1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcas All right, here. 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:12,960 Speaker 2: We go. 3 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:14,000 Speaker 3: Spreading the court ten seconds of eatings. 4 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:16,280 Speaker 4: Just go show me up to the basket. 5 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 3: Under the basket. 6 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 1: It's the truth for the wind God a miracle. I 7 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: chuck the water. 8 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 2: Hit that one from the parking lot. 9 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets 10 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:35,879 Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the 11 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 1: Tuesday night college. 12 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 4: Basketball betting preview. 13 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:41,239 Speaker 1: I'm your host Stuckey, and joining me as always, I'm 14 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: my co host Mike Calibrees and j Cunningham. Gentlemen, it 15 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:46,599 Speaker 1: took the day off yesterday. 16 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:47,839 Speaker 4: It should be a national holiday. 17 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:50,279 Speaker 1: I think in twenty twenty seventeen, twenty twenty seven, I mean, 18 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 1: I think it's going to be President Day as follows 19 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 1: the super Bowl, I'm pretty sure. I think I think 20 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 1: that's twenty twenty seven. Although Valentine's dead being two days 21 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:04,039 Speaker 1: after the super Bowl is not ideal from an attention standpoint. 22 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:06,679 Speaker 1: I wish I had more energy for to show my 23 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 1: wife today after the weekend. 24 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 4: But Mike, how's it going. It's going on right. 25 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:15,520 Speaker 3: I'm still recovering emotionally from the super Bowl. As I said, 26 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 3: on Twitter. The Eagles didn't lose because of that holding call, 27 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 3: but the whole crowd where it's like, if you don't 28 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,720 Speaker 3: want to get called for a penalty, don't commit one. 29 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 3: Those people can absolutely kick rocks. I hate them, and. 30 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 4: We're gonna see it during March Madness. 31 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:29,399 Speaker 3: You're gonna see it in every other sport, you know, 32 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:33,040 Speaker 3: when you essentially do what you know the NHL does, 33 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:36,960 Speaker 3: which down the stretch, don't let pivotal moments get, you know, 34 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 3: overshadowed by tiki tac calls. That's the only sport that 35 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 3: gets it. Every other sport is susceptible to it. So 36 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 3: you're just gonna have to accept it. There's gonna be 37 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 3: some March Madness games where it's the ref show all 38 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 3: over again. And then also in general, it's kind of 39 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 3: a wacky month for me. I cover all kinds of things. 40 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 3: I don't know if you guys know, I worked in 41 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 3: politics out of college. I actually worked for Mario Gabelli's 42 00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 3: hedge fund for a Cup of Coffee as a junior 43 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 3: play gal analysts. So, Nikki Haley running for president as 44 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:04,920 Speaker 3: of this morning, So I update some odds there. 45 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 4: I see that. 46 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, So she's she's in the game. Her DeSantis Trump 47 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:12,400 Speaker 3: should be interesting, So anyone who's looking for political futures 48 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:14,320 Speaker 3: feel free to hit me up on social media. 49 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 4: What are those odds? Right now? 50 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 3: She is plus eight ten to win the Republican nomination, 51 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 3: and then it's more or less a coin flip between 52 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 3: DeSantis and Trump. What's interesting is that Trump, you know, 53 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 3: being the way that he is, he's going to go 54 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:28,639 Speaker 3: so hard at tasantas he's already said some. 55 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 4: Incredibly outlandish things about him. 56 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 3: So do they end up in kind of a death 57 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 3: spiral and she just steps over them. 58 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:36,320 Speaker 4: We'll see. 59 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 3: But she she's never lost an election, and she's a 60 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 3: fundraising behemoth, so she'll definitely raise enough money to stay 61 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 3: in it. And the very first or first or second 62 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 3: Republican primary is in South Carolina, her home state, so 63 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 3: she may get a little bump there at the beginning. 64 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:51,959 Speaker 4: Yep. Interesting. 65 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I've as far as the super Bowl that call. 66 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:57,360 Speaker 1: I mean, I've stayed consistent all year. I mean I 67 00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 1: get the like, hey, it's a penalty, so call a penalty. 68 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 1: But like I had money on I had a lot 69 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 1: of money on the Chiefs. I had I wanted the 70 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: Chiefs to win against the Bengals, and I would not 71 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:14,360 Speaker 1: have called I disagree with calling that. I know it 72 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 1: was a personal foul and it was kind of a 73 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 1: laid hit on the Homes, but there was no it 74 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 1: wasn't malicious. Mahomes kind of flopped as well, and it 75 00:03:21,880 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 1: was you know, he was trying the defenders trying to 76 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 1: go to the Super Bowl. I don't decide a game 77 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 1: there there's a time and place to throw certain flags. 78 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:30,360 Speaker 1: I also don't don't throw the flag on the holding 79 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:32,799 Speaker 1: that it was a game where they were letting most 80 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 1: things go, which made me happy because Carl Scheffer's is 81 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: known as a flag happy ref and a lot of 82 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 1: times in these big games you do see the officials 83 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: just you know, Super Bowls, Championships, they'll say, I don't 84 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 1: want to get involved for a reason. Let the players 85 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 1: decide it. So, yeah, that was a tough way. You know, 86 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 1: the game's never won play, but you hate, you hate 87 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 1: it to end like that. So sorry for your loss. 88 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 1: And you almost were off to a hot start with gain. 89 00:03:56,600 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 5: Well, and then yeah, I figured, yeah, the universe was 90 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 5: against me on that review, and all of us have 91 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 5: been in the game long enough as soon as I 92 00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:07,800 Speaker 5: saw it live, I was like, Oh, they're gonna. 93 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 4: Take that away from me. 94 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 3: For sure, it's gonna be you know, a tenth of 95 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:12,320 Speaker 3: an inch, And he clearly wasn't in and so it 96 00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 3: was the right call. But I agree with you, Stuck. 97 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:16,840 Speaker 3: It's like the Super Bowl wasn't determined on that one play. 98 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 3: I think the Chiefs played better. They deserve to win. 99 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:22,279 Speaker 3: It won't be a loss that haunts me. But in general, 100 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 3: I think the fact that that's a penalty in the 101 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 3: current NFL is the reason why like a third of 102 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:28,800 Speaker 3: the NFL thirst or four thousand yards a game or 103 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 3: four thousand yards a season. It's just like the rules 104 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 3: are so bent, which they've done over time in favor 105 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 3: of the offense. 106 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 4: They could recalibrate it. 107 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 3: They could say like offensive holdings also a loss of down, 108 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,719 Speaker 3: or do anything to help the defense. But I don't 109 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 3: know who the defensive coaches are on the rules committee 110 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 3: in the offseason, but they've just been getting absolutely caved 111 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:51,600 Speaker 3: in avalanche style on all. 112 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:53,359 Speaker 4: These rules in the last like fifteen years. 113 00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, people love the talking absolutes, but two things could 114 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 1: be true that that didn't decide the whole game, but 115 00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:59,720 Speaker 1: it also also could still be upset about it. We'll 116 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 1: see they they banned the quarterback sneak push. We'll see 117 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 1: another play that helps the offense. But I I don't 118 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 1: think they should just an advantage that you're using. 119 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 4: But we'll see. PJ. What's going on? Brother? 120 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 2: How are you not much in two things? So the 121 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:18,440 Speaker 2: Mahomes play against the Bengals. 122 00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 6: It's funny you mentioned that because if you show the 123 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:23,720 Speaker 6: down the sideline angle. 124 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 2: Of that, it was like foot hit. 125 00:05:26,440 --> 00:05:29,039 Speaker 6: It was so close where they you know, they show 126 00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 6: it just from essentially, you know, the camerangle that normally 127 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:34,320 Speaker 6: is it's like, oh yeah, it looks like it was 128 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:36,039 Speaker 6: so late. But if you look at the reverse angle, 129 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:38,039 Speaker 6: it was like he took a step and then he 130 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 6: got like it was. 131 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:41,840 Speaker 2: Basically like bang bang play. So of course looks bad 132 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 2: from that angle. 133 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 1: But and Mahomes the king of faking going out of 134 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 1: bounds and then exactly those people can't hit him and 135 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:50,480 Speaker 1: then ducks inside, but. 136 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 2: They can, but they can reach. They can reach the 137 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 2: ball out and get three or four extra yards. But 138 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 2: oh god, in every yard. 139 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 1: In that case could decide if you're going to the 140 00:05:57,520 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: Super exactly Super Bowl yeah, exactly. 141 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:01,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, one play doesn't decide it. 142 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 4: It was. 143 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:03,040 Speaker 2: It was an amazing game. 144 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 6: You know, the Chiefs got very fortunate with the long 145 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 6: halftime with Mahomes getting his ankle hurt and everything for 146 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:10,480 Speaker 6: him to get prepared. 147 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:12,159 Speaker 2: But yeah, no, fantastic game. 148 00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 6: I live in Chiefs Country, so everybody was very happy 149 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 6: down here. But it is funny. I was talking to 150 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 6: my brother in law. This is his first year ever 151 00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:23,279 Speaker 6: like following the NFL, like watching every game. He's like, 152 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 6: I'll become a Chiefs fan. You know, they're the closest 153 00:06:25,960 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 6: team to where we live and everything like that. And 154 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:30,119 Speaker 6: I was like, so, how was your experience the first 155 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 6: year following the NFL. He goes, actually had a lot 156 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:34,680 Speaker 6: of fun. Like the Chiefs were good, you know, we 157 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:35,479 Speaker 6: just won the Super Bowl. 158 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:36,040 Speaker 2: It was a lot of fun. 159 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:38,479 Speaker 6: I'm like, well, let's talk in like four or five 160 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 6: years when you know, maybe Mahomes is not at this 161 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 6: elite level, which she probably will be, but you know, 162 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 6: it's just full. 163 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:48,560 Speaker 3: According to Travis Kelce, he picked a huge underdog that 164 00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 3: nobody had faith in, right, everybody. 165 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 4: Number One quickest way. 166 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 3: To turn me into just a rage monster. Bryce Young 167 00:06:55,720 --> 00:07:01,679 Speaker 3: did it during the Orgie Georgia, Georgia. But everybody counted 168 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 3: out Georgia. 169 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 1: Everybody said seven five. That was one of their quotes. 170 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 1: No one said George was gonna be seven to five. 171 00:07:08,560 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 1: All right, let's quick show today. We will recap the 172 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 1: week that was, the weekend that was. We will then 173 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 1: give our best bets for Tuesday night. A little rat. 174 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 1: I'll start with a rat. So I got I had 175 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: the worst Saturday ever for multiple reasons. 176 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 4: You got to listen to my Saturday. 177 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: You can't even picture a worst Saturday. So I don't 178 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 1: think I've never missed the college. 179 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:30,520 Speaker 4: Basketball Saturday slated in my entire life. 180 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:34,760 Speaker 1: And so number one I I My plan was so 181 00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 1: I had to go to Cleveland for the Super Bowl event. 182 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 1: And speaking of which were getting excited about like a 183 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 1: play with Gainwell, Colin Wilson was there and he went 184 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 1: there was that Chiefs picked up a scooped up a fumble, 185 00:07:47,400 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: right and then went to the end zone. But if 186 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: it was clearly not a catch, right, was the Chiefs 187 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 1: that did that the Eagles? Yeah? 188 00:07:53,160 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 4: And then it was clearly the same defender I think? 189 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 4: Was it Bolden on both of them? 190 00:07:57,080 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah, But Colin had like one hundred to one 191 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 1: to defensive touchdowns in the game, and he went and 192 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 1: he was sprinting up and down the bar, and I 193 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: had to go grab him, like, dude, no, I think 194 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 1: they're gonna they think they're gonna return it. So that 195 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:14,760 Speaker 1: was a brutal moment of pure elation that turned to 196 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 1: oh no. But anyway, so I had to go up 197 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: to Cleveland. So my plan was, I live in Lexington. 198 00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 1: There is it's like a five hour drive and there's 199 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 1: no direct flight. There's no direct flight, so flying is 200 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 1: just a nightmare. So my plan whenever I go off 201 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: to Cleveland sometimes what I've done before is I have 202 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 1: a really good friend at Cincinnati who comes with me, 203 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 1: So I just drive to Cincy, meet him, and then 204 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: he drives the rest of the way, you know, the 205 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: three and a half four hours. So my plan was 206 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:41,679 Speaker 1: I had to do my big bets on campus showy 207 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 1: Saturday morning at ten thirty. Then I leave at eleven, 208 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:47,480 Speaker 1: get up to Cincinnati by around noon, and then he 209 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 1: drives the rest of the way. I can watch all 210 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:51,440 Speaker 1: the games on my phone, have my laptop too, and 211 00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:54,000 Speaker 1: then we'll get there for the three or four o'clock games. 212 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:58,560 Speaker 1: Well he gets he gets sick as hell and can't go. 213 00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 1: So I'm like, all right, I gotta drive by myself. 214 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:04,000 Speaker 1: So I have like a thing on my on the 215 00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: car where I just post up my phone. This isn't 216 00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 1: a safe driving podcast. But then I just will have 217 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 1: a game streaming and was driving up the boring drive 218 00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 1: and I'd do it myself. So I have about between 219 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:20,960 Speaker 1: noon and four o'clock, especially at two o'clock, I had 220 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 1: about seven games going and they were all close the 221 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 1: whole way, and then there was a couple of really 222 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:29,560 Speaker 1: bad picks and then just every every possible team that 223 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 1: could have melted down, and the final five minutes did so. 224 00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 1: But I have to be watching all of these like there's, there's. 225 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 1: Now they're all ending at two, and they're all in 226 00:09:36,679 --> 00:09:38,680 Speaker 1: sumhere ending at three. Then they're all ending at four, 227 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:42,439 Speaker 1: So I have I'm stopping it every every possible rest area, 228 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: So just as next rest area forty miles, I'm getting 229 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 1: off that rest area and then I'm stopping. I'm stopping 230 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:48,599 Speaker 1: and then watching. 231 00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 6: This many times before this is I'm losing every single bet. 232 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:58,079 Speaker 1: And it took me seven hours to get all the 233 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 1: way up at a five, I mean a five ill 234 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:02,839 Speaker 1: drive seven hours and lost every single bet. So it 235 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 1: was a horrendous, horrendous to I think my eighth my 236 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 1: eight nine favorite bets. I went to nine on I 237 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 1: think I finished like four and thirteen on the day. 238 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:14,080 Speaker 1: And so it's my worst Saturday since last year, since 239 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: last February. And so a couple of things here. Then 240 00:10:17,160 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 1: I had a Oregon late at night. A couple people 241 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:21,720 Speaker 1: are like messaging me like you're you're having an awful day, 242 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:24,920 Speaker 1: You're due, We're I'm loading up on the Oregon. I say, no, please, 243 00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:26,520 Speaker 1: this is These are the worst things that you can do. 244 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 1: Number One, you just have to swallow days like this. 245 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,320 Speaker 1: I haven't had a bad Saturday all year, college football, 246 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: college basketball. I've been petrified of it coming, but it's 247 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:37,640 Speaker 1: they're gonna come. And I haven't had a bad variance 248 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 1: day be getting very lucky, very fortunate. And you never 249 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 1: remember the lucky ones, right You look back and then 250 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:45,520 Speaker 1: you watch them and you say, oh, cool, that was cool. 251 00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 1: On to the next one. You remember days like this, 252 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:49,440 Speaker 1: and that's why it feels like you're always on the 253 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:52,680 Speaker 1: wrong side of these close games and these meltdowns. But 254 00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:54,719 Speaker 1: I've seen it way more often than not. When you're 255 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:56,680 Speaker 1: having a terrible day, that last game of the night 256 00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 1: does not go your way more often than not, Like 257 00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 1: sometimes it's just not your day. Do not chase that 258 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:03,920 Speaker 1: that game. So you're you're down a bunch. And this 259 00:11:03,960 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 1: is why it's you know, it's all about day or finance, 260 00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 1: not chasing, not tilding, And this is the hard part 261 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:12,920 Speaker 1: would cost most people money when betting on sports. Don't 262 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:14,679 Speaker 1: chase that late that late game. If you had a 263 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 1: rough day, it will end. Sometimes it'll work, and then 264 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:19,120 Speaker 1: say it works a couple of times, so then then 265 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 1: you're getting in the mindset of doing that and no 266 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 1: matter what you're up or down, then you're gonna start 267 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:29,000 Speaker 1: doing it and it's only eventually going to end very poorly. 268 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:32,560 Speaker 1: So don't chase something. Look, I'm was as sick as 269 00:11:32,600 --> 00:11:34,199 Speaker 1: anyone on the days like that. I know other people, 270 00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:36,040 Speaker 1: a ton of people are following me. I'm losing a 271 00:11:36,040 --> 00:11:37,560 Speaker 1: ton of money, but you got to eat those days 272 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:39,840 Speaker 1: sometimes and just don't chase the late game. 273 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:42,079 Speaker 4: So, yeah, that was my Saturday. 274 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:45,560 Speaker 1: Couldn't even watch all the games in rest areas, just 275 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 1: begging for a win. I remember that at one point 276 00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:51,559 Speaker 1: I was in a rest are at an Arby's. There 277 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 1: was like an Arby's and then a dumpster, and then 278 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:58,240 Speaker 1: I was watching this coastal Carolina completely melt down. They 279 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:00,960 Speaker 1: were up like five or five to go to cover seven. 280 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:02,320 Speaker 1: I think they lost seven and a half. The lost 281 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 1: by eight. And then I was like like this, hands 282 00:12:06,120 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 1: over my head. And then there was just like this 283 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:10,840 Speaker 1: homeless guy walk about and he's like it'll be all right, man. 284 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 1: I was like, all right, I this is Things could 285 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:14,680 Speaker 1: be worse than this. So I got back in my 286 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:18,599 Speaker 1: car and started driving some more. So, Yeah, that was 287 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:22,960 Speaker 1: my degenerate drive up to Cleveland. And what I learned 288 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 1: from the week is I sort we sort of wrote 289 00:12:26,880 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 1: off Kansas. Some of their depth has been showing, like 290 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,320 Speaker 1: they got some five star kids that they just haven't 291 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:36,720 Speaker 1: been playing well. So take maybe maybe they I wrote 292 00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 1: them off too quick. The blue Bloods, man, I mean, 293 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:45,600 Speaker 1: UNC just a pathetic effort last night. I think I 294 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:48,880 Speaker 1: think they're done Kentucky with a terrible loss. Michae Let 295 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:50,079 Speaker 1: me throw it to you. Any rand or take away 296 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:50,320 Speaker 1: from the. 297 00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:52,360 Speaker 3: Week, Well, first of all, I want to shout out 298 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 3: I got my young STOWMN shirt on here. I appreciate 299 00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 3: the hard work they did on Friday night. I still 300 00:12:57,320 --> 00:12:59,319 Speaker 3: think they're gonna win the Horizon, which should be, as 301 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:02,320 Speaker 3: you brought up the last episode, a very competitive conference tournament. 302 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:04,000 Speaker 4: But I think the Penguins are going to go dancing 303 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:04,679 Speaker 4: for the first time. 304 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 3: I also got myself into a bad Saturday, and I 305 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:11,079 Speaker 3: had been touting to all my Lee High buddies, this 306 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:13,960 Speaker 3: is the time to bet Lehigh against my alma mater, Loyola, 307 00:13:14,280 --> 00:13:17,120 Speaker 3: and Loyola rolled out probably their best offensive performance in 308 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 3: ten years. They score ninety points in that game. Just 309 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:23,280 Speaker 3: absolute absurdity in terms of variance going their way shooting, 310 00:13:23,360 --> 00:13:23,920 Speaker 3: so that one. 311 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:25,960 Speaker 4: Hurt in terms of a rants. 312 00:13:26,400 --> 00:13:29,079 Speaker 3: I'm just so sickened by the at least Saint. 313 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 1: Jose came through the first time he passed Sat Joe's. 314 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:33,800 Speaker 3: Saint Jose did come through, so not an awful run 315 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 3: in terms of my fix here on the pod, but 316 00:13:36,520 --> 00:13:38,200 Speaker 3: I am just sickened by the top of the eightp 317 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:40,480 Speaker 3: pole and I finally had to look it up. 318 00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 4: I was like, let me. 319 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:44,120 Speaker 3: Take a year, you know, from the nineties when I 320 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:46,600 Speaker 3: really started watching college basketball. Stucky, I know you and 321 00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:48,320 Speaker 3: I are about the same age, so I was like 322 00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:49,480 Speaker 3: nineteen ninety nine. 323 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 4: Let me look at the number. 324 00:13:50,520 --> 00:13:53,120 Speaker 3: One seeds from the NCAA Tournament in nineteen ninety nine 325 00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:55,080 Speaker 3: and compare them to who we're probably going to have 326 00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:58,840 Speaker 3: this year. So in ninety nine it was Duke, Michigan State, Auburn, 327 00:13:58,880 --> 00:14:02,440 Speaker 3: and Yukon. Ten total losses for those number one seeds 328 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 3: and only one loss in the entire group to unranked opponents. 329 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:08,440 Speaker 3: Like Duke lost one game in the regular season, they 330 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 3: lost to Kenyan Martin and Steve lo Logan from that 331 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 3: Cincinnati team. Michigan State lost to all ranked teams, all 332 00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 3: on the road or neutral floors. Alburn was the only 333 00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:19,920 Speaker 3: one that lost to an unranked opponent. They lost to Darkansas, 334 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:23,960 Speaker 3: and Yukon lost to sixteen Syracuse, number fifteen Miami. Looking 335 00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:29,320 Speaker 3: at bracketmatrix dot Com right now, the top four seeds BAMA, Purdue, Houston, 336 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 3: and Kansas, they already have thirteen losses total and four 337 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 3: losses to unranked opponents. And we're only halfway through February here, 338 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 3: So it's not our imagination comparing apples to apples. This 339 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 3: one line stinks, and I've just had it. I think 340 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:46,560 Speaker 3: it was the tipping point for me, essentially what you 341 00:14:46,600 --> 00:14:48,320 Speaker 3: were talking about. You know, my lee Hig buddies were like, 342 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:49,800 Speaker 3: all right, give me a late night winner. 343 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:51,280 Speaker 4: I was like, well, a live number. 344 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 3: You can probably jump in on Arizona minus five against Stanford. 345 00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 3: How do you give up that many points to Stanford, 346 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 3: I know is on their home floor, like a just 347 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 3: shame on me for believing that Arizona turned the corner 348 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 3: with that little win streak. 349 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,720 Speaker 1: Eight eighty eight points. 350 00:15:06,760 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 4: It's like I was watching the game, I couldn't believe it. 351 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 4: But the amount of open threes they. 352 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 3: Were giving up second chance points. I know to Bellis 353 00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 3: had a rough game as well. It's like I've just 354 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:18,760 Speaker 3: kind of had it. And the only thing that I 355 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:21,080 Speaker 3: brought up on the last pod, which was when stuck 356 00:15:21,120 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 3: he says that Tennessee's dead go ahead on the money line. 357 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:25,360 Speaker 3: I did the same thing again. I took Miszoo plus 358 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 3: the points, but not on the money line. So at 359 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:30,160 Speaker 3: least I'm hidden winners. But at this point in the season, 360 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 3: who can you trust? The answer is nobody. And at 361 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 3: least I tried to bring some factual intel here to 362 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 3: the pod that it really is worse than you think. 363 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:42,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean my list still like Alabama. I was 364 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 1: impressed with their win. I know, I mean Auburn. I 365 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 1: thought Auburn played really well and you know, they missed 366 00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 1: every shot down the stretch, but that's that's a hard, 367 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:49,360 Speaker 1: tough environment. 368 00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:51,560 Speaker 4: Alabama gets a ton of credit for that win. 369 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:54,480 Speaker 1: The only team in the country. Do you know the 370 00:15:54,520 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 1: only team in the country that doesn't have a loss 371 00:15:56,800 --> 00:16:00,360 Speaker 1: to an unranked team, It's Kansas, that's it. So even 372 00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: it looked like Houston lost its role, Alabama lost Oklahoma 373 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 1: due just lost to Northwestern, I think it's it's only Kansas, 374 00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:13,240 Speaker 1: bja Hany rant from the weekend, anything you took away 375 00:16:13,280 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 1: that you want to. 376 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 6: Mention, Yeah, I mean I have a couple rants. I 377 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 6: mean one, I had the under in West Virginia and Texas, 378 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 6: and it wasn't looking good to start, and Texas obviously 379 00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 6: was blowing them out by thirty and it was coming 380 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 6: down the stretch. Texas was kind of holding the ball 381 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:31,280 Speaker 6: and it was like, oh, the Unders actually looking pretty 382 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:35,160 Speaker 6: well here, and then both teams combined for you know, they. 383 00:16:35,160 --> 00:16:37,040 Speaker 1: Made thirty points in the final minute, right. 384 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,800 Speaker 6: Yeah, there were five three pointers in the final two 385 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 6: and a half three minutes. They only made sixteen the 386 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 6: entire game, and of course the under doesn't hit there. 387 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:51,160 Speaker 6: And then I had Boston University on the road against Slafayette. 388 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 6: They had a plus four, they were down too with 389 00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 6: forty five seconds left. They get a charge call with 390 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:02,320 Speaker 6: fourteen seconds left, so they get the ball. They're rotating 391 00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:04,600 Speaker 6: the ball around. They have a wide open three pointer 392 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 6: to win the game. He pump fakes, the defender goes 393 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:10,720 Speaker 6: flying by. He makes a runner to tie it to 394 00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 6: go to overtime, and they was by four and they pushed. 395 00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 6: So that was a pretty horrible way to lose that one. 396 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:16,880 Speaker 6: But other than that. 397 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:17,679 Speaker 2: It was a decent Saturday. 398 00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:20,160 Speaker 6: The one big takeaway I had, like, I was actually 399 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 6: pretty impressed with UCLA, and I think there's going to 400 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 6: be an opportunity maybe buy them in the futures market, 401 00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:28,919 Speaker 6: and I they might be the second best team in 402 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:30,920 Speaker 6: the country behind Alabama. 403 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:31,280 Speaker 2: I'm not. 404 00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,000 Speaker 6: I mean, that was a very very impressive win and 405 00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:37,199 Speaker 6: a bad spot against Oregon, and coming up they have 406 00:17:37,840 --> 00:17:42,800 Speaker 6: the patented altitude trip to Utah and Colorado two weeks 407 00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:46,840 Speaker 6: from now, so if they stumble through that, you know 408 00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:49,040 Speaker 6: they're sitting at you know, fourteen fifteen to one right now, 409 00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:52,280 Speaker 6: if they can drop to twenty, yeah, they finish out 410 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:56,119 Speaker 6: with the two Arizona schools at home, and if they 411 00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 6: win the Pac twelve tournament, there's a world where they 412 00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 6: could potentially get a one seed here. Now, I know, 413 00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:02,639 Speaker 6: you know, I don't know if it will matter too 414 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:04,959 Speaker 6: much between a one or two here given what we've 415 00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:07,359 Speaker 6: already mentioned with how weak the one seeds are, But 416 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:10,920 Speaker 6: I don't know. Through Throughout the season, I just keep 417 00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,119 Speaker 6: saying like, oh, you just can't do with mid range jumpers. 418 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 6: But then I keep looking back and I'm like, well, 419 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:17,439 Speaker 6: you say they already went to the final four just 420 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,200 Speaker 6: basically doing mid range jumpers. 421 00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 2: And they're pretty automatically. 422 00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:22,880 Speaker 6: They're shooting forty three percent from mid range, so it's 423 00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 6: an outstanding defense. 424 00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 2: They turn you over a ton. 425 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:29,160 Speaker 6: It's yeah, I've been I was very impressed by that win, 426 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:32,760 Speaker 6: and I'm wondering if there's a potential buy opportunity for 427 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,119 Speaker 6: them in the futures market or if they are going 428 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:37,320 Speaker 6: to potentially be on the one line come March. 429 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, the one linees it's kind of wide open as 430 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:47,960 Speaker 1: of right now, so they certainly could get there as 431 00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,720 Speaker 1: a reminder before we go any further. 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Let's 462 00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: move on to Tuesday Night. Tonight's card and talk some winners. 463 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:26,160 Speaker 1: Mike got throwed to you, you got one or two? Circle 464 00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 1: over it tonight. 465 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,399 Speaker 3: Let's start it with Butler getting ten and a half 466 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:32,560 Speaker 3: at Nova. Butler's covered three straight including outright wins over 467 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,760 Speaker 3: Saint John's and Xavier and Hinkel. But it's really about 468 00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:37,639 Speaker 3: Manny Bates. You know, he came back from injury. He 469 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,000 Speaker 3: was really rusty in those first three or four games. 470 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 3: But his last two seventeen points per game, five boards, 471 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:46,239 Speaker 3: four blocks in those two wins per game, and no 472 00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:49,080 Speaker 3: foul trouble whatsoever. Him saying on the floor really gives 473 00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,080 Speaker 3: them a shot. And they're up against a Nova team 474 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,000 Speaker 3: that's one of the worst rebounding teams in the Big East, 475 00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:55,680 Speaker 3: which kind of negates the fact that Butler's been really 476 00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:58,520 Speaker 3: bad in almost all the defense or rebounding metrics this season. 477 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:00,359 Speaker 3: Nova's going to play it a slow pace. 478 00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:00,800 Speaker 4: We know this. 479 00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:02,800 Speaker 3: They're the slowest team in the Big East three hundred 480 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 3: and seventeen the possessions per game. And then finally, it's 481 00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:08,360 Speaker 3: just not the same J Wright coach Nova team. Defensively, 482 00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:11,320 Speaker 3: they're two hundred and eighth and three point percentage allowed, 483 00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,679 Speaker 3: two hundred and fifth and effective field goal percentage on 484 00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:17,920 Speaker 3: the opponent's side. So I think Butler's a live dog here. 485 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:21,080 Speaker 3: I think it'll be a single digit win for Nova, 486 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:23,320 Speaker 3: So I'm happy to go over that. You know they 487 00:21:23,359 --> 00:21:25,680 Speaker 3: get to get to double digits at ten and a half. 488 00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:26,679 Speaker 4: Like it? 489 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 1: Anything else? Did you have anything else for tonight? 490 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:28,840 Speaker 4: Yeah? 491 00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:29,520 Speaker 1: I add one other. 492 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:31,960 Speaker 3: I think this is the right spot to get the 493 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:34,359 Speaker 3: best effort out of the Lobos from New Mexico. 494 00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,040 Speaker 4: They're laying ten and a half against a wounded Mioming team. 495 00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,119 Speaker 3: Mioming is one in five against the spread on the 496 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,399 Speaker 3: road this year, failing to cover by an average of 497 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,639 Speaker 3: eight points per game. So pretty pretty drastic there. You 498 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,119 Speaker 3: can get whatever you want when you play Mioming. You know, 499 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 3: in terms of your offense, they're three hundred and twenty 500 00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,320 Speaker 3: third effective field goal percentage, three hundred and twentieth and 501 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:54,240 Speaker 3: three point percentage defense just leaving people wide open left 502 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:56,720 Speaker 3: and right. The only force eleven turnovers per game, which 503 00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:59,720 Speaker 3: is really bad. So in terms of pressure there's none. 504 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 3: And Hunter Malnado has been a shell of his former self. 505 00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 4: You know. 506 00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:05,600 Speaker 3: Scoring is down four and a half points per game 507 00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:08,400 Speaker 3: year over year, sister cut in a half, rebounds are down, 508 00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:11,200 Speaker 3: and they need him to basically don the Superman cape 509 00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,080 Speaker 3: just to be competitive in a game like this is 510 00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:15,639 Speaker 3: the pit. So I'm gonna go ahead and back Mashburn 511 00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:16,919 Speaker 3: and House to have a good game. This is a 512 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,399 Speaker 3: game New Mexico absolutely has to have. It looks like 513 00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:21,280 Speaker 3: they ran out of gas after those back to back 514 00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:24,200 Speaker 3: overtime games about three weeks ago, and they've lost a 515 00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,440 Speaker 3: couple of close games. I think this is their opportunity 516 00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:28,920 Speaker 3: to get right and to get back focused and potentially, 517 00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:31,360 Speaker 3: you know, be a team that should be taken seriously 518 00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:33,440 Speaker 3: to receive an at large bid. But they got to 519 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,000 Speaker 3: win this one convincingly. I think this is a good number. 520 00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:36,680 Speaker 3: I'd play it. 521 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 4: All the way up to New Mexico minus thirteen. 522 00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, House is a game time decision. I 523 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 1: think he's going to play, but it's a hammy and 524 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:45,840 Speaker 1: he didn't play on Friday when they lost to Air Force. 525 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:47,800 Speaker 1: But they lost three straight. It's a great spot the 526 00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,040 Speaker 1: Wyoming I mean, waldno bet being asked to do so 527 00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:55,879 Speaker 1: much they have. I mean, they're down to six scholarship players. 528 00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:59,880 Speaker 1: It's it's just a tough situation for Wyoming. And I'm 529 00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:02,640 Speaker 1: I'm a big fan of Jeff Linder, but it's tough 530 00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:07,400 Speaker 1: to see what happened with Wyoming. And like gram Ike, 531 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: who was the preseason Conference Player of the Year, doesn't 532 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,119 Speaker 1: play a single player and then red shirts and then 533 00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:15,880 Speaker 1: you know, you have all the injuries. Then he kicked 534 00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,200 Speaker 1: off three people get kicked off the team last week, 535 00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:22,240 Speaker 1: and it's, uh, it's it's a bad situation for Wyoming. 536 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:23,439 Speaker 1: BJ what he got for tonight. 537 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:25,960 Speaker 6: Yeah, I was also on the Butler Villanova game. Actually 538 00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,000 Speaker 6: like the over one hundred and twenty nine points, So 539 00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:29,639 Speaker 6: it looks like Chuck Harris is also going to be 540 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:32,119 Speaker 6: back for Butler after missing the last three games with 541 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 6: the concussion. You know that previous meeting you mentioned Mike, 542 00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:37,040 Speaker 6: You know, Manny Bates obviously been very big for Butler. 543 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,119 Speaker 6: He didn't play in the previous meeting against Villanova, and 544 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:42,400 Speaker 6: Butler still put up one point to two points per possession. 545 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:46,680 Speaker 6: And that's because Villanova obviously, like you mentioned, a terrible 546 00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 6: defensive rebounding team, but they're also allowing the second most 547 00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:52,119 Speaker 6: shots in the country at the rim, and Butler for 548 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 6: the seasons close shooting close to sixty percent shots at 549 00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:57,199 Speaker 6: the rim, So very very good matchup for Butler. And 550 00:23:57,200 --> 00:23:59,520 Speaker 6: then the flip side, Butler's pretty average defending the three 551 00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:01,640 Speaker 6: point line, and obviously Villanova. 552 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:02,200 Speaker 2: Takes a ton of threes. 553 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,760 Speaker 6: But the other matchup, I kind of like them with 554 00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:09,160 Speaker 6: the total Kansas State Oklahoma, Well, that was a poor 555 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:13,000 Speaker 6: performance from Oklahoma on Saturday, four for seventeen from behind 556 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:16,640 Speaker 6: the arc against Kansas but they only shot forty one 557 00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:19,080 Speaker 6: percent from inside the arc, which is a very big 558 00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:21,680 Speaker 6: problem if you're going to face Kansas State because they're 559 00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,119 Speaker 6: an elite three point defense, So if you can't score 560 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:27,199 Speaker 6: from inside against them, it's very difficult to see how 561 00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:29,880 Speaker 6: Oklahoma is going to be efficient offensively, and they are 562 00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:33,280 Speaker 6: dead last and offensive efficiency and Big Twelve play They're 563 00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:35,760 Speaker 6: dead last and free throw rate, turnover percentage, basically all 564 00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:39,160 Speaker 6: the areas that Kansas State struggles with. Defensively, Oklahoma's dead 565 00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:41,320 Speaker 6: last in the Big Twelve. Offensively, they also do a 566 00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:44,960 Speaker 6: ton of isolation sets their high frequency cutting team Kansas 567 00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 6: State's top sixty five and points per possessional allowed on 568 00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:51,199 Speaker 6: both those sets. Kansas State, on the flip side, they 569 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:53,000 Speaker 6: are shooting the ball well from behind the arc, but 570 00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:54,960 Speaker 6: the reality is is like a lot of their field 571 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:56,920 Speaker 6: goal attempts are coming from inside the arc. They're the 572 00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 6: fourth highest frequency team in terms of shot attempts at 573 00:24:59,840 --> 00:25:03,040 Speaker 6: the rim, and they're only shooting fifty nine percent on 574 00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:05,440 Speaker 6: those shots, which is two hundred and sixteenth in the country. 575 00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:09,280 Speaker 6: KNA State also the higats frequency cutting team in the country, 576 00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:11,399 Speaker 6: but they're one hundred and thirtyethen points for possession on 577 00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:14,200 Speaker 6: those cuts. Oklahoma only lying around fifty five percent on 578 00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:16,440 Speaker 6: shot attempts at the rim, and they're also top ninety 579 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,479 Speaker 6: ten points possession allowed off of cuts. Can't state it's 580 00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:21,360 Speaker 6: gonna want to push the pace, but the only reality, 581 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 6: the raality here is Oklahoma is going to have to 582 00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:26,960 Speaker 6: slow things down to give them a chance and grind 583 00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:29,960 Speaker 6: this game out. So I like under one hundred and 584 00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,359 Speaker 6: forty one and a half points in can't state Oklahoma. 585 00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:35,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, I played, I played Oklahoma, I could. This game 586 00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:36,720 Speaker 1: is going to set it up my grad. It's going 587 00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,200 Speaker 1: to set up as a grinder. I played Oklahoma plus one. 588 00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 1: I think they're now minus one. I'd still play it smaller. 589 00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:45,159 Speaker 1: I don't think that they should be an underdog in 590 00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:48,480 Speaker 1: this spot. And Kansas State differed team away from home 591 00:25:48,520 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 1: this year. They have some shooting regression coming their way 592 00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,479 Speaker 1: in a negative way. Oklahoma, I think is on the 593 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:57,320 Speaker 1: opposite And I don't think Oklahoma has been as bad 594 00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 1: as the record has been. And I think you'll get 595 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:02,200 Speaker 1: a really good effort. I think Moser still has them 596 00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:04,320 Speaker 1: buying in, so I don't think if they're like at 597 00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:07,200 Speaker 1: a at risk of being like a team that folds 598 00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:09,680 Speaker 1: up or quits after Saturday. I think you'll get a 599 00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:12,719 Speaker 1: good effort here against the Kansas State team. That's just 600 00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 1: they're just different away from home. But my favorite bet 601 00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:18,560 Speaker 1: probably today, I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go with Auburn 602 00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:21,520 Speaker 1: minus six and a half at home against Missouri. 603 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:22,960 Speaker 4: It's number one. It's a great spot. 604 00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:26,400 Speaker 1: I mean, Missouri is coming off that miraculous win against 605 00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:29,119 Speaker 1: Tennessee where they want eighty six to eighty five. 606 00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:31,479 Speaker 4: They also have been a different deal away from home 607 00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:32,080 Speaker 4: for the most part. 608 00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:35,000 Speaker 1: But you know, Auburn now has lost five of six, 609 00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:37,440 Speaker 1: and we know how much better they are at home 610 00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:39,880 Speaker 1: in the jungle. They're erratic guards just play so much 611 00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:43,120 Speaker 1: better up until the final two minutes of that Alabama game. 612 00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:46,960 Speaker 1: But from a matchup perspective against Auburn, I mean, they 613 00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:49,199 Speaker 1: you can crush them on the offensive glass. That's not 614 00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:51,800 Speaker 1: a strength of Missouri does doesn't have a ton of size. 615 00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:54,520 Speaker 1: Missouri not that elite at getting to the line, which 616 00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,760 Speaker 1: is a problem for Auburn the other side of the ball. Again, 617 00:26:57,800 --> 00:26:59,679 Speaker 1: with that lack of size, Auburn should be able to 618 00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:03,879 Speaker 1: appsolutely dominate the offensive glass. So they they have been 619 00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:06,680 Speaker 1: shooting very poorly. They're not a great three point shooting team. 620 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:08,719 Speaker 1: At home, they're a little better. I do think they 621 00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:13,000 Speaker 1: still have some positive regression. They'll get some shots up here. Look, 622 00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:14,359 Speaker 1: I think that they're due to make a little bit more, 623 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:15,800 Speaker 1: but if they miss them, they're going to get every 624 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:18,959 Speaker 1: offensive rebound in this game. Missouri wants to play faster, 625 00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:22,440 Speaker 1: which I think you know in this game at Auburn 626 00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:25,440 Speaker 1: on the road, I think that plays right into Auburn sands. 627 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 1: I think it's a great Bilo Cell high spot on Auburn, 628 00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:31,919 Speaker 1: who could run Missouri out of the gym here. Missouri 629 00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:35,840 Speaker 1: offense has been awesome, but that defense, they just allow 630 00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:37,800 Speaker 1: you to score too many points. I mean, with Tennessee 631 00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,760 Speaker 1: put up eighty five, that in this kind of spot 632 00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:43,920 Speaker 1: at Auburn, that sets up for very high blowout potential. 633 00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:48,000 Speaker 1: So give me the Tigers at home in a bounce 634 00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:51,479 Speaker 1: back on Tuesday night. I think that'll that'll do it 635 00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:55,760 Speaker 1: for us. A quick little episode Tuesday night. We will 636 00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:58,920 Speaker 1: be back maybe on a guest this week. I'll see 637 00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:02,879 Speaker 1: we're gonna start to have some specialty guests each and 638 00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:07,640 Speaker 1: every week we'll add a futures to a futures back 639 00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 1: to our futures portfolio. We will talk the weekend the 640 00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:15,800 Speaker 1: week that was, and we'll have a little buy buy low, 641 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:18,560 Speaker 1: sell high for a specific conference. So it should be 642 00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:20,679 Speaker 1: a fun episode as always. Thanks to all of you 643 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:25,560 Speaker 1: for tuning in as always, in addition to Mike NBJ 644 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,399 Speaker 1: for joining me and our audio and video teams in 645 00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:31,640 Speaker 1: the back end. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe 646 00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:34,879 Speaker 1: to review, Tell a friend, telling enemy. Appreciating all of 647 00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:37,000 Speaker 1: you guys listening. Let's have a week. 648 00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:38,800 Speaker 4: We'll catch y'all later in the week. 649 00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:41,040 Speaker 1: Make sure if you catch the three men we've also midweek, 650 00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 1: we'll see you later. 651 00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:42,480 Speaker 4: In the week. Cheers. 652 00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,840 Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 653 00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:01,080 Speaker 4: If you or someone you care about as a gambling problem, 654 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:04,360 Speaker 4: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred 655 00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 4: Gambler