 --> 0:33:05.000
<v Speaker 1>lot about people rethinking act allocations going more to Europe.

0:33:05.160 --> 0:33:05.920
<v Speaker 1>What are you hearing?

0:33:08.000 --> 0:33:10.800
<v Speaker 11>Absolutely? Thank you for having me, and it's it's true,

0:33:10.800 --> 0:33:13.239
<v Speaker 11>this week has felt a little calmer, but it is

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:15.600
<v Speaker 11>all relative, very different than the last couple of years.

0:33:16.520 --> 0:33:20.280
<v Speaker 11>But yeah, I mean, clients are are We're certainly having

0:33:20.400 --> 0:33:23.000
<v Speaker 11>a lot of you know communication. I think that's the

0:33:23.040 --> 0:33:25.120
<v Speaker 11>most important thing when you're in a period like this

0:33:25.600 --> 0:33:30.160
<v Speaker 11>is staying close to clients, making sure they're feeling okay and.

0:33:30.240 --> 0:33:33.360
<v Speaker 3>That are they feeling are they failing okay?

0:33:34.200 --> 0:33:35.160
<v Speaker 5>It really depends.

0:33:35.200 --> 0:33:37.480
<v Speaker 11>I mean, that's when it's about kind of reconfirming where

0:33:37.560 --> 0:33:40.560
<v Speaker 11>risk tolerances are and that allocations are in line with

0:33:40.960 --> 0:33:43.920
<v Speaker 11>where they should be because everyone has a high risk tolerance.

0:33:43.920 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 11>When the market's going up right, it's a lot easier then.

0:33:47.240 --> 0:33:49.160
<v Speaker 11>So it's like, how do you feel in this period?

0:33:49.200 --> 0:33:51.120
<v Speaker 11>And a lot of the clients we work with are

0:33:51.160 --> 0:33:54.400
<v Speaker 11>really ultra high net worth investors, so it's a little

0:33:54.400 --> 0:33:55.000
<v Speaker 11>bit different.

0:33:55.080 --> 0:33:56.600
<v Speaker 3>So do they say it, do you forget it? Or

0:33:56.640 --> 0:33:59.560
<v Speaker 3>do they still are they kind of you know, do

0:33:59.640 --> 0:34:02.080
<v Speaker 3>they call you and say what are you doing? Like

0:34:02.120 --> 0:34:03.040
<v Speaker 3>should I be worried?

0:34:03.440 --> 0:34:03.960
<v Speaker 8>Exactly?

0:34:04.200 --> 0:34:06.000
<v Speaker 11>They still want to know that we're not just sitting

0:34:06.040 --> 0:34:07.640
<v Speaker 11>on our hands and doing nothing when we're in a

0:34:07.680 --> 0:34:09.680
<v Speaker 11>period like this, and we're not. I mean, we do

0:34:09.719 --> 0:34:12.600
<v Speaker 11>think it's important to stay true to you know, long

0:34:12.680 --> 0:34:16.600
<v Speaker 11>term strategic investment plans, you know, and not get caught

0:34:16.680 --> 0:34:19.319
<v Speaker 11>up in the emotions of these kind of volatility. But

0:34:19.520 --> 0:34:22.280
<v Speaker 11>we can do things like rebalance. I mean, we rebalanced

0:34:22.320 --> 0:34:24.879
<v Speaker 11>a lot kind of coming into this year, pulling back

0:34:24.920 --> 0:34:28.040
<v Speaker 11>on growth and rebalancing a little towards fixed income, towards value,

0:34:28.520 --> 0:34:30.880
<v Speaker 11>rebalancing those exposures. And now we're kind of going a

0:34:30.920 --> 0:34:33.520
<v Speaker 11>little bit incrementally in the other direction where we've nded

0:34:33.600 --> 0:34:36.520
<v Speaker 11>up a little underweight equity targets on this fullback. So

0:34:36.560 --> 0:34:38.799
<v Speaker 11>it gives us the opportunity to do that look at

0:34:38.880 --> 0:34:42.640
<v Speaker 11>loss harvesting opportunities to help our clients offset their tax

0:34:42.680 --> 0:34:46.200
<v Speaker 11>bills in other areas. So we are being active, and yes,

0:34:46.239 --> 0:34:48.480
<v Speaker 11>we are certainly talking to them and telling them what

0:34:48.600 --> 0:34:50.360
<v Speaker 11>we're doing as we're going through this period.

0:34:50.560 --> 0:34:50.719
<v Speaker 8>Ran.

0:34:50.800 --> 0:34:53.759
<v Speaker 1>Because you do work with such high net worth individuals,

0:34:53.760 --> 0:34:56.120
<v Speaker 1>you describe them as ultra high net worth individuals. Do

0:34:56.160 --> 0:34:59.200
<v Speaker 1>they have a higher allocation to alternatives?

0:35:00.520 --> 0:35:03.600
<v Speaker 11>Yes, absolutely we do. When you know, you need to

0:35:03.600 --> 0:35:06.520
<v Speaker 11>have a certain level of wealth to access some forms

0:35:06.560 --> 0:35:09.279
<v Speaker 11>of alternatives, and so that is a big part of

0:35:09.320 --> 0:35:11.920
<v Speaker 11>our investment philosophy and We do believe it's additive to

0:35:12.000 --> 0:35:14.360
<v Speaker 11>returns over time that you get a premium over what

0:35:14.400 --> 0:35:14.920
<v Speaker 11>you can do well.

0:35:15.080 --> 0:35:18.319
<v Speaker 1>Alternative alternatives it's such a broad category, so you know,

0:35:18.400 --> 0:35:21.319
<v Speaker 1>dig into that part of the asset allocation. When we

0:35:21.360 --> 0:35:22.839
<v Speaker 1>talk alternatives, what do you think and are you thinking

0:35:22.920 --> 0:35:26.759
<v Speaker 1>venture capital, private equity, hedge fund, private credit? What is it?

0:35:26.920 --> 0:35:27.600
<v Speaker 1>All the above?

0:35:27.760 --> 0:35:31.040
<v Speaker 11>So we are fully diversified with private capital gets so

0:35:31.320 --> 0:35:33.960
<v Speaker 11>private equity all the way, you know, from from venture

0:35:34.080 --> 0:35:36.400
<v Speaker 11>to buy out to all sorts of different areas.

0:35:36.560 --> 0:35:38.759
<v Speaker 1>Directly invested or are you doing like funds.

0:35:38.480 --> 0:35:43.239
<v Speaker 11>Of funds direct investments. In some cases we'll do you know,

0:35:43.280 --> 0:35:46.120
<v Speaker 11>a secondary strategy that may be more fund of funds

0:35:45.960 --> 0:35:49.120
<v Speaker 11>as part of the allocation, but we invest direct in

0:35:49.120 --> 0:35:52.200
<v Speaker 11>individual strategies typically and we do that on in the

0:35:52.239 --> 0:35:55.720
<v Speaker 11>private credit world. In private real estate, we do allocate

0:35:55.760 --> 0:35:57.600
<v Speaker 11>to hedge funds, which have you know a lot of

0:35:57.640 --> 0:36:00.600
<v Speaker 11>those with more defensive strategies or market neutral approaches have

0:36:00.840 --> 0:36:02.600
<v Speaker 11>held up really well in this environment.

0:36:03.160 --> 0:36:05.520
<v Speaker 3>So kind of across the spectrum, how.

0:36:05.360 --> 0:36:07.839
<v Speaker 4>Are you thinking about the environment, and certainly the news

0:36:07.840 --> 0:36:10.520
<v Speaker 4>flow out of Washington, the trade war. I hate to

0:36:10.880 --> 0:36:12.600
<v Speaker 4>keep saying war, but I don't know that it's a

0:36:12.600 --> 0:36:14.600
<v Speaker 4>trade war. It's just a back and forth of going

0:36:14.680 --> 0:36:16.239
<v Speaker 4>to do this, going to do this, going to do this,

0:36:17.440 --> 0:36:18.960
<v Speaker 4>and we're just watching very carefully.

0:36:19.040 --> 0:36:22.080
<v Speaker 3>Market's definitely move, as you know on that news.

0:36:23.080 --> 0:36:25.360
<v Speaker 4>But I am curious, are you expecting we get to

0:36:25.360 --> 0:36:28.120
<v Speaker 4>the other side and things settle down and we go

0:36:28.200 --> 0:36:33.239
<v Speaker 4>back to quote unquote normal for US equities and for

0:36:33.520 --> 0:36:38.640
<v Speaker 4>the US business environment and the US macro economic environment,

0:36:38.800 --> 0:36:40.200
<v Speaker 4>or are things going.

0:36:40.040 --> 0:36:40.760
<v Speaker 3>To be different.

0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:45.440
<v Speaker 11>We're hoping that we can at least get through this

0:36:45.600 --> 0:36:49.600
<v Speaker 11>kind of whipsod back and forth headline driven just complete

0:36:49.600 --> 0:36:52.759
<v Speaker 11>focus on tariff situation. I mean, what we're hearing is

0:36:52.800 --> 0:36:57.240
<v Speaker 11>that negotiations are in process, and hopefully if we start

0:36:57.239 --> 0:37:00.239
<v Speaker 11>to see some trade deals materialize over the next couple

0:37:00.239 --> 0:37:03.920
<v Speaker 11>of months, hopefully that will help help the market restabilize,

0:37:04.040 --> 0:37:06.759
<v Speaker 11>help the focus kind of shift back to let's see

0:37:06.840 --> 0:37:10.040
<v Speaker 11>what are what's happening with company earnings, what's happening with

0:37:10.200 --> 0:37:12.160
<v Speaker 11>other things, Like are we going to see like focus

0:37:12.200 --> 0:37:15.439
<v Speaker 11>on tax cuts or extending the tax cuts, deregulation, things

0:37:15.440 --> 0:37:18.719
<v Speaker 11>that would be more supportive to the narrative. I think this,

0:37:19.080 --> 0:37:21.160
<v Speaker 11>you know, tariffs, it's going to be part of the

0:37:21.160 --> 0:37:24.680
<v Speaker 11>conversation for a while. But we're hopeful that this kind

0:37:24.680 --> 0:37:26.879
<v Speaker 11>of voluntility we've seen over the last few weeks will

0:37:26.880 --> 0:37:27.799
<v Speaker 11>at least settle.

0:37:27.560 --> 0:37:31.120
<v Speaker 4>Down your background. You've got a Bachelor of Science degree

0:37:31.120 --> 0:37:33.080
<v Speaker 4>in psychology. You've got an MBA as well, but that

0:37:33.800 --> 0:37:36.880
<v Speaker 4>degree in psychology, you know, Tim has cut brought up

0:37:36.920 --> 0:37:39.360
<v Speaker 4>a lot. And you know, we think about sentiment a

0:37:39.400 --> 0:37:42.000
<v Speaker 4>lot in the market, but that University of Michigan consumer

0:37:42.080 --> 0:37:45.960
<v Speaker 4>sentiment number that was that plunged to nearly a three

0:37:46.000 --> 0:37:46.920
<v Speaker 4>year low, and that.

0:37:46.960 --> 0:37:48.160
<v Speaker 3>Was in the last week or so.

0:37:48.960 --> 0:37:53.080
<v Speaker 4>Sentiment in the markets is does it feel healthy, does

0:37:53.120 --> 0:37:55.719
<v Speaker 4>it feel nervous? And how are you? How concerned are you?

0:37:55.840 --> 0:37:58.840
<v Speaker 4>Even the nervousness you're getting from some of your clients

0:37:58.920 --> 0:38:01.640
<v Speaker 4>that that turns into actions and people saying, I want

0:38:01.680 --> 0:38:02.239
<v Speaker 4>to pull back.

0:38:02.320 --> 0:38:03.279
<v Speaker 3>I'm not comfortable.

0:38:04.760 --> 0:38:08.000
<v Speaker 11>That's a very fair question. And we saw a sentiment

0:38:08.200 --> 0:38:11.120
<v Speaker 11>surge following the election, and we've gone the complete opposite direction,

0:38:11.280 --> 0:38:13.560
<v Speaker 11>and we've seen it both on the consumer side and

0:38:13.600 --> 0:38:16.279
<v Speaker 11>the business side that it's just come down so much

0:38:16.320 --> 0:38:20.080
<v Speaker 11>and it is in a concerning spot and that people

0:38:20.080 --> 0:38:23.520
<v Speaker 11>are not feeling good right now. And when you're in

0:38:23.640 --> 0:38:27.280
<v Speaker 11>that spot, then you're having people are spending less, businesses

0:38:27.320 --> 0:38:30.960
<v Speaker 11>are holding off on making investments or doing any hiring,

0:38:31.360 --> 0:38:33.960
<v Speaker 11>and you're kind of coming this in this period where

0:38:33.960 --> 0:38:36.880
<v Speaker 11>we're just on hold and got it when you're not

0:38:37.040 --> 0:38:39.360
<v Speaker 11>kind of a bad spot though, any kind of positive

0:38:39.400 --> 0:38:43.800
<v Speaker 11>news or even halfwic positive news can really help market

0:38:43.880 --> 0:38:46.920
<v Speaker 11>to move up. It's looking for a reason at this point.

0:38:47.000 --> 0:38:48.680
<v Speaker 4>All right, going to leave it there, have a good weekend,

0:38:48.760 --> 0:38:53.279
<v Speaker 4>Ryan Bittrioni. She's founding partner, Founder, Partner and CFA over

0:38:53.280 --> 0:38:55.560
<v Speaker 4>at Callan Family Office. They've got about seven and a

0:38:55.600 --> 0:38:57.440
<v Speaker 4>half billion in assets under management.

0:38:58.080 --> 0:39:02.920
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:39:03.040 --> 0:39:06.720
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0:39:06.800 --> 0:39:10.800
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