WEBVTT - Jose Ramirez for MVP!? Best MLB Bets for the MVP, Cy Young & World Series Winner (Ep. 471)

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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<v Speaker 1>your bets. It has bet Joey p joe p as Apia,

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<v Speaker 1>and today we're going to take a look at the

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<v Speaker 1>MLB futures market. The market has certainly moved since the

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<v Speaker 1>beginning of the season, so I think it's high pass

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<v Speaker 1>time for an update to see where the numbers are

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to some of the MVP sy Young

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<v Speaker 1>Rookie of the Year races, and maybe some looks into

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<v Speaker 1>the World Series and playoffs as well. So obviously, injuries

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<v Speaker 1>have had a lot to do with a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>these moving numbers for some of these subjects we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about today, but also for others, some things

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<v Speaker 1>are absolutely on track to what we were talking about

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<v Speaker 1>in the beginning of the year. Let's take a look

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<v Speaker 1>at the beginning of the American League MVP race. Aeron

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<v Speaker 1>Judge sits at the top at plus one eighty one

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<v Speaker 1>Soda A plus two ten. Gunnor Henderson is still floating

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<v Speaker 1>around there plus six point fifty. The interesting one here

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<v Speaker 1>that's outside of the boxes Jose Ramirez, who is plus

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<v Speaker 1>three thousand now. Ramiras is at a great season and

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<v Speaker 1>he continues to be kind of a one man squad.

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<v Speaker 1>The thing about Judge and Soda is, even though they

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<v Speaker 1>both play for the Yankees, they kind of cannibalize each other.

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<v Speaker 1>It's something we talked about earlier in the year as

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<v Speaker 1>well that could be a problem. Now am I giving

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<v Speaker 1>up completely on my Julio Rodriguez wagers? Starting to look

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<v Speaker 1>a little dice unless they get him some help sooner

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<v Speaker 1>than later. And right now I think probably it is

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<v Speaker 1>a fore gone conclusion he is not gonna win it

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<v Speaker 1>this year. Si, but Wan Sodo a plus two to

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<v Speaker 1>ten has been absolutely spectacular. Maybe, just maybe Soda would

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<v Speaker 1>edge out Aaron Judge. I think Soto is the better

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<v Speaker 1>wager of the two right now. But Jose Ramirez lurking

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<v Speaker 1>at plus three thousand is a really intriguing one too,

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<v Speaker 1>because his numbers are not that far off of the

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<v Speaker 1>guys at the top. Speaking of guys at the top,

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<v Speaker 1>the Dodgers are at the top, and it's still Mookie

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<v Speaker 1>Betts and Showeyotani. Mookie Bets at plus one forty, Otani

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<v Speaker 1>a plus four to ten, Bryce Harper at six hundreds.

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<v Speaker 1>The one I want to talk about again when we

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<v Speaker 1>are looking at the class of the National League. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>the Dodger are gonna have a lot of wins, but

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<v Speaker 1>so are the Phillies. I still like the Phillies very much.

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<v Speaker 1>For the National League crown, especially for that Eastern Division.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's a four gone conclusion with the Akunya injury,

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<v Speaker 1>but plus six hundred for Bryce Harper is in a

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<v Speaker 1>really intriguing number. I still like the Otani number two

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<v Speaker 1>at plus four hundred. Mookie Bets was so good in

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<v Speaker 1>the month of April, but this is an award really

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<v Speaker 1>based in the second part of the season. So right now,

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<v Speaker 1>Otani and Harper I think are better values on the

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<v Speaker 1>board than Mooki Bets. I haven't bet Mookie Betts once yet,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm not going to do it. I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>Otani or Harper at the end of the day, those

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<v Speaker 1>seem like the two best locks. I know. Elie de

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<v Speaker 1>la Cruz has been fun, but he's not consistent enough. Unfortunately,

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<v Speaker 1>when he looked at the American League Cy Young Race,

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<v Speaker 1>I had real concerns. I'll be honest about Treik Schooble

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<v Speaker 1>because he played for the Detroit Tigers, and there are

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<v Speaker 1>still concerns about what the innings total looks like down

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<v Speaker 1>the stretch he is at plus one eighty at the

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<v Speaker 1>top of the American League Cy Young board, and I

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<v Speaker 1>get it, everybody. I'm looking at it too and saying, man,

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<v Speaker 1>the guy has been so good and so consistent it's

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<v Speaker 1>hard not to want to invest. But I still look

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<v Speaker 1>at Corman Burns at plus four to ten is the

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<v Speaker 1>better of the two wagers right now because Corman Burns

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<v Speaker 1>is going to pitch for the Orioles. The Orioles are

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<v Speaker 1>going to be a playoff team. The Tigers are probably

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<v Speaker 1>not going to be such. And if he does get

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<v Speaker 1>shut down maybe in September because of innings, that could

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<v Speaker 1>hurt his chance as finishing things out. Look, Turik Scooble

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<v Speaker 1>has done everything he possibly could to win this award,

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<v Speaker 1>and I give him credit. But I still like Corbyn

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<v Speaker 1>Burns over the full six months of the season, even

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<v Speaker 1>though Turik Schouble is the al Cy Young in my opinion,

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<v Speaker 1>over the first two months of the season. Looking at

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<v Speaker 1>the Rookie of the year in the American League, Louis

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<v Speaker 1>Heel is at the top at minus money minus one

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<v Speaker 1>thirty five Mason Miller plus three seventy. This is a

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<v Speaker 1>tough one because heel has been absolutely brilliant. But the

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<v Speaker 1>question is again innings. He's only thrown ninety six as

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<v Speaker 1>a high watermark back in twenty nineteen at professional baseball level.

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<v Speaker 1>That's not gonna get him very far. We have Garrett

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<v Speaker 1>Cole coming back soon. He's gonna get skip starts. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>sure at some point things could be really messy for

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<v Speaker 1>heal down the stretch now Mason Miller plus three seventy. Again,

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<v Speaker 1>he is not a position player nor a starting pitcher,

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<v Speaker 1>so closers have a tough time of winning this. Wyatt

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<v Speaker 1>Langford's still lurking about at plus twenty nine hundred. And

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<v Speaker 1>if you think that Wyatt Langford can't win this award,

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<v Speaker 1>let me remind you who won it last year, Gunnar Henderson,

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<v Speaker 1>who did what for April and May absolutely nothing. So

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<v Speaker 1>this is the perfect time to throw a small unit

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<v Speaker 1>on Wyatt Langford and watch it grow over time and

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<v Speaker 1>see if after the recent injury, if he can get

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<v Speaker 1>back on track. When it comes to looking at the

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<v Speaker 1>absolute top of the standings, obviously we have some changes

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<v Speaker 1>here and some surprises as well. In the American League East,

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<v Speaker 1>the Yankees are far and away the favorites at minus

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<v Speaker 1>four to forty, but the Ools at plus three to

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<v Speaker 1>twenty are still highly investible. In the Central, the Cleveland

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<v Speaker 1>Guardians lead at minus one forty five. I still like

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<v Speaker 1>the Guardians for this division, but the Twins are lurking

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<v Speaker 1>right behind them, and Royce Lewis is back from injury,

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<v Speaker 1>and this guy is an MVP caliber player. I know

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<v Speaker 1>that's a very high praise, but I think he is

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<v Speaker 1>that good. At plus two to fifty, the Twins are

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<v Speaker 1>much more intriguing wager at this juncture in the season

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<v Speaker 1>to win this division opposed to the Guardians, and I

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<v Speaker 1>still believe in the Twins pitching more than the Guardians pitching.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't believe in Kansas City, even though they've been

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<v Speaker 1>fun earlier in the year. In the West, the Mariners

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<v Speaker 1>are at the top at minus one seventy five, with

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<v Speaker 1>the Astros at plus three twenty and the Rangers the

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<v Speaker 1>reigning champs at plus three sixty. Now the Rangers are

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<v Speaker 1>getting Langford back, Max Scherzer should be back in the

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<v Speaker 1>next few weeks ahead, so this could become a really

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<v Speaker 1>tight race here. The Houston Astros losing Christian Javier really

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<v Speaker 1>hurts them too. Verlander's been up and down. They've had

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<v Speaker 1>some recent injuries. It just feels like the Astros window

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<v Speaker 1>might be closing. That's how I feel. The Mariners pitching

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<v Speaker 1>has been brilliant. This was the team that I picked

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<v Speaker 1>for the American League in the beginning of the year

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm sticking to it. And when you're looking at

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<v Speaker 1>the Mariners, it's just a matter of getting a bat,

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's a Pee Alonzo or a Luis Robert. They

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<v Speaker 1>need somebody to protect Julio Rodriguez in that lineup, and

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<v Speaker 1>I do think they have the goods in the minor

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<v Speaker 1>leagues to get that deal done, and I do think

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<v Speaker 1>they should get that deal done sooner than later. In

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<v Speaker 1>the East of the National League, it's the Phillies. It's

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<v Speaker 1>already minus three twenty, so let it go. In the Central,

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<v Speaker 1>looking right now, the Milwaukee Brewers at the top at

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<v Speaker 1>minus one forty five. I would not rule out the

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<v Speaker 1>Cubs yet at plus plus three sixty. The Cardinals at

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<v Speaker 1>plus five hundred, I just don't think they have the

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<v Speaker 1>horses in their rotation. But the Cubs, they think, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>some of the injuries they've had between Suzuki missing time,

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<v Speaker 1>and Steal missing time, and Bellinger missing time. I just

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<v Speaker 1>think the Cubs are gonna have a second half run.

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<v Speaker 1>Call me crazy all you want, but I look at

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<v Speaker 1>the Cubs at plus three sixty as a decent wager,

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<v Speaker 1>and already the minus money for the Brewers. We'll see

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<v Speaker 1>the Brewers lineup. I'm still skeptical. Up in the West,

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<v Speaker 1>it's the Dodgers. Just let it go. It ain't happening

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<v Speaker 1>for anybody else. So that's what it looks like now

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<v Speaker 1>when we're looking to some of the wagers to win

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<v Speaker 1>the American League. The Yankees are a plus one ninety,

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<v Speaker 1>the Oriels at plus four sixty, the Mariners a plus

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<v Speaker 1>six fifty. Is where I want to live. Why because

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<v Speaker 1>of the rotation depth now. The Yankees are plus one ninety,

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<v Speaker 1>obviously the favorites for a reason, but still a very

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<v Speaker 1>public team. Nonetheless, the Mariners, on the other hand, again,

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<v Speaker 1>if they get Louis Robert, if they get another bat,

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<v Speaker 1>think about how good that offense could potentially be with

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<v Speaker 1>more lineup protection. Maybe another bat too, maybe not just one,

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<v Speaker 1>but two bats. And they already have the best short

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<v Speaker 1>playoff rotation that I can imagine in the American League.

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<v Speaker 1>So I still like the Manners and plus six fifty,

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<v Speaker 1>it's still a great number. On the National League side,

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<v Speaker 1>the Dodgers of the very public team at plus one

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<v Speaker 1>thirty five. So give me the Phillies at three to one.

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<v Speaker 1>No Spencer Strider, Noah Kunya, no Atlanta Braves for me.

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<v Speaker 1>I just don't think they can do it. And really,

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<v Speaker 1>this is a Philly Dodger two horse race for me

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<v Speaker 1>in the National League and to win the World Series.

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<v Speaker 1>I like the Phillies at plus six fifty right now.

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<v Speaker 1>They are in a great position. Zach Wheeler is pitched

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<v Speaker 1>like a cy Young you can't deny him. And then

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<v Speaker 1>on top of which, you've got a good rotation here

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<v Speaker 1>where Ranger Swarez has been brilliant. Wheeler Nola. That's a

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<v Speaker 1>really good one two three punch in a playoff scenario.

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<v Speaker 1>So why not at the end of the day look

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<v Speaker 1>for the Philadelphia Phillies to come away with this. You're

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<v Speaker 1>getting a good number on the Yankees two at plus

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<v Speaker 1>four to forty. But so much of this has to

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<v Speaker 1>do with Garrick Cole getting healthy, getting right, and staying healthy.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm still not sold that that could happen. The

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<v Speaker 1>Dodgers at plus two to seventy are very public. But

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<v Speaker 1>here's my problem with the Dodgers again, rotation. I saw

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<v Speaker 1>that Todgers lose a couple of games to Paul Skins,

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<v Speaker 1>and Jared Jones was in two games to the Pirates.

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<v Speaker 1>Those pitchers aren't going to be around probably in September

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<v Speaker 1>or October. But still it just reminds us of the

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<v Speaker 1>problem with the Dodgers. They are built for one sixty two,

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<v Speaker 1>not always a short season. I think that is a

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<v Speaker 1>bit of a problem when you start to dig into them.

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<v Speaker 1>The Phillies, on the other hand, are also a team

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<v Speaker 1>that's very intriguing because why they are a team that

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<v Speaker 1>does still, in my opinion, have a fair amount of

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<v Speaker 1>home field advantage. It's something that does not show up

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<v Speaker 1>very much nowadays. A lot of the ballparks you go to,

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<v Speaker 1>the crowd isn't really a big factor in Philadelphia. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a factor you saw last year. It was really tough

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<v Speaker 1>for opposing teams to go into Philadelphia and win games

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<v Speaker 1>in the playoffs or win games in September. That crowd

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<v Speaker 1>is ready to go. They're excited and speaking about cy

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<v Speaker 1>Young's too. In the National League, Zach Wheeler plus two

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<v Speaker 1>ten is at the top of that board and he

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<v Speaker 1>seems like a pretty good investment. Tyler Glasnew has been

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<v Speaker 1>fantastic at plus six hundred. I know is Chris Sale

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<v Speaker 1>as well has been really good, but he's had some

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<v Speaker 1>hiccups of late. Two. Imonaga I think is gonna come

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<v Speaker 1>back down to earth. So instead of the National League

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<v Speaker 1>Cy Young race, I'm going to continue to back Zach Wheeler.

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<v Speaker 1>I just think it's his time, even though Ranger Suarez,

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<v Speaker 1>his teammate, has been basically right there with him. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't see any dark horses here except maybe a Freddy

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<v Speaker 1>Peralta if he just goes off with strikeouts in the

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<v Speaker 1>second half. But again, that would require the Brewers also

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<v Speaker 1>having a great second half as two, and we're not

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<v Speaker 1>quite there yet. Now, speaking of the National League, just

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<v Speaker 1>wrap things up here. We're talking about the National League

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<v Speaker 1>Rookie of the Year race. Shotto Emanaga at plus one

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<v Speaker 1>thirty five leads that race still, but Paul Skeins is

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<v Speaker 1>right behind him now at plus three twenty and Yamamoto

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<v Speaker 1>at plus five hundred. Jared Jones has been really intriguing

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<v Speaker 1>and I wonder if Jared Jones outlast Paul Skeins this year.

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<v Speaker 1>If he does at plus two thousand, that is a

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<v Speaker 1>really fun long shot potentially for this award. You also

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<v Speaker 1>got guys like James Wood who have it made their

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<v Speaker 1>debut yet he should be coming up, hopefully in the

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<v Speaker 1>second half of the season to make an impact. But

0:10:05.800 --> 0:10:09.720
<v Speaker 1>until further notice, it's Imanaga's to lose. If you listen

0:10:09.760 --> 0:10:12.080
<v Speaker 1>to the shows. We already bet Imanaga earlier in the

0:10:12.080 --> 0:10:14.000
<v Speaker 1>season at a good number, so if you want to

0:10:14.040 --> 0:10:16.400
<v Speaker 1>cash out, you can, But it seems like a good

0:10:16.480 --> 0:10:18.760
<v Speaker 1>bet to kind of ride the wave right now because

0:10:18.800 --> 0:10:21.479
<v Speaker 1>the two Pirates pitchers who are trying to chase him

0:10:21.760 --> 0:10:24.040
<v Speaker 1>might not have enough innings left in the tank to

0:10:24.120 --> 0:10:26.160
<v Speaker 1>do it towards the end of the season where it

0:10:26.240 --> 0:10:28.280
<v Speaker 1>might matter most. So even though Emanaga might be an

0:10:28.280 --> 0:10:30.959
<v Speaker 1>old rookie, he might be the rookie of the year

0:10:31.000 --> 0:10:33.640
<v Speaker 1>when all is said and done. Make sure you subscribe

0:10:33.679 --> 0:10:35.800
<v Speaker 1>to the Betting Pros podcast wherever you get your pods,

0:10:36.120 --> 0:10:38.840
<v Speaker 1>and I hope you enjoyed this update on the MLB

0:10:39.000 --> 0:10:44.839
<v Speaker 1>Award season and futures market. Because it's an ever changing market, injuries,

0:10:44.960 --> 0:10:47.960
<v Speaker 1>performance are all going to have a big impact in

0:10:48.080 --> 0:10:50.000
<v Speaker 1>the weeks and months ahead, so we'll keep you up

0:10:50.040 --> 0:10:53.200
<v Speaker 1>to date here on Betting Pros and for more baseball,

0:10:53.280 --> 0:10:56.480
<v Speaker 1>check out our MLB channel that's right every single day

0:10:56.720 --> 0:10:59.720
<v Speaker 1>leading off with me and the Welsh talking Baseball twelve

0:10:59.720 --> 0:11:03.679
<v Speaker 1>thirty Eastern. Subscribe to Fantasy Pros MLB and Ring dou

0:11:03.760 --> 0:11:06.559
<v Speaker 1>Bell for notifications, as well as our Betting Pros channel

0:11:06.600 --> 0:11:09.320
<v Speaker 1>on YouTube. That'll do it for me, Joey P. We'll

0:11:09.360 --> 0:11:12.000
<v Speaker 1>see you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the

0:11:12.040 --> 0:11:14.960
<v Speaker 1>Betting Pros podcast. If you love the show, the best

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<v Speaker 1>freeway to support us is by leaving a positive review

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<v Speaker 1>slash Betting Pros.