WEBVTT - Mike Madrid, Mike Zamore & Haddy Gassama

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<v Speaker 1>Hi, I'm Molly John Fast and this is Fast Politics,

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<v Speaker 1>where we discussed the top political headlines with some of

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<v Speaker 1>today's best minds, and Troy Jackson has officially been fit

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<v Speaker 1>to challenge Senator Susan Collins in the great state of Maine.

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<v Speaker 1>We have such a fantastic show for you today. The

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<v Speaker 1>Latino Votes podcast host Mike Madrid talk to us about

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<v Speaker 1>how MAGA is fracturing and how Latino voters are the

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<v Speaker 1>new swing voters. Then we'll talk to the acl use

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<v Speaker 1>Mike Zamore and Hattie Gassima about ICE's abuses inside New

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<v Speaker 1>Jersey's Delaney Hall and other detention centers. But first the news.

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<v Speaker 2>So, Maali, for some reason, we still have a White

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<v Speaker 2>House Correspondence Dinner, and despite it being an absolute failure

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<v Speaker 2>of an event as evidence by Friday Night's proceedings, are

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<v Speaker 2>you just still crying in your pillow that you didn't

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<v Speaker 2>get to attend?

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<v Speaker 1>So I have always been like a little bit of

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<v Speaker 1>a contrarian on the White House Correspondence Dinner. Basically since

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<v Speaker 1>Trump has been president since twenty sixteen, there's been a

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<v Speaker 1>feeling and it's grown over the last decade that the

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<v Speaker 1>White House Correspondents Association. Well, they do good work, right,

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<v Speaker 1>They do scholarships for students, they do public outreach. They

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<v Speaker 1>also are not doing themselves or any of us any

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<v Speaker 1>favors with the stupid dinner. So the point of the

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<v Speaker 1>dinner is, or at least the historic point of the

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<v Speaker 1>dinner was to raise money for scholarships, to highlight these

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<v Speaker 1>scholar students, and to focus on the job of the

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<v Speaker 1>White House correspondents. Over the years, and the New York

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<v Speaker 1>Times haven't been allowing their people to attend for like

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<v Speaker 1>ten years. I mean, you can go to cover, but

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<v Speaker 1>you know, they don't buy tables or anything. Basically, the

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<v Speaker 1>event has gotten more and more unpalatable. Now few thoughts

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<v Speaker 1>on the White House correspondence before we get into Donald

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<v Speaker 1>What Donald Trump did which everyone could have seen coming

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<v Speaker 1>a million miles away, which is he gave a really

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<v Speaker 1>really hostile speech that was embarrassing and I listened to

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<v Speaker 1>some of it. I mean, it's really long, and in

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<v Speaker 1>it he's just he's just mean and gross and mean

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<v Speaker 1>to Caitlin Collins. But part of why it is, part

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<v Speaker 1>of why I think it should be ended, is because

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<v Speaker 1>it's not Look, when people report they have to have sources,

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<v Speaker 1>and some of those sources are going to be in

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<v Speaker 1>the White House, whether or not the White House is

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<v Speaker 1>filled with or not, You're going to have to talk

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<v Speaker 1>to those people if you're going to report on them.

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<v Speaker 1>But that's just true. I mean, we may not like it,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's true. So some of the optics coming out

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<v Speaker 1>of that dinner, like Stephen Miller yucking it up with

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<v Speaker 1>real reporters, that stuff, it just looks really the optics

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<v Speaker 1>of it are horrendous. And then the other thing is

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<v Speaker 1>that just the idea of this kind of like these

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<v Speaker 1>cabinet members were clearly really I mean, some of them

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<v Speaker 1>are doing some really sketchy stuff, and to have them

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<v Speaker 1>sitting with the journalists who cover them and then having Trump,

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<v Speaker 1>it's just so bad. This is my personal Piccadillo. I

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<v Speaker 1>feel that the White House Press Association had more power

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<v Speaker 1>than a thought and should have when Donald Trump kicked

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<v Speaker 1>out the AP for not calling the Gulf of Mexico

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<v Speaker 1>the Gulf of America, which was stupid, but it was

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<v Speaker 1>a power grab, and what the White House Correspondence Association

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<v Speaker 1>should have done was been like, Okay, we're done, we're out,

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<v Speaker 1>because this administration needs the media just as much as

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<v Speaker 1>the media needs to cover this administration. But they didn't

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<v Speaker 1>do that, and so what happened was they ended up

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<v Speaker 1>in this situation where they've just had the White House

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<v Speaker 1>has taken almost all their power away. They decide who

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<v Speaker 1>was in the press pool, things that historically were not true.

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<v Speaker 1>They kicked out all the press pool at the Pentagon,

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<v Speaker 1>Like they've just done a lot of stuff that has

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<v Speaker 1>really limited press access, and all the while they've framed

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<v Speaker 1>it as if the press was somehow the bad guys.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, like my husband don't necessarily like straight reporting,

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<v Speaker 1>feel that a lot of times straight reporters give this

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<v Speaker 1>administration the benefit of the doubt when they shouldn't. But

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<v Speaker 1>it doesn't matter. Like the only way you're going to

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<v Speaker 1>be able to hold power to account is with straight reporting.

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<v Speaker 1>And there's a reason that these people are so obsessed

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<v Speaker 1>with ending the media, and it's because of things like this,

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<v Speaker 1>and like that is why the White House correspondence dinner

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<v Speaker 1>is just so wrong for this moment, Like it just

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<v Speaker 1>is wrong for this moment. You have people who are

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<v Speaker 1>losing their lives that protests to have a genteel little

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<v Speaker 1>dinner party with people like Stephen Miller, it's the wrong

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<v Speaker 1>moment for this.

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<v Speaker 2>So, speaking of wrong moments, wrong person for the job,

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<v Speaker 2>We've been long complaining about Ken Martin, the head of

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<v Speaker 2>the DNC, and it seems like this morning I woke

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<v Speaker 2>up to d day for his reputation and people being

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<v Speaker 2>chill about him staying on as head of the DNC.

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<v Speaker 1>You know Adam Gentilsen, who has been on this podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>but who can be you know, complicated and is I

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<v Speaker 1>think a very good tweet about this where he said,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, like, this is it. This is the end

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<v Speaker 1>of Ken Martin's career. Like you like it, you don't

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<v Speaker 1>like it. He's not going to be able to like

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<v Speaker 1>because part of this job is just being able to

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<v Speaker 1>fake it till you make it right, to raise the

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<v Speaker 1>money that you need in order to get this stuff done.

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<v Speaker 1>And he I just think he's run out of lock here.

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<v Speaker 1>But here's what I would say about Ken Martin. This

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<v Speaker 1>was always going to be a hard job, right the Well,

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<v Speaker 1>let's just go back to what is the head of

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<v Speaker 1>the DNC supposed to do? Raise for state parties. And

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, one of the things that I do

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<v Speaker 1>think Ken Martin did which was good, which was in

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<v Speaker 1>this Times article was he gave an extra one hundred

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<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars to Mississippi, and Mississippi was able to elect

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<v Speaker 1>another state ledge and break a Republican supermajority. So that

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<v Speaker 1>was good. But you know, you're going to need someone

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<v Speaker 1>who has the faith of the donor class so you

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<v Speaker 1>can raise some money, and Ken Martin clearly doesn't have that,

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<v Speaker 1>and that is why this is probably the moment for

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<v Speaker 1>him to resign. Look, it is very I think he's

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<v Speaker 1>having a very tough time. And I understand that one

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<v Speaker 1>of the nice things about Democrats is that they are

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<v Speaker 1>very nice to each other. But I think at this

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<v Speaker 1>moment it certainly seems like the floor has fallen out

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<v Speaker 1>from under him. And again, so basically here's the story.

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<v Speaker 1>He may have thrown a phone at an underling. It's

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<v Speaker 1>not entirely sure if he threw it at a junior

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<v Speaker 1>aid or if it scared the junior aid, or if

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<v Speaker 1>he threw it at the desk, But whatever it is,

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<v Speaker 1>he had to go to HR for it. And then

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<v Speaker 1>Trump has uh the RNC has raised million dollars and

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<v Speaker 1>Ken Martin has raised Right now he has the DNC

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<v Speaker 1>is two million dollars in debt, which is pretty unfucking

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<v Speaker 1>believable and so and he also at the last DNC

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<v Speaker 1>meeting he made people sign NDA's which is a sign

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<v Speaker 1>that he's not feeling very confident, which is which we'll

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<v Speaker 1>transmit to donors. He also spent seven point I think

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<v Speaker 1>it was seven point eight million dollars to buy Harris's

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<v Speaker 1>mailing list, which was a way of settling her the

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<v Speaker 1>case debts, which I guess is fine but also pretty

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<v Speaker 1>seems a little bit shortsighted. He also did put the

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<v Speaker 1>DNC up for collateral for loans, which seems kind of bad,

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<v Speaker 1>though have done that historically. But then the other thing

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<v Speaker 1>he did which a lot of people are upset about,

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<v Speaker 1>was that he spent about a million dollars eight hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and forty thousand dollars on fundraising committee and money to Guam,

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<v Speaker 1>Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, American Samoa, places that do

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<v Speaker 1>not elect a president or even members who have full

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<v Speaker 1>voting privileges. This is not a good moment for Ken

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<v Speaker 1>Martin and his time for him to resign.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think about a lot that when us an

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<v Speaker 2>entrepreneurs talk that the heads of organizations really, what most

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<v Speaker 2>people don't see is that there's just supposed to be

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<v Speaker 2>a confidence man who makes it easy to raise funds

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<v Speaker 2>from investors. This has lost all confidence.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, either you can raise money or you can do media,

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<v Speaker 1>which Ben Wicker can do both. You know, it's funny

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<v Speaker 1>because when this happened, I was very like, I was like, Wow,

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<v Speaker 1>Ben Wickler's an outsider. Ken Martin's an insider. Maybe it's

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<v Speaker 1>better have an insider who knows. I don't want to

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<v Speaker 1>be you know what, who even knows. Maybe these state

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<v Speaker 1>party chairs know what they're doing. No, Ben Wigo would

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<v Speaker 1>have been better, and Ben Wicco could get in there now,

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<v Speaker 1>and it needs to happen. And you know, I know

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<v Speaker 1>there are people who know this podcasts, who are involved

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<v Speaker 1>in the DMC. It's like, it's time guys like this

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<v Speaker 1>is you can be nice and then you have you know,

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<v Speaker 1>if this is really about American democracy, which a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of us absolutely believe it is, you got to get

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<v Speaker 1>get going here.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's go back to another horrible thing that happened, the

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<v Speaker 2>One Big Beautiful Bill. Apparently more than one million children

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<v Speaker 2>whilst to access to food benefits after it passed.

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<v Speaker 1>So we always knew this was coming because we are

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<v Speaker 1>because we read a lot of We read a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of this stuff and we read the bell right or

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<v Speaker 1>we read enough of it to know what was going on.

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<v Speaker 1>The goal of this was always to put new requirements

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<v Speaker 1>on Medicare Medicaid SNAP, and children on SNAP was always

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<v Speaker 1>going to be part of this. So this analysis finds

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<v Speaker 1>that four million Americans lost SNAP benefits. That's four million

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<v Speaker 1>from July twenty twenty five to March twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 1>Like that is Doge in a nutshell. And this is

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<v Speaker 1>because of One Beautiful Bill. So they were removed from SNAP.

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<v Speaker 1>And part of how they were removed is they've tightened

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<v Speaker 1>the eligibility rules for food assistance. They've increased screening requirements.

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<v Speaker 1>So four hundred and fifty thousand Arizonas people who live

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<v Speaker 1>in Arizona have come off SNAP. And they haven't come

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<v Speaker 1>off SNAP because things are cheaper. They've come off SNAP

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<v Speaker 1>because the state has made it and not the state.

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<v Speaker 1>The Trump administration, the One big Beautiful Bill has made

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<v Speaker 1>it so they can't stay on. Children make up a

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<v Speaker 1>significant portion of those losing benefits worth more than one million.

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<v Speaker 1>Children across nine in states no longer receive SNAP. In Louisiana,

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<v Speaker 1>one in four children receiving SNAP lost benefits. In Massachusetts

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<v Speaker 1>and Texas, one fifth of children enrolled in the program

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<v Speaker 1>were removed. This is the legacy of Elon Musk, right,

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<v Speaker 1>This is the legacy of Doge and Donald Trump. This

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<v Speaker 1>is the this is the Big Beautiful Bill. This is

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<v Speaker 1>tax cuts for people like Howard Lutnek. This is the

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<v Speaker 1>America that Trump has ushered in. So if you think

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<v Speaker 1>about a million hungry children, that's I mean it is.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just like, just imagine these SNAP kids are not

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<v Speaker 1>It's not like their parents are doing great. It's like

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<v Speaker 1>their parents are barely hanging on and now they do

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<v Speaker 1>not have food snamps to buy food so they can eat.

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<v Speaker 1>And in a very inflationary environment where the economy is

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<v Speaker 1>bad for workers, where wages are not keeping up with inflation,

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<v Speaker 1>where things are getting more and more expensive, or gas

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<v Speaker 1>is more expensive, this is what the Big Beautiful Bill

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<v Speaker 1>has wrought. This is what Elon Musk, trying to and fraud,

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<v Speaker 1>waste and abuse. The biggest beneficiary of government subsidy is

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<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk, has wrought this.

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<v Speaker 2>So the US Appeals Court has ruled Trump cannot implement

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<v Speaker 2>mail and voting bends.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know why this is important is because it's

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<v Speaker 1>just yet another time where this administration just keeps losing

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<v Speaker 1>in court, and this is one. So the federal appeals

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<v Speaker 1>Court said that Trump can't implement twenty three states this

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<v Speaker 1>executive order that titans mail and voting. By the way,

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<v Speaker 1>none of this is about like, this is all bullshit, right,

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<v Speaker 1>It's not about making voting safer. It's all about just

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<v Speaker 1>because he knows his to lose. I'm just going to

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<v Speaker 1>read you, as the District District Court reasoned, the executive

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<v Speaker 1>order lays at a clear set of rapidly approaching deadlines

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<v Speaker 1>in which states must cooperate. By the way, the idea

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<v Speaker 1>that they're going to federalize elections, it's bullshit and it's illegal,

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<v Speaker 1>and watching this administration try to do it is it's

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<v Speaker 1>just so fucking corrupt. And I mean, we know how

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<v Speaker 1>this goes, and we know that they're going to try

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<v Speaker 1>everything they can, but just what, I mean, what a

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<v Speaker 1>fucking disaster. Mike Madrid is a political consultant and the

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<v Speaker 1>host of The Latino Vote podcast and the author of

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<v Speaker 1>The Latino Century. Welcome, Welcome, Mike Madrid Ollie.

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<v Speaker 3>Always great to be with you. Thank you so much

0:13:50.800 --> 0:13:51.520
<v Speaker 3>for having me back.

0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:55.120
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if we could talk about I feel like

0:13:55.240 --> 0:13:57.880
<v Speaker 1>we've seen splits a maga before, but I don't know

0:13:57.920 --> 0:14:01.880
<v Speaker 1>that we've ever seen anything quite like this. And I'm

0:14:01.920 --> 0:14:04.959
<v Speaker 1>going to refer to a political poll that we saw

0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:08.839
<v Speaker 1>earlier in the week that showed that one in five

0:14:09.040 --> 0:14:13.199
<v Speaker 1>self proclaimed magas want Donald Trump out of the war

0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:17.720
<v Speaker 1>in Iran today do not care just over over, And

0:14:18.080 --> 0:14:20.200
<v Speaker 1>I want you to talk about that because I think

0:14:20.560 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 1>that's profound in the fact that it is just a

0:14:23.120 --> 0:14:27.560
<v Speaker 1>complete Remember, like ninety percent of self proclaimed megas get

0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:30.640
<v Speaker 1>all their news from Trump, so it means there's a

0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:32.760
<v Speaker 1>real fracturing happening there.

0:14:33.040 --> 0:14:33.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:14:33.280 --> 0:14:35.160
<v Speaker 4>I look for many of us, I mean, the whole

0:14:35.160 --> 0:14:37.280
<v Speaker 4>time that we've known each other, I've been kind of saying,

0:14:37.640 --> 0:14:39.800
<v Speaker 4>when is the fever swamp going to be breaking? When

0:14:39.840 --> 0:14:42.600
<v Speaker 4>does the cult you know start took fade away. I'm

0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:44.240
<v Speaker 4>not going to suggest we're at that moment, but I'm

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:46.320
<v Speaker 4>also not going to suggest we're not. I mean, we

0:14:46.360 --> 0:14:48.520
<v Speaker 4>are not seeing we have not seen to your point,

0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:52.800
<v Speaker 4>twenty percent of self described maga disagreeing with the president

0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:55.720
<v Speaker 4>on probably his most important issue at this moment, which

0:14:55.720 --> 0:14:58.880
<v Speaker 4>is war. And what you're seeing is the Republican leadership

0:14:58.960 --> 0:15:02.240
<v Speaker 4>reflecting that you can't get the Save Act passed, they

0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:06.960
<v Speaker 4>pushback on funding this war, continuing this war. Those splits

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:08.960
<v Speaker 4>are there, they are becoming larger, and they're going to

0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:12.000
<v Speaker 4>get more significant as we close in on the midterms,

0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:15.040
<v Speaker 4>and especially after the midterms, Molly, that's when you're going

0:15:15.120 --> 0:15:18.040
<v Speaker 4>to have to you know, Katie, bar the doors. Shit's

0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:21.160
<v Speaker 4>going to get real after that. That's when the dynamics

0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 4>of the country's politics are going to change considerably.

0:15:24.560 --> 0:15:28.000
<v Speaker 1>And so let's just talk about You do a lot

0:15:28.120 --> 0:15:32.280
<v Speaker 1>of polling and a lot of work with Latino voters too,

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:36.360
<v Speaker 1>which I would love you to just explain to us

0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:40.240
<v Speaker 1>what the Latino voting block looks like, how big it is,

0:15:40.640 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 1>and also sort of how it's grown over the last

0:15:43.680 --> 0:15:44.280
<v Speaker 1>ten years.

0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:47.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so that's a great question.

0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:50.320
<v Speaker 4>So the Latino electorate, as we call it, is just

0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:53.200
<v Speaker 4>to pass the block community vote as the largest ethnic

0:15:53.280 --> 0:15:57.080
<v Speaker 4>minority voter group in twenty twenty, and it's sitting at

0:15:57.120 --> 0:16:00.600
<v Speaker 4>about eleven to twelve percent of the electorate. Things about

0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 4>that one is it's growing incredibly fast. It's picking up

0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:05.840
<v Speaker 4>about a percent a year, which is it's not unprecedented,

0:16:05.840 --> 0:16:08.320
<v Speaker 4>but it hasn't happened in probably eighty ninety years that

0:16:08.400 --> 0:16:11.000
<v Speaker 4>a group is growing as fast, and perhaps more important

0:16:11.080 --> 0:16:14.840
<v Speaker 4>is where it's at. Like, of the seventeen House races,

0:16:15.280 --> 0:16:19.160
<v Speaker 4>something like fifteen of them have Latino populations that are

0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:21.600
<v Speaker 4>well larger than the margin of victory is going to be,

0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:24.640
<v Speaker 4>So Latinos will determine how that vote breaks.

0:16:24.800 --> 0:16:26.239
<v Speaker 3>It's it's the only voting.

0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:28.320
<v Speaker 4>Group moving molly in any meaningful way. It's like the

0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:31.680
<v Speaker 4>last swing voter will determine the balance of power in

0:16:31.680 --> 0:16:34.520
<v Speaker 4>the House, the Senate, and of course key gubernatorial races.

0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:37.280
<v Speaker 4>So the fact that it is there, that it's large,

0:16:37.320 --> 0:16:40.400
<v Speaker 4>that it's unmoored, it's unanchored. It's the least partisan group

0:16:40.440 --> 0:16:43.520
<v Speaker 4>in America, and it will be determining the balance of

0:16:43.560 --> 0:16:46.360
<v Speaker 4>power not just in this election, but in most elections

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:48.400
<v Speaker 4>going forward for the better part of our lifetimes.

0:16:48.440 --> 0:16:54.000
<v Speaker 1>Now, So why you talk about Latino voters as a

0:16:54.200 --> 0:16:59.600
<v Speaker 1>swing voting block Because Trump made crazy inroads with them,

0:16:59.640 --> 0:17:02.960
<v Speaker 1>But that doesn't mean he gets to keep them right now.

0:17:03.200 --> 0:17:05.199
<v Speaker 4>I mean, I argue he'd already lost them. But this

0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:07.959
<v Speaker 4>is really important, I think for people to understand. If

0:17:08.000 --> 0:17:10.840
<v Speaker 4>you're looking at Latinos as what they vote for, you're

0:17:10.840 --> 0:17:14.960
<v Speaker 4>missing the point. Latino voters are voting against both parties,

0:17:15.680 --> 0:17:18.240
<v Speaker 4>and they're historically moved away. As I wrote my book

0:17:18.280 --> 0:17:21.200
<v Speaker 4>and predicted saying this shift is going to happen. Once

0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:23.480
<v Speaker 4>it happened, I said, that doesn't mean that they're Republicans.

0:17:23.520 --> 0:17:26.040
<v Speaker 4>There's no evidence saying that they're Republicans. That again has

0:17:26.080 --> 0:17:28.280
<v Speaker 4>created the shift left which we saw in twenty twenty

0:17:28.320 --> 0:17:31.119
<v Speaker 4>five and were likely to see in twenty twenty six.

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:33.880
<v Speaker 4>But that doesn't mean that the Democrats are anywhere out

0:17:33.880 --> 0:17:36.840
<v Speaker 4>of the woods. Yet they're rejecting Trump. They're not voting

0:17:36.840 --> 0:17:39.280
<v Speaker 4>for the Democratic Party in the same way they were

0:17:39.320 --> 0:17:43.120
<v Speaker 4>voting against Kamala Harrison, Joe Biden, not for Donald's Trump

0:17:43.480 --> 0:17:45.600
<v Speaker 4>and both parties in this country really have a difficult

0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:48.880
<v Speaker 4>time understanding that because that it is a unique voting

0:17:48.960 --> 0:17:51.160
<v Speaker 4>block in that way, let me explain it a little

0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:54.120
<v Speaker 4>bit more. The Latino community is the fastest growing part

0:17:54.160 --> 0:17:58.439
<v Speaker 4>of the working class, and it is shifting by twenty

0:17:58.480 --> 0:18:02.320
<v Speaker 4>points or more than many instances against the party in power.

0:18:02.760 --> 0:18:05.960
<v Speaker 4>That's unlike black and white voter groups, black and white

0:18:05.960 --> 0:18:08.200
<v Speaker 4>working class people do not move.

0:18:08.280 --> 0:18:09.120
<v Speaker 3>They're not budgeting.

0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:12.639
<v Speaker 4>Black voters are not becoming more Republican in any meaningful way,

0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:15.360
<v Speaker 4>and white working cloud voters are not leaving the Republican

0:18:15.400 --> 0:18:18.320
<v Speaker 4>Party in any meaningful way. Doesn't matter whether at war,

0:18:18.400 --> 0:18:21.200
<v Speaker 4>whether there's a pandemic, doesn't matter there's economic collapse, they

0:18:21.240 --> 0:18:24.000
<v Speaker 4>do not leave. Latinas are the only voters that are saying,

0:18:24.040 --> 0:18:27.199
<v Speaker 4>we don't buy this nonsense from either of you guys.

0:18:27.720 --> 0:18:30.480
<v Speaker 4>And that's why it's becomes so critical is as both

0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:33.280
<v Speaker 4>parties are struggling to understand what it means. Both of

0:18:33.320 --> 0:18:36.520
<v Speaker 4>them are struggling and failing to meet the economic concerns

0:18:36.520 --> 0:18:39.680
<v Speaker 4>of this community. And Latino voters are rejecting whoever it

0:18:39.760 --> 0:18:41.320
<v Speaker 4>is in powered that at any given.

0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:43.000
<v Speaker 1>Time, Trump won those voters.

0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:46.080
<v Speaker 4>How I would argue that Kamala Harris and Joe Biden

0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:49.280
<v Speaker 4>lost those voters, then win them. He was winning votes

0:18:49.320 --> 0:18:52.680
<v Speaker 4>despite himself, not because of himself. That's why he's losing

0:18:52.720 --> 0:18:53.280
<v Speaker 4>those voters.

0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:53.600
<v Speaker 5>Now.

0:18:54.000 --> 0:18:56.720
<v Speaker 4>The Democrats, there's nothing popular about the Democrats. They're at

0:18:56.720 --> 0:18:59.439
<v Speaker 4>all time lows for a metrim election. They're not popular.

0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:02.880
<v Speaker 4>They'n I'll offer a real alternative. They just are the alternative,

0:19:03.040 --> 0:19:06.200
<v Speaker 4>and so anything but Donald Trump is the prevailing sentiment

0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:09.479
<v Speaker 4>for the exact same reasons that Kama Harrison Joe Biden

0:19:09.520 --> 0:19:13.840
<v Speaker 4>lost these voters. Nobody's addressing the economy. Affordability is off

0:19:13.920 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 4>the charts. Life is getting more and more difficult for

0:19:16.800 --> 0:19:20.480
<v Speaker 4>working class people, and both of these parties are ignoring

0:19:20.520 --> 0:19:23.640
<v Speaker 4>it or pretending it's not happening, and doing nothing meaningful

0:19:23.640 --> 0:19:26.440
<v Speaker 4>to address it. As long as that happens, that lack

0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:28.399
<v Speaker 4>of loyalty to either party is going to be the

0:19:28.640 --> 0:19:31.680
<v Speaker 4>dominant characteristic of this voter group, fast growing voter group.

0:19:31.880 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 1>So let's talk this through because I think it's really interesting.

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:39.320
<v Speaker 1>So basically, from my understanding of this, we had angry

0:19:39.400 --> 0:19:45.320
<v Speaker 1>voters reject Trump in twenty twenty, reject Biden and Harris

0:19:45.440 --> 0:19:48.440
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty four, and now we are cruising into

0:19:48.480 --> 0:19:51.520
<v Speaker 1>a midterm. The question is they think things are too

0:19:51.600 --> 0:19:54.879
<v Speaker 1>expensive because they are, and that the middle class is

0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:58.040
<v Speaker 1>getting squeezed, which it is, right. I mean, like, for example,

0:19:58.160 --> 0:20:00.560
<v Speaker 1>I live in New York. We have this mayor. He

0:20:01.080 --> 0:20:06.320
<v Speaker 1>largely talks about affordability. That's like his thing, right, affordability. Affordability,

0:20:06.600 --> 0:20:10.840
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's not so easy to actually deliver on affordability.

0:20:10.880 --> 0:20:13.160
<v Speaker 1>But some of the things he's done is he's got

0:20:13.160 --> 0:20:16.040
<v Speaker 1>a rent freeze going, which has made a lot of

0:20:16.080 --> 0:20:19.159
<v Speaker 1>real estate people in New York furious. But you know

0:20:19.280 --> 0:20:23.480
<v Speaker 1>that is something tangible if you live in those rented

0:20:23.760 --> 0:20:28.119
<v Speaker 1>But I mean, what are the tangible deliverables you can offer?

0:20:28.320 --> 0:20:31.280
<v Speaker 1>And actually, because part of what Trump has gotten into

0:20:31.320 --> 0:20:33.879
<v Speaker 1>trouble with is that he said I'm gonna make everything

0:20:33.960 --> 0:20:37.199
<v Speaker 1>cheaper and then he immediately did stuff that would do

0:20:37.240 --> 0:20:39.959
<v Speaker 1>the opposite. But if you wanted to make things cheaper,

0:20:40.000 --> 0:20:42.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, is it so easy even to do that?

0:20:42.480 --> 0:20:44.520
<v Speaker 4>Well, it can make three really good points. So the

0:20:44.520 --> 0:20:47.080
<v Speaker 4>first is, yeah, Donald Trump's prioritization is.

0:20:47.000 --> 0:20:48.440
<v Speaker 3>The real problem for himself.

0:20:48.560 --> 0:20:50.280
<v Speaker 4>No one views, no one believed for a second that

0:20:50.359 --> 0:20:53.440
<v Speaker 4>he's all focused on this the way maybe you know

0:20:53.520 --> 0:20:57.159
<v Speaker 4>zoron Mom Donnie is whether your views is Mom Donnie

0:20:57.160 --> 0:20:59.359
<v Speaker 4>are or not? Is at least trying to do something

0:20:59.400 --> 0:21:00.120
<v Speaker 4>about it?

0:21:00.320 --> 0:21:00.439
<v Speaker 5>Right?

0:21:01.800 --> 0:21:05.399
<v Speaker 1>I mean, again with politicians, who even knows, But he

0:21:06.840 --> 0:21:09.160
<v Speaker 1>paints himself that way, paints himself the way.

0:21:09.160 --> 0:21:11.080
<v Speaker 4>Meanwhile, Donald Trump is you know, raising the price of

0:21:11.080 --> 0:21:12.720
<v Speaker 4>oil by losing the straight orfom moves.

0:21:12.560 --> 0:21:13.600
<v Speaker 3>In a war that nobody wanted.

0:21:13.800 --> 0:21:16.400
<v Speaker 4>So that's But the second is you ask a really

0:21:16.480 --> 0:21:19.639
<v Speaker 4>important question is are politicians, through are traditional tools able

0:21:19.720 --> 0:21:23.000
<v Speaker 4>to actually impact the economy and coomy that has changed

0:21:23.040 --> 0:21:26.800
<v Speaker 4>so significantly and so substantially that our old tools of

0:21:27.000 --> 0:21:29.520
<v Speaker 4>governance no longer work and no longer apply. That is

0:21:29.520 --> 0:21:32.399
<v Speaker 4>a bigger question. I would submit that they do. The

0:21:32.480 --> 0:21:36.960
<v Speaker 4>problem is what most legislators, policymakers, executives are gonna have

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:39.959
<v Speaker 4>to do is roll things back, not create a new

0:21:40.000 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 4>law to do something. And by the way, the one

0:21:43.000 --> 0:21:46.720
<v Speaker 4>thing that the Congress actually did do, this bipartisan housing bill,

0:21:47.320 --> 0:21:49.840
<v Speaker 4>the President wouldn't sign because you want to say, so

0:21:49.880 --> 0:21:50.720
<v Speaker 4>the one thing.

0:21:50.880 --> 0:21:54.840
<v Speaker 1>And it did pass. I mean, yeah, go on, so.

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:56.920
<v Speaker 4>I'm saying, is the one thing he could have said,

0:21:56.920 --> 0:22:00.639
<v Speaker 4>I'm doing something on the most critical issue facing Tino voters,

0:22:00.640 --> 0:22:02.959
<v Speaker 4>which is housing and housing costs. He doesn't even get

0:22:03.000 --> 0:22:04.439
<v Speaker 4>to take credit for, nor should he.

0:22:04.600 --> 0:22:05.680
<v Speaker 1>Right, it's on the bill.

0:22:06.359 --> 0:22:07.440
<v Speaker 3>So now, but even if.

0:22:07.320 --> 0:22:10.520
<v Speaker 4>Pat housing, you know, housing is a twenty thirty year program, like,

0:22:10.520 --> 0:22:11.840
<v Speaker 4>it's going to take a long time to get these

0:22:11.880 --> 0:22:14.280
<v Speaker 4>things around. There's going to have to be efforts and

0:22:14.280 --> 0:22:17.080
<v Speaker 4>we're seeing these in California to dial back a lot

0:22:17.160 --> 0:22:17.919
<v Speaker 4>of these.

0:22:18.040 --> 0:22:19.639
<v Speaker 3>Cumbersome rules and regulations.

0:22:19.640 --> 0:22:20.800
<v Speaker 4>A lot of people don't like to hear it, but

0:22:20.800 --> 0:22:22.359
<v Speaker 4>that's the way to do it. It's not the past

0:22:22.359 --> 0:22:25.439
<v Speaker 4>more laws. It's to start unwinding things that we've suffocated

0:22:25.480 --> 0:22:28.280
<v Speaker 4>the economy with. That's what has to happen in places

0:22:28.280 --> 0:22:29.400
<v Speaker 4>like California.

0:22:29.720 --> 0:22:31.159
<v Speaker 3>That's what the President's be engaged in.

0:22:31.600 --> 0:22:35.520
<v Speaker 1>So okay, this is like my least favorite solve for

0:22:35.640 --> 0:22:38.960
<v Speaker 1>a problem. So I want just because I love regulation.

0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:41.480
<v Speaker 1>You know, I'm a love basine liberal, right, so that's

0:22:41.600 --> 0:22:44.560
<v Speaker 1>regulation is my favorite. So think this through with me.

0:22:44.840 --> 0:22:47.719
<v Speaker 1>The question is how do you get more affordable housing?

0:22:47.760 --> 0:22:50.800
<v Speaker 1>And the answers you build more housing. And the reason

0:22:50.920 --> 0:22:52.960
<v Speaker 1>you can't build more housing in California. And I think

0:22:52.960 --> 0:22:57.760
<v Speaker 1>we've all saw that photo from the San Francisco Community

0:22:57.800 --> 0:23:00.480
<v Speaker 1>Board meeting where you had all the old people saying

0:23:00.480 --> 0:23:03.399
<v Speaker 1>they didn't want them to build high rise buildings in

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:06.679
<v Speaker 1>San Francisco because it would mess up their view. I

0:23:06.680 --> 0:23:09.320
<v Speaker 1>mean that that's what you're talking about, right.

0:23:09.560 --> 0:23:13.240
<v Speaker 4>Yes, particularly in California. I mean, you know Texas doesn't

0:23:13.280 --> 0:23:16.800
<v Speaker 4>have this problem. The Austin and Metropolitan area has built

0:23:16.840 --> 0:23:19.000
<v Speaker 4>more housing every year in the last five years than

0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 4>California housing the entire state.

0:23:21.440 --> 0:23:25.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and it's killed it. It's created a caste system budget.

0:23:26.119 --> 0:23:28.359
<v Speaker 1>But I just want to push back for a second,

0:23:28.640 --> 0:23:34.080
<v Speaker 1>because I do love regulation. Texas and Florida, and Florida

0:23:34.160 --> 0:23:40.240
<v Speaker 1>especially are having wild in place with housing. Well, cost

0:23:40.280 --> 0:23:46.200
<v Speaker 1>of living is humongous and it's not necessarily housing, it's insurance.

0:23:46.760 --> 0:23:50.399
<v Speaker 1>But that is So that's another thing, right, so go on.

0:23:50.520 --> 0:23:53.159
<v Speaker 1>But that's something that could be solved with regulation, the

0:23:53.200 --> 0:23:54.040
<v Speaker 1>insurance stuff.

0:23:54.280 --> 0:23:54.480
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:23:54.480 --> 0:23:57.040
<v Speaker 4>Look, I'm not ideological about this at all. I think

0:23:57.080 --> 0:24:00.679
<v Speaker 4>ideologues have killed the way to solve problems in this

0:24:00.720 --> 0:24:04.560
<v Speaker 4>modern economy. That's the problem is everybody's ideological. If you

0:24:04.600 --> 0:24:06.680
<v Speaker 4>love regulation for the sake of loving regulations, I don't

0:24:06.680 --> 0:24:09.080
<v Speaker 4>even know what that means. It's is it better to

0:24:09.119 --> 0:24:12.440
<v Speaker 4>have regulations and create poor people? Because California, manterfactured, is

0:24:12.480 --> 0:24:14.400
<v Speaker 4>poverty better than anybody in the world.

0:24:14.920 --> 0:24:18.080
<v Speaker 3>Like, I don't think that's a good thing. I mean,

0:24:18.400 --> 0:24:20.800
<v Speaker 3>but I'm I'm not saying Texas and Florida are better.

0:24:20.880 --> 0:24:22.600
<v Speaker 3>I'm just saying speaking they're different.

0:24:23.080 --> 0:24:25.200
<v Speaker 4>But the question is, how do you deal with affordability,

0:24:25.520 --> 0:24:29.280
<v Speaker 4>and both parties have done the wrong thing because we're

0:24:29.359 --> 0:24:33.600
<v Speaker 4>using last centuries solutions for this century's problems, and so

0:24:33.640 --> 0:24:36.320
<v Speaker 4>we go, well, do we regulate do we not regulate? Well,

0:24:36.720 --> 0:24:39.320
<v Speaker 4>how about we stop beginning with that question and try

0:24:39.320 --> 0:24:41.920
<v Speaker 4>to find the solution and work backwards regardless of whether

0:24:42.320 --> 0:24:44.920
<v Speaker 4>it's ideologically a fit for my red or blue team.

0:24:45.320 --> 0:24:48.240
<v Speaker 1>That's what I'm no, And I think that's actually really

0:24:48.240 --> 0:24:51.119
<v Speaker 1>smart because but it is, like I mean, if you

0:24:51.119 --> 0:24:55.480
<v Speaker 1>think about the sort of big tenets of inflation housing costs,

0:24:55.920 --> 0:25:00.280
<v Speaker 1>it's insurance, and then it's those food costs, and that

0:25:00.440 --> 0:25:04.399
<v Speaker 1>energy costs, energy costs. Let's talk about energy for a minute,

0:25:04.400 --> 0:25:07.360
<v Speaker 1>because like what's happened with trump Ism is like this

0:25:07.560 --> 0:25:12.400
<v Speaker 1>broad deregulation, which you would think should theoretically, I mean,

0:25:12.480 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't believe that actually is how it works, but

0:25:14.680 --> 0:25:17.159
<v Speaker 1>should make things cheaper, and it hasn't.

0:25:17.840 --> 0:25:20.720
<v Speaker 4>Well, particular energy, you've got to create a war again,

0:25:21.160 --> 0:25:23.800
<v Speaker 4>lising it within a few weeks, you can throw that

0:25:23.840 --> 0:25:25.639
<v Speaker 4>whole framework out the window.

0:25:25.640 --> 0:25:27.360
<v Speaker 3>I mean, the reason why gas.

0:25:27.119 --> 0:25:29.880
<v Speaker 4>Is so expensive is because Iran is put a noose

0:25:29.920 --> 0:25:32.359
<v Speaker 4>around the world supply as they should be, Like, what

0:25:32.400 --> 0:25:34.960
<v Speaker 4>do we doing, you know, And so that's that I

0:25:34.960 --> 0:25:39.320
<v Speaker 4>think is it's it's a uniquely incompetent, stupid effort that

0:25:39.400 --> 0:25:42.520
<v Speaker 4>was done. That that kind of again is overshadowing everything.

0:25:42.600 --> 0:25:45.360
<v Speaker 4>But look, our economy is it's it's a function of supply, chainge.

0:25:45.440 --> 0:25:48.600
<v Speaker 4>Nobody's talking about the weakening currency value of the dollar.

0:25:48.800 --> 0:25:52.600
<v Speaker 4>The dollar is collapsing right now of Trump's policies. It's

0:25:52.600 --> 0:25:55.760
<v Speaker 4>not entirely his fault, but most of it is like

0:25:55.840 --> 0:25:59.600
<v Speaker 4>this aggressor nation and you're forcing other nations to get off.

0:25:59.440 --> 0:26:00.399
<v Speaker 3>The petro dollar.

0:26:00.800 --> 0:26:04.600
<v Speaker 4>Our currency is going to do value ten percent less,

0:26:04.880 --> 0:26:08.720
<v Speaker 4>worth less than when Trump took office. Ten percent increase

0:26:08.800 --> 0:26:12.800
<v Speaker 4>in goods is directly correlate the Trump's foreign policy.

0:26:12.920 --> 0:26:14.880
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, no, I think that's a really good point. And

0:26:15.080 --> 0:26:17.920
<v Speaker 1>there's clearly Donald Trump has made a number of really

0:26:17.960 --> 0:26:21.880
<v Speaker 1>bad decisions that have made affordability even worse. So when

0:26:21.880 --> 0:26:25.080
<v Speaker 1>we talk about Latina voters, we're cruising into this midterm,

0:26:25.480 --> 0:26:29.160
<v Speaker 1>just give us sort of the places where Democrats can

0:26:29.240 --> 0:26:32.640
<v Speaker 1>sort of pick up voters in the midterms, where you're

0:26:32.680 --> 0:26:35.080
<v Speaker 1>seeing what you feel good about and what you're watching.

0:26:35.480 --> 0:26:37.919
<v Speaker 4>I'm a little bit more bullish on democrats prospects than

0:26:37.920 --> 0:26:40.639
<v Speaker 4>most pundits are. The reason why is I'm looking at

0:26:40.680 --> 0:26:43.960
<v Speaker 4>more of the electoral results as opposed to things like

0:26:44.000 --> 0:26:46.840
<v Speaker 4>the generic ballot and some of the averages.

0:26:47.040 --> 0:26:49.639
<v Speaker 1>I think you're talking about the number of primary voters

0:26:49.640 --> 0:26:50.920
<v Speaker 1>who show up right.

0:26:50.840 --> 0:26:55.080
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, precisely, but also how they're behaving. Like nobody's polling

0:26:55.200 --> 0:26:58.840
<v Speaker 4>was showing Mikey Cheryl winning New Jersey by twelve fifteen points.

0:26:58.840 --> 0:27:00.680
<v Speaker 4>It's all saying, oh, it's the three or point raise.

0:27:01.160 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 4>Everybody was saying spam Burger in Virginia is going to

0:27:03.520 --> 0:27:05.720
<v Speaker 4>be a coin toss. It was anything, but it was

0:27:05.760 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 4>a blowout. And it's that you know, you're seeing these

0:27:08.160 --> 0:27:11.160
<v Speaker 4>twenty point shifts in Harris County, Texas where Tall Rico

0:27:11.600 --> 0:27:13.760
<v Speaker 4>a third of Tall Rico voters had no vote history

0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:16.600
<v Speaker 4>at all. Like, these are data points you cannot ignore.

0:27:17.160 --> 0:27:19.479
<v Speaker 4>You can, you know, try to argue why it's happening,

0:27:19.520 --> 0:27:22.280
<v Speaker 4>But the fact that it is happening and nobody's polling

0:27:22.400 --> 0:27:25.320
<v Speaker 4>was bringing it up tells us that we're missing something

0:27:25.640 --> 0:27:27.240
<v Speaker 4>in the voter models that we're using.

0:27:27.280 --> 0:27:27.880
<v Speaker 3>It doesn't mean.

0:27:27.800 --> 0:27:31.400
<v Speaker 4>Polling is bad, but it does mean is that there's

0:27:31.440 --> 0:27:35.200
<v Speaker 4>a lot more momentum the turnout models are volcanic for Democrats,

0:27:35.520 --> 0:27:38.960
<v Speaker 4>and we're seeing a lower turnout model for Republicans combined

0:27:38.960 --> 0:27:41.480
<v Speaker 4>with Molly. And this is the real kicker. Eighty percent

0:27:41.480 --> 0:27:44.200
<v Speaker 4>of Independents are breaking away from Republicans. I've never heard

0:27:44.200 --> 0:27:46.919
<v Speaker 4>of that, because it's never happened in my lifetime. Eighty

0:27:47.000 --> 0:27:52.119
<v Speaker 4>percent of independence is on its unprecedented ground, you know,

0:27:52.200 --> 0:27:53.119
<v Speaker 4>in elections.

0:27:53.160 --> 0:27:54.800
<v Speaker 3>But that's where we are, and it's.

0:27:54.640 --> 0:27:56.840
<v Speaker 4>Why I think we're going to be in a democrat

0:27:56.840 --> 0:28:00.360
<v Speaker 4>plus eleven environment, which means that you're going to Seemocrats

0:28:00.359 --> 0:28:03.080
<v Speaker 4>pick up over twenty seats in the House.

0:28:03.240 --> 0:28:03.880
<v Speaker 3>I think the Senate.

0:28:05.200 --> 0:28:08.000
<v Speaker 4>The Senate is very much in play again. I'm more

0:28:08.040 --> 0:28:11.879
<v Speaker 4>optimistic about it, and I think that I think that

0:28:11.880 --> 0:28:15.159
<v Speaker 4>that's going to fundamentally change the contours of the Republican

0:28:15.280 --> 0:28:17.959
<v Speaker 4>electorate because Donald Trump will be more of a liability

0:28:17.960 --> 0:28:21.760
<v Speaker 4>than an asset at a time when he's losing his step,

0:28:21.840 --> 0:28:24.240
<v Speaker 4>when he's losing policy support, when the MAGA base is

0:28:24.240 --> 0:28:24.880
<v Speaker 4>coming unwound.

0:28:25.160 --> 0:28:29.639
<v Speaker 1>The D plus eleven number we did see this week

0:28:29.960 --> 0:28:32.960
<v Speaker 1>a generic with a D plus eleven, which people said

0:28:33.040 --> 0:28:36.840
<v Speaker 1>was an outlier, but I was saying, he's got that number.

0:28:37.000 --> 0:28:40.320
<v Speaker 4>I said this back in January when you're the Prop

0:28:40.360 --> 0:28:42.480
<v Speaker 4>fifty campaign in California. I was saying, look, this is

0:28:42.520 --> 0:28:43.280
<v Speaker 4>not necessary.

0:28:43.280 --> 0:28:45.560
<v Speaker 3>I get why people are doing it, but if you're.

0:28:45.440 --> 0:28:48.080
<v Speaker 4>In a Democrat plus seven or eight environment, it doesn't

0:28:48.120 --> 0:28:50.840
<v Speaker 4>matter whether or not you're the redistricyc thing.

0:28:50.720 --> 0:28:51.520
<v Speaker 3>Is not going to matter.

0:28:52.280 --> 0:28:54.520
<v Speaker 4>I said, we will be probably in a Democrat plus

0:28:54.520 --> 0:28:56.720
<v Speaker 4>eleven environment. People said it was nuts then. I haven't

0:28:56.720 --> 0:28:59.520
<v Speaker 4>seen that outlier, but my guess is that number is

0:28:59.520 --> 0:29:03.160
<v Speaker 4>growing towards that double digit space, and there's every reason

0:29:03.200 --> 0:29:05.800
<v Speaker 4>to expect that the economy is getting worse, not better,

0:29:06.120 --> 0:29:10.560
<v Speaker 4>which means the Democrat plus eleven on the generic ballot

0:29:10.640 --> 0:29:13.960
<v Speaker 4>is very very likely now, which I'm hoping people will

0:29:13.960 --> 0:29:15.960
<v Speaker 4>come back and say that guy was right, but everyone,

0:29:16.000 --> 0:29:17.680
<v Speaker 4>of course will say that they've been saying all along

0:29:17.720 --> 0:29:17.920
<v Speaker 4>the way.

0:29:18.600 --> 0:29:21.080
<v Speaker 1>And I want you to talk about these low frequency voters,

0:29:21.280 --> 0:29:25.880
<v Speaker 1>because what you're saying in Harris County in Texas is

0:29:25.920 --> 0:29:29.600
<v Speaker 1>that you're seeing ones and twos low frequency voters, non

0:29:29.640 --> 0:29:34.360
<v Speaker 1>frequency voters, newly registered voters, the people who made Trump

0:29:34.400 --> 0:29:38.960
<v Speaker 1>president and where Trump's polling, where the polling showed that

0:29:39.040 --> 0:29:41.240
<v Speaker 1>Hillary is going to win, and actually it just did

0:29:41.280 --> 0:29:43.360
<v Speaker 1>not pull those people. So is that what you're seeing

0:29:43.440 --> 0:29:44.720
<v Speaker 1>on the Democratic side.

0:29:44.520 --> 0:29:47.440
<v Speaker 4>Now, No, because what's happening is the opposite from what

0:29:47.480 --> 0:29:49.680
<v Speaker 4>you and I have become accustomed to the Trump era.

0:29:49.760 --> 0:29:52.000
<v Speaker 4>One of the most fascinating things that's defining the Trump

0:29:52.000 --> 0:29:54.800
<v Speaker 4>era is the Republican Party is now the beneficiary of

0:29:54.880 --> 0:29:57.960
<v Speaker 4>high turnout elections and Democrats are the beneficiaries of low

0:29:58.000 --> 0:30:01.440
<v Speaker 4>turnout election right. So you correctly pointed out it's these

0:30:01.480 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 4>low propensity, low information voters that put Donald Trump in

0:30:05.040 --> 0:30:08.440
<v Speaker 4>the White House. These were voting Republican But now what

0:30:08.480 --> 0:30:11.120
<v Speaker 4>we're seeing is in this environment is the Republicans face

0:30:11.200 --> 0:30:14.320
<v Speaker 4>two problems. They're seeing defections from their own MAGA base,

0:30:14.360 --> 0:30:16.760
<v Speaker 4>as you've been pointing out, and as marginal as it

0:30:16.840 --> 0:30:20.400
<v Speaker 4>is twenty percent or so, that's very consequential in an

0:30:20.440 --> 0:30:23.080
<v Speaker 4>election when you're having tough time in a low turnout

0:30:23.080 --> 0:30:27.320
<v Speaker 4>election anyway. But more importantly, they carved seats, especially in

0:30:27.400 --> 0:30:30.320
<v Speaker 4>Latino districts like Texas around along the Rio Grande, out

0:30:30.320 --> 0:30:34.160
<v Speaker 4>for themselves based off of this false presumption that these

0:30:34.160 --> 0:30:37.160
<v Speaker 4>low propensity Latino voters, We're going to not only be

0:30:37.240 --> 0:30:39.440
<v Speaker 4>with them, but be with them in big turnout numbers.

0:30:39.840 --> 0:30:42.600
<v Speaker 4>Neither of those assumptions are panning out. In fact, the

0:30:42.600 --> 0:30:43.760
<v Speaker 4>exact opposite is happening.

0:30:44.760 --> 0:30:47.200
<v Speaker 3>So there's dummy mander As people keep calling out.

0:30:47.240 --> 0:30:47.840
<v Speaker 5>I think likely.

0:30:47.960 --> 0:30:51.720
<v Speaker 4>So you could see these seats that Republicans carved out

0:30:51.720 --> 0:30:55.840
<v Speaker 4>for themselves, the Republicans losing at least two maybe three seats,

0:30:56.160 --> 0:30:59.880
<v Speaker 4>actually putting some of the seats that they in Texas,

0:31:00.200 --> 0:31:02.240
<v Speaker 4>the seats they had to weaken outside of that to

0:31:02.840 --> 0:31:06.320
<v Speaker 4>carve these stronger Republican seats. Yeah, if you went from

0:31:06.600 --> 0:31:10.000
<v Speaker 4>a Republican plus seven seat to Republican plus four in

0:31:10.080 --> 0:31:12.840
<v Speaker 4>order to give up those votes for another Republican seat

0:31:12.920 --> 0:31:16.640
<v Speaker 4>in Texas, you're regretting that decision because nobody view is

0:31:16.640 --> 0:31:19.480
<v Speaker 4>a competitive seat and you are now you absolutely all.

0:31:19.400 --> 0:31:23.200
<v Speaker 1>And in a deplus eleven. So then make sense of

0:31:23.280 --> 0:31:26.280
<v Speaker 1>the Mike Lawler seat because New York State has a

0:31:26.320 --> 0:31:30.840
<v Speaker 1>few has a bunch of seats that are tight. I mean,

0:31:31.880 --> 0:31:34.560
<v Speaker 1>Mike Lawler should be losing that seat, and he's actually

0:31:34.600 --> 0:31:36.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean New York State may be weird, maybe different.

0:31:36.960 --> 0:31:39.000
<v Speaker 1>We've seen that in other elections.

0:31:39.320 --> 0:31:41.800
<v Speaker 4>There's only about five seats and two of them are

0:31:41.840 --> 0:31:44.480
<v Speaker 4>like in Long Island, or New York area. The three

0:31:44.520 --> 0:31:47.600
<v Speaker 4>are in like Orange County, California, North San Diego, where

0:31:47.600 --> 0:31:50.400
<v Speaker 4>you have a high number of college educated professional class

0:31:50.440 --> 0:31:54.280
<v Speaker 4>workers with blue collar workers. It's very very rare. Only

0:31:54.280 --> 0:31:56.840
<v Speaker 4>in New York and California. Lawler is one of those seats.

0:31:57.200 --> 0:31:59.760
<v Speaker 4>But like I said, the defections that are coming tend

0:31:59.840 --> 0:32:04.640
<v Speaker 4>to be college educated Republicans. It doesn't matter whether you

0:32:04.720 --> 0:32:07.920
<v Speaker 4>lose them in rural Georgia or Alabama, right Like, who

0:32:08.000 --> 0:32:10.120
<v Speaker 4>cares whether or not if you're getting twenty percent of

0:32:10.120 --> 0:32:14.000
<v Speaker 4>Republicans or fifteen percent of Republicans, you lose one in

0:32:14.400 --> 0:32:17.280
<v Speaker 4>five MAGA voters in Lawler's district.

0:32:17.000 --> 0:32:20.160
<v Speaker 3>And he's done. He's toast. This was a big part

0:32:20.200 --> 0:32:21.160
<v Speaker 3>of our Lincoln.

0:32:20.840 --> 0:32:24.400
<v Speaker 4>Project strategy in twenty twenty. Those seats particularly, we were

0:32:24.400 --> 0:32:28.080
<v Speaker 4>focusing really on college educated Republicans. There are so many

0:32:28.120 --> 0:32:31.720
<v Speaker 4>more now working class gettable Latinos that that is really

0:32:31.760 --> 0:32:34.080
<v Speaker 4>the demographic where the focus on the balance of power

0:32:34.120 --> 0:32:34.680
<v Speaker 4>is going to be.

0:32:35.360 --> 0:32:36.480
<v Speaker 3>Does Lawler survive?

0:32:36.880 --> 0:32:38.800
<v Speaker 4>Honestly, I haven't looked at that districts too much. My

0:32:38.840 --> 0:32:41.440
<v Speaker 4>guess is probably not, depending on the credibility of the

0:32:41.480 --> 0:32:45.840
<v Speaker 4>Democratic candidate, just because the place where Republicans are losing

0:32:46.160 --> 0:32:49.320
<v Speaker 4>support levels of most amongst their own base are characterized

0:32:49.320 --> 0:32:53.480
<v Speaker 4>by those Orange County, California, Long Island, New York districts

0:32:53.520 --> 0:32:53.960
<v Speaker 4>like his.

0:32:54.320 --> 0:32:56.600
<v Speaker 1>It would be malpractice if I didn't ask you about

0:32:56.600 --> 0:33:00.440
<v Speaker 1>Tella Rico. It is in my mind, the least likely

0:33:00.520 --> 0:33:06.800
<v Speaker 1>of those pickups, because I think Alaska, Iowa, Ohio more likely.

0:33:07.360 --> 0:33:10.560
<v Speaker 1>But tell Rico is sort of an amazing candidate in

0:33:10.600 --> 0:33:13.720
<v Speaker 1>Paxton is a disaster. So what you're thinking.

0:33:13.440 --> 0:33:16.000
<v Speaker 3>There, well, it's exactly like yours.

0:33:16.200 --> 0:33:18.160
<v Speaker 4>In order to win Texas, and Texas has always been

0:33:18.200 --> 0:33:20.560
<v Speaker 4>sort of the holy grail for Democrats.

0:33:21.160 --> 0:33:23.320
<v Speaker 3>I've always cautioned saying that this is Texas.

0:33:23.400 --> 0:33:25.680
<v Speaker 4>This is you know, when you look at the numbers

0:33:25.720 --> 0:33:27.200
<v Speaker 4>on the map, they're not telling the whole story.

0:33:27.360 --> 0:33:28.840
<v Speaker 3>You need three things to happen in Texas.

0:33:28.840 --> 0:33:31.120
<v Speaker 4>You have to have a remarkably good Democratic candidate, which

0:33:31.120 --> 0:33:33.720
<v Speaker 4>you do. You have to have a remarkably bad candidate

0:33:33.800 --> 0:33:36.120
<v Speaker 4>in Paxton, which the Republicans do. And you have to

0:33:36.120 --> 0:33:38.480
<v Speaker 4>have a very sour mood for incumbent Republicans, which you

0:33:38.520 --> 0:33:40.640
<v Speaker 4>also do. So if it's going to happen, it's going

0:33:40.720 --> 0:33:42.400
<v Speaker 4>to happen in a year like this. I was saying,

0:33:42.440 --> 0:33:44.920
<v Speaker 4>Betthrowurk is not going to win coolier jets.

0:33:45.200 --> 0:33:46.160
<v Speaker 3>That's not a real thing.

0:33:46.720 --> 0:33:48.640
<v Speaker 4>I'm a little less saying that, A little bit less

0:33:48.680 --> 0:33:51.760
<v Speaker 4>now having said that, I agree with you, But listen

0:33:51.760 --> 0:33:52.320
<v Speaker 4>to what I'm saying.

0:33:52.360 --> 0:33:53.240
<v Speaker 3>Listen what you're saying.

0:33:53.600 --> 0:33:58.000
<v Speaker 4>Alaska is more in contention than a Texas. Iowa is

0:33:58.080 --> 0:34:02.000
<v Speaker 4>more likely to go Ohio. The fact that we're talking

0:34:02.000 --> 0:34:06.400
<v Speaker 4>about those states being in play mean that the battlefield

0:34:06.480 --> 0:34:08.520
<v Speaker 4>is a lot bigger than people think it is.

0:34:08.719 --> 0:34:09.279
<v Speaker 3>And it is.

0:34:09.400 --> 0:34:11.600
<v Speaker 4>That's why I said, you're going to see some surprises.

0:34:11.920 --> 0:34:14.319
<v Speaker 4>A lot of pundits I think are being very conservative

0:34:14.400 --> 0:34:16.799
<v Speaker 4>right now. Can things change in the next three months, yes?

0:34:16.840 --> 0:34:17.520
<v Speaker 3>Will they Yes?

0:34:18.000 --> 0:34:20.440
<v Speaker 4>But there's also a good Likelihad, that it gets worse

0:34:20.480 --> 0:34:23.560
<v Speaker 4>for Republicans, not better. And when you're seeing these states

0:34:23.560 --> 0:34:27.400
<v Speaker 4>that should not be in play in contention, and Texas

0:34:27.440 --> 0:34:29.319
<v Speaker 4>is a battleground state, whether you want to admit it

0:34:29.400 --> 0:34:33.360
<v Speaker 4>or not, Republicans, that's telling you that the demographic collapse

0:34:33.480 --> 0:34:36.399
<v Speaker 4>is widespreadish not with any one group, it's with all group.

0:34:36.480 --> 0:34:37.239
<v Speaker 3>For Republicans.

0:34:37.800 --> 0:34:39.640
<v Speaker 1>Mike Madrid, will you please come back.

0:34:40.000 --> 0:34:41.840
<v Speaker 3>I would love to, Mollie. Thanks for having me I

0:34:41.840 --> 0:34:42.440
<v Speaker 3>appreciate you.

0:34:44.239 --> 0:34:49.400
<v Speaker 1>Hattie Gassima is a senior policy council on immigration policy

0:34:49.440 --> 0:34:53.480
<v Speaker 1>at the acl You and Mike Zamore is a National

0:34:53.520 --> 0:34:56.879
<v Speaker 1>director of Policy and Government Affairs at the ACLU. Welcome, love,

0:34:56.920 --> 0:34:59.400
<v Speaker 1>gom Hattie and Mike, and I'm going to have you

0:34:59.440 --> 0:35:02.880
<v Speaker 1>both in introduce yourselves. Mike tell us who you are

0:35:02.920 --> 0:35:05.080
<v Speaker 1>and what you do, and then Hattie, will you please

0:35:05.120 --> 0:35:05.640
<v Speaker 1>do the same.

0:35:06.120 --> 0:35:09.520
<v Speaker 5>Sure. I'm Mike Theymore. I'm the National Director of Policy

0:35:09.560 --> 0:35:13.640
<v Speaker 5>and Government Affairs at the American Civil Liberties Union and

0:35:13.840 --> 0:35:16.360
<v Speaker 5>work with our team on the whole host of issues

0:35:16.440 --> 0:35:17.960
<v Speaker 5>affecting our rights and our freedoms.

0:35:18.200 --> 0:35:20.160
<v Speaker 1>And Hattie Hi, I'm Hattie.

0:35:20.440 --> 0:35:25.719
<v Speaker 6>I serve as a senior policy council on our immigration

0:35:25.880 --> 0:35:30.560
<v Speaker 6>policy team at the ACLU, and I lead our detention

0:35:30.800 --> 0:35:34.680
<v Speaker 6>advocacy work, amongst a couple of other issue areas related

0:35:34.680 --> 0:35:35.280
<v Speaker 6>to immigration.

0:35:35.760 --> 0:35:38.800
<v Speaker 1>You guys are here to talk about a number of things,

0:35:39.160 --> 0:35:42.760
<v Speaker 1>but one of the things that I am particularly interested

0:35:42.760 --> 0:35:45.920
<v Speaker 1>in talking about because it's so close to where I

0:35:45.960 --> 0:35:49.640
<v Speaker 1>am right now, is Delaney Hall. And you guys have

0:35:49.719 --> 0:35:52.720
<v Speaker 1>been really writing about this, talking about it and also

0:35:53.320 --> 0:35:57.120
<v Speaker 1>advocating right So I'd love you whoever feels the most

0:35:57.239 --> 0:36:00.480
<v Speaker 1>comfortable starting us out on what's happening at Laney Hall

0:36:00.560 --> 0:36:02.400
<v Speaker 1>right now and what the scou is doing.

0:36:02.680 --> 0:36:03.440
<v Speaker 5>What we have.

0:36:03.480 --> 0:36:08.040
<v Speaker 6>Seen in Delaney Hall over the past couple of weeks

0:36:08.160 --> 0:36:11.440
<v Speaker 6>now is you know, I think emblematic of what we

0:36:11.520 --> 0:36:16.640
<v Speaker 6>are seeing in immigration detention just across the country, which

0:36:16.719 --> 0:36:20.880
<v Speaker 6>is that this is a system that has grown exponentially.

0:36:20.920 --> 0:36:26.280
<v Speaker 6>It's growing with very little accountability, with an increase in funding,

0:36:26.880 --> 0:36:30.759
<v Speaker 6>while the conditions in the facilities are deteriorating. And so

0:36:30.840 --> 0:36:34.120
<v Speaker 6>what we're hearing from detained people in Delaney Hall is

0:36:34.160 --> 0:36:38.920
<v Speaker 6>that the food is you know, inedible, there's little to

0:36:39.360 --> 0:36:44.200
<v Speaker 6>no medical care whatsoever. There's been you know, instances of

0:36:44.239 --> 0:36:49.520
<v Speaker 6>alleged physical abuse by guards at the facility. There's lots

0:36:49.520 --> 0:36:54.600
<v Speaker 6>of pressure and duress to give up legitimate immigration claims

0:36:54.600 --> 0:36:59.120
<v Speaker 6>and to you know, go for voluntary deportations. So we're

0:36:59.160 --> 0:37:02.400
<v Speaker 6>hearing all these stances, and what we've seen last month

0:37:02.440 --> 0:37:05.719
<v Speaker 6>and the month prior is that detained individuals, in order

0:37:05.800 --> 0:37:09.520
<v Speaker 6>to shine a light into the terrific conditions that the

0:37:09.520 --> 0:37:15.160
<v Speaker 6>facility decided to stage a hunger strike to bring light

0:37:15.239 --> 0:37:18.880
<v Speaker 6>and attention. I think it's really important to also underscore

0:37:19.000 --> 0:37:22.200
<v Speaker 6>that the reason why people would go to such a

0:37:22.360 --> 0:37:26.040
<v Speaker 6>last resort measure as starving themselves to shine a light

0:37:26.160 --> 0:37:30.239
<v Speaker 6>into their experiences and a detention facility is that we

0:37:30.400 --> 0:37:35.080
<v Speaker 6>have so little access to these facilities. There is no

0:37:35.280 --> 0:37:39.480
<v Speaker 6>sort of independent oversight body. Very few people can go in,

0:37:40.120 --> 0:37:43.560
<v Speaker 6>mostly members of Congress, and we're seeing even that has

0:37:43.640 --> 0:37:47.279
<v Speaker 6>become increasingly harder and harder under this administration.

0:37:47.760 --> 0:37:50.120
<v Speaker 1>Maybe, Mike, you want to talk about some of the

0:37:50.160 --> 0:37:53.160
<v Speaker 1>members of Congress who have gone to Delaney Hall on

0:37:53.200 --> 0:37:54.200
<v Speaker 1>what's happened to them.

0:37:54.560 --> 0:37:58.120
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, there's been a steady stream of effort to conduct

0:37:58.120 --> 0:38:01.200
<v Speaker 5>oversight over this facility because the conditions are so squalid

0:38:01.239 --> 0:38:03.560
<v Speaker 5>and the stories coming out of it are really horrific.

0:38:03.840 --> 0:38:07.320
<v Speaker 5>And the most prominent controversial situation is one that happens

0:38:07.400 --> 0:38:09.840
<v Speaker 5>a number of months ago now where the mayor of

0:38:09.960 --> 0:38:12.640
<v Speaker 5>Newark was there to make a visit. As worse some

0:38:12.719 --> 0:38:14.080
<v Speaker 5>members of Congress.

0:38:13.800 --> 0:38:16.160
<v Speaker 1>Delaney Hall is basically in Newark.

0:38:16.560 --> 0:38:17.240
<v Speaker 5>It's in Newark.

0:38:17.320 --> 0:38:20.840
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's right, So technically these are his constituents.

0:38:21.160 --> 0:38:24.680
<v Speaker 5>His city has responsibility for overseeing the conditions there, like

0:38:24.760 --> 0:38:28.040
<v Speaker 5>any facility in the city. But ICE and the geogroup

0:38:28.080 --> 0:38:31.440
<v Speaker 5>the for profit contractor don't want to let anybody in.

0:38:31.520 --> 0:38:34.319
<v Speaker 5>There's like a big cover up happening at Delaney Hall.

0:38:34.480 --> 0:38:35.839
<v Speaker 5>So we should be, you know, we should be clearly

0:38:35.880 --> 0:38:38.319
<v Speaker 5>like what's going on here is that they are deliberately

0:38:38.600 --> 0:38:42.160
<v Speaker 5>creating these terrible conditions. So, as Hattie said, people will

0:38:42.440 --> 0:38:45.120
<v Speaker 5>decide that the path of least resistance is just to

0:38:45.200 --> 0:38:47.359
<v Speaker 5>leave the country, whether or not they have a right

0:38:47.400 --> 0:38:50.279
<v Speaker 5>to be here, whether or not the administration has valid

0:38:50.280 --> 0:38:53.319
<v Speaker 5>grounds to support them. So they're trying to prevent people

0:38:53.360 --> 0:38:55.840
<v Speaker 5>from getting a look inside. And so when the mayor

0:38:55.920 --> 0:38:58.200
<v Speaker 5>went to go try to take a look, they first

0:38:58.239 --> 0:39:02.040
<v Speaker 5>refused him, he left, and then on the direct orders

0:39:02.120 --> 0:39:05.480
<v Speaker 5>of the Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, whose confirmation will

0:39:05.520 --> 0:39:07.879
<v Speaker 5>be next week in the Senate for the permanent job,

0:39:08.040 --> 0:39:11.880
<v Speaker 5>the ICE agents waded into a crowd of protesters, created

0:39:11.920 --> 0:39:14.759
<v Speaker 5>a big conflict, and coming out of this they ended

0:39:14.840 --> 0:39:18.920
<v Speaker 5>up charging a US representative from New Jersey, La Monica

0:39:19.000 --> 0:39:22.320
<v Speaker 5>mc iver. And so she's been charged now with federal crimes.

0:39:22.320 --> 0:39:25.440
<v Speaker 5>That Carrie sentences of nearly a decade in prison for

0:39:26.239 --> 0:39:29.400
<v Speaker 5>being in this crowd protesting.

0:39:29.080 --> 0:39:32.160
<v Speaker 1>And she was kept in jail too, right, she was

0:39:32.160 --> 0:39:32.560
<v Speaker 1>in jail.

0:39:32.760 --> 0:39:36.040
<v Speaker 5>I believe overnight she you know, stupidentually was released but

0:39:36.160 --> 0:39:38.120
<v Speaker 5>is still facing this frial. She's got a couple of

0:39:38.160 --> 0:39:40.480
<v Speaker 5>appeals up at the third circuit now. But I think

0:39:40.520 --> 0:39:42.960
<v Speaker 5>what's really striking is this is a sitting member of

0:39:43.040 --> 0:39:46.239
<v Speaker 5>Congress doing her job to conduct oversight.

0:39:46.719 --> 0:39:50.200
<v Speaker 1>They're supposed to do oversight on this. Isn't that part

0:39:50.200 --> 0:39:50.719
<v Speaker 1>of their job?

0:39:50.960 --> 0:39:54.600
<v Speaker 6>Yes, you are absolutely right. As I mentioned before, members

0:39:54.640 --> 0:39:58.879
<v Speaker 6>of Congress are some of the only people who can

0:39:59.040 --> 0:40:03.040
<v Speaker 6>have oversight and access into detention facilities.

0:40:03.120 --> 0:40:04.920
<v Speaker 1>They have the authority to.

0:40:04.920 --> 0:40:10.360
<v Speaker 6>Conduct announced or unannounced visits to any of these immigration

0:40:10.520 --> 0:40:13.640
<v Speaker 6>detention facilities, because of course it is Congress that also

0:40:13.840 --> 0:40:18.279
<v Speaker 6>funds the operation of these facilities. But what we have

0:40:18.480 --> 0:40:24.400
<v Speaker 6>seen under this administration is a steady push to obstruct

0:40:24.400 --> 0:40:28.440
<v Speaker 6>that oversight authority from you know, the earliest days of

0:40:28.480 --> 0:40:33.719
<v Speaker 6>this second term. Their ice has had numerous policy changes

0:40:33.800 --> 0:40:38.120
<v Speaker 6>around when and how and how much notice members of

0:40:38.160 --> 0:40:41.799
<v Speaker 6>Congress should give them in order to be able to

0:40:42.360 --> 0:40:46.040
<v Speaker 6>you know, do their oversight work. And members of Congress

0:40:46.120 --> 0:40:48.720
<v Speaker 6>you know, rightfully so pushed back and in fact actually

0:40:48.800 --> 0:40:53.720
<v Speaker 6>sued on their right to conduct these oversight visits. And

0:40:53.760 --> 0:40:58.200
<v Speaker 6>again through that litigation. The courts have said very clearly

0:40:58.440 --> 0:41:01.880
<v Speaker 6>over and over again that they have this right to

0:41:01.960 --> 0:41:05.480
<v Speaker 6>conduct oversight measures. And what we're still seeing, you know,

0:41:05.640 --> 0:41:09.759
<v Speaker 6>up until now with Delaney Hall, is that that oversight

0:41:09.840 --> 0:41:13.719
<v Speaker 6>authority is constantly being obstructed. I mean, I think at

0:41:13.719 --> 0:41:16.120
<v Speaker 6>the height of some of the what was happening at

0:41:16.120 --> 0:41:19.160
<v Speaker 6>Delaney Hall, we had to have sitting members of Congress

0:41:19.640 --> 0:41:25.560
<v Speaker 6>directly do outreach to the Secretary of DHS Mullen to

0:41:25.800 --> 0:41:29.560
<v Speaker 6>again just respect their oversight authority to do their job

0:41:29.640 --> 0:41:31.200
<v Speaker 6>and visit the facility.

0:41:31.640 --> 0:41:37.240
<v Speaker 1>What happened Right now? Where are we now? Like Delaney Hall.

0:41:37.560 --> 0:41:42.520
<v Speaker 1>I have some protesters text me pretty regularly. They told

0:41:42.560 --> 0:41:44.960
<v Speaker 1>me that their's and again I don't know, you know,

0:41:45.000 --> 0:41:48.200
<v Speaker 1>they're not journalists, so who knows. But they did tell

0:41:48.239 --> 0:41:53.320
<v Speaker 1>me that there's facial recognition software that if you protest

0:41:53.480 --> 0:41:57.240
<v Speaker 1>that eventually the police start to call you by name,

0:41:57.440 --> 0:41:59.680
<v Speaker 1>and that's how you know you're about to get arrested.

0:42:00.200 --> 0:42:03.200
<v Speaker 1>Have you heard about this and is that happening?

0:42:03.640 --> 0:42:07.960
<v Speaker 5>This has been a pattern that's been expanding and accelerating

0:42:08.000 --> 0:42:10.919
<v Speaker 5>over the course of the last eighteen months of his administration,

0:42:11.200 --> 0:42:15.280
<v Speaker 5>where Ice is using the massive one hundred and eighty

0:42:15.320 --> 0:42:18.719
<v Speaker 5>billion plus dollars that Congress has dumped in their lap

0:42:18.800 --> 0:42:22.520
<v Speaker 5>to buy all kinds of tech that is used for surveillance,

0:42:22.520 --> 0:42:25.840
<v Speaker 5>and then they're wielding that to try to intimidate, harassed,

0:42:25.880 --> 0:42:29.200
<v Speaker 5>sometimes arrest, sometimes injure, or even as we've seen, kill

0:42:29.360 --> 0:42:32.160
<v Speaker 5>protesters who are exercising their First Amendment right. We have

0:42:32.200 --> 0:42:34.239
<v Speaker 5>a report that we put out just about a week

0:42:34.280 --> 0:42:37.239
<v Speaker 5>and a half ago called Agents of Chaos and Cruelty

0:42:37.680 --> 0:42:42.600
<v Speaker 5>that documents the extent to which the immigration enforcement actions

0:42:42.640 --> 0:42:47.359
<v Speaker 5>of this administration are really rooted in violations of constitutional

0:42:47.440 --> 0:42:50.520
<v Speaker 5>rights and in misconduct. So we looked at a data

0:42:50.520 --> 0:42:54.560
<v Speaker 5>across eight states, found that in about a third of

0:42:54.640 --> 0:42:57.880
<v Speaker 5>all of the arrest and enforcement actions there was this conduct,

0:42:57.920 --> 0:43:03.240
<v Speaker 5>and there were abuses and affect children, affect the US citizens,

0:43:03.400 --> 0:43:05.600
<v Speaker 5>people for some Venmoor rights, lots of injuries, lots of

0:43:05.640 --> 0:43:08.040
<v Speaker 5>broken windows and things like that. So you know, this

0:43:08.200 --> 0:43:10.640
<v Speaker 5>is not a few bad apples, right like, this is

0:43:10.680 --> 0:43:13.560
<v Speaker 5>not where things are going wrong because they're moving back.

0:43:13.640 --> 0:43:17.520
<v Speaker 5>This is the policy of Steven Miller's America. They want

0:43:17.640 --> 0:43:22.960
<v Speaker 5>to inflict, you know, maximum pain and fear and create

0:43:23.040 --> 0:43:26.040
<v Speaker 5>the conditions where people are afraid to protest. People are

0:43:26.080 --> 0:43:28.280
<v Speaker 5>afraid to stand up for their neighbors. People are afraid

0:43:28.280 --> 0:43:31.160
<v Speaker 5>to be here if they're not the right origins or

0:43:31.360 --> 0:43:35.040
<v Speaker 5>even the right color. And we're seeing it both in

0:43:35.120 --> 0:43:37.719
<v Speaker 5>the detention and the conditions at places like Delaney Hall

0:43:37.760 --> 0:43:40.640
<v Speaker 5>and elsewhere where over fifty people have died in custody

0:43:40.840 --> 0:43:42.759
<v Speaker 5>since the administration took office. Then we're seeing it in

0:43:42.800 --> 0:43:46.120
<v Speaker 5>the streets where you have rampaging ice officers shooting and

0:43:46.200 --> 0:43:49.239
<v Speaker 5>killing two people just in a lot of ten days.

0:43:48.760 --> 0:43:51.960
<v Speaker 5>This is a pattern that is deeply alarming if you

0:43:52.000 --> 0:43:54.319
<v Speaker 5>believe in you know, rights, freedom, rule of law.

0:43:54.640 --> 0:43:58.240
<v Speaker 1>Can you talk about the ice killings, because we had

0:43:58.560 --> 0:44:02.719
<v Speaker 1>two citizens killed and then we've had now they were

0:44:02.719 --> 0:44:07.480
<v Speaker 1>both murdered. Then we've had two other murders and also

0:44:07.600 --> 0:44:09.280
<v Speaker 1>someone hit by a car.

0:44:08.960 --> 0:44:11.960
<v Speaker 5>Right, yeah, the last three that you just mentioned, we're

0:44:11.960 --> 0:44:14.200
<v Speaker 5>all like in a span of five days. What we've

0:44:14.239 --> 0:44:19.960
<v Speaker 5>seen in all of these instances is poorly trained, poorly

0:44:20.080 --> 0:44:23.600
<v Speaker 5>vetted ice agents doing the thing that they have been

0:44:24.000 --> 0:44:26.640
<v Speaker 5>encouraged and instructed to do. And you know, we don't

0:44:26.640 --> 0:44:29.000
<v Speaker 5>have necessarily like you know, they're not being told like goho,

0:44:29.040 --> 0:44:31.640
<v Speaker 5>smash a window and shoot somebody in their car but

0:44:31.719 --> 0:44:35.120
<v Speaker 5>they are being given a clear message that the goal

0:44:35.239 --> 0:44:39.000
<v Speaker 5>here is to inflict terror and harm, and that if

0:44:39.000 --> 0:44:41.600
<v Speaker 5>anybody gets in your way, you break them. Stephen Miller

0:44:41.600 --> 0:44:43.600
<v Speaker 5>said it from the podium in the White House, right like,

0:44:43.840 --> 0:44:46.680
<v Speaker 5>you do not have any accountability and if anybody gets

0:44:46.680 --> 0:44:49.600
<v Speaker 5>in your way, then you have a license to do

0:44:49.760 --> 0:44:52.080
<v Speaker 5>your job. The message could not be clear, and the

0:44:52.120 --> 0:44:55.719
<v Speaker 5>results are predictable. So what we've seen is people like

0:44:55.800 --> 0:45:01.240
<v Speaker 5>Lorenzo Salgado Arao in Houston and Joan Sebastian Guerrero in Maine,

0:45:01.400 --> 0:45:05.000
<v Speaker 5>both like upstanding citizens, killers of their community. Mister Arajo

0:45:05.080 --> 0:45:07.879
<v Speaker 5>and Houston had been in distress for thirty years, rates

0:45:07.920 --> 0:45:11.960
<v Speaker 5>three citizen kids who were all successful, and he had employees.

0:45:12.400 --> 0:45:14.600
<v Speaker 5>He was doing all of the things that are the

0:45:14.640 --> 0:45:17.560
<v Speaker 5>American dream. He was the American dream and he was

0:45:17.600 --> 0:45:20.960
<v Speaker 5>shot dead for it because he happened to be born

0:45:21.000 --> 0:45:23.799
<v Speaker 5>in Mexico. And Steven Miller doesn't like that. This is

0:45:23.800 --> 0:45:25.760
<v Speaker 5>what we get when we build also that way.

0:45:25.760 --> 0:45:28.719
<v Speaker 1>He was also clad right, he wasn't meant to be

0:45:28.920 --> 0:45:29.560
<v Speaker 1>the stop.

0:45:29.719 --> 0:45:32.479
<v Speaker 5>I mean, he wasn't technically the target like they wasn't

0:45:32.480 --> 0:45:34.920
<v Speaker 5>like they were looking for somebody, and it wasn't him. However,

0:45:35.239 --> 0:45:38.320
<v Speaker 5>let's be really clear that he was the target insofar

0:45:38.400 --> 0:45:41.879
<v Speaker 5>as he was Mexican born. We've seen this administration doing

0:45:41.960 --> 0:45:45.400
<v Speaker 5>these dragnet stops in city after city because they have

0:45:45.440 --> 0:45:47.680
<v Speaker 5>a quota and a rest quota, so it's like, we're

0:45:47.719 --> 0:45:49.680
<v Speaker 5>not out there. They're not really out there to get

0:45:49.680 --> 0:45:52.200
<v Speaker 5>the particular people or to get the worst of the worst.

0:45:52.560 --> 0:45:55.839
<v Speaker 5>They're there to hit their number two thousand arrests a day,

0:45:56.200 --> 0:45:59.040
<v Speaker 5>and so they're picking up anybody who they hear speaking Spanish.

0:45:59.040 --> 0:46:01.759
<v Speaker 5>They're going to neighborhood that are no immigrant, you know,

0:46:01.760 --> 0:46:04.960
<v Speaker 5>immigrant communities. They're going to the parking lots where people

0:46:05.000 --> 0:46:08.120
<v Speaker 5>look for work. And Brett kavanaughs that that was all okay.

0:46:08.200 --> 0:46:10.880
<v Speaker 5>And you know, in a decision out of the shadow

0:46:10.880 --> 0:46:15.160
<v Speaker 5>Docket from the Supreme Court, the racial profiling and kind

0:46:15.160 --> 0:46:19.319
<v Speaker 5>of dragnet sweeps are the backbone of the strategy here

0:46:19.360 --> 0:46:22.319
<v Speaker 5>to inflict his terror and drive up the numbers. And so, no,

0:46:22.480 --> 0:46:25.000
<v Speaker 5>Misha was not the you know, he was not the

0:46:25.360 --> 0:46:27.120
<v Speaker 5>guy his name was on the warrant. But yes, he

0:46:27.160 --> 0:46:30.360
<v Speaker 5>absolutely was the intended target in the broader sense.

0:46:30.600 --> 0:46:34.840
<v Speaker 1>When we look at Delaney Hall, are there other Delaney

0:46:34.840 --> 0:46:36.399
<v Speaker 1>halls several more.

0:46:36.440 --> 0:46:39.640
<v Speaker 6>In fact, I mean ICE has a sweeping network of

0:46:39.960 --> 0:46:44.720
<v Speaker 6>over two hundred closer to three hundred detention facilities across

0:46:44.760 --> 0:46:47.440
<v Speaker 6>the country. In fact, you know, we saw the hunger

0:46:47.440 --> 0:46:51.200
<v Speaker 6>strike happen in Delaney Hall, and at that time, or

0:46:51.360 --> 0:46:53.960
<v Speaker 6>you know, right around that time, there were about six

0:46:54.120 --> 0:46:58.480
<v Speaker 6>other hunger strikes happening across the country in these immigration

0:46:58.640 --> 0:47:04.160
<v Speaker 6>detention facilities, all highlighting some of the same conditions issues

0:47:04.320 --> 0:47:09.479
<v Speaker 6>rancid food, medical neglect, you know, pressure and being under

0:47:09.560 --> 0:47:13.960
<v Speaker 6>duress to give up immigration cases, other forms of physical

0:47:14.080 --> 0:47:19.279
<v Speaker 6>in some cases, sexual violence and abuse. The other thing is,

0:47:19.320 --> 0:47:22.520
<v Speaker 6>you know, to Mike's earlier point about the amount of

0:47:22.560 --> 0:47:26.879
<v Speaker 6>funding and money that they have, this system is only expanding,

0:47:26.880 --> 0:47:30.160
<v Speaker 6>and you know, they're pushing to expand it even more.

0:47:30.200 --> 0:47:35.440
<v Speaker 6>They've attempted to purchase warehouses across the country, industrial warehouses

0:47:35.760 --> 0:47:39.640
<v Speaker 6>to detain human beings in you know, it was largely

0:47:39.760 --> 0:47:43.279
<v Speaker 6>due to a lot of I think local community organizing

0:47:43.360 --> 0:47:46.960
<v Speaker 6>and push back and litigation that has kind of slowed

0:47:47.000 --> 0:47:50.880
<v Speaker 6>down the process of those facilities, those warehouse facilities opening,

0:47:51.280 --> 0:47:54.600
<v Speaker 6>But they're still at it with their expansion. And this

0:47:54.719 --> 0:47:57.479
<v Speaker 6>is also I think it's important to name that they're

0:47:57.520 --> 0:48:03.719
<v Speaker 6>also not only pushing to detain adults, but child and

0:48:04.320 --> 0:48:09.880
<v Speaker 6>family detention is also increasing exponentially. The government is seeking

0:48:10.040 --> 0:48:14.480
<v Speaker 6>currently to have a three thousand bad detention space for

0:48:14.719 --> 0:48:19.200
<v Speaker 6>unaccompanied kids, and they're also poised to open a facility

0:48:19.239 --> 0:48:23.000
<v Speaker 6>for families and children in Alexandria in a place that

0:48:23.480 --> 0:48:27.719
<v Speaker 6>is on a military site excuse me, that is known

0:48:27.760 --> 0:48:31.400
<v Speaker 6>to have like toxic materials and chemicals in the soil

0:48:31.480 --> 0:48:32.240
<v Speaker 6>and in the land.

0:48:32.320 --> 0:48:33.719
<v Speaker 5>I mean, this is just.

0:48:33.680 --> 0:48:37.200
<v Speaker 6>To paint like a very clear picture of what this

0:48:37.680 --> 0:48:44.000
<v Speaker 6>administration's immigration detention system looks like. It's one that is expanding,

0:48:44.120 --> 0:48:47.360
<v Speaker 6>It's one that has gone unchecked. It's one that Congress

0:48:47.400 --> 0:48:50.480
<v Speaker 6>has given a blank check too. I mean we're talking

0:48:50.600 --> 0:48:55.280
<v Speaker 6>from the big beautiful bill forty five billion dollars specifically

0:48:55.360 --> 0:49:01.080
<v Speaker 6>for immigration expansion, and this most recent reconciliation bill gave

0:49:01.120 --> 0:49:04.040
<v Speaker 6>them about I think seventy billion dollars. It doesn't have

0:49:04.080 --> 0:49:08.520
<v Speaker 6>a line item for immigration detention, but it does give

0:49:08.560 --> 0:49:11.880
<v Speaker 6>that money to the agency again that is like running

0:49:11.960 --> 0:49:17.440
<v Speaker 6>and operating these facilities in tandem with these private prison

0:49:17.520 --> 0:49:22.160
<v Speaker 6>companies that are also making an astronomical profit off of

0:49:22.560 --> 0:49:25.399
<v Speaker 6>this type of human suffering, you know, at a time

0:49:25.480 --> 0:49:28.960
<v Speaker 6>when there's such an affordability issue in this country, at

0:49:28.960 --> 0:49:32.480
<v Speaker 6>a time where the average American is struggling to you know,

0:49:32.640 --> 0:49:36.840
<v Speaker 6>put food on the table, pay mortgages and rent, put.

0:49:36.680 --> 0:49:37.920
<v Speaker 1>Gas in tax dollars.

0:49:38.200 --> 0:49:41.720
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, are all being paid for with our tax dollars.

0:49:42.160 --> 0:49:44.320
<v Speaker 1>Is there any sort of bright spot here?

0:49:44.560 --> 0:49:47.399
<v Speaker 5>Well, one bright spot is that the American people are

0:49:47.400 --> 0:49:51.239
<v Speaker 5>seeing this and are horrified. So yesterday a Fox News

0:49:51.320 --> 0:49:54.759
<v Speaker 5>poll came out that showed that people trust Democrats more

0:49:54.760 --> 0:49:56.919
<v Speaker 5>than Republicans than the issue of immigration for the first

0:49:56.920 --> 0:49:59.000
<v Speaker 5>time and who knows how long. I think that the

0:49:59.080 --> 0:50:02.600
<v Speaker 5>reaction in Minnesota. You had mentioned when the two US

0:50:02.680 --> 0:50:05.160
<v Speaker 5>citizens were shot and killed up there, Alex Pretti and

0:50:05.200 --> 0:50:08.640
<v Speaker 5>Rene Good, two separate incidents, and that came emits. I mean,

0:50:08.680 --> 0:50:10.440
<v Speaker 5>that was the big headline story. But I think that

0:50:10.480 --> 0:50:12.960
<v Speaker 5>the real story out of Minneapolis was the way that

0:50:13.000 --> 0:50:16.000
<v Speaker 5>community rallied and people came and supported their neighbors and

0:50:16.280 --> 0:50:18.520
<v Speaker 5>brought deals to people so they wouldn't have to leave

0:50:18.520 --> 0:50:22.160
<v Speaker 5>their own that they was an incredible outpouring of community

0:50:22.160 --> 0:50:25.520
<v Speaker 5>support for people's neighbors and friends and family who were

0:50:25.520 --> 0:50:28.800
<v Speaker 5>being targeted by ice. And I think what we're seeing

0:50:29.080 --> 0:50:32.320
<v Speaker 5>is a you know, we've been paralyzed as a country

0:50:32.360 --> 0:50:34.719
<v Speaker 5>around immigration as an issue for a really long time.

0:50:34.920 --> 0:50:37.720
<v Speaker 5>And what we're seeing is people are getting to see

0:50:37.760 --> 0:50:41.359
<v Speaker 5>like Donald Trump's id version of immigration, which is like

0:50:41.520 --> 0:50:46.000
<v Speaker 5>Stephen Miller unleashed terror, you know, kind of like you know,

0:50:46.200 --> 0:50:52.080
<v Speaker 5>paramilitary fifty thousand person strong deportation force, wrecking communities, breaking

0:50:52.160 --> 0:50:57.600
<v Speaker 5>up industries, workforces, locking up children, and warehouse sized facilities.

0:50:57.640 --> 0:50:59.080
<v Speaker 5>And people do not like it. And so I think

0:50:59.080 --> 0:51:01.480
<v Speaker 5>there's an opportunity now for us to really change the

0:51:01.520 --> 0:51:03.239
<v Speaker 5>script here and talk about, Okay, well, what do we

0:51:03.280 --> 0:51:06.200
<v Speaker 5>need as a country, Like, immigrants are essential parts of

0:51:06.200 --> 0:51:08.560
<v Speaker 5>our communities. They make our communities stronger. We know this

0:51:08.600 --> 0:51:10.560
<v Speaker 5>from all kinds of ways, and we're seeing now in

0:51:10.680 --> 0:51:13.640
<v Speaker 5>places where they're missing what it means for everybody. So

0:51:13.960 --> 0:51:17.960
<v Speaker 5>let's build a country that actually celebrates and builds on

0:51:18.000 --> 0:51:20.440
<v Speaker 5>the strength that immigrants give us. We can write, you know,

0:51:20.520 --> 0:51:23.120
<v Speaker 5>it's important that we have laws and enforce the law,

0:51:23.280 --> 0:51:27.160
<v Speaker 5>that we have a form of legal immigration that's respectable

0:51:27.280 --> 0:51:29.719
<v Speaker 5>of the need to do asylum right, that gives people

0:51:29.719 --> 0:51:31.319
<v Speaker 5>a path of the citizenship when they've been here for

0:51:31.360 --> 0:51:34.239
<v Speaker 5>a long time. And that manages immigration in a way

0:51:34.239 --> 0:51:37.000
<v Speaker 5>that helps strengthen our communities, not in a way that

0:51:37.360 --> 0:51:40.880
<v Speaker 5>is intended to be punitive and harsh and divide people

0:51:40.960 --> 0:51:43.640
<v Speaker 5>and scapegoat certain parts of our population. And I think

0:51:43.640 --> 0:51:45.880
<v Speaker 5>we are seeing that pivot in front of us, and

0:51:45.960 --> 0:51:48.680
<v Speaker 5>we're certainly looking to capture this moment and create something

0:51:48.680 --> 0:51:49.279
<v Speaker 5>better out of it.

0:51:50.040 --> 0:51:53.200
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, thank you, Hattie, thank you, thank you, Mike,

0:51:53.480 --> 0:51:54.880
<v Speaker 1>thank you, thank.

0:51:54.719 --> 0:51:57.200
<v Speaker 5>You, Molly.

0:51:57.440 --> 0:52:02.719
<v Speaker 1>No moment, Jesse Cannon, So my junk fast.

0:52:02.800 --> 0:52:04.719
<v Speaker 2>One of the things we see every election cycle, ause

0:52:04.760 --> 0:52:06.759
<v Speaker 2>it gets to be this time of year, is a

0:52:06.800 --> 0:52:09.520
<v Speaker 2>bunch of bread states will try throwing out a bunch

0:52:09.560 --> 0:52:12.000
<v Speaker 2>of voter roles and hopes that it'll make it so

0:52:12.040 --> 0:52:14.200
<v Speaker 2>that less Democrats can vote, that they need to get

0:52:14.239 --> 0:52:17.600
<v Speaker 2>provisional ballots, that they won't go through the trouble of voting.

0:52:17.800 --> 0:52:20.640
<v Speaker 2>And this year we're seeing Alaska doing it because guess

0:52:20.680 --> 0:52:23.160
<v Speaker 2>what Alaska Senate seat is looking like it's going to

0:52:23.200 --> 0:52:23.520
<v Speaker 2>go down.

0:52:24.000 --> 0:52:28.640
<v Speaker 1>Right, So this is such a This is such exactly

0:52:28.640 --> 0:52:33.800
<v Speaker 1>what you think it is, right, Donald Trump wanting people

0:52:33.840 --> 0:52:35.920
<v Speaker 1>not to be able to vote. This is the same

0:52:36.000 --> 0:52:39.279
<v Speaker 1>as what it was with the mail in ballad. So

0:52:39.440 --> 0:52:44.160
<v Speaker 1>Mary Patola is looking like she's pulling ahead of Dan Sullivan.

0:52:44.280 --> 0:52:48.040
<v Speaker 1>And so Alaska has removed thousands of people from its

0:52:48.120 --> 0:52:50.560
<v Speaker 1>voter roles, claiming they might not be citizens. You know

0:52:50.560 --> 0:52:53.439
<v Speaker 1>how many non citizens are in Alaska. First of all,

0:52:53.920 --> 0:52:57.040
<v Speaker 1>it's Alaska. It costs like ten thousand dollars to get there.

0:52:57.239 --> 0:52:59.800
<v Speaker 1>It's miles and miles away from everything.

0:53:00.239 --> 0:53:03.120
<v Speaker 2>I've heard so many tales of immigrants going all the

0:53:03.120 --> 0:53:06.160
<v Speaker 2>way from Mexico up to Alaska because they love the climate.

0:53:06.480 --> 0:53:08.880
<v Speaker 1>Right, They've just come for the cold and stay for

0:53:09.000 --> 0:53:12.759
<v Speaker 1>the cold. The good news is that the director of

0:53:12.840 --> 0:53:17.120
<v Speaker 1>Alaska's Division of Elections told state legislators on Wednesday that

0:53:17.200 --> 0:53:19.319
<v Speaker 1>old data was the reason the mistake and that she

0:53:19.520 --> 0:53:23.200
<v Speaker 1>wasn't sure why so many Alaska residents were labeled as

0:53:23.239 --> 0:53:28.160
<v Speaker 1>non citizens. Obviously some kind of hopefully a mistake and

0:53:28.320 --> 0:53:32.680
<v Speaker 1>not a not some kind of like doge getting in

0:53:32.760 --> 0:53:35.960
<v Speaker 1>the machines. And she said, usually it finds like two

0:53:36.080 --> 0:53:39.239
<v Speaker 1>hundred names that were tagged for extra strutiny. Now, the

0:53:39.280 --> 0:53:42.719
<v Speaker 1>good news is this scrutiny. It seems like they're going

0:53:42.800 --> 0:53:46.080
<v Speaker 1>to look at these these names and then make sure

0:53:46.120 --> 0:53:50.160
<v Speaker 1>they're put back on. So the good news about Alaska

0:53:50.440 --> 0:53:54.640
<v Speaker 1>is that they're primaries on August eighteenth, so they will

0:53:54.880 --> 0:53:56.800
<v Speaker 1>I think people will be able to vote and it

0:53:56.840 --> 0:53:59.719
<v Speaker 1>won't be a problem. Also, Alaska is really good mail,

0:54:01.000 --> 0:54:03.200
<v Speaker 1>which is good, and they've had that for a long time.

0:54:03.200 --> 0:54:05.839
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, I mean, it's just it's going to be

0:54:06.120 --> 0:54:11.480
<v Speaker 1>a long hundred days, maybe more. That's it for this

0:54:11.640 --> 0:54:18.040
<v Speaker 1>episode of Fast Politics. Tune in every Monday, Wednesday, Thursday,

0:54:18.239 --> 0:54:22.160
<v Speaker 1>and Saturday to hear the best minds and politics make

0:54:22.280 --> 0:54:26.279
<v Speaker 1>sense of all this chaos. If you enjoy this podcast,

0:54:26.640 --> 0:54:30.040
<v Speaker 1>please send it to a friend and keep the conversation going.

0:54:30.520 --> 0:54:31.640
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening.