1 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here 3 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 2: are the stories we're following today. 4 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:18,919 Speaker 3: Karen, we begin in Washington, where President Trump's massive tax 5 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:20,479 Speaker 3: and spending cut bill is now. 6 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 4: Back before the House. 7 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 3: The legislation barely passed the Senate with a tie breaking 8 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 3: vote from Vice President jd Vance, but now it's running 9 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 3: into resistance from Republicans who don't like some of the 10 00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 3: changes to the bill. House Speaker Mike Johnson says he's 11 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:35,560 Speaker 3: not surprised. 12 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:37,840 Speaker 5: We knew we would come to this moment. We knew 13 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 5: the Senate would amend the House product. I encouraged him 14 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 5: to amend it as lightly as possible. They went a 15 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:48,879 Speaker 5: little further than many of us would have preferred. 16 00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:51,599 Speaker 3: House Speaker Mike Johnson says moderates in his caucus are 17 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 3: worried about the scale of Medicaid cuts, while ultra conservatives 18 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 3: are vowing to oppose the bill over its deficit impact. 19 00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 3: President Trump is calling resistant republicans grand standards. GOP leaders 20 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 3: hope to vote on the bill today to get it 21 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:06,480 Speaker 3: to the President's desk by the end of the week. 22 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 2: Meanwhile, Nathan. There's just one week left until President Trump's 23 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:13,479 Speaker 2: July ninth deadline to raise tariff rates on dozens of countries. 24 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 2: The President says he's not considering any delays, and he's 25 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,080 Speaker 2: renewing his threat to cut off talks and impose higher 26 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:22,839 Speaker 2: rates on several nations, including Japan. President Trump is sounding 27 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:25,839 Speaker 2: more optimistic about reaching a deal with India. He says 28 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:28,960 Speaker 2: it's possible to lower the country's tariffs if India allows 29 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:31,120 Speaker 2: US companies to compete in its market. 30 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 4: Let's turned to new developments in the Middle East. Karen. 31 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:36,199 Speaker 3: President Trump says Israel's agreed to terms for a sixty 32 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 3: day ceasefire in Gazap. He's warning Hamas to accept the 33 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 3: deal before conditions get worse. But Bloomberg Jerusalem reporter Dan 34 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 3: Williams says there is no sign the militant's group position 35 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 3: has changed. 36 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 6: It would appear its conditions remain firm. Those conditions are 37 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 6: for full as ready withdrawal or actually, more precisely, and 38 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 6: this really declaration that this war is over with a 39 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 6: full withdrawal of troops and tanks from the gods strip effects. 40 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 6: We hum us once a guarantee that once it delivers 41 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 6: all the hostages it still holds some fifty people, then 42 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:11,399 Speaker 6: it will be effectively provided immunity from an Israeli offensive 43 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 6: design from the outset to topple it from power and 44 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 6: to disarm it. 45 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Dan Williams says Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahoo plans 46 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 3: to visit the White House next week. 47 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:24,800 Speaker 2: As for the war in u Ukraine and Nathan, the 48 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 2: Trump administration has halted weapons transfers to Kiev as Russia's 49 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:32,239 Speaker 2: attacks intensify. The White House confirmed or report from Politico, 50 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 2: which said the Pentagon's under Secretary for Policy spearheaded the 51 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 2: move on concerns US stockpiles had run too low. The 52 00:02:39,360 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 2: move comes days after Russia launched its heaviest attack yet 53 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 2: over the weekend, a record five hundred and thirty seven 54 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:48,840 Speaker 2: drones and missiles fired across Ukraine. Following the weapons review, 55 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 2: the White House issued a statement saying, this strength of 56 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:55,399 Speaker 2: US armed forces remains unquestioned. Just ask you run. 57 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 4: Certain markets now. 58 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:59,799 Speaker 3: Karen futures are higher just a bit ahead of to 59 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 3: my Irro's key jobs report, FED Chair J. Powell says 60 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 3: the Central Bank would likely have already cut interest rates 61 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 3: this year if not for President Trump's use of tariffs. 62 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 4: Powell spoke at the European Central Bank Forum in Central Portugal. 63 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 7: In effect, we went on hold when we saw the 64 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:19,079 Speaker 7: size of the tariffs and where and essentially all inflation 65 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 7: forecasts for the United States went up materially as a 66 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 7: consequence of the. 67 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 4: Tariffs and remarks heard live here on Bloomberg. 68 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 3: Fed Shair Jay Powell said he's focused on maintaining the 69 00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 3: Fed's duel mandate despite political pressure to move on rates. 70 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 4: The fed's next rate decision is July thirtieth. 71 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 2: Nathan, We're keeping an eye on bank shares this morning 72 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 2: after Wall Street's biggest lenders boosted their dividends, and we 73 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 2: bring in Bloomberg's John Tucker with more. 74 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 4: John, Good Morning, Good morning Caring. 75 00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 8: JP morgan Chase, Goldman, Sachs, and Bank of America among 76 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 8: the big Wall Street lenders that are raising their quarterly 77 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 8: payouts now. This payday for investors also includes a fifty 78 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 8: billion dollars share buyback from JP morgan Chase. The move 79 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:01,360 Speaker 8: comes after the bank's pass that's the annual FED stress 80 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 8: test product at a two thousand and eight financial crisis, 81 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 8: The Fed's exam sets the tone for how aggressive banks 82 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 8: are in returning capital to shareholders. All twenty two banks 83 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:15,840 Speaker 8: comfortably passed after determining they could withstand more than five 84 00:04:15,920 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 8: hundred and fifty billion dollars in losses if some financial 85 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 8: disaster took place. The FED said the results showed that 86 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 8: the large banks are well positioned to weather a severe recession. 87 00:04:26,440 --> 00:04:28,719 Speaker 8: It's important to know if the test didn't get easier 88 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 8: this time around. Among the shares trading this morning pre market, 89 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:35,040 Speaker 8: JP Morgan Chase up one half of a percent. I'm 90 00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 8: John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. 91 00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 3: All right, John, thanks for also watching shares of Senteen 92 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:42,479 Speaker 3: this morning. They are plunging nearly twenty six percent. The 93 00:04:42,560 --> 00:04:46,840 Speaker 3: Health INSURAN polled its twenty twenty five guidance centen focuses 94 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 3: mostly on Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act insurance marketplaces. 95 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 3: It says in early analysis of data showed a significant 96 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:54,160 Speaker 3: revenue hit. 97 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 2: Nathan Tesla delivers his latest quarterly sales report later this morning. 98 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 2: Analyst expected to teve percent drop from last year. The 99 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 2: stock is off to a rough start for the third quarter, 100 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:07,520 Speaker 2: with Elon Musk and President Trump renewing their feud over 101 00:05:07,560 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 2: the tax and Spending cut Bill. Tesla shareslaw more than 102 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 2: five percent yesterday. They're hired this morning up one percent. 103 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 3: And Karen Paramount Globals reached a settlement with the President 104 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 3: over his lawsuit alleging election interference by CBS News. The 105 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:25,279 Speaker 3: network showed two versions of a sixty minutes interview with 106 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 3: then Vice President Kamala Harris back in October. Paramount agreed 107 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 3: to pay sixteen million dollars including plaintiff's fees, with the 108 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:34,840 Speaker 3: rest going to a future presidential library. President Trump was 109 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 3: seeking twenty billion dollars. No money will go to him directly, 110 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 3: but this deal is seen as critical for Paramount to 111 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 3: gain federal approval for its pending merger with Skydance Media. 112 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 2: Time now for a look at some of their stories 113 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 2: making news in New York and around the world, and 114 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 2: for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. 115 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 4: Michael, Good Morning, Good morning, Karen. 116 00:05:56,520 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 9: A federal jury deliberating the fate of music mogul Sean 117 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 9: Diddy Combs in New York will returned for a third 118 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 9: day of deliberations today. The jury reached verdicts Tuesday on 119 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:10,000 Speaker 9: all but one of the five counts. The hip hop 120 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 9: mogul faces the top charge of racketeering conspiracy. The judge 121 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:18,240 Speaker 9: ordered the jury to continue deliberating. Robert Mintz is a 122 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 9: partner at McCarter and English and spoke with Bloomberg Law 123 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:23,279 Speaker 9: host June Grosso. 124 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 10: It would suggest that perhaps they have found unanimity on 125 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 10: the other charges in the sense that they have returned 126 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 10: a guilty verdict. That would be probably what most prosecutors 127 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:38,799 Speaker 10: would read into that decision, but we won't know until 128 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 10: the verdict is actually read in open court. 129 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:45,039 Speaker 9: Robert Mintz with Macarter in English, speaking with Bloomberg Law 130 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:49,240 Speaker 9: host June Grosso. The jury's partial verdict remains under wraps 131 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:52,600 Speaker 9: for now. Brian Coberger has agreed to plead guilty to 132 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 9: murdering four University of idahost students as part of a 133 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:59,359 Speaker 9: deal with the prosecutors to avoid the death penalty. A 134 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:03,040 Speaker 9: change of place hearing is set for today. The thirty 135 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 9: year old Coburger is accused in the stabbing debts at 136 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 9: a rental home near campus in Moscow, Idaho, in November 137 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 9: of twenty twenty two. The police has deeply divided the victims' families. 138 00:07:15,400 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 9: Steve Consalvis The father of one of the victims, Kailey Consalvas, 139 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 9: says he is strongly against it. 140 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 11: Shut up and get on board and deal with it. 141 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 11: That's really what they told. They failed me, They failed 142 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 11: my whole family. It's our children. How can you How 143 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 11: can you say it's just when you haven't even talked 144 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:36,720 Speaker 11: to us to see what justice looks like. 145 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 9: The other victims included Ethan Chapin, xanak Coordinidle, and Madison Mogulden. 146 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 9: The Trump administration is holding back close to seven billion 147 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 9: dollars in support of students learning English, summer programs and 148 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 9: after school programs. The Education Department is notified state education 149 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 9: agencies that the funds would not be available. Little explanation 150 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 9: has been given as to state officials are expected to 151 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:05,679 Speaker 9: challenge the moves as illegal. Global News twenty four hours 152 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 9: a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. 153 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 9: I'm Michael Barn. This is Bloomberg Carrot. 154 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 2: All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the 155 00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by Flushing Bank. Here's 156 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 2: John stash Hour, John, Good morning. 157 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:25,080 Speaker 12: Good morning, karreon Yankees play at Canada Day matinee in Toronto. 158 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 12: They led to nothing early, then trail four to two, 159 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:29,640 Speaker 12: tied the game top of the seventh inning, but in 160 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:33,079 Speaker 12: the bottom James re took the lead in We're hardly 161 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 12: done there. 162 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 4: George Springer is up. 163 00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 9: There is energy in this ballpark right. 164 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 4: Now center field. 165 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:42,640 Speaker 6: It's going. 166 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:49,319 Speaker 4: It is gone. What a see here at the Rogers Center. 167 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 4: George Springer with a clean slam. 168 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:56,720 Speaker 12: Took blow it open on TSN seven RBIs for Springer. 169 00:08:56,800 --> 00:08:59,920 Speaker 12: The Jays one by seven, twelve to five. They've won 170 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:02,240 Speaker 12: five to the last six, twenty one of thirty one. 171 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 12: The Yanks over the last two and a half weeks 172 00:09:04,400 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 12: just six and eleven in Toronto, only one game behind Tampa. 173 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:10,040 Speaker 12: Bay lost the race field by game and a half. 174 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 12: Rainouts throughout the Northeast. Mets and Brewers will now have 175 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 12: a city Field Day night doubleheader today, also post Plumman's 176 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:19,480 Speaker 12: in Philadelphia and Washington and Boston. The Red Sox led 177 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 12: the Reds two to one fourth inning when they couldn't finish. 178 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 12: They'll do so today. They'll start the second round at 179 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:27,839 Speaker 12: Wimbledon today. The first round saw four of the top 180 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,960 Speaker 12: nine seeds in both the men's and women's singles lose, 181 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:34,800 Speaker 12: including Coco Goff, who just won the French Open, Jess Pagoula, 182 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:37,560 Speaker 12: who just won the grass Court tune up in Germany. 183 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 12: Pegoula had not had a first round Grand Slam defeat 184 00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 12: since twenty twenty. Alex Savera had not had one since 185 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 12: twenty nineteen. 186 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:45,560 Speaker 4: He lost as well. 187 00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:48,400 Speaker 12: Miles Turner, with Indiana for a decade, just helped them 188 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 12: get to the finals, leaving the Pacers to sign with 189 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 12: the Bucks Milwaukee Wave. Damian Lillard he becomes a free agent. 190 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 12: He's unlikely to play next season due to his achilles injury. 191 00:09:58,320 --> 00:10:01,240 Speaker 12: Shay Gilgess Alexander that a season where he won the 192 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 12: scoring title, the regular season MVP and the finals MVP. 193 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 12: Only others to do that. Kareem Michael and Shaq Sga 194 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 12: cashing in super max deal with Oklahoma City that will 195 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:16,120 Speaker 12: pay him seventy one million dollars a year. 196 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:18,439 Speaker 4: John stash Elwer Bloomberg. 197 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 1: Sports Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide, on Serious 198 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 1: Exam and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com, and 199 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business album. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 200 00:10:30,920 --> 00:10:34,320 Speaker 3: Good Morning, I'm Nathan Hager, and President Donald Trump's One Big, 201 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:38,439 Speaker 3: Beautiful bill is running into new resistance from Republicans now 202 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 3: that it is back before the House with changes from 203 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 3: the Senate. House Speaker Mike Johnson says his members are 204 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 3: headed back to Washington though for a final vote that 205 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:49,400 Speaker 3: he hopes to pull off today. 206 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 5: They're on the way back. Of course, we have weather 207 00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:54,040 Speaker 5: delays all around the countries. There's seen lots of complications. 208 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 5: But welcome to Congress. 209 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:58,920 Speaker 3: Welcome to Congress, says House Speaker Mike Johnson. Joining us 210 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 3: now Bloomberg News Global Business editor Josh Galoo. You can 211 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:05,240 Speaker 3: have multiple meanings to welcome to Congress, just from the 212 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:07,440 Speaker 3: fact of seeing how the sausage is made. 213 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:10,200 Speaker 4: Josh, good morning. Is this a case of here we 214 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 4: go again with this bill? 215 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 13: It looks like it. You know, the House voted, of 216 00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 13: course in May on the initial bill, and then it 217 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 13: went to the Senate and had several changes, and every 218 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:28,840 Speaker 13: indication from some of the Republican holdouts, both from May 219 00:11:29,040 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 13: and since then that have been you know, some of 220 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:35,480 Speaker 13: the skeptics, every indication is that they're still against many 221 00:11:35,520 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 13: of the main provisions of this bill. So I think 222 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:42,959 Speaker 13: Johnson has a very very steep hill to climb today 223 00:11:43,280 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 13: if they're going to try and pass it. You know, 224 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 13: many of the ways that they're trying to pay for 225 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:54,560 Speaker 13: these big tax cuts hit programs like Medicaid or food 226 00:11:54,600 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 13: assistance programs that impact several constituents in republic in lawmakers' districts. 227 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:06,080 Speaker 13: So they're loath to get on board with something like that. 228 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:09,199 Speaker 13: And we'll have to see today. You know, it'll be 229 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:13,120 Speaker 13: a tough day of debate, but there are strong indications 230 00:12:13,160 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 13: that they're not going to be able to get over 231 00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:18,120 Speaker 13: the over the line today. I mean, he can only 232 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,880 Speaker 13: afford to lose three Republican votes to get this through, 233 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 13: so and there are certainly more than that that are 234 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:26,520 Speaker 13: voicing some skepticism. 235 00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:30,199 Speaker 3: And you've got to think, Josh, that those moderate Republicans 236 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 3: who might be concerned about the Medicaid cuts are feeling 237 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:36,960 Speaker 3: sort of dueling political pressures here from their constituents who 238 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 3: might be concerned about some of those cuts, and from 239 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 3: President Trump, who can put his own thumb on the 240 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:44,040 Speaker 3: scale pretty severely. 241 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:48,920 Speaker 13: Absolutely, he has he is this is a central pillar 242 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 13: of his domestic policy agenda, and he hasn't he's you know, 243 00:12:53,320 --> 00:12:55,320 Speaker 13: he's he's said as much that he's going to go 244 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 13: after people who in primaries, et cetera, who don't get 245 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:03,560 Speaker 13: on board with this bill. And you know, we've seen 246 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:05,679 Speaker 13: in the past he's able to twist people's arms and 247 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:08,320 Speaker 13: get it done so well. This is a real test 248 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:12,560 Speaker 13: of you know, Republican solidarity here and how far people 249 00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:16,520 Speaker 13: are willing to go to stand up for certain principles 250 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:19,240 Speaker 13: that they're really committed to, as opposed to going along 251 00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 13: with the President who has some other ideas. 252 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:25,600 Speaker 3: Speaking of other ideas, you've got on the other side, 253 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:29,320 Speaker 3: the ultra conservatives who are sounding like they're standing pretty firm, 254 00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:31,000 Speaker 3: at least some of them sound like they may be 255 00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 3: just because of the deficit impact from this. I mean, 256 00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 3: this is a pretty wide herd of cats for House 257 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 3: Speaker Johnson to try to corral around. 258 00:13:41,960 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 9: Yeah. 259 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,679 Speaker 13: Absolutely, there's no one single issue that's going to get 260 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,760 Speaker 13: all those Republican skeptics on board, right and as you 261 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:50,319 Speaker 13: say that this is going to add trillions to the 262 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 13: deficit over time, and you know, some of the assumptions 263 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 13: that are built into the models for this about grown 264 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:03,400 Speaker 13: growth and how that's going to pan out with tax 265 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:07,280 Speaker 13: cuts are hotly debated, not just by Democrats, but also 266 00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:11,080 Speaker 13: by Republicans. And we've already seen, you know, early when 267 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 13: this first began in April, we saw the bond market 268 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:20,960 Speaker 13: reacting quite starkly. So the physical conservatives are definitely not 269 00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 13: happy with the kind of the kind of debt this 270 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 13: is going to pile on the country in the long term. 271 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 3: Okay, So while President Trump is trying to twist arms 272 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:31,840 Speaker 3: with his own Republicans, it sounds like he's trying to 273 00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 3: trust some arms as well ahead of the July ninth 274 00:14:34,240 --> 00:14:37,280 Speaker 3: tariff deadline, particularly with Japan. 275 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 4: How's that going. 276 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 13: So Japan is the latest target here, and you know, 277 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:45,200 Speaker 13: Trump has said that they he's trying to push for 278 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:50,000 Speaker 13: them to open up to US rice exports. Japan is 279 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 13: standing pretty firm right now, and the question is whether 280 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 13: what tack they're going to take, you know, if they're 281 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:58,760 Speaker 13: going to continue to have sort of a friendly exchange, 282 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 13: or if this is going to push them to back 283 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:05,920 Speaker 13: up against the wall, to stand firmer against his demands. 284 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 13: And you know, they are part of a whole range 285 00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:14,800 Speaker 13: of countries that have been wrapped up in negotiations since 286 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:19,960 Speaker 13: he paused these broad tariffs in April for ninety days, 287 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:23,800 Speaker 13: and the deadline is coming right, so similar to the 288 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 13: tax bill, he wants to after the July fourth weekend 289 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 13: come out with his one big, beautiful bill, and he 290 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 13: also next week wants to roll out all these trade agreements. 291 00:15:33,280 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 13: But really the UK and China are the only two 292 00:15:35,640 --> 00:15:41,440 Speaker 13: that have shown significant progress and deals, so I think 293 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 13: the administration is also quite aware that they're about to 294 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 13: miss some targets and want to have something to show 295 00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:47,720 Speaker 13: for it, and trying to pick up the pressure. 296 00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:51,840 Speaker 2: In the meantime, this is Bloombery day Break, your morning 297 00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 2: podcast and the stories making news from Wall Street to 298 00:15:55,160 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 2: Washington and beyond. 299 00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 3: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 300 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:02,440 Speaker 3: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 301 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 302 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,160 Speaker 2: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 303 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 2: in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, 304 00:16:11,240 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 2: Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 305 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 2: XM Channel one twenty one. 306 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:20,080 Speaker 3: Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app 307 00:16:20,120 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 3: now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. 308 00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 2: And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's 309 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:28,920 Speaker 2: the latest news, whenever you want it in five minutes 310 00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:32,120 Speaker 2: or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast 311 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 2: platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. 312 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 4: And I'm Nathan Hager. 313 00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:39,320 Speaker 3: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 314 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:41,880 Speaker 3: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg day 315 00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:42,120 Speaker 3: Break