1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:02,680 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. 2 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:06,480 Speaker 2: It was time for the long awaited, overdue celebration to 3 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:10,160 Speaker 2: comments back, get go back. 4 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: Get back goes to win, not just to go. 5 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:18,599 Speaker 3: All right, here we go from the test throwing as specular. 6 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:21,639 Speaker 4: So we're saying it's a cash touchdown that. 7 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they 8 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 1: go to win. God, that's incredible. 9 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 2: Being bank small banks, I like to make money. All right, 10 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 2: this is the. 11 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 3: Ultimate kaba and we are underway. Welcome to the Action 12 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:44,599 Speaker 3: Network Podcast, presented by bet MGM. I'm Jill Gallant. I'm 13 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 3: joined by Evan Abrams. He held down the four for 14 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 3: me last week. And we're gonna dive into both NFL 15 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 3: Conference championship games recap. I mean, what the hell just 16 00:00:54,000 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 3: happened to Evan. We're gonna take a look at the 17 00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 3: Super Bowl fifty eight matchup between the AFC champion can 18 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 3: the City Chiefs against the NFC champion, the San Francisco 19 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:07,120 Speaker 3: forty nine Ers. Pretty chocky, but again we got a 20 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 3: rematch of what happened from four years ago when they 21 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 3: played each other in Patrick Mahomes' first Super Bowl. So 22 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:13,959 Speaker 3: we're gonna talk about both of those games and take 23 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 3: a look at this matchup as well, and then before 24 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:18,759 Speaker 3: we get out of here, Patrick Everson from Vegas Insider, 25 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,160 Speaker 3: they'll give us a market report on how sportsbooks in 26 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:24,960 Speaker 3: Vegas bair for Championship Sunday. But Evan, I think we 27 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 3: immediately have to talk about the NFC Championship game. We 28 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 3: just finished watching that game between the Lions and the 29 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 3: forty nine Ers. Forty nine Ers went thirty four to 30 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 3: thirty one on the verge of covering the seven and 31 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 3: a half, but got garbage timed out or vulture, depending 32 00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:42,200 Speaker 3: on how you look at it. The Lions better is 33 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 3: feeling very good if you bet seven and a half, 34 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:47,480 Speaker 3: because the Lions do score a last minute touchdown that 35 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 3: did not decide the game at all, but the over 36 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 3: under a fifty two and a half did go over 37 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:54,840 Speaker 3: as well. Evan, I kind of feel like this was 38 00:01:54,880 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 3: a tail of two halves because if you had just 39 00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 3: shut the game off at halftime, you would have thought 40 00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 3: the Lions were just going to roll in this game, 41 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 3: and it was just all Lions in the first half, 42 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 3: and then it was all Niners in the second half. 43 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 3: I mean the Lions, they went up fourteen nothing quickly. 44 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 3: I think what surprised me was and it probably shouldn't 45 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 3: have surprised me because of how effective Aaron Jones was 46 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 3: last week for the Packers. But the Lions rushing attack 47 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 3: just came out firing off the hop three rushing touchdowns 48 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 3: early Jameson Williams rushing touchdown MONTI got in Jamir Gibbs, 49 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:29,800 Speaker 3: I mean the first half, dude, it was very clinical 50 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 3: by the Lions. Eighteen first downs in the first half. 51 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 3: They were five to seven on third down. They held 52 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 3: the ball for six minutes longer than the Niners and 53 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 3: Evan then the second half started. 54 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 2: I mean, my point of view on this one, it's 55 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 2: just like very interesting when you're taking notes during the 56 00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 2: game and your first half notes and your second half 57 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 2: notes can be just so different. When, yeah, the same 58 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 2: process happened for the Chiefs Ravens game. I was gonna 59 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 2: say to myself, well, maybe the Ravens come back, and 60 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 2: I thought that was the case. Not the case here. 61 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:05,079 Speaker 2: I think everything you looked at in the first half 62 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 2: kind of told the story that we knew about, which 63 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 2: was the forty nine Ers rush defense got dashed. There 64 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:14,360 Speaker 2: were holes all over the plays. Gibbs was running even 65 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:17,840 Speaker 2: Montgomery saw some holes and he's mostly not a long 66 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 2: rush type of guy. And listen, two minute warning going 67 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 2: into the half, Lions seven point four yards per play, 68 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 2: seven point seven yards per rush, the forty nine ers 69 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 2: were under five. I mean, it was just complete and 70 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 2: utter domination. And there was also quick Lions drives. Right, 71 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 2: they were just rolling down the field, and every time 72 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 2: they got the ball, you said to yourself, what four 73 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:41,960 Speaker 2: and a half plays before you they at least put 74 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 2: up some points. That was how it felt early and 75 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 2: then everything kind of just turned on a dime after halftime. 76 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 2: I put out the stat the Lions were three and 77 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 2: sixteen against a third quarter spread this season entering this game, 78 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 2: and everything just fell apart seven in the third quarter. 79 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 2: The forty nine Ers went from plus four hundred to 80 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 2: minus four hundred. It just felt absolutely impossible, the biggest 81 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 2: collapse in conference championship history. But the thing that's interesting 82 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:18,200 Speaker 2: is once again the forty nine Ers end up coming 83 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 2: back from a deficit. They end up kind of squashing 84 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 2: the storyline of Shanahan, which has happened prior to this. 85 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 2: But I'm not sure anything really changes in terms of 86 00:04:29,960 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 2: how we feel about the team, which is pretty intriguing 87 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 2: with them going up against Mahomes now, the guy who 88 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:37,480 Speaker 2: comes back from everything. 89 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:40,760 Speaker 3: Well. The one thing too, is for weeks and really 90 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 3: most of the second half of the season, we were 91 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:46,160 Speaker 3: told about how amazing this forty nine Ers defense is, 92 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:48,840 Speaker 3: and now this is two weeks in a row where 93 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 3: they have looked suspect like. I'm not saying that the Chiefs, 94 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 3: but the Chiefs are a different animal too, and we're 95 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:56,119 Speaker 3: going to talk about them and how they were pretty 96 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:58,039 Speaker 3: much surgical in the first half as well, much like 97 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 3: the Lion's difference was their defense did show up in 98 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 3: the second half, but the second half for the Lions 99 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,719 Speaker 3: it was just a complete implosion. I mean the fourth 100 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 3: down calls. We have to talk about this too, because 101 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 3: at the end of the first half, Campbell gets conservative 102 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:14,280 Speaker 3: right there at the goal line. Could have went for 103 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:16,760 Speaker 3: it on a touchdown. Four extra points on this defense 104 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 3: would have been huge as far as swinging win probability. 105 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:22,240 Speaker 3: So he gets conservative here. But then we get into 106 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 3: the third quarter and he goes for it on fourth 107 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 3: down and it's not a good play call. And then 108 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 3: immediately the Niners get some luck on their hand and 109 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,840 Speaker 3: they get the fifty yard completion to Ayuk and then 110 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 3: that leads to another touchdown and then the Lions fumble 111 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:41,160 Speaker 3: CMC touchdown, And really they showed you how to blow 112 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 3: a seventeen point lead in eight minutes in an NFL game. 113 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:48,720 Speaker 3: And yeah, the Campbell gambles man were tough, Like they 114 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 3: were really tough to watch. Sometimes it felt really cringe 115 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 3: there at the end sometimes which they were coming through. 116 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 2: That, Yeah, that's his mL Like, that's the type of 117 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:58,840 Speaker 2: guy he was entering this game. You said to yourself, 118 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:01,719 Speaker 2: you probably like Detroit because you know he's willing to 119 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 2: take these gambles and up you know the set or 120 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 2: what was it not seventeen, he'd be up fourteen at 121 00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:10,680 Speaker 2: the time before he took the field goal. He wanted points. 122 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:13,920 Speaker 2: I just either way, it's a little bit of you know, 123 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:16,680 Speaker 2: looking ahead or looking you know, baths on it a 124 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:19,840 Speaker 2: little bit there. But I will say this, I wrote 125 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 2: this down after the CMC touchdown, Laporta's drop followed by 126 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 2: Reynolds drop, either of those passes come through. That felt 127 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,040 Speaker 2: like a bit of a everything is just going wrong 128 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:34,840 Speaker 2: all at once for Detroit. So that's what then those 129 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 2: were kind of my notes at the time and then 130 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:40,840 Speaker 2: the sack on first down near Detroit's goal line. Great 131 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 2: job by Perty holding onto the ball. There was just 132 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 2: a few plays that if per you know, there was 133 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 2: also the scramble where he went for the first down 134 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 2: at the end of the game. Listen, he did, he 135 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 2: did his job, He played very well when he had 136 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:56,719 Speaker 2: to play, and he came back for the second straight week. 137 00:06:56,800 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 2: So I think the funny thing is, again going into 138 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:03,359 Speaker 2: this super if you believed one thing about Party, you 139 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 2: probably still feel that way. And I don't think many 140 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 2: of the storylines have changed. It wasn't like it was 141 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 2: him who came back. The Lions fell on themselves, the 142 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 2: turnover on downs, the fumble in itself by Gibbs. It 143 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 2: just they gave them amazing field position in all the momentum. 144 00:07:22,880 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 3: So the party runs though in the second half. I 145 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:28,760 Speaker 3: got to give him credit on those, especially on turn down, 146 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 3: and he had fifty one rush yards just in the 147 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 3: second half. To me, it was just kind of one 148 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 3: of those things where the Lions just ran out of 149 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 3: time and the time management if you even want to 150 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 3: talk about that Campbell, they could have went for a 151 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 3: field goal. There kept all three timeouts and the two 152 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 3: minute warning and then been able to potentially get the 153 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 3: ball back with maybe a minute and a half left 154 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:53,200 Speaker 3: and be able to just go down and try and 155 00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 3: tie the game. I know that sounds easier after the fact, 156 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 3: but even in real time, you know, I'm texting Nick Giffon, 157 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 3: a friend of the show, friend of the podcast, friend 158 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 3: of the network. But point is we're texting, We're like, 159 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 3: why do you just take that time out there? And 160 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 3: I think that's kind of Again, the Campbell gamble is 161 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 3: what you play with if you're gonna be betting on 162 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 3: the Lions. So kudos to anybody who got the Lions 163 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 3: a plus seven and a half. But now because of 164 00:08:16,880 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 3: them losing the game, they are going to Now the 165 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 3: Niners are going to be favorites now in the Super Bowl. 166 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 3: So that means that we get to bet Patrick Mahomes 167 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 3: again as an underdog in the playoffs. Again, Patrick Mahomes. 168 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:32,440 Speaker 3: Let's now talk about the AFC Championship game. Chiefs Ravens. 169 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 3: Chiefs win seventeen to ten. The under that seemed like 170 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:38,080 Speaker 3: it was on track to go way over if you 171 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 3: were just using the first quarter algorithm that did go under, 172 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 3: it was forty three and a half. But Evan now 173 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:46,839 Speaker 3: the Chiefs going to the Super Bowl for the fourth 174 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 3: time in the Patrick Mahomes era and again will be 175 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:52,559 Speaker 3: an underdog again for the third straight playoff game, back 176 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:54,240 Speaker 3: to back Super Bowls as well that he'll be an 177 00:08:54,320 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 3: underdog as well again, talk to me about the context 178 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:02,480 Speaker 3: of this run of Patrick Mahomes and that now where 179 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 3: it almost feels like it's an auto bet now when 180 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 3: he is an underdog of two and a half or less, 181 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:08,560 Speaker 3: or just an underdog in general. 182 00:09:09,520 --> 00:09:12,000 Speaker 2: Ten to one and one against the spread as an 183 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:14,720 Speaker 2: underdog in his career nine to three, best of any 184 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:17,960 Speaker 2: quarterback minimum ten starts in the Super Bowl era, the 185 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:22,000 Speaker 2: guy just finds a way. And now being an underdog 186 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:27,040 Speaker 2: in his third consecutive game for the first time since 187 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 2: his first three starts of his career, which is just 188 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:35,800 Speaker 2: absolutely beautiful to come to fruition into this game and 189 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 2: the storylines in itself. I think this is also worth noting. 190 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 2: So ten now, with the Chiefs winning and the forty 191 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 2: nine Ers winning, ten of the last eleven Super Bowl 192 00:09:45,280 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 2: champs have enlisted a twelve to one or shorter in 193 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 2: the preseason, and so the Chiefs at six to one 194 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 2: forty nine, ers were ten to one, and since two 195 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:54,840 Speaker 2: thousand and five, the favorites when the Super Bowl entering 196 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 2: the playoffs have won it all three times. San Francisco 197 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:00,440 Speaker 2: can join them if they win at this week being 198 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 2: favorites entering a playoffs, So just kind of chalky. The 199 00:10:04,559 --> 00:10:06,480 Speaker 2: Lions are twenty two to one. They were going to 200 00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:09,600 Speaker 2: be the story, but not to be. 201 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:14,160 Speaker 3: Right and the story bit of tail two halves as 202 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:17,600 Speaker 3: well if you're just using the Chiefs offense, because in 203 00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:21,640 Speaker 3: the first half surgical, I mean, they the way that 204 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:23,960 Speaker 3: they played that first half might have been one of 205 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:26,679 Speaker 3: the best master strokes of Andy Reid's coaching career. At 206 00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 3: least they forced they defer the toss, they forced three 207 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 3: and out, use a nice six minute drive Mahomes to 208 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:36,079 Speaker 3: Kelsey touchdown. The connection just looked perfect, and then they 209 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 3: take another sixteen play drive to score again where they 210 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:43,480 Speaker 3: were just keeping Lamar and that Ravens offense off the field. Honestly, 211 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:45,280 Speaker 3: evan to think about all the times that we talked 212 00:10:45,320 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 3: about the Chiefs and how they look broken or you know, 213 00:10:47,440 --> 00:10:49,400 Speaker 3: how they're you know, whether or not they're going to 214 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 3: be able to get their passing offense and check. I 215 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 3: kind of feel ropidope, you know, the way that they 216 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:56,559 Speaker 3: were during the regular season, especially in the second half. 217 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:00,520 Speaker 3: But yeah, eleven straight completions by Mahomes to start the game. 218 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 3: To me, I still feel like the Ravens blew this 219 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 3: game because Zay Flowers is the first thing that I 220 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 3: think of, because talk about ups and downs, like the 221 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 3: thirty yard touchdown to answer back obviously on that first 222 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 3: drive right after the Kelsey touchdown, but then a big 223 00:11:20,440 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 3: catch to set up another scoring opportunity and gets a 224 00:11:23,320 --> 00:11:25,839 Speaker 3: taunting call like in the AFC title game, like it 225 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:28,320 Speaker 3: such bullshit like to call that at that time. And 226 00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:31,840 Speaker 3: then but then he goes into redemption fumbles into the 227 00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:34,000 Speaker 3: end zone on a reception. It was one of those 228 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:36,600 Speaker 3: just oh my god, you just never thought you would 229 00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:38,200 Speaker 3: see such a high and such a low for a 230 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:42,640 Speaker 3: player within like five plays. So now the one thing 231 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:44,040 Speaker 3: I would just say as well, and this is why 232 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:46,080 Speaker 3: I'm pouring one out a little bit for the Ravens 233 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 3: is because imagine this, even where your defense, if you 234 00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 3: had the Ravens defense and they only give up seventeen points, 235 00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 3: they force the Chiefs to punt on every drive in 236 00:11:57,679 --> 00:12:02,199 Speaker 3: the second half and you still loose. Like, really, it's 237 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 3: the turnovers. I think it's the big difference in this game. 238 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, it was the turnovers, and it was the dumb penalties. 239 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:14,439 Speaker 2: At various points in this game, Baltimore felt so tense 240 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 2: and nervous and just ready and willing and able to 241 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 2: make the mistake, whether you know what I mean. It 242 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:23,800 Speaker 2: just felt like whether it was the taunting or the 243 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:28,200 Speaker 2: penalty or the turnovers. I believe Lamar had three, and 244 00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 2: it was just like likely calling for the ball in 245 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:35,079 Speaker 2: triple coverage, Lamar being upset in himself for throwing the ball. 246 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:38,680 Speaker 2: It was just everything kind of compounded on itself. Harball 247 00:12:38,679 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 2: looked frustrated. At no point in this entire game did 248 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:49,920 Speaker 2: they ever look happy, enjoyable, loose, even on the scrambled 249 00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 2: touchdown to Flowers, which at this point probably is the 250 00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 2: best point, the best moment of the game for the Ravens. 251 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 2: It even was supposed to be a sack. Lamar pulled 252 00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 2: some magic out of his hat, so that almost probably 253 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:03,920 Speaker 2: shouldn't have happened in the first place. They just look 254 00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:08,520 Speaker 2: so lost at so many points, even when things went right, 255 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 2: things end up not coming back for them. With like 256 00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 2: the Vanoi penalty, and just so many different things one 257 00:13:15,040 --> 00:13:19,120 Speaker 2: after the other. After a while, you started watching this 258 00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 2: and said to yourself, well, when it was seventeen seven case, 259 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:25,000 Speaker 2: it should have been seventeen ten, or it should have 260 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:28,080 Speaker 2: been seventeen fourteen, because there's just so many opportunities with 261 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:30,160 Speaker 2: tucker Field goals and this and that. There just should 262 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 2: have been points and there wasn't and they just ran 263 00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:34,840 Speaker 2: out of time at the end of the game. So 264 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:39,200 Speaker 2: kind of fascinating to watch the Chiefs get to the 265 00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:44,360 Speaker 2: Super Bowl in two completely different ways. Right, This Chiefs 266 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:49,199 Speaker 2: team is a serpent. It strangles you. It's long drives, 267 00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 2: it's physical, it's just unique play calling. It's kind of 268 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 2: fun to watch. And you know, as a person who 269 00:13:57,000 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 2: lost futures today, I appreciate it, right Like I you 270 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 2: know today, what I love the Ravens in this game. 271 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:06,439 Speaker 2: I had some money on that, but I appreciate what 272 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:07,960 Speaker 2: the Chiefs were able to do here and I think 273 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 2: it's kind of fascinating. 274 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 3: Well, what I didn't appreciate was Lamar Jackson today because 275 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:15,160 Speaker 3: I felt like he was a bit of a mixed bag, 276 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:17,560 Speaker 3: especially like the first half. He didn't really do the 277 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 3: many favors finished the day twenty for thirty seven two 278 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 3: hundred and seventy two yards. Most of that was in 279 00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 3: the second half. I did the halftime show for this 280 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 3: game bet What Happens Live, and he was only at 281 00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:31,280 Speaker 3: a round sixty five sixty seven pass yards in the 282 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 3: first half. I believe he was actually the leading second 283 00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:37,640 Speaker 3: leading receiver as well at one point for a big 284 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:40,680 Speaker 3: portion of this game because of the weird tip ball 285 00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 3: back to him for eighteen yards. And he also led 286 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:45,600 Speaker 3: the team with fifty four rush yards, and they didn't 287 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 3: really get much from Gus Edwards or Justice Hill as well. 288 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:52,480 Speaker 3: And again two turnovers by Lamar that stripsack just hanging 289 00:14:52,520 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 3: onto the ball a little too long, and that I 290 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 3: mean you said it. That interception the likely might have 291 00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 3: been the worst throw he'd made all year, maybe since 292 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:03,360 Speaker 3: that Steelers game where he threw that awful interception where 293 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 3: the Steelers got lucky in that voodoo right. So two 294 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 3: turnovers into the end zone, man, like, you can't do 295 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:09,920 Speaker 3: that against the Chiefs. And then you brought up the 296 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 3: undisciplined play. I mean, they had the rough and the 297 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 3: passer call, the taunting. Brokwan Smith barges through the line. 298 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 3: It's an unnecessary roughness that basically gave that the Chiefs 299 00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:24,080 Speaker 3: like the game like and essentially you just can't do 300 00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:26,560 Speaker 3: that against the Chiefs that expect to win. Now, I 301 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:28,520 Speaker 3: will say a lot of people have been on the 302 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 3: trend of Chiefs and the second half unders, and you 303 00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:35,600 Speaker 3: were rewarded very handsomely. Again, it has now hit in 304 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 3: eighteen of twenty Chiefs games this season. And again, when 305 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,760 Speaker 3: you don't score any points at all in the second half, 306 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:45,280 Speaker 3: betters are rejoicing betting on that trend each and every week. 307 00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 2: Yeah. The crazy one as well is I believe the 308 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,800 Speaker 2: fourth quarter under in their games has only lost once 309 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:54,240 Speaker 2: all season, so and that today was three to nothing 310 00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:57,240 Speaker 2: Baltimore or only three points scored in the entire second half. 311 00:15:57,360 --> 00:16:01,920 Speaker 2: So that is something that I think is part of 312 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:04,680 Speaker 2: the I'm going to stick with this, the like serpent 313 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:08,760 Speaker 2: strategy of the Chiefs, which is just grab a lead, 314 00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:13,040 Speaker 2: run the ball, use Pacheco. Mahomes figures it out and 315 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 2: the game ends and the time of possession is leaned 316 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 2: towards them. Their defense is so good that they figure 317 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 2: it out, and you know, plays like that play by 318 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 2: snead on that Flowers role for touchdown bit should be 319 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:29,440 Speaker 2: that screenshot should be in the loose. That is one 320 00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:32,200 Speaker 2: of the plays that really probably I think Baltimore would 321 00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:34,120 Speaker 2: win the game if they score there, to be honest 322 00:16:34,120 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 2: with you, when it comes to momentum, but crazy well. 323 00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 3: Especially because if it got tight and then you get 324 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:42,040 Speaker 3: just over the fifty yard line, you feel pretty good 325 00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 3: with Tucker kicking the field goal if it's a tie 326 00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 3: game or close game. I think one of the things 327 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 3: that really surprised me too, especially coming into this game 328 00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:50,520 Speaker 3: is and we've been talking about this a lot in 329 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 3: the second half of the year about the Ravens, is 330 00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:54,680 Speaker 3: that it was always kind of said that, well, Lamar 331 00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,640 Speaker 3: finally has weapons now, like he finally has guys to 332 00:16:57,680 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 3: throw to. And when you talk about the serpent of 333 00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:03,680 Speaker 3: the Chiefs, the defensive side of that serpent, I think 334 00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 3: cannot be overstated. Of how they went into Baltimore today 335 00:17:06,840 --> 00:17:09,720 Speaker 3: and held one of the best running attacks in the NFL, 336 00:17:09,840 --> 00:17:13,760 Speaker 3: especially when coming into this game. Anybody who uses defensive 337 00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:16,320 Speaker 3: DV away, I'm sure anybody was referencing the fact that 338 00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:19,280 Speaker 3: the Chiefs were bottom five in defensive DVA against the 339 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:22,879 Speaker 3: run were pretty much held the Ravens in check, a 340 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:26,000 Speaker 3: team that is known for running the ball, and the 341 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:27,639 Speaker 3: fact that they were able to keep Lamar out of 342 00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:29,440 Speaker 3: the end zone Gus out of the end zone. Really 343 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:31,879 Speaker 3: that only touchdown that happened was that I don't want 344 00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:34,160 Speaker 3: to call it improbable because I feel like Lamar did 345 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:36,520 Speaker 3: make the play, but at the same time, it felt 346 00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:39,840 Speaker 3: more like a busted coverage than it did an an 347 00:17:40,040 --> 00:17:43,919 Speaker 3: ingenious play call by Monk in there. This podcast is 348 00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 3: probably presented by Bett MGM used bonus code action when 349 00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:50,359 Speaker 3: signing up to get one hundred and fifty eight dollars 350 00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 3: in bonus bets when you bet five dollars for new 351 00:17:53,640 --> 00:18:02,120 Speaker 3: users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 352 00:18:02,359 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 3: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming. 353 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 3: Terms of conditions apply. Must be twenty one hour older. 354 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 3: Gambling problem called what a hundred gambler? Those are the 355 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:16,760 Speaker 3: AFC games in the NFC title games. Now, let's talk 356 00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:19,879 Speaker 3: about Super Bowl fifty eight. Let's look ahead now, Chiefs 357 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:25,600 Speaker 3: Niners repeat rematch from four years ago right now Niners 358 00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:28,199 Speaker 3: depending on how it looked like again, there was some 359 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:31,680 Speaker 3: look ahead lines on this. I saw Niners minus three 360 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,320 Speaker 3: at some spots, you know, right after the first game, 361 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:36,439 Speaker 3: right after the Chiefs advance. It is now down to 362 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:39,760 Speaker 3: Niners two and a half over under at forty seven 363 00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:41,720 Speaker 3: and a half, and then they drop a little bit more. 364 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 2: I'll correct, I'll correct you. I'm looking at it right 365 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:46,080 Speaker 2: now live it's down to one and a half. 366 00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 1: Wow. 367 00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:49,280 Speaker 3: Okay, So as we're recording, like so just in the 368 00:18:49,359 --> 00:18:53,040 Speaker 3: time that I started recording this podcast with you until now, 369 00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:55,560 Speaker 3: the line has shifted an entire point. So that's just 370 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:59,560 Speaker 3: showing the public love for Mahomes and I imagine a 371 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 3: lot of professional sports betters we're getting on that two 372 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 3: and a half and maybe even the money line. I 373 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:05,240 Speaker 3: bet when the reports come out, when we get to 374 00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:08,880 Speaker 3: reporting the splits, as we get closer to kickoff, I imagine 375 00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:10,479 Speaker 3: you're gonna hear a lot about how there is a 376 00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:12,680 Speaker 3: ton of money on the Chiefs money line coming in. 377 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:15,400 Speaker 2: I'll even say this right now, so like literally as 378 00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:17,800 Speaker 2: you said, line comes out at what like thirty minutes 379 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:20,400 Speaker 2: an hour ago, but sixty nine percent of tickets on case. 380 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:23,400 Speaker 2: Everything's going to flow in that way until it probably 381 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 2: hits My guess is pick them at some point and 382 00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:28,439 Speaker 2: then you'll find some resistance. But at the moment, it 383 00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:31,439 Speaker 2: seems all Kansas City right and. 384 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,639 Speaker 3: One of the big things as well. To report, former 385 00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:36,959 Speaker 3: colleague of ours Darren Revel made sure to get the 386 00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 3: full itinerary that Taylor Swift can make it back in 387 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:43,919 Speaker 3: time for the Super Bowl. So just if you're wondering 388 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 3: if Tata is going to be in the audience, there 389 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,880 Speaker 3: is a very good chance she could be. And then 390 00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:52,200 Speaker 3: also the game being played in Vegas, I imagine a 391 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:55,280 Speaker 3: lot it's going to be a betting bonanza being in 392 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:59,720 Speaker 3: this environment as well, a lot of people will probably 393 00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 3: be using the matchup from four years ago as maybe 394 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:04,960 Speaker 3: like a little bit of a mini compass, And I 395 00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:07,159 Speaker 3: think I want to just say, like be careful with 396 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:09,439 Speaker 3: that because a lot of there is a lot of 397 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:12,240 Speaker 3: the same players, but a lot of the key guys 398 00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 3: have shifted a little bit. Obviously, Jimmy g was in 399 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:17,320 Speaker 3: at the quarterback now Brock perties there. Tyreek Hill is 400 00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:21,200 Speaker 3: no longer on that offense, So very interesting to see 401 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:25,359 Speaker 3: what kind of lines we'll see for you know, like 402 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,720 Speaker 3: lines for like a Travis Kelce like, you know, as 403 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,399 Speaker 3: far as like his yardage line and is receiving like 404 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 3: receptions line like coming into this game against the Ravens, 405 00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:36,440 Speaker 3: who were a top three matchup as far as defending 406 00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,239 Speaker 3: the tight end, you still saw his reception line at 407 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 3: six and a half and at juice to the over, 408 00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:45,359 Speaker 3: along with his receiving yard line in the mid to 409 00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:47,560 Speaker 3: high seventies, and it was only going up as we 410 00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 3: got closer to kickoff. I can't imagine we're not going 411 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:51,639 Speaker 3: to see a line like that. 412 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:52,119 Speaker 4: What do you have? 413 00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:56,320 Speaker 2: So across the market right now, lines are coming out 414 00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:58,760 Speaker 2: already across props and all that different type of stuff. 415 00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:00,960 Speaker 2: So I'll just give you like a blanket few. 416 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:03,920 Speaker 3: Numbers, genuine reaction. I don't know what these are. 417 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, So Kelsey right now sitting at sixty six and 418 00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:09,919 Speaker 2: a half receiving yards, that's what looks like around the 419 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:14,200 Speaker 2: open he would be the second highest behind Rashie Rice 420 00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,240 Speaker 2: who is at sixty eight and a half receiving yards, 421 00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 2: and then you'd get Ayyuk at sixty three and a half. 422 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:22,680 Speaker 2: So that looks like openers from the receivers there. 423 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:25,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, and see the thing about Ayuk and the reason 424 00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:28,240 Speaker 3: why people will should be looking at Ayuk is that 425 00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:31,360 Speaker 3: he did score a touchdown today. The Lions played man 426 00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 3: coverage at a top ten rate, and he thrives against 427 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:36,719 Speaker 3: man coverage. Well, guess who else plays man coverage at 428 00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:39,280 Speaker 3: a top five rate. That would be the Chiefs. So 429 00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:41,880 Speaker 3: Brandon Ayuk and McDuffie is going to be a matchup 430 00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:43,960 Speaker 3: that is going to be a key difference maker I 431 00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:46,560 Speaker 3: think in that now, I will say Super Bowl MVP 432 00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:48,720 Speaker 3: odds are probably going to be slowly coming out as well. 433 00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 3: One of the things that I was recommending and I 434 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:53,439 Speaker 3: tracked on the Action app as we got into the 435 00:21:53,480 --> 00:21:56,280 Speaker 3: game was I looked at Travis Kelcey at eighty to 436 00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,600 Speaker 3: one for Super Bowl MVP along with Deebo Samuel at 437 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 3: sixty five to one at Super Bowl MVP. Since that 438 00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:05,640 Speaker 3: time and this was just in the time of win 439 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 3: that Chiefs game finished, Kelsey dropped it just a nine 440 00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:13,000 Speaker 3: to one. Samuel was around thirty to one. I got 441 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 3: to imagine those are gonna get a little bit more 442 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,200 Speaker 3: CLV as we go heading into. 443 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:19,199 Speaker 2: Can you see where Pachecko is? Are you looking at 444 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 2: them right now? I don't have them in front of me. 445 00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:22,880 Speaker 2: I got Pachecko at one hundred and twenty to one 446 00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 2: to win Super Bowl MVP entering this round, so I'm 447 00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:30,400 Speaker 2: imagining I got CLV there. I know Matt Mitchell, Bet Pachecko, 448 00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:33,639 Speaker 2: and Deebo, So yeah, I mean some of those, especially 449 00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:35,800 Speaker 2: when you get to the second last round in that 450 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,040 Speaker 2: conference championship, it's a little bit of value there if 451 00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,680 Speaker 2: you think the team's gonna win, And obviously those get 452 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:41,880 Speaker 2: a slash pretty hard. 453 00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:45,320 Speaker 3: All right, So super Bowl MVP looking out there right now, 454 00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,240 Speaker 3: pretty much right at the top, you've got Patrick Mahomes 455 00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:51,400 Speaker 3: at plus one thirty, brock Purty at plus two hundred, 456 00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:53,920 Speaker 3: and then it takes a jump up to Christian McCaffrey 457 00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:58,000 Speaker 3: at plus four thirty. Right now, Travis Kelcey's around twenty 458 00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:01,359 Speaker 3: three to one, so still not it's not great odds, 459 00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,680 Speaker 3: and you're not looking at eighty to one as much 460 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,199 Speaker 3: as you but Debo is still sitting there at fifty 461 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:07,880 Speaker 3: five to one. And the reason why I keep bringing 462 00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:10,119 Speaker 3: up these two, and part of the reason why I 463 00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:13,040 Speaker 3: was on the Kelsey train initially, is that there's already 464 00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:15,440 Speaker 3: obviously this Taylor Swift narrative in him being in front 465 00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:18,199 Speaker 3: and center. But if Patrick Mahomes has a game like 466 00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:21,639 Speaker 3: he had today where he's just good, but he's not 467 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:23,960 Speaker 3: the best player on the field, like that kind of 468 00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 3: thing where Travis Kelsey had a dominant effort today, I 469 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 3: could see voters kind of looking more towards Kelsey's pocket 470 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:34,720 Speaker 3: instead of instead of Mahomes. Now, the same thing on 471 00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:36,720 Speaker 3: the flip side with Samuel. If Samuel has a two 472 00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:40,560 Speaker 3: or three touchdown game and just as dominant, nobody's gonna 473 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,399 Speaker 3: give brock Purty that credit. They're gonna say Debo trucked 474 00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:45,879 Speaker 3: the few guys and that's why he deserves MVP. So 475 00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:49,680 Speaker 3: that's kind of been my MVP thoughts so far. But again, 476 00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:51,320 Speaker 3: I think the other thing too is that right now, 477 00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:54,440 Speaker 3: the way that they have the Super Bowl odds priced, 478 00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:56,440 Speaker 3: if you're looking at the Chiefs right now, Chiefs money 479 00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:59,840 Speaker 3: line is about even odds right now, So got it. 480 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:03,120 Speaker 3: Think if the Chiefs do win, typically the award does 481 00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:05,960 Speaker 3: go to the quarterback. So Patrick Mahomes plus one thirty, 482 00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 3: if that is the angle you'd want to take, that 483 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 3: might be the better way to get a little bit 484 00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:10,160 Speaker 3: of extra juice on. 485 00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:14,600 Speaker 2: That yeah, and CMC right now sitting about minus two 486 00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:17,080 Speaker 2: hundred to score a touchdown. I believe he was about 487 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:20,040 Speaker 2: minus three hundred in the game today, but still minus 488 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:23,679 Speaker 2: two hundred score to town in Super Bowl. That's something 489 00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:26,720 Speaker 2: to behold. A few numbers I can rattle off here 490 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:31,120 Speaker 2: in terms of just the matchup itself. So game's gonna 491 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:35,159 Speaker 2: be played in Vegas. Mahomes eighteen and three straight up 492 00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:38,679 Speaker 2: playing Mountain Pacific games, and that would be fourteen and 493 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 2: one since it started twenty nineteen. That only lost would 494 00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,600 Speaker 2: be the Broncos game they lost his past season. But 495 00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:49,120 Speaker 2: he's been pretty darn good when on the road and traveling, 496 00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,720 Speaker 2: especially in his career. And think about this one. So 497 00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:55,840 Speaker 2: the Chiefs entering this game having covered five straight, those 498 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,640 Speaker 2: teams covering at least five in a row and during 499 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,200 Speaker 2: a super well versus the forty nine ers who haven't 500 00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:04,399 Speaker 2: been covering at all and actually just you know, didn't 501 00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:07,520 Speaker 2: cover and during this game those teams six zero to 502 00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:12,479 Speaker 2: one ats in the Super Bowl era, So usually the 503 00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:16,359 Speaker 2: covering team ends up getting it done. And again you 504 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,119 Speaker 2: might be getting a few free points here. So again 505 00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 2: Mahomes the grim Reaper getting points unreal. 506 00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:24,440 Speaker 3: And The other thing that I would just say before 507 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:27,840 Speaker 3: we go is the last two years, the most bet 508 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,480 Speaker 3: touchdown score in each game, that would have been Cooper 509 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:33,440 Speaker 3: Cup and then Travis kelce They were the most bet 510 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,800 Speaker 3: touchdown scores in each game and both scored very easily. 511 00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:39,040 Speaker 3: I will probably be looking at Travis Kelcey for a 512 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:42,840 Speaker 3: first team touchdown as now. With the touchdown today. He 513 00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 3: has scored the first Chiefs touchdown in five of the 514 00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:49,520 Speaker 3: last seven playoff games. All right, So that is Super 515 00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:53,520 Speaker 3: Bowl fifty eight, Chiefs Niners. Niners just hanging on by 516 00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:55,600 Speaker 3: a thread to be a favorite here. The over unders 517 00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:58,400 Speaker 3: still around forty seven and a half and the game 518 00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 3: will be at Allegied Stadium in Las Vegas in about 519 00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 3: two weeks time. All Right, now, let's check in with 520 00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,920 Speaker 3: Patrick Evererson for Vegas Insider to see how sportsbooks fared 521 00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:09,040 Speaker 3: in Las Vegas for Championship Sunday. 522 00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:11,119 Speaker 1: All right, Jille, thanks for having me back on the 523 00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:16,000 Speaker 1: Action Network podcast. A great Sunday here in Las Vegas, 524 00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:18,399 Speaker 1: for sure and around the country in the realm of 525 00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:23,080 Speaker 1: NFL betting, betting on conference Championship Sunday, and generally speaking, 526 00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:25,359 Speaker 1: this was probably a pretty good day for the books. 527 00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:27,639 Speaker 1: I'm sure some betters made out all right, but generally speaking, 528 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:30,399 Speaker 1: it sounds like they were pretty happy with the Chiefs outcome. 529 00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:33,720 Speaker 1: Getting the Chiefs outright at a couple of different sports books, 530 00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 1: I know BETEMGM, specifically Christian Sippolini for BETMGM nationally, not 531 00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:40,639 Speaker 1: just here in Vegas, but nationally, he said Chiefs was 532 00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:42,920 Speaker 1: a good outcome, the Chiefs winning and especially that game 533 00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:46,600 Speaker 1: going under as well. There was definitely heavily heavy activity 534 00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:50,159 Speaker 1: to the over in that game. But in addition to that, 535 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:53,720 Speaker 1: while BETMGM nationally was good to both the Chiefs and 536 00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:56,679 Speaker 1: the Ravens, in the Super Bowl futures market better to 537 00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,720 Speaker 1: the Chiefs than the Ravens. So I think they're pretty 538 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,440 Speaker 1: happy with that. And again Bull oddsmakers indicated similarly that 539 00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:05,240 Speaker 1: was that was a pretty good outcome to get the 540 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,439 Speaker 1: Chiefs outright, just absolutely stifling Baltimore. Baltimore can't really get 541 00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:10,600 Speaker 1: anything going, loses seventeen to ten. 542 00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:12,360 Speaker 4: Obviously, the second. 543 00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:14,919 Speaker 1: Game was a hell of a lot more exciting, with 544 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,879 Speaker 1: San Francisco making the huge comeback beating Detroit thirty four 545 00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:20,760 Speaker 1: to thirty one. That was a good outcome generally speaking, 546 00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:22,800 Speaker 1: for the books as well, for a couple of reasons. 547 00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:26,760 Speaker 1: First off, you get a Niners win and a Lions cover. 548 00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:30,760 Speaker 1: There was a ton ton ton of money line play 549 00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:34,240 Speaker 1: on the Lions. The public was definitely on the Lions 550 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:38,000 Speaker 1: on the money line. They were all in for the 551 00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:41,600 Speaker 1: underdog to keep that Cinderella story going. So books didn't 552 00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:43,840 Speaker 1: mind at all that they got a forty nine Ers 553 00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:46,040 Speaker 1: win but a Lion's cover, because then they scoop up 554 00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:48,040 Speaker 1: a lot of forty nine ers spread, which quite a 555 00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:50,879 Speaker 1: few books we're seeing, and all of that Lion's money 556 00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:54,320 Speaker 1: line action went back into the coffers of the sports books. 557 00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:58,080 Speaker 1: And that's including at BETTMGM again from Christian Sippolini bet 558 00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:00,959 Speaker 1: MGM nationally. He said, as at look like the Lions 559 00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:03,240 Speaker 1: were going to win that game, he said, this one 560 00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:06,800 Speaker 1: holding up would be very bad for us, but it 561 00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:10,600 Speaker 1: ended up being very good ultimately because the Niners came 562 00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:13,880 Speaker 1: all the way back. Now that said at Betamjam again, 563 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,680 Speaker 1: the futures played into it as well. The Lions were 564 00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:21,000 Speaker 1: a worse outcome for the NFC Championship Game twofold one 565 00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:23,959 Speaker 1: because of the Lion's money line activity that I described 566 00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:27,000 Speaker 1: to you a moment ago, and to be couple that 567 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:29,760 Speaker 1: with the Lions Super Bowl futures, those two things coming 568 00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:32,440 Speaker 1: together created a more perfect storm for the Lions to 569 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:34,520 Speaker 1: be really bad behind the counter for betam Gym and 570 00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:37,520 Speaker 1: really good on our side of the counter for the customers. 571 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,720 Speaker 1: But the Niners are a bad outcome for betam GM 572 00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:43,000 Speaker 1: as well. But it was a lesser of two evils 573 00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,600 Speaker 1: kind of thing. The Niners are a less bad outcome 574 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:48,760 Speaker 1: for betam GM. So now what the book is rooting for, 575 00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:50,920 Speaker 1: all things being equal, and a lot could change in 576 00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,560 Speaker 1: these next two weeks, but they're rooting for the Chiefs 577 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:56,760 Speaker 1: to beat the Niners in the Super Bowl and hopefully 578 00:28:56,840 --> 00:28:59,400 Speaker 1: see a whole lot of activity. Now let's spind this 579 00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 1: forward to the Super Bowl talk with the Vegas odds 580 00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:04,360 Speaker 1: maker on this Sunday night. I know everybody's listening, Jill, 581 00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 1: it is Monday. This game opened the Super Bowl did 582 00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:12,000 Speaker 1: at San Francisco minus two, and what the odds maker 583 00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,560 Speaker 1: explained to me was two reasons for that one. It 584 00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:16,880 Speaker 1: looks like Niners running back Christian McCaffrey might be. 585 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:17,640 Speaker 4: A little bit dinged. 586 00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:20,600 Speaker 1: He got dinged late in the game against the Lions. 587 00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:23,200 Speaker 1: It appeared, but he said, more importantly, because of a 588 00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:27,560 Speaker 1: now suspect San Francisco defense, they just they don't have 589 00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:27,880 Speaker 1: a lot of. 590 00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:28,440 Speaker 4: Faith in them. 591 00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:31,560 Speaker 1: So the thought process was do we open San fran two, 592 00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:34,880 Speaker 1: two and a half or three. Ultimately decided on opening 593 00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:38,600 Speaker 1: the Niners at minus two, but the betters responded almost 594 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,080 Speaker 1: immediately by betting on the Chiefs, and the granted, there's 595 00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:42,720 Speaker 1: not a whole lot of room to move here necessarily 596 00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 1: if you're going to keep it around to pick them, 597 00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:47,280 Speaker 1: but the Niners are already down to minus one late 598 00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:50,160 Speaker 1: on Sunday night, and the money line is corresponding and moving, 599 00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 1: and I'm hearing from multiple odds makers the Chiefs money line, 600 00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,920 Speaker 1: especially at BETMGM Chiefs money line is getting hit pretty well, 601 00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:59,880 Speaker 1: but so is Chiefs on the spread. There'll be plenty 602 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:01,720 Speaker 1: more to talk about over these next couple of weeks, 603 00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 1: especially prop bets and all that. But that is a 604 00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:08,400 Speaker 1: wrap on the weekend from Vegas and nationwide on conference 605 00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:10,720 Speaker 1: championship betting and a little bit of a look ahead 606 00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,760 Speaker 1: to Super Bowl fifty eight two weeks from now, right 607 00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:15,720 Speaker 1: here in Las Vegas, and I'll say, for a whole 608 00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:19,200 Speaker 1: lot more, check out my NFL Super Bowl odds and 609 00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:22,160 Speaker 1: Action Report at Vegas Insider dot com. 610 00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:24,120 Speaker 3: Thank you, Patrick, Thank you for listening to the Action 611 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:27,840 Speaker 3: Network podcast presented by Bet MGM. Enjoy a nice little break. 612 00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:30,040 Speaker 3: Keep an eye out for all of our NFL Super 613 00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:31,600 Speaker 3: Bowl podcasts right. 614 00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:42,960 Speaker 4: Here on the Action Network. 615 00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:53,480 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 616 00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:56,280 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 617 00:30:56,320 --> 00:30:59,480 Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler