WEBVTT - Ep92 "Why is it so hard to keep a secret?"

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<v Speaker 1>Why is it so hard to keep a secret?

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<v Speaker 2>And what does this have to do with Abraham Lincoln's

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<v Speaker 2>political cabinet or when bosses should keep secrets within companies?

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<v Speaker 2>What does any of this have to do with political

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<v Speaker 2>hierarchies or chimpanzees or the formula for Coca cola, or

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<v Speaker 2>whether AI in the near future will be keeping secrets

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<v Speaker 2>from you. Today's episode is all about secrets. We've all

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<v Speaker 2>got them, from the little white lies we tell to

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<v Speaker 2>spare somebody's feelings to the deep unspoken things that we

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<v Speaker 2>try to bury. Secrets are a part of being a primate.

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<v Speaker 2>But why do we have them, why do we keep them?

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<v Speaker 2>And what happens when they start to unravel. As we'll see,

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<v Speaker 2>neuroscience tells us that secrets aren't just stashed away. They're active.

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<v Speaker 2>They weigh on us, They shape our relationships, and sometimes

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<v Speaker 2>they grow into tangled webs we never meant to weave. Today,

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<v Speaker 2>we'll dive into the neuroscience of secrets, how they form,

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<v Speaker 2>how they grow, and what it takes to keep them

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<v Speaker 2>or spill them. This is in her Cosmos, and I'm

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<v Speaker 2>David Eagleman. Let's dive into our three pound universe to

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<v Speaker 2>untangle the web. Now, before diving into the science of secrets,

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<v Speaker 2>we'll start with an observation that researchers made sometime ago.

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<v Speaker 2>Keeping a secret is unhealthy. So there's a psychologist named

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<v Speaker 2>James Pennebaker, and he and his colleagues studied what happened

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<v Speaker 2>when victims of rape or incest when they acted out

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<v Speaker 2>of shame or guilt and chose to keep secrets inside. So,

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<v Speaker 2>after years of study, Pennebaker concluded that quote, the act

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<v Speaker 2>of not discussing or confiding the event with another maybe

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<v Speaker 2>more damaging than having experienced the event per se. He

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<v Speaker 2>and his team discovered that when subjects confesst or wrote

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<v Speaker 2>about their deeply held secrets, their health improved. Their number

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<v Speaker 2>of doctor visits went down, and there were measurable decreases

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<v Speaker 2>in their stress hormone levels. So the results are clear enough.

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<v Speaker 2>But some years ago I began to ask myself how

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<v Speaker 2>to understand these findings from the point of view of

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<v Speaker 2>brain science, and that led to a question that I

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<v Speaker 2>realized was unaddressed in the scientific literature. What is a secret? Neurobiologically,

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<v Speaker 2>imagine constructing an artificial neural network of millions of interconnected neurons.

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<v Speaker 1>What would a secret look like?

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<v Speaker 2>Here could a toaster with its interconnect did parts harbor

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<v Speaker 2>a secret? We have useful scientific frameworks for understanding things

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<v Speaker 2>like Parkinson's disease, or color perception or sensing temperature, but

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<v Speaker 2>we don't really have any scientific framework for understanding what

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<v Speaker 2>it means for the brain to have and to hold

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<v Speaker 2>a secret. So that's what we're going to put into

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<v Speaker 2>place today. Now, before we get there, let's start with

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<v Speaker 2>Abraham Lincoln. In eighteen sixty, the young Lincoln emerged as

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<v Speaker 2>the Republican part of The's candidate for president. And this

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<v Speaker 2>was a surprise because he was relatively unknown compared to

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<v Speaker 2>the seasoned politicians he was going up against, like William

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<v Speaker 2>Seward and Sam and Chase and Edward Bates who are

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<v Speaker 2>also vying for that nomination. But here's what Lincoln did

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<v Speaker 2>after he won the presidency. He chose those people his rivals,

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<v Speaker 2>to comprise his presidential cabinet. And not only them, but

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<v Speaker 2>he also put in other people with totally different political

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<v Speaker 2>ideologies from his. And that's how he formed his cabinet.

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<v Speaker 2>The historian Doris Kerns Goodwin labeled this a team of rivals. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>I've always loved this fact about Lincoln, first because it's

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<v Speaker 2>actually quite sensible politically, but very few people do it.

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<v Speaker 2>It's sensible because bringing together people with conflicting perspectives reflected

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<v Speaker 2>his deep commitment to the Union and his focus on

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<v Speaker 2>the bigger picture rather than personal grudges. He believed that

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<v Speaker 2>the challenges of leading a divided nation through the Civil

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<v Speaker 2>War required the best minds available, even if they disagreed

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<v Speaker 2>with him or each other. So he got a spread

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<v Speaker 2>of opinions this way. But the key thing is that

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<v Speaker 2>the internal conflict gave strength to his presidency because no

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<v Speaker 2>one gets to enjoy the delusion that they're there's a

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<v Speaker 2>right and a wrong answer, But instead, every disagreement gets

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<v Speaker 2>fought out, and sometimes a good solution is reached, and

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<v Speaker 2>sometimes the problem festers and is revisited over and over. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>the argument I forwarded in my book Incognito is that

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<v Speaker 2>the brain fundamentally can best be understood as a team

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<v Speaker 2>of rivals. So what does that mean. Well, it means

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<v Speaker 2>that you are made up of many different neural networks,

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<v Speaker 2>each of which sees different data and has its own goals.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is why you can argue with yourself, or

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<v Speaker 2>get mad at yourself, or try to control yourself to

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<v Speaker 2>do something, or get angry at yourself, because you are

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<v Speaker 2>not one thing, you are a multitude. I'll give you

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<v Speaker 2>an example of this when it comes to how we

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<v Speaker 2>make purchasing decisions, as in which restaurant to choose, or

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<v Speaker 2>which clothing brand to buy, or what car should I purchase.

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<v Speaker 2>In economics, we were taught about Homo economicus, the rational

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<v Speaker 2>decision maker who maximizes gain and minimizes loss and is

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<v Speaker 2>unswayed by emotion.

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<v Speaker 1>But that is an idealized model.

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<v Speaker 2>Real humans are emotional and inconsistent and easily influenced by

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<v Speaker 2>context and branding, and the gap between theory and reality

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<v Speaker 2>has given rise to the field of neuroeconomics. So consider this.

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<v Speaker 2>I give you two courts of generic ice cream. One

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<v Speaker 2>is priced lower than the other, and so the rational

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<v Speaker 2>choice is pretty easy. But if I reveal the labels,

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<v Speaker 2>let's say one is Ben and Jerry's one is Hoggendaws,

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<v Speaker 2>your decisions might shift because all you're experiencing with their

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<v Speaker 2>branding kicks in and your emotional predictions about how good

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<v Speaker 2>something is likely to taste based on your past experiences,

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<v Speaker 2>and maybe your sense of whether your friends like this

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<v Speaker 2>or not, And all of this shifts the decision making

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<v Speaker 2>one way or the other. What two decades of neuroimaging

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<v Speaker 2>has shown is that our decisions about what to buy

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<v Speaker 2>are driven by at least three major brain networks. You

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<v Speaker 2>have one network along the midline that calculates the price

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<v Speaker 2>or worth of something. Then you've got a separate network

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<v Speaker 2>involved in emotion, mostly in the orbit or frontal cortex,

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<v Speaker 2>and that anticipates how good or bad something will feel.

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<v Speaker 2>Then you've got another network that's all about your choices

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<v Speaker 2>in a social context, as in, what do your friends

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<v Speaker 2>think about this?

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<v Speaker 1>Is it cool or is it lame?

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<v Speaker 2>And all of this tells us why companies don't just

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<v Speaker 2>advertise with bullet points about their rational advantages.

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<v Speaker 1>They spend millions of dollars on ads.

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<v Speaker 2>To assure us that this is the best value and

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<v Speaker 2>appeal to our feelings, and to assure us that everyone

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<v Speaker 2>else loves this product as well. So, as a result

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<v Speaker 2>of the complicate, hated voting of our neural parliaments, decisions

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<v Speaker 2>aren't always straightforward to decode. So the next time you're

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<v Speaker 2>thinking about your choice between ice cream brands or fast food,

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<v Speaker 2>restaurants or car brands. Ask yourself, what is driving this decision?

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<v Speaker 2>Is it price? Is it emotion? Is there a social

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<v Speaker 2>influence on what I'm choosing? All these networks are fighting

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<v Speaker 2>it out, each trying to have control in steering the

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<v Speaker 2>ship of state. If you're interested in more about this,

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<v Speaker 2>checkout episodes eight and nine. Now I mention all this

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<v Speaker 2>now to illustrate this notion of battles in the brain.

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<v Speaker 2>It's not just with buying decisions, but with all the

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<v Speaker 2>choices you make in life. You have some networks that

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<v Speaker 2>care about the short term in decision making, and you

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<v Speaker 2>have some that care about the long term. You have

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<v Speaker 2>networks that are monitoring and making predictions about the outside

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<v Speaker 2>world and others that care about your inside world, the

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<v Speaker 2>state of your body. Some of your networks provide a

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<v Speaker 2>drive towards novelty and others towards familiarity, and these can

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<v Speaker 2>both be active at the same time and having an

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<v Speaker 2>arm wrestle. So think about these rivaling networks like a

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<v Speaker 2>neural parliament. You're built of different political parties, all of

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<v Speaker 2>whom love their country, but they just have different opinions

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<v Speaker 2>about the best way forward. So this gives us a

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<v Speaker 2>sense of these battling networks, and now I want to

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<v Speaker 2>zoom in on something surprising. What you get out of

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<v Speaker 2>a brain that is composed of multiple rivaling networks, You

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<v Speaker 2>get a universe of secrets. The team of rivals framework

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<v Speaker 2>allows us to address a mystery that would be inexplicable

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<v Speaker 2>if we took the point of view of traditional computer programs.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's come back to the question I asked at

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<v Speaker 2>the beginning, what is a secret? Neurobiologically? And could your

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<v Speaker 2>toaster keep a secret? Within the team of rivals framework,

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<v Speaker 2>a secret is easily understood. It's the result of struggle

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<v Speaker 2>between competing parties in the brain. One part of the

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<v Speaker 2>brain wants to reveal something and another part does not

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<v Speaker 2>want to. When there are competing votes in the brain,

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<v Speaker 2>one for telling and one for withholding, that's a secret.

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<v Speaker 2>If neither party cares to tell, that's merely a boring fact.

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<v Speaker 2>And if both parties want to tell, that's just a

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<v Speaker 2>good story. Without the framework of rivalry, we would have

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<v Speaker 2>no way to understand a secret. The reason a secret

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<v Speaker 2>is experienced consciously is because it results from a conflict.

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<v Speaker 2>It's not business as usual, and so quite often our

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<v Speaker 2>consciousness is called upon to deal with it. Now, the

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<v Speaker 2>main reason not to tell a secret is aversion to

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<v Speaker 2>the long term consequences. A friend might think ill of you,

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<v Speaker 2>or a relationship might be revocably damaged, or a community

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<v Speaker 2>might ostracize you. This concern about the outcome is evidenced

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<v Speaker 2>by the fact that people are more likely to tell

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<v Speaker 2>their secrets to total strangers. With somebody that you don't know,

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<v Speaker 2>the neural conflict can be dissipated with none of the costs.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's why strangers are occasionally so forthcoming on airplanes

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<v Speaker 2>or in bars telling you all the details of their

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<v Speaker 2>marital troubles. And we can see a modern twist on

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<v Speaker 2>this ancient need to confess to strangers in the form

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<v Speaker 2>of websites like postsecret dot com. This is a site

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<v Speaker 2>where people go to anonymously disclose their confessions. Here are

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<v Speaker 2>some examples.

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<v Speaker 1>Quote.

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<v Speaker 2>When my daughter was stillborn, I not only thought about

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<v Speaker 2>kidnapping a baby, I planned it out in my head.

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<v Speaker 2>I even found myself watching new mothers with their babies,

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<v Speaker 2>trying to pick the perfect Now we don't know who

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<v Speaker 2>posted this, but for that person something was released by

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<v Speaker 2>confessing this. Here's another one. I was adopted, and my

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<v Speaker 2>biggest fear is passing my biological father on the street.

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<v Speaker 2>Or here's another one. I'm almost certain that your son

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<v Speaker 2>has autism, but I have no idea how to tell you.

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<v Speaker 2>There are tens of thousands of secrets on this website

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<v Speaker 2>and why. It's because just telling your secret to the website,

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<v Speaker 2>where you believe it will be read by other people

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<v Speaker 2>strangers to you, is sufficient. And this reduction of tension

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<v Speaker 2>by releasing a secret. This, I think also explains a

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<v Speaker 2>staple in one of the world's largest religions, the confessional booth.

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<v Speaker 2>You get something off your chest and without the consequences

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<v Speaker 2>that might otherwise accrue.

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<v Speaker 1>This same need to reveal.

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<v Speaker 2>Ourselves might also shine light on the appeal of prayer,

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<v Speaker 2>especially with religions that have a very personal God who

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<v Speaker 2>lends an ear with undivided attention and non judgmental love.

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<v Speaker 2>So why is a stranger or a website or a

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<v Speaker 2>deity useful. It's because it's the act of telling the

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<v Speaker 2>secret that matters. Things don't have to get solved, the

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<v Speaker 2>cognitive tension just has to be reduced. We've all seen

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<v Speaker 2>this that people often will vent a secret for its

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<v Speaker 2>own sake, not as an invitation for advice. For example,

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<v Speaker 2>somebody tells you a confession and you make the mistake

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<v Speaker 2>of suggesting some obvious solution that only frustrates the other person,

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<v Speaker 2>because all they really wanted was to tell to reduce

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<v Speaker 2>the neural tension. The act of telling the secret was

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<v Speaker 2>the solution. Now an open question is why the receiver

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<v Speaker 2>of the secrets has to be human or human like

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<v Speaker 2>in the case of deities. If you tell your secret

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<v Speaker 2>to a wall or a lizard or a goat, that's

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<v Speaker 2>going to be a lot less satisfying. Now, one thing

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<v Speaker 2>that strikes me is interesting in this regard is the

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<v Speaker 2>right popularity of AI therapist bots.

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<v Speaker 1>Where will lees sit in.

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<v Speaker 2>The hierarchy of human to non human I think it'll

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<v Speaker 2>be pretty close to a person or a deity. I

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<v Speaker 2>suspect that in the future we'll be pretty happy to

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<v Speaker 2>let our secrets out to our AI therapist, But only

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<v Speaker 2>if you're convinced about the security of the company. Is

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<v Speaker 2>it just a matter of time before the FBI says

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<v Speaker 2>to the tech company, Hey, we can subpoena your therapy

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<v Speaker 2>history under special circumstances. So it's still to be seen

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<v Speaker 2>how much people will unload on their bots because the

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<v Speaker 2>key with unloading your secrets is to get the cognitive

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<v Speaker 2>benefit without the social consequences. Okay, so I've been and

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<v Speaker 2>referring to this cognitive load of keeping a secret. But

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<v Speaker 2>the question is why do we have difficulty? Why isn't

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<v Speaker 2>it easy to keep a secret? Here's why, because keeping

0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:17.000
<v Speaker 2>a secret requires ongoing mental effort to monitor your speech

0:15:17.120 --> 0:15:20.520
<v Speaker 2>and actions. You have to make sure that the hidden

0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:25.280
<v Speaker 2>information isn't accidentally revealed. Even if this is happening at

0:15:25.280 --> 0:15:30.000
<v Speaker 2>a subconscious level, it's a state of constant vigilance to

0:15:30.120 --> 0:15:32.920
<v Speaker 2>keep from blurting out the secret. So how do you

0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:36.440
<v Speaker 2>measure this? So some years ago, a scientist named Sean

0:15:36.520 --> 0:15:40.600
<v Speaker 2>Spence and his colleagues interviewed participants on what activities they

0:15:40.600 --> 0:15:43.160
<v Speaker 2>had done the previous day, and then they put them

0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:46.960
<v Speaker 2>in the brain scanner fMRI. These people were given questions

0:15:46.960 --> 0:15:49.560
<v Speaker 2>about what they did and they were given two buttons

0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:52.760
<v Speaker 2>yes or no. Now, on each round, they were given

0:15:52.840 --> 0:15:55.480
<v Speaker 2>either a red light or a green light to tell

0:15:55.520 --> 0:15:59.480
<v Speaker 2>them whether they should lie or whether they should tell

0:15:59.520 --> 0:16:02.680
<v Speaker 2>the truth on that trial. So the first thing the

0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:05.200
<v Speaker 2>researchers noted is that it always takes a little bit

0:16:05.240 --> 0:16:07.720
<v Speaker 2>longer to lie, about a fifth of a second longer,

0:16:07.720 --> 0:16:10.680
<v Speaker 2>and this is because you are taking the answer that

0:16:10.720 --> 0:16:13.800
<v Speaker 2>you already know the true answer, and you're squelching that.

0:16:14.600 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 2>So they demonstrated that this squelching of the truth responses

0:16:19.520 --> 0:16:22.360
<v Speaker 2>activates a part of the prefrontal cortex, a part that's

0:16:22.640 --> 0:16:26.600
<v Speaker 2>down load near the side. It's called the ventrilateral prefrontal cortex.

0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 2>The thing to appreciate is that this region becomes active

0:16:30.800 --> 0:16:34.080
<v Speaker 2>whenever you need a suppressive behavior that you would normally

0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:36.800
<v Speaker 2>just go with, in this case telling the truth. And

0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:39.840
<v Speaker 2>other brain errors are involved too. In a study bi

0:16:39.960 --> 0:16:42.920
<v Speaker 2>Langeleman and colleagues the next year, participants went into a

0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:45.880
<v Speaker 2>scanner and they saw a playing card on the screen

0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:47.480
<v Speaker 2>and they were asked to remember it.

0:16:48.160 --> 0:16:49.320
<v Speaker 1>Then they were shown.

0:16:49.080 --> 0:16:51.640
<v Speaker 2>A series of cards and they were asked was that

0:16:51.760 --> 0:16:52.720
<v Speaker 2>your card or not?

0:16:53.480 --> 0:16:57.560
<v Speaker 1>And they were sometimes instructed to lie. And here's the key.

0:16:58.040 --> 0:17:01.040
<v Speaker 2>When they lied, researchers saw a lot of activity in

0:17:01.080 --> 0:17:04.359
<v Speaker 2>an area called the anterior singulate cortex, which is a

0:17:04.400 --> 0:17:09.159
<v Speaker 2>region that detects conflict between other brain areas. So in

0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:12.159
<v Speaker 2>both these studies, people were just saying yes or no

0:17:12.359 --> 0:17:15.200
<v Speaker 2>to lie or not lie. But in the next study

0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:18.200
<v Speaker 2>by Spence and colleagues, they wanted to see what happened

0:17:18.240 --> 0:17:21.520
<v Speaker 2>in the brain when people are forced to get more

0:17:21.840 --> 0:17:25.359
<v Speaker 2>imaginative when they go beyond yes or no answers to

0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:28.199
<v Speaker 2>make up a new story. So imagine I ask you

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:32.359
<v Speaker 2>where were you on the evening of February twenty second,

0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:34.639
<v Speaker 2>and you can figure out the answer that.

0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:36.600
<v Speaker 1>Let's say you were at a great party that night.

0:17:37.000 --> 0:17:40.120
<v Speaker 2>But imagine that you lie to me and you say, oh,

0:17:40.240 --> 0:17:43.480
<v Speaker 2>I met my friend for a quiet movie on Netflix

0:17:43.480 --> 0:17:46.080
<v Speaker 2>that night. Now, in order to do this, in order

0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:49.679
<v Speaker 2>to lie, you have to think of the true response

0:17:49.720 --> 0:17:53.679
<v Speaker 2>and suppress that like we saw before, but also you

0:17:53.800 --> 0:17:56.400
<v Speaker 2>then have to make something up. So you're now doing

0:17:56.440 --> 0:18:00.120
<v Speaker 2>two things. You're suppressing the true answer, which cranks the

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:04.080
<v Speaker 2>the ventralateral prefrontal cortex like we saw, and then you

0:18:04.160 --> 0:18:07.119
<v Speaker 2>need to cook up the lie, and that activates a

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:11.919
<v Speaker 2>different region than dorsilateral prefrontal cortex. The dorsilateral area cranks

0:18:12.000 --> 0:18:15.440
<v Speaker 2>up when you generate something new, like a new story,

0:18:15.840 --> 0:18:17.720
<v Speaker 2>and especially if this is the first time that you're

0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:20.200
<v Speaker 2>making up that story. And we see other areas too,

0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:24.199
<v Speaker 2>like the anterior cingulate cortex, which reflects internal conflict. And

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:28.479
<v Speaker 2>we see another part of the prefrontal cortex, the ventromedial region,

0:18:28.720 --> 0:18:32.280
<v Speaker 2>which cranks up when you're trying to regulate your emotions.

0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:37.800
<v Speaker 2>So covering up the truth is a high energy endeavor

0:18:37.840 --> 0:18:41.560
<v Speaker 2>for the brain. We never see areas where there's more

0:18:41.600 --> 0:18:43.359
<v Speaker 2>activity when you tell the truth.

0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:46.560
<v Speaker 1>There's only more activity when you're lying.

0:18:47.119 --> 0:18:50.080
<v Speaker 2>So the idea that it's easier to tell the truth

0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:54.399
<v Speaker 2>holds as a rule in life, presumably because it holds

0:18:54.400 --> 0:18:58.440
<v Speaker 2>as a rule in the brain. And if the cooked

0:18:58.520 --> 0:19:01.960
<v Speaker 2>up story doesn't go so per we end up painting

0:19:02.000 --> 0:19:05.720
<v Speaker 2>ourselves into a corner, which brings with it lots more

0:19:06.240 --> 0:19:10.320
<v Speaker 2>brain energy expenditure. And this observation is one that the

0:19:10.440 --> 0:19:15.480
<v Speaker 2>Scottish poet novelist Sir Walter Scott immortalized in his poem

0:19:15.640 --> 0:19:18.360
<v Speaker 2>Marmion in eighteen oh eight. This is where he penned

0:19:18.400 --> 0:19:22.280
<v Speaker 2>the immortal line, Oh what a tangled web we weave

0:19:22.760 --> 0:19:26.679
<v Speaker 2>when first we practice to deceive. He was pointing to

0:19:26.880 --> 0:19:30.560
<v Speaker 2>a common problem that arises when we make up a

0:19:30.600 --> 0:19:33.159
<v Speaker 2>lie to cover a secret, and then that leads to

0:19:33.200 --> 0:19:35.879
<v Speaker 2>another necessary lie, which leads to another, and now you

0:19:35.920 --> 0:19:39.080
<v Speaker 2>have to keep track of this whole web of lies

0:19:39.480 --> 0:19:42.440
<v Speaker 2>to try to keep your story consistent, which can lead,

0:19:42.600 --> 0:19:45.639
<v Speaker 2>as Sir Walter Scott may have intuited, to a high

0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:50.439
<v Speaker 2>cognitive load. And cognitive load matters because it equates to

0:19:50.560 --> 0:19:55.080
<v Speaker 2>emotional stress. We all know from experience that holding on

0:19:55.160 --> 0:19:59.199
<v Speaker 2>to a secret creates anxiety, and often these bad feelings

0:19:59.440 --> 0:20:03.560
<v Speaker 2>increase our urge to confess or share the secret to

0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:08.160
<v Speaker 2>relieve the burden. So secret keeping requires a lot of work.

0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:12.240
<v Speaker 2>But what I want to highlight is the double edged

0:20:12.440 --> 0:20:17.639
<v Speaker 2>nature of the secret because, perhaps surprisingly for better or worse,

0:20:18.119 --> 0:20:21.159
<v Speaker 2>the ability to keep a secret is one of the

0:20:21.200 --> 0:20:26.000
<v Speaker 2>main drivers of the shape of our species and society. Now,

0:20:26.040 --> 0:20:29.359
<v Speaker 2>we can talk all day about the downsides of keeping

0:20:29.400 --> 0:20:32.520
<v Speaker 2>secrets from one another, but in fact, the ability to

0:20:32.600 --> 0:20:36.200
<v Speaker 2>keep secrets seems to have evolved many millions of years

0:20:36.240 --> 0:20:41.080
<v Speaker 2>ago as a survival mechanism, as it turns out, concealing

0:20:41.119 --> 0:20:46.520
<v Speaker 2>information about food sources or about shelter or defensive strategies.

0:20:46.680 --> 0:20:50.080
<v Speaker 2>This is often what made the difference between life and death.

0:20:50.480 --> 0:20:54.359
<v Speaker 2>And it's not just humans who practice deception. Other primates

0:20:54.440 --> 0:20:57.560
<v Speaker 2>do this as well. Now I'm not talking about deception

0:20:57.720 --> 0:21:01.879
<v Speaker 2>like using camouflage. Instead I'm talking thinking about active, clever

0:21:02.119 --> 0:21:06.480
<v Speaker 2>deception that requires theory of mind, in other words, the

0:21:06.520 --> 0:21:10.440
<v Speaker 2>ability to step into the perspective of another to understand

0:21:10.480 --> 0:21:13.320
<v Speaker 2>what they know and don't know. It turns out that

0:21:13.520 --> 0:21:16.680
<v Speaker 2>only primates seem to do this, and in fact they're

0:21:16.840 --> 0:21:20.400
<v Speaker 2>constantly doing things to deceive one another. On this note,

0:21:20.440 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 2>here's a short clip from my interview with Max Bennett

0:21:23.480 --> 0:21:25.520
<v Speaker 2>from last year, who wrote a great book called A

0:21:25.560 --> 0:21:29.760
<v Speaker 2>Brief History of Intelligence. And here's Max describing an example

0:21:29.880 --> 0:21:32.040
<v Speaker 2>of deception in chimpanzees.

0:21:32.480 --> 0:21:35.760
<v Speaker 3>So you can see non human apes do things like

0:21:36.119 --> 0:21:38.800
<v Speaker 3>they will hide transgressions from other people to try and

0:21:38.840 --> 0:21:42.080
<v Speaker 3>prevent themselves from getting in trouble. There's this famous study

0:21:42.440 --> 0:21:45.240
<v Speaker 3>that I love by Emil Menzel. I think it was

0:21:45.240 --> 0:21:48.679
<v Speaker 3>in the seventies where he put two chimpanzees in the

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:52.280
<v Speaker 3>sort of one acre forest and he showed the location

0:21:52.400 --> 0:21:56.520
<v Speaker 3>of treats to one of the chimpanzees named Belle, and

0:21:56.880 --> 0:22:00.119
<v Speaker 3>she initially would share the treat with another chimpanze he

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:03.280
<v Speaker 3>named Rock, but then Rock started just stealing the treat

0:22:03.320 --> 0:22:06.199
<v Speaker 3>from her. So what she started doing is when she

0:22:06.280 --> 0:22:08.520
<v Speaker 3>knew the location of the treat, she would wait for

0:22:08.560 --> 0:22:10.400
<v Speaker 3>a rock to look away, and then she would run

0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:13.720
<v Speaker 3>over and grab it. So then rock in response to this,

0:22:13.920 --> 0:22:17.199
<v Speaker 3>decided to pretend to look away so that when she

0:22:17.280 --> 0:22:19.800
<v Speaker 3>started running, then he would turn around and run. Then

0:22:19.800 --> 0:22:21.800
<v Speaker 3>in response to this, what she would do is she

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:24.439
<v Speaker 3>would pretend to run in the wrong direction, lead him

0:22:24.480 --> 0:22:26.040
<v Speaker 3>to the wrong place, and then run back.

0:22:26.359 --> 0:22:30.520
<v Speaker 2>So the tricky deceptive capacity we have to not spill

0:22:30.600 --> 0:22:37.360
<v Speaker 2>the beans enhances the chances of individual survival. Now, when

0:22:37.359 --> 0:22:40.600
<v Speaker 2>we zoom in on humans and study them very carefully,

0:22:40.720 --> 0:22:44.280
<v Speaker 2>what we find is that keeping secrets and more generally,

0:22:44.640 --> 0:22:49.200
<v Speaker 2>lying is a cognitive development in children. In other words,

0:22:49.240 --> 0:22:51.400
<v Speaker 2>And first young children.

0:22:51.080 --> 0:22:52.240
<v Speaker 1>Don't know how to lie.

0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:55.440
<v Speaker 2>And then they hit a milestone one day, let's say

0:22:55.440 --> 0:22:57.919
<v Speaker 2>between two and four years old, and they get a

0:22:57.960 --> 0:23:02.280
<v Speaker 2>great idea, maybe they can assert something that's not true

0:23:02.760 --> 0:23:06.800
<v Speaker 2>and maybe the other person won't know. So they carefully

0:23:07.200 --> 0:23:11.800
<v Speaker 2>float this trial balloon and sometimes it works. Suddenly they

0:23:11.840 --> 0:23:16.320
<v Speaker 2>have eaten the cooky but avoided punishment, so they start

0:23:16.359 --> 0:23:19.399
<v Speaker 2>to lie. As soon as they develop theory of mind,

0:23:19.480 --> 0:23:23.240
<v Speaker 2>they start to understand that their thoughts and minds are

0:23:23.320 --> 0:23:26.320
<v Speaker 2>separate from those of their parents. They also begin to

0:23:26.320 --> 0:23:30.720
<v Speaker 2>realize that people aren't perfect mind readers, so the child

0:23:30.760 --> 0:23:34.680
<v Speaker 2>can say something that isn't true, and miraculously the other

0:23:34.800 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 2>person doesn't always know. Obviously, sometimes the child doesn't get

0:23:39.800 --> 0:23:41.600
<v Speaker 2>away with it, and so they conclude that they need

0:23:41.640 --> 0:23:45.040
<v Speaker 2>to work even harder to cook up better fabrications that

0:23:45.160 --> 0:23:47.920
<v Speaker 2>might fool the other person. And for this they need

0:23:47.960 --> 0:23:51.320
<v Speaker 2>to get better and better at stepping into the other

0:23:51.400 --> 0:23:55.280
<v Speaker 2>person's shoes to understand what that person might fall for.

0:23:55.840 --> 0:23:59.000
<v Speaker 2>So children start to lie more frequently as they get

0:23:59.000 --> 0:24:01.639
<v Speaker 2>older and they get better at lying. They learn to

0:24:01.760 --> 0:24:05.520
<v Speaker 2>match their facial expressions and tone of voice to what

0:24:05.760 --> 0:24:09.120
<v Speaker 2>they're saying, and they shape their lies based on their

0:24:09.200 --> 0:24:12.679
<v Speaker 2>assumptions of what the other person may or may not know.

0:24:13.000 --> 0:24:15.920
<v Speaker 2>And lying sucks, especially when it's in your own kids.

0:24:15.960 --> 0:24:19.520
<v Speaker 2>But I'll just mention that some researchers view lying as

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:24.720
<v Speaker 2>an important developmental stage that indicates early intelligence. So while

0:24:24.760 --> 0:24:27.240
<v Speaker 2>none of us appreciate being lied to by our kids

0:24:27.359 --> 0:24:30.600
<v Speaker 2>or having secrets kept from us by our colleagues, it's

0:24:30.720 --> 0:24:35.879
<v Speaker 2>one of the signatures of the extraordinarily intelligent primate brain.

0:24:36.359 --> 0:24:39.040
<v Speaker 2>And in fact, when you look across human history, the

0:24:39.119 --> 0:24:43.320
<v Speaker 2>thing that becomes clear is that secrets quickly expanded beyond

0:24:43.359 --> 0:24:47.879
<v Speaker 2>the individual level to the group level. So trust within

0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:52.359
<v Speaker 2>small groups usually depended on the ability to keep certain

0:24:52.440 --> 0:24:56.400
<v Speaker 2>knowledge hidden from outsiders, and by the way, keeping internal

0:24:56.400 --> 0:25:00.480
<v Speaker 2>group secrets has the added benefit of thought during a

0:25:00.560 --> 0:25:05.199
<v Speaker 2>sense of belonging in mutual protection and secrets have always

0:25:05.200 --> 0:25:09.399
<v Speaker 2>been a key part of military strategy. The immortal book

0:25:09.480 --> 0:25:12.920
<v Speaker 2>The Art of War by Sun Su paints a picture

0:25:13.080 --> 0:25:19.560
<v Speaker 2>of deception and secrecy as absolutely essential for successful warfare,

0:25:20.200 --> 0:25:23.320
<v Speaker 2>and more generally, secrets have always been a lever for

0:25:23.400 --> 0:25:29.399
<v Speaker 2>power within larger groups. As civilizations grew, secrets became pervasive

0:25:29.720 --> 0:25:34.160
<v Speaker 2>wherever people maintained and exercised power. You see this all

0:25:34.200 --> 0:25:38.919
<v Speaker 2>over ancient empires like Egypt and China, where they leveraged

0:25:39.040 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 2>secrecy to control knowledge and to reinforce hierarchies. And as

0:25:43.640 --> 0:25:46.840
<v Speaker 2>we all know from our history classes and from Game

0:25:46.880 --> 0:25:51.960
<v Speaker 2>of Thrones, the secrets swirling around among advisors in royal

0:25:52.040 --> 0:25:57.360
<v Speaker 2>courts often dictated the rise and fall of leaders. Now

0:25:57.400 --> 0:26:01.960
<v Speaker 2>people have been grappling with the tension between keeping secrets

0:26:01.960 --> 0:26:05.760
<v Speaker 2>in a society versus telling everything to the public, and

0:26:05.800 --> 0:26:08.439
<v Speaker 2>they've been debating these points for a long time. So,

0:26:08.480 --> 0:26:11.919
<v Speaker 2>for example, the Enlightenment was characterized by arguments going on

0:26:12.000 --> 0:26:16.760
<v Speaker 2>about the value of secrecy versus transparency. You have some

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:21.680
<v Speaker 2>philosophers like Jeremy Bentham who hated the idea of secrecy

0:26:21.760 --> 0:26:26.320
<v Speaker 2>in governance, but secrecy has always persisted in areas like

0:26:26.680 --> 0:26:31.159
<v Speaker 2>diplomacy and statecraft, where its defenders deem it as essential

0:26:31.359 --> 0:26:34.639
<v Speaker 2>for stability. And you can see the fingerprint of this

0:26:34.760 --> 0:26:39.119
<v Speaker 2>very old debate in modern questions about surveillance. To what

0:26:39.280 --> 0:26:42.720
<v Speaker 2>extent should a government be able to keep track of

0:26:42.760 --> 0:26:48.000
<v Speaker 2>who's doing what with cameras or data tracking? Should anyone

0:26:48.080 --> 0:26:51.080
<v Speaker 2>be able to keep total privacy from the states such

0:26:51.119 --> 0:26:54.439
<v Speaker 2>that I can work on three D printing guns and

0:26:54.480 --> 0:26:57.520
<v Speaker 2>making nuclear bombs in the privacy of my home. These

0:26:57.560 --> 0:27:00.679
<v Speaker 2>debates will presumably go on forever because because there is

0:27:00.720 --> 0:27:05.280
<v Speaker 2>no single right answer for balancing the privacy of the

0:27:05.320 --> 0:27:10.359
<v Speaker 2>individual against the security of the society. So back to secrets,

0:27:10.560 --> 0:27:14.720
<v Speaker 2>it's not just governments that traffic in these. Religious traditions

0:27:14.720 --> 0:27:21.600
<v Speaker 2>almost always involve sacred secrets accessible only to initiates or clergy.

0:27:21.800 --> 0:27:24.800
<v Speaker 2>In ancient Greece, there were rituals performed every year called

0:27:25.160 --> 0:27:29.640
<v Speaker 2>the Eleucinian Mysteries, and to participate you had to swear

0:27:29.840 --> 0:27:33.400
<v Speaker 2>a vow of secrecy, and in return you were promised

0:27:33.640 --> 0:27:38.520
<v Speaker 2>spiritual enlightenment. And you then learned and safeguarded the secret rights.

0:27:38.760 --> 0:27:41.080
<v Speaker 2>And these were kept so secret that all these centuries

0:27:41.119 --> 0:27:44.280
<v Speaker 2>later we still don't know what happened in those rituals.

0:27:44.920 --> 0:27:48.879
<v Speaker 2>Or similarly, in the medieval era, knowledge of alchemy or

0:27:49.000 --> 0:27:52.520
<v Speaker 2>mystical texts was always hidden so that it was accessible

0:27:52.960 --> 0:27:56.639
<v Speaker 2>only to a select few. More generally, this is the

0:27:56.720 --> 0:28:01.040
<v Speaker 2>kind of glue that keeps people locked into whether that's

0:28:01.240 --> 0:28:06.679
<v Speaker 2>religions or organizations or fraternities. It's the tension from letting

0:28:06.720 --> 0:28:10.159
<v Speaker 2>them know that as they level up, they'll get access

0:28:10.320 --> 0:28:13.159
<v Speaker 2>to the next big secrets, so they'll be part of

0:28:13.200 --> 0:28:15.960
<v Speaker 2>the in group, and they'll link arms to keep those

0:28:16.000 --> 0:28:18.680
<v Speaker 2>secrets from everyone else. As I mentioned a moment ago,

0:28:18.880 --> 0:28:25.879
<v Speaker 2>sharing a secret builds strong bonds between individuals, It fosters intimacy,

0:28:25.920 --> 0:28:46.360
<v Speaker 2>and it creates alliances. I'll just mention one more thing

0:28:46.400 --> 0:28:51.000
<v Speaker 2>about secrets on a societal level. Beyond warfare and politics

0:28:51.000 --> 0:28:55.320
<v Speaker 2>and religions, subgroups in society have to keep secrets to

0:28:55.440 --> 0:29:02.480
<v Speaker 2>maintain competitive advantages. In technology. Take something like trade secrets. Historically,

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:06.959
<v Speaker 2>you've got things like the exact technique for making Chinese silk,

0:29:07.280 --> 0:29:11.560
<v Speaker 2>or currently the exact formula for Coca cola, or the

0:29:12.000 --> 0:29:16.480
<v Speaker 2>software details in cybersecurity firms. In all of these cases,

0:29:17.200 --> 0:29:22.600
<v Speaker 2>knowledge is closely guarded to keep a competitive advantage, and

0:29:22.600 --> 0:29:26.200
<v Speaker 2>people have studied the issue about keeping secrets even inside

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:29.640
<v Speaker 2>a company, like the upper management knows something but the

0:29:29.720 --> 0:29:34.240
<v Speaker 2>employees don't, so that sounds bad. The researchers at Stanford

0:29:34.280 --> 0:29:37.800
<v Speaker 2>just published a paper on the benefits that companies derive

0:29:38.200 --> 0:29:42.600
<v Speaker 2>from what they call the confidentiality effect. The research suggests

0:29:42.640 --> 0:29:48.320
<v Speaker 2>that keeping company secrets has the benefit of boosting feelings

0:29:48.360 --> 0:29:51.120
<v Speaker 2>of privilege and status among those who know the secret

0:29:51.440 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 2>and protecting those who do not. Now, I want to

0:29:55.120 --> 0:29:58.080
<v Speaker 2>tie this into something I talked about before in the

0:29:58.160 --> 0:30:03.080
<v Speaker 2>episode titled why do you Brains love conspiracy theories? The

0:30:03.160 --> 0:30:07.960
<v Speaker 2>brain is always seeking explanations to reduce cognitive dissonance and

0:30:08.080 --> 0:30:12.480
<v Speaker 2>provide a sense of certainty. And when we solve puzzles,

0:30:12.480 --> 0:30:17.880
<v Speaker 2>that's deeply rewarding. And that's why uncovering patterns, even ones

0:30:17.880 --> 0:30:21.920
<v Speaker 2>that aren't accurate, that's why that feels so rewarding. Now,

0:30:22.320 --> 0:30:25.240
<v Speaker 2>one can never say that all conspiracy theories are false

0:30:25.320 --> 0:30:29.200
<v Speaker 2>because certainly, at moments in history, people can try to

0:30:29.200 --> 0:30:32.760
<v Speaker 2>get away with something, and they are very incentivized to

0:30:32.800 --> 0:30:38.880
<v Speaker 2>cover their tracks. But most conspiracy theories fall apart under scrutiny.

0:30:39.200 --> 0:30:43.720
<v Speaker 2>Why we'll just think about conspiracy theories through the lens

0:30:43.880 --> 0:30:49.360
<v Speaker 2>of human behavior and probabilities. Imagine a grand conspiracy like

0:30:49.440 --> 0:30:53.200
<v Speaker 2>faking the moon landing or hiding evidence of alien life

0:30:53.200 --> 0:30:58.120
<v Speaker 2>in Roswell. These cover ups would require hundreds, if not thousands,

0:30:58.200 --> 0:31:04.640
<v Speaker 2>of people to remain silent across agencies, across generations, across families.

0:31:05.280 --> 0:31:08.320
<v Speaker 2>But real life doesn't work that way. People get drunk,

0:31:08.360 --> 0:31:11.320
<v Speaker 2>they talk in their sleep, they have moments of guilt,

0:31:11.440 --> 0:31:16.040
<v Speaker 2>they decide to confess on their deathbeds. Secrets are fragile,

0:31:16.120 --> 0:31:18.920
<v Speaker 2>and the longer they need to be kept, the more

0:31:19.120 --> 0:31:22.440
<v Speaker 2>likely they are to leak. Now, you can model the

0:31:22.600 --> 0:31:26.440
<v Speaker 2>odds of someone spilling the secret using a math technique

0:31:26.440 --> 0:31:29.800
<v Speaker 2>called survival analysis, and it goes like this. Say there's

0:31:30.240 --> 0:31:35.720
<v Speaker 2>a tiny daily chance that someone involved lets something slip.

0:31:36.080 --> 0:31:38.600
<v Speaker 2>Let's say it's really small chance, like one in one

0:31:38.640 --> 0:31:42.040
<v Speaker 2>thousand on any given day that they'd screw up, but

0:31:42.360 --> 0:31:45.440
<v Speaker 2>multiply that over hundreds of people in years of time

0:31:46.000 --> 0:31:50.240
<v Speaker 2>and the probability of the secret being kept approaches zero.

0:31:50.520 --> 0:31:53.520
<v Speaker 2>You're rolling the dice over and over that somebody is

0:31:53.560 --> 0:31:56.720
<v Speaker 2>going to spill the beans. And note that with most

0:31:56.760 --> 0:32:01.560
<v Speaker 2>conspiracy theories, the incentive to spill the beans is usually compelling.

0:32:02.160 --> 0:32:05.800
<v Speaker 2>In the end, people typically act in their self interest,

0:32:06.200 --> 0:32:09.959
<v Speaker 2>and people who are in on a conspiracy sometimes find

0:32:10.160 --> 0:32:14.440
<v Speaker 2>the rational choice is to defect before someone else does.

0:32:14.800 --> 0:32:17.840
<v Speaker 2>In other words, if you are the one who spills

0:32:17.840 --> 0:32:21.000
<v Speaker 2>the big secret, let's say of a fake moon landing

0:32:21.120 --> 0:32:26.000
<v Speaker 2>or a planned murderer of JFK, then suddenly, not only

0:32:26.160 --> 0:32:28.800
<v Speaker 2>have you released the stress of a secret, but more importantly,

0:32:28.800 --> 0:32:32.320
<v Speaker 2>you're now famous and protected by the legal system and

0:32:32.440 --> 0:32:36.520
<v Speaker 2>probably signing book deals with Penguin Random House. So game

0:32:36.680 --> 0:32:41.360
<v Speaker 2>theory asks why risk being the one left behind when

0:32:41.360 --> 0:32:45.600
<v Speaker 2>you have so much incentive structure encouraging you to blurt

0:32:45.640 --> 0:32:49.600
<v Speaker 2>out the truth before someone else does. So, when you're

0:32:49.640 --> 0:32:54.120
<v Speaker 2>confronted with a conspiracy theory, the question isn't just could

0:32:54.160 --> 0:32:58.760
<v Speaker 2>that happen? But more importantly, how many people would need.

0:32:58.520 --> 0:32:59.560
<v Speaker 1>To keep the secret?

0:33:00.080 --> 0:33:05.160
<v Speaker 2>And how much time has passed without anyone defecting. And

0:33:05.200 --> 0:33:07.840
<v Speaker 2>this is why when you do the math and factor

0:33:07.920 --> 0:33:12.400
<v Speaker 2>in human behavior, the vast majority of conspiracies become not

0:33:12.600 --> 0:33:17.040
<v Speaker 2>just improbable, but implausible. So now I want to return

0:33:17.040 --> 0:33:19.360
<v Speaker 2>to a question that I posed at the very beginning.

0:33:19.840 --> 0:33:24.959
<v Speaker 2>Can a computer keep a secret? Well, a toaster doesn't

0:33:24.960 --> 0:33:28.000
<v Speaker 2>have the circuitry to keep a secret from you, presumably

0:33:28.080 --> 0:33:31.680
<v Speaker 2>because it doesn't have complex enough circuitry, it doesn't have

0:33:31.680 --> 0:33:34.720
<v Speaker 2>a team of rivals fighting it out under the hood.

0:33:35.520 --> 0:33:38.760
<v Speaker 1>But could AI keep a secret from you?

0:33:39.440 --> 0:33:42.600
<v Speaker 2>Well, people started asking this question some years ago using

0:33:42.640 --> 0:33:46.200
<v Speaker 2>what are called adversarial networks. Just think of this like

0:33:46.520 --> 0:33:49.800
<v Speaker 2>networks that are pitted against one another, and they each

0:33:49.920 --> 0:33:54.680
<v Speaker 2>might have a different incentive structure. So back in twenty sixteen,

0:33:55.000 --> 0:33:58.520
<v Speaker 2>a group of researchers a Google Brain, wanted to know

0:33:59.160 --> 0:34:03.240
<v Speaker 2>whether neural nets networks could develop their own encryption methods

0:34:03.360 --> 0:34:08.960
<v Speaker 2>independently without human guidance. So they set up three independent networks.

0:34:09.520 --> 0:34:13.120
<v Speaker 2>The first was named Alice, and Alice's task was to

0:34:13.200 --> 0:34:17.200
<v Speaker 2>send a secret message to Bob. This second network, Bob

0:34:17.680 --> 0:34:21.480
<v Speaker 2>His job was to decode the message sent by Alice.

0:34:21.520 --> 0:34:24.960
<v Speaker 2>And then there was a third network named Eve. Now

0:34:25.040 --> 0:34:29.160
<v Speaker 2>Eve represented and evesdropper. Her role was to try to

0:34:29.239 --> 0:34:33.719
<v Speaker 2>intercept and decrypt Alice's message, so they set these three

0:34:33.800 --> 0:34:38.520
<v Speaker 2>networks running. Alice and Bob were trained collaboratively to ensure

0:34:38.960 --> 0:34:44.440
<v Speaker 2>Bob could correctly decode the messages, and Eve was trained adversarially.

0:34:44.680 --> 0:34:49.160
<v Speaker 2>Her job was to improve her decryption attempts, and the

0:34:49.200 --> 0:34:53.839
<v Speaker 2>system evolved dynamically. As Alice and Bob became better at

0:34:53.880 --> 0:34:58.800
<v Speaker 2>secure communication, Eve became more sophisticated in breaking their encryption,

0:34:59.400 --> 0:35:03.240
<v Speaker 2>forcing Alice and Bob to improve further. Now, the outcome

0:35:03.719 --> 0:35:08.080
<v Speaker 2>was kind of incredible because Alice and Bob's neural networks

0:35:08.160 --> 0:35:13.279
<v Speaker 2>learned to create their own encryption strategies, and this was

0:35:13.360 --> 0:35:17.840
<v Speaker 2>without explicit programming. In other words, the encryption strategy was

0:35:17.880 --> 0:35:20.840
<v Speaker 2>never told to them by a human. So over time

0:35:20.920 --> 0:35:26.960
<v Speaker 2>those two succeeded in creating encrypted communications that Eve couldn't decrypt.

0:35:27.200 --> 0:35:31.839
<v Speaker 2>They outpaced Eve's efforts. The key here is that the

0:35:31.960 --> 0:35:37.840
<v Speaker 2>encryption methods developed by Alice were not human readable or interpretable.

0:35:38.239 --> 0:35:42.759
<v Speaker 2>The system invented its own cryptographic methods based on its

0:35:42.800 --> 0:35:47.239
<v Speaker 2>training objectives very rapidly. The two neural networks figured out

0:35:47.560 --> 0:35:50.640
<v Speaker 2>how to keep a secret not only from Eve, but

0:35:50.719 --> 0:35:57.200
<v Speaker 2>from everybody. They developed a totally novel and dynamic cryptographic system.

0:35:57.480 --> 0:36:00.560
<v Speaker 2>So that was one study. Then in twenty seven, the

0:36:00.800 --> 0:36:05.640
<v Speaker 2>Facebook AI research group was working on developing AI agents

0:36:06.040 --> 0:36:08.719
<v Speaker 2>that could negotiate. But when they left these agents to

0:36:08.719 --> 0:36:11.920
<v Speaker 2>their own devices, they saw unexpected behaviors.

0:36:12.200 --> 0:36:13.280
<v Speaker 1>So here was this setup.

0:36:13.640 --> 0:36:17.560
<v Speaker 2>The goal of the experiment was to train these two bots,

0:36:17.640 --> 0:36:21.560
<v Speaker 2>these two AI agents, to negotiate with each other to

0:36:21.719 --> 0:36:26.880
<v Speaker 2>achieve their objectives. So the two AI agents are tasked

0:36:26.920 --> 0:36:31.320
<v Speaker 2>with dividing items between them, like books, or balls or hats.

0:36:31.719 --> 0:36:35.240
<v Speaker 2>Each item has a different value to each of the bots,

0:36:35.480 --> 0:36:39.520
<v Speaker 2>and each bot has the objective to maximize their score

0:36:39.640 --> 0:36:42.640
<v Speaker 2>by getting the items that they value the most, and

0:36:42.680 --> 0:36:45.000
<v Speaker 2>they're rewarded based on how well they do. Okay, so

0:36:45.040 --> 0:36:49.920
<v Speaker 2>they set these bots running, but pretty soon two surprises emerged.

0:36:50.400 --> 0:36:54.799
<v Speaker 2>The first was that the bots started using tricky tactics.

0:36:55.200 --> 0:36:59.200
<v Speaker 2>They would sometimes pretend to be uninterested in a particular

0:36:59.239 --> 0:37:03.480
<v Speaker 2>item to convince the other bot to concede it. This

0:37:03.560 --> 0:37:07.400
<v Speaker 2>is called feigned disinterest, and of course humans do this

0:37:07.520 --> 0:37:11.920
<v Speaker 2>in negotiations to manipulate the perceived value of something that

0:37:11.960 --> 0:37:15.040
<v Speaker 2>they are interested in, but it certainly wasn't expected that

0:37:15.080 --> 0:37:19.080
<v Speaker 2>this would emerge on its own in an artificial neural network.

0:37:19.680 --> 0:37:23.600
<v Speaker 2>The second thing was that the bots started to communicate strangely.

0:37:23.680 --> 0:37:29.000
<v Speaker 2>They developed their own shorthand language to negotiate. So Bot

0:37:29.040 --> 0:37:32.680
<v Speaker 2>one would say I want want, want want one book

0:37:32.760 --> 0:37:36.080
<v Speaker 2>and bought two would respond okay, you you you you

0:37:36.360 --> 0:37:39.719
<v Speaker 2>two balls. Now why did their language start to turn

0:37:39.840 --> 0:37:44.760
<v Speaker 2>funny like this? It's because the AI wasn't explicitly incentivized

0:37:45.040 --> 0:37:49.680
<v Speaker 2>to stick with human readable language. Instead, the reward system

0:37:49.760 --> 0:37:56.080
<v Speaker 2>only focused on achieving successful negotiations, so the bots optimized

0:37:56.160 --> 0:38:01.520
<v Speaker 2>their communication for efficiency rather than for clarity to humans.

0:38:01.880 --> 0:38:04.440
<v Speaker 2>So it made sense to the bots, but eventually became

0:38:04.960 --> 0:38:08.880
<v Speaker 2>unintelligible to the human reader. Now, this experiment gives us

0:38:08.920 --> 0:38:10.560
<v Speaker 2>a few deep insights.

0:38:10.600 --> 0:38:11.279
<v Speaker 1>The first thing it.

0:38:11.280 --> 0:38:17.680
<v Speaker 2>Shows us is emergent behaviors. AI agents can develop creative

0:38:17.760 --> 0:38:21.960
<v Speaker 2>strategies to achieve their goals, and this is typically not

0:38:22.200 --> 0:38:25.960
<v Speaker 2>anticipated by the researchers. In this case, what developed was

0:38:26.320 --> 0:38:29.040
<v Speaker 2>something like a secret, or at least we would say,

0:38:29.080 --> 0:38:33.160
<v Speaker 2>a non truth, because the AI would pretend one thing

0:38:33.560 --> 0:38:36.920
<v Speaker 2>when it wanted something else. The experiment also demonstrated that

0:38:37.200 --> 0:38:41.239
<v Speaker 2>if it's not explicitly constrained, AI will optimize for its

0:38:41.280 --> 0:38:46.040
<v Speaker 2>objectives in ways that maybe don't align with human readability,

0:38:46.440 --> 0:38:49.440
<v Speaker 2>and if you extrapolate this, you can see this is

0:38:49.480 --> 0:38:53.120
<v Speaker 2>another way that AI might keep a secret from us,

0:38:53.160 --> 0:38:56.600
<v Speaker 2>even if it's not intending to. Just like the networks

0:38:56.640 --> 0:38:59.800
<v Speaker 2>Alice and Bob, it might just learn how to speak

0:38:59.840 --> 0:39:04.799
<v Speaker 2>a language that we simply don't understand. So let's wrap

0:39:04.880 --> 0:39:09.160
<v Speaker 2>up today's exploration of secrets and the brain. As we saw,

0:39:09.320 --> 0:39:13.319
<v Speaker 2>secrets of something we're often embarrassed to address, but they're

0:39:13.440 --> 0:39:17.760
<v Speaker 2>a massive feature of primate lives, shaping everything from personal

0:39:17.800 --> 0:39:22.759
<v Speaker 2>relationships to large scale politics. The act of keeping a

0:39:22.840 --> 0:39:27.320
<v Speaker 2>secret emerges from the rivalry within our brains, a team

0:39:27.480 --> 0:39:31.160
<v Speaker 2>of neural networks vying for control over what's revealed and

0:39:31.200 --> 0:39:36.879
<v Speaker 2>what's hidden. This internal competition creates the cognitive and emotional

0:39:36.960 --> 0:39:40.920
<v Speaker 2>weight of secret keeping, which can sometimes push us to

0:39:41.000 --> 0:39:46.319
<v Speaker 2>seek relief by confessing to strangers, or by writing anonymous

0:39:46.320 --> 0:39:50.680
<v Speaker 2>posts on the web, or even whispering to an AI therapist.

0:39:51.280 --> 0:39:54.920
<v Speaker 2>The relief that we feel from telling a secret comes

0:39:55.280 --> 0:40:01.200
<v Speaker 2>not from solving the external problem, but from reducing the tension.

0:40:02.040 --> 0:40:04.960
<v Speaker 2>And as we saw, secrets don't stop at the individual level.

0:40:05.160 --> 0:40:09.400
<v Speaker 2>They've been a key driver of human society, from military

0:40:09.440 --> 0:40:13.719
<v Speaker 2>strategy and political hierarchies to the rise of religions and

0:40:13.800 --> 0:40:21.759
<v Speaker 2>social institutions. Secrets bind groups together, They foster trust among allies.

0:40:22.200 --> 0:40:26.200
<v Speaker 2>They create competitive advantages, whether that's the formula for Coca

0:40:26.200 --> 0:40:30.799
<v Speaker 2>cola or the sacred rights of ancient mystery cults. But

0:40:30.880 --> 0:40:35.680
<v Speaker 2>they also lead to struggles over societal transparency, and there's

0:40:35.680 --> 0:40:39.480
<v Speaker 2>always a healthy debate about how much governments should be

0:40:39.520 --> 0:40:41.279
<v Speaker 2>allowed to conceal from us.

0:40:42.120 --> 0:40:43.520
<v Speaker 1>And what about AI.

0:40:44.160 --> 0:40:46.960
<v Speaker 2>I told you about two experiments where neural networks, left

0:40:47.000 --> 0:40:52.040
<v Speaker 2>to their own devices, developed encryption methods and private languages

0:40:52.400 --> 0:40:57.440
<v Speaker 2>that humans couldn't decode. These aren't conscious secrets in the

0:40:57.480 --> 0:41:01.760
<v Speaker 2>way we experience them, but they light a future where

0:41:01.800 --> 0:41:06.800
<v Speaker 2>machines might possess knowledge inaccessible to us, not necessarily because

0:41:06.800 --> 0:41:11.880
<v Speaker 2>they're deliberately hiding it, but because their optimization processes have

0:41:12.080 --> 0:41:18.160
<v Speaker 2>outpaced our ability to understand. As aisystems grow more sophisticated,

0:41:18.640 --> 0:41:21.680
<v Speaker 2>the question of what they know and what they're going

0:41:21.719 --> 0:41:25.799
<v Speaker 2>to keep from us is only going to evolve. So

0:41:26.400 --> 0:41:30.520
<v Speaker 2>secrets are woven into the fabric of our minds and societies.

0:41:30.560 --> 0:41:34.360
<v Speaker 2>They've been with us since before the sunrise of human cognition,

0:41:34.760 --> 0:41:38.400
<v Speaker 2>As we see from our primate cousins, and secrets and

0:41:38.480 --> 0:41:41.799
<v Speaker 2>lies may soon take on new dimensions as we come

0:41:41.840 --> 0:41:46.920
<v Speaker 2>to share our world with increasingly intelligent machines. Whether secrets

0:41:47.000 --> 0:41:50.400
<v Speaker 2>are helping us to bond or they're dividing us, they

0:41:50.440 --> 0:41:54.640
<v Speaker 2>are a reminder of the complexity of our inner cosmos

0:41:55.200 --> 0:41:59.319
<v Speaker 2>and the tangled web of our relationships with each other

0:42:00.080 --> 0:42:08.879
<v Speaker 2>and soon with our technology. Go to eagleman dot com

0:42:08.880 --> 0:42:12.280
<v Speaker 2>slash podcast for more information and to find further reading.

0:42:12.760 --> 0:42:15.840
<v Speaker 2>Send me an email at podcast at eagleman dot com

0:42:15.880 --> 0:42:19.000
<v Speaker 2>with questions or discussion, and check out and subscribe to

0:42:19.160 --> 0:42:22.840
<v Speaker 2>Inner Cosmos on YouTube for videos of each episode and

0:42:22.920 --> 0:42:23.880
<v Speaker 2>to leave comments.

0:42:25.120 --> 0:42:25.879
<v Speaker 1>Until next time.

0:42:26.000 --> 0:42:38.080
<v Speaker 2>I'm David Eagleman, and this is Inner Cosmos.