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Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Favorites podcast. I am Shad

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Speaker 1: Milman of the Action Network. It is Wednesday, which means

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Speaker 1: we are bringing in Bookmaker to the world, head of

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Speaker 1: the Orleans and all the Boyd gaming books in the

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Speaker 1: state of Nevada, a man with his own boom tastic

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Speaker 1: walk up music, Mr Bob Scoochee. I can't even I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you what. It sounds so much more over the

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Speaker 1: top today than it ever has ever to me too.

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Speaker 1: I don't know why that is. I think it maybe

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Speaker 1: it's early in the morning, and maybe it was louder.

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Speaker 1: But there's three of us there, the two mats, the

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Speaker 1: producers of the podcast. We were all just laughing hysterically

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Speaker 1: as like it crescendoed into something that was so overwhelmingly, deliciously,

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Speaker 1: sweetly bigger than this podcast could ever possibly live up to. Right, No,

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Speaker 1: that's great. It is very early for you at six am.

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Speaker 1: We had to record normally recorded this on Tuesday nights.

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Speaker 1: We're recording it very early Wednesday morning because you're crazy

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Speaker 1: busy with the huge gambling conference G two E that

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Speaker 1: is going on. I know you're very busy. Um, I

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Speaker 1: do want to talk about one thing. What's that. I

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Speaker 1: am a man of principles, as I stated last week,

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Speaker 1: and I did what I said I was going to do.

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Speaker 1: When there were short home phaves and home dogs, I

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Speaker 1: bet them. The only two teams that I avoided as

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Speaker 1: short home favors home dogs were the Lines and the Jets,

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Speaker 1: and I got bit in the asked for it. But

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Speaker 1: every other time I had the chance, I did it.

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Speaker 1: The Seahawks, the Bills. Who else was it last week? Um,

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Speaker 1: the Browns, the and then I got the Cardinals. Uh.

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Speaker 1: The only game I lost, like week last week that

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Speaker 1: I that I bet was the Jags. Like I made

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Speaker 1: a last minute decision to bet the Jags plus three,

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Speaker 1: and like it was the one game I said all

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Speaker 1: week I wasn't going to bet, and then I bet

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Speaker 1: them and I lost. And this week Scooch is shaping

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Speaker 1: up to be one of those weeks where all of

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Speaker 1: my principles are going to be tested, because every single

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Speaker 1: short home faith and home dog looks like trash. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: this is this is this might be the opposite of

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Speaker 1: last week. I don't know this this this week kind

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Speaker 1: of scares me. You know, every of the early games

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Speaker 1: last week, every home team won Uh, they weren't all favorites.

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Speaker 1: Obviously mustiplem are dogs, but every home team one. This week,

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Speaker 1: we've got a lot of short road favorites. Um, they're

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Speaker 1: not exactly teams you'd like to unload the house on,

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Speaker 1: but a lot of a lot of short point spreads

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Speaker 1: this week only only really two games that have a

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Speaker 1: point spread more than three and a half. Well, we

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Speaker 1: got a lot to get to and later on in

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Speaker 1: this interesting Yeah, yeah, there's gonna be a lot of

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Speaker 1: games that are troubling me. I've only made two bets

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Speaker 1: so far this week, two times where I thought I

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Speaker 1: was getting the best of the number. And then I

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Speaker 1: want to talk to you before I do anything else.

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Speaker 1: But we're gonna get to it later on the show.

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Speaker 1: We will get to Scooch Roulette, which we both won

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Speaker 1: last week. You had the Bills, I had the Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: Worked out well for both the of us. Um, yeah,

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Speaker 1: it killed me. Like you know, I do Sports Center

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Speaker 1: every Sunday. I like to mention that as often as

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Speaker 1: I can, and then I will write about my Sunday

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Speaker 1: in Millman's Red Zone Diaries, which you can find on

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Speaker 1: the Action Network Action network dot com him download the

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Speaker 1: app and um, I talked about how the Seahawks were

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Speaker 1: the play that I loved the most, talked about him

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Speaker 1: a week, bet him aggressively, actually bet him twice once

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Speaker 1: by accident, and Um Sunday morning, I lost my courage

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Speaker 1: and did not talk about them on Sports Center and

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Speaker 1: I talked about the Jags and the Chiefs instead. And

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Speaker 1: I am kicking myself still, like who are you? Why

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Speaker 1: are you not a man who believes what you think? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and there's another game that's identical with one of the

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Speaker 1: same teams involved. I know we're going to get to it.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna get to it. And I like, I don't know,

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Speaker 1: case Keenum doesn't feel like Russell Wilson, but we'll get

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Speaker 1: to that. We'll totally get to that. Um, So what

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Speaker 1: did you so? What did you say about the What

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Speaker 1: did you say about the Jags and the Chiefs? And

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Speaker 1: I went with the Jags. I went with the Jackson.

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Speaker 1: I felt like there was a little bit of value

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Speaker 1: on the Jags. I thought like the Chiefs were over inflated.

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Speaker 1: The line probably should have been too. I felt like

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Speaker 1: it was just a matchup of strength. I felt like

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Speaker 1: best score defense, best scoring offense, best, second best red

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Speaker 1: zone defense, second best red zone offense. I felt like

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs defensive line would be dominated by the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: offensive line and that the Jaguars would be able to

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Speaker 1: control the ball and keep it close. Um, And they

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Speaker 1: might have been able to do that, but Blake Bortles

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Speaker 1: decided to be Blake Bortles and was throwing the ball

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Speaker 1: off of teammates helmets in the red zone and like

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Speaker 1: had the re turnovers there and so you know, for that,

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Speaker 1: that's what happened, and so I ended up, you know,

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Speaker 1: eating that one. Yep, my logic was sound, but analysis,

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Speaker 1: as they've said on a podcast before, the right side

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Speaker 1: is the winning side. Melmonism, boom, Let's get this baby going.

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Speaker 1: I know you gotta get to the airport. Let's get

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Speaker 1: this baby going. This Thursday night game speaks exactly to

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Speaker 1: everything we're talking about regarding short road favorites home underdogs.

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Speaker 1: The Philadelphia Eagles three point favorites over the New York Giants.

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Speaker 1: This is where the rubber meets the road. This is

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Speaker 1: the rub for me. I can't bet the Giants because

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Speaker 1: I bet the Giants is home dogs like three times

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Speaker 1: this year and gotten my ass handed to me. I

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Speaker 1: can't be at the Eagles because I don't believe in

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Speaker 1: them at all right now, So what am I supposed

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Speaker 1: to do? The play is normally to take the three

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Speaker 1: points at home, and I think this is definitely going

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Speaker 1: to go up to three and a half. So, um,

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Speaker 1: if you if you stick by those principles, then you

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Speaker 1: have to take the Giants plus the three and a half.

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Speaker 1: Uh they did get the Giants did get the cover

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Speaker 1: last week against Carolina, they were getting six and a half. Uh.

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Speaker 1: They end up losing the game by two. And uh

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Speaker 1: but if you saw any of that game, Eli Manning

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Speaker 1: just you know, interceptions that right right when they're driving

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Speaker 1: inside the red zone and uh, he's just I mean,

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Speaker 1: you're amazed at the guy that that. He's like an

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Speaker 1: iron man. He can just he never seems to get injured.

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Speaker 1: He's been around forever. But then he he he throws

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Speaker 1: these passes just out of nowhere that you're like, oh

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Speaker 1: my god. They've got a lot of issues this year.

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Speaker 1: We talked about him last year how you just can't

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Speaker 1: bet the Giants, but the the Eagles, you talk about

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Speaker 1: a game that they cannot afford to lose, you know, Uh,

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Speaker 1: last week against Minnesota, I felt like that was a

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Speaker 1: critical game where both Minnesota and Philly they that neither

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Speaker 1: one of them could afford to lose that game. And

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Speaker 1: now you know Philly loses that game against Minnesota, they

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Speaker 1: cannot afford to lose this one. So I understand the

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Speaker 1: move and the money on the on the Eagles, but boy,

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Speaker 1: the Giants. Giants can keep this game closed. So if

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Speaker 1: if it goes to three and a half, I think

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Speaker 1: you gotta take the home team. Yeah yeah, Uh, the

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Speaker 1: Chicago Bears minus three at Miami. Let's test our principles

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Speaker 1: right now? Where is everyone going? Yeah, you're not getting

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Speaker 1: uh sharp guys and the public both on the same

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Speaker 1: side on this one, both on both on the Bears,

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Speaker 1: and uh, we kind of like them or ourselves. We

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Speaker 1: thought we were more on the high side than the

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Speaker 1: low side going We didn't want to go more than

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Speaker 1: a field goal on the road with the Bears. But

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Speaker 1: we we opened three. We're up to three minus twenty,

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Speaker 1: very close to going to three and a half. I

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Speaker 1: know that some places actually open two and a half. So,

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Speaker 1: like I said, I thought we were on the high

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Speaker 1: side on this one. But it turns out We're gonna

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Speaker 1: be big Dolphin fans, both the sharp guys and the

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Speaker 1: public publics on this game at a clip of about

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Speaker 1: six to one. So uh really no uh no love

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Speaker 1: for the Dolphins, and uh, you know you can kind

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Speaker 1: of kind of understand why. But these are kind of

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Speaker 1: the games, like I said, short road favorites, these are

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Speaker 1: the kind of weeks we either have real big weeks

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Speaker 1: or we get crushed and there's like nothing in between.

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Speaker 1: I feel like this game gets to three and a

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Speaker 1: half and you kind of gotta you might get some

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Speaker 1: sharp action on the other side at three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I think there's value on the Dolphins at home. Uh.

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Speaker 1: You know, I know there's probably not a whole lot

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Speaker 1: of reason to get excited about Miami. I think last

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Speaker 1: week I said they were one of the worst three

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Speaker 1: win teams in the in the NFL. Uh so uh

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Speaker 1: and then last week watching them blow that seventeen nothing

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Speaker 1: lead against Cincinnati in a blink, Um, you know, it

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Speaker 1: doesn't give you a whole lot of confidence in them.

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Speaker 1: So uh but uh, I think the Bears are coming

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Speaker 1: off of by a week, so I could understand the

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Speaker 1: move on the on the Bears, but I think like

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Speaker 1: you said, plus three at home, and especially if you

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Speaker 1: get three and a half, probably a little more value

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Speaker 1: on the the Dolphins. Do you know what I'm gonna do?

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Speaker 1: In the Action Network app, you can set alerts for

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Speaker 1: UH line watching, and I'm going to send alert to

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Speaker 1: get the Dolphins plus three and a half? Wow? What

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Speaker 1: I do next game? And then and then you just

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Speaker 1: automatically beat them? Right? I think I would. I think

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Speaker 1: it's automatically bet them at three. Yeah, I think I would.

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Speaker 1: I mean, how could I not. I'm getting the hook,

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Speaker 1: as they say in the biz, I'm getting the hook.

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Speaker 1: Mm hm. Why do you think they call the half

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Speaker 1: point the hook? Is it like because you're hooking in betters?

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I got to look that one up.

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Speaker 1: That goes way back, doesn't it? It does the hook?

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Speaker 1: You got the hook, especially if you if you if

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Speaker 1: you lay three and a half and they win by three,

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Speaker 1: you got hooked. Well there you go. Hey. Maybe it

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Speaker 1: was something that Bob Martin, one of our Sports Betting

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Speaker 1: Hall of Famers um, one of the original bookmakers. Maybe

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Speaker 1: maybe he thought of that phrase. Ye remember when we

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Speaker 1: did the Sports Bidding Hall of Fame and I wanted

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Speaker 1: to put Phil Nicholson in and like you were afraid

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Speaker 1: to say his name because like it was almost like

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Speaker 1: he was Boldemort, And for some reason you decided that

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Speaker 1: was that was taking it too far, like saying Phil

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Speaker 1: Mickelson wasn't known better? Like that was that was something

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Speaker 1: that made you scared. Yeah I did. I don't. I

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Speaker 1: don't know why. I let I'll let you bring him in.

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Speaker 1: It's like it's like like six months later, you still

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Speaker 1: don't want to talk about it. It's like, what is

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Speaker 1: this guy had on you? All Right, it's good? This

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Speaker 1: is the game. I thought, this is the game I

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Speaker 1: bet because I wanted to get the best of the

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Speaker 1: number Cincinnati minus two and a half against Pittsburgh in Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: I bet the Bengals a two and a half. I can.

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Speaker 1: And you think this is going to go to three.

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Speaker 1: Obviously you wanted to You wanted to get it before

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Speaker 1: it goes to three. I think you could. Yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 1: I'm seeing it seems to me like the money in

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Speaker 1: the bets are coming in on Pittsburgh right now, which

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Speaker 1: is surprising to me. Um, but this isn't a very

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Speaker 1: good team and the Bengals are a little bit hotter

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Speaker 1: and if they're not getting the money, then bully for me.

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Speaker 1: I'm on the right side, I think. Yeah. So so

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Speaker 1: this is one that I think when the sharp guys

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Speaker 1: do come in, they'll come in on the Bengals. But

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Speaker 1: I haven't seen it yet, and the public is on

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Speaker 1: the Steelers, so this game could kind of creep down.

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Speaker 1: I think if it was going to go to three,

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Speaker 1: I think it already would have went. Um. You know,

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Speaker 1: we do get those moves a half hour before game

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Speaker 1: time that those are the real, the real strong steam moves. Uh.

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Speaker 1: When you see something move right before game time, it's

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Speaker 1: usually the right side, so you know, the late moves

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Speaker 1: the correct move, as they say, bringing back a scooch

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Speaker 1: is um yeah yeah, but you know the Steelers Finally,

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Speaker 1: I think the Steelers played probably their best game uh

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Speaker 1: last week. Uh. I was a little surprised at how

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Speaker 1: well they played. I thought after the first three games,

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Speaker 1: looking at who they played and how they played, they

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Speaker 1: had a lot of problems. But it looked like they

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Speaker 1: kind of solved all their offensive issues and defensive issues

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Speaker 1: last week and I think put together one of their

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Speaker 1: best games. So uh, certainly the public is gonna remember that,

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Speaker 1: and the public loves to like to They love to

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Speaker 1: bet on the Steelers when they're good. So uh, they

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Speaker 1: gave him a reason to bet them this this week.

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Speaker 1: That everything you're saying gives me no confidence in my

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Speaker 1: bet on the Bengals thinking on them, sharp guy here, Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: you know, so you know you look, you look at

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Speaker 1: how the Bengals came back in that game against Miami,

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Speaker 1: and it gives you a little confidence. But getting down

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Speaker 1: seventeen and nothing early doesn't you know, it doesn't really

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Speaker 1: bolster any good, good feelings about putting your money on them. Okay, well,

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Speaker 1: especially against the Steelers who may have find only gotten

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Speaker 1: there their mojo back. Don't be against me when I've

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Speaker 1: got a short home favorite. Okay, I gotta go with

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Speaker 1: my gut, all right, you got you gotta bet the number.

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00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:11,120
Speaker 1: Sometimes you don't even look at the teams. You bet

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Speaker 1: the number. That's what I do. I have principles and

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00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:15,199
Speaker 1: I have theories, and I don't even look at the teams.

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Speaker 1: The first thing I do, I've said this many times.

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Speaker 1: The first thing I do as I look at the number.

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Speaker 1: Second thing I do is look at the market. Third

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Speaker 1: thing I do is see if any sort of the

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Speaker 1: metrics and stats are buoying my um foundational principles. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and if it works of the time, you're good, damn straight.

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Speaker 1: Here's a game I did bet you're ready yea, And

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Speaker 1: I bet it New England minus three before it moved

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Speaker 1: to three and a half because I got the best

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Speaker 1: of the number. Someone in the bookmaking community his name,

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00:14:57,080 --> 00:14:59,080
Speaker 1: his name may or may not be abob Scucci once

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00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:02,520
Speaker 1: said to me, nobody gets rich betting against Bill Belichick.

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Speaker 1: I amended that to nobody gets rich betting against Bill

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Speaker 1: Belichick when he's less than a touchdown favorite at home.

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Speaker 1: That theory has served me well. I'm going with the

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Speaker 1: Patriots minus three. I tried to be as high as

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00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:22,280
Speaker 1: I could could be on this game, so um I

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Speaker 1: I thought at three that they would take the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: but I went I went to three minus twenty on

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Speaker 1: the Patriots. Got a little bit of money on the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: and uh, I went to three and a half pretty

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Speaker 1: quickly off of just a few thousand dollars, and uh

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Speaker 1: it's been all Chiefs since then, but mostly from from

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Speaker 1: public money, which is okay. I expect the public to

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Speaker 1: come in on the Chiefs on this one. At a

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Speaker 1: rate of about two to one only because they feel

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Speaker 1: like the Chiefs are statistically the best team in the

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Speaker 1: in the a f C. And uh, but you gotta

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Speaker 1: take gotta throw those first couple of games out on

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Speaker 1: the Patriots. And this is you know, before the season started,

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Speaker 1: what would the line have been. Uh, you know, the

283
00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:09,840
Speaker 1: Patriots may have been four or four and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorites. And then we saw the big adjustment to

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs after they win their first four games, and

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Speaker 1: we saw a little adjustment down on the Patriots. And

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Speaker 1: now we're kind of creeping back up. So if there

288
00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,560
Speaker 1: is value on this game, I agree with you that

289
00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:27,520
Speaker 1: it's on the Patriots. And normally you don't lay three

290
00:16:27,560 --> 00:16:30,360
Speaker 1: and a half. But uh, I like the Patriots and

291
00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:33,400
Speaker 1: this one also love it. I love it at three.

292
00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:35,680
Speaker 1: I don't need to worry about laying three and a half.

293
00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:40,560
Speaker 1: You didn't Yeah, you didn't get hooked. No, no, Sewie Scooch.

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Speaker 1: Let's take a break and talk about one of your

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Speaker 1: favorite things, horse racing. Keenland is an idyllic horse racing

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Speaker 1: track right in the heart of thoroughbred country in Lexington, Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: They're referred to you as racing as it was meant

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Speaker 1: to be. I think what Augusta is to golf, Wimbledon

299
00:16:57,320 --> 00:17:00,800
Speaker 1: is the tennis. Keenland is the horse racing. Their fall

300
00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:03,840
Speaker 1: meat is underway and they have already awarded nine spots

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Speaker 1: in the Breeders Cup after opening weekend through their stakes

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00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:10,800
Speaker 1: races on the Breeders Cup Challenge Series. The final win

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00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:14,960
Speaker 1: and you're in for Breeders Cup is Wednesday, October today

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00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:19,360
Speaker 1: at Keeneland. Keenland offers high quality racing with big pools

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00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:23,080
Speaker 1: and full fields for betters. For insights and analysis on

306
00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:26,000
Speaker 1: who to bet on, you can follow at that Keenland

307
00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:29,520
Speaker 1: on Twitter for on demand content on Keenland racing from

308
00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:34,520
Speaker 1: expert handicapper Jeremy Plunk. You can watch Keenland's racing from

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00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:38,160
Speaker 1: any location and bet directly from your phone with Keenland

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Speaker 1: select their online betting platform Scooch, let's get back to

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Speaker 1: her brother next up. I think this game is in London.

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00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:52,320
Speaker 1: I um, Seattle at Oakland? Is that where it is?

313
00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:58,159
Speaker 1: It is? Isn't it Cheerio? So it's it's considered a

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Speaker 1: home game for the Raiders. Uh uh. The Seahawks are

315
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Speaker 1: three point favorites. I guess it's a neutral field. I

316
00:18:03,760 --> 00:18:06,600
Speaker 1: guess what you're saying to me is that Seattle is, uh,

317
00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:08,800
Speaker 1: you know, the better team than the Oakland Raiders, which

318
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:13,159
Speaker 1: not surprising. I have no opinion on this game. Yeah,

319
00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:18,960
Speaker 1: it's a trash game. Let's not talk. Has anybody done

320
00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,640
Speaker 1: anything with move on? Has anyone done anything with it?

321
00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:24,200
Speaker 1: It's one. This is one of the lowest bet games

322
00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:28,240
Speaker 1: on the board. There isn't even a big bet that

323
00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:33,400
Speaker 1: that I see on this game. The Raiders, their their

324
00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:37,520
Speaker 1: power rankings just keep dropping week after week. Their their

325
00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:41,440
Speaker 1: offense and Derek carrs just it seems like a completely

326
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Speaker 1: different offense than the last couple of years. And uh

327
00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:48,560
Speaker 1: and Seattle put together, I mean, you know, loosen tone.

328
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:51,520
Speaker 1: But to the Rams by only two um isn't a

329
00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:54,600
Speaker 1: bad loss for Seattle. So I expect the money to

330
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:59,960
Speaker 1: come in on Seattle. This is where again my principal

331
00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:03,760
Speaker 1: are tested. The New York Jets two and a half

332
00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:10,320
Speaker 1: point favorites at home against the Indianapolis Colts. Yeah, boy,

333
00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:12,720
Speaker 1: you got to just lay the favorite this one, right,

334
00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:15,320
Speaker 1: really do right? You got to close your Yeah, you

335
00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:17,359
Speaker 1: gotta close your eyes and just lay the favorite on

336
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:21,879
Speaker 1: this one. Um, I'm surprised. Is that the right thing

337
00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:23,680
Speaker 1: to do? Like, if you're telling me that's what I

338
00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:31,200
Speaker 1: should do, I would make the bet right now. I'm

339
00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:33,800
Speaker 1: not there's certain there are certain teams that that I

340
00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:36,480
Speaker 1: that I can't do it with. Um. I'm not a

341
00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:39,000
Speaker 1: d sold on the Jets. And I'm not just gonna

342
00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,680
Speaker 1: look at how well they played against the Broncos last

343
00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:45,400
Speaker 1: week to say, Okay, the Jets are really that good. Um,

344
00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:49,600
Speaker 1: I just think it's situationally. Last week Denver was probably

345
00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:52,880
Speaker 1: a little down, uh from from the week before, where

346
00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:54,760
Speaker 1: a game that they felt that they should have won

347
00:19:54,800 --> 00:19:59,560
Speaker 1: against the Chiefs. And UM, I'm just not completely sold

348
00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:01,600
Speaker 1: on on the Jets. And I was pretty high on

349
00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:05,760
Speaker 1: this Colts team. Uh, and Andrew Luck and the way

350
00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:09,520
Speaker 1: he's been able to get this team back when they're down,

351
00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:16,120
Speaker 1: the Jets are probably you know, I I would probably

352
00:20:16,760 --> 00:20:19,400
Speaker 1: say that the Cults are the better team. And uh,

353
00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:22,280
Speaker 1: that's so if they're getting two and a half, I

354
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:27,000
Speaker 1: just wouldn't bet it, but I would leave Colts. I'm

355
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 1: not betting it the next game, however, the next game,

356
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:36,720
Speaker 1: the Los Angeles Chargers at the Cleveland Browns. One of

357
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:40,280
Speaker 1: the things I pride myself on as a sharp as

358
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:44,840
Speaker 1: a wise guy is knowing when to get off a team.

359
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:49,480
Speaker 1: So like for me, I knew sort of the steam

360
00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:52,120
Speaker 1: had run out on the Colts right, I just wasn't

361
00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:56,439
Speaker 1: feeling it anymore. UM. I felt like the Cardinals were

362
00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:57,960
Speaker 1: a team where there was still a lot of value,

363
00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:00,360
Speaker 1: and I have won on them three weekends, and we'll

364
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,879
Speaker 1: get to them. The Browns are one of those teams

365
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,959
Speaker 1: where I just knew last weekend they were the right

366
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:13,040
Speaker 1: side against against um, I already Baltimore at home Baltimore.

367
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:19,040
Speaker 1: The Chargers, to me, they're a team that I think

368
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:23,679
Speaker 1: is getting better, and I think that I think the

369
00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 1: Browns like had the right defense against the right team

370
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:30,919
Speaker 1: last week, a one dimensional Ravens offense. The Chargers are

371
00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:35,640
Speaker 1: not one dimensional, and so this is a bigger challenge.

372
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 1: Like it's harder for me to bet on the short

373
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:44,560
Speaker 1: home dog here. I think I agree with you. We

374
00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:47,040
Speaker 1: were trying to put ourselves in a position where we

375
00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:51,080
Speaker 1: would need the Chargers in this one. The publics are

376
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,480
Speaker 1: already on the Chargers at about a two to one clip,

377
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:56,240
Speaker 1: and I don't think the Browns win last week was

378
00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 1: enough to really kind of persuade any of the betters

379
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:03,440
Speaker 1: to suddenly bat Leland. So, um, we know we want

380
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:06,080
Speaker 1: to be pretty aggressive if they start coming in on

381
00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 1: on the Chargers here. Um, we're at minus one now. Uh,

382
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:12,520
Speaker 1: it's kind of the line that can go to two

383
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:14,840
Speaker 1: two and a half without without a whole lot of

384
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:18,879
Speaker 1: money on it. So uh, we're probably gonna move this

385
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:21,880
Speaker 1: pretty pretty aggressively. And and I agree with you if

386
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 1: if you had to put a gun to my head

387
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 1: pick aside. I'm going with the Chargers in this one.

388
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,639
Speaker 1: I'm so tempted to play it right now so I

389
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:32,960
Speaker 1: can get the best of the number. Um, I don't

390
00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 1: think so. There's not a whole lot of difference if

391
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:38,720
Speaker 1: the line goes down to pick. Uh, not a whole

392
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:40,440
Speaker 1: lot of difference. And you know, there's not a whole

393
00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:43,639
Speaker 1: lot of value that you're missing out on. It's not

394
00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:45,320
Speaker 1: going to move that much where you're gonna get a

395
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:47,680
Speaker 1: bad number. So if you like the Chargers, minus one

396
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:53,320
Speaker 1: isn't a bad number, That's what I mean. Yeah, I'd

397
00:22:53,400 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 1: lay it. I think I'm gonna yep, I'm gonna do it.

398
00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:02,919
Speaker 1: I like this chart. I like this charge you please.

399
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:10,720
Speaker 1: Chad is making a bet allegedly you like that. Huh,

400
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:14,920
Speaker 1: you caught me off guard. It's early in that one.

401
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 1: That one woke me up in a hurry. That was fun.

402
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 1: I'm doing it. I may or may not be doing it, allegedly.

403
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 1: Bring it up. What's the next game on the board?

404
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 1: Was that Atlanta? I don't know, because I don't know

405
00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:36,280
Speaker 1: what I don't know what order. You're going may be

406
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:38,200
Speaker 1: looking at a different screen, so I may or may

407
00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:43,320
Speaker 1: not know. Uh, Tampa Bay at Atlanta Falcons three and

408
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:47,439
Speaker 1: a half. Here's the thing. I think that's the perfectly

409
00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:49,360
Speaker 1: right number. I don't think there's an advantage on either

410
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:53,639
Speaker 1: side there. Um, sharp guys are taking the three and

411
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:56,000
Speaker 1: a half and I could see this line coming down

412
00:23:56,080 --> 00:24:00,119
Speaker 1: to three by game time. But this is another are

413
00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 1: short um home favorite that I think, Uh, I think

414
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:09,199
Speaker 1: I would lay. I favored the Falcons in this one.

415
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 1: I tried to be a little bit high and invite

416
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 1: a little Tampa Bay money on this one. Um. You know,

417
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 1: I like this Falcons team. You know, you look at

418
00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:21,920
Speaker 1: their record, you look at their losses, and like I said,

419
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 1: you know, last week, I thought it was kind of

420
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,640
Speaker 1: a key game for them that I thought that they

421
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 1: would have beaten Pittsburgh or at least kept that game close,

422
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:34,240
Speaker 1: but they just got dominated. I think they rebound, and uh,

423
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 1: you know, a divisional game like this one, I think

424
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:40,840
Speaker 1: they're going to be up for and you know, it's

425
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:42,760
Speaker 1: tough to lay the three and a half. I'd much

426
00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:45,679
Speaker 1: rather lay three. But that's why I'm high, because I

427
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,240
Speaker 1: do like them, and I'm inviting a little Tampa Bay money.

428
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:51,879
Speaker 1: I don't like it one bit to pass from me.

429
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:55,200
Speaker 1: I don't trust you. There are these teams. I'll tell

430
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:58,160
Speaker 1: you what though. Yeah, I'll tell you what is next game.

431
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,920
Speaker 1: Here's thing I wrote in the Millman Red Zone Diaries,

432
00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:04,000
Speaker 1: which you can read on Action network dot com or

433
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:07,720
Speaker 1: download the app and read there. I wrote that my

434
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:11,600
Speaker 1: challenge next week is going to be if Minnesota beats Philadelphia,

435
00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:15,679
Speaker 1: They're gonna be huge favorites against the Cardinals, and I

436
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:19,680
Speaker 1: am going to have to make a decision. Do I

437
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:23,120
Speaker 1: get greedy and ride the Cardinals for one more week

438
00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 1: as huge underdogs, or do I think I've gotten the

439
00:25:26,840 --> 00:25:28,600
Speaker 1: best of what I can get out of them, and

440
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:31,120
Speaker 1: like I'm asking for too much to have them cover

441
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:34,119
Speaker 1: a big number against a team that is probably starting

442
00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:38,639
Speaker 1: to feel a little bit better about itself. Yeah, we

443
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 1: had no problems making this line as high as we did.

444
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:43,920
Speaker 1: And uh, and I can see it going up. So

445
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:47,199
Speaker 1: anyone that that's gonna bet the Vikings might want to

446
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,480
Speaker 1: do it now because this line is this line, I

447
00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:53,520
Speaker 1: might even move it. Might even move it today. Um

448
00:25:53,760 --> 00:26:05,160
Speaker 1: wait the line change? Should we do it? Wow? Really

449
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 1: with us this morning? That was great? Didn't Was it

450
00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:17,760
Speaker 1: wasted effort? Did you actually? I went to eleven? I'm

451
00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:20,120
Speaker 1: at eleven now you just turned it up to eleven?

452
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 1: That's my that's my what do you call it? What

453
00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:29,360
Speaker 1: do you call that? Spinal tap? Why keep it when

454
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 1: you can turn it up to eleven? There you go.

455
00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 1: We we have more. We have the least amount of

456
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:38,960
Speaker 1: bets on the Cardinals, uh, for any game on the board,

457
00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 1: with the exception of the Bills Texans because we don't

458
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:44,399
Speaker 1: have a line on it. But there's the least amount

459
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,240
Speaker 1: of bets. The Cardinals have the least bets of any

460
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:51,679
Speaker 1: team on the board for us, So might as well

461
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 1: go to eleven now? Uh, maybe take a couple of

462
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,680
Speaker 1: sharp bets from you know, maybe some of that is

463
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:00,640
Speaker 1: trying to middle a game or get a good number, Um,

464
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 1: but public is all on the Vikings. Wow, you did

465
00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:10,080
Speaker 1: that just now? I did? Well. I guess what I

466
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:15,960
Speaker 1: just did? What you bet plus eleven? Chat? I didn't.

467
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 1: I didn't. I didn't do it. I didn't do it.

468
00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:22,200
Speaker 1: I didn't do it. But I may maybe I may

469
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 1: have bet. The Chargers have done everything that I don't

470
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:28,679
Speaker 1: believe in, which is bet against Baker Mayfield and bet

471
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:36,399
Speaker 1: on a uh bet against a home dog. Right another game. God,

472
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,639
Speaker 1: it's like every week. It's so complicating in the NFL

473
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:44,320
Speaker 1: because week tweek teams do things that get in your head.

474
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:48,239
Speaker 1: Josh Allen is a horrible quarterback. He threw eighty two

475
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 1: yards last week. Yet somehow the Bills won that game.

476
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:53,400
Speaker 1: They go on the road to the Texans, who are

477
00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 1: looking at and they're favored by eight and a half.

478
00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:57,920
Speaker 1: That's too big of a number for me. But I

479
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 1: don't trust built like the buffalo of Bills on the road. Yeah, wise,

480
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:13,040
Speaker 1: guys coming into the bed. Well mostly most most places

481
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:17,479
Speaker 1: have this game off the board. UM. Still waiting on

482
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:22,120
Speaker 1: the status of Deshaun Watson on this one. So this

483
00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:25,600
Speaker 1: line you could see a difference of I've seen as

484
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 1: high as ten early in the week. Uh, I could

485
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:32,679
Speaker 1: see this line as low as six five right in

486
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:34,840
Speaker 1: that neighborhood. So we we just need a little more

487
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:38,320
Speaker 1: information on whether he's going to be playing Washington minus

488
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:42,680
Speaker 1: one in over Carolina. Oh boy, oh boy, oh boy,

489
00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 1: oh gosh. Scooch scooch, scoog scog. I might have take

490
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:54,520
Speaker 1: the redskins. You have to have. You have to. I mean,

491
00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:56,760
Speaker 1: they're they're they're not even laying a field goal at home.

492
00:28:56,800 --> 00:29:02,000
Speaker 1: They're laying one, uh, coming off the loss. But they're

493
00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:08,200
Speaker 1: at home. The Panthers just struggled against the Giants. Now

494
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:12,120
Speaker 1: the Panthers are on the road. Uh, you just have

495
00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 1: to lay the redskins if you're if you have any

496
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:17,160
Speaker 1: principles whatsoever, you got to just lay the one. Not

497
00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 1: look back. Yeah. But here's the thing. I have principles,

498
00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:26,080
Speaker 1: and I just bet against them because I bet the Chargers.

499
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 1: I'm allegedly making just so everybody in the room knows

500
00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 1: your attention, Please, Chad is making a bet allegedly Like yeah,

501
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:48,720
Speaker 1: I love it. I got to yeah, you know. So,

502
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 1: So the public is going to be all over the

503
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 1: Panthers in this one, probably at about five to one

504
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 1: clip or ratio, and uh, I haven't seen any sharp

505
00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:02,080
Speaker 1: money on this one yet. Uh. I don't think they

506
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:07,000
Speaker 1: know what to do with this one yet either. Really. No,

507
00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:11,920
Speaker 1: not a whole lot of movement. Well, I just bet it?

508
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:23,360
Speaker 1: Did that move it? Yeah? Is that? Yeah? Okay? Yeah, okay,

509
00:30:24,040 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 1: you said that like that was the most authentic thing

510
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 1: I think you've ever said to me. Yeah, okay, sure, buddy.

511
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:35,040
Speaker 1: My move isn't pinging around the world right now and

512
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:39,920
Speaker 1: making sports books change this number. No, not in the least.

513
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 1: What about the next game? What if? What if? Allegedly

514
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:46,400
Speaker 1: I would have bet the Denver Broncos at plus seven

515
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:51,360
Speaker 1: against the Los Angeles Rams. Yeah, next to next to

516
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:54,760
Speaker 1: the Bears. The Broncos have attracted the most wise guy

517
00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:57,640
Speaker 1: money on the board for us. UM. We opened the

518
00:30:57,640 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 1: game seven and a half, We went down the seven

519
00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:02,840
Speaker 1: minus money. They took the Broncos again at plus seven

520
00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:07,240
Speaker 1: even money. We're at seven flat now, and uh, this

521
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:09,720
Speaker 1: is similar to last week's game. We talked a little

522
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:12,200
Speaker 1: bit about it the Rams. Last week, we're seven and

523
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:15,560
Speaker 1: a half against Seattle at one point six and a half.

524
00:31:15,560 --> 00:31:18,440
Speaker 1: It went down to uh kind of bounced back and forth,

525
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:21,480
Speaker 1: and the public was all over the Rams last week,

526
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,680
Speaker 1: and even even with them not covering last week, they're

527
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:28,760
Speaker 1: they're gonna be on him again. Here. Uh, I don't

528
00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 1: mind needing the Broncos plus that many points. I think

529
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 1: the value was all on the Broncos here. Uh, you

530
00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 1: just you have to take uh, you have to take

531
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:40,000
Speaker 1: the home team getting seven points. I don't care who

532
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:42,720
Speaker 1: they're playing, so they're playing the best team in the

533
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 1: the NFC. But you have to just take the seven points.

534
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 1: You know what, you know what what I'm doing it.

535
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:59,720
Speaker 1: There you go, your attention. Chad is making a bet

536
00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 1: allegedly allegedly. That's great, I've allegedly done it. Yea, I

537
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 1: am having an action Jackson morning. I'll tell you these

538
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 1: are principal plays except for the Chargers. Yeah, that's the

539
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 1: only one. You know what the Chargers is though. That's

540
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:32,040
Speaker 1: a smart play. That's like, let me just being smart.

541
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 1: I'm I in that Cardinals game. I may get there. Well,

542
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 1: you got the best line in town right here at

543
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:43,800
Speaker 1: our place. Let me have the Cardinals. Let me hop

544
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 1: on my private jet and get to Vegas immediately and

545
00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 1: hope that you don't move the number in the next

546
00:32:48,560 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 1: seven hours. Right, Baltimore Ravens. No, no, no, let me

547
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:57,920
Speaker 1: move on Baltimore Ravens, because you were just gonna say something. Mean,

548
00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 1: you're gonna say something to me. Baltimore Ravens minus three

549
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:07,960
Speaker 1: at Tennessee, God, why do why do you guys all

550
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 1: have to challenge my principle so much? Yeah, you said

551
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 1: it at the top of the podcast that this week

552
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:19,040
Speaker 1: will test every principle you have because there because they

553
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 1: don't pass the eye test. You know, you're getting three

554
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:24,840
Speaker 1: points at home with the Titans. You have to you

555
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:27,960
Speaker 1: have to take the Titaness. There's no reason for a

556
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,400
Speaker 1: sharp better to be laying three with with the Ravens

557
00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 1: on the road. Um, but it's this one just takes

558
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 1: a lot. You watch the Titans play and you know

559
00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:42,160
Speaker 1: they're they're not very consistent, uh that they don't and

560
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:45,200
Speaker 1: still a whole lot of confidence in you. But you

561
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 1: are getting the three points. I think you just take

562
00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:49,960
Speaker 1: it here, uh and then just kind of say, hey,

563
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 1: if the Browns can beat the Ravens, then why can't

564
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 1: the Titans at home? All Right, Well, let's let's pair

565
00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 1: these two games. Let's pair the Ravens and the Titans

566
00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:03,040
Speaker 1: and the Jags and the Cowboys because the Jags are

567
00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:07,640
Speaker 1: three point favorites over the Cowboys at home. Yeah. Same

568
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:12,120
Speaker 1: same theory too, Same same theory there. I don't mind

569
00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:15,360
Speaker 1: needing the Cowboys in this one. Um. The publics on

570
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:18,440
Speaker 1: the Jaguars, even though they didn't look great last week,

571
00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,520
Speaker 1: publics on the Jaguars. The sharp guys didn't really weigh

572
00:34:21,600 --> 00:34:25,640
Speaker 1: in on this one yet. UM on the on the

573
00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:28,480
Speaker 1: Jaguars Cowboys haven't seen a whole lot of sharp action.

574
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:32,040
Speaker 1: Most of it's just public money on the Jags. Um.

575
00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:36,399
Speaker 1: But I just I favored the favorite of the Cowboys here.

576
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:41,719
Speaker 1: I don't mind needing the home dog. What games do

577
00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:45,759
Speaker 1: you think I should talk about in Sports Center on Sunday, Well,

578
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 1: definitely the Rams Broncos. That to me, that's one of

579
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:52,000
Speaker 1: the most interesting ones. Well, the Chiefs Patriots is the

580
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:54,480
Speaker 1: big one, and definitely talking about those, all right, So

581
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:57,080
Speaker 1: I should talk Rams Broncos, in which I will say

582
00:34:57,440 --> 00:35:00,520
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Broncos. I should talk Patriot Chiefs, in

583
00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:02,960
Speaker 1: which I will say I'm taking the Patriots. And then

584
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:06,319
Speaker 1: do I go like be bold and say that I'm

585
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:09,440
Speaker 1: taking the Cowboys like against the Jags, Like it's the

586
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 1: perfect time, You're never going to get better value on

587
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 1: the Cowboys, like this is the game they need. This

588
00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:19,800
Speaker 1: is sort of the gut check moment where am I crazy?

589
00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,719
Speaker 1: I don't think you're crazy. Um, I don't know that.

590
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:28,440
Speaker 1: That's the third most interesting game on them, an interesting scooch.

591
00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 1: I want to freaking win. I don't want to be

592
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:40,080
Speaker 1: a loser. You want winners. Yeah. By the way, the

593
00:35:40,120 --> 00:35:42,919
Speaker 1: Monday night game is Green Bay San Francisco. Green Bay's

594
00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:45,200
Speaker 1: and nine and a half point favorite. This game's dog

595
00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:49,879
Speaker 1: trash because like one legged Aaron Rodgers. It's like it's

596
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:52,400
Speaker 1: like an s a t question is a one legged

597
00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:54,800
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers? And acclaim Matthews who's afraid to rush the

598
00:35:54,880 --> 00:36:05,320
Speaker 1: quarterback better then a guy named CJ. Bethard mhmm yeah,

599
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:07,960
Speaker 1: even with c. J. Beth You know, nine and a

600
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 1: half points again, you almost have to just take the

601
00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:16,279
Speaker 1: dog here. But I wouldn't feel great about it. We

602
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:19,319
Speaker 1: we felt that, you know, ten is that critical kind

603
00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 1: of tipping point. We didn't want to quite go that high.

604
00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 1: But by by game time the public might drive green

605
00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:31,400
Speaker 1: Bay up a little bit. But you know, it's not

606
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:35,160
Speaker 1: one I want to watch. I don't want to watch

607
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:37,960
Speaker 1: it either. I don't want to watch it. I'm not

608
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:44,520
Speaker 1: gonna watch it. Scooge we got um. You know you

609
00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 1: haven't given me a third game? Like? Do I take

610
00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:49,120
Speaker 1: the Chargers over the Browns? Do I go against the Green? Like?

611
00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:53,560
Speaker 1: What do I do here? I thought you were gonna

612
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:57,480
Speaker 1: take Arizona plus eleven on Sunday to talk about on

613
00:36:57,520 --> 00:37:01,200
Speaker 1: TV on Sunday morey Uh yeah, No, that's not good.

614
00:37:02,080 --> 00:37:03,800
Speaker 1: That's not good. I mean that's how I took Arizona

615
00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:10,319
Speaker 1: plus four to Cleveland plus three last week. How much

616
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:13,280
Speaker 1: do you like the Bengals? I do like the Bengals.

617
00:37:15,080 --> 00:37:16,960
Speaker 1: That might be a nice one to talk about. There's

618
00:37:16,960 --> 00:37:19,640
Speaker 1: a lot of Steeler fans out there you can take off. Dude,

619
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:22,880
Speaker 1: what part of this? Like? Are you not understanding? I

620
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:26,919
Speaker 1: am not interested like the broadest possible audience. I am

621
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:30,680
Speaker 1: interested in being right. It's scary to go on television

622
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:35,000
Speaker 1: and say I am taking this side. You want you

623
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:38,239
Speaker 1: want locks? I got it. I want a lock. I

624
00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:39,799
Speaker 1: want locks, and I don't mean the kind you put

625
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:47,160
Speaker 1: on a bagel. Yeah. I can't help you there. Well

626
00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 1: give me your scooch roulette, then I'll let you go

627
00:37:49,080 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 1: for guess what it's time to do. It's time to

628
00:37:52,080 --> 00:38:06,919
Speaker 1: play Scooch Roulette. I didn't see that, guy, I did not. Well,

629
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 1: you got them all? You hitting me with all of

630
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:14,000
Speaker 1: them today, three new ones. We are so ready. Yeah.

631
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:21,200
Speaker 1: I love the Patriots And uh no you didn't, Oh

632
00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:29,600
Speaker 1: no you was. I not supposed to go first? Yeah,

633
00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:31,919
Speaker 1: three and a half probably not the best number to lay,

634
00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:35,880
Speaker 1: but I don't think it all matter this This is

635
00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:38,480
Speaker 1: so far the most important game for the Patriots this

636
00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 1: year and they want to make a statement. All right.

637
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:48,239
Speaker 1: Am I going with the Chargers? Am I going with

638
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:52,480
Speaker 1: the Bengals? Am I going with the Broncos? Chargers, Bengals

639
00:38:52,520 --> 00:38:58,799
Speaker 1: or Broncos? Which team? Like? You know which team? If

640
00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:02,040
Speaker 1: my life is depending on it, who am I betting on? There?

641
00:39:02,200 --> 00:39:05,759
Speaker 1: Andy Dalton, case Keenum or Philip Rivers. If you boil

642
00:39:05,760 --> 00:39:08,400
Speaker 1: it down to that, who am I choosing? It's a

643
00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:17,319
Speaker 1: no brainer. You with Philip Rivers? Yeah? Tell me is

644
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:21,839
Speaker 1: go against everything you believe in. I'm not telling you

645
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:25,319
Speaker 1: anything because you are trying to pick a winner. That's it.

646
00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:28,920
Speaker 1: Far be it from me to try and persuade you

647
00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:33,520
Speaker 1: during Scooch Roulette. I gotta take off my glasses and

648
00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:36,640
Speaker 1: think for a minute. I need to rub my eyes.

649
00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:39,320
Speaker 1: Oh my god. It is like an S A T test.

650
00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:46,480
Speaker 1: I just keep thinking, like they're the right side. Who

651
00:39:46,520 --> 00:39:48,400
Speaker 1: do they play last weekend that they almost lost to?

652
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:52,239
Speaker 1: Who the Chargers try to play the Raiders? Raiders and

653
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:54,440
Speaker 1: they I think they beat him by ten. Yeah, but

654
00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:57,160
Speaker 1: it was close. It was back and forth. Yeah. No,

655
00:39:57,320 --> 00:40:00,200
Speaker 1: that was the Niners the week before. They'd be him

656
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:03,880
Speaker 1: by sixteen. That's right, Yeah, that was the Niners the

657
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,640
Speaker 1: week before. It was like back and forth. Forget everything

658
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:08,600
Speaker 1: I've ever written, ever said. I'm going with the Chargers.

659
00:40:08,719 --> 00:40:13,080
Speaker 1: Is road Favorites short road? He's he's hitting on a sixteen.

660
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:23,000
Speaker 1: Guess a five. I know what the dealer's got. Yeah,

661
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:28,480
Speaker 1: I know what Philip Rivers has. All right, truth be told?

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00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:34,000
Speaker 1: All right. Thank you for listening to the Favorites podcast

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00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 1: from the Action Network. I am Chad Milman. I was

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00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:40,239
Speaker 1: joined by a bookmaker to the world, Bob Scooci. You

665
00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:42,839
Speaker 1: can listen to us every Monday, Wednesday and Friday. We'll

666
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:45,600
Speaker 1: be back on Friday with black Jack Fletcher. We're gonna

667
00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:48,760
Speaker 1: choose five games to win one point four million dollars.

668
00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:53,360
Speaker 1: Subscribe rate and review at Apple Podcasts, or listen to

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00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 1: us on radio dot com. Join us on Friday. Thank you,

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00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:00,759
Speaker 1: UT