WEBVTT - US Payrolls Surprise With Surge

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg business Week Inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stinebec from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>You took a bit more about this job's report eight thirty.

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<v Speaker 1>I was pretty surprised. I was up there with Scarlett

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<v Speaker 1>Foo We're watching the numbers come through, and we were like,

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<v Speaker 1>what that's when you think this is a mistake. I

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<v Speaker 1>thought that's what it was like, wasn't it Maybe? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it was out of control, all right, So let's get

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<v Speaker 1>to it because this is you know, we we talked

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<v Speaker 1>with Zip recruiter too, and they are seeing a strong

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<v Speaker 1>job's report so and strong jobs market overall. So let's

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<v Speaker 1>see what Becky Frankoitz is seeing. She's chief commercial Officer,

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<v Speaker 1>President Manpower Group North America. She is back with us,

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<v Speaker 1>joining us via zoom from Chicago. Hey, Becky, good to

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<v Speaker 1>have you here with Tim and myself. So glass half full,

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<v Speaker 1>glass half empty when it comes to the jobs market

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<v Speaker 1>in your view, Yeah, I mean it was a blockbuster,

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<v Speaker 1>monstrous number this morning that I don't think anyone expected, Like,

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<v Speaker 1>we knew hospitality and leisure was coming back because our

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<v Speaker 1>real time data told us demand had dramatically increased. We

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<v Speaker 1>knew retail was coming back. But I don't know that

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<v Speaker 1>anybody would have said we'd have over half a million

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<v Speaker 1>jobs created in January. So I would say, always good

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<v Speaker 1>for the American worker. I mean, more jobs are good

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<v Speaker 1>for the American worker. I think the you know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>an economic signal that it becomes uncertain what's to come. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So was this at all a surprise to you, given

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<v Speaker 1>that you have such a good read on where the

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<v Speaker 1>economy is, what employers are looking for, what employees are

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<v Speaker 1>looking for. I mean again, you admitted that nobody saw

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<v Speaker 1>this coming, but um, did this hit you the same

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<v Speaker 1>way it hit kind of everyone else? Yeah? So again, Tim,

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<v Speaker 1>we knew hospital and leisure was coming, We knew retail

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<v Speaker 1>was coming. New health continues regis nurses are still the

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<v Speaker 1>most in demand job in our country, so we knew

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<v Speaker 1>all of that. I would have said it was we

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<v Speaker 1>saw demands start to come back in January, which you

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<v Speaker 1>know is unusual, right because usually seasonally we start to

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<v Speaker 1>see a reduction in headcount, particularly in retail as they

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<v Speaker 1>had just from the holiday season. But when we started

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<v Speaker 1>seeing that start to take off in the first couple

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<v Speaker 1>of weeks of January, we knew it was going to

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<v Speaker 1>be a positive, a very positive jobs report, and that

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<v Speaker 1>it was. You know, the most encouraging thing I'll tell

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<v Speaker 1>you is the participation. Just a little bit of tweak up,

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<v Speaker 1>but I'll take it because we need every person that

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<v Speaker 1>wants to contribute to the economy working. So I was

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<v Speaker 1>very pleased to see that, particularly for women. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>it was really funny. Becky Um Matt Miller came off

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<v Speaker 1>his show on radio at noon is like, wait, wait, Mass,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, pull up this chart, pull up this chart,

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<v Speaker 1>and it was not farm Rales, and it's like, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not supposed to see this kind of job creation

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<v Speaker 1>in January. Just what you were speaking to, right, Usually

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<v Speaker 1>that's when everybody from the holidays gets laid off. But

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<v Speaker 1>we started talking about this whole idea of labor hoarding

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<v Speaker 1>something Tim and I've been talking about a lot with

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<v Speaker 1>our guests. What signs are you seeing of that with

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<v Speaker 1>some of your clients and customers. Yeah, so, Carol, I'll

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<v Speaker 1>say it's gone beyond labor hoarding. Now I'm calling it

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic paranoia. Um, so this overhang from the tight, very

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<v Speaker 1>difficult labor market coming out of the crisis. Employers tried

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<v Speaker 1>very hard to attract and retain workers. It was challenging,

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<v Speaker 1>so they are holding on to their workforce with both hands.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's the first thing. The second thing is we

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<v Speaker 1>see all these headlines around layoffs, but if you put

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<v Speaker 1>it in perspective, in December nine robust economy jobs are growing,

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<v Speaker 1>layoffs for one of the workforce. December twenty nineteen, fast

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<v Speaker 1>forward December layoffs under one percent of the workforce. And

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<v Speaker 1>so even with the headlines, there's some rebalancing that's happening

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<v Speaker 1>for some overhiring, particularly in tech. But make no mistake,

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<v Speaker 1>tech unemployment right now in our country is one point

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<v Speaker 1>eight percent one point eight compared to three point four

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<v Speaker 1>so tech skills are still still in demand. How messy

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<v Speaker 1>is this report messy in the sense of the data

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<v Speaker 1>is going to be revised next month and it won't

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<v Speaker 1>be as big of a jump. Yeah. Well, the revisions

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<v Speaker 1>have all been upwards recently, so that's that was announced

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<v Speaker 1>this morning as well. Um, there's probably some noise tim

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<v Speaker 1>in it. I heard there's some noise around strikes, people

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<v Speaker 1>coming off strike, but it's gonna be hard to adjust

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<v Speaker 1>a half you know, million UM work job creation report

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<v Speaker 1>down too far. Even if it's adjusted, it's still going

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<v Speaker 1>to be a blockbuster report, way above what you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we we anticipated, and I think, um, it will be

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<v Speaker 1>interesting to see now if this is enough again to

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<v Speaker 1>bring workers off the sidelines, particularly in hospitality and leisure.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, another element of of you know, the pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>hangover is we're seeing companies start hiring in advance, in

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<v Speaker 1>advance of actually consumer activity, retail, hospitality and leisure getting

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<v Speaker 1>ready for spring, and then they have a problem because

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<v Speaker 1>they have to attract those workers that left boomerang workers

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<v Speaker 1>back into the sectors that shut down during the crisis.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think it's I think it's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a noisy path forward. Um. Possibly a little choppy waters,

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<v Speaker 1>but this is an amazing way to start the year.

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<v Speaker 1>One area that has gotten a lot of attention from

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<v Speaker 1>US and from a lot of the business press, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>has been tech layoffs. Over the last few months at

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<v Speaker 1>companies like Meta, thousands of people laid off their alphabet,

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<v Speaker 1>Amazon and more. UM, and I'm wondering if if those

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<v Speaker 1>are how how you look at those in the context

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<v Speaker 1>of of what you're actually seeing when you look at

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<v Speaker 1>the data. Uh. I know, we spent a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>time talking about them, but we don't yet see that

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<v Speaker 1>showing up in the data. Well, I mean, because it

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<v Speaker 1>pales in comparison to how much hiring happened in that sector.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's pandemic hiring. But are those people getting rehired

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<v Speaker 1>easily abs so? I mean again, tech unemployment is one percent,

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<v Speaker 1>so they are getting scooped up either by other you know,

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<v Speaker 1>midsized tech companies, and every company is now a digital

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<v Speaker 1>tech company. So we're seeing people with tech skills hired

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<v Speaker 1>in retail, hired in hospitals. I mean, every company these

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<v Speaker 1>those skills, so they're quickly being reabsorbed into the job market. Hey, Becky,

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<v Speaker 1>I do wonder though, if maybe we're starting to see

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<v Speaker 1>wage pressure subside a little bit. Is that making it

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<v Speaker 1>easier for companies who might not be so sure about

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<v Speaker 1>how the business market plays out this year that they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to say better still to kind of hold on

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<v Speaker 1>to that worker, even if it costs a little bit more. Yeah, So, Carol,

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<v Speaker 1>interesting on the cost a little bit more to hold

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<v Speaker 1>onto because you know, our data would show that if

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<v Speaker 1>you change jobs, and make note the quit rate has

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<v Speaker 1>not gone down in nineteen months below four million a

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<v Speaker 1>month nineteen months, So the American employee is continuing to

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<v Speaker 1>have confidence in their own skill and the labor market.

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<v Speaker 1>But it has been amazing to me to see the

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<v Speaker 1>confidence people having their ability to get pay. If you

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<v Speaker 1>change jobs in the last year, you got, on average,

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<v Speaker 1>and this is average blue collar, white collar, the whole

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<v Speaker 1>spectrument increase in your pay. If you state at your company,

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<v Speaker 1>you got on average a seven percent increase in pay.

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<v Speaker 1>So while we're seeing muting in the overall numbers, actually

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<v Speaker 1>says to Billy, I wouldn't call muting stability at point

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<v Speaker 1>three and overall wages. That we're still encouraging the labor markets,

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<v Speaker 1>encouraging people to change jobs. Is that unusual, that jump

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<v Speaker 1>and that difference. I mean, I would assume that if

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<v Speaker 1>you leave a job, you tend to typically get paid more.

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<v Speaker 1>Just got about twenty seconds. Yeah, what's unusual is the

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<v Speaker 1>fact that we're not saying any slowdown, even with all

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<v Speaker 1>of the coverage on concerns for the future economy, No

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<v Speaker 1>slow down in quits all right. Always great to check

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<v Speaker 1>in with you, Becky, have a great weekend. Becky francoit's

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<v Speaker 1>chief commercial Officer, President North America at Manpower Group, joining

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<v Speaker 1>us via a zoom from Chicago. Quit rate, she said, right,

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<v Speaker 1>hasn't come below four million, and I believe nineteen months. Incredible. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's interesting with the Jolts data earlier this week, right

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<v Speaker 1>shows the strength of the worker. Um, you are listening

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<v Speaker 1>in watching Bloomberg Business Week right here, I'm fry. This

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Business Week inside from the reporters and editors

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<v Speaker 1>who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus a

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<v Speaker 1>business finance and tech news Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with

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<v Speaker 1>Carol Messer and Tim Stinebec from Bloomberg Radio. Well, the

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<v Speaker 1>new ways too of Bloomberg Business Week. It is out

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<v Speaker 1>on newsstands online at Bloomberg dot com slash business Week.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, also on the Bloomberg terminal. We talked about

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<v Speaker 1>the domestic cover story yesterday. Well, the international cover story

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<v Speaker 1>is about the billionaire sun coming for w w E

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<v Speaker 1>The Billionaires. Shot Khan you may know him, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>is the owner of the National Football League's Jacksonville Jaguars

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<v Speaker 1>and the English Premier League's Fulham Football Club. The con

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<v Speaker 1>family is not worth, by the way, about seven point

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<v Speaker 1>six billion dollars. The Sun Tony KHN with more on

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<v Speaker 1>the story. Here's Bloomberg reporter Kimbasin. He's with us in

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. He's got a great beat.

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<v Speaker 1>He covers celebrity and athlete business deals. We also got

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<v Speaker 1>with us the editor of Business Week, Joel Webber, both

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<v Speaker 1>joining us here in New York. So Joel, um, My,

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<v Speaker 1>my big first question is wrestling real? All right? That

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<v Speaker 1>was gonna be my big questions. How about I improve

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<v Speaker 1>upon your questions? It is real, Kim? Is it a

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<v Speaker 1>pro sport? Is it? It's it's a It's a professional

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<v Speaker 1>form of entertainment. That's that's for sure. Like that. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>And and what I love about this it's actually a

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<v Speaker 1>huge it's called it Sports Rights business. Right. W w

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<v Speaker 1>E has owned this thing and has consolidated any passed

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<v Speaker 1>for uh, except there's a little bit of turmoil at

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<v Speaker 1>w w E. And along comes an upstart who happens

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<v Speaker 1>to have a little bit of money to throw around.

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<v Speaker 1>How is he competing with w w E. There are

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<v Speaker 1>billions in broadcast rights at stake here and w W

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<v Speaker 1>is going through one of its most volatile periods in history.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh Tony Khan's brand, it's called a e w All

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<v Speaker 1>Elite Wrestling. They're trying to provide fans with an alternatives,

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<v Speaker 1>something that not for lapsed fans who used to watch

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<v Speaker 1>wrestling and then got sick of w W. Give them

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<v Speaker 1>something more, something more, something fresh, something new, something else

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<v Speaker 1>to watch besides the same product that's been on the

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<v Speaker 1>on the air for so long. But part of that

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<v Speaker 1>includes bringing some of the people over from w W E.

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<v Speaker 1>So how is it fresh? How is it new? There's

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<v Speaker 1>been quite a bit of a talent war, so they're

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<v Speaker 1>they're hop scotching back and forth between these these two brands.

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<v Speaker 1>We have them sourcing from the indie scene as well.

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<v Speaker 1>These are like the much smaller little shows that happened.

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<v Speaker 1>There's thousands of wrestlers playing these tiny shows across the

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<v Speaker 1>country in places like you know, bingo halls and nightclubs.

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<v Speaker 1>Now that sounds cool, Yeah it is. I've been to

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of those. It is pretty cool. It's like

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of dozen people just watching, watching them wrestle

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<v Speaker 1>in the ring they set up there. Okay, is this

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<v Speaker 1>like the XFL going after the NFL that that one

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<v Speaker 1>didn't end? Well, I know by the way the new

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<v Speaker 1>XFL maybe they're working with the NFL. But now this

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<v Speaker 1>is uh the most well funded uh person to go

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<v Speaker 1>against w w E in twenty years. So back twenty

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<v Speaker 1>years ago, it was it was Ted Turner and w

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<v Speaker 1>c W the billionaire going against the other billionaire. Now

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<v Speaker 1>this guy, Tony con also has that kind of financial backing.

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<v Speaker 1>Courtesy of Dad courtesy a Dad curs courtesy a shot. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>you kind of dodge the question here. You've watched a lot.

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<v Speaker 1>Is it a sport that the cons version of this

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<v Speaker 1>elite wrestling? So if I'm gonna go watch all elite wrestling,

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<v Speaker 1>when am I gonna see? That's going to be different

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<v Speaker 1>than w w E. A few big things here, more swearing,

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<v Speaker 1>they will just curse on the microphone. Is more and

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<v Speaker 1>more PG, more blood. There's definitely more violence there, and

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<v Speaker 1>more folding chair shots like right in the back just

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<v Speaker 1>black boom out. These are these are? I mean? So

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<v Speaker 1>there's like actual uh wrestling there. There's definitely more wrestling.

0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:09.360
<v Speaker 1>I heard this anecdote from from one of Vince McMahon

0:12:09.360 --> 0:12:12.600
<v Speaker 1>at ww's former wrestlers. He went by Daniel Bryan there

0:12:12.840 --> 0:12:15.800
<v Speaker 1>and he said that Vince called him up one day

0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:17.920
<v Speaker 1>and was like, what is a E W doing better

0:12:17.960 --> 0:12:21.600
<v Speaker 1>than us? So he spent two weeks watching all the

0:12:21.640 --> 0:12:24.920
<v Speaker 1>a W programming to see what was up, and he

0:12:24.960 --> 0:12:28.360
<v Speaker 1>concluded that a W just has more wrestling. They played,

0:12:28.400 --> 0:12:31.480
<v Speaker 1>they placed more of an emphasis on like the craft

0:12:31.559 --> 0:12:34.920
<v Speaker 1>of the show in the ring. W W has more

0:12:35.240 --> 0:12:38.800
<v Speaker 1>different kinds of segments, a lot more talking. And he said,

0:12:38.960 --> 0:12:41.319
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's like watching a wrestling show with no wrestling.

0:12:42.040 --> 0:12:44.760
<v Speaker 1>How many hours of wrestling did you watch while reporting

0:12:44.760 --> 0:12:48.280
<v Speaker 1>this story? I went to two shows to watch them

0:12:48.400 --> 0:12:53.000
<v Speaker 1>live and backstage and everything. That was fascinating. Uh and yeah,

0:12:53.040 --> 0:12:54.480
<v Speaker 1>a little a little bit more, a little bit more.

0:12:55.280 --> 0:12:59.360
<v Speaker 1>Again he didn't answer, but is there an opportunity right

0:12:59.360 --> 0:13:02.280
<v Speaker 1>when we've seen this before in kind of the corporate world,

0:13:02.360 --> 0:13:04.640
<v Speaker 1>right when one company could be is the leader and

0:13:04.679 --> 0:13:07.400
<v Speaker 1>they run into some trouble, whether it's financial problems or

0:13:07.440 --> 0:13:12.199
<v Speaker 1>whether there's allegations against the CEO for misbehavior, UM and

0:13:12.400 --> 0:13:15.520
<v Speaker 1>w W E is at that point does that provide

0:13:15.679 --> 0:13:18.720
<v Speaker 1>especially since A e W has a pretty dp pockets,

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:22.440
<v Speaker 1>an opportunity, a real opportunity to move ahead. It says

0:13:22.520 --> 0:13:25.360
<v Speaker 1>there's an inflection point coming up. Both their media rights

0:13:25.360 --> 0:13:28.959
<v Speaker 1>are coming up next year or so, and these are

0:13:28.960 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 1>going to be the biggest deals ever for the both

0:13:31.679 --> 0:13:34.160
<v Speaker 1>of them. So a bunch of names are being floated

0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:37.400
<v Speaker 1>right now. The battle lines are are WW is with

0:13:37.520 --> 0:13:40.520
<v Speaker 1>NBC Universal, which is on my Comcast, and then the

0:13:40.800 --> 0:13:42.440
<v Speaker 1>A e W is with Turner, which is owned by

0:13:42.520 --> 0:13:46.760
<v Speaker 1>Warner Brothers Discovery. Uh. But then when when these rights

0:13:46.760 --> 0:13:50.200
<v Speaker 1>are up forbidding, that brings in everyone else. We're talking

0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:52.839
<v Speaker 1>you know, Amazon, Netflix, We'll see who's really interested in

0:13:53.080 --> 0:13:56.439
<v Speaker 1>some wrestling programs. And that is ultimately I think one

0:13:56.440 --> 0:13:58.800
<v Speaker 1>of the reason big reasons why I was interested in

0:13:58.840 --> 0:14:01.959
<v Speaker 1>this want to put on international cover is we are

0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:04.319
<v Speaker 1>at a moment where sports rights only go up, right,

0:14:04.440 --> 0:14:07.840
<v Speaker 1>the value of these teams only it's like goes up

0:14:07.840 --> 0:14:10.000
<v Speaker 1>by billions. Really, it's like, oh, it used be three billion.

0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:14.240
<v Speaker 1>The rights are why the billionaires are buying them, right,

0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:16.640
<v Speaker 1>And so if you can keep this off of someone

0:14:16.640 --> 0:14:20.360
<v Speaker 1>else's network and maybe get yourself a buck in the process,

0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:23.960
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of seems like an ingenious strategy, and in

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:28.040
<v Speaker 1>this case it basically like he concreated something out of nothing, right, um,

0:14:28.080 --> 0:14:32.240
<v Speaker 1>and then goes poaching some talent. Uh so, how how

0:14:32.280 --> 0:14:35.200
<v Speaker 1>does he have to uh, you know, broker, what's it

0:14:35.240 --> 0:14:38.520
<v Speaker 1>gonna look like when this media circus comes to town

0:14:38.600 --> 0:14:40.920
<v Speaker 1>to you know, feast on these rights. That's actually the

0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:43.960
<v Speaker 1>reason he formed it is because he heard from the

0:14:44.320 --> 0:14:46.160
<v Speaker 1>guy who at the time ran T and T and

0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:50.160
<v Speaker 1>TBS that he was about to, you know, consider bidding

0:14:50.920 --> 0:14:52.880
<v Speaker 1>a whole bunch of money, like more than a drellion

0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:55.760
<v Speaker 1>dollars on w W rights for Fridays, and he said,

0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:59.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, maybe there's a better option here. I think

0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:01.360
<v Speaker 1>I feel like there's man those rights ended up going

0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:04.600
<v Speaker 1>to Fox and now T N T and TVs they

0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:09.320
<v Speaker 1>have his his show. I think the big ones here

0:15:09.360 --> 0:15:13.800
<v Speaker 1>are that of Warner Brothers. Discovery is likely going to

0:15:13.880 --> 0:15:16.720
<v Speaker 1>want to keep them, so we'll see how high that goes.

0:15:16.760 --> 0:15:19.600
<v Speaker 1>Speaking of bidding and buying, our Sebastian Escobar, who is

0:15:19.640 --> 0:15:23.160
<v Speaker 1>directing our show right now, reminded us that Tony Khan

0:15:23.280 --> 0:15:26.360
<v Speaker 1>talked about or was considering, right maybe buying w W

0:15:26.560 --> 0:15:29.080
<v Speaker 1>E is that still a possibility. Just got about thirty seconds.

0:15:29.200 --> 0:15:31.080
<v Speaker 1>He will need a little help with that. I don't

0:15:31.120 --> 0:15:32.960
<v Speaker 1>know if he can afford right now? Does dad have

0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:35.800
<v Speaker 1>deep enough pockets? And analysts expect it to be up

0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:43.160
<v Speaker 1>to eight billion dollars, so he would need cool Let's

0:15:43.160 --> 0:15:46.840
<v Speaker 1>pull it up, sell the footballs in there by the

0:15:46.840 --> 0:15:50.160
<v Speaker 1>rest sports or entertainment. Have we decided sports entertainment to

0:15:50.240 --> 0:15:53.080
<v Speaker 1>put together sports entertainment? He's right right, all right? Thank

0:15:53.120 --> 0:15:56.280
<v Speaker 1>you Sbastian. Also bringing it on it, Jill Weber, Editor

0:15:56.360 --> 0:15:59.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. Here in our interactive broker studio along

0:15:59.280 --> 0:16:03.520
<v Speaker 1>with campusy Reporter, covering the cool stuff celebrities, athletes, wrestling,

0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:06.720
<v Speaker 1>and more here at Bloomberg News. This is the international

0:16:06.760 --> 0:16:09.960
<v Speaker 1>cover story. Find it on newstands. If you're traveling outside

0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:12.200
<v Speaker 1>the US, you can find it online at Bloomberg dot com.

0:16:12.200 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 1>Slash business Weekend always on the Bloomberg terminal. This is

0:16:15.680 --> 0:16:21.760
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast.

0:16:22.040 --> 0:16:24.920
<v Speaker 1>Catch us live weekdays from two to five pm Eastern

0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:28.400
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio, the Bloomberg Business app band you Doo.

0:16:28.680 --> 0:16:31.760
<v Speaker 1>You can also listen live to our flagship New York station,

0:16:32.200 --> 0:16:36.520
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa play Bloomberg e Love and Dirty Well,

0:16:36.960 --> 0:16:40.040
<v Speaker 1>getting a bit of a brakgomblooment today is the tech

0:16:40.120 --> 0:16:42.800
<v Speaker 1>trade because it has been on a tear this week.

0:16:43.480 --> 0:16:45.840
<v Speaker 1>You did have the tech bell Weather's, Apple, Amazon, and

0:16:45.920 --> 0:16:50.040
<v Speaker 1>Alphabet posting results that showed an economic slowdown is throttling

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:52.760
<v Speaker 1>demand for everything from electronics and e commerce to cloud

0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:54.800
<v Speaker 1>computing and digital advertising. It was a little bit of

0:16:54.840 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 1>a bummer last night. It really was. Interestingly enough, despite

0:16:58.480 --> 0:17:00.520
<v Speaker 1>the fact that you're seeing on the performance from Alphabet

0:17:00.520 --> 0:17:03.960
<v Speaker 1>in from the Amazon, Apple shares are actually higher. Let's

0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:05.520
<v Speaker 1>try to make sense of it. We got Bloomberg News

0:17:05.520 --> 0:17:08.280
<v Speaker 1>technology reporter David Alba joining us on the phone from

0:17:08.320 --> 0:17:11.320
<v Speaker 1>New York City. David, good to have you with us. UM.

0:17:11.359 --> 0:17:14.119
<v Speaker 1>I want to start with just your big takeaways. How

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:16.399
<v Speaker 1>we look at this holistically, taken all together. What's the

0:17:16.440 --> 0:17:19.760
<v Speaker 1>story that it tells. I think it tells the story

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:26.520
<v Speaker 1>that tech companies are not immune from broader economic slowdown. UM.

0:17:26.560 --> 0:17:29.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, tech is usually seen as this industry that

0:17:29.760 --> 0:17:34.040
<v Speaker 1>holds strong throughout um all sorts of ups and downs

0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:37.080
<v Speaker 1>in the economy. But even these giants like Apple and

0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:42.600
<v Speaker 1>Amazon and Alphabet um were hit by by the broader

0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:46.760
<v Speaker 1>economic conditions, and you know, I think that it's pretty significant,

0:17:47.160 --> 0:17:51.120
<v Speaker 1>um that the some of these Apple is was reporting

0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:55.520
<v Speaker 1>the first quarter of um uh, not the sort of

0:17:55.880 --> 0:18:00.520
<v Speaker 1>holiday quarter, but Amazon and Alphabets were and even then,

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:04.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, when there's usually high demand for products in

0:18:04.400 --> 0:18:07.520
<v Speaker 1>the holiday quarter, that that was not the case this

0:18:07.520 --> 0:18:10.560
<v Speaker 1>this this go round. I think what's interesting too, though

0:18:10.760 --> 0:18:14.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, they were down last night. Apple's up two

0:18:14.600 --> 0:18:18.520
<v Speaker 1>point six percent today. Uh, And we were reminding everybody that,

0:18:18.560 --> 0:18:19.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, you really do want to listen to the

0:18:19.880 --> 0:18:22.080
<v Speaker 1>conference calls and see if we you know, either how

0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:25.119
<v Speaker 1>they try to walk back the quarter or provide some optimism.

0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:28.359
<v Speaker 1>But it's not like they fell off a cliff either.

0:18:28.480 --> 0:18:31.399
<v Speaker 1>Google is still down about three point six percent, and

0:18:31.640 --> 0:18:34.840
<v Speaker 1>Amazon and mental check on the trade it is down well,

0:18:35.080 --> 0:18:38.840
<v Speaker 1>Amazon's down nine So that's pretty severe. Um. I don't know,

0:18:38.960 --> 0:18:40.840
<v Speaker 1>is there a net net in terms of what we

0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:44.040
<v Speaker 1>got from the three of them? Yeah, I mean I

0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:48.120
<v Speaker 1>think yesterday we saw you know, the company executive sort

0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:53.080
<v Speaker 1>of giving out the excuses that you know that for

0:18:53.200 --> 0:18:56.720
<v Speaker 1>their businesses performance. You know, Apple talked a lot about

0:18:57.400 --> 0:19:01.280
<v Speaker 1>how because of the strength of the dollar and sort

0:19:01.280 --> 0:19:05.760
<v Speaker 1>of their supply chain issues UM, which are global those

0:19:05.800 --> 0:19:11.000
<v Speaker 1>were impacted UM alphabet UM, you know, sort of talked

0:19:11.040 --> 0:19:16.600
<v Speaker 1>about UM how economic headwinds were impacting the business, UM

0:19:16.640 --> 0:19:19.920
<v Speaker 1>as its search products, of maturing and it it really

0:19:19.960 --> 0:19:25.360
<v Speaker 1>tries to spin things forward, emphasizing their AI products and

0:19:25.359 --> 0:19:28.000
<v Speaker 1>and talking about what's to come. But I think another

0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:32.400
<v Speaker 1>piece of context here is that these companies are sort

0:19:32.440 --> 0:19:38.320
<v Speaker 1>of down relative to the year ago period, which was

0:19:38.760 --> 0:19:42.159
<v Speaker 1>when everyone was sort of you know, still in the

0:19:42.240 --> 0:19:45.440
<v Speaker 1>middle of the pandemic. There was like flush demand at

0:19:45.440 --> 0:19:49.360
<v Speaker 1>that time, and all of these companies were flying really high,

0:19:49.480 --> 0:19:52.920
<v Speaker 1>and so comparing it to this time one year ago,

0:19:53.080 --> 0:19:56.680
<v Speaker 1>I think is is kind of a tough comparison when

0:19:56.680 --> 0:19:58.760
<v Speaker 1>you when you think about it that way. Yeah, that's

0:19:58.760 --> 0:20:01.240
<v Speaker 1>a really good point. Um, Davey, I'm not in trouble

0:20:01.280 --> 0:20:04.359
<v Speaker 1>making sense of Apple today. It was I'm going to

0:20:04.400 --> 0:20:06.800
<v Speaker 1>read what Mark Irman wrote on the live blog here, okay,

0:20:06.840 --> 0:20:09.479
<v Speaker 1>because this is like, you know, Mark knows a thing

0:20:09.520 --> 0:20:12.879
<v Speaker 1>or two about Apple. Apple had an overall miserable quarter.

0:20:13.000 --> 0:20:15.600
<v Speaker 1>Revenue dropped five percent year over year, including declines for

0:20:15.640 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 1>the iPhone, Mac wearable's, home and accessories. The miss Wall

0:20:18.760 --> 0:20:23.000
<v Speaker 1>Street estimates for those categories along with overall revenue. Uh

0:20:23.160 --> 0:20:27.000
<v Speaker 1>yet shares up two points six right now, that's resiliency.

0:20:27.040 --> 0:20:31.679
<v Speaker 1>What's going on. I think it just speaks to Apple's

0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:35.800
<v Speaker 1>reputation as a company that you know, for all intense,

0:20:35.960 --> 0:20:41.119
<v Speaker 1>like basically it's just so in the mainstream, um wild

0:20:41.240 --> 0:20:44.920
<v Speaker 1>demand was not exactly you know, sort of what they

0:20:44.960 --> 0:20:50.320
<v Speaker 1>wanted in in the last few months. It's something that

0:20:50.400 --> 0:20:53.960
<v Speaker 1>they can sort of be picking up. And I think

0:20:54.000 --> 0:20:57.040
<v Speaker 1>that the stock market knows that Apple is just a

0:20:57.160 --> 0:21:00.879
<v Speaker 1>very strong company and so we're seeing sort of the

0:21:00.960 --> 0:21:04.840
<v Speaker 1>effects of that. Now. Yeah, it's interesting. Um, I'm thinking

0:21:04.840 --> 0:21:10.720
<v Speaker 1>about the nasdac man the pop up, you know, yeah,

0:21:10.880 --> 0:21:14.320
<v Speaker 1>the new nasdack Uh, Kathy would call it, which is

0:21:14.400 --> 0:21:16.800
<v Speaker 1>kind of interesting, right, And I mean, I don't know,

0:21:17.000 --> 0:21:20.199
<v Speaker 1>how do you you know, Davy, It brings up a

0:21:20.240 --> 0:21:23.560
<v Speaker 1>good point him because Kathy does look forward to who

0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:25.520
<v Speaker 1>will be kind of the next players that will be

0:21:25.600 --> 0:21:28.800
<v Speaker 1>very dominant in some of the developing technologies. And it

0:21:28.840 --> 0:21:32.159
<v Speaker 1>does make me think about you know, Apple, Google, met up,

0:21:32.160 --> 0:21:34.320
<v Speaker 1>met is going through its own transformation. They got a

0:21:34.320 --> 0:21:36.960
<v Speaker 1>big pop this week, but you know, time will tell

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:39.240
<v Speaker 1>whether this bet really makes sense. I'm trying to pull

0:21:39.240 --> 0:21:41.320
<v Speaker 1>this up on the go ahead, David, I was trying

0:21:41.320 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 1>to pull this up on the terminal, and I think

0:21:43.040 --> 0:21:44.199
<v Speaker 1>probably you and I are going to go to the

0:21:44.200 --> 0:21:48.200
<v Speaker 1>same place, which is the comments from UH from Alphabet,

0:21:48.240 --> 0:21:54.399
<v Speaker 1>from Google CEO, Alphabet CEO Sunder. Yeah about AI. You know,

0:21:54.520 --> 0:21:57.520
<v Speaker 1>I think there are a few things here, UM half

0:21:57.640 --> 0:22:00.880
<v Speaker 1>companies for better or worse or obviously at the cutting

0:22:01.040 --> 0:22:05.080
<v Speaker 1>edge of you know, sort of developments that underpin businesses

0:22:05.680 --> 0:22:09.280
<v Speaker 1>moving forward. And you know UH Sun Dark, which I

0:22:09.320 --> 0:22:13.639
<v Speaker 1>talked a lot about. Alphabet's UM commitment to AI so

0:22:13.800 --> 0:22:17.440
<v Speaker 1>much so that they're actually breaking out Deep Mind, which

0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:21.160
<v Speaker 1>is it's AI sort of division UM in the next

0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:25.639
<v Speaker 1>company earnings as its O and UH line on on

0:22:25.680 --> 0:22:29.760
<v Speaker 1>the company earning support UM. And they're also you know,

0:22:29.960 --> 0:22:34.600
<v Speaker 1>making all sorts of moves like investing in Anthropic, which

0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:37.800
<v Speaker 1>we reported on today. That's sort of an AI startup

0:22:37.840 --> 0:22:42.760
<v Speaker 1>in this new field of generative AI. UM. If if

0:22:42.760 --> 0:22:46.320
<v Speaker 1>you're not familiar with that, UM, think about chat GPT.

0:22:46.560 --> 0:22:51.240
<v Speaker 1>That's generative AI because it generates text and and and

0:22:51.440 --> 0:22:55.000
<v Speaker 1>other content based on a prompt UM. So that's kind

0:22:55.000 --> 0:22:59.800
<v Speaker 1>of spinning it forward UM. And yeah, I think you

0:22:59.840 --> 0:23:06.040
<v Speaker 1>know the future for these companies, UM looks possibly good.

0:23:06.800 --> 0:23:10.280
<v Speaker 1>The other piece of context is just that there was

0:23:10.400 --> 0:23:15.160
<v Speaker 1>so much on these earning calls about efficiency, about sort

0:23:15.160 --> 0:23:21.240
<v Speaker 1>of UH slowing hiring, UM, making more strategic UM moves.

0:23:21.359 --> 0:23:25.880
<v Speaker 1>As as the next year comes comes UM towards us.

0:23:26.480 --> 0:23:30.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, they Mark Zuckerberg talked about kind of this

0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:35.040
<v Speaker 1>being the year of efficiency for Facebook UM and and

0:23:35.080 --> 0:23:37.879
<v Speaker 1>I think that that's something that the companies will really

0:23:39.160 --> 0:23:42.919
<v Speaker 1>double down on, especially after we saw these waves of

0:23:43.000 --> 0:23:46.600
<v Speaker 1>layoffs in the past few months. Well, I want to

0:23:46.640 --> 0:23:48.320
<v Speaker 1>point to the story, and you mentioned this, the story

0:23:48.359 --> 0:23:50.639
<v Speaker 1>that that you and and Dina wrote about Google investing

0:23:50.640 --> 0:23:53.320
<v Speaker 1>almost four hundred million dollars in that AI start up.

0:23:53.640 --> 0:23:56.280
<v Speaker 1>Four million dollars. That's that's serious money. I mean, that's

0:23:56.320 --> 0:23:59.400
<v Speaker 1>that's like, it's not you know, pivoting to the metaverse money,

0:23:59.480 --> 0:24:02.280
<v Speaker 1>but it's but it shows that that Google is taking

0:24:02.280 --> 0:24:07.399
<v Speaker 1>this very seriously. Yeah. Absolutely, And you know they've also

0:24:07.440 --> 0:24:11.080
<v Speaker 1>talked about their large language models, sort of their answer

0:24:11.240 --> 0:24:16.600
<v Speaker 1>to chat GPT coming out in the coming months. UM.

0:24:16.640 --> 0:24:20.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, million is a lot of money, that's true,

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:24.880
<v Speaker 1>but it's actually pretty small when you think about Microsoft's

0:24:24.960 --> 0:24:29.199
<v Speaker 1>investment in open AI, which makes chat GPT, which was

0:24:29.400 --> 0:24:33.200
<v Speaker 1>ten billion, you know that that we reported just last month,

0:24:33.840 --> 0:24:37.600
<v Speaker 1>and that builds upon earlier investments of about a billion, so,

0:24:38.040 --> 0:24:40.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think another thing to think about is

0:24:40.920 --> 0:24:45.879
<v Speaker 1>how these giant tech companies are partnering with smaller AI

0:24:46.000 --> 0:24:48.840
<v Speaker 1>startups to sort of stay at the cutting edge and

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:54.480
<v Speaker 1>forefront of these buzzy new AI products UM which also

0:24:54.600 --> 0:24:59.439
<v Speaker 1>in turn needs them for computing power and resources and

0:24:59.640 --> 0:25:03.280
<v Speaker 1>cloud cloud capabilities, that sort of thing. So it's kind

0:25:03.280 --> 0:25:07.080
<v Speaker 1>of a happy partnership for for these companies. At this point,

0:25:07.400 --> 0:25:10.040
<v Speaker 1>AI is not a new thing. What just happened though

0:25:10.920 --> 0:25:15.520
<v Speaker 1>TV and just got about thirty seconds. Yeah, yeah, you know,

0:25:15.720 --> 0:25:19.600
<v Speaker 1>I think is that these chat spots have just made waves,

0:25:19.680 --> 0:25:25.280
<v Speaker 1>and I think that they've been marketed very smartly UM

0:25:25.280 --> 0:25:29.000
<v Speaker 1>and taken hold on social media. The underlying technology is

0:25:29.080 --> 0:25:32.880
<v Speaker 1>actually not that new, you know. If you look at

0:25:32.880 --> 0:25:36.120
<v Speaker 1>AI experts talking about these chat spots, you know they've

0:25:36.119 --> 0:25:40.080
<v Speaker 1>been around for a while. But the fact that anyone

0:25:40.200 --> 0:25:44.320
<v Speaker 1>can use chat ubt now and millions of people around

0:25:44.359 --> 0:25:47.400
<v Speaker 1>the world are UM, I think that speaks to sort

0:25:47.440 --> 0:25:51.120
<v Speaker 1>of it really breaking into the mainstream these days. Well,

0:25:51.119 --> 0:25:53.520
<v Speaker 1>we definitely are talking a lot about it Uh, Davey,

0:25:53.560 --> 0:25:56.480
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Davey Alba Technology putter up Bloomberg

0:25:56.480 --> 0:26:00.119
<v Speaker 1>News on the phone from New York City. This is

0:26:00.160 --> 0:26:04.199
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg business Week Inside from the reporters and editors who

0:26:04.280 --> 0:26:08.280
<v Speaker 1>bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus Blombo Business

0:26:08.359 --> 0:26:12.520
<v Speaker 1>Finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with

0:26:12.600 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 1>Carol Manser and Tim Stinebec from Bloomberg Radio. Yesterday, we

0:26:19.640 --> 0:26:22.120
<v Speaker 1>had a very deep dive with Kathy would of our investment.

0:26:23.000 --> 0:26:26.679
<v Speaker 1>She was all over her big ideas of fifty pages

0:26:26.680 --> 0:26:30.399
<v Speaker 1>of big ideas, and it included five innovation platforms that

0:26:30.440 --> 0:26:33.800
<v Speaker 1>are converging to create unprecedented growth trajectories. One of the

0:26:33.800 --> 0:26:37.399
<v Speaker 1>platforms public block chains. In our weekly Crypto segment, our

0:26:37.400 --> 0:26:40.720
<v Speaker 1>next guest test some thoughts on building better blockchain hardware.

0:26:41.080 --> 0:26:44.240
<v Speaker 1>He's Michael Gao, founder and CEO at the cryptography hardware

0:26:44.280 --> 0:26:48.120
<v Speaker 1>tech company Fabric Systems. He joins us via zoom from Lafayette, California. Michael,

0:26:48.119 --> 0:26:50.680
<v Speaker 1>good to have you with us. How are you great?

0:26:50.680 --> 0:26:53.520
<v Speaker 1>How are you? I'm doing pretty well. So explain what

0:26:53.640 --> 0:26:58.120
<v Speaker 1>exactly you do at Fabric Systems. Because when people think blockchain,

0:26:58.560 --> 0:27:01.320
<v Speaker 1>they don't think of something physical, but you're working on

0:27:01.359 --> 0:27:04.240
<v Speaker 1>building a better, better blockchain hardware, and that of course

0:27:04.320 --> 0:27:08.639
<v Speaker 1>is physical. Well, yeah, that's exactly right. So what Fabric

0:27:08.680 --> 0:27:12.000
<v Speaker 1>Systems builds is Fabric is building much faster computers designed

0:27:12.000 --> 0:27:15.679
<v Speaker 1>from the ground up, specifically for next generation cryptography algorithms.

0:27:16.119 --> 0:27:19.760
<v Speaker 1>And when I say cryptography, I mean cryptography and not cryptocurrency.

0:27:19.760 --> 0:27:21.880
<v Speaker 1>And there's a very very big difference there, and we're

0:27:21.880 --> 0:27:24.960
<v Speaker 1>gonna talk about that. We'll dig a little bit deeper,

0:27:25.080 --> 0:27:28.679
<v Speaker 1>um into what you mean specifically, and more of what

0:27:28.720 --> 0:27:32.560
<v Speaker 1>your company has involved in. Yeah. Sure. So the main

0:27:32.720 --> 0:27:37.080
<v Speaker 1>algorithms that we accelerate are zero knowledge proofs and fully

0:27:37.119 --> 0:27:40.960
<v Speaker 1>homomorphic encryption, and basically those are mouthful. But what zero

0:27:41.000 --> 0:27:43.879
<v Speaker 1>knowledge proofs are is, imagine that you walk into a

0:27:43.920 --> 0:27:46.760
<v Speaker 1>liquor store, right, and let's say they card you. You

0:27:46.800 --> 0:27:50.080
<v Speaker 1>show them your driver's license, but basically you're showing them

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:52.680
<v Speaker 1>your home address, you're showing them your real age, You're

0:27:52.680 --> 0:27:54.679
<v Speaker 1>showing them all these things that you don't want to

0:27:54.720 --> 0:27:57.560
<v Speaker 1>show the liquor store clerk, right, And so what zero

0:27:57.560 --> 0:28:00.479
<v Speaker 1>knowledge proofs are is it's the equivalent of showing just

0:28:00.560 --> 0:28:03.199
<v Speaker 1>a certificate that a certain statement is true. For example,

0:28:03.240 --> 0:28:06.159
<v Speaker 1>I'm over twenty one, and this has a host of

0:28:06.200 --> 0:28:09.359
<v Speaker 1>applications in and out of blockchain. In the blockchain, it

0:28:09.440 --> 0:28:13.439
<v Speaker 1>helps the blockchain link up to real world applications like

0:28:13.560 --> 0:28:18.000
<v Speaker 1>credit scores, insurance scores, you know, bank accounts, things like that,

0:28:18.800 --> 0:28:21.399
<v Speaker 1>and makes blockchain actually be able to be useful for

0:28:21.440 --> 0:28:24.720
<v Speaker 1>real world applications. But even outside of the blockchain, you

0:28:24.720 --> 0:28:26.480
<v Speaker 1>can think of it as a new point on the

0:28:26.560 --> 0:28:30.640
<v Speaker 1>privacy trade out curve where you know, government regulators can

0:28:30.760 --> 0:28:34.080
<v Speaker 1>enforce laws without invading privacy. And so it's it's this

0:28:34.280 --> 0:28:37.879
<v Speaker 1>really exciting set of algorithms that cryptographers has developed really

0:28:37.920 --> 0:28:41.240
<v Speaker 1>really recently and have just gotten practical enough to the

0:28:41.240 --> 0:28:43.600
<v Speaker 1>point where people can deploy them. Where are you seeing

0:28:43.600 --> 0:28:48.320
<v Speaker 1>this technology deployed right now? Right now? It's on the verge,

0:28:48.400 --> 0:28:51.080
<v Speaker 1>so you know, it's not really anywhere right now, And

0:28:51.160 --> 0:28:53.560
<v Speaker 1>the main reason is that it's just not fast enough.

0:28:54.000 --> 0:28:56.520
<v Speaker 1>So in order to prove, for example, that your creditsc

0:28:56.720 --> 0:28:59.760
<v Speaker 1>is at least seven fifty or something like that, you

0:28:59.760 --> 0:29:02.360
<v Speaker 1>would have to wait twelve seconds on a really really

0:29:02.360 --> 0:29:05.959
<v Speaker 1>powerful Intel processors. So that's why we're building, you know,

0:29:06.080 --> 0:29:10.600
<v Speaker 1>much faster computer specifically for these Well, it's interesting too

0:29:10.640 --> 0:29:13.240
<v Speaker 1>and I think we lump everything together, and I mean

0:29:13.400 --> 0:29:17.160
<v Speaker 1>blockchain with anything and everything crypto. There are distinctions to

0:29:17.200 --> 0:29:18.920
<v Speaker 1>be made because I do think about, you know, the

0:29:18.960 --> 0:29:22.600
<v Speaker 1>impact of the f t X fallout, UH and coming

0:29:22.680 --> 0:29:26.640
<v Speaker 1>undone and Samuel sam Bankman free to what impact that

0:29:26.800 --> 0:29:28.880
<v Speaker 1>has had on you as you move forward and on

0:29:28.920 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 1>the work that you're doing. It's actually a tremendously positive impact.

0:29:34.320 --> 0:29:36.960
<v Speaker 1>The thing I always say to people is that crypto

0:29:37.160 --> 0:29:40.440
<v Speaker 1>is a problem for regulators. Cryptography is a solution. So

0:29:40.560 --> 0:29:43.880
<v Speaker 1>for example, you know all these centralized exchanges in the

0:29:43.960 --> 0:29:47.560
<v Speaker 1>supposedly decentralized finance world like f t X. You know

0:29:48.120 --> 0:29:51.880
<v Speaker 1>all these exchanges that were essentially taking people's money, promising

0:29:51.920 --> 0:29:54.280
<v Speaker 1>them an interest rate and not being able to pay it.

0:29:54.280 --> 0:29:56.960
<v Speaker 1>It's a classic Bonzi scheme, right, and that has nothing

0:29:57.000 --> 0:30:00.480
<v Speaker 1>to do with cryptography. So what cryptography is is a

0:30:00.560 --> 0:30:03.160
<v Speaker 1>solution to those problems. So if zero knowledge proofs have

0:30:03.240 --> 0:30:06.120
<v Speaker 1>been around, and you know, exchanges were using them in

0:30:06.160 --> 0:30:08.800
<v Speaker 1>the time of the ft X, then exchanges would be

0:30:08.840 --> 0:30:11.080
<v Speaker 1>able to prove that they have a certain amount of

0:30:11.120 --> 0:30:14.240
<v Speaker 1>reserves and they can cover all their liabilities. That's actually

0:30:14.280 --> 0:30:16.400
<v Speaker 1>a solution, not a problem. We should note that Sam

0:30:16.400 --> 0:30:19.640
<v Speaker 1>Bakman free is still awaiting trial at this point. Uh,

0:30:19.680 --> 0:30:22.040
<v Speaker 1>but a lot of the allegations that that you mentioned

0:30:22.240 --> 0:30:24.760
<v Speaker 1>have been allegations that have been made by officials at

0:30:24.760 --> 0:30:27.560
<v Speaker 1>this point. Um, go ahead, Carol, No, no no, no, go ahead, Michael.

0:30:27.560 --> 0:30:31.160
<v Speaker 1>I was wondering about the hardware here, because when when

0:30:31.200 --> 0:30:33.440
<v Speaker 1>we think about hardware that's using crypto, we think about

0:30:33.440 --> 0:30:37.200
<v Speaker 1>hardware from from like the big huge names right in video. Um,

0:30:37.240 --> 0:30:39.840
<v Speaker 1>and you think about computers that that use those chips.

0:30:40.040 --> 0:30:42.480
<v Speaker 1>Where is your what is your technology when you say

0:30:42.480 --> 0:30:45.280
<v Speaker 1>you're building a better computer, what are you building and

0:30:45.320 --> 0:30:47.080
<v Speaker 1>who who are you competing with? And how can you

0:30:47.120 --> 0:30:51.640
<v Speaker 1>compete with those companies? Yeah, we're I mean our main competition,

0:30:51.760 --> 0:30:53.840
<v Speaker 1>as you said, it is in video and we're basically

0:30:53.840 --> 0:30:57.880
<v Speaker 1>the video of cryptography. So in video focuses on video games,

0:30:57.920 --> 0:31:01.280
<v Speaker 1>on AI, on graphics rendering, and on a host of

0:31:01.400 --> 0:31:04.880
<v Speaker 1>very important applications. And what we do is we focus

0:31:04.920 --> 0:31:09.680
<v Speaker 1>on cryptography, and by building the computer specifically just for cryptography,

0:31:09.800 --> 0:31:12.680
<v Speaker 1>we're able to achieve better performance on those algorithms at

0:31:12.680 --> 0:31:14.640
<v Speaker 1>the cost of, you know, for example, being worse at

0:31:14.680 --> 0:31:18.960
<v Speaker 1>a I computation, which we don't focus on. So talk

0:31:19.000 --> 0:31:21.520
<v Speaker 1>to us about time development and kind of you know,

0:31:21.560 --> 0:31:23.840
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting. Let me go back for a second, because

0:31:23.840 --> 0:31:25.560
<v Speaker 1>I think when all of this was starting, this was

0:31:25.600 --> 0:31:28.320
<v Speaker 1>like pre pandemic. Blockchain made a lot of sense to

0:31:28.360 --> 0:31:30.120
<v Speaker 1>me because I just think about that there's a lot

0:31:30.160 --> 0:31:33.440
<v Speaker 1>of documents or transactions, there are things that we could

0:31:33.480 --> 0:31:36.920
<v Speaker 1>cut out middleman middle people if you will, um that

0:31:37.040 --> 0:31:39.080
<v Speaker 1>it makes a lot of sense. But it feels like

0:31:39.480 --> 0:31:45.320
<v Speaker 1>there hasn't been as much momentum. Has there not been? Yeah,

0:31:45.360 --> 0:31:48.280
<v Speaker 1>So the problem with the blockchain as it stands is

0:31:48.280 --> 0:31:51.480
<v Speaker 1>that there are all these unfulfilled promises that were promises

0:31:51.560 --> 0:31:53.760
<v Speaker 1>made at the outset. When I got into a bitcoint

0:31:53.800 --> 0:31:56.200
<v Speaker 1>back in you know, we were all talking about this

0:31:56.760 --> 0:31:58.520
<v Speaker 1>that you know, one day we would cut out the

0:31:58.520 --> 0:32:01.760
<v Speaker 1>middleman and you know, financial transactions and credit cards and

0:32:01.800 --> 0:32:05.360
<v Speaker 1>all these things, and there were just wasn't the technology

0:32:05.560 --> 0:32:08.640
<v Speaker 1>from the cryptography perspective to make that happen. So, for example,

0:32:09.000 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin can process a couple transactions per second, Visa can

0:32:13.080 --> 0:32:16.640
<v Speaker 1>process the hundred thousand transactions per second, and only by

0:32:16.800 --> 0:32:20.480
<v Speaker 1>using these next generation cryptography tools like ser knowledge proofs,

0:32:20.640 --> 0:32:23.720
<v Speaker 1>can we actually use the blockchain and actually hit those

0:32:24.080 --> 0:32:27.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, transaction throughputs to name just one example. Right,

0:32:28.520 --> 0:32:30.960
<v Speaker 1>but even in the traditional finance industry, if you think

0:32:30.960 --> 0:32:34.640
<v Speaker 1>about margin engines and under collateralized lending and all these

0:32:34.680 --> 0:32:37.360
<v Speaker 1>different things, you know, you can't run those on a

0:32:37.360 --> 0:32:41.160
<v Speaker 1>smart contract right now. The computational limit is just too low. Um.

0:32:41.240 --> 0:32:44.520
<v Speaker 1>So that's why we're building dedicated hardware to actually fulfill

0:32:44.560 --> 0:32:47.760
<v Speaker 1>the promise of blockchain, because in the absence of being

0:32:47.800 --> 0:32:50.480
<v Speaker 1>able to fulfill those promises, the blockchain space has been

0:32:50.520 --> 0:32:53.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, kind of written with bad actors and scams

0:32:53.800 --> 0:32:58.080
<v Speaker 1>and frauds because they can't really make something that's actually useful.

0:32:58.160 --> 0:33:01.080
<v Speaker 1>And so we actually want to make blockchain. Hey, Michael,

0:33:01.080 --> 0:33:03.840
<v Speaker 1>you're joining us from California. What does your supply chain

0:33:03.960 --> 0:33:06.440
<v Speaker 1>look like? Where is it? Where do you get where

0:33:06.440 --> 0:33:10.600
<v Speaker 1>do you get components? Yeah, so we have a really

0:33:10.640 --> 0:33:15.080
<v Speaker 1>really great relationship with major semi conductor fabricator in Taiwan.

0:33:15.160 --> 0:33:17.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure you can think of which one that is.

0:33:17.600 --> 0:33:22.280
<v Speaker 1>Does it does it start with the T, start with

0:33:22.320 --> 0:33:25.200
<v Speaker 1>the t uh and then you know, those chips get

0:33:25.240 --> 0:33:29.440
<v Speaker 1>fabricated and sent to um contract manufacturers in Southeast Asia,

0:33:29.840 --> 0:33:32.560
<v Speaker 1>and then after that, you know they come back uh,

0:33:32.640 --> 0:33:36.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, in fully assembled system. For does the supply

0:33:36.440 --> 0:33:41.120
<v Speaker 1>chain at all go through China? No, that something is

0:33:41.120 --> 0:33:44.640
<v Speaker 1>that intentional for you? It's really important in these times,

0:33:44.680 --> 0:33:47.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, like when when everyone's trying to decouple their

0:33:47.400 --> 0:33:49.280
<v Speaker 1>supply chain, you don't want to be the one left

0:33:49.280 --> 0:33:52.200
<v Speaker 1>holding the bag. Hey, Michael. One thing I do wonder

0:33:52.520 --> 0:33:57.240
<v Speaker 1>um is in terms of regulation and oversight, and sometimes

0:33:57.240 --> 0:33:59.120
<v Speaker 1>maybe we do need a middleman to make sure things

0:33:59.120 --> 0:34:02.520
<v Speaker 1>don't go astray. So I do wonder what needs to

0:34:02.560 --> 0:34:07.200
<v Speaker 1>be in place regulatory wise for blockchain to really find

0:34:07.400 --> 0:34:12.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of its full potential. Oh, that's a really good topics.

0:34:12.080 --> 0:34:15.160
<v Speaker 1>So basically we've actually been talking to some regulators about this,

0:34:15.800 --> 0:34:19.520
<v Speaker 1>but there's potential for regulators and actually blockchain applications to

0:34:19.600 --> 0:34:24.400
<v Speaker 1>cooperate and strengthen regulation through algorithms. So one example is,

0:34:24.880 --> 0:34:28.399
<v Speaker 1>you know, the SEC could require people to post that

0:34:29.040 --> 0:34:33.280
<v Speaker 1>zero knowledge proofs that actual you know, financial statements are accurate.

0:34:33.480 --> 0:34:37.239
<v Speaker 1>They could require people to provide zero knowledge proofs of leverage,

0:34:37.760 --> 0:34:40.759
<v Speaker 1>or they could provide, you know, zero knowledge proofs that

0:34:40.840 --> 0:34:44.200
<v Speaker 1>if the bank goes through uh, you know, major financial calamity,

0:34:44.280 --> 0:34:46.720
<v Speaker 1>that it will be okay. Right, So you can even

0:34:46.719 --> 0:34:50.319
<v Speaker 1>conduct stress tests using zero knowledge proofs, without having to

0:34:50.360 --> 0:34:54.120
<v Speaker 1>reveal your sensitive positions and all that information, and without

0:34:54.160 --> 0:34:57.239
<v Speaker 1>having auditors just standing in the room looking at you. Right.

0:34:57.360 --> 0:35:01.319
<v Speaker 1>So it's it's really powerful. I it's a huge opportunity

0:35:01.440 --> 0:35:04.920
<v Speaker 1>for regulators to finally be able to enforce many laws

0:35:05.000 --> 0:35:08.759
<v Speaker 1>that otherwise are unenforceable because of privacy concerns, because of

0:35:08.880 --> 0:35:12.600
<v Speaker 1>cost concerns, because of industry pushback. You know. It's a

0:35:12.640 --> 0:35:15.000
<v Speaker 1>case where we can cut the red tape, you know,

0:35:15.239 --> 0:35:18.920
<v Speaker 1>but still have regulations that really have teeth. Michael, thank

0:35:18.960 --> 0:35:21.439
<v Speaker 1>you so much, really appreciated. He is chief executive officer

0:35:21.440 --> 0:35:24.880
<v Speaker 1>of Fabric Systems. Joining us via zoom via zoom. Excuse

0:35:24.920 --> 0:35:28.720
<v Speaker 1>me from Lafayette, California. You're listening to the Bloomberg Business

0:35:28.760 --> 0:35:31.759
<v Speaker 1>Week podcast. Catch us live week days from two to

0:35:31.840 --> 0:35:35.680
<v Speaker 1>five pm Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, The Bloomberg Business and

0:35:35.880 --> 0:35:38.800
<v Speaker 1>you too. You can also listen live to our flagship

0:35:38.840 --> 0:35:42.520
<v Speaker 1>New York station, Just Say Alexa play Bloomberg E Love

0:35:42.560 --> 0:35:52.839
<v Speaker 1>and Dirty Journal. Yeah but you let me drive. Oh no,

0:35:52.840 --> 0:35:59.239
<v Speaker 1>no, no no, no, honey, please do the revels. I want

0:35:59.239 --> 0:36:08.040
<v Speaker 1>to drive. Good question. This is the Drive to the

0:36:08.080 --> 0:36:14.719
<v Speaker 1>Clothes on Bluebird Radio. All right, everybody. We've got less

0:36:14.719 --> 0:36:18.480
<v Speaker 1>than seventeen minutes left in today's trading session, and it's

0:36:18.480 --> 0:36:20.920
<v Speaker 1>been an interesting one in a week that has just

0:36:20.960 --> 0:36:23.920
<v Speaker 1>been full of so much. Of course, a monthly jobs report,

0:36:24.000 --> 0:36:26.480
<v Speaker 1>and you are seeing stocks well off their best levels

0:36:26.480 --> 0:36:30.439
<v Speaker 1>of the S session, the tech names taking it hard,

0:36:30.760 --> 0:36:32.600
<v Speaker 1>hardest hit really, if you will, at a percentage basis,

0:36:32.600 --> 0:36:34.359
<v Speaker 1>down about one and a half percent. Tim we're still

0:36:34.440 --> 0:36:36.080
<v Speaker 1>up more than three percent on the NAZAC for the

0:36:36.080 --> 0:36:38.360
<v Speaker 1>week over and up one point six percent on the S.

0:36:39.239 --> 0:36:43.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm confused. I'm confused about the reaction today's jobs number

0:36:43.920 --> 0:36:46.279
<v Speaker 1>between that the other economic data that we got. We

0:36:46.360 --> 0:36:47.960
<v Speaker 1>get the Jolts data that we got earlier this week,

0:36:48.000 --> 0:36:49.800
<v Speaker 1>and of course we heard from FED J. J. Powell.

0:36:50.360 --> 0:36:53.120
<v Speaker 1>It seems that, you know, certainly the bulls are winning,

0:36:53.480 --> 0:36:55.640
<v Speaker 1>and given that strength of the job's report today, I'm

0:36:55.640 --> 0:36:57.719
<v Speaker 1>surprised to see not I'm surprised that I'm not seeing

0:36:57.760 --> 0:37:00.200
<v Speaker 1>more of a sell off. I think, you know, talking

0:37:00.200 --> 0:37:02.960
<v Speaker 1>about this this earlier with Scarlett Um and also with

0:37:03.040 --> 0:37:06.239
<v Speaker 1>John Tucker downstairs. Yeah, he made a good point that

0:37:06.560 --> 0:37:09.400
<v Speaker 1>wage growth was in line with expectations, and maybe that

0:37:09.480 --> 0:37:11.839
<v Speaker 1>has people kind of tempered. That's one of the things

0:37:11.840 --> 0:37:13.839
<v Speaker 1>I heard Mike McKee talk about earlier that in terms

0:37:13.880 --> 0:37:15.719
<v Speaker 1>of wage gains, and I think Molly mentioned it to

0:37:16.000 --> 0:37:18.560
<v Speaker 1>up but less than the month before. And so if

0:37:18.560 --> 0:37:22.040
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing those wage pressures go away, that would be

0:37:22.080 --> 0:37:25.200
<v Speaker 1>a big thing. That's the inflationary component to it. But

0:37:25.239 --> 0:37:27.719
<v Speaker 1>how does wage pressure again, you always remind me this

0:37:27.800 --> 0:37:31.320
<v Speaker 1>is backwards looking. Uh, how does wage pressure go away

0:37:31.400 --> 0:37:34.160
<v Speaker 1>when there are still almost two jobs for every one person? Looking,

0:37:34.320 --> 0:37:36.560
<v Speaker 1>people can just easily jump from one job to another job,

0:37:36.719 --> 0:37:38.279
<v Speaker 1>and that's the best way to get a raise. If

0:37:38.440 --> 0:37:42.080
<v Speaker 1>people are getting nervous, maybe they don't push so much. Um.

0:37:42.120 --> 0:37:44.759
<v Speaker 1>But let's see what it all means potentially when it

0:37:44.800 --> 0:37:47.080
<v Speaker 1>comes to the investment environment. So let's get to it.

0:37:47.160 --> 0:37:49.280
<v Speaker 1>Let's get to the drive to the clothes. Vance Howard

0:37:49.360 --> 0:37:52.040
<v Speaker 1>is back with us. He's CEO and portfolio manager at

0:37:52.080 --> 0:37:55.560
<v Speaker 1>the fee only registered investment advisor, Howard Capital Management. He

0:37:55.640 --> 0:37:59.040
<v Speaker 1>joins this via zoom from Roswell, Georgia. Hey, Van's nice

0:37:59.080 --> 0:38:01.840
<v Speaker 1>to have you back with Tip and myself. What a week.

0:38:02.239 --> 0:38:08.320
<v Speaker 1>I am exhausted. Tim's exhausted. It's a little crazy. Um,

0:38:08.440 --> 0:38:12.440
<v Speaker 1>how do you see all of what came out investors,

0:38:12.480 --> 0:38:15.560
<v Speaker 1>including the big tech earnings, the f O m C meeting,

0:38:15.680 --> 0:38:18.319
<v Speaker 1>the jobs report. Sum it up for it what it

0:38:18.360 --> 0:38:23.720
<v Speaker 1>means for potentially the markets, financial markets. I think it's great.

0:38:23.920 --> 0:38:25.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think that we've turned the corner. You know,

0:38:25.840 --> 0:38:28.520
<v Speaker 1>our proprietary indicated the h c M buyline went positive

0:38:28.520 --> 0:38:31.200
<v Speaker 1>about two and a half weeks ago. This is it

0:38:31.280 --> 0:38:34.320
<v Speaker 1>went negative in January two. So we've sat in a

0:38:34.320 --> 0:38:36.000
<v Speaker 1>whole lot of cash up until the past two or

0:38:36.040 --> 0:38:38.200
<v Speaker 1>three weeks, and we've been buying the S and P

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<v Speaker 1>wanted bo The two day move an average show on

0:38:40.120 --> 0:38:42.200
<v Speaker 1>a technical basis, I think you've got to put aside

0:38:42.200 --> 0:38:44.040
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the news out there and start trading

0:38:44.080 --> 0:38:46.000
<v Speaker 1>what actually is happening in the markets, which is what

0:38:46.040 --> 0:38:49.120
<v Speaker 1>we're doing, and we're buying. We've been buying a quite

0:38:49.120 --> 0:38:51.279
<v Speaker 1>a number of things. We've moved from about to cash

0:38:51.320 --> 0:38:53.640
<v Speaker 1>now to about in cash, and we'll continue to buy

0:38:53.680 --> 0:38:57.080
<v Speaker 1>into any dips that we're seeing. You know, today's sent

0:38:57.200 --> 0:39:00.440
<v Speaker 1>cash cash. How quickly did you move on that all?

0:39:00.480 --> 0:39:03.280
<v Speaker 1>About about five to ten days, And so we started

0:39:03.280 --> 0:39:05.640
<v Speaker 1>buying quite a bit of things over the past two weeks,

0:39:05.640 --> 0:39:07.479
<v Speaker 1>and we've even stirred buying back the bonds. Our bond

0:39:07.520 --> 0:39:09.799
<v Speaker 1>indicator went positive too, so we started buying you know,

0:39:09.920 --> 0:39:13.040
<v Speaker 1>emerging market bonds and long term treasuries. What was it

0:39:13.080 --> 0:39:15.319
<v Speaker 1>that shifted in this rally, Because we've seen other other

0:39:15.440 --> 0:39:18.360
<v Speaker 1>rallies over the last year, and they've been false starts.

0:39:19.200 --> 0:39:22.160
<v Speaker 1>We're not saying that this one's not well me either.

0:39:22.200 --> 0:39:23.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying that either, but you have to trade

0:39:23.800 --> 0:39:26.000
<v Speaker 1>what actually is going on in the trend has actually changed.

0:39:26.160 --> 0:39:27.759
<v Speaker 1>We did have a false start about the you know,

0:39:27.840 --> 0:39:30.520
<v Speaker 1>right after the February March area when the market wanted

0:39:30.520 --> 0:39:32.279
<v Speaker 1>to rally right up after that big sell off, But

0:39:32.320 --> 0:39:34.720
<v Speaker 1>other than that, it's pretty much been kind of downhill

0:39:34.800 --> 0:39:36.799
<v Speaker 1>the whole way down, with a few minor adjustments, you know,

0:39:36.840 --> 0:39:40.240
<v Speaker 1>with a few minor buying opportunities that would present themselves

0:39:40.280 --> 0:39:42.200
<v Speaker 1>to see a short term trader. But this is the

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<v Speaker 1>first time in the whole year that we've seen the

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<v Speaker 1>longer term trend turned back up, not the short and

0:39:46.640 --> 0:39:48.640
<v Speaker 1>the intermediate term, but the longer term trend. That's a

0:39:48.800 --> 0:39:52.200
<v Speaker 1>very very positive indicator right there. And I can tell

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<v Speaker 1>you right now with the eh C M bodolne being positive,

0:39:54.320 --> 0:39:56.759
<v Speaker 1>your odds are seventy three percent, chances going higher twenty

0:39:56.760 --> 0:39:59.200
<v Speaker 1>seven percent. We get whipsaw, so at a seventy three

0:40:00.000 --> 0:40:02.520
<v Speaker 1>ants of moving higher, you take that trade, you start buying.

0:40:02.560 --> 0:40:03.879
<v Speaker 1>All right, you gotta take a step back. For those

0:40:03.920 --> 0:40:05.800
<v Speaker 1>who maybe didn't hear you last time you talk about

0:40:05.800 --> 0:40:08.799
<v Speaker 1>this HCM by line, I know it's proprietary, but what

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<v Speaker 1>can you tell us about it? Um? You know that

0:40:12.160 --> 0:40:15.080
<v Speaker 1>it's an indicator that looks at what so that our

0:40:15.120 --> 0:40:18.040
<v Speaker 1>audience kind of has an idea of, um, what maybe

0:40:18.040 --> 0:40:21.719
<v Speaker 1>triggers it? Yeah, nothing complicated. It's a trend indicator. It's

0:40:22.200 --> 0:40:26.400
<v Speaker 1>just it's a very uh, very sophisticated trend indicator that

0:40:26.440 --> 0:40:29.080
<v Speaker 1>has a high level of accuracy. And like I said,

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<v Speaker 1>it turned negative in January. January of two twenty two.

0:40:32.600 --> 0:40:34.040
<v Speaker 1>Of course we sat in a whole lot of cash,

0:40:34.080 --> 0:40:35.840
<v Speaker 1>but we're still a rotten year for everybody, even if

0:40:35.840 --> 0:40:37.799
<v Speaker 1>you're sitting in a lot of cash. And then of course,

0:40:37.800 --> 0:40:40.160
<v Speaker 1>but this is the first confirmed BOS signal that we've

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<v Speaker 1>had on the longer term trend of the h C

0:40:42.239 --> 0:40:44.879
<v Speaker 1>on boline. This is a very positive thing. So all

0:40:44.920 --> 0:40:47.560
<v Speaker 1>this news that's coming out, I tell people, you've got

0:40:47.560 --> 0:40:49.640
<v Speaker 1>to trade what's happening right now, because we don't know

0:40:49.680 --> 0:40:52.880
<v Speaker 1>what's going to happen tomorrow. Yesterday's gone, the trends up,

0:40:52.920 --> 0:40:55.839
<v Speaker 1>you gotta start taking trades. Well, it does happen next week,

0:40:55.840 --> 0:40:57.560
<v Speaker 1>because we do. Hear from a lot of FETE officials

0:40:57.560 --> 0:40:59.879
<v Speaker 1>next week, including j Powell. And I've got to think,

0:41:00.040 --> 0:41:03.640
<v Speaker 1>given his reaction to financial conditions easing, his his reaction

0:41:03.680 --> 0:41:06.640
<v Speaker 1>to rallies over the last year, sometimes he comes out

0:41:06.640 --> 0:41:09.560
<v Speaker 1>and squashes them or says things that squashed them. Well,

0:41:09.600 --> 0:41:11.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, he came out of the twenty five basis

0:41:11.160 --> 0:41:12.840
<v Speaker 1>point higher right there, and that was just a wonderful

0:41:12.880 --> 0:41:15.400
<v Speaker 1>thing that the his rhetoric that he had wasn't that

0:41:15.520 --> 0:41:18.000
<v Speaker 1>negative towards the market. I think he feels pretty good

0:41:18.040 --> 0:41:20.440
<v Speaker 1>about inflation starting to calm down. When you look at

0:41:20.440 --> 0:41:23.719
<v Speaker 1>the PC index that's starting to roll over. That's been

0:41:23.760 --> 0:41:26.160
<v Speaker 1>a big key thing that that fed fear pal has

0:41:26.160 --> 0:41:27.960
<v Speaker 1>been looking at. So I think you've got a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of great things going on here. And the cash build up, guys,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm telling you, we watched cash build up. This is

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<v Speaker 1>the largest amount of cash build up I've ever seen

0:41:34.600 --> 0:41:36.799
<v Speaker 1>in thirty five years of doing this. So this thing's

0:41:36.840 --> 0:41:38.759
<v Speaker 1>got a lot of fuel to go higher. And if

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<v Speaker 1>we what metric, what what specific metric are you watching

0:41:42.000 --> 0:41:44.759
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to a cash build up. We look

0:41:44.800 --> 0:41:46.359
<v Speaker 1>at a number of different things as far as cash

0:41:46.360 --> 0:41:48.319
<v Speaker 1>build up, you know, money market flows that are going

0:41:48.360 --> 0:41:50.239
<v Speaker 1>to just money market accounts. We try to look at that,

0:41:50.320 --> 0:41:52.279
<v Speaker 1>and that number has been very, very high. So there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of investors with a lot of cash. And

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<v Speaker 1>you gotta remember too, this is the first year and

0:41:56.400 --> 0:41:59.080
<v Speaker 1>forty years rere bonds have just taken an absolute beating.

0:41:59.360 --> 0:42:01.520
<v Speaker 1>So you saw a lot of investors sell bonds and

0:42:01.560 --> 0:42:03.439
<v Speaker 1>going to cash. But now they're ready to go back

0:42:03.440 --> 0:42:05.200
<v Speaker 1>into the bond market, are ready to come back into

0:42:05.200 --> 0:42:07.040
<v Speaker 1>the stock market, and I think that's gonna be a

0:42:07.080 --> 0:42:10.440
<v Speaker 1>real big positive going forward. In Hey, looking at your

0:42:10.440 --> 0:42:13.440
<v Speaker 1>buy list, a couple of things jump out. I shares

0:42:13.520 --> 0:42:16.760
<v Speaker 1>US Technology E t F also the I share Semiconductor

0:42:16.800 --> 0:42:18.880
<v Speaker 1>E t F. So you're all in it, sounds like

0:42:19.160 --> 0:42:22.399
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to tech, Yeah, we were buying those

0:42:22.440 --> 0:42:24.359
<v Speaker 1>two weeks ago, so we've had a pretty good run.

0:42:24.440 --> 0:42:25.879
<v Speaker 1>You know, the past two weeks have been very kind

0:42:25.880 --> 0:42:28.840
<v Speaker 1>to us UM and I do like the the E

0:42:28.920 --> 0:42:31.080
<v Speaker 1>T S better. Let me tell you why. I think

0:42:31.120 --> 0:42:33.360
<v Speaker 1>that some of these stocks are gonna take really have

0:42:33.520 --> 0:42:36.040
<v Speaker 1>nice powerful jumps up, but they're also gonna take a

0:42:36.040 --> 0:42:37.920
<v Speaker 1>beating and if they miss on any like look at

0:42:37.920 --> 0:42:40.200
<v Speaker 1>Snaps and got just beaten to death over there for

0:42:40.320 --> 0:42:42.680
<v Speaker 1>their earnings. I think you're better off broadening it out

0:42:42.719 --> 0:42:44.640
<v Speaker 1>with an e t F and not taking individual stock

0:42:44.719 --> 0:42:46.799
<v Speaker 1>risk in a market like this because a lot of

0:42:46.800 --> 0:42:50.040
<v Speaker 1>people were hurt in two, a lot of fear out there,

0:42:50.040 --> 0:42:52.239
<v Speaker 1>so just any kind of negative news shocks people and

0:42:52.239 --> 0:42:54.880
<v Speaker 1>they'll they'll pull the ripcord pretty quick on an individual

0:42:54.880 --> 0:42:58.320
<v Speaker 1>equity fans, good stuff. Love having you on the program.

0:42:58.360 --> 0:42:59.560
<v Speaker 1>Let us know when you're back in New York. It

0:42:59.600 --> 0:43:01.239
<v Speaker 1>was to get you in the studio last time. To

0:43:01.520 --> 0:43:04.000
<v Speaker 1>appreciate you taking my time, alright, Vance Howard, He's chief

0:43:04.000 --> 0:43:07.359
<v Speaker 1>executive officer, portfolio manager and Howard Capital Management. Via zoom

0:43:07.360 --> 0:43:12.400
<v Speaker 1>from Roswell, Georgia. This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast,

0:43:12.600 --> 0:43:16.640
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0:43:17.160 --> 0:43:20.239
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0:43:20.320 --> 0:43:23.319
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0:43:23.440 --> 0:43:26.080
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0:43:26.160 --> 0:43:29.719
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