1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:02,240 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, we're gonna be totally upfront with you. This 2 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:04,840 Speaker 1: is the most perilous time that we have ever operated in. 3 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: It is so difficult just to sort through the information 4 00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:10,880 Speaker 1: that's coming at us, but more importantly, to accurately report 5 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 1: the news as a wave of censorship spreads across the nation. 6 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: If you can help us out by becoming a premium 7 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,120 Speaker 1: subscriber today at Breakingpoints dot com, you will have our 8 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:21,760 Speaker 1: undying loyalty. You make us one hundred percent censorship proof. 9 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: You help us build an independent, vibrant ecosystem for media 10 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: that can resist mainstream pressure. And again, guys, go to 11 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:32,160 Speaker 1: Breakingpoints dot com in order to subscribe. Thank you all 12 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 1: so much. We love you and we appreciate you. Enjoy 13 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 1: the show. Good morning, everybody, Happy Tuesday. We have an 14 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: amazing show for everybody today. What do we have, Crystal, 15 00:00:55,720 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: Indeed we do, of course, let's breaking in terms of 16 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 1: the war in Ukraine. Will bring you all of those details. 17 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 1: We also have some new comments to bring you from 18 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:07,399 Speaker 1: our former president that are rather eyebrow raising. Also, a 19 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:10,960 Speaker 1: scandal in the Missouri Senate race, Eric Bridens. You guys 20 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 1: might know this guy. He was governor. He had to 21 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 1: resign before because of a previous set of scandals. Now, 22 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 1: in a sworn affidavit, his ex wife is saying that 23 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:21,960 Speaker 1: he abused not only her but their son, bringing all 24 00:01:21,959 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 1: those details. He is staying in right now, he is 25 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: doubling down. We've got his comments. It's quite a story. Also, 26 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 1: some new data about a sort of unfolding. We have 27 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 1: it labeled there is generational war, intergenerational war. You've got 28 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 1: boomers and older generations who are doing extraordinarily well coming 29 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:43,399 Speaker 1: out of COVID, and you have millennials and younger basically 30 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:47,039 Speaker 1: continually screwed. That's the story of both of these generations 31 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: so far. So we'll talk to you about that. Also, 32 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 1: the worst idea for the oscars ever proposed by Amy Schumer, 33 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: and I feel like that's really saying something because we've 34 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: had some very bad ideas that the oscars that we've 35 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: seen already. We're going to talk to someone I've mentioned 36 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: on the show before, kot Can. He is a Russian. 37 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:08,120 Speaker 1: He lives in Moscow. He's going to talk to us 38 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:11,120 Speaker 1: about the view on the ground there. There are reports 39 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 1: of food stables running low and sort of panicked buying 40 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 1: and those sorts of things. So we'll talk to him 41 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: about what exactly is going on there, and by the way, 42 00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 1: quite courageous for him to speak to us. Yeah, before 43 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 1: we were talking, I said, listen, you know, he needs 44 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 1: to know what console went kensas could be like. You know, 45 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: he's well aware. I won't say more about him exactly, 46 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:32,640 Speaker 1: but he's alread got a target on his back, so 47 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 1: I would just, you know, let's all pray for a 48 00:02:34,480 --> 00:02:36,919 Speaker 1: safety after it appears. Yeah, I mean this is someone 49 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:40,920 Speaker 1: who he's a you know, proudly anti war. He's also 50 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: openly gay, which in itself can be bold and courageous 51 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 1: in Russia. His boyfriend's already been arrested. Of course, we 52 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 1: know the sort of laws that they've passed there about 53 00:02:48,600 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 1: spreading what they call fake news, so he knows all 54 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:54,639 Speaker 1: of those risks, but still thinks it's important to talk 55 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:55,919 Speaker 1: to us and talk to a a ut And he's welcome 56 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 1: on the show, excited to speak with him. But we 57 00:02:57,680 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 1: wanted to start with the very latest on the ground 58 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 1: in Ukraine, sort of escalation in terms of Russian rhetoric 59 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:08,079 Speaker 1: and continued deterioration of our relationship with them. Let's go 60 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 1: ahead and put this first tearsheet up on the screen. 61 00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 1: This is from Broiders. They say US Moscow ties close 62 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 1: to rupture after Biden's war criminal remarks. Will show you 63 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 1: those remarks in just a second. The lead of this 64 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 1: is that Russia's Foreign Ministry said on Monday they had 65 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 1: summoned our ambassador John Sullivan to tell him that remarks 66 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:31,919 Speaker 1: by President Joe Biden about Russian President Vladimir Putin had 67 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: pushed bilateral ties to the brink of collapse. You might 68 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:37,920 Speaker 1: say that those ties were already perhaps at the brink 69 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:41,600 Speaker 1: of collapse, but this is again another sign of just 70 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 1: how bad the situation is and bad the relationship is. 71 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:48,120 Speaker 1: Their comments were such statements from the American president unworthy 72 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:51,000 Speaker 1: of a statesman of such high rank, but Russian American 73 00:03:51,040 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 1: relations on the verge of rupture. Those comments, specifically, Biden 74 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 1: got asked in a kind of you know, as he's 75 00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 1: leaving the room, a reporter shouts at him, do you 76 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 1: think Putin is a war criminal? At first he misunderstood 77 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 1: the question, and then he comes back and says, what 78 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: did you say again? And he responds to the affirmative 79 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 1: that he does think Putin is a war criminal. I'm 80 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: explaining it because the audio is a little bit muffled, 81 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 1: but let's go ahead and take a listen to that. 82 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:30,280 Speaker 1: For I mean, I think you would have to say 83 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 1: at this point that is undeniably true given the reports 84 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 1: we've seen on the ground about civilian casualties and targeting 85 00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:38,440 Speaker 1: of hospitals and of the like. Certainly, right, this may 86 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:40,359 Speaker 1: be an unpopular thing, but I don't think that the 87 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 1: president should be so cavalier whenever we're using that type 88 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:46,040 Speaker 1: of language, whenever we're talking from an official capacity. I 89 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 1: think you and I are commentators, and I'm very comfortable 90 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:50,720 Speaker 1: using the phrase war criminal. And here's why we all 91 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 1: will remember that famous clip. I think it is Susan 92 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 1: Rice back into nineteen ninety four twisting herself not to 93 00:04:56,600 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: say the word genocide whenever it came to Rwanda. And 94 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 1: the reason why is because those words mean something in 95 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:05,679 Speaker 1: the international court of law and also under US treaties 96 00:05:05,720 --> 00:05:08,720 Speaker 1: and obligations. So when the Biden administration is going to 97 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:10,919 Speaker 1: use that language more, what I would say is, I 98 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 1: think it's totally justified, but I think it should be 99 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 1: given as a concerted policy speech. Specifically because when you're 100 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:20,839 Speaker 1: so cavalier with that, well, now we're risking rupture with 101 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 1: the Kremlin. Here's the other reason, which is that can 102 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 1: you come back from being a war criminal, like in 103 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 1: terms of our relations with Russia? Does that not just well, 104 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:31,600 Speaker 1: I guess you're right. I guess he you know, resurrected 105 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:35,200 Speaker 1: himself as a painter and dic Chaney. I'm talking more 106 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 1: about in terms of the eyes of the world and 107 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 1: the US administration, as in, are we going to feel 108 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,839 Speaker 1: comfortable branding somebody a war criminal? And then in the future, 109 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: let's say that Russia does come to some diplomatic solution, 110 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 1: how will we supposed to have an off ramp in 111 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:51,840 Speaker 1: terms of our diplomatic relations with that country. Look, I 112 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 1: understand that this all sounds uncomfortable, but this is a 113 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: nuclear arm power. This is the same reason that we 114 00:05:56,800 --> 00:06:00,360 Speaker 1: have relations and I supported Trump meeting with Kim. I 115 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 1: think Kim Jong un has committed acts of general side. 116 00:06:02,440 --> 00:06:04,719 Speaker 1: I think Kim Jong un is a reward criminal in 117 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:07,840 Speaker 1: very much his own right. But whenever you have nukes, 118 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 1: that means that you were entitled to a certain level 119 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: of diplomatic recognition. So it's not even that I object 120 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,480 Speaker 1: to what he's saying it's that you need to be 121 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:18,839 Speaker 1: more considered in your language and not so glibly just 122 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:23,480 Speaker 1: make that pronouncement, which carries an immense weight in international politics, 123 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:26,720 Speaker 1: which is now invited to Kremlin to possibly severtize with 124 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:28,480 Speaker 1: the United States, which is the worst thing I think 125 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:30,200 Speaker 1: you could happen at this moment. It was sort of 126 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 1: a very Trumpian moment in that it's just, you know, 127 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:36,719 Speaker 1: off the cuff, shooting from the hip, not really planned, 128 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 1: not really strategic, not thoughtful, just sort of, you know, 129 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 1: in response in the moment, saying you know, whatever he 130 00:06:44,680 --> 00:06:48,160 Speaker 1: thinks is appropriate, without really thinking through, Okay, this is 131 00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:51,040 Speaker 1: our plan, this is our strategy. Those sort of words 132 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:54,800 Speaker 1: should only be used after you've really considered what the 133 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:57,359 Speaker 1: consequences will be, both in the short term and the 134 00:06:57,440 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 1: long term. I think that is important to say. I 135 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:01,280 Speaker 1: mean the part of this I made the joke about 136 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 1: George W. Bush, But there is something to you know, 137 00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 1: us hypocrisy on calling the leaders of other countries or criminals, 138 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 1: when of course we exempt ourselves from any sort of 139 00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 1: judgment and our leaders from any sort of judgment over 140 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 1: the war crimes that they themselves have committed. So that's 141 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:19,440 Speaker 1: the first piece of this. The other thing that we 142 00:07:19,520 --> 00:07:22,560 Speaker 1: found out yesterday New Revelations. Let's go ahead and put 143 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 1: Wall Street Journal tearsheet up on the screen, that we 144 00:07:25,600 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 1: are sending Soviet air defense systems into Ukraine. We apparently 145 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 1: had a secret program over you the length of the 146 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 1: Cold War where we were this makes sense. We were 147 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 1: requiring secretly Soviet weapons so that we could study them 148 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:43,920 Speaker 1: and figure out what their capabilities are. We still have 149 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:48,840 Speaker 1: a cache of these weapons, no telling how old they are, 150 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,640 Speaker 1: specifically what they are, but we learned yesterday from the 151 00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 1: Wall Street Journal that we are sending some of those 152 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 1: systems over to Ukraine. Here's a little bit from that article. 153 00:07:57,760 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 1: They say the systems, which one US official said include 154 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:02,720 Speaker 1: the SA eight, are decades old, and we're obtained by 155 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 1: the US that could exam the technology used by the 156 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 1: Russian military and which Moscow has exported around the world. 157 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 1: Those weapons are familiar to Ukraine's military, which inherited this 158 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:15,559 Speaker 1: type of equipment following the breakup of the Soviet Union. 159 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:18,200 Speaker 1: So in our continued quest to figure out what can 160 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 1: we send and how can we help them, and how 161 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: can we bolster them, this is the very latest move 162 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 1: that they're making it makes sense. This is the S 163 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 1: three hundred missile system, which is a long time Soviet one. 164 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 1: I actually think some NATO countries have it, like I 165 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:34,599 Speaker 1: want to say, it's Bulgaria, Bulgaria, Slovakia and Greece in 166 00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:37,640 Speaker 1: terms of their leftover from the Soviet Union. It's quite 167 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: an effective and air defense system. I believe it's some 168 00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:44,520 Speaker 1: things that we've seen deployed in Syria and elsewhere, so 169 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:47,200 Speaker 1: it's quite effective in its use and obviously, you know, 170 00:08:47,240 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: whenever being used also against Russian weapons, there's generally a 171 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:54,079 Speaker 1: question two of interoperability with Ukrainians and what they already 172 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:56,360 Speaker 1: have right which are on the ground. So look, I 173 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 1: mean this generally fits with the theme of the US 174 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 1: weapon that are being provided under the Biden administration with 175 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 1: biparts and support defensive weapons as in javelins to shoot 176 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 1: down aircraft, air defense system to stop you air defense 177 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:14,079 Speaker 1: systems as defense. And why the MiGs those fighter jets 178 00:09:14,080 --> 00:09:17,080 Speaker 1: were seen as an offensive capability that could be used 179 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 1: offensively by the Ukrainians and why they would see that 180 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 1: generally is a crossing of the line. So within that framework, 181 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:24,880 Speaker 1: I think it's okay. More what it is is that 182 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 1: I find the threat of the threat to cut ties 183 00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:32,320 Speaker 1: the most troubling aspect of all of this, just because 184 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:36,679 Speaker 1: what we need more than anything is open lines of communication. 185 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:39,360 Speaker 1: And this is not a popular stance to take. Everyone's like, oh, 186 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 1: you're standing for Putin. That's not what we're talking about here, 187 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 1: which is that we came to the brink once of 188 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:47,280 Speaker 1: nuclear war with the Soviet Union, and those two leaders, 189 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: John F. Kennedy and Nikita Khrushchev decided that the reason 190 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:53,200 Speaker 1: why they came to the brink was their inability to 191 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:55,120 Speaker 1: talk to each other, which is why the hotline was 192 00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:57,800 Speaker 1: established and between those two leaders, and one of the 193 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 1: very first things that happened when LYNDENB. Johnson assumed the 194 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 1: office was that they install the hotline in his office 195 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:05,400 Speaker 1: because it was always important in order to have that 196 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 1: line of communication open with the Russians and in terms 197 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 1: of us communicating, back channeling and more. The more open 198 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:14,880 Speaker 1: ties that we have between the two countries, even at 199 00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 1: a time when Putin is absolutely committing war crimes, then 200 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 1: it's important though for the United States to balance its 201 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 1: rhetoric and see exactly what our endgame is. You did 202 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: your monologue yesterday on this, and I think it's very important. 203 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 1: What is the endgame of the United States. I think 204 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:32,560 Speaker 1: it should be to support Ukraine. But let's say that 205 00:10:32,600 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: they decide to pursue a piece not likely currently given 206 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 1: the Selenski's comments, given Putin's comments, and all of that 207 00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 1: as well. But let's say a year from now or whatever, 208 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 1: that they decide to do. What are our quote unquote 209 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 1: red lines. I think if we should just support Ukraine 210 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:48,559 Speaker 1: and generally what they decide, which is what we're doing 211 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:50,959 Speaker 1: right now. But let's say that their position switches in 212 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:53,440 Speaker 1: the civilian population and more, well, I think we should 213 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 1: continue to do that. Yeah, the question is always how 214 00:10:55,280 --> 00:10:58,360 Speaker 1: do we create the context for peace? And you don't 215 00:10:58,400 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 1: have to say every single thing you say about Vladimir 216 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 1: Putin right now because it doesn't necessarily serve the purpose 217 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 1: of ultimately being able to have that dialogue and get 218 00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:09,240 Speaker 1: to peace. And you know, you don't accomplish anything by 219 00:11:09,400 --> 00:11:12,080 Speaker 1: rhetorically calling him a war criminal. So I think those 220 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 1: are all good points in terms of what is happening 221 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 1: on the ground. Yesterday we brought you you know, there's 222 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:22,080 Speaker 1: this like concerted sort of narrative effort to push out 223 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 1: into outlets from you know, Axios to the Washington Post, 224 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:29,319 Speaker 1: New York Times that the war is at a stalemate 225 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 1: and in fact, in you know, two of three of 226 00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 1: the fronts that Russia has been pursuing. They are sort 227 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 1: of stymied, but they do continue to make some gains. 228 00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:44,480 Speaker 1: The very latest is there's been additional shelling in Kiev. 229 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 1: There was a mall that was bombed in Kiev. Of course, 230 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:51,320 Speaker 1: this is horrendous for the residents of that city who 231 00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 1: are still there and also the ones who have fled. 232 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 1: And then let's go ahead and put this next piece 233 00:11:55,800 --> 00:12:00,120 Speaker 1: up on the screen. Russians have made significant advances in 234 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 1: to Marriopaul, which is, you know, it's a key area. 235 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 1: It's one that has been under siege for quite a 236 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:10,400 Speaker 1: while now. People are really suffering in terms of you know, 237 00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 1: humanitarian situation. No heat, no food, no water, no electricity. 238 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 1: They haven't been able to establish humanitarian corridors. And so 239 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:26,000 Speaker 1: Russia basically gave Ukraine this not very good faith offer 240 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:29,560 Speaker 1: of hey, we're going to allow to safe corridors out 241 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:33,400 Speaker 1: of Mariopol, but you have to surrender. Ukraine of course 242 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:38,439 Speaker 1: rejected that offer. So fighting does continue there and again 243 00:12:38,559 --> 00:12:40,600 Speaker 1: you know, you've got hundreds of thousands of people there, 244 00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: and it is an absolutely horrific situation on the ground. 245 00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:48,079 Speaker 1: So the big danger is that, yes, Russia has been 246 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 1: frustrated in some of their efforts. They certainly haven't advanced 247 00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:55,920 Speaker 1: in the timeframe that they expected. Their initial forces on 248 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:58,319 Speaker 1: the ground are sort of you know, running out of supplies, 249 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:02,079 Speaker 1: and it wasn't really tactically strategically sound planned to start with. 250 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 1: But the question is, all right, how are they going 251 00:13:05,440 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 1: to escalate? What are they going to pull out of 252 00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:11,719 Speaker 1: their arsenal to go ahead and advance their claims which 253 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:13,960 Speaker 1: will probably be more brutal for civilian excellent. Yeah, and 254 00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 1: that's part of the thing we try to emphasize yesterday. 255 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:18,760 Speaker 1: It's not that it isn't true in a colloquial sense 256 00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:21,839 Speaker 1: that the Russians have been stemmead and have been kind 257 00:13:21,880 --> 00:13:26,680 Speaker 1: of basically caught in their inability to move forward with 258 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 1: currently what they have. But that isn't necessarily a good thing. 259 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:33,680 Speaker 1: And when we consider what it means to win both sides, now, 260 00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:35,960 Speaker 1: how are in a belief that they are winning at 261 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:38,760 Speaker 1: least in some form with the Russians? They just have 262 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:42,040 Speaker 1: the capability to bring immense amount more power to bear. 263 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:44,840 Speaker 1: At the same time, they're not in a total war 264 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:47,960 Speaker 1: economy just yet. They still have to balance their domestic population. 265 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:50,360 Speaker 1: They have people like Igor Kokin, who will be speaking 266 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:53,760 Speaker 1: to later in the show, so they also have domestic constraints, 267 00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 1: and they are the invading army, which means that they're 268 00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:58,360 Speaker 1: generally at a disadvantage supply lines all of that, but 269 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:01,320 Speaker 1: they still have a tremendous amount of military power, and 270 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:03,600 Speaker 1: especially in terms of what we see, if this turns 271 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 1: into a total war type of attrition, then it's certainly 272 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:11,080 Speaker 1: the benefit is on their side. So let's all just 273 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:14,079 Speaker 1: hope that there is some sense in the Kremlin sometime 274 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:17,240 Speaker 1: soon in order to bring about peace or to fold, 275 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 1: although that is generally pretty unlikely, just unfortunate because it 276 00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 1: just means hundreds and thousands of people are at risk. 277 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 1: I mean, it really is not an exaggeration. The Russians. 278 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:34,640 Speaker 1: The Russians underwent an immensely brutal campaign twice under Vladimir 279 00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:37,760 Speaker 1: Putin in Syria and in Chechnya. We just didn't pay 280 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 1: a lot of attention to it here in the West, 281 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: but hundreds of that, you know, the most brutal phase 282 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 1: of the Syrian and Civil War was the end same 283 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 1: to in Chechia, and that's when the Russians were using 284 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 1: cluster munitions on the city of the Lefo and elsewhere. 285 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 1: And I just currently just do not see a way 286 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 1: out of that, although I do hope that, you know, 287 00:14:54,080 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 1: maybe the Ukrainians can fight them to a different type 288 00:14:56,520 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 1: of stalemate and inflicts so much pain that they are 289 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 1: the need to negotiate. There was that number that came 290 00:15:03,280 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 1: out yesterday. We were looking with some great interests. There 291 00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 1: was a leaked report supposedly leaked. I want to debunk 292 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 1: this just in case maybe has seen it, where they 293 00:15:10,280 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 1: said the ten thousand Russian soldiers that died. We were like, 294 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:16,120 Speaker 1: oh my god, this is an state media outlet in Russia. 295 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 1: But then the state media came out and said, oh, 296 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 1: actually we were hacked. So look, we don't know what 297 00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: the actual number is. US intelligence says something like seventy 298 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 1: five hundred. Who knows if that is true, though, remember this, 299 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:28,920 Speaker 1: in the I think eleven years of fighting of Soviets 300 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 1: in Afghanistan, they only lost fifteen thousand people. That's their number. 301 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 1: So if it is six seven thousand, they've already exceeded 302 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 1: the entire US war in Iraq and number of casualties, 303 00:15:38,640 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 1: and are now going to territory where they even't lost 304 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 1: that many soldiers in combat in a long, long time. Yeah, well, 305 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:49,200 Speaker 1: in Afghanistan, I mean, Afghanistan was not nearly as pruscious 306 00:15:49,280 --> 00:15:53,560 Speaker 1: to the Soviet Union as Ukraine is to Russia. But 307 00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 1: what you had was at the same time that there 308 00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:58,280 Speaker 1: was sort of an opening and allowing of the airing 309 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 1: of grievances in Societ the Soviet Union. It was the 310 00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:06,800 Speaker 1: mothers of those soldiers who really became sort of the 311 00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:10,400 Speaker 1: backbone of the movement to end that war. And so 312 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:14,320 Speaker 1: you know, yes, Putin is an autocrat and you know, 313 00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:17,600 Speaker 1: does what he wants more or less within Russia. Certainly 314 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:21,240 Speaker 1: the population did not vote for or encourage this war. 315 00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 1: Many people were shocked at the actual invasion once it happened. 316 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 1: But he still faces domestic political pressure and his own 317 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 1: considerations and is certainly a student of history and understands 318 00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:36,680 Speaker 1: where those pressure points ultimately lie. You can only conceal, 319 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:41,400 Speaker 1: especially in the modern age, death and casualties and injuries 320 00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 1: for so long, and the extent of the losses that 321 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:46,960 Speaker 1: are being suffered by the Russian side. You can only 322 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:50,680 Speaker 1: conceal the true nature of this war for so long, 323 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 1: and so while he has a lot more in reserve 324 00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:59,240 Speaker 1: in terms of his military capacity, bringing more forces to 325 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 1: bear also carries a risk in terms of your population 326 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:06,959 Speaker 1: really beginning to you know, on a large scale resist. 327 00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:09,560 Speaker 1: We've obviously brought you the protests that have happened in 328 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:13,840 Speaker 1: cities across Russia already, people who are very courageously taking 329 00:17:13,880 --> 00:17:16,399 Speaker 1: the street and anti war and calling for an end 330 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:20,440 Speaker 1: to this aggression. But I think we would be it 331 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,440 Speaker 1: would be fanciful to imagine that that's even a majority 332 00:17:23,560 --> 00:17:27,040 Speaker 1: of the Russian population at this point, just because the 333 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 1: you know, the propaganda web that he's weaved is so thick. 334 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:34,080 Speaker 1: So anyway, those are some of his domestic political considerations. 335 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:36,440 Speaker 1: Do I think we're anywhere close to that. No, I don't, 336 00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 1: And that's why this is such a devastating and dire situation, 337 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 1: because you just can't really see right now how. I 338 00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 1: don't think the Russians are negotiating good faith. I think 339 00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:48,280 Speaker 1: they've been holding out these holding these peace talks as 340 00:17:48,280 --> 00:17:50,479 Speaker 1: a way of sort of signaling that they're serious and 341 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:53,520 Speaker 1: trying to keep more sanctions from being levied on them 342 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:56,359 Speaker 1: and those sorts of things, and the Ukrainians really believe 343 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,960 Speaker 1: that they're in a position to actually win and not 344 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,800 Speaker 1: have to concede any anything at the negotiating table, and 345 00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:05,280 Speaker 1: I just don't think that that is a realistic scenario. 346 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:07,199 Speaker 1: So that's where we stand right now. There we go. 347 00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:09,199 Speaker 1: So that's the update in terms of what's happening there. 348 00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:12,000 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and move on here to a important 349 00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 1: and possibly troubling warning from the United States, which is 350 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 1: that the US Cybersecurity Advisor took the White House podium 351 00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:23,400 Speaker 1: yesterday to say that there is an increasing likelihood, according 352 00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:26,720 Speaker 1: to their intelligence, with the claim that they are seeing 353 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:29,480 Speaker 1: increased signs of a possible Russian cyber attack on the 354 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:33,240 Speaker 1: United States. Let's take a listen. We are reiterating those warnings, 355 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:37,520 Speaker 1: and we're doing so based on evolving threat intelligence that 356 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:41,880 Speaker 1: the Russian government is exploring options for potential cyber attacks 357 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:46,520 Speaker 1: on critical infrastructure in the United States. So there you go. 358 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:49,200 Speaker 1: There is a warning there from the administration. Let's ahead 359 00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:51,000 Speaker 1: and put this up there. It was in the context 360 00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:54,000 Speaker 1: of an official statement from President Biden. And here's what 361 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:56,120 Speaker 1: he says, which is that from day one, my administration's 362 00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 1: work to strench in our national cyber defenses. My administration 363 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:02,320 Speaker 1: will continues every tool to deter, disrupt, and if necessary, 364 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:06,520 Speaker 1: respond to cyber attacks against critical infrastructure. He gives a 365 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 1: warning there to the private sector companies to harden your 366 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:14,280 Speaker 1: cyber defenses immediately, and in the first paragraph, which is 367 00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 1: the actual warning, he says, quote, I have previously warned 368 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:20,520 Speaker 1: about the potential that Russia could conduct malicious cyber activity 369 00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:23,040 Speaker 1: against the United States, including as a response to the 370 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 1: unprecedented economic costs that we have imposted on Russia alongside 371 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,800 Speaker 1: our allies and partners. It's part of Russia's playbook. Today, 372 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:33,240 Speaker 1: my administration is reiterating those warnings, based on evolving intelligence 373 00:19:33,280 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 1: that the Russian government is exploring options for potential cyber attacks. Again, 374 00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:40,240 Speaker 1: you take that for what you will, but it is 375 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 1: important and given what we do know so far, is 376 00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:45,680 Speaker 1: that you know, the US intelligence warnings about what the 377 00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:49,480 Speaker 1: Russians might or might not do were on par generally true, 378 00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:53,080 Speaker 1: although there was some parsing. Important things to be done, 379 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:56,080 Speaker 1: and the President reiterated that when you're speaking to the 380 00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 1: business roundtable, a bunch of billionaire lobbyists here in DC 381 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:03,160 Speaker 1: take a lesson and now Putin's back against the wall. 382 00:20:03,520 --> 00:20:08,760 Speaker 1: He wasn't anticipating the extent or strength of our unity. 383 00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:12,240 Speaker 1: And the more his back is against the wall, the 384 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:16,400 Speaker 1: greater severity of the tactics he may employ. We've seen 385 00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:19,440 Speaker 1: it before. He's run a lot of false flag operations. 386 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:23,120 Speaker 1: Whenever he starts talking about something he thinks NATO, Ukraine 387 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:24,920 Speaker 1: or the United States is about to do, it means 388 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,119 Speaker 1: he's getting ready to do it. One of the tools 389 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,520 Speaker 1: he's most likely to use, in my view and our view, 390 00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:35,240 Speaker 1: is a cyber attack. They have a very sophisticated cyber capability. 391 00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:39,000 Speaker 1: I've had, as they say in southern Delaware, they where 392 00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:42,720 Speaker 1: they are very religious. We've had an altar call he 393 00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:46,040 Speaker 1: and I on this issue. We have a long conversation 394 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:49,320 Speaker 1: about if he uses what would be the consequence. But 395 00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,879 Speaker 1: the point is that he has a capability. He hasn't 396 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:55,960 Speaker 1: used it yet, but it's part of his playbook. And 397 00:20:57,040 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 1: I've warned about the potential for Russian conduct to maliciously 398 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:07,720 Speaker 1: malicious cyber activity. So there was the warning from President Biden. Crystal. 399 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:09,760 Speaker 1: Actually we didn't have that within there, just because let's 400 00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:11,959 Speaker 1: just say the president rambles and it's hard enough in 401 00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:15,080 Speaker 1: order in order to cut it correctly. He actually confirmed 402 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 1: something we talked about yesterday, that Russia had used that 403 00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,560 Speaker 1: hypersonic missile in Ukraine. Here's what you said. Quote. As 404 00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 1: you all know, it's a consequential weapon, it's almost impossible 405 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:26,439 Speaker 1: to stop it. There is a reason they're using it, 406 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:29,160 Speaker 1: essentially confirming that it was a strategic warning against SATA. 407 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:31,800 Speaker 1: By the way, I did misspeak. It's not faster than ICBM, 408 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:34,879 Speaker 1: but it's faster than a typical cruise missile, so I 409 00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:39,280 Speaker 1: apologized all the military geeks. Also, it does not go 410 00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:41,119 Speaker 1: a mile a minute. It goes a mile a second. 411 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 1: You guys are all happy. Yes, we've eaten darkrow. Listen, 412 00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:49,080 Speaker 1: if the amount that we speak on this program, sometimes 413 00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 1: we're gonna make you tried doing it, Okay, all right, 414 00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:55,760 Speaker 1: So a couple things that I think are noteworthy here. 415 00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:58,480 Speaker 1: First of all, I tried to douse some investigation into 416 00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:03,360 Speaker 1: exactly what the cyber attack capabilities of the Russian government are. 417 00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:07,360 Speaker 1: Of course no one knows exactly, but it has been 418 00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:12,160 Speaker 1: surprising that there haven't been cyber attacks really significantly to date. 419 00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:14,919 Speaker 1: Right because this is something that we've been expecting for 420 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:19,040 Speaker 1: a while, especially given how quickly we ramped up escalations 421 00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:22,400 Speaker 1: in terms of our economic warfare. And we do know 422 00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 1: that following Russia's twenty fourteen annexation of Crimea, there were 423 00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:29,200 Speaker 1: a pair of attacks in twenty fifteen and twenty sixteen 424 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:32,479 Speaker 1: that took out power in parts of Ukraine, albeit it 425 00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:35,400 Speaker 1: was a relatively small scale. And then we've also seen 426 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:39,720 Speaker 1: the things that Russian aligned hackers have done, the sort 427 00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,840 Speaker 1: of like you know, ransomware, where you free somebody's system 428 00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:45,720 Speaker 1: and then you demand some payment and bitcoin or whatever. 429 00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:48,120 Speaker 1: So we've seen those sorts of things from Russian Kremlin 430 00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:52,439 Speaker 1: aligned hackers. So those are the sorts of things that 431 00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:55,840 Speaker 1: may be possible and potentially beyond that. The other thing 432 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,919 Speaker 1: that I thought was noteworthy in both his comments and 433 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 1: the White House statement is he made sure to point 434 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:06,560 Speaker 1: out most of America's critical infrastructure is owned and operated 435 00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:10,480 Speaker 1: brought by the private sector, and critical infrastructure owners and 436 00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:14,679 Speaker 1: operators must accelerate efforts to lock their digital doors. This 437 00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:17,200 Speaker 1: is actually a major issue, and you all are probably 438 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,880 Speaker 1: familiar with it as consumers. How many times have you've 439 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:22,359 Speaker 1: gotten messages from this or that company that your data 440 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:26,960 Speaker 1: has been compromised because our legal system really doesn't penalize 441 00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 1: companies significantly for not having adequate cybersecurity in place, so 442 00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:36,240 Speaker 1: we've created this is yet another sort of like vulnerability 443 00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:43,440 Speaker 1: that has been created by deregulation and privatization. Number one, Basically, 444 00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:46,240 Speaker 1: what the government can do here is ask private business 445 00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:49,680 Speaker 1: owners like, please do your best, because we're vulnerable right now. 446 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:53,040 Speaker 1: And number two, we don't have the so you know, 447 00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 1: it's all been privatized, so it's in the hands of 448 00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,680 Speaker 1: the private sector. And then we don't have the regulatory 449 00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:01,720 Speaker 1: regime to make sure that that those critical infrastructure pieces 450 00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:05,040 Speaker 1: are really secure to start with. So yet another vulnerability 451 00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,840 Speaker 1: created by some of our neioliberal policies. Last the problem 452 00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:10,600 Speaker 1: with that exactly, I'm not even necessarily post privatization, but 453 00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:14,280 Speaker 1: whenever it comes to the actual regulatory framework, you specially 454 00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:16,640 Speaker 1: have to have the ability for the state in order 455 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:18,959 Speaker 1: to guard against it. When you have a critical supply 456 00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:22,920 Speaker 1: line like electricity, that seems kind of important. So whenever 457 00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:24,280 Speaker 1: it comes to the grade and I'm not saying that 458 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 1: doesn't exist, the Department of Homeland Security and these people 459 00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: do have units and all that, but it's generally advisory 460 00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:32,359 Speaker 1: rather than mandatory, and in terms of the ability for 461 00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,160 Speaker 1: the government in order to actually full fledge take over 462 00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,720 Speaker 1: based upon what I have read, it's complicated. The other 463 00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:41,359 Speaker 1: thing that I always scares me about cyber war is 464 00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,600 Speaker 1: we spent an inordinate amount of time in graduate school 465 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 1: talking about what the rules of engagement in cyberwar are 466 00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:53,360 Speaker 1: as in what can invite a traditional conventional military response 467 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:58,399 Speaker 1: if the initial action is cybersecurity, and really nobody knows, 468 00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:01,040 Speaker 1: which is that we've tried over the last decade or 469 00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:03,880 Speaker 1: so in order to come to a consensus. Pretty much 470 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:07,240 Speaker 1: what I understood is that an attack on critical infrastructure 471 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,160 Speaker 1: a LAH taking out the electricity grid, would be treated 472 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,480 Speaker 1: in the same way that if you were to drop 473 00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 1: a bomb on a power grid, which is that it 474 00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:18,639 Speaker 1: would then invite a similar typical Exactly, it's not just 475 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:21,879 Speaker 1: active war. It would invite a conventional military response with 476 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:25,960 Speaker 1: a bomb, not necessarily a cyber but not necessarily a 477 00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:29,000 Speaker 1: cyber attack, as in the end result and the effect 478 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,879 Speaker 1: of the attack is what would be considered similar in 479 00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:36,359 Speaker 1: loss of life, similar in terms of financial But that's 480 00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:39,360 Speaker 1: actually where there is a lot of gray area. For example, 481 00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:42,600 Speaker 1: if the hacker took over the New York Stock Exchange 482 00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 1: and zeroed out the accounts ALLA like bane in the 483 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:50,000 Speaker 1: Dark Knight rises, Well, now what he because now this 484 00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:53,280 Speaker 1: is a really gray area, which is that Well, then 485 00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:57,479 Speaker 1: it didn't technically to bring down the grid. It didn't 486 00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:01,080 Speaker 1: have a tangible, outright real way world effect in terms 487 00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:05,240 Speaker 1: of electricity. But it was obviously an act of financial 488 00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:07,600 Speaker 1: warfare against the United States. And I'm giving you the 489 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:11,359 Speaker 1: most extreme example, but that's also something that really could 490 00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:15,919 Speaker 1: happen in terms of banks inability to process transactions. Obviously, 491 00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,280 Speaker 1: the Russians are going to get very pissed at Visa, 492 00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,600 Speaker 1: MasterCard and the other processors which process like eighty something 493 00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 1: percent of payments. I mean, is that an act of warfare? 494 00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:26,840 Speaker 1: These are where things get more gray and become a 495 00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:28,840 Speaker 1: lot more sketchy in terms of what exactly we can 496 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:30,840 Speaker 1: do about it. I mean, it reminds me of the 497 00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:33,159 Speaker 1: little debate we had during build back better of like 498 00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:35,760 Speaker 1: what is infrastructure. That's a good point, you know, because 499 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:39,360 Speaker 1: there's certain things that it's really clear, right, like roads, bridges, 500 00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:43,840 Speaker 1: the electro grid, like these things are critical infrastructure. Okay, 501 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:48,639 Speaker 1: what about our communication system? Right? What about telecoms? What 502 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:51,679 Speaker 1: about social media platforms, which is where you know a 503 00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:54,679 Speaker 1: lot of us communicate, and that's sort of like the 504 00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:59,040 Speaker 1: modern day public square. What about that? So it's very 505 00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:04,200 Speaker 1: hard to draw a clear line of where critical infrastructure 506 00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:08,440 Speaker 1: begins and ends. And anytime you have those gray areas 507 00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 1: in war, it invites people like Liz Cheney, Adam Kinziger, 508 00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 1: you know, Alexander Vinman and all these people who have 509 00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,600 Speaker 1: really prominent platforms who have been looking to push us 510 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:24,520 Speaker 1: to do more and to escalate and to invite World 511 00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:29,359 Speaker 1: War two. Well, if our infrastructure, however you define that, 512 00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:32,520 Speaker 1: is hit in a way that Americans feel really attacked by, 513 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:36,080 Speaker 1: then you give them an edge in terms of making 514 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,800 Speaker 1: their argument that hey, we ought to be shipping in 515 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:41,879 Speaker 1: fighter jets and we ought to be forcing a no 516 00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:44,960 Speaker 1: fly zone, or you know, we ought to be taking 517 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:48,600 Speaker 1: out Russian capabilities in Belarus and these other insane things 518 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:52,840 Speaker 1: that they are already floating. So and it gives you know, Zelenski, 519 00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:56,560 Speaker 1: who has been held up understandably as a hero during 520 00:27:56,600 --> 00:28:00,520 Speaker 1: wartime and who's been aggressively pursuing pushing the case that 521 00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:03,640 Speaker 1: we should be doing more and escalating further and inviting 522 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:05,920 Speaker 1: World War two. It also gives him more of a 523 00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:08,919 Speaker 1: like to stand on in terms of prosecuting that case. 524 00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:12,879 Speaker 1: So that's why when Hillary Clinton casually suggested, hey, we 525 00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,760 Speaker 1: should engage in some cyber attacks on Russia, why we 526 00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:18,800 Speaker 1: were like, hold on a second, that's a terrible idea, 527 00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:22,120 Speaker 1: But that same response could be invited from our side 528 00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:24,679 Speaker 1: if Russia engages in those types of attacks against us, 529 00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,440 Speaker 1: something to be very very wary of. One hundred percent. 530 00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:30,360 Speaker 1: And this is all just this is why this era 531 00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:31,639 Speaker 1: was why we spent a lot of time on it 532 00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:33,800 Speaker 1: when I was in school, because I think gray area 533 00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:38,320 Speaker 1: is exactly where miscalculation happens and war can escalate, and unfortunately, 534 00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 1: we may find ourselves in that area. So let's all 535 00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:44,360 Speaker 1: just you know, keep it, keep an eye on what's happening, 536 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:48,280 Speaker 1: and also looking at the exact definitions that the Biden 537 00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:51,800 Speaker 1: administration is use. Here. They use attack, that's good, and 538 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,200 Speaker 1: you know, now whenever they start to use war and 539 00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:57,040 Speaker 1: other things that can invite conventional military response, and that's 540 00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,120 Speaker 1: when we should all start having a debate and really 541 00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:02,360 Speaker 1: turn to parse exactly how the government is thinking about it. Yeah, indeed, Okay, 542 00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:05,520 Speaker 1: let's go ahead, move on to the former president, which 543 00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:09,040 Speaker 1: is this is kind of hilarious, which is Trump continues 544 00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:12,200 Speaker 1: to show us that he has a completely rudderless worldview, 545 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:16,440 Speaker 1: which is just absolutely in some ways it can be 546 00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:20,400 Speaker 1: good in this way, is it bad? So he appeared 547 00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:23,600 Speaker 1: on Fox Business Network with Stuart Varney for a long 548 00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 1: interview and he was pressed on what exactly he was 549 00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:29,800 Speaker 1: going to do differently if he was the president in Ukraine. 550 00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,920 Speaker 1: And the results may not surprise you, but they will 551 00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:36,080 Speaker 1: shock you. Let's take a listen, but let me press 552 00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:39,280 Speaker 1: you again on what extra military help you would give 553 00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:41,920 Speaker 1: to the Ukrainians. You say you want to do more 554 00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:45,719 Speaker 1: than just the meg jets or the Jampans want more. Well, 555 00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:48,400 Speaker 1: I think the drones are just as effective as anything 556 00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,880 Speaker 1: now as I mean, they make drones today, we make 557 00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:55,120 Speaker 1: we have drones that are just as effective as just 558 00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,800 Speaker 1: about anything in the air. Anything you can do in 559 00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:00,760 Speaker 1: the air, and you can do drone. Plus they give 560 00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:05,280 Speaker 1: back tremendous amounts of information and the information leads missiles 561 00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:07,320 Speaker 1: right to whatever the hell targets they are, and you 562 00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 1: don't have to shoot them from Ukraine. So therefore you're 563 00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:14,840 Speaker 1: being neutral. It's so ridiculous. Look, stud when he goes 564 00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:18,800 Speaker 1: in and he kills thousands of people, are we going 565 00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,720 Speaker 1: to just sit by and watch? This country will be 566 00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:24,760 Speaker 1: in one hundred years from now, they'll be talking about 567 00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:30,240 Speaker 1: what a travesty, what a horrible thing? This is? Uh? Okay, 568 00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:34,400 Speaker 1: So if I understand what he's saying there, he's saying, well, A, 569 00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:37,800 Speaker 1: he's using a very conventional war talking point. Are we 570 00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:39,600 Speaker 1: just going to sit by and watch? It's actually more 571 00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:41,600 Speaker 1: complicated than that, mister President and man of yous have 572 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:45,560 Speaker 1: his finger on the nuclear button. But second, did he say, 573 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:47,240 Speaker 1: I don't want to make sure I heard this correctly, 574 00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 1: that we could use drones not fired from Ukraine. So 575 00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:55,080 Speaker 1: essentially what he's saying is that US drones, possibly flying 576 00:30:55,080 --> 00:31:01,120 Speaker 1: a NATO airspace, would then launch weapons against the Russian military, 577 00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:04,720 Speaker 1: which would of course be an act of war. This 578 00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:06,920 Speaker 1: is on par with the idiocy that we saw from 579 00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:09,560 Speaker 1: him and Sean Hannity that we should simply use our 580 00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:12,920 Speaker 1: planes but paint Chinese flags on them in order to 581 00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:15,640 Speaker 1: confuse the Russians and say, oh, and then invite them 582 00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:18,320 Speaker 1: to go ahead and bomb China, because apparently that's a 583 00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:22,080 Speaker 1: dumb that these people think that we are. Look, you know, 584 00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 1: on the one hand, you could look at it as funny. 585 00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:26,880 Speaker 1: On the other the guy was literally president and he's 586 00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:30,400 Speaker 1: very likely to be our next president. So on that side, 587 00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:32,360 Speaker 1: I'm a little bit troubled about what he has to say. 588 00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:36,040 Speaker 1: It's very troubling. And you know, there are two people 589 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:38,800 Speaker 1: that I'm really grateful our president right now, and that 590 00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,400 Speaker 1: is Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. I guess both of 591 00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:44,080 Speaker 1: them have had some really terrible ideas about what we 592 00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:47,680 Speaker 1: should be doing right now. And I mean Stuart Varney 593 00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:50,760 Speaker 1: credit to him. He because this is the thing with Trump. 594 00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:54,600 Speaker 1: He asked the question. Trump doesn't answer, oh, we should 595 00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:57,000 Speaker 1: do more, and then pivots to some other whatever thing 596 00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:59,000 Speaker 1: he wants to talk about. And then he had to 597 00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:02,120 Speaker 1: go back to this like three or four times to 598 00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:07,280 Speaker 1: finally elicit some kind of direct response. And by the way, 599 00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:11,000 Speaker 1: if your idea is like, well we should be providing drones, 600 00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:14,959 Speaker 1: they're already providing drones. So it's not clear that he 601 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:19,080 Speaker 1: understands what's already been done. It's not clear that he 602 00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:22,560 Speaker 1: has good ideas about if we were going to escalate further. 603 00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:25,000 Speaker 1: And I do think that this rhetoric of like are 604 00:32:25,040 --> 00:32:27,360 Speaker 1: we just going to sit by and do nothing. That 605 00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:32,080 Speaker 1: was exactly what Richard Engel said at NBC that he 606 00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:37,400 Speaker 1: was rightly dragged for because you know, the alternative then 607 00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:41,240 Speaker 1: of sitting by and doing nothing. It's very casual way 608 00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:45,600 Speaker 1: of phrasing this, because the alternative of escalating further obviously 609 00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:49,320 Speaker 1: leads you to direct confrontation with a nuclear power and 610 00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:55,160 Speaker 1: potentially World War three. So Trump is just seizing on this, 611 00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:59,120 Speaker 1: you know, this sort of republican partisan sense of fine, 612 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,440 Speaker 1: should do more, and he's not strong enough and he's 613 00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:04,080 Speaker 1: not being a leader. But when he's pressed it all 614 00:33:04,120 --> 00:33:08,880 Speaker 1: about the details, he basically has nothing to say. And that's, 615 00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:12,000 Speaker 1: you knows, very revealing moment. Oh absolutely, this is why 616 00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:15,280 Speaker 1: let's go ahead and piss off all the MAGA people. 617 00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:18,240 Speaker 1: I have no confidence that Trump would have ever withdrawn 618 00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 1: from Afghanistan. Everybody says, oh, he was going to do 619 00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:23,280 Speaker 1: it better and more strongly. Yeah. I watched him four 620 00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:26,960 Speaker 1: years in office, and every single time he got bamboozled 621 00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:29,080 Speaker 1: by the generals who told him, oh, just a little 622 00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,720 Speaker 1: bit longer, or oh well if you withdraw, it'll be 623 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,640 Speaker 1: a total disaster, and he was cowed. And here it's 624 00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:36,520 Speaker 1: the same thing. He shows that at the end of 625 00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:39,240 Speaker 1: the day, all Trump cares about is the pressure from 626 00:33:39,280 --> 00:33:42,720 Speaker 1: the media, and whenever pressure against the media is on 627 00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:45,200 Speaker 1: the wrong side of public opinion, he says, screw you. 628 00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:48,160 Speaker 1: But whenever it's on the right side or possibly in 629 00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:50,959 Speaker 1: a very gray area side of public opinion, he's very 630 00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:54,080 Speaker 1: much willing to insert himself and side with them. And 631 00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:56,520 Speaker 1: so that's what we find here. He has no more 632 00:33:56,880 --> 00:34:00,200 Speaker 1: in terms of principles. Whenever it comes to international politics. 633 00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:02,520 Speaker 1: Sometimes that was good, it was great. Whenever it came 634 00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:04,320 Speaker 1: to Kim Jong un, he was like, why can't I 635 00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:06,840 Speaker 1: meet with him? Or whenever he wanted to meet the Ayahtola, 636 00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,040 Speaker 1: he's like, yeah, I'll meet him. He's like sure, I mean, 637 00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,399 Speaker 1: by the time, great, those are good things. They broke 638 00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:15,640 Speaker 1: the Washington consensus. But here when the Washington consensus is 639 00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,680 Speaker 1: with the media side, and he has no appearing no 640 00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,120 Speaker 1: understanding of what exactly that would mean, he could get 641 00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:23,759 Speaker 1: us into a war if he becomes president again. So 642 00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:26,760 Speaker 1: it's a good reminder of he's telling us very clearly 643 00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:29,440 Speaker 1: what exactly he would do. That means he would empower 644 00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:32,839 Speaker 1: the vinmins of his administration, whether he likes it or not. 645 00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:36,000 Speaker 1: And as much easy he claims to be against Neil 646 00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:39,560 Speaker 1: means the man hired John Bolton, Like, what more do 647 00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:42,880 Speaker 1: you really need to know? Right? Because he was strong? Yeah, exactly. 648 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:44,600 Speaker 1: He likes that, you know, he had him by his 649 00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:47,280 Speaker 1: side and it made people think that he was crazy 650 00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:49,160 Speaker 1: or something like that. And the other thing that he 651 00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:53,480 Speaker 1: threatened here is to use nuclear submarines to menace Russia 652 00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:57,960 Speaker 1: until to convince them to which again, like that's a 653 00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:02,279 Speaker 1: significant escalation that has potential consequences, and all of that 654 00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:05,479 Speaker 1: seems to be completely lost on him. It also does 655 00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:10,399 Speaker 1: sort of debunk the liberal Russia Gate brainworm's idea though 656 00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:13,640 Speaker 1: that he was so like Putin's Putin's boyfriend. Bill mar 657 00:35:13,719 --> 00:35:15,680 Speaker 1: just said that he was like his bust friend, He's 658 00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:18,719 Speaker 1: Putin's puppet and all this stuff. I mean, his actual 659 00:35:19,480 --> 00:35:24,160 Speaker 1: policy under his administration towards Russia was more hawkish than 660 00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:30,000 Speaker 1: Biden up to mister Ukraine. Remember Obama refused to do it. 661 00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:32,839 Speaker 1: He did it. He did it first year of its administration. 662 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:36,560 Speaker 1: That's exactly right. He did that. Some of those arms 663 00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:39,120 Speaker 1: you know, reportedly did go to the Azon Battalion. You 664 00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:42,719 Speaker 1: could certainly criticize him for that, I certainly would, but 665 00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:46,560 Speaker 1: instead they went in this like really stupid direction of 666 00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:49,840 Speaker 1: the Russia Gate stuff, which was just nonsense. He also 667 00:35:50,200 --> 00:35:52,919 Speaker 1: didn't allow the nord Stream to pipeline to go forward, 668 00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:56,000 Speaker 1: and that was reversed under the Biden administration. So anyway, 669 00:35:56,880 --> 00:35:59,120 Speaker 1: there's a lot going on with those comments. Lots going on. 670 00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:04,120 Speaker 1: Same actually credit against Stewart about the election and the 671 00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,920 Speaker 1: claim that the election was stolen, and he basically asked 672 00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:08,920 Speaker 1: it the perfect way. He's like, is this really what 673 00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:11,160 Speaker 1: you want twenty twenty two and twenty twenty four to 674 00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:15,320 Speaker 1: be about. Let's take a lesson. Well, guess, wait a second. 675 00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:19,760 Speaker 1: If we go into twenty twenty two, the elections twenty 676 00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 1: twenty four, and you're still looking back to the election 677 00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:27,040 Speaker 1: of twenty twenty, I'm saying that you really won. I 678 00:36:27,040 --> 00:36:29,960 Speaker 1: don't know that's very good for you or the Republican Party. 679 00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:33,320 Speaker 1: You want to comment on that, well, yeah, I actually 680 00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:35,160 Speaker 1: think it is good for me, And I think if 681 00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:38,840 Speaker 1: we don't put out all of the crooked things that 682 00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:41,319 Speaker 1: we know what they are, that you won't win in 683 00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:43,480 Speaker 1: twenty two and you won't win in twenty four if 684 00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:45,840 Speaker 1: we don't get to it. So I think it's the opposite, actually, 685 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:49,000 Speaker 1: and I talk nothing about Nobody talks more about the few. 686 00:36:49,160 --> 00:36:52,600 Speaker 1: You think twenty twenty two, you think the twenty twenty 687 00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:56,240 Speaker 1: two and twenty twenty four are all about the twenty 688 00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:59,239 Speaker 1: twenty election. Really, no, no, no, I think for us 689 00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:02,560 Speaker 1: to win the election, we have to know how they cheated, 690 00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,600 Speaker 1: because otherwise they'll cheat again. And we do know how 691 00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:10,040 Speaker 1: they cheat it and Republicans and Democrats should but they won't. 692 00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:13,359 Speaker 1: Republicans have to do something about it or they get 693 00:37:13,360 --> 00:37:16,040 Speaker 1: to be very disappointed. And nobody talks more about the 694 00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:18,399 Speaker 1: future than I do. But you have to learn from 695 00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:20,799 Speaker 1: history also, and you can't let it happen again too. 696 00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:23,360 Speaker 1: That's the perfect way to phrase that question, which is 697 00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:25,240 Speaker 1: like he really, this is what you want to talk about, 698 00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:26,839 Speaker 1: But that is what he wants to talk about. At 699 00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,439 Speaker 1: the end of the day. His only test for whether 700 00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:31,799 Speaker 1: you're a Republican or not is do you believe the 701 00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:35,400 Speaker 1: election was stolen? That's it? Now? Does that sound like 702 00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:38,400 Speaker 1: something rooted in principle? And look, maybe I sound like 703 00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:41,759 Speaker 1: a boomer, but when I look and I see that, 704 00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:45,560 Speaker 1: I see exactly how the Republican Party lost in Georgia. Also, 705 00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,360 Speaker 1: they're probably going to win in the midterm elections. But 706 00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:51,160 Speaker 1: if the entire twenty twenty four election, the central pitch 707 00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:54,920 Speaker 1: from Trump is the election was stolen, why would anybody 708 00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:57,840 Speaker 1: vote for that. At the same time, even if they do, 709 00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:00,600 Speaker 1: let's say all the cultural grievance, people are willing to 710 00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:03,320 Speaker 1: look past that. It would animate a lot of people 711 00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:05,720 Speaker 1: on the other side, as it did with Democrats in Georgia, 712 00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:08,440 Speaker 1: to come out and vote. It reminds me of I 713 00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:10,640 Speaker 1: think it was the day before the election. The Trump 714 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,880 Speaker 1: campaign surrogate was on rising Steve Cortez, and he was 715 00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:17,879 Speaker 1: arguing with me about Charlottesville, about very fun, that's yeah, 716 00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:20,879 Speaker 1: And I stopped him and I was like, Steve, it's 717 00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:22,560 Speaker 1: two days to the election. I was like, this is 718 00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:26,359 Speaker 1: really what you want to talk about, really like, even 719 00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:28,480 Speaker 1: if you think I'm lying, it doesn't matter. And I 720 00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:31,280 Speaker 1: don't you know, I don't even care. At that point, 721 00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:33,200 Speaker 1: it was like four years before that. I was like, 722 00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:36,839 Speaker 1: we're in the middle of a pandemic, there's an economic crisis, 723 00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:39,560 Speaker 1: You're running for re election for president of the United States. 724 00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:42,040 Speaker 1: I'm like, this is what the hill that you want 725 00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:45,400 Speaker 1: to die on? Charlotte's people. Again, that's actually the truth. 726 00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:48,040 Speaker 1: That's all that drives these people well, and that's why 727 00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:51,120 Speaker 1: they're so utterly useless whenever they do come into power. 728 00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:54,040 Speaker 1: So I give Varney less credit than you do on 729 00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:57,839 Speaker 1: this particular pressing of Trump, because the thing is, if 730 00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:01,840 Speaker 1: you actually genuinely believe even the nonsense that the presidential 731 00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:04,560 Speaker 1: election was stolen, well that is a big deal. Of 732 00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:06,640 Speaker 1: course you are going to fixate on that. I mean, 733 00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:09,480 Speaker 1: you know, And so I think people are trying to 734 00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:12,400 Speaker 1: strike this middle ground. You see this a lot on Fox. 735 00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:14,680 Speaker 1: You see it with like the Glenn Youngkins of the 736 00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:18,640 Speaker 1: world of wanting to be like, well, let's focus on 737 00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:21,799 Speaker 1: election integrity without which kind of gives a nod, a 738 00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:24,360 Speaker 1: wink and a nod to the stop the steal nonsense, 739 00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,720 Speaker 1: but doesn't go all the way there. Or you see 740 00:39:26,760 --> 00:39:29,800 Speaker 1: this line where they don't want to They're too afraid 741 00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:33,840 Speaker 1: and too cowardly to actually say the election was not stolen, 742 00:39:34,120 --> 00:39:36,880 Speaker 1: shut the f up, and let's move on. Instead, they 743 00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:38,600 Speaker 1: want to say, well, is this really one of what 744 00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:41,600 Speaker 1: you want to focus your time on without actually going 745 00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:45,160 Speaker 1: there and saying this is ridiculous. You're just straight up lying. 746 00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:48,879 Speaker 1: You're fleecing your own followers, You're distracting the country. This 747 00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:52,080 Speaker 1: is bad. Stop So I give him less credit on 748 00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:55,080 Speaker 1: his direction here, But the rest of your analysis is 749 00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:58,080 Speaker 1: one hundred percent correct. And we're already seeing even though yes, 750 00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:01,200 Speaker 1: Republicans are poised to do well in the midterms through 751 00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:04,439 Speaker 1: no doing of their own, Mitch McConnell has one hundred 752 00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:07,479 Speaker 1: percent the right strategy of like, don't say anything, don't 753 00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:10,080 Speaker 1: do anything, don't run on anything. Just let the Democrats 754 00:40:10,080 --> 00:40:12,680 Speaker 1: hang themselves. That's going to work out very well for 755 00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:15,600 Speaker 1: them likely, But you already see the signs of how 756 00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:17,640 Speaker 1: this is going to damage them. We're about to talk 757 00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:21,680 Speaker 1: about Eric Briton's who Is you Know? Scandal plaggued and 758 00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:25,080 Speaker 1: reportedly Trump was very close to because stop Steel, because 759 00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:29,239 Speaker 1: of Stop the Steal. You see this down in Alabama, 760 00:40:29,640 --> 00:40:32,600 Speaker 1: Trump backing Mobrooks just because of the same stuff you 761 00:40:32,640 --> 00:40:36,400 Speaker 1: see in Pennsylvania there was a Republican candidate who already 762 00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:38,440 Speaker 1: had to drop out of the race due to domestic 763 00:40:38,520 --> 00:40:41,359 Speaker 1: violence allegations, who had been backed by Trump again because 764 00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:43,799 Speaker 1: of Stop the Steal. So there is a little bit 765 00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:47,680 Speaker 1: of a Tea Party era dynamic, or you could think 766 00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:51,400 Speaker 1: of like a Roy Moore type dynamic of them lining 767 00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:55,280 Speaker 1: up behind candidates who might be like the only person 768 00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:59,360 Speaker 1: possible who could lose the seat in that state because 769 00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:02,800 Speaker 1: they're willing to say the thing on, stop the steal. 770 00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:06,680 Speaker 1: And it's it is sad because there were elements of 771 00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:10,200 Speaker 1: Trump's campaign in twenty sixteen that had that there was 772 00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:13,240 Speaker 1: something real to you know, the talk about trade obviously 773 00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:17,000 Speaker 1: struck a nerve, sort of upended Washington consensus that was 774 00:41:17,080 --> 00:41:20,839 Speaker 1: really important. Talking about shipping jobs overseas, d industrialization like, 775 00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:24,360 Speaker 1: those were important conversations and that's not who this is anymore. 776 00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:26,680 Speaker 1: All and ending the wars, I mean that was another 777 00:41:26,719 --> 00:41:30,240 Speaker 1: important part of it. Drain the swamp and ending corruption. 778 00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:32,640 Speaker 1: I mean, all of this is laughable now when you 779 00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:35,080 Speaker 1: look at what the actual record of, like tax cuts 780 00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:37,880 Speaker 1: for the rich and continuing the wars that you promised 781 00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:42,320 Speaker 1: to end ended up being so so. Yeah, as bad 782 00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:45,880 Speaker 1: as twenty twenty was, it seems like twenty twenty four 783 00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:49,520 Speaker 1: and the policy agenda that he's likely to focus on 784 00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:53,200 Speaker 1: is going to be even worse because he's just completely 785 00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:57,560 Speaker 1: obsessed with this nonsense that is so far from relevant 786 00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:02,359 Speaker 1: from the lives of any mari and Republican, Democrat or independent. Yeah, well, 787 00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:04,120 Speaker 1: the blackest pill you can take is to realize you 788 00:42:04,160 --> 00:42:05,960 Speaker 1: can do all of that and still probably will win. 789 00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:08,480 Speaker 1: And we just wanted to give you an update on 790 00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:10,520 Speaker 1: his social media network. Let's put this up there on 791 00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:14,960 Speaker 1: the screen. He hasn't posted on his new Truth Social 792 00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:18,640 Speaker 1: website since you'd actually soft launch on February twenty first, 793 00:42:18,640 --> 00:42:20,960 Speaker 1: so not sure exactly what he's waiting for. I have 794 00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:23,120 Speaker 1: a personal update on this because you guys were you 795 00:42:23,160 --> 00:42:26,120 Speaker 1: were as a little journalistic endeavor. I signed up for 796 00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:28,360 Speaker 1: Truth Social, and even though you told me I should 797 00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:30,120 Speaker 1: delete it the app from my phone, which I'm sure 798 00:42:30,120 --> 00:42:33,040 Speaker 1: I should be, I did not actually remember to do that, 799 00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:37,000 Speaker 1: so it's still on my phone and I just checked 800 00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:41,319 Speaker 1: it says I'm still two hundred and forty thousand, five 801 00:42:41,400 --> 00:42:44,760 Speaker 1: hundred and forty first in line. That's my weightless number 802 00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:47,560 Speaker 1: in order to actually get onto this damn network net 803 00:42:47,600 --> 00:42:49,520 Speaker 1: that I really am interested in being there anyway, So 804 00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:55,360 Speaker 1: we'll keep it going really really well. Seems like I 805 00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:58,560 Speaker 1: mentioned Eric Brightens, let's get to what is going on here. 806 00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:01,720 Speaker 1: You guys might remember that dude. Right now, he's running 807 00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:05,719 Speaker 1: for Senate in Missouri. In the Republican primary. He's the 808 00:43:05,719 --> 00:43:09,920 Speaker 1: former governor of the state, and he previously resigned in scandal. 809 00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:12,600 Speaker 1: The thing that you likely remember is that he was 810 00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:17,120 Speaker 1: accused of blindfolding and tying up a woman he was 811 00:43:17,160 --> 00:43:19,840 Speaker 1: having an affair with, and taking a picture of her 812 00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:23,520 Speaker 1: naked to use as blackmail to keep her from talking 813 00:43:23,560 --> 00:43:26,560 Speaker 1: about the affair while he was a governor. While he 814 00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:29,879 Speaker 1: was governor, that's probably what you remember is those allegations. 815 00:43:30,120 --> 00:43:33,080 Speaker 1: But I actually think what he really resigned over was 816 00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:38,239 Speaker 1: that there was an investigation into corruption and campaign finance 817 00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:43,319 Speaker 1: law breaking within the you know, Republican held Missouri legislature 818 00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:46,799 Speaker 1: that was very likely to lead to his impeachment. So 819 00:43:47,040 --> 00:43:51,800 Speaker 1: not only are there horrific claims of violence and abuse 820 00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:55,160 Speaker 1: and blackmail out there, but at the time he also 821 00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:58,719 Speaker 1: resigns because he's about to be impeached over corruption and 822 00:43:58,920 --> 00:44:02,480 Speaker 1: misuse of a nonprofit donor list for campaign fundraising and 823 00:44:02,520 --> 00:44:05,560 Speaker 1: those sorts of things. So that's Eric Griiden's So time, 824 00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:08,200 Speaker 1: a little bit of time passes, he decides this is 825 00:44:08,239 --> 00:44:10,560 Speaker 1: his moment to make it come back. He leans into, 826 00:44:10,760 --> 00:44:13,640 Speaker 1: you know, all of the right sort of magabase rhetoric 827 00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:16,920 Speaker 1: about stop the steal, he's very aggressive about hating Mitch 828 00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:20,359 Speaker 1: McConnell and these sorts of things. And now we have 829 00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:24,600 Speaker 1: new revelations which are even more or i should say, 830 00:44:24,600 --> 00:44:29,920 Speaker 1: allegations which are even more shocking than the last allegations. 831 00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:34,160 Speaker 1: And this is based on a sworn affidavit from his 832 00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:38,120 Speaker 1: ex wife about his abusive behavior during the course of 833 00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:39,960 Speaker 1: their marriage. Let's go ahead and put this ap tear 834 00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:43,080 Speaker 1: sheet up on the screen. The headline here reads, ex 835 00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:48,319 Speaker 1: wife accuses top Missouri GOP senate candidate of abuse. I'm 836 00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:51,560 Speaker 1: going to read you a bit of what she says here, 837 00:44:51,640 --> 00:44:53,600 Speaker 1: so just hang with me, because I want you to 838 00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:57,640 Speaker 1: have the details of what she is alleging. She says 839 00:44:57,680 --> 00:45:00,640 Speaker 1: in the sworn affidavit, prior to our to war, during 840 00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:03,719 Speaker 1: an argument in late April twenty eighteen, Eric knocked me 841 00:45:03,840 --> 00:45:07,279 Speaker 1: down and confiscated my cellphone, wallet and keys, so that 842 00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:10,280 Speaker 1: I was unable to call for help or extricate myself 843 00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:13,600 Speaker 1: and our children from our home. She also says, I 844 00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:16,040 Speaker 1: became afraid for my safety and that of our children 845 00:45:16,080 --> 00:45:20,719 Speaker 1: at our home. Behavior included physical violence towards our children, 846 00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:25,080 Speaker 1: such as cuffing our then three year old son across 847 00:45:25,160 --> 00:45:27,040 Speaker 1: the face at the dinner table in front of me 848 00:45:27,400 --> 00:45:31,160 Speaker 1: and yanking him around by his hair. In twenty nineteen, 849 00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:33,400 Speaker 1: she says, one of her sons came home from a 850 00:45:33,560 --> 00:45:38,160 Speaker 1: visit with his dad with quote a swollen face, bleeding gums, 851 00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:42,200 Speaker 1: and loose tooth. He said Dad hit him. However, Eric 852 00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:44,719 Speaker 1: said they were rough housing and it had been an accident. 853 00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:48,120 Speaker 1: That tooth eventually had to be removed. At another point, 854 00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:51,480 Speaker 1: Eric Britons purchased a gun, she says, but refused to 855 00:45:51,520 --> 00:45:54,320 Speaker 1: tell her where it was. He threatened to kill himself 856 00:45:54,400 --> 00:45:58,959 Speaker 1: unless I provided specific public political support. This was during 857 00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:02,520 Speaker 1: his last series of skins. The behavior was so alarming, 858 00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:05,759 Speaker 1: she wrote, on three separate occasions, multiple people other than 859 00:46:05,840 --> 00:46:08,760 Speaker 1: myself were worried enough to intervene to limit Eric's access 860 00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:11,760 Speaker 1: to firearms. I started sleeping in my children's room simply 861 00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:17,560 Speaker 1: to keep them safe. In another incident, Greitens made a 862 00:46:17,600 --> 00:46:20,000 Speaker 1: reference to the fact he had the children and she didn't, 863 00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:22,440 Speaker 1: sort of implicit threat there. While trying to persuade her 864 00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:24,760 Speaker 1: to delete emails she had sent to the family therapist 865 00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:28,480 Speaker 1: seeking help, Eric threatened to accuse me of child abuse 866 00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:31,160 Speaker 1: if I did not delete the emails and convince the 867 00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:33,480 Speaker 1: therapist to delete them. He threatened to come to the 868 00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:36,280 Speaker 1: airport and have me arrested for kidnapping and child abuse, 869 00:46:36,560 --> 00:46:39,280 Speaker 1: saying that because of his authority as a former government 870 00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:42,600 Speaker 1: governor who had supported law enforcement, the police would support 871 00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:47,160 Speaker 1: him and not believe me. So these allegations run the 872 00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:51,719 Speaker 1: gamut from direct violent abuse of his wife and of 873 00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:58,720 Speaker 1: his kids to extreme threatening behavior and manipulation. So extraordinary 874 00:46:58,960 --> 00:47:01,920 Speaker 1: claims here being made. Again, this is part of their 875 00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:06,200 Speaker 1: divorce settlement and court filings. This is a scorn affidavit 876 00:47:06,320 --> 00:47:09,879 Speaker 1: from his ex wife. And you know the reality is, 877 00:47:10,160 --> 00:47:14,160 Speaker 1: prior to these revelations, Britons was actually leading in the 878 00:47:14,200 --> 00:47:17,200 Speaker 1: polls and likely to be the Republican nominee. Let's go 879 00:47:17,200 --> 00:47:19,839 Speaker 1: ahead and put this up on the screen. This is 880 00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:23,560 Speaker 1: according to a Trafflegar Group poll which has been fairly 881 00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:26,520 Speaker 1: accurate for Republicans and was more accurate than we expected 882 00:47:26,560 --> 00:47:30,280 Speaker 1: in the pres election. They had Grdons at thirty point 883 00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:33,800 Speaker 1: five percent, Eric Schmidt in second at twenty three percent, 884 00:47:34,080 --> 00:47:37,640 Speaker 1: and Vicky Hartzler, who has been endorsed by Josh Holly, 885 00:47:37,680 --> 00:47:41,440 Speaker 1: who's sort of like a relatively long time rival of Brighton's. 886 00:47:41,480 --> 00:47:43,799 Speaker 1: No love loss between the two of them is at 887 00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:48,360 Speaker 1: sixteen percent. And as we referenced before, let's go and 888 00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:52,000 Speaker 1: put Politico up on the screen. Trump was reportedly maybe 889 00:47:52,080 --> 00:47:55,200 Speaker 1: about to endorse this guy. Now, this is a report 890 00:47:55,200 --> 00:47:59,000 Speaker 1: from Politico. They say that Eric Brighton's sort of trashing 891 00:47:59,080 --> 00:48:03,200 Speaker 1: McConnell led to Trump being interested in maybe endorsing him. 892 00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:06,320 Speaker 1: This in spite of the fact that previously he had 893 00:48:06,680 --> 00:48:10,160 Speaker 1: made some reportedly made some disparaging comments about Gritons because 894 00:48:10,239 --> 00:48:12,759 Speaker 1: of the prior scandal. And I just have to read 895 00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:15,239 Speaker 1: you the kicker on this article, which is just from 896 00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:18,040 Speaker 1: like two weeks ago. They talked to some sort of 897 00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:21,680 Speaker 1: like Republican analyst pundit type. At the very end of 898 00:48:21,719 --> 00:48:24,359 Speaker 1: the article, she says, I'm like, what are you going 899 00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,160 Speaker 1: to attack Britons on? Everything he's ever done is out 900 00:48:27,200 --> 00:48:29,520 Speaker 1: there and been out there, So I'm not sure their 901 00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:32,040 Speaker 1: theory is good. I'm not sure they can take him down. 902 00:48:32,400 --> 00:48:34,120 Speaker 1: What are you going to tell people about him that 903 00:48:34,160 --> 00:48:36,799 Speaker 1: they don't already know? Come on, I think that the 904 00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:39,080 Speaker 1: reason this pairs so well who we were just previously 905 00:48:39,080 --> 00:48:41,960 Speaker 1: talked about is that it's not an exaggeration that say 906 00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:46,040 Speaker 1: that Griton's built his entire post scandal career on stop steal. 907 00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:50,480 Speaker 1: This guy was constantly on Twitter on Steve Bannon's show, 908 00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:53,720 Speaker 1: talking about the election was stolen. We're going to challenge 909 00:48:53,719 --> 00:48:57,160 Speaker 1: the results. He's the one of the most naked political operatives. 910 00:48:57,440 --> 00:49:00,319 Speaker 1: I've known about Gritons for a long time, and I 911 00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:03,040 Speaker 1: can't say everything that I know, but what I do 912 00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:07,200 Speaker 1: know is he's a total political art opportunist and political psychopath, 913 00:49:07,560 --> 00:49:12,480 Speaker 1: willing to willing to say anything that needs to be 914 00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:15,680 Speaker 1: said to curry favor with the donors, with the billionaire class, 915 00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:18,880 Speaker 1: and anything basically in order to get elected. There's a 916 00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:21,600 Speaker 1: reason that he's widely hated in his own home state. 917 00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:25,960 Speaker 1: But I think it's very noteworthy that Trump was willing 918 00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:29,080 Speaker 1: to look past a lot of that because Griton's understood 919 00:49:29,080 --> 00:49:31,560 Speaker 1: that the key to Trump's heart will stop the steal 920 00:49:31,760 --> 00:49:34,320 Speaker 1: and saying screw you to Mitch McConnell. And that's exactly 921 00:49:34,360 --> 00:49:36,319 Speaker 1: what he's leaning into now, which is also, by the way, 922 00:49:36,400 --> 00:49:39,440 Speaker 1: about stop the steel Exactly. It's more about stop the steal. 923 00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:42,120 Speaker 1: And actually I wouldn't be surprised if Trump still does 924 00:49:42,440 --> 00:49:44,600 Speaker 1: in Dorset. Maybe it's just such a bad look that 925 00:49:44,640 --> 00:49:48,120 Speaker 1: it's not possible. But just look at how much Gritons 926 00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:52,120 Speaker 1: is bending over backwards in order to make sure that 927 00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:54,400 Speaker 1: he can curry Trump's favor. Let's go ahead and skip 928 00:49:54,400 --> 00:49:57,280 Speaker 1: forward to see five, and let's take a listen. Well, Steve, 929 00:49:57,320 --> 00:50:00,080 Speaker 1: the reason why shots are being fired at us is 930 00:50:00,080 --> 00:50:03,320 Speaker 1: is that I was the first guy in the country 931 00:50:03,560 --> 00:50:06,120 Speaker 1: to come out and say that when I'm elected to 932 00:50:06,160 --> 00:50:10,040 Speaker 1: the United States Senate as an America first senator, that 933 00:50:10,120 --> 00:50:14,239 Speaker 1: I'm voting against Mitch McConnell. And what we found out 934 00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:17,399 Speaker 1: today is that and your audience has seen this. You've 935 00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:20,600 Speaker 1: seen the lies against President Trump, you saw the lies 936 00:50:20,640 --> 00:50:25,120 Speaker 1: against Brett Kavanaugh. We found out today is that rhinos 937 00:50:25,200 --> 00:50:29,520 Speaker 1: are now working to make more false allegations. Just this 938 00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:32,560 Speaker 1: past week, literally all the way up until yesterday morning. 939 00:50:32,719 --> 00:50:36,040 Speaker 1: This past week, I was with my boys for an 940 00:50:36,280 --> 00:50:40,280 Speaker 1: entire week. We had a beautiful time. My most important 941 00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:43,239 Speaker 1: job as being a great father to my boys. And 942 00:50:43,280 --> 00:50:46,280 Speaker 1: we found out we just learned that my ex wife 943 00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:52,160 Speaker 1: was in Washington, d c. Meeting with political operatives, and 944 00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:56,720 Speaker 1: just this morning they launched a series of false allegations 945 00:50:56,760 --> 00:50:59,880 Speaker 1: against us. And the fact is these are completely basely 946 00:51:00,600 --> 00:51:04,359 Speaker 1: and just like you know, just like the fact that 947 00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:07,840 Speaker 1: we saw before a Soro's funded prosecutor came after us. 948 00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:11,000 Speaker 1: Now they've been charged with seven felonies. She was found 949 00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:14,560 Speaker 1: guilty of over seventy instances of perjury. The truth will 950 00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:16,480 Speaker 1: come out, And what I can tell you, Steve, is 951 00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:20,719 Speaker 1: as early as tomorrow morning. The story about how the 952 00:51:20,760 --> 00:51:25,960 Speaker 1: political operatives worked with Mitch McConnell's supporters to bring this 953 00:51:26,080 --> 00:51:29,880 Speaker 1: out is all coming to light. Well it is today morning, 954 00:51:30,000 --> 00:51:33,440 Speaker 1: and I haven't seen you yet. Wow apparently follows me 955 00:51:33,480 --> 00:51:37,440 Speaker 1: on Twitter. I just realized that that's kind of creepy. Sorry, 956 00:51:37,640 --> 00:51:41,719 Speaker 1: makes skin cross. So anyway, whenever I look at all 957 00:51:41,760 --> 00:51:44,680 Speaker 1: of what's happening here, it's a very important lesson too. 958 00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:47,880 Speaker 1: Also in terms of the MAGA machine, I mean, Steve 959 00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:50,960 Speaker 1: Bannon has been willing to platform this guy for months 960 00:51:51,080 --> 00:51:53,960 Speaker 1: on War Room. To be fair, he platforms a lot 961 00:51:53,960 --> 00:51:57,160 Speaker 1: of cranks like Josh Mandel and many other people because 962 00:51:57,160 --> 00:52:00,200 Speaker 1: they all want to reach his audience. But he has 963 00:52:00,200 --> 00:52:02,960 Speaker 1: been de facto pushed and endorsed by a lot of 964 00:52:02,960 --> 00:52:06,839 Speaker 1: people for completely just sucking up to Trump based on 965 00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:09,279 Speaker 1: stop the steal. That's all it takes. You can be 966 00:52:09,440 --> 00:52:14,160 Speaker 1: accused of some terrible behavior by your by several different women. 967 00:52:14,440 --> 00:52:17,719 Speaker 1: And look, obviously believe in due process and all that, 968 00:52:17,800 --> 00:52:21,799 Speaker 1: but the guy has a proven track record and admitted adulterer. 969 00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:23,799 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and put Josh Holly's tweet up there 970 00:52:23,840 --> 00:52:25,480 Speaker 1: on the screens, just showing you he has no love 971 00:52:25,520 --> 00:52:28,000 Speaker 1: even in the state of Missouri. He said, quote, if 972 00:52:28,000 --> 00:52:30,200 Speaker 1: you hit a woman or a child, you belong in handcuffs, 973 00:52:30,320 --> 00:52:32,480 Speaker 1: not the United States Senate. It's time for Eric Brightens 974 00:52:32,719 --> 00:52:35,760 Speaker 1: to leave this race. He's not going anywhere. I wouldn't 975 00:52:35,760 --> 00:52:38,080 Speaker 1: be surprised if he still wins the primary and if 976 00:52:38,080 --> 00:52:40,399 Speaker 1: Trump does not stand on an election stage and say 977 00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:42,359 Speaker 1: go ahead and vote for this guy, although it will 978 00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:44,239 Speaker 1: be popcorn inducing if he does have to serve with 979 00:52:44,280 --> 00:52:47,160 Speaker 1: Holly in the US Senate. I mean, Holly tried to 980 00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:49,560 Speaker 1: take it, you know, that investigation. He was behind a 981 00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:51,600 Speaker 1: lot of that whenever he was the attorney general of 982 00:52:51,640 --> 00:52:53,959 Speaker 1: the state of Missouri. So you know, they're big, big 983 00:52:53,960 --> 00:52:59,160 Speaker 1: time political rivals. Anyway. Yeah, that's what's happening. Yeah, I mean, 984 00:52:59,239 --> 00:53:03,160 Speaker 1: I think if Greats does win the Republican nomination, which 985 00:53:03,200 --> 00:53:06,040 Speaker 1: I'm not so confident about at this point because there 986 00:53:06,080 --> 00:53:08,840 Speaker 1: are other candidates who have, you know, the backing of 987 00:53:08,880 --> 00:53:12,279 Speaker 1: other political figures in the state and have money behind them. 988 00:53:12,280 --> 00:53:14,759 Speaker 1: But if he does win the Republican nomination, I think 989 00:53:14,800 --> 00:53:17,399 Speaker 1: there's a good chance he loses. I mean, if Roy 990 00:53:17,520 --> 00:53:22,080 Speaker 1: Moore can lose in Alabama, Missouri is not nearly as 991 00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:25,160 Speaker 1: read as Alabama. And frankly, you know, we've interviewed Lucas 992 00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:27,960 Speaker 1: Kunts on this show. He's running for the Democratic nomination, 993 00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:30,600 Speaker 1: and I think he's running a very effective campaign. It's 994 00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:34,920 Speaker 1: you know, really like rip roaring populist, leaning into the 995 00:53:35,000 --> 00:53:41,759 Speaker 1: right issues. So and polling, even before this scandal, Republicans 996 00:53:41,760 --> 00:53:44,920 Speaker 1: were nervous about Briton's being the nominee because the polling 997 00:53:45,040 --> 00:53:48,960 Speaker 1: had the Lucas kuns and the other Democrats really close 998 00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:53,759 Speaker 1: with him already, even without these latest allegations. So I 999 00:53:53,800 --> 00:53:56,400 Speaker 1: do think that there's a good chance that if Griighton's 1000 00:53:56,440 --> 00:53:59,480 Speaker 1: is the Republican nominee, he could lose. He could manage 1001 00:53:59,480 --> 00:54:01,920 Speaker 1: to lose in the even though that should be you know, 1002 00:54:01,920 --> 00:54:04,719 Speaker 1: it should be an absolute gimmea for the Republicans. And 1003 00:54:05,480 --> 00:54:08,080 Speaker 1: you know, his thing with Bannon, it's so predictable. They 1004 00:54:08,120 --> 00:54:10,239 Speaker 1: all think that they're Trump and they can get away 1005 00:54:10,280 --> 00:54:13,000 Speaker 1: with this shit, you know. And Trump was never accused 1006 00:54:13,040 --> 00:54:15,880 Speaker 1: of like violence against women. Let me be clear, not 1007 00:54:16,400 --> 00:54:19,440 Speaker 1: conflating the allegations against Trump, although there were some serious 1008 00:54:19,480 --> 00:54:21,680 Speaker 1: ones there too. But you know, they all think that 1009 00:54:21,719 --> 00:54:24,600 Speaker 1: they can just say like, oh, it's the liberals and 1010 00:54:24,640 --> 00:54:28,319 Speaker 1: it's a political it's political operatives, and it's Mitch McConnell's people, 1011 00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:31,080 Speaker 1: and it's all a conspiracy. That may work with some 1012 00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:36,279 Speaker 1: portion of the diehard magabase, but with the broader like 1013 00:54:36,400 --> 00:54:39,800 Speaker 1: your normy Missouri voter. Mm, I don't think so. I 1014 00:54:39,840 --> 00:54:41,840 Speaker 1: think that's a good point. And I just just reminded 1015 00:54:41,880 --> 00:54:44,560 Speaker 1: of Todd Aiken, who lost in that squeaker of a 1016 00:54:44,640 --> 00:54:49,000 Speaker 1: race back in twenty legitimate rape exactly with those comments, 1017 00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:51,800 Speaker 1: which put Claire McCaskill in the Senate for another six years. 1018 00:54:51,880 --> 00:54:55,040 Speaker 1: So it is certainly possible. Well, here's the other thing 1019 00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:58,200 Speaker 1: you may look for, because Claire McCaskill helped to make 1020 00:54:58,320 --> 00:55:02,360 Speaker 1: Todd ap that's right, nominee Democrats spend money to bolster 1021 00:55:02,760 --> 00:55:05,799 Speaker 1: Aiken in a very clever way, you know, basically like 1022 00:55:05,960 --> 00:55:09,120 Speaker 1: I think the ads painted his other opponents is not 1023 00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:12,840 Speaker 1: sufficiently conservative enough or something like that not tea party faithful. 1024 00:55:12,880 --> 00:55:15,439 Speaker 1: That was the you know, that was the political moment 1025 00:55:15,480 --> 00:55:18,239 Speaker 1: at the time. So they're spending house to bolster todd 1026 00:55:18,239 --> 00:55:20,839 Speaker 1: Ache and knowing that he is damaged goods. In terms 1027 00:55:20,840 --> 00:55:23,760 Speaker 1: of a candidate, mccaskell should have been dead in the water. 1028 00:55:23,800 --> 00:55:25,520 Speaker 1: I mean, she really shouldn't have had a prayer in 1029 00:55:25,520 --> 00:55:28,400 Speaker 1: that race whatsoever. And she managed to pull off the 1030 00:55:28,480 --> 00:55:32,200 Speaker 1: victory because they got the candidate that they wanted. And so, yeah, 1031 00:55:32,320 --> 00:55:35,359 Speaker 1: this is this is what you get when your whole 1032 00:55:35,400 --> 00:55:41,600 Speaker 1: political project collapses down to personal loyalty to one particular 1033 00:55:41,760 --> 00:55:45,040 Speaker 1: figure and his choice conspiracy theories of the day. Yeah, 1034 00:55:45,080 --> 00:55:47,359 Speaker 1: exactly right. Okay, let's go ahead and move on. This 1035 00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:49,239 Speaker 1: is a really interesting story. We wanted to try and 1036 00:55:49,520 --> 00:55:51,360 Speaker 1: find an angle to cover this, and this is the 1037 00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:53,160 Speaker 1: way that we could put it all together, which is 1038 00:55:53,200 --> 00:55:56,960 Speaker 1: that the generational divide in wealth and resources here in 1039 00:55:56,960 --> 00:56:00,680 Speaker 1: the United States just continues to absolutely boggle the mind. 1040 00:56:00,760 --> 00:56:03,000 Speaker 1: And I don't really see a way that this ends 1041 00:56:03,200 --> 00:56:04,680 Speaker 1: in a good way. Let's put this up there on 1042 00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:06,839 Speaker 1: the screen. This is from the Wall Street Journal, which 1043 00:56:06,880 --> 00:56:10,680 Speaker 1: did this new analysis. Older Americans, flushed with housing and 1044 00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:15,799 Speaker 1: stock portfolio wealth are poised to revive spending this year. 1045 00:56:16,280 --> 00:56:19,319 Speaker 1: The subhead is consumers age sixty five and older are 1046 00:56:19,320 --> 00:56:23,680 Speaker 1: boosting their spending as omicron fades, so total household spending 1047 00:56:23,719 --> 00:56:27,680 Speaker 1: has actually sharply fallen in the spring of twenty twenty. However, 1048 00:56:28,000 --> 00:56:31,000 Speaker 1: consumers age sixty five and over are increasing their spending 1049 00:56:31,280 --> 00:56:34,080 Speaker 1: very slowly and more so than any other age groups 1050 00:56:34,120 --> 00:56:37,480 Speaker 1: over the last two years, according to Visa Incorporated its 1051 00:56:37,520 --> 00:56:41,080 Speaker 1: Index of Credit and Debit Cards spending Momentum, which measures 1052 00:56:41,080 --> 00:56:44,040 Speaker 1: the number of people boosting or cutting their spending. So 1053 00:56:44,080 --> 00:56:48,040 Speaker 1: what's important to note is that all three groups sixty 1054 00:56:48,040 --> 00:56:50,239 Speaker 1: five and over, forty five to sixty five, twenty five 1055 00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:52,880 Speaker 1: to forty five, generally considered in the higher echelon of 1056 00:56:52,920 --> 00:56:56,360 Speaker 1: consumers they're spending all dropped at commiserate levels back in 1057 00:56:56,400 --> 00:57:01,200 Speaker 1: twenty twenty. However, older Americans had always been above in 1058 00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:04,560 Speaker 1: terms of their spending and now are actually increasing at 1059 00:57:04,560 --> 00:57:07,800 Speaker 1: a higher rate than everybody else. And what they say 1060 00:57:07,960 --> 00:57:12,120 Speaker 1: in particular is that because this current recession was unusual 1061 00:57:12,200 --> 00:57:15,680 Speaker 1: in that stock and housing values boomed all the while 1062 00:57:15,760 --> 00:57:19,200 Speaker 1: that spending was going down, that those are exactly the 1063 00:57:19,320 --> 00:57:23,000 Speaker 1: assets of which the boomer class has far more than 1064 00:57:23,040 --> 00:57:25,440 Speaker 1: everybody else, and when you consider it in terms of 1065 00:57:25,480 --> 00:57:28,200 Speaker 1: sheriff population, it gets it in more stunning. The number 1066 00:57:28,200 --> 00:57:31,560 Speaker 1: of Americans who are sixty five or older increased by 1067 00:57:31,640 --> 00:57:35,360 Speaker 1: more than a third in the decade through twenty nineteen. 1068 00:57:35,640 --> 00:57:40,280 Speaker 1: They accounted for nearly seventeen percent of the US population 1069 00:57:40,680 --> 00:57:44,080 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty, a share which will rise to twenty 1070 00:57:44,120 --> 00:57:47,760 Speaker 1: percent by twenty thirty. And the reason that that matters 1071 00:57:47,840 --> 00:57:50,880 Speaker 1: is when you have a disproportionate amount of wealth. And 1072 00:57:51,040 --> 00:57:53,480 Speaker 1: it's not to say that they don't shouldn't have more, 1073 00:57:53,560 --> 00:57:56,120 Speaker 1: because obviously they've had more earning potential, But when you 1074 00:57:56,280 --> 00:58:00,640 Speaker 1: have ten x more than previous generations, and especially when 1075 00:58:00,680 --> 00:58:03,040 Speaker 1: you have the other generation unable to even attain this, 1076 00:58:03,680 --> 00:58:05,560 Speaker 1: I don't see how this can end well, Crystal, You 1077 00:58:05,600 --> 00:58:08,480 Speaker 1: have the older Americans of this country holding all the cards. 1078 00:58:08,880 --> 00:58:12,080 Speaker 1: People have been contacting me friends who are in a 1079 00:58:12,760 --> 00:58:16,520 Speaker 1: financial situation to purchase property. They're willing to put down 1080 00:58:16,560 --> 00:58:20,800 Speaker 1: twenty percent, but they are unable to compete because many 1081 00:58:20,920 --> 00:58:25,400 Speaker 1: of the boomers that are also buying property, who are downsizing. Actually, 1082 00:58:25,440 --> 00:58:28,000 Speaker 1: and while these people are trying to get their first house, 1083 00:58:28,520 --> 00:58:31,520 Speaker 1: they're offering straight cash. I mean how are you supposed 1084 00:58:31,520 --> 00:58:33,080 Speaker 1: to compete? And the reason they're able to do so 1085 00:58:33,440 --> 00:58:36,360 Speaker 1: is because of their stock portfolios or because they'd sold 1086 00:58:36,520 --> 00:58:39,439 Speaker 1: a previous property and are cash flush in a way 1087 00:58:39,480 --> 00:58:42,920 Speaker 1: that the younger generations just simply have no complete ability 1088 00:58:42,920 --> 00:58:46,440 Speaker 1: to compete whatsoever. Yeah, listen, if you are already an 1089 00:58:46,480 --> 00:58:50,200 Speaker 1: asset owner, you are doing phenomenal. And if you are 1090 00:58:50,240 --> 00:58:53,040 Speaker 1: a wag journer, you are getting screwed. Screwed. And since 1091 00:58:53,800 --> 00:58:55,720 Speaker 1: we're about to get to some of this data, since 1092 00:58:55,920 --> 00:59:01,040 Speaker 1: millennials have been significantly delayed as compared to generations and 1093 00:59:01,240 --> 00:59:05,920 Speaker 1: being able to acquire any assets, you know, most importantly home, 1094 00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:09,320 Speaker 1: that means that they are completely left out in the cold. 1095 00:59:09,640 --> 00:59:13,240 Speaker 1: And that's not an accident. That is the structure of 1096 00:59:13,280 --> 00:59:16,000 Speaker 1: our system. I mean, the Federal Reserve has all the 1097 00:59:16,040 --> 00:59:19,600 Speaker 1: capabilities in the world to basically bolster asset markets, which 1098 00:59:19,640 --> 00:59:24,000 Speaker 1: they did extremely aggressively during the coronavirus pandemic, just as 1099 00:59:24,000 --> 00:59:26,360 Speaker 1: they did of course during the financial crash as well. 1100 00:59:26,720 --> 00:59:31,120 Speaker 1: And so asset prices, stock prices, home prices, private equity 1101 00:59:31,160 --> 00:59:33,560 Speaker 1: coming in and buying up homes as well going through 1102 00:59:33,560 --> 00:59:38,720 Speaker 1: the roof. While inflation is giving everyone a pay cut 1103 00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:41,840 Speaker 1: and making them lose money day to day to day. 1104 00:59:41,960 --> 00:59:44,080 Speaker 1: And so you have this, just as we have this 1105 00:59:44,240 --> 00:59:47,640 Speaker 1: massive inequality split in the country, you have this massive 1106 00:59:47,720 --> 00:59:52,640 Speaker 1: generational inequality split of older generations which were able to 1107 00:59:52,760 --> 00:59:56,080 Speaker 1: acquire assets in a reasonable timeframe in their lives, are 1108 00:59:56,120 --> 00:59:58,920 Speaker 1: now benefiting from that. And if you're a wage earner, 1109 00:59:59,160 --> 01:00:01,200 Speaker 1: you are on a tra headmil and you were falling 1110 01:00:01,240 --> 01:00:03,320 Speaker 1: further and further behind one hundred percent. And let's go 1111 01:00:03,320 --> 01:00:05,360 Speaker 1: ahead and put this millennial tear sheet up there on 1112 01:00:05,400 --> 01:00:07,600 Speaker 1: the screen, which is this has been kind of a 1113 01:00:08,200 --> 01:00:11,240 Speaker 1: curation of millennial data. Let me go ahead and read this. 1114 01:00:11,280 --> 01:00:13,760 Speaker 1: When you look at how quickly Americans hit major milestone 1115 01:00:13,760 --> 01:00:17,240 Speaker 1: story by year of birth, the millennials are easier to spot. 1116 01:00:17,320 --> 01:00:19,720 Speaker 1: The marriage rate for Americans born between nineteen eighty one 1117 01:00:19,760 --> 01:00:22,920 Speaker 1: and nineteen eighty five did not top fifty percent until 1118 01:00:22,960 --> 01:00:25,840 Speaker 1: they were between thirty and thirty two. The oldest baby 1119 01:00:25,880 --> 01:00:28,919 Speaker 1: Moomers hit that fifty percent mark at age of twenty two. 1120 01:00:29,160 --> 01:00:31,200 Speaker 1: When it comes to children, the age at which most 1121 01:00:31,200 --> 01:00:33,439 Speaker 1: Americans have a child living at home has also riven 1122 01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:36,040 Speaker 1: during the millennial era. It's a thirty one or thirty 1123 01:00:36,080 --> 01:00:38,280 Speaker 1: two for the nineteen eighty one to nineteen eighty five crew. 1124 01:00:38,400 --> 01:00:40,880 Speaker 1: The oldest group of boomers hit that at twenty five 1125 01:00:40,920 --> 01:00:44,920 Speaker 1: to twenty six. Most stark is home ownership. It took 1126 01:00:45,560 --> 01:00:50,480 Speaker 1: until thirty three to thirty five for most older millennials 1127 01:00:50,600 --> 01:00:55,160 Speaker 1: to become homeowners. The oldest group of boomers hit that 1128 01:00:55,240 --> 01:00:59,360 Speaker 1: milestone at twenty eight or twenty nine. Think about a 1129 01:00:59,440 --> 01:01:04,240 Speaker 1: five to sear gap in the inability to procure asset wealth. 1130 01:01:04,600 --> 01:01:08,080 Speaker 1: This is the single worst thing that can happen to 1131 01:01:08,080 --> 01:01:12,120 Speaker 1: you from a financial perspective that compounds over time. It 1132 01:01:12,200 --> 01:01:15,520 Speaker 1: leaves you intergenerational wealth and the ability also in order 1133 01:01:15,560 --> 01:01:18,720 Speaker 1: to take loans based upon the underlying value of your assets. 1134 01:01:18,760 --> 01:01:21,600 Speaker 1: These are things that are completely denied to the common American, 1135 01:01:21,640 --> 01:01:24,760 Speaker 1: which a millennial American, which requires them to take debt 1136 01:01:24,760 --> 01:01:28,080 Speaker 1: in the form of credit cards, overspend and also just 1137 01:01:28,160 --> 01:01:31,240 Speaker 1: frankly not live as nice of a life. And the 1138 01:01:31,320 --> 01:01:34,440 Speaker 1: interesting part too, is that whenever you look here with 1139 01:01:34,600 --> 01:01:38,920 Speaker 1: the millennials are the most educated generation on record. However, 1140 01:01:39,480 --> 01:01:42,400 Speaker 1: whenever it comes to their ability to earn income and 1141 01:01:42,440 --> 01:01:47,960 Speaker 1: attain assets, they are far behind everybody else. So look marriage, children, 1142 01:01:48,160 --> 01:01:50,280 Speaker 1: A lot of that is culture. Let's not get it wrong. 1143 01:01:51,280 --> 01:01:54,680 Speaker 1: Religiosity and other has dramatically declined in this country, and 1144 01:01:54,720 --> 01:01:57,880 Speaker 1: a drop was almost certainly going to happen, however, and 1145 01:01:59,160 --> 01:02:03,760 Speaker 1: education also to that. However, if you ask people why 1146 01:02:03,800 --> 01:02:07,280 Speaker 1: are you not getting married, they say money. They're saying 1147 01:02:07,360 --> 01:02:09,280 Speaker 1: one of the main reasons is I can't afford it. 1148 01:02:09,320 --> 01:02:11,520 Speaker 1: The average wedding in this country costs twenty thousand dollars. 1149 01:02:11,960 --> 01:02:14,200 Speaker 1: If you ask people, why are you not buying a house, 1150 01:02:14,280 --> 01:02:15,960 Speaker 1: it's not that they don't want one, it's that they 1151 01:02:16,000 --> 01:02:19,360 Speaker 1: can't afford one. So I've always said this, let's see 1152 01:02:19,560 --> 01:02:24,200 Speaker 1: how much of it we can fix based on economic prospects, 1153 01:02:24,440 --> 01:02:26,600 Speaker 1: and then if the level playing field is there and 1154 01:02:26,640 --> 01:02:29,080 Speaker 1: they still don't want to have kids or get married, 1155 01:02:29,240 --> 01:02:32,560 Speaker 1: fine be my guest. But women will tell you, in 1156 01:02:32,640 --> 01:02:35,000 Speaker 1: terms of all the survey that we've seen, that they 1157 01:02:35,240 --> 01:02:38,080 Speaker 1: want two point two kids per household and they're only 1158 01:02:38,080 --> 01:02:41,960 Speaker 1: having one point seven. And the reason why is economic constraints. 1159 01:02:42,120 --> 01:02:44,600 Speaker 1: Some of it is childcare on the hire income side, 1160 01:02:44,680 --> 01:02:46,920 Speaker 1: and some of it is I simply can't afford it. 1161 01:02:47,000 --> 01:02:49,040 Speaker 1: I can't afford the diapers, I can't afford all the 1162 01:02:49,080 --> 01:02:52,240 Speaker 1: attendant costs, school, etc. So why don't we fix that 1163 01:02:52,320 --> 01:02:54,440 Speaker 1: part and then if we need to have a cultural 1164 01:02:54,480 --> 01:02:57,520 Speaker 1: conversation we can have well. And on the education piece, 1165 01:02:57,560 --> 01:03:00,760 Speaker 1: there's a couple other factors here as well, because they 1166 01:03:00,840 --> 01:03:03,600 Speaker 1: cite an analyst here that says about twenty percent of 1167 01:03:03,600 --> 01:03:06,760 Speaker 1: that decline in home ownership among young adults is directly 1168 01:03:06,760 --> 01:03:10,720 Speaker 1: attributable to their increased student loan debts. So costs have 1169 01:03:10,840 --> 01:03:14,280 Speaker 1: gone out up insanely in terms of what it takes 1170 01:03:14,320 --> 01:03:17,480 Speaker 1: and what it costs to have to earn a bachelor's, 1171 01:03:17,560 --> 01:03:22,080 Speaker 1: you know, a basic college education, and that debt is 1172 01:03:22,160 --> 01:03:25,240 Speaker 1: prohibiting a lot of millennials from being able to get 1173 01:03:25,240 --> 01:03:28,440 Speaker 1: their first home. And then the other piece is, you know, 1174 01:03:28,520 --> 01:03:29,960 Speaker 1: on one hand, you look at all, oh, it's good 1175 01:03:29,960 --> 01:03:32,240 Speaker 1: that they're the most educated generation, but you also have 1176 01:03:32,360 --> 01:03:36,240 Speaker 1: this college arms race, where now in order to get 1177 01:03:36,280 --> 01:03:39,640 Speaker 1: a you know, decent, stable job, you have to have 1178 01:03:40,120 --> 01:03:43,800 Speaker 1: a college education that you know, previous generations may not 1179 01:03:43,960 --> 01:03:47,080 Speaker 1: have needed a college education to do the same work. 1180 01:03:47,440 --> 01:03:50,200 Speaker 1: And so it's not just you know, it's not an 1181 01:03:50,280 --> 01:03:54,400 Speaker 1: unequivocal good thing that you have that college education arms race, 1182 01:03:54,440 --> 01:03:56,240 Speaker 1: because it does also have set you know, I know 1183 01:03:56,360 --> 01:04:00,680 Speaker 1: a lot of highly educated women who a long time 1184 01:04:00,760 --> 01:04:02,520 Speaker 1: going to school, and they spend a long time like 1185 01:04:02,640 --> 01:04:05,480 Speaker 1: establishing themselves in their career, and then they look up 1186 01:04:05,520 --> 01:04:08,360 Speaker 1: and they're in their mid to late thirties and they 1187 01:04:08,400 --> 01:04:11,400 Speaker 1: want to have kids, and you know, the clock is 1188 01:04:11,440 --> 01:04:14,560 Speaker 1: ticking and they're having trouble finding the right person and 1189 01:04:14,600 --> 01:04:17,520 Speaker 1: there's all this pressure on them. So, yeah, these a 1190 01:04:17,520 --> 01:04:19,800 Speaker 1: lot of these things, these trends that you see are 1191 01:04:20,200 --> 01:04:24,360 Speaker 1: not choices. And that's without even mentioning that you know, 1192 01:04:24,480 --> 01:04:28,680 Speaker 1: this is a generation that graduated into the financial crash, 1193 01:04:28,800 --> 01:04:34,000 Speaker 1: and research consistently shows that when you enter the job 1194 01:04:34,080 --> 01:04:38,960 Speaker 1: market during a recession, that impacts your job trajectory, your 1195 01:04:38,960 --> 01:04:43,480 Speaker 1: career trajectory, and your earnings trajectory your entire life. So 1196 01:04:44,120 --> 01:04:49,160 Speaker 1: you know that that's why millennials have been consistently behind 1197 01:04:49,240 --> 01:04:53,040 Speaker 1: on all of these life milestones, and the fact that 1198 01:04:53,080 --> 01:04:56,560 Speaker 1: they're unable to enter the class of asset owners puts 1199 01:04:56,560 --> 01:05:00,040 Speaker 1: them on a wildly different track than what their parents 1200 01:05:00,040 --> 01:05:02,960 Speaker 1: and grandparents were on. And also there's other factors, like 1201 01:05:04,000 --> 01:05:07,320 Speaker 1: you know, prior generations that you got a job, it 1202 01:05:07,360 --> 01:05:09,880 Speaker 1: was stable, you got healthcare, you got benefits, you got 1203 01:05:09,880 --> 01:05:12,640 Speaker 1: a pension, like you were there, you knew what it was, 1204 01:05:12,920 --> 01:05:16,040 Speaker 1: and you know, and you were sort of settled for life. 1205 01:05:16,240 --> 01:05:19,960 Speaker 1: With this generation, it's it's gigwork, it's precarious, nothing is 1206 01:05:19,960 --> 01:05:22,800 Speaker 1: guaranteed anymore. What's interesting, too, is that they cite a 1207 01:05:23,160 --> 01:05:27,520 Speaker 1: economist study from twenty ten of the long term, large 1208 01:05:27,680 --> 01:05:30,800 Speaker 1: negative effects of graduating in a worse economy and the 1209 01:05:30,880 --> 01:05:33,840 Speaker 1: long term consequences that can have on you as an 1210 01:05:33,920 --> 01:05:38,120 Speaker 1: earner for your entire life. So simply just graduating in 1211 01:05:38,160 --> 01:05:40,880 Speaker 1: two thousand and eight was enough to offset some of 1212 01:05:40,920 --> 01:05:43,880 Speaker 1: your wages and earning potential by ten to twenty percent, 1213 01:05:43,960 --> 01:05:48,160 Speaker 1: depending on what exactular education and skill attainment was. Compare 1214 01:05:48,200 --> 01:05:50,920 Speaker 1: that to the boomers who had the prosperous years of 1215 01:05:50,960 --> 01:05:53,640 Speaker 1: the late eighties and the entire nineties. I mean, you'd 1216 01:05:53,640 --> 01:05:55,560 Speaker 1: have to be an idiot in the nineties to not 1217 01:05:55,640 --> 01:05:58,160 Speaker 1: make money in the stock market, Like you could put 1218 01:05:58,160 --> 01:05:59,640 Speaker 1: a dollar in there and you were still going to 1219 01:05:59,680 --> 01:06:02,520 Speaker 1: make like fifteen dollars. Yes, the dot com bubble, but 1220 01:06:02,600 --> 01:06:05,520 Speaker 1: that didn't erase all of the gains of the early 1221 01:06:05,600 --> 01:06:08,720 Speaker 1: nineties and the late eighties especially. This is not something 1222 01:06:08,800 --> 01:06:11,880 Speaker 1: that people who are our age have ever had access to. 1223 01:06:12,000 --> 01:06:15,240 Speaker 1: We have never had the ability to even compete on 1224 01:06:15,280 --> 01:06:18,080 Speaker 1: that playing field. So all of this is the long 1225 01:06:18,120 --> 01:06:20,240 Speaker 1: way of saying, is that some sort of corrective has 1226 01:06:20,240 --> 01:06:21,920 Speaker 1: to happen. I don't know what it's going to look like. 1227 01:06:22,000 --> 01:06:24,760 Speaker 1: But the reason we put generational war in there is 1228 01:06:24,840 --> 01:06:27,680 Speaker 1: I just see increasing animosity between the two sides, and 1229 01:06:27,720 --> 01:06:30,040 Speaker 1: there needs to be some give and somewhere in the 1230 01:06:30,080 --> 01:06:33,680 Speaker 1: government in terms of an agreement on what exactly the 1231 01:06:33,760 --> 01:06:35,880 Speaker 1: end result is going to be. Yeah, and you know, 1232 01:06:36,080 --> 01:06:38,000 Speaker 1: gen Z I think is going to look a lot 1233 01:06:38,040 --> 01:06:43,160 Speaker 1: more like millennial trajectory than the older generation trajectory. So 1234 01:06:43,280 --> 01:06:46,640 Speaker 1: they're just not old enough yet to have all that data. Okay, 1235 01:06:47,200 --> 01:06:52,360 Speaker 1: cringe warning alert, fun block the media block. Here we go. Yeah, Okay, 1236 01:06:53,200 --> 01:06:56,400 Speaker 1: Amy Schumer has just offered up what might be the 1237 01:06:56,440 --> 01:07:00,160 Speaker 1: worst idea in Oscar's history. I don't think that that's 1238 01:07:00,200 --> 01:07:02,480 Speaker 1: really hyperbole. Let's go ahead and put this up on 1239 01:07:02,520 --> 01:07:08,200 Speaker 1: the screen. She wanted to get Zelenski to appear at 1240 01:07:08,240 --> 01:07:11,200 Speaker 1: the Oscars, she says, I actually pitched I wanted to 1241 01:07:11,240 --> 01:07:13,760 Speaker 1: find a way to have Zelenski satellite in or make 1242 01:07:13,800 --> 01:07:16,280 Speaker 1: a tape or something, just because there are so many 1243 01:07:16,320 --> 01:07:19,520 Speaker 1: eyes on the oscars. I'm not afraid to go there. 1244 01:07:19,640 --> 01:07:24,480 Speaker 1: But it's not me producing the oscars Sager. There is 1245 01:07:24,560 --> 01:07:26,960 Speaker 1: so much to say about this. First of all, you've got, like, 1246 01:07:27,640 --> 01:07:33,439 Speaker 1: you know, the whole Zolenski thirst direction of liberals who 1247 01:07:34,040 --> 01:07:37,000 Speaker 1: have this is their new icon, and they'll hear nothing, 1248 01:07:37,160 --> 01:07:40,680 Speaker 1: you know, nothing bad about him, nothing about some other side, 1249 01:07:40,720 --> 01:07:42,760 Speaker 1: you know, corruption and these other things, the banning of 1250 01:07:42,800 --> 01:07:45,640 Speaker 1: political parties, all of that sort of stuff that's going on. 1251 01:07:45,720 --> 01:07:48,640 Speaker 1: So there's the Zelensky thirst part of this, and then 1252 01:07:48,680 --> 01:07:54,960 Speaker 1: there's the like out of touch, rich white woman's celebrity 1253 01:07:55,280 --> 01:07:58,120 Speaker 1: angle of it that is just like, you know, this 1254 01:07:58,160 --> 01:08:01,240 Speaker 1: guy's fighting a war right now, right, what makes you 1255 01:08:01,360 --> 01:08:05,200 Speaker 1: think that he has time or mind share to give 1256 01:08:05,480 --> 01:08:08,560 Speaker 1: to your little Hollywood party here. Yeah, I actually would 1257 01:08:08,640 --> 01:08:11,040 Speaker 1: submit that the worst thing that could happen to the 1258 01:08:11,160 --> 01:08:15,480 Speaker 1: Ukrainian cause is to itself become allied with the Hollywood elite. 1259 01:08:15,520 --> 01:08:18,519 Speaker 1: That's not what you want in this country, considering how 1260 01:08:18,560 --> 01:08:21,680 Speaker 1: hated they are. And that's why I would find this objectionable. 1261 01:08:21,680 --> 01:08:23,840 Speaker 1: Which is that And somebody sent me a hilarious tweet 1262 01:08:23,840 --> 01:08:26,559 Speaker 1: on this. They were like, imagine learning about the war 1263 01:08:26,600 --> 01:08:29,360 Speaker 1: in Ukraine from the Oscar think we have that tweet. 1264 01:08:29,479 --> 01:08:31,920 Speaker 1: Yeah we can, let's go and put that on the screen. 1265 01:08:32,479 --> 01:08:37,400 Speaker 1: Give this person credit from Ben dreyf Is E three please. Yeah. 1266 01:08:37,479 --> 01:08:39,640 Speaker 1: Imagine being the person who learned about the war and 1267 01:08:39,720 --> 01:08:42,880 Speaker 1: your car from watching the Oscars and it's like and 1268 01:08:42,920 --> 01:08:45,559 Speaker 1: then what like, what are you going to do? Which 1269 01:08:45,600 --> 01:08:49,799 Speaker 1: is that? Look, everybody hates virtue signaling from the Hollywood elite, 1270 01:08:49,840 --> 01:08:52,880 Speaker 1: and that's why their ratings are at an all time low. 1271 01:08:52,920 --> 01:08:55,559 Speaker 1: Put B two up there, please, they'll just last year 1272 01:08:55,600 --> 01:08:58,520 Speaker 1: they plunged to the all time low, dropping an additional 1273 01:08:58,560 --> 01:09:01,599 Speaker 1: fifty eight percent from the previous all time low. There, 1274 01:09:01,720 --> 01:09:04,040 Speaker 1: we're talking about less than nine yeah, less than ten 1275 01:09:04,080 --> 01:09:07,599 Speaker 1: million people. That's like one eleventh of the entire country 1276 01:09:07,720 --> 01:09:11,599 Speaker 1: and even less so of the US adult population. Nobody 1277 01:09:11,600 --> 01:09:14,720 Speaker 1: wants to be lectured and watch or lectured and talk 1278 01:09:14,800 --> 01:09:17,120 Speaker 1: down to on any subject from a bunch of people 1279 01:09:17,240 --> 01:09:20,080 Speaker 1: who did business for years with the Harvey Weinstein's of 1280 01:09:20,120 --> 01:09:22,120 Speaker 1: the world. That's why Ricky Gervais was, you know, gave 1281 01:09:22,200 --> 01:09:24,080 Speaker 1: the best speed. I think it was at the Golden Globes, 1282 01:09:24,120 --> 01:09:26,920 Speaker 1: which doesn't even air apparently on TV anymore. All of 1283 01:09:27,000 --> 01:09:29,720 Speaker 1: this is just a way of saying, is that inserting 1284 01:09:29,800 --> 01:09:33,200 Speaker 1: our culture war and signaling onto this. It's just the 1285 01:09:33,280 --> 01:09:35,000 Speaker 1: worst thing that you can do for the Ukrainians. As 1286 01:09:35,040 --> 01:09:38,200 Speaker 1: you said, it's not like Zelenski has better things to do. 1287 01:09:38,400 --> 01:09:42,760 Speaker 1: Addressing Congress. Yeah, that's great, addressing a bunch of idiot celebrities. 1288 01:09:43,040 --> 01:09:46,080 Speaker 1: That's not doing anything. It's the other piece of thing. 1289 01:09:46,200 --> 01:09:48,920 Speaker 1: It's like I said, it's going to push it's only 1290 01:09:48,960 --> 01:09:51,920 Speaker 1: going to backfire on the Ukrainian cause. The other part 1291 01:09:52,040 --> 01:09:55,720 Speaker 1: of this is like their own narcissism and sense of 1292 01:09:55,760 --> 01:09:58,360 Speaker 1: self importance that you would think that this would be 1293 01:09:58,680 --> 01:10:01,120 Speaker 1: like something that he should do or the use of 1294 01:10:01,160 --> 01:10:04,320 Speaker 1: his time. That's what I think. There's also something too, 1295 01:10:04,800 --> 01:10:10,200 Speaker 1: like your total lack of connection with what war actually is. 1296 01:10:10,280 --> 01:10:13,920 Speaker 1: Like it's not you know, it's it's not some sort 1297 01:10:13,960 --> 01:10:18,840 Speaker 1: of like glamorous cause for celebrities to like, let's just 1298 01:10:18,880 --> 01:10:21,000 Speaker 1: bring this guy in who's literally in the middle of 1299 01:10:21,000 --> 01:10:24,080 Speaker 1: a war right now in Kiev to inform the people 1300 01:10:24,200 --> 01:10:26,880 Speaker 1: or to virtue signal in the ways that we would like. 1301 01:10:27,000 --> 01:10:30,680 Speaker 1: So anyway, this landed like a stone, and clearly she 1302 01:10:30,840 --> 01:10:33,160 Speaker 1: floated this little idea to somebody, the Oscars, and they 1303 01:10:33,200 --> 01:10:36,719 Speaker 1: were like, hmm, no, yeah, she was met with wide 1304 01:10:36,800 --> 01:10:39,439 Speaker 1: ridicule on all of this. I just am I think, 1305 01:10:39,560 --> 01:10:41,920 Speaker 1: from all corners, by yea, from all corners, from the rise. 1306 01:10:42,200 --> 01:10:44,879 Speaker 1: It was a real bipartisan coming together moment, even apparently 1307 01:10:44,960 --> 01:10:47,000 Speaker 1: the people who are within it. I think it just 1308 01:10:47,080 --> 01:10:51,240 Speaker 1: goes to show us that when we have these people 1309 01:10:51,479 --> 01:10:54,960 Speaker 1: and we allow foreign affairs to begin get dictated by 1310 01:10:55,000 --> 01:10:57,559 Speaker 1: our culture war, it's the worst thing that can happen. Yeah, 1311 01:10:57,680 --> 01:11:00,360 Speaker 1: I've watched this, you know, with great interest. I've talked 1312 01:11:00,360 --> 01:11:05,560 Speaker 1: previously about people who had the pipeline of COVID maximalists 1313 01:11:05,920 --> 01:11:08,759 Speaker 1: as in strap and ninety fives to every kid's face, 1314 01:11:09,080 --> 01:11:14,719 Speaker 1: are now the most strident Ukrainian pro Ukraine Ukraine flag. 1315 01:11:14,800 --> 01:11:17,439 Speaker 1: I see it in my own neighborhood. The doctor Fauci 1316 01:11:18,520 --> 01:11:21,719 Speaker 1: signs remain in the yard, but the Ukraine flag flies 1317 01:11:21,760 --> 01:11:25,000 Speaker 1: over in look Fienes Free Country. I'm not denigrating these 1318 01:11:25,040 --> 01:11:27,240 Speaker 1: people more. What I'm saying is that when you allow 1319 01:11:27,280 --> 01:11:29,840 Speaker 1: these things to have a cultural through line of those 1320 01:11:29,880 --> 01:11:33,759 Speaker 1: two things than you allow you are stopping yourself from 1321 01:11:33,800 --> 01:11:37,640 Speaker 1: thinking uni dimensionally about one thing. And that's why I 1322 01:11:37,680 --> 01:11:40,760 Speaker 1: see the oscars and the entertainment industrial complex kind of 1323 01:11:40,760 --> 01:11:45,000 Speaker 1: embracing all of this as dangerous. I saw Netflix has 1324 01:11:45,040 --> 01:11:48,439 Speaker 1: found Zelenski's sitcom or whatever and has now put it 1325 01:11:48,479 --> 01:11:51,599 Speaker 1: on their platform. Look, okay, I mean, probably a good 1326 01:11:51,840 --> 01:11:54,759 Speaker 1: business decision. It's more that this is not a game, 1327 01:11:54,960 --> 01:11:57,679 Speaker 1: and it's not a joke. It's a war, and wars 1328 01:11:57,720 --> 01:12:01,360 Speaker 1: are brutal and they are complicated, and we need to 1329 01:12:01,439 --> 01:12:04,719 Speaker 1: support them in the way that they want. But also 1330 01:12:04,760 --> 01:12:07,920 Speaker 1: we need to pursue our own interests and harrow, you know, 1331 01:12:08,160 --> 01:12:10,840 Speaker 1: turning people into the Lions and the church Hills and 1332 01:12:10,880 --> 01:12:13,760 Speaker 1: all this stuff. That's really not something that you want 1333 01:12:13,800 --> 01:12:18,280 Speaker 1: to do from a domestic political perspective and somebody else's conflict. Yeah, 1334 01:12:18,360 --> 01:12:22,720 Speaker 1: I mean, and we've seen already this direction of just 1335 01:12:22,840 --> 01:12:27,240 Speaker 1: like uncritical support for the Ukrainian cause whatever that means, 1336 01:12:28,000 --> 01:12:31,920 Speaker 1: leads to very you know, desire for very hawkish actions, 1337 01:12:32,680 --> 01:12:37,040 Speaker 1: leads to this like Russophobia hysteria that we've been tracking, 1338 01:12:37,160 --> 01:12:39,600 Speaker 1: Eric Swalwell saying that all the Russian kids should be 1339 01:12:39,680 --> 01:12:42,800 Speaker 1: kicked down in college. And remember we talked to Anna 1340 01:12:42,880 --> 01:12:48,520 Speaker 1: Katchen about the Guggenheim protests of the artists throwing the airplanes, 1341 01:12:48,760 --> 01:12:51,800 Speaker 1: wanting them to close the skies. That's the direction that 1342 01:12:51,840 --> 01:12:53,400 Speaker 1: Some of this leads to I was about to say, 1343 01:12:53,439 --> 01:12:55,240 Speaker 1: I would not be shocked if we see it close 1344 01:12:55,280 --> 01:12:58,000 Speaker 1: the size, close the sky's speech or sign at the 1345 01:12:58,120 --> 01:13:00,799 Speaker 1: end at geostros Well. I am excited about the Oscars 1346 01:13:01,040 --> 01:13:03,160 Speaker 1: for one reason, which is a great friend of the 1347 01:13:03,200 --> 01:13:08,639 Speaker 1: show might get an oscar. No big deal for best Picture, 1348 01:13:08,920 --> 01:13:12,240 Speaker 1: no big deal for don't look Up, which I really enjoyed. 1349 01:13:12,280 --> 01:13:14,240 Speaker 1: You guys should watch, so we'll be cheering for him. 1350 01:13:14,360 --> 01:13:18,160 Speaker 1: He already won what was it, the Like Writers Guild Award. 1351 01:13:18,439 --> 01:13:22,200 Speaker 1: They won it over Aaron Sorkin, by the way, which 1352 01:13:22,240 --> 01:13:24,880 Speaker 1: is amazing, for Best Screenplayer or something like that. So 1353 01:13:24,960 --> 01:13:30,400 Speaker 1: that's the one reason that I care this. Sorry Aaron Crystal, 1354 01:13:30,439 --> 01:13:33,040 Speaker 1: what are you taking a look at? Well, guys, bread 1355 01:13:33,360 --> 01:13:35,640 Speaker 1: who has it and who doesn't has actually been one 1356 01:13:35,680 --> 01:13:38,320 Speaker 1: of the most central determinants of war, peace, progress, and 1357 01:13:38,360 --> 01:13:41,040 Speaker 1: culture in human history. And I actually don't think that 1358 01:13:41,040 --> 01:13:45,559 Speaker 1: that's an overstatement. After all, grains formed the basis of money, 1359 01:13:45,720 --> 01:13:49,200 Speaker 1: nation states, and taxation. They create the conditions for inequality, 1360 01:13:49,360 --> 01:13:52,680 Speaker 1: pressive hierarchies, and slavery, but also for the flourishing of 1361 01:13:52,720 --> 01:13:55,760 Speaker 1: human beings and the rich cultures, and enabled the technological 1362 01:13:55,760 --> 01:13:59,120 Speaker 1: marvels that we benefit from today. It is no accident, then, 1363 01:13:59,280 --> 01:14:01,519 Speaker 1: that some of the most famous political moments in all 1364 01:14:01,520 --> 01:14:04,880 Speaker 1: of human history are triggered by that humble loaf. A 1365 01:14:05,000 --> 01:14:08,040 Speaker 1: Roman poet once opined that the best way to placate 1366 01:14:08,080 --> 01:14:11,680 Speaker 1: the masses and prevent revolt was to provide bread and circuses. 1367 01:14:11,960 --> 01:14:14,200 Speaker 1: This political maxim was actually practiced at the time, with 1368 01:14:14,240 --> 01:14:18,320 Speaker 1: gladiator type entertainment and an actual direct distribution of grain. 1369 01:14:19,000 --> 01:14:22,120 Speaker 1: Marie Antoinette, when informed that her subjects were starving and 1370 01:14:22,160 --> 01:14:25,000 Speaker 1: had no bread, was famously quoted as saying, let them 1371 01:14:25,080 --> 01:14:28,120 Speaker 1: eat cake. It turns out she didn't actually say that, 1372 01:14:28,280 --> 01:14:31,040 Speaker 1: but it is certainly true that bread riots were a 1373 01:14:31,120 --> 01:14:35,040 Speaker 1: central spark to the French Revolution. Women famously marshed on 1374 01:14:35,160 --> 01:14:38,679 Speaker 1: Versailles with makeshift weapons things like kitchen knives, demanding bread 1375 01:14:38,840 --> 01:14:41,479 Speaker 1: and an end to famine, a failed crop and greedy 1376 01:14:41,479 --> 01:14:45,240 Speaker 1: elites having combined into a revolutionary fervor. And in that 1377 01:14:45,400 --> 01:14:49,200 Speaker 1: extraordinary political text the Bible, bread also plays a starring 1378 01:14:49,280 --> 01:14:52,000 Speaker 1: role in several crucial stories. Jesus, of course, is said 1379 01:14:52,000 --> 01:14:55,920 Speaker 1: to miraculously feed thousands with just a few loaves of bread. 1380 01:14:56,320 --> 01:14:59,719 Speaker 1: He also proclaims himself to literally be bread, that crucial 1381 01:14:59,760 --> 01:15:03,000 Speaker 1: source of sustenance and plenty, saying I am the bread 1382 01:15:03,040 --> 01:15:06,160 Speaker 1: of life. He who comes to me will never hunger. Now, 1383 01:15:06,200 --> 01:15:08,400 Speaker 1: bread has never gone out of fashion, though its centrality 1384 01:15:08,400 --> 01:15:11,880 Speaker 1: to human existence continues to the present day. The revolutions 1385 01:15:11,920 --> 01:15:14,920 Speaker 1: of the Arab Spring were in part sparked by bread prices. 1386 01:15:15,040 --> 01:15:17,559 Speaker 1: Let's take a look at this. Bread prices were actually 1387 01:15:17,640 --> 01:15:20,439 Speaker 1: up thirty seven percent in Egypt as one example, before 1388 01:15:20,520 --> 01:15:23,479 Speaker 1: the fall of present Mobarik. Matt Stoler points us out 1389 01:15:23,520 --> 01:15:27,640 Speaker 1: in his recent Big Breakdown. Also, modern day Machiavelian and 1390 01:15:27,680 --> 01:15:31,000 Speaker 1: generally evil practitioner of the Dark Arts, Henry Kissinger himself 1391 01:15:31,080 --> 01:15:34,840 Speaker 1: understands how central bread is to political control, saying, control 1392 01:15:34,880 --> 01:15:38,479 Speaker 1: oil and you control nations. Control food, and you control 1393 01:15:38,520 --> 01:15:40,679 Speaker 1: the people. You should take the time to watch Matt 1394 01:15:40,680 --> 01:15:42,719 Speaker 1: on food prices. By the way, he gives a truly 1395 01:15:42,760 --> 01:15:45,920 Speaker 1: excellent explanation of how monopolies in egg and shipping are 1396 01:15:45,960 --> 01:15:51,360 Speaker 1: destroying family farms and creating higher food prices for you. So, 1397 01:15:51,479 --> 01:15:54,680 Speaker 1: with all of this as background, recent headlines paint a 1398 01:15:54,920 --> 01:15:59,160 Speaker 1: really dire portrait like this one. For example, Ukraine war 1399 01:15:59,280 --> 01:16:03,000 Speaker 1: threatens to call a global food crisis. According to this article. 1400 01:16:03,120 --> 01:16:06,040 Speaker 1: A crucial portion of the world's wheat, corn, and barley 1401 01:16:06,080 --> 01:16:08,519 Speaker 1: is trapped in Russia and Ukraine because of the war, 1402 01:16:08,760 --> 01:16:11,519 Speaker 1: while an even larger portion of the world's fertilizers is 1403 01:16:11,560 --> 01:16:14,639 Speaker 1: stuck in Russia and Belarus. The result is that global 1404 01:16:14,640 --> 01:16:18,280 Speaker 1: food and fertilizer prices are soaring since the invasion. Last month, 1405 01:16:18,360 --> 01:16:21,439 Speaker 1: wheat prices have increased by twenty one percent, barley by 1406 01:16:21,520 --> 01:16:25,639 Speaker 1: thirty three percent, and some fertilizers by forty percent. Russia 1407 01:16:25,680 --> 01:16:28,360 Speaker 1: and Ukraine are the bread basket of the world. Thirty 1408 01:16:28,400 --> 01:16:31,759 Speaker 1: percent of all wheat exports come from these two nations, 1409 01:16:31,840 --> 01:16:34,320 Speaker 1: not to mention seventeen percent of corn and thirty two 1410 01:16:34,360 --> 01:16:37,479 Speaker 1: percent of barley. To make matters worse, Russia is also 1411 01:16:37,560 --> 01:16:40,519 Speaker 1: the largest exporter a fertilizer, meaning that the production of 1412 01:16:40,560 --> 01:16:43,519 Speaker 1: farmers around the world will be impacted by what is 1413 01:16:43,560 --> 01:16:47,839 Speaker 1: happening in Ukraine right now and our response to Russia's invasion. 1414 01:16:48,520 --> 01:16:50,759 Speaker 1: All of this has combined into what the executive director 1415 01:16:50,800 --> 01:16:53,920 Speaker 1: of the World Food Program is labeling the worst food 1416 01:16:53,960 --> 01:16:57,160 Speaker 1: crisis since the end of World War II. This is 1417 01:16:57,280 --> 01:17:01,040 Speaker 1: a disaster for working class people all around the globe, 1418 01:17:01,160 --> 01:17:04,360 Speaker 1: but of course it will be particularly devastating and life 1419 01:17:04,439 --> 01:17:08,360 Speaker 1: threatening for the very poor, and for countries like Armenia, Kazakhstan, 1420 01:17:08,439 --> 01:17:11,879 Speaker 1: and Mongolia that importantly all of their wheat from Russia 1421 01:17:11,920 --> 01:17:14,680 Speaker 1: and Ukraine. It's also not hard to imagine how the 1422 01:17:14,720 --> 01:17:17,479 Speaker 1: global knock on effects of hunger, war and revolution from 1423 01:17:17,560 --> 01:17:20,719 Speaker 1: increased bread prices could even surpass the brutality and death 1424 01:17:20,920 --> 01:17:24,360 Speaker 1: of the current horrific conflict. In fact, some of these 1425 01:17:24,360 --> 01:17:27,760 Speaker 1: protests have actually already started in Iraq. The war in 1426 01:17:27,840 --> 01:17:31,240 Speaker 1: Ukraine has helped to trigger protests over food prices. One 1427 01:17:31,280 --> 01:17:34,040 Speaker 1: retired T shirt told Al Jazeera quote, the rise in 1428 01:17:34,120 --> 01:17:37,720 Speaker 1: prices is strangling us, whether it is bread or other 1429 01:17:37,800 --> 01:17:41,720 Speaker 1: food products. In Sudan, violent unrest has been exacerbated by 1430 01:17:41,760 --> 01:17:45,040 Speaker 1: the increase in costs. In Morocco, protests over price spikes 1431 01:17:45,360 --> 01:17:48,400 Speaker 1: were actually going on even before the war started, which 1432 01:17:48,439 --> 01:17:50,200 Speaker 1: brings me to the scariest part of this, because it's 1433 01:17:50,200 --> 01:17:52,840 Speaker 1: actually not just war that is fueling price spikes right now. 1434 01:17:53,200 --> 01:17:55,759 Speaker 1: Part of the reason that the war disruptions are proving 1435 01:17:55,760 --> 01:17:58,559 Speaker 1: so devastating is because countries all over the world were 1436 01:17:58,680 --> 01:18:02,120 Speaker 1: already struggling with their crops thanks to the climate crisis. 1437 01:18:02,320 --> 01:18:05,160 Speaker 1: Let's take a look at these headlines. Baracos domestic crop 1438 01:18:05,160 --> 01:18:08,639 Speaker 1: production was already devastated by a severe drought. Our own 1439 01:18:08,720 --> 01:18:12,920 Speaker 1: farmers in California and elsewhere have been struggling with the same. Meanwhile, 1440 01:18:12,960 --> 01:18:16,799 Speaker 1: in China, severe flooding has compromised their wheat crop. China's 1441 01:18:16,800 --> 01:18:21,000 Speaker 1: agriculture minister actually said this year's seedling situation can be 1442 01:18:21,040 --> 01:18:24,840 Speaker 1: said to be the worst in history. So this world 1443 01:18:25,080 --> 01:18:28,519 Speaker 1: we're experiencing right now, a spiking food prices and unrest, 1444 01:18:28,880 --> 01:18:31,200 Speaker 1: might just be a preview of what is to come 1445 01:18:31,400 --> 01:18:35,000 Speaker 1: as climate extremes become more and more common. And our 1446 01:18:35,040 --> 01:18:38,080 Speaker 1: political leaders, who could do a lot to ease the 1447 01:18:38,120 --> 01:18:41,719 Speaker 1: pain of this particular moment and prevent a tumultuous future, 1448 01:18:41,800 --> 01:18:44,320 Speaker 1: would do well to learn some of the lessons a 1449 01:18:44,400 --> 01:18:48,920 Speaker 1: Marie Antoinette. Filled crops combined with venal elites have proven 1450 01:18:48,960 --> 01:18:52,920 Speaker 1: to be fertile grounds for revolution. I really think that 1451 01:18:53,040 --> 01:18:56,680 Speaker 1: this issue of food prices, it's very hard. And if 1452 01:18:56,720 --> 01:18:59,479 Speaker 1: you want to hear my reaction to Crystal's monologue, become 1453 01:18:59,479 --> 01:19:05,280 Speaker 1: a premiums debscriber today at Breakingpoints dot com. All right, Sager, 1454 01:19:05,320 --> 01:19:07,280 Speaker 1: what are you looking at? Well? It's a common theme 1455 01:19:07,400 --> 01:19:09,960 Speaker 1: these days among the American right to say that Joe 1456 01:19:09,960 --> 01:19:12,879 Speaker 1: Biden has humiliated the United States on the world stage 1457 01:19:13,240 --> 01:19:15,479 Speaker 1: up until this point. I think that some of that 1458 01:19:15,720 --> 01:19:19,160 Speaker 1: was hyperbole. I of course supported the Biden withdrawal from Afghanistan, 1459 01:19:19,200 --> 01:19:21,439 Speaker 1: and in terms of deterring Putin, I think it's an 1460 01:19:21,479 --> 01:19:24,400 Speaker 1: open question as to why the invasion happened. Right now, 1461 01:19:24,640 --> 01:19:26,479 Speaker 1: I establish all of this so that you can take 1462 01:19:26,520 --> 01:19:29,240 Speaker 1: me seriously when I contend that right now in our 1463 01:19:29,280 --> 01:19:33,640 Speaker 1: relationship with Saudi Arabia, Biden actually is humiliating us on 1464 01:19:33,720 --> 01:19:37,680 Speaker 1: the world stage and diminishing American power. Yesterday was an 1465 01:19:37,720 --> 01:19:40,439 Speaker 1: important day in US Saudi relations, though it has gone 1466 01:19:40,520 --> 01:19:43,120 Speaker 1: unnoticed by the vast majority of the Western press and 1467 01:19:43,200 --> 01:19:45,479 Speaker 1: wilfully ignored by the elites who are in the pocket 1468 01:19:45,520 --> 01:19:47,800 Speaker 1: of the Saudi regime. As we touched on with our 1469 01:19:47,840 --> 01:19:52,120 Speaker 1: previous guests, the Biden administration earlier this month transferred Patriot 1470 01:19:52,160 --> 01:19:55,720 Speaker 1: missiles to Saudi Arabia after an urgent request by the 1471 01:19:55,840 --> 01:19:59,600 Speaker 1: kingdom to supposedly fend off attacks from who the Iranian 1472 01:19:59,640 --> 01:20:04,080 Speaker 1: backed militias. Now, this was done by the administration with zero, 1473 01:20:04,400 --> 01:20:08,040 Speaker 1: I repeat zero commitment by the Saudis to pump more 1474 01:20:08,040 --> 01:20:11,560 Speaker 1: oil and immediately alleviate prices of gas here in the 1475 01:20:11,640 --> 01:20:14,760 Speaker 1: United States. In fact, per the Wall Street Journal, the 1476 01:20:14,840 --> 01:20:17,880 Speaker 1: decision to transfer the missiles to Saudi Arabia was done 1477 01:20:18,160 --> 01:20:21,639 Speaker 1: with the hope that the transfer would ease the tensions 1478 01:20:21,640 --> 01:20:24,439 Speaker 1: between the two countries after the Amiadi government and the 1479 01:20:24,439 --> 01:20:27,800 Speaker 1: Saudi government refused to even speak with President Biden on 1480 01:20:27,880 --> 01:20:31,760 Speaker 1: the phone. So, yeah, you got that right. The Saudis 1481 01:20:31,800 --> 01:20:34,280 Speaker 1: are not giving us what we want. They slap our 1482 01:20:34,320 --> 01:20:36,760 Speaker 1: president in the face by refusing to take a phone 1483 01:20:36,760 --> 01:20:39,120 Speaker 1: call and then leak that to the press. And then 1484 01:20:39,280 --> 01:20:43,360 Speaker 1: how do we respond. We give them exactly what they want, 1485 01:20:43,600 --> 01:20:47,200 Speaker 1: depleting our own supply of patriot missile systems in the 1486 01:20:47,240 --> 01:20:50,640 Speaker 1: Middle East to transfer to them for their defense. And 1487 01:20:50,760 --> 01:20:53,760 Speaker 1: guess what. It gets even better the very day that 1488 01:20:53,800 --> 01:20:56,680 Speaker 1: the transfer of the US systems was revealed. Guess what 1489 01:20:56,720 --> 01:20:59,920 Speaker 1: these people do. The Saudis say, they will quote bare 1490 01:21:00,000 --> 01:21:04,200 Speaker 1: there no responsibility for the rise in oil prices, blaming 1491 01:21:04,240 --> 01:21:07,599 Speaker 1: the fluctuations and price on attacks by the Hoovies, And 1492 01:21:07,640 --> 01:21:09,960 Speaker 1: you know those are the ones that we just gave 1493 01:21:10,040 --> 01:21:14,040 Speaker 1: them missiles in order to protect against. The announcement stunned 1494 01:21:14,160 --> 01:21:16,960 Speaker 1: energy analysts as it was seen by a direct attempt 1495 01:21:16,960 --> 01:21:20,160 Speaker 1: by the Saudis to inject uncertainty into the global oil 1496 01:21:20,200 --> 01:21:23,400 Speaker 1: market and to hike the price, further turning the screws 1497 01:21:23,400 --> 01:21:25,839 Speaker 1: on the United States and the all of the consumers 1498 01:21:25,840 --> 01:21:28,880 Speaker 1: of gas across the West. At this point, shouldn't we 1499 01:21:28,920 --> 01:21:31,679 Speaker 1: all be asking the question, what exactly is the point 1500 01:21:31,720 --> 01:21:34,160 Speaker 1: of having a client state in the Middle East if 1501 01:21:34,200 --> 01:21:37,080 Speaker 1: they don't do what they asked them to do. The 1502 01:21:37,120 --> 01:21:39,920 Speaker 1: Saudis have for years gotten their cheek and eat it too. 1503 01:21:40,400 --> 01:21:43,280 Speaker 1: Fifteen out of the nineteen nine to eleven hijackers were 1504 01:21:43,320 --> 01:21:46,320 Speaker 1: their citizens, not to mention the leader of al Qaeda 1505 01:21:46,520 --> 01:21:48,479 Speaker 1: and the mastermind of the nine to eleven terror plot, 1506 01:21:48,680 --> 01:21:51,839 Speaker 1: and you know the direct ideology through which radical Islam 1507 01:21:52,000 --> 01:21:56,120 Speaker 1: is born. So despite that, they escaped scrutiny in America 1508 01:21:56,280 --> 01:21:59,240 Speaker 1: due to their relationship with the Biden administration and for 1509 01:21:59,600 --> 01:22:03,000 Speaker 1: the Bush administration. And yet for years they have increased 1510 01:22:03,000 --> 01:22:05,800 Speaker 1: their demands on the West with the justification from their 1511 01:22:05,800 --> 01:22:09,280 Speaker 1: defenders here in Washington, they are representing our interests. And 1512 01:22:09,360 --> 01:22:12,120 Speaker 1: because they represent our interests, we're supposed to ignore the 1513 01:22:12,120 --> 01:22:14,800 Speaker 1: fact that literally about a week ago they held their 1514 01:22:14,920 --> 01:22:19,320 Speaker 1: largest mass execution ever beheading eighty one individuals in an 1515 01:22:19,360 --> 01:22:22,640 Speaker 1: act of religious persecution. Now, I suppose you might be 1516 01:22:22,680 --> 01:22:24,840 Speaker 1: able to say that if they actually did what we 1517 01:22:24,920 --> 01:22:27,680 Speaker 1: wanted we wanted them to do, then yeah, we could 1518 01:22:27,720 --> 01:22:31,080 Speaker 1: look the other way at their barbarism, at their funding 1519 01:22:31,080 --> 01:22:34,760 Speaker 1: and their exporting of dangerous and deadly ideologies. But they don't. 1520 01:22:34,920 --> 01:22:36,519 Speaker 1: They don't even ask, they don't even do what we 1521 01:22:36,560 --> 01:22:38,400 Speaker 1: ask them to do, So why should we ignore it? 1522 01:22:38,840 --> 01:22:41,080 Speaker 1: Not only do they not do what we ask, but 1523 01:22:41,160 --> 01:22:44,479 Speaker 1: they are now actively trying to destroy the US economy 1524 01:22:44,680 --> 01:22:48,280 Speaker 1: and hurt the US consumer. And yet our president begs 1525 01:22:48,320 --> 01:22:50,840 Speaker 1: them like a dog by offering up a treat in 1526 01:22:50,920 --> 01:22:54,960 Speaker 1: exchange for goodwill that clearly only goes one way. This 1527 01:22:55,040 --> 01:22:58,200 Speaker 1: is perhaps the weakest thing Biden has done yet as president. 1528 01:22:58,680 --> 01:23:01,519 Speaker 1: It is a time instead to play a very different game. 1529 01:23:01,880 --> 01:23:04,559 Speaker 1: You might say, Hey, Saudi Arabia is a free country. 1530 01:23:04,560 --> 01:23:06,800 Speaker 1: It can do what it wants. Yeah, you're right, but 1531 01:23:06,840 --> 01:23:09,599 Speaker 1: their threats are hollow. Yeah, they can have a big 1532 01:23:09,600 --> 01:23:12,240 Speaker 1: impact on our domestic economy, but they are a Western 1533 01:23:12,240 --> 01:23:16,240 Speaker 1: client state. Through and through seventy three percent of Saudi 1534 01:23:16,280 --> 01:23:19,719 Speaker 1: Arabian arms imports come right here from the good old USA. 1535 01:23:20,120 --> 01:23:23,599 Speaker 1: Second is the United Kingdom at thirteen percent, meaning that 1536 01:23:23,680 --> 01:23:27,040 Speaker 1: the vast majority of their weapons and arms come from 1537 01:23:27,120 --> 01:23:29,880 Speaker 1: the anglosphere and can be turned off like that. As 1538 01:23:29,880 --> 01:23:32,439 Speaker 1: to their threats of ditching the Petro dollar, that's a joke. 1539 01:23:32,640 --> 01:23:34,400 Speaker 1: Saudi can talk a big game when it comes to 1540 01:23:34,439 --> 01:23:36,800 Speaker 1: pricing things from the rial to one. But here's what 1541 01:23:36,840 --> 01:23:39,640 Speaker 1: they don't tell you. Saudi Arabia pegs its currency to 1542 01:23:39,800 --> 01:23:42,840 Speaker 1: the US dollar and has since nineteen eighty six. And 1543 01:23:42,880 --> 01:23:45,240 Speaker 1: as they write in their own propaganda outlets right in 1544 01:23:45,240 --> 01:23:48,000 Speaker 1: front of you, they literally need the dollar to conduct 1545 01:23:48,000 --> 01:23:51,320 Speaker 1: foreign trade transactions because the vast majority of their imports 1546 01:23:51,320 --> 01:23:54,719 Speaker 1: and exports are needed in stable dollars. Right now, sixty 1547 01:23:54,760 --> 01:23:57,720 Speaker 1: two percent of the kingdom's foreign currency reserves. Are you 1548 01:23:57,800 --> 01:24:00,920 Speaker 1: guessed it the United States dollar? Or how about what 1549 01:24:00,960 --> 01:24:03,960 Speaker 1: they actually do with their money as usual? A lot 1550 01:24:04,000 --> 01:24:05,960 Speaker 1: of it is right here in the United States. The 1551 01:24:06,000 --> 01:24:09,360 Speaker 1: Saudi Sovereign Wealth Fund is nearly one trillion dollars. It 1552 01:24:09,439 --> 01:24:12,760 Speaker 1: includes sizable stakes in video game companies like Electronic Arts 1553 01:24:12,840 --> 01:24:18,400 Speaker 1: or Activision, Blizzard, City Bank now Boeing, Facebook, Disney, Bank 1554 01:24:18,439 --> 01:24:21,400 Speaker 1: of America. You guys get the idea. We are talking 1555 01:24:21,560 --> 01:24:25,200 Speaker 1: about hundreds of billions of dollars in cash invested right 1556 01:24:25,240 --> 01:24:28,519 Speaker 1: here in the USA directly tied to the Saudi Kingdom. 1557 01:24:28,720 --> 01:24:31,240 Speaker 1: It can all be cut off like that. What's the 1558 01:24:31,320 --> 01:24:34,599 Speaker 1: rub though you already know all that money, that blood money. 1559 01:24:34,760 --> 01:24:37,439 Speaker 1: It's a down payment on the US political elite to 1560 01:24:37,600 --> 01:24:40,400 Speaker 1: ensure that the outcome you see before you is the 1561 01:24:40,439 --> 01:24:43,240 Speaker 1: outcome that occurs, that they can continue to be the 1562 01:24:43,240 --> 01:24:46,240 Speaker 1: most backwards country on the planet Earth and still get 1563 01:24:46,240 --> 01:24:50,000 Speaker 1: preferential treatment missile systems, no scrutiny in the West. They 1564 01:24:50,040 --> 01:24:52,160 Speaker 1: have some of the most high powered lobbyists here in 1565 01:24:52,320 --> 01:24:55,479 Speaker 1: Washington who have worked for years to keep the kingdom 1566 01:24:55,640 --> 01:24:59,320 Speaker 1: away from any real scrutiny. And that is why just 1567 01:24:59,360 --> 01:25:02,080 Speaker 1: two months ago, the US Senate voted sixty seven to 1568 01:25:02,120 --> 01:25:06,280 Speaker 1: thirty to reject a bipartisan resolution introduced in the Chamber 1569 01:25:06,320 --> 01:25:10,360 Speaker 1: to block arm sales to Saudi Arabia from the Biden administration. 1570 01:25:11,280 --> 01:25:13,479 Speaker 1: Some of you might think this is a hypocritical monologue. 1571 01:25:13,640 --> 01:25:16,599 Speaker 1: Yesterday I discussed India why sanctions are public pressure against 1572 01:25:16,640 --> 01:25:19,639 Speaker 1: them would backfire and would hurt the US strategically. Here's 1573 01:25:19,640 --> 01:25:22,639 Speaker 1: the difference between those two countries. India is a great nation. 1574 01:25:22,960 --> 01:25:25,640 Speaker 1: So is China for that matter. They are civilizations that 1575 01:25:25,720 --> 01:25:30,000 Speaker 1: built themselves up, that have an intellectual and economic base. 1576 01:25:30,360 --> 01:25:33,960 Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia is a desert backwater with the leadership that 1577 01:25:34,000 --> 01:25:37,000 Speaker 1: would literally not exist without the United States. They have 1578 01:25:37,280 --> 01:25:40,920 Speaker 1: no domestic capacity except for pumping oil, and then they 1579 01:25:40,960 --> 01:25:43,120 Speaker 1: tried to purchase their way out of it from our 1580 01:25:43,280 --> 01:25:46,439 Speaker 1: US political system. The time is to come that we 1581 01:25:46,520 --> 01:25:49,000 Speaker 1: recognize them for what they are and to bring them 1582 01:25:49,000 --> 01:25:51,320 Speaker 1: to heal with the immense pressure that we have over them. 1583 01:25:51,520 --> 01:25:54,400 Speaker 1: They have been fretting free riding off the United States 1584 01:25:54,520 --> 01:25:58,120 Speaker 1: for a long time, and if Biden had any backbone whatsoever, 1585 01:25:58,360 --> 01:26:01,120 Speaker 1: we would never let Riod ever get away with this. 1586 01:26:01,560 --> 01:26:04,240 Speaker 1: I can assure you they are laughing at us over there, 1587 01:26:04,520 --> 01:26:07,000 Speaker 1: or more specifically, on their yachts in the French Rivira, 1588 01:26:07,240 --> 01:26:09,680 Speaker 1: drinking fine wines and violation of their own religion that 1589 01:26:09,680 --> 01:26:12,519 Speaker 1: they impose on their population, and staring at fake Leonardo 1590 01:26:12,600 --> 01:26:15,200 Speaker 1: da Vinci paintings that they paid half a billion dollars 1591 01:26:15,240 --> 01:26:18,240 Speaker 1: for just because they actually can. I think that's really 1592 01:26:18,240 --> 01:26:21,320 Speaker 1: what it drives me crazy. I felt Leonardo thing is hilarious. 1593 01:26:21,439 --> 01:26:24,519 Speaker 1: I recommend the documentary Lost And if you want to 1594 01:26:24,560 --> 01:26:28,160 Speaker 1: hear my reaction to Sagre's monologue. Become a premium subscriber 1595 01:26:28,200 --> 01:26:34,880 Speaker 1: today at Breakingpoints dot com. Join us now directly from 1596 01:26:35,080 --> 01:26:38,680 Speaker 1: Moscow is Igor Kotkin. Igor is so great to see you. 1597 01:26:38,760 --> 01:26:41,759 Speaker 1: We've been talking a lot by Twitter. I've been reading 1598 01:26:41,800 --> 01:26:43,559 Speaker 1: some of your posts on medium. We can actually throw 1599 01:26:43,800 --> 01:26:46,880 Speaker 1: one of those up on the screen. It's been really 1600 01:26:46,880 --> 01:26:50,800 Speaker 1: helpful to get your perspective. This one says what the 1601 01:26:50,840 --> 01:26:53,240 Speaker 1: West gets wrong in their reaction against Russia. It's been 1602 01:26:53,280 --> 01:26:55,880 Speaker 1: really valuable for me personally to have your perspective as 1603 01:26:55,880 --> 01:26:58,960 Speaker 1: someone on the ground there who is anti war but 1604 01:26:59,040 --> 01:27:01,960 Speaker 1: has a very nuanced view of you know, the West 1605 01:27:02,000 --> 01:27:05,839 Speaker 1: of Russia, of the role that ideology and history plays 1606 01:27:05,880 --> 01:27:08,439 Speaker 1: in all of this. But to start, I'd love for 1607 01:27:08,479 --> 01:27:11,600 Speaker 1: you just to introduce yourself a little bit to our audience, 1608 01:27:12,080 --> 01:27:13,880 Speaker 1: people who, by the way, want to follow more of 1609 01:27:13,920 --> 01:27:16,040 Speaker 1: your work. You've just started a sub stack and a Patreon, 1610 01:27:16,080 --> 01:27:18,479 Speaker 1: so we have those links down in the description. Just 1611 01:27:18,520 --> 01:27:21,360 Speaker 1: tell us who you are, what your view is of 1612 01:27:21,400 --> 01:27:24,000 Speaker 1: what's going on, and you know a little bit of background. 1613 01:27:25,160 --> 01:27:28,120 Speaker 1: So my name is Yogor Kotken. I'm a social Starter 1614 01:27:28,320 --> 01:27:33,040 Speaker 1: from Russia. Yes, and I was following American politics for 1615 01:27:33,040 --> 01:27:37,400 Speaker 1: a while right now, because so the pappen historically our politics, 1616 01:27:37,479 --> 01:27:41,760 Speaker 1: Russian politics, and American politics wasn't the point about fifty 1617 01:27:41,880 --> 01:27:44,760 Speaker 1: years ago in a ways that are not obvious but 1618 01:27:44,920 --> 01:27:50,400 Speaker 1: very profound, because basically the same receipts that neo liberal 1619 01:27:50,520 --> 01:27:54,960 Speaker 1: receipts of the Clinton administration that were implemented in the 1620 01:27:55,040 --> 01:27:59,960 Speaker 1: United States, also, I assume it's good intentions we're implemented 1621 01:28:00,160 --> 01:28:03,840 Speaker 1: in Russia as well, and we have basically the same 1622 01:28:03,960 --> 01:28:08,640 Speaker 1: fallout in Russia. And in many ways, our politics, our 1623 01:28:08,720 --> 01:28:13,160 Speaker 1: culture problems are very similar to Americans. Uh, with the 1624 01:28:13,320 --> 01:28:16,320 Speaker 1: direction that we have a much poorer country and much 1625 01:28:16,560 --> 01:28:21,479 Speaker 1: weaker democratic institutes. So in a way, Russia right now 1626 01:28:21,600 --> 01:28:25,320 Speaker 1: is a preview what you will have if the current 1627 01:28:25,400 --> 01:28:29,639 Speaker 1: political course available, course will pay out itself in America. 1628 01:28:30,240 --> 01:28:33,439 Speaker 1: So because we can see that your institution has also 1629 01:28:33,520 --> 01:28:37,599 Speaker 1: being wicked by the growing power of polgarchy. Yeah, that's 1630 01:28:37,720 --> 01:28:41,599 Speaker 1: very interesting. Yeah, go ahead, go ahead. That's that's that's 1631 01:28:41,840 --> 01:28:45,880 Speaker 1: very important for me to share because we are right 1632 01:28:45,920 --> 01:28:51,200 Speaker 1: now in the situation that basically was created thirty years ago, 1633 01:28:51,360 --> 01:28:55,639 Speaker 1: and when we're talking about this current war and everything 1634 01:28:55,680 --> 01:29:00,040 Speaker 1: around it. Uh, we have to understand that basically the 1635 01:29:00,080 --> 01:29:02,840 Speaker 1: history of the moment was already written. It's right now 1636 01:29:03,240 --> 01:29:07,400 Speaker 1: play out, and the history started in the nineties because 1637 01:29:07,479 --> 01:29:11,120 Speaker 1: all the people that right now making decisions in Russia, 1638 01:29:11,200 --> 01:29:14,960 Speaker 1: it's increasingly small and small circle of the people around 1639 01:29:15,040 --> 01:29:20,960 Speaker 1: putting and putting itself. They were traditions, condition to power 1640 01:29:21,200 --> 01:29:25,559 Speaker 1: and two what they think in the nineties, and the 1641 01:29:25,760 --> 01:29:29,240 Speaker 1: first it was, of course, I can let out short 1642 01:29:29,400 --> 01:29:34,479 Speaker 1: like history a few milestones starting from nineteen ninety two. 1643 01:29:36,280 --> 01:29:40,559 Speaker 1: The biggest mistake historical mistakes that I see the hindsight 1644 01:29:40,960 --> 01:29:45,439 Speaker 1: was of course implemented of the shock therapy on Russia 1645 01:29:45,520 --> 01:29:49,160 Speaker 1: in the nineteen ninety two instead of say Marshall plan. 1646 01:29:49,720 --> 01:29:52,759 Speaker 1: I mean, you can see the difference of the approach 1647 01:29:52,840 --> 01:29:56,959 Speaker 1: to the country, how it works. On the example of Germany, 1648 01:29:57,560 --> 01:30:01,479 Speaker 1: we have show therapy on Germany up UH World War One, 1649 01:30:02,439 --> 01:30:06,439 Speaker 1: attended in the revenge is in Germany Wember Republic and 1650 01:30:06,479 --> 01:30:10,759 Speaker 1: then Nazis led to World War two, so two world 1651 01:30:10,760 --> 01:30:14,040 Speaker 1: wars were started by the same country. And then UH 1652 01:30:14,560 --> 01:30:18,920 Speaker 1: after night after the Second World War, instead of punishing 1653 01:30:19,080 --> 01:30:25,280 Speaker 1: Germans further UH, the politics changed completely differently and it 1654 01:30:25,320 --> 01:30:28,639 Speaker 1: was Marshall plan. It was basically helped to German people 1655 01:30:28,680 --> 01:30:31,320 Speaker 1: to rebuild the country. And now German is the biggest 1656 01:30:31,360 --> 01:30:35,200 Speaker 1: peacekeeper in the Europe and probably one of the biggest 1657 01:30:35,200 --> 01:30:40,400 Speaker 1: peacekeepers in the world. So you can you can't uh 1658 01:30:40,720 --> 01:30:45,519 Speaker 1: explain this some essentialist thing like German character, because German 1659 01:30:45,600 --> 01:30:48,839 Speaker 1: character uh in the first century half of the century 1660 01:30:49,040 --> 01:30:54,120 Speaker 1: was militaristic and uh very violent. And the second colup 1661 01:30:54,200 --> 01:30:57,280 Speaker 1: of the century, same people, different character because they were 1662 01:30:57,280 --> 01:31:00,840 Speaker 1: put by bigger power in the contiulate completely and conditions. 1663 01:31:01,400 --> 01:31:03,559 Speaker 1: So you have in the Russia the same thing happened 1664 01:31:03,560 --> 01:31:06,680 Speaker 1: in the unineties. Uh, when basically Russia was put in 1665 01:31:06,680 --> 01:31:11,280 Speaker 1: the position uh, not as hard but close to Bamar Republic. 1666 01:31:11,400 --> 01:31:17,559 Speaker 1: It was basically punished by the shock therapy for like 1667 01:31:17,640 --> 01:31:21,000 Speaker 1: it was, I don't know, it was kind of they 1668 01:31:21,000 --> 01:31:23,400 Speaker 1: were trying to help. Of course they think it was 1669 01:31:23,439 --> 01:31:26,840 Speaker 1: like helping by punishing Russia through shock therapy. But you 1670 01:31:26,960 --> 01:31:32,600 Speaker 1: had the basically turned into ulternationalism. Uh. It was not 1671 01:31:32,760 --> 01:31:36,639 Speaker 1: as let's say hard as was in Germany United twenties, 1672 01:31:36,680 --> 01:31:40,160 Speaker 1: so it took longer, but the same processes are working. 1673 01:31:40,439 --> 01:31:43,600 Speaker 1: So in nineteen ninety two it was shock therapy. It 1674 01:31:43,720 --> 01:31:50,559 Speaker 1: started Russian inequality fast fastly rising inequality. In nineteen ninety 1675 01:31:50,560 --> 01:31:55,200 Speaker 1: five Russian oligarchy class was created. It was created which 1676 01:31:55,240 --> 01:32:00,599 Speaker 1: explicit purpose to help losing power losing popularity is Yelsen 1677 01:32:00,680 --> 01:32:05,559 Speaker 1: to win Communists opponent on the presidential elections. So they 1678 01:32:05,600 --> 01:32:10,400 Speaker 1: created a class of big property owners who supposed to 1679 01:32:10,880 --> 01:32:15,280 Speaker 1: UH support grip of the power Yels. And they did it. 1680 01:32:15,960 --> 01:32:19,400 Speaker 1: But when the second term of Fields was over, they 1681 01:32:20,160 --> 01:32:24,679 Speaker 1: thought who will protect the interest further. So the third 1682 01:32:24,720 --> 01:32:28,360 Speaker 1: milestone was nineteen ninety nine when the oligarchs created to 1683 01:32:28,400 --> 01:32:33,640 Speaker 1: help ELS's regime UH explicitly chosen his successor. It was 1684 01:32:33,760 --> 01:32:38,080 Speaker 1: putting yes and the and the The next part of 1685 01:32:38,120 --> 01:32:44,920 Speaker 1: course UH growing uh inequality led to harder Greek political grip. 1686 01:32:45,320 --> 01:32:49,080 Speaker 1: So in in every in every election you see this 1687 01:32:49,400 --> 01:32:53,719 Speaker 1: UH conflict when there is a county that of power 1688 01:32:53,840 --> 01:32:58,559 Speaker 1: and content that of people who criticized them for corruption. 1689 01:32:58,800 --> 01:33:02,679 Speaker 1: So them growing in the quality calls to growing strength 1690 01:33:03,080 --> 01:33:06,719 Speaker 1: on the political system. So basically they didn't intend probably 1691 01:33:06,760 --> 01:33:10,800 Speaker 1: tituatorial power in Russia, but they needed it so it 1692 01:33:10,920 --> 01:33:14,400 Speaker 1: would keep the country political power. With growing in the 1693 01:33:14,439 --> 01:33:17,519 Speaker 1: quality in Russia which is now completely went on. So 1694 01:33:17,600 --> 01:33:19,680 Speaker 1: Igor this is this is an important story that I 1695 01:33:19,720 --> 01:33:22,800 Speaker 1: wanted people to hear because it's one that from the 1696 01:33:22,800 --> 01:33:25,840 Speaker 1: West people don't seem to really understand it into how 1697 01:33:26,120 --> 01:33:27,880 Speaker 1: exactly that happened. And I want to also be clear, 1698 01:33:27,920 --> 01:33:30,240 Speaker 1: you were against the war. You know, you're somebody who's 1699 01:33:30,400 --> 01:33:33,879 Speaker 1: risking yourself even by speaking to us against the regime. 1700 01:33:34,400 --> 01:33:38,519 Speaker 1: From the perspective of the US response to Russia at 1701 01:33:38,520 --> 01:33:42,000 Speaker 1: this time, given your understanding of the oligarchy of Putin 1702 01:33:42,080 --> 01:33:45,920 Speaker 1: and now living in Moscow yourself, how do you see 1703 01:33:45,960 --> 01:33:49,519 Speaker 1: the Western response being received by the population. Is it 1704 01:33:49,760 --> 01:33:52,880 Speaker 1: having the intended effect that we are trying, which is 1705 01:33:52,920 --> 01:33:56,320 Speaker 1: to basically punish the Russian people in the Russian oligarchs, 1706 01:33:56,560 --> 01:33:59,200 Speaker 1: and you know, back some sort of uprising against Putin. 1707 01:33:59,479 --> 01:34:01,640 Speaker 1: In terms of your day to day conversations, what do 1708 01:34:01,680 --> 01:34:04,920 Speaker 1: you see happening on the ground there right now, Well, 1709 01:34:04,960 --> 01:34:09,160 Speaker 1: on the ground people of course see mostly what Russia 1710 01:34:09,160 --> 01:34:13,400 Speaker 1: propaganda showed there, and it shows the economic assault from 1711 01:34:13,439 --> 01:34:17,080 Speaker 1: the West and basically the whole propaganda that was mostly 1712 01:34:18,080 --> 01:34:21,040 Speaker 1: how do they say, we were told that we lived 1713 01:34:21,120 --> 01:34:24,360 Speaker 1: in Weimar Republic before the moment, but now we really 1714 01:34:24,439 --> 01:34:27,040 Speaker 1: were built in the conditions of Weymar Republic when the 1715 01:34:27,160 --> 01:34:31,360 Speaker 1: West is acting like winners and trying to punish Russia 1716 01:34:31,439 --> 01:34:35,360 Speaker 1: for its existence. So basically all the propaganda put right 1717 01:34:35,400 --> 01:34:39,639 Speaker 1: now being justified in the eyes of normal people. Normal 1718 01:34:39,680 --> 01:34:44,760 Speaker 1: people see this sudden and fast economic assault of Russia 1719 01:34:44,960 --> 01:34:50,320 Speaker 1: than when companies withdraw from Russia and made people unemployed. So, uh, 1720 01:34:50,720 --> 01:34:56,920 Speaker 1: prices are going up. It's not extremely high, but it's noticeable. 1721 01:34:57,320 --> 01:35:00,280 Speaker 1: But all of it, all of it. You can say 1722 01:35:00,320 --> 01:35:04,760 Speaker 1: in a way that Putting was laid down the conditions 1723 01:35:04,800 --> 01:35:08,040 Speaker 1: for this moment for whole twenty years. For whole twenty 1724 01:35:08,120 --> 01:35:12,320 Speaker 1: years he was taking control over political system on the 1725 01:35:12,360 --> 01:35:17,520 Speaker 1: one kind, and on another count, he was saint Russia propaganda. 1726 01:35:17,920 --> 01:35:21,760 Speaker 1: The West intended to destroy Russia at this moment. So 1727 01:35:21,840 --> 01:35:25,120 Speaker 1: right now we have the situation when West actually tried 1728 01:35:25,200 --> 01:35:31,440 Speaker 1: to destroy Russian economy, and we have no internal instruments 1729 01:35:31,479 --> 01:35:35,000 Speaker 1: to challenge Putting in any way. So he's completely out 1730 01:35:35,040 --> 01:35:38,479 Speaker 1: of touch not only the most population of Russia, but 1731 01:35:39,120 --> 01:35:42,760 Speaker 1: with the broader circle of his support, this famous one 1732 01:35:42,800 --> 01:35:49,360 Speaker 1: percent highest ranking families, early families in Russia. They are 1733 01:35:49,840 --> 01:35:53,400 Speaker 1: not controlling Putting as well, so he is we have 1734 01:35:53,720 --> 01:36:00,679 Speaker 1: no meaning to means to influence influence russ and politics 1735 01:36:00,720 --> 01:36:04,479 Speaker 1: from the inside, and we all under a economic assault 1736 01:36:04,560 --> 01:36:07,680 Speaker 1: from the outside, so we have no holds time for this. 1737 01:36:08,240 --> 01:36:10,599 Speaker 1: So in a sense, so in a sense, what you're 1738 01:36:10,600 --> 01:36:15,120 Speaker 1: saying is that the economic sanctions which have been imposed, 1739 01:36:15,120 --> 01:36:17,920 Speaker 1: the indiscriminate ones that have hurt the Russian population, have 1740 01:36:18,000 --> 01:36:21,400 Speaker 1: in a sense validated the argument that Putin has been 1741 01:36:21,439 --> 01:36:23,960 Speaker 1: making to the population that hey, the West is on 1742 01:36:24,120 --> 01:36:26,200 Speaker 1: to get us, that West is out to destroy Russia. 1743 01:36:26,560 --> 01:36:29,559 Speaker 1: And now you have that, so it became a self 1744 01:36:29,840 --> 01:36:35,120 Speaker 1: fulfilling prophesytion, right. So one thing, yes, one thing I 1745 01:36:35,120 --> 01:36:37,160 Speaker 1: wanted to ask you about Igor is you know there's 1746 01:36:37,200 --> 01:36:40,280 Speaker 1: a lot of focus on the oligarchs. Of course, you 1747 01:36:40,320 --> 01:36:43,360 Speaker 1: know that term only gets applied to Russians. It seems 1748 01:36:43,400 --> 01:36:45,320 Speaker 1: like we have our own oligarchs here that don't seem 1749 01:36:45,400 --> 01:36:47,880 Speaker 1: to get the same treatment. But there's a lot of 1750 01:36:48,000 --> 01:36:50,439 Speaker 1: focus on Hey, if we sanction the oligarchs, they're the 1751 01:36:50,520 --> 01:36:52,680 Speaker 1: ones who are closest to Putin, They're the ones who 1752 01:36:52,760 --> 01:36:55,439 Speaker 1: actually could be in a position to put pressure on him. 1753 01:36:55,720 --> 01:36:59,599 Speaker 1: There has been the sanctions after twenty fourteen were sort 1754 01:36:59,600 --> 01:37:01,439 Speaker 1: of less significant. It was like, well, we'll put your 1755 01:37:01,520 --> 01:37:03,679 Speaker 1: name on a list, but there wasn't this concerted effort 1756 01:37:03,720 --> 01:37:05,320 Speaker 1: to We're going to go after your yachts, We're going 1757 01:37:05,400 --> 01:37:08,400 Speaker 1: to keep kicking out of your fancy London apartments. There's 1758 01:37:08,439 --> 01:37:11,760 Speaker 1: a little bit more of that going on. Do you 1759 01:37:11,840 --> 01:37:15,680 Speaker 1: think that that has any chance to succeed? Yeah, thank you. 1760 01:37:15,760 --> 01:37:20,880 Speaker 1: That's why I started with this historic reference, because even 1761 01:37:21,000 --> 01:37:24,719 Speaker 1: if they want to put pressure on pushing, the reason 1762 01:37:24,720 --> 01:37:28,519 Speaker 1: why Putchin was created, this region was created to prevent 1763 01:37:28,800 --> 01:37:33,120 Speaker 1: them communists and leftists from getting back in power in Russia. 1764 01:37:33,200 --> 01:37:36,400 Speaker 1: And right now, when we have this level of inequality 1765 01:37:36,720 --> 01:37:40,839 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty, by criticalist data, it was one percent 1766 01:37:40,880 --> 01:37:45,560 Speaker 1: of registruction control fifty seven percent of common share of economy, 1767 01:37:45,880 --> 01:37:51,840 Speaker 1: so one percent over half of economy. And even if 1768 01:37:51,880 --> 01:37:54,880 Speaker 1: they try, even if they won't, even if they succeed 1769 01:37:55,200 --> 01:38:00,000 Speaker 1: to change Putchin overthrow, putting even the softest COO possible, 1770 01:38:00,200 --> 01:38:03,719 Speaker 1: it will be hard to what's next. All the parties, 1771 01:38:03,800 --> 01:38:08,040 Speaker 1: all the political forces that were criticizing growing in equality 1772 01:38:08,160 --> 01:38:14,639 Speaker 1: in Russia, they will attack them. And they are understand 1773 01:38:14,640 --> 01:38:18,040 Speaker 1: they understand it. They afraid of Bolshevism. They're afraid of 1774 01:38:18,160 --> 01:38:20,839 Speaker 1: this scary word Bolsheviks. You don't hear it from Russia. 1775 01:38:20,880 --> 01:38:24,759 Speaker 1: But the only context I hear it in Russia actually 1776 01:38:25,000 --> 01:38:28,720 Speaker 1: when sometimes in some conversation reach people among themselves or TV, 1777 01:38:29,200 --> 01:38:33,479 Speaker 1: they say that basically they're afraid that Bolsheviks will come 1778 01:38:33,520 --> 01:38:36,360 Speaker 1: back and take everything from them. I mean Bolsheviks won't 1779 01:38:36,400 --> 01:38:39,400 Speaker 1: come back, but the idea that they will be punished 1780 01:38:39,680 --> 01:38:43,840 Speaker 1: because it's impossible to rob the country for thirty years 1781 01:38:43,880 --> 01:38:49,240 Speaker 1: straight and don't have a pig population that demands an 1782 01:38:49,320 --> 01:38:53,000 Speaker 1: answered for them and some accountability from them. It's impossible, 1783 01:38:53,240 --> 01:38:56,880 Speaker 1: so they're afraid of it. They understand that how little 1784 01:38:56,960 --> 01:38:59,519 Speaker 1: they have is putting. They still be billionaires, they still 1785 01:38:59,520 --> 01:39:02,200 Speaker 1: be billion there, they still be flying all around the world, 1786 01:39:02,280 --> 01:39:04,720 Speaker 1: they still be a little much better than ninety nine 1787 01:39:04,760 --> 01:39:07,880 Speaker 1: percent of the Russian population. They understand it. And if 1788 01:39:08,000 --> 01:39:13,240 Speaker 1: putting grief on power shutters, they are very likely to 1789 01:39:13,280 --> 01:39:17,360 Speaker 1: lose everything, not only their property but also many their freedom. 1790 01:39:17,640 --> 01:39:20,400 Speaker 1: And they understand it. So that's why you have to 1791 01:39:20,800 --> 01:39:22,640 Speaker 1: put it in the context and look back in the 1792 01:39:22,680 --> 01:39:25,559 Speaker 1: nineteen ninety six when there was a close election between 1793 01:39:25,600 --> 01:39:28,479 Speaker 1: Borisias liberal country Dat and can is a gun of 1794 01:39:28,479 --> 01:39:30,880 Speaker 1: communist conty Dat. I mean it's I'm not a fan 1795 01:39:30,960 --> 01:39:37,480 Speaker 1: of a Russian Communist Party. But even this them determine 1796 01:39:37,479 --> 01:39:40,840 Speaker 1: power is a scared of proposition for oligarchy. So my question, 1797 01:39:40,920 --> 01:39:44,960 Speaker 1: die Igor, then, is is there any domestic pressure right now, 1798 01:39:45,160 --> 01:39:47,439 Speaker 1: real one to end the war? We see here in 1799 01:39:47,479 --> 01:39:51,639 Speaker 1: the West the TV anchor, courageous people like yourselves who 1800 01:39:51,640 --> 01:39:54,960 Speaker 1: are willing to speak out, tens of thousands of protesters 1801 01:39:55,280 --> 01:39:58,800 Speaker 1: that have been arrested. But on a realistic basis, how 1802 01:39:58,840 --> 01:40:00,920 Speaker 1: do you think that the Russian pop relation feels right 1803 01:40:00,920 --> 01:40:06,240 Speaker 1: now about the war. On the realistic basics, I have 1804 01:40:06,360 --> 01:40:09,240 Speaker 1: to talk with my mother, and I have to not 1805 01:40:09,280 --> 01:40:12,879 Speaker 1: to talk with my mother on the war anymore, because 1806 01:40:13,240 --> 01:40:16,679 Speaker 1: she is said to me that I basically translated best 1807 01:40:16,680 --> 01:40:20,760 Speaker 1: for propaganda to her, and she because you see, for 1808 01:40:20,800 --> 01:40:26,560 Speaker 1: twenty years Russian propaganda built almost emotional, almost personal relationship 1809 01:40:26,800 --> 01:40:30,439 Speaker 1: between Putting a majority of Russian population. So when I'm 1810 01:40:30,479 --> 01:40:36,439 Speaker 1: saying that, basically saying the softest possible stuff, not the 1811 01:40:36,479 --> 01:40:39,599 Speaker 1: hard stuff about what's going on in Ukraine, she responds 1812 01:40:39,600 --> 01:40:42,120 Speaker 1: to me that Putting Putting she knows couldn't do that, 1813 01:40:42,600 --> 01:40:46,759 Speaker 1: That she gook his minister of Defense, secretor of defense, 1814 01:40:47,160 --> 01:40:50,559 Speaker 1: she couldn't do that. Those people couldn't do this, therefore, 1815 01:40:50,640 --> 01:40:55,439 Speaker 1: just this must be wise. So that's people who condition 1816 01:40:55,560 --> 01:41:02,280 Speaker 1: to basically have this private relationship parasocial relationship with decision, 1817 01:41:02,680 --> 01:41:08,040 Speaker 1: so they can't believe it. What are the what are 1818 01:41:08,080 --> 01:41:10,840 Speaker 1: the propaganda channels saying? What are they saying right now 1819 01:41:11,040 --> 01:41:13,439 Speaker 1: about what is actually happening in Ukraine? Because I know 1820 01:41:13,479 --> 01:41:16,479 Speaker 1: it's special military operation. You're not allowed to say the 1821 01:41:16,520 --> 01:41:18,559 Speaker 1: words invasion, you're not allowed to say the words war. 1822 01:41:19,000 --> 01:41:21,599 Speaker 1: So what are they telling the population is actually happening 1823 01:41:21,600 --> 01:41:25,760 Speaker 1: on the ground in Ukraine right now? Well, basically I 1824 01:41:25,760 --> 01:41:28,760 Speaker 1: don't follow close to Russian propaganda, it's too toxic. So 1825 01:41:29,240 --> 01:41:34,080 Speaker 1: but my mom basically the main source of Russian propaganda. 1826 01:41:34,160 --> 01:41:36,719 Speaker 1: So basically I told you the story. She believed that 1827 01:41:36,840 --> 01:41:40,839 Speaker 1: it was an attempt to help people of Donbas region 1828 01:41:41,439 --> 01:41:47,519 Speaker 1: because they were bombed by Ukrainian government and Russia intended 1829 01:41:47,680 --> 01:41:51,120 Speaker 1: peacekeeping missions and now it's being punished by the West 1830 01:41:52,040 --> 01:41:55,719 Speaker 1: for the attempt of peacekeeping in Ukraine. That's the story 1831 01:41:55,800 --> 01:41:58,360 Speaker 1: that my mother tells me. There's a story that she 1832 01:41:58,520 --> 01:42:03,280 Speaker 1: learned from the state TV. Any of the reports of 1833 01:42:03,479 --> 01:42:07,280 Speaker 1: military losses and deaths of Russian soldiers, I mean, nobody 1834 01:42:07,320 --> 01:42:09,599 Speaker 1: knows exactly what the numbers are there, But is any 1835 01:42:09,640 --> 01:42:15,680 Speaker 1: of that making filtering its way home? Last time I 1836 01:42:15,760 --> 01:42:19,920 Speaker 1: heard it was publicized about five hundred dead. It was 1837 01:42:19,960 --> 01:42:25,559 Speaker 1: a thick or two ago, and since then I didn't 1838 01:42:25,560 --> 01:42:31,120 Speaker 1: hear any updates. But of course it's uh, it's hard 1839 01:42:31,160 --> 01:42:34,439 Speaker 1: to make out of it because Ukrainians also keep their 1840 01:42:35,080 --> 01:42:38,040 Speaker 1: casualties close to them. Also, it was around the same time, 1841 01:42:38,080 --> 01:42:42,879 Speaker 1: but Karans acknowledged day they're the casualties in the Russian 1842 01:42:42,880 --> 01:42:46,960 Speaker 1: Minister of Defense acknowledged our casualtists. It's called five hundred dead. 1843 01:42:47,479 --> 01:42:51,280 Speaker 1: And since then there was no update the time over, updates, 1844 01:42:51,320 --> 01:42:53,880 Speaker 1: official dates, the time overgor Let me ask you this 1845 01:42:54,080 --> 01:42:57,519 Speaker 1: is there is there a situation that Putin could say 1846 01:42:58,040 --> 01:43:01,360 Speaker 1: at home to accept some sort of peace steel as in, 1847 01:43:01,600 --> 01:43:04,960 Speaker 1: given the propaganda right now, if Putin were to say, 1848 01:43:05,200 --> 01:43:09,599 Speaker 1: we demilitarized Ukraine, they agreed on NATO, it's over, We've 1849 01:43:09,640 --> 01:43:12,360 Speaker 1: signed the peace steel. Do you see that as possible 1850 01:43:12,760 --> 01:43:15,360 Speaker 1: given the state of Russian propaganda or are they preparing 1851 01:43:15,400 --> 01:43:19,479 Speaker 1: the people for years long war campaign at home? I 1852 01:43:19,520 --> 01:43:23,040 Speaker 1: think no, they won't prepare for that. And I've been 1853 01:43:23,520 --> 01:43:27,960 Speaker 1: as critical of put as gets. I didn't expect as 1854 01:43:28,000 --> 01:43:32,280 Speaker 1: many of the people the actual invasion, and I completely 1855 01:43:32,400 --> 01:43:34,920 Speaker 1: acknowledged that I was in denial because all the parks 1856 01:43:34,920 --> 01:43:37,640 Speaker 1: were before us. But I was in denial about that 1857 01:43:37,720 --> 01:43:40,400 Speaker 1: as most people, we weren't prepared for that. And I 1858 01:43:40,439 --> 01:43:45,000 Speaker 1: can tell assured that all the people who against this 1859 01:43:46,320 --> 01:43:51,479 Speaker 1: special operation or for it, there will be unanimous style 1860 01:43:51,640 --> 01:43:56,479 Speaker 1: relief when it stops for different reasons, but I'm pretty 1861 01:43:56,479 --> 01:44:00,120 Speaker 1: sure that will be unanimous side sided relief because it's 1862 01:44:00,160 --> 01:44:04,559 Speaker 1: hitting hard people who against invasion. It's hitting hard people 1863 01:44:04,720 --> 01:44:08,519 Speaker 1: who pro support on Bus. But still they understand that 1864 01:44:09,160 --> 01:44:13,519 Speaker 1: casualties are growing up and the work against us. That 1865 01:44:13,840 --> 01:44:18,000 Speaker 1: not what people who even brought into this whole narrative 1866 01:44:18,040 --> 01:44:21,519 Speaker 1: about helping the bus, uh, that not what they expected. 1867 01:44:21,560 --> 01:44:24,120 Speaker 1: They didn't expect it will come with such price. So 1868 01:44:24,360 --> 01:44:28,560 Speaker 1: I believe that the end of this fighting will be 1869 01:44:28,840 --> 01:44:34,080 Speaker 1: met with approval general, major approval in Russian people, but 1870 01:44:36,400 --> 01:44:40,080 Speaker 1: not really because we have a delivered system which for 1871 01:44:40,160 --> 01:44:44,960 Speaker 1: twenty years was built with explicit purpose not to be 1872 01:44:45,280 --> 01:44:51,880 Speaker 1: influenced by any major sentiment in Russia. It close to 1873 01:44:51,960 --> 01:44:55,439 Speaker 1: the dilitary state in that sense. So right now it's 1874 01:44:56,160 --> 01:45:01,080 Speaker 1: much more important what is going on in the woll circle. Right. Basically, 1875 01:45:01,560 --> 01:45:06,599 Speaker 1: I don't believe in a role his person in history powerful. 1876 01:45:06,920 --> 01:45:11,240 Speaker 1: I believe in historical materials and that history conditions by 1877 01:45:11,280 --> 01:45:16,280 Speaker 1: global processes. But sometimes due to this global processes, you 1878 01:45:16,360 --> 01:45:22,000 Speaker 1: have this these pockets of power. When one person putting 1879 01:45:22,080 --> 01:45:26,320 Speaker 1: this power, this pocket of it's far from of power. UH, 1880 01:45:28,120 --> 01:45:31,800 Speaker 1: means a lot because the conditions that were created that 1881 01:45:32,160 --> 01:45:36,880 Speaker 1: one person mind uh namely put in this situation means 1882 01:45:36,920 --> 01:45:40,040 Speaker 1: a lot because he was put in these conditions, these 1883 01:45:40,080 --> 01:45:44,640 Speaker 1: conditions and eager last last question for you speak to 1884 01:45:44,840 --> 01:45:47,200 Speaker 1: the political climate in terms of you know, we've been 1885 01:45:47,240 --> 01:45:50,599 Speaker 1: tracking the laws that have been passed incredibly draconian against 1886 01:45:50,640 --> 01:45:52,400 Speaker 1: being able to speak on against the war. We've been 1887 01:45:52,439 --> 01:45:54,640 Speaker 1: following the arrests that have been going on. I know 1888 01:45:54,720 --> 01:45:56,880 Speaker 1: your boyfriend was one of those who was arrested at 1889 01:45:56,880 --> 01:46:00,200 Speaker 1: an anti war protest. So what is that climate like? 1890 01:46:00,360 --> 01:46:03,360 Speaker 1: And frankly, you know, are you concerned about speaking to 1891 01:46:03,479 --> 01:46:08,360 Speaker 1: us and what could the potential repercussions be for you directly? Well, 1892 01:46:08,479 --> 01:46:13,880 Speaker 1: the infamous law about fake news that basically criminalized open 1893 01:46:14,960 --> 01:46:20,160 Speaker 1: critique of the militia reparation in Ukraine. Uh, it was 1894 01:46:21,360 --> 01:46:25,800 Speaker 1: the most utalitarian law that we heard like I don't 1895 01:46:25,800 --> 01:46:30,080 Speaker 1: know since Soviet times, and it was heard loud, loudly 1896 01:46:30,240 --> 01:46:34,799 Speaker 1: career around Plorussia. It's actually funny story. My boyfriend largely 1897 01:46:35,240 --> 01:46:39,400 Speaker 1: in a political and I am a political person, but 1898 01:46:39,760 --> 01:46:44,080 Speaker 1: we both get calls from our mothers there after this 1899 01:46:44,280 --> 01:46:48,720 Speaker 1: law was implemented with warning, don't say much about this 1900 01:46:48,840 --> 01:46:52,679 Speaker 1: scene in Ukraine. So my mother she knows that I'm political, 1901 01:46:52,800 --> 01:46:56,519 Speaker 1: so she wanted me because of that. My boyfriend's mother 1902 01:46:56,920 --> 01:47:02,280 Speaker 1: she uh, she wasn't ever political before, so yet she 1903 01:47:02,439 --> 01:47:05,240 Speaker 1: called him and said the same thing. So it was 1904 01:47:05,600 --> 01:47:08,760 Speaker 1: heard a loud clearly by the people of Russia, and 1905 01:47:08,960 --> 01:47:13,759 Speaker 1: it costs many of the prominent Russia It dependent liberal 1906 01:47:13,880 --> 01:47:19,040 Speaker 1: outlets to close basically in one day after decades, sometimes 1907 01:47:19,280 --> 01:47:24,080 Speaker 1: thirty years of work. So because it's a really harsh low. 1908 01:47:24,160 --> 01:47:28,040 Speaker 1: So right now Russia live under a military in the 1909 01:47:28,360 --> 01:47:32,599 Speaker 1: informational space, we live under military conditions right now. Well, Igor, 1910 01:47:32,800 --> 01:47:35,160 Speaker 1: you're a tremendously brave man in order to join us. 1911 01:47:35,160 --> 01:47:37,439 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for giving us this perspective. And 1912 01:47:37,520 --> 01:47:39,360 Speaker 1: if anything happens to you, I can assure you that 1913 01:47:39,439 --> 01:47:41,200 Speaker 1: we will be doing everything in our power here at 1914 01:47:41,240 --> 01:47:44,120 Speaker 1: the show in order to bring attention to that. I actually, 1915 01:47:44,240 --> 01:47:49,680 Speaker 1: I actually would like to add add some historical proposition 1916 01:47:50,000 --> 01:47:53,760 Speaker 1: from this what I'm starting to say about Germany conditions 1917 01:47:53,920 --> 01:47:58,200 Speaker 1: one way after the First World War and another complete 1918 01:47:58,200 --> 01:48:00,600 Speaker 1: and another way after Second World War. I think we 1919 01:48:00,680 --> 01:48:04,320 Speaker 1: can't do much about what's going on right now. Literally 1920 01:48:04,439 --> 01:48:08,240 Speaker 1: no one can even West, you know, throwing this down 1921 01:48:08,280 --> 01:48:12,879 Speaker 1: from the sanctions, UH basically acknowledge this. They are published 1922 01:48:13,600 --> 01:48:17,920 Speaker 1: in the situation. But we must think what to do next, 1923 01:48:18,080 --> 01:48:22,040 Speaker 1: and what to do next? What shouldn't be organization of Russia, 1924 01:48:22,120 --> 01:48:25,760 Speaker 1: shouldn't be urm Russia in in the worldst conditions and 1925 01:48:25,960 --> 01:48:30,880 Speaker 1: actually way republic about some kind of Marshall plan Marshall 1926 01:48:30,920 --> 01:48:35,960 Speaker 1: plan to help Russia and Ukraine both when uh, this 1927 01:48:36,479 --> 01:48:39,880 Speaker 1: stration over, when this political station changes, when they will 1928 01:48:39,920 --> 01:48:44,240 Speaker 1: be opening to change political station, not to punish this 1929 01:48:44,479 --> 01:48:47,840 Speaker 1: part of the world, not to try to build an 1930 01:48:47,880 --> 01:48:50,479 Speaker 1: iron curtain, and forget about that, because it will be 1931 01:48:50,479 --> 01:48:53,800 Speaker 1: impossible to forget. And in the question I would ask 1932 01:48:54,200 --> 01:48:56,800 Speaker 1: Western political leaders right now, what do you think how 1933 01:48:57,040 --> 01:49:00,000 Speaker 1: this situation right now actions will play out in ten years. 1934 01:49:00,640 --> 01:49:03,640 Speaker 1: I'm prea sure they have no answer, and we have 1935 01:49:03,800 --> 01:49:06,400 Speaker 1: the answer from history. Look at the history of ninety points, 1936 01:49:06,439 --> 01:49:09,839 Speaker 1: you'll know that it will bite back and much harder. 1937 01:49:10,720 --> 01:49:13,400 Speaker 1: So you can you can cut Russia loose even if 1938 01:49:13,439 --> 01:49:17,080 Speaker 1: you try so. When they work over, yes, when they 1939 01:49:17,120 --> 01:49:21,599 Speaker 1: were over, When the political station allows some changes, Russia 1940 01:49:21,720 --> 01:49:25,599 Speaker 1: and Ukraine should be met, uh, the world with health, 1941 01:49:25,720 --> 01:49:30,519 Speaker 1: with support, with the money, with institutions, with the everything 1942 01:49:31,040 --> 01:49:34,519 Speaker 1: you can help to rebuild, not to shop another shop 1943 01:49:34,600 --> 01:49:38,519 Speaker 1: traphy or iron girded at one port and we already 1944 01:49:38,760 --> 01:49:42,400 Speaker 1: right now we see that it doesn't work. Yeah, I 1945 01:49:42,479 --> 01:49:45,760 Speaker 1: think those are very wise words. We were nervous about 1946 01:49:45,800 --> 01:49:48,880 Speaker 1: you talking to us, but you insisted that you wanted 1947 01:49:48,880 --> 01:49:52,439 Speaker 1: to do it, and we're extremely extremely grateful for your time. 1948 01:49:52,439 --> 01:49:56,439 Speaker 1: I'm gone, I'm going. I'm going to see what happens next. 1949 01:49:57,439 --> 01:50:01,920 Speaker 1: We are and guys, like I said before, Igor set 1950 01:50:02,000 --> 01:50:04,839 Speaker 1: up a Patreon and a substack. I've found his insights 1951 01:50:04,880 --> 01:50:07,400 Speaker 1: on what's going on really invaluable. So if you want 1952 01:50:07,400 --> 01:50:08,880 Speaker 1: to support him, if you want to follow him, go 1953 01:50:08,960 --> 01:50:11,559 Speaker 1: ahead and do that. We'll have the links in the description. Igor. 1954 01:50:11,640 --> 01:50:13,519 Speaker 1: Great to see, great to speak with you. Thanks you, Gore, 1955 01:50:13,640 --> 01:50:18,360 Speaker 1: Thank you very much for our pleasure. Wow, you know, 1956 01:50:18,880 --> 01:50:21,560 Speaker 1: just I don't know if I would put myself in 1957 01:50:21,680 --> 01:50:25,360 Speaker 1: that situation, facing arrest like that, But he's a strong man, 1958 01:50:25,760 --> 01:50:29,839 Speaker 1: strong in his convictions, really interesting perspective. It's so valuable 1959 01:50:29,880 --> 01:50:31,680 Speaker 1: to talk to somebody who's literally on the ground and 1960 01:50:31,720 --> 01:50:34,639 Speaker 1: facing arrest and can give us, you know, a perspective 1961 01:50:34,680 --> 01:50:36,720 Speaker 1: that you're probably just not going to hear anywhere else. 1962 01:50:36,840 --> 01:50:40,080 Speaker 1: And just thank you all so much for supporting us. Look, 1963 01:50:40,439 --> 01:50:42,320 Speaker 1: you know, what Egor is facing is not even close 1964 01:50:42,360 --> 01:50:44,240 Speaker 1: to anything in the United States, but we're facing you know, 1965 01:50:44,400 --> 01:50:47,560 Speaker 1: crazy censorious environment here too, So thank you all for 1966 01:50:47,640 --> 01:50:50,040 Speaker 1: your support. It enables us to be able to bring 1967 01:50:50,080 --> 01:50:52,479 Speaker 1: attention to people like him and all of that. So 1968 01:50:52,600 --> 01:50:54,639 Speaker 1: thanks very much, Love you guys, We'll see you soon.