Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Leading Off, brought to you by
Speaker 1: bet MGM right here on Fantasy Pros. I am Chris
Speaker 1: Welsh and joining me today for a magnificent episode of
Speaker 1: Leading Off for all you Penis and cracker Jacks people
Speaker 1: watching live or of course people listening on the podcast
Speaker 1: is the great and powerful Nick Pollock. Pitch your list.
Speaker 1: What's up, my friend? What's up? Nick?
Speaker 2: What is happening? So good to see you, Chris, Thanks
Speaker 2: so much for having me today.
Speaker 1: I always love talking with you. One of the perennial
Speaker 1: names in all of the baseball space. Obviously, you guys
Speaker 1: know him. You get all of his breakdowns. You know
Speaker 1: what the best part of today is too, I get
Speaker 1: to potentially throw hitter things at Oh no, that's always
Speaker 1: the problem because Nick, the number one thing we're gonna
Speaker 1: be talking about, of course, is going to be over
Speaker 1: on the padres. But I want to remind everybody you
Speaker 1: can follow mister Nick Pollock over at picture List. You
Speaker 1: can check out their incredibly, incredibly awesome website. What is
Speaker 1: the version are we on on pictures at seven point?
Speaker 3: Oh? I don't recall, it's it's pl seven When Stack
Speaker 3: cast that on our player pages.
Speaker 2: It's wonderful.
Speaker 1: It is crazy crazy. If you want to do any
Speaker 1: research on players, you've got to make sure you go
Speaker 1: over there. They've got a litany of incredible podcasts, and
Speaker 1: really Nick is the one of the biggest must follows
Speaker 1: on Twitter that I possibly know, and a wonderful person,
Speaker 1: one of just my favorite, like genuinely great people, whether
Speaker 1: it's on a podcast, whether it's in person, whether it's
Speaker 1: giving advice. Nick has literally never said no to me,
Speaker 1: and I say.
Speaker 3: Of course, how could I not? And I can't thank
Speaker 3: you enough for giving advice like this. I'm excited to
Speaker 3: talk about everything baseball, yes, including the cardboard cutouts that
Speaker 3: are hitters.
Speaker 1: Yes, there are a few. And there were a couple
Speaker 1: that were traded. I know it's not a exciting pictures Nick,
Speaker 1: but there were a couple that were traded and made
Speaker 1: their debuts Yesterdays. They came out with an absolute bang
Speaker 1: with a nine to one victory with all their new guys,
Speaker 1: Brandon Drury first inning grand slam, Soto and Bell both
Speaker 1: on base. Soto ended up going one for three with
Speaker 1: two walks in the debut. Josh Bell oh for two,
Speaker 1: but he had two walks and two runs, Brandon Drury
Speaker 1: one for three with a grand Slam for RBI, and
Speaker 1: it was a polaroid moment. It was a huge, huge
Speaker 1: build up to what had the chance to disappoint, and
Speaker 1: it did not. Like I know, they are stinky hitters
Speaker 1: and everything like that, but I mean we've been talking
Speaker 1: a lot about the fantasy uptick on players and going
Speaker 1: to new destinations. Soto's a kind of no brainer, Josh Bell,
Speaker 1: I think is a relatively good no brainer. What about
Speaker 1: Brandon Drury? What were your thoughts on Brandon Drury and
Speaker 1: having that big output.
Speaker 3: Yeah, So, Brandon Drury when we moved to San Diego padrics,
Speaker 3: you definitely know how you fit in with so many
Speaker 3: options there. But it's so good to see him right
Speaker 3: away making an impact for San Diego. And you gotta
Speaker 3: think that they'll find a way to game his line
Speaker 3: because he's such a good hitter this year inside of
Speaker 3: Cincinnati and I'm just really excited to see him thrive
Speaker 3: in Sandy U now in such a good lineup, grand
Speaker 3: jury shoot succeed there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly, Nick's got to run, go go do. I'm
Speaker 1: not joking you. Nick is literally burning His food is
Speaker 1: food burning his whole place might burn down, so he
Speaker 1: had to run. Here's what I thought was interesting. Here's
Speaker 1: a couple of things. Juan Soto hit two in the lineup,
Speaker 1: major check. That is exactly what we wanted to see.
Speaker 1: So think when Tatis comes back. If Tatis leaves off
Speaker 1: and then you go Sodo Machado, it will be the
Speaker 1: greatest one through three I can imagine. And I mentioned
Speaker 1: it yesterday. The no run first inning bets on the
Speaker 1: run scored should be really fascinating for the Padres because
Speaker 1: you're not gonna want to ever take it on the under.
Speaker 1: Josh Bell hitting behind the major guys proves the incredible
Speaker 1: RBI opportunity that's gonna be out there, even though he
Speaker 1: didn't really do a whole bunch a couple walks in
Speaker 1: their couple runs. And Brandon Drury dh in his first appearance,
Speaker 1: which I think was really important to see because at
Speaker 1: the end of the day, you're gonna see him just
Speaker 1: play all across the board, and they played him right
Speaker 1: off the bat against righty's not that they wouldn't have,
Speaker 1: but if you were to pretend something nick Brandon Drury
Speaker 1: is one of the better left handed hitters in I
Speaker 1: mean hitting left lefties in baseball right now. I mean
Speaker 1: he think he's like still top ten. Is not Paul Goldschmid,
Speaker 1: but you know he is a guy where if he's
Speaker 1: up against a lefty and you're a better you want
Speaker 1: to go probably take a goal total base proper you
Speaker 1: can feel comfortable with the homer. So they played him
Speaker 1: up against righty's as well. He could DH, he could
Speaker 1: play second, he could play outfield. His versatility really showed out,
Speaker 1: and really everything we guessed that this lineup would do happen.
Speaker 1: Bell Rbi opportunity, Soto to Drury hitting in a pretty
Speaker 1: solid spot and coming through and probably gonna get regular
Speaker 1: playing time, which is what we need definitely.
Speaker 3: And it's also kind of interesting to see the Pieris
Speaker 3: and the Mets maybe do this thing of game platwo
Speaker 3: similit guys. You have Darren Roff now and Bogo back
Speaker 3: with the Mets too. It might be what the Pyres
Speaker 3: are doing, So it might not be in every thing
Speaker 3: for brand juries, it might be need a little bit
Speaker 3: more on lefties.
Speaker 1: Well, and they got Kim and they've got Profar and
Speaker 1: Grishan was hitten out a little bit by the way
Speaker 1: did your food.
Speaker 2: Burn It's all right.
Speaker 3: I just all of a sudden smelled it and I
Speaker 3: was like, oh my god, I put it on too high,
Speaker 3: and I realized for thirty minutes, I'm gonna start a fire,
Speaker 3: so I needed to.
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm glad. What I'm really glad about is I
Speaker 1: didn't bring Nick Pollock on and his whole house burned
Speaker 1: down when he's I got enough of my personal life
Speaker 1: that's burning down. I don't need to burn down your life.
Speaker 1: So I'm glad we didn't burn down.
Speaker 3: The moment of oh my god, I'm thirty minutes and
Speaker 3: it's gonna burned down.
Speaker 1: That's exactly right, lord. So it was magnificent on the
Speaker 1: Padres front. Sandy al Contra through his third complete game
Speaker 1: of the season. Nick, you are the picture guy. Actually
Speaker 1: have two picture things I want to break down here.
Speaker 1: Talk to me about Sandy o Contra and how have
Speaker 1: you dealt with him from fantasy As far as value,
Speaker 1: I know, it's not the most important thing in the world.
Speaker 1: He might be the most reliable, trustworthy picture of the
Speaker 1: entire season. He doesn't have the best you know, like
Speaker 1: percentage to Kate for nine or anything like that. But
Speaker 1: as he goes so deep, he puts up stats. What
Speaker 1: level of elite is al Contra through this entire season
Speaker 1: for you compared to other guys like especially here's here's
Speaker 1: a perfect example. Garrett Cole just got lit up yesterday
Speaker 1: and he's really shown inconsistency throughout the board. Do you
Speaker 1: think al Contra is no question more valuable than Garrett
Speaker 1: Cole for the rest of the season.
Speaker 3: Yeah. I have him ranked above of Garrett Cole since
Speaker 3: I believe two weeks ago on my weekly edition of
Speaker 3: the list. And Sandale Katara does such a good job
Speaker 3: of getting fastballs inside, getting awkward swings that create outs
Speaker 3: in the field quickly. He makes it such a tough
Speaker 3: at bat every time, doesn't waste many pitches, and when
Speaker 3: we saw yesterday those three strikeouts not the best changeup.
Speaker 2: Insider that we've seen from him.
Speaker 3: But when you have three pitches actually really four if
Speaker 3: you want to say, the Forestings sinc Are being two
Speaker 3: distinct ones. Al Kantara just makes such difficult bats all
Speaker 3: the time with the most ridiculous stuff, and we're talking
Speaker 3: like ninety nine mile per hour fastballs and then amazing
Speaker 3: drop on the change up Inslider two and because of
Speaker 3: that constant pounding of the zone, tough swing decisions, al
Speaker 3: Kantar is able to go deep into games consistently.
Speaker 2: And keep in mind, because he's going so long into
Speaker 2: the games that.
Speaker 3: Earray and whip are higher expressed than guys going you know,
Speaker 3: thirty percent fewer frames because that's in the array. Yes,
Speaker 3: but if you're in a roto league, that means so
Speaker 3: much more that he's doing over eight innings than six innings.
Speaker 3: So do not undervalue that from a Sandi al Kaintara.
Speaker 3: It's been an amazing season. I don't really see it
Speaker 3: slowing down at all.
Speaker 1: Yeah, is he number three overall? He's number three.
Speaker 3: For me, it's carbon Burns, It's see McClanahan and all cantar.
Speaker 3: But then de Grama's back and how do you deal
Speaker 3: with that? But that's another story.
Speaker 1: Wow, that's a whole other thing that I would dive into.
Speaker 1: But I saw mich McClanahan was on that list on
Speaker 1: the other side, boy, I mean, I can't be any
Speaker 1: colder betting right now. We can talk about that later.
Speaker 1: But Freddy Praulta did make his debut back from injury,
Speaker 1: going three and two thirds he ended up giving up
Speaker 1: to he walked to struck out three. He only went
Speaker 1: sixty seven pitches. Looked like he was really moving and
Speaker 1: shaking in that bottom of the fourth inning, gave up
Speaker 1: those runs and then they pretty much immediately yanked him
Speaker 1: and didn't look like that strikeout prop was going to
Speaker 1: go great. Eight swing and misses on the day. Change
Speaker 1: up I think was at like a fifty percent with rate.
Speaker 1: Fastball wasn't really doing a whole bunch slider low slider stuff.
Speaker 1: I think it was all in like twenty five plus
Speaker 1: csw What were your thoughts on the return of Freddy Perlta?
Speaker 1: Did this look like the guy that everybody was trying
Speaker 1: to push as a top ten sp Do you think
Speaker 1: he is going to need some time to work back?
Speaker 1: Are you back into ultimate trust of Freddy perult especially
Speaker 1: if people like in a fantasy trade deadline might be
Speaker 1: looking to maybe acchoir Freddy Peralta. You know, if they
Speaker 1: want to make a push, is that a guy people
Speaker 1: should be trading for with short innings coming off of
Speaker 1: the injury? And I don't know, did his stuff look
Speaker 1: good enough for you? Right?
Speaker 2: It didn't for me? What you want to see from
Speaker 2: Freddy Peralta is just strikes.
Speaker 3: You want to see him pounding the zone with fastballs
Speaker 3: and hopefully the slider gets strikes as well on top
Speaker 3: of them. As long as this heater inside the zone constantly,
Speaker 3: and I'm talking upper third of the zone, we're just
Speaker 3: anywhere really inside that box, but hopefully upper third for
Speaker 3: Alta will have a great start yesterday, very volatile, very
Speaker 3: erratic in a bad way with that heater. I call
Speaker 3: him Professor Chaos because of how much is strikes imply
Speaker 3: just normally looks like just an array, but normally inside
Speaker 3: of that zone. And if who wasn't there yesterday, it
Speaker 3: could be a product of injury, it could be product
Speaker 3: of jitters. You just came back for so long and
Speaker 3: you're really excited and that can affect you too. So
Speaker 3: it's really hard to tell at this moment if Peralta
Speaker 3: is going to make those adjustments to get back into
Speaker 3: any sort of rhythm as that sp two that we've seen.
Speaker 3: I want to believe he will because he has done
Speaker 3: it for a decent amount of time. He does pitch
Speaker 3: cross body, though, and that's something that requires a lot
Speaker 3: of rhythm to get back into the zone constantly with
Speaker 3: a timing on on release, so it might take a
Speaker 3: couple starts to get there. Interesting to maybe wait if
Speaker 3: you're looking to trade for him for another week, wait
Speaker 3: for another bats art, because I don't think a manager
Speaker 3: would be willing to give him up for cheap at
Speaker 3: the moment.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, okay, so that's interesting because you turned it
Speaker 1: back into kind of like a buy and I wasn't
Speaker 1: sure if it was going to be a buy or
Speaker 1: maybe a sell off. If you don't want to wait.
Speaker 1: Trade deadlines are not created equal in fantasy. I've had
Speaker 1: some that just hit on the first you get some
Speaker 1: I think that will be usually mid August. You might
Speaker 1: have some push even a little bit further, maybe even
Speaker 1: to the end of August. So if you can get
Speaker 1: one more bad start in, that might be the time
Speaker 1: if you believe there's going to be a tick back.
Speaker 1: But maybe if there is no discount required off of
Speaker 1: the bad start and you can still get full value,
Speaker 1: you could even look at maybe not playing. You know,
Speaker 1: you could move off of him for the rest of
Speaker 1: your year if you don't want to play it through,
Speaker 1: because unfortunately, it's going to have to be game time
Speaker 1: and Freddy Brot has never been a big innings guy,
Speaker 1: and he already won sixty seven pitches only through four,
Speaker 1: So you do have to question long term, if the
Speaker 1: stuff is just a little bit shaky over the next
Speaker 1: three or four starts, how comfortable will they ultimately be
Speaker 1: just pushing him in in to win opportunities. And he's
Speaker 1: the polar opposite of Sandy al Contrac where Sanuel Contrac like,
Speaker 1: if he doesn't go seven, We're like, is he injured?
Speaker 1: What's going on here?
Speaker 3: No, with Freddy Peerlte, We'll say the only true by
Speaker 3: lows are where it's not a guarantee that he's gonna
Speaker 3: do well again. Right, So, if you are really buying
Speaker 3: on Freddy Perlze, you're kind of hoping that it does
Speaker 3: go poorly the next two starts and then having that
Speaker 3: faith that it'll come back up.
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. One of the top prospects in baseball did
Speaker 1: make his major league debut, but probably the most boring
Speaker 1: of names for many people just don't know him, Miguel Vargas.
Speaker 1: He ended up going two for four two RBIs. I
Speaker 1: think he also stole third if I remember correctly, not
Speaker 1: on the ear Miguel Vargas. This is one of those guys.
Speaker 1: I'm having these moments and I don't want to make
Speaker 1: everything about me, even though it can be. But like
Speaker 1: I have this shlew of these players that I saw
Speaker 1: as the lowest levels, Like I remember Miguel Vargus in
Speaker 1: like twenty eighteen or seventeen on the backfields of Camelback
Speaker 1: Rants watching him, being like, man, this kid is really impressive.
Speaker 1: Not showing crazy stuff, but he's really impressive watching him
Speaker 1: as this kid, and he's now up in the major
Speaker 1: leagues right now, and he is successful, and he one
Speaker 1: of the best prospects in baseball. Fifteen homers, twelve stolen
Speaker 1: base is hitting two ninety one with a three eighty
Speaker 1: two OBP in the minor league season and now stolen
Speaker 1: base a couple hits in his major league debut. Can
Speaker 1: kind of move around. As soon as I saw he
Speaker 1: was actually called up, immediately tweeted out for everybody, go
Speaker 1: pick him up. If he's still out there, go pick
Speaker 1: him up. This is one of those prospects that you
Speaker 1: know in the Dodger system. I don't know how long
Speaker 1: that they'll let things hang around, but if he's successful
Speaker 1: and he's here. He could play multiple positions. He's got
Speaker 1: incredible hit tool, and he's always been patient, doesn't strike out, walks,
Speaker 1: has a high OBP OBP leagues is a good one.
Speaker 1: This is definitely a hitter that you guys want to
Speaker 1: go and pick up if he is looming around and
Speaker 1: you want to play the young guy game in redraft,
Speaker 1: which I usually don't like to do. Over on the
Speaker 1: injury front, Michael Harris will scratched yesterday day to day
Speaker 1: with a foot injury. This is blasphemous. I know he's
Speaker 1: a cardboard, stinky hitter, but Michael Harris one of my
Speaker 1: favorite players of the entire year, and really also Nick.
Speaker 1: I have to continue root and cheer for Michael Harris
Speaker 1: because as oneal Cruz goes out and hits his eighth
Speaker 1: homer and has a higher and fourteen EV and everybody
Speaker 1: tweets me about it because I'm critical of I'm only
Speaker 1: critical of onneal Cruz because the guy hits sub two
Speaker 1: thirty and he was anointed the Rookie of the Year
Speaker 1: through seven at bats through this season. That's why I'm
Speaker 1: critical Michael Harris. I think the best guy in baseball
Speaker 1: got to continuously root for are you a big Michael
Speaker 1: Harris guy.
Speaker 3: I sure, I I'm I'm the one who will watch
Speaker 3: every single thing that O'Neal Cruz does. So I feel
Speaker 3: like I need to just say, Okay, I believe you, Chris,
Speaker 3: I believe you.
Speaker 1: I mean, like it's it's the most difficult situation for
Speaker 1: me because it feels like everybody thinks I hate O'Neal
Speaker 1: Cruz and I don't. I've talked about oneo Cruz in
Speaker 1: like the week and a half or so. I don't
Speaker 1: hate O'Neill Cruz. He's an insane video game challenge. I
Speaker 1: got nine homers and five stolen bases on the year, right.
Speaker 1: He's great, but he's thaking two twenty five. He has
Speaker 1: a sub two seventy OBP, which sucks, and he strikes
Speaker 1: out a bunch. So he's a big He's like Javier Bias.
Speaker 1: He's like he's a bigger physical piece of hobbyer buyers,
Speaker 1: where how your buyers would be like, man, you're singing
Speaker 1: things through a lot of stuff. But he does video
Speaker 1: game stuff. That's what o'neol Cruiz is. He's a monster
Speaker 1: and beast. And I turned Michael Harrison to oneo Cruise.
Speaker 3: It's like a it's like a picture, like a Matt
Speaker 3: Brash kind of thing where you see the amazing breaking balls,
Speaker 3: but it's like, okay, what was the final line kind
Speaker 3: of thing is what you're trying to say, and Michael
Speaker 3: Hyris is just your Hey guys, I'm I'm Luis Garcia
Speaker 3: and I'm just doing really good things.
Speaker 2: It's okay.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah. Maybe also like like a Freddy Peralta, Like
Speaker 1: Freddy Peralta has just absolutely bonker stuff, but he just
Speaker 1: doesn't go deep into games a ton. I mean, it's
Speaker 1: a word. It's not a great comp but it's like
Speaker 1: that idea, like it's flash, it's got top end type
Speaker 1: of stuff. That's who on'eal Cruz absolutely is. Next year
Speaker 1: will be more fun. I'll be a lot more into it.
Speaker 1: But you know, like I don't get excited about two
Speaker 1: thirty here.
Speaker 3: I can't wait for the the blind mock draft where
Speaker 3: you yell at your co manag for taking O'Neal Cruz
Speaker 3: in the third round.
Speaker 1: I catch such a blast with that nick and picture
Speaker 1: con he runs. They did these blind drafts and right
Speaker 1: now yeah, yeah, exact pitch con and I did this
Speaker 1: last one didn't.
Speaker 2: I yeah, yeah, your back. It was great, you and
Speaker 2: you and Bagman.
Speaker 1: I haven't seen the result. I don't know where the
Speaker 1: results are that you're gonna do a mid season results.
Speaker 2: Oh, we we're gonna post them. Don't worry. Okay, good,
Speaker 2: I'm sure I did terribly.
Speaker 1: I will scream a little bit if they do something
Speaker 1: bonkers like you know, take two years ago, Dalton var
Speaker 1: show who didn't make the roster.
Speaker 2: Oh that was so fun. That was fun.
Speaker 1: Burned through the other injuries, Austin Hayes Island with an
Speaker 1: oblique Brian Baiyo out with a groin injury, Gavin Sheet's
Speaker 1: got a bruised ankle, Joey Bart left the game with
Speaker 1: growing tightness. Ross Strippling placed on the al with a
Speaker 1: leg injury. Creats some rotational stuff, and George Springer remains
Speaker 1: out of lineup with an elbow problem. And as does
Speaker 1: what mayorfield you know, at least in Toronto. So will
Speaker 1: he lead off potentially when you get there. Here's a
Speaker 1: fun fact by Sarah Langs that's slang on sports. Brandon
Speaker 1: Jury is the first player with the grand in his
Speaker 1: first played appearance with a team after changing mid season
Speaker 1: with teams. He's the first player with the team that
Speaker 1: Rip Ripulski of the Red Sox on May tenth, nineteen sixty,
Speaker 1: was I guess the next? Oh yeah? So since so
Speaker 1: since nineteen sixty this is an oddly worded tweet, or
Speaker 1: maybe I'm just reading it weird, but since nineteen a
Speaker 1: better way to be with Since nineteen sixty, Branjurie is
Speaker 1: the first player with the Grand Slam in his first
Speaker 1: played appearance within a team after changing teams mid season.
Speaker 1: Thank you Sarah Langs for the tongue twister. Two more
Speaker 1: and then we're going to get into some of the stats.
Speaker 1: This day in baseball nineteen ninety three, Tony gwyn had
Speaker 1: six hits against the Giants. It is the Patter's outfielders
Speaker 1: fourth game of the nineteen ninety three season with five
Speaker 1: or more hits. He becomes only the third person to
Speaker 1: get five hits or better that many times in a
Speaker 1: single season. Very ironic that won so Wan Soto might
Speaker 1: actually be okay, This might be contros on soda, the
Speaker 1: best version of like a Tony Gwinn we've had since
Speaker 1: Tony Gwinn, Is there any player that has been more
Speaker 1: representative of like Tony Gunn is always unique in his
Speaker 1: game and his contact. Do you think that's like a
Speaker 1: Juan Soto.
Speaker 2: Like I think one SODA's too patient for that.
Speaker 3: Like Tony Gwinn to get as many hits as he
Speaker 3: did is because he did not accept walks as much,
Speaker 3: I imagine as Wan Soda. I don't have the career
Speaker 3: numbers of Tony Gwinn, but I assure you it's not
Speaker 3: the same patience that has been instilled in the game
Speaker 3: now still as far as overall hit tool goes, and
Speaker 3: just like all right, I'm just gonna get Smiths today
Speaker 3: or be amazing at the play.
Speaker 2: I can understand where you're coming from, and.
Speaker 1: Like you just prove it right there, like two walks
Speaker 1: in his major league debut, like the hype, like players
Speaker 1: will be swinging through their shoes like Brandon Jury. Here's
Speaker 1: a trivia question for today. Edwin Diaz is eight point
Speaker 1: one strikeouts per nine this season would set a record
Speaker 1: for a pitcher with at least twenty saves in baseball.
Speaker 1: This is for the chat or anybody listening who holds
Speaker 1: the current record. Nick cannot answer this because if the
Speaker 1: answer is staring us right.
Speaker 3: In the face.
Speaker 1: It's not looking at the sheet. Have you looked at
Speaker 1: the sheet?
Speaker 2: I looked at the sheet. I'm not gonna be that guy.
Speaker 1: Okay, So you know so the chat, So I'm gonna
Speaker 1: repeat it one more time, Edwind. He has eight point
Speaker 1: one Kate per nine this season would set a record
Speaker 1: for any picture with at least twenty saves. That is
Speaker 1: a bonkers video game number. But who holds the current record.
Speaker 1: Let's see if the chat gets it name and extra points.
Speaker 1: If you can actually get what that number is, you know,
Speaker 1: eight point one would be the record. And we'll come
Speaker 1: back to that in a little bit. Some stat heroes
Speaker 1: Jose orkeaty seven innings, ten k's are you were you
Speaker 1: an a arkady guy? I always get every time I
Speaker 1: think of Urkidi, I think of Eno and ENO's love
Speaker 1: of some of the stuff. Or Katy has really struggled,
Speaker 1: I think in just being an ultimate consistent guy. And
Speaker 1: the strikeout pictures in Houston in general have been a
Speaker 1: little bit wonky. But give up only two hits ten strikeouts?
Speaker 1: How big are we on our KTI rest of season?
Speaker 1: And trustworthy?
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 3: So, entering the season, I was hoping that we'd see
Speaker 3: the kitchen sink Hosey or Keaty, and I thought, yeah,
Speaker 3: he was just getting undervalued in that way. Did not
Speaker 3: have it the first couple months of this year, or
Speaker 3: Kety just could not find any sort of rhythm whatsoever. However,
Speaker 3: the last about six to seven starts for Rose or
Speaker 3: Kety have been phenomenal. Sure, you could point at the
Speaker 3: sub two hundred babbit that he's had in the same time, however,
Speaker 3: you watch this star which I did. Fastball command has
Speaker 3: been unreal and the change of down and away armside,
Speaker 3: so he avoided all of the play, just dotted the
Speaker 3: corners with those two pitches constantly. Good slider in there
Speaker 3: for some free real estate that is getting early strikes
Speaker 3: in the zone. Or Keaty is in rhythm right now,
Speaker 3: and we see this a lot. I mean, look at
Speaker 3: Martin Perez. This entire season has been in rhythm. Joseier
Speaker 3: Keaty has been in one for about six weeks now.
Speaker 3: And I hope it doesn't end. I mean, as of
Speaker 3: this moment, jose Orkety could do this forever. It seems
Speaker 3: like I hope he does. Hope he's nothing that interrupts
Speaker 3: this great groove.
Speaker 1: He's in Yeah, and that was always something you know
Speaker 1: loved and we would talk about. Was you had, like,
Speaker 1: you know, four pitches and he could command all of them.
Speaker 1: Whether you're getting strikeouts or not, the results will end
Speaker 1: up being there. It is not Rivera and is not
Speaker 1: gon Ye. For the trivia question of what ed who
Speaker 1: Edwin Diaz would pass for the most K per nine
Speaker 1: in a single season with at least twenty saves, very
Speaker 1: good guesses, but those are not from the chat where
Speaker 1: we were on set here Sanuel Contra, we talked about
Speaker 1: win a perfect nine and well went nine only struck
Speaker 1: out three, So that strikeout under Charlie Morton six and
Speaker 1: two thirds, eight strikeouts, giving up only three hits. Zach
Speaker 1: Wheeler seven and seven h seven innings, seven strikeouts, five hits,
Speaker 1: also a pretty solid drink. Blake Snell six innings, four hits,
Speaker 1: nine strikeouts. Oh Man Nick Nick Snell or Blake Snell
Speaker 1: Nick Snell. Blake Snell been consistent on the back half
Speaker 1: of the year. I have I have trouble buying it,
Speaker 1: but how critical and how trustworthy Isla Blake Snell the
Speaker 1: rest of the year, because I feel like he has
Speaker 1: really shown out some inconsistencies though, like you talked about
Speaker 1: with her, Katie, he's just him and Darvish have just
Speaker 1: stepped up, especially with the run sport they're going to
Speaker 1: have now. Has Blake Snell moved up pretty dramatically in
Speaker 1: your ranks over the last let's say two months.
Speaker 2: I mean he's gone back and forth.
Speaker 3: When he came back from injury, we were hoping to
Speaker 3: find some rhythm and replicate what he did the end
Speaker 3: of twenty twenty one.
Speaker 2: We didn't quite see that.
Speaker 3: And I remember the off season I asked Blake Snell
Speaker 3: on his twitch chat, is the change up still in
Speaker 3: time out? Because he put in time out last year
Speaker 3: and had so much success. He goes, no, I'm really
Speaker 3: excited to show it off. And so I lowered him
Speaker 3: in my ranks and then and then he still had
Speaker 3: his change it for a while. But guess what, last night,
Speaker 3: one change up thrown. And he's been really reducing that
Speaker 3: change up in the past four weeks. And this is
Speaker 3: the kind of success that we see. Yet, as long
Speaker 3: as you have four seamers for strikes with Blake Snell
Speaker 3: sixty seven percent yesterday, which is great, he's going to
Speaker 3: get with on the secondary stuff. He had ten whists
Speaker 3: across the slider and curveball.
Speaker 2: That's it.
Speaker 3: There you go, that is Blake Snell having success. He's
Speaker 3: in that rhythm right now. I don't believe he would
Speaker 3: interrupt it as far as going back to the change
Speaker 3: up one random night.
Speaker 2: So I feel good about Blake's now at the moment.
Speaker 3: It's exactly what we saw last year, and hopefully he
Speaker 3: doesn't have the same injury that halted his progression in
Speaker 3: twenty twenty one.
Speaker 1: Do you have any of those moments And you're very
Speaker 1: humble guy, but do you have any of those moments
Speaker 1: where it's like you know how much you study and
Speaker 1: your experience, Yeah, there's a picture and everything, and then
Speaker 1: you see what needs to be changed and you see
Speaker 1: a guy like Blake's now be like no, I'm still
Speaker 1: gonna go at it, and then you see it fail,
Speaker 1: and then you see them stop doing it and succeed.
Speaker 1: Do you want to just be like could you just
Speaker 1: listen to me? Like no, could you just listen to me?
Speaker 3: Okay, sure, but there are other times when like this
Speaker 3: guy needs to do this, and like they say no
Speaker 3: and they do something else and they're incredibly successful.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 3: I mean, I'm happy it worked out this way. There
Speaker 3: are a lot of other times that it doesn't.
Speaker 1: Sure, I'm sure. Let's just get Blakes now to listen
Speaker 1: to n Pollague please. By the way, Brian did get it.
Speaker 1: A rold As Chapman was the answer to the trivia
Speaker 1: question seventeen point seven k per nine in twenty fourteen.
Speaker 1: That is the leader. Edwin Diaz currently looking to break
Speaker 1: that record, which is pretty cool stuff. Over on the
Speaker 1: big hitters. On the stat side, Brian Reynolds three for
Speaker 1: four with a homer, did not get traded. Must be happy.
Speaker 1: Three runs. Luke Williams with Miami three stolen bases on
Speaker 1: my bench yesterday too, got Manny Machado three for four
Speaker 1: with a homer in the Big and Cronaworth also had
Speaker 1: a homer with three RBI in the Big padres output
Speaker 1: Im ed Rosario had a bomb with three RBIs. I
Speaker 1: couldn't have been more wrong about franmil Reyis, but you know,
Speaker 1: I think I'm pretty right about Amed Rosario. In the
Speaker 1: preseason guesses, Robinson Trinos had a homer, Hikashoka had a homer,
Speaker 1: vogel Bach with the big bomb, Dury with the grand
Speaker 1: slam Oscar Gonzalez. The reason franmill Is gone two for
Speaker 1: four with a home run. Some stat zero's cool Chad,
Speaker 1: the Chad cool nine earned runs with four strikeouts and
Speaker 1: five innings amazing. You can get to nine earned runs
Speaker 1: in five innings. Michael Gibbons got blown up with five
Speaker 1: urn Rich Hill only went three with foreignern and Garrett
Speaker 1: Cole six innings six eurned runs did have eight k's Nick,
Speaker 1: What is wrong with Garrett Cole?
Speaker 3: Well, first of all, he's replicating the cool whip, which
Speaker 3: you don't want whatsoever. But I with Garrett Cole, it's
Speaker 3: just the first inning, and I've heard a lot of
Speaker 3: people say, like, oh, the sticky stuff. Since then, he
Speaker 3: hasn't been this ace for the Yankees. All this I
Speaker 3: keep in mind, yesterday Garrett Cole had what I call
Speaker 3: a golden goal. That is, he had the highest the
Speaker 3: CSW of any pitcher, and he had the most whiffs
Speaker 3: of any pitcher yesterday.
Speaker 2: The stuff is not bad.
Speaker 3: This is not all of a sudden a degradation of
Speaker 3: the old Garrett Cole. As far as ability goes, it's
Speaker 3: just consistency a little and really the first inning he
Speaker 3: Leeds three home runs to the Mariners in that first frame,
Speaker 3: and then I'll had two hits across the next five
Speaker 3: and dominated I think it's something maybe mental. I think
Speaker 3: it's just something being in confidence wise, I don't know,
Speaker 3: maybe this something about his pre game routine. He blamed
Speaker 3: Billy Crystal if you remember an opening day, So there's
Speaker 3: something there about the first name with the Garrett Cole.
Speaker 3: I think as far as fancy majors go, he's not
Speaker 3: going to have this I any rate by the end
Speaker 3: of the year. I believe his stuff is just too
Speaker 3: good where you just have to keep shrugging it off.
Speaker 2: And it's tough to do that, but you gotta do it.
Speaker 1: I could, Honestly, I'm probably one of the few I
Speaker 1: could just sit and I would love to just be
Speaker 1: inside of his brain, like.
Speaker 2: Just that is his voice.
Speaker 3: Actually, yeah, I'm pretty sure that's it.
Speaker 2: The thing, remember Family Davis Junior, almost what you're doing?
Speaker 1: Well, Like you remember that family guy bit where it's like,
Speaker 1: oh god, it's like Kermit the Frog and I'm forgetting
Speaker 1: the Ray Romano out there. You put Garrett Cole at
Speaker 1: the same table with him. His excuses. I like that
Speaker 1: he's just like every time it's like, you know, it
Speaker 1: was this same bit of crystal. It's like always something else,
Speaker 1: Like I actually love Garrett Cauley. I think he's fantastic
Speaker 1: for baseball. Blame everybody else and just I don't know
Speaker 1: the zero hitters, Eric Ajas four strikeouts, oh for four,
Speaker 1: bunch of three strikeout performances, all no hits, Hoskins, Scope, Bashett, Luke, Chapman, Devers, Perez,
Speaker 1: and Turner, all with the big old zeros for everybody
Speaker 1: on the stat side, Hey, guess what, everybody two homer
Speaker 1: calls this week. I have been very slow going and
Speaker 1: it would be a miracle, miracle if I could catch up. Really,
Speaker 1: in any regard, we have to give a hat tip
Speaker 1: to our guy, Matt mayor Mike Mayer. Got my name's today,
Speaker 1: Mike Mayer, who has been dominating the board. We did
Speaker 1: not have an updated home run board, but yes, I
Speaker 1: did call Pete Alonzo. I'm two for three this week
Speaker 1: last week, but a lot of other people called Pete
Speaker 1: Alonzo so much so I really wish we had the board.
Speaker 1: Is unfortunate because the home run leaderboard is tied now.
Speaker 1: It is tied for everybody high Cubby Hadwan Soto yesterday
Speaker 1: like Wonky, and d Blum had Peter Lonzo like me.
Speaker 1: So they are tied at thirty seven night King of
Speaker 1: the North on the heels, Mike Mayer's got thirty five,
Speaker 1: and a bunch of us are just further down. I
Speaker 1: have no idea where I'm at. I'm probably twenty five
Speaker 1: or twenty six on the air of nowhere close to
Speaker 1: the home run board. But I am two for three
Speaker 1: and we're gonna put Nick Pollock on the hot seat
Speaker 1: here in just a couple of minutes to make a
Speaker 1: choice for the guests, as Mike Curlin was the only
Speaker 1: one that was able to jump in. Hey friends, this
Speaker 1: episode brought to you by our friends over at bet MGM.
Speaker 1: Make sure you use the promo code that you see
Speaker 1: right under you leading off. When you do, you get
Speaker 1: a one thousand dollars risk free bet. Just go over
Speaker 1: to bet mgm right now, pick it up, get rock
Speaker 1: and make some bets over on the bettingpros dot com
Speaker 1: prop cheat sheet. The top two bets for well the
Speaker 1: number one strikeout and the number one total base prop.
Speaker 1: You want to take today Jeffrey Springs, which I think
Speaker 1: is coming up here very shortly. The number is four
Speaker 1: and a half on the over, projected almost seven from
Speaker 1: Fantasy pros. That is on fan Duel. It's pretty juiced
Speaker 1: up though. That's the number one strikeout bet on their
Speaker 1: value board, and the number one total base is Ralphael Devers,
Speaker 1: who's even money at one and a half over. They
Speaker 1: project him at three versus Kansas City two. That I
Speaker 1: kind of dig today. Oh, didn't I see? Did the
Speaker 1: Cardinals game get Did it get rained out today?
Speaker 2: Did it did?
Speaker 3: Oh?
Speaker 2: Is it today?
Speaker 3: Oh?
Speaker 1: That's that's Let me take a look. I saw on
Speaker 1: cards saying that it got today. I don't see it.
Speaker 1: I don't see anything suspended. So you guys tell me
Speaker 1: in the chat do you? Does anybody know any different?
Speaker 1: Because I'm gonna take Paul Goldschmidt Paul gold Schmidt as
Speaker 1: a total base over if he's actually playing. But I
Speaker 1: see no rainout so far. He is plus money at
Speaker 1: one and a half on DK and hitting four to
Speaker 1: sixty against lefties, and I don't see anybody correcting me.
Speaker 1: Does that sound about right now?
Speaker 3: Ye?
Speaker 2: I don't see anything saying postponement for the Cardinals quite yet.
Speaker 1: Okay, So Cardinals Paul Goldschmidt, that's my pick as far
Speaker 1: as a total base prop and Brandon Woodruff strikeouts six
Speaker 1: and a half it's plus money against Pittsburgh today. Hit
Speaker 1: that in the last couple Yes, thank you very much.
Speaker 1: I will take Brandon Woodrriff on the strikeouts, Goldie on
Speaker 1: the total basis, DK just running real quick, not a
Speaker 1: whole lot. Here some interesting prices from fandul Woodriff ten
Speaker 1: and a half today, Springs is seven and point four
Speaker 1: and Kintana seven point seven. Actually, like, do you like
Speaker 1: hose Kingtana today in the debut?
Speaker 3: I think it's interesting and the Cardinals defense should help him.
Speaker 3: He's been in a lot of good rhythm with his
Speaker 3: with his stuff. I like that a decent amount. Seven
Speaker 3: point seven sounds good.
Speaker 1: Yeah, like really really cheap in that same range. I
Speaker 1: think he could be a huge value today. If you're
Speaker 1: looking for implied run totals, your stacks Milwaukee, Chicago, Tampa.
Speaker 1: Now Milwaukee and Tampa were both I believe five. Chicago wasn't,
Speaker 1: but I really like the matchup. So those are three
Speaker 1: teams you might target on stacks. Go probably in the
Speaker 1: top three or four and Nick that leads us to
Speaker 1: the very end of our home run call. So all
Speaker 1: you gotta do it's super simple. Their cardboard cutout stinky hitters,
Speaker 1: but you can pick one. You know, really, it would
Speaker 1: be great for you to have like this strike out prop.
Speaker 1: It would just be like the strikeout of the day
Speaker 1: if you were if you and me were doing the show,
Speaker 1: we'd have to have the homer and the strikeout monster
Speaker 1: of the day to lead. But you do got to
Speaker 1: pick a homer. All you gotta do is what do
Speaker 1: you want to put on the board for the guests.
Speaker 3: I mean, how am I supposed to make a bet
Speaker 3: without using bets? It's gonna be It's gonna be MOOKI
Speaker 3: bets today, Jacob Junis, I don't think it's actually gonna
Speaker 3: go too long against the Dodgers. I would actually consider
Speaker 3: them as a stack here because Jacob Junis isn't quite
Speaker 3: where he needs to be, and these they're gonna get
Speaker 3: to that bullpen pretty quickly.
Speaker 1: I like that one. I like to call him yakup
Speaker 1: Jon this. It's a yakup this out there on the mound,
Speaker 1: the yacap j yeah, and go cards. I just got
Speaker 1: confused when I saw him saying in the chat this
Speaker 1: was talking about. Yeah, yesterday it was a rain, so
Speaker 1: it completely fried my brain on what you guys can
Speaker 1: tell is a pretty quick, fast moving leading off, so
Speaker 1: it completely fried my brain. So put Paul Goldschman on
Speaker 1: the board for me. Yes, I'm gonna try to go
Speaker 1: three for four his huge, huge run versus lefties hitting
Speaker 1: force it with bonkers numbers he's putting up this year.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with gold Schmid. We know Joe just
Speaker 1: as Judge. Moving forward, I don't know if anything else
Speaker 1: has been updated. I do see Mayor with Luis Roberts,
Speaker 1: so I think he might have a new pick. I
Speaker 1: don't see a new Wonky pick. But those are ours
Speaker 1: for today, Nick, what is going on over a picture
Speaker 1: list that our wonderful crowd needs to know about because
Speaker 1: you guys have a plethora of amazing things.
Speaker 3: We do a lot of things, mainly just come hang
Speaker 3: out on Twitch. If he enjoy his live streams nine
Speaker 3: am to eleven am every single weekday morning, I'm there.
Speaker 3: It's my office hours. Ask all the questions that you have.
Speaker 3: But yeah, check out our player pages. They are stack casts,
Speaker 3: the based we have stack cast data and they are
Speaker 3: absurdly detailed, amazing game logs, all the repertoire stuff, gifts
Speaker 3: of every single pitch.
Speaker 2: Go check them out. The best place see do your
Speaker 2: player research.
Speaker 1: You know it's amazing. If you want to, just like
Speaker 1: really just throw it out here for your job. If
Speaker 1: you want, go out and watch Nick's stream for two hours,
Speaker 1: then you come over here, and then after here a
Speaker 1: half an hour, then go over and watch us over
Speaker 1: at twitch dot tv slash in this league.
Speaker 2: That there you go.
Speaker 1: So I'm getting yelled at in the chat. I can't
Speaker 1: call Goldie today because it's a double header. Well let
Speaker 1: me call the game. I need confirmation, Wonky, please get
Speaker 1: me confirmations. This is true that I can't call Goldie.
Speaker 1: What if I pick the game? What if I pick
Speaker 1: the exact one? I want the full I want the
Speaker 1: second of the double header. That is what I'm coming
Speaker 1: you know what foot down second?
Speaker 2: I will I have rule in favor. Yeah, that works.
Speaker 2: You can't get game one.
Speaker 1: And if I get yelled at too much, I'm taking
Speaker 1: Matt Olsen because that is the other person I was
Speaker 1: going to pick today. So I'm having backup calls here.
Speaker 1: Nick Pollock at picture List, go and check him out,
Speaker 1: check out the streams. It's twitched, Twitch, dot tv, slash
Speaker 1: picture list that should be it, right, amazing stuff over there,
Speaker 1: go to picture list dot com, awesome player pages, just
Speaker 1: awesome stuff in general. You can get always updated ranks
Speaker 1: for pictures and there's just a gagillion other things, so
Speaker 1: don't think that's it. And Frindos, that is everything that
Speaker 1: we have for you. Thank you so much for hanging
Speaker 1: out with us today. Bet MGM. You can check out
Speaker 1: with the promo code leading off, hang out with the
Speaker 1: awesome chat and thank you guys for hanging out with me.
Speaker 1: I will be back again tomorrow right here and leading off,
Speaker 1: if I don't hit my microphone, it's Welsh and Nick
Speaker 1: Pollock my friends,