1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,559 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:05,760 Speaker 1: your bets. And this is me Joey p joe Pizzapia, 3 00:00:06,080 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. The best bets for Week fourteen. 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:11,920 Speaker 1: Six teams are on a bye, but that's okay. We 5 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: still got plenty of things that we like this week, 6 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: and of course Terrell Furman Junior and the Undertaker Andrew 7 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: Erickson are here to help me break them all down 8 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 1: for you. And the guys once again holding hands on 9 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:24,079 Speaker 1: a lot of stuff, so you know what that means. 10 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:28,159 Speaker 1: It's gonna be either dangerously good or dangerously bad. I 11 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: believe more towards the good. The guys have been hot lately, 12 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 1: and of course so's the betting pros app If you 13 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: haven't already, make sure you download that bad Boy, make 14 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: sure you use the three free days of premium you 15 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 1: can get, and make sure you sink your sportsbooks for free. 16 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:41,319 Speaker 1: Did you hear me for free? So you can get 17 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: the best lines wherever you're placing your bets at all times, 18 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 1: and use the tools to make you smarter. All right, 19 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: let's kick things off. I want to get right into it, gentlemen. 20 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 1: I want to start here with the Miami Dolphins, a 21 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 1: team that Terrell, they do not play well in the 22 00:00:56,880 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 1: cold weather. To a tongue of Bilo, it does not end. 23 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: Mike mcdanie does not like to play against teams that 24 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 1: are any good teams that have under five hundred records, 25 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:11,039 Speaker 1: Bueno teams over five hundred. Mike McDaniel is, let's say 26 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: struggle boss. Let's just put it that way. So let's 27 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:16,040 Speaker 1: talk about this, and let's talk about the six points 28 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 1: here that Miami is on here minus six at home 29 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 1: against the New York Jets this week. So Terrell Furman, 30 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 1: you're in on this. Let's talk about the why. 31 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 2: Yeah, I really tried not to fade the Jets again, 32 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 2: I really really really really really wanted to, but they 33 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:37,200 Speaker 2: just make it so easy, like they constantly, they just 34 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 2: make it incredibly easy every single week. I'm actually kicking 35 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 2: myself that I didn't have Seattle on the card last 36 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 2: week because as I watched that game, I'm just watching, 37 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 2: watching watching, I'm like, oh, the Jets are in control. 38 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 2: Oh well, they're just letting Seattle hang around, hang around, 39 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 2: hang around. They're not being serious on offense, they're not 40 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 2: capitalizing on all of these drives opportunities, and here comes 41 00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 2: the mistake, and here comes the pick six, and there 42 00:02:00,640 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 2: goes Leonard Williams running all the way down the sideline. 43 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 2: This team is horrible. This team is absolutely horrible. Aaron 44 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 2: Rodgers somehow has manufactured a worst win loss record as 45 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:14,320 Speaker 2: a New York Jet than Jack Wilson, and I think 46 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 2: that that actually should be commended. I think that Jets 47 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:21,400 Speaker 2: fans should actually thank Aaron Rodgers for tanking this organization 48 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:23,920 Speaker 2: all the way down to the point where they're going 49 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 2: to have some pretty good draft capital next year. And 50 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:29,720 Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers reportedly doesn't want to come back to the 51 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 2: Jets next season. 52 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 1: This is I just read that he redid some of 53 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 1: his house in Jersey. 54 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:34,080 Speaker 2: Though. 55 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, you start remodeling houses, Terrell. You want to stay 56 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:40,519 Speaker 1: there and enjoy as long as you can, I would imagine. 57 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 2: Meanwhile, you get the Dolphins in December at home in 58 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:48,079 Speaker 2: a warm environment to eleven to zero against the Jets, 59 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 2: and the Pats horrible, horrible record against the Bills. This 60 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:54,280 Speaker 2: is a system play flow chart. Are you playing the 61 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:55,960 Speaker 2: Bills in the division? No? Take two? 62 00:02:56,760 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 1: There you go. I like it, Andrew Ericsson, that's all 63 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 1: Seahawks are actually my upset special lest week because again 64 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 1: I couldn't figure out why the hell they were underdogs 65 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:08,880 Speaker 1: in that game, So that was good for business. This week, again, 66 00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 1: the Dolphins seem like they're good for business. This is 67 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 1: very I think. What I like I've learned to like 68 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 1: about the Dolphins after being really annoyed at them, is 69 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 1: I've just come to grips with who they are, which 70 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:20,640 Speaker 1: is they're not a great team. They're a team that 71 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:22,920 Speaker 1: can beat up on the lesser, a team that can't 72 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 1: compete when all said and done, and a team that's 73 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:27,640 Speaker 1: not going to travel and play in tough environments, period, 74 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:30,079 Speaker 1: end of story. Now that I've had that moment where 75 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:33,919 Speaker 1: I've I've been awoken to all of that, I think 76 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 1: now I am ready to love this six with you guys, 77 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 1: and I know you are too. So what are you 78 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 1: more excited about the Aaron Rodgers Netflix documentary coming out 79 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 1: soon or this minus six on the Dolphins? Well? 80 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 3: I just need to know about these household remodels that 81 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 3: Aaron Rodgers doing. Is he just is this just the 82 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 3: the Tackle Bell edition so DeVante Adams can move in 83 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 3: and they can chances are now? 84 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,400 Speaker 2: Or is he remodeling and making it look nice for 85 00:03:57,440 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 2: the next buyer, because he messed the house up a 86 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 2: little bit, because he punched holes in the walls. With 87 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 2: how bad the season is going, well. 88 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 1: He clearly didn't take it responsibility that he's the one 89 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 1: to punch the holes. 90 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 3: There are no windows in this house because he has 91 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 3: to let all the darkness they can only bet. 92 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: I'll tell you about. 93 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:18,520 Speaker 3: So I think that with this game, it's last week, 94 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 3: it's just a classic spot to fade the Dolphins. And 95 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 3: then this is a classic spot to buy back in, 96 00:04:23,240 --> 00:04:25,040 Speaker 3: like you hit the nail on the head, Joey, where 97 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 3: this is where the Dolphins dominate. They kill bad teams 98 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 3: when they play at home and the warm weather where 99 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 3: they don't have to bring like four hundred pounds of 100 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:33,919 Speaker 3: cold weather gear on their plane to play in a 101 00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 3: road game, Like they don't need to do any of 102 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 3: that stuff. They just they get to be at home 103 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:39,240 Speaker 3: in Miami. And the stats back this up. If you 104 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 3: look at the Dolphins, they've covered the spread thirteen to 105 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 3: the last sixteen games against teams with a losing record. 106 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:47,839 Speaker 3: So I was watching one of the two press conferences 107 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:50,559 Speaker 3: this week, and he's really disappointed about what their record 108 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 3: is this season, and he's really taking on himself for 109 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:54,719 Speaker 3: missing so many games that really put the Dolphins behind 110 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:56,839 Speaker 3: the eight ball. Right if he doesn't miss over a 111 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:59,160 Speaker 3: month of the season, we maybe talking about the Dolphins like, hey, 112 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:01,480 Speaker 3: this team could make some noise potentially, well, maybe make 113 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:03,800 Speaker 3: the playoffs and then immediately get eliminated like like we 114 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 3: often see with them. But hey, at least be in 115 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 3: the playoff race. So I still think they're motivated to 116 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:09,560 Speaker 3: win games. I think two as still wants to play 117 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 3: well for his teammates, and I think they blow out 118 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:13,520 Speaker 3: the Jets. So give me the Dolphins, minusex. 119 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: Here you goes all three of us in on the 120 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:17,720 Speaker 1: Dolphins this week, So what could go wrong? The next 121 00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 1: one's a little surprising for me. Now, not surprise. Andrew 122 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:22,719 Speaker 1: Erickson's with me on this because we talked about it 123 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:24,480 Speaker 1: on the live stream yesterday right here on Betting Pro. 124 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 1: So now you can catch us on Wednesdays doing the 125 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 1: live stream three pm Eastern and Andrew and myself just 126 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 1: kind of talking about some of the select games, breaking 127 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 1: some things down, taking your questions too, which was super 128 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 1: fun yesterday. I want to shout out to everybody was 129 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:38,600 Speaker 1: watching Live with Us yesterday again three Eastern every Wednesday. 130 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:40,279 Speaker 1: Set your calendars or just ring the belt that it 131 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 1: goes dang for notifications. When you subscribe to the Betting 132 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:45,039 Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel, that's a lot easier. I have come 133 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 1: to this moment also, where you know, Andrew and I 134 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 1: were talking about it, and I had thrown it out 135 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: earlier on Monday, and then I sat in it a 136 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 1: little bit longer. And the Falcons are not a great 137 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 1: football team. Kirk Cousins is absolutely though, going to I 138 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:02,360 Speaker 1: think take this moment seriously. Perhaps maybe that was a 139 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:04,680 Speaker 1: little bit of the distraction last week he tolayed terribly 140 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:06,599 Speaker 1: off the bye too, throwing all those picks. It was 141 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: not a good look for him. But every time we 142 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: write off Kirk Cousins is when Kirk Cousins shows up again. 143 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:13,039 Speaker 1: Andrew used the Eagles game earlier this year as a 144 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: perfect example of that. I don't think the Falcons are 145 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: a good team. I know, Terrell, you don't. I'm surprised 146 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 1: that you're on the Falcons points here. So the fact 147 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: that you are also in this with Ericson and myself, 148 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 1: you are the toughest one to Convince, So talk to 149 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:29,680 Speaker 1: me about how you came to this point, because you 150 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 1: have been the biggest critic of this team from day one. Yeah. 151 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 2: Absolutely, And I still think this Falcons team is horrible 152 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 2: by the way. I think that they're not good, But nonetheless, 153 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 2: I think the Vikings are also very, very criminally overrated 154 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 2: right now. And if I'm gonna pick two overrated teams, 155 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 2: I'm gonna fade the team that has a better winning 156 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 2: record because they are more overrated than the other overrated team. 157 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:55,160 Speaker 1: But nonetheless, we're sitting. 158 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 2: Here with the Atlanta Falcons and going up against the 159 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:59,679 Speaker 2: Minnesota Vikings, who I have been right about the past 160 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:03,920 Speaker 2: three weeks here talking about fading the Vikings, and I mean, 161 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 2: unfortunately it didn't go our way on the money line 162 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:09,080 Speaker 2: in either one of those games for the Bears or 163 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 2: the Cardinals, and that's really really annoying. But nonetheless, this 164 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 2: Vikings team has just been playing really, really close games 165 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:18,559 Speaker 2: and they were fortunate to get the cover, laying six 166 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:22,480 Speaker 2: against Tennessee, but they still didn't cover against the Jags 167 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 2: the week before. They're playing a lot of close games 168 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 2: and just going out by the skin of their teeth 169 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 2: and getting a win. Granted for the NFL and for 170 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:31,640 Speaker 2: the playoffs, that's enough. They're going to be a playoff team. 171 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 2: I was wrong about that. I thought they were about 172 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 2: to fall off a cliff, but I still don't think 173 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 2: that's enough for them to cover this margin five and 174 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 2: a half here. I could see this being a close game. 175 00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 2: I mean, even through all four of those interceptions, they 176 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 2: still found some way to make that a four point 177 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 2: game against the Chargers, and I think that actually does 178 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 2: mean something. I don't think this Vikings team is equipped 179 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 2: now with Sam Darnold at quarterback, with the inconsistencies on offense, 180 00:07:53,800 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 2: and with the fact that yes they can turn the 181 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 2: ball over, but they allow you to go twenty to 182 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 2: twenty and at least get some points at the end 183 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 2: the drives. I think that that's really really concerning for Minnesota. 184 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 2: I love the bounce back angle and the revenge angle 185 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 2: for Kirk Cousins in this game as well. Kirk Cousins 186 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:12,920 Speaker 2: when he's doubted and lot did very very nerve wrecking. 187 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 2: Not as confident in a money line play this week, 188 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,239 Speaker 2: I will admit it. Not as confident in the money 189 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 2: line play, but I feel really, really good about five 190 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 2: and a half, Like, I don't think that this is 191 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 2: going to be more than a touchdown game. I think 192 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:25,080 Speaker 2: this is a close one. 193 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 1: I agree, I think it is going to be closer. 194 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:30,800 Speaker 1: I'm honestly the forty five and a half is what 195 00:08:30,800 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 1: you're finding most spots. I kind of feel like that's 196 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 1: about spot on too. But I do like that five 197 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: and a half with the falcons and revenge narratives sometimes 198 00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: can be very overrated. I don't think the first time 199 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:43,360 Speaker 1: you know is overrated. I don't think it's very overraty 200 00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:44,839 Speaker 1: when it comes to quarterbacks. Andrew, That's what you and 201 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 1: I were talking about yesterday. Whereas you have the ball 202 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:49,080 Speaker 1: in your hand, you're able to control the game, right, 203 00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 1: Jerry Judy, how does revenge narrative which again we'll be 204 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 1: talking about. 205 00:08:52,440 --> 00:08:59,120 Speaker 2: That as I had Broncos laying five and a half 206 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 2: and oh, what a sweat, What a sweat for Jamis 207 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 2: as Jamis as he could to get that pass and 208 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 2: the fears and get that ball all the way into 209 00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 2: the red zone inside the five and throw a beautiful interception. 210 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:18,120 Speaker 2: Beautiful I mean Jamis throws a very very catchuble football very. 211 00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 1: Sometimes to the other team. 212 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:23,400 Speaker 2: That's the problem doesn't matter who gets everybody. For everybody, 213 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:27,079 Speaker 2: I love credible opportunity quarterbacks like Jamis Look. 214 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:28,760 Speaker 1: And the Jerry Judy one is like, you know, it's 215 00:09:28,760 --> 00:09:30,599 Speaker 1: hard for a wide receiver. You know, you've got to 216 00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:32,640 Speaker 1: pepper them with targets, you know, to have his revenge 217 00:09:32,640 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: game or whatever it is. This one with Cousins, though, 218 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 1: I mean, this is a familiarity with the organization for 219 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:38,440 Speaker 1: a very long time, a familiarity with the defense that 220 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:41,160 Speaker 1: he practice against. So they know his weaknesses, but he 221 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 1: knows theirs too, So I do think Cousins can keep 222 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:47,160 Speaker 1: this one close at the very least, if not maybe 223 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:50,000 Speaker 1: come up with a weird upset. It feels like the Vikings, 224 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:51,960 Speaker 1: as Roll was saying, also no over eight team maybe 225 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 1: right for that last two weeks too, having a lot 226 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:56,320 Speaker 1: of trouble converting the too many field goals. You know 227 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 1: that's there with the Vikings side. So Andrew, I know, 228 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:01,199 Speaker 1: Toarrell give us a lot of reasons. But for those 229 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:03,679 Speaker 1: people may have missed yesterday, what were some of your 230 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 1: other reasons where we were talking about why Cousins and 231 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 1: the Falcons could cover this five and a half. 232 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:10,160 Speaker 3: Well, for starters, I had to put the Falcons in 233 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:11,719 Speaker 3: the show sheet, because once I saw Trel put in, 234 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 3: I was like, well, this is because Trell hates the Falcons, 235 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:17,680 Speaker 3: and if he's gonna been on the Falcons, I'm like, Okay, 236 00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 3: we're heading in the right direction here, we're holding hands. 237 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:22,600 Speaker 3: So I felt much better about that, and I think 238 00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 3: goes back to the point it's really less about the 239 00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:27,960 Speaker 3: Kirk Cousins factor, and it's the fact, yes, no one's 240 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:29,599 Speaker 3: talking about Oh you know how the Chiefs are the 241 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 3: luckiest team in the NFL. You know, he's right there 242 00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:33,320 Speaker 3: next to them, the Minnesota Vikings seven and one in 243 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 3: close games this season, So yeah, of course they're going 244 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:38,080 Speaker 3: to keep this game close to the Falcons because that's 245 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 3: all the Vikings do is playing close games. And you 246 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 3: look at their defense, right, Oh, this very fear defense. 247 00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:46,000 Speaker 3: They love to blitz a lot. Hey, you know defense 248 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:47,960 Speaker 3: also loves the blitz a lot. Todd Bowles. You know 249 00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 3: what team the Kirk Cousins had the most success against 250 00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:54,120 Speaker 3: this year, Tampa Bay, and they're blitz heavy defense. Because 251 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 3: I remember writing up the first time those those teams 252 00:10:56,320 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 3: played and be like, man, I'm now Kirk Cousins can't 253 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:01,400 Speaker 3: really move sitting duck back there and all you did 254 00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 3: was rip apart the blitz. 255 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:03,600 Speaker 1: Well, you don't have to move if you can get 256 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:06,319 Speaker 1: rid of the football quickly and reads of what the 257 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: defense is going to do. And that's what a veteran 258 00:11:07,880 --> 00:11:10,079 Speaker 1: quarterback presence breaks exactly. 259 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:12,319 Speaker 3: So I think that this game is going to be close. Yes, 260 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 3: I'm not exactly sure if they're going to be able 261 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 3: to pull out the straight up upset, but just covering 262 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:19,719 Speaker 3: the five and a half, I think that that that's 263 00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 3: easy money this week with the Atlanta Falcons. Then the 264 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:23,439 Speaker 3: other thing to point out two about the Vikings defense, 265 00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 3: they're starting to get banged up. I've in pace one 266 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 3: of their linebackers. He missed last week, and the Arizona 267 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,440 Speaker 3: Cardinals ran all over the Minnesota Vikings the Minnesota Vikings 268 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 3: game for the most rushing yards they had given up 269 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 3: at any point in the season against Arizona because they 270 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:38,160 Speaker 3: were missing one of their star linebackers. You know who 271 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 3: got hurt last week, Stefan Gilmore, one of their starting quarterbacks. 272 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 3: In a minute that he left that game. You know 273 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 3: who scores a touchdown, Marvin Harrison Junior. Again, the Cardinals 274 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,120 Speaker 3: can't score a touchdown in the entire game, he gets hurt, 275 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 3: they immediately score a touchdown. So it's not even less 276 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:51,680 Speaker 3: about Kirk Cousins. But like, how are they gonna stop 277 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:52,360 Speaker 3: John Robinson? 278 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:52,520 Speaker 2: Right? 279 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 3: Stu's a monster, Like, no one's talking about that. It's like, oh, 280 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:57,679 Speaker 3: it's all about Kirk. It's about Kirk. It's like, but 281 00:11:57,720 --> 00:11:59,719 Speaker 3: it's not, though, Like, you know who showed up after 282 00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 3: the not the Falcons offense. The Falcons defense showed up 283 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 3: for the first time. They were able to get sacks Terrell. 284 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:08,679 Speaker 3: The Falcons got sacks on the quarterback for the first time, 285 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 3: they held the charge, surprising I'm under exactly. So there's 286 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 3: just the narrative is so much about Kirk Cousins and 287 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:17,840 Speaker 3: not all the other factors of the game that I 288 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 3: think work in the Falcons favors. So I'm glad we're 289 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 3: all handholding here. 290 00:12:22,520 --> 00:12:26,560 Speaker 1: And I'm really this is terrifying. We have never started 291 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 1: off a show all year where the three of us 292 00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 1: and have agreed on two things in a row to 293 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 1: start a show. But then again, I think have a well, 294 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 1: I don't honestly, I don't think any of this is 295 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:40,480 Speaker 1: going to go wrong. And I'll tell you why. I 296 00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 1: think we have the clearest identity of where teams are 297 00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 1: at than we've ever had and that makes this a 298 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:50,040 Speaker 1: little bit easier. At this stage, you know where fantasy 299 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 1: gets harder, betting starts to get a little bit easier. Also, 300 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:56,080 Speaker 1: to help you easier pain and make some good picks, 301 00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:58,360 Speaker 1: our discord Betting pros dot com slash chat. It's free 302 00:12:58,400 --> 00:13:00,679 Speaker 1: to join. You can get picks there, you can get 303 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:03,320 Speaker 1: interactions there with Matt parral toos out there all the 304 00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:05,520 Speaker 1: time on there. So if you want some help from 305 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 1: expert handicappers like Matt, or you want to connect with 306 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: fellow betters and elevate your strategy again, the place to 307 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:13,520 Speaker 1: do it is over at bettingpros dot com slash chat. 308 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 1: Join our discord and don't forget too make your picks count. 309 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slash NFL Contest that's the place you 310 00:13:19,440 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 1: can go when you have the app, just go into 311 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:23,559 Speaker 1: the community tab and look for the NFL contest and 312 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 1: you don't even have to make best you just have 313 00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:26,719 Speaker 1: to make picks. And we got a new month of 314 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:29,880 Speaker 1: December that just begins, so we're doing monthly prizes and 315 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 1: weekly prizes. You just have to make the quick pick boom, 316 00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:34,320 Speaker 1: You're done. That's all you have to do. And if 317 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 1: you make the best for the week or the month, 318 00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: you're gonna get a prize. So make sure you join 319 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 1: our NFL contest going on right now, still through the 320 00:13:40,400 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 1: month of December through January two, all the time we 321 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:45,800 Speaker 1: got it going on, Tourette. Let's get to the Chargers 322 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:48,480 Speaker 1: and the Kansas City Chiefs. The number for this one 323 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 1: is forty three. The Chiefs obviously continue to be a 324 00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:55,600 Speaker 1: team that you sneaks out victories here and there. Everybody 325 00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:57,680 Speaker 1: has been on them. I'm sure they've heard all this, 326 00:13:57,760 --> 00:14:00,480 Speaker 1: but they just keep winning football games regardless. And the Chargers. 327 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:03,720 Speaker 1: Lad mccauckey banged up. That's a big one. JK. Dobbins 328 00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:06,320 Speaker 1: on the IR that's a big one. This was poised 329 00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 1: to be a really interesting game where I feel like 330 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 1: the Chargers were ready to really take it to the 331 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: Chiefs and really hand them another loss. Now I'm not 332 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:14,240 Speaker 1: so sure, and I don't know if you are or not, 333 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,280 Speaker 1: but you seem to have pivoted to the number instead 334 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 1: forty three, and you're taking the under. So let's talk 335 00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:21,800 Speaker 1: about that one and talk about the why and is 336 00:14:21,840 --> 00:14:24,520 Speaker 1: it because so many of these pieces that are missing 337 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:28,800 Speaker 1: here potentially for the Chargers. Well, yeah, I've kind of strayed. 338 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 1: I still like the Chargers plus four, by the way, 339 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 1: I just think that this is a good spot, and 340 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 1: I like the coach and Jim Harbaugh. I think he's 341 00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:37,240 Speaker 1: going to be able to coach this team up. And 342 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:40,640 Speaker 1: the defense has been fantastic all year round. Like they've 343 00:14:40,680 --> 00:14:44,320 Speaker 1: had a couple of stumbles there with the Ravens and 344 00:14:44,360 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 1: with the Bengals, but they've been. 345 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 2: Really, really good. So I like the under forty three 346 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 2: and a half here. I think both defenses have been 347 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 2: playing lights out. They've been very, very conservative and allowing points. 348 00:14:55,640 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 2: The Chargers have held teams under their team total basically 349 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 2: all season. And this Kansas City Chiefs defense is where 350 00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:03,640 Speaker 2: that's how they want to play football. I know we 351 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 2: say it every single week, but it hasn't changed because 352 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:09,320 Speaker 2: they haven't changed philosophy throughout the whole season. We want 353 00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:11,440 Speaker 2: to play good defense, we want to get after the quarterback. 354 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:13,520 Speaker 2: We want that to be the highlight of this team. 355 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 2: And then Patrick Mahomes is that quarterback where we don't 356 00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 2: need him to go out here and throw for four 357 00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 2: hundred and five hundred yards. We just need him to 358 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:20,920 Speaker 2: make the plays when we need him to make them 359 00:15:21,040 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 2: for us to be able to win the game. And 360 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:25,040 Speaker 2: I think this Chargers team, who thinks that they are 361 00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 2: comparable to the Kansas City Chiefs, they're trying to close 362 00:15:27,520 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 2: that gap. Justin Herbert has been closest to anybody else 363 00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 2: besides maybe a Josh Allen or a Joe Burrow to 364 00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 2: actually beating the Kansas City Chiefs. So I think that 365 00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 2: with all of that, this is going to be a 366 00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:40,520 Speaker 2: very very competitive game, a low scoring game similar to 367 00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:42,560 Speaker 2: what we saw against the Kansas City Chiefs and the 368 00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 2: Raiders in this division on the day after Thanksgaving Black Friday. 369 00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna take the under here. I think this 370 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:51,800 Speaker 2: is a hard smash mount football game in the COREA 371 00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:54,600 Speaker 2: and I love under forty three and a half. This 372 00:15:54,680 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 2: could be very very low scoring. 373 00:15:56,920 --> 00:15:59,120 Speaker 1: Does hardball have the running backs left to make it 374 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 1: that smash mouth game? That's my only question. You know, 375 00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:03,560 Speaker 1: Gus Edwards been like kind of like two yards and 376 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:06,920 Speaker 1: a cloud of dust. Haskins had the fumble issue. You know, 377 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 1: I'm not sure where we're gonna pivot next. 378 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 2: I mean, the fantasy community is telling you Kamani Fidelle. 379 00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:16,000 Speaker 2: The fantasy community has been talking up Kamani Videll like 380 00:16:16,040 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 2: he's gonna. 381 00:16:16,520 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 1: Be the guy. 382 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 2: I think it's still Gus Edwards. This is still a 383 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:23,120 Speaker 2: Greg Roman offense, and Greg Roman loves his guys. And 384 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,960 Speaker 2: he went back to JK. Dobbins off of injury early 385 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 2: in the season he got hurt. What happens every time 386 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 2: JK Dobbin gets hurt, he goes to Gus Edwards, and 387 00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 2: Gus Edwards is able to come out here and manufacture game. 388 00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:36,000 Speaker 2: So I think this actually is a sneaky, really good 389 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:38,160 Speaker 2: Gus Edwards game where he keeps them in this game 390 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:39,960 Speaker 2: and they just control time possession. 391 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 1: All right. The next one here for you, Eric's and 392 00:16:42,640 --> 00:16:44,600 Speaker 1: your third pick is a game that is pure chaos. 393 00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:47,440 Speaker 1: I told you this has four outcomes written all over it. Therefore, 394 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:49,320 Speaker 1: I will be waiting and watching part of the first 395 00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 1: quarter to see what the vibes are and then maybe 396 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 1: bet it live after I see. But again, I could 397 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: see four outcomes in this one, but you see one 398 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:57,560 Speaker 1: that you like when it comes to the Giants of 399 00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:01,120 Speaker 1: the Saints, So sell me on it, because I'm still 400 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 1: hands off until kickoff. 401 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,199 Speaker 3: Well, the vibes will not be Drew Lock dancing on 402 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 3: the sideline. That's right, confirm because this I mean, I 403 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 3: don't know if he's gonna finish the game with this 404 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:14,640 Speaker 3: point because he was horrible against Dallas. He's a horrible quarterback. 405 00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:18,960 Speaker 3: Derek Carr, He's okay, not horrible, but not great. And look, 406 00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:21,120 Speaker 3: we have a matchup between Derek Carr and Drew Lock 407 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:23,879 Speaker 3: and this point total doesn't start with a three. There's 408 00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:27,600 Speaker 3: something wrong with that in my opinion. Playing outside in December, 409 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 3: a dome team on the road, I just want to 410 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:32,119 Speaker 3: under this game. So under forty and a half points 411 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:36,359 Speaker 3: Giants and Saints. Look, MetLife Stadium. We actually mentioned this 412 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:39,199 Speaker 3: on the Fantasy Pro Show. So whereas Ford Field, of 413 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:43,200 Speaker 3: course field, the NFL love that MetLife Stadium. The total opposite. 414 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:45,400 Speaker 3: I brought up as the I don't know what ballpark 415 00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:47,119 Speaker 3: has the least amount of home runs. The first one 416 00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 3: that came to mind was Polo Grounds. There are no 417 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:52,360 Speaker 3: home runs at this certain place. There are no home 418 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,879 Speaker 3: runs in MetLife Stadium. Even that Jetsyhawks game, all right, 419 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:59,639 Speaker 3: not so much. It took everything with special teams and turnovers, 420 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,320 Speaker 3: and picks by three hundred pound lineman to get. 421 00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:02,919 Speaker 1: Over to the total. 422 00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 3: So yeah, there's no points to be found in MetLife statement. 423 00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:09,320 Speaker 3: We'll go, We'll go to the stats. So sorry, Troy, 424 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:11,159 Speaker 3: maybe you just unplug a little bit here as I 425 00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 3: continue to pour on. So nine of the giants last 426 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,440 Speaker 3: thirteen games have gone under the total. Eleven of the 427 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:21,120 Speaker 3: giants last fourteen home games have gone under the total. 428 00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:23,560 Speaker 3: Six of the giants last seven home games have gone 429 00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 3: under the total, eleven to the last fourteen, et cetera, 430 00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:29,160 Speaker 3: et cetera. This game's not going over the total, especially 431 00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:31,720 Speaker 3: when you look at the two defenses. Again, what can 432 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:34,679 Speaker 3: they rest their laurels on top? Twelve red zone defense? 433 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,440 Speaker 3: So even if they're moving the ball with yardage, you're 434 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:39,080 Speaker 3: not gonna see any points here unless it gets. 435 00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:43,040 Speaker 1: The bags are out there, you go. Come on, what 436 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:44,879 Speaker 1: do you have to worry about? You've won super bowls 437 00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:47,359 Speaker 1: in your lifetime. Come on, this is not so bad. 438 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 1: It's not so bad you wont a multiple super Bowls. 439 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:52,200 Speaker 1: Imagine the Jet fan who has grown up, who was 440 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:54,639 Speaker 1: in their forties, who has never seen one, he's ever 441 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:56,960 Speaker 1: even seen them get to one. Come on, troll, it's 442 00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 1: not so bad. 443 00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:02,320 Speaker 2: Pretty bad. We haxation of We have an expectation of 444 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 2: greatness and we are not performing to it. We have 445 00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:07,280 Speaker 2: it ever since the. 446 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:13,480 Speaker 1: Freaking boat trip, ever since the boat trip trip has gone. 447 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:17,840 Speaker 1: It's true, all those timberlains on that boat hanging out there, 448 00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:19,760 Speaker 1: all right, the next one. Finally we're gonna have a 449 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:22,080 Speaker 1: difference of opinion on I am all over the Seahawks 450 00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 1: and what is basically a playoff game this week. This 451 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:26,439 Speaker 1: is it. The Seahawks have a chance to take this 452 00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:29,679 Speaker 1: division by the cohonees and roll with it. And the 453 00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 1: Seahawks just keep winning games. And sometimes certain teams just 454 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 1: have that vibe where maybe they shouldn't win the game, 455 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 1: And certainly last week, maybe there were times against the 456 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:38,919 Speaker 1: Jest where they shouldn't. Maybe even against the Cardinals two 457 00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:40,600 Speaker 1: weeks ago, they shouldn't, especially when they were at home. 458 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:42,399 Speaker 1: They should have handle their business, and they let the 459 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:45,399 Speaker 1: Cardinals hang around. I feel like Seattle's just got that 460 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 1: thing about them right now. I think Geno's confident, this 461 00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:49,360 Speaker 1: coaching staff is confident. They're feeling good vibes. I think 462 00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:51,719 Speaker 1: Arizona's feeling some pressure. And you could see it. They 463 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 1: lost the Seattle coming out of the by then they 464 00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 1: went out and laid a turn against the Minnesota Vikings. 465 00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:58,720 Speaker 1: I think you could feel the pressure of a team 466 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:00,359 Speaker 1: that wasn't ready to be at the top yet of 467 00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:03,159 Speaker 1: a division starting to collapse upon itself. And that's the 468 00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:05,359 Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals. I don't care about how good the defense plays. 469 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 1: I don't care about it. Seattle's finding ways to win, 470 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 1: and I think Seatle's going to do it again. Terrell, 471 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,240 Speaker 1: you disagree, tell me why? Yeah? 472 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:17,399 Speaker 2: Because I mean, you were right. And last time the 473 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:21,640 Speaker 2: Seahawks right here, they won sixteen to six. They did, 474 00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:24,120 Speaker 2: they did, You were right, they very. 475 00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:25,919 Speaker 1: Well and they won last week too against the. 476 00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:30,520 Speaker 2: Special and they got out gained the Cardinals out gained 477 00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:34,239 Speaker 2: them on the road. Like I'm telling you, I do 478 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:37,520 Speaker 2: not believe in this Seattle Seahawks scene, even watching that 479 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:39,159 Speaker 2: game last week. That's why I did it. And I 480 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 2: was sitting there watching the game, I'm like, man, why 481 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 2: did I not get down on the Seahawks. Oh wait, 482 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:46,360 Speaker 2: because the Seahawks are fraudulent, because they were fraudulent footballs. 483 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,639 Speaker 1: That might be true, and here else is fraudulent. I 484 00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:51,160 Speaker 1: think Kyler Murray's a little fraudulent because every time he's 485 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:53,480 Speaker 1: got to make big, big plays and big moments, he 486 00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:57,000 Speaker 1: fails and and and so far, I haven't seen to 487 00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 1: the otherwise, Like, no one's been able to sell that 488 00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:00,600 Speaker 1: to me. Outside of beating the forty niners every now 489 00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,399 Speaker 1: and again, Kyler Murray is not really stepped up in 490 00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:03,239 Speaker 1: any big moments so far. 491 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:05,399 Speaker 2: As the NFL quarterback Monday Night Football, he got a 492 00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:07,680 Speaker 2: very good win and was able to pull them through 493 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:10,159 Speaker 2: for the Chargers at home. And I think that this 494 00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:12,920 Speaker 2: is similar to those vibes of this is going to 495 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,639 Speaker 2: be a very very contested football game. Believe it or not, 496 00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:18,359 Speaker 2: both of these two defenses have been actually a lot better. 497 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 2: I expect to see a lot of heavy James Connor 498 00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:24,240 Speaker 2: and Kyler Murray making plays with his legs, Like I 499 00:21:24,280 --> 00:21:26,480 Speaker 2: think that's gonna be the key here, him being able 500 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:28,520 Speaker 2: to get outside of the pocket, make plays with his legs, 501 00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,600 Speaker 2: not necessarily get the rushing yards, but just extend plays. 502 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:35,840 Speaker 2: Because Trey McBride is a stud, he's absolutely balling. I 503 00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:39,360 Speaker 2: think that this can be a Marvin Harrison maybe longest 504 00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:42,440 Speaker 2: completion game, maybe not yards game, but longest completion where 505 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:44,440 Speaker 2: he gets the big plays and they're able to move 506 00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:47,119 Speaker 2: the ball. They out gained them last time. They just 507 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:48,800 Speaker 2: weren't able to put the ball in an end zone 508 00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:50,560 Speaker 2: and it was so frustrating and you pulled your hair 509 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:53,520 Speaker 2: out as a Cardinals money linebacker, it doesn't matter. I'm 510 00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 2: going back to the well. I think that we were 511 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:56,960 Speaker 2: on the right side and we just didn't get the result. 512 00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:59,879 Speaker 2: They split the series this time around, and we watch 513 00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 2: a competitive, competitive division come down to again the Cardinals 514 00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:06,320 Speaker 2: and the Seahawks. Towards the end of the year. I 515 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,640 Speaker 2: am taking the Cardinals. I think that this is the year. 516 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:10,880 Speaker 2: This is the year they finally get the monkey off 517 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:12,960 Speaker 2: their back and they win the division. And it starts 518 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:14,560 Speaker 2: with this game right here. 519 00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:18,200 Speaker 1: All right, Ericson, you're where Torella is. Let's talk about 520 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:21,159 Speaker 1: the why, because I'm still on the Seattle side of 521 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:24,080 Speaker 1: this game. The mojo is just stronger. The defense has 522 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:27,800 Speaker 1: been opportunistic creating turnovers for the last couple of weeks too, 523 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:30,720 Speaker 1: and those turnovers, to me, have been the difference maker 524 00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 1: of these games. Where they create these turnovers, you can 525 00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: feel the entire game just shift in their favor. All 526 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,040 Speaker 1: the energy goes in their favor, and teams that can 527 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 1: do that consistently start to believe they can and that's 528 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,639 Speaker 1: very dangerous for a team like Arizona. But why do 529 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:46,480 Speaker 1: you think Arizona's going to come out here on the 530 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 1: minus side? Here? With the was it two and a 531 00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:51,200 Speaker 1: half right now? Pretty much you're getting everywhere? Yeah? 532 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:54,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think. I mean, this game is really fascinating 533 00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 3: to me. This is something I really want to tune 534 00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:58,960 Speaker 3: into because the first matchup I was expecting points and 535 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 3: I couldn't have been more wrong. But you saw the 536 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:04,280 Speaker 3: teams move the ball. I mean, Kyler Murray almost through 537 00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,120 Speaker 3: for three hundred passing yards in that game, but they 538 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,919 Speaker 3: just stalled out constantly in the red zone. So is that, oh, 539 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,239 Speaker 3: it's just gonna happen again or is that not sustainable? Right? Well, 540 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:13,720 Speaker 3: if they're going to continue to move the ball, eventually 541 00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:15,960 Speaker 3: they're going to be able to punch in. Eventually, Trade 542 00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:20,960 Speaker 3: McBride will catch a receiving touchdown. I can tell, but 543 00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 3: I know I keep telling something too. Eventually it's going 544 00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:25,320 Speaker 3: to happen. I mean, the guy can only catch twelve 545 00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,560 Speaker 3: balls every single week and not score for so long 546 00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 3: before he finally finds the end zone, and I guess 547 00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 3: for me it's you're looking at the two teams. Both 548 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 3: of the defenses, like Terrell laid out like, are definitely 549 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:36,840 Speaker 3: the strengths right now entering this game. We saw it 550 00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:39,240 Speaker 3: in the first matchup, where neither offense score twenty points, 551 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:42,280 Speaker 3: neither offense got over a three hundred total yards of offense. 552 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:45,600 Speaker 3: The Seahawks will to stop the Cardinals ground game, but 553 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:48,120 Speaker 3: the Seahawks also can't run the football, and I think 554 00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 3: goes back to I like the homefield of and for Arizona. 555 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:52,800 Speaker 3: I think that gives it a little of an edge 556 00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 3: in terms of creating opportunities for turnovers. Last week, you 557 00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,960 Speaker 3: saw the Cardinals pass rush come alive against they overrated 558 00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:03,520 Speaker 3: Vikings offensive line. The worst unit on the field I 559 00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:06,080 Speaker 3: think playing in this game is the Seahawks offensive line. 560 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,840 Speaker 3: I have no faith them playing on the road to 561 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,719 Speaker 3: stop a pass rush that came alive last week. So 562 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:13,920 Speaker 3: where you're on the side of I think the turnovers 563 00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:16,320 Speaker 3: are gonna benefit the Seahawks. I think the turnovers is 564 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:17,760 Speaker 3: gonna be a bit the Cardinals in this game and 565 00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:19,760 Speaker 3: ultimately the reason why the Cardinals come out with the win. 566 00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 3: So I think that this game is tight, and I 567 00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 3: think it's going to go down in the fourth quarter, 568 00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:25,360 Speaker 3: So I think we need to get a little side 569 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,040 Speaker 3: action on between us three. I think I'll be a 570 00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:30,359 Speaker 3: fun one to watch, So I'm gonna go with the Cardinals. 571 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:32,639 Speaker 3: I the body of work this year says, Hey, Cardinals 572 00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:34,680 Speaker 3: have covered the spread at a higher rate than the 573 00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 3: Seattle Seahawks, so their favorites at home, give me the Birds. 574 00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:40,400 Speaker 1: Okay, last one here for both guys. Let's start here 575 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:45,480 Speaker 1: with the Bengals and the Dallas Cowboys. This one's gonna 576 00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:49,120 Speaker 1: be on Monday Night. So Terrell, look, normally, I see 577 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:51,639 Speaker 1: the better coach and the better quarterback, and I immediately 578 00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 1: just say, yeah, I'm in let's go with the five 579 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:55,800 Speaker 1: and a half on the Bengals. But that Bengals defense 580 00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:57,560 Speaker 1: has been so bad I just have no faith in 581 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:01,200 Speaker 1: their ability to hold the lead at all. So tell 582 00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:02,920 Speaker 1: me why you're confident the Bengals at the five and 583 00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 1: a half this week, because this is another one too 584 00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:06,119 Speaker 1: where maybe I'm a little bit more edged in the 585 00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:07,399 Speaker 1: forty nine and a half than I am in the 586 00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:08,119 Speaker 1: five and a half. 587 00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:12,120 Speaker 2: You have the Dallas Cowboys, who are abysmal They've been 588 00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:16,760 Speaker 2: horrible at home. They haven't been able to beat anybody 589 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:21,040 Speaker 2: at home except the New York Giants. That's it. They 590 00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:23,280 Speaker 2: haven't been able to beat anybody at home. And the 591 00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:25,720 Speaker 2: Giants just ruined that last week. So guess what they're 592 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,479 Speaker 2: due for another home loss like they've been doing all season. 593 00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 2: Then you got have a Bengals team that, despite everything 594 00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:35,160 Speaker 2: bad that they do all year, they are six and 595 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:38,160 Speaker 2: six against the spread. That is horrible fifty percent. You're 596 00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,680 Speaker 2: not making money there unless you bet them on the 597 00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 2: road because they're five and one ats on the road. 598 00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,520 Speaker 2: They can't win in Cincinnati, but they can handle business 599 00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 2: on the road. They are coming off of a divisional 600 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 2: game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. They've had a bad run 601 00:25:51,560 --> 00:25:53,200 Speaker 2: of three games. I get it, but look at the 602 00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:58,920 Speaker 2: three games they played Pittsburgh playoff team, Chargers playoff team, 603 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:05,440 Speaker 2: Ravens playoff team, Cowboys not a playoff team. I mean, 604 00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:10,680 Speaker 2: I know Jerry Jones to believe they have a chance. 605 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:12,560 Speaker 2: I'll tell you right now, they don't have a chance 606 00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,280 Speaker 2: in hell. And so I think that this is a 607 00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:20,080 Speaker 2: great opportunity for Cincinnati to one invigorate just the fan base, 608 00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:23,200 Speaker 2: invigorate the fan base. Second, Zach Taylor's coaching for his job, 609 00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:25,000 Speaker 2: because if you somehow go out here, don't have an 610 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:27,520 Speaker 2: amazing showing against this Cowboys team that's in a down year, 611 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:29,640 Speaker 2: that the last time you played them was two years 612 00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:32,040 Speaker 2: ago when you had all the expectations in the world 613 00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:35,040 Speaker 2: and you went and lost to Cooper Rush on the road. 614 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:36,920 Speaker 2: In doubt Jerry's world, you lost to Cooper Rush. That 615 00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:39,080 Speaker 2: you get to pay Cooper Rush back for that when 616 00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:41,440 Speaker 2: they're in a down year. Yeah, I think that they 617 00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:44,320 Speaker 2: possibly could give up points, but I could see Cincinnati 618 00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:47,400 Speaker 2: scoring forty four points in this game. That's how good 619 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 2: their offense is, and that's how bad the defense is 620 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:51,720 Speaker 2: for Dallas. So I think Cincinnati is gonna be able 621 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:53,520 Speaker 2: to cover this line regardless. I laid five and a 622 00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,439 Speaker 2: half last week with the Broncos, and while it was 623 00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:58,359 Speaker 2: a sweat and it was entertaining, and I promise you 624 00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:00,600 Speaker 2: Cooper Rush is never gonna give me as entertaining of 625 00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,560 Speaker 2: a game as Jameis Winston gave me, and I still 626 00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:04,360 Speaker 2: get a cover. I'm still gonna get the cover here. 627 00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,159 Speaker 2: Give me the Cincinnati Bengals. I think they're going to 628 00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:09,920 Speaker 2: destroy the Cowboys. I think somehow in their mind when 629 00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:13,119 Speaker 2: you look at them, especially watching hard knots, they believe 630 00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:15,560 Speaker 2: they somehow still have a chance at the playoffs. And 631 00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:18,560 Speaker 2: so sure, I'm gonna bet on them having that false 632 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:20,480 Speaker 2: sense of security that they can go be one and 633 00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:22,880 Speaker 2: zero every week and find themselves in the playoffs. Give 634 00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:24,480 Speaker 2: me Cincinnati laying five and a half. 635 00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 1: I think Cincinnati can almost take care of this forty 636 00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:28,639 Speaker 1: nine and a half by themselves, which is why I like. 637 00:27:28,800 --> 00:27:30,560 Speaker 1: I just like the over, like I don't want to. 638 00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:33,000 Speaker 1: There's so many variables in this game. Forty nine and 639 00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:34,639 Speaker 1: a half. Like you said, they could probably put up 640 00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:36,800 Speaker 1: a forty spot that's fine, and I'm sure Dallas will 641 00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:40,080 Speaker 1: at least put up seventeen. Like that's my confidence there. 642 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:43,000 Speaker 1: That's why of all the overs this week, that is 643 00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,200 Speaker 1: the one that is most appealing to me, because where 644 00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:48,160 Speaker 1: those two teams are at. And let's be honest too, 645 00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:49,720 Speaker 1: you know what I know this time of year, of 646 00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 1: the defenses decided that you know, they're not gonna really 647 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 1: lay themselves out too much. They got nothing to play for. 648 00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:56,080 Speaker 1: Those guys don't want to get hurt. Tackling seems to 649 00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:58,639 Speaker 1: go away in games like this last one here I 650 00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:01,920 Speaker 1: want to talk about you know, Ericson. We've discussed Baker 651 00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:04,720 Speaker 1: Mayfield before, right where he is the underdog. We love him. 652 00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:07,040 Speaker 1: Sometimes when he's the home favorite, it's not so good. 653 00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,639 Speaker 1: He's got the Raiders this week. So that being said, 654 00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:12,399 Speaker 1: how do you feel about this matchup for him and 655 00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:15,120 Speaker 1: the Raiders with Tampa who who look, Tampa is right 656 00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:17,399 Speaker 1: in the thick of this division too. They have a 657 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,000 Speaker 1: chance your important victory for them, But you think the 658 00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:21,840 Speaker 1: Raiders can cover, So let's talk about that. 659 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, like the Raiders plus six and a half. I 660 00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:27,119 Speaker 3: mean in O'Connell, he played fantastic last week. Again for 661 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:28,679 Speaker 3: that one mistake that he made at the end of 662 00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:30,720 Speaker 3: the game. I mean, he was nearly flawless going into 663 00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:32,640 Speaker 3: Kansas City and almost coming up with the second win 664 00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 3: in his second start in Kansas City. Yeah, so I 665 00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:37,800 Speaker 3: think that obviously when it up happening at the end 666 00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:39,560 Speaker 3: of the game, I think that that weighs on him 667 00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:41,000 Speaker 3: as a player, and I think that he really wants 668 00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,280 Speaker 3: to show what he can do. And I mean Stan 669 00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:46,000 Speaker 3: Bay Buccaneers defense is horrible, especially in their secondary and 670 00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:48,760 Speaker 3: you laid out the case where Baker Mayfield. Yes, when 671 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 3: he's up against the wall an underdog, he's playing like 672 00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:54,680 Speaker 3: his arm is in a sling on the road, Like 673 00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:56,320 Speaker 3: that's where you want to be on Baker Mayfield. Not 674 00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:58,680 Speaker 3: when they're comfy six and a half point favorites against 675 00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:01,640 Speaker 3: a two to ten Raiders team with Baker Mayfield like 676 00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:04,880 Speaker 3: dealing with an injury. The Buccaneers as home favorites five 677 00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,200 Speaker 3: nine and one against a spread thirty six percent. That's 678 00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:09,520 Speaker 3: what that's what we're working with here. The Raiders play 679 00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:11,880 Speaker 3: hard for Antonio peers. They do because this is a 680 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 3: team that's covered spreads on the road that they had 681 00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:17,800 Speaker 3: no business covering. What's over against teams that are significantly 682 00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,880 Speaker 3: more talented them and significantly better than them. So rinse 683 00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:23,760 Speaker 3: and repeat. Last week, we like the Raiders on the 684 00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:26,040 Speaker 3: road on Black Friday, and they covered. They get us 685 00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:27,880 Speaker 3: thirteen and a half points. This is only six and 686 00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:30,240 Speaker 3: a half, But the matchup is better, I think because 687 00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 3: the Buccaneers defense is way worse than the Chiefs, and 688 00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:37,880 Speaker 3: it's the same exact recipe for success for Aidan O'Connell, 689 00:29:38,120 --> 00:29:40,400 Speaker 3: get the ball, brock powers. The Buccaneers are one of 690 00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:41,960 Speaker 3: the worst teams against tight ends and get the ball 691 00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:44,120 Speaker 3: to Jacobe Myers like he has weapons to get and 692 00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:47,040 Speaker 3: do damage against this defense. So I like the Raiders 693 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,040 Speaker 3: catching plus six and a half again on the road. 694 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 3: I don't really care. The Raiders are covering plenty of 695 00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:54,320 Speaker 3: road games, so I'm gonna fade Baker Mayfield as a 696 00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 3: home favorite. 697 00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 1: All right, Uh yeah, I think you and I see 698 00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:59,040 Speaker 1: eye on that one too. Let's get to the upset 699 00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 1: special of the I'm trying to go back to back here, 700 00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:06,560 Speaker 1: so give me the Chicago Bears, the dead coach bounce baby, 701 00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 1: let's go. The forty nine ers are done. They folded 702 00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:13,880 Speaker 1: up the tents. I don't remember a team in recent 703 00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:16,320 Speaker 1: memory that seems to have hatred and vitriol for their 704 00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:19,200 Speaker 1: coach the way the Chicago Bears didn't rightfully, So things 705 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:22,360 Speaker 1: have not gone well there. Caleb Williams, though he has 706 00:30:22,360 --> 00:30:24,520 Speaker 1: played really well the last couple weeks in the second 707 00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:27,080 Speaker 1: half of games, he's made some good adjustments. This is 708 00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:29,160 Speaker 1: a team that is not bereft of talent. It's bereft 709 00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:34,120 Speaker 1: of leadership. It's bereft of game planning. It's bereft of 710 00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 1: coaches making good clock management decisions. And good moments. So 711 00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:41,320 Speaker 1: give me the Chicago Bears here to put the nail 712 00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:43,400 Speaker 1: in the coffin of the forty nine ers season. Here 713 00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:47,360 Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers not healthy, CMC done, Mason Dunn, 714 00:30:47,560 --> 00:30:49,800 Speaker 1: Purty is far from one hundred percent. I'm telling you 715 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 1: right now. This is one where I think that the 716 00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:56,880 Speaker 1: Chicago Bears do get that glorious dead coach bounce. And 717 00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:58,240 Speaker 1: I want to be in on it, and I want 718 00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:00,240 Speaker 1: you to be in on it too, Plus one seventy 719 00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:02,160 Speaker 1: six on the money line, let's go, And let's take 720 00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:05,160 Speaker 1: those Chicago Bears on the money line plus one seventy six, 721 00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:07,240 Speaker 1: and only got one other thing I want to pull 722 00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:10,480 Speaker 1: with it. It's my Seattle Seahawks. That's right, my Seattle Seahawks. 723 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 1: At plus one twenty. You put them both together, you 724 00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:17,240 Speaker 1: get five to one. Let's go, baby, We're going forward 725 00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:19,760 Speaker 1: with this one. The Chicago Bears have talent on offense 726 00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,800 Speaker 1: and defense, and I think there's a motivation to prove 727 00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:25,440 Speaker 1: to everybody that they are a better football team than 728 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:27,720 Speaker 1: they are. And I already talked about Seattle Seahawks. These 729 00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 1: guys just have that little bit of magic and sometimes 730 00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:32,360 Speaker 1: that's just better than any stat you could throw out there. 731 00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,880 Speaker 1: And I do not buy in to Kyler Murray in 732 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,400 Speaker 1: big spots because I keep seeing him make bad decisions 733 00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:40,240 Speaker 1: and bad moments. And that, once again is how the 734 00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:44,600 Speaker 1: Seattle Seahawks are going to find another interception at another 735 00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 1: moment in this game to swing the momentum in their favor, 736 00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:49,960 Speaker 1: and Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks are going to 737 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:52,480 Speaker 1: win this division. So really, this is just a flag 738 00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:56,360 Speaker 1: plant of the NFC West where it's Seattle Seahawks' time, 739 00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:58,720 Speaker 1: the death of the forty nine ers, the rebirth of 740 00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:01,600 Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks. What a time to be alive, gentlemen. 741 00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:03,120 Speaker 1: I can't wait to come back next week and talk 742 00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,240 Speaker 1: about how everything went with you. And of course don't 743 00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:08,440 Speaker 1: forget join our discord Bettingpros dot com slash chat, download 744 00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:10,200 Speaker 1: the app wherever you get your app, start betting smarter 745 00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:12,160 Speaker 1: or not harder. Use the Betting Pros apps think your 746 00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:14,960 Speaker 1: sportsbooks for free and join our NFL contest on there 747 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:18,880 Speaker 1: as well. You can also follow us trell ericson myself 748 00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:21,160 Speaker 1: over on VP to see what we're in on when 749 00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:23,720 Speaker 1: you download the app, so do that too. It's just 750 00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 1: good business. That'll do it for us, but the story 751 00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:28,160 Speaker 1: of the game goes on for Terrell Furman and Andrew 752 00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:31,040 Speaker 1: ericson I'm Joey Pine. Well see you next time, kids, 753 00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:32,040 Speaker 1: Happy Week fourteen. 754 00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,720 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 755 00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:38,160 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 756 00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:41,600 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 757 00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:44,520 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 758 00:32:44,600 --> 00:32:48,280 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 759 00:32:48,320 --> 00:32:56,440 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros