WEBVTT - Trump Facebook Ban Upheld for Now

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Karl Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovik. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the world to business and finance,

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<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all partnising the power of Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

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<v Speaker 1>analysts in more than one and twenty countries. You can

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<v Speaker 1>download Bloomberg Business Week and iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot Com.

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<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. So US COVID nineteen cases

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<v Speaker 1>could see a sharp decline by July if nationwide vaccination

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<v Speaker 1>efforts continued to be successful. This was according to the

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<v Speaker 1>CDC President Biden, talking about children being vaccinated. Tim and

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<v Speaker 1>I covered that yesterday. Uh, and not only getting the

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine out to underserved communities here in the US, but

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<v Speaker 1>also around the world. Yeah, and we're also seeing companies

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<v Speaker 1>and businesses organizations start to do different things when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to people who are vaccinated and not vaccinated. As

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<v Speaker 1>we mentioned just a few minutes ago, baseball stadiums here

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<v Speaker 1>in New York City are going to segregate those who

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<v Speaker 1>have and have not been vaccinated? Right? Or figure it out?

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<v Speaker 1>All right? So and kind of in a world that

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<v Speaker 1>maybe there's gonna be a couple of different tracks. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>get to it though, with our daily check on COVID

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<v Speaker 1>coming to us a few days earlier this week, Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Ian LUs Bader, clinical Professor of Medicine at n y

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<v Speaker 1>U Land, going on the phone in New York City. Ian,

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<v Speaker 1>good to have you back with us. How are you good?

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<v Speaker 1>Always your pleasure, Carol and Tim hope you guys are well.

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<v Speaker 1>We're doing okay, We're feeling I think optimistic, it's safe

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<v Speaker 1>to say, right, Tim, Yeah, we are. You know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>funny we just had this conversation before we came to

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<v Speaker 1>Dr LUs Bader about comfort and doing things that we

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<v Speaker 1>did before the pandemic. And you know, I have been

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<v Speaker 1>driving into work, but I want to start taking the

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<v Speaker 1>subway again, and I'm wondering how we should feel about

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<v Speaker 1>those types of things. Wearing a mask, of course, and

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<v Speaker 1>being two weeks out from that second shot. Sure, I

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<v Speaker 1>think you should feel more confident. I've been on the

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<v Speaker 1>subway and watched it go from literally deserted, maybe a

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<v Speaker 1>few homeless people to really quite crowded. So you do

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<v Speaker 1>need to be a little prepared for possible having people

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<v Speaker 1>sitting next to you a little under six ft, So

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<v Speaker 1>do not expect ideal circumstances, whether it's at the ballfield

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<v Speaker 1>or at the restaurant. But I do think if people

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<v Speaker 1>have had their two vaccines, uh, and they've waited two weeks,

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<v Speaker 1>based on what we're seeing, it's much more reassuring. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think America, unlike other parts of the world, should

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<v Speaker 1>really buy the summer, really be able to return to

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<v Speaker 1>a much more normal lifestyle. Again, barring any new changes

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<v Speaker 1>such as appearance of variants that are resistant and so forth.

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<v Speaker 1>We've really done a pretty good job at getting towards

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<v Speaker 1>We're not quite at herd immunity, but we're certainly getting

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<v Speaker 1>very close to it, and I think that it's all

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<v Speaker 1>really according to plan and going fairly well. How do

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<v Speaker 1>you getting kids vaccinated? We heard the President talk about that,

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<v Speaker 1>waiting for FDA approval on that, But how do you

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<v Speaker 1>getting kids vaccinated? Dr les Bader get us towards that

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<v Speaker 1>hurt immunity. Well, I think getting kids vaccinated still a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of sense, you know, certainly initially, Uh, we want

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<v Speaker 1>to wait for safety data. But kids get many vaccines momps, measles, rebella,

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<v Speaker 1>appatitis B long before they're going to be exposed to it.

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<v Speaker 1>And even though kids generally do very well, in other words,

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<v Speaker 1>if they do get COVID, they bounce back very well,

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<v Speaker 1>we are seeing some evidence that maybe early COVID exposure

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<v Speaker 1>may predisposed to diabetes or other longer term problems that

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<v Speaker 1>we are not you know, that are just beginning to appear.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think not only um, does vaccinating children make

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<v Speaker 1>sense to reduce transmission to older adults, but it may

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<v Speaker 1>protect the kids from further complications from COVID nineteen that

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<v Speaker 1>we're just beginning to see on the horizon. Do you

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<v Speaker 1>expect that a vaccine will be approved for children ages

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<v Speaker 1>two and up by the end of this year. I

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<v Speaker 1>think by the end of this year that's that's quite likely.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that is reasonable. Uh. You know, again, it's

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<v Speaker 1>not an absolute rush, because it's not like kids are

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<v Speaker 1>the most vulnerable. But I think we want to wait

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<v Speaker 1>for the studies and safety data. But I do think

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<v Speaker 1>by the end of the year that should be out

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<v Speaker 1>and I think it will become at least for the

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<v Speaker 1>next two years, part of a routine um vaccination schedule,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, until we really have eliminated worldwide the pandemic,

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<v Speaker 1>which may take more than a year or two to

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<v Speaker 1>work its way through. Unfortunately. So new US guidance for

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<v Speaker 1>children at summer camps is quote stringent, and we heard

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<v Speaker 1>that from Anthony Faucci, of course, the top White House

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<v Speaker 1>medical adviser, saying today suggesting rules maybe loosened as new

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<v Speaker 1>data comes in. Would you send kids to summer camp?

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<v Speaker 1>Would you send your kids to summer camp or if

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<v Speaker 1>they were of that age today, you know, I would

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<v Speaker 1>feel happier if they were vaccinated. UM. I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>a certain benefit to exercise, fresh air, outdoor activities, and

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<v Speaker 1>I think that can be done in a safe way.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think the benefits of school and camp uh

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<v Speaker 1>in a safe environment far outweigh the potential low risk

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<v Speaker 1>of a significant complication from COVID. So I think I'm balanced.

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<v Speaker 1>Everything's a risk, but I think getting kids out and

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<v Speaker 1>socially interacting and learning and all of those benefits I

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<v Speaker 1>think far outweigh the very small risk of actually getting

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<v Speaker 1>COVID over the summer one are the biggest questions that

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<v Speaker 1>you're getting from patients right now about what they can

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<v Speaker 1>and can do in the rest of the year for

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<v Speaker 1>the summer. You know. Unfortunately, there's been a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>conflicting data, and I think people really are confused about, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, do they have to wear masks, do they

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<v Speaker 1>not wear masks? Um And so when I tell my patients,

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<v Speaker 1>may not do what everyone tells their patients. I certainly

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<v Speaker 1>feel that outdoors there's really a minimal risk. Have you've

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<v Speaker 1>been vaccinated, There is no reason to wear a mask outside.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, we do see that influenza and other respiratory

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<v Speaker 1>diseases are much lower this year, so there is some

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<v Speaker 1>rational and if you want to wear a mask, that's fine,

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<v Speaker 1>but there's really no evidence that you're going to get

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<v Speaker 1>COVID if you're socializing, you know, not too close you know, outdoors.

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<v Speaker 1>I think indoors, if it's your group and your pot

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<v Speaker 1>and people have been vaccinated, I also think that's a

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<v Speaker 1>relatively safe environment. And I think of corporations, for example,

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<v Speaker 1>say you know, if you can prove you've been vaccinated,

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<v Speaker 1>come back to the office. Many people miss the office socially,

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<v Speaker 1>but also from a productivity point of view. I also

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<v Speaker 1>understand people reluctant to go back, and really what I

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<v Speaker 1>tell them is, you may be reluctant, but if you've

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<v Speaker 1>been vaccinated, there's no scientific evidence what you cannot go

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<v Speaker 1>back to the office. Let's get right back to it

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<v Speaker 1>with Dr Ian LUs Beta, clinical professor of medicine at

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<v Speaker 1>and Yu Lango in a medical center. He joins us

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from New York City. Dr LUs better

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<v Speaker 1>to the point of what Charlie was talking about the

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<v Speaker 1>relationship that companies have with their workers, to what extent

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<v Speaker 1>they play in the inoculation process. And a survey from

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<v Speaker 1>April by Arizona State University and the Rockefeller Foundation found

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<v Speaker 1>that six companies in North America planned offer vaccine incentives

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<v Speaker 1>to workers, would inoculate workers at company facilities, but also

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<v Speaker 1>that of these companies would require vaccinations for workers. UM

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<v Speaker 1>a third of the companies that should not plan to

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<v Speaker 1>encourage vaccines but wouldn't require them. From your perspective, which

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<v Speaker 1>is the right move here? Is it making it mandatory?

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<v Speaker 1>Is it offering incentives? What do you think? I like

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<v Speaker 1>the incentive approach, you know, I think making anything mandatory, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>that is really certainly that's not FDA approved, would would

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<v Speaker 1>be uh challenging. But I think we need to educate

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<v Speaker 1>and incentivize people. The more things you make mandatory, h,

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<v Speaker 1>I think there's always a potential risk of pushback. We

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<v Speaker 1>do a number of things that don't always make complete sense.

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<v Speaker 1>For example, in many communities, children before in kindergarten or

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<v Speaker 1>first grade have to take hepatitis B vaccine. That's a

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<v Speaker 1>potential std the actual incident, so that is fairly low. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>Yet in many communities that's required and they're not even

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<v Speaker 1>going to need that for twelve years so or or

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<v Speaker 1>more you know when when people become sexually active, or

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's possibly even longer. So I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>we have to really think carefully before we make something mandatory.

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<v Speaker 1>I think educating people, incentivizing people, reassuring people makes a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of sense. Um. Certainly in the healthcare community, we

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<v Speaker 1>do have to have flu shots really unless we have

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<v Speaker 1>a whole variety of effort to get an excuse when

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing patients. I think the COVID vaccines that we

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<v Speaker 1>have makes sense. I think they're effective, I think they're

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<v Speaker 1>low risk. Uh. Making them mandatory, that's that's more of

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<v Speaker 1>a challenge, and I would definitely try and incentivize people. First. Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>so I gotta ask you, Dr Les Paider, a loyal

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<v Speaker 1>listener and someone on the Bloomberg saying to me, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so what is low risk? Can you quantify it when

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<v Speaker 1>you say something is low risk or taking this vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>is low Ask whether it's for adults, whether it's for kids.

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<v Speaker 1>What is low risk in the medical world? Is it temporary?

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<v Speaker 1>Give me an idea. No, I think that's great. And

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we often sort of hedge when we talk

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<v Speaker 1>about this, and they sound like a loyal listener and

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<v Speaker 1>and probably have called in before, which is great. It's

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<v Speaker 1>great to get, you know, audience feedback on and they

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<v Speaker 1>like you. They like you. They just want to know

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<v Speaker 1>what is low risking. So in any individual, it's hard

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<v Speaker 1>to state your specific risk right because we don't know

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<v Speaker 1>your underlying immune system, your underlying disease, your underlying clotting issues.

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<v Speaker 1>But we know when we look at really now hundreds

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<v Speaker 1>of millions of vaccines, we know the the number of

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<v Speaker 1>cases of same mortality very very we're talking you know,

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<v Speaker 1>perhaps you know a hundred people out of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of hundred million vaccines, and part of the

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<v Speaker 1>other problem with that is there's some more cality that happens,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's sometimes hard to tie someone who dies of

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<v Speaker 1>a heart attack two days after a shot, what's the

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<v Speaker 1>would they have died from that anyway, So really getting

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<v Speaker 1>some of this data down is very challenging. We also

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<v Speaker 1>know the effectiveness. Again, out of a few hundred million

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines in the United States, only about five or six

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<v Speaker 1>thousand people get COVID, so we know it's, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>quite effective. So when I say low risk, we're talking

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<v Speaker 1>certainly in in single percentages of complications. If you're that

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<v Speaker 1>one percent or two percent who develops fever or dion beret,

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<v Speaker 1>which is a paralytic condition. But we see that with

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<v Speaker 1>a flu shot, we see that with other vaccines, and

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<v Speaker 1>sometimes we see it even unrelated to a vaccine. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think all we can say is we are not

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<v Speaker 1>seeing a real predominance or worrisome numbers that would say, hey,

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<v Speaker 1>this this is a dangerous shot that unfortunately for an individual.

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<v Speaker 1>It's very hard to say what one person specific risk is.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, but you gave us some guidelines, which is

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<v Speaker 1>good to know that it's under ten percent like it's

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<v Speaker 1>a low single you know percentage right, Um, did you

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<v Speaker 1>have another Christ? Well no, I just think you know,

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<v Speaker 1>from my own experience, it's just changed a lot about

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<v Speaker 1>how I feel about what's safe and what's not. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh absolutely, And I think the more specific week can

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<v Speaker 1>be we can kind of understand exactly what we're dealing with.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr ian Los Beader, have a good rest of the week.

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<v Speaker 1>I really appreciate it, Clinical professor of Medicine and why

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<v Speaker 1>you lend Go Medical Center on the phone in New York.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. So Bloomberg's Bradstone

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<v Speaker 1>is no doubt about the go to voice when it

0:11:38.600 --> 0:11:40.439
<v Speaker 1>comes to Amazon. Wrote a book about the company, you

0:11:40.520 --> 0:11:43.319
<v Speaker 1>might recall the Everything Store. Lucky for us, he went

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<v Speaker 1>back to do more, resulting in his new book, Uh

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<v Speaker 1>just coming out Amazon on Bound, Jeff Bezos and the

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<v Speaker 1>Invention of a Global Empire. Been looking forward to this

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<v Speaker 1>chat for all week, or actually for weeks. Let's get

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<v Speaker 1>more from Bradstone, Senior Executive Editor up Global Technology here

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg News. He is with us from Bureau in

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<v Speaker 1>San Francisco, along with Bloomberg business Week, get it or

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<v Speaker 1>Joel Weber, And I gotta tell you you guys, I

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<v Speaker 1>think we're just gonna do this for ten hours because

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<v Speaker 1>I just want to talk about everything Jeff Bezos and

0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:11.199
<v Speaker 1>everything Brad's book. I'm just gonna put that out there. Job.

0:12:11.480 --> 0:12:12.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if we can have Brad. I don't

0:12:12.880 --> 0:12:15.920
<v Speaker 1>know if we can have Brad for ten hours, but

0:12:15.920 --> 0:12:18.680
<v Speaker 1>but we'll take them for what we get. Isn't isn't

0:12:18.720 --> 0:12:20.720
<v Speaker 1>this a family program. I don't know if we're if

0:12:20.720 --> 0:12:24.680
<v Speaker 1>we're really able to talk about the ex for ten hours. Yeah,

0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:29.160
<v Speaker 1>it might be a little moro. So this story, um, Brad,

0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:32.400
<v Speaker 1>that that you know, we excerpted from your book is

0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:35.439
<v Speaker 1>one that kind of broke the internet when it happened,

0:12:35.520 --> 0:12:39.360
<v Speaker 1>but we we only really knew, Um the part that

0:12:39.440 --> 0:12:42.080
<v Speaker 1>came out at the moment, and what you brought to

0:12:42.200 --> 0:12:45.800
<v Speaker 1>the book and into the pages of Business Week is

0:12:45.840 --> 0:12:48.240
<v Speaker 1>a lot of color behind the scenes and and the

0:12:48.280 --> 0:12:52.080
<v Speaker 1>great untold story of how Jeff Bezos basically took probably

0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:55.840
<v Speaker 1>what was a low moment in his life and used

0:12:55.880 --> 0:12:58.559
<v Speaker 1>it to turn the tables. And we're talking about the

0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:03.240
<v Speaker 1>National enquired National Choir story that um was basically about

0:13:03.320 --> 0:13:07.800
<v Speaker 1>his affair. Um, so, so how did you approach a

0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:10.680
<v Speaker 1>writing this this story? And then like how did you

0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:14.079
<v Speaker 1>how does that tie into the book itself? Right? Yeah,

0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:16.080
<v Speaker 1>thanks Joel. Well, first of all, just to put it

0:13:16.120 --> 0:13:18.000
<v Speaker 1>into a little bit of context, I was about a

0:13:18.080 --> 0:13:21.040
<v Speaker 1>year into writing this book, as Carol said, a sequel

0:13:21.080 --> 0:13:23.199
<v Speaker 1>to The Everything Store, which I thought was gonna be

0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:26.560
<v Speaker 1>a nice, boring business book about the last ten years

0:13:26.600 --> 0:13:30.120
<v Speaker 1>and the rise of the continued rise and domination of Amazon,

0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:33.600
<v Speaker 1>with a little you know, ominous antitrust specter hanging over it,

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:36.640
<v Speaker 1>and you know, and then Jeff tweets his divorce from

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:40.320
<v Speaker 1>Mackenzie and the medium post and the National Enchoir package

0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 1>and what was left from you know, that moment, Joel,

0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:44.600
<v Speaker 1>where you which you described as kind of breaking the

0:13:44.640 --> 0:13:47.200
<v Speaker 1>internet was a little bit of a sense of ambiguity.

0:13:47.240 --> 0:13:49.360
<v Speaker 1>It was like, well, wait, did the brother do it?

0:13:49.440 --> 0:13:52.520
<v Speaker 1>Did MBS do it? Who? How did the inquiry get

0:13:52.559 --> 0:13:55.680
<v Speaker 1>the story? Was Trump involved? And Bezos and his his

0:13:55.760 --> 0:13:59.360
<v Speaker 1>advocates were very clever, I think, in in casting sort

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:02.840
<v Speaker 1>of political aspersions, wrapping themselves up in the mantle of

0:14:02.880 --> 0:14:05.680
<v Speaker 1>the Washington Post and the journalistic mission. And so my

0:14:05.760 --> 0:14:07.960
<v Speaker 1>goal as I got into it was, you know, to

0:14:08.000 --> 0:14:11.840
<v Speaker 1>try to avoid I guess some of the sensationalism and

0:14:11.840 --> 0:14:15.080
<v Speaker 1>and but but described you know what happened? How did

0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Bezos really come out on top? As the cover says,

0:14:18.200 --> 0:14:21.040
<v Speaker 1>Jeff wins he always seems to win. Um, and what

0:14:21.080 --> 0:14:23.160
<v Speaker 1>does it say about his kind of tactics? And so,

0:14:23.480 --> 0:14:25.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, I just tried to talk to everyone, get

0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:28.240
<v Speaker 1>close to the investigation into the whole thing by the

0:14:28.280 --> 0:14:31.400
<v Speaker 1>FBI and the Southern District of New York and figure out, Okay,

0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:34.720
<v Speaker 1>you know what what happened and and um, you know,

0:14:34.760 --> 0:14:37.480
<v Speaker 1>as as Jeff maneuvered through it, what can we learn

0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:40.120
<v Speaker 1>from that? So what did happen? Did it it didn't

0:14:40.120 --> 0:14:43.800
<v Speaker 1>actually have anything to do with Saudi Arabia or or

0:14:44.000 --> 0:14:47.800
<v Speaker 1>or President Trump? Right, that is the question. And what

0:14:47.880 --> 0:14:50.880
<v Speaker 1>I say in the book is, and it's represented in

0:14:50.880 --> 0:14:53.240
<v Speaker 1>the in the Business Week story this week, is that

0:14:53.320 --> 0:14:55.960
<v Speaker 1>based on the evidence that we have at the current moment,

0:14:56.040 --> 0:15:00.120
<v Speaker 1>and based on the conclusions of federal prosecutors in New York,

0:15:00.920 --> 0:15:04.280
<v Speaker 1>that it seems like Akham's razor applies here. The simplest

0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:07.040
<v Speaker 1>solution was was the was the right one? Which is

0:15:07.080 --> 0:15:11.200
<v Speaker 1>that um, you know, the brother Michael Sanchez gave the

0:15:11.240 --> 0:15:15.800
<v Speaker 1>story to the National Enquirer. UM. And there's really no evidence,

0:15:16.200 --> 0:15:20.120
<v Speaker 1>um to suggest that there were any political motives involved,

0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:25.440
<v Speaker 1>UM or that any any international conspiracy was involved. There

0:15:25.480 --> 0:15:28.680
<v Speaker 1>there is I wouldn't say there's evidence. I would say

0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:33.280
<v Speaker 1>there's circumstantial evidence that MBS hacked bezos phone. UM. But

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:35.200
<v Speaker 1>there are a lot of questions about the f T

0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:38.960
<v Speaker 1>I UH, the the the agency that did that investigation,

0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:43.000
<v Speaker 1>that Bezos is camp hired to do that investigation. UM.

0:15:43.200 --> 0:15:45.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, the spy where that was involved is very

0:15:45.600 --> 0:15:47.960
<v Speaker 1>very hard to detect. So really they were looking at

0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:50.760
<v Speaker 1>the increase in data that came from his phone and

0:15:51.280 --> 0:15:53.880
<v Speaker 1>at the time, and and there's and there's no evidence,

0:15:53.920 --> 0:15:56.320
<v Speaker 1>and there's a lot of evidence to the contrary. There.

0:15:56.440 --> 0:15:59.920
<v Speaker 1>They're sworn statements that were filed in part of these cases,

0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:03.080
<v Speaker 1>and there was evidence email evidence that shows the inquiry

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:06.280
<v Speaker 1>getting the story from from Michael Sanchez and FIG trying

0:16:06.320 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>to piece together the mystery. Who was he even talking

0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:11.760
<v Speaker 1>about discovering it was Jeff Bezos and so you know

0:16:11.800 --> 0:16:14.840
<v Speaker 1>where I net it out again, may maybe something comes

0:16:14.840 --> 0:16:18.080
<v Speaker 1>out and this story so bizarre. Who knows what could happen,

0:16:18.120 --> 0:16:20.960
<v Speaker 1>but from the evidence we have, it really doesn't seem like,

0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:23.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, there were there were political winds blowing around

0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:26.200
<v Speaker 1>this thing at all, other than the fear that a

0:16:26.400 --> 0:16:28.920
<v Speaker 1>m I had that because of its, uh, you know,

0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:32.400
<v Speaker 1>the resolution of the Michael Cohen case and it's a

0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 1>peace treaty with the Southern District of New York. They

0:16:34.800 --> 0:16:38.520
<v Speaker 1>worried about being accused of having political motives, and that

0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:41.280
<v Speaker 1>did play a role because it forced him into into

0:16:41.320 --> 0:16:44.040
<v Speaker 1>trying to negotiate a settlement, which Bezos the accused them

0:16:44.040 --> 0:16:46.880
<v Speaker 1>of of extorting him. But other than that, I think

0:16:46.920 --> 0:16:49.280
<v Speaker 1>all that stuff was just noise. I think it's remarkable

0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:51.440
<v Speaker 1>is that I can just imagine the PR team behind

0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:53.720
<v Speaker 1>it say no, Jeff, don't anything or whatever, denied it,

0:16:53.960 --> 0:16:56.800
<v Speaker 1>and like he just comes out, you know, fighting really hard,

0:16:56.960 --> 0:16:59.600
<v Speaker 1>and as the cover says, he wins like it's just

0:16:59.680 --> 0:17:03.800
<v Speaker 1>from workaball Brad. And the question Carol is is like,

0:17:04.000 --> 0:17:06.240
<v Speaker 1>was it And I don't know the answer to this,

0:17:06.280 --> 0:17:09.760
<v Speaker 1>but was he deliberately manipulating kind of the world, wrapping

0:17:09.800 --> 0:17:11.600
<v Speaker 1>himself up? As I said in the Mantle of Them

0:17:11.760 --> 0:17:15.480
<v Speaker 1>Washington Post imputing political motives to the Inquirer. Was that

0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:19.639
<v Speaker 1>a deliberate and somewhat disingenuous defensive shield or did they

0:17:19.680 --> 0:17:22.639
<v Speaker 1>really think, uh, you know that that there could have

0:17:22.680 --> 0:17:26.400
<v Speaker 1>been these political this political or international conspiracy. I tend

0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:29.560
<v Speaker 1>to think that they genuinely thought, um that maybe you

0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:32.600
<v Speaker 1>know that maybe his enemies and he does have enemies

0:17:32.600 --> 0:17:35.200
<v Speaker 1>on the Washington Post, particularly during the age of Trump

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:38.760
<v Speaker 1>made a lot of enemies. Um. I think they genuinely

0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:42.119
<v Speaker 1>thought that there might be more to it. Um. But

0:17:43.520 --> 0:17:45.800
<v Speaker 1>you have to look back and not your head. You know,

0:17:46.040 --> 0:17:50.119
<v Speaker 1>it was super effective, right we all when you think

0:17:50.160 --> 0:17:52.760
<v Speaker 1>about sort of what he did and the personal sort

0:17:52.800 --> 0:17:56.080
<v Speaker 1>of trajectory there, people ended up sympathizing with him. He

0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:58.600
<v Speaker 1>took a stand, and he brought down the editor Dylan

0:17:58.600 --> 0:18:00.919
<v Speaker 1>Howard of the National Enquirer. So it was it was

0:18:00.920 --> 0:18:05.760
<v Speaker 1>super effective. Brad, what is this episode? What do you

0:18:05.760 --> 0:18:08.680
<v Speaker 1>feel like it illuminates about Jeff Bezos as a as

0:18:08.680 --> 0:18:11.240
<v Speaker 1>a business person and Jeff just got about forty seconds

0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:16.200
<v Speaker 1>or so left, right, Yeah, yeah, feel free to confuse,

0:18:19.440 --> 0:18:22.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, Joel, I just quickly go back to when

0:18:22.400 --> 0:18:25.000
<v Speaker 1>the Everything store came out, and do you remember they

0:18:25.040 --> 0:18:26.640
<v Speaker 1>didn't like the book, and they gave me a bunch

0:18:26.640 --> 0:18:29.840
<v Speaker 1>of one star reviews and and and mackenzie left one

0:18:29.880 --> 0:18:32.120
<v Speaker 1>at the time. And what struck me there is, Wow,

0:18:32.160 --> 0:18:36.520
<v Speaker 1>he found a totally unique way thinking outside the box

0:18:36.560 --> 0:18:39.159
<v Speaker 1>to try to throw an asterix next to next to

0:18:39.200 --> 0:18:41.399
<v Speaker 1>that work. And I, you know, frankly, I don't think

0:18:41.400 --> 0:18:43.520
<v Speaker 1>it was effective. But that's also what he did in

0:18:43.560 --> 0:18:48.120
<v Speaker 1>this case. He thought outside the box, outmaneuvered everyone. Um

0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:51.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, came up with this, this direct medium post

0:18:51.840 --> 0:18:54.960
<v Speaker 1>um one, the sympathist, came out on top. He's retiring

0:18:55.000 --> 0:18:57.679
<v Speaker 1>now as an icon of business. He The thing that

0:18:57.720 --> 0:18:59.639
<v Speaker 1>you learned from this is he always does things a

0:18:59.680 --> 0:19:02.919
<v Speaker 1>little it differently, and often it is ingenious. All right, Well,

0:19:02.960 --> 0:19:05.440
<v Speaker 1>our thanks to brad Stone, a k. Jeff Bezo. Sorry

0:19:05.480 --> 0:19:08.280
<v Speaker 1>you got me so immersed in it, so just like

0:19:08.359 --> 0:19:12.439
<v Speaker 1>lost myself. It's incredible, wishy great look luck with it

0:19:12.520 --> 0:19:15.240
<v Speaker 1>and it's the cover of the magazine this week. Brad Stone,

0:19:15.320 --> 0:19:17.679
<v Speaker 1>Senior Executive Veditor Global Tech. Check out his book, The

0:19:17.760 --> 0:19:21.080
<v Speaker 1>Untold Story of How Jeff Bezos Beat the Tabloids. It's

0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:23.600
<v Speaker 1>incredible and of course our thanks to Joe Webber Bloomberg

0:19:23.600 --> 0:19:27.560
<v Speaker 1>Business Week editor also Amazon on Bound It's coming out.

0:19:27.760 --> 0:19:36.840
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Radio. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week

0:19:36.960 --> 0:19:40.840
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic on

0:19:40.920 --> 0:19:45.119
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. All right, you are listening to Bloomberg Business

0:19:45.200 --> 0:19:47.679
<v Speaker 1>Week and just about sixty minutes to go until the

0:19:47.840 --> 0:19:50.760
<v Speaker 1>close of trading. Top story at this hour news hit

0:19:50.800 --> 0:19:53.880
<v Speaker 1>this morning Donald Trump remaining banned from posting on Facebook

0:19:53.880 --> 0:19:57.400
<v Speaker 1>for now, the company's independent Content oversight board ruling that

0:19:57.440 --> 0:19:59.679
<v Speaker 1>Tim leaving really the former US present with that is

0:20:00.040 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 1>most powerful tools for fundraising and you know, really kind

0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:07.080
<v Speaker 1>of leaves them out of the kind of political conversation

0:20:07.119 --> 0:20:09.200
<v Speaker 1>in a big way. It does. The Facebook Oversight Board

0:20:09.200 --> 0:20:11.880
<v Speaker 1>announcing that this morning, right at nine o'clock Wall Street time,

0:20:11.920 --> 0:20:14.439
<v Speaker 1>Kurt Wagner, who's based in San Francisco, was up early

0:20:14.480 --> 0:20:16.480
<v Speaker 1>and he was following every move from the company. He's

0:20:16.520 --> 0:20:18.879
<v Speaker 1>technology reporter for Bloomberg News and he joins us on

0:20:18.920 --> 0:20:21.919
<v Speaker 1>the phone from San Francisco. Kurt I sent out a

0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:24.000
<v Speaker 1>tweet this morning with a pull on it. It said,

0:20:24.080 --> 0:20:26.639
<v Speaker 1>is Trump going to be banned or not? You know what? What?

0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:28.520
<v Speaker 1>What is Facebook? Due to Trump, does it ban him

0:20:28.600 --> 0:20:31.080
<v Speaker 1>or or does it allow him back on the platform.

0:20:31.280 --> 0:20:33.400
<v Speaker 1>Now I realized I should have had a third option,

0:20:33.840 --> 0:20:38.800
<v Speaker 1>because this is kind of like punting it back to Facebook. Yeah,

0:20:38.840 --> 0:20:40.680
<v Speaker 1>you should have, and I guess I should have too,

0:20:40.680 --> 0:20:43.159
<v Speaker 1>because I I was definitely a little surprised by this

0:20:43.240 --> 0:20:46.240
<v Speaker 1>decision as well. I mean, I guess. The very short

0:20:46.280 --> 0:20:49.639
<v Speaker 1>summary is the board basically said Facebook made the right

0:20:49.720 --> 0:20:53.040
<v Speaker 1>choice on January six when it suspended Trump in the

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:56.920
<v Speaker 1>moment with you know, this riot going on. But they

0:20:57.000 --> 0:21:00.480
<v Speaker 1>said that Facebook's decision to make that suspension in definite

0:21:00.960 --> 0:21:03.520
<v Speaker 1>without any end in sight, without any kind of guidance

0:21:03.560 --> 0:21:05.880
<v Speaker 1>to him on when that would come to a close,

0:21:06.400 --> 0:21:09.280
<v Speaker 1>was not the right choice because that's not something that

0:21:09.280 --> 0:21:11.439
<v Speaker 1>Facebook actually has and it's rules or its terms of

0:21:11.440 --> 0:21:14.640
<v Speaker 1>service right now. So they're now kicking that decision back

0:21:14.680 --> 0:21:17.240
<v Speaker 1>to Facebook to say, Okay, we agree with your decision

0:21:17.280 --> 0:21:19.640
<v Speaker 1>to suspend them, but you can't just do it indefinitely.

0:21:19.680 --> 0:21:21.520
<v Speaker 1>You gotta put a timetable on this. And now it's

0:21:21.560 --> 0:21:24.280
<v Speaker 1>up to Facebook to decide whether that's a permanent ban

0:21:24.480 --> 0:21:26.120
<v Speaker 1>or if they're going to bring him back at some point.

0:21:26.119 --> 0:21:28.080
<v Speaker 1>And the former president coming out and calling them move

0:21:28.119 --> 0:21:30.520
<v Speaker 1>a total disgrace and embarrassment to our country. He says

0:21:30.520 --> 0:21:32.480
<v Speaker 1>free speech has been taken away from the president of

0:21:32.520 --> 0:21:34.920
<v Speaker 1>United States because the radical left lunatics are afraid of

0:21:34.960 --> 0:21:37.080
<v Speaker 1>the truth. He said this in a statement. What's interesting

0:21:37.119 --> 0:21:40.159
<v Speaker 1>what he didn't say it on Twitter because he couldn't

0:21:40.400 --> 0:21:42.919
<v Speaker 1>exactly well, and you know, what are your colleagues. Sarah

0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:45.000
<v Speaker 1>Fryar here at Bloomberg News put out a column and

0:21:45.000 --> 0:21:46.919
<v Speaker 1>she said, you know, we've got to maybe Facebook has

0:21:46.920 --> 0:21:49.159
<v Speaker 1>to expand its options on trumpet. You know, this is

0:21:49.200 --> 0:21:52.760
<v Speaker 1>not a black and white issue. And there I guess

0:21:53.040 --> 0:21:54.680
<v Speaker 1>many would argue that there needs to be If we

0:21:54.760 --> 0:21:57.879
<v Speaker 1>believe in free speech, that means everyone has a voice,

0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:00.400
<v Speaker 1>and so do we need to just a s book

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:02.639
<v Speaker 1>to other social media platforms have to figure out a

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:06.520
<v Speaker 1>way to allow these voices to be held to herd

0:22:06.760 --> 0:22:10.080
<v Speaker 1>rather hear. Yeah. I think Sarah had a good point

0:22:10.119 --> 0:22:13.440
<v Speaker 1>in her column, and and I actually agreed. I think

0:22:13.600 --> 0:22:16.159
<v Speaker 1>her conclusion at the end was basically, hey, you know,

0:22:16.280 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 1>let Facebook, excuse me, let Donald Trump back on Facebook,

0:22:19.480 --> 0:22:23.480
<v Speaker 1>but don't give him the kind of way to go

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:25.440
<v Speaker 1>viral that a lot of people have. Don't let people

0:22:25.440 --> 0:22:27.840
<v Speaker 1>like his stuff. Don't let people share his stuff, like

0:22:27.920 --> 0:22:29.560
<v Speaker 1>let him post there. If you want to go seek

0:22:29.560 --> 0:22:30.919
<v Speaker 1>it out, you can find it, But we're not going

0:22:30.960 --> 0:22:34.760
<v Speaker 1>to use Facebook technology to promote that necessarily to people.

0:22:34.760 --> 0:22:37.159
<v Speaker 1>I thought that could be potentially be a good common ground,

0:22:37.280 --> 0:22:39.439
<v Speaker 1>but really, I mean this, this is the same battle

0:22:39.480 --> 0:22:41.520
<v Speaker 1>Facebook faces in every country they operate, Right, How do

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:43.840
<v Speaker 1>you write one set of rules that applies to everyone

0:22:43.880 --> 0:22:47.280
<v Speaker 1>in the world, including world leaders like you know, former

0:22:47.320 --> 0:22:50.000
<v Speaker 1>President Trump. So I think this is a really really

0:22:50.040 --> 0:22:52.040
<v Speaker 1>challenging issue, and we didn't really get the answer this

0:22:52.080 --> 0:22:54.199
<v Speaker 1>morning that maybe we had all hoped would kind of

0:22:54.200 --> 0:22:56.560
<v Speaker 1>clear things up. Ker what are the repercussions of this?

0:22:56.600 --> 0:22:58.480
<v Speaker 1>And I mean in Washington, d C. What are the

0:22:58.480 --> 0:23:01.159
<v Speaker 1>political repercussions of this? Because if there is something that

0:23:01.280 --> 0:23:05.960
<v Speaker 1>unites Democrats and Republicans right now, it is a disdain

0:23:06.200 --> 0:23:10.520
<v Speaker 1>for you know, quote unquote big tech. Well, Facebook is

0:23:10.520 --> 0:23:13.679
<v Speaker 1>obviously facing some real threats of regulation at the moment,

0:23:13.840 --> 0:23:16.639
<v Speaker 1>and I think the issue here is that had the

0:23:16.680 --> 0:23:19.639
<v Speaker 1>board simply said, hey, you know, Trump should his account

0:23:19.640 --> 0:23:22.600
<v Speaker 1>should come down or stay up, they could kind of

0:23:22.600 --> 0:23:25.560
<v Speaker 1>say listen, we're just following the advice of this outside group. Now,

0:23:25.600 --> 0:23:29.080
<v Speaker 1>suddenly Facebook has to make this decision again, right, and

0:23:29.160 --> 0:23:32.159
<v Speaker 1>so when they do, they're going to be held accountable

0:23:32.200 --> 0:23:34.520
<v Speaker 1>for that decision in the same way that they are

0:23:34.560 --> 0:23:36.800
<v Speaker 1>for all their content. And so I think if you're

0:23:37.000 --> 0:23:40.000
<v Speaker 1>a Republican and they choose to leave Trump's countdown, you're

0:23:40.040 --> 0:23:43.080
<v Speaker 1>gonna say, hey, this is you know, censorship, this is overstepping.

0:23:43.080 --> 0:23:46.200
<v Speaker 1>And if you're a liberal and they do the opposite,

0:23:46.240 --> 0:23:47.720
<v Speaker 1>you know you're gonna have issues with that as well.

0:23:47.760 --> 0:23:49.920
<v Speaker 1>So I really just think just put them right smack

0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:53.320
<v Speaker 1>in the middle of their content issues and forgive me

0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:57.199
<v Speaker 1>just who is on that oversight board. This is a

0:23:57.200 --> 0:24:02.000
<v Speaker 1>collection of lawyers, former journalists, form or politicians. Um, it's

0:24:02.040 --> 0:24:05.639
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of an impressive group of academics and and

0:24:05.760 --> 0:24:08.080
<v Speaker 1>folks who I guess think about this stuff in some

0:24:08.119 --> 0:24:10.920
<v Speaker 1>ways for a living. But they are not Facebook employees.

0:24:10.960 --> 0:24:13.760
<v Speaker 1>They're meant to be independent on Facebook, even though the

0:24:13.760 --> 0:24:16.560
<v Speaker 1>company did set up this board and does actually pay

0:24:16.600 --> 0:24:19.159
<v Speaker 1>them through a different funds that they have. Well, and

0:24:19.200 --> 0:24:23.879
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting too because we know that political, uh, social

0:24:23.880 --> 0:24:27.240
<v Speaker 1>media content, I mean this has become fairly lucrative right

0:24:27.280 --> 0:24:31.600
<v Speaker 1>for social media platforms. Yes, and no, I mean I

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:35.040
<v Speaker 1>think political content brings a lot of people to them

0:24:35.440 --> 0:24:37.840
<v Speaker 1>to these platforms to discuss this kind of stuff. But

0:24:37.920 --> 0:24:40.840
<v Speaker 1>in terms of you know, political advertising money for example,

0:24:40.840 --> 0:24:43.840
<v Speaker 1>it's a very very small part of the overall revenue

0:24:43.840 --> 0:24:46.040
<v Speaker 1>that these companies make. I do think though, if you

0:24:46.080 --> 0:24:48.200
<v Speaker 1>simply said, hey, you can't talk politics on on these

0:24:48.200 --> 0:24:50.720
<v Speaker 1>social networks. I mean, that's just a huge part of

0:24:50.920 --> 0:24:53.680
<v Speaker 1>any cultural conversation. So I feel like that is where

0:24:53.680 --> 0:24:55.600
<v Speaker 1>they would be hurt more than the actual you know,

0:24:55.800 --> 0:24:59.040
<v Speaker 1>ad revenue for example. So okay, so what's the next

0:24:59.160 --> 0:25:01.879
<v Speaker 1>date we're waiting? Mean, is the clock ticking once again

0:25:01.920 --> 0:25:04.880
<v Speaker 1>on a decision by Facebook about whether or not he's

0:25:04.920 --> 0:25:08.960
<v Speaker 1>banned forever or he gets to come back? There is, Yes,

0:25:09.080 --> 0:25:12.480
<v Speaker 1>the board basically challenge Facebook to make this decision in

0:25:12.520 --> 0:25:14.800
<v Speaker 1>the next six months. Doesn't mean that it will be

0:25:14.880 --> 0:25:16.440
<v Speaker 1>six months from now. It just means it has to

0:25:16.480 --> 0:25:19.080
<v Speaker 1>happen sometime in that next six months. It could happen

0:25:19.080 --> 0:25:21.720
<v Speaker 1>in theory next week. My guesses that will take a

0:25:21.760 --> 0:25:25.040
<v Speaker 1>little bit longer than that. But yes, sometime within the

0:25:25.080 --> 0:25:27.840
<v Speaker 1>next six months, we should have a second answer to

0:25:28.240 --> 0:25:32.080
<v Speaker 1>whether this account should stay up, go back up, or

0:25:32.119 --> 0:25:34.080
<v Speaker 1>stay down. So Kurt what's the message to everybody else

0:25:34.080 --> 0:25:36.240
<v Speaker 1>who's out there thinking Twitter, I'm taking other social media?

0:25:36.280 --> 0:25:37.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, are they just kind of watching to see

0:25:37.920 --> 0:25:40.600
<v Speaker 1>how Facebook ultimately handles it and that they will determine

0:25:40.600 --> 0:25:43.119
<v Speaker 1>their policies, or like I just do wonder, is everybody

0:25:43.160 --> 0:25:46.440
<v Speaker 1>going to act kind of as a group to group here? Well,

0:25:46.480 --> 0:25:49.320
<v Speaker 1>both Twitter and Snapchat had said that their bands as

0:25:49.359 --> 0:25:52.160
<v Speaker 1>President Trump are permanent no matter what happens is Facebook,

0:25:52.200 --> 0:25:55.359
<v Speaker 1>so we can set them aside. They taking the ground

0:25:55.359 --> 0:25:57.520
<v Speaker 1>and said we're not going to change. I think, you know,

0:25:57.600 --> 0:26:01.119
<v Speaker 1>YouTube and others are probably looking closely here because you're right.

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:03.720
<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of these companies oftentimes we see

0:26:03.800 --> 0:26:07.280
<v Speaker 1>with you know, Q and on or with other troublemaker users,

0:26:07.359 --> 0:26:10.640
<v Speaker 1>they often kind of work in unison um and there's

0:26:10.640 --> 0:26:12.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of public opinion. I think that weighs into that.

0:26:12.920 --> 0:26:15.960
<v Speaker 1>So I think whatever Facebook ultimately decides will probably set

0:26:15.960 --> 0:26:18.280
<v Speaker 1>a standard of sorts for a lot of others. But again,

0:26:18.720 --> 0:26:21.040
<v Speaker 1>Twitter's Twitter has already banned the president no matter what,

0:26:21.240 --> 0:26:23.520
<v Speaker 1>so you know they've already made their decision. It's funny

0:26:23.520 --> 0:26:26.200
<v Speaker 1>because smile. It's it's funny because we all thought the

0:26:26.200 --> 0:26:28.199
<v Speaker 1>story would be over you know, either yes or no,

0:26:28.480 --> 0:26:30.480
<v Speaker 1>and then here we are. Clock is taking six months

0:26:30.520 --> 0:26:35.480
<v Speaker 1>another decisions. Yeah right, I mean what we've learned President

0:26:35.520 --> 0:26:39.679
<v Speaker 1>Trump's presidency is never over, apparently, and it will just

0:26:39.720 --> 0:26:42.760
<v Speaker 1>continue to linger. So in the world of social media,

0:26:42.800 --> 0:26:46.000
<v Speaker 1>he's just got a huge he's got a huge tale here. Yeah,

0:26:46.119 --> 0:26:48.800
<v Speaker 1>absolutely all right. Hey, good stuf. Kurt Wagner Technology put

0:26:48.880 --> 0:26:57.080
<v Speaker 1>up Bloomberg News on the phone in San Francisco, the Journal. Yeah,

0:26:57.160 --> 0:27:02.159
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive. Oh no, no, no no, no, home, honey, please,

0:27:02.280 --> 0:27:12.880
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the right rivel. I want to drive the question.

0:27:20.320 --> 0:27:23.840
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the globe COMMUNI thanks. We'll

0:27:23.840 --> 0:27:29.320
<v Speaker 1>try us down on Bloomberg Radio just about not in

0:27:29.359 --> 0:27:31.679
<v Speaker 1>a half minutes left today's trading session. Let's get to

0:27:31.720 --> 0:27:34.960
<v Speaker 1>it with Michael Sheldon, executive director and chief investment Officer

0:27:35.000 --> 0:27:38.280
<v Speaker 1>at High Tower r d M Financial Group based in Westport, Connecticut,

0:27:38.480 --> 0:27:41.600
<v Speaker 1>and that's where he joins us once again. Michael, good

0:27:41.600 --> 0:27:44.360
<v Speaker 1>to have you back with us. How's it going very much? Yeah,

0:27:44.400 --> 0:27:48.399
<v Speaker 1>how's it going? No, thanks very much. So talk to

0:27:48.440 --> 0:27:50.920
<v Speaker 1>us a little bit about because it's been an interesting

0:27:50.960 --> 0:27:54.320
<v Speaker 1>two days. Yesterday we saw pressure on the tech community

0:27:54.320 --> 0:27:56.159
<v Speaker 1>and I think once again, everybody's like, oh my gosh,

0:27:56.240 --> 0:27:59.080
<v Speaker 1>what's happening with technologies? Talks? And today it seems like

0:27:59.119 --> 0:28:01.919
<v Speaker 1>everything is fine. So if you slept through yesterday, you

0:28:01.960 --> 0:28:04.560
<v Speaker 1>would have never even known the problems that everybody was

0:28:04.600 --> 0:28:06.800
<v Speaker 1>talking about yesterday. How do you see kind of what

0:28:07.000 --> 0:28:10.480
<v Speaker 1>is truly guiding the trades? Is it earnings? Is it

0:28:10.600 --> 0:28:14.800
<v Speaker 1>economic data? Is it inflation concerns? Is it uh, the

0:28:14.840 --> 0:28:17.960
<v Speaker 1>economic recovery? How do you see it? Well? I think

0:28:17.960 --> 0:28:19.960
<v Speaker 1>what's right. I think the important thing is that we're

0:28:19.960 --> 0:28:23.119
<v Speaker 1>in the early stages of a new economic expansion that

0:28:23.240 --> 0:28:26.239
<v Speaker 1>started after the downturn in early two thousand twenty. And

0:28:26.280 --> 0:28:29.919
<v Speaker 1>the markets have certainly staged a fairly strong advanced over

0:28:29.960 --> 0:28:32.400
<v Speaker 1>the past year or though, and that's certainly clear. There

0:28:32.480 --> 0:28:35.080
<v Speaker 1>certainly maybe some sectors or companies that are a little

0:28:35.080 --> 0:28:37.560
<v Speaker 1>bit ahead of themselves. But I think if you look

0:28:37.560 --> 0:28:39.760
<v Speaker 1>at some of the economic data, if you look at

0:28:39.760 --> 0:28:44.000
<v Speaker 1>things like retail sales, jobless claims are finally starting to improve,

0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:47.200
<v Speaker 1>some of the housing data, the I S M indices,

0:28:47.720 --> 0:28:49.480
<v Speaker 1>you can see they all point to a surge in

0:28:49.520 --> 0:28:53.000
<v Speaker 1>economic activity. I looked at today, for example, the Atlanta

0:28:53.040 --> 0:28:56.320
<v Speaker 1>said forecast, what GDP will be each quarter, and their

0:28:56.360 --> 0:28:58.200
<v Speaker 1>early read for second quarter g d P is a

0:28:58.240 --> 0:29:02.160
<v Speaker 1>whopping thirteen points in So I think we all sort

0:29:02.160 --> 0:29:05.880
<v Speaker 1>of knew that GDP was going to really jump after

0:29:06.240 --> 0:29:08.640
<v Speaker 1>last seeing some of the recent data. But that's certainly

0:29:08.640 --> 0:29:11.320
<v Speaker 1>an eye popping number, right, But it also dropped off

0:29:11.320 --> 0:29:14.080
<v Speaker 1>a cliff, you know, in the shutdown. So I always

0:29:14.120 --> 0:29:15.320
<v Speaker 1>think we have to be smart in terms of the

0:29:15.320 --> 0:29:18.520
<v Speaker 1>perspective here. Now, Yeah, I know that's important. So you know,

0:29:18.520 --> 0:29:20.120
<v Speaker 1>I was looking at some of the GDP data, and

0:29:20.160 --> 0:29:22.120
<v Speaker 1>the question is we all know that we're going to

0:29:22.200 --> 0:29:26.000
<v Speaker 1>see a pretty strong surgeon economic activity this summer and

0:29:26.080 --> 0:29:28.600
<v Speaker 1>probably into the fall. Uh. The one thing we were

0:29:28.600 --> 0:29:31.600
<v Speaker 1>looking at when GDP came out last quarter, just a

0:29:31.600 --> 0:29:33.440
<v Speaker 1>couple of weeks ago. I think it was six point

0:29:33.520 --> 0:29:36.560
<v Speaker 1>four for the first quarter. One of the things that

0:29:36.600 --> 0:29:39.400
<v Speaker 1>we always look at as inventory levels, and the thing

0:29:39.480 --> 0:29:42.600
<v Speaker 1>that caught our eyes inventories were actually drawn down, So

0:29:42.680 --> 0:29:47.000
<v Speaker 1>inventories decreased by two points six percent. And what that means,

0:29:47.080 --> 0:29:49.960
<v Speaker 1>or the way to interpret that is the economy is expanding,

0:29:50.000 --> 0:29:53.760
<v Speaker 1>but inventories were drawn down, drawn down, so that basically

0:29:53.840 --> 0:29:56.680
<v Speaker 1>leads us to think that there's sort of growing pent

0:29:56.760 --> 0:29:59.640
<v Speaker 1>up demand. Manufacturers are going to have to continue to

0:29:59.720 --> 0:30:03.040
<v Speaker 1>inc priests increased production in order to meet demand, and

0:30:03.360 --> 0:30:06.360
<v Speaker 1>that should keep the economy humming. That along with the

0:30:06.400 --> 0:30:10.440
<v Speaker 1>fact that consumer savings rates are over right now and

0:30:10.440 --> 0:30:12.560
<v Speaker 1>and you see many states starting to open up, so

0:30:12.840 --> 0:30:15.960
<v Speaker 1>we have a significant amount of strong growth over the

0:30:15.960 --> 0:30:18.600
<v Speaker 1>next few quarters. But then from there, the crystal ball

0:30:18.640 --> 0:30:21.600
<v Speaker 1>gets a little cloudy, Mike, Michael McKee mentioned that about

0:30:21.600 --> 0:30:24.840
<v Speaker 1>the inventory rates being drawn inventory levels being drawn down,

0:30:24.840 --> 0:30:27.040
<v Speaker 1>and that means that you're going to have to see

0:30:27.040 --> 0:30:30.320
<v Speaker 1>people hire and ramp up activity. And Michael, it's not

0:30:30.360 --> 0:30:32.520
<v Speaker 1>just you, um, I think that a lot of CFOs

0:30:32.600 --> 0:30:34.640
<v Speaker 1>right now are thinking that that crystal ball is a

0:30:34.640 --> 0:30:36.720
<v Speaker 1>little foggy. We do see companies in the midst of

0:30:36.720 --> 0:30:40.160
<v Speaker 1>earning season not necessarily giving guidance much the disdain of

0:30:40.280 --> 0:30:42.720
<v Speaker 1>investors because they don't know exactly what is going to

0:30:42.800 --> 0:30:45.920
<v Speaker 1>happen when we think about and when when you think

0:30:45.960 --> 0:30:48.280
<v Speaker 1>about this recovery and this growth in GDP, to what

0:30:48.400 --> 0:30:51.520
<v Speaker 1>extent is the recovery priced into US equities right now

0:30:51.520 --> 0:30:54.080
<v Speaker 1>and where are the opportunities because there there has been

0:30:54.080 --> 0:30:57.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of a shrug, collective shrug with some pretty good

0:30:57.160 --> 0:31:01.040
<v Speaker 1>earnings numbers. Right, You're absolutely right. Fortunately we're not allowed

0:31:01.080 --> 0:31:03.480
<v Speaker 1>to to mention individual stocks, but I you know which

0:31:03.480 --> 0:31:05.320
<v Speaker 1>these companies are. So I was looking at some of

0:31:05.320 --> 0:31:09.200
<v Speaker 1>the large cap technology stocks and the leaders the top

0:31:09.240 --> 0:31:12.560
<v Speaker 1>four names, for example, produced some very strong growth of

0:31:13.600 --> 0:31:16.160
<v Speaker 1>in year over year sales last quarter, which are some

0:31:16.160 --> 0:31:18.360
<v Speaker 1>pretty strong numbers. And you know, we have a certain

0:31:18.360 --> 0:31:22.240
<v Speaker 1>amount of growth and technology in our portfolios because we

0:31:22.320 --> 0:31:23.800
<v Speaker 1>think you want to have that in order to meet

0:31:23.840 --> 0:31:27.120
<v Speaker 1>your long term investment goals since we're investment advisors. But

0:31:27.600 --> 0:31:30.000
<v Speaker 1>I think even though a lot of these technology companies

0:31:30.040 --> 0:31:32.160
<v Speaker 1>had very strong results, they were kind of met with

0:31:32.200 --> 0:31:34.360
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of a shrug from the markets. And

0:31:34.400 --> 0:31:36.400
<v Speaker 1>I think what you're seeing as investors are sort of

0:31:36.520 --> 0:31:39.120
<v Speaker 1>rotating into some of the areas of the market that

0:31:39.200 --> 0:31:43.400
<v Speaker 1>haven't really participated over the last several years. Um one

0:31:43.400 --> 0:31:46.000
<v Speaker 1>of the differences in this market versus the last several years,

0:31:46.000 --> 0:31:48.640
<v Speaker 1>it's not just technology this year. There are other parts

0:31:48.640 --> 0:31:51.520
<v Speaker 1>of the market participating. So, for example, we were not

0:31:51.600 --> 0:31:54.720
<v Speaker 1>giving up on technology, but we also have some exposure

0:31:54.760 --> 0:31:57.280
<v Speaker 1>in healthcare for example, which is a growth at a

0:31:57.320 --> 0:32:00.520
<v Speaker 1>reasonable price, and industrials as well. You want to be

0:32:00.520 --> 0:32:02.680
<v Speaker 1>a little more diversified this year as opposed to the

0:32:02.680 --> 0:32:04.600
<v Speaker 1>past several years, I think, well, and you kind of

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:08.200
<v Speaker 1>can be right in an economic recovery, but that's correct.

0:32:08.200 --> 0:32:10.760
<v Speaker 1>There are more areas where you're seeing a rebound in

0:32:10.760 --> 0:32:13.360
<v Speaker 1>in sales and profits over the past compared with the

0:32:13.360 --> 0:32:15.800
<v Speaker 1>past several years. And the other thing I would just

0:32:15.840 --> 0:32:18.000
<v Speaker 1>point out is one of the differences we see in

0:32:18.040 --> 0:32:20.880
<v Speaker 1>this environment also is unlike the past several years where

0:32:20.880 --> 0:32:24.120
<v Speaker 1>you really wanted to be massively overweight the US versus

0:32:24.120 --> 0:32:26.720
<v Speaker 1>foreign markets, we think this is ultimately going to turn

0:32:26.720 --> 0:32:29.400
<v Speaker 1>into a global recovery. So if you've been missing out

0:32:29.440 --> 0:32:31.800
<v Speaker 1>on foreign that's that's sort of a not a bad thing,

0:32:31.840 --> 0:32:33.440
<v Speaker 1>but you may want to take a look at your

0:32:33.440 --> 0:32:35.600
<v Speaker 1>foreign exposure and maybe start to think about adding to

0:32:35.640 --> 0:32:37.560
<v Speaker 1>that a little bit. Hey, what did you think of

0:32:37.640 --> 0:32:40.880
<v Speaker 1>everything that happened yesterday with with Janet Yellen? She later

0:32:40.920 --> 0:32:43.520
<v Speaker 1>clarified that she wasn't forecasting interest rate rises, but it

0:32:44.040 --> 0:32:46.560
<v Speaker 1>seemed to send some sort of message to the markets,

0:32:46.560 --> 0:32:49.640
<v Speaker 1>to the equity markets. Yeah, I mean that was certainly

0:32:49.800 --> 0:32:52.480
<v Speaker 1>on the surface, that's certainly looked like a misstep um

0:32:52.600 --> 0:32:55.040
<v Speaker 1>interest rate policy. And she should know better than everyone

0:32:55.080 --> 0:32:57.600
<v Speaker 1>else and she used to leave the FED. I wonder

0:32:57.680 --> 0:32:59.240
<v Speaker 1>I was kind of joking around. I was kind of

0:32:59.320 --> 0:33:01.600
<v Speaker 1>joking around yesterday, Michael. I was saying to Carol in

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:03.959
<v Speaker 1>the studio, do you think she has fomo? Like, you know,

0:33:04.280 --> 0:33:08.840
<v Speaker 1>she's kind of like really misses. As soon as I

0:33:08.840 --> 0:33:10.600
<v Speaker 1>saw that headline, sort of, I think it was late

0:33:10.600 --> 0:33:12.560
<v Speaker 1>in morning. I really thought the markets were going to

0:33:12.600 --> 0:33:15.440
<v Speaker 1>sell off in the afternoon. But when you think about it,

0:33:15.440 --> 0:33:18.440
<v Speaker 1>it almost nothing. Nothing is by chance, and so that

0:33:18.520 --> 0:33:21.480
<v Speaker 1>was probably a trial balloon, just the sort of you know,

0:33:21.520 --> 0:33:24.640
<v Speaker 1>the FED and the Treasury are working together. The FED

0:33:24.680 --> 0:33:26.880
<v Speaker 1>has been pumping out a hundred and twenty or hundred

0:33:27.000 --> 0:33:30.280
<v Speaker 1>forty billion dollars in debt and the treasures. The Treasury

0:33:30.320 --> 0:33:32.200
<v Speaker 1>has been buying some of that, so the two are

0:33:32.200 --> 0:33:35.800
<v Speaker 1>working together closely. But I think the interpretation is that

0:33:35.920 --> 0:33:38.720
<v Speaker 1>was probably maybe an early trial balloon, even though we're

0:33:38.720 --> 0:33:41.880
<v Speaker 1>not likely to see any change in FED policy anytime soon,

0:33:42.560 --> 0:33:49.200
<v Speaker 1>not quite a temper or our taper tantrum um. But nonetheless,

0:33:49.240 --> 0:33:51.920
<v Speaker 1>that's interesting and that's an interesting take on it. Where

0:33:51.960 --> 0:33:55.400
<v Speaker 1>don't you want to be in this market environment right now? Michael, Well,

0:33:55.560 --> 0:33:58.320
<v Speaker 1>keep in mind the economy is still expanding once that.

0:33:58.440 --> 0:34:00.920
<v Speaker 1>I was just looking at his earnings per share growth

0:34:00.920 --> 0:34:03.320
<v Speaker 1>at the beginning of this quarter that were forecasting about

0:34:03.600 --> 0:34:07.160
<v Speaker 1>twenty four percent growth, and now with about more than

0:34:07.200 --> 0:34:10.200
<v Speaker 1>two thirds of companies having reported earnings estimates for the

0:34:10.200 --> 0:34:13.240
<v Speaker 1>first quarter up at fort so you're going to continue

0:34:13.280 --> 0:34:16.359
<v Speaker 1>to see probably better than expected growth and better than

0:34:16.400 --> 0:34:19.560
<v Speaker 1>expected economic data for a while. And in that environment,

0:34:19.800 --> 0:34:22.640
<v Speaker 1>you probably you probably want to underweight some of the

0:34:22.680 --> 0:34:26.200
<v Speaker 1>more defensive parts of the market, like utilities and consumer staples.

0:34:26.760 --> 0:34:28.919
<v Speaker 1>Those are the areas you want to favor more once

0:34:28.960 --> 0:34:31.760
<v Speaker 1>the economy hits its peak and then starts to gradually

0:34:31.760 --> 0:34:34.399
<v Speaker 1>slow down, which is somewhere down the road. Yeah, which

0:34:34.400 --> 0:34:36.359
<v Speaker 1>is what the market is doing today. You're seeing some

0:34:36.440 --> 0:34:39.279
<v Speaker 1>of those interest rate sensitive those are some of your

0:34:39.360 --> 0:34:42.040
<v Speaker 1>drags on the market today, real estate, utilities there down,

0:34:42.040 --> 0:34:46.839
<v Speaker 1>consumer discretionary UH as well. Um, it's very interesting your

0:34:46.840 --> 0:34:48.520
<v Speaker 1>focal point right now at this point, is it just

0:34:48.560 --> 0:34:51.719
<v Speaker 1>the job's report come Friday. Yeah. I think Friday's jobs

0:34:51.719 --> 0:34:53.840
<v Speaker 1>report is certainly important. We're gonna get a big number.

0:34:54.200 --> 0:34:57.080
<v Speaker 1>The question is doesn't live up the expectations. We could

0:34:57.120 --> 0:34:59.640
<v Speaker 1>get a pullback or a correction. I think at any time,

0:34:59.640 --> 0:35:03.239
<v Speaker 1>but the direction of the economies towards stronger growth, and

0:35:03.280 --> 0:35:06.480
<v Speaker 1>we're still constructive looking ahead, although there maybe some bumps

0:35:06.480 --> 0:35:09.279
<v Speaker 1>in the road as we look ahead. Friday, Job's Day.

0:35:09.440 --> 0:35:11.799
<v Speaker 1>How are you reading into it? Very briefly, just about

0:35:11.840 --> 0:35:13.960
<v Speaker 1>thinking about, like what happens if if you miss it?

0:35:14.800 --> 0:35:16.399
<v Speaker 1>I think you want to look at a few things. Well,

0:35:16.560 --> 0:35:18.919
<v Speaker 1>if we missed the number it, even if it comes

0:35:18.920 --> 0:35:21.440
<v Speaker 1>in around eight hundred thousand, nine d thousand, I think

0:35:21.440 --> 0:35:23.480
<v Speaker 1>you want to look at the which is very crazy

0:35:23.520 --> 0:35:25.040
<v Speaker 1>to say that it's a miss, but you know the

0:35:25.040 --> 0:35:28.120
<v Speaker 1>context rough right, it could be a It could We

0:35:28.120 --> 0:35:30.359
<v Speaker 1>could be in a period of time looking ahead where

0:35:30.360 --> 0:35:33.120
<v Speaker 1>earnings and economic growth is very strong, but maybe a

0:35:33.160 --> 0:35:37.000
<v Speaker 1>meet expectations or misses expectations just a little bit, and

0:35:37.040 --> 0:35:39.000
<v Speaker 1>that will be interesting to see what the market's reaction

0:35:39.080 --> 0:35:41.920
<v Speaker 1>to that is. But I think I think we do

0:35:42.000 --> 0:35:45.160
<v Speaker 1>have we will have some continued strong economic growth fork

0:35:45.360 --> 0:35:48.239
<v Speaker 1>probably for several months ahead. Got it? Michael Sheldon over

0:35:48.239 --> 0:35:50.560
<v Speaker 1>at High Tower r D and Financial Thank you so much.

0:35:51.880 --> 0:35:54.760
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