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Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey Joe Pi Zapia and this

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Speaker 1: is BP NFL ITX Thursday Night Football. It's the New

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Speaker 1: England Patriots, the first place New England Patriots at home

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Speaker 1: taking on the lowly New York Jets. But the Jets

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Speaker 1: run a roll, They've won a couple of games, feeling

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Speaker 1: good right in New York. They're they're getting first round picks.

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Speaker 1: But I think they're running up against a tough assignment.

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Speaker 1: And I've been the guy all year long saying over

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Speaker 1: and over again to my good friend Scott Bogman, my colleague,

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Speaker 1: my cohort, my partner in crime, these Indivision games, Man,

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Speaker 1: they're closed a lot of times. You know, we get

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Speaker 1: the upsets. We had the Philly one, we had the

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Speaker 1: San fran one. We've had a bunch of them. I

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Speaker 1: think that trend ends on Thursday Night. I think this

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Speaker 1: is a blowout game. And I'm not you Look, this

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Speaker 1: is not even the Patriots fan of me talking. This

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Speaker 1: is just looking at these two teams saying the one

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Speaker 1: thing the Jets can do is run the football bogs

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Speaker 1: and that's the best thing that the Patriots are in

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Speaker 1: terms of what they can do defensively is stop the run.

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Speaker 1: No Garrett Wilson quarterback play has been terrible. I think

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Speaker 1: the Jets are in for some hard times. As Dusty

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Speaker 1: Rhodes might.

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Speaker 2: Say, Joe, let me tell you. If you think I'm

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Speaker 2: betting money on this game after what we saw last

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Speaker 2: Thursday on the results of this game, I'm not. So

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Speaker 2: I'll bet some props. There's some props that I like

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Speaker 2: in here. I like the under because I don't know

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Speaker 2: that the Jets are gonna score any points, So that's

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Speaker 2: kind of what I'll go with. But if you think

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Speaker 2: that I sat there and watched that disgusting Thursday night

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Speaker 2: game last week, I'm just gonna go right back to,

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Speaker 2: oh we're gonna see a ton of offense here.

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Speaker 3: It ain't happening.

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Speaker 1: So no, no, it might not be a ton of offense,

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Speaker 1: but I think it's gonna be a one sided game

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Speaker 1: to your And look, I'll say this too. I wasn't

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Speaker 1: here last week. I was on my bye week, so

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Speaker 1: I'm the good.

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Speaker 2: Luck charm falls touch bone nicks somehow, like just put

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Speaker 2: your hand on them, so you give them a couple

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Speaker 2: of ham.

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Speaker 1: Arey Pond bon Nicks. Look rub my bald head for

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Speaker 1: good luck. We're gonna make some money on Thursday night.

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Speaker 1: I've got some bets I feel very strongly about. Subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the channel, download the betting pros app, you know

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Speaker 1: what to do, hang out with us all season long. Look,

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Speaker 1: this is when I think the betting markets get really fun.

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Speaker 1: We really have an identity of these teams are, who

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Speaker 1: they aren't, how important these games are for certain teams

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Speaker 1: and how unimportant they are for others. So let's start

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Speaker 1: with the tail of the tape here for this contest

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Speaker 1: on Thursday night football. This opened up at eleven and

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Speaker 1: a half. And if you watched the show with me

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Speaker 1: and ericson on Monday, I told you lock in the

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Speaker 1: eleven because it's not gonna stay. It is not. I

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Speaker 1: think it was even eleven when it opened in some

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Speaker 1: other markets, right, eleven and a half, twelve. Now it's

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Speaker 1: thirteen in some other spots. It's just going to continue

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Speaker 1: to grow.

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Speaker 2: So mind I just imagine you and ericson seeing this

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Speaker 2: number and just you know, the like the clip of

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Speaker 2: the two guys in the car smoking cigars laughing their

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Speaker 2: head off.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I feel like that was it eleven and a half.

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Speaker 1: But this is Vrabel's first game against the Jets, right,

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Speaker 1: and there's a certain lure in the New England pantheon

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Speaker 1: here where you beat the crap out of the Jets.

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Speaker 1: When you get the Jets, that's what you do. And

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Speaker 1: if this was the Dolphins, I'd feel worse about this game.

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Speaker 1: I'll be honest with you. I'd be very like Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: They just be buffle, very uneasy. It's not it's the Jets, Okay.

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Speaker 1: So I feel very good about this, and I still

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Speaker 1: feel good about the twelve and a half. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: tell you my favorite of all the bets here on

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Speaker 1: these lines here in just a moment. But some markets

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Speaker 1: you're getting plus thirteen for the Jets, you're getting minus

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Speaker 1: twelve and a half for New England. That's the best

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Speaker 1: on the consensus line on betting pros forty two and

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Speaker 1: a half for the over, forty three and a half

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Speaker 1: of the under. I'm not touching that too many outcomes

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Speaker 1: in terms of like what could happen score wise, And

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Speaker 1: of course Jets on the money line plus six fifty, no,

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Speaker 1: thank you, you can have it. And stuff it in

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Speaker 1: a sack.

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Speaker 3: Mister.

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Speaker 1: My favorite bet here of all these when it comes

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Speaker 1: to the game Bogs is the Jets team total under

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Speaker 1: fourteen and a half. I love this. I think the

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Speaker 1: Jets are going to really struggle to score points. If

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Speaker 1: the Jets scored three points or less in this game,

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Speaker 1: it would not shock me. I think the Patriots at

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Speaker 1: home finally are going to you know, conquering heroes returning

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Speaker 1: the Crowd's going to be live, standalone game. I just

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Speaker 1: feel like they're going to take it to the Jets

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Speaker 1: and the Jets have a really hard time moving the football.

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Speaker 1: That's my take on it. Where do you like here?

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Speaker 1: If I have to twist your arm because I like

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Speaker 1: the props and not the.

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Speaker 2: Game, I'll give you my leans. My leans are I'm

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Speaker 2: not taking any team by double digits on Thursday night

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Speaker 2: football ever.

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Speaker 3: Again that's my leane.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna take the Jets as far as the

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Speaker 2: points go, because there's too many points on a Thursday

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Speaker 2: night with short rest and blah blah. But I like

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Speaker 2: the under. Like if there's something I like in this game,

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Speaker 2: it would be the under because I don't think the

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Speaker 2: Jets gonna score many points. I think we're going to

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Speaker 2: see this game get to maybe a two touchdown or

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Speaker 2: a ten point lead pretty quickly, and then we're going

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Speaker 2: to see a lot of rushing from your Patriots. So

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Speaker 2: I like the under in this game. I think this

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Speaker 2: is get up harass. The quarterback bleed the clock, and

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Speaker 2: there's no Garrett Wilson in this game. The receiving corps

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Speaker 2: is so unbelievably young. Resol is gonna have a lot

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Speaker 2: of touches in this game. Yeah, I just and I

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Speaker 2: think Davis is going to have a decent amount of

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Speaker 2: touches here as well. I just I don't like this

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Speaker 2: game at all. This is a gross Thursday night game.

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Speaker 2: And I got my rear end handed to me last Thursday.

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Speaker 1: So you got to learn to love again, man, You

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Speaker 1: know what I do.

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Speaker 2: I do love again. I love some of these props.

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Speaker 2: We'll get into them. Okay, I love some of these props.

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Speaker 1: But what about the Jets team total under? You like

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Speaker 1: that or on that?

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Speaker 3: Yes? I did like fifteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: I wish I got it there, I got it.

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Speaker 2: Listen if you if you want the final score from me,

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Speaker 2: I think it's going to be twenty four. To three,

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Speaker 2: right like that is a great That's the kind of

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Speaker 2: how I feel too, That's how I feel this game

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Speaker 2: is going to go. But I thought it was going

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Speaker 2: to be twenty eight to ten Broncos last week, and

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Speaker 2: the Broncos.

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Speaker 3: Couldn't move the ball.

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Speaker 1: So let's glean something from that, if we may. Let's

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Speaker 1: get let's get philosophical. Okay, let's having fun here, betting

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Speaker 1: pro show. No, no, just us, just the two of

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Speaker 1: us hanging out here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but Joe, you've seen only goes away from me. Well,

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Speaker 2: I know Thursday Night football.

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Speaker 3: I know you do. I know you do.

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Speaker 1: But but I like money and you like money. And

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Speaker 1: here's the thing. If we can glean from what we

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Speaker 1: see in Thursday Night with some of these lesser offenses

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Speaker 1: and with less time to repare being woefully underprepared, and

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Speaker 1: you factor in undermanned, I feel like a Hamilton. We're outgunned, outmanned,

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Speaker 1: out you know planned, We're all that stuff. This is

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Speaker 1: straight from Hamilton. And I'm telling you right now, the

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Speaker 1: Jets are in that scenario, which is why I think

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Speaker 1: the best thing to do is ignore all the spread,

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Speaker 1: ignore all the over unders, just go right for the

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Speaker 1: Jets team total and bet the under on it.

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Speaker 2: When you look at the thirty thousand foot view of

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Speaker 2: Thursday football later in the season, as we're you know,

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Speaker 2: past halfway marker now, is that these teams are more tired. Right,

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Speaker 2: They've been going through the gauntlet. They've had their by

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Speaker 2: most of them. I don't think the Jets have actually

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Speaker 2: had their by yet, but like a lot of these

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Speaker 2: teams have had their bye, they're going through the gauntlet

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Speaker 2: and this is a brutal stretch for them, like they

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Speaker 2: don't get a break and to play on four days rest.

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Speaker 2: That is what that is the culmination of what we

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Speaker 2: saw last Thursday. I don't think we're gonna get as

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Speaker 2: bad of a performance in this game. I don't think

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Speaker 2: the Patriots will do that, right. I think they're too

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Speaker 2: too much of a well oiled We've seen Boonicks struggle

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Speaker 2: for like the first three quarters of every game, so

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Speaker 2: maybe that should have been a little bit more predictable.

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Speaker 2: For myself, I just thought, you know, look, the Raiders

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Speaker 2: are a bad team. Max Crosby's not playing at one

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Speaker 2: hundred percent, which, by the way, don't ever say Max

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Speaker 2: Crosby's not going to play because he just always plays.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna say that about Carson Swessinger when he got

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Speaker 2: four to six weeks for the Browns as well. But

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Speaker 2: I just that game looked like a one sided game.

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Speaker 2: This game looked like a one sided game. It's later

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Speaker 2: in the season, these teams are a little more tired.

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Speaker 2: I just don't I don't respect what the Jets are

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Speaker 2: putting on the field right now.

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Speaker 3: I think that's exind of the bottom line.

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Speaker 1: Last yeah, I classed here by a wide think so,

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Speaker 1: and I don't think it's lost on the Patriots and

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Speaker 1: variable because he's a very good coach of saying. This

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Speaker 1: is an indivision game. This is a game where you win,

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Speaker 1: you continue to put yourself in the driver's seat for

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Speaker 1: a buye and you're winning that division. And so there's

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Speaker 1: a lot at stakecare for the New England Patriots. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's not just a game against the Jets. It's not

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Speaker 1: all that stuff. But also, of course we want to

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Speaker 1: shout out the sponsor of our show, and that's hard

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Speaker 1: Rock Bet. So right now is a great time to

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Speaker 1: And of course the stats hub is open for business too.

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Speaker 1: They got the trends of the streets. You can all

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Speaker 1: bet right now for Thursday night football. Plus there's NBA

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Speaker 1: eight eight Admit it. In Indiana if you are somebody

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Speaker 1: who know has a gambling problem and wants help, call

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Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, and New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

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Speaker 1: All right, Bobs, let's start with the props. Obviously, you know,

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Speaker 1: a rough week for you, as you said, so under

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Speaker 1: five hundred for the season. I have by bye week,

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Speaker 1: so I couldn't lose any bets last week, So that's

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Speaker 1: that's a positive. So let's talk about here. Let's start

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Speaker 1: with Breese Hall here and start with running back. You

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Speaker 1: know me, I'm taking the under on the yardage. More

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Speaker 1: to come later in that, but you're taking the under

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Speaker 1: on the rushing attempts, which I think is interesting.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and listen, my initial thought process and even my

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Speaker 2: takeaway on Monday's show Shoe was I think the Jets

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Speaker 2: are gonna ride Breese Hall until the wheels fall off,

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Speaker 2: and I continue to think that here even coming to

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Speaker 2: this game. But this is a short rest game. We

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Speaker 2: just saw Breesehall have a ton of touches on Sunday,

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Speaker 2: so RB ones on Thursday night football on short rest,

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Speaker 2: we're looking at that. So the winning team almost every

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Speaker 2: time has the guy with way more carries. Josh Jacobs

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Speaker 2: twenty three against Washington, James Cook nineteen against Miami. We

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Speaker 2: saw Ken Walker nineteen against Arizona. Christian McCaffrey in that

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Speaker 2: upset win against the Rams had twenty two. Scataboo in

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Speaker 2: the upset win against the Eagles had nineteen. Warren had

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Speaker 2: Warren and Brown. That one was a passing game obviously,

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Speaker 2: so sixteen and eleven for those guys. But Via Dell

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Speaker 2: twenty three in the win over the Vikings, Derek Henry

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Speaker 2: nineteen in the win over The only time that we've

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Speaker 2: seen running back cross the sixteen and a half and

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Speaker 2: be on the losing side was that weird game last

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Speaker 2: Thursday where gent had nineteen carries and the Broncos still

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Speaker 2: ended up winning. Dobbins had eighteen. Of course, left that

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Speaker 2: game with a foot injury, so if he didn't leave

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Speaker 2: with that, it's probably going to b Dobbins leading in

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Speaker 2: carries again. So I think we're going to see fewer touches,

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Speaker 2: a fewer rushes from Breis Hall. But I do think

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Speaker 2: that he gets a lot of targets because they're going

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Speaker 2: to be playing from behind.

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Speaker 3: There's no Garrett Wilson.

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Speaker 2: They may even split him out wide a couple of

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Speaker 2: times just because they're running out of options there. It's

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Speaker 2: Arian Smith and Tyler Johnson were leading this team in

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Speaker 2: wide receiver routes with ten last week. Now, that was

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Speaker 2: the disgusting game. They had the two kick returns and

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Speaker 2: weren't on offense very much and didn't put up a

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Speaker 2: lot of yards and all of that. But that game

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Speaker 2: was gross. So you know, the losing running back, like

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Speaker 2: I said, has only hit this once. I think the

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Speaker 2: Jets are gonna get down. They're twelve to thirteen and

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Speaker 2: a half point underdogs here, so I think we're going

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Speaker 2: to see a lot of running from the Patriots and

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Speaker 2: a lot of passing from the Jets in the second

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Speaker 2: half year.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so how does that affect Breese Hall potentially for

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Speaker 1: the passing numbers here for him? Do you have one

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Speaker 1: of you like there on the problem.

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Speaker 2: Let's let's take I love this number better too. It's

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Speaker 2: two and a half receptions and it's plus two money.

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Speaker 2: It's plus one nineteen No Garrett Wilson. This hasn't hit

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Speaker 2: since Week five, but they're heavy underdogs in this one,

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Speaker 2: and the recent games have all been one score winner

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Speaker 2: lose for the Jets.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 2: New England is allowing the most recept since the running

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Speaker 2: backs this year at six point one. Hall has had

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Speaker 2: at least three targets in all but two games, and

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Speaker 2: in both of those games those were the twenty plus

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Speaker 2: carry games, which again I don't think he's going to

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Speaker 2: hit in this game. It's possible he hits both of these, right,

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Speaker 2: just because they have no other weapons. I just don't

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Speaker 2: know that they'll possess the ball long enough for him

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Speaker 2: to have seventeen eighteen nineteen carries. Specifically, if they're playing

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Speaker 2: from behind, they're going to have to pass the ball

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Speaker 2: more than they want to. So I think that Bristol

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Speaker 2: over two and a half receptions at plus money, you know,

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Speaker 2: I don't hate. Fifteen and a half receiving yards is

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00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:37,760
Speaker 2: also a good one, so hate, I don't hate that one.

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Speaker 2: I would take that one as well, but the juice

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Speaker 2: is better on the reception, so give me the receptions

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Speaker 2: for the juice.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I like the small number in the plus money.

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Speaker 1: That's a good combination. All right, let's talk about the

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Speaker 1: MVP candidate. I can't believe in saying that Drake may here.

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Speaker 1: The rushing total for him is twenty one and a half,

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Speaker 1: and that's when.

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Speaker 3: You're taking the over on.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the why on that one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's had seven to nine carries for five straight weeks,

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Speaker 2: and the Jets are allowing the fifth most rushing yards

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Speaker 2: to quarterbacks this season at twenty five point nine. The

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Speaker 2: Jets are tied for twenty eighth in miss tackles and

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Speaker 2: they are twenty eighth in PFF's tackle grade as well.

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Speaker 2: So it's not just about the attempts. You know, you

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Speaker 2: break out the attempts, he slides, whatever he get picks

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Speaker 2: up four or five, it's seven to nine attempts, and

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Speaker 2: the fact that he's not gonna slide on occasion, he

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Speaker 2: will not slide, and he will take one pretty far.

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Speaker 2: So I think he breaks the majority of this on

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Speaker 2: one probably big run at some point. But I just

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Speaker 2: I really like this total specifically because the one good

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Speaker 2: thing that Jets have been doing on defense is putting pressure.

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Speaker 2: We saw Will McDonald have four sacks last week. That

321
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Speaker 2: was against Dylan Gabriel. Obviously Drake May is way better

322
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Speaker 2: than that. But I love this seven to nine attempts

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Speaker 2: per game for him. He's averaging close to five yards

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Speaker 2: per carry, So give him seven for thirty five. I

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Speaker 2: think that's a pretty gambre.

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Speaker 1: And Gabriel was running a muck on it Jets like

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Speaker 1: he just was like just I mean, they basically let him,

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Speaker 1: but still I was get they're gonna out of a control

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Speaker 1: in that fourth quarter or two a little bit where

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Speaker 1: he was like, hey, guys, you're gonna play defense or

331
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Speaker 1: what here? All right, let's go back to the Jets.

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Speaker 3: They can't play defense. You traded all your players fair enough,

333
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Speaker 3: fair enough?

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Speaker 1: I look, I think they in all fairness, the Jets,

335
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Speaker 1: I think fleece the Colts two number ones for Sauce

336
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Speaker 1: I think was an incredible get for them. No, I

337
00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:26,280
Speaker 1: think for the future they trade with the Cowboys. Yeah, well,

338
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Speaker 1: of course they're not. They have to actually make good

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Speaker 1: picks with the picks. That's the problem with the Jets.

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Speaker 1: That's the big problem. All right, Let's talk about tight

341
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Speaker 1: end Mason Taylor again. With no Garrett Wilson, does Taylor

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Speaker 1: get more looks here. Do you want to look for

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Speaker 1: receiving yards? You want to look for exceptions? How do

344
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Speaker 1: you want to go about Mason Taylor on Thursday?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this is an over for me. Thirty two and

346
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Speaker 2: a half receiving yards for him. The Patriots were torched

347
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Speaker 2: against Kate Otten last week. Splaine Gibbons, Mapu all over

348
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Speaker 2: the middle. We're targeted seventeen times. He gave up sixteen catches.

349
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Speaker 2: There's obviously no Garrett Wilson. We talked about how this

350
00:14:58,080 --> 00:15:00,960
Speaker 2: game is probably going to get out of hand fairly quickly.

351
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Speaker 2: I think a lot of passing in the second half

352
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Speaker 2: of the Jets, whether it's fields or Tyrod or any

353
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Speaker 2: the punter. I like, I don't know who is going

354
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Speaker 2: to be throwing the ball here obviously, but I know

355
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Speaker 2: it's going to be thrown. And I know that Mason

356
00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:17,920
Speaker 2: Taylor is probably their best target at this point on offense,

357
00:15:17,960 --> 00:15:19,680
Speaker 2: so I think he's going to get a bought a

358
00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:22,520
Speaker 2: lot of them. They got torched by Kate Atten last week,

359
00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:25,480
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think I think Taylor can go over this.

360
00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:28,560
Speaker 1: Okay, and last, but not least as of recording this,

361
00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:33,880
Speaker 1: ramondre Stevenson still questionable to play. There's no Travion Henderson numbers,

362
00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:38,440
Speaker 1: but Bog's considering the explosiveness that we saw last week

363
00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:42,000
Speaker 1: against Tampa, I'm pretty confident that if that number gets

364
00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:47,240
Speaker 1: set in the sixties, maybe potentially, let's say Ramondre's out,

365
00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:48,120
Speaker 1: what would you set.

366
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Speaker 3: That number at in your head, seventy two?

367
00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:53,200
Speaker 1: Okay, seventy two. If Ramandre plays, what is it like

368
00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:54,080
Speaker 1: sixty one?

369
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Speaker 2: Yeah, probably something like that, not much less, because I

370
00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,240
Speaker 2: think that even if from Andre does play, he's going

371
00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:04,120
Speaker 2: to be limited. This is on short rest. He was

372
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Speaker 2: limited in practice on Tuesday. We don't have the report

373
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Speaker 2: for Wednesday quite yet. I don't really care if he

374
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Speaker 2: plays or not. I'm taking the over on the trade.

375
00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:16,880
Speaker 2: In Henderson Yards, we talked about, how look, the way

376
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Speaker 2: that I'm painting this game in my head is it's

377
00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:22,920
Speaker 2: probably gonna play a little closer than we think, but

378
00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:25,680
Speaker 2: in late in the third quarter, it's going to be

379
00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:28,960
Speaker 2: the Pats up by ten and running the ball a

380
00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:31,560
Speaker 2: bunch against a tire defense that's been on the field

381
00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:34,640
Speaker 2: a lot because they've been punting and going three and

382
00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:37,840
Speaker 2: out on a lot of the carries, right, so on

383
00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:40,080
Speaker 2: a lot of the drives so I just think we're

384
00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:43,040
Speaker 2: going to see an exponential amount of carries for whoever

385
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Speaker 2: is healthy for the Patriots, whether that's you know, just

386
00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,840
Speaker 2: Trey and Darnis Johnson or if everybody's healthy. We're just

387
00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:51,880
Speaker 2: gonna see a lot of carries for these guys. And

388
00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:55,040
Speaker 2: I think the bad tackling from the Jets, the fact

389
00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:57,040
Speaker 2: that they're kind of packing it in this is on

390
00:16:57,160 --> 00:17:02,680
Speaker 2: short rest, right they. I think Henderson's gonna go over.

391
00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:04,639
Speaker 2: I think he goes over on one big carry like

392
00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:07,240
Speaker 2: he did late, but also he could do almost like

393
00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:07,760
Speaker 2: it better if for.

394
00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:11,280
Speaker 1: Andre quote unquote is active, because that number is gonna

395
00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:13,280
Speaker 1: be lower, and I think that one, yeah, or limited

396
00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:15,159
Speaker 1: because I don't know how much we're playing on Thursday anyway,

397
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:17,520
Speaker 1: so keep an eye on that. But I'm with Box

398
00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:18,880
Speaker 1: there on the over. And of course, the.

399
00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:20,480
Speaker 2: First time I've ever done this on the Thursday night

400
00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:22,080
Speaker 2: is like we don't have a number. I'm like, listen,

401
00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:23,800
Speaker 2: I don't care what the number is. Just take it.

402
00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:25,760
Speaker 3: Just take the care on it. You know.

403
00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:27,520
Speaker 1: I'm we're in lockstep there. And of course, if you

404
00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:29,679
Speaker 1: need more help, prop Bet cheat sheets there for you,

405
00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:31,440
Speaker 1: so go check it out. You can look at Thursday night.

406
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:34,120
Speaker 1: You can see all of these projections, all of these

407
00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:36,399
Speaker 1: lines the best place you're gonna find the value to

408
00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:39,320
Speaker 1: bet them. So don't you know, be a tool, use

409
00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:41,560
Speaker 1: the tools. Download the Betting Pros app again. Go to

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00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:43,480
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash props to check out the prop

411
00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:48,199
Speaker 1: bit cheat sheet. Okay, so SG Joey P time, I

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Speaker 1: already told you basically what I like in this game.

413
00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:52,240
Speaker 1: I like the Jets under fourteen and a half points,

414
00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:54,640
Speaker 1: like Breese Hall under fifty eight and a half points. Again,

415
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Speaker 1: just to tail the tape, the Patriots have given up

416
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Speaker 1: seven hundred and ninety two rushing yards. That's the fewest

417
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Speaker 1: of any team in the NFL. Uh, nobody else is

418
00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,360
Speaker 1: in the sevens. Everybody else is in the eighths. Okay,

419
00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:06,040
Speaker 1: that's how good the Pats have been. Sewn Tucker was

420
00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:08,320
Speaker 1: the first guy to get over fifty against the Patriots.

421
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Speaker 2: All yeah, another reason not to like that rushing attempts

422
00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:13,919
Speaker 2: for Breshaw by the way, Yeah, yeah, it's.

423
00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:16,280
Speaker 1: Possible against the run because they don't go well. And then,

424
00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:17,639
Speaker 1: like you said, the three and out, it's gonna be

425
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Speaker 1: a lot of three and outs. There a lot of possibilities.

426
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Speaker 1: And if you do feel like the Patriots win this

427
00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:26,400
Speaker 1: game by two touchdowns like I do, uh, then you're

428
00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:27,399
Speaker 1: okay with the spread of the.

429
00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:28,520
Speaker 3: Twelve and a half and I am.

430
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Speaker 1: So you take that twelve and a half, You take

431
00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:33,320
Speaker 1: the under on the Jets total, you take the under

432
00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:35,040
Speaker 1: on Breese haall. You put it all together, get plus

433
00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:35,960
Speaker 1: two thirty four.

434
00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:37,240
Speaker 3: You get the facts of life.

435
00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:41,600
Speaker 1: My god, that's bog man. Anybody get a Missus Garrett

436
00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:42,960
Speaker 1: reference nowadays. I don't think they do.

437
00:18:44,200 --> 00:18:48,640
Speaker 3: I don't. You don't only because a family guys don't.

438
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:53,439
Speaker 3: I understand. But yeah, man, look I'm with you. I

439
00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:56,320
Speaker 3: think this is going to be a stomping. But there's

440
00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,639
Speaker 3: two I do. They're weird, No.

441
00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:01,600
Speaker 1: They are. They are typically weird. This one and this

442
00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:03,480
Speaker 1: one specific.

443
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:05,480
Speaker 3: Was looking pretty normal. It was looking pretty normal for

444
00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:05,879
Speaker 3: a while.

445
00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:09,320
Speaker 2: It was like Sunday night and Thursday night had changed positions,

446
00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 2: and this Sunday wasn't that that much better problem.

447
00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:17,240
Speaker 3: Monday it was brutal, god boring. We had two of these.

448
00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 3: We had two ten seven.

449
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,199
Speaker 1: That's why I think we I think we're due. I

450
00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:23,080
Speaker 1: think this is the ass kicking that the Jets are

451
00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:24,120
Speaker 1: due and I think the Patriots.

452
00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:28,280
Speaker 2: We saw the Ravens beat down on the Dolphins, so yes,

453
00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:28,680
Speaker 2: we did.

454
00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 1: And I think I think we're gonna see that again.

455
00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:33,439
Speaker 2: Take the extra rest, by the way, and go and

456
00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:35,840
Speaker 2: beat Buffalo. Maybe it's not fair on the back end

457
00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 2: either anyway.

458
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,880
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe, Oh look, the Buffalo Bills have their they

459
00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:40,720
Speaker 1: made their own bed.

460
00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:43,120
Speaker 2: Two Thursday after bi Week's homely coming, got that look

461
00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:44,639
Speaker 2: the Buffalo I don't want to hear it, like Josh

462
00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:46,800
Speaker 2: Allen like, no, no, I agree you too much.

463
00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:48,480
Speaker 1: He makes too many mistakes when he has to do

464
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:50,240
Speaker 1: too much. You're not giving him up help with the

465
00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:53,880
Speaker 1: wide receiver corps, nobody can get open and bad things

466
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:56,439
Speaker 1: happen like they're just predictable and defensively, they've had problems

467
00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:58,639
Speaker 1: all year, all year. And I'll tell you what, I

468
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:00,800
Speaker 1: love Baker Mayfield with six vod's going on the road

469
00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:01,760
Speaker 1: against this week.

470
00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:04,720
Speaker 2: Well, it look like on the road to me, it

471
00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:06,639
Speaker 2: looked like, Okay, you're gonna get hoy You're gonna get

472
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:09,359
Speaker 2: Ogunjobi back. This is gonna be much better to stop

473
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:11,879
Speaker 2: the run. And then Hoyt immediately out for the season.

474
00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:14,479
Speaker 2: So uh, brutal good brutal.

475
00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:17,320
Speaker 1: I'll been good, all right, touchdown calls here, I'm gonna

476
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:19,840
Speaker 1: go with Stefan Diggs plus one thirty. Touchdown calls in

477
00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:21,159
Speaker 1: this game are a little tricky for me, So I

478
00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:23,600
Speaker 1: don't love it. I'm not gonna lie. It's my favorite

479
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:25,719
Speaker 1: of all the returns on investment. It's funny. You can

480
00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 1: get a trevaon Henderson touchdown prop it's like minus one eighty,

481
00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:31,720
Speaker 1: but you can't get numbers on his rushing yard. So

482
00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 1: what does that tell you? Vegas thinks of what he's

483
00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:36,120
Speaker 1: gonna do. So just putting that out there all right

484
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:38,040
Speaker 1: for you? Where you're going with your touchdown call for

485
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:38,280
Speaker 1: this game?

486
00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:41,800
Speaker 2: Drake May plus one eighty. Look, there's no way you're

487
00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:44,159
Speaker 2: taking a jet to score here, right, Like, that's just it?

488
00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 3: Wait?

489
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:48,800
Speaker 2: So yeah, so you cap fifty percent of your contestants

490
00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,120
Speaker 2: here to pick a touchdown? So who are you gonna take?

491
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:53,399
Speaker 2: I think there's three guys you could take? Uh, or

492
00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:55,440
Speaker 2: you know what, let's say four, there's four guys you

493
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:59,800
Speaker 2: can take. It's Digs, it's Henry, it's May, and it's Henderson.

494
00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,280
Speaker 2: If Remandre plays, throw them in there. But I don't

495
00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:04,400
Speaker 2: think you're running an injured guy down by the goal line.

496
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:07,400
Speaker 2: So I think it's gonna be I think we're gonna

497
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:09,840
Speaker 2: see Drake may run one in here, so plus one eighty.

498
00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:10,879
Speaker 3: I like those odds.

499
00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:11,720
Speaker 1: All right?

500
00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:12,280
Speaker 3: What do you like?

501
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 1: Drop your comments below? What are your picks for Thursday

502
00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:17,320
Speaker 1: Night Football? And of course subscribe to the channel here

503
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:19,160
Speaker 1: a Betting Pros ring that bell till it goes Dingsey.

504
00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:21,320
Speaker 1: You never miss an episode here. We'll be back for

505
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,680
Speaker 1: Monday Night Football not too long. Plus, we've got best best,

506
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 1: We've got prop bets for the week eleven, everything coming

507
00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 1: at you. Download the Betting Pros app too, and place

508
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:32,080
Speaker 1: your bets over at hard Rock Sportsbook App. Download the

509
00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:34,200
Speaker 1: app today. That'll do it for us. But the story

510
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:35,719
Speaker 1: of the game goes on for Scott Bogman.

511
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:36,280
Speaker 3: I'm Joey p.

512
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:37,800
Speaker 1: We'll see you next time.

513
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:41,560
Speaker 3: Kids. So thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

514
00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:44,199
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517
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518
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Speaker 2: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com Slash Betting pros

519
00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:03,880
Speaker 2: SP