1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,840 Speaker 1: After the bell, we heard from Applied Materials. This is 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: the company that basically is the largest manufacturer of chip 3 00:00:08,680 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: making equipment. It gave a better than feared sales forecast 4 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: for the current quarter. We want to bring into the 5 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: conversation Bloomberg's Ian King. He covers all things semiconductors from 6 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: our studios and bureau in San Francisco. You know, it's 7 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 1: always a pleasure. What do you make of what we 8 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 1: had from aim At today? Well, any time a company 9 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:32,920 Speaker 1: comes into earnings with all of the sort of clouds 10 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: on the horizon and everybody worried about where it's going 11 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 1: and analyss projecting a contraction and it says, oh no, 12 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:43,440 Speaker 1: actually we're going to grow. Clearly is going to cause 13 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: some relief. And that's what we've certainly seen today. You know, 14 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: they're arguing very strongly. Hey, look, technology still counts. The 15 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:52,160 Speaker 1: chip makers need to get better at what they're doing, 16 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: and we're kind of route one to do in that. 17 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:56,279 Speaker 1: So that's our argument and it's holding up for now. 18 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 1: I think the elephant in the room, though, is the 19 00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: situation with US and China, the Biden administration withholding some 20 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 1: of this advanced semiconductor technology from the Chinese, and I'm 21 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 1: wondering whether or not Applied material to address that point. 22 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 1: We I mean, you've now that it was a giant 23 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:15,840 Speaker 1: part of what they had to talk to today. They said, look, 24 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: these restrictions that we saw came came in in October 25 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 1: the seventh are going to cost US two and a 26 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 1: half billion dollars of lost revenue in this year unless 27 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: the government sort of behaves itself and starts giving some 28 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:33,199 Speaker 1: of these licenses. And then if we're looking, if everything 29 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 1: goes okay, might just be do we only lose one 30 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: and a half billion dollars of lost revenue? So can 31 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: you give me a sense of the types of semiconductors 32 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: that may be produced using this equipment and whether we 33 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: can glean anything from what Applied Materials had to say 34 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:52,639 Speaker 1: about let's say the memory chip market versus microprocessors versus 35 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 1: some of the chips that are used in phones. Yeah, 36 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: I mean, from a market perspective, memory is obviously in 37 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 1: big trouble right now, and all of the producers are 38 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 1: cutting their orders for equipment. Not very good at all. 39 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:07,720 Speaker 1: Applied said, look, you know that's bad, but guess what 40 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:10,519 Speaker 1: people who are making logic chips, the kind of processes 41 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:12,959 Speaker 1: are going to your iPhone or your PC. They're actually 42 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:16,000 Speaker 1: doing relatively okay, and you know, our orders in that 43 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 1: particular area are not too bad. So when you look 44 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 1: at what we heard from in video yesterday, one of 45 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 1: the leading manufacturers of those graphics processors that are used 46 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 1: in some of the computer systems where cloud computing is involved, 47 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: also a critical component for the gaming devices, did aim 48 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 1: at give anything into the graphics chips market. Well, not 49 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 1: not specifically the graphics chip chip market. I mean, that 50 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 1: would be advanced logic, but if you throw what goes 51 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:47,240 Speaker 1: that into the mix overall, the kind of conclusion that 52 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 1: we've sort of drawing from what's said this week is, 53 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: you know, the big iron, the enterprise systems, the cloud systems. 54 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 1: If you're selling technology into those markets, or technologies that 55 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:01,919 Speaker 1: makes technology that goes in those markets, maybe things aren't 56 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:06,320 Speaker 1: as bad. Maybe this recession concern is overblown. And that's 57 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:09,119 Speaker 1: what these companies are sort of suggesting. If you sort 58 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:12,720 Speaker 1: of aggregate what they're saying, consumer and other areas are 59 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 1: still pretty grim. Where does AMATT measure up in terms 60 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,840 Speaker 1: of how is it measuring up against competitors like K 61 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 1: l A. Or Land Research or the Dutch company a 62 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 1: s mL. Yeah, I mean that's a very good question. 63 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 1: They claim the technologies are allowing them to gain market share, 64 00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 1: but if you look at you know, the revenue forecast, 65 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 1: they along with Lime Research, are really the ones that 66 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 1: are getting hurt by this China action, by these trade 67 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 1: by these you know, these trade restrictions. Um. So you know, 68 00:03:45,000 --> 00:03:48,080 Speaker 1: pluses on one side, minuses on the other. Okay, Ian 69 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 1: good stuff always a pleasure. Thanks for making time for US. 70 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 1: Ian King covers the semiconductor industry for US at Bloomberg