WEBVTT - Top 3 Bets for Tuesday | MLB Best Bets for August 18

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<v Speaker 1>What's up, guys?

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<v Speaker 2>How are you welcome to a Tuesday morning episode of

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<v Speaker 2>the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Peralti. You guys

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<v Speaker 2>can follow me across all of my socials at Sports

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<v Speaker 2>Talk Matt, and we come to you after a winning day,

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<v Speaker 2>a two in one day, so back to back winning

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<v Speaker 2>days for us. Unfortunately, Jared Young again the prop that

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<v Speaker 2>had been my trend that I had gone five and one,

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<v Speaker 2>the only one was on the Daily Juice. It's now

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<v Speaker 2>five and two because the two times I've used it

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<v Speaker 2>it's gone down. I'm gonna do it one more time

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<v Speaker 2>on The Juice today. If it doesn't come in, I

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<v Speaker 2>won't do it anymore. I'm just do it personally because

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<v Speaker 2>maybe there's a jinx going on. But PCA is your

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<v Speaker 2>MVP of the National League. What he did last night

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<v Speaker 2>was unbelievable. I'll get to that later on today on

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<v Speaker 2>pushing the odds as to what this kid has accomplished

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<v Speaker 2>so far for the Cubs. But the Phillies and the Dodgers,

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<v Speaker 2>we get that moneyline parlay to come in.

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<v Speaker 1>Dodgers win big over the Rockies.

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<v Speaker 2>Phillies get a good w Although there was some controversy

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<v Speaker 2>around that game, but we get the w up A

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<v Speaker 2>unit for us here on Monday to start the week

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<v Speaker 2>off on our right foot. So for today, I am

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<v Speaker 2>again going to use the home run best bet tool

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<v Speaker 2>for one of the prop bets. Really actually for both

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<v Speaker 2>prop bets, I'm using it, but there is a theory

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<v Speaker 2>here in both plays I'm going to use from the

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<v Speaker 2>prop bet cheat sheet. These are five star plays on

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<v Speaker 2>the prop bet cheat sheet which are hitting at about

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<v Speaker 2>forty seven percent on the year for us with the

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<v Speaker 2>prop bet cheat sheet. So using the home run tool

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<v Speaker 2>to then go and find player props that I like.

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<v Speaker 2>This is sort of the way I am on covering things,

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<v Speaker 2>and so far, so good, so we're going to.

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<v Speaker 1>Keep on doing that.

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<v Speaker 2>I got another baseball total to play here coming up

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<v Speaker 2>for today as well, but you can go to bettingpros

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<v Speaker 2>dot com slash homers and do your own research if

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<v Speaker 2>you would like. Right now for what we've got for

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<v Speaker 2>the home run tool with Betting Pros, okay, let's start

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<v Speaker 2>with the number one option for home runs that today

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<v Speaker 2>is Matt Olsen. Now Matt Olsen is facing Debbie Matthews

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<v Speaker 2>at Target Field. It's the Braves at the Twins, so

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<v Speaker 2>pitching matchup is very good. A guy in Matt Olsen

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<v Speaker 2>should be able to feast on Zebbie Matthews. He has

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<v Speaker 2>the power, he's been good recently. This is a three

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<v Speaker 2>to one prop to hit a home run for matt Olsen.

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<v Speaker 2>Here on the home run tool, however, let's just say,

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<v Speaker 2>you know home runs. It's on the edge is about

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<v Speaker 2>six percent, and he's hit four home runs in his

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<v Speaker 2>last ten games. But if he hits a home run,

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<v Speaker 2>we're going to go over one and a half total bases.

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<v Speaker 2>But if he doesn't hit a home run, we can

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<v Speaker 2>still cash in on the projection, which is two point

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<v Speaker 2>five total bases for matt Olsen. It is a five

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<v Speaker 2>star play on the prop bet cheat sheet. And a

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<v Speaker 2>guy who has been consistently going over one and a half,

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<v Speaker 2>including ten of his last fifteen games, has gone over

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<v Speaker 2>one and a half total basis. This is a plus

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<v Speaker 2>money play at most sports books at over one and

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<v Speaker 2>a half plus one o eight plus one oh five

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<v Speaker 2>somewhere in that range. And you've got a guy who

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<v Speaker 2>yesterday hit a home run had three RBIs against the

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<v Speaker 2>Arizona Do I guess not yesterday but two games ago,

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<v Speaker 2>two days ago against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Last game he

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<v Speaker 2>went over well. He went one for three with a

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<v Speaker 2>double yesterday, so he went over one and a half

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<v Speaker 2>total bases yesterday. So he's had two four and three

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<v Speaker 2>total bases in his last three games. He missed it

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<v Speaker 2>in back to back games, but he had it before that.

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<v Speaker 2>So we're talking about four of the last six games,

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<v Speaker 2>Matt Olsen has gone over one and a half two bases.

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<v Speaker 1>We got the PCA.

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<v Speaker 2>The PCA over one and a half total bases, right,

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<v Speaker 2>I guess it was hits runs and RBIs. Yesterday, on

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<v Speaker 2>the first at bat, first swing of the game, he

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<v Speaker 2>hit a home run. He became the first player since

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<v Speaker 2>twenty ten to hit a home run to start the

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<v Speaker 2>game and hit a home run to end the game.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, that's an incredible night. That's his MVP night.

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<v Speaker 2>That's what he did last night. Just an unreal night

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<v Speaker 2>for a player that is going to win the MVP

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<v Speaker 2>because I think Otani's numbers continue to drop, although he

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<v Speaker 2>did hit two hole runs yesterday for the Dodgers. I

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<v Speaker 2>just think that that's a player in PCA and then

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<v Speaker 2>Karl Armstrong is going to win the MVP just because

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<v Speaker 2>of what he's doing, and some fatigue. Frank frankly, voter

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<v Speaker 2>fatigue is a real thing, and so I think they

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<v Speaker 2>want to give it to somebody else.

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<v Speaker 1>I think they're going to give it to him.

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<v Speaker 2>But for today, we can attack the prop bet cheat

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<v Speaker 2>sheet and we can come in and take it as Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>we have an opportunity here for Matt Olsen. You get

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<v Speaker 2>better to win a hold, hit a home run if

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<v Speaker 2>you like, But Matt Olsen over one and a half

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<v Speaker 2>total bases is a plus one to eight play for

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<v Speaker 2>one unit. Let's stay with the home run projections, and

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<v Speaker 2>then the second best option is Griffin Conine of the Marlins.

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<v Speaker 2>Now he's facing Zach Wheeler, and you might go like, whoo, Matt,

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<v Speaker 2>my gosh. Have you looked at Zach Wheeler's numbers for

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<v Speaker 2>his last two starts at home against the Blue Jays

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<v Speaker 2>In a five to four loss, he went five and

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<v Speaker 2>a third seven hits, four earned runs, gave up a

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<v Speaker 2>home run, looked five In the start. His last start

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<v Speaker 2>on the road against Saint Louis, he went five innings,

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<v Speaker 2>gave up six hits, four earned runs, five k's in

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<v Speaker 2>just eighty four pitches. Both games. Zach Wheeler took the

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<v Speaker 2>loss for the Phillies. In fact, the Phillies have lost

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<v Speaker 2>four of the last five games started by Zach Wheeler.

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<v Speaker 2>His ERA is up to two point eight nine and

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<v Speaker 2>his ERA in the month of August is five point

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<v Speaker 2>eight four. So before you go, well, Matt, my gosh,

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<v Speaker 2>we're going with a Zach Wheeler prop, I mean a

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<v Speaker 2>batter prop against Zach Wheeler. That's kind of dangerous. Well,

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<v Speaker 2>Griffin Conine to hit a home run is a guy

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<v Speaker 2>that you could probably if you want to throw a

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<v Speaker 2>flyer on it. It's not a horrible idea to plus

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<v Speaker 2>four fifty prop. He hasn't homer since the twelfth of August,

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<v Speaker 2>but prop bet cheat sheet likes him.

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<v Speaker 1>Instead.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna go hits runs in RBIs, which is again

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<v Speaker 2>a five star play projection one point eight hits runs

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<v Speaker 2>in RBIs from the prop bet cheat sheet, and he's

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<v Speaker 2>gone over this over a half a hit run in

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<v Speaker 2>RBI in every game dating all the way back to

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<v Speaker 2>the to August eighth, except one where he did against Cincinnati.

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<v Speaker 2>So that is a eight of nine run going for

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<v Speaker 2>Griffin Conine to get a hit an RBI or a run.

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<v Speaker 2>So if he walks and scores on a home run

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<v Speaker 2>or walks and scores on somebody else's you know, double

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<v Speaker 2>He gets it there. For us, I the prop bet

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<v Speaker 2>Cheet sheet really does like hits runs in RBIs, and

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<v Speaker 2>frankly I like it a lot too, because it gives

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<v Speaker 2>you multiple chances, in particular when it's only a half.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean that's tremendous. It's only a half. It's a

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<v Speaker 2>it's a great market to get involved with. We're going

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<v Speaker 2>Griffin Conine over one and a half, over a half sorry,

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<v Speaker 2>hits runs and RBIs on this at minus one thirty five.

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<v Speaker 2>I've seen this moves are to move, so hopefully this

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<v Speaker 2>jews doesn't get to be too extravagant. I would play

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<v Speaker 2>this all the way up to like one fifty on this,

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<v Speaker 2>but I do like Gryfn Conine over a half, hits

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<v Speaker 2>runs and RBIs. We may end up seeing this thing

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<v Speaker 2>go to one and a half at certain books, just

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<v Speaker 2>because I think that number is too low, given it

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<v Speaker 2>Zach Wheeler and what Zach Wheeler's look like.

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<v Speaker 1>That number just is too low.

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<v Speaker 2>And finally we're coming in with the Tigers and the Pirates.

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<v Speaker 2>Why Braxton Ashcraft is pitching again seven to and won

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<v Speaker 2>to the over. Over the last ten starts for Braxton

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<v Speaker 2>Ashcraft thirteen to one. The win a nine complete game,

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<v Speaker 2>nine innings, only one earned run start on the road

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<v Speaker 2>last time out for him, he was dominant the first

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<v Speaker 2>the last two games in August five to two, four

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<v Speaker 2>to one. But this is a guy that in the

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<v Speaker 2>month of July had an array of seven point seven

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<v Speaker 2>to eight. He had eight seven, eight, five, seven, six

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<v Speaker 2>and eight to one totals here and the total is eight.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a lower total.

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<v Speaker 2>Than what we've seen in the past here for certain

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<v Speaker 2>games involving the Pirates and Braxton Ashcraft. Kider Montero is

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<v Speaker 2>going on the other side. He's nine and seven with

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<v Speaker 2>a three point two two ERA. His roadi RA is

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<v Speaker 2>pretty good two seventy seven a four and three mark.

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<v Speaker 2>But he's not going to pitch long in this game.

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<v Speaker 2>This is not going to be a game he hangs

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<v Speaker 2>around for more than four or five or six innings.

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<v Speaker 2>So we'll get into the bullpen for the Tigers. To

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<v Speaker 2>the Tigers for uh the opposing offense here and a

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<v Speaker 2>chance to get after it offensive wise with the Pirates

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<v Speaker 2>who have been scoring runs. The one thing with the

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<v Speaker 2>Pirates is they have been scoring runs here eight to

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<v Speaker 2>five the win for the Tigers yesterday. Let's have another

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<v Speaker 2>one of those eight to five games coming up here

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<v Speaker 2>for today, and let's play the over for Tigers and

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<v Speaker 2>the Pirates over eight and minus one ten for one

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<v Speaker 2>point one units. We're gonna play Griffin Conine over a

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<v Speaker 2>half hits runs in RBIs at mins one thirty five

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<v Speaker 2>and Matt Olsen over one and a half total bases

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<v Speaker 2>at plus one oh five for us here today on

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<v Speaker 2>a Tuesday, hopefully we continue back to Beck winnings days.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's make it three minu's Matt Parolti, you guys and

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<v Speaker 2>follow me across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt

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<v Speaker 2>every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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<v Speaker 1>It is the Daily Juice