Speaker 1: Welcome into our weekly gambling show, episode three seventy four
Speaker 1: of What's Right when the Create. This episode is brought
Speaker 1: to you, as always by our friends at boost Mobile. Also,
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Speaker 1: immediately as they come out. And reminder, all our lines
Speaker 1: are courtesy of hard Rock bet all Right Deman's I
Speaker 1: I've been scuttling along through September now. On Thursday's show,
Speaker 1: I discussed how the whole league, you know, September is
Speaker 1: kind of like an extended preseason at this point. Maybe
Speaker 1: that was me coping with that. For me in the picks,
Speaker 1: September has been a bit of an extended preseason, hasn't
Speaker 1: been for you? With the teasers last week, another a
Speaker 1: two and three weeks which drops us to two games
Speaker 1: under five hundred for the year nine and eleven. On
Speaker 1: the week, we can go through those picks real quick
Speaker 1: before we get to what we're liking for this week.
Speaker 1: I had the Minnesota Pittsburgh game all wrong. I just
Speaker 1: thought Minnesota's defense was gonna shut down Rogers. Instead, he
Speaker 1: got the ball out immediately, and you know, was eighteen
Speaker 1: of twenty two was crisp they I know it came
Speaker 1: down to the end. It shouldn't have. Pittsburgh kind of
Speaker 1: butchered the end of that game, but they obviously still won.
Speaker 1: And I had Minnesota laying two and a half. Cleveland
Speaker 1: at Detroit was a bad pick. I thought the Cleveland
Speaker 1: defense would be able to hold up long enough, but
Speaker 1: Flacco's just been so bad and can't stop, you know,
Speaker 1: just can't have any extended drives. So Detroit wins easily.
Speaker 1: Jacksonville plus three at San Francisco was you know, they
Speaker 1: were basically covering the entire game. I said they could
Speaker 1: win outright. They did win outright. Can't City plus two
Speaker 1: and a half agans Baltimore a vintage never a doubter
Speaker 1: that they are leading basically the entirety of from midway
Speaker 1: point of the first quarter until the end of the game.
Speaker 1: And then Cincinnati plus seven and a half at Denver
Speaker 1: was brutal. I thought Cincinnati was gonna have some pulse
Speaker 1: but they did not, and they seemed defeated by the
Speaker 1: loss of Burrow.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, are we thinking about putting them on the
Speaker 2: no bet list? Because I mean, they just screwed you
Speaker 2: over this week and I put them on a teaser
Speaker 2: and you could have doubled the teaser a couple of
Speaker 2: weeks ago and it still wouldn't hit.
Speaker 1: So yeah, so you know what, may we have to
Speaker 1: see how the market has reacted to how bad they've been,
Speaker 1: because sometimes a team plays its way seemingly on the
Speaker 1: No bet list, but they're so bad that they then
Speaker 1: get so many points. But I know this is one
Speaker 1: of those instances and they just get annihilated. However, despite
Speaker 1: going two and three, I did win the most important
Speaker 1: bet of the week last week. It was against you.
Speaker 1: Here's how it sounded, the one big meal kitchen clean up.
Speaker 1: Responsibilities are yours and yours like you, there's not gonna
Speaker 1: be any You're gonna you're the one that tells your
Speaker 1: mom I lost a bet. I have to do this.
Speaker 1: He's not allowed to.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll take it. Thanksgiving is rough, but.
Speaker 1: That's why I added that short card because yeah, okay,
Speaker 1: all right, we have a best do it all right,
Speaker 1: can't wait. It's a tough one for your pal. Yeah,
Speaker 1: the Ravens let you down.
Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I was thinking that maybe I
Speaker 2: was gonna have thanksgiving up my apartment this year.
Speaker 1: Wow. Wow, this guy is gonna skin it. Just what
Speaker 1: a photoshop. Great job, great job by our producers.
Speaker 2: When have I ever even made that face? And like
Speaker 2: you've been captured? Like what's going on?
Speaker 1: No way to tell? I mean, I don't know. Maybe
Speaker 1: that's ai uh thanks thanksgving Christmas. Sometime it's coming all right.
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Speaker 1: or Virginia. All right, de moan, say, let's quickly go
Speaker 1: through the games. Keep in mind Falcons, Bears, Packers, Steelers
Speaker 1: on a buy and so four games miss, four teams missing.
Speaker 1: So the first week of byes is right now. Games
Speaker 1: were not getting to.
Speaker 2: We're not getting a Thursday Night obviously Rams, but London
Speaker 2: London game Minnesota versus Cleveland. Cleveland is underdogs by four points.
Speaker 2: We're staying away from there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, I in theory, I like the Minnesota Deep.
Speaker 1: It's against a rookie quarterback in his first start. But
Speaker 1: I thought Minnesota was so disappointing last week in Dublin
Speaker 1: that I'm not laying points with them, So that's a
Speaker 1: stay away.
Speaker 2: Next Miami at Carolina, Carolina at one point dogs.
Speaker 1: I stared at this one for a long time thinking
Speaker 1: about Miami. Yeah, but Miami without Tua, I'm sorry, without
Speaker 1: Tyreek and with how decidedly mediocre they've been. I like Wattle,
Speaker 1: but I just wonder if if Wattle starts getting doubled
Speaker 1: because Tyreek's not out there, I don't know. This was
Speaker 1: a stay away. I also don't want to have any
Speaker 1: reason to watch this game, so I didn't that the
Speaker 1: tie went to it's not watchable, so I stayed away
Speaker 1: from it.
Speaker 2: That's fair. You got the Giants at New Orleans. New
Speaker 2: Orleans minus two.
Speaker 1: This felt like a trap, like I don't know of
Speaker 1: anyone in the world that it's gonna be. Like, Hey,
Speaker 1: guess what I feel great about this weekend? Laying points
Speaker 1: with the New Orleans Saints, and so it just feels
Speaker 1: like they are begging you, begging you to take the Giants.
Speaker 1: So I now, maybe that means I should just take
Speaker 1: the Saints, but I can't lay the points. I can't
Speaker 1: lay points with Spencer Rattler. But it feels like such
Speaker 1: a trap that I'm just staying away from it, Like
Speaker 1: it seems like it should be Giants minus one and
Speaker 1: a half and it's New Orleans minus two. It's weird.
Speaker 2: Next Tampa Bay at Seattle, Seattle's three and a half
Speaker 2: point favorites.
Speaker 1: I had this in my picks, Tampa plus three and
Speaker 1: a half, and I took it out at the last second.
Speaker 1: I leans Tampa in this game, obviously, but because of
Speaker 1: they all of a sudden now Bucky Irving is injured
Speaker 1: as well, and the going from Tampa all the way
Speaker 1: to Seattle scared me a bit, so I leaned Tampa.
Speaker 1: I was gonna include them, I took them out last second,
Speaker 1: So that's why I'm not doing it.
Speaker 2: Next Tennessee at Arizona, Arizona seven and a half. My favorites.
Speaker 1: I would I will never lay more than a touchdown
Speaker 1: with Kyler Murray, but I swore on TV I swore
Speaker 1: on my children, believe it or not, that I would
Speaker 1: not pick Tennessee no matter how many points they were
Speaker 1: getting until Brian Callahan was gone. So this could be
Speaker 1: Tennessee plus seventy five and I'm not allowed to pick
Speaker 1: them because I your guys' lives depend on it. So
Speaker 1: that's a stay away.
Speaker 2: Next, thanks buffs. We got Washington at the Chargers charges
Speaker 2: two and a half my favorites.
Speaker 1: I lean Washington, but until I see Jaden playing a
Speaker 1: game post injury, I'm they're just to stay away. But
Speaker 1: I do lean Washington, but I I just want to
Speaker 1: see the quarterback play. Next.
Speaker 2: Detroit at Cincinnati. Cincinnati's ten point dogs.
Speaker 1: I mean, so many points at home. But it's like
Speaker 1: you said, like we're just staying away from the Bengals
Speaker 1: for now, and in this last one. I think it's
Speaker 1: probably surprised you that I'm staying away, but go ahead.
Speaker 2: Yeah it does. You got Kansas City at Jacksonville, Jacksonville's
Speaker 2: three and a half point dogs.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I could. I just see a lot of scenarios
Speaker 1: where Case is in control of this game but wins
Speaker 1: by three, and I you know, I'm not betting against
Speaker 1: the people ask me do you bet on Do you
Speaker 1: bet on the Chiefs every weekend? The answer that's no,
Speaker 1: I don't bet on the Chiefs every weekend, but I
Speaker 1: never bet against them. But at two and a half,
Speaker 1: I'd like Kansas City. At three and a half, I
Speaker 1: like Jacksonville. So I'm just staying away, all right. Next,
Speaker 1: let's go to our actual picks. Pal.
Speaker 2: You've got Baltimore plus one and a half versus Houston.
Speaker 1: Yeah. I think Baltimore is gonna win. And I think
Speaker 1: there is added value here because ten days ago this
Speaker 1: game was Baltimore minus nine and a half. Right after
Speaker 1: Chiefs Ravens ended, it was Baltimore minus seven and a half.
Speaker 1: Monday morning, it was Baltimore minus six and a half.
Speaker 1: Then the Lamar news comes out and the line moves
Speaker 1: eight full points to Houston minus one and a half.
Speaker 1: I think there is a chance Lamar plays. If Lamar plays,
Speaker 1: this game will kick off at Baltimore minus six if
Speaker 1: he plays. Even if he doesn't play, I think that
Speaker 1: running Derrick Henry thirty plus times could be an effective strategy.
Speaker 1: I don't trust Houston at all, and I don't I
Speaker 1: think people didn't watch Texans Titans and therefore see the
Speaker 1: twenty six to nothing final, I'm like, oh, the Texans
Speaker 1: got rolling again. No they did not. They had a
Speaker 1: good fourth quarter. They could have like that was six
Speaker 1: nothing late in that game. So I like Baltimore. I
Speaker 1: obviously love Baltimore if Lamar plays, even if he doesn't play,
Speaker 1: I think Baltimore plus one and a half is the
Speaker 1: right side.
Speaker 2: Next Dallas minus two and a half at the Jets.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Justin Fields you've seen this, has played twenty five,
Speaker 1: has started twenty five career games where his defense allowed
Speaker 1: more than twenty and he's zero in twenty five and
Speaker 1: single one of Justin Field's career wins his defense allowed
Speaker 1: twenty or less. And I think Dallas can score on anybody.
Speaker 1: The Jets defense is allowing thirty a game. I think
Speaker 1: Dallas can score all late in two and a half. Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: I'll lay the two and a half with Dallas. I
Speaker 1: the it's basically again, it's not just when, because we
Speaker 1: see a lot of one and two point victories these days,
Speaker 1: but Aubrey being you know, nails, Dak playing the best
Speaker 1: of his life, the Cowboys bad pass defense. I don't
Speaker 1: know that the Jets can take advantage of it all.
Speaker 1: Take Dallas minus.
Speaker 2: Two be in the Jets. Yeah, Philly minus three, Philly
Speaker 2: minus three and a half against Denver.
Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, I did not know this. Denver hasn't beaten
Speaker 1: Philly since John Elway was their quarterback. That's hilarious. It's
Speaker 1: been thirty years. But they also only play once every
Speaker 1: four years, so it's not that big of a deal.
Speaker 1: But Bo Knicks and the Denver Broncos have not shown
Speaker 1: me they can beat good teams for two years that
Speaker 1: they play well against bad teams. They played poorly against
Speaker 1: good teams. They are what Bill Simmons would call the
Speaker 1: good bad team. They have a great defense. But I listen,
Speaker 1: the hook scares me a bit. But this feels like
Speaker 1: a Philly six point win. I just don't think that
Speaker 1: until I see Denver do it against a team that
Speaker 1: we believe to be a playoff team anytime in the
Speaker 1: last two years. They haven't. I'm gonna roll against them,
Speaker 1: and Philly being at home and only being favored by
Speaker 1: three and a half feels a little disrespectful. It's a
Speaker 1: little too respectful to Denver and a little disrespectful to Philly.
Speaker 1: So I'll take Philly despite all the noise around to
Speaker 1: minus the three and a half next.
Speaker 2: Vegas plus six and a half at Indy. That's a
Speaker 2: lot of points.
Speaker 1: Last chance saloon here for my Raiders. Yeah, and they
Speaker 1: need a win to stay viable in the Could they
Speaker 1: sneak into the playoffs conversation? They need to stay close
Speaker 1: in to stay viable. And though, why aren't they one
Speaker 1: of the worst teams in football? Yeah, they beat the Patriots.
Speaker 1: Since then, they've looked bad. Now, I did like how
Speaker 1: gent played last week, and I just gotta think that
Speaker 1: Gino is going to stop turning the ball over two
Speaker 1: or three times a game. Like Gino's better than he
Speaker 1: has looked the Colts. Also, Listen, the Colts have looked awesome.
Speaker 1: I'm still not a full fledged believer, and so it's
Speaker 1: I'm getting six and a half. I think the Raiders
Speaker 1: could surprise them. The Colts have not had a good
Speaker 1: run defense, and I Genty could eat again now that
Speaker 1: he's back to his Michael Meyers stance. I'll take the
Speaker 1: Raiders plus six and a half at Indy.
Speaker 2: You got New England plus seven and a half at Buffalo.
Speaker 1: Listen, Buffalo has played some of the worst teams of
Speaker 1: the league post Baltimore. I know Baltimore's got a bad record,
Speaker 1: They're not one of the worst teams in the league.
Speaker 1: They've played the Jets, the Dolphins, and the Saints. That's Saint.
Speaker 1: That Dolphins game was close late. The Saints game was
Speaker 1: a two point game in the fourth quarter. The Patriots
Speaker 1: have been able to move the ball this year when
Speaker 1: they're not turning it over. I'm getting I'm getting more
Speaker 1: than a touchdown when it's the best in the division
Speaker 1: versus the second best in the division. And I think
Speaker 1: that you can run on the Bills a bit. I
Speaker 1: don't really trust the Bills defense. I don't expect New
Speaker 1: England to win, But do I think thirty one, twenty four,
Speaker 1: thirty to thirty to twenty seven? Do it like backdoor cover?
Speaker 1: I just like New England getting seven and a half
Speaker 1: at Buffalo divisional matchup, huge spot for Vrabel and Drake May.
Speaker 1: I just like it. So my five picks are We're
Speaker 1: going with three dogs, two favorites. Baltimore getting one and
Speaker 1: a half at home against Houston, Dallas laying two and
Speaker 1: a half at the Metal Lands against the Jets, Philly
Speaker 1: laying three and a half at home against Denver, and
Speaker 1: then two road dogs, Las Vegas getting six and a
Speaker 1: half at Indy and New England getting seven and a
Speaker 1: half at Buffalo before we get to another one of
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Speaker 1: boostmobile dot com. All right, Demanse, tell the audience about
Speaker 1: your winning teaser last week, and then let's see what
Speaker 1: you got this week.
Speaker 2: The three team eight point teaser A plus hundred, Uh yeah,
Speaker 2: the chiefs till plus ten and a half. That's it,
Speaker 2: never a doubt, plus ten and a half. There were
Speaker 2: some doubts, there never a doubt. And then we had
Speaker 2: Green Bay plus till plus one and a half. Yeah,
Speaker 2: those last doubt.
Speaker 1: But hey, vindication on the never tease through zero. The
Speaker 1: reason you don't. I don't know if people have ever
Speaker 1: understood why the reason you don't tease through zero because well, yeah,
Speaker 1: and because the idea is your it's being able to
Speaker 1: win at zero only happens like you are buying. You
Speaker 1: gotta look at teasers as you are buying each point. Okay,
Speaker 1: so it was green Bay minus six and a half.
Speaker 1: So when you tease them to plus one and a half,
Speaker 1: what you are doing is you are buying. I now win.
Speaker 1: If green Bay wins by six, I win. If green
Speaker 1: Bay wins by five, I win. If green Bay wins
Speaker 1: by four, I win. If green Bay wins by three,
Speaker 1: I went If green Bay wins by two, I win
Speaker 1: if green Bay wins by one. There's a six points
Speaker 1: you've bought, and then it's like, but you don't tease
Speaker 1: through zero because one of the points you went on
Speaker 1: is a tie and there's no times. I now whin
Speaker 1: if it's a tie. There was a tie. Zero is
Speaker 1: what saved you. My six point teaser of green Bay
Speaker 1: down to minus a half would have lost, and your.
Speaker 2: Eight point what do you mean, no push? If green
Speaker 2: you said green Bay plus a half point.
Speaker 1: No green Bay. Green Bay plus a half would have
Speaker 1: been a winner. Green Bay minus a half is what
Speaker 1: it would have been, was a loser because no, they tied.
Speaker 1: I And so you're teasing throughs. You tease through zero
Speaker 1: in a game that ended in a tie. I'm just
Speaker 1: it's unbelievable. It's perfect. So that's another winner. I gave
Speaker 1: you an a minus. All right, you're three and one
Speaker 1: on the year.
Speaker 2: Next so three team eight point teaser this year, there's
Speaker 2: gonna be a lot of three team eight point teasers, guys.
Speaker 2: At plus one hundred. We got Miami to plus seven
Speaker 2: and then we are teasing New England up to plus sixteen,
Speaker 2: and we are going through the zero like we did
Speaker 2: in Miami. With Kansas City as well. It's plus four
Speaker 2: and a half. So yeah, I'm feeling pretty strongly about that.
Speaker 2: I had some other stuff in there before, but this
Speaker 2: is this is what we're doing. I mean, listen, are
Speaker 2: playing the Panthers Darren Waller connection team this year.
Speaker 1: He to keep that in mind.
Speaker 2: Listen, the Falcons rookie quarterback.
Speaker 1: I'm nine to eleven this year and you're three and one.
Speaker 1: Far be it from me, but I have to give
Speaker 1: this a C.
Speaker 2: Minus first bad grade.
Speaker 1: Your first bad grade. Uh, Miami scares me. You're getting
Speaker 1: almost no key numbers with New England. I mean, I
Speaker 1: guess you're getting ten and fourteen and the Chiefs. You're
Speaker 1: teasing through the zero. I just listen. I'm waiting for it.
Speaker 2: You're saying I have no key numbers with New England.
Speaker 2: You're like ten and fourteen, you took them out.
Speaker 1: You get so key numbers. But the I, I just don't.
Speaker 2: I'm just being honest, right, bad, he says, bad teaser. Oh,
Speaker 2: I'm like I said Victory, I'm going to be mocking
Speaker 2: you guys on Tuesday. But yes, I straight away.
Speaker 1: That's fine. I'm not listening. I'm not killing you for it.
Speaker 1: And what do I know. All right, let's get to
Speaker 1: the offer for this week, because the offer is red hot.
Speaker 2: So we're going to capitalize on the good vibes in
Speaker 2: New York. Uh so part of wait, wait, wait, oh
Speaker 2: wait we oh.
Speaker 1: Last last weekek.
Speaker 2: Yeah, last week's offer. We had the Kelsey plus four
Speaker 2: four and a half, four receptions and parsons over to
Speaker 2: basically get a sack at plus one forty six or
Speaker 2: a half sacks.
Speaker 1: And Parsons got his sack at the end of the game,
Speaker 1: the waning moments of overtime. And it was a borderline
Speaker 1: because it was he.
Speaker 2: Got to the line of scrimmage.
Speaker 1: The scrimmage is a sack. Zero yards is a sack.
Speaker 1: But if they had said he had gone six inches
Speaker 1: pass line, it wouldn't have been. So we got so
Speaker 1: we hit our offer again, all right.
Speaker 2: Next shout out to micah uh Parlay camp Scataboo touchdown
Speaker 2: and Jackson Dart over twenty four and a half rushing
Speaker 2: yards at plus one fifty Scataboo has scored in two
Speaker 2: or four weeks. Dart ran ten times for fifty four
Speaker 2: fifty four yards last week. But yeah, so you're taking that.
Speaker 1: That's a great offer. We're taking taking it. Scat a
Speaker 1: body dark running around. Great, great job, guys, great job,
Speaker 1: what a way, what a way to finish it, What
Speaker 1: a way to celebrate my birthday? Good, good job, great
Speaker 1: great offer, guys. All right, like great subscribe review everybody.
Speaker 1: Thank you so much for listening to the show, watching
Speaker 1: the show. We greatly appreciate it. Thank you to Volume,
Speaker 1: hard Rock Boost, and of course our friends at Zen.
Speaker 1: Thank you to Volume, and thank you to Blue Duck.
Speaker 1: Great job, Demand, great job everybody. I gotta run. Good
Speaker 1: luck this weeken everyone, See you guys. What's right