1 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:14,520 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 2: What is going on on this Wednesday morning? It is 3 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:20,239 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault. You guys 4 00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:22,919 Speaker 2: can follow me on socials at Sports Talk Matt. This 5 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 2: podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com. 6 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 2: I know a bunch of you who have been jumping 7 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 2: on this. I appreciate the DMS for showing me the support. 8 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:33,479 Speaker 2: It means a lot. It means a lot to me 9 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 2: and betting pros. You guys supporting the sponsors. They keep 10 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 2: this podcast free every single morning. Juice is that code 11 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 2: in the search bar is gonna activate over a sixty 12 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:47,600 Speaker 2: percent savings on the Hotter than Fire Grail pack, which 13 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:50,560 Speaker 2: is a ton of food for less than one hundred dollars, 14 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 2: and they're gonna throw in twelve free Omaha steakburgers on 15 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 2: top of that, with the filets, with the chicken, with 16 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 2: the pork with the franks, and the dessert and the seasoning, 17 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 2: all for less than one hundred dollars. Check it out 18 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 2: omah Steakes dot Com. Juice in the search bar to 19 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 2: activate all those great savings. Okay, two and one Monday, 20 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 2: two and one on Tuesday. Like I said before, if 21 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 2: I went two and one. The rest of my life betting, 22 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 2: I would be the happiest man on the planet. It's 23 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 2: not always gonna go like this, but a four and 24 00:01:21,640 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 2: two start for the week is good. We're up one 25 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 2: point eight two units to start the week. Slow and steady. 26 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna be angry about it. We got a 27 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 2: really easy over in that first five for the Diamondbacks 28 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 2: and the Braves. 29 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:42,120 Speaker 1: The game ended sixteen thirteen. That's a softball score, sixteen thirteen. 30 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,199 Speaker 1: D Backs won the game. We got the Red Sox 31 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: bet wrong, unfortunately. More on that in a second though. 32 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 1: And then we got the third bet, which was I'm 33 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: blanking on the third bet, but we went to in one. 34 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 1: I know that I got that correctly. I forget what 35 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 1: that second bet was. But anyways, two and one and 36 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 1: os where we went. So four and two start for 37 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: the week. 38 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 2: Now another day, another baseball bet which I can't make 39 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 2: until you guys listening to this podcast during the day. 40 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:16,239 Speaker 2: What is it al Contra is pitching. I need to 41 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 2: see the numbers I might bet under for Sandy. And 42 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 2: it's not really on Sandy with al Contra and the Marlins, 43 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:28,079 Speaker 2: it's who he's going to be facing, and I think 44 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:30,640 Speaker 2: there may be some value here. I know I've been 45 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 2: betting overs like crazy with Sandy el Contra and it's 46 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 2: been very profitable betting overs with Sandy el Contra, But 47 00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 2: I need to see the number. If it's seven, I 48 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 2: might be coming back. Dakota Hudson is the pitcher for 49 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 2: Saint Louis. This guy's pretty good though. This guy has 50 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 2: an ERA of one point eight zero. He's gone, he's 51 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 2: pretty much an opener, but in the games he's pitched, 52 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 2: he's been pretty good. Zero earn run, zero earn runs, 53 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 2: two earned runs, zero earn runs. On the bullpen comes 54 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 2: in and the games kind of have flown over. So 55 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:05,080 Speaker 2: I need to see the number a little bit with 56 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 2: Sandy because if we get a seven and a half 57 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:09,840 Speaker 2: of seven with al Contra in, you know I'm gonna 58 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 2: go ahead and turn around and bet over again. This 59 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 2: is an eleven fifteen Pacific Time two fifteen getaway Day 60 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 2: start for the Marlins at the Saint Louis Cardinals. Al 61 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 2: Condra has been pretty good over his last couple of 62 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 2: starts two earned runs, one earned run, four earned runs, 63 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:28,560 Speaker 2: one earned run. 64 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 1: Five earned runs. 65 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 2: The difference is what the number the book has been 66 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 2: putting up for his starts with the Marlins seven seven, nine, 67 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 2: eleven nine. Those are the total runs scored over the 68 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 2: last five starts for Sandy al Contra on the road 69 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 2: four point eight ERA not great two and four a 70 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 2: posting batting average of two seventy two in the month 71 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 2: of July, though three point fifty seven ERA with the 72 00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 2: posting batting average of two ninety two. Just seven earned 73 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 2: runs given up, however, in seventeen and two thirds worth 74 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 2: of work on the road, zero to two two in 75 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:03,400 Speaker 2: three games started. So I need the numbers. I don't 76 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 2: know why the numbers aren't out yet for this game, 77 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 2: but they're not, so check with me on the Discord 78 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 2: channel bettingpros dot Com slash chat. I'll tell you what 79 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 2: I'm doing for the Marlins and the Cardinals. It's gonna 80 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 2: be an early start, early game, so I'll post it 81 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 2: in the morning obviously. Tell you guys what the third 82 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 2: BET's gonna be here for the day now. Second bet, 83 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 2: it's Brian Bellow Day. It is Ghetaway day for the 84 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 2: Red Sox, but it's Brian Bellow Day the Red Sox. 85 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:31,120 Speaker 2: After a loss, you just have to look at. You 86 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 2: know what has happened here for Boston. They're pretty good 87 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 2: after a loss. They bounced back relatively well. They don't 88 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 2: go on long losing streaks. And Boston is taking on 89 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 2: the A's, who are the worst team in baseball. And yes, 90 00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:45,440 Speaker 2: they shut out the Red Sox three nothing. Now, the 91 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 2: Red Sox batting average on the road is by far 92 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 2: lower than what it is at home. It's only two 93 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 2: forty on the road, so the offense hasn't been great 94 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 2: for Boston, even though it's been good on this road 95 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:58,920 Speaker 2: trip against Chicago and against the A's, they've been scoring 96 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:02,719 Speaker 2: pretty consistently. Brian Bellow has been phenomenal for the Red Sox. 97 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 2: He's won five of his last six starts eight three, 98 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,040 Speaker 2: four to two, lost two nothing at home to the Marlins, 99 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:11,920 Speaker 2: but three to one, four one, three two. I don't 100 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:14,240 Speaker 2: really want to touch a total in this game because 101 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 2: I don't know how many runs the Red Sox are 102 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 2: going to score. It might be low scoring and lean 103 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:20,919 Speaker 2: towards the under in this game. To be quite honest, 104 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:24,679 Speaker 2: Brian Bellow games tend to go under, but the first 105 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:28,600 Speaker 2: five run line for the Red Sox is only minus 106 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:31,920 Speaker 2: one thirty five, laying a half a run against the 107 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 2: A's and with Bellow on the mound. With the loss 108 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:38,279 Speaker 2: yesterday for the Red Sox and the fact that Waterachuck 109 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 2: is going for the A's, I mean Waldachuck for the 110 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 2: A's is two and six with a six point six 111 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:48,240 Speaker 2: to six ERA, five to four, four to three losses 112 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 2: the last two times out when three and two thirds, 113 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:54,279 Speaker 2: one in one third, four and one thirds, two and 114 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 2: two thirds won two and one thirds. He's probably not 115 00:05:57,600 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 2: going very long, but he's gonna. 116 00:05:58,720 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: Give up some runs. 117 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:04,280 Speaker 2: He one one zero six over the last five starts 118 00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 2: at home. He's got a four point four to one ERA, 119 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:10,280 Speaker 2: that's better than the road ERA eight point five six. 120 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:13,119 Speaker 2: But he's zero to two with an opposing batting average 121 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 2: of two seventy seven. So it could be two to 122 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 2: one after five Boston. But that cash is the run 123 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 2: line after the first five Red Sox run line first 124 00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:27,359 Speaker 2: five against the A's today and misus one thirty five 125 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:30,719 Speaker 2: to take two of three against the A's. You could 126 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 2: do the full game if you want. It just starts 127 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 2: to get a little bit expensive. It's one thirty for 128 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:37,559 Speaker 2: the full game, and I don't love the Red Sox 129 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,920 Speaker 2: bullpen to be quite honest, but if you don't want 130 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:42,040 Speaker 2: to lay the one thirty five in the first five, 131 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:43,839 Speaker 2: you want to lay it in for the whole game 132 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:46,840 Speaker 2: run line Red Sox misus one thirty don't mind it, 133 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 2: but the game mius two to twenty five money line 134 00:06:50,200 --> 00:06:53,480 Speaker 2: for the Red Sox is too expensive. But Boston first 135 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:57,119 Speaker 2: five run line minus a half a run at miss 136 00:06:57,120 --> 00:07:01,279 Speaker 2: one thirty five at DraftKings. Third bet to go with 137 00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:03,960 Speaker 2: the Marlins. Bet later that'll give to you back to 138 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:07,799 Speaker 2: the Diamondbacks and back to the Atlanta Braves. So here's 139 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 2: some interesting stat Ryan Nelson going for the Diamondbacks e 140 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:14,239 Speaker 2: ARA of two point six to eight on the road 141 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:17,559 Speaker 2: way better than his home ray of eight point zero 142 00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 2: eight three and one with the posing batting average of 143 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 2: two thirty three, just seventeen earned runs given up in 144 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 2: fifty seven innings worth of work for Nelson on the road. 145 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 2: He lost seven to two in his last start against 146 00:07:29,760 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 2: the Toronto Blue Jays, but he only gave up one 147 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 2: earned run. Wasn't his fault five and two thirds nine 148 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 2: hits one earned run against the Angels on the road 149 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 2: three to one win when seven and a third just 150 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 2: one earned run against the Giants on the road, five 151 00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 2: to two win, seven innings, just one earned run and 152 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 2: five innings and three earned runs and a seven. 153 00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:55,240 Speaker 1: To five loss to Milwaukee. Now, I know the. 154 00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 2: Braves are incredibly potent, okay, and I know they got 155 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 2: Charlie Morton on the mound here today. But on the road, 156 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 2: the Diamondbacks are twenty seven and eighteen on the year. 157 00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 2: On the run line, on the road they are twenty 158 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:15,360 Speaker 2: nine and sixteen. The Braves can win this game here today, 159 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 2: just don't win it by more than one run. Even money, Diamondbacks. 160 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 2: I'm gonna do it plus one and a half even 161 00:08:26,560 --> 00:08:32,559 Speaker 2: money on the Diamondbacks against the Atlanta Braves, which look. 162 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:33,800 Speaker 1: They lost sixteen thirteen. 163 00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:35,559 Speaker 2: You know the Braves are going to be spitting mad 164 00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 2: at they're losing that game, coming right back here, wanting 165 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 2: to put up a lot of runs here. But second 166 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:44,280 Speaker 2: game of the season matching up against each other. Diamondbacks 167 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 2: are a really good team on the road, but look 168 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 2: thirty one and eighteen for the Braves. Nothing to shake 169 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:51,360 Speaker 2: a stick at. Charlie Morton is Charlie Morton, right, I mean, 170 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:53,640 Speaker 2: he's just tremendous. Chary Morning though has a three point 171 00:08:53,679 --> 00:08:56,439 Speaker 2: five to five ERA at home, way higher than his ROADYRA. 172 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 2: He's five and three at home with a two thirty 173 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 2: five posing batting avera twenty ear one runs and five 174 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 2: and two thirds worth of work, but on the road 175 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:08,600 Speaker 2: two point eight seven ERA, and so far, I mean 176 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 2: he was awesome against the White Sox and a nine 177 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 2: to nothing victory. He beat Tampa Bay two to one 178 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:18,880 Speaker 2: in the start before that, beat Miami seven nothing, but 179 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:23,199 Speaker 2: then beat the Cincinnati Reds seven to six, So a 180 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 2: run line bet on the dog in two of his 181 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 2: last four games would have cashed for us. 182 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna ride the trends. 183 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 2: Here twenty nine and sixteen on the run line on 184 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:34,560 Speaker 2: the road for the Diamondbacks. They can lose or they 185 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:36,679 Speaker 2: can win. I'm gonna take the plus one and a 186 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:40,640 Speaker 2: half runs with the Diamondbacks even money here today for 187 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:44,000 Speaker 2: a one unit play all right, Red Sox first five 188 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 2: run line against the A's at minus one thirty five 189 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 2: Diamondbacks plus one and a half runs on the run 190 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 2: line at even money against the Braves. And then we'll 191 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,680 Speaker 2: have the Marlins bet in the Cardinals game coming up 192 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:59,119 Speaker 2: later on in the Discord channel, Bettingpros dot Com slash 193 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:02,199 Speaker 2: Chet to join Minus Matt Paroltz, following me on socials 194 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning it is 195 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 2: the Dilijuce Podcast. I was being brought to you by 196 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 2: Omaha Steaks dot com